National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Radar Update (early Friday morning): A line of showers and isolated thunderstorms continues moving east into North and Central Texas. Lightning will be the main hazard with these storms through the mid morning hours.
A line of showers and thunderstorms will steadily intensify east of the I-35 corridor today. This animation is a model simulation of radar reflectivity in one-hour time steps from 9 am to 6 pm today. The primary hazard from the storms this afternoon will be damaging winds. Some of the storms may also be capable of producing hail.
A dryline will move east across parts of North and Central Texas today. Afternoon high temperatures will climb into the lower 80s with gusty southwest winds 15 to 30 mph. Wind gusts up to 40 mph will also occur. The combination of strong and gusty winds along with humidity values in the teens to lower 30s will result in high to extreme fire weather conditions along and west of Interstate 35/35E. A Red Flag Warning is in effect late this morning through the early evening hours along and west of a line from Mills County to Dallas County to Grayson County. AVOID outdoor burning of any sort Friday afternoon, not just in the watch area, but all across the region. DO NOT toss lit cigarette butts from any moving vehicle. Any fires will ignite and spread quickly!
After rounds of rain and thunderstorms on Friday and Sunday, a third round appears to be in the works for the middle of next week. Model guidance indicates that an upper-level low is likely to move into the Southern Plains by next Wednesday and Thursday. Deep Gulf moisture will spread into the Southern Plains ahead of this low, leading to the potential for heavy rainfall. There remains some disagreement in timing and placement of the upper-level low, and thus the heavy rainfall. While it is too early to know the exact amounts of rainfall, the latest data suggests that the primary threat towards the middle of next week would likely be heavy rainfall and flooding rather than severe thunderstorms, though severe weather cannot be ruled out either. We will continue to refine the details over the coming days, and should have a better handle on this third system over the weekend.

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