Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260720_0600
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Mon 07/20 06Z 0.51 3119 78 27 9 0.00
Mon 07/20 07Z 0.52 3119 76 25 9 0.00
Mon 07/20 08Z 0.53 3119 77 36 9 0.00
Mon 07/20 09Z 0.52 3119 74 44 9 0.00
Mon 07/20 10Z 0.52 3119 72 49 9 0.00
Mon 07/20 11Z 0.50 3117 71 46 9 0.00
Mon 07/20 12Z 0.48 3017 70 48 9 0.00
Mon 07/20 13Z 0.45 3014 68 51 9 0.00
Mon 07/20 14Z 0.50 2912 67 53 9 0.00
Mon 07/20 15Z 1.04 2811 66 56 10 0.00
Mon 07/20 16Z 1.88 2709 64 51 10 0.00
Mon 07/20 17Z 3.22 2509 64 49 10 0.00
Mon 07/20 18Z 4.34 2509 65 45 10 0.00
Mon 07/20 19Z 4.43 2408 65 37 11 0.00
Mon 07/20 20Z 3.85 2308 67 33 11 0.00
Mon 07/20 21Z 2.78 2210 69 33 11 0.00
Mon 07/20 22Z 1.35 2212 68 35 11 0.00
Mon 07/20 23Z 0.65 2114 66 36 11 0.00
Tue 07/21 00Z 0.49 2117 66 32 12 0.00
Tue 07/21 01Z 0.48 2119 65 28 12 0.00
Tue 07/21 02Z 0.50 2119 64 23 12 0.00
Tue 07/21 03Z 0.53 2120 65 22 12 0.00
Tue 07/21 04Z 0.47 2120 68 21 12 0.00
Tue 07/21 05Z 0.48 2122 71 20 12 0.00
Tue 07/21 06Z 0.54 2124 76 17 11 0.00
Tue 07/21 07Z 0.55 2126 77 17 11 0.00
Tue 07/21 08Z 0.57 2127 79 14 11 0.00
Tue 07/21 09Z 0.54 2128 80 13 11 0.00
Tue 07/21 10Z 0.47 2128 85 13 11 0.00
Tue 07/21 11Z 0.38 2026 89 12 12 0.00
Tue 07/21 12Z 0.39 2027 93 11 12 0.00
Tue 07/21 13Z 0.37 2028 92 16 12 0.00
Tue 07/21 14Z 0.34 2029 92 44 12 0.00
Tue 07/21 15Z 0.27 1928 94 60 12 0.00
Tue 07/21 16Z 0.21 1928 95 73 13 0.01
Tue 07/21 17Z 0.13 1828 96 73 13 0.01
Tue 07/21 18Z 0.09 1730 97 73 13 0.03
Tue 07/21 19Z 0.20 1735 97 56 13 0.04
Tue 07/21 20Z 0.26 1637 97 84 14 0.03
Tue 07/21 21Z 0.14 1738 97 87 15 0.03
Tue 07/21 22Z 0.07 1837 97 87 16 0.02
Tue 07/21 23Z 0.18 1934 93 64 17 0.02
Wed 07/22 00Z 0.38 2034 95 71 16 0.01
Wed 07/22 01Z 0.45 2029 90 74 16 0.02
Wed 07/22 02Z 0.45 2128 87 66 16 0.01
Wed 07/22 03Z 0.59 2131 86 50 15 0.00
Wed 07/22 04Z 0.50 2130 86 53 16 0.00
Wed 07/22 05Z 0.54 2033 90 58 15 0.00
Wed 07/22 06Z 0.48 2130 91 57 15 0.00
Wed 07/22 07Z 0.59 2229 96 50 15 0.02
Wed 07/22 08Z 0.64 2326 95 65 15 0.02
Wed 07/22 09Z 0.64 2424 94 72 15 0.01
Wed 07/22 10Z 0.62 2422 92 71 15 0.02
Wed 07/22 11Z 0.53 2419 87 68 14 0.01
Wed 07/22 12Z 0.55 2420 87 59 14 0.01
Wed 07/22 13Z 0.54 2320 83 53 13 0.00
Wed 07/22 14Z 0.51 2318 80 32 13 0.00
Wed 07/22 15Z 0.58 2317 80 18 13 0.00
Wed 07/22 16Z 0.81 2216 82 29 13 0.00
Wed 07/22 17Z 1.51 2115 85 40 13 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.32 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1