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Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260627_0600
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sat 06/27 06Z 0.23 3009 84 64 11 0.00
Sat 06/27 07Z 0.22 3109 84 64 11 0.00
Sat 06/27 08Z 0.20 3109 84 65 11 0.00
Sat 06/27 09Z 0.17 3108 84 67 11 0.00
Sat 06/27 10Z 0.15 3106 84 70 11 0.00
Sat 06/27 11Z 0.15 3006 85 74 11 0.00
Sat 06/27 12Z 0.13 3005 86 76 11 0.00
Sat 06/27 13Z 0.12 3005 86 75 11 0.00
Sat 06/27 14Z 0.10 3104 85 70 11 0.00
Sat 06/27 15Z 0.09 3003 86 67 11 0.00
Sat 06/27 16Z 0.08 3002 87 65 11 0.00
Sat 06/27 17Z 0.08 3102 87 60 11 0.01
Sat 06/27 18Z 0.08 3102 86 57 11 0.02
Sat 06/27 19Z 0.08 3202 85 51 11 0.02
Sat 06/27 20Z 0.12 3203 85 49 12 0.02
Sat 06/27 21Z 0.10 3303 84 47 12 0.03
Sat 06/27 22Z 0.07 3403 84 47 12 0.01
Sat 06/27 23Z 0.06 3503 83 52 12 0.01
Sun 06/28 00Z 0.06 0002 82 49 12 0.01
Sun 06/28 01Z 0.08 0102 81 48 12 0.00
Sun 06/28 02Z 0.10 0102 79 48 12 0.00
Sun 06/28 03Z 0.08 0002 79 51 11 0.00
Sun 06/28 04Z 0.06 0002 80 53 11 0.00
Sun 06/28 05Z 0.07 0003 79 54 11 0.00
Sun 06/28 06Z 0.06 3503 78 55 11 0.00
Sun 06/28 07Z 0.06 3404 76 53 11 0.00
Sun 06/28 08Z 0.07 3405 73 45 11 0.00
Sun 06/28 09Z 0.05 3406 71 35 11 0.00
Sun 06/28 10Z 0.04 3507 70 27 11 0.00
Sun 06/28 11Z 0.02 3507 69 25 11 0.00
Sun 06/28 12Z 0.03 0007 70 24 11 0.00
Sun 06/28 13Z 0.05 0107 71 24 11 0.00
Sun 06/28 14Z 0.08 0206 71 25 11 0.00
Sun 06/28 15Z 0.10 0305 73 24 11 0.00
Sun 06/28 16Z 0.11 0204 75 23 11 0.00
Sun 06/28 17Z 0.08 0104 77 21 11 0.00
Sun 06/28 18Z 0.08 0004 79 19 11 0.00
Sun 06/28 19Z 0.09 3504 80 18 12 0.00
Sun 06/28 20Z 0.11 3404 80 15 12 0.00
Sun 06/28 21Z 0.11 3404 80 10 12 0.00
Sun 06/28 22Z 0.09 3405 79 9 12 0.00
Sun 06/28 23Z 0.07 3406 77 9 12 0.00
Mon 06/29 00Z 0.05 0008 76 10 12 0.00
Mon 06/29 01Z 0.07 0009 77 12 12 0.00
Mon 06/29 02Z 0.12 0109 75 11 12 0.00
Mon 06/29 03Z 0.13 0208 74 11 12 0.00
Mon 06/29 04Z 0.17 0308 72 13 12 0.00
Mon 06/29 05Z 0.15 0306 71 15 12 0.00
Mon 06/29 06Z 0.06 0204 69 17 12 0.00
Mon 06/29 07Z 0.02 0004 67 18 12 0.00
Mon 06/29 08Z 0.04 3405 67 20 12 0.00
Mon 06/29 09Z 0.05 3407 66 22 12 0.00
Mon 06/29 10Z 0.03 3508 64 23 12 0.00
Mon 06/29 11Z 0.04 0008 63 21 12 0.00
Mon 06/29 12Z 0.06 0108 63 20 12 0.00
Mon 06/29 13Z 0.08 0107 63 19 12 0.00
Mon 06/29 14Z 0.06 0105 66 21 12 0.00
Mon 06/29 15Z 0.08 0104 71 21 12 0.00
Mon 06/29 16Z 0.08 0002 73 21 12 0.00
Mon 06/29 17Z 0.13 0300 72 21 12 0.01
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.14 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1