Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260318_0600
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Wed 03/18 06Z 1.79 2716 84 65 -19 0.00
Wed 03/18 07Z 5.03 2821 88 53 -19 0.00
Wed 03/18 08Z 4.80 2821 90 38 -19 0.00
Wed 03/18 09Z 2.76 2920 88 22 -20 0.00
Wed 03/18 10Z 1.29 2919 83 10 -20 0.00
Wed 03/18 11Z 0.85 2918 80 6 -20 0.00
Wed 03/18 12Z 0.69 3017 77 4 -20 0.00
Wed 03/18 13Z 0.67 3014 74 5 -20 0.00
Wed 03/18 14Z 0.93 2912 70 6 -19 0.00
Wed 03/18 15Z 1.32 2809 66 6 -19 0.00
Wed 03/18 16Z 1.81 2707 61 7 -18 0.00
Wed 03/18 17Z 1.52 2605 58 6 -17 0.00
Wed 03/18 18Z 1.13 2703 52 6 -16 0.00
Wed 03/18 19Z 1.05 2804 48 6 -15 0.00
Wed 03/18 20Z 0.86 2504 46 4 -14 0.00
Wed 03/18 21Z 0.54 2204 46 3 -14 0.00
Wed 03/18 22Z 0.19 2005 48 3 -14 0.00
Wed 03/18 23Z 0.08 1807 49 4 -13 0.00
Thu 03/19 00Z 0.07 1810 49 5 -13 0.00
Thu 03/19 01Z 0.05 1813 50 7 -13 0.00
Thu 03/19 02Z 0.13 1814 49 7 -13 0.00
Thu 03/19 03Z 0.26 1915 48 7 -12 0.00
Thu 03/19 04Z 0.32 2015 52 10 -12 0.00
Thu 03/19 05Z 0.41 2016 57 23 -12 0.00
Thu 03/19 06Z 0.50 2117 63 41 -12 0.00
Thu 03/19 07Z 0.48 2117 63 49 -12 0.00
Thu 03/19 08Z 0.46 2117 60 81 -11 0.00
Thu 03/19 09Z 0.42 2117 60 88 -11 0.00
Thu 03/19 10Z 0.37 2117 62 91 -11 0.00
Thu 03/19 11Z 0.32 2017 66 91 -11 0.00
Thu 03/19 12Z 0.30 2017 69 87 -11 0.00
Thu 03/19 13Z 0.26 2018 69 87 -11 0.00
Thu 03/19 14Z 0.27 1917 69 87 -10 0.00
Thu 03/19 15Z 0.49 1916 69 92 -10 0.00
Thu 03/19 16Z 0.69 1815 70 93 -10 0.00
Thu 03/19 17Z 0.99 1814 70 90 -9 0.00
Thu 03/19 18Z 0.95 1814 71 90 -9 0.00
Thu 03/19 19Z 0.86 1915 75 90 -8 0.00
Thu 03/19 20Z 0.44 1916 81 90 -8 0.00
Thu 03/19 21Z 0.29 1917 86 92 -7 0.00
Thu 03/19 22Z 0.31 2018 90 85 -7 0.01
Thu 03/19 23Z 0.41 2119 93 72 -7 0.00
Fri 03/20 00Z 0.48 2120 96 52 -7 0.01
Fri 03/20 01Z 0.54 2220 97 43 -7 0.01
Fri 03/20 02Z 0.60 2319 98 27 -7 0.01
Fri 03/20 03Z 0.72 2519 98 20 -7 0.01
Fri 03/20 04Z 0.73 2616 96 12 -7 0.01
Fri 03/20 05Z 0.70 2616 98 8 -7 0.01
Fri 03/20 06Z 0.67 2615 98 6 -7 0.01
Fri 03/20 07Z 0.73 2716 97 7 -8 0.01
Fri 03/20 08Z 0.68 2715 96 13 -8 0.01
Fri 03/20 09Z 0.63 2715 95 12 -8 0.00
Fri 03/20 10Z 0.61 2714 91 15 -8 0.00
Fri 03/20 11Z 0.39 2712 79 24 -6 0.00
Fri 03/20 12Z 0.32 2712 71 21 -5 0.00
Fri 03/20 13Z 0.24 2610 62 25 -4 0.00
Fri 03/20 14Z 0.18 2408 54 34 -3 0.00
Fri 03/20 15Z 0.13 2208 47 43 -3 0.00
Fri 03/20 16Z 0.11 2010 43 72 -2 0.00
Fri 03/20 17Z 0.13 2013 43 56 -2 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.10 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1