Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260525_1800
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Mon 05/25 18Z 0.48 2914 97 14 9 0.00
Mon 05/25 19Z 0.54 2916 98 1 9 0.01
Mon 05/25 20Z 0.69 2819 97 4 8 0.02
Mon 05/25 21Z 0.81 2821 95 5 9 0.02
Mon 05/25 22Z 0.72 2922 88 10 9 0.01
Mon 05/25 23Z 0.59 3021 79 5 9 0.01
Tue 05/26 00Z 0.56 3022 75 4 9 0.01
Tue 05/26 01Z 0.55 3123 68 3 9 0.00
Tue 05/26 02Z 0.53 3124 66 4 9 0.00
Tue 05/26 03Z 0.48 3222 66 5 9 0.00
Tue 05/26 04Z 0.44 3221 66 7 9 0.00
Tue 05/26 05Z 0.54 3120 73 11 9 0.00
Tue 05/26 06Z 0.65 3121 79 9 9 0.01
Tue 05/26 07Z 0.63 3022 82 16 9 0.00
Tue 05/26 08Z 0.63 3023 85 13 9 0.00
Tue 05/26 09Z 0.59 3022 83 15 9 0.01
Tue 05/26 10Z 0.54 3022 87 15 10 0.01
Tue 05/26 11Z 0.47 3120 92 17 10 0.01
Tue 05/26 12Z 0.41 3119 91 18 10 0.01
Tue 05/26 13Z 0.34 3116 85 16 11 0.00
Tue 05/26 14Z 0.36 3015 83 15 11 0.00
Tue 05/26 15Z 0.43 2914 75 20 11 0.00
Tue 05/26 16Z 0.55 2913 80 18 11 0.00
Tue 05/26 17Z 0.84 2813 78 34 11 0.00
Tue 05/26 18Z 1.25 2612 80 42 11 0.00
Tue 05/26 19Z 2.29 2513 79 28 12 0.00
Tue 05/26 20Z 3.06 2414 76 26 12 0.00
Tue 05/26 21Z 2.54 2416 76 31 12 0.00
Tue 05/26 22Z 1.78 2319 77 36 12 0.00
Tue 05/26 23Z 1.20 2322 77 32 12 0.00
Wed 05/27 00Z 1.14 2425 68 44 12 0.00
Wed 05/27 01Z 1.27 2427 64 47 12 0.00
Wed 05/27 02Z 1.24 2428 65 47 12 0.00
Wed 05/27 03Z 1.12 2529 65 48 13 0.00
Wed 05/27 04Z 1.11 2630 64 52 12 0.00
Wed 05/27 05Z 1.17 2630 64 59 12 0.00
Wed 05/27 06Z 1.14 2729 64 65 12 0.00
Wed 05/27 07Z 1.10 2729 68 61 12 0.01
Wed 05/27 08Z 0.92 2826 73 62 12 0.01
Wed 05/27 09Z 0.75 2823 78 59 11 0.00
Wed 05/27 10Z 0.63 2920 84 54 11 0.00
Wed 05/27 11Z 0.54 2818 88 49 11 0.00
Wed 05/27 12Z 0.52 2917 90 47 10 0.01
Wed 05/27 13Z 0.48 2815 91 43 10 0.00
Wed 05/27 14Z 0.48 2814 89 37 10 0.00
Wed 05/27 15Z 0.66 2913 85 38 10 0.00
Wed 05/27 16Z 0.85 2912 83 30 10 0.00
Wed 05/27 17Z 1.29 3012 84 25 10 0.00
Wed 05/27 18Z 1.54 3013 82 21 9 0.01
Wed 05/27 19Z 2.80 3113 80 24 9 0.00
Wed 05/27 20Z 3.27 3113 77 25 9 0.00
Wed 05/27 21Z 2.62 3112 76 24 9 0.00
Wed 05/27 22Z 2.13 3113 77 27 9 0.00
Wed 05/27 23Z 1.29 3115 76 28 8 0.00
Thu 05/28 00Z 1.03 3217 77 27 8 0.00
Thu 05/28 01Z 0.75 3218 78 22 7 0.00
Thu 05/28 02Z 0.66 3319 80 18 7 0.00
Thu 05/28 03Z 0.55 3319 82 26 6 0.00
Thu 05/28 04Z 0.35 3319 82 33 6 0.00
Thu 05/28 05Z 0.28 3318 82 37 5 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.17 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1