Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260908_1800
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Tue 09/08 18Z 0.35 3211 90 40 9 0.00
Tue 09/08 19Z 0.31 3311 88 21 9 0.00
Tue 09/08 20Z 0.16 3410 82 7 9 0.00
Tue 09/08 21Z 0.09 3408 76 2 10 0.00
Tue 09/08 22Z 0.07 3406 70 1 10 0.00
Tue 09/08 23Z 0.04 3404 62 1 11 0.00
Wed 09/09 00Z 0.04 3302 58 1 11 0.00
Wed 09/09 01Z 0.03 3100 57 1 11 0.00
Wed 09/09 02Z 0.04 2001 58 2 11 0.00
Wed 09/09 03Z 0.04 2003 61 4 11 0.00
Wed 09/09 04Z 0.05 2004 64 7 11 0.00
Wed 09/09 05Z 0.09 2006 70 9 10 0.00
Wed 09/09 06Z 0.13 2108 78 11 10 0.00
Wed 09/09 07Z 0.14 2009 85 24 10 0.00
Wed 09/09 08Z 0.18 2111 92 59 10 0.00
Wed 09/09 09Z 0.22 2114 96 74 11 0.01
Wed 09/09 10Z 0.30 2116 97 80 10 0.01
Wed 09/09 11Z 0.29 2117 96 75 11 0.00
Wed 09/09 12Z 0.29 2117 95 72 11 0.00
Wed 09/09 13Z 0.28 2018 93 65 11 0.01
Wed 09/09 14Z 0.30 2022 92 61 11 0.00
Wed 09/09 15Z 0.29 2023 89 53 12 0.00
Wed 09/09 16Z 0.32 2024 92 45 12 0.00
Wed 09/09 17Z 0.39 2026 96 34 12 0.01
Wed 09/09 18Z 0.43 2126 97 42 12 0.02
Wed 09/09 19Z 0.35 2027 94 89 12 0.05
Wed 09/09 20Z 0.30 1929 96 98 12 0.12
Wed 09/09 21Z 0.28 1933 97 99 13 0.17
Wed 09/09 22Z 0.42 2037 99 96 14 0.27
Wed 09/09 23Z 0.64 2137 99 97 14 0.18
Thu 09/10 00Z 0.79 2236 98 97 15 0.11
Thu 09/10 01Z 0.85 2338 98 93 15 0.15
Thu 09/10 02Z 0.93 2341 98 90 15 0.16
Thu 09/10 03Z 1.00 2341 97 88 16 0.10
Thu 09/10 04Z 0.98 2342 97 83 16 0.08
Thu 09/10 05Z 0.97 2340 97 84 16 0.14
Thu 09/10 06Z 1.05 2440 98 89 16 0.18
Thu 09/10 07Z 1.07 2536 97 94 15 0.16
Thu 09/10 08Z 1.08 2532 97 79 14 0.11
Thu 09/10 09Z 1.10 2630 96 62 13 0.07
Thu 09/10 10Z 1.01 2830 81 33 12 0.03
Thu 09/10 11Z 0.97 2930 73 15 11 0.01
Thu 09/10 12Z 1.11 2830 77 17 11 0.00
Thu 09/10 13Z 1.45 2730 82 11 10 0.00
Thu 09/10 14Z 1.41 2728 84 12 9 0.00
Thu 09/10 15Z 1.46 2727 88 9 9 0.00
Thu 09/10 16Z 3.66 2725 86 10 9 0.00
Thu 09/10 17Z 7.84 2725 81 8 9 0.00
Thu 09/10 18Z 11.01 2726 78 5 9 0.01
Thu 09/10 19Z 11.60 2726 80 6 8 0.01
Thu 09/10 20Z 9.98 2827 82 6 8 0.01
Thu 09/10 21Z 7.06 2827 85 7 8 0.01
Thu 09/10 22Z 3.16 2828 91 11 7 0.01
Thu 09/10 23Z 1.44 2928 93 14 6 0.01
Fri 09/11 00Z 1.24 2930 95 18 6 0.01
Fri 09/11 01Z 1.18 3030 95 19 5 0.01
Fri 09/11 02Z 1.25 3029 95 20 4 0.01
Fri 09/11 03Z 1.10 3028 94 21 3 0.00
Fri 09/11 04Z 0.93 3128 94 19 2 0.00
Fri 09/11 05Z 0.74 3127 92 7 2 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 2.24 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1