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FNUS51 KRNK 160829
FWFRNK

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for SW VA...SE WV and NW NC
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
329 AM EST Sun Nov 16 2025

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM EST
THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...

A very dry airmass arrives today behind a frontal boundary
moving in from the west. As the front crosses the region, winds
will become increasingly gusty from the northwest. Gusts in
excess of 30 mph will be common late this morning, and these
gusts are expected to continue into the evening hours. The
higher elevations could see gusts exceeding 40mph at times. The
combination of very gusty winds, low RH values dropping into the
teens and 20 percent range, along with above normal temperatures
will result in critical fire danger today. This biggest
uncertainty at the moment is how much rainfall is expected this
morning. Some locations across the mountains have received a
couple tenths, but this has been mainly confined to West
Virginia. Even with some rain this morning, rapid drying is
expected with the combination of a dry airmass and gusty winds. 


Very dry conditions will persist into Monday and with a day of
drying today, Monday could be just as much of a concern as
today. Although winds will be slightly less with gusts into the
20 mph range, min RH expected to fall into the teens late Monday
morning and into Monday afternoon. This will continue fire
weather concerns and additional headlines may be needed to 
address this concern in future forecast updates.

VAZ012-162115-
Wythe-
Including the city of Wytheville
329 AM EST Sun Nov 16 2025

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM EST
THIS EVENING...

                      Today        Tonight      Mon          

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Clear        Clear        
Precip Type           None         None         None         
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0            
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            
Max/Min Temp          56           29           50           
Min/Max RH %          27           51           23           
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NW 13 G32    NW 11 G25    NW  9 G20    
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NW 14 G31    NW 10 G23    NW  8 G18    
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         
Precip Duration                                              
Precip Begin                                                 
Precip End                                                   
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    4270                      3280         
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 36                     NW 22        
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    153720                    72160        
Dispersion                         Excellent                 
Max ADI Early         91 Good      18 Gen Poor  75 Good      
Max ADI Late          97 Good      12 Poor      74 Good      
Max LVORI Early       4            2            2            
Max LVORI Late        1            2            1            

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of rain. Lows in the lower
30s. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 34 percent. South winds
around 5 mph. 
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain. Lows in the mid
40s. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 69 percent. West winds 5 to
10 mph. 
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 61 percent. West winds
around 5 mph. 
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain. Lows around 50.
Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph. 
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain. Lows in the upper
40s. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 55 percent. West winds 5 to
10 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation near normal.