National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Wind Advisory in effect for most of the region from 8 AM to 8 PM today for strong gusty winds

A Wind Advisory is in effect for majority of the region from 8AM to 8PM today for southerly winds gusts between 45 and 55 MPH. The strongest winds will be between 9AM and 1PM in the northern Champlain Valley and northern slopes of the Adirondacks, with another round of strong winds in northern New York between 3PM and 8PM. Read More >

Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens

Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260618_1200
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.

925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date   Time        Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Thu 06/18 12Z 0.09 1732  90  99  13 0.00
Thu 06/18 13Z 0.14 1835  97  96  13 0.09
Thu 06/18 14Z 0.13 1837  97  97  13 0.19
Thu 06/18 15Z 0.21 1939  94  90  14 0.10
Thu 06/18 16Z 0.20 1936  93  91  14 0.05
Thu 06/18 17Z 0.11 1830  93  89  15 0.05
Thu 06/18 18Z 0.23 1826  96  84  14 0.15
Thu 06/18 19Z 0.92 2224  94  85  14 0.26
Thu 06/18 20Z 0.77 2529  79  65  13 0.36
Thu 06/18 21Z 0.97 2528  84  57  12 0.01
Thu 06/18 22Z 1.15 2528  92  47  12 0.01
Thu 06/18 23Z 1.24 2529  92  58  11 0.01
Fri 06/19 00Z 1.46 2431  93  55  11 0.01
Fri 06/19 01Z 1.45 2431  92  65  10 0.01
Fri 06/19 02Z 1.51 2434  93  75  10 0.02
Fri 06/19 03Z 1.38 2536  95  83   9 0.03
Fri 06/19 04Z 1.27 2636  96  74   9 0.05
Fri 06/19 05Z 1.24 2635  96  71   9 0.04
Fri 06/19 06Z 1.22 2634  97  74   8 0.03
Fri 06/19 07Z 1.19 2634  97  68   8 0.03
Fri 06/19 08Z 1.13 2633  97  65   8 0.03
Fri 06/19 09Z 1.08 2632  96  65   8 0.03
Fri 06/19 10Z 1.06 2632  96  60   8 0.02
Fri 06/19 11Z 1.02 2732  95  60   8 0.02
Fri 06/19 12Z 0.99 2731  96  63   8 0.02
Fri 06/19 13Z 1.00 2730  96  60   8 0.02
Fri 06/19 14Z 1.09 2631  94  61   8 0.02
Fri 06/19 15Z 1.18 2629  95  63   8 0.02
Fri 06/19 16Z 1.58 2628  94  61   8 0.01
Fri 06/19 17Z 3.93 2627  93  56   9 0.01
Fri 06/19 18Z 5.81 2626  91  53   9 0.01
Fri 06/19 19Z 5.90 2625  91  50   9 0.01
Fri 06/19 20Z 4.27 2627  88  54  10 0.01
Fri 06/19 21Z 7.49 2626  79  47  10 0.01
Fri 06/19 22Z 10.99 2627  76  45  10 0.01
Fri 06/19 23Z 5.16 2730  76  53   9 0.06
Sat 06/20 00Z 2.15 2730  78  58   9 0.04
Sat 06/20 01Z 1.81 2729  84  65   8 0.03
Sat 06/20 02Z 1.46 2729  90  76   8 0.04
Sat 06/20 03Z 1.30 2830  93  81   8 0.04
Sat 06/20 04Z 1.08 2829  94  83   7 0.03
Sat 06/20 05Z 0.99 2828  96  88   7 0.05
Sat 06/20 06Z 0.97 2828  96  91   7 0.07
Sat 06/20 07Z 0.95 2928  97  91   7 0.05
Sat 06/20 08Z 0.89 2827  97  92   7 0.04
Sat 06/20 09Z 0.90 2929  98  91   7 0.06
Sat 06/20 10Z 0.95 2930  98  90   7 0.07
Sat 06/20 11Z 0.95 2930  98  92   7 0.09
Sat 06/20 12Z 1.02 3029  98  84   6 0.07
Sat 06/20 13Z 0.95 3127  98  89   5 0.06
Sat 06/20 14Z 1.02 3128  97  89   5 0.05
Sat 06/20 15Z 0.93 3226  96  88   5 0.03
Sat 06/20 16Z 1.07 3224  95  87   5 0.03
Sat 06/20 17Z 0.78 3223  93  90   5 0.02
Sat 06/20 18Z 1.55 3223  94  88   6 0.01
Sat 06/20 19Z 1.24 3221  92  86   6 0.01
Sat 06/20 20Z 1.72 3120  87  81   7 0.00
Sat 06/20 21Z 2.16 3120  83  72   7 0.00
Sat 06/20 22Z 1.45 3019  88  67   8 0.01
Sat 06/20 23Z 0.95 3020  88  57   8 0.01

Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 2.72 inches.

Froude Number (Frd#): 
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
         Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
         W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
         Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
         Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
         W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
         Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
         Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
         With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
         Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
         W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
         Air flows freely over terrain.
         Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.

Relative Humidity (RH): 
         925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
         with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
         with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.

850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
        T > -11       10-15:1
        T -11 to -15  25-35:1
        T < -15       15-20:1