National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Hail, Damaging Winds, and Tornadoes Possible Monday

Severe thunderstorms on Monday will be capable of producing damaging wind gusts, hail, and tornadoes. While the entire region will have a potential, the highest potential will be east of the Blue Ridge. A lesser risk of severe storms will be possible Sunday afternoon and evening for far southwest VA and northwest NC. These storms will be capable of localized damaging winds or an isolated tornado. Read More >

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EXPERIMENTAL...FIRE WEATHER POINT FORECAST MATRICES
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE Blacksburg VA
331 AM EDT Sun Mar 15 2026

WVZ043-152000-
RAWS 465401
37.53N  81.00W Elev. 2725 ft
331 AM EDT Sun Mar 15 2026

Date             Sun 03/15/26            Mon 03/16/26            Tue 03/17/26
UTC 3hrly     09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00
EDT 3hrly     05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20

MAX/MIN TEMP                 61          49          54          18          27
TEMP          46 44 53 59 59 57 55 54 57 53 51 41 35 30 23 20 19 18 21 25 26 25
DEWPT         33 34 39 43 45 47 51 51 53 51 49 39 30 22 16 12 11 11 11  8  5  4
MAX/MIN RH                   52          93          72          84          39
RH            60 68 59 55 60 69 86 90 86 93 93 92 82 72 74 71 70 73 65 48 40 40
WIND DIR      SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  S  S  S SW  W  W  W  W  W  W  W  W  W  W  W
WIND SPD       8  9 11 14 13 10 10 10 11 13 11 12 16 18 16 13 13 11 13 13 12  8
WIND GUST              26 25       21 23 24 25 25 28 28 29 29 28 27 28 27 26 18
CLOUDS        FW SC B1 B2 B1 B1 OV OV B1 OV OV OV OV OV OV B2 B2 OV B2 B1 SC FW
CLOUDS(%)      8 49 56 72 59 69 90 91 62100100 99100 97 91 86 87 90 80 65 34  8
VSBY          10 10 10 10 10 10  9 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
POP 12HR                     10          40         100          40          10
FLURRIES                                                         SC SC         
RAIN                          C  C  S  S                                       
RAIN SHWRS                               NM  O NM SC                           
SNOWSHWRS                                         SC SC SC IS IS               
MIX HGT       <1 <1  2  4  5  2  2  2  3  3  2  2  4  4  4  4  3  4  5  5  6  3
T WIND DIR    SE SE SE  S SE SE SE  S  S  S  S  W  W  W  W  W  W  W  W  W  W  W
T WIND SPD     8  9 24 31 26 17 12 13 14 20 11 25 28 33 37 33 27 21 24 24 20 11
DISPERSION    PR             FR FR FR FR             GD GD FR FR             PR
ADI            5  7 66 89 78 19 14 19 20 49 21 53 78 45 51 45 37 64 76 77 92  8
MAX LVORI      3  3  1  1  1  3  4  5  4  4  5  4  3  3  3  3  3  3  1  1  1  2
STABILITY      E  C  C  D  D  D  D  D  D  D  D  D  D  D  D  D  D  D  D  D  C  E
CEILING             23400   800   700  1000   700   400  1200  1300  1500  None
STA PRES            27.69 27.56 27.40 27.24 27.26 27.29 27.45 27.57 27.69 27.73


Date          Wed 03/18/26Thu 03/19/26Fri 03/20/26Sat 03/21/26
UTC 6hrly     06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00
EDT 6hrly     02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20

MIN/MAX TEMP       15      41      27      55      37      60      43      57
TEMP          19 18 38 37 31 29 52 48 40 38 58 54 48 45 55 50
DEWPT          7  9 13 20 21 23 33 35 36 36 39 41 41 40 37 32
RH            59 67 35 50 66 78 48 60 85 92 49 61 77 82 51 50
WIND SPD          <15     <15     <15     <15     <15     <15     <15     <15
AVG CLOUDS    SC B1 B1 B1 B1 B2 B1 B1 SC B1 B1 B1 B1 B1 B2 B1
POP 12HR            5       5      10      10      10      20      20      30
RAIN SHWRS                                     IS IS IS SC SC

$$


This product is for planning and review purposes only and is not
to be substituted for an official fire weather spot forecast. The
data displayed are calculated from a 2.5 by 2.5 km digital
database and only approximates weather conditions in highly
varying terrain. Please relay any comments you have to the NWS via
email at rnk.webmaster@noaa.gov.

Below is a weather element key for this product.
(Note...winds do not reflect local terrain effects.)

DAY 1 THROUGH 3...
MAX/MIN TEMP OR MIN/MAX TEMP(F).....Maximum/Minimum air temperature
TEMP(F).............................Air temperature
DEWPT(F)............................Dew point temperature
MIN/MAX RH OR MAX/MIN RH(%).........Maximum/Minimum humdity
RH(%)...............................Relative humidity
WIND DIR(8 POINT COMPASS)...........Wind direction
WIND SPD(MPH).......................Wind speed
CLOUDS(CATEGORY)....................Cloud cover category
     EXAMPLE: CL = CLEAR; FW = FEW; SC = Scattered; BK = Broken; OV = Overcast
CLOUDS(%)...........................Cloud cover as a percentage
VSBY................................Visibility value in statute miles
POP 12HR(%).........................Probability for accumulating precipitation
WEATHER...
   TYPE...
       RAIN...........Rain
       RAIN SHWRS.....Rain showers
       TSTMS..........Thunderstorms
       DRIZZLE........Drizzle
       SNOW...........Snow
       SNOWSHWRS......Snow showers
       SLEET..........Sleet
       FRZG RAIN......Freezing rain
       FRZG DRZL......Freezing drizzle
   COVERAGE...
       IS.............Isolated
       SC.............Scattered
       NM.............Numerous
       O..............Occasional
       S..............Slight chance
       C..............Chance
       L..............Likely
       WD.............Widespread
       D..............Definite
       AR.............Areas
       PA.............Patchy

MIX HGT(THOUSANDS OF FT AGL)........Mixing height
     Example: 6 = 6000 feet; 12 = 12000 feet; <1 = Less than 1000 foot
t WIND DIR(8 POINT COMPASS).........Transport Wind direction
T WIND SPD(MPH).....................Transport Wind speed
DISPERSION(CATEGORY)................Smoke Dispersion category
     Values: vp =Very Poor;PR = Poor; FR = Fair; GD = Good;
ADI (INDEX).........................Atmospheric Dispersion Index
MAX LVORI (INDEX)...................Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index
STABILITY (CATEGORY)................Pasquill Turner Stability
CEILING (FT)........................Ceiling
STA PRES (INCHES MERCURY)...........Station pressure

Day 4 Through 7...
MAX/MIN TEMP OR MIN/MAX TEMP(F).....Maximum/Minimum air temperature
TEMP(F).............................Air temperature
DEWPT(F)............................Dew Point temperature
RH(%)...............................Relative Humidity
WIND SPD(MPH).......................Wind Speed
     Example: <15 = less than 15 MPH; 15> = 15 MPH or greater
AVE CLOUDS(CATEGORY)................Average Cloud Cover Category
POP 12HR(%).........................Probability for accumulating precipitation
WEATHER.............................See Day 1 through 3 weather descriptions