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FNUS51 KRNK 211800
FWFRNK

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for SW VA...SE WV and NW NC
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
200 PM EDT Thu May 21 2026

.DISCUSSION...

Arrival and passage of a cold front is currently leading to shower
and thunderstorm development across the area this afternoon. These
showers and thunderstorms look to continue through the remainder
of the afternoon and evening today before thunderstorm activity
looks to dissipate tonight. Thunderstorm chances decrease after 
today, but showers remain possible through the end of the weekend 
and into early next week.

Fire concerns remain low through next week given the daily rain
chances.

&&

VAZ018-220815-
Craig-
Including the city of New Castle
200 PM EDT Thu May 21 2026

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat          

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Showers      
Chance Precip (%)     100          100          90           100          
Chance of Thunder (%) 50           20           20           0            
Min/Max Temp          54           62           49           64           
Max/Min RH %          99           85           100          86           
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NE  3        Lgt/Var      E  4 G17     Lgt/Var      
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   Lgt/Var      E  3         E  3 G17     Lgt/Var      
Precip Amount         0.44         0.05         0.07         0.09         
Precip Duration       11           10           8            9            
Precip Begin          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 1570                      1240         
Transport Wnd (mph)                E 13                      E  5         
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 20410                     6200         
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Poor                      
Max ADI Early         19 Gen Poor  23 Fair      21 Fair      9 Poor       
Max ADI Late          6 Very Poor  26 Fair      6 Very Poor  11 Poor      
Max LVORI Early       5            7            7            9            
Max LVORI Late        6            5            8            8            

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 50s. Southeast winds around 5 mph. 
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 70 percent.
South winds around 5 mph. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and a
slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. South
winds around 5 mph. 
.MONDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs around 80.
Minimum RH 71 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and a
slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Southwest
winds around 5 mph. 
.TUESDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs around
80. Minimum RH 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 60s. Southwest winds around 5 mph. 
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 64 percent. Northwest
winds around 5 mph. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and a
slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Northwest
winds around 5 mph. 
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 57 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation near normal.