National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Hail, Damaging Winds, and Tornadoes Possible Monday

Severe thunderstorms on Monday will be capable of producing damaging wind gusts, hail, and tornadoes. While the entire region will have a potential, the highest potential will be east of the Blue Ridge. A lesser risk of severe storms is for this evening over portions of southwest VA and northwest NC. These storms will may be capable of producing localized damaging winds or an isolated tornado. Read More >

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EXPERIMENTAL...FIRE WEATHER POINT FORECAST MATRICES
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE Blacksburg VA
802 PM EDT Sun Mar 15 2026

NCZ006-160800-
RAWS 310801
36.37N  79.29W Elev. 580 ft
802 PM EDT Sun Mar 15 2026

Date           03/15/26      Mon 03/16/26            Tue 03/17/26            Wed
UTC 3hrly     21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12
EDT 3hrly     17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08

MIN/MAX TEMP                 61          71          29          47          24
TEMP                62 62 63 64 69 71 65 51 41 35 31 29 37 44 46 40 32 27 25 26
DEWPT               60 61 62 61 62 60 57 43 29 21 17 16 16 15 12 10 11 11 11 12
MIN/MAX RH                   97          69          73          25          57
RH                  93 97 97 90 78 68 75 74 62 56 56 58 42 30 25 28 41 50 55 55
WIND DIR             S  S  S  S  S  S SW  W  W  W  W  W  W  W  W NW NW  N  N NE
WIND SPD             6  8 10 10 13 16 17 12 10  8  6  5  9 10 10  4  2  2  1  1
WIND GUST           17 19 21 23 31 33 34 27 25 21 17       21 20               
CLOUDS              OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV B1 SC SC FW FW FW FW FW FW B1 B1 SC
CLOUDS(%)           88 98100 95 88 94 93 96 55 31 29 24  6 20 13  9 10 53 51 29
VSBY                 7  7  6  6  7  3  3  7 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
POP 12HR                     70         100          30           0           0
RAIN SHWRS          SC IS SC NM SC  O NM SC IS                                 
TSTMS                        IS SC  O NM                                       
MIX HGT             <1  1  2  2  3  4  4  2  2  4  3  3  5  7  8 <1            
T WIND DIR           S  S  S  S  S  S  S  W  W NW NW NW  W  W  W  W            
T WIND SPD          12 18 18 19 29 44 44 24 33 29 24 18 16 14 17  9            
DISPERSION          PR PR FR             FR FR PR PR             VP VP VP VP   
ADI                  8 16 21 39 75128125 32 37 20 11 69 67 72 87  4            
MAX LVORI            5  5  5  4  3  3  3  3  1  2  2  1  1  1  1  2            
STABILITY            E  D  D  D  D  D  D  D  D  E  F  B  C  C  C  F            
CEILING               500   300  1000  2300  2300  None  None  None  None      
STA PRES            29.25 29.09 29.00 28.81 29.16 29.35 29.48 29.50            


Date           03/18Thu 03/19/26Fri 03/20/26Sat 03/21/26Sun 03/22/26
UTC 6hrly     18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00
EDT 6hrly     14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20

MAX/MIN TEMP       46      27      61      39      67      46      73      47      73
TEMP          44 43 33 31 58 54 45 40 64 60 50 48 70 66 53 48 68 64
DEWPT         12 18 20 22 30 34 35 35 37 39 39 41 44 41 39 38 37 39
RH            27 36 58 69 34 46 68 82 37 46 66 77 39 40 59 68 32 40
WIND SPD          <15     <15     <15     <15     <15     <15     <15     <15     <15
AVG CLOUDS    SC SC SC B1 SC SC B1 SC SC SC B1 B1 B1 B1 SC SC SC SC
POP 12HR            0       0       5       5       5      10       5       5      10

$$


This product is for planning and review purposes only and is not
to be substituted for an official fire weather spot forecast. The
data displayed are calculated from a 2.5 by 2.5 km digital
database and only approximates weather conditions in highly
varying terrain. Please relay any comments you have to the NWS via
email at rnk.webmaster@noaa.gov.

Below is a weather element key for this product.
(Note...winds do not reflect local terrain effects.)

DAY 1 THROUGH 3...
MAX/MIN TEMP OR MIN/MAX TEMP(F).....Maximum/Minimum air temperature
TEMP(F).............................Air temperature
DEWPT(F)............................Dew point temperature
MIN/MAX RH OR MAX/MIN RH(%).........Maximum/Minimum humdity
RH(%)...............................Relative humidity
WIND DIR(8 POINT COMPASS)...........Wind direction
WIND SPD(MPH).......................Wind speed
CLOUDS(CATEGORY)....................Cloud cover category
     EXAMPLE: CL = CLEAR; FW = FEW; SC = Scattered; BK = Broken; OV = Overcast
CLOUDS(%)...........................Cloud cover as a percentage
VSBY................................Visibility value in statute miles
POP 12HR(%).........................Probability for accumulating precipitation
WEATHER...
   TYPE...
       RAIN...........Rain
       RAIN SHWRS.....Rain showers
       TSTMS..........Thunderstorms
       DRIZZLE........Drizzle
       SNOW...........Snow
       SNOWSHWRS......Snow showers
       SLEET..........Sleet
       FRZG RAIN......Freezing rain
       FRZG DRZL......Freezing drizzle
   COVERAGE...
       IS.............Isolated
       SC.............Scattered
       NM.............Numerous
       O..............Occasional
       S..............Slight chance
       C..............Chance
       L..............Likely
       WD.............Widespread
       D..............Definite
       AR.............Areas
       PA.............Patchy

MIX HGT(THOUSANDS OF FT AGL)........Mixing height
     Example: 6 = 6000 feet; 12 = 12000 feet; <1 = Less than 1000 foot
t WIND DIR(8 POINT COMPASS).........Transport Wind direction
T WIND SPD(MPH).....................Transport Wind speed
DISPERSION(CATEGORY)................Smoke Dispersion category
     Values: vp =Very Poor;PR = Poor; FR = Fair; GD = Good;
ADI (INDEX).........................Atmospheric Dispersion Index
MAX LVORI (INDEX)...................Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index
STABILITY (CATEGORY)................Pasquill Turner Stability
CEILING (FT)........................Ceiling
STA PRES (INCHES MERCURY)...........Station pressure

Day 4 Through 7...
MAX/MIN TEMP OR MIN/MAX TEMP(F).....Maximum/Minimum air temperature
TEMP(F).............................Air temperature
DEWPT(F)............................Dew Point temperature
RH(%)...............................Relative Humidity
WIND SPD(MPH).......................Wind Speed
     Example: <15 = less than 15 MPH; 15> = 15 MPH or greater
AVE CLOUDS(CATEGORY)................Average Cloud Cover Category
POP 12HR(%).........................Probability for accumulating precipitation
WEATHER.............................See Day 1 through 3 weather descriptions