
Cooler and less humid conditions for most of the eastern third of the nation as high pressure dominates the weather pattern. Otherwise, rather tranquil weather for most of the nation for the end of the weekend into the start of this week. We continue to monitor a developing coastal storm offshore of the Carolinas; Coastal flooding and beach erosion possible along portions of the Mid-Atlantic. Read More >
Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20261018_0600
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sun 10/18 06Z 0.44 2914 73 60 -4 0.00
Sun 10/18 07Z 0.59 2916 72 61 -4 0.00
Sun 10/18 08Z 0.64 2817 74 64 -3 0.00
Sun 10/18 09Z 0.59 2918 70 72 -2 0.00
Sun 10/18 10Z 0.52 2918 79 76 -2 0.00
Sun 10/18 11Z 0.51 3018 87 75 -1 0.00
Sun 10/18 12Z 0.49 2917 84 70 -1 0.00
Sun 10/18 13Z 0.48 2916 84 61 0 0.00
Sun 10/18 14Z 0.49 2916 85 50 0 0.00
Sun 10/18 15Z 0.47 2814 84 44 0 0.00
Sun 10/18 16Z 0.44 2713 80 42 0 0.00
Sun 10/18 17Z 0.43 2613 70 40 1 0.00
Sun 10/18 18Z 0.40 2513 57 39 2 0.00
Sun 10/18 19Z 0.35 2512 46 35 3 0.00
Sun 10/18 20Z 0.33 2512 42 31 4 0.00
Sun 10/18 21Z 0.33 2513 39 21 5 0.00
Sun 10/18 22Z 0.33 2614 38 13 6 0.00
Sun 10/18 23Z 0.32 2614 36 11 7 0.00
Mon 10/19 00Z 0.31 2614 32 11 8 0.00
Mon 10/19 01Z 0.30 2614 26 11 8 0.00
Mon 10/19 02Z 0.29 2613 20 13 8 0.00
Mon 10/19 03Z 0.29 2613 17 14 8 0.00
Mon 10/19 04Z 0.29 2613 17 16 9 0.00
Mon 10/19 05Z 0.28 2612 18 17 9 0.00
Mon 10/19 06Z 0.28 2512 19 17 9 0.00
Mon 10/19 07Z 0.29 2512 19 18 9 0.00
Mon 10/19 08Z 0.30 2513 18 18 9 0.00
Mon 10/19 09Z 0.31 2613 18 17 10 0.00
Mon 10/19 10Z 0.31 2613 17 17 10 0.00
Mon 10/19 11Z 0.31 2613 17 17 10 0.00
Mon 10/19 12Z 0.31 2713 16 17 10 0.00
Mon 10/19 13Z 0.29 2712 15 17 10 0.00
Mon 10/19 14Z 0.28 2612 15 18 10 0.00
Mon 10/19 15Z 0.27 2611 15 19 10 0.00
Mon 10/19 16Z 0.25 2611 15 19 10 0.00
Mon 10/19 17Z 0.24 2510 14 19 10 0.00
Mon 10/19 18Z 0.25 2610 14 19 10 0.00
Mon 10/19 19Z 0.27 2710 13 19 11 0.00
Mon 10/19 20Z 0.28 2811 14 19 11 0.00
Mon 10/19 21Z 0.29 2911 15 20 10 0.00
Mon 10/19 22Z 0.29 2912 18 20 10 0.00
Mon 10/19 23Z 0.26 3013 21 19 10 0.00
Tue 10/20 00Z 0.21 3113 26 17 10 0.00
Tue 10/20 01Z 0.18 3213 30 15 10 0.00
Tue 10/20 02Z 0.13 3313 35 14 10 0.00
Tue 10/20 03Z 0.10 3312 41 12 10 0.00
Tue 10/20 04Z 0.08 3413 44 11 9 0.00
Tue 10/20 05Z 0.05 3515 42 13 9 0.00
Tue 10/20 06Z 0.02 0017 41 17 9 0.00
Tue 10/20 07Z 0.05 0018 38 17 8 0.00
Tue 10/20 08Z 0.10 0119 35 15 8 0.00
Tue 10/20 09Z 0.11 0119 30 15 8 0.00
Tue 10/20 10Z 0.11 0120 22 13 9 0.00
Tue 10/20 11Z 0.12 0121 19 10 8 0.00
Tue 10/20 12Z 0.13 0121 19 5 8 0.00
Tue 10/20 13Z 0.13 0121 21 2 8 0.00
Tue 10/20 14Z 0.13 0120 24 2 7 0.00
Tue 10/20 15Z 0.14 0219 29 2 7 0.00
Tue 10/20 16Z 0.13 0217 35 3 6 0.00
Tue 10/20 17Z 0.12 0215 40 3 6 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.00 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1