Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260704_0600
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sat 07/04 06Z 0.72 2920 80 78 17 0.00
Sat 07/04 07Z 0.81 2923 80 69 16 0.00
Sat 07/04 08Z 0.86 3024 84 73 16 0.00
Sat 07/04 09Z 0.76 3023 85 69 16 0.00
Sat 07/04 10Z 0.65 3022 85 66 16 0.00
Sat 07/04 11Z 0.51 3120 83 61 16 0.00
Sat 07/04 12Z 0.44 3117 82 61 16 0.00
Sat 07/04 13Z 0.45 3016 84 64 15 0.00
Sat 07/04 14Z 0.52 3015 85 74 15 0.00
Sat 07/04 15Z 0.64 2916 87 82 15 0.00
Sat 07/04 16Z 0.71 2916 90 83 14 0.00
Sat 07/04 17Z 0.70 2915 91 74 14 0.07
Sat 07/04 18Z 0.89 3015 89 64 14 0.02
Sat 07/04 19Z 1.00 3114 86 52 14 0.00
Sat 07/04 20Z 1.55 3114 83 46 14 0.00
Sat 07/04 21Z 1.57 3214 81 38 14 0.05
Sat 07/04 22Z 1.08 3214 80 31 14 0.00
Sat 07/04 23Z 0.54 3314 79 26 13 0.00
Sun 07/05 00Z 0.37 3314 75 22 13 0.00
Sun 07/05 01Z 0.25 3415 74 18 13 0.00
Sun 07/05 02Z 0.17 3413 72 19 13 0.00
Sun 07/05 03Z 0.10 3513 72 16 13 0.00
Sun 07/05 04Z 0.05 3513 72 12 12 0.00
Sun 07/05 05Z 0.05 0011 72 14 12 0.00
Sun 07/05 06Z 0.05 0010 72 17 12 0.00
Sun 07/05 07Z 0.11 0109 71 14 12 0.00
Sun 07/05 08Z 0.12 0108 71 13 12 0.00
Sun 07/05 09Z 0.11 0107 71 16 11 0.00
Sun 07/05 10Z 0.12 0207 71 12 11 0.00
Sun 07/05 11Z 0.14 0206 70 11 11 0.00
Sun 07/05 12Z 0.13 0206 70 8 11 0.00
Sun 07/05 13Z 0.17 0304 72 7 11 0.00
Sun 07/05 14Z 0.44 0203 75 7 11 0.00
Sun 07/05 15Z 0.61 0201 76 7 11 0.00
Sun 07/05 16Z 0.55 3501 77 8 11 0.00
Sun 07/05 17Z 0.27 3401 79 11 11 0.01
Sun 07/05 18Z 0.31 3302 81 10 11 0.00
Sun 07/05 19Z 0.19 3402 81 7 12 0.00
Sun 07/05 20Z 0.19 3503 81 6 12 0.00
Sun 07/05 21Z 0.13 3503 80 7 12 0.00
Sun 07/05 22Z 0.15 0104 79 6 12 0.00
Sun 07/05 23Z 0.23 0204 79 6 12 0.00
Mon 07/06 00Z 0.38 0405 79 4 12 0.00
Mon 07/06 01Z 0.55 0606 78 4 12 0.00
Mon 07/06 02Z 0.64 0707 78 4 11 0.00
Mon 07/06 03Z 0.67 0808 79 4 11 0.00
Mon 07/06 04Z 0.71 0809 79 4 11 0.00
Mon 07/06 05Z 0.60 1008 78 4 11 0.00
Mon 07/06 06Z 0.49 1108 80 4 11 0.00
Mon 07/06 07Z 0.37 1309 81 4 11 0.00
Mon 07/06 08Z 0.29 1409 82 5 11 0.00
Mon 07/06 09Z 0.22 1510 83 5 11 0.00
Mon 07/06 10Z 0.17 1611 84 5 11 0.00
Mon 07/06 11Z 0.14 1611 86 5 11 0.00
Mon 07/06 12Z 0.14 1610 84 5 11 0.00
Mon 07/06 13Z 0.17 1609 84 5 10 0.00
Mon 07/06 14Z 0.20 1608 84 5 10 0.00
Mon 07/06 15Z 0.41 1408 84 6 10 0.00
Mon 07/06 16Z 0.84 1406 84 6 11 0.00
Mon 07/06 17Z 1.40 1407 84 6 11 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.15 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1