Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260823_0600
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sun 08/23 06Z 0.17 1515 95 42 11 0.00
Sun 08/23 07Z 0.18 1617 94 50 11 0.00
Sun 08/23 08Z 0.17 1617 93 51 11 0.01
Sun 08/23 09Z 0.14 1617 92 50 11 0.01
Sun 08/23 10Z 0.15 1617 92 47 12 0.01
Sun 08/23 11Z 0.17 1618 93 53 11 0.01
Sun 08/23 12Z 0.17 1619 93 55 12 0.01
Sun 08/23 13Z 0.19 1619 93 57 12 0.01
Sun 08/23 14Z 0.15 1619 93 63 12 0.01
Sun 08/23 15Z 0.08 1719 94 62 12 0.00
Sun 08/23 16Z 0.06 1717 96 73 12 0.01
Sun 08/23 17Z 0.08 1715 95 68 12 0.00
Sun 08/23 18Z 0.14 1614 95 70 12 0.00
Sun 08/23 19Z 0.17 1614 95 72 12 0.00
Sun 08/23 20Z 0.20 1615 95 74 12 0.00
Sun 08/23 21Z 0.19 1616 94 72 13 0.00
Sun 08/23 22Z 0.15 1618 94 64 13 0.01
Sun 08/23 23Z 0.12 1719 95 48 13 0.01
Mon 08/24 00Z 0.19 1820 97 33 12 0.02
Mon 08/24 01Z 0.27 1920 97 38 12 0.04
Mon 08/24 02Z 0.47 2119 93 69 12 0.14
Mon 08/24 03Z 0.43 2316 81 66 12 0.04
Mon 08/24 04Z 0.44 2416 80 57 12 0.00
Mon 08/24 05Z 0.38 2415 80 58 12 0.00
Mon 08/24 06Z 0.32 2314 79 50 12 0.00
Mon 08/24 07Z 0.30 2313 78 47 11 0.00
Mon 08/24 08Z 0.31 2314 76 35 11 0.00
Mon 08/24 09Z 0.33 2315 78 22 10 0.00
Mon 08/24 10Z 0.33 2315 80 21 10 0.00
Mon 08/24 11Z 0.30 2314 78 24 10 0.00
Mon 08/24 12Z 0.24 2212 78 28 10 0.00
Mon 08/24 13Z 0.17 2111 79 33 10 0.00
Mon 08/24 14Z 0.17 2012 82 42 9 0.00
Mon 08/24 15Z 0.21 2013 85 50 9 0.00
Mon 08/24 16Z 0.36 2013 89 64 9 0.00
Mon 08/24 17Z 0.46 2011 90 71 9 0.00
Mon 08/24 18Z 0.69 2011 88 62 9 0.01
Mon 08/24 19Z 1.16 2011 84 51 9 0.02
Mon 08/24 20Z 0.96 2111 85 62 10 0.01
Mon 08/24 21Z 0.53 2213 82 62 9 0.06
Mon 08/24 22Z 0.50 2212 76 50 10 0.01
Mon 08/24 23Z 0.46 2212 78 58 9 0.00
Tue 08/25 00Z 0.47 2312 86 55 9 0.00
Tue 08/25 01Z 0.45 2312 89 62 9 0.00
Tue 08/25 02Z 0.42 2411 86 69 9 0.01
Tue 08/25 03Z 0.45 2411 88 70 9 0.00
Tue 08/25 04Z 0.35 2410 86 79 9 0.01
Tue 08/25 05Z 0.28 2508 88 86 9 0.01
Tue 08/25 06Z 0.26 2607 88 90 9 0.00
Tue 08/25 07Z 0.28 2608 89 94 8 0.00
Tue 08/25 08Z 0.23 2607 91 97 8 0.01
Tue 08/25 09Z 0.21 2606 93 99 8 0.01
Tue 08/25 10Z 0.21 2606 93 99 8 0.01
Tue 08/25 11Z 0.19 2606 94 97 8 0.01
Tue 08/25 12Z 0.23 2606 95 95 8 0.01
Tue 08/25 13Z 0.27 2607 96 91 7 0.01
Tue 08/25 14Z 0.27 2707 96 87 7 0.01
Tue 08/25 15Z 0.30 2707 96 83 7 0.01
Tue 08/25 16Z 0.29 2806 95 82 7 0.00
Tue 08/25 17Z 0.34 2806 95 79 8 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.56 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1