
Severe thunderstorms on Monday will be capable of producing damaging wind gusts, hail, and tornadoes. While the entire region will have a potential, the highest potential will be east of the Blue Ridge. A lesser risk of severe storms is for this evening over portions of southwest VA and northwest NC. These storms will may be capable of producing localized damaging winds or an isolated tornado. Read More >
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EXPERIMENTAL...FIRE WEATHER POINT FORECAST MATRICES
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE Blacksburg VA
802 PM EDT Sun Mar 15 2026
NCZ006-160800-
RAWS 310801
36.37N 79.29W Elev. 580 ft
802 PM EDT Sun Mar 15 2026
Date 03/15/26 Mon 03/16/26 Tue 03/17/26 Wed
UTC 3hrly 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12
EDT 3hrly 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08
MIN/MAX TEMP 61 71 29 47 24
TEMP 62 62 63 64 69 71 65 51 41 35 31 29 37 44 46 40 32 27 25 26
DEWPT 60 61 62 61 62 60 57 43 29 21 17 16 16 15 12 10 11 11 11 12
MIN/MAX RH 97 69 73 25 57
RH 93 97 97 90 78 68 75 74 62 56 56 58 42 30 25 28 41 50 55 55
WIND DIR S S S S S S SW W W W W W W W W NW NW N N NE
WIND SPD 6 8 10 10 13 16 17 12 10 8 6 5 9 10 10 4 2 2 1 1
WIND GUST 17 19 21 23 31 33 34 27 25 21 17 21 20
CLOUDS OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV B1 SC SC FW FW FW FW FW FW B1 B1 SC
CLOUDS(%) 88 98100 95 88 94 93 96 55 31 29 24 6 20 13 9 10 53 51 29
VSBY 7 7 6 6 7 3 3 7 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
POP 12HR 70 100 30 0 0
RAIN SHWRS SC IS SC NM SC O NM SC IS
TSTMS IS SC O NM
MIX HGT <1 1 2 2 3 4 4 2 2 4 3 3 5 7 8 <1
T WIND DIR S S S S S S S W W NW NW NW W W W W
T WIND SPD 12 18 18 19 29 44 44 24 33 29 24 18 16 14 17 9
DISPERSION PR PR FR FR FR PR PR VP VP VP VP
ADI 8 16 21 39 75128125 32 37 20 11 69 67 72 87 4
MAX LVORI 5 5 5 4 3 3 3 3 1 2 2 1 1 1 1 2
STABILITY E D D D D D D D D E F B C C C F
CEILING 500 300 1000 2300 2300 None None None None
STA PRES 29.25 29.09 29.00 28.81 29.16 29.35 29.48 29.50
Date 03/18Thu 03/19/26Fri 03/20/26Sat 03/21/26Sun 03/22/26
UTC 6hrly 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00
EDT 6hrly 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20
MAX/MIN TEMP 46 27 61 39 67 46 73 47 73
TEMP 44 43 33 31 58 54 45 40 64 60 50 48 70 66 53 48 68 64
DEWPT 12 18 20 22 30 34 35 35 37 39 39 41 44 41 39 38 37 39
RH 27 36 58 69 34 46 68 82 37 46 66 77 39 40 59 68 32 40
WIND SPD <15 <15 <15 <15 <15 <15 <15 <15 <15
AVG CLOUDS SC SC SC B1 SC SC B1 SC SC SC B1 B1 B1 B1 SC SC SC SC
POP 12HR 0 0 5 5 5 10 5 5 10
$$
This product is for planning and review purposes only and is not
to be substituted for an official fire weather spot forecast. The
data displayed are calculated from a 2.5 by 2.5 km digital
database and only approximates weather conditions in highly
varying terrain. Please relay any comments you have to the NWS via
email at rnk.webmaster@noaa.gov.
Below is a weather element key for this product.
(Note...winds do not reflect local terrain effects.)
DAY 1 THROUGH 3...
MAX/MIN TEMP OR MIN/MAX TEMP(F).....Maximum/Minimum air temperature
TEMP(F).............................Air temperature
DEWPT(F)............................Dew point temperature
MIN/MAX RH OR MAX/MIN RH(%).........Maximum/Minimum humdity
RH(%)...............................Relative humidity
WIND DIR(8 POINT COMPASS)...........Wind direction
WIND SPD(MPH).......................Wind speed
CLOUDS(CATEGORY)....................Cloud cover category
EXAMPLE: CL = CLEAR; FW = FEW; SC = Scattered; BK = Broken; OV = Overcast
CLOUDS(%)...........................Cloud cover as a percentage
VSBY................................Visibility value in statute miles
POP 12HR(%).........................Probability for accumulating precipitation
WEATHER...
TYPE...
RAIN...........Rain
RAIN SHWRS.....Rain showers
TSTMS..........Thunderstorms
DRIZZLE........Drizzle
SNOW...........Snow
SNOWSHWRS......Snow showers
SLEET..........Sleet
FRZG RAIN......Freezing rain
FRZG DRZL......Freezing drizzle
COVERAGE...
IS.............Isolated
SC.............Scattered
NM.............Numerous
O..............Occasional
S..............Slight chance
C..............Chance
L..............Likely
WD.............Widespread
D..............Definite
AR.............Areas
PA.............Patchy
MIX HGT(THOUSANDS OF FT AGL)........Mixing height
Example: 6 = 6000 feet; 12 = 12000 feet; <1 = Less than 1000 foot
t WIND DIR(8 POINT COMPASS).........Transport Wind direction
T WIND SPD(MPH).....................Transport Wind speed
DISPERSION(CATEGORY)................Smoke Dispersion category
Values: vp =Very Poor;PR = Poor; FR = Fair; GD = Good;
ADI (INDEX).........................Atmospheric Dispersion Index
MAX LVORI (INDEX)...................Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index
STABILITY (CATEGORY)................Pasquill Turner Stability
CEILING (FT)........................Ceiling
STA PRES (INCHES MERCURY)...........Station pressure
Day 4 Through 7...
MAX/MIN TEMP OR MIN/MAX TEMP(F).....Maximum/Minimum air temperature
TEMP(F).............................Air temperature
DEWPT(F)............................Dew Point temperature
RH(%)...............................Relative Humidity
WIND SPD(MPH).......................Wind Speed
Example: <15 = less than 15 MPH; 15> = 15 MPH or greater
AVE CLOUDS(CATEGORY)................Average Cloud Cover Category
POP 12HR(%).........................Probability for accumulating precipitation
WEATHER.............................See Day 1 through 3 weather descriptions