Fire Weather Forecast - Patrick County, VA

FNUS51 KRNK 160639
FWFRNK

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for SW VA...SE WV and NW NC
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
239 AM EDT Thu Apr 16 2026

.DISCUSSION...

...Fire Danger Statement in effect through 8 PM for the VA 
Highlands, VA Piedmont, and all of NW NC...

Very warm temperatures for mid April and drought conditions
over much of the area will continue to keep fuels dry 
through the weekend. We may see some light showers
tonight into Friday morning, but amounts will be limited to a few
hundredths.

Today, Friday, and even Saturday we will see minimum RH values 
generally in the 25 to 35 percent range, with the Piedmont of VA 
and NW NC seeing the lowest values. 

WSW winds between 5 and 10 mph with gusts as high as 20 mph today
will veer NW Friday with similar speeds and gusts. By Saturday,
winds turn back around to the SW with higher gusts ahead of an
approaching front. Saturday will still be a day to watch for fire
concerns due to the increased winds and likely late arrival of 
the front. The Piedmont would be of most concern. 

The front moves through Saturday night into early Sunday morning
with a chance for measurable rainfall, mainly for the mountains.
The speed and orientation of the front will also limit rainfall 
with most expected to receive less than a tenth of an inch.

We cool down back to normal behind the front early next
week with a very dry airmass. Then we warm up again toward 
midweek.

These aforementioned conditions will make fire containment 
increasingly difficult throughout the rest of this week. 

&&

VAZ032-162030-
Patrick-
Including the city of Stuart
239 AM EDT Thu Apr 16 2026

                      Today        Tonight      Fri          

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Mclear       
Precip Type           None         Showers      Showers      
Chance Precip (%)     0            30           40           
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            
Max/Min Temp          87           59           85           
Min/Max RH %          27           81           27           
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      W  4         NW  3 G17    
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   SW  5 G17    W  3         NW  4        
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         
Precip Duration                    1            0            
Precip Begin                       11 PM        Continuing   
Precip End                         Continuing   8 AM         
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    8140                      7520         
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW 16                     NW 14        
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    130240                    105280       
Dispersion                         Poor                      
Max ADI Early         52 Gen Good  106 Very Good116 Very Good
Max ADI Late          134 Very Good6 Very Poor  179 Very Good
Max LVORI Early       3            3            4            
Max LVORI Late        1            4            1            

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Northwest
winds around 5 mph. 
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a slight chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 31 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and a
slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. West winds
10 to 15 mph. 
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Much cooler.
Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 32 percent. Northwest winds
15 to 20 mph. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the upper 30s.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph. 
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 20 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 30s. North winds 5 to
10 mph. 
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 24 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Not as cool. Lows in the upper
40s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. 
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
28 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal.  Precipitation near normal.