Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260725_1800
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sat 07/25 18Z 1.11 1503 71 30 13 0.00
Sat 07/25 19Z 1.47 1404 69 27 13 0.00
Sat 07/25 20Z 0.76 1504 69 24 14 0.00
Sat 07/25 21Z 0.63 1504 71 22 14 0.00
Sat 07/25 22Z 0.45 1505 73 21 13 0.00
Sat 07/25 23Z 0.29 1607 74 20 13 0.00
Sun 07/26 00Z 0.15 1708 76 19 13 0.00
Sun 07/26 01Z 0.12 1710 77 17 13 0.00
Sun 07/26 02Z 0.09 1811 78 15 12 0.00
Sun 07/26 03Z 0.09 1811 79 12 12 0.00
Sun 07/26 04Z 0.14 1911 80 11 12 0.00
Sun 07/26 05Z 0.21 2010 81 12 12 0.00
Sun 07/26 06Z 0.26 2108 82 12 12 0.00
Sun 07/26 07Z 0.31 2208 84 12 12 0.00
Sun 07/26 08Z 0.30 2307 85 12 11 0.00
Sun 07/26 09Z 0.22 2305 85 14 11 0.00
Sun 07/26 10Z 0.18 2204 84 16 11 0.00
Sun 07/26 11Z 0.13 2104 84 15 11 0.00
Sun 07/26 12Z 0.08 1903 83 14 11 0.00
Sun 07/26 13Z 0.08 1702 83 12 11 0.00
Sun 07/26 14Z 0.25 1503 85 12 11 0.00
Sun 07/26 15Z 0.60 1404 86 11 11 0.00
Sun 07/26 16Z 0.94 1405 84 10 11 0.00
Sun 07/26 17Z 0.84 1504 80 10 12 0.00
Sun 07/26 18Z 0.86 1504 79 10 12 0.00
Sun 07/26 19Z 0.46 1703 77 11 13 0.00
Sun 07/26 20Z 0.28 1803 77 13 13 0.00
Sun 07/26 21Z 0.16 1804 78 14 13 0.00
Sun 07/26 22Z 0.14 1704 78 15 13 0.00
Sun 07/26 23Z 0.09 1805 79 21 13 0.00
Mon 07/27 00Z 0.10 1905 80 29 13 0.00
Mon 07/27 01Z 0.08 1906 80 32 12 0.00
Mon 07/27 02Z 0.14 1907 79 32 12 0.00
Mon 07/27 03Z 0.24 2008 79 32 12 0.00
Mon 07/27 04Z 0.28 2108 79 31 12 0.00
Mon 07/27 05Z 0.34 2209 81 32 12 0.00
Mon 07/27 06Z 0.34 2308 80 31 12 0.00
Mon 07/27 07Z 0.27 2307 79 29 12 0.00
Mon 07/27 08Z 0.26 2307 79 28 12 0.00
Mon 07/27 09Z 0.23 2306 81 27 12 0.00
Mon 07/27 10Z 0.19 2305 81 26 12 0.00
Mon 07/27 11Z 0.15 2105 81 26 12 0.00
Mon 07/27 12Z 0.16 2106 81 28 12 0.00
Mon 07/27 13Z 0.17 2106 82 30 12 0.00
Mon 07/27 14Z 0.18 2004 83 33 12 0.00
Mon 07/27 15Z 0.42 2004 85 35 12 0.00
Mon 07/27 16Z 0.21 1803 84 38 12 0.00
Mon 07/27 17Z 0.26 1704 84 44 13 0.00
Mon 07/27 18Z 0.20 1705 83 53 13 0.00
Mon 07/27 19Z 0.37 1906 83 65 13 0.00
Mon 07/27 20Z 0.46 1906 83 69 13 0.00
Mon 07/27 21Z 0.27 1907 84 68 13 0.00
Mon 07/27 22Z 0.27 1907 85 66 13 0.01
Mon 07/27 23Z 0.17 1908 85 60 13 0.00
Tue 07/28 00Z 0.23 2009 87 62 13 0.00
Tue 07/28 01Z 0.21 2010 90 65 13 0.00
Tue 07/28 02Z 0.24 2011 92 71 13 0.00
Tue 07/28 03Z 0.28 2013 93 74 13 0.01
Tue 07/28 04Z 0.28 2014 94 69 13 0.02
Tue 07/28 05Z 0.28 2014 94 67 13 0.03
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.07 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1