Fire Weather Forecast - Carroll County, VA

FNUS51 KRNK 201716
FWFRNK

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for SW VA...SE WV and NW NC
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
116 PM EDT Wed May 20 2026

.DISCUSSION...

Arrival and passage of a cold front will trigger showers and
some thunderstorms during the afternoon and evening today. The
front stalls across the region Thursday, and more showers and
storms will develop in the vicinity of the front again during the
afternoon and evening. Thunderstorm chances decrease after
Thursday, but showers remain possible through the end of the week
and into the weekend.

Forecast rainfall amounts through Friday range from half an inch
to an inch, which will be beneficial for the area, and may lead 
to some improvements in the ongoing dryness, and thus could reduce
the overall fire weather threat across the area heading into the 
warmer months. 

&&

VAZ016-210830-
Carroll-
Including the city of Galax
116 PM EDT Wed May 20 2026

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri          

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        
Chance Precip (%)     30           100          90           70           
Chance of Thunder (%) 30           70           50           20           
Min/Max Temp          63           74           54           60           
Max/Min RH %          92           72           100          97           
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  SW  3        NE  3        E  5 G18     E  4         
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   Lgt/Var      E  4         E  4 G17     E  5         
Precip Amount         0.03         0.45         0.38         0.05         
Precip Duration       1            5            11           9            
Precip Begin          6 PM         8 AM         Continuing   Continuing   
Precip End            2 AM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 3280                      1600         
Transport Wnd (mph)                SW 15                     E  9         
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 49200                     14400        
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Fair                      
Max ADI Early         48 Gen Good  39 Fair      8 Poor       12 Poor      
Max ADI Late          2 Very Poor  47 Gen Good  7 Poor       17 Gen Poor  
Max LVORI Early       3            7            9            9            
Max LVORI Late        6            6            9            5            

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 50s. East winds 10 to 15 mph. 
.SATURDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
mid 60s. Minimum RH 92 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Southeast winds around 5 mph. 
.SUNDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum RH 83 percent. South winds around 5 mph. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and a
slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. South
winds around 5 mph. 
.MONDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum RH 82 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and a
slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Southwest
winds around 5 mph. 
.TUESDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
mid 70s. Minimum RH 78 percent. West winds around 5 mph. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and a
slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Southwest
winds around 5 mph. 
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 72 percent. West winds around 5 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation near normal.