Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260520_0000
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Wed 05/20 00Z 1.07 2617 74 38 16 0.00
Wed 05/20 01Z 1.14 2520 72 43 16 0.00
Wed 05/20 02Z 1.22 2525 69 50 16 0.00
Wed 05/20 03Z 1.35 2530 67 62 16 0.00
Wed 05/20 04Z 1.54 2533 71 80 16 0.00
Wed 05/20 05Z 1.66 2436 74 67 17 0.00
Wed 05/20 06Z 1.86 2540 80 70 16 0.01
Wed 05/20 07Z 1.49 2637 83 63 15 0.08
Wed 05/20 08Z 1.36 2637 84 80 15 0.00
Wed 05/20 09Z 1.28 2634 84 77 15 0.00
Wed 05/20 10Z 1.22 2631 89 68 15 0.00
Wed 05/20 11Z 1.08 2629 92 67 14 0.01
Wed 05/20 12Z 1.00 2628 93 64 14 0.01
Wed 05/20 13Z 1.02 2627 94 73 14 0.02
Wed 05/20 14Z 1.15 2627 96 77 13 0.04
Wed 05/20 15Z 1.35 2727 92 77 12 0.04
Wed 05/20 16Z 2.59 2724 88 63 11 0.01
Wed 05/20 17Z 7.17 2723 85 56 11 0.01
Wed 05/20 18Z 8.57 2823 82 48 11 0.01
Wed 05/20 19Z 8.54 2822 75 39 10 0.01
Wed 05/20 20Z 7.08 2922 74 34 10 0.01
Wed 05/20 21Z 6.08 2922 72 33 9 0.00
Wed 05/20 22Z 2.76 3023 76 31 8 0.00
Wed 05/20 23Z 1.12 3022 80 28 7 0.00
Thu 05/21 00Z 0.86 3024 80 25 6 0.00
Thu 05/21 01Z 0.76 3125 79 19 5 0.00
Thu 05/21 02Z 0.60 3124 75 13 4 0.00
Thu 05/21 03Z 0.50 3224 72 9 3 0.00
Thu 05/21 04Z 0.43 3225 65 7 3 0.00
Thu 05/21 05Z 0.37 3225 65 4 2 0.00
Thu 05/21 06Z 0.31 3325 61 4 1 0.00
Thu 05/21 07Z 0.28 3325 59 3 0 0.00
Thu 05/21 08Z 0.23 3325 58 3 0 0.00
Thu 05/21 09Z 0.18 3425 53 3 0 0.00
Thu 05/21 10Z 0.17 3426 49 3 0 0.00
Thu 05/21 11Z 0.17 3425 48 3 0 0.00
Thu 05/21 12Z 0.16 3422 48 3 0 0.00
Thu 05/21 13Z 0.16 3420 47 3 0 0.00
Thu 05/21 14Z 0.19 3318 47 3 -1 0.00
Thu 05/21 15Z 0.20 3317 47 3 -1 0.00
Thu 05/21 16Z 0.26 3316 46 3 0 0.00
Thu 05/21 17Z 0.36 3316 45 3 0 0.00
Thu 05/21 18Z 0.39 3316 45 3 0 0.00
Thu 05/21 19Z 0.36 3316 43 5 0 0.00
Thu 05/21 20Z 0.28 3416 40 6 0 0.00
Thu 05/21 21Z 0.24 3416 37 8 1 0.00
Thu 05/21 22Z 0.16 3416 35 8 1 0.00
Thu 05/21 23Z 0.15 3417 32 11 2 0.00
Fri 05/22 00Z 0.16 3418 30 11 2 0.00
Fri 05/22 01Z 0.15 3419 31 12 2 0.00
Fri 05/22 02Z 0.15 3418 33 11 2 0.00
Fri 05/22 03Z 0.16 3417 37 12 2 0.00
Fri 05/22 04Z 0.13 3417 39 11 2 0.00
Fri 05/22 05Z 0.13 3517 40 10 2 0.00
Fri 05/22 06Z 0.10 3516 40 9 2 0.00
Fri 05/22 07Z 0.13 0016 40 9 1 0.00
Fri 05/22 08Z 0.17 0015 40 7 1 0.00
Fri 05/22 09Z 0.21 3513 41 8 1 0.00
Fri 05/22 10Z 0.28 3412 44 9 1 0.00
Fri 05/22 11Z 0.30 3412 47 8 1 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.26 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1