National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Heat Advisory in Effect for the Champlain Valley Friday

Heat and humidity will build over the next few days, with the hottest conditions expected Friday. A Heat Advisory has been issued for Friday for the Champlain Valley from 12-8 PM, when heat indices will climb into the low to mid 90s. Drink plenty of fluids, and take extra precautions if you have outdoor plans for Friday. Read More >

Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens

Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260610_0600
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.

925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date   Time        Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Wed 06/10 06Z 0.30 2708  71   1  16 0.00
Wed 06/10 07Z 0.35 2708  74   4  15 0.00
Wed 06/10 08Z 0.35 2708  77  18  15 0.00
Wed 06/10 09Z 0.31 2607  77  37  15 0.00
Wed 06/10 10Z 0.24 2506  78  59  15 0.00
Wed 06/10 11Z 0.24 2307  79  76  15 0.00
Wed 06/10 12Z 0.25 2208  82  81  15 0.00
Wed 06/10 13Z 0.25 2209  85  80  15 0.00
Wed 06/10 14Z 0.24 2110  88  81  15 0.00
Wed 06/10 15Z 0.28 2110  89  87  15 0.00
Wed 06/10 16Z 0.26 2010  90  83  15 0.00
Wed 06/10 17Z 0.28 1910  90  86  16 0.00
Wed 06/10 18Z 0.48 2011  91  90  16 0.01
Wed 06/10 19Z 0.61 2113  90  93  16 0.02
Wed 06/10 20Z 0.40 2115  89  91  16 0.03
Wed 06/10 21Z 0.47 2116  88  86  16 0.02
Wed 06/10 22Z 0.43 2113  90  87  16 0.00
Wed 06/10 23Z 0.38 2113  92  88  16 0.03
Thu 06/11 00Z 0.32 2114  94  87  16 0.05
Thu 06/11 01Z 0.36 2116  96  90  16 0.07
Thu 06/11 02Z 0.36 2116  96  86  16 0.11
Thu 06/11 03Z 0.45 2318  97  90  16 0.07
Thu 06/11 04Z 0.41 2415  95  80  16 0.13
Thu 06/11 05Z 0.45 2416  94  83  16 0.05
Thu 06/11 06Z 0.51 2517  96  83  16 0.02
Thu 06/11 07Z 0.58 2618  96  81  16 0.03
Thu 06/11 08Z 0.55 2718  93  75  16 0.02
Thu 06/11 09Z 0.55 2718  94  69  16 0.01
Thu 06/11 10Z 0.60 2719  95  74  15 0.01
Thu 06/11 11Z 0.61 2819  96  68  15 0.01
Thu 06/11 12Z 0.53 2817  95  68  15 0.01
Thu 06/11 13Z 0.53 2816  96  69  15 0.01
Thu 06/11 14Z 0.43 2814  93  48  16 0.01
Thu 06/11 15Z 0.31 2910  88  30  17 0.00
Thu 06/11 16Z 0.32 2809  87  43  17 0.00
Thu 06/11 17Z 0.51 2711  89  51  17 0.00
Thu 06/11 18Z 0.55 2712  91  53  17 0.00
Thu 06/11 19Z 0.55 2613  95  64  17 0.02
Thu 06/11 20Z 0.57 2714  95  67  17 0.02
Thu 06/11 21Z 0.58 2615  96  71  17 0.01
Thu 06/11 22Z 0.59 2716  90  71  18 0.01
Thu 06/11 23Z 0.71 2817  92  73  17 0.02
Fri 06/12 00Z 0.66 2916  92  66  17 0.00
Fri 06/12 01Z 0.54 2815  93  65  16 0.04
Fri 06/12 02Z 0.44 2814  94  56  16 0.08
Fri 06/12 03Z 0.35 2812  90  50  16 0.01
Fri 06/12 04Z 0.34 2813  90  51  16 0.00
Fri 06/12 05Z 0.31 2912  92  61  16 0.00
Fri 06/12 06Z 0.33 2912  92  69  16 0.01
Fri 06/12 07Z 0.40 2914  94  69  16 0.01
Fri 06/12 08Z 0.47 2917  97  74  15 0.02
Fri 06/12 09Z 0.48 2918  97  74  15 0.04
Fri 06/12 10Z 0.42 2915  95  74  15 0.02
Fri 06/12 11Z 0.37 2913  91  74  15 0.01
Fri 06/12 12Z 0.31 2911  90  67  15 0.01
Fri 06/12 13Z 0.27 2809  87  54  16 0.00
Fri 06/12 14Z 0.14 2805  77  38  17 0.00
Fri 06/12 15Z 0.15 2705  71  26  18 0.00
Fri 06/12 16Z 0.29 2708  72  27  18 0.00
Fri 06/12 17Z 0.32 2809  66  32  18 0.00

Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 1.05 inches.

Froude Number (Frd#): 
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
         Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
         W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
         Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
         Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
         W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
         Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
         Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
         With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
         Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
         W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
         Air flows freely over terrain.
         Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.

Relative Humidity (RH): 
         925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
         with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
         with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.

850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
        T > -11       10-15:1
        T -11 to -15  25-35:1
        T < -15       15-20:1