Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260410_0600
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Fri 04/10 06Z 0.56 2328 58 49 6 0.00
Fri 04/10 07Z 0.66 2431 65 46 6 0.00
Fri 04/10 08Z 0.71 2530 73 50 5 0.00
Fri 04/10 09Z 0.66 2526 77 42 5 0.00
Fri 04/10 10Z 0.63 2525 79 35 5 0.00
Fri 04/10 11Z 0.59 2523 79 39 5 0.00
Fri 04/10 12Z 0.49 2420 78 36 6 0.00
Fri 04/10 13Z 0.44 2321 77 48 6 0.00
Fri 04/10 14Z 0.43 2223 74 64 7 0.00
Fri 04/10 15Z 0.46 2226 69 77 7 0.00
Fri 04/10 16Z 0.53 2227 64 91 8 0.00
Fri 04/10 17Z 0.58 2227 62 91 8 0.00
Fri 04/10 18Z 0.62 2325 63 92 8 0.00
Fri 04/10 19Z 0.64 2323 65 64 8 0.00
Fri 04/10 20Z 0.71 2322 66 45 8 0.00
Fri 04/10 21Z 0.69 2222 66 31 8 0.00
Fri 04/10 22Z 0.84 2225 67 50 8 0.00
Fri 04/10 23Z 0.56 2124 69 56 8 0.00
Sat 04/11 00Z 0.50 2225 78 76 8 0.01
Sat 04/11 01Z 0.69 2426 94 96 6 0.09
Sat 04/11 02Z 0.55 2422 97 95 5 0.03
Sat 04/11 03Z 0.47 2519 98 95 5 0.06
Sat 04/11 04Z 0.48 2819 97 94 3 0.14
Sat 04/11 05Z 0.39 3020 98 87 2 0.07
Sat 04/11 06Z 0.42 3124 97 86 0 0.03
Sat 04/11 07Z 0.49 3127 97 48 -1 0.02
Sat 04/11 08Z 0.63 3128 97 36 -3 0.02
Sat 04/11 09Z 0.72 3130 96 15 -4 0.03
Sat 04/11 10Z 0.72 3129 95 7 -5 0.01
Sat 04/11 11Z 0.64 3129 90 6 -5 0.01
Sat 04/11 12Z 0.62 3128 90 4 -6 0.01
Sat 04/11 13Z 0.69 3127 90 5 -7 0.01
Sat 04/11 14Z 0.73 3127 89 6 -7 0.01
Sat 04/11 15Z 0.89 3125 91 8 -8 0.00
Sat 04/11 16Z 1.02 3124 92 11 -8 0.00
Sat 04/11 17Z 1.04 3123 91 12 -7 0.00
Sat 04/11 18Z 0.90 3123 91 13 -7 0.00
Sat 04/11 19Z 1.03 3122 91 12 -7 0.00
Sat 04/11 20Z 1.12 3021 90 11 -7 0.00
Sat 04/11 21Z 1.92 3021 87 10 -7 0.00
Sat 04/11 22Z 1.50 3022 84 11 -6 0.00
Sat 04/11 23Z 1.44 3023 83 11 -6 0.00
Sun 04/12 00Z 1.28 3125 82 10 -6 0.00
Sun 04/12 01Z 1.05 3126 81 10 -6 0.00
Sun 04/12 02Z 0.76 3126 77 12 -6 0.00
Sun 04/12 03Z 0.54 3226 69 14 -6 0.00
Sun 04/12 04Z 0.45 3225 64 12 -6 0.00
Sun 04/12 05Z 0.41 3224 62 12 -6 0.00
Sun 04/12 06Z 0.33 3323 59 12 -5 0.00
Sun 04/12 07Z 0.28 3320 59 15 -5 0.00
Sun 04/12 08Z 0.22 3317 59 19 -5 0.00
Sun 04/12 09Z 0.20 3214 58 23 -4 0.00
Sun 04/12 10Z 0.21 3113 55 24 -4 0.00
Sun 04/12 11Z 0.17 3110 48 28 -3 0.00
Sun 04/12 12Z 0.14 2907 44 34 -2 0.00
Sun 04/12 13Z 0.13 2606 41 35 -1 0.00
Sun 04/12 14Z 0.14 2406 40 35 -1 0.00
Sun 04/12 15Z 0.15 2308 38 30 0 0.00
Sun 04/12 16Z 0.26 2311 38 29 -1 0.00
Sun 04/12 17Z 0.27 2312 34 39 -1 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.55 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1