Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260511_1800
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Mon 05/11 18Z 3.82 2808 69 80 0 0.00
Mon 05/11 19Z 5.44 2808 65 77 0 0.00
Mon 05/11 20Z 5.53 2808 67 89 0 0.00
Mon 05/11 21Z 3.09 2909 71 79 0 0.00
Mon 05/11 22Z 2.50 2909 73 78 0 0.00
Mon 05/11 23Z 0.71 3012 81 82 0 0.01
Tue 05/12 00Z 0.51 3213 78 65 -1 0.01
Tue 05/12 01Z 0.38 3315 83 73 -1 0.01
Tue 05/12 02Z 0.37 3316 80 76 -2 0.00
Tue 05/12 03Z 0.29 3315 80 72 -2 0.00
Tue 05/12 04Z 0.21 3415 81 70 -2 0.00
Tue 05/12 05Z 0.20 3415 80 60 -2 0.00
Tue 05/12 06Z 0.22 3416 77 47 -2 0.00
Tue 05/12 07Z 0.19 3416 74 43 -2 0.00
Tue 05/12 08Z 0.15 3416 71 43 -3 0.00
Tue 05/12 09Z 0.14 3516 68 33 -3 0.00
Tue 05/12 10Z 0.19 3516 66 31 -3 0.00
Tue 05/12 11Z 0.22 3415 66 34 -3 0.00
Tue 05/12 12Z 0.33 3413 67 36 -4 0.00
Tue 05/12 13Z 1.99 3312 70 37 -4 0.00
Tue 05/12 14Z 3.04 3211 69 37 -4 0.00
Tue 05/12 15Z 4.52 3111 69 39 -3 0.00
Tue 05/12 16Z 5.31 3111 67 41 -3 0.00
Tue 05/12 17Z 7.08 3012 68 40 -3 0.00
Tue 05/12 18Z 7.46 2912 70 37 -2 0.00
Tue 05/12 19Z 7.16 3012 69 34 -2 0.00
Tue 05/12 20Z 5.93 3011 67 29 -1 0.00
Tue 05/12 21Z 4.68 3110 65 25 0 0.00
Tue 05/12 22Z 2.46 3108 64 23 0 0.00
Tue 05/12 23Z 1.18 3008 63 25 0 0.00
Wed 05/13 00Z 0.66 3008 63 25 0 0.00
Wed 05/13 01Z 0.47 2907 63 22 0 0.00
Wed 05/13 02Z 0.40 2706 63 22 0 0.00
Wed 05/13 03Z 0.39 2506 63 23 0 0.00
Wed 05/13 04Z 0.35 2307 63 22 0 0.00
Wed 05/13 05Z 0.36 2308 62 18 0 0.00
Wed 05/13 06Z 0.35 2209 62 15 0 0.00
Wed 05/13 07Z 0.34 2111 62 12 0 0.00
Wed 05/13 08Z 0.36 2112 62 27 0 0.00
Wed 05/13 09Z 0.38 2114 63 59 0 0.00
Wed 05/13 10Z 0.40 2114 64 78 1 0.00
Wed 05/13 11Z 0.28 2013 66 93 1 0.00
Wed 05/13 12Z 0.14 1914 73 97 1 0.00
Wed 05/13 13Z 0.07 1718 81 98 1 0.01
Wed 05/13 14Z 0.13 1724 86 98 2 0.01
Wed 05/13 15Z 0.16 1828 93 97 3 0.04
Wed 05/13 16Z 0.13 1828 95 97 4 0.05
Wed 05/13 17Z 0.13 1828 96 96 4 0.06
Wed 05/13 18Z 0.11 1829 94 89 5 0.05
Wed 05/13 19Z 0.14 1829 95 96 4 0.04
Wed 05/13 20Z 0.14 1828 96 98 4 0.05
Wed 05/13 21Z 0.19 1929 97 96 4 0.06
Wed 05/13 22Z 0.26 1930 97 96 4 0.06
Wed 05/13 23Z 0.30 2030 97 94 5 0.04
Thu 05/14 00Z 0.30 2030 96 90 5 0.02
Thu 05/14 01Z 0.29 2030 95 88 5 0.04
Thu 05/14 02Z 0.29 2031 94 88 5 0.01
Thu 05/14 03Z 0.29 2032 90 83 5 0.01
Thu 05/14 04Z 0.28 2031 86 86 5 0.01
Thu 05/14 05Z 0.25 1930 85 86 6 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.59 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1