Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260527_0600
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Wed 05/27 06Z 1.12 2732 64 59 13 0.00
Wed 05/27 07Z 1.12 2832 65 52 13 0.00
Wed 05/27 08Z 0.97 2830 70 45 13 0.00
Wed 05/27 09Z 0.80 2827 77 44 12 0.00
Wed 05/27 10Z 0.68 2824 80 43 12 0.00
Wed 05/27 11Z 0.56 2921 82 43 12 0.00
Wed 05/27 12Z 0.46 2918 80 50 11 0.00
Wed 05/27 13Z 0.40 3016 78 40 11 0.00
Wed 05/27 14Z 0.41 3014 77 30 10 0.00
Wed 05/27 15Z 0.48 3013 77 28 10 0.00
Wed 05/27 16Z 0.86 2913 77 21 9 0.00
Wed 05/27 17Z 2.09 2913 79 18 9 0.00
Wed 05/27 18Z 2.97 2913 82 15 9 0.00
Wed 05/27 19Z 2.16 3013 83 16 9 0.00
Wed 05/27 20Z 1.43 3114 81 16 9 0.00
Wed 05/27 21Z 1.31 3215 78 18 9 0.00
Wed 05/27 22Z 1.07 3216 81 24 8 0.00
Wed 05/27 23Z 0.58 3318 83 26 8 0.00
Thu 05/28 00Z 0.39 3320 87 32 7 0.00
Thu 05/28 01Z 0.30 3420 88 31 6 0.01
Thu 05/28 02Z 0.20 3420 90 31 6 0.00
Thu 05/28 03Z 0.19 3419 92 42 5 0.00
Thu 05/28 04Z 0.17 3518 91 47 5 0.00
Thu 05/28 05Z 0.17 3418 92 49 4 0.00
Thu 05/28 06Z 0.23 3418 89 54 4 0.00
Thu 05/28 07Z 0.18 3419 90 62 4 0.00
Thu 05/28 08Z 0.19 3419 90 60 4 0.00
Thu 05/28 09Z 0.19 3419 90 65 4 0.00
Thu 05/28 10Z 0.21 3420 91 67 3 0.00
Thu 05/28 11Z 0.26 3421 90 69 3 0.00
Thu 05/28 12Z 0.26 3320 89 65 3 0.00
Thu 05/28 13Z 0.32 3318 91 67 3 0.01
Thu 05/28 14Z 0.46 3418 92 70 3 0.01
Thu 05/28 15Z 0.55 3419 92 75 3 0.01
Thu 05/28 16Z 0.60 3419 93 78 3 0.01
Thu 05/28 17Z 0.48 3320 94 81 3 0.01
Thu 05/28 18Z 0.77 3321 93 79 3 0.01
Thu 05/28 19Z 1.03 3320 92 73 3 0.01
Thu 05/28 20Z 1.40 3320 91 66 3 0.01
Thu 05/28 21Z 0.90 3319 89 58 3 0.01
Thu 05/28 22Z 0.75 3320 91 59 4 0.02
Thu 05/28 23Z 0.45 3323 93 56 4 0.02
Fri 05/29 00Z 0.35 3425 93 55 3 0.02
Fri 05/29 01Z 0.30 3425 93 52 3 0.01
Fri 05/29 02Z 0.24 3423 95 45 3 0.01
Fri 05/29 03Z 0.22 3422 96 35 3 0.01
Fri 05/29 04Z 0.20 3422 96 30 2 0.01
Fri 05/29 05Z 0.16 3421 96 29 2 0.01
Fri 05/29 06Z 0.17 3420 96 36 2 0.01
Fri 05/29 07Z 0.20 3420 97 47 2 0.01
Fri 05/29 08Z 0.19 3419 95 76 2 0.00
Fri 05/29 09Z 0.23 3419 94 72 2 0.00
Fri 05/29 10Z 0.28 3319 93 68 2 0.00
Fri 05/29 11Z 0.30 3318 87 70 2 0.00
Fri 05/29 12Z 0.34 3217 82 79 2 0.00
Fri 05/29 13Z 0.33 3116 78 85 3 0.00
Fri 05/29 14Z 0.42 3115 75 84 3 0.00
Fri 05/29 15Z 0.68 3014 72 78 3 0.00
Fri 05/29 16Z 3.41 2912 76 79 3 0.00
Fri 05/29 17Z 5.88 2711 78 82 4 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.23 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1