Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260506_0600
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Wed 05/06 06Z 0.50 2515 91 96 6 0.00
Wed 05/06 07Z 0.44 2515 88 87 6 0.02
Wed 05/06 08Z 0.32 2413 89 87 6 0.01
Wed 05/06 09Z 0.23 2211 90 89 6 0.00
Wed 05/06 10Z 0.13 2010 90 85 7 0.01
Wed 05/06 11Z 0.06 1811 91 85 7 0.01
Wed 05/06 12Z 0.14 1912 94 85 6 0.06
Wed 05/06 13Z 0.27 2114 97 92 6 0.11
Wed 05/06 14Z 0.32 2014 97 87 6 0.08
Wed 05/06 15Z 0.33 2015 98 98 6 0.07
Wed 05/06 16Z 0.25 2018 99 98 7 0.13
Wed 05/06 17Z 0.31 2120 98 98 7 0.17
Wed 05/06 18Z 0.33 2023 97 98 7 0.13
Wed 05/06 19Z 0.27 2115 99 99 6 0.11
Wed 05/06 20Z 0.23 2312 98 96 7 0.09
Wed 05/06 21Z 0.20 2509 97 97 7 0.03
Wed 05/06 22Z 0.20 2709 97 98 6 0.04
Wed 05/06 23Z 0.21 2910 96 98 5 0.04
Thu 05/07 00Z 0.21 3011 95 96 4 0.02
Thu 05/07 01Z 0.16 3110 93 92 4 0.01
Thu 05/07 02Z 0.19 3111 93 84 3 0.00
Thu 05/07 03Z 0.20 3111 90 77 2 0.00
Thu 05/07 04Z 0.27 3013 92 76 1 0.01
Thu 05/07 05Z 0.29 3014 91 71 1 0.01
Thu 05/07 06Z 0.29 3014 88 68 1 0.00
Thu 05/07 07Z 0.37 3014 91 65 0 0.00
Thu 05/07 08Z 0.45 2915 94 60 0 0.00
Thu 05/07 09Z 0.57 2918 96 46 0 0.01
Thu 05/07 10Z 0.56 2817 94 31 -1 0.01
Thu 05/07 11Z 0.65 2819 85 17 -2 0.01
Thu 05/07 12Z 0.61 2817 70 11 -2 0.00
Thu 05/07 13Z 0.64 2818 66 17 -2 0.00
Thu 05/07 14Z 0.83 2817 72 20 -3 0.00
Thu 05/07 15Z 5.80 2817 81 25 -3 0.00
Thu 05/07 16Z 10.50 2716 81 25 -3 0.00
Thu 05/07 17Z 11.24 2717 75 29 -2 0.00
Thu 05/07 18Z 11.90 2717 69 29 -1 0.00
Thu 05/07 19Z 12.35 2717 62 26 -1 0.00
Thu 05/07 20Z 12.45 2817 57 23 0 0.00
Thu 05/07 21Z 12.48 2818 56 24 0 0.00
Thu 05/07 22Z 12.00 2819 59 23 -1 0.00
Thu 05/07 23Z 8.43 2819 62 22 -1 0.00
Fri 05/08 00Z 3.33 2919 66 23 -2 0.00
Fri 05/08 01Z 2.15 2919 69 22 -2 0.00
Fri 05/08 02Z 2.02 2919 71 22 -2 0.00
Fri 05/08 03Z 1.54 2919 75 25 -3 0.00
Fri 05/08 04Z 1.20 2919 75 28 -3 0.00
Fri 05/08 05Z 0.93 2919 75 37 -3 0.00
Fri 05/08 06Z 0.80 3018 75 45 -3 0.00
Fri 05/08 07Z 0.76 3018 75 53 -3 0.00
Fri 05/08 08Z 0.74 3018 76 59 -3 0.00
Fri 05/08 09Z 0.69 3019 79 61 -3 0.00
Fri 05/08 10Z 0.70 3019 82 57 -3 0.00
Fri 05/08 11Z 0.74 2918 79 51 -4 0.00
Fri 05/08 12Z 1.02 2917 76 67 -4 0.00
Fri 05/08 13Z 5.72 2816 74 73 -4 0.00
Fri 05/08 14Z 9.68 2814 75 63 -4 0.00
Fri 05/08 15Z 10.06 2714 75 31 -3 0.00
Fri 05/08 16Z 10.33 2715 71 31 -3 0.00
Fri 05/08 17Z 9.73 2715 70 43 -3 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 1.19 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1