Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260101_1800
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Thu 01/01 18Z 6.98 2817 82 59 -19 0.00
Thu 01/01 19Z 8.49 2820 81 49 -19 0.00
Thu 01/01 20Z 7.30 2821 80 48 -20 0.00
Thu 01/01 21Z 4.82 2821 75 49 -20 0.00
Thu 01/01 22Z 3.01 2823 74 48 -20 0.00
Thu 01/01 23Z 1.80 2825 69 22 -21 0.00
Fri 01/02 00Z 1.37 2827 65 10 -21 0.00
Fri 01/02 01Z 1.07 2927 60 9 -21 0.00
Fri 01/02 02Z 0.92 2928 52 14 -20 0.00
Fri 01/02 03Z 0.80 2927 51 15 -20 0.00
Fri 01/02 04Z 0.68 2925 52 27 -19 0.00
Fri 01/02 05Z 0.63 2822 57 62 -19 0.00
Fri 01/02 06Z 0.60 2719 65 67 -19 0.00
Fri 01/02 07Z 0.64 2619 77 72 -19 0.00
Fri 01/02 08Z 0.68 2521 84 74 -18 0.00
Fri 01/02 09Z 0.66 2521 88 75 -18 0.00
Fri 01/02 10Z 0.63 2521 89 74 -17 0.00
Fri 01/02 11Z 0.67 2621 91 69 -18 0.00
Fri 01/02 12Z 0.72 2621 91 67 -18 0.00
Fri 01/02 13Z 0.75 2621 91 65 -18 0.00
Fri 01/02 14Z 0.81 2620 91 55 -18 0.00
Fri 01/02 15Z 1.01 2620 89 44 -18 0.00
Fri 01/02 16Z 1.89 2719 87 33 -18 0.00
Fri 01/02 17Z 6.83 2719 86 26 -18 0.00
Fri 01/02 18Z 9.99 2719 85 23 -18 0.00
Fri 01/02 19Z 9.63 2719 82 22 -18 0.00
Fri 01/02 20Z 7.56 2719 80 17 -18 0.00
Fri 01/02 21Z 3.19 2720 77 14 -18 0.00
Fri 01/02 22Z 2.01 2722 75 17 -18 0.00
Fri 01/02 23Z 2.01 2724 76 36 -18 0.00
Sat 01/03 00Z 1.81 2725 82 58 -18 0.00
Sat 01/03 01Z 1.96 2826 86 69 -18 0.00
Sat 01/03 02Z 1.87 2826 87 66 -18 0.00
Sat 01/03 03Z 2.16 2827 86 68 -18 0.00
Sat 01/03 04Z 2.30 2827 83 76 -19 0.00
Sat 01/03 05Z 1.69 2828 81 76 -19 0.00
Sat 01/03 06Z 1.69 2829 81 79 -19 0.00
Sat 01/03 07Z 1.28 2929 83 77 -19 0.00
Sat 01/03 08Z 1.27 2828 87 74 -19 0.00
Sat 01/03 09Z 1.04 2828 89 73 -19 0.00
Sat 01/03 10Z 0.96 2828 91 69 -19 0.00
Sat 01/03 11Z 0.96 2827 91 59 -19 0.00
Sat 01/03 12Z 1.12 2827 93 48 -19 0.00
Sat 01/03 13Z 1.21 2826 92 41 -20 0.00
Sat 01/03 14Z 1.46 2825 90 35 -20 0.00
Sat 01/03 15Z 1.99 2823 89 33 -21 0.00
Sat 01/03 16Z 1.54 2821 89 29 -21 0.00
Sat 01/03 17Z 0.84 2821 84 27 -20 0.00
Sat 01/03 18Z 0.63 2821 80 25 -19 0.00
Sat 01/03 19Z 0.55 2822 76 23 -18 0.00
Sat 01/03 20Z 0.49 2822 71 27 -16 0.00
Sat 01/03 21Z 0.41 2922 65 30 -14 0.00
Sat 01/03 22Z 0.38 2921 61 26 -14 0.00
Sat 01/03 23Z 0.37 2921 59 21 -13 0.00
Sun 01/04 00Z 0.35 2920 54 17 -13 0.00
Sun 01/04 01Z 0.32 2919 51 15 -12 0.00
Sun 01/04 02Z 0.29 2918 48 12 -11 0.00
Sun 01/04 03Z 0.28 2816 48 13 -11 0.00
Sun 01/04 04Z 0.29 2715 50 30 -12 0.00
Sun 01/04 05Z 0.28 2715 52 65 -12 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.00 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1