
A Winter Weather Advisory remains in effect until 2 PM Today for a storm total 2 to 6 inches of snow for parts of the Adirondack Mountains in New York and Eastern Rutland and Western Windsor Counties in Vermont. Additional snow today between 1 to 3 inches, mainly in the Adirondacks, is possible. Plan on slippery road conditions. Read More >
Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260314_0600
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sat 03/14 06Z 0.11 1922 97 84 -7 0.00
Sat 03/14 07Z 0.18 1923 96 92 -6 0.01
Sat 03/14 08Z 0.31 2023 96 93 -6 0.01
Sat 03/14 09Z 0.50 2224 96 88 -6 0.02
Sat 03/14 10Z 0.72 2324 95 85 -6 0.02
Sat 03/14 11Z 0.89 2324 94 83 -6 0.02
Sat 03/14 12Z 1.02 2424 95 83 -7 0.02
Sat 03/14 13Z 1.54 2524 95 81 -8 0.02
Sat 03/14 14Z 2.14 2522 94 80 -8 0.01
Sat 03/14 15Z 2.77 2520 93 79 -8 0.01
Sat 03/14 16Z 1.54 2520 93 83 -8 0.01
Sat 03/14 17Z 1.57 2519 93 84 -8 0.02
Sat 03/14 19Z 1.81 2727 95 85 -7 0.02
Sat 03/14 20Z 2.99 2832 91 80 -8 0.05
Sat 03/14 21Z 2.67 2833 90 77 -9 0.04
Sat 03/14 22Z 1.82 2833 91 76 -10 0.03
Sat 03/14 23Z 1.74 2835 94 77 -10 0.02
Sun 03/15 00Z 1.42 2935 95 65 -10 0.02
Sun 03/15 01Z 1.34 3033 96 55 -10 0.02
Sun 03/15 02Z 1.26 3031 96 36 -11 0.02
Sun 03/15 03Z 1.28 3030 96 9 -11 0.01
Sun 03/15 04Z 1.11 3028 94 4 -12 0.01
Sun 03/15 05Z 0.95 3027 90 7 -12 0.01
Sun 03/15 06Z 0.62 3024 80 6 -11 0.01
Sun 03/15 07Z 0.43 3021 66 7 -10 0.00
Sun 03/15 08Z 0.34 3120 53 7 -9 0.00
Sun 03/15 09Z 0.25 3117 38 10 -8 0.00
Sun 03/15 10Z 0.18 3214 25 12 -7 0.00
Sun 03/15 11Z 0.14 3210 17 24 -6 0.00
Sun 03/15 12Z 0.09 3207 14 74 -6 0.00
Sun 03/15 13Z 0.05 2902 15 87 -6 0.00
Sun 03/15 14Z 0.02 1803 17 94 -6 0.00
Sun 03/15 15Z 0.04 1709 23 96 -6 0.00
Sun 03/15 16Z 0.09 1615 41 97 -7 0.00
Sun 03/15 17Z 0.08 1721 63 95 -6 0.00
Sun 03/15 18Z 0.06 1727 59 93 -6 0.00
Sun 03/15 19Z 0.05 1731 41 76 -4 0.00
Sun 03/15 20Z 0.06 1835 32 65 -3 0.00
Sun 03/15 21Z 0.09 1837 38 73 -3 0.00
Sun 03/15 22Z 0.12 1839 39 61 -1 0.00
Sun 03/15 23Z 0.16 1942 34 33 0 0.00
Mon 03/16 00Z 0.21 1943 31 25 1 0.00
Mon 03/16 01Z 0.23 1945 29 35 3 0.00
Mon 03/16 02Z 0.25 1946 31 37 3 0.00
Mon 03/16 03Z 0.27 1947 49 37 4 0.00
Mon 03/16 04Z 0.26 1947 66 39 4 0.00
Mon 03/16 05Z 0.22 1948 78 33 4 0.00
Mon 03/16 06Z 0.17 1949 86 50 4 0.00
Mon 03/16 07Z 0.13 1850 89 70 5 0.00
Mon 03/16 08Z 0.09 1850 91 88 5 0.00
Mon 03/16 09Z 0.09 1849 91 94 5 0.01
Mon 03/16 10Z 0.11 1748 94 95 8 0.03
Mon 03/16 11Z 0.10 1750 95 99 9 0.08
Mon 03/16 12Z 0.06 1849 97 82 8 0.12
Mon 03/16 13Z 0.16 1944 96 28 8 0.07
Mon 03/16 14Z 0.24 1945 95 31 8 0.02
Mon 03/16 15Z 0.30 1944 96 30 8 0.01
Mon 03/16 16Z 0.33 1944 92 20 9 0.01
Mon 03/16 17Z 0.32 1944 93 31 10 0.01
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.79 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1