
A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect from 8 AM to 11 PM today for portions of northern New York and Vermont. Total snow accumulations between 1 and 4 inches are expected. Plan on slippery road conditions. Hazardous conditions could impact the Friday evening commute. Slow down and use caution if traveling. Read More >
Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260320_0600
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Fri 03/20 06Z 0.62 2617 90 8 -7 0.00
Fri 03/20 07Z 0.73 2719 93 8 -7 0.00
Fri 03/20 08Z 0.68 2719 94 11 -7 0.00
Fri 03/20 09Z 0.59 2718 90 14 -7 0.00
Fri 03/20 10Z 0.57 2819 87 22 -7 0.00
Fri 03/20 11Z 0.41 2815 82 34 -6 0.00
Fri 03/20 12Z 0.30 2712 75 27 -5 0.00
Fri 03/20 13Z 0.22 2609 68 23 -4 0.00
Fri 03/20 14Z 0.22 2409 71 31 -4 0.00
Fri 03/20 15Z 0.16 2111 72 48 -4 0.00
Fri 03/20 16Z 0.20 2015 74 84 -4 0.00
Fri 03/20 17Z 0.19 1918 83 93 -3 0.00
Fri 03/20 18Z 0.12 1824 94 96 -1 0.01
Fri 03/20 19Z 0.13 1826 94 92 0 0.05
Fri 03/20 20Z 0.26 1928 98 96 0 0.17
Fri 03/20 21Z 0.39 2030 98 95 0 0.17
Fri 03/20 22Z 0.63 2232 98 97 0 0.14
Fri 03/20 23Z 0.78 2431 98 93 0 0.11
Sat 03/21 00Z 0.86 2530 98 64 0 0.08
Sat 03/21 01Z 0.81 2626 98 15 0 0.06
Sat 03/21 02Z 0.77 2724 97 11 -1 0.04
Sat 03/21 03Z 0.65 2821 96 9 -1 0.02
Sat 03/21 04Z 0.56 2920 96 17 -2 0.02
Sat 03/21 05Z 0.38 2916 94 30 -2 0.01
Sat 03/21 06Z 0.34 3017 93 48 -3 0.01
Sat 03/21 07Z 0.32 3117 93 56 -4 0.01
Sat 03/21 08Z 0.27 3117 92 59 -4 0.01
Sat 03/21 09Z 0.21 3216 90 66 -5 0.00
Sat 03/21 10Z 0.21 3317 90 70 -6 0.00
Sat 03/21 11Z 0.24 3219 91 66 -7 0.00
Sat 03/21 12Z 0.25 3320 90 50 -7 0.00
Sat 03/21 13Z 0.23 3319 88 27 -8 0.00
Sat 03/21 14Z 0.23 3318 87 21 -8 0.00
Sat 03/21 15Z 0.32 3316 87 20 -8 0.00
Sat 03/21 16Z 0.43 3215 87 18 -8 0.00
Sat 03/21 17Z 0.46 3314 84 16 -8 0.00
Sat 03/21 18Z 0.55 3313 80 17 -8 0.00
Sat 03/21 19Z 0.72 3212 78 21 -7 0.00
Sat 03/21 20Z 0.53 3311 73 23 -7 0.00
Sat 03/21 21Z 0.26 3311 67 26 -7 0.00
Sat 03/21 22Z 0.17 3309 60 27 -7 0.00
Sat 03/21 23Z 0.13 3308 52 28 -7 0.00
Sun 03/22 00Z 0.12 3308 47 29 -7 0.00
Sun 03/22 01Z 0.12 3206 45 36 -7 0.00
Sun 03/22 02Z 0.13 3004 48 53 -6 0.00
Sun 03/22 03Z 0.15 2704 54 75 -6 0.00
Sun 03/22 04Z 0.10 2204 58 87 -6 0.00
Sun 03/22 05Z 0.08 2006 63 95 -6 0.00
Sun 03/22 06Z 0.12 2008 68 94 -6 0.00
Sun 03/22 07Z 0.14 2011 75 95 -6 0.00
Sun 03/22 08Z 0.21 2014 89 93 -7 0.01
Sun 03/22 09Z 0.18 2016 95 92 -6 0.05
Sun 03/22 10Z 0.13 1918 95 92 -5 0.07
Sun 03/22 11Z 0.13 1922 96 93 -5 0.06
Sun 03/22 12Z 0.10 1825 96 95 -3 0.06
Sun 03/22 13Z 0.13 1928 97 96 -3 0.08
Sun 03/22 14Z 0.10 1827 97 98 -2 0.10
Sun 03/22 15Z 0.14 1925 97 98 -2 0.10
Sun 03/22 16Z 0.18 1923 98 98 -1 0.08
Sun 03/22 17Z 0.22 2019 98 99 -1 0.08
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 1.60 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1