National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Unsettled Weather Continuing over the Western and Eastern U.S. into Mid Week

Two storm systems, one over the Desert Southwest, and one over the Ohio Valley, will continue to bring unsettled weather and cooler temperatures into the middle of the week. Moderate to heavy rainfall, along with the potential for flash flooding, is forecast from the Ohio Valley to the East Coast. Moderate to locally heavy rainfall is expected over the Northern Rockies, Great Basin and Southwest. Read More >

Overview

On the morning of December 24th, a deep upper trough was oriented north-south just west of the Mississippi River Valley. At the surface, strong low pressure was centered north of the Great Lakes, with a strong trailing cold front extending south to the eastern Gulf coast. A secondary area of low pressure was developing along the front across the Deep South while the associated warm front bisected the Wakefield CWA during the morning of 12/24. By the afternoon on 12/24,  the warm front had lifted north of the area and temperatures warmed into the upper 50s NW with 60s elsewhere. Additionally, dew points increased into the low to mid 60s by afternoon across southeast VA and NE NC with SSE flow originating in the Gulf Stream waters off the coast of NC. See images in “Environment” section for more details. A pre-frontal band of showers (with a few thunderstorms) crossed the area of west to east during the afternoon through mid evening. Despite strong low level wind fields, the atmosphere was largely capped when this line crossed the area. 

By late evening (9-10 PM) the secondary area of low pressure had rapidly deepened while tracking NNE to just NW of the Wakefield CWA. At the same time, the strong cold front was rapidly approaching the Virginia Piedmont. Despite it being late evening, strong low-levels S-SSE flow allowed temperatures and dew points to rise into the mid to locally upper 60s across SE VA/NE NC (especially away from the immediate coast…where the airmass was modified by the cooler near-sfc marine layer). The mid-upper 60s temperatures/dew points were enough for 250-750 J/kg of surface based CAPE across  interior SE VA/NE NC. Meanwhile, a 60-80 kt+ south-southwesterly 925-850 mb jet was in place across this same area. A thin line of convection accompanied the cold front as it crossed the area from 9 PM-2 AM. There were multiple reports of 60+ mph wind gusts across SE VA in addition to two brief, EF-1 tornadoes over Southampton County/the City of Suffolk. Elsewhere, the lack of appreciable surface-based instability was likely a limiting factor. Temperatures dropped sharply following the frontal passage Christmas morning.

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