River Flooding Continues in East Florida; Rain and Thunderstorms from the Mid-Atlantic to the Northeast Thursday; Heavy Rain in Puerto Rico
Significant river flooding is forecast along the St. John’s and the Peace rivers through the end of the week as flood waters will be slow to recede. Periods of rainfall and thunderstorms are expected across the Lower Great Lakes, Central Appalachians, Mid-Atlantic and Northeast Thursday and Friday. In Puerto Rico, increased moisture in the Atlantic will produce heavy rainfall for the island.
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348
FXUS64 KSHV 042323
AFDSHV
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
Issued by National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
523 PM CST Wed Nov 4 2026
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1236 AM CST Wed Nov 4 2026
- Cooler and drier air will continue settle into the region behind
the recent cold front with more seasonable temperatures
expected through the end of this week.
- A weaker cold front will move through the region on Friday,
reinforcing the cool and dry air mass already in place with
little if any chance of additional rainfall.
- An upper-level disturbance will eject the from the Rockies into
the Southern Plains by late this weekend into early next week
and may induce some scattered showers for parts of our region.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 319 PM CST Wed Nov 4 2026
Northwest winds, in wake of yesterday`s cold front, have brought a
drier airmass into the fire districts today. Expect sunny skies to
prevail this afternoon, with highs in the low to mid 70s. By this
evening, surface high pressure will settle over the area, yielding
calm to light/variable winds and little cloud cover. With wet soils
in place from yesterday`s rainfall, short-term models suggest
widespread fog will develop across the region overnight. Can`t rule
out some dense fog as well. The fog should lift by mid-morning
Thursday. Similar weather will be on tap for the remainder of
Thursday, as high pressure remains over the region. On Friday, a
cool front will move across the region. Moisture will be limited
with the front, but there could be enough dynamics to squeeze out
some light rain, mainly north of I-30. Otherwise, expect the front
to bring us a reinforcing shot of cooler and drier conditions for
Friday and Saturday. By the end of the weekend into early next week,
the pattern gets a little interesting. The NBM is keeping dry
weather in the forecast, despite a closed upper trough diving out of
the Rockies into western Texas and eventually over the region.
Moisture will be limited, as the trough gets closer and directly
over the area, out I wouldn`t be shocked to see some light rain
develop over the forecast zones. At the very least, it will bring us
cloudy skies and seasonally near normal temperatures
/28/
&&
.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 516 PM CST Wed Nov 4 2026
VFR prevails across the region this evening with light and
variable winds beneath a thin veil of contrails generally above
25 KFT. The main concern overnight into early Thursday morning
will be the potential for areas of dense fog as temperatures
quickly cool to near saturation after dark. Winds will generally
remain calm overnight and we`ll show visibilities dropping after
midnight and carry a TEMPO for 1/2SM FG at all sites into early
Thursday morning. Fog should dissipate by late morning with VFR
prevailing into the afternoon. A light southerly wind should
prevail by afternoon.
Dunn
&&
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 319 PM CST Wed Nov 4 2026
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV 47 74 53 72 / 0 0 0 0
MLU 45 75 48 76 / 0 0 0 0
DEQ 39 74 47 70 / 0 0 10 0
TXK 44 72 50 69 / 0 0 0 0
ELD 40 77 44 74 / 0 0 0 0
TYR 48 75 54 71 / 0 0 0 0
GGG 44 75 51 72 / 0 0 0 0
LFK 44 80 52 76 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&
$$
348
FXUS64 KSHV 042323
AFDSHV
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
Issued by National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
523 PM CST Wed Nov 4 2026
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1236 AM CST Wed Nov 4 2026
- Cooler and drier air will continue settle into the region behind
the recent cold front with more seasonable temperatures
expected through the end of this week.
- A weaker cold front will move through the region on Friday,
reinforcing the cool and dry air mass already in place with
little if any chance of additional rainfall.
- An upper-level disturbance will eject the from the Rockies into
the Southern Plains by late this weekend into early next week
and may induce some scattered showers for parts of our region.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 319 PM CST Wed Nov 4 2026
Northwest winds, in wake of yesterday`s cold front, have brought a
drier airmass into the fire districts today. Expect sunny skies to
prevail this afternoon, with highs in the low to mid 70s. By this
evening, surface high pressure will settle over the area, yielding
calm to light/variable winds and little cloud cover. With wet soils
in place from yesterday`s rainfall, short-term models suggest
widespread fog will develop across the region overnight. Can`t rule
out some dense fog as well. The fog should lift by mid-morning
Thursday. Similar weather will be on tap for the remainder of
Thursday, as high pressure remains over the region. On Friday, a
cool front will move across the region. Moisture will be limited
with the front, but there could be enough dynamics to squeeze out
some light rain, mainly north of I-30. Otherwise, expect the front
to bring us a reinforcing shot of cooler and drier conditions for
Friday and Saturday. By the end of the weekend into early next week,
the pattern gets a little interesting. The NBM is keeping dry
weather in the forecast, despite a closed upper trough diving out of
the Rockies into western Texas and eventually over the region.
Moisture will be limited, as the trough gets closer and directly
over the area, out I wouldn`t be shocked to see some light rain
develop over the forecast zones. At the very least, it will bring us
cloudy skies and seasonally near normal temperatures
/28/
&&
.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 516 PM CST Wed Nov 4 2026
VFR prevails across the region this evening with light and
variable winds beneath a thin veil of contrails generally above
25 KFT. The main concern overnight into early Thursday morning
will be the potential for areas of dense fog as temperatures
quickly cool to near saturation after dark. Winds will generally
remain calm overnight and we`ll show visibilities dropping after
midnight and carry a TEMPO for 1/2SM FG at all sites into early
Thursday morning. Fog should dissipate by late morning with VFR
prevailing into the afternoon. A light southerly wind should
prevail by afternoon.
Dunn
&&
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 319 PM CST Wed Nov 4 2026
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV 47 74 53 72 / 0 0 0 0
MLU 45 75 48 76 / 0 0 0 0
DEQ 39 74 47 70 / 0 0 10 0
TXK 44 72 50 69 / 0 0 0 0
ELD 40 77 44 74 / 0 0 0 0
TYR 48 75 54 71 / 0 0 0 0
GGG 44 75 51 72 / 0 0 0 0
LFK 44 80 52 76 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&
$$
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IMPORTANT: This page is a tool to help pilots better visualize weather and weather-related hazards, and is not a substitute for a weather briefing obtained from a Flight Service Station (1-800-WXBRIEF). The information contained here does not meet the FAA requirements for a pre-flight weather brief. Therefore, it is important that pilots call and obtain a briefing from an FAA Flight Service Specialist.
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