Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260303_0000
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Tue 03/03 00Z 0.45 2515 45 36 -14 0.00
Tue 03/03 01Z 0.42 2515 41 42 -12 0.00
Tue 03/03 02Z 0.38 2516 36 51 -11 0.00
Tue 03/03 03Z 0.37 2417 29 54 -10 0.00
Tue 03/03 04Z 0.40 2419 24 52 -9 0.00
Tue 03/03 05Z 0.42 2421 22 49 -8 0.00
Tue 03/03 06Z 0.44 2422 21 48 -7 0.00
Tue 03/03 07Z 0.45 2423 21 53 -7 0.00
Tue 03/03 08Z 0.47 2423 24 58 -7 0.00
Tue 03/03 09Z 0.46 2423 28 61 -6 0.00
Tue 03/03 10Z 0.44 2422 31 62 -5 0.00
Tue 03/03 11Z 0.39 2420 32 60 -5 0.00
Tue 03/03 12Z 0.36 2418 31 56 -4 0.00
Tue 03/03 13Z 0.34 2318 29 50 -4 0.00
Tue 03/03 14Z 0.33 2319 34 45 -4 0.00
Tue 03/03 15Z 0.32 2220 49 41 -3 0.00
Tue 03/03 16Z 0.34 2221 64 37 -3 0.00
Tue 03/03 17Z 0.36 2221 73 33 -4 0.00
Tue 03/03 18Z 0.38 2221 82 29 -4 0.00
Tue 03/03 19Z 0.37 2222 87 33 -4 0.01
Tue 03/03 20Z 0.36 2221 88 45 -4 0.01
Tue 03/03 21Z 0.36 2222 93 65 -4 0.02
Tue 03/03 22Z 0.35 2124 96 73 -3 0.02
Tue 03/03 23Z 0.35 2125 97 80 -3 0.02
Wed 03/04 00Z 0.39 2127 98 91 -3 0.04
Wed 03/04 02Z 0.54 2227 98 96 -3 0.06
Wed 03/04 03Z 0.60 2426 98 95 -4 0.07
Wed 03/04 04Z 0.63 2523 98 91 -4 0.07
Wed 03/04 05Z 0.55 2721 97 60 -4 0.04
Wed 03/04 06Z 0.42 2820 88 35 -2 0.02
Wed 03/04 07Z 0.35 2920 74 42 -1 0.01
Wed 03/04 08Z 0.34 3020 64 47 0 0.01
Wed 03/04 09Z 0.37 3021 58 23 0 0.01
Wed 03/04 10Z 0.41 3022 51 15 -1 0.01
Wed 03/04 11Z 0.42 3022 47 13 -1 0.00
Wed 03/04 12Z 0.43 3023 48 7 0 0.00
Wed 03/04 13Z 0.43 3025 54 4 0 0.00
Wed 03/04 14Z 0.38 3023 57 5 0 0.00
Wed 03/04 15Z 0.33 3020 58 6 0 0.00
Wed 03/04 16Z 0.29 2916 59 7 0 0.00
Wed 03/04 17Z 0.30 2815 60 9 0 0.00
Wed 03/04 18Z 0.32 2714 59 8 0 0.00
Wed 03/04 19Z 0.35 2715 56 9 0 0.00
Wed 03/04 20Z 0.32 2713 54 10 0 0.00
Wed 03/04 21Z 0.29 2712 53 12 0 0.00
Wed 03/04 22Z 0.28 2612 51 17 1 0.00
Wed 03/04 23Z 0.28 2512 49 21 1 0.00
Thu 03/05 00Z 0.29 2513 48 25 1 0.00
Thu 03/05 01Z 0.30 2513 46 29 2 0.00
Thu 03/05 02Z 0.32 2414 42 31 2 0.00
Thu 03/05 03Z 0.33 2415 38 28 2 0.00
Thu 03/05 04Z 0.36 2416 36 27 3 0.00
Thu 03/05 05Z 0.38 2417 37 27 3 0.00
Thu 03/05 06Z 0.39 2517 37 25 3 0.00
Thu 03/05 07Z 0.38 2516 35 22 3 0.00
Thu 03/05 08Z 0.38 2515 35 20 2 0.00
Thu 03/05 09Z 0.34 2514 33 16 3 0.00
Thu 03/05 10Z 0.32 2513 33 14 3 0.00
Thu 03/05 11Z 0.31 2512 33 13 3 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.42 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1