Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260516_0600
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sat 05/16 06Z 0.43 2612 89 54 5 0.00
Sat 05/16 07Z 0.54 2615 87 34 5 0.00
Sat 05/16 08Z 0.56 2715 83 11 5 0.00
Sat 05/16 09Z 0.57 2716 76 3 5 0.00
Sat 05/16 10Z 0.60 2716 73 7 5 0.00
Sat 05/16 11Z 0.68 2718 72 18 5 0.00
Sat 05/16 12Z 0.74 2620 69 36 5 0.00
Sat 05/16 13Z 0.74 2620 64 74 5 0.00
Sat 05/16 14Z 0.77 2519 57 56 6 0.00
Sat 05/16 15Z 0.81 2418 54 48 6 0.00
Sat 05/16 16Z 0.85 2416 51 54 7 0.00
Sat 05/16 17Z 1.01 2314 50 39 8 0.00
Sat 05/16 18Z 1.33 2215 51 26 9 0.00
Sat 05/16 19Z 2.93 2216 58 28 9 0.00
Sat 05/16 20Z 3.72 2118 69 24 9 0.00
Sat 05/16 21Z 2.11 2120 75 15 9 0.00
Sat 05/16 22Z 0.93 2122 73 11 10 0.00
Sat 05/16 23Z 0.75 2126 75 11 10 0.00
Sun 05/17 00Z 0.79 2130 74 81 11 0.00
Sun 05/17 01Z 1.03 2236 84 88 10 0.03
Sun 05/17 02Z 1.12 2340 89 74 10 0.01
Sun 05/17 03Z 1.20 2439 94 75 10 0.03
Sun 05/17 04Z 1.20 2636 96 49 10 0.05
Sun 05/17 05Z 1.13 2733 98 20 9 0.03
Sun 05/17 06Z 1.05 2831 94 3 9 0.01
Sun 05/17 07Z 0.83 2931 77 4 9 0.01
Sun 05/17 08Z 0.81 2932 69 5 9 0.01
Sun 05/17 09Z 0.87 2934 66 8 8 0.00
Sun 05/17 10Z 0.85 2935 57 8 8 0.00
Sun 05/17 11Z 0.78 2934 58 31 8 0.00
Sun 05/17 12Z 0.76 3032 62 31 7 0.00
Sun 05/17 13Z 0.77 3030 62 62 7 0.00
Sun 05/17 14Z 0.96 3030 66 70 6 0.00
Sun 05/17 15Z 1.38 2928 73 66 6 0.00
Sun 05/17 16Z 2.78 2926 77 64 6 0.00
Sun 05/17 17Z 4.26 2925 80 56 5 0.00
Sun 05/17 18Z 4.36 2923 80 35 5 0.00
Sun 05/17 19Z 4.67 2922 80 32 5 0.00
Sun 05/17 20Z 4.10 2919 80 28 6 0.00
Sun 05/17 21Z 3.32 2918 82 26 6 0.00
Sun 05/17 22Z 1.02 3017 80 21 6 0.00
Sun 05/17 23Z 0.74 3017 79 18 6 0.00
Mon 05/18 00Z 0.64 3017 78 14 6 0.00
Mon 05/18 01Z 0.56 3118 76 11 6 0.00
Mon 05/18 02Z 0.45 3118 71 11 7 0.00
Mon 05/18 03Z 0.37 3016 66 12 7 0.00
Mon 05/18 04Z 0.32 3014 61 15 7 0.00
Mon 05/18 05Z 0.26 3012 57 22 8 0.00
Mon 05/18 06Z 0.23 2910 50 39 9 0.00
Mon 05/18 07Z 0.22 2810 46 23 9 0.00
Mon 05/18 08Z 0.23 2810 45 27 10 0.00
Mon 05/18 09Z 0.21 2809 43 28 10 0.00
Mon 05/18 10Z 0.17 2707 41 30 11 0.00
Mon 05/18 11Z 0.15 2507 37 30 12 0.00
Mon 05/18 12Z 0.20 2310 40 35 12 0.00
Mon 05/18 13Z 0.25 2313 53 42 12 0.00
Mon 05/18 14Z 0.27 2217 70 48 12 0.00
Mon 05/18 15Z 0.36 2221 82 55 12 0.00
Mon 05/18 16Z 0.43 2223 91 57 12 0.00
Mon 05/18 17Z 0.47 2321 91 43 13 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.18 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1