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FNUS51 KRNK 211800
FWFRNK

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for SW VA...SE WV and NW NC
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
200 PM EDT Thu May 21 2026

.DISCUSSION...

Arrival and passage of a cold front is currently leading to shower
and thunderstorm development across the area this afternoon. These
showers and thunderstorms look to continue through the remainder
of the afternoon and evening today before thunderstorm activity
looks to dissipate tonight. Thunderstorm chances decrease after 
today, but showers remain possible through the end of the weekend 
and into early next week.

Fire concerns remain low through next week given the daily rain
chances.

&&

VAZ016-220815-
Carroll-
Including the city of Galax
200 PM EDT Thu May 21 2026

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat          

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Cloudy       Mcldy        
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Showers      
Chance Precip (%)     100          90           100          90           
Chance of Thunder (%) 50           20           20           0            
Min/Max Temp          55           62           53           65           
Max/Min RH %          100          90           100          90           
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NE  4 G17    E  3         SE  6 G18    SE  5        
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   E  4         SE  4        E  6 G18     SE  4        
Precip Amount         0.23         0.06         0.13         0.15         
Precip Duration       11           7            8            11           
Precip Begin          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 1440                      1570         
Transport Wnd (mph)                E  9                      S  8         
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 12960                     12560        
Dispersion            Fair                      Fair                      
Max ADI Early         14 Gen Poor  11 Poor      15 Gen Poor  7 Poor       
Max ADI Late          7 Poor       15 Gen Poor  10 Poor      16 Gen Poor  
Max LVORI Early       7            9            7            9            
Max LVORI Late        7            6            8            8            

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows around
60. Southeast winds around 5 mph. 
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 81 percent. South
winds around 5 mph. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. South winds
around 5 mph. 
.MONDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum RH 81 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. South winds
around 5 mph. 
.TUESDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
mid 70s. Minimum RH 80 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and a
slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Southwest
winds around 5 mph. 
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
mid 70s. Minimum RH 75 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and a
slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Northwest
winds around 5 mph. 
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 67 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation near normal.