
A Wind Advisory is in effect for most of northern New York and the northern Champlain Valley of Vermont from 8PM Saturday to 8AM Sunday. South to southwest wind gusts of 40 to 50 mph are expected. Strong winds may break limbs or down trees, resulting in isolated power outages. Travel may be difficult for high profile vehicles. Read More >
Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260403_1800
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Fri 04/03 18Z 0.58 2530 79 92 10 0.00
Fri 04/03 19Z 0.64 2532 83 91 11 0.00
Fri 04/03 20Z 0.74 2433 88 85 11 0.00
Fri 04/03 21Z 0.84 2435 91 68 10 0.00
Fri 04/03 22Z 0.89 2435 92 39 10 0.00
Fri 04/03 23Z 1.06 2441 96 38 10 0.01
Sat 04/04 00Z 1.16 2543 96 39 10 0.01
Sat 04/04 01Z 1.18 2541 97 41 9 0.04
Sat 04/04 02Z 1.35 2640 98 22 8 0.05
Sat 04/04 03Z 1.57 2738 96 23 6 0.04
Sat 04/04 04Z 1.40 2738 95 27 5 0.02
Sat 04/04 05Z 1.23 2837 94 25 3 0.02
Sat 04/04 06Z 0.95 2933 93 20 2 0.01
Sat 04/04 07Z 0.66 3029 93 16 1 0.01
Sat 04/04 08Z 0.43 3126 92 15 0 0.01
Sat 04/04 09Z 0.27 3224 88 15 1 0.01
Sat 04/04 10Z 0.15 3420 83 14 1 0.01
Sat 04/04 11Z 0.10 3517 80 14 2 0.00
Sat 04/04 12Z 0.11 0215 73 13 2 0.00
Sat 04/04 13Z 0.14 0314 66 16 3 0.00
Sat 04/04 14Z 0.20 0515 58 19 4 0.00
Sat 04/04 15Z 0.23 0713 56 20 3 0.00
Sat 04/04 16Z 0.22 1012 57 26 3 0.00
Sat 04/04 17Z 0.20 1213 58 37 3 0.00
Sat 04/04 18Z 0.22 1314 62 55 3 0.00
Sat 04/04 19Z 0.25 1417 64 69 3 0.00
Sat 04/04 20Z 0.40 1419 67 53 2 0.00
Sat 04/04 21Z 0.61 1422 70 59 2 0.00
Sat 04/04 22Z 0.47 1526 72 89 2 0.00
Sat 04/04 23Z 0.28 1529 71 91 3 0.00
Sun 04/05 00Z 0.20 1532 69 92 5 0.00
Sun 04/05 01Z 0.15 1633 77 89 4 0.01
Sun 04/05 02Z 0.11 1634 82 81 5 0.01
Sun 04/05 03Z 0.08 1735 85 74 6 0.00
Sun 04/05 04Z 0.06 1737 91 72 7 0.01
Sun 04/05 05Z 0.05 1740 95 83 8 0.01
Sun 04/05 06Z 0.04 1743 95 91 8 0.03
Sun 04/05 07Z 0.05 1845 96 75 9 0.04
Sun 04/05 08Z 0.05 1845 96 88 9 0.02
Sun 04/05 09Z 0.09 1844 96 89 10 0.03
Sun 04/05 10Z 0.14 1944 97 76 10 0.03
Sun 04/05 11Z 0.20 1942 98 87 8 0.08
Sun 04/05 12Z 0.31 2038 98 96 6 0.13
Sun 04/05 13Z 0.45 2232 98 98 4 0.13
Sun 04/05 14Z 0.53 2329 98 95 4 0.08
Sun 04/05 15Z 0.60 2428 93 81 3 0.04
Sun 04/05 16Z 0.71 2528 91 52 2 0.01
Sun 04/05 17Z 0.87 2526 93 29 0 0.00
Sun 04/05 18Z 1.08 2526 94 21 0 0.01
Sun 04/05 19Z 1.88 2525 94 26 -1 0.01
Sun 04/05 20Z 7.32 2525 89 23 -2 0.01
Sun 04/05 21Z 8.20 2628 87 23 -3 0.00
Sun 04/05 22Z 7.89 2629 86 27 -3 0.00
Sun 04/05 23Z 4.41 2631 86 28 -4 0.00
Mon 04/06 00Z 2.44 2632 88 28 -5 0.00
Mon 04/06 01Z 1.69 2632 87 33 -5 0.01
Mon 04/06 02Z 2.17 2631 91 33 -6 0.01
Mon 04/06 03Z 1.70 2731 91 38 -7 0.00
Mon 04/06 04Z 1.81 2730 95 42 -8 0.00
Mon 04/06 05Z 1.60 2730 95 47 -8 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.95 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1