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Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260624_0600
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Wed 06/24 06Z 0.33 3315 80 57 9 0.00
Wed 06/24 07Z 0.35 3215 81 45 9 0.00
Wed 06/24 08Z 0.41 3217 85 41 9 0.00
Wed 06/24 09Z 0.43 3219 86 41 9 0.00
Wed 06/24 10Z 0.41 3218 85 38 9 0.00
Wed 06/24 11Z 0.43 3119 86 38 8 0.00
Wed 06/24 12Z 0.45 3119 88 37 8 0.00
Wed 06/24 13Z 0.51 3120 90 41 8 0.00
Wed 06/24 14Z 0.59 3119 90 47 7 0.00
Wed 06/24 15Z 0.78 3018 90 48 7 0.00
Wed 06/24 16Z 1.69 2918 92 47 7 0.00
Wed 06/24 17Z 1.61 2918 91 50 8 0.00
Wed 06/24 18Z 3.04 2916 88 49 8 0.00
Wed 06/24 19Z 6.54 2917 85 48 9 0.00
Wed 06/24 20Z 7.23 2917 82 50 9 0.00
Wed 06/24 21Z 6.87 2920 79 52 9 0.00
Wed 06/24 22Z 4.17 2920 77 49 9 0.00
Wed 06/24 23Z 3.09 2921 75 48 9 0.00
Thu 06/25 00Z 2.57 2921 75 45 9 0.00
Thu 06/25 01Z 1.89 2922 79 44 9 0.00
Thu 06/25 02Z 1.27 2921 81 40 9 0.00
Thu 06/25 03Z 1.09 2921 80 37 9 0.00
Thu 06/25 04Z 0.93 3022 78 35 9 0.00
Thu 06/25 05Z 0.80 3020 75 30 9 0.00
Thu 06/25 06Z 0.69 3019 74 27 9 0.00
Thu 06/25 07Z 0.59 3116 73 17 9 0.00
Thu 06/25 08Z 0.55 3014 72 11 9 0.00
Thu 06/25 09Z 0.50 3012 72 12 9 0.00
Thu 06/25 10Z 0.46 2910 71 19 9 0.00
Thu 06/25 11Z 0.40 2808 71 19 9 0.00
Thu 06/25 12Z 0.36 2707 72 20 9 0.00
Thu 06/25 13Z 0.35 2606 73 27 9 0.00
Thu 06/25 14Z 0.52 2506 75 27 9 0.00
Thu 06/25 15Z 1.25 2406 76 23 9 0.00
Thu 06/25 16Z 1.75 2405 75 27 9 0.00
Thu 06/25 17Z 1.59 2306 74 35 10 0.00
Thu 06/25 18Z 1.84 2208 73 46 10 0.00
Thu 06/25 19Z 1.66 2209 71 52 10 0.00
Thu 06/25 20Z 0.69 2210 68 57 10 0.00
Thu 06/25 21Z 0.50 2210 64 55 10 0.00
Thu 06/25 22Z 0.28 2109 59 63 11 0.00
Thu 06/25 23Z 0.27 2009 57 79 11 0.00
Fri 06/26 00Z 0.22 1910 62 92 10 0.00
Fri 06/26 01Z 0.12 1712 68 95 10 0.00
Fri 06/26 02Z 0.11 1715 75 99 10 0.01
Fri 06/26 03Z 0.13 1618 86 98 10 0.04
Fri 06/26 04Z 0.15 1722 91 96 10 0.14
Fri 06/26 05Z 0.26 1924 95 92 11 0.13
Fri 06/26 06Z 0.30 1926 97 94 11 0.12
Fri 06/26 07Z 0.52 2130 97 89 11 0.18
Fri 06/26 08Z 0.57 2227 93 85 11 0.06
Fri 06/26 09Z 0.64 2326 95 78 11 0.05
Fri 06/26 10Z 0.58 2323 96 51 11 0.02
Fri 06/26 11Z 0.56 2421 93 39 11 0.01
Fri 06/26 12Z 0.55 2420 92 35 11 0.01
Fri 06/26 13Z 0.53 2518 91 36 11 0.01
Fri 06/26 14Z 0.53 2517 91 46 11 0.01
Fri 06/26 15Z 0.52 2415 90 56 11 0.00
Fri 06/26 16Z 0.55 2414 88 64 11 0.00
Fri 06/26 17Z 0.65 2314 89 57 11 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.79 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1