Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260816_1800
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sun 08/16 18Z 0.34 1906 85 12 12 0.00
Sun 08/16 19Z 0.45 1907 85 13 12 0.00
Sun 08/16 20Z 0.31 1909 86 20 12 0.01
Sun 08/16 21Z 0.24 1911 84 20 13 0.00
Sun 08/16 22Z 0.14 1812 84 25 13 0.00
Sun 08/16 23Z 0.10 1814 90 73 13 0.00
Mon 08/17 00Z 0.18 1918 94 85 13 0.02
Mon 08/17 01Z 0.33 2022 96 92 13 0.03
Mon 08/17 02Z 0.42 2026 97 91 13 0.03
Mon 08/17 03Z 0.46 2129 98 85 13 0.03
Mon 08/17 04Z 0.49 2128 98 84 13 0.03
Mon 08/17 05Z 0.50 2129 98 86 13 0.02
Mon 08/17 06Z 0.48 2129 98 89 13 0.02
Mon 08/17 07Z 0.47 2228 97 90 14 0.02
Mon 08/17 08Z 0.50 2228 97 92 14 0.01
Mon 08/17 09Z 0.47 2225 98 92 14 0.02
Mon 08/17 10Z 0.43 2223 98 93 14 0.02
Mon 08/17 11Z 0.43 2321 98 93 14 0.02
Mon 08/17 12Z 0.41 2319 98 91 14 0.02
Mon 08/17 13Z 0.36 2316 98 91 14 0.02
Mon 08/17 14Z 0.31 2313 98 89 14 0.02
Mon 08/17 15Z 0.24 2310 98 89 15 0.01
Mon 08/17 16Z 0.23 2309 98 92 15 0.02
Mon 08/17 17Z 0.25 2309 98 91 14 0.02
Mon 08/17 18Z 0.22 2507 98 85 14 0.01
Mon 08/17 19Z 0.18 2605 98 81 15 0.01
Mon 08/17 20Z 0.16 2804 97 68 15 0.00
Mon 08/17 21Z 0.15 3005 97 64 14 0.00
Mon 08/17 22Z 0.11 3205 96 42 15 0.00
Mon 08/17 23Z 0.11 3206 94 25 15 0.00
Tue 08/18 00Z 0.08 3307 94 25 14 0.00
Tue 08/18 01Z 0.07 3408 95 26 14 0.01
Tue 08/18 02Z 0.05 3509 94 17 14 0.01
Tue 08/18 03Z 0.05 3508 94 13 14 0.01
Tue 08/18 04Z 0.05 0008 94 24 13 0.01
Tue 08/18 05Z 0.06 0008 94 19 13 0.01
Tue 08/18 06Z 0.06 0008 93 9 13 0.01
Tue 08/18 07Z 0.05 0008 91 5 13 0.00
Tue 08/18 08Z 0.04 0007 88 4 13 0.00
Tue 08/18 09Z 0.04 3507 85 2 13 0.00
Tue 08/18 10Z 0.03 3506 83 2 13 0.00
Tue 08/18 11Z 0.03 3506 81 2 13 0.00
Tue 08/18 12Z 0.03 3506 79 2 13 0.00
Tue 08/18 13Z 0.02 0005 77 2 13 0.00
Tue 08/18 14Z 0.02 3504 78 2 12 0.00
Tue 08/18 15Z 0.03 3403 78 2 12 0.00
Tue 08/18 16Z 0.07 3203 80 2 12 0.00
Tue 08/18 17Z 0.06 3303 79 2 12 0.00
Tue 08/18 18Z 0.06 3203 79 2 12 0.00
Tue 08/18 19Z 0.12 3104 78 3 12 0.00
Tue 08/18 20Z 0.15 3005 75 3 12 0.00
Tue 08/18 21Z 0.19 3006 73 3 12 0.00
Tue 08/18 22Z 0.23 3007 72 3 12 0.00
Tue 08/18 23Z 0.20 3007 73 4 12 0.00
Wed 08/19 00Z 0.20 3107 77 4 12 0.00
Wed 08/19 01Z 0.20 3108 80 4 12 0.00
Wed 08/19 02Z 0.16 3007 81 5 12 0.00
Wed 08/19 03Z 0.17 2907 81 6 12 0.00
Wed 08/19 04Z 0.19 2907 80 8 12 0.00
Wed 08/19 05Z 0.20 2908 79 10 12 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.47 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1