Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260921_1200
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Mon 09/21 12Z 0.05 0013 96 1 4 0.00
Mon 09/21 13Z 0.09 0014 95 1 3 0.00
Mon 09/21 14Z 0.07 0015 94 1 3 0.00
Mon 09/21 15Z 0.07 0015 91 1 3 0.00
Mon 09/21 16Z 0.07 0013 87 1 4 0.00
Mon 09/21 17Z 0.09 0113 83 1 4 0.00
Mon 09/21 18Z 0.09 0111 80 1 4 0.00
Mon 09/21 19Z 0.09 0111 77 1 4 0.00
Mon 09/21 20Z 0.08 0110 74 1 4 0.00
Mon 09/21 21Z 0.09 0110 70 2 5 0.00
Mon 09/21 22Z 0.08 0111 67 2 5 0.00
Mon 09/21 23Z 0.11 0212 63 2 5 0.00
Tue 09/22 00Z 0.14 0212 60 2 5 0.00
Tue 09/22 01Z 0.16 0312 56 2 5 0.00
Tue 09/22 02Z 0.17 0412 52 2 5 0.00
Tue 09/22 03Z 0.18 0510 50 2 5 0.00
Tue 09/22 04Z 0.17 0509 50 3 5 0.00
Tue 09/22 05Z 0.20 0609 52 3 5 0.00
Tue 09/22 06Z 0.21 0709 54 3 4 0.00
Tue 09/22 07Z 0.17 0806 58 3 4 0.00
Tue 09/22 08Z 0.16 0906 62 3 4 0.00
Tue 09/22 09Z 0.18 0907 63 3 3 0.00
Tue 09/22 10Z 0.12 1004 65 3 3 0.00
Tue 09/22 11Z 0.12 0804 65 3 3 0.00
Tue 09/22 12Z 0.17 0706 63 3 3 0.00
Tue 09/22 13Z 0.18 0607 64 3 3 0.00
Tue 09/22 14Z 0.19 0608 62 3 3 0.00
Tue 09/22 15Z 0.21 0608 63 3 3 0.00
Tue 09/22 16Z 0.23 0607 64 4 3 0.00
Tue 09/22 17Z 0.32 0606 67 4 2 0.00
Tue 09/22 18Z 0.60 0605 67 4 2 0.00
Tue 09/22 19Z 0.75 0606 68 5 3 0.00
Tue 09/22 20Z 0.88 0606 70 5 3 0.00
Tue 09/22 21Z 0.64 0707 72 7 3 0.00
Tue 09/22 22Z 0.49 0708 74 8 3 0.00
Tue 09/22 23Z 0.49 0709 73 10 3 0.00
Wed 09/23 00Z 0.51 0710 71 12 3 0.00
Wed 09/23 01Z 0.53 0812 68 15 3 0.00
Wed 09/23 02Z 0.56 0913 64 18 3 0.00
Wed 09/23 03Z 0.56 0914 62 19 3 0.00
Wed 09/23 04Z 0.51 0914 57 21 3 0.00
Wed 09/23 05Z 0.47 0915 57 22 3 0.00
Wed 09/23 06Z 0.45 0915 53 22 4 0.00
Wed 09/23 07Z 0.44 0815 51 20 4 0.00
Wed 09/23 08Z 0.41 0815 48 19 4 0.00
Wed 09/23 09Z 0.42 0816 46 16 4 0.00
Wed 09/23 10Z 0.43 0817 42 13 4 0.00
Wed 09/23 11Z 0.45 0818 42 11 5 0.00
Wed 09/23 12Z 0.45 0818 41 8 5 0.00
Wed 09/23 13Z 0.47 0919 40 4 4 0.00
Wed 09/23 14Z 0.49 0919 41 4 4 0.00
Wed 09/23 15Z 0.48 0917 44 6 4 0.00
Wed 09/23 16Z 0.50 0915 48 6 4 0.00
Wed 09/23 17Z 0.51 0914 52 7 4 0.00
Wed 09/23 18Z 0.53 0912 54 8 4 0.00
Wed 09/23 19Z 0.59 0911 55 6 4 0.00
Wed 09/23 20Z 0.62 0910 57 5 4 0.00
Wed 09/23 21Z 0.56 0810 57 4 4 0.00
Wed 09/23 22Z 0.50 0811 53 3 4 0.00
Wed 09/23 23Z 0.46 0812 52 2 5 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.00 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1