Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260411_1200
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sat 04/11 12Z 1.24 3123 95 11 -6 0.00
Sat 04/11 13Z 1.73 3025 95 5 -6 0.00
Sat 04/11 14Z 1.85 3026 96 6 -7 0.00
Sat 04/11 15Z 1.61 3026 97 9 -7 0.01
Sat 04/11 16Z 1.95 3024 93 11 -7 0.00
Sat 04/11 17Z 3.69 3022 89 12 -7 0.00
Sat 04/11 18Z 5.11 3021 86 12 -6 0.00
Sat 04/11 19Z 7.68 3020 85 13 -6 0.00
Sat 04/11 20Z 8.64 3020 81 14 -6 0.00
Sat 04/11 21Z 8.38 3121 78 15 -6 0.00
Sat 04/11 22Z 6.37 3121 76 14 -5 0.00
Sat 04/11 23Z 3.91 3122 76 13 -6 0.00
Sun 04/12 00Z 2.72 3123 77 11 -6 0.00
Sun 04/12 01Z 2.30 3124 78 10 -6 0.00
Sun 04/12 02Z 1.88 3225 77 11 -6 0.00
Sun 04/12 03Z 1.31 3225 75 11 -6 0.00
Sun 04/12 04Z 0.85 3225 72 12 -6 0.00
Sun 04/12 05Z 0.63 3324 69 11 -6 0.00
Sun 04/12 06Z 0.48 3323 65 12 -6 0.00
Sun 04/12 07Z 0.37 3321 64 13 -6 0.00
Sun 04/12 08Z 0.31 3319 66 15 -6 0.00
Sun 04/12 09Z 0.27 3317 66 17 -5 0.00
Sun 04/12 10Z 0.19 3315 64 18 -4 0.00
Sun 04/12 11Z 0.13 3311 59 21 -4 0.00
Sun 04/12 12Z 0.11 3209 54 23 -2 0.00
Sun 04/12 13Z 0.11 3106 49 24 -2 0.00
Sun 04/12 14Z 0.10 2804 46 25 -1 0.00
Sun 04/12 15Z 0.09 2403 45 26 -1 0.00
Sun 04/12 16Z 0.13 2304 47 27 -1 0.00
Sun 04/12 17Z 0.28 2206 47 32 -2 0.00
Sun 04/12 18Z 0.33 2108 45 64 -1 0.00
Sun 04/12 19Z 0.09 1909 39 75 0 0.00
Sun 04/12 20Z 0.16 1912 51 93 -1 0.00
Sun 04/12 21Z 0.13 1816 59 94 -1 0.00
Sun 04/12 22Z 0.09 1821 69 97 -1 0.02
Sun 04/12 23Z 0.17 1826 76 98 -1 0.03
Mon 04/13 00Z 0.17 1929 86 99 -1 0.05
Mon 04/13 01Z 0.21 1931 90 98 0 0.08
Mon 04/13 02Z 0.26 2032 91 99 1 0.10
Mon 04/13 03Z 0.32 2034 93 98 3 0.10
Mon 04/13 04Z 0.39 2135 94 97 5 0.09
Mon 04/13 05Z 0.42 2237 94 96 7 0.09
Mon 04/13 06Z 0.54 2243 95 93 8 0.10
Mon 04/13 07Z 0.62 2344 96 92 9 0.06
Mon 04/13 08Z 0.68 2445 94 96 10 0.09
Mon 04/13 09Z 0.73 2446 94 92 10 0.09
Mon 04/13 10Z 0.79 2548 94 92 10 0.14
Mon 04/13 11Z 0.82 2547 95 92 10 0.13
Mon 04/13 12Z 0.80 2544 95 93 10 0.11
Mon 04/13 13Z 0.80 2643 95 93 11 0.08
Mon 04/13 14Z 0.81 2641 96 84 10 0.06
Mon 04/13 15Z 0.86 2642 96 82 10 0.10
Mon 04/13 16Z 0.87 2639 96 81 10 0.06
Mon 04/13 17Z 0.97 2640 94 91 10 0.07
Mon 04/13 18Z 1.08 2638 94 96 9 0.08
Mon 04/13 19Z 1.07 2534 97 97 8 0.09
Mon 04/13 20Z 0.97 2532 97 92 8 0.10
Mon 04/13 21Z 1.00 2533 98 92 8 0.09
Mon 04/13 22Z 0.95 2631 97 85 8 0.06
Mon 04/13 23Z 0.91 2730 96 77 9 0.04
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 2.12 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1