Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260911_1200
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Fri 09/11 12Z 0.43 3119 87 4 5 0.00
Fri 09/11 13Z 0.45 3120 82 5 5 0.00
Fri 09/11 14Z 0.46 3119 82 6 5 0.00
Fri 09/11 15Z 0.48 3018 80 9 5 0.00
Fri 09/11 16Z 0.51 3017 77 11 5 0.00
Fri 09/11 17Z 0.57 3017 79 13 5 0.00
Fri 09/11 18Z 0.56 2916 78 15 6 0.00
Fri 09/11 19Z 0.59 3017 76 17 6 0.00
Fri 09/11 20Z 0.64 2916 76 19 6 0.00
Fri 09/11 21Z 0.61 3017 73 20 7 0.00
Fri 09/11 22Z 0.55 3017 70 21 7 0.00
Fri 09/11 23Z 0.44 3117 64 24 8 0.00
Sat 09/12 00Z 0.38 3117 61 28 8 0.00
Sat 09/12 01Z 0.31 3117 56 34 9 0.00
Sat 09/12 02Z 0.24 3216 52 38 10 0.00
Sat 09/12 03Z 0.20 3215 49 38 10 0.00
Sat 09/12 04Z 0.16 3314 45 36 11 0.00
Sat 09/12 05Z 0.12 3312 42 36 11 0.00
Sat 09/12 06Z 0.07 3309 39 35 11 0.00
Sat 09/12 07Z 0.05 3306 36 34 11 0.00
Sat 09/12 08Z 0.03 3404 35 34 11 0.00
Sat 09/12 09Z 0.02 3403 34 32 12 0.00
Sat 09/12 10Z 0.02 3502 35 31 12 0.00
Sat 09/12 11Z 0.03 0801 34 29 12 0.00
Sat 09/12 12Z 0.03 1703 34 29 12 0.00
Sat 09/12 13Z 0.03 1706 34 26 12 0.00
Sat 09/12 14Z 0.04 1808 36 24 12 0.00
Sat 09/12 15Z 0.08 1909 38 23 12 0.00
Sat 09/12 16Z 0.12 2010 42 23 12 0.00
Sat 09/12 17Z 0.15 2010 44 24 12 0.00
Sat 09/12 18Z 0.14 2011 45 26 12 0.00
Sat 09/12 19Z 0.14 1912 46 25 12 0.00
Sat 09/12 20Z 0.15 1913 50 19 12 0.00
Sat 09/12 21Z 0.18 1915 51 11 12 0.00
Sat 09/12 22Z 0.21 2017 50 7 13 0.00
Sat 09/12 23Z 0.26 2019 52 7 13 0.00
Sun 09/13 00Z 0.32 2120 60 16 13 0.00
Sun 09/13 01Z 0.32 2121 69 48 13 0.00
Sun 09/13 02Z 0.35 2122 77 63 13 0.00
Sun 09/13 03Z 0.41 2124 85 87 13 0.00
Sun 09/13 04Z 0.37 2123 87 83 13 0.01
Sun 09/13 05Z 0.36 2123 90 89 13 0.04
Sun 09/13 06Z 0.37 2125 94 83 13 0.09
Sun 09/13 07Z 0.39 2224 96 87 14 0.04
Sun 09/13 08Z 0.39 2224 95 93 14 0.04
Sun 09/13 09Z 0.37 2221 93 94 14 0.07
Sun 09/13 10Z 0.33 2220 91 94 14 0.03
Sun 09/13 11Z 0.35 2122 94 94 14 0.05
Sun 09/13 12Z 0.34 2122 96 93 13 0.13
Sun 09/13 13Z 0.33 2123 97 89 14 0.11
Sun 09/13 14Z 0.34 2123 98 90 14 0.17
Sun 09/13 15Z 0.41 2221 98 78 14 0.06
Sun 09/13 16Z 0.43 2417 98 63 14 0.02
Sun 09/13 17Z 0.41 2515 94 47 14 0.01
Sun 09/13 18Z 0.46 2615 92 45 14 0.00
Sun 09/13 19Z 0.48 2513 92 48 14 0.00
Sun 09/13 20Z 0.58 2514 94 45 14 0.01
Sun 09/13 21Z 0.77 2618 96 27 13 0.03
Sun 09/13 22Z 0.81 2620 93 21 13 0.04
Sun 09/13 23Z 0.78 2721 87 24 13 0.03
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.98 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1