National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce
NWS Shreveport Aviation Weather Services
 
Local TAFs
LOUISIANA
Shreveport Regional (SHV) Monroe (MLU)
Tactical Decision Aid Tactical Decision Aid

000
FTUS44 KSHV 141741
TAFSHV
TAF
KSHV 141741Z 1418/1518 VRB05KT 6SM -SHRA BR OVC006
TEMPO 1418/1422 33013G18KT 4SM -SHRA BR OVC004
FM142200 33012G18KT 6SM -RA BR OVC007
FM150000 33014G22KT P6SM OVC008
FM150600 31009KT P6SM OVC015=

000
FTUS44 KSHV 141741
TAFMLU
TAF
KMLU 141741Z 1418/1518 19007KT 6SM BR OVC015
FM142100 21008KT 6SM -SHRA BR OVC010
TEMPO 1421/1424 5SM -SHRA BR OVC007
FM150000 VRB05KT 4SM -RA BR OVC015
FM150300 24004KT 4SM -RA BR OVC004
FM150500 30006KT 4SM BR OVC007
FM150800 29010G16KT 4SM -RA BR OVC003=
   
TEXAS
Tyler (TYR) Longview (GGG)
Tactical Decision Aid Tactical Decision Aid
000
FTUS44 KSHV 141741
TAFTYR
TAF
KTYR 141741Z 1418/1518 33016KT 4SM -SHRA BR VCTS OVC007CB
      TEMPO 1418/1421 33016G21KT 3SM -TSRA BR OVC005CB
     FM142200 36017G23KT 5SM BR OVC015
     FM150000 34016KT 4SM -SHRA BR OVC015
     FM150300 33013KT P6SM OVC007=
000
FTUS44 KSHV 141741
TAFGGG
TAF
KGGG 141741Z 1418/1518 33016KT 4SM -SHRA BR VCTS OVC007CB
      TEMPO 1418/1421 33016G21KT 3SM -TSRA BR OVC005CB
     FM142200 36017G23KT 5SM BR OVC015
     FM150000 34016KT 4SM -SHRA BR OVC015
     FM150300 33013KT P6SM OVC007=
Lufkin (LFK)
Tactical Decision Aid

000
FTUS44 KSHV 141741
TAFLFK
TAF
KLFK 141741Z 1418/1518 29014G21KT 4SM -RA BR OVC007
FM142100 30014KT P6SM BKN007 OVC015
FM150300 30010G17KT P6SM OVC007=
   
ARKANSAS
Texarkana (TXK) El Dorado (ELD)
Tactical Decision Aid Tactical Decision Aid
000
FTUS44 KSHV 141741
TAFTXK
TAF
KTXK 141741Z 1418/1518 36010KT 6SM -SHRA OVC015
     FM141900 35012G19KT 5SM -SHRA BR OVC006
     FM142100 36015KT 2SM -RA BR OVC015
     FM150000 33014KT 4SM -SHRA BR BKN007 OVC015
     FM150300 33010KT 4SM -RA BR OVC010=
000
FTUS44 KSHV 141741
TAFELD
TAF
KELD 141741Z 1418/1518 01007KT P6SM OVC007
     FM150000 35010KT 6SM BR OVC015
     FM150300 32007KT 4SM -TSRA BR OVC007CB
     FM150700 30010G17KT 4SM -RA BR OVC007=
 
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Regional TAFs
LOUISIANA
Alexandria (AEX) Baton Rouge (BTR)
Tactical Decision Aid Tactical Decision Aid
622
FTUS44 KLCH 141730
TAFAEX
TAF
KAEX 141730Z 1418/1518 23012KT P6SM OVC015
     FM142000 24013KT P6SM VCSH OVC015
      TEMPO 1422/1502 -RA OVC007
     FM150200 24010G17KT P6SM VCSH OVC007
     FM150600 27010G17KT P6SM OVC007=
080
FTUS44 KLIX 141721
TAFBTR
TAF
KBTR 141721Z 1418/1518 22012KT P6SM BKN030 BKN050
     FM150100 23011G20KT P6SM OVC020
      TEMPO 1504/1508 OVC008
     FM151000 26008KT P6SM OVC010
     FM151700 27008KT P6SM OVC015=
Lake Charles (LCH) New Orleans (MSY)
Tactical Decision Aid Tactical Decision Aid

000
FTUS44 KLCH 141730
TAFLCH
TAF
KLCH 141730Z 1418/1518 26012G21KT P6SM OVC025
FM141900 27014G22KT P6SM VCSH OVC015
FM150000 29014G21KT P6SM OVC015
FM150800 31010KT P6SM OVC007=

979
FTUS44 KLIX 141721
TAFMSY
TAF
KMSY 141721Z 1418/1524 25010G20KT P6SM BKN030 BKN040 BKN120
FM150600 25011G23KT P6SM OVC025
TEMPO 1508/1512 OVC015
FM151200 27010KT P6SM OVC018
FM151900 28011G21KT P6SM BKN040=
 
TEXAS
College Station (CLL) Dallas/Fort Worth International (DFW)
Tactical Decision Aid Tactical Decision Aid
303
FTUS44 KHGX 141723
TAFCLL
TAF
KCLL 141723Z 1418/1518 31016G27KT P6SM OVC016
     FM150300 33013KT P6SM OVC025
     FM150900 32011KT P6SM OVC050
     FM151200 31010KT P6SM SKC=
159
FTUS44 KFWD 141720
TAFDFW
TAF
KDFW 141720Z 1418/1524 34017G27KT P6SM VCSH OVC015
      TEMPO 1418/1420 5SM -RA
     FM150100 33017KT P6SM BKN025
     FM150600 33013KT P6SM SKC=
Dallas-Love Field (DAL) Houston-Bush Intercontinental (IAH)
Tactical Decision Aid Tactical Decision Aid
163
FTUS44 KFWD 141720
TAFDAL
TAF
KDAL 141720Z 1418/1518 34017G27KT P6SM VCSH OVC015
      TEMPO 1418/1420 5SM -RA
     FM150100 33017KT P6SM BKN025
     FM150600 33013KT P6SM SKC=
295
FTUS44 KHGX 141723
TAFIAH
TAF
KIAH 141723Z 1418/1524 30012G20KT P6SM OVC013
     FM150100 31012KT P6SM OVC015
     FM150900 31010KT P6SM OVC025
     FM151200 31008KT P6SM SCT250=
Houston-Hobby (HOU)
Tactical Decision Aid
300
FTUS44 KHGX 141723
TAFHOU
TAF
KHOU 141723Z 1418/1518 29015G21KT P6SM OVC018
     FM150100 31012KT P6SM OVC015
     FM150800 31010KT P6SM OVC025
     FM151100 31012KT P6SM SCT250=
 
ARKANSAS
Hot Springs (HOT) Little Rock (LIT)
Tactical Decision Aid Tactical Decision Aid
000
FTUS44 KLZK 141724
TAFHOT
TAF
KHOT 141724Z 1418/1518 07009KT 3SM -SHRA BR BKN035
     FM150000 36010KT 5SM -SHRA BR OVC012
     FM150600 32008G15KT 5SM BR OVC015=
000
FTUS44 KLZK 141724
TAFLIT
TAF
KLIT 141724Z 1418/1518 03008G20KT 6SM -SHRA BR OVC007
      TEMPO 1418/1420 3SM TSRA BR BKN007 OVC015CB
     FM142000 36010G17KT 4SM -SHRA BR OVC012
     FM150500 32008G15KT 5SM BR OVC015=
Pine Bluff (PBF)
Tactical Decision Aid
000
FTUS44 KLZK 141724
TAFPBF
TAF
KPBF 141724Z 1418/1518 03008KT 3SM -RA BR OVC006
     FM150000 35010KT 5SM -SHRA BR OVC009
     FM150500 32008G15KT 5SM BR OVC008
     FM151500 30006G15KT 6SM BR OVC015=
 
OKLAHOMA
McAlester (MLC) Oklahoma City-Will Rogers (OKC)
Tactical Decision Aid Tactical Decision Aid
000
FTUS44 KTSA 141731
TAFMLC
TAF
KMLC 141731Z 1418/1518 NIL=
000
FTUS44 KOUN 141723
TAFOKC
TAF
KOKC 141723Z 1418/1518 35022G28KT P6SM OVC015
      TEMPO 1419/1421 SCT025
     FM142100 35021G28KT P6SM SCT040
     FM150000 35011KT P6SM SKC=
Tulsa International (TUL)
Tactical Decision Aid
000
FTUS44 KTSA 141731
TAFTUL
TAF
KTUL 141731Z 1418/1518 01013G22KT P6SM VCSH OVC010
     FM142100 35018G27KT P6SM OVC015
     FM150200 34011KT P6SM SKC
     FM150900 34008KT P6SM SKC=
 
NWS-Shreveport Aviation Forecast Discussion
 
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Flight Category Definitions
Category Ceilings And/Or Visibilities
VFR Greater than 3000 ft AND Greater than 5 SM
MVFR Greater than or equal to 1000 ft, but less than or equal to 3000 ft AND/OR Greater than or equal to 3 SM, but less than or equal to 5 SM
IFR Greater than or equal to 500 ft, but less than 1000 ft AND/OR Greater than or equal to 1 SM, but less than 3 SM
LIFR Less than 500 ft AND/OR Less than 1 SM
 
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Southern Plains Southern Mississippi Valley
Southern Plains radar loop Southern Mississippi Valley radar loop
   
Shreveport (SHV) Base Reflectivity 0.5º Shreveport (SHV) Base Velocity 0.5º
Shreveport Radar Base Reflectivity 0.5 degrees Shreveport Radar Base Velocity 0.5 degrees
   
Fort Polk (POE) Base Reflectivity 0.5º Fort Polk (POE) Base Velocity 0.5º
Fort Polk Radar Base Reflectivity 0.5 degrees Fort Polk Radar Base Velocity 0.5 degrees
 
Fort Smith (SRX) Base Reflectivity 0.5º Fort Smith (SRX) Base Velocity 0.5º
Fort Smith Radar Base Reflectivity 0.5 degrees Fort Smith Radar Base Velocity 0.5 degrees
 
Little Rock (LZK) Base Reflectivity 0.5º Little Rock (LZK) Base Velocity 0.5º
Little Rock Radar Base Reflectivity 0.5 degrees Little Rock Radar Base Velocity 0.5 degrees
 
Inola (INX) Base Reflectivity 0.5º Inola (INX) Base Velocity 0.5º
Inola Radar Base Reflectivity 0.5 degrees Inola Radar Base Velocity 0.5 degrees
 
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Latest Observed Sounding from Shreveport
 
RAP Vertical Wind Forecasts
Shreveport Regional Airport (SHV) Monroe Regional Airport (MLU)
RAP Vertical Wind Forecast for Shreveport RAP Vertical Wind Forecast for Monroe
Tyler Pounds Regional Airport (TYR) Longview-East Texas Regional Airport (GGG)
RAP Vertical Wind Forecast for Tyler RAP Vertical Wind Forecast for Longview
Lufkin-Angelina County Airport (LFK) Texarkana Regional Airport-Webb Field (TXK)
RAP Vertical Wind Forecast for Lufkin RAP Vertical Wind Forecast for TXK
El Dorado-South Arkansas Regional Airport (ELD)
RAP Vertical Wind Forecast for El Dorado
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Latest Area Forecast Discussion (AFD)
000
FXUS64 KSHV 141729
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1129 AM CST Fri Dec 14 2018

.UPDATE...

A few minor changes made to temperature and POP grids to account
for current trends. Otherwise, the current forecast remains on
track. Showers and isolated thunderstorms will continue develop
on the northern and western side of an eastward moving surface
low currently over north-central Louisiana. Temperatures will
generally hold in the upper 40s to lower 50s across the region
today with cloudy skies. A Lake Wind Advisory remains in effect
for most of East Texas and McCurtain County Oklahoma until 6 PM
this evening as northerly winds of 15-20 mph with gusts from 25-30
mph expected through the early evening hours. /20/

&&


.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 801 AM CST Fri Dec 14 2018/

AVIATION...

For the 14/12Z terminal forecast will prevail IFR through
most of the period with brief periods of MVFR with periods of
showers and thunderstorms today and mainly showers overnight.
Rains end before 15/12Z Saturday. Visibility restrictions will
range from 1/4 statute miles to less than 3. There will be periods
of higher visibilities equal to or higher than 6 statute miles.
Wrap around cloud cover will linger through the period out beyond
the end of the terminal forecast period. A tight pressure gradient
between a large surface low over North Louisiana and surface high
pressure over the Plains will produce strong and gusty Northerly
winds of 15-25 knots with higher speeds mainly over East and
Northeast Texas and Southeast Texas today and over much of the
ArkLaTex overnight. Conditions to improve Saturday night. /06/

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 536 AM CST Fri Dec 14 2018/

SHORT TERM...Today Through Saturday/

This morning a large and tightly wound surface low pressure
system was centered over North Louisiana and covered much of
Gulf Coast States and expanded North into the Middle Mississippi
Valley and into the Lower Great Lakes area. The tight pressure
gradient between this low and the surface high pressure
system over the Western Central Plains and into the Pan Handles of
Texas and Oklahoma and into West Texas will be producing strong
and gusty Northerly winds over Southeast Oklahoma and much of
East and Northeast Texas for today from around 8 AM until 6 PM
CST. Have issued a lake wind advisory for this event and as the
surface low shifts to the East those strong winds may shift into
parts of Louisiana and South Arkansas this evening and could still
affect parts of Southeast Oklahoma and Northeast Texas. The
middle and upper level closed low was centered over Southeast
Texas this morning and will be shifting to the Northeast into
Western Mississippi and Southeast Arkansas and into the Tennessee
Valley by early Saturday morning as the upper low takes a similar
but slightly more Southeast track. Showers and thunderstorms will
continue today along the occluded surface front extending from
the surface low center to the East and Northeast and around the
back side of the surface low with a cold front wrapping around its
back side. Have trended to showers during the overnight hours
which will be tapering off from Southwest to Northeast with most
having ended by 6 AM Saturday morning. /06/

LONG TERM.../Saturday Night through Friday Night/

Saturday Night, the closed upper level low shifts north and east
into the Carolinas and we are left with weak ridging aloft across
the Southern Plains. A trough develops across the Baja region during
the day Sunday and begins to lift out into the Plains Monday into
Monday Night with another upper level trough close on its heels
moving into the the Plains by Tuesday. Timing discrepancies between
the medium range progs with the ejection of this next midweek trough
make the extended forecast a difficult concerning our next
precipitation chances but we will continue to follow the ECMWF
solution which is more progressive with next week`s trough. This
will result in precipitation chances Tuesday Night through Wednesday
Night before most of the lift in association with this trough moves
north and east of our region Thursday into Friday.

Look for moderating temperatures through much of next week ahead of
the trough by the middle of next week when we should see a weak
frontal passage. Temperatures will cool down slightly by the end of
next week but nothing cold for the middle of December by any
standards. /13/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  54  43  56  40 /  90  60   0   0
MLU  60  45  55  40 /  70  50   0   0
DEQ  57  40  56  35 / 100  60   0   0
TXK  56  41  56  38 / 100  70   0   0
ELD  56  44  56  38 / 100  70   0   0
TYR  49  39  57  38 /  70  20   0   0
GGG  54  40  56  40 /  80  30   0   0
LFK  49  42  58  39 /  60  20   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...Lake Wind Advisory until 6 PM CST this evening for OKZ077.

TX...Lake Wind Advisory until 6 PM CST this evening for TXZ096-097-
     108>112-124>126-136>138-149>152.

&&

$$

20

   
Latest Hazardous Weather Outlook
000
FLUS44 KSHV 141727
HWOSHV

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1127 AM CST Fri Dec 14 2018

ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022-OKZ077-
TXZ096-097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167-151200-
Sevier-Howard-Little River-Hempstead-Nevada-Miller-Lafayette-
Columbia-Union-Caddo-Bossier-Webster-Claiborne-Lincoln-De Soto-
Red River-Bienville-Jackson-Ouachita-Sabine-Natchitoches-Winn-
Grant-Caldwell-La Salle-McCurtain-Bowie-Franklin-Titus-Camp-
Morris-Cass-Wood-Upshur-Marion-Smith-Gregg-Harrison-Cherokee-Rusk-
Panola-Nacogdoches-Shelby-Angelina-San Augustine-
1127 AM CST Fri Dec 14 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of south central
Arkansas, southwest Arkansas, north central Louisiana, northwest
Louisiana, southeast Oklahoma, east Texas and northeast Texas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight...

Areas of rain, and possibly a few embedded thunderstorms, will
continue to develop this afternoon and spread south southwest
near and on the backside of strong upper level storm system that
will shift east northeast across Central Louisiana. This rain will
begin to diminish from west to east this evening as this storm
system rapidly pulls away from the region. However, a few of the
stronger showers and isolated thunderstorms may produce small hail
and brief heavy rainfall which may lead to minor flooding of low
lying, poor drainage areas.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday...

Dry conditions and a gradual warming trend will commence this
weekend through early next week, before isolated to scattered
showers return to portions of East Texas and Southeast Oklahoma
Tuesday night, and areawide Wednesday with the approach of an
upper level disturbance. However, no hazardous weather is
expected.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Activation of emergency managers, spotter networks, and amateur
radio operators, should not be needed this afternoon or tonight.

$$

15

 
 

 

 
IMPORTANT: This page is a tool to help pilots better visualize weather and weather-related hazards, and is not a substitute for a weather briefing obtained from a Flight Service Station (1-800-WXBRIEF). The information contained here does not meet the FAA requirements for a pre-flight weather brief. Therefore, it is important that pilots call and obtain a briefing from an FAA Flight Service Specialist.