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Experimental...Fire Weather Planning Forecast for VA Natl Forests
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE Blacksburg VA
400 PM EDT Tue Jul 21 2026
.DISCUSSION...
Widespread showers and thunderstorms continue through Wednesday as
a cold front slowly sinks south through the region. There will
continue to be quite a bit of lightning through Thursday. A drier
air mass tries to build into SE WV and parts of central VA
Thursday, while moist air remains elsewhere. Additional chances
for wetting rain are expected in these more humid locations
Thursday and Friday. More widespread showers and storms are
forecast for the weekend. Overall, there are only low fire
weather concerns at this time given the wetting rains expected.
VAZ007-009-010-012-015-016-220800-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST South Zone-
INCLUDING Mt Rogers and Wythe
400 PM EDT Tue Jul 21 2026
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 80 70 40 50
Chance of Thunder (%) 50 50 40 20
Min/Max Temp 63 77 57 73
Max/Min RH % 100 71 99 72
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 8 G21 W 5 G19 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 7 G22 W 5 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.69 0.54 0.05 0.02
Precip Duration 8 6 1 1
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing 7 AM
Precip End Continuing Continuing 2 AM Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 3250 3610
Transport Wnd (mph) W 12 S 5
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 39000 18050
Dispersion Good Very Poor
Max ADI Early 41 Gen Good 30 Fair 15 Gen Poor 21 Fair
Max ADI Late 7 Poor 35 Fair 4 Very Poor 22 Fair
Max LVORI Early 5 7 7 7
Max LVORI Late 7 4 7 4
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 50s. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 80 percent. Southeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
89 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
69 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
66 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
63 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$