National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Winter Headlines in effect 10 AM today through 10 AM Saturday with heaviest snow in eastern foothills of the Adirondacks and south-central Vermont.

A warm front will approach this afternoon. A brief wintry mix or rain in warmer valleys is likely before a quick transition into moderate to heavy snow takes place during the evening commute. 1-1.5 inch per hour snowfall rates are likely in northeastern New York and much of Vermont. Difficult to very difficult travel is likely this evening. Light snow will continue Friday night into Saturday. Read More >

Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens

Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260220_1800
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.

925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date   Time        Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Fri 02/20 18Z 0.13 1515  81  70  -1 0.00
Fri 02/20 19Z 0.20 1418  83  78  -1 0.01
Fri 02/20 20Z 0.23 1419  87  87  -1 0.04
Fri 02/20 21Z 0.25 1420  90  94  -1 0.07
Sat 02/21 00Z 0.37 1221  95  97  -2 0.08
Sat 02/21 01Z 0.34 1319  96  93  -4 0.10
Sat 02/21 02Z 0.28 1416  96  94  -5 0.12
Sat 02/21 03Z 0.22 1515  95  92  -5 0.11
Sat 02/21 04Z 0.18 1513  95  90  -6 0.11
Sat 02/21 05Z 0.11 1610  95  91  -6 0.08
Sat 02/21 06Z 0.08 1608  96  91  -7 0.04
Sat 02/21 07Z 0.07 1707  96  89  -7 0.03
Sat 02/21 08Z 0.08 1806  96  91  -7 0.03
Sat 02/21 09Z 0.14 2006  97  93  -7 0.02
Sat 02/21 10Z 0.18 2305  97  92  -7 0.02
Sat 02/21 11Z 0.20 2605  98  90  -7 0.02
Sat 02/21 12Z 0.19 2905  98  88  -7 0.02
Sat 02/21 13Z 0.18 3005  98  89  -7 0.02
Sat 02/21 14Z 0.16 3106  99  88  -8 0.02
Sat 02/21 15Z 0.12 3305  98  82  -8 0.01
Sat 02/21 16Z 0.11 3505  97  76  -8 0.01
Sat 02/21 17Z 0.10 0005  93  68  -8 0.00
Sat 02/21 18Z 0.10 0105  88  62  -8 0.00
Sat 02/21 19Z 0.09 0105  83  59  -8 0.00
Sat 02/21 20Z 0.07 0105  80  50  -8 0.00
Sat 02/21 21Z 0.07 0205  77  44  -8 0.00
Sat 02/21 22Z 0.10 0306  74  39  -8 0.00
Sat 02/21 23Z 0.15 0407  72  37  -8 0.00
Sun 02/22 00Z 0.18 0508  67  38  -8 0.00
Sun 02/22 01Z 0.21 0609  61  33  -8 0.00
Sun 02/22 02Z 0.22 0809  60  29  -7 0.00
Sun 02/22 03Z 0.21 0908  62  27  -7 0.00
Sun 02/22 04Z 0.21 1008  60  27  -7 0.00
Sun 02/22 05Z 0.21 1109  55  27  -7 0.00
Sun 02/22 06Z 0.20 1209  54  28  -7 0.00
Sun 02/22 07Z 0.19 1310  54  29  -7 0.00
Sun 02/22 08Z 0.17 1311  53  29  -7 0.00
Sun 02/22 09Z 0.16 1411  50  29  -7 0.00
Sun 02/22 10Z 0.17 1311  50  29  -7 0.00
Sun 02/22 11Z 0.21 1312  52  28  -7 0.00
Sun 02/22 12Z 0.23 1313  55  27  -7 0.00
Sun 02/22 13Z 0.27 1214  58  27  -7 0.00
Sun 02/22 14Z 0.26 1314  61  30  -7 0.00
Sun 02/22 15Z 0.26 1315  62  36  -7 0.00
Sun 02/22 16Z 0.29 1314  62  36  -7 0.00
Sun 02/22 17Z 0.32 1214  62  35  -7 0.00
Sun 02/22 18Z 0.36 1214  65  37  -7 0.00
Sun 02/22 19Z 0.40 1214  70  37  -7 0.00
Sun 02/22 20Z 0.44 1213  75  36  -7 0.00
Sun 02/22 21Z 0.46 1113  76  35  -7 0.00
Sun 02/22 22Z 0.46 1114  76  40  -7 0.00
Sun 02/22 23Z 0.47 1014  71  39  -7 0.00
Mon 02/23 00Z 0.49 1016  68  42  -7 0.00
Mon 02/23 01Z 0.50 0917  64  46  -7 0.00
Mon 02/23 02Z 0.47 1018  53  39  -7 0.00
Mon 02/23 03Z 0.46 1020  47  40  -7 0.00
Mon 02/23 04Z 0.48 0921  43  38  -7 0.00
Mon 02/23 05Z 0.50 0922  40  37  -7 0.00

Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.96 inches.

Froude Number (Frd#): 
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
         Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
         W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
         Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
         Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
         W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
         Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
         Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
         With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
         Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
         W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
         Air flows freely over terrain.
         Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.

Relative Humidity (RH): 
         925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
         with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
         with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.

850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
        T > -11       10-15:1
        T -11 to -15  25-35:1
        T < -15       15-20:1