Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260504_0000
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Mon 05/04 00Z 0.76 2914 61 64 0 0.00
Mon 05/04 01Z 0.91 2818 56 47 0 0.00
Mon 05/04 02Z 1.24 2821 54 46 0 0.00
Mon 05/04 03Z 1.11 2722 55 56 0 0.00
Mon 05/04 04Z 1.03 2723 59 71 0 0.00
Mon 05/04 05Z 1.20 2626 67 80 0 0.00
Mon 05/04 06Z 0.98 2626 79 87 0 0.00
Mon 05/04 07Z 0.91 2627 87 90 0 0.01
Mon 05/04 08Z 0.91 2728 92 87 0 0.01
Mon 05/04 09Z 0.95 2631 91 88 1 0.01
Mon 05/04 10Z 0.92 2631 86 83 1 0.01
Mon 05/04 11Z 0.95 2532 79 83 1 0.01
Mon 05/04 12Z 0.97 2532 72 78 2 0.00
Mon 05/04 13Z 1.08 2531 71 84 2 0.00
Mon 05/04 14Z 1.55 2530 75 88 1 0.00
Mon 05/04 15Z 3.18 2527 75 79 1 0.01
Mon 05/04 16Z 11.70 2424 75 78 2 0.01
Mon 05/04 17Z 11.92 2423 72 77 3 0.00
Mon 05/04 18Z 11.27 2423 71 81 3 0.00
Mon 05/04 19Z 11.31 2423 71 66 4 0.00
Mon 05/04 20Z 8.16 2423 74 39 4 0.00
Mon 05/04 21Z 6.75 2421 73 37 5 0.00
Mon 05/04 22Z 3.39 2422 74 50 5 0.00
Mon 05/04 23Z 1.25 2322 75 58 6 0.00
Tue 05/05 00Z 1.08 2425 77 71 6 0.01
Tue 05/05 01Z 0.96 2324 72 32 7 0.00
Tue 05/05 02Z 1.10 2329 71 15 7 0.00
Tue 05/05 03Z 1.06 2232 71 17 7 0.00
Tue 05/05 04Z 1.10 2236 73 14 7 0.00
Tue 05/05 05Z 1.05 2237 74 11 7 0.00
Tue 05/05 06Z 0.96 2236 73 8 7 0.00
Tue 05/05 07Z 0.93 2237 73 10 7 0.00
Tue 05/05 08Z 0.81 2234 75 15 7 0.00
Tue 05/05 09Z 0.75 2232 78 35 7 0.00
Tue 05/05 10Z 0.71 2231 79 52 8 0.00
Tue 05/05 11Z 0.74 2334 86 61 8 0.00
Tue 05/05 12Z 0.74 2332 88 74 8 0.00
Tue 05/05 13Z 0.83 2333 87 63 8 0.00
Tue 05/05 14Z 0.94 2332 82 64 9 0.00
Tue 05/05 15Z 1.14 2330 80 47 9 0.00
Tue 05/05 16Z 3.85 2229 76 46 9 0.00
Tue 05/05 17Z 6.77 2228 74 65 10 0.00
Tue 05/05 18Z 10.57 2129 73 71 11 0.00
Tue 05/05 19Z 11.30 2130 75 73 11 0.00
Tue 05/05 20Z 8.03 2132 73 72 11 0.00
Tue 05/05 21Z 2.63 2230 78 79 11 0.15
Tue 05/05 22Z 1.86 2332 82 75 11 0.14
Tue 05/05 23Z 0.90 2229 82 77 11 0.02
Wed 05/06 00Z 1.10 2426 87 86 9 0.29
Wed 05/06 01Z 0.73 2724 95 95 8 0.23
Wed 05/06 02Z 0.71 2624 97 95 7 0.08
Wed 05/06 03Z 0.80 2525 88 97 6 0.08
Wed 05/06 04Z 0.57 2521 81 91 6 0.05
Wed 05/06 05Z 0.49 2518 78 93 5 0.03
Wed 05/06 06Z 0.38 2316 83 89 5 0.05
Wed 05/06 07Z 0.34 2317 92 78 5 0.05
Wed 05/06 08Z 0.27 2217 93 86 6 0.03
Wed 05/06 09Z 0.25 2119 91 82 7 0.05
Wed 05/06 10Z 0.29 2120 97 86 7 0.01
Wed 05/06 11Z 0.25 2121 98 86 7 0.03
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 1.37 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1