Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260912_1800
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sat 09/12 18Z 0.21 1807 69 20 10 0.00
Sat 09/12 19Z 0.31 1909 68 18 11 0.00
Sat 09/12 20Z 0.34 1911 67 17 11 0.00
Sat 09/12 21Z 0.25 1912 64 15 11 0.00
Sat 09/12 22Z 0.19 1914 60 12 12 0.00
Sat 09/12 23Z 0.20 1916 56 9 12 0.00
Sun 09/13 00Z 0.25 2019 57 5 12 0.00
Sun 09/13 01Z 0.31 2021 61 3 12 0.00
Sun 09/13 02Z 0.40 2024 69 10 12 0.00
Sun 09/13 03Z 0.42 2125 78 29 13 0.00
Sun 09/13 04Z 0.45 2125 86 58 13 0.00
Sun 09/13 05Z 0.42 2126 91 86 13 0.01
Sun 09/13 06Z 0.43 2128 93 91 13 0.07
Sun 09/13 07Z 0.42 2226 95 90 14 0.06
Sun 09/13 08Z 0.43 2227 97 92 14 0.17
Sun 09/13 09Z 0.41 2226 96 92 14 0.10
Sun 09/13 10Z 0.36 2126 97 92 14 0.15
Sun 09/13 11Z 0.45 2131 99 92 14 0.26
Sun 09/13 12Z 0.51 2228 98 89 14 0.17
Sun 09/13 13Z 0.55 2425 98 90 14 0.06
Sun 09/13 14Z 0.54 2522 98 69 14 0.05
Sun 09/13 15Z 0.51 2519 96 50 14 0.03
Sun 09/13 16Z 0.48 2518 93 35 14 0.01
Sun 09/13 17Z 0.48 2516 92 48 14 0.00
Sun 09/13 18Z 0.48 2514 92 66 14 0.00
Sun 09/13 19Z 0.51 2513 93 46 14 0.00
Sun 09/13 20Z 0.56 2414 95 29 14 0.00
Sun 09/13 21Z 0.57 2415 96 41 14 0.01
Sun 09/13 22Z 0.66 2418 95 59 14 0.02
Sun 09/13 23Z 0.78 2521 93 69 14 0.02
Mon 09/14 00Z 0.66 2620 88 68 15 0.03
Mon 09/14 01Z 0.67 2620 87 72 14 0.03
Mon 09/14 02Z 0.70 2720 81 71 14 0.02
Mon 09/14 03Z 0.74 2721 79 74 12 0.02
Mon 09/14 04Z 0.83 2823 75 76 11 0.01
Mon 09/14 05Z 0.71 2923 79 79 11 0.01
Mon 09/14 06Z 0.57 2920 77 83 10 0.01
Mon 09/14 07Z 0.56 2920 80 72 9 0.00
Mon 09/14 08Z 0.66 2922 87 66 8 0.01
Mon 09/14 09Z 0.74 3025 90 56 7 0.01
Mon 09/14 10Z 0.65 3025 92 30 7 0.01
Mon 09/14 11Z 0.60 3124 91 25 6 0.02
Mon 09/14 12Z 0.55 3124 89 21 5 0.02
Mon 09/14 13Z 0.47 3223 89 22 5 0.01
Mon 09/14 14Z 0.39 3222 87 21 5 0.01
Mon 09/14 15Z 0.38 3220 86 18 5 0.01
Mon 09/14 16Z 0.41 3219 86 13 4 0.01
Mon 09/14 17Z 0.44 3219 85 11 4 0.01
Mon 09/14 18Z 0.44 3218 84 12 4 0.01
Mon 09/14 19Z 0.48 3218 85 18 4 0.01
Mon 09/14 20Z 0.49 3218 84 20 4 0.01
Mon 09/14 21Z 0.44 3217 82 20 4 0.00
Mon 09/14 22Z 0.41 3217 79 18 4 0.00
Mon 09/14 23Z 0.30 3317 77 15 5 0.00
Tue 09/15 00Z 0.21 3418 76 16 5 0.00
Tue 09/15 01Z 0.16 3419 77 16 6 0.00
Tue 09/15 02Z 0.06 3517 72 14 7 0.00
Tue 09/15 03Z 0.04 3516 69 13 7 0.00
Tue 09/15 04Z 0.05 0014 62 11 8 0.00
Tue 09/15 05Z 0.06 0013 60 10 8 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 1.47 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1