Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260215_1800
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sun 02/15 18Z 0.22 0907 59 35 -9 0.00
Sun 02/15 19Z 0.22 1007 57 43 -8 0.00
Sun 02/15 20Z 0.18 1207 55 47 -7 0.00
Sun 02/15 21Z 0.15 1308 51 47 -7 0.00
Sun 02/15 22Z 0.13 1409 46 47 -6 0.00
Sun 02/15 23Z 0.14 1511 41 44 -6 0.00
Mon 02/16 00Z 0.13 1512 38 38 -6 0.00
Mon 02/16 01Z 0.13 1513 37 31 -5 0.00
Mon 02/16 04Z 0.07 1718 33 22 -6 0.00
Mon 02/16 05Z 0.05 1719 37 24 -6 0.00
Mon 02/16 06Z 0.05 1819 41 39 -7 0.00
Mon 02/16 07Z 0.06 1818 47 59 -7 0.00
Mon 02/16 08Z 0.06 1817 55 76 -6 0.00
Mon 02/16 09Z 0.05 1816 64 87 -6 0.00
Mon 02/16 10Z 0.04 1815 73 88 -5 0.00
Mon 02/16 11Z 0.03 1814 76 90 -5 0.00
Mon 02/16 12Z 0.03 1813 79 92 -5 0.00
Mon 02/16 13Z 0.04 1812 83 91 -5 0.00
Mon 02/16 14Z 0.04 1812 86 87 -5 0.00
Mon 02/16 15Z 0.04 1812 88 84 -5 0.00
Mon 02/16 16Z 0.05 1911 90 79 -5 0.00
Mon 02/16 17Z 0.04 1810 89 71 -4 0.00
Mon 02/16 18Z 0.05 1910 89 63 -4 0.00
Mon 02/16 19Z 0.06 1909 87 54 -4 0.00
Mon 02/16 20Z 0.11 2010 87 51 -4 0.00
Mon 02/16 21Z 0.12 2011 88 44 -4 0.00
Mon 02/16 22Z 0.07 1912 87 40 -4 0.00
Mon 02/16 23Z 0.13 2014 88 40 -5 0.00
Tue 02/17 00Z 0.17 2014 90 41 -5 0.00
Tue 02/17 01Z 0.20 2115 91 48 -4 0.00
Tue 02/17 02Z 0.22 2115 90 82 -4 0.00
Tue 02/17 03Z 0.23 2117 91 85 -4 0.00
Tue 02/17 04Z 0.22 2116 90 92 -3 0.00
Tue 02/17 05Z 0.24 2217 90 88 -3 0.00
Tue 02/17 06Z 0.26 2218 90 79 -3 0.00
Tue 02/17 07Z 0.28 2218 89 89 -3 0.00
Tue 02/17 08Z 0.26 2216 88 92 -2 0.00
Tue 02/17 09Z 0.26 2314 92 92 -3 0.00
Tue 02/17 10Z 0.27 2315 95 94 -3 0.00
Tue 02/17 11Z 0.29 2316 95 94 -3 0.00
Tue 02/17 12Z 0.29 2314 94 92 -3 0.01
Tue 02/17 13Z 0.29 2413 94 88 -3 0.01
Tue 02/17 14Z 0.30 2512 96 80 -3 0.01
Tue 02/17 15Z 0.29 2511 97 62 -4 0.00
Tue 02/17 16Z 0.30 2611 97 55 -4 0.01
Tue 02/17 17Z 0.32 2712 97 27 -3 0.01
Tue 02/17 18Z 0.38 2814 97 16 -3 0.01
Tue 02/17 19Z 0.40 2815 97 15 -3 0.00
Tue 02/17 20Z 0.48 2916 97 20 -4 0.00
Tue 02/17 21Z 0.55 2817 92 23 -4 0.01
Tue 02/17 22Z 0.52 2819 79 17 -3 0.01
Tue 02/17 23Z 0.48 2920 64 15 -2 0.01
Wed 02/18 00Z 0.48 2921 57 13 -2 0.01
Wed 02/18 01Z 0.52 2923 53 17 -3 0.01
Wed 02/18 02Z 0.52 2923 51 20 -3 0.01
Wed 02/18 03Z 0.55 2925 51 22 -4 0.00
Wed 02/18 04Z 0.53 2925 52 25 -4 0.00
Wed 02/18 05Z 0.52 3025 54 23 -5 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.12 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1