Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20261031_1800
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sat 10/31 18Z 0.90 2913 87 20 -4 0.00
Sat 10/31 19Z 1.02 2915 87 15 -4 0.00
Sat 10/31 20Z 0.96 2915 88 15 -4 0.00
Sat 10/31 21Z 0.92 2916 90 21 -4 0.00
Sat 10/31 22Z 1.01 2817 91 23 -4 0.00
Sat 10/31 23Z 1.15 2920 91 21 -4 0.00
Sun 11/01 00Z 1.09 2922 90 29 -4 0.00
Sun 11/01 01Z 1.04 3023 91 31 -4 0.00
Sun 11/01 02Z 0.92 3124 91 26 -4 0.00
Sun 11/01 03Z 0.74 3122 90 19 -4 0.00
Sun 11/01 04Z 0.65 3121 88 12 -4 0.00
Sun 11/01 05Z 0.60 3021 87 11 -3 0.00
Sun 11/01 06Z 0.51 3020 83 12 -2 0.00
Sun 11/01 07Z 0.45 3121 79 13 -1 0.00
Sun 11/01 08Z 0.41 3121 75 14 -1 0.00
Sun 11/01 09Z 0.37 3121 71 13 0 0.00
Sun 11/01 10Z 0.35 3121 64 13 0 0.00
Sun 11/01 11Z 0.35 3122 57 13 0 0.00
Sun 11/01 12Z 0.38 3123 50 13 1 0.00
Sun 11/01 13Z 0.45 3125 50 13 1 0.00
Sun 11/01 14Z 0.54 3028 64 10 1 0.00
Sun 11/01 15Z 0.60 3029 78 8 1 0.00
Sun 11/01 16Z 0.59 3028 79 8 1 0.00
Sun 11/01 17Z 0.58 3027 74 11 2 0.00
Sun 11/01 18Z 0.58 3026 73 16 3 0.00
Sun 11/01 19Z 0.62 2925 72 21 3 0.00
Sun 11/01 20Z 0.67 2926 70 22 3 0.00
Sun 11/01 21Z 0.71 2927 66 22 4 0.00
Sun 11/01 22Z 0.76 2927 60 22 4 0.00
Sun 11/01 23Z 0.76 2927 58 22 4 0.00
Mon 11/02 00Z 0.77 2927 56 23 4 0.00
Mon 11/02 01Z 0.81 2927 53 27 5 0.00
Mon 11/02 02Z 0.88 2828 50 26 5 0.00
Mon 11/02 03Z 0.91 2827 54 40 5 0.00
Mon 11/02 04Z 1.02 2828 59 70 4 0.00
Mon 11/02 05Z 1.05 2828 59 80 5 0.00
Mon 11/02 06Z 1.08 2829 51 82 5 0.00
Mon 11/02 07Z 1.09 2829 50 84 6 0.00
Mon 11/02 08Z 1.07 2829 47 84 6 0.00
Mon 11/02 09Z 1.03 2829 46 84 6 0.00
Mon 11/02 10Z 0.99 2829 44 85 6 0.00
Mon 11/02 11Z 0.92 2828 45 85 6 0.00
Mon 11/02 12Z 0.84 2827 47 87 7 0.00
Mon 11/02 13Z 0.77 2825 49 87 7 0.00
Mon 11/02 14Z 0.71 2723 50 81 7 0.00
Mon 11/02 15Z 0.70 2723 52 81 7 0.00
Mon 11/02 16Z 0.69 2723 60 83 7 0.00
Mon 11/02 17Z 0.67 2722 68 81 7 0.00
Mon 11/02 18Z 0.62 2820 71 77 7 0.00
Mon 11/02 19Z 0.57 2818 71 76 7 0.00
Mon 11/02 20Z 0.62 2819 73 80 7 0.00
Mon 11/02 21Z 0.64 2820 76 76 7 0.00
Mon 11/02 22Z 0.66 2820 81 78 7 0.00
Mon 11/02 23Z 0.65 2820 82 81 7 0.00
Tue 11/03 00Z 0.56 2819 79 75 8 0.00
Tue 11/03 01Z 0.54 2719 77 73 8 0.00
Tue 11/03 02Z 0.56 2820 76 71 8 0.00
Tue 11/03 03Z 0.55 2820 75 72 9 0.00
Tue 11/03 04Z 0.54 2820 72 75 9 0.00
Tue 11/03 05Z 0.53 2819 71 83 9 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.00 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1