Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260415_0600
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Wed 04/15 06Z 0.33 2712 85 33 8 0.00
Wed 04/15 07Z 0.32 2714 80 23 9 0.00
Wed 04/15 08Z 0.28 2814 75 19 10 0.00
Wed 04/15 09Z 0.25 2914 72 19 11 0.00
Wed 04/15 10Z 0.21 2912 68 19 12 0.00
Wed 04/15 11Z 0.15 2909 61 18 12 0.00
Wed 04/15 12Z 0.10 2805 56 18 13 0.00
Wed 04/15 13Z 0.13 2507 55 19 12 0.00
Wed 04/15 14Z 0.14 2309 51 18 13 0.00
Wed 04/15 15Z 0.11 2012 53 15 13 0.00
Wed 04/15 16Z 0.23 2118 66 55 11 0.00
Wed 04/15 17Z 0.24 2021 86 94 10 0.05
Wed 04/15 18Z 0.24 2022 94 97 10 0.06
Wed 04/15 19Z 0.44 2225 99 76 11 0.06
Wed 04/15 20Z 0.60 2325 98 56 11 0.03
Wed 04/15 21Z 0.82 2426 99 40 10 0.03
Wed 04/15 22Z 0.90 2526 99 39 10 0.02
Wed 04/15 23Z 0.88 2525 98 51 10 0.02
Thu 04/16 00Z 0.77 2524 97 59 11 0.01
Thu 04/16 01Z 0.80 2625 95 67 11 0.01
Thu 04/16 02Z 0.64 2623 90 77 12 0.01
Thu 04/16 03Z 0.55 2621 87 81 12 0.01
Thu 04/16 04Z 0.53 2620 87 88 12 0.01
Thu 04/16 05Z 0.45 2617 85 83 12 0.01
Thu 04/16 06Z 0.49 2617 90 87 11 0.02
Thu 04/16 07Z 0.30 2611 90 87 11 0.15
Thu 04/16 08Z 0.25 2709 90 89 11 0.03
Thu 04/16 09Z 0.27 2810 92 84 11 0.02
Thu 04/16 10Z 0.35 2813 94 72 10 0.00
Thu 04/16 11Z 0.38 2814 96 72 10 0.01
Thu 04/16 12Z 0.37 2914 95 74 10 0.01
Thu 04/16 13Z 0.34 2813 95 71 10 0.00
Thu 04/16 14Z 0.31 2811 95 71 10 0.00
Thu 04/16 15Z 0.31 2810 95 68 10 0.00
Thu 04/16 16Z 0.33 2609 95 79 10 0.00
Thu 04/16 17Z 0.32 2509 96 83 10 0.00
Thu 04/16 18Z 0.30 2409 97 86 10 0.01
Thu 04/16 19Z 0.31 2309 97 89 10 0.00
Thu 04/16 20Z 0.35 2211 97 88 10 0.01
Thu 04/16 21Z 0.42 2214 97 88 10 0.01
Thu 04/16 22Z 0.49 2216 96 95 11 0.02
Thu 04/16 23Z 0.40 2216 94 82 11 0.03
Fri 04/17 00Z 0.39 2119 94 86 12 0.01
Fri 04/17 01Z 0.39 2121 95 83 12 0.07
Fri 04/17 02Z 0.44 2120 93 86 12 0.06
Fri 04/17 03Z 0.39 2218 92 89 12 0.18
Fri 04/17 04Z 0.51 2418 97 93 11 0.38
Fri 04/17 05Z 0.78 2726 88 92 10 0.33
Fri 04/17 06Z 0.50 2418 63 60 12 0.01
Fri 04/17 07Z 0.69 2423 80 36 11 0.00
Fri 04/17 08Z 0.72 2525 87 41 10 0.00
Fri 04/17 09Z 0.76 2525 93 43 9 0.01
Fri 04/17 10Z 0.70 2623 95 42 9 0.01
Fri 04/17 11Z 0.65 2721 96 48 8 0.01
Fri 04/17 12Z 0.67 2821 97 65 8 0.02
Fri 04/17 13Z 0.64 2820 97 77 8 0.03
Fri 04/17 14Z 0.60 2820 97 81 8 0.03
Fri 04/17 15Z 0.56 2919 97 82 7 0.03
Fri 04/17 16Z 0.47 3119 97 81 7 0.03
Fri 04/17 17Z 0.36 3219 96 82 7 0.02
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 1.88 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1