Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260728_0600
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Tue 07/28 06Z 0.21 2011 80 81 15 0.00
Tue 07/28 07Z 0.15 1911 81 74 15 0.00
Tue 07/28 08Z 0.17 2012 83 74 15 0.00
Tue 07/28 09Z 0.09 1913 84 71 15 0.00
Tue 07/28 10Z 0.04 1713 84 72 15 0.00
Tue 07/28 11Z 0.03 1715 84 75 14 0.00
Tue 07/28 12Z 0.05 1717 84 78 14 0.00
Tue 07/28 13Z 0.06 1718 85 80 14 0.00
Tue 07/28 14Z 0.05 1718 87 83 14 0.00
Tue 07/28 15Z 0.13 1718 89 79 15 0.00
Tue 07/28 16Z 0.25 1618 90 77 15 0.00
Tue 07/28 17Z 0.39 1621 91 79 14 0.14
Tue 07/28 18Z 0.53 1622 92 84 14 0.14
Tue 07/28 19Z 0.40 1623 91 91 14 0.16
Tue 07/28 20Z 0.18 1724 91 92 14 0.16
Tue 07/28 21Z 0.14 1724 91 92 15 0.07
Tue 07/28 22Z 0.15 1724 92 90 15 0.01
Tue 07/28 23Z 0.16 1623 94 92 14 0.01
Wed 07/29 00Z 0.15 1725 95 93 14 0.06
Wed 07/29 01Z 0.09 1725 95 94 14 0.02
Wed 07/29 02Z 0.09 1726 91 91 15 0.02
Wed 07/29 03Z 0.10 1726 91 87 15 0.01
Wed 07/29 04Z 0.13 1725 92 84 14 0.01
Wed 07/29 05Z 0.15 1626 93 78 14 0.01
Wed 07/29 06Z 0.19 1627 91 72 14 0.01
Wed 07/29 07Z 0.24 1629 89 70 14 0.01
Wed 07/29 08Z 0.26 1632 87 75 14 0.01
Wed 07/29 09Z 0.29 1631 87 79 14 0.01
Wed 07/29 10Z 0.37 1531 89 78 13 0.02
Wed 07/29 11Z 0.43 1531 88 79 13 0.02
Wed 07/29 12Z 0.51 1431 88 79 13 0.03
Wed 07/29 13Z 0.57 1431 86 79 14 0.02
Wed 07/29 14Z 0.66 1333 84 81 13 0.02
Wed 07/29 15Z 0.79 1336 83 82 13 0.01
Wed 07/29 16Z 0.90 1337 82 86 13 0.01
Wed 07/29 17Z 1.28 1337 84 90 13 0.01
Wed 07/29 18Z 0.93 1337 91 91 13 0.02
Wed 07/29 19Z 0.83 1338 91 91 13 0.06
Wed 07/29 20Z 0.80 1336 91 90 13 0.08
Wed 07/29 21Z 0.75 1335 93 88 13 0.07
Wed 07/29 22Z 0.67 1334 94 85 13 0.07
Wed 07/29 23Z 0.62 1333 94 82 13 0.05
Thu 07/30 00Z 0.61 1233 94 86 13 0.07
Thu 07/30 01Z 0.64 1234 94 90 13 0.06
Thu 07/30 02Z 0.63 1235 96 84 13 0.09
Thu 07/30 03Z 0.57 1334 94 84 13 0.06
Thu 07/30 04Z 0.51 1331 92 84 13 0.02
Thu 07/30 05Z 0.49 1330 92 85 13 0.02
Thu 07/30 06Z 0.48 1328 91 88 13 0.02
Thu 07/30 07Z 0.48 1226 89 92 13 0.01
Thu 07/30 08Z 0.48 1124 88 96 13 0.01
Thu 07/30 09Z 0.47 1121 89 95 13 0.02
Thu 07/30 10Z 0.47 1020 88 96 13 0.02
Thu 07/30 11Z 0.52 0921 89 96 12 0.03
Thu 07/30 12Z 0.53 0822 90 94 12 0.04
Thu 07/30 13Z 0.55 0723 92 95 12 0.07
Thu 07/30 14Z 0.57 0723 91 94 12 0.09
Thu 07/30 15Z 0.57 0823 88 92 12 0.05
Thu 07/30 16Z 0.59 0823 88 90 12 0.03
Thu 07/30 17Z 0.53 0821 89 85 13 0.02
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 2.08 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1