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Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260621_1800
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sun 06/21 18Z 2.68 2909 91 79 9 0.00
Sun 06/21 19Z 1.02 2910 90 77 9 0.04
Sun 06/21 20Z 0.57 3013 85 73 9 0.12
Sun 06/21 21Z 0.63 2913 86 77 9 0.01
Sun 06/21 22Z 0.53 2913 87 75 10 0.01
Sun 06/21 23Z 0.53 2915 86 75 10 0.02
Mon 06/22 00Z 0.56 2916 88 72 10 0.02
Mon 06/22 01Z 0.55 2917 87 66 10 0.04
Mon 06/22 02Z 0.50 3017 88 58 10 0.06
Mon 06/22 03Z 0.46 3016 89 59 9 0.01
Mon 06/22 04Z 0.40 3014 87 53 9 0.00
Mon 06/22 05Z 0.35 3013 86 47 10 0.00
Mon 06/22 06Z 0.31 3012 84 38 10 0.00
Mon 06/22 07Z 0.31 2911 84 33 10 0.00
Mon 06/22 08Z 0.29 2810 83 29 10 0.00
Mon 06/22 09Z 0.32 2810 85 29 9 0.00
Mon 06/22 10Z 0.35 2710 86 27 9 0.00
Mon 06/22 11Z 0.40 2711 86 28 9 0.00
Mon 06/22 12Z 0.37 2710 83 25 9 0.00
Mon 06/22 13Z 0.28 2707 78 21 9 0.00
Mon 06/22 14Z 0.18 2704 74 23 10 0.00
Mon 06/22 15Z 0.25 2504 80 29 9 0.00
Mon 06/22 16Z 0.33 2405 80 47 9 0.00
Mon 06/22 17Z 0.26 2107 80 68 9 0.00
Mon 06/22 18Z 0.30 2010 85 77 9 0.01
Mon 06/22 19Z 0.24 2011 83 85 9 0.04
Mon 06/22 20Z 0.19 2012 81 90 9 0.05
Mon 06/22 21Z 0.12 1913 80 87 9 0.04
Mon 06/22 22Z 0.11 1814 80 91 9 0.03
Mon 06/22 23Z 0.12 1715 87 92 9 0.08
Tue 06/23 00Z 0.19 1516 90 93 9 0.15
Tue 06/23 01Z 0.24 1515 93 95 9 0.18
Tue 06/23 02Z 0.28 1417 95 97 9 0.16
Tue 06/23 03Z 0.28 1419 96 99 9 0.19
Tue 06/23 04Z 0.25 1518 97 97 9 0.11
Tue 06/23 05Z 0.25 1419 98 99 10 0.06
Tue 06/23 06Z 0.24 1416 98 97 10 0.16
Tue 06/23 07Z 0.18 1513 97 97 10 0.06
Tue 06/23 08Z 0.15 1509 98 95 10 0.02
Tue 06/23 09Z 0.11 1404 98 93 10 0.01
Tue 06/23 10Z 0.06 0202 98 90 10 0.01
Tue 06/23 11Z 0.04 0005 98 89 10 0.00
Tue 06/23 12Z 0.04 3509 98 79 9 0.00
Tue 06/23 13Z 0.06 3512 98 58 9 0.00
Tue 06/23 14Z 0.06 3514 95 48 9 0.00
Tue 06/23 15Z 0.09 3415 94 43 9 0.01
Tue 06/23 16Z 0.12 3416 91 37 9 0.01
Tue 06/23 17Z 0.17 3417 89 28 10 0.00
Tue 06/23 18Z 0.22 3418 86 20 10 0.00
Tue 06/23 19Z 0.31 3419 86 18 10 0.00
Tue 06/23 20Z 0.47 3318 86 18 10 0.00
Tue 06/23 21Z 0.38 3317 85 16 10 0.00
Tue 06/23 22Z 0.39 3316 88 33 10 0.02
Tue 06/23 23Z 0.52 3220 85 43 10 0.04
Wed 06/24 00Z 0.55 3222 87 43 9 0.01
Wed 06/24 01Z 0.61 3223 84 30 9 0.01
Wed 06/24 02Z 0.60 3223 85 25 9 0.00
Wed 06/24 03Z 0.51 3223 87 22 9 0.01
Wed 06/24 04Z 0.43 3222 90 19 9 0.01
Wed 06/24 05Z 0.38 3222 90 23 9 0.01
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 1.82 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1