Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260821_1800
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Fri 08/21 18Z 0.83 3503 74 9 10 0.00
Fri 08/21 19Z 0.62 0003 74 10 10 0.00
Fri 08/21 20Z 0.40 0004 74 10 10 0.00
Fri 08/21 21Z 0.36 0104 74 11 10 0.00
Fri 08/21 22Z 0.43 0205 75 11 10 0.00
Fri 08/21 23Z 0.34 0405 75 10 10 0.00
Sat 08/22 00Z 0.35 0506 75 9 10 0.00
Sat 08/22 01Z 0.42 0707 75 8 10 0.00
Sat 08/22 02Z 0.48 0807 77 7 10 0.00
Sat 08/22 03Z 0.42 1007 78 6 10 0.00
Sat 08/22 04Z 0.34 1107 79 6 10 0.00
Sat 08/22 05Z 0.30 1207 78 5 10 0.00
Sat 08/22 06Z 0.24 1307 79 5 10 0.00
Sat 08/22 07Z 0.22 1407 80 6 10 0.00
Sat 08/22 08Z 0.24 1408 81 7 10 0.00
Sat 08/22 09Z 0.23 1509 81 8 9 0.00
Sat 08/22 10Z 0.26 1509 81 9 9 0.00
Sat 08/22 11Z 0.33 1410 81 10 9 0.00
Sat 08/22 12Z 0.40 1311 80 11 9 0.00
Sat 08/22 13Z 0.49 1313 78 12 9 0.00
Sat 08/22 14Z 0.59 1315 76 13 9 0.00
Sat 08/22 15Z 0.88 1215 76 13 10 0.00
Sat 08/22 16Z 1.59 1214 76 13 10 0.00
Sat 08/22 17Z 2.80 1212 77 13 10 0.00
Sat 08/22 18Z 3.87 1310 77 15 10 0.00
Sat 08/22 19Z 4.27 1310 78 19 10 0.00
Sat 08/22 20Z 3.27 1310 79 21 11 0.00
Sat 08/22 21Z 2.10 1410 81 23 11 0.00
Sat 08/22 22Z 1.12 1411 82 29 11 0.00
Sat 08/22 23Z 0.70 1412 82 33 11 0.00
Sun 08/23 00Z 0.41 1413 80 33 11 0.00
Sun 08/23 01Z 0.24 1412 80 33 12 0.00
Sun 08/23 02Z 0.19 1412 79 31 12 0.00
Sun 08/23 03Z 0.19 1412 79 35 12 0.00
Sun 08/23 04Z 0.16 1511 80 37 12 0.00
Sun 08/23 05Z 0.14 1511 79 40 12 0.00
Sun 08/23 06Z 0.14 1511 79 43 13 0.00
Sun 08/23 07Z 0.15 1512 81 51 12 0.00
Sun 08/23 08Z 0.15 1511 83 61 12 0.01
Sun 08/23 09Z 0.19 1412 86 70 12 0.01
Sun 08/23 10Z 0.22 1413 88 78 12 0.01
Sun 08/23 11Z 0.27 1315 90 83 13 0.01
Sun 08/23 12Z 0.26 1416 92 87 13 0.03
Sun 08/23 13Z 0.21 1517 94 90 13 0.10
Sun 08/23 14Z 0.18 1518 95 87 13 0.06
Sun 08/23 15Z 0.10 1618 97 82 13 0.05
Sun 08/23 16Z 0.14 1619 93 70 14 0.04
Sun 08/23 17Z 0.08 1719 96 69 14 0.01
Sun 08/23 18Z 0.05 1818 98 63 14 0.01
Sun 08/23 19Z 0.09 1816 98 64 14 0.01
Sun 08/23 20Z 0.15 1915 95 60 14 0.01
Sun 08/23 21Z 0.21 2015 91 51 14 0.00
Sun 08/23 22Z 0.27 2016 91 47 14 0.00
Sun 08/23 23Z 0.32 2018 93 33 14 0.00
Mon 08/24 00Z 0.42 2119 94 42 13 0.01
Mon 08/24 01Z 0.45 2316 85 64 13 0.10
Mon 08/24 02Z 0.45 2515 76 50 13 0.01
Mon 08/24 03Z 0.42 2514 74 52 13 0.00
Mon 08/24 04Z 0.35 2412 78 39 13 0.00
Mon 08/24 05Z 0.29 2311 74 33 13 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.48 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1