Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260212_1200
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Thu 02/12 12Z 0.38 3320 91 71 -14 0.00
Thu 02/12 13Z 0.36 3322 93 72 -13 0.00
Thu 02/12 14Z 0.31 3321 93 71 -13 0.00
Thu 02/12 15Z 0.28 3320 92 70 -13 0.00
Thu 02/12 16Z 0.29 3219 91 68 -13 0.00
Thu 02/12 17Z 0.30 3219 90 60 -12 0.00
Thu 02/12 18Z 0.30 3220 88 45 -12 0.00
Thu 02/12 19Z 0.30 3220 88 32 -12 0.00
Thu 02/12 20Z 0.32 3220 88 22 -12 0.00
Thu 02/12 21Z 0.30 3220 85 16 -11 0.00
Thu 02/12 22Z 0.26 3321 80 13 -11 0.00
Thu 02/12 23Z 0.20 3321 74 12 -10 0.00
Fri 02/13 02Z 0.10 3422 66 12 -9 0.00
Fri 02/13 03Z 0.08 3421 65 13 -9 0.00
Fri 02/13 04Z 0.06 3420 63 14 -9 0.00
Fri 02/13 05Z 0.07 3419 62 15 -9 0.00
Fri 02/13 06Z 0.09 3418 61 17 -9 0.00
Fri 02/13 07Z 0.10 3417 60 20 -9 0.00
Fri 02/13 08Z 0.12 3317 60 23 -9 0.00
Fri 02/13 09Z 0.15 3317 61 24 -9 0.00
Fri 02/13 10Z 0.17 3217 61 23 -9 0.00
Fri 02/13 11Z 0.19 3218 61 21 -9 0.00
Fri 02/13 12Z 0.22 3218 62 19 -9 0.00
Fri 02/13 13Z 0.24 3118 62 18 -9 0.00
Fri 02/13 14Z 0.24 3117 63 18 -9 0.00
Fri 02/13 15Z 0.25 3016 64 18 -10 0.00
Fri 02/13 16Z 0.28 3016 66 18 -10 0.00
Fri 02/13 17Z 0.30 3015 65 17 -10 0.00
Fri 02/13 18Z 0.30 2913 60 17 -10 0.00
Fri 02/13 20Z 0.37 2814 58 26 -10 0.00
Fri 02/13 21Z 0.40 2715 62 37 -10 0.00
Fri 02/13 22Z 0.45 2716 65 45 -10 0.00
Fri 02/13 23Z 0.48 2618 62 48 -10 0.00
Sat 02/14 00Z 0.47 2618 57 44 -9 0.00
Sat 02/14 01Z 0.44 2618 51 43 -9 0.00
Sat 02/14 02Z 0.41 2618 45 48 -8 0.00
Sat 02/14 03Z 0.41 2618 43 53 -8 0.00
Sat 02/14 04Z 0.42 2619 49 67 -9 0.00
Sat 02/14 05Z 0.43 2619 58 83 -9 0.00
Sat 02/14 06Z 0.38 2616 86 79 -9 0.00
Sat 02/14 07Z 0.41 2616 94 76 -10 0.00
Sat 02/14 08Z 0.45 2716 94 86 -10 0.00
Sat 02/14 09Z 0.42 2815 93 86 -10 0.01
Sat 02/14 10Z 0.36 2814 94 80 -10 0.01
Sat 02/14 11Z 0.38 2815 95 79 -10 0.01
Sat 02/14 12Z 0.43 2916 94 78 -10 0.01
Sat 02/14 13Z 0.48 2919 95 78 -10 0.01
Sat 02/14 14Z 0.49 3020 95 54 -11 0.00
Sat 02/14 15Z 0.46 3020 95 30 -11 0.01
Sat 02/14 16Z 0.49 3120 92 21 -11 0.01
Sat 02/14 17Z 0.52 3019 83 21 -11 0.01
Sat 02/14 18Z 0.58 3019 75 25 -11 0.00
Sat 02/14 19Z 0.65 2919 73 30 -11 0.00
Sat 02/14 20Z 0.71 2919 75 33 -12 0.00
Sat 02/14 21Z 0.84 2921 74 35 -12 0.00
Sat 02/14 22Z 0.91 2923 73 39 -12 0.00
Sat 02/14 23Z 0.98 2925 71 39 -12 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.08 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1