Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20261005_1800
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Mon 10/05 18Z 1.05 2721 89 85 2 0.00
Mon 10/05 19Z 2.33 2823 90 71 2 0.02
Mon 10/05 20Z 3.76 2827 90 77 2 0.03
Mon 10/05 21Z 2.91 2932 91 55 0 0.08
Mon 10/05 22Z 2.16 3032 92 33 0 0.03
Mon 10/05 23Z 2.10 3032 93 39 0 0.01
Tue 10/06 00Z 1.85 3033 93 41 -1 0.01
Tue 10/06 01Z 1.75 3034 93 45 -2 0.01
Tue 10/06 02Z 1.67 3034 93 43 -3 0.00
Tue 10/06 03Z 1.56 3034 95 38 -3 0.01
Tue 10/06 04Z 1.43 3033 94 31 -4 0.00
Tue 10/06 05Z 1.33 3032 94 26 -4 0.00
Tue 10/06 06Z 1.22 3032 93 26 -4 0.00
Tue 10/06 07Z 1.14 3032 92 25 -4 0.01
Tue 10/06 08Z 1.00 3031 92 27 -4 0.01
Tue 10/06 09Z 0.88 3031 93 27 -3 0.00
Tue 10/06 10Z 0.73 3030 92 25 -3 0.00
Tue 10/06 11Z 0.65 3030 91 21 -3 0.00
Tue 10/06 12Z 0.62 3030 89 18 -2 0.00
Tue 10/06 13Z 0.57 3029 86 15 -2 0.00
Tue 10/06 14Z 0.54 3028 81 13 -2 0.00
Tue 10/06 15Z 0.55 3026 76 12 -1 0.00
Tue 10/06 16Z 0.57 3025 70 11 -1 0.00
Tue 10/06 17Z 0.64 3024 62 10 -1 0.00
Tue 10/06 18Z 0.75 3023 55 8 0 0.00
Tue 10/06 19Z 1.08 3023 54 6 0 0.00
Tue 10/06 20Z 2.51 2922 51 5 0 0.00
Tue 10/06 21Z 2.00 2922 49 5 0 0.00
Tue 10/06 22Z 1.42 2922 48 6 0 0.00
Tue 10/06 23Z 1.33 2922 48 10 0 0.00
Wed 10/07 00Z 1.04 2921 46 17 0 0.00
Wed 10/07 01Z 0.83 2921 44 31 0 0.00
Wed 10/07 02Z 0.67 2919 42 45 0 0.00
Wed 10/07 03Z 0.57 2917 40 59 0 0.00
Wed 10/07 04Z 0.51 2816 37 68 1 0.00
Wed 10/07 05Z 0.50 2715 35 76 1 0.00
Wed 10/07 06Z 0.47 2615 30 57 2 0.00
Wed 10/07 07Z 0.47 2617 31 55 3 0.00
Wed 10/07 08Z 0.45 2618 33 80 4 0.00
Wed 10/07 09Z 0.47 2619 41 86 4 0.00
Wed 10/07 10Z 0.53 2621 55 89 4 0.00
Wed 10/07 11Z 0.55 2522 61 94 5 0.00
Wed 10/07 12Z 0.53 2422 67 97 5 0.00
Wed 10/07 13Z 0.52 2423 72 96 6 0.00
Wed 10/07 14Z 0.54 2325 74 96 6 0.01
Wed 10/07 15Z 0.52 2326 73 96 6 0.02
Wed 10/07 16Z 0.51 2227 67 97 7 0.01
Wed 10/07 17Z 0.56 2227 57 94 7 0.00
Wed 10/07 18Z 0.57 2226 55 91 6 0.00
Wed 10/07 19Z 0.55 2225 49 85 7 0.01
Wed 10/07 20Z 0.57 2224 53 85 7 0.00
Wed 10/07 21Z 0.64 2225 58 84 7 0.00
Wed 10/07 22Z 0.69 2226 67 90 6 0.00
Wed 10/07 23Z 0.74 2228 71 87 6 0.00
Thu 10/08 00Z 0.75 2229 75 89 6 0.00
Thu 10/08 01Z 0.79 2330 77 87 6 0.00
Thu 10/08 02Z 0.80 2331 82 86 6 0.00
Thu 10/08 03Z 0.80 2330 87 85 7 0.01
Thu 10/08 04Z 0.76 2430 90 81 7 0.01
Thu 10/08 05Z 0.74 2429 92 83 7 0.01
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.30 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1