Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260401_1800
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Wed 04/01 18Z 0.26 3114 88 18 0 0.00
Wed 04/01 19Z 0.28 3116 82 20 0 0.00
Wed 04/01 20Z 0.22 3214 79 23 -1 0.00
Wed 04/01 21Z 0.14 3313 75 27 -1 0.00
Wed 04/01 22Z 0.09 3412 72 33 -1 0.00
Wed 04/01 23Z 0.04 3512 70 40 -1 0.00
Thu 04/02 00Z 0.05 3511 70 39 -1 0.00
Thu 04/02 01Z 0.06 0109 68 37 -1 0.00
Thu 04/02 02Z 0.11 0308 62 36 -1 0.00
Thu 04/02 03Z 0.11 0506 54 42 0 0.00
Thu 04/02 04Z 0.11 0705 52 41 0 0.00
Thu 04/02 05Z 0.12 0906 53 41 0 0.00
Thu 04/02 06Z 0.13 1106 56 39 0 0.00
Thu 04/02 07Z 0.12 1308 62 40 -1 0.00
Thu 04/02 08Z 0.10 1408 68 43 -1 0.00
Thu 04/02 09Z 0.11 1409 73 44 -1 0.00
Thu 04/02 10Z 0.13 1309 75 40 0 0.00
Thu 04/02 11Z 0.12 1410 78 41 0 0.00
Thu 04/02 12Z 0.12 1410 83 43 -1 0.00
Thu 04/02 13Z 0.11 1408 88 45 -1 0.00
Thu 04/02 14Z 0.13 1309 89 45 -1 0.00
Thu 04/02 15Z 0.15 1309 89 48 -1 0.00
Thu 04/02 16Z 0.18 1210 90 53 -1 0.00
Thu 04/02 17Z 0.23 1210 90 57 -1 0.00
Thu 04/02 18Z 0.22 1208 90 63 -1 0.00
Thu 04/02 19Z 0.25 1210 87 65 -1 0.00
Thu 04/02 20Z 0.24 1211 86 78 -1 0.00
Thu 04/02 21Z 0.24 1312 86 87 0 0.00
Thu 04/02 22Z 0.24 1314 86 91 0 0.00
Thu 04/02 23Z 0.26 1418 86 96 0 0.00
Fri 04/03 00Z 0.25 1421 84 91 0 0.00
Fri 04/03 01Z 0.20 1524 84 94 1 0.00
Fri 04/03 02Z 0.16 1627 86 96 2 0.01
Fri 04/03 03Z 0.09 1629 89 95 2 0.02
Fri 04/03 04Z 0.04 1730 93 86 3 0.03
Fri 04/03 05Z 0.04 1832 96 79 4 0.02
Fri 04/03 07Z 0.13 1935 97 59 6 0.02
Fri 04/03 08Z 0.17 1935 97 74 8 0.03
Fri 04/03 09Z 0.25 2036 97 93 8 0.04
Fri 04/03 10Z 0.31 2135 97 87 9 0.06
Fri 04/03 11Z 0.36 2237 97 77 10 0.08
Fri 04/03 13Z 0.44 2336 97 74 10 0.03
Fri 04/03 14Z 0.49 2336 96 76 10 0.02
Fri 04/03 15Z 0.50 2336 94 74 11 0.03
Fri 04/03 16Z 0.58 2437 96 72 11 0.05
Fri 04/03 17Z 0.63 2438 96 82 11 0.05
Fri 04/03 18Z 0.67 2437 94 80 11 0.05
Fri 04/03 19Z 0.76 2439 94 79 11 0.03
Fri 04/03 20Z 0.84 2439 92 80 11 0.01
Fri 04/03 21Z 0.95 2439 91 67 11 0.00
Fri 04/03 22Z 1.07 2440 92 44 10 0.00
Fri 04/03 23Z 1.19 2541 95 26 9 0.00
Sat 04/04 00Z 1.21 2542 97 19 9 0.00
Sat 04/04 01Z 1.28 2542 98 15 9 0.01
Sat 04/04 02Z 1.45 2640 99 14 8 0.01
Sat 04/04 03Z 1.30 2738 98 13 6 0.02
Sat 04/04 04Z 1.04 2834 95 12 4 0.04
Sat 04/04 05Z 0.68 2929 92 11 3 0.06
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.72 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1