Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260323_0600
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Mon 03/23 06Z 0.07 0206 93 15 -5 0.00
Mon 03/23 07Z 0.12 0308 92 15 -5 0.00
Mon 03/23 08Z 0.14 0408 93 16 -5 0.00
Mon 03/23 09Z 0.14 0408 94 19 -6 0.00
Mon 03/23 10Z 0.18 0409 95 18 -6 0.00
Mon 03/23 11Z 0.25 0511 96 18 -7 0.00
Mon 03/23 12Z 0.34 0612 97 19 -8 0.01
Mon 03/23 13Z 0.43 0713 97 18 -8 0.01
Mon 03/23 14Z 0.39 0811 97 18 -8 0.01
Mon 03/23 15Z 0.30 0907 98 19 -8 0.01
Mon 03/23 16Z 0.24 0905 97 18 -8 0.00
Mon 03/23 17Z 0.16 0703 97 18 -8 0.00
Mon 03/23 18Z 0.14 0303 97 17 -8 0.01
Mon 03/23 19Z 0.09 3504 98 21 -8 0.01
Mon 03/23 20Z 0.09 3407 98 31 -8 0.01
Mon 03/23 21Z 0.16 3311 98 35 -8 0.01
Mon 03/23 22Z 0.22 3314 97 31 -9 0.01
Mon 03/23 23Z 0.22 3417 96 32 -9 0.01
Tue 03/24 00Z 0.19 3419 95 34 -9 0.01
Tue 03/24 01Z 0.21 3421 95 38 -10 0.01
Tue 03/24 02Z 0.25 3423 94 44 -10 0.01
Tue 03/24 03Z 0.24 3424 91 44 -10 0.00
Tue 03/24 04Z 0.22 3424 88 35 -11 0.00
Tue 03/24 05Z 0.27 3424 87 27 -11 0.00
Tue 03/24 06Z 0.33 3424 91 20 -11 0.00
Tue 03/24 07Z 0.39 3422 94 15 -12 0.01
Tue 03/24 08Z 0.36 3320 95 7 -12 0.01
Tue 03/24 09Z 0.31 3319 95 4 -12 0.01
Tue 03/24 10Z 0.32 3319 94 5 -12 0.01
Tue 03/24 11Z 0.28 3318 92 7 -13 0.01
Tue 03/24 12Z 0.30 3316 89 10 -13 0.00
Tue 03/24 13Z 0.28 3215 86 11 -13 0.00
Tue 03/24 14Z 0.22 3212 78 12 -12 0.00
Tue 03/24 15Z 0.28 3011 74 10 -12 0.00
Tue 03/24 16Z 0.36 2911 72 7 -11 0.00
Tue 03/24 17Z 0.32 2809 61 5 -10 0.00
Tue 03/24 18Z 0.31 2609 51 3 -9 0.00
Tue 03/24 19Z 0.28 2409 40 3 -8 0.00
Tue 03/24 20Z 0.39 2411 38 5 -8 0.00
Tue 03/24 21Z 0.64 2416 46 8 -8 0.00
Tue 03/24 22Z 0.90 2420 53 27 -8 0.00
Tue 03/24 23Z 0.97 2423 54 68 -8 0.00
Wed 03/25 00Z 2.14 2528 45 78 -8 0.00
Wed 03/25 01Z 4.85 2631 57 85 -9 0.00
Wed 03/25 02Z 4.80 2732 78 89 -10 0.01
Wed 03/25 03Z 1.54 2831 88 48 -10 0.01
Wed 03/25 04Z 1.38 2831 91 15 -10 0.01
Wed 03/25 05Z 1.29 2930 90 19 -11 0.01
Wed 03/25 06Z 1.05 2927 85 22 -10 0.00
Wed 03/25 07Z 0.76 2925 78 9 -9 0.00
Wed 03/25 08Z 0.65 2924 75 6 -9 0.00
Wed 03/25 09Z 0.76 2925 83 8 -9 0.00
Wed 03/25 10Z 0.78 2824 81 11 -9 0.01
Wed 03/25 11Z 0.64 2822 70 21 -8 0.00
Wed 03/25 12Z 0.49 2820 57 22 -7 0.00
Wed 03/25 13Z 0.37 2816 42 22 -5 0.00
Wed 03/25 14Z 0.32 2714 36 15 -5 0.00
Wed 03/25 15Z 0.31 2613 36 13 -4 0.00
Wed 03/25 16Z 0.30 2412 35 11 -4 0.00
Wed 03/25 17Z 0.34 2214 33 7 -4 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.23 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1