Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260328_1200
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sat 03/28 12Z 0.37 3009 81 61 -16 0.00
Sat 03/28 13Z 0.73 2910 80 67 -16 0.00
Sat 03/28 14Z 2.27 2909 79 62 -16 0.00
Sat 03/28 15Z 3.94 2808 75 59 -16 0.00
Sat 03/28 16Z 4.85 2808 68 67 -15 0.00
Sat 03/28 17Z 5.66 2709 64 70 -14 0.00
Sat 03/28 18Z 6.36 2510 65 76 -14 0.00
Sat 03/28 19Z 5.07 2513 78 80 -13 0.00
Sat 03/28 20Z 5.66 2716 81 79 -13 0.01
Sat 03/28 21Z 8.44 2718 73 65 -13 0.01
Sat 03/28 22Z 6.91 2720 78 59 -13 0.00
Sat 03/28 23Z 3.88 2722 83 54 -13 0.01
Sun 03/29 00Z 3.14 2723 85 50 -14 0.01
Sun 03/29 01Z 5.34 2824 81 40 -14 0.00
Sun 03/29 02Z 5.22 2825 80 31 -14 0.00
Sun 03/29 03Z 2.57 2824 74 18 -14 0.00
Sun 03/29 04Z 2.00 2824 70 20 -14 0.00
Sun 03/29 05Z 1.86 2823 73 42 -14 0.00
Sun 03/29 06Z 1.89 2823 80 64 -14 0.00
Sun 03/29 07Z 1.61 2723 84 69 -14 0.00
Sun 03/29 08Z 1.32 2822 85 71 -14 0.00
Sun 03/29 09Z 1.17 2822 89 80 -13 0.00
Sun 03/29 10Z 1.04 2722 92 80 -13 0.00
Sun 03/29 11Z 0.95 2721 92 81 -13 0.00
Sun 03/29 12Z 0.82 2721 89 78 -12 0.00
Sun 03/29 13Z 0.78 2621 87 75 -11 0.00
Sun 03/29 14Z 0.86 2620 88 80 -11 0.00
Sun 03/29 15Z 0.97 2519 82 76 -10 0.00
Sun 03/29 16Z 1.17 2517 74 73 -9 0.00
Sun 03/29 17Z 1.78 2416 68 80 -8 0.00
Sun 03/29 18Z 3.99 2316 66 78 -8 0.00
Sun 03/29 19Z 6.29 2318 66 73 -8 0.00
Sun 03/29 20Z 4.67 2320 65 63 -7 0.00
Sun 03/29 21Z 1.67 2322 63 47 -6 0.00
Sun 03/29 22Z 1.24 2324 64 33 -5 0.00
Sun 03/29 23Z 1.28 2426 68 25 -5 0.00
Mon 03/30 00Z 1.42 2426 69 9 -4 0.00
Mon 03/30 01Z 1.28 2527 68 9 -4 0.00
Mon 03/30 02Z 1.24 2527 64 6 -3 0.00
Mon 03/30 03Z 1.21 2527 61 6 -3 0.00
Mon 03/30 04Z 1.13 2527 60 12 -3 0.00
Mon 03/30 05Z 1.01 2526 60 25 -2 0.00
Mon 03/30 06Z 0.96 2527 62 46 -2 0.00
Mon 03/30 07Z 0.88 2427 62 66 -1 0.00
Mon 03/30 08Z 0.89 2425 68 64 -1 0.00
Mon 03/30 09Z 0.92 2425 74 78 -1 0.00
Mon 03/30 10Z 0.71 2423 77 73 -1 0.00
Mon 03/30 11Z 0.68 2424 77 57 -1 0.00
Mon 03/30 12Z 0.78 2426 84 40 -1 0.00
Mon 03/30 13Z 0.82 2526 85 58 -1 0.00
Mon 03/30 14Z 0.85 2527 88 81 -1 0.00
Mon 03/30 15Z 0.89 2527 84 80 -1 0.00
Mon 03/30 16Z 0.88 2627 77 79 0 0.00
Mon 03/30 17Z 0.93 2625 79 69 0 0.00
Mon 03/30 18Z 1.04 2623 80 66 0 0.00
Mon 03/30 19Z 1.08 2522 81 56 0 0.00
Mon 03/30 20Z 1.20 2523 82 59 1 0.00
Mon 03/30 21Z 1.25 2424 82 61 1 0.00
Mon 03/30 22Z 1.32 2526 82 61 1 0.00
Mon 03/30 23Z 1.53 2527 83 61 1 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.04 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1