Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260329_1200
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sun 03/29 12Z 0.89 2721 85 79 -11 0.00
Sun 03/29 13Z 0.87 2621 85 68 -11 0.00
Sun 03/29 14Z 0.91 2521 84 69 -10 0.00
Sun 03/29 15Z 1.06 2519 78 69 -9 0.00
Sun 03/29 16Z 1.91 2417 67 75 -8 0.00
Sun 03/29 17Z 3.22 2317 65 77 -8 0.00
Sun 03/29 18Z 5.64 2318 65 74 -7 0.00
Sun 03/29 19Z 4.18 2320 65 72 -6 0.00
Sun 03/29 20Z 2.86 2321 65 68 -5 0.00
Sun 03/29 21Z 1.26 2322 62 65 -4 0.00
Sun 03/29 22Z 1.02 2324 61 63 -4 0.00
Sun 03/29 23Z 1.09 2425 59 58 -3 0.00
Mon 03/30 00Z 1.17 2426 59 49 -3 0.00
Mon 03/30 01Z 1.21 2427 55 55 -2 0.00
Mon 03/30 02Z 1.23 2430 55 63 -2 0.00
Mon 03/30 03Z 1.28 2431 56 69 -2 0.00
Mon 03/30 04Z 1.19 2431 59 78 -1 0.00
Mon 03/30 05Z 1.11 2431 61 81 -1 0.00
Mon 03/30 06Z 1.06 2431 66 63 -1 0.00
Mon 03/30 07Z 1.14 2330 68 51 0 0.00
Mon 03/30 08Z 0.80 2331 72 34 0 0.00
Mon 03/30 09Z 0.72 2430 73 37 0 0.00
Mon 03/30 10Z 0.77 2531 72 36 0 0.00
Mon 03/30 11Z 0.81 2529 72 37 0 0.00
Mon 03/30 12Z 0.91 2531 76 36 0 0.00
Mon 03/30 13Z 0.92 2531 79 44 0 0.00
Mon 03/30 14Z 0.91 2530 79 41 0 0.00
Mon 03/30 15Z 0.98 2529 79 45 0 0.00
Mon 03/30 16Z 1.02 2527 79 43 1 0.00
Mon 03/30 17Z 1.24 2526 80 48 1 0.00
Mon 03/30 18Z 1.70 2427 83 50 1 0.00
Mon 03/30 19Z 1.66 2529 85 60 1 0.00
Mon 03/30 20Z 1.51 2530 89 60 2 0.01
Mon 03/30 21Z 1.61 2530 90 68 2 0.01
Mon 03/30 22Z 1.50 2629 92 65 2 0.01
Mon 03/30 23Z 1.32 2629 94 64 2 0.02
Tue 03/31 00Z 1.19 2628 96 64 2 0.03
Tue 03/31 01Z 1.07 2727 97 61 2 0.03
Tue 03/31 02Z 0.94 2825 97 52 1 0.02
Tue 03/31 03Z 0.84 2823 97 51 1 0.01
Tue 03/31 04Z 0.75 2820 98 54 1 0.01
Tue 03/31 05Z 0.68 2719 98 59 1 0.01
Tue 03/31 06Z 0.61 2718 97 59 1 0.02
Tue 03/31 07Z 0.55 2717 97 64 1 0.01
Tue 03/31 08Z 0.48 2716 97 60 1 0.01
Tue 03/31 09Z 0.41 2714 98 60 1 0.01
Tue 03/31 10Z 0.34 2711 98 65 1 0.00
Tue 03/31 11Z 0.28 2610 99 62 1 0.01
Tue 03/31 12Z 0.22 2508 99 61 1 0.01
Tue 03/31 13Z 0.18 2209 98 58 2 0.00
Tue 03/31 14Z 0.13 2010 97 48 2 0.00
Tue 03/31 15Z 0.11 1913 96 55 3 0.00
Tue 03/31 16Z 0.14 1917 97 61 4 0.00
Tue 03/31 17Z 0.12 1921 98 74 4 0.01
Tue 03/31 18Z 0.08 1826 98 93 5 0.03
Tue 03/31 19Z 0.12 1929 96 96 7 0.05
Tue 03/31 20Z 0.26 2031 98 98 7 0.04
Tue 03/31 21Z 0.25 2029 94 78 9 0.04
Tue 03/31 22Z 0.31 2033 93 70 10 0.01
Tue 03/31 23Z 0.46 2138 96 57 9 0.01
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.42 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1