Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260405_1200
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sun 04/05 12Z 0.26 2032 98 98 5 0.00
Sun 04/05 13Z 0.30 2129 98 97 6 0.07
Sun 04/05 14Z 0.35 2227 98 98 5 0.15
Sun 04/05 15Z 0.46 2327 97 92 4 0.12
Sun 04/05 16Z 0.51 2425 95 89 4 0.04
Sun 04/05 17Z 0.65 2525 94 64 2 0.01
Sun 04/05 18Z 0.72 2523 95 42 1 0.01
Sun 04/05 19Z 0.90 2624 96 30 0 0.01
Sun 04/05 20Z 1.19 2625 95 20 -1 0.01
Sun 04/05 21Z 1.45 2624 95 17 -2 0.01
Sun 04/05 22Z 1.43 2624 94 13 -2 0.01
Sun 04/05 23Z 1.66 2626 91 12 -3 0.01
Mon 04/06 00Z 2.04 2728 88 16 -4 0.00
Mon 04/06 01Z 2.03 2728 88 24 -5 0.00
Mon 04/06 02Z 1.58 2729 90 32 -5 0.00
Mon 04/06 03Z 1.69 2730 91 36 -6 0.00
Mon 04/06 04Z 2.03 2731 94 36 -7 0.00
Mon 04/06 05Z 2.25 2731 94 38 -8 0.01
Mon 04/06 06Z 1.83 2732 94 45 -9 0.01
Mon 04/06 07Z 1.34 2831 94 54 -8 0.01
Mon 04/06 08Z 1.30 2832 95 60 -9 0.01
Mon 04/06 09Z 1.42 2831 95 62 -9 0.01
Mon 04/06 10Z 1.65 2931 96 63 -10 0.01
Mon 04/06 11Z 1.67 2929 97 62 -10 0.01
Mon 04/06 12Z 1.92 2927 97 64 -11 0.01
Mon 04/06 13Z 2.60 2926 96 70 -11 0.01
Mon 04/06 14Z 3.16 2825 96 73 -11 0.01
Mon 04/06 15Z 3.73 2824 94 75 -10 0.01
Mon 04/06 16Z 6.45 2823 92 74 -10 0.00
Mon 04/06 17Z 10.76 2822 85 75 -10 0.00
Mon 04/06 18Z 14.38 2821 78 75 -9 0.00
Mon 04/06 19Z 14.59 2821 73 76 -9 0.00
Mon 04/06 20Z 14.27 2821 71 81 -8 0.00
Mon 04/06 21Z 13.72 2821 70 81 -8 0.00
Mon 04/06 22Z 11.71 2822 73 80 -9 0.00
Mon 04/06 23Z 5.98 2822 76 78 -9 0.00
Tue 04/07 00Z 3.20 2921 79 76 -9 0.00
Tue 04/07 01Z 1.70 2920 83 76 -10 0.00
Tue 04/07 02Z 1.20 2919 87 77 -10 0.01
Tue 04/07 03Z 1.10 2919 88 79 -10 0.01
Tue 04/07 04Z 0.85 3018 86 79 -11 0.01
Tue 04/07 05Z 0.72 3016 84 82 -11 0.01
Tue 04/07 06Z 0.61 3015 83 82 -12 0.01
Tue 04/07 07Z 0.52 3114 81 81 -12 0.00
Tue 04/07 08Z 0.55 3014 83 84 -12 0.00
Tue 04/07 09Z 0.58 3014 86 85 -13 0.00
Tue 04/07 10Z 0.58 3014 90 78 -13 0.00
Tue 04/07 11Z 0.57 3014 91 73 -14 0.01
Tue 04/07 12Z 0.61 3014 93 68 -14 0.01
Tue 04/07 13Z 0.73 3014 91 61 -15 0.00
Tue 04/07 14Z 1.19 3013 86 51 -15 0.00
Tue 04/07 15Z 2.95 3013 82 38 -15 0.00
Tue 04/07 16Z 3.95 3014 79 21 -15 0.00
Tue 04/07 17Z 5.34 3014 76 19 -15 0.00
Tue 04/07 18Z 7.08 3014 71 11 -15 0.00
Tue 04/07 19Z 7.18 3014 64 11 -14 0.00
Tue 04/07 20Z 7.09 3014 56 15 -14 0.00
Tue 04/07 21Z 6.11 2914 52 24 -14 0.00
Tue 04/07 22Z 3.29 2914 49 30 -14 0.00
Tue 04/07 23Z 1.28 2915 46 33 -14 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.63 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1