Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260325_0000
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Wed 03/25 00Z 1.10 2520 63 51 -7 0.00
Wed 03/25 01Z 2.79 2625 65 77 -8 0.00
Wed 03/25 02Z 4.86 2727 67 89 -9 0.00
Wed 03/25 03Z 3.25 2727 75 81 -9 0.00
Wed 03/25 04Z 1.69 2827 82 47 -9 0.00
Wed 03/25 05Z 1.20 2826 85 23 -9 0.00
Wed 03/25 06Z 1.02 2826 86 32 -9 0.00
Wed 03/25 07Z 1.02 2828 91 36 -9 0.00
Wed 03/25 08Z 1.05 2829 93 20 -9 0.01
Wed 03/25 09Z 1.05 2928 92 14 -9 0.01
Wed 03/25 10Z 0.96 2924 90 15 -9 0.01
Wed 03/25 11Z 0.87 2922 89 20 -9 0.01
Wed 03/25 12Z 0.72 2920 90 27 -9 0.01
Wed 03/25 13Z 0.65 2920 88 34 -9 0.01
Wed 03/25 14Z 0.55 2918 84 34 -9 0.01
Wed 03/25 15Z 0.46 2815 80 29 -9 0.00
Wed 03/25 16Z 0.45 2713 76 21 -8 0.00
Wed 03/25 17Z 0.45 2613 72 15 -7 0.00
Wed 03/25 18Z 0.43 2512 63 11 -6 0.00
Wed 03/25 19Z 0.47 2511 54 9 -5 0.00
Wed 03/25 20Z 0.44 2310 47 8 -5 0.00
Wed 03/25 21Z 0.35 2210 44 6 -4 0.00
Wed 03/25 22Z 0.24 2012 43 6 -4 0.00
Wed 03/25 23Z 0.24 1916 46 55 -3 0.00
Thu 03/26 00Z 0.32 1921 55 82 -3 0.00
Thu 03/26 01Z 0.50 2026 62 87 -3 0.00
Thu 03/26 02Z 0.78 2029 72 90 -3 0.00
Thu 03/26 03Z 0.77 2132 89 92 -3 0.01
Thu 03/26 04Z 0.70 2232 92 94 -2 0.01
Thu 03/26 05Z 0.72 2135 84 94 -2 0.00
Thu 03/26 06Z 0.66 2233 81 90 -1 0.00
Thu 03/26 07Z 0.56 2231 74 92 0 0.00
Thu 03/26 08Z 0.64 2233 81 95 0 0.00
Thu 03/26 09Z 0.60 2331 83 96 0 0.02
Thu 03/26 10Z 0.63 2333 84 95 0 0.02
Thu 03/26 11Z 0.62 2332 88 95 0 0.02
Thu 03/26 12Z 0.61 2333 84 90 1 0.01
Thu 03/26 13Z 0.66 2435 83 81 2 0.01
Thu 03/26 14Z 0.73 2435 87 49 2 0.01
Thu 03/26 15Z 0.81 2533 89 29 2 0.01
Thu 03/26 16Z 0.77 2530 90 19 2 0.00
Thu 03/26 17Z 0.81 2527 89 33 2 0.00
Thu 03/26 18Z 0.86 2525 85 53 3 0.00
Thu 03/26 19Z 0.99 2425 83 71 3 0.00
Thu 03/26 20Z 0.94 2422 84 95 4 0.00
Thu 03/26 21Z 0.83 2318 86 96 4 0.01
Thu 03/26 22Z 0.62 2218 94 98 4 0.05
Thu 03/26 23Z 0.40 2119 97 99 5 0.13
Fri 03/27 00Z 0.50 2321 97 98 5 0.22
Fri 03/27 01Z 0.62 2521 98 94 5 0.17
Fri 03/27 02Z 0.48 2617 98 96 4 0.11
Fri 03/27 03Z 0.39 2615 99 97 4 0.09
Fri 03/27 04Z 0.33 2713 98 95 4 0.07
Fri 03/27 05Z 0.32 2814 98 96 3 0.08
Fri 03/27 06Z 0.29 3015 98 97 2 0.08
Fri 03/27 07Z 0.27 3015 97 94 2 0.07
Fri 03/27 08Z 0.29 3016 98 89 0 0.06
Fri 03/27 09Z 0.30 3117 97 90 0 0.05
Fri 03/27 10Z 0.34 3120 97 78 -1 0.03
Fri 03/27 11Z 0.33 3221 96 60 -3 0.02
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 1.43 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1