Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260421_0000
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Tue 04/21 00Z 1.82 3111 73 41 -9 0.00
Tue 04/21 01Z 2.58 3113 67 31 -9 0.00
Tue 04/21 02Z 2.58 3115 60 20 -9 0.00
Tue 04/21 03Z 2.35 3114 53 10 -10 0.00
Tue 04/21 04Z 1.86 3114 50 6 -10 0.00
Tue 04/21 05Z 1.52 3213 48 5 -10 0.00
Tue 04/21 06Z 1.06 3212 46 6 -10 0.00
Tue 04/21 07Z 0.70 3211 45 7 -10 0.00
Tue 04/21 08Z 0.56 3109 45 8 -10 0.00
Tue 04/21 09Z 0.59 3009 45 9 -10 0.00
Tue 04/21 10Z 0.57 2908 45 11 -10 0.00
Tue 04/21 11Z 0.45 2806 45 10 -10 0.00
Tue 04/21 12Z 0.50 2605 46 9 -10 0.00
Tue 04/21 13Z 1.61 2404 47 10 -10 0.00
Tue 04/21 14Z 3.06 2405 46 10 -9 0.00
Tue 04/21 15Z 3.49 2405 46 11 -9 0.00
Tue 04/21 16Z 3.51 2306 45 12 -8 0.00
Tue 04/21 17Z 3.65 2306 43 20 -7 0.00
Tue 04/21 18Z 3.84 2307 42 42 -6 0.00
Tue 04/21 19Z 3.73 2307 42 66 -6 0.00
Tue 04/21 20Z 3.14 2207 41 70 -5 0.00
Tue 04/21 21Z 2.06 2207 41 79 -5 0.00
Tue 04/21 22Z 0.92 2107 40 72 -4 0.00
Tue 04/21 23Z 0.31 2009 39 72 -4 0.00
Wed 04/22 00Z 0.31 2110 38 67 -4 0.00
Wed 04/22 01Z 0.36 2112 39 73 -4 0.00
Wed 04/22 02Z 0.39 2114 40 79 -3 0.00
Wed 04/22 03Z 0.40 2117 42 84 -3 0.00
Wed 04/22 04Z 0.43 2119 44 90 -2 0.00
Wed 04/22 05Z 0.49 2221 44 91 -2 0.00
Wed 04/22 06Z 0.53 2222 44 89 -2 0.00
Wed 04/22 07Z 0.45 2122 52 88 -2 0.00
Wed 04/22 08Z 0.29 2118 53 94 -1 0.00
Wed 04/22 09Z 0.22 2116 61 95 0 0.00
Wed 04/22 10Z 0.21 2116 77 91 0 0.00
Wed 04/22 11Z 0.20 2017 87 93 0 0.00
Wed 04/22 12Z 0.16 2017 91 89 0 0.00
Wed 04/22 13Z 0.13 1916 94 83 0 0.00
Wed 04/22 14Z 0.14 1916 95 74 -1 0.00
Wed 04/22 15Z 0.16 2016 96 72 -1 0.01
Wed 04/22 16Z 0.17 2015 98 62 -1 0.01
Wed 04/22 17Z 0.19 2015 98 50 -1 0.01
Wed 04/22 18Z 0.21 2113 98 30 -1 0.01
Wed 04/22 19Z 0.19 2111 98 15 -1 0.01
Wed 04/22 20Z 0.22 2210 98 7 -1 0.00
Wed 04/22 21Z 0.22 2308 98 4 -1 0.01
Wed 04/22 22Z 0.18 2406 98 6 0 0.00
Wed 04/22 23Z 0.16 2605 98 6 0 0.00
Thu 04/23 00Z 0.17 2705 98 8 0 0.00
Thu 04/23 01Z 0.16 2906 98 10 -1 0.00
Thu 04/23 02Z 0.16 3006 98 9 -1 0.00
Thu 04/23 03Z 0.15 3106 98 10 -1 0.00
Thu 04/23 04Z 0.16 3106 98 12 -2 0.00
Thu 04/23 05Z 0.24 3008 97 14 -2 0.00
Thu 04/23 06Z 0.25 3009 95 30 -2 0.00
Thu 04/23 07Z 0.27 3010 95 38 -2 0.00
Thu 04/23 08Z 0.35 3012 95 56 -2 0.01
Thu 04/23 09Z 0.41 3014 94 79 -1 0.01
Thu 04/23 10Z 0.46 2916 94 93 -1 0.02
Thu 04/23 11Z 0.62 3022 96 93 -1 0.06
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.16 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1