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Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260629_0600
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Mon 06/29 06Z 0.10 3505 69 69 13 0.00
Mon 06/29 07Z 0.15 3305 71 62 13 0.00
Mon 06/29 08Z 0.19 3206 73 61 13 0.00
Mon 06/29 09Z 0.23 3207 74 59 13 0.00
Mon 06/29 10Z 0.23 3208 75 54 13 0.00
Mon 06/29 11Z 0.21 3209 74 48 13 0.00
Mon 06/29 12Z 0.17 3309 73 36 13 0.00
Mon 06/29 13Z 0.14 3309 73 27 13 0.00
Mon 06/29 14Z 0.15 3409 74 25 13 0.00
Mon 06/29 15Z 0.23 3407 75 24 13 0.00
Mon 06/29 16Z 0.52 3307 74 27 13 0.00
Mon 06/29 17Z 0.57 3307 72 35 13 0.01
Mon 06/29 18Z 0.54 3307 68 33 13 0.01
Mon 06/29 19Z 0.76 3307 65 25 13 0.01
Mon 06/29 20Z 0.75 3306 61 17 14 0.00
Mon 06/29 21Z 0.54 3307 57 17 14 0.00
Mon 06/29 22Z 0.26 3306 54 17 14 0.00
Mon 06/29 23Z 0.22 3306 52 23 14 0.00
Tue 06/30 00Z 0.23 3206 51 16 14 0.00
Tue 06/30 01Z 0.35 3106 51 9 14 0.00
Tue 06/30 02Z 0.32 3005 53 13 14 0.00
Tue 06/30 03Z 0.43 2705 57 12 14 0.00
Tue 06/30 04Z 0.44 2605 61 16 14 0.00
Tue 06/30 05Z 0.52 2407 63 12 14 0.00
Tue 06/30 06Z 0.65 2409 63 9 14 0.00
Tue 06/30 07Z 0.78 2511 64 10 14 0.00
Tue 06/30 08Z 0.75 2512 62 14 14 0.00
Tue 06/30 09Z 0.75 2513 64 17 14 0.00
Tue 06/30 10Z 0.80 2613 65 22 13 0.00
Tue 06/30 11Z 0.67 2612 66 32 14 0.00
Tue 06/30 12Z 0.63 2512 69 40 14 0.00
Tue 06/30 13Z 0.58 2512 71 40 14 0.00
Tue 06/30 14Z 0.57 2412 73 54 14 0.00
Tue 06/30 15Z 0.63 2311 75 60 14 0.00
Tue 06/30 16Z 1.36 2311 77 71 14 0.00
Tue 06/30 17Z 1.40 2110 75 76 15 0.00
Tue 06/30 18Z 0.46 1916 73 87 15 0.00
Tue 06/30 19Z 0.90 2017 81 82 15 0.02
Tue 06/30 20Z 1.63 2119 88 84 15 0.02
Tue 06/30 21Z 0.69 2119 85 78 16 0.00
Tue 06/30 22Z 0.64 2221 89 61 16 0.00
Tue 06/30 23Z 0.69 2323 94 51 17 0.01
Wed 07/01 00Z 0.82 2326 95 45 17 0.01
Wed 07/01 01Z 0.84 2426 97 35 17 0.02
Wed 07/01 02Z 0.86 2527 98 36 17 0.03
Wed 07/01 03Z 0.91 2530 97 43 18 0.06
Wed 07/01 04Z 0.79 2630 87 49 19 0.08
Wed 07/01 05Z 0.83 2631 89 43 19 0.02
Wed 07/01 06Z 0.89 2732 91 36 19 0.02
Wed 07/01 07Z 0.83 2831 91 29 19 0.02
Wed 07/01 08Z 0.79 2830 92 19 19 0.03
Wed 07/01 09Z 0.69 2828 90 14 20 0.03
Wed 07/01 10Z 0.59 2825 83 20 20 0.03
Wed 07/01 11Z 0.50 2922 76 25 21 0.02
Wed 07/01 12Z 0.42 2920 67 25 22 0.02
Wed 07/01 13Z 0.36 2918 62 31 22 0.01
Wed 07/01 14Z 0.35 2816 61 33 22 0.01
Wed 07/01 15Z 0.38 2816 62 35 22 0.01
Wed 07/01 16Z 0.38 2815 63 39 22 0.00
Wed 07/01 17Z 0.35 2813 66 37 23 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.50 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1