Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260719_1200
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sun 07/19 12Z 0.65 3226 96 11 6 0.00
Sun 07/19 13Z 0.63 3226 95 7 6 0.01
Sun 07/19 14Z 0.74 3124 93 7 6 0.01
Sun 07/19 15Z 1.06 3123 90 7 6 0.01
Sun 07/19 16Z 4.59 3022 85 8 7 0.00
Sun 07/19 17Z 10.91 3022 80 9 7 0.00
Sun 07/19 18Z 12.00 3022 78 9 7 0.00
Sun 07/19 19Z 11.69 3023 76 9 7 0.00
Sun 07/19 20Z 11.71 3023 75 10 8 0.00
Sun 07/19 21Z 12.08 3023 73 10 8 0.00
Sun 07/19 22Z 11.01 3024 69 13 8 0.00
Sun 07/19 23Z 5.82 3025 68 16 8 0.00
Mon 07/20 00Z 2.68 3124 68 16 8 0.00
Mon 07/20 01Z 2.38 3024 71 16 8 0.00
Mon 07/20 02Z 2.34 3025 76 16 7 0.00
Mon 07/20 03Z 1.65 3125 80 15 7 0.00
Mon 07/20 04Z 1.27 3125 82 12 7 0.00
Mon 07/20 05Z 1.15 3124 83 13 7 0.00
Mon 07/20 06Z 0.98 3122 83 15 6 0.00
Mon 07/20 07Z 0.77 3121 83 18 6 0.00
Mon 07/20 08Z 0.64 3120 80 19 7 0.00
Mon 07/20 09Z 0.58 3119 80 26 7 0.00
Mon 07/20 10Z 0.58 3119 80 36 7 0.00
Mon 07/20 11Z 0.58 3119 76 36 7 0.00
Mon 07/20 12Z 0.53 3118 72 49 8 0.00
Mon 07/20 13Z 0.51 3016 71 57 8 0.00
Mon 07/20 14Z 0.57 3014 71 61 8 0.00
Mon 07/20 15Z 1.30 3012 72 51 8 0.00
Mon 07/20 16Z 2.71 3009 69 52 9 0.00
Mon 07/20 17Z 3.42 2807 68 49 9 0.00
Mon 07/20 18Z 3.50 2707 72 47 10 0.00
Mon 07/20 19Z 3.12 2507 75 45 10 0.00
Mon 07/20 20Z 2.83 2407 76 44 10 0.00
Mon 07/20 21Z 2.50 2309 77 38 11 0.00
Mon 07/20 22Z 1.63 2211 77 35 11 0.00
Mon 07/20 23Z 0.73 2213 75 34 11 0.00
Tue 07/21 00Z 0.60 2216 71 31 11 0.00
Tue 07/21 01Z 0.50 2116 67 29 12 0.00
Tue 07/21 02Z 0.51 2118 67 27 12 0.00
Tue 07/21 03Z 0.46 2118 68 26 12 0.00
Tue 07/21 04Z 0.51 2120 69 23 12 0.00
Tue 07/21 05Z 0.58 2221 70 18 12 0.00
Tue 07/21 06Z 0.63 2222 72 15 11 0.00
Tue 07/21 07Z 0.66 2224 70 14 11 0.00
Tue 07/21 08Z 0.67 2225 70 13 11 0.00
Tue 07/21 09Z 0.60 2224 67 14 11 0.00
Tue 07/21 10Z 0.51 2124 66 16 12 0.00
Tue 07/21 11Z 0.48 2124 77 14 12 0.00
Tue 07/21 12Z 0.41 2124 84 11 12 0.00
Tue 07/21 13Z 0.38 2026 91 11 12 0.00
Tue 07/21 14Z 0.33 2026 94 9 12 0.00
Tue 07/21 15Z 0.29 1925 94 19 12 0.00
Tue 07/21 16Z 0.22 1926 97 25 12 0.01
Tue 07/21 17Z 0.17 1827 97 20 13 0.01
Tue 07/21 18Z 0.12 1828 97 25 13 0.01
Tue 07/21 19Z 0.11 1829 97 41 13 0.01
Tue 07/21 20Z 0.05 1729 95 40 14 0.01
Tue 07/21 21Z 0.09 1731 95 35 14 0.02
Tue 07/21 22Z 0.06 1734 95 61 15 0.03
Tue 07/21 23Z 0.09 1833 97 78 14 0.11
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.24 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1