National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Hail, Damaging Winds, and Tornadoes Possible Monday

Severe thunderstorms on Monday will be capable of producing damaging wind gusts, hail, and tornadoes. While the entire region will have a potential, the highest potential will be east of the Blue Ridge. A lesser risk of severe storms will be possible Sunday afternoon and evening for far southwest VA and northwest NC. These storms will be capable of localized damaging winds or an isolated tornado. Read More >

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EXPERIMENTAL...FIRE WEATHER POINT FORECAST MATRICES
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE Blacksburg VA
802 PM EDT Sat Mar 14 2026

VAZ024-150800-
RAWS 441631
37.63N  79.51W Elev. 865 ft
802 PM EDT Sat Mar 14 2026

Date           03/14/26      Sun 03/15/26            Mon 03/16/26            Tue
UTC 3hrly     21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12
EDT 3hrly     17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08

MIN/MAX TEMP                 39          58          55          65          26
TEMP                50 46 42 40 49 54 58 57 57 57 57 60 64 61 55 44 37 31 28 26
DEWPT               24 24 28 28 33 39 41 47 50 52 55 56 58 53 44 31 21 15 13 12
MIN/MAX RH                   67          52          92          58          68
RH                  36 42 57 62 54 57 53 69 77 83 93 87 81 75 66 60 52 51 53 55
WIND DIR             E  E NE  E SE SE  E  E  E SE  S  S  S SW  W  W  W  W  W  W
WIND SPD             2  2  2  2  3  5  5  3  3  3  5  6 10 11 12 10 10 10  9  8
WIND GUST                                14 13 13 20 25 28 26 29 32 33 29 26 24
CLOUDS              SC SC FW B1 B2 B2 B2 OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV B2 B1 SC SC SC
CLOUDS(%)           33 26 25 56 74 82 75 92 92 97 95100100 92 92 72 51 35 34 27
VSBY                10 10 10 10 10  9  8  3  2  2  3 10 10 10 10 10            
POP 12HR                      0          40          90         100          30
RAIN SHWRS                            IS  O  O  O  O  O  O  O  O SC            
SNOWSHWRS                                                        SC SC         
TSTMS                                                   IS IS                  
MIX HGT             <1 <1 <1 <1  2  3  4  2  2  2  2  2  3  4  3  3            
T WIND DIR           E  E  E  E SE  E  E  E  E SE  S  S  S  W NW  W            
T WIND SPD           5  6  6  5  9  6  9  4  5 10 13 12 17 19 25 32            
DISPERSION          VP VP VP             VP VP VP PR             FR FR FR PR   
ADI                  3  3  3  4 22 15 25  5  6  5  9 27 42 56 61 43            
MAX LVORI            2  2  3  3  2  2  2  3  4  5  5  4  3  3  1  1            
STABILITY            G  G  G  C  C  D  D  D  D  F  E  D  D  D  D  D            
CEILING              None  None  2600   600   200   400   600  1000  None      
STA PRES            28.69 28.68 28.66 28.53 28.34 28.16 28.08 28.09            


Date           03/17Wed 03/18/26Thu 03/19/26Fri 03/20/26Sat 03/21/26
UTC 6hrly     18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00
EDT 6hrly     14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20

MAX/MIN TEMP       40      20      45      28      61      35      69      43      70
TEMP          38 33 25 23 42 40 33 30 58 53 41 38 66 61 49 45 66 61
DEWPT          9  7 10 13 12 17 20 22 33 36 34 34 41 42 40 41 42 38
RH            29 33 52 65 29 39 58 72 39 52 76 85 40 49 71 86 42 42
WIND SPD          <15     <15     <15     <15     <15     <15     <15     <15     <15
AVG CLOUDS    SC SC FW SC SC SC B1 B1 SC SC SC FW SC B1 SC SC SC SC
POP 12HR            5       0       0       0       0       5      10       5       5

$$


This product is for planning and review purposes only and is not
to be substituted for an official fire weather spot forecast. The
data displayed are calculated from a 2.5 by 2.5 km digital
database and only approximates weather conditions in highly
varying terrain. Please relay any comments you have to the NWS via
email at rnk.webmaster@noaa.gov.

Below is a weather element key for this product.
(Note...winds do not reflect local terrain effects.)

DAY 1 THROUGH 3...
MAX/MIN TEMP OR MIN/MAX TEMP(F).....Maximum/Minimum air temperature
TEMP(F).............................Air temperature
DEWPT(F)............................Dew point temperature
MIN/MAX RH OR MAX/MIN RH(%).........Maximum/Minimum humdity
RH(%)...............................Relative humidity
WIND DIR(8 POINT COMPASS)...........Wind direction
WIND SPD(MPH).......................Wind speed
CLOUDS(CATEGORY)....................Cloud cover category
     EXAMPLE: CL = CLEAR; FW = FEW; SC = Scattered; BK = Broken; OV = Overcast
CLOUDS(%)...........................Cloud cover as a percentage
VSBY................................Visibility value in statute miles
POP 12HR(%).........................Probability for accumulating precipitation
WEATHER...
   TYPE...
       RAIN...........Rain
       RAIN SHWRS.....Rain showers
       TSTMS..........Thunderstorms
       DRIZZLE........Drizzle
       SNOW...........Snow
       SNOWSHWRS......Snow showers
       SLEET..........Sleet
       FRZG RAIN......Freezing rain
       FRZG DRZL......Freezing drizzle
   COVERAGE...
       IS.............Isolated
       SC.............Scattered
       NM.............Numerous
       O..............Occasional
       S..............Slight chance
       C..............Chance
       L..............Likely
       WD.............Widespread
       D..............Definite
       AR.............Areas
       PA.............Patchy

MIX HGT(THOUSANDS OF FT AGL)........Mixing height
     Example: 6 = 6000 feet; 12 = 12000 feet; <1 = Less than 1000 foot
t WIND DIR(8 POINT COMPASS).........Transport Wind direction
T WIND SPD(MPH).....................Transport Wind speed
DISPERSION(CATEGORY)................Smoke Dispersion category
     Values: vp =Very Poor;PR = Poor; FR = Fair; GD = Good;
ADI (INDEX).........................Atmospheric Dispersion Index
MAX LVORI (INDEX)...................Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index
STABILITY (CATEGORY)................Pasquill Turner Stability
CEILING (FT)........................Ceiling
STA PRES (INCHES MERCURY)...........Station pressure

Day 4 Through 7...
MAX/MIN TEMP OR MIN/MAX TEMP(F).....Maximum/Minimum air temperature
TEMP(F).............................Air temperature
DEWPT(F)............................Dew Point temperature
RH(%)...............................Relative Humidity
WIND SPD(MPH).......................Wind Speed
     Example: <15 = less than 15 MPH; 15> = 15 MPH or greater
AVE CLOUDS(CATEGORY)................Average Cloud Cover Category
POP 12HR(%).........................Probability for accumulating precipitation
WEATHER.............................See Day 1 through 3 weather descriptions