Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260504_1800
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Mon 05/04 18Z 8.43 2418 73 58 4 0.00
Mon 05/04 19Z 9.72 2417 70 58 5 0.00
Mon 05/04 20Z 7.60 2420 69 56 5 0.01
Mon 05/04 21Z 5.61 2420 67 58 6 0.00
Mon 05/04 22Z 3.23 2421 66 47 6 0.00
Mon 05/04 23Z 1.25 2422 66 35 6 0.00
Tue 05/05 00Z 1.01 2323 66 27 7 0.00
Tue 05/05 01Z 0.92 2324 65 36 7 0.00
Tue 05/05 02Z 0.92 2327 67 22 7 0.00
Tue 05/05 03Z 0.91 2329 70 14 7 0.00
Tue 05/05 04Z 0.96 2232 72 24 7 0.00
Tue 05/05 05Z 0.92 2234 73 28 7 0.00
Tue 05/05 06Z 0.89 2234 72 39 8 0.00
Tue 05/05 07Z 0.84 2234 71 36 8 0.00
Tue 05/05 08Z 0.83 2233 73 19 7 0.00
Tue 05/05 09Z 0.74 2231 78 9 8 0.00
Tue 05/05 10Z 0.69 2330 83 43 8 0.00
Tue 05/05 11Z 0.72 2332 84 58 8 0.01
Tue 05/05 12Z 0.76 2332 88 73 8 0.01
Tue 05/05 13Z 0.78 2330 87 70 8 0.00
Tue 05/05 14Z 0.79 2328 79 74 9 0.00
Tue 05/05 15Z 0.77 2226 77 74 9 0.00
Tue 05/05 16Z 2.38 2225 78 72 9 0.00
Tue 05/05 17Z 8.58 2225 78 81 9 0.00
Tue 05/05 18Z 7.76 2125 79 86 10 0.00
Tue 05/05 19Z 5.86 2126 79 84 10 0.01
Tue 05/05 20Z 4.98 2128 83 78 11 0.04
Tue 05/05 21Z 4.35 2029 83 84 11 0.07
Tue 05/05 22Z 2.14 2230 88 82 11 0.15
Tue 05/05 23Z 1.22 2233 88 81 10 0.17
Wed 05/06 00Z 1.08 2232 88 81 10 0.10
Wed 05/06 01Z 1.33 2332 86 91 9 0.09
Wed 05/06 02Z 1.24 2430 90 93 8 0.25
Wed 05/06 03Z 0.99 2627 95 97 7 0.17
Wed 05/06 04Z 0.79 2524 93 95 6 0.07
Wed 05/06 05Z 0.82 2621 95 96 5 0.08
Wed 05/06 06Z 0.97 2620 95 95 3 0.08
Wed 05/06 07Z 0.68 2717 97 92 3 0.08
Wed 05/06 08Z 0.44 2614 96 93 3 0.08
Wed 05/06 09Z 0.37 2714 91 89 3 0.04
Wed 05/06 10Z 0.30 2611 84 98 3 0.02
Wed 05/06 11Z 0.29 2511 80 95 3 0.03
Wed 05/06 12Z 0.23 2409 80 96 3 0.02
Wed 05/06 13Z 0.23 2609 81 95 3 0.02
Wed 05/06 14Z 0.16 2407 78 94 3 0.03
Wed 05/06 15Z 0.11 2107 77 89 4 0.03
Wed 05/06 16Z 0.10 2008 81 95 4 0.04
Wed 05/06 17Z 0.09 2007 83 97 4 0.06
Wed 05/06 18Z 0.07 1907 85 94 5 0.07
Wed 05/06 19Z 0.05 1606 88 95 5 0.08
Wed 05/06 20Z 0.07 1506 91 99 5 0.09
Wed 05/06 21Z 0.10 1306 95 99 5 0.11
Wed 05/06 22Z 0.05 1202 96 99 5 0.14
Wed 05/06 23Z 0.07 0702 97 99 5 0.10
Thu 05/07 00Z 0.06 0204 98 99 4 0.10
Thu 05/07 01Z 0.05 3506 98 98 4 0.07
Thu 05/07 02Z 0.05 3509 96 98 3 0.04
Thu 05/07 03Z 0.04 3510 97 99 3 0.07
Thu 05/07 04Z 0.06 3411 96 99 2 0.03
Thu 05/07 05Z 0.14 3313 90 94 2 0.01
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 2.67 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1