Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260505_1800
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Tue 05/05 18Z 7.29 2125 59 76 12 0.00
Tue 05/05 19Z 10.20 2128 59 80 12 0.00
Tue 05/05 20Z 7.87 2127 64 93 12 0.00
Tue 05/05 21Z 2.94 2329 79 96 10 0.09
Tue 05/05 22Z 1.80 2428 78 96 10 0.16
Tue 05/05 23Z 0.93 2533 84 84 9 0.24
Wed 05/06 00Z 0.87 2428 87 68 9 0.01
Wed 05/06 01Z 0.79 2424 91 91 8 0.01
Wed 05/06 02Z 0.81 2522 97 95 7 0.07
Wed 05/06 03Z 0.74 2620 97 99 6 0.07
Wed 05/06 04Z 0.73 2718 95 98 5 0.09
Wed 05/06 05Z 0.62 2717 94 95 4 0.09
Wed 05/06 06Z 0.52 2617 89 94 4 0.04
Wed 05/06 07Z 0.43 2615 90 78 4 0.02
Wed 05/06 08Z 0.36 2514 91 84 4 0.02
Wed 05/06 09Z 0.28 2412 85 76 5 0.01
Wed 05/06 10Z 0.19 2210 81 84 5 0.00
Wed 05/06 11Z 0.14 2011 84 87 5 0.00
Wed 05/06 12Z 0.11 2011 91 86 5 0.01
Wed 05/06 13Z 0.06 1813 96 89 6 0.05
Wed 05/06 14Z 0.12 1916 98 95 6 0.07
Wed 05/06 15Z 0.12 1916 99 97 6 0.10
Wed 05/06 16Z 0.11 1817 98 98 7 0.11
Wed 05/06 17Z 0.15 1820 99 98 7 0.10
Wed 05/06 18Z 0.23 1919 99 99 7 0.20
Wed 05/06 19Z 0.28 2117 99 99 7 0.22
Wed 05/06 20Z 0.27 2116 99 99 6 0.11
Wed 05/06 21Z 0.19 2111 99 99 6 0.09
Wed 05/06 22Z 0.15 2506 98 98 5 0.09
Wed 05/06 23Z 0.13 3008 95 99 5 0.08
Thu 05/07 00Z 0.12 3208 93 98 4 0.04
Thu 05/07 01Z 0.12 3209 91 97 3 0.02
Thu 05/07 02Z 0.15 3211 90 96 3 0.01
Thu 05/07 03Z 0.14 3210 87 92 2 0.01
Thu 05/07 04Z 0.19 3112 87 94 2 0.00
Thu 05/07 05Z 0.24 3112 89 76 1 0.01
Thu 05/07 06Z 0.29 3014 87 63 0 0.00
Thu 05/07 07Z 0.35 3015 90 36 0 0.00
Thu 05/07 08Z 0.39 3016 91 23 0 0.00
Thu 05/07 09Z 0.50 2917 92 27 -1 0.00
Thu 05/07 10Z 0.59 2919 89 13 -1 0.00
Thu 05/07 11Z 0.63 2820 82 15 -1 0.00
Thu 05/07 12Z 0.55 2817 71 12 -2 0.00
Thu 05/07 13Z 0.55 2816 63 16 -2 0.00
Thu 05/07 14Z 0.59 2814 65 18 -2 0.00
Thu 05/07 15Z 2.22 2814 74 19 -2 0.00
Thu 05/07 16Z 7.88 2813 76 19 -2 0.00
Thu 05/07 17Z 9.76 2814 73 20 -1 0.00
Thu 05/07 18Z 9.67 2814 70 21 -1 0.00
Thu 05/07 19Z 9.99 2814 68 21 0 0.00
Thu 05/07 20Z 9.57 2814 66 20 0 0.00
Thu 05/07 21Z 8.77 2813 64 21 0 0.00
Thu 05/07 22Z 7.86 2813 64 22 0 0.00
Thu 05/07 23Z 4.59 2913 63 24 0 0.00
Fri 05/08 00Z 1.77 2915 65 22 0 0.00
Fri 05/08 01Z 1.84 2916 72 20 -1 0.00
Fri 05/08 02Z 1.37 2917 77 19 -2 0.00
Fri 05/08 03Z 1.16 2917 78 20 -2 0.00
Fri 05/08 04Z 0.99 2918 80 20 -2 0.00
Fri 05/08 05Z 0.81 2917 81 25 -2 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 2.24 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1