Tropical Moisture Brings Heavy Rain to Southwest; Strong Coastal Low to Impact the East Coast

Deep tropical moisture surging into the Southwest U.S. will lead to widespread showers and thunderstorms capable of producing flash flooding the next several days. A strong coastal low will develop late Friday and is expected to bring flooding, high surf, dangerous rip currents, gusty winds and heavy rain to much of the U.S. East Coast through early next week. Read More >

NWS Shreveport Aviation Weather Services

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Graphical Forecasts

Local TAFs

LOUISIANA
Shreveport Regional (SHV)	Monroe (MLU)
Tactical Decision Aid	Tactical Decision Aid
566 FTUS44 KSHV 100551 TAFSHV TAF KSHV 100551Z 1006/1106 04005KT P6SM SKC FM101800 05006KT P6SM FEW050 FM110000 VRB03KT P6SM FEW250=	570 FTUS44 KSHV 100551 TAFMLU TAF KMLU 100551Z 1006/1106 03005KT P6SM SKC FM101800 04006KT P6SM FEW050 FM110000 VRB03KT P6SM FEW250=

TEXAS

Tyler (TYR)

Longview (GGG)

Tactical Decision Aid

                        
568
FTUS44 KSHV 100551
TAFTYR
TAF
KTYR 100551Z 1006/1106 07005KT P6SM SKC
     FM101800 05006KT P6SM FEW050
     FM110000 VRB03KT P6SM FEW250=

                        
572
FTUS44 KSHV 100551
TAFGGG
TAF
KGGG 100551Z 1006/1106 06004KT P6SM SKC
     FM101800 05006KT P6SM FEW050
     FM110000 VRB03KT P6SM FEW250=

Lufkin (LFK)

Tactical Decision Aid

                        

569

FTUS44 KSHV 100551

TAFLFK

TAF

KLFK 100551Z 1006/1106 05005KT P6SM SKC

     FM101800 05006KT P6SM FEW050

     FM110000 VRB03KT P6SM FEW250=

ARKANSAS
Texarkana (TXK)	El Dorado (ELD)
Tactical Decision Aid	Tactical Decision Aid
567 FTUS44 KSHV 100551 TAFTXK TAF KTXK 100551Z 1006/1106 07005KT P6SM SKC FM101800 06006KT P6SM FEW050 FM110000 VRB03KT P6SM FEW250=	571 FTUS44 KSHV 100551 TAFELD TAF KELD 100551Z 1006/1106 VRB03KT P6SM SKC FM101800 03006KT P6SM FEW250 FM110000 VRB03KT P6SM FEW250=

Regional TAFs

LOUISIANA
Alexandria (AEX)	Baton Rouge (BTR)
Tactical Decision Aid	Tactical Decision Aid
242 FTUS44 KLCH 100520 TAFAEX TAF KAEX 100520Z 1006/1106 03005KT P6SM SKC=	690 FTUS44 KLIX 100520 TAFBTR TAF KBTR 100520Z 1006/1106 02007KT P6SM SKC=
Lake Charles (LCH)	New Orleans (MSY)
Tactical Decision Aid	Tactical Decision Aid
233 FTUS44 KLCH 100520 TAFLCH TAF KLCH 100520Z 1006/1106 04008KT P6SM SKC FM110000 03004KT P6SM SKC=	774 FTUS44 KLIX 100520 TAFMSY TAF KMSY 100520Z 1006/1112 03010G20KT P6SM SKC FM102100 06009KT P6SM FEW050 FM110000 06008KT P6SM SKC=

TEXAS

College Station (CLL)

Dallas/Fort Worth International (DFW)

Tactical Decision Aid

                        
494
FTUS44 KHGX 100520
TAFCLL
TAF
KCLL 100520Z 1006/1106 06009KT P6SM SKC
     FM101600 04009KT P6SM SKC
     FM110000 04005KT P6SM SKC=

                        
136
FTUS44 KFWD 100848 AAA
TAFDFW
TAF AMD
KDFW 100848Z 1009/1112 10006KT P6SM SKC=

Dallas-Love Field (DAL)

Houston-Bush Intercontinental (IAH)

Tactical Decision Aid

                        
137
FTUS44 KFWD 100848 AAA
TAFDAL
TAF AMD
KDAL 100848Z 1009/1106 10006KT P6SM SKC=

                        
997
FTUS44 KHGX 100833 AAA
TAFIAH
TAF AMD
KIAH 100833Z 1009/1112 VRB04KT P6SM FEW250
     FM101500 04010KT P6SM SKC
     FM110100 VRB05KT P6SM SKC=

Houston-Hobby (HOU)

Tactical Decision Aid

                        
856
FTUS44 KHGX 100834 AAA
TAFHOU
TAF AMD
KHOU 100834Z 1009/1106 VRB05KT P6SM SKC
     FM101500 04010KT P6SM SKC
     FM110000 04005KT P6SM SKC=

ARKANSAS

Hot Springs (HOT)

Little Rock (LIT)

Tactical Decision Aid

                        
287
FTUS44 KLZK 100520
TAFHOT
TAF
KHOT 100520Z 1006/1106 VRB04KT P6SM SKC
     FM101500 07006KT P6SM SKC
     FM110100 VRB02KT P6SM SKC=

                        
296
FTUS44 KLZK 100520
TAFLIT
TAF
KLIT 100520Z 1006/1106 VRB05KT P6SM SKC
     FM101800 07007KT P6SM FEW250
     FM110100 VRB02KT P6SM SKC=

Pine Bluff (PBF)

Tactical Decision Aid

                        
301
FTUS44 KLZK 100520
TAFPBF
TAF
KPBF 100520Z 1006/1106 VRB05KT P6SM SKC
     FM101500 04008KT P6SM SKC
     FM110100 VRB03KT P6SM SKC=

OKLAHOMA

McAlester (MLC)

Oklahoma City-Will Rogers (OKC)

Tactical Decision Aid

                        
639
FTUS44 KTSA 100530
TAFMLC
TAF
KMLC 100530Z 1006/1106 VRB04KT P6SM SKC
     FM101500 20006KT P6SM SKC
     FM110000 16004KT P6SM SCT250=

                        
407
FTUS44 KOUN 100520
TAFOKC
TAF
KOKC 100520Z 1006/1106 16006KT P6SM FEW250
     FM101500 20010KT P6SM SCT250
     FM110000 18006KT P6SM SCT250=

Tulsa International (TUL)

Tactical Decision Aid

                        
636
FTUS44 KTSA 100530
TAFTUL
TAF
KTUL 100530Z 1006/1106 14005KT P6SM SKC
     FM101500 19009KT P6SM FEW070 FEW250
     FM110000 16005KT P6SM SCT060 BKN250=

NWS-Shreveport Aviation Forecast Discussion

                        
516
FXUS64 KSHV 100606
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
106 AM CDT Fri Oct 10 2025

...New DISCUSSION, SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1253 AM CDT Fri Oct 10 2025

 - Very pleasant conditions will prevail over the next few days
   with much drier air in place.

 - Daytime temperatures will gradually warm back into the mid and
   upper 80s this weekend as the upper-level ridge expands east.

 - The warming trend will continue into next week with lower 90s
   returning to many locations as the upper ridge builds overhead.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1253 AM CDT Fri Oct 10 2025

The next few days will provide a brief respite from the prolonged
stretch of above average temperatures and humidity with very dry
NW flow aloft. This flow pattern is due to the westward migration
of the upper-level ridge, allowing for a continuation of slightly
milder temperatures and light NE winds. This will yield daytime
temperatures mainly in the 80s for highs with pleasant overnight
lows in the 50s to lower 60s through this weekend. By Sunday, we
may begin to see high temperatures creep back toward 90 degrees in
some locations as winds veer around to the south with the upper
ridge expanding back eastward across the region.

This trend toward increasingly above average temperatures will
only become more amplified into early next week given the strength
and placement of the ridge axis. With the center of the ridge axis
oriented from SW to NE across our region, expect strong subsidence
with high temperatures warming back into the upper 80s and lower
90s for much of next week. This regime will begin to take on more
of an omega block pattern as the week progresses and stifle any
rain chances through the end of next week. As a result, expanding
drought and fire danger concerns will only continue to grow until
we see some appreciable rainfall.

/19/

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1253 AM CDT Fri Oct 10 2025

For the 10/06Z TAF period...Expect VFR conditions to continue
areawide, with little cloud cover. Northeast winds will become
light/variable to calm by the end of the period. /20/

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 1223 AM CDT Fri Oct 10 2025

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  85  60  88  63 /   0   0   0   0
MLU  84  57  86  58 /   0   0   0   0
DEQ  83  57  84  57 /   0   0   0   0
TXK  85  58  88  60 /   0   0   0   0
ELD  80  54  84  56 /   0   0   0   0
TYR  85  60  87  62 /   0   0   0   0
GGG  85  57  87  59 /   0   0   0   0
LFK  88  58  87  59 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&


$$

DISCUSSION...19
AVIATION...05

Flight Category Definitions

Category	Ceilings	And/Or	Visibilities
VFR	Greater than 3000 ft	AND	Greater than 5 SM
MVFR	Greater than or equal to 1000 ft, but less than or equal to 3000 ft	AND/OR	Greater than or equal to 3 SM, but less than or equal to 5 SM
IFR	Greater than or equal to 500 ft, but less than 1000 ft	AND/OR	Greater than or equal to 1 SM, but less than 3 SM
LIFR	Less than 500 ft	AND/OR	Less than 1 SM

Southern Plains	Southern Mississippi Valley

Shreveport (SHV) Base Reflectivity 0.3º	Fort Johnson (POE) Base Reflectivity 0.5º

Fort Smith (SRX) Base Reflectivity 0.5º	Little Rock (LZK) Base Reflectivity 0.5º

Fort Worth Spinks Airport (FWS) Base Reflectivity 0.5º

Latest Observed Sounding from Shreveport

RAP Vertical Wind Forecasts
Shreveport Regional Airport (KSHV)	Monroe Regional Airport (KMLU)
Tyler Pounds Regional Airport (KTYR)	Longview-East Texas Regional Airport (KGGG)
Lufkin-Angelina County Airport (KLFK)	Texarkana Regional Airport-Webb Field (KTXK)
El Dorado-South Arkansas Regional Airport (KELD)

Latest Area Forecast Discussion (AFD)

                        
516
FXUS64 KSHV 100606
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
106 AM CDT Fri Oct 10 2025

...New DISCUSSION, SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1253 AM CDT Fri Oct 10 2025

 - Very pleasant conditions will prevail over the next few days
   with much drier air in place.

 - Daytime temperatures will gradually warm back into the mid and
   upper 80s this weekend as the upper-level ridge expands east.

 - The warming trend will continue into next week with lower 90s
   returning to many locations as the upper ridge builds overhead.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1253 AM CDT Fri Oct 10 2025

The next few days will provide a brief respite from the prolonged
stretch of above average temperatures and humidity with very dry
NW flow aloft. This flow pattern is due to the westward migration
of the upper-level ridge, allowing for a continuation of slightly
milder temperatures and light NE winds. This will yield daytime
temperatures mainly in the 80s for highs with pleasant overnight
lows in the 50s to lower 60s through this weekend. By Sunday, we
may begin to see high temperatures creep back toward 90 degrees in
some locations as winds veer around to the south with the upper
ridge expanding back eastward across the region.

This trend toward increasingly above average temperatures will
only become more amplified into early next week given the strength
and placement of the ridge axis. With the center of the ridge axis
oriented from SW to NE across our region, expect strong subsidence
with high temperatures warming back into the upper 80s and lower
90s for much of next week. This regime will begin to take on more
of an omega block pattern as the week progresses and stifle any
rain chances through the end of next week. As a result, expanding
drought and fire danger concerns will only continue to grow until
we see some appreciable rainfall.

/19/

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1253 AM CDT Fri Oct 10 2025

For the 10/06Z TAF period...Expect VFR conditions to continue
areawide, with little cloud cover. Northeast winds will become
light/variable to calm by the end of the period. /20/

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 1223 AM CDT Fri Oct 10 2025

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  85  60  88  63 /   0   0   0   0
MLU  84  57  86  58 /   0   0   0   0
DEQ  83  57  84  57 /   0   0   0   0
TXK  85  58  88  60 /   0   0   0   0
ELD  80  54  84  56 /   0   0   0   0
TYR  85  60  87  62 /   0   0   0   0
GGG  85  57  87  59 /   0   0   0   0
LFK  88  58  87  59 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&


$$

DISCUSSION...19
AVIATION...05

Latest Hazardous Weather Outlook

IMPORTANT: This page is a tool to help pilots better visualize weather and weather-related hazards, and is not a substitute for a weather briefing obtained from a Flight Service Station (1-800-WXBRIEF). The information contained here does not meet the FAA requirements for a pre-flight weather brief. Therefore, it is important that pilots call and obtain a briefing from an FAA Flight Service Specialist.

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Tropical Moisture Brings Heavy Rain to Southwest; Strong Coastal Low to Impact the East Coast

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