Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260824_1200
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Mon 08/24 12Z 0.19 1914 81 41 9 0.00
Mon 08/24 13Z 0.29 2016 83 51 9 0.00
Mon 08/24 14Z 0.50 2116 89 63 9 0.00
Mon 08/24 15Z 1.38 2116 90 64 9 0.00
Mon 08/24 16Z 1.25 2117 91 63 9 0.00
Mon 08/24 17Z 0.96 2119 85 57 9 0.04
Mon 08/24 18Z 1.87 2218 82 52 9 0.01
Mon 08/24 19Z 3.53 2217 85 51 9 0.00
Mon 08/24 20Z 1.41 2316 84 57 9 0.01
Mon 08/24 21Z 1.27 2316 84 62 9 0.00
Mon 08/24 22Z 0.90 2315 84 63 9 0.00
Mon 08/24 23Z 0.94 2317 83 66 9 0.00
Tue 08/25 00Z 1.02 2318 81 69 9 0.00
Tue 08/25 01Z 1.05 2319 81 70 9 0.00
Tue 08/25 02Z 0.92 2318 82 70 9 0.00
Tue 08/25 03Z 0.73 2318 82 76 9 0.00
Tue 08/25 04Z 0.59 2316 83 72 9 0.00
Tue 08/25 05Z 0.41 2312 83 69 9 0.00
Tue 08/25 06Z 0.32 2311 83 71 9 0.00
Tue 08/25 07Z 0.31 2311 83 72 9 0.00
Tue 08/25 08Z 0.32 2411 85 74 9 0.00
Tue 08/25 09Z 0.30 2312 87 80 9 0.00
Tue 08/25 10Z 0.32 2312 89 75 9 0.00
Tue 08/25 11Z 0.34 2412 91 79 9 0.01
Tue 08/25 12Z 0.35 2413 93 74 9 0.00
Tue 08/25 13Z 0.32 2411 95 73 9 0.00
Tue 08/25 14Z 0.31 2509 96 68 9 0.00
Tue 08/25 15Z 0.33 2608 96 66 9 0.00
Tue 08/25 16Z 0.36 2707 96 77 8 0.00
Tue 08/25 17Z 0.42 2808 97 74 9 0.00
Tue 08/25 18Z 0.46 2810 97 71 9 0.01
Tue 08/25 19Z 0.43 2910 94 66 9 0.01
Tue 08/25 20Z 0.39 3010 95 68 9 0.02
Tue 08/25 21Z 0.37 3112 93 69 9 0.03
Tue 08/25 22Z 0.38 3113 94 62 9 0.01
Tue 08/25 23Z 0.32 3112 91 58 10 0.01
Wed 08/26 00Z 0.31 3112 90 53 9 0.01
Wed 08/26 01Z 0.33 3112 91 48 9 0.00
Wed 08/26 02Z 0.36 3013 94 49 9 0.01
Wed 08/26 03Z 0.37 3013 96 51 9 0.02
Wed 08/26 04Z 0.34 3013 95 50 9 0.02
Wed 08/26 05Z 0.32 3113 95 51 9 0.01
Wed 08/26 06Z 0.31 3012 95 52 9 0.01
Wed 08/26 07Z 0.28 3011 94 48 9 0.01
Wed 08/26 08Z 0.27 3011 92 43 9 0.01
Wed 08/26 09Z 0.25 3011 93 42 9 0.00
Wed 08/26 10Z 0.25 3010 93 39 9 0.01
Wed 08/26 11Z 0.21 3109 92 36 9 0.01
Wed 08/26 12Z 0.17 3107 91 35 9 0.00
Wed 08/26 13Z 0.14 3006 91 34 9 0.00
Wed 08/26 14Z 0.14 2905 90 28 9 0.00
Wed 08/26 15Z 0.13 2804 90 24 9 0.00
Wed 08/26 16Z 0.14 2704 90 22 9 0.00
Wed 08/26 17Z 0.14 2604 89 19 9 0.00
Wed 08/26 18Z 0.15 2504 89 18 9 0.00
Wed 08/26 19Z 0.14 2503 88 17 9 0.00
Wed 08/26 20Z 0.14 2403 88 15 10 0.00
Wed 08/26 21Z 0.15 2504 87 14 10 0.00
Wed 08/26 22Z 0.13 2403 85 13 10 0.00
Wed 08/26 23Z 0.10 2303 84 13 11 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.28 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1