National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Heat Advisories in Effect for Today and Friday

Significant heat is expected to build today and Friday. Hot temperatures and high humidity will allow heat index values to reach into the lower to mid 90s this afternoon and again Friday afternoon in the Champlain Valley and Connecticut River Valley. Heat index values elsewhere will be in the upper 80s to low 90s. Read More >

Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens

Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260611_1800
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.

925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date   Time        Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Thu 06/11 18Z 0.94 2805  90  55  16 0.00
Thu 06/11 19Z 1.18 2707  88  56  16 0.00
Thu 06/11 20Z 1.10 2708  88  60  17 0.00
Thu 06/11 21Z 0.64 2609  91  64  17 0.00
Thu 06/11 22Z 0.50 2609  92  66  17 0.05
Thu 06/11 23Z 0.42 2709  91  70  17 0.00
Fri 06/12 00Z 0.31 2709  82  76  18 0.02
Fri 06/12 01Z 0.25 2807  76  73  18 0.00
Fri 06/12 02Z 0.33 2609  75  75  18 0.00
Fri 06/12 03Z 0.40 2510  81  75  18 0.00
Fri 06/12 04Z 0.45 2412  86  74  18 0.00
Fri 06/12 05Z 0.36 2311  86  67  18 0.00
Fri 06/12 06Z 0.34 2410  83  63  18 0.00
Fri 06/12 07Z 0.31 2409  82  64  18 0.00
Fri 06/12 08Z 0.31 2509  85  71  17 0.00
Fri 06/12 09Z 0.27 2708  89  71  17 0.00
Fri 06/12 10Z 0.18 2806  91  76  17 0.00
Fri 06/12 11Z 0.10 3002  91  71  17 0.00
Fri 06/12 12Z 0.08 2501  93  75  17 0.00
Fri 06/12 13Z 0.08 2302  95  75  16 0.00
Fri 06/12 14Z 0.13 2304  95  74  16 0.00
Fri 06/12 15Z 0.14 2204  92  58  17 0.00
Fri 06/12 16Z 0.15 2104  89  56  17 0.00
Fri 06/12 17Z 0.41 2205  87  49  17 0.00
Fri 06/12 18Z 1.11 2306  83  46  18 0.00
Fri 06/12 19Z 1.66 2306  79  39  18 0.00
Fri 06/12 20Z 2.62 2308  80  34  18 0.00
Fri 06/12 21Z 1.71 2310  82  19  18 0.00
Fri 06/12 22Z 0.77 2212  84  46  18 0.00
Fri 06/12 23Z 0.65 2316  92  79  18 0.01
Sat 06/13 00Z 0.81 2620  87  65  17 0.14
Sat 06/13 01Z 0.73 2722  76  62  17 0.02
Sat 06/13 02Z 0.65 2824  65  46  16 0.01
Sat 06/13 03Z 0.60 2823  71  24  15 0.01
Sat 06/13 04Z 0.55 2924  66  11  15 0.00
Sat 06/13 05Z 0.54 3025  60  11  14 0.00
Sat 06/13 06Z 0.51 3025  59  10  14 0.00
Sat 06/13 07Z 0.49 3026  58  10  14 0.00
Sat 06/13 08Z 0.48 3025  60  13  13 0.00
Sat 06/13 09Z 0.45 3025  60  14  13 0.00
Sat 06/13 10Z 0.41 3125  61  13  13 0.00
Sat 06/13 11Z 0.40 3124  62  14  13 0.00
Sat 06/13 12Z 0.47 3124  64  17  12 0.00
Sat 06/13 13Z 0.50 3121  65  14  12 0.00
Sat 06/13 14Z 0.55 3018  66  13  12 0.00
Sat 06/13 15Z 0.63 3015  65  11  12 0.00
Sat 06/13 16Z 1.71 2913  70   7  11 0.00
Sat 06/13 17Z 4.61 2713  77   7  11 0.00
Sat 06/13 18Z 6.56 2713  79  11  12 0.00
Sat 06/13 19Z 7.21 2713  75  15  12 0.00
Sat 06/13 20Z 7.86 2713  71  15  13 0.00
Sat 06/13 21Z 5.98 2712  66  18  13 0.00
Sat 06/13 22Z 3.33 2611  64  19  13 0.00
Sat 06/13 23Z 1.26 2512  62  27  14 0.00
Sun 06/14 00Z 1.18 2515  61  46  14 0.00
Sun 06/14 01Z 1.08 2518  61  54  14 0.00
Sun 06/14 02Z 0.94 2519  61  45  14 0.00
Sun 06/14 03Z 0.73 2518  57  43  14 0.00
Sun 06/14 04Z 0.58 2517  51  43  15 0.00
Sun 06/14 05Z 0.62 2519  44  41  15 0.00

Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.26 inches.

Froude Number (Frd#): 
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
         Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
         W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
         Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
         Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
         W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
         Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
         Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
         With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
         Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
         W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
         Air flows freely over terrain.
         Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.

Relative Humidity (RH): 
         925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
         with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
         with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.

850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
        T > -11       10-15:1
        T -11 to -15  25-35:1
        T < -15       15-20:1