National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Winter Storm Moving Across the West; Impacting the Eastern U.S. This Weekend

Heavy snow will shift from the mountains of the West today into the Upper Midwest and Great Lakes this weekend while an icy mix spreads from the Appalachians into the Northeast U.S. Further south on Saturday, severe thunderstorms will be possible over the lower Mississippi Valley while excessive rainfall may bring flash and river flooding to the mid Mississippi and Ohio Valleys. Read More >

NWS Shreveport Aviation Weather Services
 
Local TAFs
LOUISIANA
Shreveport Regional (SHV) Monroe (MLU)
Tactical Decision Aid Tactical Decision Aid
                        
990
FTUS44 KSHV 141140
TAFSHV
TAF
KSHV 141140Z 1412/1512 09008KT P6SM OVC100
     FM141800 12007KT P6SM SCT060 BKN100
     FM142000 13006KT P6SM BKN050
     FM150300 14008KT P6SM VCSH BKN025
     FM150600 14008KT P6SM VCSH BKN015
     FM151000 15010KT 5SM BR OVC007=

                
                        
883
FTUS44 KSHV 141140
TAFMLU
TAF
KMLU 141140Z 1412/1512 06007KT P6SM OVC110
     FM141800 09006KT P6SM BKN100
     FM142000 09005KT P6SM SCT060 BKN100
     FM142200 09005KT P6SM BKN050
     FM150300 12005KT P6SM VCSH BKN025
     FM150900 14006KT 3SM BR VCSH OVC007=

                
   
TEXAS
Tyler (TYR) Longview (GGG)
Tactical Decision Aid Tactical Decision Aid
                        
881
FTUS44 KSHV 141140
TAFTYR
TAF
KTYR 141140Z 1412/1512 10007KT P6SM SCT080 OVC100
     FM141700 13008KT P6SM SCT060 BKN100
     FM142000 15008KT P6SM BKN050
     FM150100 15008KT P6SM BKN025
     FM150300 16009KT P6SM VCSH BKN015
     FM150700 16010KT 6SM BR VCSH OVC007=

                
                        
662
FTUS44 KSHV 141140
TAFGGG
TAF
KGGG 141140Z 1412/1512 10007KT P6SM OVC100
     FM141800 13007KT P6SM SCT060 BKN100
     FM142000 14007KT P6SM BKN050
     FM150100 14007KT P6SM BKN025
     FM150300 16007KT P6SM VCSH BKN015
     FM150700 16008KT 6SM BR VCSH OVC007=

                
Lufkin (LFK)
Tactical Decision Aid
                        
803
FTUS44 KSHV 141140
TAFLFK
TAF
KLFK 141140Z 1412/1512 07007KT P6SM BKN070
FM141700 11006KT P6SM SCT050 BKN070
FM142100 12006KT P6SM BKN030
FM150100 12006KT P6SM VCSH BKN023
FM150400 12006KT P6SM VCSH OVC007
FM150600 12007KT 3SM BR VCSH OVC003=
   
ARKANSAS
Texarkana (TXK) El Dorado (ELD)
Tactical Decision Aid Tactical Decision Aid
                        
882
FTUS44 KSHV 141140
TAFTXK
TAF
KTXK 141140Z 1412/1512 09006KT P6SM OVC100
     FM141800 12007KT P6SM BKN100
     FM142100 12006KT P6SM SCT060 BKN100
     FM142300 13006KT P6SM BKN050
     FM150400 15007KT P6SM VCSH BKN025
     FM150700 16008KT P6SM VCSH OVC007=

                
                        
660
FTUS44 KSHV 141140
TAFELD
TAF
KELD 141140Z 1412/1512 06006KT P6SM OVC110
     FM141700 09007KT P6SM BKN100
     FM142100 10006KT P6SM SCT060 BKN100
     FM150000 11006KT P6SM BKN050
     FM150400 12006KT P6SM VCSH BKN025
     FM150800 14007KT 5SM BR VCSH OVC007=

                
 
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Regional TAFs
LOUISIANA
Alexandria (AEX) Baton Rouge (BTR)
Tactical Decision Aid Tactical Decision Aid
                        
665
FTUS44 KLCH 141120
TAFAEX
TAF
KAEX 141120Z 1412/1512 06009KT P6SM SCT060 BKN100
     FM141800 09009KT P6SM VCSH BKN035 OVC050
     FM150000 12008KT P6SM OVC015
     FM150600 15007KT P6SM OVC008 WS020/18040KT=

                
                        
734
FTUS44 KLIX 141120
TAFBTR
TAF
KBTR 141120Z 1412/1512 04007KT P6SM SKC
     FM141800 09007KT P6SM BKN030 BKN150 PROB30 1421/1502 4SM -SHRA
      BR OVC015
     FM150400 11008KT P6SM BKN015 BKN110
     FM150600 12008KT P6SM BKN008 OVC090=

                
Lake Charles (LCH) New Orleans (MSY)
Tactical Decision Aid Tactical Decision Aid
                        
164
FTUS44 KLCH 141515 AAB
TAFLCH
TAF AMD
KLCH 141515Z 1415/1512 07012G20KT P6SM SCT015 BKN025 OVC100
      TEMPO 1415/1418 BKN015
     FM141800 09012G20KT P6SM VCSH BKN025 OVC035
     FM150000 12010KT P6SM OVC008
     FM150600 15012KT 5SM BR OVC005=

                
                        
733
FTUS44 KLIX 141120
TAFMSY
TAF
KMSY 141120Z 1412/1518 03010KT P6SM BKN160
FM141700 09011KT P6SM BKN030 BKN130
FM150900 14009KT 4SM BR BKN008 OVC030
FM151700 17014G24KT 6SM BR FEW020 SCT025=
 
TEXAS
College Station (CLL) Dallas/Fort Worth International (DFW)
Tactical Decision Aid Tactical Decision Aid
                        
211
FTUS44 KHGX 141126
TAFCLL
TAF
KCLL 141126Z 1412/1512 05005KT P6SM BKN070 OVC100
     FM141800 12005KT P6SM BKN027
     FM142100 13008KT 6SM BR VCSH OVC019 PROB30 1422/1502 4SM -SHRA
      BR
     FM150300 14007KT P6SM OVC007
     FM150900 14005KT P6SM OVC005 PROB30 1509/1511 4SM -SHRA BR=

                
                        
424
FTUS44 KFWD 141447 AAA
TAFDFW
TAF AMD
KDFW 141447Z 1415/1518 12004KT P6SM SCT070 BKN250
     FM141800 15012KT P6SM BKN040
     FM150000 16012KT P6SM SCT015 BKN025
     FM150400 17013KT P6SM VCSH OVC006
     FM150700 18011KT 2SM BR OVC004
      TEMPO 1508/1512 1SM -RA BR OVC003
     FM151400 20014KT P6SM BKN007
     FM151700 24018KT P6SM SKC=

                
Dallas-Love Field (DAL) Houston-Bush Intercontinental (IAH)
Tactical Decision Aid Tactical Decision Aid
                        
308
FTUS44 KFWD 141447 AAA
TAFDAL
TAF AMD
KDAL 141447Z 1415/1512 12004KT P6SM SCT070 BKN250
     FM141800 15012KT P6SM BKN040
     FM150000 16012KT P6SM SCT015 BKN025
     FM150400 17013KT P6SM VCSH OVC006
     FM150700 18011KT 2SM BR OVC004
      TEMPO 1508/1512 1SM -RA BR OVC003=

                
                        
554
FTUS44 KHGX 141501 AAA
TAFIAH
TAF AMD
KIAH 141501Z 1415/1518 06010KT P6SM OVC020
     FM141700 08006KT P6SM BKN015
     FM142000 08005KT 6SM BR VCSH OVC015
     FM150100 09007KT P6SM OVC012
     FM150800 12009KT 6SM BR VCSH OVC006 PROB30 1508/1514 4SM -SHRA
      BR
     FM151400 17012G18KT 5SM -SHRA BR BKN006=

                
Houston-Hobby (HOU)
Tactical Decision Aid
                        
486
FTUS44 KHGX 141501 AAA
TAFHOU
TAF AMD
KHOU 141501Z 1415/1512 07010KT P6SM OVC018
     FM142000 09007KT 6SM BR VCSH OVC016
     FM150000 10006KT P6SM SCT005 OVC015
     FM150700 15010KT 6SM BR VCSH OVC005 PROB30 1507/1512 4SM -SHRA
      BR=

                
 
ARKANSAS
Hot Springs (HOT) Little Rock (LIT)
Tactical Decision Aid Tactical Decision Aid
                        
948
FTUS44 KLZK 141140
TAFHOT
TAF
KHOT 141140Z 1412/1512 10006KT P6SM BKN100
     FM141600 12009KT P6SM SCT050 OVC100
     FM150300 12006KT P6SM VCSH OVC050 WS020/20038KT PROB30
      1503/1506 5SM -SHRA BR BKN025
     FM150600 VRB05KT 4SM -SHRA BR VCTS OVC025CB WS020/20050KT
      PROB30 1506/1512 2SM TSRA BR OVC010CB=

                
                        
947
FTUS44 KLZK 141140
TAFLIT
TAF
KLIT 141140Z 1412/1512 08006KT P6SM SCT100 BKN250
     FM141500 11008KT P6SM BKN100
     FM150300 13006KT P6SM VCSH OVC050 WS020/19040KT PROB30
      1503/1506 5SM -SHRA BR BKN025
     FM150600 17008KT 6SM -SHRA VCTS OVC025CB WS020/20055KT PROB30
      1506/1512 4SM TSRA BR OVC015CB=

                
Pine Bluff (PBF)
Tactical Decision Aid
                        
946
FTUS44 KLZK 141140
TAFPBF
TAF
KPBF 141140Z 1412/1512 06008KT P6SM BKN100
     FM150300 13006KT P6SM VCSH OVC050 WS020/19045KT PROB30
      1503/1506 5SM -SHRA BR BKN025
     FM150600 17008KT 6SM -SHRA VCTS OVC025CB WS020/20055KT PROB30
      1506/1512 4SM TSRA BR OVC015CB=

                
 
OKLAHOMA
McAlester (MLC) Oklahoma City-Will Rogers (OKC)
Tactical Decision Aid Tactical Decision Aid
                        
482
FTUS44 KTSA 141120
TAFMLC
TAF
KMLC 141120Z 1412/1512 15007KT P6SM BKN070 BKN100
     FM141700 17011G20KT P6SM SCT070 BKN100
     FM150000 16011G20KT P6SM BKN040 OVC080 WS020/18045KT PROB30
      1500/1506 6SM -SHRA BR OVC020
     FM150600 17011KT P6SM BKN015 WS020/18045KT PROB30 1506/1512 4SM
      -SHRA BR BKN007=

                
                        
468
FTUS44 KOUN 141120
TAFOKC
TAF
KOKC 141120Z 1412/1512 17008KT P6SM SCT250
     FM141500 17021G29KT P6SM BKN080
     FM150000 17020G27KT P6SM OVC250
     FM150600 18016KT P6SM OVC015 WS020/21045KT=

                
Tulsa International (TUL)
Tactical Decision Aid
                        
484
FTUS44 KTSA 141120
TAFTUL
TAF
KTUL 141120Z 1412/1512 15011KT P6SM FEW060 BKN120 OVC200
     FM141700 17019G27KT P6SM SCT060 BKN120 OVC200
     FM150000 16016G24KT P6SM BKN050 OVC150 WS020/18050KT
     FM150900 17010G18KT P6SM BKN015 WS020/18050KT=

                
 
NWS-Shreveport Aviation Forecast Discussion
                        
460
FXUS64 KSHV 141154 AAA
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
554 AM CST Fri Feb 14 2025

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Friday through Saturday)
Issued at 348 AM CST Fri Feb 14 2025

The atmosphere over the Four State Region will quickly heat up and
moisten ahead of severe weather expected within the next 36-48
hours. This rapid modification is due to troughing over the
Intermountain West crossing the Four Corners by Friday night. With
southerly winds picking up overnight, the rate of this
modification picks up by Saturday morning as the 60-degree
isodrosotherm races north of the I-20 corridor, especially east of
Tyler, TX. As troughing shifts into West Texas early Saturday,
kinematics and instability will also become more favorable for
severe weather with adequate sfc-3km wind shear (40+ kts) and mid-
level lapse rates picking up later that evening (near 8C/km).
Separated updrafts and a discrete supercellular storm mode earlier
in the afternoon will make large hail, damaging winds, and
tornadoes all a more likely risk before storms congeal into a line
with the frontal boundary (slightly limiting tornado potential).
Temperature maximums/minimums will rise above normal as a result,
reaching the upper 60s/70s and upper 40s respectively. /16/

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday Night through Friday)
Issued at 348 AM CST Fri Feb 14 2025

Post frontal conditions next week can be summarized as colder than
normal with some increasing chances of wintry precipitation by the
middle of next week. Aloft, a somewhat active synoptic pattern
remains in place with longwave troughing across the Eastern U.S.
and ridging across the Intermountain West setting us in a quasi-
northwesterly flow path. An embedded shortwave disturbance will
shift east across Texas while the next surface ridge shifts south
behind another frontal boundary, setting the stage for increased
wintry precipitation potential. With the timing of this event
still in the long range, confidence remains very low on
precipitation types, amounts, and chances, however, there is
building confidence on enough cold air existing north of I-20.
Temperature maximums/minimums will remain in the 40s/upper 20s and
30s through most of the week as a result of this colder air mass.
/16/

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 554 AM CST Fri Feb 14 2025

VFR conditions will continue through the afternoon hours today, as
extensive areas of AC cigs linger across the region. However, an
increased low level moisture return will result in cigs gradually
lowering through the afternoon, with MVFR cigs
developing/spreading N across the area through the evening.
Widely scattered -SHRA will also develop by/after 00Z across Deep
E TX/Cntrl LA, and quickly spread NNE across the region by mid to
late evening, with cigs lowering further to IFR ahead of a warm
front that will begin lifting N from SE TX/S LA. LIFR cigs/reduced
vsbys will be possible by the end of the TAF period over portions
of Deep E TX/Cntrl LA while spreading N through daybreak. While
isolated -TSRA can`t be ruled out mainly after 06Z Saturday, low
confidence precludes mention in the TAFs attm, and thus have
maintained VCSH mention areawide. ESE winds 6-10kts today will
become SSE after 00Z. /15/

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 348 AM CST Fri Feb 14 2025

Spotter activation is not expected through tonight.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  56  51  73  37 /  10  50  90  30
MLU  57  51  79  41 /  10  40  80  80
DEQ  51  42  65  27 /   0  70  80  10
TXK  54  47  69  32 /  10  80  90  10
ELD  55  44  73  34 /  10  70 100  50
TYR  56  51  71  33 /  10  40  70   0
GGG  56  49  71  33 /  10  50  90  10
LFK  58  51  73  36 /  20  40  90  20

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...16
LONG TERM....16
AVIATION...15



                
 
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Flight Category Definitions
Category Ceilings And/Or Visibilities
VFR Greater than 3000 ft AND Greater than 5 SM
MVFR Greater than or equal to 1000 ft, but less than or equal to 3000 ft AND/OR Greater than or equal to 3 SM, but less than or equal to 5 SM
IFR Greater than or equal to 500 ft, but less than 1000 ft AND/OR Greater than or equal to 1 SM, but less than 3 SM
LIFR Less than 500 ft AND/OR Less than 1 SM
 
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Southern Plains Southern Mississippi Valley
Southern Plains radar loop Southern Mississippi Valley radar loop
   
Shreveport (SHV) Base Reflectivity 0.3º Fort Johnson (POE) Base Reflectivity 0.5º
Shreveport Radar Base Reflectivity 0.3 degrees Fort Johnson (POE) Radar Base Reflectivity 0.3 degrees
   
Fort Smith (SRX) Base Reflectivity 0.5º Little Rock (LZK) Base Reflectivity 0.5º
Fort Smith (SRX) Radar Base Reflectivity 0.5 degrees Little Rock (LZK) Radar Base Reflectivity 0.5 degrees
 
Fort Worth Spinks Airport (FWS) Base Reflectivity 0.5º
Fort Worth Spinks Airport (FWS) Radar Base Reflectivity 0.5 degrees
 
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Latest Observed Sounding from Shreveport
 
RAP Vertical Wind Forecasts
Shreveport Regional Airport (KSHV) Monroe Regional Airport (KMLU)
Tyler Pounds Regional Airport (KTYR) Longview-East Texas Regional Airport (KGGG)
Lufkin-Angelina County Airport (KLFK) Texarkana Regional Airport-Webb Field (KTXK)
El Dorado-South Arkansas Regional Airport (KELD)
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Latest Area Forecast Discussion (AFD)
                        
460
FXUS64 KSHV 141154 AAA
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
554 AM CST Fri Feb 14 2025

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Friday through Saturday)
Issued at 348 AM CST Fri Feb 14 2025

The atmosphere over the Four State Region will quickly heat up and
moisten ahead of severe weather expected within the next 36-48
hours. This rapid modification is due to troughing over the
Intermountain West crossing the Four Corners by Friday night. With
southerly winds picking up overnight, the rate of this
modification picks up by Saturday morning as the 60-degree
isodrosotherm races north of the I-20 corridor, especially east of
Tyler, TX. As troughing shifts into West Texas early Saturday,
kinematics and instability will also become more favorable for
severe weather with adequate sfc-3km wind shear (40+ kts) and mid-
level lapse rates picking up later that evening (near 8C/km).
Separated updrafts and a discrete supercellular storm mode earlier
in the afternoon will make large hail, damaging winds, and
tornadoes all a more likely risk before storms congeal into a line
with the frontal boundary (slightly limiting tornado potential).
Temperature maximums/minimums will rise above normal as a result,
reaching the upper 60s/70s and upper 40s respectively. /16/

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday Night through Friday)
Issued at 348 AM CST Fri Feb 14 2025

Post frontal conditions next week can be summarized as colder than
normal with some increasing chances of wintry precipitation by the
middle of next week. Aloft, a somewhat active synoptic pattern
remains in place with longwave troughing across the Eastern U.S.
and ridging across the Intermountain West setting us in a quasi-
northwesterly flow path. An embedded shortwave disturbance will
shift east across Texas while the next surface ridge shifts south
behind another frontal boundary, setting the stage for increased
wintry precipitation potential. With the timing of this event
still in the long range, confidence remains very low on
precipitation types, amounts, and chances, however, there is
building confidence on enough cold air existing north of I-20.
Temperature maximums/minimums will remain in the 40s/upper 20s and
30s through most of the week as a result of this colder air mass.
/16/

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 554 AM CST Fri Feb 14 2025

VFR conditions will continue through the afternoon hours today, as
extensive areas of AC cigs linger across the region. However, an
increased low level moisture return will result in cigs gradually
lowering through the afternoon, with MVFR cigs
developing/spreading N across the area through the evening.
Widely scattered -SHRA will also develop by/after 00Z across Deep
E TX/Cntrl LA, and quickly spread NNE across the region by mid to
late evening, with cigs lowering further to IFR ahead of a warm
front that will begin lifting N from SE TX/S LA. LIFR cigs/reduced
vsbys will be possible by the end of the TAF period over portions
of Deep E TX/Cntrl LA while spreading N through daybreak. While
isolated -TSRA can`t be ruled out mainly after 06Z Saturday, low
confidence precludes mention in the TAFs attm, and thus have
maintained VCSH mention areawide. ESE winds 6-10kts today will
become SSE after 00Z. /15/

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 348 AM CST Fri Feb 14 2025

Spotter activation is not expected through tonight.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  56  51  73  37 /  10  50  90  30
MLU  57  51  79  41 /  10  40  80  80
DEQ  51  42  65  27 /   0  70  80  10
TXK  54  47  69  32 /  10  80  90  10
ELD  55  44  73  34 /  10  70 100  50
TYR  56  51  71  33 /  10  40  70   0
GGG  56  49  71  33 /  10  50  90  10
LFK  58  51  73  36 /  20  40  90  20

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...16
LONG TERM....16
AVIATION...15



                
   
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IMPORTANT: This page is a tool to help pilots better visualize weather and weather-related hazards, and is not a substitute for a weather briefing obtained from a Flight Service Station (1-800-WXBRIEF). The information contained here does not meet the FAA requirements for a pre-flight weather brief. Therefore, it is important that pilots call and obtain a briefing from an FAA Flight Service Specialist.