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FNUS51 KRNK 211800
FWFRNK
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for SW VA...SE WV and NW NC
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
200 PM EDT Thu May 21 2026
.DISCUSSION...
Arrival and passage of a cold front is currently leading to shower
and thunderstorm development across the area this afternoon. These
showers and thunderstorms look to continue through the remainder
of the afternoon and evening today before thunderstorm activity
looks to dissipate tonight. Thunderstorm chances decrease after
today, but showers remain possible through the end of the weekend
and into early next week.
Fire concerns remain low through next week given the daily rain
chances.
&&
VAZ016-220815-
Carroll-
Including the city of Galax
200 PM EDT Thu May 21 2026
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Cloudy Mcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Showers
Chance Precip (%) 100 90 100 90
Chance of Thunder (%) 50 20 20 0
Min/Max Temp 55 62 53 65
Max/Min RH % 100 90 100 90
Wind 20ft/early(mph) NE 4 G17 E 3 SE 6 G18 SE 5
Wind 20ft/late(mph) E 4 SE 4 E 6 G18 SE 4
Precip Amount 0.23 0.06 0.13 0.15
Precip Duration 11 7 8 11
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 1440 1570
Transport Wnd (mph) E 9 S 8
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 12960 12560
Dispersion Fair Fair
Max ADI Early 14 Gen Poor 11 Poor 15 Gen Poor 7 Poor
Max ADI Late 7 Poor 15 Gen Poor 10 Poor 16 Gen Poor
Max LVORI Early 7 9 7 9
Max LVORI Late 7 6 8 8
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows around
60. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 81 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum RH 81 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
mid 70s. Minimum RH 80 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and a
slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
mid 70s. Minimum RH 75 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and a
slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Northwest
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 67 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation near normal.