National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce
NWS Shreveport Aviation Weather Services
 
Local TAFs
LOUISIANA
Shreveport Regional (SHV) Monroe (MLU)
Tactical Decision Aid Tactical Decision Aid

000
FTUS44 KSHV 262320
TAFSHV
TAF
KSHV 262320Z 2700/2724 09007KT P6SM SKC
FM270100 06004KT P6SM BKN250
FM270900 VRB03KT P6SM OVC100
FM271500 09004KT P6SM SKC
FM271800 36004KT P6SM BKN250=

000
FTUS44 KSHV 262320
TAFMLU
TAF
KMLU 262320Z 2700/2724 05011KT P6SM SKC
FM271000 VRB03KT P6SM SCT100 BKN250
FM271500 VRB03KT P6SM SCT250
FM271800 36004KT P6SM BKN250=
   
TEXAS
Tyler (TYR) Longview (GGG)
Tactical Decision Aid Tactical Decision Aid
000
FTUS44 KSHV 262320
TAFTYR
TAF
KTYR 262320Z 2700/2724 12006KT P6SM SKC
     FM270900 12004KT P6SM OVC060
     FM271500 12004KT P6SM SCT120
     FM271800 VRB03KT P6SM BKN250=
000
FTUS44 KSHV 262320
TAFGGG
TAF
KGGG 262320Z 2700/2724 VRB03KT P6SM SKC
     FM270900 10002KT P6SM OVC100
     FM271500 10003KT P6SM SCT120
     FM271800 34004KT P6SM BKN250=
Lufkin (LFK)
Tactical Decision Aid

000
FTUS44 KSHV 262320
TAFLFK
TAF
KLFK 262320Z 2700/2724 08007KT P6SM SKC
FM270600 00000KT P6SM BKN100
FM271500 08004KT P6SM SKC
FM271800 36005KT P6SM BKN250=
   
ARKANSAS
Texarkana (TXK) El Dorado (ELD)
Tactical Decision Aid Tactical Decision Aid
000
FTUS44 KSHV 262320
TAFTXK
TAF
KTXK 262320Z 2700/2724 12008KT P6SM SKC
     FM270600 07003KT P6SM OVC100
     FM271200 00000KT P6SM OVC060
     FM271500 11003KT P6SM SCT100 BKN250
     FM271800 VRB03KT P6SM SCT250=
000
FTUS44 KSHV 262320
TAFELD
TAF
KELD 262320Z 2700/2724 04007KT P6SM SKC
     FM270700 00000KT P6SM OVC100
     FM271500 06003KT P6SM SCT100 BKN250
     FM271800 34004KT P6SM SKC=
 
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Regional TAFs
LOUISIANA
Alexandria (AEX) Baton Rouge (BTR)
Tactical Decision Aid Tactical Decision Aid
000
FTUS44 KLCH 262324
TAFAEX
TAF
KAEX 262324Z 2700/2724 04008KT P6SM SKC
     FM270200 VRB03KT P6SM SKC
     FM271800 36005KT P6SM SCT150=
000
FTUS44 KLIX 262320
TAFBTR
TAF
KBTR 262320Z 2700/2724 02005KT P6SM SKC=
Lake Charles (LCH) New Orleans (MSY)
Tactical Decision Aid Tactical Decision Aid

000
FTUS44 KLCH 262324
TAFLCH
TAF
KLCH 262324Z 2700/2724 04005KT P6SM SKC
FM271700 01005KT P6SM FEW250=

000
FTUS44 KLIX 262320
TAFMSY
TAF
KMSY 262320Z 2700/2806 02006KT P6SM FEW250=
 
TEXAS
College Station (CLL) Dallas/Fort Worth International (DFW)
Tactical Decision Aid Tactical Decision Aid
000
FTUS44 KHGX 270228 AAA
TAFCLL
TAF AMD
KCLL 270228Z 2702/2724 VRB05KT P6SM SCT025 OVC035
     FM270700 VRB04KT P6SM SCT025 BKN060
     FM271100 VRB04KT P6SM FEW200
     FM272100 01006KT P6SM FEW035 BKN200=
000
FTUS44 KFWD 270314 AAA
TAFDFW
TAF AMD
KDFW 270314Z 2703/2806 VRB04KT P6SM VCSH OVC060
     FM270700 VRB03KT P6SM OVC040
     FM271700 27006KT P6SM SCT050 BKN120
     FM280200 36010KT P6SM SCT080=
Dallas-Love Field (DAL) Houston-Bush Intercontinental (IAH)
Tactical Decision Aid Tactical Decision Aid
000
FTUS44 KFWD 270314 AAA
TAFDAL
TAF AMD
KDAL 270314Z 2703/2724 VRB04KT P6SM VCSH OVC060
     FM270700 VRB03KT P6SM OVC040
     FM271700 27006KT P6SM SCT050 BKN120=
000
FTUS44 KHGX 270257 AAA
TAFIAH
TAF AMD
KIAH 270257Z 2703/2806 VRB05KT P6SM FEW035
     FM270500 VRB04KT P6SM OVC035
     FM271200 06004KT P6SM SCT050 SCT200
     FM272100 06004KT P6SM FEW035 BKN200=
Houston-Hobby (HOU)
Tactical Decision Aid
000
FTUS44 KHGX 270258 AAA
TAFHOU
TAF AMD
KHOU 270258Z 2703/2724 07004KT P6SM FEW035
     FM270600 VRB04KT P6SM OVC035
     FM271300 06006KT P6SM SCT070 SCT200
     FM272100 06004KT P6SM FEW035 BKN200=
 
ARKANSAS
Hot Springs (HOT) Little Rock (LIT)
Tactical Decision Aid Tactical Decision Aid
000
FTUS44 KLZK 262320
TAFHOT
TAF
KHOT 262320Z 2700/2724 VRB03KT P6SM OVC100
     FM271500 25003KT P6SM OVC080=
000
FTUS44 KLZK 262320
TAFLIT
TAF
KLIT 262320Z 2700/2724 VRB05KT P6SM SCT100 BKN250
     FM271500 20004KT P6SM OVC100=
Pine Bluff (PBF)
Tactical Decision Aid
000
FTUS44 KLZK 262320
TAFPBF
TAF
KPBF 262320Z 2700/2724 05010KT P6SM SKC
     FM270700 VRB03KT P6SM OVC120
     FM271500 09003KT P6SM OVC090=
 
OKLAHOMA
McAlester (MLC) Oklahoma City-Will Rogers (OKC)
Tactical Decision Aid Tactical Decision Aid
000
FTUS44 KTSA 262321
TAFMLC
TAF
KMLC 262321Z 2700/2724 VRB03KT P6SM BKN080
     FM272000 29006KT P6SM SCT050 SCT250=
000
FTUS44 KOUN 270020 AAA
TAFOKC
TAF AMD
KOKC 270020Z 2700/2724 20005KT P6SM OVC040
      TEMPO 2700/2703 3SM -SN OVC025
     FM270500 21006KT P6SM BKN035
     FM271100 21007KT P6SM SCT008 SCT250
     FM271700 14008KT P6SM SCT250
     FM272100 34006KT P6SM SCT250=
Tulsa International (TUL)
Tactical Decision Aid
000
FTUS44 KTSA 262321
TAFTUL
TAF
KTUL 262321Z 2700/2724 20005KT P6SM OVC040
      TEMPO 2701/2705 5SM -SNPL BKN025
     FM271900 31006KT P6SM SCT250=
 
NWS-Shreveport Aviation Forecast Discussion
 
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Flight Category Definitions
Category Ceilings And/Or Visibilities
VFR Greater than 3000 ft AND Greater than 5 SM
MVFR Greater than or equal to 1000 ft, but less than or equal to 3000 ft AND/OR Greater than or equal to 3 SM, but less than or equal to 5 SM
IFR Greater than or equal to 500 ft, but less than 1000 ft AND/OR Greater than or equal to 1 SM, but less than 3 SM
LIFR Less than 500 ft AND/OR Less than 1 SM
 
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Southern Plains Southern Mississippi Valley
Southern Plains radar loop Southern Mississippi Valley radar loop
   
Shreveport (SHV) Base Reflectivity 0.5º Shreveport (SHV) Base Velocity 0.5º
Shreveport Radar Base Reflectivity 0.5 degrees Shreveport Radar Base Velocity 0.5 degrees
   
Fort Polk (POE) Base Reflectivity 0.5º Fort Polk (POE) Base Velocity 0.5º
Fort Polk Radar Base Reflectivity 0.5 degrees Fort Polk Radar Base Velocity 0.5 degrees
 
Fort Smith (SRX) Base Reflectivity 0.5º Fort Smith (SRX) Base Velocity 0.5º
Fort Smith Radar Base Reflectivity 0.5 degrees Fort Smith Radar Base Velocity 0.5 degrees
 
Little Rock (LZK) Base Reflectivity 0.5º Little Rock (LZK) Base Velocity 0.5º
Little Rock Radar Base Reflectivity 0.5 degrees Little Rock Radar Base Velocity 0.5 degrees
 
Inola (INX) Base Reflectivity 0.5º Inola (INX) Base Velocity 0.5º
Inola Radar Base Reflectivity 0.5 degrees Inola Radar Base Velocity 0.5 degrees
 
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Latest Observed Sounding from Shreveport
 
RAP Vertical Wind Forecasts
Shreveport Regional Airport (SHV) Monroe Regional Airport (MLU)
RAP Vertical Wind Forecast for Shreveport RAP Vertical Wind Forecast for Monroe
Tyler Pounds Regional Airport (TYR) Longview-East Texas Regional Airport (GGG)
RAP Vertical Wind Forecast for Tyler RAP Vertical Wind Forecast for Longview
Lufkin-Angelina County Airport (LFK) Texarkana Regional Airport-Webb Field (TXK)
RAP Vertical Wind Forecast for Lufkin RAP Vertical Wind Forecast for TXK
El Dorado-South Arkansas Regional Airport (ELD)
RAP Vertical Wind Forecast for El Dorado
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Latest Area Forecast Discussion (AFD)
000
FXUS64 KSHV 262323
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
523 PM CST Wed Jan 26 2022

.AVIATION...

For the 27/00z TAFs...VFR conditions are expected to prevail
through the overnight hours and into Thursday morning. A weak
upper low currently producing snow over south central Oklahoma and
portions of north central Texas will clip portions of our area
early Thursday morning. We could see some snow flurries across
areas north of I-30 tonight. No expecting any impacts to the
region and especially not expecting any impacts to any of our
terminals at this time. Clouds will quickly increase this evening
and into the overnight hours as the weak low moves through the
region. Expect lingering clouds cover through much of the day
Thursday. /33/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 316 PM CST Wed Jan 26 2022/

SHORT TERM.../Tonight through Thursday night/

Lots of sunshine and very low RH in this Arctic air we have in
place today. The NE winds have slacked gusts and even been a
little variable over the last hour, so our high temps are peaking
right now with just a handful of low 50 degree readings. Despite
sunny skies the winds were brisk this morning and kept most
locales in the 40s so far this afternoon.

Now we will see increasing clouds in a hurry overnight with some
knocking on the door in SE OK now. We may even see some
intermittent light rain or snow this evening pushing across our
I-30 corridor this evening and overnight. However, there is a lot
of dry air to overcome to saturate down to the ground and we will
have some virga to kick off the event in I-30 by midevening. So
we have no pops needed as no impacts will be seen as there will be
no amounts per say, just sprinkles or flurries so to speak. This
compact upper low is weakening and over W OK now and moving across
into W AR overnight as it continues to dissipate.

The models break up the middeck after daybreak with some frost
perhaps again over our southern tier of counties and parishes.
Lows tomorrow will range from mid 20s in S AR to only near
freezing in a couple of TX counties. The winds will back to NW
behind this little system for our Thursday with NW winds not so
brisk and basically just recirculating more of this Arctic air
which is only slowly moderating over the dry ground. Highs
tomorrow will range all through the 50s on Thursday. And we will
see a few less upper 20s come early Friday under fair skies. /24/

LONG TERM.../Friday through Wednesday/

A longwave trough remains progged to shift SE through the region to
start the long term period Friday, with Canadian sfc ridging
expected to reinforce the cool/dry air mass in place to start the
weekend. A dry NW flow aloft will persist on the backside of this
trough passage through the weekend, although a slow warming trend
will commence Saturday with the return of a WSW bndry lyr flow and
strong insolation under a sunny sky.

Our focus will then turn to the W Sunday night and Monday, as a
closed low over the Cntrl Pacific comes ashore the Srn CA/Nrn Baja
coast Saturday, before traversing E into far W TX by daybreak
Monday. The approach of this low will result in an increase in low
level moisture return after 12Z Monday, before large scale forcing
ahead of the low begins to influence the region resulting in an
increase in convection especially over E TX during the afternoon.
The NBM appears a bit pre-mature in introducing pops for Sunday
night across E TX, and thus have kept the forecast dry until after
daybreak Monday given the overall deterministic model consensus,
before introducing chance pops over E TX. There is some agreement
that the low may try to open up Monday night as it moves across the
area, but have increased pops to high chance especially S of I-20
across E TX/N LA where the better forcing/moisture will be
available. This convection should remain elevated ahead of the
low/trough passage, but given the amplitude of the low, increased
deep lyr shear, and steepening lapse rates, some isolated thunder
can`t be ruled out at least Monday afternoon through the evening
before the low deamplifies. Did maintain chance pops Monday night in
wake of the trough passage, as the flow begins to transition to SW
by midweek ahead of the next digging longwave trough through the
Great Basin into the Four Corners Region.

Due to limited 12Z GFS and the available ECMWF/Canadian,
considerable uncertainty remains with the latter portions of the
long term, although some certainty exists that sct convection will
increase at some point ahead of this next trough strong cold front
that will enter the region at some point around midweek. Did scale
back the higher NBM pops Tuesday and Tuesday night given the slower
and more positive tilt of the trough as evidenced by the 12Z
ECMWF/Canadian, with the associated cold front likely not entering
the region until late Tuesday night/Wednesday (or later). Convection
should begin to increase along and ahead of the front by midweek,
with better moisture availability and instability expected for
deeper convection. The ECMWF and even the Canadian suggest that post-
frontal precipitation may linger in wake of the deepening cold air
behind the fropa, suggesting a wintry mix may be possible for
portions of the region. However, considerable uncertainty (very low
confidence) remains given the timing discrepancies as well as
missing model data, but will be something to keep an eye on in
future forecasts. /15/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  30  54  33  52 /   0   0   0   0
MLU  27  53  32  50 /   0   0   0   0
DEQ  26  52  28  50 /  10   0   0   0
TXK  28  52  32  50 /  10   0   0   0
ELD  25  52  28  49 /   0   0   0   0
TYR  32  56  34  53 /  10   0   0   0
GGG  31  55  34  53 /   0   0   0   0
LFK  31  58  36  56 /   0   0  10  10

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

24/15/33

   
Latest Hazardous Weather Outlook
000
FLUS44 KSHV 261811
HWOSHV

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1211 PM CST Wed Jan 26 2022

ARZ050-051-059>061-070>072-OKZ077-TXZ096-097-108>112-271100-
Sevier-Howard-Little River-Hempstead-Nevada-Miller-Lafayette-
Columbia-McCurtain-Red River-Bowie-Franklin-Titus-Camp-Morris-
Cass-
1211 PM CST Wed Jan 26 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southwest
Arkansas, southeast Oklahoma and northeast Texas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight...

An upper level disturbance will shift east across the Red River
Valley of Southern Oklahoma and North Texas this evening, before
tracking across extreme Northeast Texas, Southeast Oklahoma, and
Southwest Arkansas overnight. A few light snow flurries can not be
ruled out late tonight over these areas, but no snow or ice accumulation
is expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday...

Isolated to scattered showers and a few thunderstorms will be
possible across the area Monday and Monday night, which could
linger over portions of the region Tuesday. However, no hazardous
weather is expected.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Activation of emergency management personnel, amateur radio
operators, and storm spotters should not be needed through
tonight.

$$

ARZ073-LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022-TXZ124>126-136>138-149>153-
165>167-271100-
Union-Caddo-Bossier-Webster-Claiborne-Lincoln-De Soto-Red River-
Bienville-Jackson-Ouachita-Sabine-Natchitoches-Winn-Grant-
Caldwell-La Salle-Wood-Upshur-Marion-Smith-Gregg-Harrison-
Cherokee-Rusk-Panola-Nacogdoches-Shelby-Angelina-San Augustine-
1211 PM CST Wed Jan 26 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of south central
Arkansas, north central Louisiana, northwest Louisiana, east
Texas and northeast Texas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight...

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday...

Isolated to scattered showers and a few thunderstorms will be
possible across the area Monday and Monday night, which could
linger over portions of the region Tuesday. However, no hazardous
weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Activation of emergency management personnel, amateur radio
operators, and storm spotters should not be needed through
tonight.

$$

15

 
 

 

 
IMPORTANT: This page is a tool to help pilots better visualize weather and weather-related hazards, and is not a substitute for a weather briefing obtained from a Flight Service Station (1-800-WXBRIEF). The information contained here does not meet the FAA requirements for a pre-flight weather brief. Therefore, it is important that pilots call and obtain a briefing from an FAA Flight Service Specialist.