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FNUS51 KRNK 041816
FWFRNK

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for SW VA...SE WV and NW NC
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
216 PM EDT Sat Jul 4 2026

.DISCUSSION...

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM EDT TODAY FOR THE
 LOWER ELEVATIONS...

...EXTREME HEAT WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM to 8 PM EDT TODAY
FOR PARTS OF SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND NORTH CENTRAL NORTH
CAROLINA...

Heat risk increases to hazardous levels this holiday weekend. 
Additional advisories/warnings have encompass much of the
region east of the Blue Ridge for the holiday weekend.

The mid-level ridge currently above us will facilitate warming
temperatures with highs in the 80s to lower 90s in the mountains
and upper 90s to around 100 for the foothills and piedmont. 
The hot temperatures will combine with elevated dewpoints around
68 to 72 to produce peak heat indices of 95 to 100 in the
mountains and 105 to 115 in the Foothills and Piedmont today
By Sunday, a slight cooling period will commence, with heat
temperatures
in the Mountains expected to be in the low to mid 80s, and 
Piedmont locations likely remaining in the mid to upper 90s. 
This will mean heat index values will peak in the low 90s 
across the mountains, and the low 100s across the Piedmont.
Each day the region looks to cool by a few degrees, which will
bring temperatures back to seasonal values for this time of the 
year. 

Increasing chances for showers and thunderstorms beginning 
today and into next week may cause issues with lightning- 
started fires.

VAZ018-050815-
Craig-
Including the city of New Castle
216 PM EDT Sat Jul 4 2026

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon          

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        
Chance Precip (%)     20           70           50           80           
Chance of Thunder (%) 20           50           50           50           
Min/Max Temp          67           89           67           87           
Max/Min RH %          85           45           92           55           
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      
Precip Amount         0.04         0.12         0.10         0.13         
Precip Duration       1            3            1            5            
Precip Begin          6 PM         1 PM         Continuing   7 AM         
Precip End            2 AM         Continuing   3 AM         Continuing   
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 7000                      5240         
Transport Wnd (mph)                SW  7                     W  5         
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 49000                     26200        
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Very Poor                 
Max ADI Early         10 Poor      41 Gen Good  11 Poor      25 Fair      
Max ADI Late          2 Very Poor  58 Gen Good  2 Very Poor  28 Fair      
Max LVORI Early       3            5            5            6            
Max LVORI Late        5            2            6            3            

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Northwest winds around
5 mph. 
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 60s. Northwest winds around 5 mph. 
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
49 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a slight chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a slight chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. West winds 10 to 15 mph. 
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.