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Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260129_1800
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Thu 01/29 18Z 2.70 2911 86 67 -19 0.00
Thu 01/29 19Z 2.01 2914 89 62 -19 0.00
Thu 01/29 20Z 1.32 2816 92 56 -19 0.00
Thu 01/29 21Z 1.10 2818 95 53 -19 0.00
Thu 01/29 22Z 1.27 2920 94 51 -19 0.01
Thu 01/29 23Z 1.45 2924 92 46 -20 0.01
Fri 01/30 00Z 1.23 3026 90 41 -20 0.01
Fri 01/30 01Z 0.85 3026 88 39 -21 0.00
Fri 01/30 02Z 0.81 3026 87 41 -22 0.00
Fri 01/30 03Z 0.83 2927 86 37 -22 0.00
Fri 01/30 04Z 0.80 2928 84 33 -23 0.00
Fri 01/30 05Z 0.72 2928 80 33 -23 0.00
Fri 01/30 06Z 0.65 2929 75 36 -23 0.00
Fri 01/30 07Z 0.58 2929 71 39 -23 0.00
Fri 01/30 10Z 0.48 2929 69 53 -22 0.00
Fri 01/30 11Z 0.46 3029 70 63 -22 0.00
Fri 01/30 12Z 0.43 3028 73 73 -22 0.00
Fri 01/30 13Z 0.40 3028 77 79 -21 0.00
Fri 01/30 14Z 0.38 3027 80 80 -21 0.00
Fri 01/30 15Z 0.37 3025 82 77 -21 0.00
Fri 01/30 16Z 0.36 3023 82 74 -20 0.00
Fri 01/30 17Z 0.35 3022 83 69 -20 0.00
Fri 01/30 18Z 0.37 3021 83 64 -20 0.00
Fri 01/30 19Z 0.40 2921 83 63 -20 0.00
Fri 01/30 20Z 0.42 2921 84 62 -19 0.00
Fri 01/30 21Z 0.42 2921 84 61 -19 0.00
Fri 01/30 22Z 0.39 3022 84 60 -18 0.00
Fri 01/30 23Z 0.33 3022 84 60 -17 0.00
Sat 01/31 00Z 0.28 3122 84 60 -16 0.00
Sat 01/31 01Z 0.23 3122 85 59 -16 0.00
Sat 01/31 02Z 0.21 3221 85 58 -15 0.00
Sat 01/31 03Z 0.19 3220 85 56 -15 0.00
Sat 01/31 04Z 0.18 3219 85 55 -14 0.00
Sat 01/31 05Z 0.18 3219 85 55 -14 0.00
Sat 01/31 06Z 0.19 3219 84 52 -14 0.00
Sat 01/31 07Z 0.19 3119 83 48 -14 0.00
Sat 01/31 08Z 0.20 3119 83 45 -14 0.00
Sat 01/31 09Z 0.21 3119 83 42 -14 0.00
Sat 01/31 10Z 0.21 3119 82 41 -14 0.00
Sat 01/31 11Z 0.20 3119 81 41 -14 0.00
Sat 01/31 12Z 0.19 3119 80 42 -14 0.00
Sat 01/31 13Z 0.18 3118 79 43 -14 0.00
Sat 01/31 14Z 0.17 3116 79 46 -14 0.00
Sat 01/31 15Z 0.16 3114 77 43 -14 0.00
Sat 01/31 16Z 0.16 3113 75 39 -14 0.00
Sat 01/31 17Z 0.16 3113 75 35 -14 0.00
Sat 01/31 18Z 0.16 3112 76 29 -14 0.00
Sat 01/31 19Z 0.16 3112 77 26 -14 0.00
Sat 01/31 20Z 0.15 3111 79 25 -14 0.00
Sat 01/31 21Z 0.14 3111 80 27 -15 0.00
Sat 01/31 22Z 0.15 3112 80 29 -15 0.00
Sat 01/31 23Z 0.14 3213 79 32 -14 0.00
Sun 02/01 00Z 0.11 3313 76 36 -14 0.00
Sun 02/01 01Z 0.07 3312 75 38 -14 0.00
Sun 02/01 02Z 0.04 3411 73 40 -14 0.00
Sun 02/01 03Z 0.02 3510 70 40 -13 0.00
Sun 02/01 04Z 0.02 0011 66 39 -12 0.00
Sun 02/01 05Z 0.02 0011 62 37 -11 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.03 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1