Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20261103_0000
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Tue 11/03 00Z 0.71 2618 54 81 9 0.00
Tue 11/03 01Z 0.75 2619 54 79 9 0.00
Tue 11/03 02Z 0.75 2720 56 82 9 0.00
Tue 11/03 03Z 0.70 2720 56 86 9 0.00
Tue 11/03 04Z 0.66 2718 57 88 9 0.00
Tue 11/03 05Z 0.65 2717 59 89 9 0.00
Tue 11/03 06Z 0.61 2716 61 87 9 0.00
Tue 11/03 07Z 0.52 2715 61 87 9 0.00
Tue 11/03 08Z 0.45 2713 59 87 9 0.00
Tue 11/03 09Z 0.43 2712 58 88 9 0.00
Tue 11/03 10Z 0.40 2711 59 89 9 0.00
Tue 11/03 11Z 0.36 2610 59 86 9 0.00
Tue 11/03 12Z 0.31 2509 60 86 9 0.00
Tue 11/03 13Z 0.30 2410 63 92 9 0.00
Tue 11/03 14Z 0.26 2309 64 97 9 0.00
Tue 11/03 15Z 0.23 2110 62 98 9 0.00
Tue 11/03 16Z 0.27 2113 59 97 9 0.00
Tue 11/03 17Z 0.33 2115 57 93 9 0.00
Tue 11/03 18Z 0.40 2117 59 95 8 0.00
Tue 11/03 19Z 0.46 2219 66 93 8 0.00
Tue 11/03 20Z 0.52 2221 75 92 8 0.00
Tue 11/03 21Z 0.54 2222 91 86 9 0.01
Tue 11/03 22Z 0.53 2322 95 81 9 0.03
Tue 11/03 23Z 0.52 2421 96 78 9 0.03
Wed 11/04 00Z 0.51 2520 95 76 10 0.03
Wed 11/04 01Z 0.53 2521 96 83 10 0.02
Wed 11/04 02Z 0.58 2522 96 75 10 0.03
Wed 11/04 03Z 0.65 2623 95 75 10 0.01
Wed 11/04 04Z 0.68 2623 93 66 11 0.01
Wed 11/04 05Z 0.73 2624 87 63 11 0.00
Wed 11/04 06Z 0.72 2525 86 61 11 0.00
Wed 11/04 07Z 0.74 2526 82 55 11 0.00
Wed 11/04 08Z 0.76 2528 79 61 11 0.00
Wed 11/04 09Z 0.77 2429 77 66 11 0.00
Wed 11/04 10Z 0.80 2530 75 69 11 0.00
Wed 11/04 11Z 0.78 2529 71 68 11 0.00
Wed 11/04 12Z 0.75 2528 69 68 12 0.00
Wed 11/04 13Z 0.69 2526 68 63 12 0.00
Wed 11/04 14Z 0.64 2625 68 55 12 0.00
Wed 11/04 15Z 0.60 2622 71 47 12 0.00
Wed 11/04 16Z 0.60 2621 69 47 12 0.00
Wed 11/04 17Z 0.58 2619 70 47 12 0.00
Wed 11/04 18Z 0.53 2616 69 47 12 0.00
Wed 11/04 19Z 0.49 2615 68 51 12 0.00
Wed 11/04 20Z 0.44 2614 68 53 12 0.00
Wed 11/04 21Z 0.39 2513 67 54 13 0.00
Wed 11/04 22Z 0.35 2512 66 62 13 0.00
Wed 11/04 23Z 0.32 2512 66 64 13 0.00
Thu 11/05 00Z 0.34 2513 66 72 13 0.00
Thu 11/05 01Z 0.34 2414 65 78 13 0.00
Thu 11/05 02Z 0.32 2414 63 83 14 0.00
Thu 11/05 03Z 0.28 2313 61 83 14 0.00
Thu 11/05 04Z 0.27 2314 60 80 14 0.00
Thu 11/05 05Z 0.28 2216 58 81 15 0.00
Thu 11/05 06Z 0.29 2217 54 70 15 0.00
Thu 11/05 07Z 0.31 2219 50 65 15 0.00
Thu 11/05 08Z 0.33 2222 48 61 15 0.00
Thu 11/05 09Z 0.36 2224 49 53 15 0.00
Thu 11/05 10Z 0.39 2226 50 49 15 0.00
Thu 11/05 11Z 0.45 2328 54 49 15 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.17 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1