Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20261011_0600
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sun 10/11 06Z 0.14 2109 41 48 9 0.00
Sun 10/11 07Z 0.16 2210 41 48 9 0.00
Sun 10/11 08Z 0.20 2212 42 46 10 0.00
Sun 10/11 09Z 0.19 2113 42 43 10 0.00
Sun 10/11 10Z 0.22 2115 43 42 10 0.00
Sun 10/11 11Z 0.25 2217 44 42 10 0.00
Sun 10/11 12Z 0.29 2219 42 42 11 0.00
Sun 10/11 13Z 0.30 2220 43 42 11 0.00
Sun 10/11 14Z 0.32 2220 45 42 10 0.00
Sun 10/11 15Z 0.31 2219 44 41 10 0.00
Sun 10/11 16Z 0.24 2118 38 42 10 0.00
Sun 10/11 17Z 0.21 2117 37 48 10 0.00
Sun 10/11 18Z 0.17 2017 37 60 10 0.00
Sun 10/11 19Z 0.17 2015 43 78 9 0.00
Sun 10/11 20Z 0.15 2014 50 88 9 0.00
Sun 10/11 21Z 0.15 2015 58 96 8 0.00
Sun 10/11 22Z 0.11 1916 70 96 7 0.00
Sun 10/11 23Z 0.10 1818 79 95 7 0.01
Mon 10/12 00Z 0.11 1819 84 95 7 0.00
Mon 10/12 01Z 0.15 1819 90 94 7 0.01
Mon 10/12 02Z 0.16 1919 95 95 7 0.02
Mon 10/12 03Z 0.19 2016 96 91 7 0.03
Mon 10/12 04Z 0.19 2112 97 87 8 0.05
Mon 10/12 05Z 0.19 2309 97 82 8 0.05
Mon 10/12 06Z 0.19 2707 97 79 8 0.04
Mon 10/12 07Z 0.14 3107 96 73 9 0.03
Mon 10/12 08Z 0.12 3209 94 67 9 0.01
Mon 10/12 09Z 0.13 3311 92 60 9 0.01
Mon 10/12 10Z 0.12 3312 92 53 9 0.00
Mon 10/12 11Z 0.14 3415 91 47 9 0.01
Mon 10/12 12Z 0.12 3415 88 39 10 0.01
Mon 10/12 13Z 0.13 3316 83 36 10 0.01
Mon 10/12 14Z 0.14 3316 80 30 11 0.01
Mon 10/12 15Z 0.13 3315 76 35 12 0.01
Mon 10/12 16Z 0.14 3314 77 43 11 0.00
Mon 10/12 17Z 0.20 3215 80 51 11 0.00
Mon 10/12 18Z 0.25 3116 82 60 11 0.01
Mon 10/12 19Z 0.31 3117 85 61 11 0.00
Mon 10/12 20Z 0.35 3118 89 65 10 0.01
Mon 10/12 21Z 0.34 3118 94 73 9 0.01
Mon 10/12 22Z 0.28 3216 95 74 8 0.01
Mon 10/12 23Z 0.22 3214 95 63 8 0.00
Tue 10/13 00Z 0.19 3213 95 64 8 0.00
Tue 10/13 01Z 0.14 3311 94 68 8 0.00
Tue 10/13 02Z 0.13 3208 93 84 8 0.01
Tue 10/13 03Z 0.12 3006 93 88 8 0.00
Tue 10/13 04Z 0.10 2904 93 93 8 0.00
Tue 10/13 05Z 0.05 2302 94 96 8 0.00
Tue 10/13 06Z 0.05 1906 96 96 8 0.02
Tue 10/13 07Z 0.06 1811 98 93 7 0.03
Tue 10/13 08Z 0.09 1817 98 94 7 0.03
Tue 10/13 09Z 0.12 1921 98 94 7 0.07
Tue 10/13 10Z 0.16 2023 98 91 8 0.06
Tue 10/13 11Z 0.19 2025 97 90 10 0.05
Tue 10/13 12Z 0.24 2126 97 88 10 0.06
Tue 10/13 13Z 0.25 2027 97 89 10 0.11
Tue 10/13 14Z 0.27 2128 96 89 10 0.12
Tue 10/13 15Z 0.28 2128 95 91 11 0.08
Tue 10/13 16Z 0.28 2128 95 94 12 0.05
Tue 10/13 17Z 0.31 2128 95 92 12 0.05
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 1.09 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1