Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260715_1200
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Wed 07/15 12Z 0.51 3021 88 71 15 0.00
Wed 07/15 13Z 0.58 3023 83 64 15 0.00
Wed 07/15 14Z 0.62 3023 78 55 15 0.00
Wed 07/15 15Z 0.82 3022 75 55 15 0.00
Wed 07/15 16Z 4.45 3022 80 76 14 0.00
Wed 07/15 17Z 12.10 3025 65 79 14 0.00
Wed 07/15 18Z 12.60 3026 60 80 13 0.00
Wed 07/15 19Z 10.79 3027 60 77 13 0.00
Wed 07/15 20Z 11.30 2927 62 70 13 0.00
Wed 07/15 21Z 8.23 2925 62 53 13 0.00
Wed 07/15 22Z 5.16 3026 61 37 13 0.00
Wed 07/15 23Z 2.75 3027 63 36 12 0.00
Thu 07/16 00Z 1.97 3028 64 33 12 0.00
Thu 07/16 01Z 1.76 3029 66 31 12 0.00
Thu 07/16 02Z 1.54 3030 66 36 12 0.00
Thu 07/16 03Z 1.30 3130 64 39 12 0.00
Thu 07/16 04Z 1.21 3128 63 40 12 0.00
Thu 07/16 05Z 1.11 3127 63 39 12 0.00
Thu 07/16 06Z 1.06 3127 62 42 12 0.00
Thu 07/16 07Z 0.85 3126 65 38 12 0.00
Thu 07/16 08Z 0.65 3225 66 38 12 0.00
Thu 07/16 09Z 0.58 3123 67 39 11 0.00
Thu 07/16 10Z 0.55 3121 68 41 11 0.00
Thu 07/16 11Z 0.54 3020 68 36 11 0.00
Thu 07/16 12Z 0.56 2918 69 45 11 0.00
Thu 07/16 13Z 0.66 2819 71 50 11 0.00
Thu 07/16 14Z 0.87 2721 72 56 11 0.00
Thu 07/16 15Z 1.49 2724 71 55 11 0.00
Thu 07/16 16Z 8.26 2724 75 50 12 0.00
Thu 07/16 17Z 7.69 2726 76 48 12 0.01
Thu 07/16 18Z 13.59 2726 67 42 12 0.00
Thu 07/16 19Z 14.28 2828 70 56 12 0.03
Thu 07/16 20Z 7.71 3027 70 52 12 0.02
Thu 07/16 21Z 2.31 3127 76 49 11 0.02
Thu 07/16 22Z 0.72 3125 83 40 10 0.01
Thu 07/16 23Z 0.74 3125 86 21 10 0.01
Fri 07/17 00Z 0.93 3126 86 13 8 0.01
Fri 07/17 01Z 1.28 3127 73 7 8 0.00
Fri 07/17 02Z 1.13 3228 62 6 7 0.00
Fri 07/17 03Z 1.06 3229 64 16 7 0.00
Fri 07/17 04Z 1.10 3230 64 22 6 0.00
Fri 07/17 05Z 1.14 3229 67 26 6 0.00
Fri 07/17 06Z 0.96 3228 67 29 6 0.00
Fri 07/17 07Z 0.70 3227 64 25 6 0.00
Fri 07/17 08Z 0.60 3227 63 22 7 0.00
Fri 07/17 09Z 0.46 3226 57 21 7 0.00
Fri 07/17 10Z 0.40 3225 52 20 8 0.00
Fri 07/17 11Z 0.37 3225 50 19 8 0.00
Fri 07/17 12Z 0.35 3224 51 19 8 0.00
Fri 07/17 13Z 0.32 3222 52 19 8 0.00
Fri 07/17 14Z 0.33 3221 54 20 8 0.00
Fri 07/17 15Z 0.29 3218 55 19 8 0.00
Fri 07/17 16Z 0.29 3316 59 20 8 0.00
Fri 07/17 17Z 0.38 3214 62 20 8 0.00
Fri 07/17 18Z 0.70 3212 61 20 8 0.00
Fri 07/17 19Z 1.45 3011 60 18 8 0.00
Fri 07/17 20Z 1.64 2911 58 15 9 0.00
Fri 07/17 21Z 1.27 2810 58 13 9 0.00
Fri 07/17 22Z 0.82 2710 61 13 10 0.00
Fri 07/17 23Z 0.63 2710 60 13 10 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.11 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1