Temperatures in the Champlain Valley as low as 30 will result in frost formation that could harm sensitive outdoor vegetation. Sensitive outdoor plants may be killed if left uncovered. Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold. Read More >
Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20250430_1800 Using the MB925 to MB850 layer. Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds. 925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens. Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in) === ===== === ==== ==== === === === ==== Wed 04/30 18Z 1.00 3115 64 4 0 0.00 Wed 04/30 19Z 0.70 3118 59 5 0 0.00 Wed 04/30 20Z 0.59 3117 59 6 0 0.00 Wed 04/30 21Z 0.55 3118 59 7 0 0.00 Wed 04/30 22Z 0.45 3118 55 7 1 0.00 Wed 04/30 23Z 0.35 3218 47 8 1 0.00 Thu 05/01 00Z 0.29 3219 40 9 2 0.00 Thu 05/01 01Z 0.28 3219 40 10 2 0.00 Thu 05/01 02Z 0.25 3217 42 10 1 0.00 Thu 05/01 03Z 0.18 3315 41 11 1 0.00 Thu 05/01 04Z 0.13 3312 37 12 2 0.00 Thu 05/01 05Z 0.16 3211 35 12 2 0.00 Thu 05/01 06Z 0.16 3109 29 13 2 0.00 Thu 05/01 07Z 0.15 3009 25 14 3 0.00 Thu 05/01 08Z 0.14 3008 21 15 4 0.00 Thu 05/01 09Z 0.15 2908 19 15 4 0.00 Thu 05/01 10Z 0.17 2908 18 15 4 0.00 Thu 05/01 11Z 0.15 2807 17 14 4 0.00 Thu 05/01 12Z 0.16 2808 17 13 4 0.00 Thu 05/01 13Z 0.14 2906 19 11 4 0.00 Thu 05/01 14Z 0.14 2805 21 9 4 0.00 Thu 05/01 15Z 0.12 2603 25 8 4 0.00 Thu 05/01 16Z 0.16 2503 29 6 3 0.00 Thu 05/01 17Z 0.34 2304 31 5 4 0.00 Thu 05/01 18Z 0.38 2104 30 5 4 0.00 Thu 05/01 19Z 0.46 2105 29 7 5 0.00 Thu 05/01 20Z 0.42 2106 28 14 6 0.00 Thu 05/01 21Z 0.32 2107 28 18 6 0.00 Thu 05/01 22Z 0.10 1908 28 15 7 0.00 Thu 05/01 23Z 0.06 1810 36 40 7 0.00 Fri 05/02 00Z 0.09 1813 44 74 7 0.00 Fri 05/02 01Z 0.07 1817 50 93 8 0.00 Fri 05/02 02Z 0.07 1819 58 94 8 0.00 Fri 05/02 03Z 0.11 1922 68 96 8 0.00 Fri 05/02 04Z 0.17 1927 82 96 8 0.02 Fri 05/02 05Z 0.27 2032 91 85 9 0.04 Fri 05/02 06Z 0.34 2036 90 85 10 0.02 Fri 05/02 07Z 0.36 2137 87 81 11 0.01 Fri 05/02 08Z 0.37 2139 90 86 11 0.02 Fri 05/02 09Z 0.36 2138 92 79 11 0.03 Fri 05/02 10Z 0.39 2137 93 86 11 0.01 Fri 05/02 11Z 0.43 2135 95 74 10 0.01 Fri 05/02 12Z 0.46 2133 96 89 10 0.01 Fri 05/02 13Z 0.52 2231 97 77 10 0.01 Fri 05/02 14Z 0.56 2327 97 54 10 0.02 Fri 05/02 15Z 0.61 2324 95 43 9 0.01 Fri 05/02 16Z 0.72 2323 90 38 9 0.00 Fri 05/02 17Z 1.66 2322 89 36 9 0.00 Fri 05/02 18Z 2.68 2321 88 37 9 0.00 Fri 05/02 19Z 2.51 2320 88 35 10 0.00 Fri 05/02 20Z 2.93 2320 89 35 10 0.00 Fri 05/02 21Z 4.05 2420 87 37 10 0.01 Fri 05/02 22Z 2.44 2422 90 47 10 0.01 Fri 05/02 23Z 1.39 2520 83 49 10 0.00 Sat 05/03 00Z 1.06 2520 85 66 10 0.00 Sat 05/03 01Z 0.98 2518 90 76 9 0.01 Sat 05/03 02Z 0.74 2517 91 75 9 0.00 Sat 05/03 03Z 0.62 2516 91 75 9 0.01 Sat 05/03 04Z 0.56 2516 90 78 9 0.01 Sat 05/03 05Z 0.50 2515 91 72 9 0.00 Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.26 inches. Froude Number (Frd#): Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked. Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest. W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes. Gap winds possible. Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked. Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest. W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including: Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln. Gap winds possible. Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical. With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible. Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side. W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom. Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow). Air flows freely over terrain. Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries. Relative Humidity (RH): 925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation. with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow. with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible. 850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1) T > -11 10-15:1 T -11 to -15 25-35:1 T < -15 15-20:1