Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260806_1200
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Thu 08/06 12Z 0.27 2707 84 42 16 0.00
Thu 08/06 13Z 0.24 2606 84 53 16 0.00
Thu 08/06 14Z 0.19 2605 85 66 16 0.00
Thu 08/06 15Z 0.16 2503 86 85 16 0.00
Thu 08/06 16Z 0.14 2303 87 91 16 0.00
Thu 08/06 17Z 0.20 2304 84 90 16 0.01
Thu 08/06 18Z 0.23 2303 83 89 17 0.01
Thu 08/06 19Z 0.22 2302 82 89 17 0.00
Thu 08/06 20Z 0.27 2603 85 90 17 0.02
Thu 08/06 21Z 0.16 2403 82 84 17 0.03
Thu 08/06 22Z 0.08 2103 79 81 17 0.00
Thu 08/06 23Z 0.09 2103 79 81 17 0.00
Fri 08/07 00Z 0.14 2105 80 78 17 0.00
Fri 08/07 01Z 0.27 2307 81 80 17 0.00
Fri 08/07 02Z 0.25 2307 80 74 17 0.00
Fri 08/07 03Z 0.26 2307 82 75 17 0.00
Fri 08/07 04Z 0.31 2409 89 74 17 0.00
Fri 08/07 05Z 0.30 2409 92 69 17 0.00
Fri 08/07 06Z 0.29 2608 93 71 17 0.01
Fri 08/07 07Z 0.21 2706 94 74 16 0.01
Fri 08/07 08Z 0.27 2909 96 78 16 0.14
Fri 08/07 09Z 0.22 3109 94 67 16 0.09
Fri 08/07 10Z 0.19 3108 90 66 16 0.02
Fri 08/07 11Z 0.18 3108 89 70 16 0.00
Fri 08/07 12Z 0.14 3106 85 65 16 0.00
Fri 08/07 13Z 0.13 3005 83 63 16 0.00
Fri 08/07 14Z 0.16 2905 79 66 16 0.00
Fri 08/07 15Z 0.17 2905 76 58 16 0.00
Fri 08/07 16Z 0.20 2905 78 56 16 0.00
Fri 08/07 17Z 0.27 2805 79 51 16 0.00
Fri 08/07 18Z 0.32 2805 79 44 16 0.00
Fri 08/07 19Z 0.35 2806 81 37 16 0.00
Fri 08/07 20Z 0.33 2806 82 29 16 0.00
Fri 08/07 21Z 0.29 2806 84 22 16 0.00
Fri 08/07 22Z 0.25 2806 84 12 17 0.00
Fri 08/07 23Z 0.23 2806 83 17 17 0.00
Sat 08/08 00Z 0.23 2806 84 29 17 0.00
Sat 08/08 01Z 0.19 2705 83 36 17 0.00
Sat 08/08 02Z 0.24 2607 83 42 17 0.00
Sat 08/08 03Z 0.24 2607 82 44 17 0.00
Sat 08/08 04Z 0.21 2506 81 46 17 0.00
Sat 08/08 05Z 0.19 2406 79 61 17 0.00
Sat 08/08 06Z 0.16 2405 79 75 17 0.00
Sat 08/08 07Z 0.17 2306 81 81 17 0.00
Sat 08/08 08Z 0.18 2207 83 79 17 0.00
Sat 08/08 09Z 0.15 2207 83 75 16 0.00
Sat 08/08 10Z 0.13 2107 84 78 16 0.00
Sat 08/08 11Z 0.12 2007 85 75 16 0.00
Sat 08/08 12Z 0.12 2007 84 73 16 0.00
Sat 08/08 13Z 0.13 2008 86 74 16 0.00
Sat 08/08 14Z 0.18 2009 92 81 16 0.00
Sat 08/08 15Z 0.20 2010 91 85 16 0.06
Sat 08/08 16Z 0.10 1909 83 81 16 0.10
Sat 08/08 17Z 0.09 1911 80 79 16 0.01
Sat 08/08 18Z 0.20 1912 82 73 17 0.00
Sat 08/08 19Z 0.45 2013 85 70 16 0.00
Sat 08/08 20Z 0.79 2014 85 71 17 0.00
Sat 08/08 21Z 0.90 2114 83 79 17 0.00
Sat 08/08 22Z 0.66 2213 87 69 17 0.03
Sat 08/08 23Z 0.60 2318 90 73 16 0.07
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.61 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1