Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260412_0600
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sun 04/12 06Z 0.36 3319 70 15 -5 0.00
Sun 04/12 07Z 0.39 3319 69 20 -5 0.00
Sun 04/12 08Z 0.34 3317 67 23 -5 0.00
Sun 04/12 09Z 0.26 3315 64 21 -5 0.00
Sun 04/12 10Z 0.20 3312 62 24 -4 0.00
Sun 04/12 11Z 0.16 3309 60 24 -4 0.00
Sun 04/12 12Z 0.13 3206 58 25 -3 0.00
Sun 04/12 13Z 0.12 2903 57 24 -3 0.00
Sun 04/12 14Z 0.12 2403 56 25 -3 0.00
Sun 04/12 15Z 0.17 2105 56 27 -3 0.00
Sun 04/12 16Z 0.41 2005 56 31 -2 0.00
Sun 04/12 17Z 0.61 2007 56 35 -2 0.00
Sun 04/12 18Z 0.48 1909 53 45 -1 0.00
Sun 04/12 19Z 0.34 1911 52 89 0 0.00
Sun 04/12 20Z 0.28 1913 52 93 0 0.00
Sun 04/12 21Z 0.32 1915 60 95 0 0.00
Sun 04/12 22Z 0.33 1918 65 98 0 0.00
Sun 04/12 23Z 0.33 2021 85 98 0 0.02
Mon 04/13 00Z 0.30 2023 93 98 0 0.03
Mon 04/13 01Z 0.30 2027 94 99 1 0.04
Mon 04/13 02Z 0.37 2130 96 99 2 0.05
Mon 04/13 03Z 0.44 2132 96 99 3 0.07
Mon 04/13 04Z 0.43 2233 97 99 5 0.09
Mon 04/13 06Z 0.50 2237 94 97 8 0.09
Mon 04/13 07Z 0.54 2339 89 95 9 0.09
Mon 04/13 08Z 0.57 2339 85 88 10 0.03
Mon 04/13 09Z 0.60 2440 84 68 10 0.01
Mon 04/13 10Z 0.66 2441 89 90 10 0.01
Mon 04/13 11Z 0.68 2439 93 84 9 0.02
Mon 04/13 12Z 0.74 2540 93 77 9 0.06
Mon 04/13 13Z 0.83 2542 94 75 8 0.02
Mon 04/13 14Z 0.78 2537 88 76 9 0.02
Mon 04/13 15Z 0.77 2436 90 92 8 0.01
Mon 04/13 16Z 0.76 2335 96 96 8 0.01
Mon 04/13 17Z 0.88 2338 97 97 8 0.05
Mon 04/13 18Z 0.89 2340 97 98 9 0.09
Mon 04/13 19Z 0.98 2440 98 98 8 0.12
Mon 04/13 20Z 1.03 2539 98 97 8 0.11
Mon 04/13 21Z 1.03 2637 98 90 8 0.09
Mon 04/13 22Z 1.03 2635 98 70 8 0.05
Mon 04/13 23Z 1.05 2735 98 62 8 0.03
Tue 04/14 00Z 1.15 2737 98 66 8 0.03
Tue 04/14 01Z 1.17 2738 98 74 9 0.06
Tue 04/14 02Z 1.22 2837 98 77 8 0.06
Tue 04/14 03Z 1.24 2836 97 58 7 0.03
Tue 04/14 04Z 1.17 2834 98 45 7 0.03
Tue 04/14 05Z 1.10 2932 98 47 6 0.03
Tue 04/14 06Z 0.93 2929 97 41 6 0.04
Tue 04/14 07Z 0.75 3026 96 41 6 0.04
Tue 04/14 08Z 0.57 3023 95 37 6 0.03
Tue 04/14 09Z 0.46 3021 93 34 7 0.02
Tue 04/14 10Z 0.38 2918 90 22 7 0.02
Tue 04/14 11Z 0.32 2916 86 22 8 0.01
Tue 04/14 12Z 0.32 2815 85 31 8 0.01
Tue 04/14 13Z 0.27 2713 82 46 9 0.01
Tue 04/14 14Z 0.26 2612 81 54 9 0.01
Tue 04/14 15Z 0.25 2512 79 55 9 0.01
Tue 04/14 16Z 0.26 2413 77 56 10 0.00
Tue 04/14 17Z 0.30 2315 73 46 11 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 1.65 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1