802
FXUS64 KSHV 110652
AFDSHV
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1252 AM CST Thu Dec 11 2025
...New DISCUSSION, SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1145 PM CST Wed Dec 10 2025
- NW flow aloft will bring in less humid and slightly cooler
conditions across the region tonight and tomorrow in wake of
the recent cold front passage.
- A gradual warming trend will return by Friday, as southerly
winds return ahead of our next cold front. This cold front will
arrive by Saturday afternoon/evening, bringing slight rain
chances and widespread freezing temperatures by Monday morning.
- Rain chances will return by the middle portion of next week, as
an upper trough moves across the region.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1145 PM CST Wed Dec 10 2025
Northwest flow aloft will continue to push in less humid and
slightly cooler conditions into the region overnight and through
tomorrow in wake of a recent cold front. With high pressure
expected to quickly settle across the region tonight, we should
see little cloud cover and light winds. This will allow
temperatures to fall into the 30s areawide, with near freezing
temperatures possible across portions of Southeast Oklahoma,
Southwest Arkansas, and extreme Northeast Texas. Highs for
tomorrow afternoon will generally range from the upper 50s to
lower 60s under sunny skies.
Southerly winds will return by tomorrow afternoon, as high
pressure slides east of the region. This will start a warming
trend, with highs on Friday returning into the upper 60s to lower
70s. Rain chances will return to portions of the region on
Saturday ahead of a strong cold front. At this time, models are
keeping these rain chances along and south of the I-30 corridor,
with the best chances across our East Texas and Louisiana zones
along and south of Interstate 20. Behind this front, the region
should see much cooler conditions, as many locations will
struggle to get out of the 40s for highs on Sunday afternoon under
sunny skies. However, Sunday night/Monday morning is where the
region will see the highly advertised Arctic temperatures, as
most of the region will fall well below freezing. Overnight lows
are forecast to range from the upper teens to lower 20s across
locations north of I-20, with mid to upper 20s expected over the
remaining portions of the region along and south of the
Interstate. Highs on Monday will also be on the cooler side, with
many locations struggling to reach 50 degrees.
This Arctic airmass will be short-lived, as southerly winds will
return late Monday. Near freezing temperatures will be possible
again Tuesday morning, but should be confined to our northern and
eastern forecast zones. For the remainder of Tuesday, an upper
trough will dive southeastward out of the Rockies into the
Southern Plains, eventually moving into Central Texas. Rain
chances will eventually return to a large portion of the area in
response to this system by Tuesday evening and remain through
Wednesday, as the trough slowly pushes east across the region.
/20/
&&
.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1140 PM CST Wed Dec 10 2025
For the 11/06Z TAF period, VFR conditions are expected to prevail
this period as post-frontal N/NW winds usher in drier air across
our entire airspace. Expect thin cirrus to continue increasing
from the NW through the overnight and into Thursday. Winds will
trend light and variable this morning and then veer to the S/SW
between 5-10 kts during the day Thursday as high pressure shifts
east of the region.
/19/
&&
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 1145 PM CST Wed Dec 10 2025
Spotter activation is not expected over the next 24 hours.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV 39 63 47 69 / 0 0 0 0
MLU 38 59 42 69 / 0 0 0 0
DEQ 30 59 37 65 / 0 0 0 0
TXK 38 61 43 66 / 0 0 0 0
ELD 33 58 40 65 / 0 0 0 0
TYR 38 63 46 68 / 0 0 0 0
GGG 38 63 44 69 / 0 0 0 0
LFK 39 65 46 73 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...20
AVIATION...19
802
FXUS64 KSHV 110652
AFDSHV
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1252 AM CST Thu Dec 11 2025
...New DISCUSSION, SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1145 PM CST Wed Dec 10 2025
- NW flow aloft will bring in less humid and slightly cooler
conditions across the region tonight and tomorrow in wake of
the recent cold front passage.
- A gradual warming trend will return by Friday, as southerly
winds return ahead of our next cold front. This cold front will
arrive by Saturday afternoon/evening, bringing slight rain
chances and widespread freezing temperatures by Monday morning.
- Rain chances will return by the middle portion of next week, as
an upper trough moves across the region.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1145 PM CST Wed Dec 10 2025
Northwest flow aloft will continue to push in less humid and
slightly cooler conditions into the region overnight and through
tomorrow in wake of a recent cold front. With high pressure
expected to quickly settle across the region tonight, we should
see little cloud cover and light winds. This will allow
temperatures to fall into the 30s areawide, with near freezing
temperatures possible across portions of Southeast Oklahoma,
Southwest Arkansas, and extreme Northeast Texas. Highs for
tomorrow afternoon will generally range from the upper 50s to
lower 60s under sunny skies.
Southerly winds will return by tomorrow afternoon, as high
pressure slides east of the region. This will start a warming
trend, with highs on Friday returning into the upper 60s to lower
70s. Rain chances will return to portions of the region on
Saturday ahead of a strong cold front. At this time, models are
keeping these rain chances along and south of the I-30 corridor,
with the best chances across our East Texas and Louisiana zones
along and south of Interstate 20. Behind this front, the region
should see much cooler conditions, as many locations will
struggle to get out of the 40s for highs on Sunday afternoon under
sunny skies. However, Sunday night/Monday morning is where the
region will see the highly advertised Arctic temperatures, as
most of the region will fall well below freezing. Overnight lows
are forecast to range from the upper teens to lower 20s across
locations north of I-20, with mid to upper 20s expected over the
remaining portions of the region along and south of the
Interstate. Highs on Monday will also be on the cooler side, with
many locations struggling to reach 50 degrees.
This Arctic airmass will be short-lived, as southerly winds will
return late Monday. Near freezing temperatures will be possible
again Tuesday morning, but should be confined to our northern and
eastern forecast zones. For the remainder of Tuesday, an upper
trough will dive southeastward out of the Rockies into the
Southern Plains, eventually moving into Central Texas. Rain
chances will eventually return to a large portion of the area in
response to this system by Tuesday evening and remain through
Wednesday, as the trough slowly pushes east across the region.
/20/
&&
.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1140 PM CST Wed Dec 10 2025
For the 11/06Z TAF period, VFR conditions are expected to prevail
this period as post-frontal N/NW winds usher in drier air across
our entire airspace. Expect thin cirrus to continue increasing
from the NW through the overnight and into Thursday. Winds will
trend light and variable this morning and then veer to the S/SW
between 5-10 kts during the day Thursday as high pressure shifts
east of the region.
/19/
&&
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 1145 PM CST Wed Dec 10 2025
Spotter activation is not expected over the next 24 hours.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV 39 63 47 69 / 0 0 0 0
MLU 38 59 42 69 / 0 0 0 0
DEQ 30 59 37 65 / 0 0 0 0
TXK 38 61 43 66 / 0 0 0 0
ELD 33 58 40 65 / 0 0 0 0
TYR 38 63 46 68 / 0 0 0 0
GGG 38 63 44 69 / 0 0 0 0
LFK 39 65 46 73 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...20
AVIATION...19
Latest Hazardous Weather Outlook
IMPORTANT: This page is a tool to help pilots better visualize weather and weather-related hazards, and is not a substitute for a weather briefing obtained from a Flight Service Station (1-800-WXBRIEF). The information contained here does not meet the FAA requirements for a pre-flight weather brief. Therefore, it is important that pilots call and obtain a briefing from an FAA Flight Service Specialist.
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