Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260422_0000
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Wed 04/22 00Z 0.33 2010 57 69 -4 0.00
Wed 04/22 01Z 0.33 2013 52 79 -3 0.00
Wed 04/22 02Z 0.36 2114 48 75 -3 0.00
Wed 04/22 03Z 0.44 2116 45 71 -3 0.00
Wed 04/22 04Z 0.53 2218 43 85 -2 0.00
Wed 04/22 05Z 0.62 2219 42 93 -2 0.00
Wed 04/22 06Z 0.86 2219 53 94 -3 0.00
Wed 04/22 07Z 0.49 2217 56 94 -2 0.00
Wed 04/22 08Z 0.34 2215 65 96 -2 0.00
Wed 04/22 09Z 0.26 2213 77 97 -1 0.00
Wed 04/22 10Z 0.17 2110 82 98 -1 0.00
Wed 04/22 11Z 0.10 2009 86 98 -1 0.00
Wed 04/22 12Z 0.06 1909 89 96 -1 0.00
Wed 04/22 13Z 0.04 1811 92 95 -1 0.00
Wed 04/22 14Z 0.04 1812 94 89 -1 0.00
Wed 04/22 15Z 0.11 1914 96 89 -1 0.01
Wed 04/22 16Z 0.13 1915 96 69 -1 0.01
Wed 04/22 17Z 0.16 2015 96 58 -1 0.00
Wed 04/22 18Z 0.20 2015 96 50 -1 0.00
Wed 04/22 19Z 0.23 2014 97 42 -1 0.00
Wed 04/22 20Z 0.24 2113 97 38 0 0.01
Wed 04/22 21Z 0.22 2212 98 35 0 0.01
Wed 04/22 22Z 0.21 2210 98 33 0 0.01
Wed 04/22 23Z 0.22 2409 97 24 0 0.01
Thu 04/23 00Z 0.24 2609 96 14 0 0.00
Thu 04/23 01Z 0.25 2810 95 11 0 0.00
Thu 04/23 02Z 0.25 2809 94 27 0 0.00
Thu 04/23 03Z 0.27 2810 94 50 0 0.00
Thu 04/23 04Z 0.26 2910 92 67 0 0.00
Thu 04/23 05Z 0.26 2910 89 75 0 0.00
Thu 04/23 06Z 0.31 2811 86 83 0 0.00
Thu 04/23 07Z 0.45 2715 90 88 0 0.00
Thu 04/23 08Z 0.59 2821 92 88 0 0.04
Thu 04/23 09Z 0.66 2923 94 71 0 0.03
Thu 04/23 10Z 0.64 3024 96 71 0 0.04
Thu 04/23 11Z 0.58 3124 97 43 -1 0.03
Thu 04/23 12Z 0.51 3223 96 20 -1 0.02
Thu 04/23 13Z 0.48 3223 96 13 -2 0.01
Thu 04/23 14Z 0.53 3223 97 17 -3 0.01
Thu 04/23 15Z 0.68 3223 94 19 -4 0.01
Thu 04/23 16Z 0.96 3222 90 15 -4 0.00
Thu 04/23 17Z 1.21 3221 85 15 -3 0.00
Thu 04/23 18Z 2.79 3220 77 17 -3 0.00
Thu 04/23 19Z 3.87 3220 67 11 -2 0.00
Thu 04/23 20Z 4.69 3220 63 9 -2 0.00
Thu 04/23 21Z 4.46 3219 62 8 -2 0.00
Thu 04/23 22Z 2.84 3319 61 6 -2 0.00
Thu 04/23 23Z 1.02 3319 61 7 -2 0.00
Fri 04/24 00Z 0.48 3419 63 6 -2 0.00
Fri 04/24 01Z 0.29 3419 65 3 -2 0.00
Fri 04/24 02Z 0.22 3417 66 2 -3 0.00
Fri 04/24 03Z 0.13 3515 67 2 -3 0.00
Fri 04/24 04Z 0.09 3514 69 1 -3 0.00
Fri 04/24 05Z 0.08 3513 72 1 -4 0.00
Fri 04/24 06Z 0.08 3512 74 2 -4 0.00
Fri 04/24 07Z 0.09 3412 74 3 -4 0.00
Fri 04/24 08Z 0.11 3412 74 4 -5 0.00
Fri 04/24 09Z 0.13 3413 74 6 -5 0.00
Fri 04/24 10Z 0.13 3414 74 7 -5 0.00
Fri 04/24 11Z 0.11 3414 74 7 -5 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.25 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1