
A coastal low will bring strong winds and snow to southern Vermont tonight into Monday. For Rutland and Windsor Counties, snowfall amounts of 3 to 5 inches are expected, along with wind gusts to 35 mph, which could result in poor visibility and blowing snow. Very difficult travel is expected across southern Vermont due to the combination of wind and snow, especially between mountain passes. Read More >
Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260222_0600
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sun 02/22 06Z 0.12 1509 89 36 -8 0.00
Sun 02/22 07Z 0.14 1511 89 40 -8 0.00
Sun 02/22 08Z 0.12 1612 88 44 -8 0.00
Sun 02/22 09Z 0.10 1612 85 52 -8 0.00
Sun 02/22 10Z 0.10 1612 83 57 -8 0.00
Sun 02/22 11Z 0.10 1612 81 67 -8 0.00
Sun 02/22 12Z 0.10 1612 80 76 -8 0.00
Sun 02/22 13Z 0.12 1512 80 80 -8 0.00
Sun 02/22 14Z 0.15 1512 80 84 -8 0.00
Sun 02/22 15Z 0.19 1413 79 87 -8 0.00
Sun 02/22 16Z 0.25 1313 78 88 -8 0.00
Sun 02/22 17Z 0.29 1313 76 91 -8 0.00
Sun 02/22 18Z 0.34 1313 72 93 -8 0.00
Sun 02/22 19Z 0.37 1314 69 90 -8 0.00
Sun 02/22 20Z 0.38 1313 69 89 -8 0.00
Sun 02/22 21Z 0.41 1213 70 86 -8 0.00
Sun 02/22 22Z 0.48 1114 71 87 -8 0.00
Sun 02/22 23Z 0.58 1017 73 87 -8 0.00
Mon 02/23 00Z 0.63 1019 73 86 -8 0.00
Mon 02/23 01Z 0.58 0920 69 80 -7 0.00
Mon 02/23 02Z 0.60 1021 70 73 -8 0.00
Mon 02/23 03Z 0.64 1022 72 74 -8 0.00
Mon 02/23 04Z 0.67 0923 73 62 -8 0.00
Mon 02/23 05Z 0.70 0824 75 65 -8 0.00
Mon 02/23 06Z 0.72 0824 74 73 -8 0.01
Mon 02/23 07Z 0.73 0825 73 82 -8 0.02
Mon 02/23 08Z 0.69 0726 70 82 -8 0.03
Mon 02/23 09Z 0.74 0628 71 85 -9 0.03
Mon 02/23 10Z 0.77 0629 78 85 -9 0.03
Mon 02/23 11Z 0.75 0531 83 85 -10 0.02
Mon 02/23 12Z 0.73 0532 78 85 -10 0.02
Mon 02/23 13Z 0.77 0532 70 85 -10 0.01
Mon 02/23 14Z 0.65 0432 73 84 -10 0.01
Mon 02/23 15Z 0.61 0431 79 85 -10 0.05
Mon 02/23 16Z 0.59 0330 88 85 -11 0.06
Mon 02/23 17Z 0.48 0330 89 85 -11 0.05
Mon 02/23 18Z 0.37 0231 90 86 -11 0.04
Mon 02/23 19Z 0.26 0132 91 86 -11 0.03
Mon 02/23 20Z 0.18 0033 91 86 -11 0.03
Mon 02/23 21Z 0.12 0033 91 86 -10 0.02
Mon 02/23 22Z 0.11 0034 91 86 -11 0.02
Mon 02/23 23Z 0.11 3536 91 86 -11 0.02
Tue 02/24 00Z 0.12 3537 91 87 -12 0.01
Tue 02/24 01Z 0.11 3537 90 86 -13 0.01
Tue 02/24 02Z 0.12 3536 90 85 -13 0.01
Tue 02/24 03Z 0.16 3534 90 85 -13 0.01
Tue 02/24 04Z 0.26 3430 92 82 -14 0.01
Tue 02/24 05Z 0.35 3429 91 78 -13 0.01
Tue 02/24 06Z 0.35 3330 91 78 -14 0.01
Tue 02/24 07Z 0.40 3330 92 75 -14 0.01
Tue 02/24 08Z 0.62 3328 96 82 -15 0.01
Tue 02/24 09Z 0.53 3227 95 84 -15 0.01
Tue 02/24 10Z 0.38 3226 91 70 -15 0.01
Tue 02/24 11Z 0.34 3224 90 67 -15 0.01
Tue 02/24 12Z 0.33 3123 89 75 -15 0.01
Tue 02/24 13Z 0.32 3123 87 61 -15 0.00
Tue 02/24 14Z 0.32 3123 86 41 -15 0.00
Tue 02/24 15Z 0.31 3121 85 37 -15 0.00
Tue 02/24 16Z 0.35 3121 88 46 -15 0.00
Tue 02/24 17Z 0.36 3019 88 57 -15 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.63 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1