Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260213_0600
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Fri 02/13 06Z 0.10 3416 75 26 -11 0.00
Fri 02/13 07Z 0.13 3316 75 27 -11 0.00
Fri 02/13 08Z 0.15 3316 72 29 -10 0.00
Fri 02/13 09Z 0.16 3315 69 32 -10 0.00
Fri 02/13 10Z 0.19 3216 67 33 -9 0.00
Fri 02/13 11Z 0.22 3117 66 32 -9 0.00
Fri 02/13 12Z 0.23 3117 65 29 -9 0.00
Fri 02/13 13Z 0.24 3117 66 26 -9 0.00
Fri 02/13 14Z 0.24 3117 67 25 -9 0.00
Fri 02/13 15Z 0.25 3016 68 25 -9 0.00
Fri 02/13 16Z 0.27 2915 68 24 -9 0.00
Fri 02/13 17Z 0.31 2916 66 24 -10 0.00
Fri 02/13 18Z 0.34 2915 61 25 -10 0.00
Fri 02/13 19Z 0.35 2915 58 22 -10 0.00
Fri 02/13 20Z 0.38 2815 60 23 -10 0.00
Fri 02/13 21Z 0.42 2716 65 38 -10 0.00
Fri 02/13 23Z 0.48 2718 64 59 -10 0.00
Sat 02/14 00Z 0.50 2719 62 48 -10 0.00
Sat 02/14 01Z 0.42 2718 54 41 -9 0.00
Sat 02/14 02Z 0.36 2717 47 46 -8 0.00
Sat 02/14 03Z 0.37 2718 52 50 -9 0.00
Sat 02/14 04Z 0.40 2719 60 47 -9 0.00
Sat 02/14 05Z 0.39 2718 62 64 -9 0.00
Sat 02/14 06Z 0.41 2718 70 76 -9 0.00
Sat 02/14 07Z 0.42 2718 90 78 -10 0.00
Sat 02/14 08Z 0.43 2717 92 83 -10 0.00
Sat 02/14 09Z 0.46 2718 93 81 -10 0.00
Sat 02/14 10Z 0.46 2718 93 84 -10 0.00
Sat 02/14 11Z 0.50 2819 93 88 -10 0.01
Sat 02/14 12Z 0.54 2820 94 85 -10 0.01
Sat 02/14 13Z 0.58 2821 95 79 -10 0.01
Sat 02/14 14Z 0.61 2922 95 59 -11 0.01
Sat 02/14 15Z 0.59 2921 95 36 -11 0.01
Sat 02/14 16Z 0.59 3021 94 17 -11 0.01
Sat 02/14 17Z 0.65 3020 84 18 -11 0.01
Sat 02/14 18Z 0.68 2919 75 20 -11 0.00
Sat 02/14 19Z 0.74 2919 76 26 -11 0.00
Sat 02/14 20Z 0.82 2820 78 29 -11 0.00
Sat 02/14 21Z 1.01 2822 78 30 -12 0.00
Sat 02/14 22Z 1.17 2925 74 32 -12 0.00
Sat 02/14 23Z 1.44 2928 70 33 -13 0.00
Sun 02/15 00Z 1.51 3029 67 26 -13 0.00
Sun 02/15 01Z 1.45 3030 68 22 -14 0.00
Sun 02/15 02Z 1.34 3130 72 19 -15 0.00
Sun 02/15 03Z 1.25 3129 78 20 -16 0.00
Sun 02/15 04Z 0.90 3228 80 17 -16 0.00
Sun 02/15 05Z 0.55 3226 74 13 -16 0.00
Sun 02/15 06Z 0.33 3325 62 12 -15 0.00
Sun 02/15 07Z 0.23 3324 49 12 -14 0.00
Sun 02/15 08Z 0.15 3421 39 10 -13 0.00
Sun 02/15 09Z 0.10 3419 30 10 -12 0.00
Sun 02/15 10Z 0.06 3516 23 13 -11 0.00
Sun 02/15 11Z 0.03 3513 20 16 -10 0.00
Sun 02/15 12Z 0.02 3511 18 16 -9 0.00
Sun 02/15 13Z 0.02 3508 18 17 -9 0.00
Sun 02/15 14Z 0.02 3505 18 19 -8 0.00
Sun 02/15 15Z 0.02 3403 19 22 -8 0.00
Sun 02/15 16Z 0.02 3401 21 32 -7 0.00
Sun 02/15 17Z 0.04 2501 24 53 -7 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.07 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1