Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260808_1800
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sat 08/08 18Z 0.61 2306 93 68 16 0.00
Sat 08/08 19Z 0.47 2309 92 62 16 0.02
Sat 08/08 20Z 0.41 2311 90 66 16 0.02
Sat 08/08 21Z 0.49 2411 89 63 16 0.04
Sat 08/08 22Z 0.51 2512 91 72 16 0.10
Sat 08/08 23Z 0.47 2513 87 70 16 0.14
Sun 08/09 00Z 0.45 2613 85 73 16 0.09
Sun 08/09 01Z 0.46 2814 85 66 16 0.03
Sun 08/09 02Z 0.38 2811 86 53 16 0.00
Sun 08/09 03Z 0.43 2712 89 47 15 0.00
Sun 08/09 04Z 0.49 2614 92 40 15 0.00
Sun 08/09 05Z 0.48 2615 89 38 16 0.00
Sun 08/09 06Z 0.58 2618 90 44 16 0.00
Sun 08/09 07Z 0.59 2519 89 60 16 0.00
Sun 08/09 08Z 0.70 2522 90 57 15 0.00
Sun 08/09 09Z 0.70 2622 93 54 15 0.00
Sun 08/09 10Z 0.64 2721 91 55 15 0.01
Sun 08/09 11Z 0.57 2819 90 48 15 0.01
Sun 08/09 12Z 0.57 2819 92 40 15 0.01
Sun 08/09 13Z 0.56 2818 92 34 14 0.01
Sun 08/09 14Z 0.51 2817 87 19 15 0.01
Sun 08/09 15Z 0.47 2816 78 17 15 0.01
Sun 08/09 16Z 0.56 2816 82 14 15 0.01
Sun 08/09 17Z 0.76 2816 89 16 14 0.01
Sun 08/09 18Z 0.64 2817 89 24 14 0.01
Sun 08/09 19Z 0.68 2817 88 33 14 0.01
Sun 08/09 20Z 0.71 2917 86 30 14 0.01
Sun 08/09 21Z 0.56 2916 80 25 15 0.01
Sun 08/09 22Z 0.48 2915 74 29 15 0.00
Sun 08/09 23Z 0.51 2916 70 26 15 0.00
Mon 08/10 00Z 0.57 2918 74 29 15 0.00
Mon 08/10 01Z 0.55 2918 72 28 15 0.00
Mon 08/10 02Z 0.48 2917 75 31 15 0.00
Mon 08/10 03Z 0.41 2916 70 33 16 0.00
Mon 08/10 04Z 0.40 2916 67 34 16 0.00
Mon 08/10 05Z 0.38 2915 61 37 16 0.00
Mon 08/10 06Z 0.37 2915 56 38 16 0.00
Mon 08/10 07Z 0.33 3013 55 36 16 0.00
Mon 08/10 08Z 0.38 3013 58 36 15 0.00
Mon 08/10 09Z 0.34 3012 60 36 14 0.00
Mon 08/10 10Z 0.20 3208 61 37 14 0.00
Mon 08/10 11Z 0.09 3103 60 35 14 0.00
Mon 08/10 12Z 0.09 2303 59 33 15 0.00
Mon 08/10 13Z 0.12 2106 59 38 15 0.00
Mon 08/10 14Z 0.17 2108 58 58 15 0.00
Mon 08/10 15Z 0.20 2209 58 71 14 0.00
Mon 08/10 16Z 0.28 2209 59 89 14 0.00
Mon 08/10 17Z 0.34 2210 55 85 14 0.00
Mon 08/10 18Z 0.49 2211 55 74 15 0.00
Mon 08/10 19Z 0.60 2311 59 70 15 0.00
Mon 08/10 20Z 0.37 2309 60 76 15 0.00
Mon 08/10 21Z 0.40 2310 67 75 15 0.00
Mon 08/10 22Z 0.39 2211 77 82 14 0.01
Mon 08/10 23Z 0.26 2012 83 85 15 0.02
Tue 08/11 00Z 0.35 2115 89 91 14 0.03
Tue 08/11 01Z 0.49 2119 92 87 14 0.06
Tue 08/11 02Z 0.61 2321 94 72 15 0.08
Tue 08/11 03Z 0.64 2519 97 70 14 0.01
Tue 08/11 04Z 0.72 2621 96 68 14 0.01
Tue 08/11 05Z 0.66 2619 95 37 14 0.01
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.79 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1