Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260213_1800
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Fri 02/13 18Z 0.31 3010 83 8 -11 0.00
Fri 02/13 19Z 0.36 2912 78 11 -10 0.00
Fri 02/13 20Z 0.37 2812 74 18 -10 0.00
Fri 02/13 21Z 0.45 2714 79 38 -10 0.00
Fri 02/13 22Z 0.53 2716 82 50 -10 0.00
Fri 02/13 23Z 0.64 2618 83 49 -10 0.00
Sat 02/14 00Z 0.65 2619 80 48 -10 0.00
Sat 02/14 01Z 0.57 2619 72 52 -10 0.00
Sat 02/14 02Z 0.48 2619 62 52 -9 0.00
Sat 02/14 03Z 0.44 2618 55 50 -9 0.00
Sat 02/14 04Z 0.44 2619 56 41 -9 0.00
Sat 02/14 05Z 0.43 2619 55 51 -9 0.00
Sat 02/14 06Z 0.42 2619 54 77 -9 0.00
Sat 02/14 07Z 0.41 2718 72 79 -9 0.00
Sat 02/14 08Z 0.44 2718 91 82 -9 0.01
Sat 02/14 09Z 0.50 2719 93 76 -10 0.01
Sat 02/14 10Z 0.51 2720 93 83 -9 0.00
Sat 02/14 11Z 0.52 2719 93 88 -9 0.01
Sat 02/14 12Z 0.53 2819 94 81 -9 0.01
Sat 02/14 13Z 0.55 2819 95 75 -9 0.01
Sat 02/14 14Z 0.57 2819 96 67 -10 0.01
Sat 02/14 15Z 0.59 2819 96 56 -10 0.01
Sat 02/14 16Z 0.60 2918 96 44 -10 0.01
Sat 02/14 17Z 0.65 2917 96 34 -10 0.00
Sat 02/14 18Z 0.80 2918 96 28 -10 0.00
Sat 02/14 19Z 1.02 2818 97 23 -10 0.01
Sat 02/14 20Z 1.07 2919 94 18 -10 0.01
Sat 02/14 21Z 0.98 2919 89 18 -10 0.00
Sat 02/14 22Z 0.87 2921 85 18 -10 0.01
Sat 02/14 23Z 0.81 2922 83 20 -11 0.01
Sun 02/15 00Z 0.73 3022 80 23 -11 0.01
Sun 02/15 02Z 0.90 3025 75 17 -12 0.00
Sun 02/15 03Z 0.86 3026 75 15 -12 0.00
Sun 02/15 04Z 0.81 3127 77 14 -12 0.00
Sun 02/15 05Z 0.62 3127 76 13 -13 0.00
Sun 02/15 06Z 0.48 3227 72 12 -13 0.00
Sun 02/15 07Z 0.38 3226 64 14 -12 0.00
Sun 02/15 08Z 0.31 3225 57 14 -12 0.00
Sun 02/15 09Z 0.24 3324 50 14 -11 0.00
Sun 02/15 10Z 0.17 3323 41 14 -11 0.00
Sun 02/15 11Z 0.14 3421 35 14 -10 0.00
Sun 02/15 12Z 0.10 3418 30 15 -10 0.00
Sun 02/15 13Z 0.06 3415 25 15 -9 0.00
Sun 02/15 14Z 0.02 3512 21 16 -9 0.00
Sun 02/15 15Z 0.02 0008 20 17 -8 0.00
Sun 02/15 16Z 0.03 0105 22 20 -8 0.00
Sun 02/15 17Z 0.03 0103 25 25 -7 0.00
Sun 02/15 18Z 0.02 0200 28 35 -7 0.00
Sun 02/15 19Z 0.02 1400 30 46 -7 0.00
Sun 02/15 20Z 0.04 2003 33 54 -7 0.00
Sun 02/15 21Z 0.05 2004 34 55 -6 0.00
Sun 02/15 22Z 0.07 2006 33 50 -6 0.00
Sun 02/15 23Z 0.10 2008 32 52 -6 0.00
Mon 02/16 02Z 0.17 2112 35 75 -6 0.00
Mon 02/16 03Z 0.16 2112 42 82 -6 0.00
Mon 02/16 04Z 0.17 2112 49 78 -6 0.00
Mon 02/16 05Z 0.18 2112 54 81 -5 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.13 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1