Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260722_0000
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Wed 07/22 00Z 0.23 1626 95 78 14 0.00
Wed 07/22 01Z 0.23 1631 92 86 15 0.01
Wed 07/22 02Z 0.10 1730 90 90 15 0.02
Wed 07/22 03Z 0.07 1830 93 90 15 0.04
Wed 07/22 04Z 0.16 1926 93 84 15 0.03
Wed 07/22 05Z 0.30 2025 96 83 15 0.10
Wed 07/22 06Z 0.45 2124 96 74 14 0.02
Wed 07/22 07Z 0.64 2325 96 81 14 0.01
Wed 07/22 08Z 0.70 2423 98 83 14 0.03
Wed 07/22 09Z 0.66 2420 96 74 13 0.02
Wed 07/22 10Z 0.59 2418 95 70 13 0.01
Wed 07/22 11Z 0.53 2418 93 70 14 0.01
Wed 07/22 12Z 0.52 2418 90 76 14 0.01
Wed 07/22 13Z 0.57 2419 89 85 14 0.01
Wed 07/22 14Z 0.65 2420 90 82 13 0.03
Wed 07/22 15Z 1.05 2421 87 68 13 0.01
Wed 07/22 16Z 1.36 2421 93 55 13 0.01
Wed 07/22 17Z 1.57 2524 90 49 12 0.08
Wed 07/22 18Z 4.93 2523 80 23 11 0.01
Wed 07/22 19Z 7.44 2522 78 5 10 0.00
Wed 07/22 20Z 10.64 2621 82 18 9 0.00
Wed 07/22 21Z 8.07 2622 85 28 9 0.00
Wed 07/22 22Z 3.87 2622 86 36 8 0.00
Wed 07/22 23Z 1.76 2722 85 38 8 0.00
Thu 07/23 00Z 1.29 2624 91 39 7 0.00
Thu 07/23 01Z 1.16 2725 92 40 7 0.01
Thu 07/23 02Z 1.08 2826 94 38 7 0.00
Thu 07/23 03Z 1.05 2927 93 35 6 0.00
Thu 07/23 04Z 0.91 2926 93 31 6 0.00
Thu 07/23 05Z 0.89 2926 93 30 5 0.00
Thu 07/23 06Z 0.83 3026 92 30 5 0.00
Thu 07/23 07Z 0.76 3025 87 29 5 0.00
Thu 07/23 08Z 0.70 3126 82 26 5 0.00
Thu 07/23 09Z 0.62 3124 74 32 5 0.00
Thu 07/23 10Z 0.61 3122 71 29 5 0.00
Thu 07/23 11Z 0.70 3020 74 21 5 0.00
Thu 07/23 12Z 0.81 2920 76 29 5 0.00
Thu 07/23 13Z 1.06 2820 80 37 5 0.00
Thu 07/23 14Z 1.45 2819 80 45 5 0.00
Thu 07/23 15Z 3.25 2818 81 59 5 0.00
Thu 07/23 16Z 6.16 2715 82 60 6 0.00
Thu 07/23 17Z 6.49 2714 81 41 6 0.00
Thu 07/23 18Z 6.95 2714 78 33 7 0.00
Thu 07/23 19Z 7.58 2714 73 21 8 0.00
Thu 07/23 20Z 7.54 2713 71 14 8 0.00
Thu 07/23 21Z 7.07 2712 71 13 8 0.00
Thu 07/23 22Z 4.35 2711 73 20 9 0.00
Thu 07/23 23Z 1.90 2710 73 23 9 0.00
Fri 07/24 00Z 1.38 2611 72 26 9 0.00
Fri 07/24 01Z 1.37 2611 72 25 9 0.00
Fri 07/24 02Z 1.66 2712 73 25 9 0.00
Fri 07/24 03Z 1.17 2711 72 26 9 0.00
Fri 07/24 04Z 0.87 2711 72 23 9 0.00
Fri 07/24 05Z 0.68 2810 71 23 9 0.00
Fri 07/24 06Z 0.58 2809 71 22 9 0.00
Fri 07/24 07Z 0.48 2707 70 21 9 0.00
Fri 07/24 08Z 0.41 2606 70 21 9 0.00
Fri 07/24 09Z 0.37 2506 69 22 9 0.00
Fri 07/24 10Z 0.34 2406 69 21 9 0.00
Fri 07/24 11Z 0.34 2406 70 18 8 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.47 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1