Heavy to excessive rainfall may produce additional flash flooding today across parts of the southern Plains where the greatest risk is along the Red River Valley into western Arkansas. Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible today from north central Texas into the ArkLaTex Region. Large to very large hail, damaging winds, and tornadoes are all possible, with some strong-tornado potential. Read More >
Latest Aviation Discussion:
.AVIATION /20Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 200 PM EDT Wednesday...
VFR conditions will prevail to start the 18z/30 TAF period.
SCT- BKN cumulus and the potential for showers and
thunderstorms is increasing this aftn along and ahead of the
front. The most likely timing for convection is between 20-00z
at RIC, 21-01z at PHF/ORF, and 23-03z at ECG. Tstms are not
expected at SBY. Have maintained PROB30 groups at
RIC/PHF/ORF/ECG late this afternoon/evening, given a lot of
uncertainty with coverage. Brief IFR/LIFR VSBYs and gusty winds
are possible in any tstm. Convection should dissipate by 04-05z
Thu. MVFR CIGs are possible late at RIC/PHF/ORF just behind the
cold front. Lingering MVFR CIGs are possible across central/SE VA
Thu AM, with VFR returning the rest of the day.
Outlook: Isolated/scattered showers/tstms likely would have the
best chc at RIC Thu aftn, but generally after 18Z. A stronger
front approaches the region late Friday, and is expected to move
into the area on Saturday. The best chance now appears to be
Saturday for widespread showers and storms, but there will be
isolated- scattered coverage Friday afternoon/evening.
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This discussion and more can be found in the Area Forecast Discussion.
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The National Weather Service Office in Wakefield, VA has responsibility for five Terminal Aerodrome Forecasts or TAFs in Virginia, Maryland and Northeast North Carolina. Click on the RUNWAY on the map below to view the latest TAF.
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