Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260814_1800
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Fri 08/14 18Z 2.20 3310 82 58 9 0.00
Fri 08/14 19Z 1.88 3211 78 64 9 0.00
Fri 08/14 20Z 1.29 3211 77 68 10 0.00
Fri 08/14 21Z 1.19 3212 78 65 10 0.00
Fri 08/14 22Z 0.57 3211 80 56 10 0.00
Fri 08/14 23Z 0.44 3213 81 57 10 0.01
Sat 08/15 00Z 0.46 3216 81 53 9 0.01
Sat 08/15 01Z 0.35 3317 81 42 9 0.00
Sat 08/15 02Z 0.29 3417 83 33 9 0.00
Sat 08/15 03Z 0.23 3416 82 27 9 0.00
Sat 08/15 04Z 0.20 3415 83 23 8 0.00
Sat 08/15 05Z 0.14 3412 82 20 8 0.00
Sat 08/15 06Z 0.12 3410 81 16 8 0.00
Sat 08/15 07Z 0.20 3309 80 15 8 0.00
Sat 08/15 08Z 0.25 3210 78 12 8 0.00
Sat 08/15 09Z 0.34 3211 79 10 8 0.00
Sat 08/15 10Z 0.40 3113 80 10 7 0.00
Sat 08/15 11Z 0.43 3114 81 9 7 0.00
Sat 08/15 12Z 0.36 3215 83 10 7 0.00
Sat 08/15 13Z 0.29 3214 84 11 7 0.00
Sat 08/15 14Z 0.24 3313 83 12 7 0.00
Sat 08/15 15Z 0.23 3311 81 13 8 0.00
Sat 08/15 16Z 0.23 3210 80 14 8 0.00
Sat 08/15 17Z 0.28 3210 80 13 8 0.00
Sat 08/15 18Z 0.38 3211 78 12 8 0.00
Sat 08/15 19Z 0.55 3211 74 11 8 0.00
Sat 08/15 20Z 0.76 3311 73 10 8 0.00
Sat 08/15 21Z 0.32 3209 72 9 9 0.00
Sat 08/15 22Z 0.17 3309 68 9 9 0.00
Sat 08/15 23Z 0.10 3409 64 9 9 0.00
Sun 08/16 00Z 0.09 3409 61 10 9 0.00
Sun 08/16 01Z 0.08 3408 59 10 9 0.00
Sun 08/16 02Z 0.10 3308 59 10 9 0.00
Sun 08/16 03Z 0.09 3409 59 11 9 0.00
Sun 08/16 04Z 0.05 3407 59 12 10 0.00
Sun 08/16 05Z 0.03 3404 55 11 10 0.00
Sun 08/16 06Z 0.05 3204 55 10 10 0.00
Sun 08/16 07Z 0.03 3302 53 8 11 0.00
Sun 08/16 08Z 0.02 2900 51 9 11 0.00
Sun 08/16 09Z 0.03 2002 53 9 11 0.00
Sun 08/16 10Z 0.07 2104 56 10 10 0.00
Sun 08/16 11Z 0.06 2005 57 11 10 0.00
Sun 08/16 12Z 0.14 2108 65 10 9 0.00
Sun 08/16 13Z 0.19 2110 72 10 9 0.00
Sun 08/16 14Z 0.21 2112 75 10 9 0.00
Sun 08/16 15Z 0.26 2212 78 8 9 0.00
Sun 08/16 16Z 0.28 2211 81 6 10 0.00
Sun 08/16 17Z 0.24 2109 81 5 10 0.00
Sun 08/16 18Z 0.22 2009 81 6 10 0.00
Sun 08/16 19Z 0.16 1910 83 6 11 0.00
Sun 08/16 20Z 0.17 1911 86 16 11 0.00
Sun 08/16 21Z 0.15 1912 87 23 11 0.00
Sun 08/16 22Z 0.13 1914 89 30 11 0.00
Sun 08/16 23Z 0.21 1917 90 41 11 0.00
Mon 08/17 00Z 0.27 2019 93 50 12 0.00
Mon 08/17 01Z 0.26 2021 94 86 12 0.01
Mon 08/17 02Z 0.30 2025 96 81 12 0.02
Mon 08/17 03Z 0.38 2027 98 81 13 0.04
Mon 08/17 04Z 0.46 2127 97 89 13 0.03
Mon 08/17 05Z 0.48 2129 97 91 13 0.02
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.14 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1