Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260524_0000
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sun 05/24 00Z 0.40 1413 72 7 4 0.00
Sun 05/24 01Z 0.39 1416 71 9 4 0.00
Sun 05/24 02Z 0.38 1419 66 14 5 0.00
Sun 05/24 03Z 0.34 1421 59 27 5 0.00
Sun 05/24 04Z 0.33 1422 57 46 5 0.00
Sun 05/24 05Z 0.34 1523 56 56 5 0.00
Sun 05/24 06Z 0.40 1426 56 68 5 0.01
Sun 05/24 07Z 0.41 1428 61 83 5 0.01
Sun 05/24 08Z 0.36 1528 66 84 5 0.01
Sun 05/24 09Z 0.36 1430 67 85 6 0.01
Sun 05/24 10Z 0.34 1531 73 89 6 0.03
Sun 05/24 11Z 0.31 1531 82 96 6 0.06
Sun 05/24 12Z 0.34 1533 88 98 6 0.06
Sun 05/24 13Z 0.36 1535 91 99 5 0.05
Sun 05/24 14Z 0.32 1535 91 99 5 0.05
Sun 05/24 15Z 0.29 1535 92 98 5 0.05
Sun 05/24 16Z 0.28 1535 93 97 5 0.03
Sun 05/24 17Z 0.27 1535 94 98 5 0.03
Sun 05/24 18Z 0.25 1534 94 98 5 0.03
Sun 05/24 19Z 0.22 1635 95 98 5 0.03
Sun 05/24 20Z 0.20 1635 94 97 6 0.04
Sun 05/24 21Z 0.18 1635 95 97 6 0.03
Sun 05/24 22Z 0.15 1635 95 96 6 0.04
Sun 05/24 23Z 0.12 1634 95 97 7 0.04
Mon 05/25 00Z 0.11 1634 95 89 8 0.02
Mon 05/25 01Z 0.10 1734 95 87 8 0.01
Mon 05/25 02Z 0.09 1733 95 90 8 0.02
Mon 05/25 03Z 0.07 1732 96 91 9 0.02
Mon 05/25 04Z 0.04 1730 96 91 10 0.03
Mon 05/25 05Z 0.03 1728 96 91 11 0.02
Mon 05/25 06Z 0.05 1827 96 89 11 0.02
Mon 05/25 07Z 0.08 1828 97 89 12 0.02
Mon 05/25 08Z 0.12 1928 97 90 12 0.04
Mon 05/25 09Z 0.14 1928 98 91 12 0.06
Mon 05/25 10Z 0.16 1928 99 97 11 0.13
Mon 05/25 11Z 0.28 2029 99 95 10 0.32
Mon 05/25 12Z 0.39 2226 99 97 9 0.20
Mon 05/25 13Z 0.39 2419 98 92 9 0.12
Mon 05/25 14Z 0.37 2616 98 90 9 0.05
Mon 05/25 15Z 0.29 2814 96 82 10 0.02
Mon 05/25 16Z 0.31 2916 95 81 10 0.00
Mon 05/25 17Z 0.33 2916 94 76 10 0.00
Mon 05/25 18Z 0.39 2917 93 62 9 0.00
Mon 05/25 19Z 0.49 2918 92 43 9 0.00
Mon 05/25 20Z 0.59 2819 94 11 9 0.00
Mon 05/25 21Z 0.64 2819 96 7 9 0.01
Mon 05/25 22Z 0.64 2820 92 16 9 0.01
Mon 05/25 23Z 0.62 2921 81 16 9 0.01
Tue 05/26 00Z 0.56 3021 73 17 9 0.00
Tue 05/26 01Z 0.60 2922 71 9 9 0.00
Tue 05/26 02Z 0.59 3022 73 6 9 0.00
Tue 05/26 03Z 0.59 3124 75 6 8 0.00
Tue 05/26 04Z 0.63 3022 80 6 8 0.00
Tue 05/26 05Z 0.79 2922 84 7 8 0.00
Tue 05/26 06Z 0.77 2922 81 9 8 0.00
Tue 05/26 07Z 0.80 2921 76 13 9 0.00
Tue 05/26 08Z 0.64 2921 72 13 9 0.00
Tue 05/26 09Z 0.54 3022 64 17 10 0.00
Tue 05/26 10Z 0.47 3022 53 17 10 0.00
Tue 05/26 11Z 0.49 3022 51 18 10 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 1.74 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1