Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260819_0000
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Wed 08/19 00Z 0.17 3105 79 29 12 0.00
Wed 08/19 01Z 0.17 3005 73 30 13 0.00
Wed 08/19 02Z 0.21 3106 70 29 12 0.00
Wed 08/19 03Z 0.22 3105 73 34 12 0.00
Wed 08/19 04Z 0.20 3105 76 33 12 0.00
Wed 08/19 05Z 0.24 3106 78 29 12 0.00
Wed 08/19 06Z 0.23 3106 79 15 12 0.00
Wed 08/19 07Z 0.18 3004 79 6 11 0.00
Wed 08/19 08Z 0.20 2804 80 6 11 0.00
Wed 08/19 09Z 0.18 2704 80 8 11 0.00
Wed 08/19 10Z 0.21 2504 80 13 11 0.00
Wed 08/19 11Z 0.24 2505 81 17 11 0.00
Wed 08/19 12Z 0.26 2307 82 25 11 0.00
Wed 08/19 13Z 0.26 2208 81 36 11 0.00
Wed 08/19 14Z 0.34 2209 81 56 11 0.00
Wed 08/19 15Z 0.39 2109 76 54 12 0.00
Wed 08/19 16Z 0.74 2211 72 54 12 0.00
Wed 08/19 17Z 0.63 2312 68 65 12 0.00
Wed 08/19 18Z 0.87 2313 64 81 13 0.00
Wed 08/19 19Z 0.94 2414 68 92 13 0.00
Wed 08/19 20Z 0.79 2315 78 88 13 0.00
Wed 08/19 21Z 0.96 2316 85 83 13 0.00
Wed 08/19 22Z 0.93 2318 85 74 13 0.00
Wed 08/19 23Z 0.90 2421 92 54 13 0.05
Thu 08/20 00Z 1.00 2621 91 50 13 0.03
Thu 08/20 01Z 0.83 2619 92 40 13 0.01
Thu 08/20 02Z 0.68 2618 88 22 13 0.01
Thu 08/20 03Z 0.59 2717 82 24 13 0.01
Thu 08/20 04Z 0.59 2718 81 21 12 0.01
Thu 08/20 05Z 0.56 2817 83 30 12 0.01
Thu 08/20 06Z 0.51 2817 88 13 11 0.01
Thu 08/20 07Z 0.48 2916 87 16 11 0.01
Thu 08/20 08Z 0.45 2916 86 11 10 0.00
Thu 08/20 09Z 0.42 3015 81 8 10 0.00
Thu 08/20 10Z 0.42 3015 80 8 10 0.00
Thu 08/20 11Z 0.39 3013 79 7 10 0.00
Thu 08/20 12Z 0.38 3012 76 8 10 0.00
Thu 08/20 13Z 0.31 3010 73 11 10 0.00
Thu 08/20 14Z 0.32 3009 72 24 10 0.00
Thu 08/20 15Z 0.35 2906 72 17 9 0.00
Thu 08/20 16Z 0.69 2705 69 38 10 0.00
Thu 08/20 17Z 0.73 2705 65 23 10 0.00
Thu 08/20 18Z 0.41 2705 63 31 10 0.00
Thu 08/20 19Z 0.42 2606 63 24 11 0.00
Thu 08/20 20Z 0.39 2606 65 25 11 0.00
Thu 08/20 21Z 0.36 2606 67 36 11 0.00
Thu 08/20 22Z 0.29 2606 68 33 11 0.00
Thu 08/20 23Z 0.29 2606 71 37 10 0.00
Fri 08/21 00Z 0.29 2606 74 27 10 0.00
Fri 08/21 01Z 0.25 2704 76 24 10 0.00
Fri 08/21 02Z 0.21 2804 77 24 10 0.00
Fri 08/21 03Z 0.16 3003 77 25 10 0.00
Fri 08/21 04Z 0.10 3203 78 28 9 0.00
Fri 08/21 05Z 0.10 3302 80 27 9 0.00
Fri 08/21 06Z 0.10 3402 81 27 9 0.00
Fri 08/21 07Z 0.08 0002 83 28 9 0.00
Fri 08/21 08Z 0.06 0002 83 25 9 0.00
Fri 08/21 09Z 0.05 0003 80 20 9 0.00
Fri 08/21 10Z 0.06 0003 78 17 9 0.00
Fri 08/21 11Z 0.08 0204 76 19 9 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.15 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1