Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260603_1800
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Wed 06/03 18Z 2.84 3209 46 27 11 0.00
Wed 06/03 19Z 2.68 3110 47 30 12 0.00
Wed 06/03 20Z 1.97 3209 47 32 12 0.00
Wed 06/03 21Z 1.17 3208 48 35 12 0.00
Wed 06/03 22Z 0.58 3207 48 37 12 0.00
Wed 06/03 23Z 0.39 3107 47 39 12 0.00
Thu 06/04 00Z 0.49 3008 48 42 12 0.00
Thu 06/04 01Z 0.62 2909 51 44 12 0.00
Thu 06/04 02Z 0.71 2710 55 45 12 0.00
Thu 06/04 03Z 0.74 2710 57 44 12 0.00
Thu 06/04 04Z 0.65 2710 58 42 12 0.00
Thu 06/04 05Z 0.43 2809 60 41 12 0.00
Thu 06/04 06Z 0.40 2809 57 40 12 0.00
Thu 06/04 07Z 0.40 2708 55 37 12 0.00
Thu 06/04 08Z 0.41 2708 55 34 12 0.00
Thu 06/04 09Z 0.44 2608 55 32 12 0.00
Thu 06/04 10Z 0.50 2610 53 27 12 0.00
Thu 06/04 11Z 0.58 2612 53 26 12 0.00
Thu 06/04 12Z 0.64 2713 54 25 11 0.00
Thu 06/04 13Z 0.66 2715 57 23 12 0.00
Thu 06/04 14Z 0.78 2814 58 22 12 0.00
Thu 06/04 15Z 1.72 2815 58 21 12 0.00
Thu 06/04 16Z 2.58 2613 56 20 12 0.00
Thu 06/04 17Z 3.76 2613 56 16 12 0.00
Thu 06/04 18Z 7.41 2612 56 19 12 0.00
Thu 06/04 19Z 8.73 2614 51 19 13 0.00
Thu 06/04 20Z 7.98 2614 51 21 13 0.00
Thu 06/04 21Z 6.09 2615 53 23 13 0.00
Thu 06/04 22Z 3.13 2716 51 23 13 0.00
Thu 06/04 23Z 1.82 2817 53 21 13 0.00
Fri 06/05 00Z 1.77 2819 55 18 12 0.00
Fri 06/05 01Z 1.59 2821 58 17 12 0.00
Fri 06/05 02Z 1.39 2823 57 12 12 0.00
Fri 06/05 03Z 1.14 2923 60 8 12 0.00
Fri 06/05 04Z 1.01 2924 64 5 11 0.00
Fri 06/05 05Z 0.92 3023 68 4 11 0.00
Fri 06/05 06Z 0.91 3022 70 6 11 0.00
Fri 06/05 07Z 0.83 3022 65 7 11 0.00
Fri 06/05 08Z 0.74 3021 63 7 11 0.00
Fri 06/05 09Z 0.66 3020 64 8 11 0.00
Fri 06/05 10Z 0.61 3018 63 9 11 0.00
Fri 06/05 11Z 0.54 3016 61 10 11 0.00
Fri 06/05 12Z 0.47 3014 57 12 11 0.00
Fri 06/05 13Z 0.42 2912 56 15 11 0.00
Fri 06/05 14Z 0.50 2910 56 16 11 0.00
Fri 06/05 15Z 0.51 2909 55 18 11 0.00
Fri 06/05 16Z 1.13 2909 57 18 11 0.00
Fri 06/05 17Z 2.41 2810 59 17 12 0.00
Fri 06/05 18Z 3.65 2809 61 14 12 0.00
Fri 06/05 19Z 4.11 2708 64 9 12 0.00
Fri 06/05 20Z 4.08 2708 66 9 13 0.00
Fri 06/05 21Z 3.62 2708 68 21 13 0.00
Fri 06/05 22Z 1.70 2609 72 40 13 0.00
Fri 06/05 23Z 0.87 2610 73 42 12 0.00
Sat 06/06 00Z 0.95 2611 74 43 12 0.00
Sat 06/06 01Z 0.98 2613 72 45 13 0.00
Sat 06/06 02Z 1.20 2614 72 46 12 0.00
Sat 06/06 03Z 1.97 2617 75 46 12 0.00
Sat 06/06 04Z 1.30 2517 79 36 12 0.00
Sat 06/06 05Z 0.98 2518 81 38 12 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.00 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1