National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Extreme Heat Watch in Effect from Wednesday through Friday for the Champlain valley and eastern Windsor county in Vermont

Significant heat is expected to build from Wednesday through Friday. Hot temperatures and high humidity will allow heat index values to reach into at least the mid 90s each afternoon from Wednesday through Friday in the Champlain Valley and eastern Windsor county in Vermont. Read More >

Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens

Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260630_0000
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.

925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date   Time        Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Tue 06/30 00Z 0.18 3305  58   9  14 0.00
Tue 06/30 01Z 0.17 3405  55   9  14 0.00
Tue 06/30 02Z 0.11 3503  52   9  14 0.00
Tue 06/30 03Z 0.07 3401  50  10  14 0.00
Tue 06/30 04Z 0.07 2200  48  11  14 0.00
Tue 06/30 05Z 0.13 2302  46  13  14 0.00
Tue 06/30 06Z 0.37 2705  45  14  14 0.00
Tue 06/30 07Z 0.63 2706  48  16  14 0.00
Tue 06/30 08Z 0.52 2605  52  16  14 0.00
Tue 06/30 09Z 0.34 2605  55  23  14 0.00
Tue 06/30 10Z 0.30 2605  56  26  14 0.00
Tue 06/30 11Z 0.31 2606  58  32  14 0.00
Tue 06/30 12Z 0.23 2305  60  44  14 0.00
Tue 06/30 13Z 0.26 2206  60  51  14 0.00
Tue 06/30 14Z 0.41 2207  62  52  14 0.00
Tue 06/30 15Z 0.94 2208  65  54  14 0.00
Tue 06/30 16Z 0.83 2209  66  70  15 0.00
Tue 06/30 17Z 0.71 2211  64  75  15 0.00
Tue 06/30 18Z 1.24 2212  62  86  15 0.00
Tue 06/30 19Z 0.59 2110  59  83  15 0.00
Tue 06/30 20Z 0.81 2110  60  91  15 0.00
Tue 06/30 21Z 0.49 2110  59  90  15 0.00
Tue 06/30 22Z 0.42 2113  61  89  16 0.00
Tue 06/30 23Z 0.40 2115  70  89  16 0.00
Wed 07/01 00Z 0.44 2117  74  94  16 0.00
Wed 07/01 01Z 0.50 2118  80  90  17 0.00
Wed 07/01 02Z 0.54 2220  84  88  17 0.01
Wed 07/01 03Z 0.60 2323  95  89  17 0.03
Wed 07/01 04Z 0.62 2421  97  67  17 0.05
Wed 07/01 05Z 0.63 2619  97  55  17 0.02
Wed 07/01 06Z 0.61 2619  97  48  17 0.01
Wed 07/01 07Z 0.59 2618  97  43  17 0.06
Wed 07/01 08Z 0.46 2515  96  35  18 0.05
Wed 07/01 09Z 0.41 2514  95  27  18 0.02
Wed 07/01 10Z 0.40 2514  94  28  18 0.01
Wed 07/01 11Z 0.47 2517  95  31  18 0.01
Wed 07/01 12Z 0.56 2519  96  21  18 0.02
Wed 07/01 13Z 0.60 2620  97  34  18 0.02
Wed 07/01 14Z 0.64 2720  96  44  18 0.02
Wed 07/01 15Z 0.54 2718  91  47  19 0.01
Wed 07/01 16Z 0.50 2816  79  48  20 0.00
Wed 07/01 17Z 0.50 2815  82  43  20 0.00
Wed 07/01 18Z 0.51 2814  86  43  20 0.00
Wed 07/01 19Z 0.45 2813  82  37  21 0.00
Wed 07/01 20Z 0.42 2712  76  28  21 0.00
Wed 07/01 21Z 0.44 2712  73  26  22 0.00
Wed 07/01 22Z 0.39 2612  68  25  22 0.00
Wed 07/01 23Z 0.40 2613  63  26  23 0.00
Thu 07/02 00Z 0.50 2517  59  27  23 0.00
Thu 07/02 01Z 0.77 2623  61  34  22 0.00
Thu 07/02 02Z 0.97 2626  72  41  21 0.00
Thu 07/02 03Z 0.61 2622  72  45  22 0.00
Thu 07/02 04Z 0.71 2526  86  46  21 0.00
Thu 07/02 05Z 0.74 2726  83  49  21 0.03
Thu 07/02 06Z 0.64 2825  72  50  21 0.01
Thu 07/02 07Z 0.57 2923  76  49  20 0.00
Thu 07/02 08Z 0.47 3021  81  53  20 0.00
Thu 07/02 09Z 0.44 2920  83  40  20 0.01
Thu 07/02 10Z 0.43 2920  80  41  20 0.01
Thu 07/02 11Z 0.43 2819  74  31  20 0.01

Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.41 inches.

Froude Number (Frd#): 
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
         Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
         W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
         Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
         Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
         W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
         Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
         Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
         With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
         Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
         W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
         Air flows freely over terrain.
         Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.

Relative Humidity (RH): 
         925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
         with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
         with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.

850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
        T > -11       10-15:1
        T -11 to -15  25-35:1
        T < -15       15-20:1