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FWFRNK

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for SW VA...SE WV and NW NC
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
329 AM EST Sun Nov 16 2025

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM EST
THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...

A very dry airmass arrives today behind a frontal boundary
moving in from the west. As the front crosses the region, winds
will become increasingly gusty from the northwest. Gusts in
excess of 30 mph will be common late this morning, and these
gusts are expected to continue into the evening hours. The
higher elevations could see gusts exceeding 40mph at times. The
combination of very gusty winds, low RH values dropping into the
teens and 20 percent range, along with above normal temperatures
will result in critical fire danger today. This biggest
uncertainty at the moment is how much rainfall is expected this
morning. Some locations across the mountains have received a
couple tenths, but this has been mainly confined to West
Virginia. Even with some rain this morning, rapid drying is
expected with the combination of a dry airmass and gusty winds. 


Very dry conditions will persist into Monday and with a day of
drying today, Monday could be just as much of a concern as
today. Although winds will be slightly less with gusts into the
20 mph range, min RH expected to fall into the teens late Monday
morning and into Monday afternoon. This will continue fire
weather concerns and additional headlines may be needed to 
address this concern in future forecast updates.

WVZ044-162115-
Monroe-
Including the city of Union
329 AM EST Sun Nov 16 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Mon          

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Clear        Clear        
Precip Type           None         None         None         
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0            
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            
Max/Min Temp          54           27           48           
Min/Max RH %          31           62           29           
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NW 12 G34    NW 11 G31    NW 10 G29    
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   NW 14 G33    NW 10 G29    NW  9 G23    
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         
Precip Duration                                              
Precip Begin                                                 
Precip End                                                   
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    4830                      3510         
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 36                     NW 23        
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    173880                    80730        
Dispersion                         Excellent                 
Max ADI Early         99 Good      23 Fair      85 Good      
Max ADI Late          104 Very Good17 Gen Poor  80 Good      
Max LVORI Early       4            2            2            
Max LVORI Late        1            2            1            

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain. Lows in the upper
20s. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 43 percent. South winds
5 to 10 mph. 
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain likely and a slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the lower 60s.
Minimum RH 79 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. 
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain. Lows around 50.
Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 69 percent. West winds around
5 mph. 
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain. Lows in the upper
40s. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Southwest winds
5 to 10 mph. 
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain. Lows in the upper
40s. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 60 percent. West winds
10 to 15 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation near normal.