National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Heavy Rainfall and Flooding Concerns in the Southwest; Coastal Low to Impact the East Coast

Deep tropical moisture will lead to widespread showers and thunderstorms capable of producing flash flooding through early next week over the Southwest and Four Corners. A coastal storm is expected to impact the southeast U.S. coast and mid-Atlantic regions with flooding, dangerous rip currents, gusty winds and heavy rain up much of the East Coast through early next week. Read More >

Click a location below for detailed forecast.

Last Map Update: Sun, Oct 12, 2025 at 12:22:47 am CDT

Breezy south winds and dry unseasonably warm conditions with elevated fire danger risk on Sunday afternoon.
Precpitation chances are expected to increase late Sunday night and continue through early Tuesday morning. There is a low-to-medium (30-40%) chance of greater than a quarter inch of precipitation across portions of northern and western Oklahoma. There is a low (<30%) chance of greater than a quarter inch of precipitation across southwest and central Oklahoma and into adjacent portions of western north Texas.
A cold front will bring scattered showers and a few thunderstorms late Sunday into Monday with chances diminishing by early Tuesday morning. Highest chances for rain will be across northwest Oklahoma.
Warmer than average temperatures through most of next week with increasing rain/storm chances Monday.
Pockets of abnormally dry to moderate drought conditions are occurring across portions of Oklahoma and into western north Texas with many spots going weeks without substantial (greater than a quarter inch) rainfall.

Local Weather History For October 12th...
Western north Texas was pelted with large hail during the late
afternoon and evening of October 12th, 1993. Hail up to the size of
softballs fell from the storms, which also produced damaging winds
and one tornado. In Vernon, hail accumulated up to six inches deep
and stripped trees bare. Hail also destroyed the roof of a house and
severely damaged several vehicles just east of Seymour.

Text Product Selector (Selected product opens in current window)
Weather Observations Area Forecast Discussion Air Quality Forecasts Hydrology Information Frequently Asked Questions Social Media
Observations Discussion Air Quality Hydrology FAQ Social Media
 
Submit a Storm Report Graphical Weather Forecasts Aviation Weather Forecasts Climate Data Storm Data Weather Radio Information
Storm Reports Gridded Forecast Aviation Climate Storm Data Weather Radio  
 
Satellite Information Hourly Weather Forecast Fire Weather Information Past Weather Events StormReady Skywarn/Storm Spotters
Satellite Hourly Forecast Fire Weather Past Events StormReady Storm Spotters