Potential Significant Winter Storm this Weekend - Very Cold Weather Follows Early Next Week

A significant winter storm will likely impact our area this weekend. The winter storm will be followed by very cold temperatures early next week. Read More >

Fire Weather Forecast Banner for Carroll County

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FNUS51 KRNK 211854
FWFRNK

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for SW VA...SE WV and NW NC
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
154 PM EST Wed Jan 21 2026

.DISCUSSION... 
After today clouds and humidity increase. There is a small chance 
for light precip over the mountains of SE West Virginia tonight. 
Another window of opportunity to burn is possible Thursday 
afternoon, winds will be westerly however. Temperatures will also be 
warmer Thursday with Rh back down close to 25 percent in some areas. 
A majority of the region will remain in the mid 30s for RHs.

For Friday clouds will be on the increase with potential of light 
precip. Larger fuels will lag with respect to fuel moisture recovery 
in spite of shading and increasing humidity.

The weekend is a show stopper for burning. Heavy wintry 
precipitation is forecast. There is potential for 1-2 inches of 
liquid equivalent precipitation...a drought buster. If it all falls 
as snow and or sleet, it will be measured in feet, not inches. This 
will significantly compact fine fuels. And it is not expected to 
melt very quickly either...temperatures remaining below freezing for 
the remainder of the month. 

&&

VAZ016-220915-
Carroll-
Including the city of Galax
154 PM EST Wed Jan 21 2026

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri          

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy        
Precip Type           None         None         None         Snow/Rain    
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0            20           
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0            
Min/Max Temp          31           50           26           41           
Max/Min RH %          91           42           79           39           
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  S  7 G18     W  6 G17     NW  3        NW  3        
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   SW  5 G17    W  7 G17     Lgt/Var      NW  6        
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
Precip Duration                                              1            
Precip Begin                                                 7 AM         
Precip End                                                   Continuing   
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 3090                      2720         
Transport Wnd (mph)                W 15                      NW  7        
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 46350                     19040        
Dispersion            Fair                      Very Poor                 
Max ADI Early         13 Gen Poor  40 Fair      5 Very Poor  6 Very Poor  
Max ADI Late          5 Very Poor  46 Gen Good  5 Very Poor  20 Gen Poor  
Max LVORI Early       2            5            3            4            
Max LVORI Late        5            2            4            2            

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Snow. Lows around 19. Highs in the lower 20s. Minimum
RH 54 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph. 
.SUNDAY...Snow with sleet likely. Lows around 13. Highs in the
mid 20s. Minimum RH 85 percent. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph. 
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of snow. Lows around 14. Highs
in the lower 20s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Northwest winds 10 to
15 mph. 
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 4. Highs in the upper 20s.
Minimum RH 49 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph. 
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 10. Highs in the lower
30s. Minimum RH 58 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal.  Precipitation below normal.

Radar