Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260909_1200
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Wed 09/09 12Z 0.27 2016 82 69 11 0.00
Wed 09/09 13Z 0.28 2019 80 66 12 0.00
Wed 09/09 14Z 0.30 2020 79 59 12 0.00
Wed 09/09 15Z 0.34 2120 78 51 12 0.00
Wed 09/09 16Z 0.34 2118 80 37 13 0.00
Wed 09/09 17Z 0.33 2119 87 37 13 0.00
Wed 09/09 18Z 0.30 2021 91 46 13 0.01
Wed 09/09 19Z 0.29 2024 91 42 13 0.01
Wed 09/09 20Z 0.32 2025 90 69 13 0.01
Wed 09/09 21Z 0.45 2027 91 91 13 0.01
Wed 09/09 22Z 0.49 2128 96 97 13 0.05
Wed 09/09 23Z 0.56 2130 97 98 13 0.09
Thu 09/10 00Z 0.68 2133 97 98 14 0.11
Thu 09/10 01Z 0.78 2234 97 94 14 0.15
Thu 09/10 02Z 0.81 2335 97 96 15 0.08
Thu 09/10 03Z 0.87 2241 98 94 16 0.17
Thu 09/10 04Z 0.94 2340 97 92 16 0.14
Thu 09/10 05Z 0.99 2340 97 92 16 0.13
Thu 09/10 06Z 1.06 2342 98 93 16 0.18
Thu 09/10 07Z 1.12 2538 98 89 15 0.23
Thu 09/10 08Z 1.09 2533 95 84 15 0.19
Thu 09/10 09Z 0.95 2728 91 70 14 0.13
Thu 09/10 10Z 0.95 2727 89 51 14 0.06
Thu 09/10 11Z 0.95 2727 85 30 13 0.02
Thu 09/10 12Z 1.07 2729 85 37 13 0.01
Thu 09/10 13Z 1.09 2731 76 22 12 0.01
Thu 09/10 14Z 1.09 2730 75 9 12 0.01
Thu 09/10 15Z 1.29 2728 74 8 11 0.01
Thu 09/10 16Z 2.35 2728 71 8 11 0.01
Thu 09/10 17Z 6.33 2727 70 9 10 0.00
Thu 09/10 18Z 12.25 2726 73 10 10 0.00
Thu 09/10 19Z 13.77 2727 71 10 10 0.01
Thu 09/10 20Z 13.01 2828 72 11 10 0.01
Thu 09/10 21Z 8.02 2827 75 10 9 0.01
Thu 09/10 22Z 2.97 2827 81 11 8 0.01
Thu 09/10 23Z 1.77 2927 88 8 7 0.01
Fri 09/11 00Z 1.36 2928 93 9 6 0.01
Fri 09/11 01Z 1.10 3028 94 8 5 0.01
Fri 09/11 02Z 1.00 3028 94 6 5 0.01
Fri 09/11 03Z 0.84 3028 91 5 4 0.01
Fri 09/11 04Z 0.81 3027 90 4 3 0.00
Fri 09/11 05Z 0.77 3027 88 3 3 0.00
Fri 09/11 06Z 0.68 3026 87 2 3 0.00
Fri 09/11 07Z 0.55 3025 85 2 4 0.00
Fri 09/11 08Z 0.50 3025 83 4 4 0.00
Fri 09/11 09Z 0.46 3025 79 3 5 0.00
Fri 09/11 10Z 0.45 3025 76 2 5 0.00
Fri 09/11 11Z 0.46 3025 76 2 5 0.00
Fri 09/11 12Z 0.48 3025 77 3 4 0.00
Fri 09/11 13Z 0.47 3025 73 3 5 0.00
Fri 09/11 14Z 0.45 3025 66 4 5 0.00
Fri 09/11 15Z 0.46 3024 61 4 6 0.00
Fri 09/11 16Z 0.50 3024 58 4 6 0.00
Fri 09/11 17Z 0.57 3022 56 5 6 0.00
Fri 09/11 18Z 0.71 3021 58 5 5 0.00
Fri 09/11 19Z 1.14 2919 57 5 5 0.00
Fri 09/11 20Z 1.46 2919 54 7 6 0.00
Fri 09/11 21Z 1.10 3018 51 10 6 0.00
Fri 09/11 22Z 0.88 2919 51 13 6 0.00
Fri 09/11 23Z 0.82 3020 51 18 7 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 1.91 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1