Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20261102_1800
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Mon 11/02 18Z 0.66 2717 59 78 8 0.00
Mon 11/02 19Z 0.66 2718 60 79 8 0.00
Mon 11/02 20Z 0.71 2718 58 77 8 0.00
Mon 11/02 21Z 0.83 2620 55 78 8 0.00
Mon 11/02 22Z 0.82 2619 54 75 8 0.00
Mon 11/02 23Z 0.86 2620 53 75 8 0.00
Tue 11/03 00Z 0.84 2621 51 74 9 0.00
Tue 11/03 01Z 0.78 2620 50 77 9 0.00
Tue 11/03 02Z 0.74 2620 50 85 9 0.00
Tue 11/03 03Z 0.73 2720 52 88 9 0.00
Tue 11/03 04Z 0.70 2720 53 87 9 0.00
Tue 11/03 05Z 0.61 2717 51 80 9 0.00
Tue 11/03 06Z 0.60 2717 47 85 9 0.00
Tue 11/03 07Z 0.57 2716 45 88 9 0.00
Tue 11/03 08Z 0.53 2715 45 86 9 0.00
Tue 11/03 09Z 0.45 2713 44 89 9 0.00
Tue 11/03 10Z 0.41 2712 48 93 9 0.00
Tue 11/03 11Z 0.43 2612 54 95 9 0.00
Tue 11/03 12Z 0.45 2612 56 94 9 0.00
Tue 11/03 13Z 0.42 2511 56 93 8 0.00
Tue 11/03 14Z 0.38 2411 58 92 8 0.00
Tue 11/03 15Z 0.37 2311 62 93 8 0.00
Tue 11/03 16Z 0.36 2213 62 91 8 0.00
Tue 11/03 17Z 0.38 2215 61 92 8 0.00
Tue 11/03 18Z 0.48 2217 66 95 8 0.00
Tue 11/03 19Z 0.51 2219 79 93 8 0.00
Tue 11/03 20Z 0.52 2322 91 90 9 0.01
Tue 11/03 21Z 0.52 2322 94 86 9 0.01
Tue 11/03 22Z 0.60 2424 94 86 10 0.01
Tue 11/03 23Z 0.65 2426 94 84 10 0.02
Wed 11/04 00Z 0.67 2526 94 77 10 0.02
Wed 11/04 01Z 0.66 2526 95 70 11 0.01
Wed 11/04 02Z 0.69 2625 95 60 11 0.02
Wed 11/04 03Z 0.73 2626 94 54 11 0.01
Wed 11/04 04Z 0.75 2527 90 49 11 0.00
Wed 11/04 05Z 0.77 2528 82 40 11 0.00
Wed 11/04 06Z 0.81 2530 79 42 11 0.00
Wed 11/04 07Z 0.85 2531 77 39 11 0.00
Wed 11/04 08Z 0.89 2532 77 47 11 0.00
Wed 11/04 09Z 0.89 2531 75 54 11 0.00
Wed 11/04 10Z 0.90 2631 73 61 11 0.00
Wed 11/04 11Z 0.89 2630 73 58 11 0.00
Wed 11/04 12Z 0.89 2729 75 58 11 0.00
Wed 11/04 13Z 0.91 2728 75 56 11 0.00
Wed 11/04 14Z 0.91 2726 75 53 11 0.00
Wed 11/04 15Z 0.85 2725 74 53 11 0.00
Wed 11/04 16Z 0.74 2823 73 53 11 0.00
Wed 11/04 17Z 0.66 2821 73 54 12 0.00
Wed 11/04 18Z 0.63 2820 72 53 12 0.00
Wed 11/04 19Z 0.62 2819 71 51 12 0.00
Wed 11/04 20Z 0.58 2818 70 54 12 0.00
Wed 11/04 21Z 0.57 2718 69 57 12 0.00
Wed 11/04 22Z 0.56 2717 69 52 12 0.00
Wed 11/04 23Z 0.55 2717 69 46 12 0.00
Thu 11/05 00Z 0.52 2716 69 45 12 0.00
Thu 11/05 01Z 0.48 2714 68 43 12 0.00
Thu 11/05 02Z 0.41 2713 65 55 13 0.00
Thu 11/05 03Z 0.32 2610 63 56 13 0.00
Thu 11/05 04Z 0.25 2509 60 61 13 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.11 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1