Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260826_0600
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Wed 08/26 06Z 0.25 3110 95 63 9 0.00
Wed 08/26 07Z 0.26 3110 92 54 9 0.00
Wed 08/26 08Z 0.21 3109 89 43 9 0.01
Wed 08/26 09Z 0.20 3108 87 37 10 0.00
Wed 08/26 10Z 0.18 3108 87 30 10 0.00
Wed 08/26 11Z 0.15 3107 88 27 10 0.00
Wed 08/26 12Z 0.11 3105 87 26 10 0.00
Wed 08/26 13Z 0.12 3005 87 26 10 0.00
Wed 08/26 14Z 0.13 2905 87 28 10 0.00
Wed 08/26 15Z 0.13 2904 86 29 10 0.00
Wed 08/26 16Z 0.11 2904 85 30 10 0.00
Wed 08/26 17Z 0.09 3003 85 29 10 0.00
Wed 08/26 18Z 0.06 3101 84 26 10 0.00
Wed 08/26 19Z 0.03 2900 84 23 11 0.00
Wed 08/26 20Z 0.03 2200 85 18 11 0.00
Wed 08/26 21Z 0.03 1700 88 15 11 0.00
Wed 08/26 22Z 0.03 1802 90 13 11 0.01
Wed 08/26 23Z 0.03 1804 90 13 11 0.00
Thu 08/27 00Z 0.03 1806 90 15 11 0.00
Thu 08/27 01Z 0.04 1707 89 15 11 0.00
Thu 08/27 02Z 0.06 1808 89 15 11 0.00
Thu 08/27 03Z 0.10 1910 86 17 11 0.00
Thu 08/27 04Z 0.14 2011 80 22 11 0.00
Thu 08/27 05Z 0.21 2112 77 24 12 0.00
Thu 08/27 06Z 0.25 2113 76 23 12 0.00
Thu 08/27 07Z 0.31 2214 77 21 12 0.00
Thu 08/27 08Z 0.37 2216 81 19 11 0.00
Thu 08/27 09Z 0.42 2217 86 19 11 0.00
Thu 08/27 10Z 0.45 2218 86 18 11 0.00
Thu 08/27 11Z 0.48 2219 84 16 11 0.00
Thu 08/27 12Z 0.53 2220 84 18 11 0.00
Thu 08/27 13Z 0.56 2220 87 21 11 0.00
Thu 08/27 14Z 0.63 2120 88 40 11 0.00
Thu 08/27 15Z 0.77 2020 84 39 11 0.00
Thu 08/27 16Z 1.92 2019 82 22 12 0.00
Thu 08/27 17Z 2.12 1919 82 34 12 0.00
Thu 08/27 18Z 1.57 1919 80 34 13 0.00
Thu 08/27 19Z 1.51 1919 79 48 13 0.00
Thu 08/27 20Z 0.60 1820 82 68 13 0.00
Thu 08/27 21Z 0.19 1821 85 72 13 0.00
Thu 08/27 22Z 0.25 1923 91 73 13 0.01
Thu 08/27 23Z 0.32 1926 91 77 13 0.01
Fri 08/28 00Z 0.43 1929 91 74 13 0.00
Fri 08/28 01Z 0.42 2029 92 64 13 0.00
Fri 08/28 02Z 0.47 2030 91 59 13 0.00
Fri 08/28 03Z 0.55 2131 93 63 13 0.02
Fri 08/28 04Z 0.54 2128 95 73 13 0.01
Fri 08/28 05Z 0.54 2227 96 80 13 0.04
Fri 08/28 06Z 0.57 2325 97 64 12 0.04
Fri 08/28 07Z 0.56 2321 98 61 12 0.02
Fri 08/28 08Z 0.51 2418 97 58 12 0.01
Fri 08/28 09Z 0.50 2416 96 50 12 0.01
Fri 08/28 10Z 0.45 2514 95 54 12 0.01
Fri 08/28 11Z 0.44 2514 96 60 12 0.01
Fri 08/28 12Z 0.42 2513 95 53 11 0.01
Fri 08/28 13Z 0.38 2511 94 39 11 0.00
Fri 08/28 14Z 0.34 2510 94 27 11 0.00
Fri 08/28 15Z 0.34 2609 93 23 11 0.00
Fri 08/28 16Z 0.36 2609 94 20 11 0.00
Fri 08/28 17Z 0.35 2608 94 20 11 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.22 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1