Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20261006_1800
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Tue 10/06 18Z 5.18 2916 81 14 -1 0.00
Tue 10/06 19Z 4.88 2918 78 6 -1 0.00
Tue 10/06 20Z 4.35 2918 78 4 0 0.00
Tue 10/06 21Z 3.83 2819 75 7 0 0.00
Tue 10/06 22Z 1.77 2920 73 15 0 0.00
Tue 10/06 23Z 1.50 2921 73 26 0 0.00
Wed 10/07 00Z 1.27 2922 69 37 0 0.00
Wed 10/07 01Z 1.02 2922 66 53 0 0.00
Wed 10/07 02Z 0.88 2922 64 56 0 0.00
Wed 10/07 03Z 0.64 2919 57 52 1 0.00
Wed 10/07 04Z 0.47 2916 50 49 1 0.00
Wed 10/07 05Z 0.45 2815 47 52 2 0.00
Wed 10/07 06Z 0.40 2814 43 53 2 0.00
Wed 10/07 07Z 0.39 2714 39 59 3 0.00
Wed 10/07 08Z 0.44 2616 38 69 3 0.00
Wed 10/07 09Z 0.41 2616 31 76 4 0.00
Wed 10/07 10Z 0.40 2517 30 80 5 0.00
Wed 10/07 11Z 0.38 2418 34 80 6 0.00
Wed 10/07 12Z 0.40 2321 37 83 7 0.00
Wed 10/07 13Z 0.41 2323 41 85 7 0.00
Wed 10/07 14Z 0.42 2226 47 84 8 0.00
Wed 10/07 15Z 0.45 2228 51 80 8 0.00
Wed 10/07 16Z 0.49 2229 51 79 8 0.00
Wed 10/07 17Z 0.54 2228 46 67 8 0.00
Wed 10/07 18Z 0.55 2225 43 63 8 0.00
Wed 10/07 19Z 0.57 2223 48 57 7 0.00
Wed 10/07 20Z 0.60 2222 59 63 7 0.00
Wed 10/07 21Z 0.61 2224 68 70 7 0.00
Wed 10/07 22Z 0.59 2225 73 79 7 0.00
Wed 10/07 23Z 0.64 2227 78 76 7 0.00
Thu 10/08 00Z 0.69 2229 82 69 7 0.00
Thu 10/08 01Z 0.70 2329 86 62 7 0.00
Thu 10/08 02Z 0.72 2329 90 61 8 0.00
Thu 10/08 03Z 0.73 2429 93 67 8 0.01
Thu 10/08 04Z 0.67 2426 94 83 8 0.02
Thu 10/08 05Z 0.62 2424 96 90 8 0.02
Thu 10/08 06Z 0.59 2323 97 96 7 0.05
Thu 10/08 07Z 0.59 2324 97 97 7 0.13
Thu 10/08 08Z 0.57 2323 97 92 8 0.12
Thu 10/08 09Z 0.55 2323 98 92 8 0.07
Thu 10/08 10Z 0.74 2424 96 94 7 0.19
Thu 10/08 11Z 0.59 2619 86 96 6 0.15
Thu 10/08 12Z 0.55 2516 84 67 6 0.03
Thu 10/08 13Z 0.70 2520 91 75 6 0.01
Thu 10/08 14Z 0.76 2620 90 90 5 0.01
Thu 10/08 15Z 0.78 2720 82 84 5 0.01
Thu 10/08 16Z 0.89 2720 78 75 5 0.01
Thu 10/08 17Z 2.22 2720 90 59 4 0.01
Thu 10/08 18Z 4.57 2620 90 51 5 0.01
Thu 10/08 19Z 8.56 2719 77 34 5 0.00
Thu 10/08 20Z 5.95 2622 82 43 4 0.02
Thu 10/08 21Z 5.13 2623 82 45 4 0.02
Thu 10/08 22Z 2.53 2623 83 39 4 0.01
Thu 10/08 23Z 1.90 2624 83 42 3 0.00
Fri 10/09 00Z 1.39 2626 89 48 3 0.00
Fri 10/09 01Z 1.34 2728 90 46 2 0.03
Fri 10/09 02Z 1.19 2827 93 38 2 0.01
Fri 10/09 03Z 1.10 2825 95 47 1 0.01
Fri 10/09 04Z 1.04 2824 96 38 1 0.02
Fri 10/09 05Z 0.98 2823 96 34 0 0.01
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.98 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1