Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260822_0000
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sat 08/22 00Z 0.15 0304 75 9 10 0.00
Sat 08/22 01Z 0.23 0605 72 8 10 0.00
Sat 08/22 02Z 0.30 0706 73 8 10 0.00
Sat 08/22 03Z 0.30 0806 75 8 10 0.00
Sat 08/22 04Z 0.30 0907 77 8 10 0.00
Sat 08/22 05Z 0.29 1107 78 9 10 0.00
Sat 08/22 06Z 0.28 1208 78 9 10 0.00
Sat 08/22 07Z 0.25 1410 79 10 10 0.00
Sat 08/22 08Z 0.22 1511 79 8 10 0.00
Sat 08/22 09Z 0.24 1512 80 7 10 0.00
Sat 08/22 10Z 0.25 1613 78 7 10 0.00
Sat 08/22 11Z 0.31 1513 77 8 10 0.00
Sat 08/22 12Z 0.37 1414 79 10 10 0.00
Sat 08/22 13Z 0.45 1315 83 13 9 0.00
Sat 08/22 14Z 0.52 1317 84 17 9 0.00
Sat 08/22 15Z 0.62 1318 82 20 9 0.00
Sat 08/22 16Z 0.97 1417 81 20 9 0.00
Sat 08/22 17Z 1.20 1417 82 20 10 0.00
Sat 08/22 18Z 0.92 1416 82 19 10 0.00
Sat 08/22 19Z 0.70 1416 82 25 10 0.00
Sat 08/22 20Z 0.66 1415 81 30 10 0.00
Sat 08/22 21Z 0.59 1415 80 33 10 0.00
Sat 08/22 22Z 0.50 1416 80 37 11 0.00
Sat 08/22 23Z 0.41 1416 80 40 11 0.00
Sun 08/23 00Z 0.37 1417 80 41 11 0.00
Sun 08/23 01Z 0.38 1417 81 38 11 0.00
Sun 08/23 02Z 0.33 1418 83 40 11 0.00
Sun 08/23 03Z 0.25 1517 84 47 11 0.00
Sun 08/23 04Z 0.21 1517 85 55 12 0.00
Sun 08/23 05Z 0.17 1617 86 63 12 0.00
Sun 08/23 06Z 0.13 1615 86 70 12 0.00
Sun 08/23 07Z 0.12 1614 86 74 12 0.00
Sun 08/23 08Z 0.09 1612 87 79 12 0.00
Sun 08/23 09Z 0.08 1611 87 83 12 0.00
Sun 08/23 10Z 0.12 1510 87 86 12 0.00
Sun 08/23 11Z 0.16 1411 87 91 13 0.01
Sun 08/23 12Z 0.21 1413 88 93 13 0.01
Sun 08/23 13Z 0.24 1414 90 96 13 0.01
Sun 08/23 14Z 0.23 1413 90 95 13 0.01
Sun 08/23 15Z 0.21 1412 92 94 12 0.04
Sun 08/23 16Z 0.15 1511 95 92 12 0.16
Sun 08/23 17Z 0.13 1511 95 87 13 0.10
Sun 08/23 18Z 0.09 1612 97 84 13 0.04
Sun 08/23 19Z 0.06 1712 97 83 13 0.02
Sun 08/23 20Z 0.07 1810 96 76 13 0.00
Sun 08/23 21Z 0.06 1810 95 72 13 0.00
Sun 08/23 22Z 0.05 1810 93 62 14 0.00
Sun 08/23 23Z 0.07 1911 93 53 14 0.00
Mon 08/24 00Z 0.13 1913 93 45 14 0.00
Mon 08/24 01Z 0.19 2013 94 51 13 0.00
Mon 08/24 02Z 0.28 2115 96 65 13 0.02
Mon 08/24 03Z 0.31 2312 89 73 13 0.08
Mon 08/24 04Z 0.29 2410 83 68 13 0.01
Mon 08/24 05Z 0.27 2410 82 65 12 0.01
Mon 08/24 06Z 0.22 2309 81 50 12 0.00
Mon 08/24 07Z 0.20 2309 78 34 13 0.00
Mon 08/24 08Z 0.19 2209 77 26 12 0.00
Mon 08/24 09Z 0.20 2210 79 26 12 0.00
Mon 08/24 10Z 0.18 2110 80 25 12 0.00
Mon 08/24 11Z 0.18 2111 82 30 12 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.52 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1