Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260411_0600
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sat 04/11 06Z 0.43 3119 96 70 0 0.00
Sat 04/11 07Z 0.50 3122 91 60 -2 0.01
Sat 04/11 08Z 0.59 3124 91 50 -3 0.01
Sat 04/11 09Z 0.87 3126 90 23 -4 0.01
Sat 04/11 10Z 0.96 3128 92 7 -5 0.00
Sat 04/11 11Z 0.99 3129 94 3 -6 0.00
Sat 04/11 12Z 1.21 3129 94 6 -7 0.01
Sat 04/11 13Z 1.19 3128 92 9 -7 0.00
Sat 04/11 14Z 1.21 3127 92 10 -8 0.00
Sat 04/11 15Z 1.24 3125 91 11 -8 0.00
Sat 04/11 16Z 1.43 3123 89 12 -8 0.00
Sat 04/11 17Z 2.61 3122 87 13 -7 0.00
Sat 04/11 18Z 4.87 3121 85 14 -7 0.00
Sat 04/11 19Z 6.08 3120 83 13 -7 0.00
Sat 04/11 20Z 7.06 3120 81 13 -6 0.00
Sat 04/11 21Z 7.41 3120 79 12 -6 0.00
Sat 04/11 22Z 6.91 3121 78 11 -6 0.00
Sat 04/11 23Z 4.91 3123 78 11 -6 0.00
Sun 04/12 00Z 2.51 3125 79 11 -6 0.00
Sun 04/12 01Z 2.17 3126 80 11 -6 0.00
Sun 04/12 02Z 1.93 3227 80 14 -7 0.00
Sun 04/12 03Z 1.39 3228 77 14 -7 0.00
Sun 04/12 04Z 0.83 3228 73 13 -7 0.00
Sun 04/12 05Z 0.62 3327 71 14 -7 0.00
Sun 04/12 06Z 0.48 3326 68 14 -6 0.00
Sun 04/12 07Z 0.34 3324 67 13 -6 0.00
Sun 04/12 08Z 0.23 3420 67 13 -6 0.00
Sun 04/12 09Z 0.18 3317 66 15 -5 0.00
Sun 04/12 10Z 0.14 3314 61 16 -4 0.00
Sun 04/12 11Z 0.11 3311 57 16 -3 0.00
Sun 04/12 12Z 0.10 3208 53 17 -3 0.00
Sun 04/12 13Z 0.11 3006 50 19 -2 0.00
Sun 04/12 14Z 0.08 2703 45 19 -1 0.00
Sun 04/12 15Z 0.09 2304 42 22 0 0.00
Sun 04/12 16Z 0.13 2206 43 29 -1 0.00
Sun 04/12 17Z 0.18 2108 42 36 -1 0.00
Sun 04/12 18Z 0.42 2109 43 51 -1 0.00
Sun 04/12 19Z 0.20 2011 38 79 0 0.00
Sun 04/12 20Z 0.13 1914 35 96 0 0.00
Sun 04/12 21Z 0.18 1918 37 94 0 0.00
Sun 04/12 22Z 0.20 1921 36 95 1 0.00
Sun 04/12 23Z 0.37 2025 43 98 0 0.00
Mon 04/13 00Z 1.08 2026 65 97 0 0.00
Mon 04/13 01Z 0.36 2029 83 98 0 0.02
Mon 04/13 02Z 0.35 2031 91 99 2 0.04
Mon 04/13 03Z 0.36 2134 96 98 4 0.10
Mon 04/13 04Z 0.36 2136 96 98 6 0.13
Mon 04/13 05Z 0.45 2141 97 97 6 0.20
Mon 04/13 06Z 0.57 2245 97 96 7 0.16
Mon 04/13 07Z 0.68 2447 97 94 9 0.11
Mon 04/13 08Z 0.74 2447 96 93 9 0.08
Mon 04/13 09Z 0.80 2548 97 92 10 0.07
Mon 04/13 10Z 0.83 2548 96 90 10 0.06
Mon 04/13 11Z 0.86 2647 95 92 10 0.06
Mon 04/13 12Z 0.89 2647 95 91 10 0.06
Mon 04/13 13Z 0.95 2648 96 93 10 0.07
Mon 04/13 14Z 1.02 2647 94 90 9 0.09
Mon 04/13 15Z 1.02 2643 86 85 10 0.05
Mon 04/13 16Z 0.97 2539 88 89 9 0.01
Mon 04/13 17Z 1.02 2538 89 92 8 0.01
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 1.36 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1