FNUS51 KRNK 091916
FWFRNK

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for SW VA...SE WV and NW NC
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
216 PM EST Sun Nov 9 2025

.DISCUSSION...

Warm temperatures today. Colder than normal temperatures 
Monday and Tuesday. 

A strong cold front will cross the mountains during the
afternoon and evening, bringing showers and a wind shift.
Winds today will be from a southerly direction, then shift
to the west and northwest with the passage of the front this 
evening. Behind the front, temperatures will turn drastically 
colder for tonight and Monday in addition to blustery northwest 
winds and mountain snow showers. Snow flurries may drift
across the Blue Ridge and into the Piedmont Monday and 
Monday night. This will be some of the coldest air so far 
this season. Widespread temperatures in the 20s are expected
by Monday night with some areas dipping into the teens.
Exposed water pumps will freeze if not properly drained.

Enhanced fire danger concerns may return for the latter half of 
next week.

After the big cool down on Monday/Tuesday, conditions begin to 
moderate in terms of temperatures through the end of the work week. 
This will be occurring while we maintain some element of a westerly, 
eventually northwesterly, wind which will frequently have daytime 
gusts close to 20 to 30 mph in the mountains and 15 mph to 20 mph 
across the Piedmont. Friday will be the day with the weakest winds. 
Lowering daily minimum RH values, and subsidence in the east, thanks 
to the wind orientation, will help for drying of fuels. These same 
fuels are the ones which received generally less then one-quarter of 
an inch Friday night, and less than one-tenth of an inch last night. 
For tonight into Monday are expecting little to no precipitation. We 
are still too early for high confidence in an enhanced fire danger 
scenario, but with little to no additional precipitation after last 
night's minimal amounts, its potential continues to increase, and we 
will continue monitoring.

VAZ023-100930-
Botetourt-
Including the city of Fincastle
216 PM EST Sun Nov 9 2025

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue          

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Pcldy        Mclear       
Precip Type           None         None         Snow Showers None         
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            20           0            
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0            
Min/Max Temp          33           45           24           46           
Max/Min RH %          70           39           62           30           
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NW 10 G26    NW 10 G25    NW 11 G28    W 12 G30     
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NW 10 G26    NW 11 G23    NW 11 G30    W 10 G25     
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
Precip Duration                                 1                         
Precip Begin                                    6 PM                      
Precip End                                      1 AM                      
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 5620                      4920         
Transport Wnd (mph)                NW 18                     W 23         
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 101160                    113160       
Dispersion            Excellent                 Excellent                 
Max ADI Early         37 Fair      75 Good      35 Fair      82 Good      
Max ADI Late          34 Fair      71 Good      44 Gen Good  82 Good      
Max LVORI Early       2            3            2            1            
Max LVORI Late        3            1            2            1            

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the
upper 50s. Minimum RH 37 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph. 
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the
mid 50s. Minimum RH 33 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph. 
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the lower
60s. Minimum RH 30 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. 
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 40. Highs in the lower
60s. Minimum RH 51 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. 
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of rain. Lows in the
lower 40s. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation near normal.