Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260711_1200
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sat 07/11 12Z 0.16 3309 71 29 11 0.00
Sat 07/11 13Z 0.19 3310 70 33 11 0.00
Sat 07/11 14Z 0.19 3408 69 34 11 0.00
Sat 07/11 15Z 0.42 3408 68 31 11 0.00
Sat 07/11 16Z 0.88 3309 68 32 11 0.00
Sat 07/11 17Z 1.34 3309 66 29 11 0.00
Sat 07/11 18Z 1.05 3409 62 25 11 0.00
Sat 07/11 19Z 0.79 3409 60 21 12 0.00
Sat 07/11 20Z 0.53 3509 59 17 12 0.00
Sat 07/11 21Z 0.26 3509 60 12 12 0.00
Sat 07/11 22Z 0.21 0009 61 10 12 0.00
Sat 07/11 23Z 0.25 0110 62 10 11 0.00
Sun 07/12 00Z 0.38 0110 65 10 11 0.00
Sun 07/12 01Z 0.46 0211 66 11 11 0.00
Sun 07/12 02Z 0.63 0312 68 10 11 0.00
Sun 07/12 03Z 0.72 0411 67 10 10 0.00
Sun 07/12 04Z 0.76 0411 67 11 10 0.00
Sun 07/12 05Z 0.71 0410 66 12 10 0.00
Sun 07/12 06Z 0.61 0410 66 11 10 0.00
Sun 07/12 07Z 0.49 0409 65 10 10 0.00
Sun 07/12 08Z 0.36 0408 66 9 10 0.00
Sun 07/12 09Z 0.31 0407 66 9 10 0.00
Sun 07/12 10Z 0.27 0306 67 8 9 0.00
Sun 07/12 11Z 0.28 0307 67 8 9 0.00
Sun 07/12 12Z 0.25 0306 67 8 9 0.00
Sun 07/12 13Z 0.32 0205 69 7 9 0.00
Sun 07/12 14Z 0.75 0204 72 7 9 0.00
Sun 07/12 15Z 0.43 3502 73 8 10 0.00
Sun 07/12 16Z 0.49 3402 74 7 10 0.00
Sun 07/12 17Z 0.46 3402 75 7 10 0.00
Sun 07/12 18Z 0.70 3103 77 7 11 0.00
Sun 07/12 19Z 0.90 3103 78 10 11 0.00
Sun 07/12 20Z 0.78 3103 77 9 11 0.00
Sun 07/12 21Z 0.69 3003 75 8 11 0.00
Sun 07/12 22Z 0.36 2803 72 9 12 0.00
Sun 07/12 23Z 0.19 2502 66 5 12 0.00
Mon 07/13 00Z 0.13 2203 63 4 12 0.00
Mon 07/13 01Z 0.25 2205 64 4 12 0.00
Mon 07/13 02Z 0.46 2406 67 5 11 0.00
Mon 07/13 03Z 0.53 2308 70 7 11 0.00
Mon 07/13 04Z 0.61 2310 72 8 11 0.00
Mon 07/13 05Z 0.71 2411 72 9 11 0.00
Mon 07/13 06Z 0.92 2514 74 12 11 0.00
Mon 07/13 07Z 0.91 2515 74 15 11 0.00
Mon 07/13 08Z 0.97 2517 72 20 11 0.00
Mon 07/13 09Z 0.98 2517 68 24 11 0.00
Mon 07/13 10Z 0.86 2618 66 33 12 0.00
Mon 07/13 11Z 0.73 2617 65 38 12 0.00
Mon 07/13 12Z 0.64 2616 63 39 12 0.00
Mon 07/13 13Z 0.56 2615 62 43 13 0.00
Mon 07/13 14Z 0.59 2516 59 50 13 0.00
Mon 07/13 15Z 0.61 2615 55 56 13 0.00
Mon 07/13 16Z 0.65 2614 58 67 13 0.00
Mon 07/13 17Z 0.80 2614 69 78 13 0.00
Mon 07/13 18Z 0.74 2615 74 87 14 0.00
Mon 07/13 19Z 1.49 2516 78 79 14 0.00
Mon 07/13 20Z 1.54 2517 85 79 13 0.01
Mon 07/13 21Z 1.05 2619 86 73 14 0.02
Mon 07/13 22Z 1.14 2720 86 71 14 0.01
Mon 07/13 23Z 1.25 2820 85 68 14 0.01
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.05 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1