Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260828_0000
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Fri 08/28 00Z 0.42 2121 92 79 13 0.00
Fri 08/28 01Z 0.49 2123 92 74 14 0.00
Fri 08/28 02Z 0.56 2224 92 74 13 0.01
Fri 08/28 03Z 0.62 2224 88 72 14 0.01
Fri 08/28 04Z 0.67 2422 90 63 13 0.01
Fri 08/28 05Z 0.66 2521 91 64 13 0.01
Fri 08/28 06Z 0.63 2520 89 56 13 0.01
Fri 08/28 07Z 0.56 2617 88 47 13 0.01
Fri 08/28 08Z 0.47 2614 88 47 13 0.00
Fri 08/28 09Z 0.40 2712 88 48 12 0.00
Fri 08/28 10Z 0.37 2811 89 52 12 0.00
Fri 08/28 11Z 0.34 2810 90 54 12 0.00
Fri 08/28 12Z 0.30 2809 89 51 12 0.01
Fri 08/28 13Z 0.28 2708 89 48 11 0.01
Fri 08/28 14Z 0.27 2707 90 38 11 0.01
Fri 08/28 15Z 0.30 2708 90 32 11 0.01
Fri 08/28 16Z 0.33 2709 90 32 11 0.01
Fri 08/28 17Z 0.35 2809 89 26 11 0.00
Fri 08/28 18Z 0.38 2809 90 27 11 0.00
Fri 08/28 19Z 0.42 2910 91 19 11 0.01
Fri 08/28 20Z 0.43 2910 89 29 11 0.01
Fri 08/28 21Z 0.32 2911 84 20 11 0.01
Fri 08/28 22Z 0.30 3011 80 22 11 0.00
Fri 08/28 23Z 0.30 3012 74 17 10 0.00
Sat 08/29 00Z 0.28 3013 70 15 10 0.00
Sat 08/29 01Z 0.26 3113 67 11 10 0.00
Sat 08/29 02Z 0.25 3114 65 7 9 0.00
Sat 08/29 03Z 0.25 3114 66 6 9 0.00
Sat 08/29 04Z 0.24 3215 65 7 9 0.00
Sat 08/29 05Z 0.24 3215 64 7 8 0.00
Sat 08/29 06Z 0.23 3215 63 8 8 0.00
Sat 08/29 07Z 0.22 3214 63 7 8 0.00
Sat 08/29 08Z 0.19 3212 61 9 9 0.00
Sat 08/29 09Z 0.20 3212 59 12 9 0.00
Sat 08/29 10Z 0.20 3213 55 12 9 0.00
Sat 08/29 11Z 0.20 3213 53 11 9 0.00
Sat 08/29 12Z 0.20 3112 53 11 9 0.00
Sat 08/29 13Z 0.19 3111 55 11 8 0.00
Sat 08/29 14Z 0.19 3109 59 18 8 0.00
Sat 08/29 15Z 0.21 2907 62 24 8 0.00
Sat 08/29 16Z 0.23 2806 62 26 8 0.00
Sat 08/29 17Z 0.35 2807 61 25 8 0.00
Sat 08/29 18Z 0.45 2807 61 14 8 0.00
Sat 08/29 19Z 0.46 2808 66 13 9 0.00
Sat 08/29 20Z 0.53 2708 72 14 9 0.00
Sat 08/29 21Z 0.66 2709 79 12 9 0.00
Sat 08/29 22Z 0.71 2611 83 13 9 0.00
Sat 08/29 23Z 0.71 2613 85 7 9 0.00
Sun 08/30 00Z 0.81 2515 87 5 9 0.00
Sun 08/30 01Z 1.03 2618 89 7 9 0.00
Sun 08/30 02Z 1.16 2619 89 11 8 0.00
Sun 08/30 03Z 1.06 2720 85 16 9 0.00
Sun 08/30 04Z 1.03 2721 81 18 9 0.00
Sun 08/30 05Z 1.01 2822 87 26 9 0.00
Sun 08/30 06Z 0.92 2722 88 29 9 0.00
Sun 08/30 07Z 0.98 2723 89 28 9 0.01
Sun 08/30 08Z 0.96 2623 90 28 9 0.01
Sun 08/30 09Z 0.97 2623 89 27 9 0.01
Sun 08/30 10Z 1.00 2624 88 27 9 0.01
Sun 08/30 11Z 0.94 2624 87 23 9 0.01
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.19 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1