
Significant heat is expected to build from Wednesday through Friday. Hot temperatures and high humidity will allow heat index values to reach into at least the mid 90s each afternoon from Wednesday through Friday in the Champlain Valley and eastern Windsor county in Vermont. Read More >
Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260630_0000
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Tue 06/30 00Z 0.18 3305 58 9 14 0.00
Tue 06/30 01Z 0.17 3405 55 9 14 0.00
Tue 06/30 02Z 0.11 3503 52 9 14 0.00
Tue 06/30 03Z 0.07 3401 50 10 14 0.00
Tue 06/30 04Z 0.07 2200 48 11 14 0.00
Tue 06/30 05Z 0.13 2302 46 13 14 0.00
Tue 06/30 06Z 0.37 2705 45 14 14 0.00
Tue 06/30 07Z 0.63 2706 48 16 14 0.00
Tue 06/30 08Z 0.52 2605 52 16 14 0.00
Tue 06/30 09Z 0.34 2605 55 23 14 0.00
Tue 06/30 10Z 0.30 2605 56 26 14 0.00
Tue 06/30 11Z 0.31 2606 58 32 14 0.00
Tue 06/30 12Z 0.23 2305 60 44 14 0.00
Tue 06/30 13Z 0.26 2206 60 51 14 0.00
Tue 06/30 14Z 0.41 2207 62 52 14 0.00
Tue 06/30 15Z 0.94 2208 65 54 14 0.00
Tue 06/30 16Z 0.83 2209 66 70 15 0.00
Tue 06/30 17Z 0.71 2211 64 75 15 0.00
Tue 06/30 18Z 1.24 2212 62 86 15 0.00
Tue 06/30 19Z 0.59 2110 59 83 15 0.00
Tue 06/30 20Z 0.81 2110 60 91 15 0.00
Tue 06/30 21Z 0.49 2110 59 90 15 0.00
Tue 06/30 22Z 0.42 2113 61 89 16 0.00
Tue 06/30 23Z 0.40 2115 70 89 16 0.00
Wed 07/01 00Z 0.44 2117 74 94 16 0.00
Wed 07/01 01Z 0.50 2118 80 90 17 0.00
Wed 07/01 02Z 0.54 2220 84 88 17 0.01
Wed 07/01 03Z 0.60 2323 95 89 17 0.03
Wed 07/01 04Z 0.62 2421 97 67 17 0.05
Wed 07/01 05Z 0.63 2619 97 55 17 0.02
Wed 07/01 06Z 0.61 2619 97 48 17 0.01
Wed 07/01 07Z 0.59 2618 97 43 17 0.06
Wed 07/01 08Z 0.46 2515 96 35 18 0.05
Wed 07/01 09Z 0.41 2514 95 27 18 0.02
Wed 07/01 10Z 0.40 2514 94 28 18 0.01
Wed 07/01 11Z 0.47 2517 95 31 18 0.01
Wed 07/01 12Z 0.56 2519 96 21 18 0.02
Wed 07/01 13Z 0.60 2620 97 34 18 0.02
Wed 07/01 14Z 0.64 2720 96 44 18 0.02
Wed 07/01 15Z 0.54 2718 91 47 19 0.01
Wed 07/01 16Z 0.50 2816 79 48 20 0.00
Wed 07/01 17Z 0.50 2815 82 43 20 0.00
Wed 07/01 18Z 0.51 2814 86 43 20 0.00
Wed 07/01 19Z 0.45 2813 82 37 21 0.00
Wed 07/01 20Z 0.42 2712 76 28 21 0.00
Wed 07/01 21Z 0.44 2712 73 26 22 0.00
Wed 07/01 22Z 0.39 2612 68 25 22 0.00
Wed 07/01 23Z 0.40 2613 63 26 23 0.00
Thu 07/02 00Z 0.50 2517 59 27 23 0.00
Thu 07/02 01Z 0.77 2623 61 34 22 0.00
Thu 07/02 02Z 0.97 2626 72 41 21 0.00
Thu 07/02 03Z 0.61 2622 72 45 22 0.00
Thu 07/02 04Z 0.71 2526 86 46 21 0.00
Thu 07/02 05Z 0.74 2726 83 49 21 0.03
Thu 07/02 06Z 0.64 2825 72 50 21 0.01
Thu 07/02 07Z 0.57 2923 76 49 20 0.00
Thu 07/02 08Z 0.47 3021 81 53 20 0.00
Thu 07/02 09Z 0.44 2920 83 40 20 0.01
Thu 07/02 10Z 0.43 2920 80 41 20 0.01
Thu 07/02 11Z 0.43 2819 74 31 20 0.01
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.41 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1