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Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260625_0000
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Thu 06/25 00Z 0.85 2916 79 58 10 0.00
Thu 06/25 01Z 1.14 2919 77 52 10 0.00
Thu 06/25 02Z 1.20 2920 78 46 10 0.00
Thu 06/25 03Z 1.08 2921 80 51 10 0.00
Thu 06/25 04Z 0.80 2920 80 55 10 0.00
Thu 06/25 05Z 0.72 2920 76 60 10 0.00
Thu 06/25 06Z 0.69 2919 73 60 10 0.00
Thu 06/25 07Z 0.66 3018 69 59 10 0.00
Thu 06/25 08Z 0.63 2916 66 44 10 0.00
Thu 06/25 09Z 0.57 2915 65 38 10 0.00
Thu 06/25 10Z 0.55 3014 64 40 10 0.00
Thu 06/25 11Z 0.47 3012 64 48 10 0.00
Thu 06/25 12Z 0.37 3009 64 52 10 0.00
Thu 06/25 13Z 0.32 2907 63 52 10 0.00
Thu 06/25 14Z 0.37 2805 63 53 10 0.00
Thu 06/25 15Z 0.81 2505 65 54 10 0.00
Thu 06/25 16Z 1.58 2505 65 53 10 0.00
Thu 06/25 17Z 2.76 2405 65 47 11 0.00
Thu 06/25 18Z 3.38 2406 65 44 11 0.00
Thu 06/25 19Z 3.52 2306 65 48 11 0.00
Thu 06/25 20Z 2.97 2207 66 53 11 0.00
Thu 06/25 21Z 1.83 2107 67 56 11 0.00
Thu 06/25 22Z 1.23 2107 67 61 11 0.00
Thu 06/25 23Z 0.49 2107 67 64 11 0.00
Fri 06/26 00Z 0.29 2009 65 71 11 0.00
Fri 06/26 01Z 0.29 2010 66 76 11 0.00
Fri 06/26 02Z 0.27 1912 68 81 11 0.00
Fri 06/26 03Z 0.20 1913 69 83 11 0.00
Fri 06/26 04Z 0.19 1914 73 86 11 0.00
Fri 06/26 05Z 0.20 1916 77 87 11 0.00
Fri 06/26 06Z 0.20 1918 82 90 10 0.01
Fri 06/26 07Z 0.20 1919 88 95 10 0.03
Fri 06/26 08Z 0.15 1919 92 94 10 0.08
Fri 06/26 09Z 0.10 1820 93 95 11 0.03
Fri 06/26 10Z 0.15 1920 94 96 10 0.07
Fri 06/26 11Z 0.20 1920 94 95 10 0.14
Fri 06/26 12Z 0.20 1919 94 92 10 0.07
Fri 06/26 13Z 0.25 2016 97 87 10 0.08
Fri 06/26 14Z 0.27 2113 98 78 10 0.03
Fri 06/26 15Z 0.25 2210 97 71 10 0.01
Fri 06/26 16Z 0.23 2307 97 49 10 0.00
Fri 06/26 17Z 0.27 2407 97 49 10 0.00
Fri 06/26 18Z 0.34 2507 96 55 10 0.00
Fri 06/26 19Z 0.34 2505 94 51 11 0.00
Fri 06/26 20Z 0.41 2605 94 51 11 0.00
Fri 06/26 21Z 0.35 2605 93 58 11 0.01
Fri 06/26 22Z 0.27 2505 93 75 11 0.07
Fri 06/26 23Z 0.29 2706 91 59 11 0.06
Sat 06/27 00Z 0.30 2807 93 65 11 0.02
Sat 06/27 01Z 0.27 2807 91 65 11 0.02
Sat 06/27 02Z 0.28 2807 90 66 11 0.01
Sat 06/27 03Z 0.25 2807 92 56 11 0.00
Sat 06/27 04Z 0.28 2808 95 49 11 0.00
Sat 06/27 05Z 0.28 2808 95 45 11 0.01
Sat 06/27 06Z 0.22 2806 94 46 11 0.01
Sat 06/27 07Z 0.20 2806 93 48 10 0.01
Sat 06/27 08Z 0.13 2904 93 47 10 0.01
Sat 06/27 09Z 0.11 2903 94 43 10 0.01
Sat 06/27 10Z 0.06 3002 93 40 10 0.00
Sat 06/27 11Z 0.05 3101 93 42 10 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.79 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1