Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260530_0000
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sat 05/30 00Z 0.61 2614 83 97 5 0.00
Sat 05/30 01Z 0.49 2711 88 96 5 0.13
Sat 05/30 02Z 0.40 2911 94 97 4 0.14
Sat 05/30 03Z 0.29 3215 91 87 3 0.12
Sat 05/30 04Z 0.32 3215 96 67 2 0.02
Sat 05/30 05Z 0.41 3313 97 74 2 0.03
Sat 05/30 06Z 0.48 0012 96 81 1 0.05
Sat 05/30 07Z 0.48 0318 97 91 0 0.08
Sat 05/30 08Z 0.70 0424 97 94 0 0.10
Sat 05/30 09Z 0.85 0530 98 94 -1 0.12
Sat 05/30 10Z 0.92 0533 98 92 -1 0.12
Sat 05/30 11Z 0.76 0433 97 90 -1 0.10
Sat 05/30 12Z 0.69 0431 96 78 -1 0.07
Sat 05/30 13Z 0.54 0327 94 72 -1 0.05
Sat 05/30 14Z 0.44 0424 92 70 -1 0.05
Sat 05/30 15Z 0.39 0322 86 64 0 0.04
Sat 05/30 16Z 0.52 0320 84 54 0 0.02
Sat 05/30 17Z 1.40 0218 82 50 0 0.00
Sat 05/30 18Z 1.78 0117 78 42 0 0.00
Sat 05/30 19Z 2.27 0117 75 32 0 0.00
Sat 05/30 20Z 2.96 0117 72 35 1 0.00
Sat 05/30 21Z 2.75 0116 70 43 1 0.00
Sat 05/30 22Z 1.61 0116 71 55 1 0.00
Sat 05/30 23Z 0.60 0116 70 58 1 0.00
Sun 05/31 00Z 0.36 0118 68 54 2 0.00
Sun 05/31 01Z 0.46 0220 65 44 2 0.00
Sun 05/31 02Z 0.49 0222 60 35 2 0.00
Sun 05/31 03Z 0.45 0221 57 21 2 0.00
Sun 05/31 04Z 0.38 0219 56 15 2 0.00
Sun 05/31 05Z 0.24 0117 55 14 2 0.00
Sun 05/31 06Z 0.14 0016 59 13 3 0.00
Sun 05/31 07Z 0.14 0015 61 15 3 0.00
Sun 05/31 08Z 0.11 3514 61 17 3 0.00
Sun 05/31 09Z 0.16 3414 63 23 3 0.00
Sun 05/31 10Z 0.25 3314 68 29 3 0.00
Sun 05/31 11Z 0.29 3314 66 38 4 0.00
Sun 05/31 12Z 0.32 3214 64 38 4 0.00
Sun 05/31 13Z 0.42 3113 64 45 4 0.00
Sun 05/31 14Z 0.61 3114 62 53 5 0.00
Sun 05/31 15Z 1.10 3114 60 69 5 0.00
Sun 05/31 16Z 1.59 3114 60 77 5 0.00
Sun 05/31 17Z 2.55 3113 61 79 5 0.00
Sun 05/31 18Z 3.00 3014 65 70 5 0.00
Sun 05/31 19Z 2.27 2913 73 66 5 0.00
Sun 05/31 20Z 1.49 2915 82 89 4 0.02
Sun 05/31 21Z 0.73 3017 75 84 4 0.02
Sun 05/31 22Z 1.03 2918 70 86 4 0.00
Sun 05/31 23Z 0.92 2815 78 92 4 0.01
Mon 06/01 00Z 0.70 2917 74 88 4 0.05
Mon 06/01 01Z 0.66 3016 74 70 5 0.00
Mon 06/01 02Z 0.57 2914 82 63 4 0.00
Mon 06/01 03Z 0.41 3012 84 62 4 0.00
Mon 06/01 04Z 0.28 3109 83 62 4 0.00
Mon 06/01 05Z 0.26 2907 88 58 4 0.02
Mon 06/01 06Z 0.22 2706 90 70 4 0.02
Mon 06/01 07Z 0.16 2804 90 86 4 0.03
Mon 06/01 08Z 0.13 3003 91 89 4 0.03
Mon 06/01 09Z 0.11 3403 93 89 3 0.03
Mon 06/01 10Z 0.13 0105 94 83 3 0.04
Mon 06/01 11Z 0.16 0306 95 78 2 0.05
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 1.56 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1