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FNUS51 KRNK 152328
FWFRNK
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for SW VA...SE WV and NW NC
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
728 PM EDT Fri May 15 2026
.DISCUSSION...
Dry conditions look to remain across the region through early
next week. Minimum RH values look to remain in the 30-40 percent
range through Tuesday of next week, before humidity increases
areawide with increasing precipitation chances in large part to
an approaching cold front from the west. The front looks to bring
the region's next chance for a widespread wetting rainfall, with
only isolated showers and thunderstorms possible across mountain
locations through the weekend. While RH values look to be low,
winds will similarly remain low, which should keep any fire
weather concerns low at this time.
Temperatures warm over the weekend into next week with some
record heat possible Monday and Tuesday. Overall, fire weather
concerns remain low for much of the area at this time, but will
continue to be monitored.
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VAZ024-160815-
Rockbridge-
Including the cities of Lexington and Buena Vista
728 PM EDT Fri May 15 2026
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Pcldy Mclear
Precip Type Sprinkles None None None
Chance Precip (%) 10 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 49 83 57 88
Max/Min RH % 73 37 86 37
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SW 3 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var SW 6 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 0
Precip Begin 8 PM
Precip End 10 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 5730 6410
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 16 SW 7
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 91680 44870
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
Max ADI Early 35 Fair 20 Gen Poor 43 Gen Good 31 Fair
Max ADI Late 1 Very Poor 98 Good 3 Very Poor 53 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 3 4 3 5
Max LVORI Late 3 1 5 1
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 60s. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and a
slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Northwest
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Cooler. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
61 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 50s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.