Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20261028_1800
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Wed 10/28 18Z 0.24 2511 39 80 6 0.00
Wed 10/28 19Z 0.22 2510 37 86 7 0.00
Wed 10/28 20Z 0.23 2510 38 88 7 0.00
Wed 10/28 21Z 0.24 2412 41 82 7 0.00
Wed 10/28 22Z 0.28 2414 45 84 8 0.00
Wed 10/28 23Z 0.32 2514 51 84 8 0.00
Thu 10/29 00Z 0.35 2515 56 87 8 0.00
Thu 10/29 01Z 0.36 2516 60 83 8 0.00
Thu 10/29 02Z 0.40 2517 64 84 8 0.00
Thu 10/29 03Z 0.43 2517 68 69 8 0.00
Thu 10/29 04Z 0.44 2518 70 59 8 0.00
Thu 10/29 05Z 0.43 2418 73 48 8 0.00
Thu 10/29 06Z 0.43 2419 77 35 8 0.00
Thu 10/29 07Z 0.43 2419 79 25 8 0.00
Thu 10/29 08Z 0.43 2420 84 22 8 0.00
Thu 10/29 09Z 0.44 2420 86 20 8 0.00
Thu 10/29 10Z 0.47 2421 88 23 7 0.01
Thu 10/29 11Z 0.49 2421 90 28 7 0.01
Thu 10/29 12Z 0.54 2422 92 33 7 0.01
Thu 10/29 13Z 0.57 2422 91 40 7 0.01
Thu 10/29 14Z 0.59 2423 91 44 7 0.01
Thu 10/29 15Z 0.60 2423 87 50 7 0.01
Thu 10/29 16Z 0.59 2423 87 63 8 0.00
Thu 10/29 17Z 0.61 2424 88 60 8 0.00
Thu 10/29 18Z 0.64 2425 86 57 8 0.00
Thu 10/29 19Z 0.70 2425 88 49 8 0.00
Thu 10/29 20Z 0.75 2427 89 46 8 0.00
Thu 10/29 21Z 0.78 2529 84 49 8 0.00
Thu 10/29 22Z 0.79 2531 79 67 9 0.00
Thu 10/29 23Z 0.76 2432 80 83 10 0.00
Fri 10/30 00Z 0.82 2434 82 89 9 0.00
Fri 10/30 01Z 0.87 2435 85 90 9 0.01
Fri 10/30 02Z 0.92 2536 90 93 9 0.02
Fri 10/30 03Z 0.96 2536 94 85 8 0.05
Fri 10/30 04Z 0.96 2535 97 77 8 0.06
Fri 10/30 05Z 0.99 2633 97 49 8 0.04
Fri 10/30 06Z 0.97 2731 95 31 7 0.03
Fri 10/30 07Z 0.97 2728 91 12 6 0.02
Fri 10/30 08Z 0.92 2727 86 12 6 0.02
Fri 10/30 09Z 0.91 2727 81 8 5 0.02
Fri 10/30 10Z 0.91 2727 80 7 5 0.01
Fri 10/30 11Z 0.84 2727 75 7 4 0.01
Fri 10/30 12Z 0.86 2827 76 6 3 0.01
Fri 10/30 13Z 0.81 2827 81 6 2 0.01
Fri 10/30 14Z 0.76 2925 85 10 2 0.02
Fri 10/30 15Z 0.82 2924 89 18 1 0.02
Fri 10/30 16Z 0.96 2923 92 18 0 0.01
Fri 10/30 17Z 1.11 2923 94 22 0 0.01
Fri 10/30 18Z 1.15 2923 94 24 0 0.02
Fri 10/30 19Z 1.18 2925 95 31 0 0.02
Fri 10/30 20Z 1.28 2926 96 35 -1 0.03
Fri 10/30 21Z 1.19 3027 96 38 -1 0.03
Fri 10/30 22Z 1.26 3030 97 40 -2 0.02
Fri 10/30 23Z 1.29 3032 97 37 -2 0.02
Sat 10/31 00Z 1.08 3133 98 32 -3 0.02
Sat 10/31 01Z 1.03 3134 97 33 -4 0.01
Sat 10/31 02Z 1.05 3233 97 36 -5 0.01
Sat 10/31 03Z 0.85 3231 96 36 -6 0.01
Sat 10/31 04Z 0.65 3230 93 26 -6 0.01
Sat 10/31 05Z 0.60 3231 90 16 -6 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.63 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1