Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260607_1200
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sun 06/07 12Z 0.95 2927 96 81 10 0.00
Sun 06/07 13Z 0.95 2927 97 81 10 0.06
Sun 06/07 14Z 0.91 3024 97 86 10 0.08
Sun 06/07 15Z 0.79 3123 98 91 10 0.09
Sun 06/07 16Z 0.52 3223 98 91 10 0.08
Sun 06/07 17Z 0.30 3424 98 91 10 0.05
Sun 06/07 18Z 0.21 3524 97 91 9 0.02
Sun 06/07 19Z 0.22 3525 94 90 9 0.01
Sun 06/07 20Z 0.32 0024 89 73 9 0.00
Sun 06/07 21Z 0.20 0022 91 42 8 0.00
Sun 06/07 22Z 0.14 0021 86 20 9 0.00
Sun 06/07 23Z 0.18 0122 79 7 9 0.00
Mon 06/08 00Z 0.26 0224 73 2 9 0.00
Mon 06/08 01Z 0.39 0226 70 1 9 0.00
Mon 06/08 02Z 0.55 0329 62 1 9 0.00
Mon 06/08 03Z 0.71 0431 52 1 8 0.00
Mon 06/08 04Z 0.77 0531 47 1 8 0.00
Mon 06/08 05Z 0.80 0629 44 1 8 0.00
Mon 06/08 06Z 0.78 0727 43 2 8 0.00
Mon 06/08 07Z 0.77 0824 43 2 7 0.00
Mon 06/08 08Z 0.76 0822 44 3 7 0.00
Mon 06/08 09Z 0.73 0820 46 4 7 0.00
Mon 06/08 10Z 0.59 0816 48 5 7 0.00
Mon 06/08 11Z 0.48 0712 49 7 7 0.00
Mon 06/08 12Z 0.48 0712 52 9 7 0.00
Mon 06/08 13Z 0.43 0610 55 10 7 0.00
Mon 06/08 14Z 0.54 0608 58 13 7 0.00
Mon 06/08 15Z 0.59 0504 60 14 7 0.00
Mon 06/08 16Z 0.28 0301 63 13 7 0.00
Mon 06/08 17Z 0.70 2602 68 12 8 0.00
Mon 06/08 18Z 0.79 2402 72 11 8 0.00
Mon 06/08 19Z 0.69 2402 72 9 9 0.00
Mon 06/08 20Z 1.21 2604 72 9 9 0.00
Mon 06/08 21Z 0.60 2604 64 8 10 0.00
Mon 06/08 22Z 0.36 2706 53 7 10 0.00
Mon 06/08 23Z 0.26 2607 43 6 11 0.00
Tue 06/09 00Z 0.32 2708 42 5 11 0.00
Tue 06/09 01Z 0.35 2709 45 4 11 0.00
Tue 06/09 02Z 0.36 2709 48 3 11 0.00
Tue 06/09 03Z 0.34 2709 52 3 11 0.00
Tue 06/09 04Z 0.32 2608 53 3 11 0.00
Tue 06/09 05Z 0.34 2609 53 2 11 0.00
Tue 06/09 06Z 0.39 2511 55 2 11 0.00
Tue 06/09 07Z 0.47 2613 60 2 11 0.00
Tue 06/09 08Z 0.49 2714 66 2 11 0.00
Tue 06/09 09Z 0.49 2714 71 1 11 0.00
Tue 06/09 10Z 0.37 2713 65 1 11 0.00
Tue 06/09 11Z 0.32 2712 63 1 11 0.00
Tue 06/09 12Z 0.26 2710 62 1 11 0.00
Tue 06/09 13Z 0.20 2707 63 1 11 0.00
Tue 06/09 14Z 0.20 2607 63 1 11 0.00
Tue 06/09 15Z 0.20 2606 60 1 11 0.00
Tue 06/09 16Z 0.26 2506 57 1 12 0.00
Tue 06/09 17Z 0.37 2507 57 0 12 0.00
Tue 06/09 18Z 0.37 2507 55 1 13 0.00
Tue 06/09 19Z 0.38 2507 55 1 13 0.00
Tue 06/09 20Z 0.41 2507 56 1 13 0.00
Tue 06/09 21Z 0.39 2509 56 1 14 0.00
Tue 06/09 22Z 0.40 2510 58 2 14 0.00
Tue 06/09 23Z 0.39 2511 64 4 14 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.39 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1