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FNUS51 KRNK 150736
FWFRNK
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for SW VA...SE WV and NW NC
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
236 AM EST Sat Nov 15 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Gusty winds today and very warm with afternoon highs into the
the 60s and 70s. Fortunately, min RH values expected to be in
the 50 percent range. However, leaf litter still remains dry
from multiple days of drying this past week, but increased
humidity should prevent rapid fire spread through tonight.
The bigger concern for fire danger arrives on Sunday behind a
mostly dry cold front passage. A few showers associated with the
front will mainly be confined to SE West Virginia. Little to no
rain expected for the Blue Ridge and east. This front will bring
very gusty northwest winds in excess of 30 mph, along with a
much drier airmass. Temperatures Sunday afternoon will also rise
into the mid/upper 50s to low 60s in the mountains, to mid
upper 60s east of the mountains...RH mins will drop into the 20
percent range. This brings a heightened fire weather concern for
Sunday, nearly areawide.
Although winds will be slightly less on Monday, still will see
gusts into the 20 mph range at times. Even lower min RH values
into the teens will result in continued heightened fire
awareness through Monday.
VAZ018-152115-
Craig-
Including the city of New Castle
236 AM EST Sat Nov 15 2025
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Mclear
Precip Type None Showers None
Chance Precip (%) 0 40 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 69 48 59
Min/Max RH % 51 93 30
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 6 G23 W 9 G30 NW 13 G33
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 7 G22 W 10 G32 NW 13 G29
Precip Amount 0.00 0.02 0.00
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 11 PM
Precip End 6 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 4150 4570
Transport Wnd (mph) W 24 NW 39
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 99600 178230
Dispersion Excellent
Max ADI Early 44 Gen Good 16 Gen Poor 105 Very Good
Max ADI Late 64 Good 22 Fair 111 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 4 3 4
Max LVORI Late 2 4 1
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the upper 40s.
Minimum RH 28 percent. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain. Lows in the lower
30s. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 47 percent. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain. Lows in the
lower 40s. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 69 percent. West
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of rain. Lows in
the mid 40s. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 68 percent. South winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain. Lows in the upper 40s.
Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.