Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260809_1800
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sun 08/09 18Z 2.69 2812 87 35 14 0.00
Sun 08/09 19Z 2.91 2813 84 40 14 0.00
Sun 08/09 20Z 2.56 2814 82 38 14 0.00
Sun 08/09 21Z 1.80 2814 82 31 14 0.00
Sun 08/09 22Z 1.41 2815 80 30 14 0.00
Sun 08/09 23Z 1.11 2817 83 35 14 0.00
Mon 08/10 00Z 0.92 2917 85 31 14 0.00
Mon 08/10 01Z 0.64 2917 80 36 14 0.00
Mon 08/10 02Z 0.47 2916 73 41 15 0.00
Mon 08/10 03Z 0.39 3015 67 43 16 0.00
Mon 08/10 04Z 0.34 3015 61 46 16 0.00
Mon 08/10 05Z 0.30 3114 58 47 16 0.00
Mon 08/10 06Z 0.26 3213 54 48 16 0.00
Mon 08/10 07Z 0.17 3210 54 46 16 0.00
Mon 08/10 08Z 0.09 3407 55 43 15 0.00
Mon 08/10 09Z 0.08 3403 57 39 15 0.00
Mon 08/10 10Z 0.08 2301 59 35 15 0.00
Mon 08/10 11Z 0.09 2104 63 36 14 0.00
Mon 08/10 12Z 0.09 2006 63 35 14 0.00
Mon 08/10 13Z 0.06 1908 64 31 14 0.00
Mon 08/10 14Z 0.06 1809 64 31 14 0.00
Mon 08/10 15Z 0.11 1910 65 32 14 0.00
Mon 08/10 16Z 0.31 1912 69 35 14 0.00
Mon 08/10 17Z 0.89 2013 73 41 14 0.00
Mon 08/10 18Z 0.85 2116 81 41 14 0.00
Mon 08/10 19Z 0.63 2117 81 46 15 0.00
Mon 08/10 20Z 0.59 2117 78 59 15 0.00
Mon 08/10 21Z 0.55 2117 81 79 16 0.00
Mon 08/10 22Z 0.60 2218 84 73 16 0.01
Mon 08/10 23Z 0.64 2220 90 65 15 0.01
Tue 08/11 00Z 0.75 2223 92 65 15 0.03
Tue 08/11 01Z 0.71 2422 94 75 15 0.24
Tue 08/11 02Z 0.84 2524 94 66 15 0.09
Tue 08/11 03Z 0.86 2724 92 57 15 0.02
Tue 08/11 04Z 0.74 2723 90 55 15 0.01
Tue 08/11 05Z 0.72 2822 93 55 14 0.01
Tue 08/11 06Z 0.70 2822 94 66 14 0.02
Tue 08/11 07Z 0.56 2919 89 65 14 0.02
Tue 08/11 08Z 0.62 2920 90 58 14 0.07
Tue 08/11 09Z 0.66 2820 92 48 13 0.02
Tue 08/11 10Z 0.65 2821 90 45 13 0.02
Tue 08/11 11Z 0.62 2920 90 48 13 0.02
Tue 08/11 12Z 0.58 2919 92 47 13 0.02
Tue 08/11 13Z 0.56 2919 92 40 12 0.02
Tue 08/11 14Z 0.58 2918 93 32 12 0.01
Tue 08/11 15Z 0.56 3017 93 29 12 0.02
Tue 08/11 16Z 0.55 3016 93 21 12 0.01
Tue 08/11 17Z 0.61 3014 93 20 12 0.01
Tue 08/11 18Z 0.67 2914 92 23 12 0.02
Tue 08/11 19Z 0.61 2914 89 24 12 0.01
Tue 08/11 20Z 0.71 2914 87 28 12 0.01
Tue 08/11 21Z 0.60 2915 84 18 12 0.02
Tue 08/11 22Z 0.59 3016 79 18 12 0.01
Tue 08/11 23Z 0.55 3017 77 17 12 0.01
Wed 08/12 00Z 0.53 3017 75 19 12 0.01
Wed 08/12 01Z 0.60 3018 79 25 11 0.01
Wed 08/12 02Z 0.59 3018 83 30 11 0.02
Wed 08/12 03Z 0.56 3018 85 31 10 0.01
Wed 08/12 04Z 0.51 3118 90 26 10 0.01
Wed 08/12 05Z 0.41 3117 89 31 10 0.01
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.83 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1