Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260911_1800
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Fri 09/11 18Z 0.77 3012 83 11 6 0.00
Fri 09/11 19Z 0.61 3014 77 15 7 0.00
Fri 09/11 20Z 0.56 3015 74 19 8 0.00
Fri 09/11 21Z 0.51 3015 71 21 8 0.00
Fri 09/11 22Z 0.45 3016 64 21 8 0.00
Fri 09/11 23Z 0.43 3117 61 21 9 0.00
Sat 09/12 00Z 0.38 3116 59 21 9 0.00
Sat 09/12 01Z 0.34 3117 57 24 9 0.00
Sat 09/12 02Z 0.26 3215 55 29 10 0.00
Sat 09/12 03Z 0.20 3213 52 33 10 0.00
Sat 09/12 04Z 0.15 3211 49 34 11 0.00
Sat 09/12 05Z 0.12 3208 46 34 11 0.00
Sat 09/12 06Z 0.09 3206 43 35 11 0.00
Sat 09/12 07Z 0.08 3004 41 36 11 0.00
Sat 09/12 08Z 0.07 3003 38 36 12 0.00
Sat 09/12 09Z 0.08 2903 37 36 12 0.00
Sat 09/12 10Z 0.05 2802 37 35 12 0.00
Sat 09/12 11Z 0.02 2102 36 33 12 0.00
Sat 09/12 12Z 0.01 1804 36 31 12 0.00
Sat 09/12 13Z 0.02 1806 36 29 12 0.00
Sat 09/12 14Z 0.05 1909 38 27 12 0.00
Sat 09/12 15Z 0.11 2010 42 25 12 0.00
Sat 09/12 16Z 0.15 2011 49 23 12 0.00
Sat 09/12 17Z 0.14 2011 52 20 12 0.00
Sat 09/12 18Z 0.14 2011 56 18 12 0.00
Sat 09/12 19Z 0.15 1912 60 15 12 0.00
Sat 09/12 20Z 0.18 1914 63 11 12 0.00
Sat 09/12 21Z 0.23 2016 65 5 12 0.00
Sat 09/12 22Z 0.25 2018 61 5 12 0.00
Sat 09/12 23Z 0.27 2019 59 9 12 0.00
Sun 09/13 00Z 0.34 2120 63 17 13 0.00
Sun 09/13 01Z 0.35 2120 69 15 13 0.00
Sun 09/13 02Z 0.38 2221 76 20 13 0.00
Sun 09/13 03Z 0.37 2220 77 33 13 0.00
Sun 09/13 04Z 0.37 2221 81 45 13 0.00
Sun 09/13 05Z 0.40 2222 87 61 13 0.00
Sun 09/13 06Z 0.37 2223 93 81 13 0.03
Sun 09/13 07Z 0.39 2224 95 89 13 0.09
Sun 09/13 08Z 0.41 2223 95 88 14 0.02
Sun 09/13 09Z 0.40 2223 95 85 14 0.02
Sun 09/13 10Z 0.41 2323 97 90 14 0.03
Sun 09/13 11Z 0.43 2322 97 73 14 0.04
Sun 09/13 12Z 0.42 2320 96 76 14 0.04
Sun 09/13 13Z 0.40 2319 96 78 14 0.05
Sun 09/13 14Z 0.41 2320 97 73 14 0.07
Sun 09/13 15Z 0.44 2320 98 64 13 0.13
Sun 09/13 16Z 0.43 2220 96 49 13 0.04
Sun 09/13 17Z 0.42 2219 96 42 13 0.01
Sun 09/13 18Z 0.37 2217 95 44 14 0.01
Sun 09/13 19Z 0.36 2215 95 52 14 0.01
Sun 09/13 20Z 0.40 2314 92 54 14 0.00
Sun 09/13 21Z 0.44 2414 91 43 14 0.00
Sun 09/13 22Z 0.57 2516 93 26 13 0.00
Sun 09/13 23Z 0.71 2619 94 25 13 0.01
Mon 09/14 00Z 0.66 2720 86 30 13 0.02
Mon 09/14 01Z 0.78 2722 91 38 12 0.04
Mon 09/14 02Z 0.72 2822 82 45 12 0.03
Mon 09/14 03Z 0.84 2823 76 38 11 0.01
Mon 09/14 04Z 0.73 2922 78 47 10 0.00
Mon 09/14 05Z 0.74 2922 85 49 9 0.01
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.71 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1