National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Hail, Damaging Winds, and Tornadoes Possible Monday

Severe thunderstorms on Monday will be capable of producing damaging wind gusts, hail, and tornadoes. While the entire region will have a potential, the highest potential will be east of the Blue Ridge. A lesser risk of severe storms will be possible Sunday afternoon and evening for far southwest VA and northwest NC. These storms will be capable of localized damaging winds or an isolated tornado. Read More >

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EXPERIMENTAL...FIRE WEATHER POINT FORECAST MATRICES
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE Blacksburg VA
432 AM EDT Sun Mar 15 2026

VAZ024-152000-
RAWS 441631
37.63N  79.51W Elev. 865 ft
432 AM EDT Sun Mar 15 2026

Date             Sun 03/15/26            Mon 03/16/26            Tue 03/17/26
UTC 3hrly     09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00
EDT 3hrly     05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20

MAX/MIN TEMP                 60          53          62          26          39
TEMP          44 42 50 55 57 57 56 57 58 59 61 59 48 45 36 30 28 27 32 37 37 34
DEWPT         30 30 35 41 45 49 53 55 57 58 60 57 42 32 22 15 13 12 13 11  8  8
MAX/MIN RH                   53          96          58          84          30
RH            57 62 56 59 64 75 90 93 96 96 97 93 80 60 56 53 53 53 45 33 29 33
WIND DIR       E  E  E SE SE  E SE SE  S  S  S SW  W  W  W  W  W  W  W  W  W  W
WIND SPD       1  1  3  5  4  2  2  4  5  9 11 16 14 17 13 11 10  9 12 13 12  6
WIND GUST                                23 26    27 32 32 27 26 24 26 26 24 18
CLOUDS        FW B1 B1 B2 B2 OV B2 OV OV B2 OV OV OV B2 B2 SC SC FW SC SC FW FW
CLOUDS(%)     19 56 67 70 76100 85100100 82 93100 99 75 72 32 35 24 42 38 23  8
VSBY          10 10 10 10  9  6  4  3  3 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
POP 12HR                     40          90         100          30           5
RAIN                       S  D  D  C  C                                       
RAIN SHWRS                               SC NM  O NM SC                        
SNOWSHWRS                                            SC                        
TSTMS                                       IS IS                              
Obvis                           PF PF                                          
MIX HGT       <1 <1  2  3  4  2  2  1  3  2  3  3  3  4  5  5  5  4  6  7  7  4
T WIND DIR     E  E  E  E  E NE SE  S  S  S  S  S NW  W  W NW NW  W  W  W  W NW
T WIND SPD     4  4  8  6  6  6  6 11 13 17 12 39 32 37 41 37 29 21 20 24 21 13
DISPERSION    VP             VP VP VP PR             GD FR FR FR             PR
ADI            2  4 20 16 19  8  3 10 19 37 31 96 79 51 56 25 20 82 93 84105  6
MAX LVORI      3  3  2  2  2  4  6  5  5  4  4  4  3  1  1  2  2  1  1  1  1  2
STABILITY      G  C  C  D  D  D  F  D  D  D  D  D  D  D  D  E  E  C  C  D  C  F
CEILING              3400   600   200   400   600  2300 18200  None  None  None
STA PRES            28.66 28.52 28.33 28.16 28.07 28.07 28.27 28.43 28.57 28.61


Date          Wed 03/18/26Thu 03/19/26Fri 03/20/26Sat 03/21/26
UTC 6hrly     06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00
EDT 6hrly     02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20

MIN/MAX TEMP       20      45      27      60      36      67      44      66
TEMP          25 22 42 41 33 30 57 53 41 38 64 60 49 47 62 56
DEWPT         10 12 12 17 20 23 32 37 35 34 40 42 41 39 38 33
RH            52 65 29 37 58 75 38 54 79 85 41 51 74 74 41 42
WIND SPD          <15     <15     <15     <15     <15     <15     <15     <15
AVG CLOUDS    FW SC SC SC B1 B1 SC B1 SC SC SC B1 B1 B1 B1 SC
POP 12HR            0       0       5       5       5      10      20      20
RAIN SHWRS                                        IS IS IS IS

$$


This product is for planning and review purposes only and is not
to be substituted for an official fire weather spot forecast. The
data displayed are calculated from a 2.5 by 2.5 km digital
database and only approximates weather conditions in highly
varying terrain. Please relay any comments you have to the NWS via
email at rnk.webmaster@noaa.gov.

Below is a weather element key for this product.
(Note...winds do not reflect local terrain effects.)

DAY 1 THROUGH 3...
MAX/MIN TEMP OR MIN/MAX TEMP(F).....Maximum/Minimum air temperature
TEMP(F).............................Air temperature
DEWPT(F)............................Dew point temperature
MIN/MAX RH OR MAX/MIN RH(%).........Maximum/Minimum humdity
RH(%)...............................Relative humidity
WIND DIR(8 POINT COMPASS)...........Wind direction
WIND SPD(MPH).......................Wind speed
CLOUDS(CATEGORY)....................Cloud cover category
     EXAMPLE: CL = CLEAR; FW = FEW; SC = Scattered; BK = Broken; OV = Overcast
CLOUDS(%)...........................Cloud cover as a percentage
VSBY................................Visibility value in statute miles
POP 12HR(%).........................Probability for accumulating precipitation
WEATHER...
   TYPE...
       RAIN...........Rain
       RAIN SHWRS.....Rain showers
       TSTMS..........Thunderstorms
       DRIZZLE........Drizzle
       SNOW...........Snow
       SNOWSHWRS......Snow showers
       SLEET..........Sleet
       FRZG RAIN......Freezing rain
       FRZG DRZL......Freezing drizzle
   COVERAGE...
       IS.............Isolated
       SC.............Scattered
       NM.............Numerous
       O..............Occasional
       S..............Slight chance
       C..............Chance
       L..............Likely
       WD.............Widespread
       D..............Definite
       AR.............Areas
       PA.............Patchy

MIX HGT(THOUSANDS OF FT AGL)........Mixing height
     Example: 6 = 6000 feet; 12 = 12000 feet; <1 = Less than 1000 foot
t WIND DIR(8 POINT COMPASS).........Transport Wind direction
T WIND SPD(MPH).....................Transport Wind speed
DISPERSION(CATEGORY)................Smoke Dispersion category
     Values: vp =Very Poor;PR = Poor; FR = Fair; GD = Good;
ADI (INDEX).........................Atmospheric Dispersion Index
MAX LVORI (INDEX)...................Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index
STABILITY (CATEGORY)................Pasquill Turner Stability
CEILING (FT)........................Ceiling
STA PRES (INCHES MERCURY)...........Station pressure

Day 4 Through 7...
MAX/MIN TEMP OR MIN/MAX TEMP(F).....Maximum/Minimum air temperature
TEMP(F).............................Air temperature
DEWPT(F)............................Dew Point temperature
RH(%)...............................Relative Humidity
WIND SPD(MPH).......................Wind Speed
     Example: <15 = less than 15 MPH; 15> = 15 MPH or greater
AVE CLOUDS(CATEGORY)................Average Cloud Cover Category
POP 12HR(%).........................Probability for accumulating precipitation
WEATHER.............................See Day 1 through 3 weather descriptions