Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260408_0000
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Wed 04/08 00Z 0.61 3120 91 56 -12 0.00
Wed 04/08 01Z 0.80 3122 89 45 -12 0.00
Wed 04/08 02Z 0.86 3122 88 40 -13 0.00
Wed 04/08 03Z 1.02 3122 78 40 -13 0.00
Wed 04/08 04Z 0.90 3122 65 31 -13 0.00
Wed 04/08 05Z 0.71 3121 54 26 -12 0.00
Wed 04/08 06Z 0.58 3220 52 24 -12 0.00
Wed 04/08 07Z 0.53 3220 51 22 -12 0.00
Wed 04/08 08Z 0.45 3219 51 21 -12 0.00
Wed 04/08 09Z 0.39 3218 51 21 -11 0.00
Wed 04/08 10Z 0.32 3116 49 20 -11 0.00
Wed 04/08 11Z 0.27 3114 46 20 -10 0.00
Wed 04/08 12Z 0.24 3112 45 15 -10 0.00
Wed 04/08 13Z 0.22 3010 45 11 -9 0.00
Wed 04/08 14Z 0.21 2908 43 8 -9 0.00
Wed 04/08 15Z 0.21 2807 40 5 -8 0.00
Wed 04/08 16Z 0.24 2706 36 4 -7 0.00
Wed 04/08 17Z 0.26 2605 33 4 -7 0.00
Wed 04/08 18Z 0.37 2605 30 4 -6 0.00
Wed 04/08 19Z 0.44 2505 29 5 -5 0.00
Wed 04/08 20Z 0.37 2505 27 5 -5 0.00
Wed 04/08 21Z 0.27 2505 26 5 -4 0.00
Wed 04/08 22Z 0.19 2405 26 6 -3 0.00
Wed 04/08 23Z 0.20 2208 26 6 -3 0.00
Thu 04/09 00Z 0.21 2210 24 6 -2 0.00
Thu 04/09 01Z 0.24 2212 22 6 -1 0.00
Thu 04/09 02Z 0.27 2215 20 8 -1 0.00
Thu 04/09 03Z 0.31 2217 19 14 -1 0.00
Thu 04/09 04Z 0.34 2219 20 25 0 0.00
Thu 04/09 05Z 0.35 2221 21 35 0 0.00
Thu 04/09 06Z 0.34 2221 21 42 1 0.00
Thu 04/09 07Z 0.31 2221 22 48 1 0.00
Thu 04/09 08Z 0.30 2221 19 53 2 0.00
Thu 04/09 09Z 0.30 2221 16 57 2 0.00
Thu 04/09 10Z 0.31 2221 13 57 2 0.00
Thu 04/09 11Z 0.32 2221 10 54 3 0.00
Thu 04/09 12Z 0.31 2222 7 49 3 0.00
Thu 04/09 13Z 0.31 2124 6 48 3 0.00
Thu 04/09 14Z 0.29 2124 6 57 3 0.00
Thu 04/09 15Z 0.27 2025 8 75 4 0.00
Thu 04/09 16Z 0.25 2025 10 55 4 0.00
Thu 04/09 17Z 0.26 2025 14 38 4 0.00
Thu 04/09 18Z 0.27 2025 17 33 4 0.00
Thu 04/09 19Z 0.29 1926 20 35 3 0.00
Thu 04/09 20Z 0.31 1927 22 25 3 0.00
Thu 04/09 21Z 0.35 2028 22 35 4 0.00
Thu 04/09 22Z 0.31 2030 21 39 5 0.00
Thu 04/09 23Z 0.30 2031 22 42 6 0.00
Fri 04/10 00Z 0.33 2032 28 47 6 0.00
Fri 04/10 01Z 0.40 2133 37 49 6 0.00
Fri 04/10 02Z 0.45 2233 46 52 6 0.00
Fri 04/10 03Z 0.50 2233 54 65 6 0.00
Fri 04/10 04Z 0.57 2334 58 73 6 0.00
Fri 04/10 05Z 0.63 2333 61 79 5 0.00
Fri 04/10 06Z 0.66 2433 67 69 5 0.00
Fri 04/10 07Z 0.67 2431 74 71 5 0.00
Fri 04/10 08Z 0.65 2529 76 55 4 0.00
Fri 04/10 09Z 0.62 2527 80 37 4 0.00
Fri 04/10 10Z 0.60 2626 82 30 3 0.00
Fri 04/10 11Z 0.65 2625 85 17 3 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.00 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1