Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260820_1800
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Thu 08/20 18Z 0.95 2705 84 42 11 0.00
Thu 08/20 19Z 0.91 2806 85 46 11 0.01
Thu 08/20 20Z 0.49 2907 83 47 11 0.02
Thu 08/20 21Z 0.33 3008 79 43 11 0.03
Thu 08/20 22Z 0.19 3208 75 49 11 0.01
Thu 08/20 23Z 0.16 3307 73 54 11 0.00
Fri 08/21 00Z 0.13 3506 70 41 11 0.00
Fri 08/21 01Z 0.15 0008 67 30 11 0.00
Fri 08/21 02Z 0.13 0009 65 27 10 0.01
Fri 08/21 03Z 0.09 0009 63 26 10 0.01
Fri 08/21 04Z 0.08 0009 59 29 10 0.00
Fri 08/21 05Z 0.09 0109 57 28 10 0.00
Fri 08/21 06Z 0.12 0110 56 23 10 0.00
Fri 08/21 07Z 0.17 0210 56 27 10 0.00
Fri 08/21 08Z 0.19 0309 57 29 10 0.00
Fri 08/21 09Z 0.21 0409 58 29 10 0.00
Fri 08/21 10Z 0.24 0409 59 31 10 0.00
Fri 08/21 11Z 0.25 0509 60 32 10 0.00
Fri 08/21 12Z 0.24 0508 61 31 10 0.00
Fri 08/21 13Z 0.26 0508 63 25 10 0.00
Fri 08/21 14Z 0.29 0608 67 22 9 0.00
Fri 08/21 15Z 0.44 0507 71 19 9 0.00
Fri 08/21 16Z 1.03 0506 73 15 9 0.00
Fri 08/21 17Z 1.55 0505 74 12 9 0.00
Fri 08/21 18Z 1.59 0604 74 10 9 0.00
Fri 08/21 19Z 1.35 0503 74 8 10 0.00
Fri 08/21 20Z 1.03 0602 75 7 10 0.00
Fri 08/21 21Z 0.69 0603 75 6 10 0.00
Fri 08/21 22Z 0.37 0603 76 5 10 0.00
Fri 08/21 23Z 0.33 0603 76 5 10 0.00
Sat 08/22 00Z 0.41 0705 77 8 10 0.00
Sat 08/22 01Z 0.50 0807 78 9 10 0.00
Sat 08/22 02Z 0.46 0908 78 11 10 0.00
Sat 08/22 03Z 0.37 1007 78 14 10 0.00
Sat 08/22 04Z 0.35 1108 78 14 10 0.00
Sat 08/22 05Z 0.37 1109 77 16 10 0.00
Sat 08/22 06Z 0.34 1109 77 19 10 0.00
Sat 08/22 07Z 0.34 1109 78 23 10 0.00
Sat 08/22 08Z 0.34 1110 79 23 10 0.00
Sat 08/22 09Z 0.34 1110 78 26 10 0.00
Sat 08/22 10Z 0.36 1112 78 31 10 0.00
Sat 08/22 11Z 0.37 1113 80 37 10 0.00
Sat 08/22 12Z 0.39 1215 80 42 10 0.00
Sat 08/22 13Z 0.36 1214 82 45 11 0.00
Sat 08/22 14Z 0.34 1213 85 45 11 0.00
Sat 08/22 15Z 0.32 1212 87 49 11 0.01
Sat 08/22 16Z 0.36 1211 90 55 11 0.01
Sat 08/22 17Z 0.67 1211 93 54 11 0.01
Sat 08/22 18Z 0.63 1210 94 50 11 0.01
Sat 08/22 19Z 0.36 1211 95 42 11 0.01
Sat 08/22 20Z 0.31 1211 95 38 11 0.01
Sat 08/22 21Z 0.30 1212 95 31 12 0.00
Sat 08/22 22Z 0.30 1212 95 29 12 0.00
Sat 08/22 23Z 0.28 1212 95 34 12 0.01
Sun 08/23 00Z 0.28 1313 95 35 12 0.01
Sun 08/23 01Z 0.31 1214 95 35 12 0.01
Sun 08/23 02Z 0.30 1314 94 33 13 0.01
Sun 08/23 03Z 0.27 1313 94 29 13 0.01
Sun 08/23 04Z 0.23 1312 94 33 13 0.01
Sun 08/23 05Z 0.20 1411 94 43 13 0.01
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.22 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1