National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Hail, Damaging Winds, and Tornadoes Possible Monday

Severe thunderstorms on Monday will be capable of producing damaging wind gusts, hail, and tornadoes. While the entire region will have a potential, the highest potential will be east of the Blue Ridge. A lesser risk of severe storms is for this evening over portions of southwest VA and northwest NC. These storms will may be capable of producing localized damaging winds or an isolated tornado. Read More >

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EXPERIMENTAL...FIRE WEATHER POINT FORECAST MATRICES
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE Blacksburg VA
402 PM EDT Sun Mar 15 2026

VAZ018-160800-
RAWS 444002
37.56N  80.18W Elev. 2702 ft
402 PM EDT Sun Mar 15 2026

Date           03/15/26      Mon 03/16/26            Tue 03/17/26            Wed
UTC 3hrly     21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12
EDT 3hrly     17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08

MIN/MAX TEMP                 55          60          23          35          21
TEMP          58 58 57 56 56 60 60 57 46 35 30 26 24 23 29 34 33 27 24 22 21 22
DEWPT         46 49 52 54 55 56 57 53 39 26 18 13 12 11 13 11  7  5  6  7  6  7
MIN/MAX RH                  100          65          85          33          53
RH            64 72 83 93 96 87 90 86 76 69 60 57 60 59 51 38 33 38 45 52 52 52
WIND DIR      SE SE SE  S  S  S  S  W  W  W  W  W  W  W  W  W  W  W NW  W NW SW
WIND SPD       9  6  6  8  9 10 11 10 13 16 18 18 17 14 14 12 11  8  4  3  2  2
WIND GUST     29 27 27 28 33 35 28 31 36 47 49 47 44 41 39 34 32 28 20 14 12   
CLOUDS        OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV B2 B1 B1 B1 SC SC B1 B1 FW FW B1 SC B1
CLOUDS(%)     89 99 97100 94 89100 96 95 71 57 58 62 44 44 59 52 11 17 54 44 55
VSBY          10  7  3  5  6  9  4 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
POP 12HR                     80         100          30          10           0
FLURRIES                                       SC SC SC SC                     
RAIN SHWRS       SC  O IS SC SC  O  O NM                                       
SNOWSHWRS                                SC IS                                 
TSTMS                           IS                                             
MIX HGT        3 <1  1  2  2  2  3  2  2  3  5  4  4  3  4  6  7  4            
T WIND DIR    SE SE SE SE  S  S  S  W NW NW  W NW NW  W  W  W  W  W            
T WIND SPD    17 12  6 13 12 20 14 17 33 33 44 42 33 25 26 24 24 20            
DISPERSION       PR PR PR PR             GD GD GD GD             PR VP VP VP   
ADI           43  8  5 15 17 40 36 33 70 45 60 57 45 65 77 82 84 14            
MAX LVORI      1  3  5  5  5  4  3  4  3  3  1  1  1  1  1  1  1  2            
STABILITY      D  E  E  D  D  D  D  D  D  D  D  D  D  D  D  D  D  E            
CEILING               600   400   600   200  1900  None  None  None  None      
STA PRES            27.60 27.42 27.33 27.28 27.46 27.62 27.75 27.81            


Date           03/18Thu 03/19/26Fri 03/20/26Sat 03/21/26Sun 03/22/26
UTC 6hrly     18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00
EDT 6hrly     14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20

MAX/MIN TEMP       44      28      57      38      65      46      69      44      67
TEMP          40 37 32 31 54 50 42 39 62 56 49 47 65 58 48 45 62 57
DEWPT         14 18 20 22 34 35 34 34 38 38 39 39 42 38 36 34 35 35
RH            34 46 61 69 46 56 73 82 41 51 68 74 43 47 63 65 36 43
WIND SPD          <15     <15     <15     <15     <15     <15     <15     <15     <15
AVG CLOUDS    SC SC SC B1 B1 B1 B1 SC SC B1 B1 B2 B1 SC SC SC SC SC
POP 12HR            5       5      10      10      10      30      10       5      10
RAIN SHWRS                                  SC IS                  

$$


This product is for planning and review purposes only and is not
to be substituted for an official fire weather spot forecast. The
data displayed are calculated from a 2.5 by 2.5 km digital
database and only approximates weather conditions in highly
varying terrain. Please relay any comments you have to the NWS via
email at rnk.webmaster@noaa.gov.

Below is a weather element key for this product.
(Note...winds do not reflect local terrain effects.)

DAY 1 THROUGH 3...
MAX/MIN TEMP OR MIN/MAX TEMP(F).....Maximum/Minimum air temperature
TEMP(F).............................Air temperature
DEWPT(F)............................Dew point temperature
MIN/MAX RH OR MAX/MIN RH(%).........Maximum/Minimum humdity
RH(%)...............................Relative humidity
WIND DIR(8 POINT COMPASS)...........Wind direction
WIND SPD(MPH).......................Wind speed
CLOUDS(CATEGORY)....................Cloud cover category
     EXAMPLE: CL = CLEAR; FW = FEW; SC = Scattered; BK = Broken; OV = Overcast
CLOUDS(%)...........................Cloud cover as a percentage
VSBY................................Visibility value in statute miles
POP 12HR(%).........................Probability for accumulating precipitation
WEATHER...
   TYPE...
       RAIN...........Rain
       RAIN SHWRS.....Rain showers
       TSTMS..........Thunderstorms
       DRIZZLE........Drizzle
       SNOW...........Snow
       SNOWSHWRS......Snow showers
       SLEET..........Sleet
       FRZG RAIN......Freezing rain
       FRZG DRZL......Freezing drizzle
   COVERAGE...
       IS.............Isolated
       SC.............Scattered
       NM.............Numerous
       O..............Occasional
       S..............Slight chance
       C..............Chance
       L..............Likely
       WD.............Widespread
       D..............Definite
       AR.............Areas
       PA.............Patchy

MIX HGT(THOUSANDS OF FT AGL)........Mixing height
     Example: 6 = 6000 feet; 12 = 12000 feet; <1 = Less than 1000 foot
t WIND DIR(8 POINT COMPASS).........Transport Wind direction
T WIND SPD(MPH).....................Transport Wind speed
DISPERSION(CATEGORY)................Smoke Dispersion category
     Values: vp =Very Poor;PR = Poor; FR = Fair; GD = Good;
ADI (INDEX).........................Atmospheric Dispersion Index
MAX LVORI (INDEX)...................Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index
STABILITY (CATEGORY)................Pasquill Turner Stability
CEILING (FT)........................Ceiling
STA PRES (INCHES MERCURY)...........Station pressure

Day 4 Through 7...
MAX/MIN TEMP OR MIN/MAX TEMP(F).....Maximum/Minimum air temperature
TEMP(F).............................Air temperature
DEWPT(F)............................Dew Point temperature
RH(%)...............................Relative Humidity
WIND SPD(MPH).......................Wind Speed
     Example: <15 = less than 15 MPH; 15> = 15 MPH or greater
AVE CLOUDS(CATEGORY)................Average Cloud Cover Category
POP 12HR(%).........................Probability for accumulating precipitation
WEATHER.............................See Day 1 through 3 weather descriptions