Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260707_1200
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Tue 07/07 12Z 0.34 1113 82 52 12 0.00
Tue 07/07 13Z 0.36 1215 84 52 12 0.01
Tue 07/07 14Z 0.30 1214 80 52 12 0.00
Tue 07/07 15Z 0.26 1111 77 41 13 0.00
Tue 07/07 16Z 0.31 1111 77 40 12 0.00
Tue 07/07 17Z 0.41 1112 75 42 12 0.00
Tue 07/07 18Z 0.51 1013 74 44 12 0.00
Tue 07/07 19Z 0.57 1113 72 45 12 0.00
Tue 07/07 20Z 0.56 1112 69 49 12 0.00
Tue 07/07 21Z 0.42 1212 67 51 12 0.00
Tue 07/07 22Z 0.31 1211 65 53 13 0.00
Tue 07/07 23Z 0.24 1309 66 43 13 0.00
Wed 07/08 00Z 0.22 1208 63 37 13 0.00
Wed 07/08 01Z 0.22 1209 59 34 13 0.00
Wed 07/08 02Z 0.18 1207 58 34 13 0.00
Wed 07/08 03Z 0.12 1205 58 36 13 0.00
Wed 07/08 04Z 0.11 1204 54 36 13 0.00
Wed 07/08 05Z 0.10 1204 52 31 14 0.00
Wed 07/08 06Z 0.08 1402 52 30 13 0.00
Wed 07/08 07Z 0.07 1701 49 30 14 0.00
Wed 07/08 08Z 0.06 2101 48 27 14 0.00
Wed 07/08 09Z 0.09 2702 48 27 13 0.00
Wed 07/08 10Z 0.11 2903 50 29 13 0.00
Wed 07/08 11Z 0.11 3004 51 26 13 0.00
Wed 07/08 12Z 0.09 3104 56 26 13 0.00
Wed 07/08 13Z 0.09 3103 62 25 13 0.00
Wed 07/08 14Z 0.08 2902 67 21 13 0.00
Wed 07/08 15Z 0.13 2703 72 19 13 0.00
Wed 07/08 16Z 0.20 2603 73 21 13 0.00
Wed 07/08 17Z 0.46 2505 72 21 14 0.00
Wed 07/08 18Z 0.60 2506 72 23 14 0.00
Wed 07/08 19Z 0.58 2607 70 20 14 0.00
Wed 07/08 20Z 0.52 2507 68 16 15 0.00
Wed 07/08 21Z 0.46 2608 67 11 15 0.00
Wed 07/08 22Z 0.51 2510 70 12 15 0.00
Wed 07/08 23Z 0.59 2512 72 13 15 0.00
Thu 07/09 00Z 0.64 2514 75 14 15 0.00
Thu 07/09 01Z 0.68 2515 78 11 14 0.00
Thu 07/09 02Z 0.70 2516 80 12 15 0.00
Thu 07/09 03Z 0.71 2518 80 14 15 0.00
Thu 07/09 04Z 0.76 2620 85 21 14 0.00
Thu 07/09 05Z 0.68 2619 87 18 14 0.00
Thu 07/09 06Z 0.56 2718 82 24 14 0.00
Thu 07/09 07Z 0.53 2718 79 30 15 0.00
Thu 07/09 08Z 0.50 2718 76 28 15 0.00
Thu 07/09 09Z 0.47 2817 77 28 15 0.00
Thu 07/09 10Z 0.45 2817 79 29 15 0.00
Thu 07/09 11Z 0.43 2716 80 35 15 0.00
Thu 07/09 12Z 0.43 2715 81 42 15 0.00
Thu 07/09 13Z 0.39 2713 82 45 15 0.00
Thu 07/09 14Z 0.38 2612 79 58 15 0.00
Thu 07/09 15Z 0.40 2512 76 54 15 0.00
Thu 07/09 16Z 0.56 2513 76 51 15 0.00
Thu 07/09 17Z 0.64 2513 78 54 16 0.00
Thu 07/09 18Z 0.67 2513 81 54 16 0.00
Thu 07/09 19Z 0.70 2412 83 57 16 0.00
Thu 07/09 20Z 0.53 2412 84 57 16 0.00
Thu 07/09 21Z 0.56 2414 85 46 16 0.04
Thu 07/09 22Z 0.55 2514 84 45 16 0.01
Thu 07/09 23Z 0.56 2614 87 50 16 0.05
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.11 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1