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FNUS51 KRNK 161744
FWFRNK
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for SW VA...SE WV and NW NC
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
144 PM EDT Fri Oct 16 2026
.DISCUSSION...
A cold front passing across the lower Mid-Atlantic this evening
will trigger a broken line of showers and a few thunderstorms.
Winds this afternoon will gust 15 mph to 25 mph from the
southwest ahead of the front, and will shift from the north- west
up to 35 mph after frontal passage. Gusty northwest winds are
expected to continue for most of the day Saturday. Rain showers
will continue through sunrise Saturday before coming to an end in
the mountains, lingering until early afternoon in the Piedmont.
Rainfall amounts will be up to a quarter of a inch in the
mountains, and a quarter to a half an inch in the Piedmont.
Temperatures plummet Saturday night into Sunday morning, with many
areas in the mountains falling to freezing or a few degrees below,
and a Freeze Watch is in effect for the westernmost mountain
counties.
Increasing chances for scattered rain showers in the Piedmont for
early next week, but dry weather should return for most.
Temperatures moderate towards normal by the middle of the week.
VAZ018-170815-
Craig-
Including the city of New Castle
144 PM EDT Fri Oct 16 2026
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Clear Clear
Precip Type Showers Showers None None
Chance Precip (%) 90 80 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 42 53 33 58
Max/Min RH % 98 49 70 32
Wind 20ft/early(mph) NW 10 G26 N 7 G24 N 6 G19 NE 4 G17
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NW 8 G26 N 7 G20 N 3 NE 4
Precip Amount 0.09 0.07 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 2 2
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 11 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 4640 3250
Transport Wnd (mph) N 23 NE 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 106720 39000
Dispersion Excellent Fair
Max ADI Early 27 Fair 62 Good 63 Good 41 Gen Good
Max ADI Late 35 Fair 90 Good 3 Very Poor 44 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 4 5 3 3
Max LVORI Late 4 3 3 1
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 47 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. North winds
5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. North winds
5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
60 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation below normal.