National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Rain and Ongoing Flood Concerns in Texas

Pockets of moderate to heavy rain will persist in Texas and possibly extend into the weekend. Gulf of Mexico moisture continues to overrun a stationary front to produce waves of precipitation. The most vulnerable location is the saturated Hill Country in central Texas. A secondary area of heavy rainfall is also expected along the southern and central Texas Gulf Coast. Read More >

NWS Shreveport Fire Weather Program
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Click here to access the Weather Activity Planner. This is an experimental planning tool that provides specific weather forecast information based on the official National Weather Service forecast. Users will select from a list of weather elements, input a criteria range for the selected element (i.e., temperature between 65 degrees F and 80 degrees F), and then select a location on the map. A graph will appear illustrating at what times(s) the weather element criteria is met for the selected location. Users may select up to six different elements at a time. This tool is not intended to replace a spot forecast.

NWS Shreveport Fire Weather Zones

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Latest Fire Weather Forecast (FWFSHV)
000
FNUS54 KSHV 191047
FWFSHV

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Arkansas...
Northwest Louisiana...East Texas...and Extreme Southeast Oklahoma
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
547 AM CDT Fri Oct 19 2018

.DISCUSSION...
Patchy light rain expected to begin developing by midday with rainfall increasing into
the evening and overnight. Rainfall amounts may exceed one half inch across much of northeast Texas,
southeast Oklahoma, southwest Arkansas, and extreme northwest Louisiana through Saturday morning with
rainfall rapidly diminishing during the day Saturday. Afternoon highs today across most of Louisiana
will rise into the 70s as less cloud cover and lower relative humidities between 50 and 60 percent.
Winds will remain fairly light today and tonight with northerly winds increasing to around 10 mph
Saturday following the passage of a cool front. On Sunday, skies will be mostly sunny with afternoon
relative humidities between 35 and 45 percent with northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. Winds will continue from the
north to northeast into the workweek with rain chances gradually increasing across northeast Texas late
Monday into Tuesday, with rain chances increasing areawide by Wednesday.


ARZ050-051-059-OKZ077-192230-
Sevier-Howard-Little River-McCurtain-
Including the cities of De Queen, Nashville, Mineral Springs,
Dierks, Ashdown, Idabel, and Broken Bow
547 AM CDT Fri Oct 19 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

CLOUD COVER           Cloudy       Cloudy       PCldy
PRECIP TYPE           showers      showers      None
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           80           0
TEMP (24H TREND)      61 (-4)      52 (-1)      72
RH % (24H TREND)      67 (+16)     100 (+18)    50
20FTWND-AM(MPH)       E  3                      N  4
20FTWND-PM(MPH)       LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.50         0.16         0.00
PRECIP DURATION       11           7            1
MIXING HGT(M-MSL)     1130                      1353
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3707                      4440
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)   SW  5                     NE  6
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 10                     NE 14
VENT RATE (M^2/S)     5650                      8118
CATEGORY DAY          3                         4
MIX HGT 500 TEMP(F)   62                        61
STABILITY CLASS       D            D            B

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the lower
60s. East winds up to 5 mph. Category Day Index is 3.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs around 60.
Southeast winds up to 5 mph. Category Day Index is 1.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 30 percent chance of rain showers.
Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid 60s. Northeast winds up to
5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain showers.
Lows around 50. Highs around 60. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain
showers. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid 60s. North winds
around 5 mph.

$$

ARZ060-061-070>073-192230-
Hempstead-Nevada-Miller-Lafayette-Columbia-Union-
Including the cities of Hope, Prescott, Texarkana, Stamps,
Lewisville, Bradley, Magnolia, and El Dorado
547 AM CDT Fri Oct 19 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

CLOUD COVER           MCldy        Cloudy       PCldy
PRECIP TYPE           showers      Tstms        showers
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           80           30
TEMP (24H TREND)      70 (+2)      55 (+2)      70
RH % (24H TREND)      56 (+11)     100 (+18)    57
20FTWND-AM(MPH)       NE  4                     N  5
20FTWND-PM(MPH)       LGT/VAR      NW  3        N  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.29         0.01
PRECIP DURATION       6            12           1
MIXING HGT(M-MSL)     1104                      1327
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3621                      4354
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)   SW  4                     NE  7
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  8                     NE 16
VENT RATE (M^2/S)     4416                      9289
CATEGORY DAY          3                         4
MIX HGT 500 TEMP(F)   68                        64
STABILITY CLASS       C            D            C

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the lower
60s. Northeast winds around 5 mph. Category Day Index is 3.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the
lower 60s. Northeast winds up to 5 mph. Category Day Index is 1.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of rain showers.
Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the upper 60s. Northeast winds up
to 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 60s. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain
showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 60s. North winds
around 5 mph.

$$

TXZ096-097-108>112-124>126-137-138-192230-
Red River-Bowie-Franklin-Titus-Camp-Morris-Cass-Wood-Upshur-
Marion-Gregg-Harrison-
Including the cities of Clarksville, Bogata, Texarkana,
Mount Vernon, Mount Pleasant, Pittsburg, Daingerfield, Lone Star,
Naples, Omaha, Atlanta, Linden, Hughes Springs, Queen City,
Mineola, Winnsboro, Quitman, Hawkins, Gilmer, Big Sandy,
Jefferson, Longview, and Marshall
547 AM CDT Fri Oct 19 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

CLOUD COVER           Cloudy       Cloudy       MCldy
PRECIP TYPE           showers      Tstms        showers
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           80           30
TEMP (24H TREND)      63 (-3)      53 (-2)      70
RH % (24H TREND)      65 (+11)     100 (+19)    59
20FTWND-AM(MPH)       NE  4                     N  5
20FTWND-PM(MPH)       N  3         LGT/VAR      N  8
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.31         0.37         0.02
PRECIP DURATION       7            12           2
MIXING HGT(M-MSL)     1120                      1343
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3673                      4406
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)   SW  4                     NE  7
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  8                     NE 16
VENT RATE (M^2/S)     4480                      9401
CATEGORY DAY          3                         4
MIX HGT 500 TEMP(F)   67                        64
STABILITY CLASS       D            D            C

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the lower
60s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. Category Day Index is 3.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs around 60.
East winds up to 5 mph. Category Day Index is 1.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain
showers. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid 60s. Northeast
winds up to 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 60s. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain
showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 60s. North winds
around 5 mph.

$$

TXZ136-149>153-192230-
Smith-Cherokee-Rusk-Panola-Nacogdoches-Shelby-
Including the cities of Tyler, Jacksonville, Rusk, Henderson,
Carthage, Nacogdoches, and Center
547 AM CDT Fri Oct 19 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

CLOUD COVER           Cloudy       Cloudy       MCldy
PRECIP TYPE           Tstms        Tstms        showers
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           80           50
TEMP (24H TREND)      72 (+7)      56 (0)       69
RH % (24H TREND)      64 (+2)      100 (+18)    72
20FTWND-AM(MPH)       NE  4                     N  6
20FTWND-PM(MPH)       NE  4        N  4         N  8
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.41         0.20
PRECIP DURATION       2            11           2
MIXING HGT(M-MSL)     1102                      1325
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3615                      4348
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)   S  3                      NE  6
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  7                      NE 14
VENT RATE (M^2/S)     3306                      7950
CATEGORY DAY          2                         3
MIX HGT 500 TEMP(F)   71                        66
STABILITY CLASS       D            D            D

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid
60s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. Category Day Index is 3.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain showers.
Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the lower 60s. Northeast winds up
to 5 mph. Category Day Index is 1.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain
showers. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the upper 60s. Northeast
winds up to 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Rain showers likely. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in
the mid 60s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain
showers. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 60s. North
winds around 5 mph.

$$

TXZ165>167-192230-
Angelina-San Augustine-Sabine-
Including the cities of Lufkin, San Augustine, Hemphill,
and Pineland
547 AM CDT Fri Oct 19 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

CLOUD COVER           MCldy        Cloudy       Cloudy
PRECIP TYPE           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           60           50
TEMP (24H TREND)      78 (+10)     60 (+2)      69
RH % (24H TREND)      57 (-5)      96 (+16)     75
20FTWND-AM(MPH)       NE  4                     N  5
20FTWND-PM(MPH)       NE  3        N  4         N  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.08         0.28
PRECIP DURATION       2            6            2
MIXING HGT(M-MSL)     1099                      1323
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3607                      4340
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)   S  4                      N  6
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  8                      N 13
VENT RATE (M^2/S)     4396                      7938
CATEGORY DAY          3                         3
MIX HGT 500 TEMP(F)   75                        71
STABILITY CLASS       B            D            D

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper
60s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. Category Day Index is 4.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain showers.
Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the lower 60s. Northeast winds up
to 5 mph. Category Day Index is 1.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain
showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower 70s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Rain showers likely. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in
the upper 60s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain showers. Lows
in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 70s. North winds around
5 mph.

$$

LAZ001>004-012-192230-
Caddo-Bossier-Webster-Claiborne-Bienville-
Including the cities of Shreveport, Bossier City, Minden,
Springhill, Homer, Haynesville, Arcadia, Ringgold, and Gibsland
547 AM CDT Fri Oct 19 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

CLOUD COVER           MCldy        Cloudy       MCldy
PRECIP TYPE           showers      Tstms        showers
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           80           60
TEMP (24H TREND)      74 (+6)      56 (+1)      71
RH % (24H TREND)      54 (+7)      100 (+23)    62
20FTWND-AM(MPH)       NE  4                     N  5
20FTWND-PM(MPH)       N  3         N  4         N  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.28         0.06
PRECIP DURATION       2            11           5
MIXING HGT(M-MSL)     1098                      1321
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3602                      4334
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)   SW  3                     NE  7
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  7                     NE 16
VENT RATE (M^2/S)     3294                      9247
CATEGORY DAY          2                         4
MIX HGT 500 TEMP(F)   71                        66
STABILITY CLASS       C            D            C

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid
60s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. Category Day Index is 3.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the lower
60s. Northeast winds up to 5 mph. Category Day Index is 1.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain
showers. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs around 70. Northeast winds
up to 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Cloudy with rain showers likely. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the mid 60s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain showers. Lows
in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 60s. North winds around
5 mph.

$$

LAZ005-006-013-014-192230-
Lincoln-Union-Jackson-Ouachita-
Including the cities of Ruston, Farmerville, Bernice, Jonesboro,
and Monroe
547 AM CDT Fri Oct 19 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

CLOUD COVER           MCldy        Cloudy       MCldy
PRECIP TYPE           showers      Tstms        showers
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           70           60
TEMP (24H TREND)      77 (+8)      57 (+2)      70
RH % (24H TREND)      51 (+6)      100 (+20)    65
20FTWND-AM(MPH)       NE  4                     N  5
20FTWND-PM(MPH)       LGT/VAR      N  3         N  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.16         0.07
PRECIP DURATION       1            6            5
MIXING HGT(M-MSL)     1094                      1317
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3590                      4322
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)   SW  3                     NE  7
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  6                     NE 16
VENT RATE (M^2/S)     3282                      9219
CATEGORY DAY          2                         4
MIX HGT 500 TEMP(F)   72                        67
STABILITY CLASS       B            D            C

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid
60s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. Category Day Index is 4.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the mid
60s. Light winds. Category Day Index is 1.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain
showers. Lows around 50. Highs in the lower 70s. Northeast winds
up to 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain
showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper 60s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain showers. Lows
in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower 70s. North winds around
5 mph.

$$

LAZ010-011-017>022-192230-
De Soto-Red River-Sabine-Natchitoches-Winn-Grant-Caldwell-
La Salle-
Including the cities of Mansfield, Stonewall, Logansport,
Coushatta, Martin, Many, Zwolle, Pleasant Hill, Natchitoches,
Winnfield, Colfax, Montgomery, Dry Prong, Clarks, Grayson,
Columbia, Jena, Midway, and Olla
547 AM CDT Fri Oct 19 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

CLOUD COVER           MCldy        Cloudy       MCldy
PRECIP TYPE           showers      Tstms        showers
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           60
TEMP (24H TREND)      81 (+11)     59 (+2)      70
RH % (24H TREND)      51 (+2)      99 (+21)     71
20FTWND-AM(MPH)       NE  4                     N  5
20FTWND-PM(MPH)       NE  3        N  4         N  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.07         0.20
PRECIP DURATION       1            5            6
MIXING HGT(M-MSL)     1081                      1304
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3546                      4279
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)   S  2                      N  6
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  5                      N 13
VENT RATE (M^2/S)     2162                      7824
CATEGORY DAY          2                         3
MIX HGT 500 TEMP(F)   75                        71
STABILITY CLASS       B            D            D

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid
60s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. Category Day Index is 4.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of rain showers.
Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid 60s. Northeast winds up to
5 mph. Category Day Index is 1.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain
showers. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 70s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain showers.
Lows in the upper 50s. Highs around 70. Northeast winds around
5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain showers. Lows
in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 70s. North winds around
5 mph.

$$

07

   
Latest Site Specific Fire Weather Forecasts (FWMSHV; please check date & time with these products)
000
FNUS84 KSHV 181904
FWMSHV

FCST,160401,181019,13,2,69,60,1,1,NNE,04,M,70,54,75,42,0,0,N
FCST,161803,181019,13,2,79,52,1,1,ENE,04,M,79,57,75,49,0,0,N
FCST,161902,181019,13,2,77,54,1,1,ENE,04,M,77,56,77,46,0,0,N
FCST,162502,181019,13,2,80,54,1,1,ENE,03,M,80,56,80,48,0,0,N
FCST,347701,181019,13,8,58,79,1,1,NE,04,M,66,54,80,47,0,6,N
FCST,036502,181019,13,2,64,64,1,1,NNE,03,M,68,54,74,40,0,0,N
FCST,037302,181019,13,2,70,55,1,1,NNE,03,M,70,54,77,41,0,0,N
FCST,410401,181019,13,8,56,83,1,1,NE,05,M,65,54,83,52,0,6,N
FCST,410501,181019,13,8,59,78,1,1,NNE,04,M,68,52,86,43,0,2,N
FCST,411102,181019,13,8,60,77,1,1,NE,04,M,68,54,78,45,0,2,N
FCST,411401,181019,13,8,58,83,1,1,NE,05,M,65,55,83,54,0,2,N
FCST,411901,181019,13,3,62,72,1,1,NNE,04,M,68,56,75,47,0,0,N
FCST,412202,181019,13,8,62,77,1,1,NE,05,M,66,56,80,54,0,2,N
FCST,412801,181019,13,3,69,66,1,1,NE,05,M,69,58,75,63,0,0,N
FCST,412901,181019,13,2,73,57,1,1,NE,04,M,73,59,72,57,0,0,N
FCST,413503,181019,13,2,73,63,1,1,NE,04,M,75,59,81,58,0,0,N
FCST,413509,181019,13,2,71,67,1,1,NE,04,M,71,58,84,66,0,0,N
FCST,413701,181019,13,2,76,58,1,1,ENE,04,M,76,60,72,53,0,0,N
FCST,411701,181019,13,8,58,86,1,1,NNE,06,M,63,55,86,62,0,6,N

 

 

Latest Fire Weather Watches & Red Flag Warnings (RFWSHV)
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Fire Weather Parameter Definitions
Cloud Cover Predominant cloud condition (e.g., cloudy, pcldy, clear).
Precip Type Type of precipitation expected to occur such as rain, showers, thunderstorms.
Temp (24H Trend) Forecast maximum or minimum temperatures in Fahrenheit with a 24-hour trend note in parenthesis.
RH % (24H Trend) Forecast maximum or minimum relative humidity with a 24-hour trend noted in parenthesis.
20FT Wind (MPH) 20-foot wind speed (mph) and direction (eight compass points).
Precip Amount Amount of liquid precipitation expected to the nearest hundredth (0.01).
Precip Duration Number of hours measurable precipitation is expected to last.
Mixing Hgt (M - MSL)
and
Mixing Hgt (FT - MSL)
A projected height in meters or feet above mean sea level through which vigorous mixing will take place based on the maximum temperature on a given day. It is the height at which smoke will lose its buoyancy and stop rising. It is valid for the afternoon hours when temperature nears the predicted maximum.
Transport Wnd (M/S)
and
Transport Wnd (MPH)
The predicted average wind in meters per second or miles per hour in the layer below the mixing height near the predicted maximum (usually in the afternoon).
Vent Index The Ventilation Index parameter is obtained by multiplying the mixing height in meters times the wind speed in meters per second.
Cat Day The Vent Index corresponds to a Catgeory Day.
< 2000 1
2000 - 3999 2
4000 - 7999 3
8000 - 16,000 4
> 16,000 5
Mix Hgt 500 The temperature in Fahrenheit needed to achieve a mixing height of 500 meters. If the expected high temperature is cooler than the 500 meter mixing height temperature, then the mixing height parameter above will be less than 500 meters.
Stability Class The stability class based on wind, incoming solar radiation (sun angle), and cloud cover. The more unstable the forecast stability class, the more readiliy a pollutant is dispersed.
Stability Class Description
A Extremely Unstable
B Unstable
C Slightly Unstable
D Neutral
E Slightly Stable
F Stable
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The National Weather Service Fire Weather Program provides meteorological support to fire management agencies for the protection of life and property. This support includes warnings, forecasts, on-site services during wildfires, and meteorological training for fire fighters.

Fire weather forecasts are issued twice daily, at 7am and 3pm, local time.