Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260805_0000
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Wed 08/05 00Z 0.33 2507 74 13 15 0.00
Wed 08/05 01Z 0.37 2509 72 16 15 0.00
Wed 08/05 02Z 0.33 2408 69 18 15 0.00
Wed 08/05 03Z 0.30 2409 68 19 16 0.00
Wed 08/05 04Z 0.26 2409 66 19 16 0.00
Wed 08/05 05Z 0.27 2409 66 19 16 0.00
Wed 08/05 06Z 0.31 2410 68 19 16 0.00
Wed 08/05 07Z 0.31 2510 70 18 16 0.00
Wed 08/05 08Z 0.29 2609 69 15 16 0.00
Wed 08/05 09Z 0.28 2709 68 14 15 0.00
Wed 08/05 10Z 0.27 2608 69 12 15 0.00
Wed 08/05 11Z 0.24 2607 71 11 15 0.00
Wed 08/05 12Z 0.19 2406 72 10 15 0.00
Wed 08/05 13Z 0.18 2306 72 9 15 0.00
Wed 08/05 14Z 0.21 2306 74 9 14 0.00
Wed 08/05 15Z 0.24 2205 78 8 14 0.00
Wed 08/05 16Z 0.39 2205 80 7 14 0.00
Wed 08/05 17Z 0.39 2105 78 6 14 0.00
Wed 08/05 18Z 0.47 2107 76 5 15 0.00
Wed 08/05 19Z 0.50 2208 71 4 15 0.00
Wed 08/05 20Z 0.39 2108 66 5 16 0.00
Wed 08/05 21Z 0.38 2210 65 14 16 0.00
Wed 08/05 22Z 0.33 2210 64 21 16 0.00
Wed 08/05 23Z 0.33 2211 67 34 16 0.00
Thu 08/06 00Z 0.32 2211 68 36 16 0.00
Thu 08/06 01Z 0.36 2311 71 42 16 0.00
Thu 08/06 02Z 0.40 2311 76 52 16 0.00
Thu 08/06 03Z 0.44 2412 77 66 16 0.00
Thu 08/06 04Z 0.46 2313 79 70 15 0.00
Thu 08/06 05Z 0.46 2413 79 68 16 0.00
Thu 08/06 06Z 0.42 2412 81 75 16 0.00
Thu 08/06 07Z 0.39 2412 82 72 16 0.00
Thu 08/06 08Z 0.37 2411 82 65 16 0.00
Thu 08/06 09Z 0.30 2409 82 61 16 0.00
Thu 08/06 10Z 0.24 2408 80 66 16 0.00
Thu 08/06 11Z 0.16 2306 79 65 16 0.00
Thu 08/06 12Z 0.12 2205 78 62 16 0.00
Thu 08/06 13Z 0.10 2105 79 59 16 0.00
Thu 08/06 14Z 0.11 2104 81 56 16 0.00
Thu 08/06 15Z 0.11 2104 84 50 16 0.00
Thu 08/06 16Z 0.13 2104 85 44 16 0.00
Thu 08/06 17Z 0.17 2204 86 37 16 0.00
Thu 08/06 18Z 0.29 2204 86 45 16 0.00
Thu 08/06 19Z 0.41 2405 84 51 17 0.00
Thu 08/06 20Z 0.38 2404 82 53 17 0.00
Thu 08/06 21Z 0.30 2404 81 57 17 0.00
Thu 08/06 22Z 0.25 2404 82 63 17 0.00
Thu 08/06 23Z 0.19 2404 83 67 17 0.00
Fri 08/07 00Z 0.24 2405 85 69 17 0.00
Fri 08/07 01Z 0.25 2307 87 70 17 0.00
Fri 08/07 02Z 0.23 2307 88 74 17 0.00
Fri 08/07 03Z 0.22 2308 90 75 17 0.01
Fri 08/07 04Z 0.28 2309 90 76 17 0.03
Fri 08/07 05Z 0.31 2410 91 74 17 0.02
Fri 08/07 06Z 0.29 2509 90 71 17 0.01
Fri 08/07 07Z 0.29 2608 91 66 17 0.01
Fri 08/07 08Z 0.27 2708 92 65 17 0.01
Fri 08/07 09Z 0.24 2807 94 59 17 0.01
Fri 08/07 10Z 0.17 2805 94 57 17 0.01
Fri 08/07 11Z 0.16 2804 95 68 16 0.01
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.12 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1