Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260407_0600
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Tue 04/07 06Z 0.52 2708 83 68 -9 0.00
Tue 04/07 07Z 0.45 2707 80 66 -9 0.00
Tue 04/07 08Z 0.31 2406 79 63 -8 0.00
Tue 04/07 09Z 0.20 2106 80 66 -8 0.00
Tue 04/07 10Z 0.18 2107 85 73 -8 0.00
Tue 04/07 11Z 0.08 1907 87 78 -7 0.00
Tue 04/07 12Z 0.04 1708 90 81 -7 0.01
Tue 04/07 13Z 0.04 1710 92 87 -7 0.03
Tue 04/07 14Z 0.07 1712 94 85 -8 0.04
Tue 04/07 15Z 0.16 1911 96 88 -7 0.03
Tue 04/07 16Z 0.32 2109 98 78 -7 0.03
Tue 04/07 17Z 1.11 2409 97 83 -7 0.04
Tue 04/07 18Z 1.21 2610 97 81 -7 0.03
Tue 04/07 19Z 1.51 2713 96 74 -8 0.02
Tue 04/07 20Z 0.72 3123 95 71 -9 0.04
Tue 04/07 21Z 0.45 3227 91 80 -10 0.03
Tue 04/07 22Z 0.54 3229 90 62 -11 0.01
Tue 04/07 23Z 0.68 3128 91 29 -12 0.00
Wed 04/08 00Z 0.83 3127 90 11 -12 0.00
Wed 04/08 01Z 1.33 3127 79 21 -13 0.00
Wed 04/08 02Z 1.08 3127 66 26 -13 0.00
Wed 04/08 03Z 0.77 3126 60 23 -13 0.00
Wed 04/08 04Z 0.60 3124 53 21 -13 0.00
Wed 04/08 05Z 0.48 3122 48 22 -13 0.00
Wed 04/08 06Z 0.41 3121 47 24 -12 0.00
Wed 04/08 07Z 0.37 3119 47 22 -12 0.00
Wed 04/08 08Z 0.34 3119 46 20 -12 0.00
Wed 04/08 09Z 0.31 3118 44 22 -11 0.00
Wed 04/08 10Z 0.27 3117 42 20 -10 0.00
Wed 04/08 11Z 0.25 3115 40 16 -10 0.00
Wed 04/08 12Z 0.23 3113 38 14 -9 0.00
Wed 04/08 13Z 0.21 3011 37 11 -8 0.00
Wed 04/08 14Z 0.21 2909 35 8 -8 0.00
Wed 04/08 15Z 0.23 2809 33 5 -7 0.00
Wed 04/08 16Z 0.23 2808 29 4 -7 0.00
Wed 04/08 17Z 0.24 2707 26 4 -6 0.00
Wed 04/08 18Z 0.28 2707 24 4 -5 0.00
Wed 04/08 19Z 0.35 2506 22 5 -5 0.00
Wed 04/08 20Z 0.37 2405 22 6 -5 0.00
Wed 04/08 21Z 0.36 2306 23 6 -4 0.00
Wed 04/08 22Z 0.26 2208 22 7 -4 0.00
Wed 04/08 23Z 0.23 2110 21 8 -3 0.00
Thu 04/09 00Z 0.24 2113 20 7 -2 0.00
Thu 04/09 01Z 0.27 2116 17 7 -1 0.00
Thu 04/09 02Z 0.30 2118 16 8 0 0.00
Thu 04/09 03Z 0.32 2120 18 9 0 0.00
Thu 04/09 04Z 0.32 2221 21 20 0 0.00
Thu 04/09 05Z 0.31 2122 22 39 1 0.00
Thu 04/09 06Z 0.31 2123 24 53 1 0.00
Thu 04/09 07Z 0.31 2124 20 62 2 0.00
Thu 04/09 08Z 0.33 2125 15 66 2 0.00
Thu 04/09 09Z 0.34 2126 12 59 3 0.00
Thu 04/09 10Z 0.36 2128 9 53 3 0.00
Thu 04/09 11Z 0.39 2129 7 50 3 0.00
Thu 04/09 12Z 0.39 2131 6 50 3 0.00
Thu 04/09 13Z 0.39 2131 6 55 4 0.00
Thu 04/09 14Z 0.38 2131 6 56 4 0.00
Thu 04/09 15Z 0.38 2131 6 43 4 0.00
Thu 04/09 16Z 0.39 2130 7 38 4 0.00
Thu 04/09 17Z 0.41 2129 10 37 4 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.31 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1