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FNUS51 KRNK 161744
FWFRNK

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for SW VA...SE WV and NW NC
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
144 PM EDT Fri Oct 16 2026

.DISCUSSION...

A cold front passing across the lower Mid-Atlantic this evening 
will trigger a broken line of showers and a few thunderstorms. 
Winds this afternoon will gust 15 mph to 25 mph from the 
southwest ahead of the front, and will shift from the north- west 
up to 35 mph after frontal passage. Gusty northwest winds are 
expected to continue for most of the day Saturday. Rain showers 
will continue through sunrise Saturday before coming to an end in 
the mountains, lingering until early afternoon in the Piedmont. 
Rainfall amounts will be up to a quarter of a inch in the 
mountains, and a quarter to a half an inch in the Piedmont.

Temperatures plummet Saturday night into Sunday morning, with many
areas in the mountains falling to freezing or a few degrees below,
and a Freeze Watch is in effect for the westernmost mountain
counties.

Increasing chances for scattered rain showers in the Piedmont for
early next week, but dry weather should return for most.
Temperatures moderate towards normal by the middle of the week.

VAZ018-170815-
Craig-
Including the city of New Castle
144 PM EDT Fri Oct 16 2026

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun          

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Clear        Clear        
Precip Type           Showers      Showers      None         None         
Chance Precip (%)     90           80           0            0            
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0            
Min/Max Temp          42           53           33           58           
Max/Min RH %          98           49           70           32           
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NW 10 G26    N  7 G24     N  6 G19     NE  4 G17    
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NW  8 G26    N  7 G20     N  3         NE  4        
Precip Amount         0.09         0.07         0.00         0.00         
Precip Duration       2            2                                      
Precip Begin          6 PM         Continuing                             
Precip End            Continuing   11 AM                                  
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 4640                      3250         
Transport Wnd (mph)                N 23                      NE 12        
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 106720                    39000        
Dispersion            Excellent                 Fair                      
Max ADI Early         27 Fair      62 Good      63 Good      41 Gen Good  
Max ADI Late          35 Fair      90 Good      3 Very Poor  44 Gen Good  
Max LVORI Early       4            5            3            3            
Max LVORI Late        4            3            3            1            

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph. 
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 47 percent. North
winds around 5 mph. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. North winds
5 to 10 mph. 
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. North winds
5 to 10 mph. 
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph. 
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
60 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph. 
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation below normal.