Wind and Rain in the Northeast; Atmospheric River to Impact the West

A cold front will cross the Great Lakes and Northeast U.S. through today with gusty winds and areas of rain showers. A strong atmospheric river is then expected to move into the Northwest by midweek bringing a threat for moderate to heavy rainfall and flooding, gusty winds, and mountain snows for parts of Washington, Oregon, northern California, and the Sierra Nevada. Read More >

NWS Shreveport Aviation Weather Services

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Forecast Discussion

Graphical Forecasts

Local TAFs

LOUISIANA
Shreveport Regional (SHV)	Monroe (MLU)
Tactical Decision Aid	Tactical Decision Aid
125 FTUS44 KSHV 031842 RRA TAFSHV TAF KSHV 031842Z 0319/0418 17004KT P6SM SKC FM040000 VRB03KT P6SM SKC FM041500 17004KT P6SM SKC=	127 FTUS44 KSHV 031842 RRA TAFMLU TAF KMLU 031842Z 0319/0418 VRB03KT P6SM SKC FM041500 14004KT P6SM SKC=

TEXAS

Tyler (TYR)

Longview (GGG)

Tactical Decision Aid

                        
129
FTUS44 KSHV 031842 RRA
TAFTYR
TAF
KTYR 031842Z 0319/0418 19008KT P6SM SKC
     FM040000 17005KT P6SM SKC
     FM041500 20007KT P6SM SKC=

                        
130
FTUS44 KSHV 031842 RRA
TAFGGG
TAF
KGGG 031842Z 0319/0418 15005KT P6SM SKC
     FM040000 16003KT P6SM SKC
     FM041500 19006KT P6SM SKC=

Lufkin (LFK)

Tactical Decision Aid

                        

131

FTUS44 KSHV 031842 RRA

TAFLFK

TAF

KLFK 031842Z 0319/0418 14004KT P6SM SKC

     FM040000 VRB03KT P6SM SKC

     FM041500 16004KT P6SM SKC=

ARKANSAS
Texarkana (TXK)	El Dorado (ELD)
Tactical Decision Aid	Tactical Decision Aid
126 FTUS44 KSHV 031842 RRA TAFTXK TAF KTXK 031842Z 0319/0418 20007KT P6SM SKC FM040000 VRB03KT P6SM SKC FM041500 19004KT P6SM SKC=	128 FTUS44 KSHV 031842 RRA TAFELD TAF KELD 031842Z 0319/0418 VRB04KT P6SM SKC FM041500 16005KT P6SM SKC=

Regional TAFs

LOUISIANA
Alexandria (AEX)	Baton Rouge (BTR)
Tactical Decision Aid	Tactical Decision Aid
983 FTUS44 KLCH 031720 TAFAEX TAF KAEX 031720Z 0318/0418 03004KT P6SM SKC FM040000 00000KT P6SM SKC FM041600 04006KT P6SM SKC=	072 FTUS44 KLIX 031720 TAFBTR TAF KBTR 031720Z 0318/0418 03005KT P6SM SKC FM041600 10005KT P6SM SKC=
Lake Charles (LCH)	New Orleans (MSY)
Tactical Decision Aid	Tactical Decision Aid
979 FTUS44 KLCH 031720 TAFLCH TAF KLCH 031720Z 0318/0418 07007KT P6SM SKC FM040000 00000KT P6SM SKC FM041500 11006KT P6SM SKC=	080 FTUS44 KLIX 031720 TAFMSY TAF KMSY 031720Z 0318/0424 02007KT P6SM SKC FM041800 10005KT P6SM SKC=

TEXAS

College Station (CLL)

Dallas/Fort Worth International (DFW)

Tactical Decision Aid

                        
235
FTUS44 KHGX 031720
TAFCLL
TAF
KCLL 031720Z 0318/0418 17007KT P6SM SKC
     FM040000 VRB04KT P6SM SKC=

                        
350
FTUS44 KFWD 031722
TAFDFW
TAF
KDFW 031722Z 0318/0424 17009KT P6SM SKC=

Dallas-Love Field (DAL)

Houston-Bush Intercontinental (IAH)

Tactical Decision Aid

                        
351
FTUS44 KFWD 031722
TAFDAL
TAF
KDAL 031722Z 0318/0418 17009KT P6SM SKC=

                        
236
FTUS44 KHGX 031720
TAFIAH
TAF
KIAH 031720Z 0318/0424 VRB04KT P6SM SKC
     FM041800 17008KT P6SM SKC=

Houston-Hobby (HOU)

Tactical Decision Aid

                        
238
FTUS44 KHGX 031720
TAFHOU
TAF
KHOU 031720Z 0318/0418 VRB05KT P6SM SKC
     FM040300 VRB04KT P6SM SKC=

ARKANSAS

Hot Springs (HOT)

Little Rock (LIT)

Tactical Decision Aid

                        
064
FTUS44 KLZK 031720
TAFHOT
TAF
KHOT 031720Z 0318/0418 22006KT P6SM SKC
     FM032300 VRB03KT P6SM SKC
     FM041600 20004KT P6SM SKC=

                        
086
FTUS44 KLZK 031720
TAFLIT
TAF
KLIT 031720Z 0318/0418 22008KT P6SM SKC
     FM032300 VRB04KT P6SM SKC
     FM041600 20006KT P6SM SKC=

Pine Bluff (PBF)

Tactical Decision Aid

                        
073
FTUS44 KLZK 031720
TAFPBF
TAF
KPBF 031720Z 0318/0418 22007KT P6SM SKC
     FM032300 VRB04KT P6SM SKC
     FM041600 19007KT P6SM SKC=

OKLAHOMA

McAlester (MLC)

Oklahoma City-Will Rogers (OKC)

Tactical Decision Aid

                        
338
FTUS44 KTSA 031720
TAFMLC
TAF
KMLC 031720Z 0318/0418 19010G18KT P6SM SKC
     FM032300 17005KT P6SM SKC
     FM041500 19012G20KT P6SM SKC=

                        
144
FTUS44 KOUN 031720
TAFOKC
TAF
KOKC 031720Z 0318/0418 20010KT P6SM SKC
     FM040600 18010KT P6SM FEW250 WS020/21040KT
     FM041400 19018G26KT P6SM SKC=

Tulsa International (TUL)

Tactical Decision Aid

                        
340
FTUS44 KTSA 031720
TAFTUL
TAF
KTUL 031720Z 0318/0418 16007KT P6SM SKC
     FM040600 16011KT P6SM SCT250 WS020/21040KT
     FM041500 18015G25KT P6SM SCT250=

NWS-Shreveport Aviation Forecast Discussion

                        
423
FXUS64 KSHV 031846
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1246 PM CST Mon Nov 3 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1054 PM CST Sun Nov 2 2025

 - A warming trend will begin Monday and continue through the new
   work week, with above normal temperatures returning Tuesday and
   beyond.

 - Dry conditions will continue through the coming work week
   into at least the first half of next weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 931 AM CST Mon Nov 3 2025

This week will be a brief return to warm and dry conditions as we
get further into fall. Surface high pressure is joining increasing
upper ridging over the Gulf states for the first part of this
week. The resulting subsidence and southerly flow will contribute
to another warming trend across the Ark-La-Tx, with areas reaching
the upper 70s to mid 80s by Friday afternoon. Flow aloft will
shift to be northwesterly through the week with the pressure
gradient fluctuating in strength. As such, Thursday night could
stay breezier than normal, but nothing hitting product criteria is
expected.

Conditions will stay dry this week due to the subsidence and
general lack of mid-level moisture in this airmass. However, a few
shortwave troughs from the Northern Plains on Friday could be
enough to bring some rain chances to our eastern zones. There is
uncertainty on the placement of the front, with more recent model
runs shifting rain chances further east. This would also be
dependent on the moisture return into the region ahead of the
front. Continued southerly sfc flow should help a bit in this
regard but will likely not be enough for widespread rain. On the
plus side, the cold front should knock temperatures back to
seasonal for the end of the weekend.

/57/

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1244 PM CST Mon Nov 3 2025

For the 03/18z TAF period...Expect VFR conditions, with mostly
clear skies, to continue through the period. Winds will range from
light/variable to southerly between 5-8 mph. /20/

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 1054 PM CST Sun Nov 2 2025

Spotter activation will not be needed through Monday night.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  74  47  76  51 /   0   0   0   0
MLU  69  42  74  45 /   0   0   0   0
DEQ  71  41  73  45 /   0   0   0   0
TXK  73  46  75  51 /   0   0   0   0
ELD  69  42  72  45 /   0   0   0   0
TYR  74  47  76  54 /   0   0   0   0
GGG  74  45  76  50 /   0   0   0   0
LFK  75  43  77  50 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&


$$

DISCUSSION...57
AVIATION...20

Flight Category Definitions

Category	Ceilings	And/Or	Visibilities
VFR	Greater than 3000 ft	AND	Greater than 5 SM
MVFR	Greater than or equal to 1000 ft, but less than or equal to 3000 ft	AND/OR	Greater than or equal to 3 SM, but less than or equal to 5 SM
IFR	Greater than or equal to 500 ft, but less than 1000 ft	AND/OR	Greater than or equal to 1 SM, but less than 3 SM
LIFR	Less than 500 ft	AND/OR	Less than 1 SM

Southern Plains	Southern Mississippi Valley

Shreveport (SHV) Base Reflectivity 0.3º	Fort Johnson (POE) Base Reflectivity 0.5º

Fort Smith (SRX) Base Reflectivity 0.5º	Little Rock (LZK) Base Reflectivity 0.5º

Fort Worth Spinks Airport (FWS) Base Reflectivity 0.5º

Latest Observed Sounding from Shreveport

RAP Vertical Wind Forecasts
Shreveport Regional Airport (KSHV)	Monroe Regional Airport (KMLU)
Tyler Pounds Regional Airport (KTYR)	Longview-East Texas Regional Airport (KGGG)
Lufkin-Angelina County Airport (KLFK)	Texarkana Regional Airport-Webb Field (KTXK)
El Dorado-South Arkansas Regional Airport (KELD)

Latest Area Forecast Discussion (AFD)

                        
423
FXUS64 KSHV 031846
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1246 PM CST Mon Nov 3 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1054 PM CST Sun Nov 2 2025

 - A warming trend will begin Monday and continue through the new
   work week, with above normal temperatures returning Tuesday and
   beyond.

 - Dry conditions will continue through the coming work week
   into at least the first half of next weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 931 AM CST Mon Nov 3 2025

This week will be a brief return to warm and dry conditions as we
get further into fall. Surface high pressure is joining increasing
upper ridging over the Gulf states for the first part of this
week. The resulting subsidence and southerly flow will contribute
to another warming trend across the Ark-La-Tx, with areas reaching
the upper 70s to mid 80s by Friday afternoon. Flow aloft will
shift to be northwesterly through the week with the pressure
gradient fluctuating in strength. As such, Thursday night could
stay breezier than normal, but nothing hitting product criteria is
expected.

Conditions will stay dry this week due to the subsidence and
general lack of mid-level moisture in this airmass. However, a few
shortwave troughs from the Northern Plains on Friday could be
enough to bring some rain chances to our eastern zones. There is
uncertainty on the placement of the front, with more recent model
runs shifting rain chances further east. This would also be
dependent on the moisture return into the region ahead of the
front. Continued southerly sfc flow should help a bit in this
regard but will likely not be enough for widespread rain. On the
plus side, the cold front should knock temperatures back to
seasonal for the end of the weekend.

/57/

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1244 PM CST Mon Nov 3 2025

For the 03/18z TAF period...Expect VFR conditions, with mostly
clear skies, to continue through the period. Winds will range from
light/variable to southerly between 5-8 mph. /20/

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 1054 PM CST Sun Nov 2 2025

Spotter activation will not be needed through Monday night.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  74  47  76  51 /   0   0   0   0
MLU  69  42  74  45 /   0   0   0   0
DEQ  71  41  73  45 /   0   0   0   0
TXK  73  46  75  51 /   0   0   0   0
ELD  69  42  72  45 /   0   0   0   0
TYR  74  47  76  54 /   0   0   0   0
GGG  74  45  76  50 /   0   0   0   0
LFK  75  43  77  50 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&


$$

DISCUSSION...57
AVIATION...20

Latest Hazardous Weather Outlook

IMPORTANT: This page is a tool to help pilots better visualize weather and weather-related hazards, and is not a substitute for a weather briefing obtained from a Flight Service Station (1-800-WXBRIEF). The information contained here does not meet the FAA requirements for a pre-flight weather brief. Therefore, it is important that pilots call and obtain a briefing from an FAA Flight Service Specialist.

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Wind and Rain in the Northeast; Atmospheric River to Impact the West

NWS Shreveport Aviation Weather Page