
A slow moving front will produce a threat for heavy rainfall and severe weather from New Mexico into the western High Plains through the weekend. Heavy rainfall is also expected this weekend in South Florida. The Bering Sea storm continues to bring heavy precipitation, strong winds, and minor to major coastal flooding through the weekend across western Alaska. Read More >
Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20261023_1200
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Fri 10/23 12Z 0.09 0116 66 1 -1 0.00
Fri 10/23 13Z 0.08 0116 64 1 0 0.00
Fri 10/23 14Z 0.10 0116 61 1 0 0.00
Fri 10/23 15Z 0.13 0115 56 2 0 0.00
Fri 10/23 16Z 0.14 0214 53 3 0 0.00
Fri 10/23 17Z 0.13 0212 49 4 0 0.00
Fri 10/23 18Z 0.13 0211 46 3 1 0.00
Fri 10/23 19Z 0.13 0210 43 2 2 0.00
Fri 10/23 20Z 0.11 0209 39 2 2 0.00
Fri 10/23 21Z 0.11 0309 34 2 3 0.00
Fri 10/23 22Z 0.09 0308 29 2 4 0.00
Fri 10/23 23Z 0.07 0207 25 2 4 0.00
Sat 10/24 00Z 0.07 0306 22 2 4 0.00
Sat 10/24 01Z 0.05 0304 20 2 5 0.00
Sat 10/24 02Z 0.04 0203 19 2 5 0.00
Sat 10/24 03Z 0.03 3402 18 2 5 0.00
Sat 10/24 04Z 0.05 3103 17 2 5 0.00
Sat 10/24 05Z 0.08 3004 16 2 4 0.00
Sat 10/24 06Z 0.10 3005 14 2 4 0.00
Sat 10/24 07Z 0.14 3007 13 2 4 0.00
Sat 10/24 08Z 0.16 3009 12 1 4 0.00
Sat 10/24 09Z 0.18 3110 12 1 4 0.00
Sat 10/24 10Z 0.18 3111 13 1 4 0.00
Sat 10/24 11Z 0.15 3211 15 1 4 0.00
Sat 10/24 12Z 0.13 3211 17 1 4 0.00
Sat 10/24 13Z 0.12 3310 16 1 4 0.00
Sat 10/24 14Z 0.10 3310 15 1 4 0.00
Sat 10/24 15Z 0.11 3209 15 3 5 0.00
Sat 10/24 16Z 0.12 3208 16 5 5 0.00
Sat 10/24 17Z 0.13 3108 15 5 5 0.00
Sat 10/24 18Z 0.15 3109 16 7 5 0.00
Sat 10/24 19Z 0.17 3110 15 10 5 0.00
Sat 10/24 20Z 0.17 3111 12 19 5 0.00
Sat 10/24 21Z 0.15 3211 11 28 5 0.00
Sat 10/24 22Z 0.14 3211 12 34 5 0.00
Sat 10/24 23Z 0.12 3311 15 40 5 0.00
Sun 10/25 00Z 0.10 3310 15 45 6 0.00
Sun 10/25 01Z 0.08 3308 14 47 6 0.00
Sun 10/25 02Z 0.07 3306 13 50 7 0.00
Sun 10/25 03Z 0.07 3205 12 52 7 0.00
Sun 10/25 04Z 0.08 3004 12 52 7 0.00
Sun 10/25 05Z 0.10 2905 12 48 7 0.00
Sun 10/25 06Z 0.11 2805 12 45 7 0.00
Sun 10/25 07Z 0.16 2707 13 48 7 0.00
Sun 10/25 08Z 0.17 2708 13 45 8 0.00
Sun 10/25 09Z 0.16 2807 12 42 8 0.00
Sun 10/25 10Z 0.15 2807 10 34 9 0.00
Sun 10/25 11Z 0.13 2806 10 31 9 0.00
Sun 10/25 12Z 0.13 2706 10 30 9 0.00
Sun 10/25 13Z 0.15 2707 10 30 9 0.00
Sun 10/25 14Z 0.17 2608 10 28 9 0.00
Sun 10/25 15Z 0.17 2508 9 27 9 0.00
Sun 10/25 16Z 0.18 2509 10 27 9 0.00
Sun 10/25 17Z 0.22 2510 11 28 9 0.00
Sun 10/25 18Z 0.23 2511 9 29 9 0.00
Sun 10/25 19Z 0.24 2511 7 28 10 0.00
Sun 10/25 20Z 0.26 2512 6 26 10 0.00
Sun 10/25 21Z 0.29 2513 5 22 10 0.00
Sun 10/25 22Z 0.34 2515 7 24 10 0.00
Sun 10/25 23Z 0.36 2516 10 27 10 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.00 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1