Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260715_1800
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Wed 07/15 18Z 5.67 3023 76 29 13 0.00
Wed 07/15 19Z 11.49 3025 71 30 13 0.00
Wed 07/15 20Z 14.23 2927 63 43 13 0.00
Wed 07/15 21Z 12.95 3027 61 43 13 0.01
Wed 07/15 22Z 5.16 3028 61 41 13 0.03
Wed 07/15 23Z 1.86 3027 63 36 13 0.01
Thu 07/16 00Z 1.50 3027 65 33 13 0.00
Thu 07/16 01Z 1.62 3027 67 36 13 0.00
Thu 07/16 02Z 1.71 3127 68 41 13 0.00
Thu 07/16 03Z 1.96 3126 70 40 12 0.00
Thu 07/16 04Z 1.42 3125 70 44 12 0.00
Thu 07/16 05Z 1.14 3124 69 45 12 0.00
Thu 07/16 06Z 1.09 3024 69 42 12 0.00
Thu 07/16 07Z 0.93 3024 71 37 12 0.00
Thu 07/16 08Z 0.77 3124 71 40 12 0.00
Thu 07/16 09Z 0.68 3022 71 34 12 0.00
Thu 07/16 10Z 0.64 3021 70 40 12 0.00
Thu 07/16 11Z 0.62 2921 70 37 12 0.00
Thu 07/16 12Z 0.64 2921 71 39 11 0.00
Thu 07/16 13Z 0.71 2821 72 43 11 0.00
Thu 07/16 14Z 0.93 2821 72 43 11 0.00
Thu 07/16 15Z 2.37 2722 76 48 11 0.00
Thu 07/16 16Z 8.57 2723 79 55 11 0.00
Thu 07/16 17Z 6.92 2726 79 62 12 0.02
Thu 07/16 18Z 8.67 2725 74 41 12 0.00
Thu 07/16 19Z 10.81 2828 75 68 12 0.05
Thu 07/16 20Z 4.24 3029 76 65 11 0.07
Thu 07/16 21Z 0.71 3230 73 53 10 0.05
Thu 07/16 22Z 0.63 3230 73 28 10 0.03
Thu 07/16 23Z 0.74 3129 76 13 9 0.00
Fri 07/17 00Z 0.87 3128 77 10 8 0.00
Fri 07/17 01Z 1.41 3129 74 14 7 0.00
Fri 07/17 02Z 1.22 3132 68 18 7 0.00
Fri 07/17 03Z 1.42 3233 71 32 6 0.00
Fri 07/17 04Z 1.46 3233 74 35 6 0.00
Fri 07/17 05Z 1.48 3233 76 39 5 0.00
Fri 07/17 06Z 1.56 3233 77 47 5 0.00
Fri 07/17 07Z 1.37 3232 78 44 5 0.00
Fri 07/17 08Z 0.74 3230 77 33 5 0.00
Fri 07/17 09Z 0.51 3228 75 27 6 0.00
Fri 07/17 10Z 0.43 3227 74 22 6 0.00
Fri 07/17 11Z 0.38 3225 73 17 7 0.00
Fri 07/17 12Z 0.32 3223 67 16 7 0.00
Fri 07/17 13Z 0.31 3222 59 14 7 0.00
Fri 07/17 14Z 0.30 3320 53 13 8 0.00
Fri 07/17 15Z 0.29 3318 52 13 8 0.00
Fri 07/17 16Z 0.33 3316 54 13 8 0.00
Fri 07/17 17Z 0.53 3214 54 14 8 0.00
Fri 07/17 18Z 1.65 3113 53 17 8 0.00
Fri 07/17 19Z 2.49 3113 53 14 8 0.00
Fri 07/17 20Z 3.43 2912 57 11 9 0.00
Fri 07/17 21Z 2.90 2912 59 10 9 0.00
Fri 07/17 22Z 1.22 2812 60 7 9 0.00
Fri 07/17 23Z 0.84 2713 59 7 10 0.00
Sat 07/18 00Z 0.78 2714 58 7 10 0.00
Sat 07/18 01Z 0.77 2714 57 9 10 0.00
Sat 07/18 02Z 0.75 2714 54 11 10 0.00
Sat 07/18 03Z 0.66 2713 52 10 10 0.00
Sat 07/18 04Z 0.57 2612 50 10 11 0.00
Sat 07/18 05Z 0.53 2612 49 11 11 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.27 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1