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Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260623_0600
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Tue 06/23 06Z 0.13 1512 98 98 10 0.00
Tue 06/23 07Z 0.11 1509 98 98 10 0.02
Tue 06/23 08Z 0.06 1706 99 98 10 0.03
Tue 06/23 09Z 0.05 2003 99 95 9 0.02
Tue 06/23 10Z 0.08 2802 99 84 9 0.01
Tue 06/23 11Z 0.06 3204 99 74 9 0.01
Tue 06/23 12Z 0.07 3306 98 61 9 0.00
Tue 06/23 13Z 0.08 3409 96 41 9 0.00
Tue 06/23 14Z 0.07 3411 95 30 9 0.00
Tue 06/23 15Z 0.09 3412 94 24 9 0.00
Tue 06/23 16Z 0.10 3412 91 19 9 0.00
Tue 06/23 17Z 0.11 3412 89 12 9 0.00
Tue 06/23 18Z 0.15 3411 88 7 10 0.00
Tue 06/23 19Z 0.19 3410 87 5 10 0.00
Tue 06/23 20Z 0.27 3410 86 5 10 0.00
Tue 06/23 21Z 0.38 3310 83 6 10 0.00
Tue 06/23 22Z 0.47 3211 83 11 10 0.00
Tue 06/23 23Z 0.45 3214 86 17 10 0.01
Wed 06/24 00Z 0.43 3217 87 19 10 0.01
Wed 06/24 01Z 0.41 3319 87 22 9 0.01
Wed 06/24 02Z 0.40 3320 87 22 9 0.00
Wed 06/24 03Z 0.34 3321 88 23 9 0.00
Wed 06/24 04Z 0.38 3322 87 24 9 0.00
Wed 06/24 05Z 0.38 3322 90 26 8 0.00
Wed 06/24 06Z 0.34 3422 90 25 8 0.00
Wed 06/24 07Z 0.29 3421 90 26 7 0.00
Wed 06/24 08Z 0.26 3319 89 22 7 0.00
Wed 06/24 09Z 0.30 3318 89 20 7 0.00
Wed 06/24 10Z 0.34 3218 89 25 7 0.00
Wed 06/24 11Z 0.40 3118 88 33 7 0.00
Wed 06/24 12Z 0.48 3018 88 40 7 0.00
Wed 06/24 13Z 0.53 3018 90 40 7 0.00
Wed 06/24 14Z 0.61 3020 89 39 6 0.00
Wed 06/24 15Z 0.78 3021 90 35 6 0.00
Wed 06/24 16Z 1.12 2921 91 39 6 0.00
Wed 06/24 17Z 2.43 2920 89 43 7 0.00
Wed 06/24 18Z 6.82 2920 87 38 7 0.00
Wed 06/24 19Z 7.55 2920 85 30 8 0.00
Wed 06/24 20Z 5.89 2919 84 26 9 0.00
Wed 06/24 21Z 4.93 2919 82 26 9 0.00
Wed 06/24 22Z 4.89 2919 80 27 9 0.00
Wed 06/24 23Z 3.30 2920 81 26 10 0.00
Thu 06/25 00Z 2.62 2921 79 23 9 0.00
Thu 06/25 01Z 2.71 3021 77 20 9 0.00
Thu 06/25 02Z 1.94 3020 78 19 9 0.00
Thu 06/25 03Z 1.27 2920 80 20 9 0.00
Thu 06/25 04Z 0.90 3018 81 23 9 0.00
Thu 06/25 05Z 0.71 3017 79 27 9 0.00
Thu 06/25 06Z 0.64 3115 79 26 9 0.00
Thu 06/25 07Z 0.64 3114 78 26 9 0.00
Thu 06/25 08Z 0.69 3113 78 22 9 0.00
Thu 06/25 09Z 0.52 3111 78 13 9 0.00
Thu 06/25 10Z 0.43 3008 77 12 9 0.00
Thu 06/25 11Z 0.37 2906 76 12 9 0.00
Thu 06/25 12Z 0.31 2804 75 13 9 0.00
Thu 06/25 13Z 0.34 2504 75 12 9 0.00
Thu 06/25 14Z 0.78 2304 77 13 9 0.00
Thu 06/25 15Z 1.05 2204 77 12 9 0.00
Thu 06/25 16Z 1.18 2105 77 11 9 0.00
Thu 06/25 17Z 0.82 2005 77 13 10 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.12 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1