Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260908_0600
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Tue 09/08 06Z 0.34 3316 80 53 10 0.00
Tue 09/08 07Z 0.39 3217 81 56 10 0.00
Tue 09/08 08Z 0.39 3216 82 62 10 0.00
Tue 09/08 09Z 0.44 3116 82 66 10 0.00
Tue 09/08 10Z 0.50 3016 82 71 10 0.00
Tue 09/08 11Z 0.58 2917 84 74 10 0.00
Tue 09/08 12Z 0.56 3017 87 77 9 0.01
Tue 09/08 13Z 0.51 3016 90 84 9 0.04
Tue 09/08 14Z 0.40 3115 90 83 9 0.01
Tue 09/08 15Z 0.33 3113 89 68 9 0.00
Tue 09/08 16Z 0.32 3112 89 63 9 0.00
Tue 09/08 17Z 0.32 3112 90 64 9 0.01
Tue 09/08 18Z 0.28 3211 90 53 9 0.00
Tue 09/08 19Z 0.23 3210 90 48 10 0.00
Tue 09/08 20Z 0.20 3210 88 39 10 0.00
Tue 09/08 21Z 0.13 3208 84 30 10 0.00
Tue 09/08 22Z 0.15 3207 81 23 10 0.00
Tue 09/08 23Z 0.12 3206 77 30 11 0.00
Wed 09/09 00Z 0.09 3104 72 23 11 0.00
Wed 09/09 01Z 0.08 3003 69 14 11 0.00
Wed 09/09 02Z 0.08 2602 69 6 11 0.00
Wed 09/09 03Z 0.09 2303 70 5 11 0.00
Wed 09/09 04Z 0.09 2205 72 5 11 0.00
Wed 09/09 05Z 0.13 2207 76 4 11 0.00
Wed 09/09 06Z 0.15 2108 81 5 11 0.00
Wed 09/09 07Z 0.18 2111 87 7 11 0.01
Wed 09/09 08Z 0.23 2113 90 17 11 0.01
Wed 09/09 09Z 0.22 2213 88 57 12 0.01
Wed 09/09 10Z 0.24 2213 88 63 12 0.01
Wed 09/09 11Z 0.34 2315 93 55 11 0.01
Wed 09/09 12Z 0.33 2314 91 61 11 0.01
Wed 09/09 13Z 0.36 2216 92 65 11 0.00
Wed 09/09 14Z 0.42 2220 90 66 12 0.00
Wed 09/09 15Z 0.35 2119 81 59 13 0.00
Wed 09/09 16Z 0.44 2222 77 52 12 0.00
Wed 09/09 17Z 0.45 2122 80 58 12 0.01
Wed 09/09 18Z 0.37 2023 82 55 12 0.01
Wed 09/09 19Z 0.42 2126 94 67 12 0.01
Wed 09/09 20Z 0.46 2127 92 90 13 0.05
Wed 09/09 21Z 0.45 2030 94 91 13 0.06
Wed 09/09 22Z 0.49 2035 97 92 14 0.08
Wed 09/09 23Z 0.65 2138 97 91 14 0.06
Thu 09/10 00Z 0.76 2238 97 91 15 0.03
Thu 09/10 01Z 0.86 2239 97 86 15 0.03
Thu 09/10 02Z 0.91 2339 97 81 15 0.04
Thu 09/10 03Z 0.94 2338 96 74 15 0.06
Thu 09/10 04Z 0.95 2339 96 73 15 0.03
Thu 09/10 05Z 0.95 2338 97 80 15 0.06
Thu 09/10 06Z 0.97 2338 97 87 15 0.09
Thu 09/10 07Z 0.95 2437 98 92 15 0.14
Thu 09/10 08Z 0.99 2534 97 81 15 0.12
Thu 09/10 09Z 0.98 2632 94 49 14 0.07
Thu 09/10 10Z 1.00 2729 89 38 14 0.03
Thu 09/10 11Z 1.03 2728 86 28 13 0.02
Thu 09/10 12Z 1.13 2729 87 29 12 0.01
Thu 09/10 13Z 1.23 2729 88 27 11 0.01
Thu 09/10 14Z 1.21 2728 87 25 11 0.01
Thu 09/10 15Z 1.49 2726 84 22 10 0.01
Thu 09/10 16Z 4.46 2724 81 14 9 0.00
Thu 09/10 17Z 9.79 2723 77 11 9 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 1.17 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1