Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260508_1200
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Fri 05/08 12Z 0.90 2910 81 76 -3 0.00
Fri 05/08 13Z 4.45 2811 82 75 -3 0.00
Fri 05/08 14Z 7.28 2811 79 77 -3 0.00
Fri 05/08 15Z 6.52 2710 74 69 -2 0.00
Fri 05/08 16Z 7.13 2612 75 71 -2 0.00
Fri 05/08 17Z 8.09 2612 72 85 -2 0.00
Fri 05/08 18Z 5.61 2713 76 88 -2 0.01
Fri 05/08 19Z 5.86 2713 76 86 -1 0.00
Fri 05/08 20Z 6.54 2712 73 80 -1 0.00
Fri 05/08 21Z 4.26 2713 72 73 -1 0.01
Fri 05/08 22Z 3.83 2713 68 56 -1 0.00
Fri 05/08 23Z 2.50 2713 71 41 -1 0.00
Sat 05/09 00Z 1.13 2713 65 30 -1 0.00
Sat 05/09 01Z 1.10 2712 63 29 -1 0.00
Sat 05/09 02Z 1.23 2713 62 31 -1 0.00
Sat 05/09 03Z 1.27 2613 62 37 -1 0.00
Sat 05/09 04Z 1.05 2513 61 48 -1 0.00
Sat 05/09 05Z 0.88 2514 56 46 -1 0.00
Sat 05/09 06Z 0.78 2514 49 33 -1 0.00
Sat 05/09 07Z 0.82 2514 52 16 -1 0.00
Sat 05/09 08Z 0.85 2514 60 16 -1 0.00
Sat 05/09 09Z 0.68 2512 60 26 -1 0.00
Sat 05/09 10Z 0.52 2409 60 18 -1 0.00
Sat 05/09 11Z 0.30 2109 60 13 0 0.00
Sat 05/09 12Z 0.14 1810 63 31 0 0.00
Sat 05/09 13Z 0.27 1712 68 42 0 0.00
Sat 05/09 14Z 0.81 1613 74 56 0 0.01
Sat 05/09 15Z 0.88 1615 81 72 0 0.01
Sat 05/09 16Z 0.74 1618 87 79 1 0.01
Sat 05/09 17Z 0.72 1619 90 83 1 0.02
Sat 05/09 18Z 0.44 1619 93 91 1 0.03
Sat 05/09 19Z 0.14 1721 96 88 2 0.03
Sat 05/09 20Z 0.09 1721 97 80 2 0.02
Sat 05/09 21Z 0.07 1820 97 74 3 0.01
Sat 05/09 22Z 0.08 1820 97 55 3 0.01
Sat 05/09 23Z 0.12 1920 97 46 3 0.01
Sun 05/10 00Z 0.19 1921 97 36 4 0.01
Sun 05/10 01Z 0.21 1921 96 39 4 0.01
Sun 05/10 02Z 0.26 2023 96 50 4 0.01
Sun 05/10 03Z 0.31 2024 96 49 4 0.01
Sun 05/10 04Z 0.38 2125 95 56 4 0.01
Sun 05/10 05Z 0.39 2126 94 57 5 0.01
Sun 05/10 06Z 0.38 2127 93 67 6 0.01
Sun 05/10 07Z 0.41 2129 94 85 6 0.01
Sun 05/10 08Z 0.51 2131 95 94 6 0.02
Sun 05/10 09Z 0.78 2233 96 91 5 0.04
Sun 05/10 10Z 0.90 2329 97 72 5 0.04
Sun 05/10 11Z 1.04 2429 94 49 4 0.02
Sun 05/10 12Z 1.17 2526 93 37 3 0.01
Sun 05/10 13Z 0.98 2623 80 39 3 0.01
Sun 05/10 14Z 1.03 2620 76 35 2 0.01
Sun 05/10 15Z 5.19 2617 76 32 2 0.00
Sun 05/10 16Z 8.16 2615 74 29 2 0.00
Sun 05/10 17Z 8.02 2514 71 26 2 0.00
Sun 05/10 18Z 7.21 2513 69 45 2 0.00
Sun 05/10 19Z 6.58 2512 68 54 2 0.00
Sun 05/10 20Z 5.63 2511 69 52 2 0.00
Sun 05/10 21Z 4.05 2512 71 71 2 0.00
Sun 05/10 22Z 1.71 2611 72 64 2 0.00
Sun 05/10 23Z 0.87 2709 72 41 2 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.41 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1