Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260408_0600
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Wed 04/08 06Z 0.54 3119 79 38 -12 0.00
Wed 04/08 07Z 0.62 3120 74 36 -12 0.00
Wed 04/08 08Z 0.51 3119 69 27 -12 0.00
Wed 04/08 09Z 0.46 3118 64 25 -11 0.00
Wed 04/08 10Z 0.39 3117 59 18 -10 0.00
Wed 04/08 11Z 0.33 3115 57 17 -10 0.00
Wed 04/08 12Z 0.29 3113 57 13 -9 0.00
Wed 04/08 13Z 0.26 3011 56 10 -9 0.00
Wed 04/08 14Z 0.26 2909 54 7 -9 0.00
Wed 04/08 15Z 0.25 2808 50 6 -8 0.00
Wed 04/08 16Z 0.22 2806 44 4 -7 0.00
Wed 04/08 17Z 0.24 2704 39 3 -7 0.00
Wed 04/08 18Z 0.40 2504 36 3 -6 0.00
Wed 04/08 19Z 0.39 2404 33 4 -5 0.00
Wed 04/08 20Z 0.42 2305 31 4 -4 0.00
Wed 04/08 21Z 0.32 2406 29 5 -4 0.00
Wed 04/08 22Z 0.27 2408 28 5 -3 0.00
Wed 04/08 23Z 0.25 2308 28 5 -3 0.00
Thu 04/09 00Z 0.24 2210 27 7 -2 0.00
Thu 04/09 01Z 0.25 2212 24 8 -2 0.00
Thu 04/09 02Z 0.29 2215 22 10 -1 0.00
Thu 04/09 03Z 0.33 2217 21 14 -1 0.00
Thu 04/09 04Z 0.35 2218 21 21 0 0.00
Thu 04/09 05Z 0.34 2219 20 31 0 0.00
Thu 04/09 06Z 0.30 2219 19 39 1 0.00
Thu 04/09 07Z 0.27 2120 19 50 2 0.00
Thu 04/09 08Z 0.27 2121 18 57 2 0.00
Thu 04/09 09Z 0.28 2122 17 59 2 0.00
Thu 04/09 10Z 0.29 2122 15 57 2 0.00
Thu 04/09 11Z 0.30 2122 13 52 3 0.00
Thu 04/09 12Z 0.32 2223 10 51 3 0.00
Thu 04/09 13Z 0.32 2124 9 51 3 0.00
Thu 04/09 14Z 0.29 2124 9 67 3 0.00
Thu 04/09 15Z 0.28 2125 10 61 4 0.00
Thu 04/09 16Z 0.28 2025 12 66 4 0.00
Thu 04/09 17Z 0.29 2026 14 68 4 0.00
Thu 04/09 18Z 0.32 2026 17 51 3 0.00
Thu 04/09 19Z 0.33 1927 19 43 4 0.00
Thu 04/09 20Z 0.33 2027 21 43 4 0.00
Thu 04/09 21Z 0.33 2029 22 49 5 0.00
Thu 04/09 22Z 0.32 2030 22 49 5 0.00
Thu 04/09 23Z 0.32 2031 28 44 6 0.00
Fri 04/10 00Z 0.34 2032 36 46 6 0.00
Fri 04/10 01Z 0.45 2134 45 47 6 0.00
Fri 04/10 02Z 0.50 2233 55 49 6 0.00
Fri 04/10 03Z 0.57 2334 61 49 6 0.00
Fri 04/10 04Z 0.65 2335 64 62 5 0.00
Fri 04/10 05Z 0.73 2435 68 72 4 0.00
Fri 04/10 06Z 0.68 2531 71 66 4 0.00
Fri 04/10 07Z 0.65 2529 73 71 4 0.00
Fri 04/10 08Z 0.62 2526 74 42 3 0.00
Fri 04/10 09Z 0.59 2624 78 41 3 0.00
Fri 04/10 10Z 0.56 2622 82 54 3 0.00
Fri 04/10 11Z 0.51 2620 81 20 3 0.00
Fri 04/10 12Z 0.50 2619 81 9 2 0.00
Fri 04/10 13Z 0.50 2618 81 9 2 0.00
Fri 04/10 14Z 0.52 2619 81 14 2 0.00
Fri 04/10 15Z 0.57 2519 82 35 2 0.00
Fri 04/10 16Z 0.62 2618 80 57 1 0.00
Fri 04/10 17Z 0.63 2616 80 94 1 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.00 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1