National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Heavy Rain in Arklatex Region; Return of Heavy Mountain Snow to the West

An approaching Arctic boundary will interact with a very warm and moisture ladened boundary to produce heavy rain from the South and Central Plains into the Mid-South. An upper level low will continue to produce accumulating snow in the 4-Corners and into the Plains. A pair of weather systems will bring lower elevation rain with heavy mountain snow to the Pacific Northwest, then across the West. Read More >

NWS Shreveport Aviation Weather Services
 
Local TAFs
LOUISIANA
Shreveport Regional (SHV) Monroe (MLU)
Tactical Decision Aid Tactical Decision Aid

000
FTUS44 KSHV 062333
TAFSHV
TAF
KSHV 062333Z 0700/0724 19006KT P6SM FEW026 OVC045
FM070600 19006KT P6SM VCSH OVC015
FM071600 21010KT P6SM OVC025
FM071900 19009KT P6SM OVC035
FM072200 18008KT P6SM VCSH BKN070=

000
FTUS44 KSHV 062333
TAFMLU
TAF
KMLU 062333Z 0700/0724 21006KT P6SM BKN040 BKN045 OVC060
FM071000 20007KT P6SM -RA OVC015
FM071300 21010KT P6SM VCSH OVC015
FM071500 21010G16KT P6SM OVC040
FM072100 21008KT P6SM BKN070=
   
TEXAS
Tyler (TYR) Longview (GGG)
Tactical Decision Aid Tactical Decision Aid
000
FTUS44 KSHV 062333
TAFTYR
TAF
KTYR 062333Z 0700/0724 20008KT P6SM FEW029 BKN040
     FM070700 19007KT P6SM VCSH OVC015
     FM071300 20010KT 5SM -RA OVC010
     FM071600 21010KT P6SM OVC015
     FM072100 20008KT P6SM BKN050=
000
FTUS44 KSHV 062333
TAFGGG
TAF
KGGG 062333Z 0700/0724 19008KT P6SM FEW040
     FM070400 19005KT P6SM VCSH OVC007
     FM071000 19008KT 6SM BR OVC010
     FM071500 19010KT P6SM OVC020
     FM071900 20009KT P6SM BKN035
     FM072200 20008KT P6SM BKN050=
Lufkin (LFK)
Tactical Decision Aid

000
FTUS44 KSHV 062333
TAFLFK
TAF
KLFK 062333Z 0700/0724 20004KT P6SM FEW035 OVC050
FM071000 17004KT P6SM OVC007
FM071500 19009KT P6SM OVC015
FM071700 19009KT P6SM OVC035
FM072100 20010KT P6SM BKN050=
   
ARKANSAS
Texarkana (TXK) El Dorado (ELD)
Tactical Decision Aid Tactical Decision Aid
000
FTUS44 KSHV 062333
TAFTXK
TAF
KTXK 062333Z 0700/0724 20005KT P6SM FEW040
     FM070800 20004KT 3SM -SHRA BR OVC010
     FM071200 18005KT 3SM -RA OVC007
     FM071500 20008KT 4SM -SHRA VCTS OVC008CB
     FM072100 21010KT 5SM -RA OVC010=
000
FTUS44 KSHV 062333
TAFELD
TAF
KELD 062333Z 0700/0724 18009KT P6SM SCT024 OVC045
     FM070800 19004KT 5SM -SHRA BR OVC015
     FM071500 20007KT 6SM -RA OVC020
     FM071700 19009KT P6SM VCSH OVC020
     FM072100 18006KT P6SM OVC035=
 
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Regional TAFs
LOUISIANA
Alexandria (AEX) Baton Rouge (BTR)
Tactical Decision Aid Tactical Decision Aid
000
FTUS44 KLCH 062320
TAFAEX
TAF
KAEX 062320Z 0700/0724 21011G17KT P6SM SCT025 BKN050
     FM070300 17007KT P6SM BKN050
      TEMPO 0710/0713 VRB03KT 4SM BR SCT006=
000
FTUS44 KLIX 062354 CCA
TAFBTR
TAF COR
KBTR 062354Z 0700/0724 20011KT P6SM BKN025
     FM070300 16004KT P6SM SCT007
     FM071000 VRB03KT 2SM BR BKN025
     FM071400 VRB03KT P6SM BKN035=
Lake Charles (LCH) New Orleans (MSY)
Tactical Decision Aid Tactical Decision Aid

000
FTUS44 KLCH 062320
TAFLCH
TAF
KLCH 062320Z 0700/0724 20012KT P6SM BKN040
FM070200 18006KT P6SM BKN040
FM070700 16004KT 3SM BR SCT007 BKN025
TEMPO 0709/0713 1/2SM FG BKN005
FM071500 17010KT P6SM BKN035=

000
FTUS44 KLIX 062320
TAFMSY
TAF
KMSY 062320Z 0700/0806 16008KT P6SM SCT050
FM070800 VRB03KT P6SM BKN003
FM071400 VRB03KT P6SM BKN025
FM071800 17005KT P6SM SCT050=
 
TEXAS
College Station (CLL) Dallas/Fort Worth International (DFW)
Tactical Decision Aid Tactical Decision Aid
000
FTUS44 KHGX 062336
TAFCLL
TAF
KCLL 062336Z 0700/0724 VRB05KT P6SM SCT040 BKN250
     FM071000 17006KT P6SM BKN025
     FM071200 16006KT P6SM OVC015
     FM071500 18010KT P6SM BKN028
     FM071800 18014KT P6SM SCT040=
000
FTUS44 KFWD 062326
TAFDFW
TAF
KDFW 062326Z 0700/0806 34006KT P6SM VCSH BKN150
     FM070700 04006KT P6SM -SHRA BKN015
     FM071300 01005KT 5SM -SHRA BR OVC007
     FM071800 02005KT P6SM VCSH OVC009
     FM072200 12006KT P6SM OVC025=
Dallas-Love Field (DAL) Houston-Bush Intercontinental (IAH)
Tactical Decision Aid Tactical Decision Aid
000
FTUS44 KFWD 062326
TAFDAL
TAF
KDAL 062326Z 0700/0724 25004KT P6SM FEW035 BKN150
     FM070100 34005KT P6SM VCSH SCT025 BKN100
     FM070700 04006KT P6SM -SHRA BKN015
     FM071300 01005KT 5SM -SHRA BR OVC007
     FM071800 02005KT P6SM VCSH OVC009
     FM072200 12006KT P6SM OVC025=
000
FTUS44 KHGX 062336
TAFIAH
TAF
KIAH 062336Z 0700/0806 20005KT P6SM FEW030 SCT050 BKN250
     FM070500 VRB04KT 6SM BR SCT015 BKN030
     FM070900 VRB04KT 5SM BR OVC007
     FM071500 16006KT P6SM OVC028
     FM071700 17011KT P6SM SCT050
     FM080500 15006KT 6SM BR SCT010=
Houston-Hobby (HOU)
Tactical Decision Aid
000
FTUS44 KHGX 062336
TAFHOU
TAF
KHOU 062336Z 0700/0724 18010KT P6SM SCT050 BKN250
     FM070500 15005KT 6SM BR SCT015 BKN030
     FM070900 18003KT 3SM BR OVC007
     FM071500 16005KT 6SM BR SCT006 BKN020
     FM071700 18012KT P6SM BKN040=
 
ARKANSAS
Hot Springs (HOT) Little Rock (LIT)
Tactical Decision Aid Tactical Decision Aid
000
FTUS44 KLZK 062329
TAFHOT
TAF
KHOT 062329Z 0700/0724 VRB04KT 6SM -SHRA BR BKN020 OVC030
     FM070400 VRB02KT 4SM -SHRA BR OVC015
     FM070600 VRB02KT 3SM -SHRA BR VCTS BKN005 OVC010CB
     FM071200 VRB05KT 4SM -SHRA VCTS OVC008CB=
000
FTUS44 KLZK 062329
TAFLIT
TAF
KLIT 062329Z 0700/0724 20005KT P6SM -SHRA SCT010 OVC025
     FM070400 VRB04KT 5SM -RA BR VCTS BKN008 OVC012CB
     FM071200 VRB06KT 4SM SHRA BR VCTS OVC006CB=
Pine Bluff (PBF)
Tactical Decision Aid
000
FTUS44 KLZK 062329
TAFPBF
TAF
KPBF 062329Z 0700/0724 20010KT P6SM VCSH OVC030
     FM070900 20004KT P6SM -SHRA VCTS BKN007 OVC015CB
     FM071200 20005KT 4SM -SHRA BR VCTS OVC006CB=
 
OKLAHOMA
McAlester (MLC) Oklahoma City-Will Rogers (OKC)
Tactical Decision Aid Tactical Decision Aid
000
FTUS44 KTSA 062333
TAFMLC
TAF
KMLC 062333Z 0700/0724 36004KT P6SM OVC015
     FM071600 VRB03KT 5SM -SHRA BR OVC008=
000
FTUS44 KOUN 070011 AAA
TAFOKC
TAF AMD
KOKC 070011Z 0700/0724 04006KT P6SM BKN009 BKN250
     FM070900 04005KT 5SM BR SCT012 BKN250
      TEMPO 0710/0714 2SM BR BKN012
     FM071400 13007KT 5SM BR OVC015
     FM072000 10008KT 4SM -RA BR OVC015=
Tulsa International (TUL)
Tactical Decision Aid
000
FTUS44 KTSA 062333
TAFTUL
TAF
KTUL 062333Z 0700/0724 36004KT P6SM OVC008
     FM070600 01003KT 4SM BR OVC004
     FM071700 08004KT P6SM OVC012 PROB30 0721/0724 5SM -SHRA BR=
 
NWS-Shreveport Aviation Forecast Discussion
 
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Flight Category Definitions
Category Ceilings And/Or Visibilities
VFR Greater than 3000 ft AND Greater than 5 SM
MVFR Greater than or equal to 1000 ft, but less than or equal to 3000 ft AND/OR Greater than or equal to 3 SM, but less than or equal to 5 SM
IFR Greater than or equal to 500 ft, but less than 1000 ft AND/OR Greater than or equal to 1 SM, but less than 3 SM
LIFR Less than 500 ft AND/OR Less than 1 SM
 
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Southern Plains Southern Mississippi Valley
Southern Plains radar loop Southern Mississippi Valley radar loop
   
Shreveport (SHV) Base Reflectivity 0.5º Shreveport (SHV) Base Velocity 0.5º
Shreveport Radar Base Reflectivity 0.5 degrees Shreveport Radar Base Velocity 0.5 degrees
   
Fort Polk (POE) Base Reflectivity 0.5º Fort Polk (POE) Base Velocity 0.5º
Fort Polk Radar Base Reflectivity 0.5 degrees Fort Polk Radar Base Velocity 0.5 degrees
 
Fort Smith (SRX) Base Reflectivity 0.5º Fort Smith (SRX) Base Velocity 0.5º
Fort Smith Radar Base Reflectivity 0.5 degrees Fort Smith Radar Base Velocity 0.5 degrees
 
Little Rock (LZK) Base Reflectivity 0.5º Little Rock (LZK) Base Velocity 0.5º
Little Rock Radar Base Reflectivity 0.5 degrees Little Rock Radar Base Velocity 0.5 degrees
 
Inola (INX) Base Reflectivity 0.5º Inola (INX) Base Velocity 0.5º
Inola Radar Base Reflectivity 0.5 degrees Inola Radar Base Velocity 0.5 degrees
 
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Latest Observed Sounding from Shreveport
 
RAP Vertical Wind Forecasts
Shreveport Regional Airport (SHV) Monroe Regional Airport (MLU)
RAP Vertical Wind Forecast for Shreveport RAP Vertical Wind Forecast for Monroe
Tyler Pounds Regional Airport (TYR) Longview-East Texas Regional Airport (GGG)
RAP Vertical Wind Forecast for Tyler RAP Vertical Wind Forecast for Longview
Lufkin-Angelina County Airport (LFK) Texarkana Regional Airport-Webb Field (TXK)
RAP Vertical Wind Forecast for Lufkin RAP Vertical Wind Forecast for TXK
El Dorado-South Arkansas Regional Airport (ELD)
RAP Vertical Wind Forecast for El Dorado
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Latest Area Forecast Discussion (AFD)
000
FXUS64 KSHV 070006
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
606 PM CST Tue Dec 6 2022

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Wednesday Night)
Issued at 239 PM CST Tue Dec 6 2022

A frontal boundary across eastern Oklahoma into Arkansas will be
the main driver of the weather pattern through the short-term
period. The front is forecast to remain in place through Wednesday
before gradually lifting north on Wednesday night. Low-level
instability associated with the front combined with moist west to
southwest flow aloft will maintain mostly cloudy skies through the
period across the entire ArkLaTex. Rain chances will gradually
increase tonight through Wednesday along the frontal boundary as
instability increases in response to an upper-trough kicking out
of the Rockies and moving east into the Great Plains. However,
forcing across the ArkLaTex will be relatively weak, allowing for
mainly widespread showers tonight, mainly in the vicinity of the
front across Arkansas and Oklahoma, with the addition of isolated
thunderstorms on Wednesday into Wednesday night. Otherwise, expect
warm temperatures across the region with highs on Wednesday
approaching 80 degrees across much of east Texas and north
Louisiana with slightly cooler temperatures across the I-30
corridor where rain chances will be higher. Overnight lows both
tonight and Wednesday night will be in the 60s. /05/

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday Night through Tuesday)
Issued at 239 PM CST Tue Dec 6 2022

The recent long term forecast story, featuring waves of moisture
riding on southwesterly flow on the northwest side of a stubborn
ridge over the Gulf, will change little this week. Said area of
ridging established over the Gulf of Mexico by mid week will remain
firmly in place through the end of the workweek and into the
weekend. Late in the weekend, this long lived pattern will start to
come to an end, as the upper level high breaks down and the ridge
broadens and begins to drift east, making way for the next large
scale feature of note. A pronounced trough will dig south from
Canada, deep into the Rockies before ejecting east over the Great
Plains early next week, characterized by a tight gradient of 500mb
heights on its leading edge, extending from the Great Lakes south
and west into west Texas and northern Mexico. This trough looks to
bring with it a potent cold front, which when introduced to the
warmer, very moist environment across the southeast, may set the
stage for another round of unsettled weather.

It remains far too early to deal in speculation of precise
specifics, but it bears mentioning that the latest SPC severe
weather outlook highlights the ArkLaTex in a slight risk (15%) for
Day 7 (Monday, December 12th). There is still plenty of time for
this forecast to drift in both time and space, but based on previous
performance of Day 7 SWOs highlighting the ArkLaTex this season,
this feature will be closely monitored in the coming days.

Rainfall will progress south and east into the ArkLaTex Thursday,
lingering overnight before clearing the region Friday afternoon. The
next wave will be hot on its heels, with rain chances returning to
our northern and western zones shortly after sunset, overtaking the
region and remaining areawide through Tuesday, not departing
entirely until overnight into Wednesday.

Above average temperatures late this week (mid to upper 70s) will
begin to fall over the weekend (upper 50s to lower 70s) before
rebounding slightly early next week in advance of the frontally-
driven cool down. Lows will drift accordingly, from 50s to 60s late
this week, followed by a round of 40s to 50s, and a return of 30s
mid next week. /26/

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 536 PM CST Tue Dec 6 2022

Mainly OVC skies will prevail across all terminals through the
00z TAF cycle as a warm front continues to advance north of the
airspace. As a boundary sets into place, this will help to generate
-RA, increasing in coverage by 07/11z, with possibly even -SHRA
across extreme northern terminals by 07/15z. The general theme is
for VFR conditions to prevail through the early stages of the
period ahead of MVFR with lowering CIGs. Some brief IFR conditions
may be possible across terminals by mid to late morning. Continue
to expect south to southwest winds to average between 5 to 10
knots through the period, with an occasional gust not out of the
question.

/53/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  67  80  65  77 /  30  20  10  10
MLU  66  80  64  79 /  20  20  10  10
DEQ  60  70  60  73 /  70  90  70  60
TXK  65  76  64  76 /  70  70  40  40
ELD  63  76  61  75 /  60  60  30  20
TYR  66  78  66  77 /  40  20  10  30
GGG  67  79  65  77 /  30  20  10  20
LFK  66  81  65  79 /  10  10   0  10

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...05
LONG TERM....26
AVIATION...53

   
Latest Hazardous Weather Outlook
000
FLUS44 KSHV 061847
HWOSHV

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1247 PM CST Tue Dec 6 2022

ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022-OKZ077-TXZ096-
097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167-071900-
Sevier-Howard-Little River-Hempstead-Nevada-Miller-Lafayette-
Columbia-Union-Caddo-Bossier-Webster-Claiborne-Lincoln-De Soto-
Red River-Bienville-Jackson-Ouachita-Sabine-Natchitoches-Winn-Grant-
Caldwell-La Salle-McCurtain-Bowie-Franklin-Titus-Camp-Morris-Cass-
Wood-Upshur-Marion-Smith-Gregg-Harrison-Cherokee-Rusk-Panola-
Nacogdoches-Shelby-Angelina-San Augustine-
1247 PM CST Tue Dec 6 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for south central Arkansas,
southwest Arkansas, north central Louisiana, northwest Louisiana,
southeast Oklahoma, east Texas and northeast Texas.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time. Showers and a few
isolated thunderstorms will be possible across portions of the
ArkLaTex through the work week, with the highest rainfall amounts
centered north of I-30.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

 
 

 

 
IMPORTANT: This page is a tool to help pilots better visualize weather and weather-related hazards, and is not a substitute for a weather briefing obtained from a Flight Service Station (1-800-WXBRIEF). The information contained here does not meet the FAA requirements for a pre-flight weather brief. Therefore, it is important that pilots call and obtain a briefing from an FAA Flight Service Specialist.