Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260728_0000
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Tue 07/28 00Z 0.15 2204 75 78 15 0.00
Tue 07/28 01Z 0.16 2205 76 75 15 0.00
Tue 07/28 02Z 0.17 2106 77 70 15 0.00
Tue 07/28 03Z 0.13 1907 80 69 15 0.00
Tue 07/28 04Z 0.16 2009 82 72 15 0.00
Tue 07/28 05Z 0.20 2011 83 73 14 0.07
Tue 07/28 06Z 0.23 2112 85 75 14 0.03
Tue 07/28 07Z 0.18 2012 83 74 15 0.01
Tue 07/28 08Z 0.17 2013 80 75 15 0.00
Tue 07/28 09Z 0.09 1913 79 72 15 0.00
Tue 07/28 10Z 0.09 1914 78 71 15 0.00
Tue 07/28 11Z 0.05 1814 78 69 15 0.00
Tue 07/28 12Z 0.03 1814 80 70 15 0.00
Tue 07/28 13Z 0.02 1714 81 72 15 0.00
Tue 07/28 14Z 0.05 1714 82 72 15 0.00
Tue 07/28 15Z 0.08 1713 84 74 15 0.00
Tue 07/28 16Z 0.17 1615 88 74 15 0.00
Tue 07/28 17Z 0.33 1616 91 76 15 0.00
Tue 07/28 18Z 0.60 1617 92 77 15 0.06
Tue 07/28 19Z 0.75 1618 92 77 15 0.10
Tue 07/28 20Z 0.36 1620 92 73 15 0.03
Tue 07/28 21Z 0.16 1724 92 76 15 0.02
Tue 07/28 22Z 0.10 1722 94 79 15 0.01
Tue 07/28 23Z 0.09 1722 94 77 14 0.01
Wed 07/29 00Z 0.08 1822 96 79 14 0.01
Wed 07/29 01Z 0.08 1724 97 80 14 0.02
Wed 07/29 02Z 0.10 1722 96 74 14 0.04
Wed 07/29 03Z 0.10 1723 96 72 14 0.02
Wed 07/29 04Z 0.12 1723 94 70 14 0.02
Wed 07/29 05Z 0.17 1624 89 71 14 0.01
Wed 07/29 06Z 0.23 1625 85 70 14 0.01
Wed 07/29 07Z 0.31 1526 84 72 14 0.01
Wed 07/29 08Z 0.37 1527 82 72 14 0.01
Wed 07/29 09Z 0.42 1429 82 70 14 0.01
Wed 07/29 10Z 0.49 1430 78 73 14 0.01
Wed 07/29 11Z 0.56 1332 78 75 14 0.01
Wed 07/29 12Z 0.61 1333 79 74 13 0.01
Wed 07/29 13Z 0.68 1334 80 76 13 0.01
Wed 07/29 14Z 0.69 1333 77 80 13 0.00
Wed 07/29 15Z 0.72 1233 72 79 13 0.00
Wed 07/29 16Z 0.79 1232 71 79 13 0.00
Wed 07/29 17Z 0.99 1230 72 78 12 0.00
Wed 07/29 18Z 1.26 1129 72 78 12 0.00
Wed 07/29 19Z 1.01 1130 75 81 12 0.01
Wed 07/29 20Z 0.99 1031 77 81 12 0.01
Wed 07/29 21Z 1.00 1032 78 81 12 0.01
Wed 07/29 22Z 0.94 1032 81 86 12 0.02
Wed 07/29 23Z 0.90 1033 84 88 12 0.03
Thu 07/30 00Z 0.84 1033 88 89 12 0.03
Thu 07/30 01Z 0.82 1033 89 88 13 0.05
Thu 07/30 02Z 0.79 1033 91 92 13 0.05
Thu 07/30 03Z 0.74 1033 89 89 13 0.05
Thu 07/30 04Z 0.67 1031 91 86 13 0.04
Thu 07/30 05Z 0.62 1130 92 82 13 0.03
Thu 07/30 06Z 0.58 1129 93 81 13 0.03
Thu 07/30 07Z 0.54 1128 92 81 13 0.04
Thu 07/30 08Z 0.49 1125 92 77 13 0.03
Thu 07/30 09Z 0.47 1123 94 79 13 0.03
Thu 07/30 10Z 0.46 1122 95 84 13 0.03
Thu 07/30 11Z 0.41 1119 96 78 13 0.03
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 1.06 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1