262
FTUS44 KSHV 071126
TAFSHV
TAF
KSHV 071126Z 0712/0812 VRB03KT P6SM VCSH OVC070
     FM071600 15005KT P6SM VCSH OVC050
     FM072100 16005KT 6SM -SHRA OVC050
     FM080300 17004KT 6SM -SHRA OVC020
     FM080600 15004KT 4SM -SHRA OVC010=

                

                        
163
FTUS44 KSHV 071126
TAFMLU
TAF
KMLU 071126Z 0712/0812 VRB03KT P6SM OVC080
     FM071600 16003KT P6SM OVC060
     FM072100 16003KT P6SM VCSH OVC060
     FM080300 18003KT 6SM -SHRA OVC030
     FM080900 VRB03KT 6SM -SHRA OVC020=

                

                        
994
FTUS44 KSHV 071126
TAFTYR
TAF
KTYR 071126Z 0712/0812 VRB03KT 6SM -RA OVC070
     FM071500 15006KT 6SM -SHRA OVC050
     FM071800 15005KT P6SM VCSH OVC050
     FM072200 17004KT P6SM -SHRA OVC040
     FM080300 15003KT 6SM BR VCSH OVC015
     FM080600 15004KT 4SM -SHRA OVC010=

                

                        
936
FTUS44 KSHV 071126
TAFGGG
TAF
KGGG 071126Z 0712/0812 VRB03KT 6SM -RA OVC070
     FM071500 15006KT 6SM -SHRA OVC050
     FM071800 15005KT P6SM VCSH OVC050
     FM072200 17004KT P6SM -SHRA OVC040
     FM080400 15003KT 6SM BR VCSH OVC015
     FM080600 15004KT 4SM -SHRA OVC010=

                

                        
905
FTUS44 KSHV 071128 CCA
TAFTXK
TAF COR
KTXK 071128Z 0712/0812 18003KT P6SM OVC070
     FM071800 20006KT P6SM VCSH OVC050
     FM072100 20006KT 6SM -SHRA OVC050
     FM080400 21004KT 6SM BR VCSH OVC020
     FM080600 18004KT 4SM -SHRA OVC010=

                

                        
935
FTUS44 KSHV 071126
TAFELD
TAF
KELD 071126Z 0712/0812 VRB03KT P6SM OVC100
     FM071600 17005KT P6SM OVC070
     FM072200 17006KT P6SM VCSH OVC050
     FM080000 18005KT 6SM -SHRA OVC040
     FM080300 19002KT 6SM -SHRA BR OVC020
     FM080800 15004KT 4SM -SHRA OVC010=

                

                        
579
FTUS44 KLCH 071127
TAFAEX
TAF
KAEX 071127Z 0712/0812 07004KT P6SM VCSH BKN100
     FM071600 09005KT P6SM VCSH OVC100
     FM080600 12003KT P6SM OVC025 PROB30 0806/0812 P6SM -RA OVC050=

                

                        
910
FTUS44 KLIX 071127
TAFBTR
TAF
KBTR 071127Z 0712/0812 36004KT P6SM BKN200=

                

                        
727
FTUS44 KLCH 071127
TAFLCH
TAF
KLCH 071127Z 0712/0812 08005KT P6SM VCSH BKN100
     FM080000 08006KT P6SM VCSH OVC040
     FM080900 10009KT 4SM -RA BR OVC030=

                

                        

909

FTUS44 KLIX 071127

TAFMSY

TAF

KMSY 071127Z 0712/0818 07004KT P6SM SCT150

     FM081600 13007KT P6SM BKN045=


                

                        
648
FTUS44 KHGX 071355 AAA
TAFCLL
TAF AMD
KCLL 071355Z 0714/0812 02007KT 6SM -SHRA OVC060
     FM071600 09005KT P6SM -SHRA FEW008 OVC030 PROB30 0716/0722 4SM
      -SHRA BR OVC008
     FM072200 08005KT P6SM SCT007 OVC015 PROB30 0722/0803 4SM -SHRA
      BR OVC007
     FM080300 VRB04KT 3SM BR OVC007
     FM080600 00000KT 2SM BR OVC005 PROB30 0806/0812 3/4SM -SHRA BR
      OVC003=

                

                        
157
FTUS44 KFWD 071450 AAA
TAFDFW
TAF AMD
KDFW 071450Z 0715/0818 17005KT P6SM VCSH OVC040
      TEMPO 0715/0719 5SM -SHRA BKN025
     FM071900 19008KT 5SM -SHRA BKN025
     FM080200 18006KT 5SM BR VCSH OVC020
     FM081000 18005KT 4SM -SHRA BR OVC008
     FM081700 19011KT P6SM BKN011=

                

                        
156
FTUS44 KFWD 071450 AAA
TAFDAL
TAF AMD
KDAL 071450Z 0715/0812 17005KT P6SM VCSH OVC040
      TEMPO 0715/0719 5SM -SHRA BKN025
     FM071900 19008KT 5SM -SHRA BKN025
     FM080200 18006KT 5SM BR VCSH OVC020
     FM081000 18005KT 4SM -SHRA BR OVC008=

                

                        
611
FTUS44 KHGX 071502 AAA
TAFIAH
TAF AMD
KIAH 071502Z 0715/0818 04009KT P6SM VCSH OVC050
     FM071700 06006KT 6SM -SHRA BR FEW008 OVC040
      TEMPO 0717/0720 3SM SHRA BR SCT008 BKN015
     FM072000 07006KT P6SM VCSH SCT007 OVC015 PROB30 0720/0802 4SM
      -SHRA BR BKN007
     FM080200 07005KT 5SM BR BKN007 OVC015
     FM081000 VRB04KT 3SM BR VCSH OVC007 PROB30 0814/0818 1SM -SHRA
      BR=

                

                        
479
FTUS44 KLZK 071120
TAFHOT
TAF
KHOT 071120Z 0712/0812 00000KT P6SM SCT100 BKN250
     FM071600 21008KT P6SM FEW050 BKN150
     FM080000 20004KT P6SM OVC050 PROB30 0806/0812 P6SM -SHRA
      OVC015=

                

                        
483
FTUS44 KLZK 071120
TAFLIT
TAF
KLIT 071120Z 0712/0812 23007KT P6SM BKN250
     FM080000 20004KT P6SM OVC050 PROB30 0806/0812 P6SM -SHRA
      OVC015=

                

                        
706
FTUS44 KTSA 071120
TAFMLC
TAF
KMLC 071120Z 0712/0812 19005KT P6SM BKN100
     FM071600 19010KT P6SM BKN120
     FM080000 19006KT P6SM SCT050 BKN120
     FM080500 19006KT P6SM BKN015=

                

                        
148
FTUS44 KOUN 071120
TAFOKC
TAF
KOKC 071120Z 0712/0812 17008KT P6SM SCT150
     FM071600 19012G18KT P6SM BKN080
     FM080100 18010KT P6SM BKN020
     FM080600 19010KT 6SM BR OVC009=

                

                        
838
FXUS64 KSHV 071646
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1046 AM CST Sat Dec 7 2024

...New UPDATE...

.UPDATE...
Issued at 1041 AM CST Sat Dec 7 2024

Model guidance has struggled to resolve the extent of coverage of
this morning`s showers, thus revised PoP and wx grids to account
for the progression of rainfall across deep east Texas. These
showers- which may become moderately heavy at times- look to
continue into the early afternoon with a possible brief break for
some sites, with a secondary round of rainfall to follow, trekking
up from the southwest by mid to late afternoon. Based on
temperature tends this morning, modified this aftenroon`s maxT`s
slightly, nudging down values along the I-49 corridor, while
incorporating short range guidance allowing for additional warming
into southwest Arkansas before clouds fill in and rainfall
commences. Ingested the most recent several hours worth of
temperature and dew point observations and interpolated through to
00Z.

SP

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Saturday through Sunday)
Issued at 352 AM CST Sat Dec 7 2024

Slightly milder conditions will continue their return across the
Four State Region through the weekend. This is due to surface high
pressure shifting gradually eastward across the Mississippi
River, introducing more southerly winds across the area by
tomorrow. Until then, surface winds will remain slackened to calm
today, with cloud cover moderating temperature maximums into the
mid-50s. A mid-level disturbance embedded in southwesterly flow
aloft ahead of troughing exiting the southern Intermountain West
will boost precipitation chances starting tonight and picking up
in coverage as showers through tomorrow night. Temperature
maximums/minimums will be moderated higher into the low-to-mid 60s/upper
40s as a result by tomorrow. /16/

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday Night through Saturday)
Issued at 352 AM CST Sat Dec 7 2024

Active and warmer weather precedes the next frontal boundary
arriving next week across the Four State Region. This is due to
the temporal build-up of moisture from troughing and southerly
flow now into early next week, boosting temperature maximums into
the 70s before the frontal passage is expected by Tuesday.
Precipitation chances will last through Tuesday with additional
rainfall totals ranging from 0.5 to 1.5 inches in a gradient into
eastern Louisiana. Drier post-frontal conditions will involve
clearer skies by the middle of next week with temperatures later
rebounding to near-normal once again for this time of the year
(lower 60s/lower 40s). /16/

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 530 AM CST Sat Dec 7 2024

For the 07/12z TAFS...Light rain continues to move across our East
Texas sites and portions of Central Louisiana this morning.
However, VFR conditions remain across the region. Models suggest
this rainfall will rapidly diminish this morning, but rain chances
will return from west to east during the afternoon and evening
hours as a warm front lifts northward into the region. Expect
reduced flight categories as clouds will lower across the region
during the later half of the TAF period along with reduced vsybs
from rainfall. /20/

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 352 AM CST Sat Dec 7 2024

Spotter activation is not expected at this time. /16/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  53  46  63  55 /  30  60 100  60
MLU  55  43  65  58 /  10  50  90  90
DEQ  56  39  55  45 /  10  50 100  40
TXK  56  44  59  51 /  10  60 100  50
ELD  57  39  62  50 /  10  50 100  80
TYR  51  47  61  53 /  40  60  90  20
GGG  52  44  61  52 /  30  60 100  40
LFK  50  45  64  55 /  40  50  90  40

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...26
LONG TERM....16
AVIATION...20



                

                        
838
FXUS64 KSHV 071646
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1046 AM CST Sat Dec 7 2024

...New UPDATE...

.UPDATE...
Issued at 1041 AM CST Sat Dec 7 2024

Model guidance has struggled to resolve the extent of coverage of
this morning`s showers, thus revised PoP and wx grids to account
for the progression of rainfall across deep east Texas. These
showers- which may become moderately heavy at times- look to
continue into the early afternoon with a possible brief break for
some sites, with a secondary round of rainfall to follow, trekking
up from the southwest by mid to late afternoon. Based on
temperature tends this morning, modified this aftenroon`s maxT`s
slightly, nudging down values along the I-49 corridor, while
incorporating short range guidance allowing for additional warming
into southwest Arkansas before clouds fill in and rainfall
commences. Ingested the most recent several hours worth of
temperature and dew point observations and interpolated through to
00Z.

SP

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Saturday through Sunday)
Issued at 352 AM CST Sat Dec 7 2024

Slightly milder conditions will continue their return across the
Four State Region through the weekend. This is due to surface high
pressure shifting gradually eastward across the Mississippi
River, introducing more southerly winds across the area by
tomorrow. Until then, surface winds will remain slackened to calm
today, with cloud cover moderating temperature maximums into the
mid-50s. A mid-level disturbance embedded in southwesterly flow
aloft ahead of troughing exiting the southern Intermountain West
will boost precipitation chances starting tonight and picking up
in coverage as showers through tomorrow night. Temperature
maximums/minimums will be moderated higher into the low-to-mid 60s/upper
40s as a result by tomorrow. /16/

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday Night through Saturday)
Issued at 352 AM CST Sat Dec 7 2024

Active and warmer weather precedes the next frontal boundary
arriving next week across the Four State Region. This is due to
the temporal build-up of moisture from troughing and southerly
flow now into early next week, boosting temperature maximums into
the 70s before the frontal passage is expected by Tuesday.
Precipitation chances will last through Tuesday with additional
rainfall totals ranging from 0.5 to 1.5 inches in a gradient into
eastern Louisiana. Drier post-frontal conditions will involve
clearer skies by the middle of next week with temperatures later
rebounding to near-normal once again for this time of the year
(lower 60s/lower 40s). /16/

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 530 AM CST Sat Dec 7 2024

For the 07/12z TAFS...Light rain continues to move across our East
Texas sites and portions of Central Louisiana this morning.
However, VFR conditions remain across the region. Models suggest
this rainfall will rapidly diminish this morning, but rain chances
will return from west to east during the afternoon and evening
hours as a warm front lifts northward into the region. Expect
reduced flight categories as clouds will lower across the region
during the later half of the TAF period along with reduced vsybs
from rainfall. /20/

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 352 AM CST Sat Dec 7 2024

Spotter activation is not expected at this time. /16/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  53  46  63  55 /  30  60 100  60
MLU  55  43  65  58 /  10  50  90  90
DEQ  56  39  55  45 /  10  50 100  40
TXK  56  44  59  51 /  10  60 100  50
ELD  57  39  62  50 /  10  50 100  80
TYR  51  47  61  53 /  40  60  90  20
GGG  52  44  61  52 /  30  60 100  40
LFK  50  45  64  55 /  40  50  90  40

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...26
LONG TERM....16
AVIATION...20



                

                        
428
FLUS44 KSHV 301744 AAA
HWOSHV

Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1144 AM CST Sat Nov 30 2024

ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022-OKZ077-TXZ096-
097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167-011745-
Sevier-Howard-Little River-Hempstead-Nevada-Miller-Lafayette-
Columbia-Union-Caddo-Bossier-Webster-Claiborne-Lincoln-De Soto-
Red River-Bienville-Jackson-Ouachita-Sabine-Natchitoches-Winn-Grant-
Caldwell-La Salle-McCurtain-Bowie-Franklin-Titus-Camp-Morris-Cass-
Wood-Upshur-Marion-Smith-Gregg-Harrison-Cherokee-Rusk-Panola-
Nacogdoches-Shelby-Angelina-San Augustine-
1144 AM CST Sat Nov 30 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for our Four-State area of southern
Arkansas, northern Louisiana, eastern Texas and southeast Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

No hazardous weather is anticipated at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Rain chances return as early as Tuesday Night across portions of the
region with rain chances increasing Wednesday through Friday. At
this time, temperatures appear warm enough such that any
precipitation as early as Tuesday Night should fall as a cold rain.
Temperatures will continue to moderate through the week but no strong
or severe thunderstorms are forecast at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

24