Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260423_0600
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Thu 04/23 06Z 0.35 2812 82 72 2 0.00
Thu 04/23 07Z 0.42 2814 82 78 2 0.00
Thu 04/23 08Z 0.43 2916 81 82 2 0.00
Thu 04/23 09Z 0.43 3019 81 87 1 0.00
Thu 04/23 10Z 0.45 3122 84 81 0 0.00
Thu 04/23 11Z 0.40 3223 86 78 0 0.00
Thu 04/23 12Z 0.38 3324 87 59 -1 0.01
Thu 04/23 13Z 0.43 3224 88 37 -2 0.00
Thu 04/23 14Z 0.51 3224 89 17 -3 0.00
Thu 04/23 15Z 0.87 3224 84 9 -3 0.00
Thu 04/23 16Z 2.41 3222 81 8 -3 0.00
Thu 04/23 17Z 4.85 3220 80 6 -3 0.00
Thu 04/23 18Z 5.75 3219 75 5 -2 0.00
Thu 04/23 19Z 5.70 3219 71 5 -2 0.00
Thu 04/23 20Z 5.87 3219 67 5 -2 0.00
Thu 04/23 21Z 5.96 3219 64 4 -2 0.00
Thu 04/23 22Z 5.04 3220 63 4 -2 0.00
Thu 04/23 23Z 2.55 3320 62 4 -2 0.00
Fri 04/24 00Z 1.37 3322 62 4 -2 0.00
Fri 04/24 01Z 0.98 3323 62 5 -3 0.00
Fri 04/24 02Z 0.70 3422 64 5 -3 0.00
Fri 04/24 03Z 0.42 3420 66 6 -4 0.00
Fri 04/24 04Z 0.21 3517 69 7 -4 0.00
Fri 04/24 05Z 0.13 3516 73 9 -5 0.00
Fri 04/24 06Z 0.13 3414 75 9 -5 0.00
Fri 04/24 07Z 0.16 3414 77 9 -6 0.00
Fri 04/24 08Z 0.18 3415 77 9 -6 0.00
Fri 04/24 09Z 0.12 3417 77 9 -6 0.00
Fri 04/24 10Z 0.09 3517 77 9 -6 0.00
Fri 04/24 11Z 0.08 3416 79 10 -6 0.00
Fri 04/24 12Z 0.10 3415 81 15 -6 0.00
Fri 04/24 13Z 0.13 3414 81 23 -6 0.00
Fri 04/24 14Z 0.19 3313 78 37 -5 0.00
Fri 04/24 15Z 0.40 3313 74 49 -5 0.00
Fri 04/24 16Z 1.10 3313 72 46 -5 0.00
Fri 04/24 17Z 1.74 3313 68 44 -5 0.00
Fri 04/24 18Z 2.31 3314 63 36 -4 0.00
Fri 04/24 19Z 1.87 3414 58 21 -4 0.00
Fri 04/24 20Z 1.56 3413 57 13 -4 0.00
Fri 04/24 21Z 1.10 3412 59 9 -3 0.00
Fri 04/24 22Z 0.43 0011 64 6 -3 0.00
Fri 04/24 23Z 0.41 0111 68 7 -4 0.00
Sat 04/25 00Z 0.32 0111 73 9 -4 0.00
Sat 04/25 01Z 0.48 0213 77 11 -5 0.00
Sat 04/25 02Z 0.67 0317 77 15 -5 0.00
Sat 04/25 03Z 0.73 0419 74 18 -5 0.00
Sat 04/25 04Z 0.74 0520 75 22 -5 0.00
Sat 04/25 05Z 0.61 0518 75 24 -5 0.00
Sat 04/25 06Z 0.48 0515 74 24 -5 0.00
Sat 04/25 07Z 0.36 0614 70 25 -4 0.00
Sat 04/25 08Z 0.29 0612 67 25 -4 0.00
Sat 04/25 09Z 0.26 0711 64 25 -3 0.00
Sat 04/25 10Z 0.24 0710 61 26 -3 0.00
Sat 04/25 11Z 0.24 0810 58 29 -3 0.00
Sat 04/25 12Z 0.23 0810 55 30 -3 0.00
Sat 04/25 13Z 0.26 0910 55 30 -3 0.00
Sat 04/25 14Z 0.32 0910 55 29 -3 0.00
Sat 04/25 15Z 0.46 1008 55 28 -3 0.00
Sat 04/25 16Z 1.46 1007 52 29 -3 0.00
Sat 04/25 17Z 2.86 0905 52 31 -2 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.01 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1