Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20261009_0000
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Fri 10/09 00Z 1.33 2721 76 79 4 0.00
Fri 10/09 01Z 1.30 2722 81 82 3 0.00
Fri 10/09 02Z 1.18 2726 83 85 4 0.01
Fri 10/09 03Z 1.20 2828 84 62 3 0.00
Fri 10/09 04Z 1.20 2828 86 39 3 0.00
Fri 10/09 05Z 1.09 2826 87 29 2 0.00
Fri 10/09 06Z 0.98 2825 84 33 2 0.00
Fri 10/09 07Z 0.89 2724 82 37 2 0.00
Fri 10/09 08Z 0.91 2726 81 40 2 0.00
Fri 10/09 09Z 0.87 2725 80 39 2 0.00
Fri 10/09 10Z 0.88 2726 78 51 2 0.00
Fri 10/09 11Z 0.99 2728 85 51 2 0.01
Fri 10/09 12Z 1.14 2729 92 51 1 0.01
Fri 10/09 13Z 1.18 2729 92 46 1 0.02
Fri 10/09 14Z 1.04 2826 89 34 1 0.01
Fri 10/09 15Z 1.16 2824 90 31 0 0.00
Fri 10/09 16Z 1.75 2822 91 41 0 0.00
Fri 10/09 17Z 2.28 2822 88 66 0 0.01
Fri 10/09 18Z 2.71 2720 87 73 0 0.00
Fri 10/09 19Z 3.97 2720 85 65 1 0.00
Fri 10/09 20Z 3.02 2620 86 60 1 0.00
Fri 10/09 21Z 1.69 2622 82 58 1 0.01
Fri 10/09 22Z 1.78 2625 80 68 2 0.00
Fri 10/09 23Z 1.77 2629 88 72 2 0.04
Sat 10/10 00Z 1.67 2932 87 46 1 0.07
Sat 10/10 01Z 1.26 3031 82 43 0 0.02
Sat 10/10 02Z 1.05 3130 81 22 0 0.01
Sat 10/10 03Z 0.89 3129 79 16 0 0.01
Sat 10/10 04Z 0.76 3127 78 13 0 0.01
Sat 10/10 05Z 0.65 3127 75 14 -1 0.01
Sat 10/10 06Z 0.60 3127 75 13 -1 0.01
Sat 10/10 07Z 0.56 3126 73 12 -1 0.00
Sat 10/10 08Z 0.52 3125 72 11 -1 0.00
Sat 10/10 09Z 0.49 3125 68 11 -1 0.00
Sat 10/10 10Z 0.45 3125 65 8 -1 0.00
Sat 10/10 11Z 0.42 3125 60 6 -1 0.00
Sat 10/10 12Z 0.39 3125 54 5 0 0.00
Sat 10/10 13Z 0.34 3224 49 5 0 0.00
Sat 10/10 14Z 0.32 3223 46 5 0 0.00
Sat 10/10 15Z 0.28 3221 43 5 0 0.00
Sat 10/10 16Z 0.25 3219 42 7 0 0.00
Sat 10/10 17Z 0.25 3218 40 11 0 0.00
Sat 10/10 18Z 0.22 3317 37 16 1 0.00
Sat 10/10 19Z 0.23 3217 33 21 2 0.00
Sat 10/10 20Z 0.19 3315 30 28 2 0.00
Sat 10/10 21Z 0.18 3315 29 43 3 0.00
Sat 10/10 22Z 0.17 3213 27 54 3 0.00
Sat 10/10 23Z 0.14 3211 27 56 4 0.00
Sun 10/11 00Z 0.12 3208 25 62 5 0.00
Sun 10/11 01Z 0.13 3007 25 71 5 0.00
Sun 10/11 02Z 0.13 2906 24 66 6 0.00
Sun 10/11 03Z 0.14 2706 23 61 7 0.00
Sun 10/11 04Z 0.12 2605 22 52 7 0.00
Sun 10/11 05Z 0.12 2405 20 48 7 0.00
Sun 10/11 06Z 0.13 2307 20 45 8 0.00
Sun 10/11 07Z 0.15 2308 19 46 8 0.00
Sun 10/11 08Z 0.17 2210 20 44 8 0.00
Sun 10/11 09Z 0.19 2211 20 48 8 0.00
Sun 10/11 10Z 0.21 2213 18 56 9 0.00
Sun 10/11 11Z 0.24 2214 18 66 9 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.26 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1