Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20251226_0600
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Fri 12/26 06Z 0.13 3428 73 7 -15 0.00
Fri 12/26 07Z 0.10 3431 65 5 -15 0.00
Fri 12/26 08Z 0.08 3530 62 5 -15 0.00
Fri 12/26 09Z 0.04 3529 58 5 -15 0.00
Fri 12/26 10Z 0.02 0027 52 5 -14 0.00
Fri 12/26 11Z 0.03 0025 45 6 -14 0.00
Fri 12/26 12Z 0.03 0022 40 6 -14 0.00
Fri 12/26 13Z 0.03 0019 35 7 -13 0.00
Fri 12/26 14Z 0.04 0017 29 7 -12 0.00
Fri 12/26 15Z 0.06 0114 25 7 -11 0.00
Fri 12/26 16Z 0.04 0111 25 8 -11 0.00
Fri 12/26 17Z 0.03 0108 23 8 -9 0.00
Fri 12/26 18Z 0.06 0207 22 7 -8 0.00
Fri 12/26 19Z 0.07 0406 21 8 -8 0.00
Fri 12/26 20Z 0.10 0706 20 14 -7 0.00
Fri 12/26 21Z 0.11 0907 20 46 -6 0.00
Fri 12/26 22Z 0.12 1208 19 64 -7 0.00
Fri 12/26 23Z 0.14 1312 19 72 -7 0.00
Sat 12/27 00Z 0.14 1415 21 74 -8 0.00
Sat 12/27 01Z 0.14 1517 26 80 -10 0.00
Sat 12/27 02Z 0.10 1618 53 88 -11 0.01
Sat 12/27 03Z 0.14 1518 68 90 -11 0.06
Sat 12/27 04Z 0.15 1517 76 90 -10 0.06
Sat 12/27 05Z 0.17 1416 85 90 -10 0.04
Sat 12/27 06Z 0.15 1415 88 89 -10 0.03
Sat 12/27 07Z 0.12 1513 88 87 -10 0.03
Sat 12/27 08Z 0.09 1510 89 87 -10 0.03
Sat 12/27 09Z 0.07 1507 89 86 -11 0.02
Sat 12/27 10Z 0.07 1304 89 83 -11 0.01
Sat 12/27 11Z 0.07 1003 88 81 -11 0.00
Sat 12/27 12Z 0.04 0302 84 77 -11 0.00
Sat 12/27 13Z 0.04 0005 80 73 -11 0.00
Sat 12/27 14Z 0.06 0107 76 69 -11 0.00
Sat 12/27 15Z 0.05 0108 71 69 -10 0.00
Sat 12/27 16Z 0.05 0108 66 68 -10 0.00
Sat 12/27 17Z 0.02 0008 61 69 -9 0.00
Sat 12/27 18Z 0.02 0009 55 69 -8 0.00
Sat 12/27 19Z 0.03 3510 50 68 -8 0.00
Sat 12/27 20Z 0.03 3513 39 61 -8 0.00
Sat 12/27 21Z 0.03 3515 30 55 -8 0.00
Sat 12/27 22Z 0.03 3516 20 48 -7 0.00
Sat 12/27 23Z 0.02 3516 11 38 -5 0.00
Sun 12/28 00Z 0.02 3516 8 28 -4 0.00
Sun 12/28 01Z 0.03 3516 7 33 -4 0.00
Sun 12/28 02Z 0.04 3516 7 31 -4 0.00
Sun 12/28 03Z 0.06 3416 9 28 -3 0.00
Sun 12/28 04Z 0.07 3416 12 20 -3 0.00
Sun 12/28 05Z 0.09 3417 15 13 -4 0.00
Sun 12/28 06Z 0.12 3317 23 11 -3 0.00
Sun 12/28 07Z 0.13 3318 28 8 -3 0.00
Sun 12/28 08Z 0.14 3319 32 5 -3 0.00
Sun 12/28 09Z 0.13 3319 34 9 -2 0.00
Sun 12/28 10Z 0.11 3319 35 12 -1 0.00
Sun 12/28 11Z 0.10 3418 36 13 0 0.00
Sun 12/28 12Z 0.10 3318 36 12 0 0.00
Sun 12/28 13Z 0.10 3317 35 17 0 0.00
Sun 12/28 14Z 0.11 3316 34 25 1 0.00
Sun 12/28 15Z 0.12 3316 34 36 1 0.00
Sun 12/28 16Z 0.13 3215 33 33 1 0.00
Sun 12/28 17Z 0.15 3215 34 41 2 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.29 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1