Hail, Damaging Winds, and Tornadoes Possible Monday

Severe thunderstorms on Monday will be capable of producing damaging wind gusts, hail, and tornadoes. While the entire region will have a potential, the highest potential will be east of the Blue Ridge. A lesser risk of severe storms will be possible Sunday afternoon and evening for far southwest VA and northwest NC. These storms will be capable of localized damaging winds or an isolated tornado. Read More >

Print This Forecast (Printer-Friendly)

Experimental...Fire Weather Planning Forecast for VA Natl Forests
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE Blacksburg VA
331 AM EDT Sun Mar 15 2026

.DISCUSSION...

Increasing moisture today will bring clouds and onset of
rain by this afternoon mainly along and east of the Blue Ridge.
Min RH values will elevated in the 50s today for most.
A line of heavy downpours with thunderstorms arrives Monday.
Damaging winds may occur especially along and east of the Blue
Ridge. 
 
Strong gusty winds can be expected behind the front
Monday night and Tuesday along with much colder temperatures. 

May start to see more favorable weather for prescribed burns by the
end of the week.

&&

VAZ019-020-023-024-034-035-152000-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST Central Zone-
INCLUDING Warm Springs, James River, Glenwood, and Pedlar
331 AM EDT Sun Mar 15 2026

                      Today        Tonight      Mon          

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Cloudy       
Precip Type           None         Rain         Tstms        
Chance Precip (%)     0            80           100          
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            20           
Max/Min Temp          58           47           60           
Min/Max RH %          49           98           59           
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  Lgt/Var      E  5 G23     S  9 G32     
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   SE  5 G21    S  6 G24     SW 11 G30    
Precip Amount         0.00         0.31         0.58         
Precip Duration                    6            8            
Precip Begin                       6 PM         Continuing   
Precip End                         Continuing   Continuing   
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)    3530                      3380         
Transport Wnd (mph)   E  8                      NW 30        
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    28240                     101400       
Dispersion                         Fair                      
Max ADI Early         15 Gen Poor  16 Gen Poor  32 Fair      
Max ADI Late          21 Fair      14 Gen Poor  72 Good      
Max LVORI Early       3            6            5            
Max LVORI Late        3            7            4            

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Windy. Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain and snow
showers. Lows in the lower 20s. Highs in the lower 30s. Minimum
RH 34 percent. West winds 20 to 30 mph. 
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 18. Highs around 40.
Minimum RH 30 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph. 
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Warmer. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs
in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 42 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph. 
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the lower
60s. Minimum RH 43 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. 
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs around
60. Minimum RH 39 percent. West winds 15 to 20 mph. 

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal.  Precipitation below normal.

$$

Radar