Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260606_1200
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sat 06/06 12Z 0.37 2021 74 88 14 0.00
Sat 06/06 13Z 0.44 2121 75 88 14 0.01
Sat 06/06 14Z 0.52 2120 75 83 14 0.01
Sat 06/06 15Z 0.93 2220 81 96 13 0.01
Sat 06/06 16Z 1.46 2122 82 98 14 0.02
Sat 06/06 17Z 1.76 2125 82 94 14 0.03
Sat 06/06 18Z 1.72 2125 79 95 15 0.01
Sat 06/06 19Z 1.51 2226 90 93 15 0.15
Sat 06/06 20Z 0.80 2324 88 82 15 0.14
Sat 06/06 21Z 0.76 2225 90 75 15 0.03
Sat 06/06 22Z 0.74 2427 86 73 14 0.21
Sat 06/06 23Z 0.93 2428 88 69 14 0.01
Sun 06/07 00Z 1.10 2531 93 62 13 0.05
Sun 06/07 01Z 1.05 2530 94 75 12 0.02
Sun 06/07 02Z 1.09 2629 97 78 12 0.04
Sun 06/07 03Z 1.09 2629 97 80 11 0.05
Sun 06/07 04Z 1.01 2729 97 88 11 0.08
Sun 06/07 05Z 0.99 2729 97 89 11 0.10
Sun 06/07 06Z 0.96 2829 97 85 10 0.08
Sun 06/07 07Z 1.01 2831 98 78 10 0.06
Sun 06/07 08Z 1.03 2931 97 77 10 0.05
Sun 06/07 09Z 1.01 2931 97 72 10 0.04
Sun 06/07 10Z 1.00 2931 97 73 9 0.04
Sun 06/07 11Z 0.95 2931 97 71 9 0.06
Sun 06/07 12Z 0.93 2930 97 66 9 0.05
Sun 06/07 13Z 0.90 2928 97 62 9 0.05
Sun 06/07 14Z 0.87 3027 97 73 9 0.08
Sun 06/07 15Z 0.82 3126 98 80 8 0.09
Sun 06/07 16Z 0.64 3225 98 93 8 0.10
Sun 06/07 17Z 0.44 3326 98 95 8 0.11
Sun 06/07 18Z 0.39 3326 98 97 7 0.08
Sun 06/07 19Z 0.29 3427 98 97 7 0.04
Sun 06/07 20Z 0.21 3528 97 92 7 0.02
Sun 06/07 21Z 0.15 0026 95 65 7 0.01
Sun 06/07 22Z 0.12 0026 92 36 7 0.00
Sun 06/07 23Z 0.08 0027 87 20 7 0.00
Mon 06/08 00Z 0.17 0028 82 11 7 0.00
Mon 06/08 01Z 0.31 0130 75 3 6 0.00
Mon 06/08 02Z 0.53 0235 78 2 5 0.00
Mon 06/08 03Z 0.72 0237 72 1 5 0.00
Mon 06/08 04Z 0.74 0336 69 1 6 0.00
Mon 06/08 05Z 0.82 0436 68 0 6 0.00
Mon 06/08 06Z 0.83 0436 65 1 6 0.00
Mon 06/08 07Z 0.83 0435 63 1 6 0.00
Mon 06/08 08Z 0.80 0433 61 2 6 0.00
Mon 06/08 09Z 0.76 0431 59 2 6 0.00
Mon 06/08 10Z 0.69 0430 58 3 6 0.00
Mon 06/08 11Z 0.65 0429 56 4 6 0.00
Mon 06/08 12Z 0.59 0428 52 5 7 0.00
Mon 06/08 13Z 0.52 0424 51 5 7 0.00
Mon 06/08 14Z 0.47 0420 49 6 7 0.00
Mon 06/08 15Z 0.46 0416 50 7 7 0.00
Mon 06/08 16Z 0.71 0312 53 7 7 0.00
Mon 06/08 17Z 1.27 0208 56 7 7 0.00
Mon 06/08 18Z 0.52 0106 59 6 8 0.00
Mon 06/08 19Z 0.42 3505 64 6 8 0.00
Mon 06/08 20Z 0.32 3506 69 6 8 0.00
Mon 06/08 21Z 0.39 3306 74 7 8 0.00
Mon 06/08 22Z 0.25 3306 75 7 9 0.00
Mon 06/08 23Z 0.15 3307 71 7 9 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 1.93 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1