
Severe thunderstorms on Monday will be capable of producing damaging wind gusts, hail, and tornadoes. While the entire region will have a potential, the highest potential will be east of the Blue Ridge. A lesser risk of severe storms is for this evening over portions of southwest VA and northwest NC. These storms will may be capable of producing localized damaging winds or an isolated tornado. Read More >
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EXPERIMENTAL...FIRE WEATHER POINT FORECAST MATRICES
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE Blacksburg VA
402 PM EDT Sun Mar 15 2026
NCZ003-160800-
RAWS 310301
36.48N 80.86W Elev. 1300 ft
402 PM EDT Sun Mar 15 2026
Date 03/15/26 Mon 03/16/26 Tue 03/17/26 Wed
UTC 3hrly 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12
EDT 3hrly 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08
MIN/MAX TEMP 58 61 23 40 20
TEMP 64 62 59 60 60 59 60 60 49 39 32 28 25 23 31 38 39 35 27 24 21 23
DEWPT 50 55 57 58 58 57 59 55 43 28 19 15 13 11 13 11 9 8 9 10 10 10
MIN/MAX RH 100 63 82 29 61
RH 60 78 93 93 93 93 96 84 80 64 58 58 60 59 47 32 28 32 46 54 62 57
WIND DIR SE E SE S S S S W NW NW NW NW NW W W W W NW NW N NW N
WIND SPD 6 4 5 6 8 10 11 10 10 10 10 8 6 5 9 10 8 2 2 1 1 0
WIND GUST 18 17 19 25 27 28 28 27 27 33 33 27 24 19 21 21 20 12
CLOUDS OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV B1 SC SC SC FW FW FW SC FW SC SC SC SC
CLOUDS(%) 92100100100100 92 99 92 96 59 35 32 35 22 19 19 29 22 31 49 46 47
VSBY 9 6 3 4 9 9 6 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
POP 12HR 70 90 20 5 0
RAIN SHWRS IS NM SC SC SC SC O O NM IS
TSTMS IS IS SC IS
MIX HGT 4 <1 1 1 3 2 3 4 2 3 5 4 4 4 5 7 7 2
T WIND DIR SE SE SE S S S S SW NW NW NW NW NW NW W W W W
T WIND SPD 11 9 11 12 16 17 18 10 24 23 36 34 25 18 18 17 19 13
DISPERSION VP PR PR PR FR FR PR PR VP VP VP VP
ADI 34 8 10 11 22 35 43 28 52 31 25 23 11 82 76 83146 6
MAX LVORI 3 4 5 6 5 4 4 3 3 1 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 2
STABILITY D D D D D D D D D D E E F B C C B G
CEILING 400 200 100 0 None None None None None
STA PRES 27.94 27.79 27.67 27.63 27.87 28.02 28.15 28.18
Date 03/18Thu 03/19/26Fri 03/20/26Sat 03/21/26Sun 03/22/26
UTC 6hrly 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00
EDT 6hrly 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20
MAX/MIN TEMP 44 26 58 37 68 44 73 45 72
TEMP 40 40 31 29 56 52 43 39 65 59 48 47 69 63 50 46 67 62
DEWPT 14 20 22 24 33 36 36 35 40 41 40 40 45 42 39 37 39 40
RH 34 44 69 81 42 54 76 85 40 51 74 76 42 46 66 71 36 44
WIND SPD <15 <15 <15 <15 <15 <15 <15 <15 <15
AVG CLOUDS SC SC SC B1 B1 SC SC SC SC SC B1 B1 B1 SC SC SC SC SC
POP 12HR 0 5 5 5 5 10 5 5 10
$$
This product is for planning and review purposes only and is not
to be substituted for an official fire weather spot forecast. The
data displayed are calculated from a 2.5 by 2.5 km digital
database and only approximates weather conditions in highly
varying terrain. Please relay any comments you have to the NWS via
email at rnk.webmaster@noaa.gov.
Below is a weather element key for this product.
(Note...winds do not reflect local terrain effects.)
DAY 1 THROUGH 3...
MAX/MIN TEMP OR MIN/MAX TEMP(F).....Maximum/Minimum air temperature
TEMP(F).............................Air temperature
DEWPT(F)............................Dew point temperature
MIN/MAX RH OR MAX/MIN RH(%).........Maximum/Minimum humdity
RH(%)...............................Relative humidity
WIND DIR(8 POINT COMPASS)...........Wind direction
WIND SPD(MPH).......................Wind speed
CLOUDS(CATEGORY)....................Cloud cover category
EXAMPLE: CL = CLEAR; FW = FEW; SC = Scattered; BK = Broken; OV = Overcast
CLOUDS(%)...........................Cloud cover as a percentage
VSBY................................Visibility value in statute miles
POP 12HR(%).........................Probability for accumulating precipitation
WEATHER...
TYPE...
RAIN...........Rain
RAIN SHWRS.....Rain showers
TSTMS..........Thunderstorms
DRIZZLE........Drizzle
SNOW...........Snow
SNOWSHWRS......Snow showers
SLEET..........Sleet
FRZG RAIN......Freezing rain
FRZG DRZL......Freezing drizzle
COVERAGE...
IS.............Isolated
SC.............Scattered
NM.............Numerous
O..............Occasional
S..............Slight chance
C..............Chance
L..............Likely
WD.............Widespread
D..............Definite
AR.............Areas
PA.............Patchy
MIX HGT(THOUSANDS OF FT AGL)........Mixing height
Example: 6 = 6000 feet; 12 = 12000 feet; <1 = Less than 1000 foot
t WIND DIR(8 POINT COMPASS).........Transport Wind direction
T WIND SPD(MPH).....................Transport Wind speed
DISPERSION(CATEGORY)................Smoke Dispersion category
Values: vp =Very Poor;PR = Poor; FR = Fair; GD = Good;
ADI (INDEX).........................Atmospheric Dispersion Index
MAX LVORI (INDEX)...................Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index
STABILITY (CATEGORY)................Pasquill Turner Stability
CEILING (FT)........................Ceiling
STA PRES (INCHES MERCURY)...........Station pressure
Day 4 Through 7...
MAX/MIN TEMP OR MIN/MAX TEMP(F).....Maximum/Minimum air temperature
TEMP(F).............................Air temperature
DEWPT(F)............................Dew Point temperature
RH(%)...............................Relative Humidity
WIND SPD(MPH).......................Wind Speed
Example: <15 = less than 15 MPH; 15> = 15 MPH or greater
AVE CLOUDS(CATEGORY)................Average Cloud Cover Category
POP 12HR(%).........................Probability for accumulating precipitation
WEATHER.............................See Day 1 through 3 weather descriptions