Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260417_1800
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Fri 04/17 18Z 0.09 0107 81 29 8 0.00
Fri 04/17 19Z 0.08 0109 76 23 8 0.00
Fri 04/17 20Z 0.08 0010 71 19 8 0.00
Fri 04/17 21Z 0.10 0111 66 14 9 0.00
Fri 04/17 22Z 0.16 0212 62 10 9 0.00
Fri 04/17 23Z 0.21 0313 55 7 9 0.00
Sat 04/18 00Z 0.25 0413 50 5 9 0.00
Sat 04/18 01Z 0.28 0612 45 6 10 0.00
Sat 04/18 02Z 0.31 0812 45 6 10 0.00
Sat 04/18 03Z 0.36 1014 52 3 9 0.00
Sat 04/18 04Z 0.40 1217 66 4 9 0.00
Sat 04/18 05Z 0.34 1317 75 4 9 0.00
Sat 04/18 06Z 0.24 1517 80 5 8 0.00
Sat 04/18 07Z 0.23 1520 84 4 8 0.00
Sat 04/18 08Z 0.19 1623 90 4 8 0.00
Sat 04/18 09Z 0.16 1621 86 4 7 0.00
Sat 04/18 10Z 0.15 1620 77 5 8 0.00
Sat 04/18 11Z 0.14 1620 68 6 8 0.00
Sat 04/18 12Z 0.19 1521 61 8 8 0.00
Sat 04/18 13Z 0.17 1521 60 12 8 0.01
Sat 04/18 14Z 0.21 1523 58 12 8 0.00
Sat 04/18 15Z 0.23 1524 63 14 8 0.00
Sat 04/18 16Z 0.28 1527 64 13 8 0.00
Sat 04/18 17Z 0.29 1527 65 13 9 0.00
Sat 04/18 18Z 0.22 1527 69 14 8 0.00
Sat 04/18 19Z 0.22 1529 71 15 9 0.00
Sat 04/18 20Z 0.19 1629 71 18 9 0.00
Sat 04/18 21Z 0.18 1630 71 9 9 0.00
Sat 04/18 22Z 0.13 1630 69 5 9 0.00
Sat 04/18 23Z 0.06 1730 69 3 10 0.00
Sun 04/19 00Z 0.03 1731 67 5 10 0.00
Sun 04/19 01Z 0.06 1832 64 9 11 0.00
Sun 04/19 02Z 0.09 1834 64 31 12 0.00
Sun 04/19 03Z 0.22 2035 73 40 11 0.00
Sun 04/19 04Z 0.35 2135 89 88 9 0.02
Sun 04/19 05Z 0.33 2133 95 96 9 0.06
Sun 04/19 06Z 0.39 2130 97 91 8 0.07
Sun 04/19 07Z 0.39 2227 97 84 8 0.01
Sun 04/19 08Z 0.51 2326 98 70 6 0.02
Sun 04/19 09Z 0.54 2423 98 76 5 0.02
Sun 04/19 10Z 0.54 2519 96 88 4 0.03
Sun 04/19 11Z 0.53 2619 91 94 2 0.03
Sun 04/19 12Z 0.61 2823 79 99 0 0.01
Sun 04/19 13Z 0.70 2928 81 99 -2 0.03
Sun 04/19 14Z 0.52 2926 96 98 -2 0.09
Sun 04/19 15Z 0.53 2926 96 98 -3 0.17
Sun 04/19 16Z 0.58 3026 92 96 -5 0.10
Sun 04/19 17Z 0.58 3025 86 96 -5 0.04
Sun 04/19 18Z 0.59 3022 77 94 -6 0.02
Sun 04/19 19Z 0.56 3017 67 68 -6 0.02
Sun 04/19 20Z 0.64 3017 64 17 -6 0.00
Sun 04/19 21Z 0.98 2919 68 13 -6 0.00
Sun 04/19 22Z 0.94 2919 66 19 -6 0.00
Sun 04/19 23Z 1.61 2919 68 25 -5 0.00
Mon 04/20 00Z 1.18 2921 71 34 -6 0.00
Mon 04/20 01Z 1.57 2922 71 37 -6 0.00
Mon 04/20 02Z 1.60 2922 72 42 -7 0.00
Mon 04/20 03Z 1.71 2922 77 62 -7 0.00
Mon 04/20 04Z 1.22 2921 81 51 -8 0.00
Mon 04/20 05Z 1.08 2919 80 44 -8 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.75 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1