Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260323_1800
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Mon 03/23 18Z 0.10 3205 97 22 -8 0.00
Mon 03/23 19Z 0.25 3208 96 22 -8 0.00
Mon 03/23 20Z 0.27 3211 95 24 -8 0.00
Mon 03/23 21Z 0.30 3315 93 26 -9 0.00
Mon 03/23 22Z 0.30 3318 92 23 -9 0.00
Mon 03/23 23Z 0.28 3420 91 21 -9 0.00
Tue 03/24 00Z 0.23 3421 92 20 -10 0.00
Tue 03/24 01Z 0.22 3422 90 19 -10 0.00
Tue 03/24 02Z 0.25 3423 88 19 -10 0.00
Tue 03/24 03Z 0.29 3424 89 20 -10 0.00
Tue 03/24 04Z 0.29 3424 90 16 -10 0.00
Tue 03/24 05Z 0.26 3422 90 13 -11 0.00
Tue 03/24 06Z 0.25 3421 91 12 -11 0.00
Tue 03/24 07Z 0.29 3420 91 8 -11 0.00
Tue 03/24 08Z 0.30 3419 90 4 -11 0.01
Tue 03/24 09Z 0.27 3419 89 4 -11 0.00
Tue 03/24 10Z 0.23 3418 86 5 -12 0.00
Tue 03/24 11Z 0.20 3417 84 8 -12 0.00
Tue 03/24 12Z 0.19 3416 83 10 -12 0.00
Tue 03/24 13Z 0.23 3314 84 11 -13 0.00
Tue 03/24 14Z 0.48 3211 83 13 -13 0.00
Tue 03/24 15Z 0.75 3010 78 12 -12 0.00
Tue 03/24 16Z 0.51 2808 69 9 -11 0.00
Tue 03/24 17Z 0.95 2708 64 7 -11 0.00
Tue 03/24 18Z 0.88 2507 56 5 -10 0.00
Tue 03/24 19Z 0.75 2408 48 5 -9 0.00
Tue 03/24 20Z 0.66 2310 46 6 -8 0.00
Tue 03/24 21Z 0.65 2413 47 8 -8 0.00
Tue 03/24 22Z 0.79 2417 50 16 -8 0.00
Tue 03/24 23Z 0.86 2420 49 32 -7 0.00
Wed 03/25 00Z 1.13 2425 47 35 -7 0.00
Wed 03/25 01Z 2.11 2529 47 66 -8 0.00
Wed 03/25 02Z 5.62 2629 61 80 -9 0.00
Wed 03/25 03Z 2.01 2731 82 90 -10 0.01
Wed 03/25 04Z 1.33 2828 90 65 -10 0.01
Wed 03/25 05Z 1.10 2926 91 11 -10 0.00
Wed 03/25 06Z 1.03 2925 90 14 -10 0.01
Wed 03/25 07Z 0.89 2924 85 7 -10 0.00
Wed 03/25 08Z 0.84 2924 82 6 -9 0.00
Wed 03/25 09Z 0.76 2922 81 10 -9 0.00
Wed 03/25 10Z 0.64 2921 78 23 -9 0.00
Wed 03/25 11Z 0.51 2819 68 40 -8 0.00
Wed 03/25 12Z 0.48 2818 58 31 -7 0.00
Wed 03/25 13Z 0.39 2815 50 21 -6 0.00
Wed 03/25 14Z 0.35 2714 46 12 -5 0.00
Wed 03/25 15Z 0.34 2513 42 12 -5 0.00
Wed 03/25 16Z 0.36 2413 38 14 -5 0.00
Wed 03/25 17Z 0.40 2314 33 9 -5 0.00
Wed 03/25 18Z 0.46 2216 29 21 -4 0.00
Wed 03/25 19Z 0.51 2216 31 47 -4 0.00
Wed 03/25 20Z 0.76 2218 43 76 -4 0.00
Wed 03/25 21Z 0.85 2221 54 93 -4 0.00
Wed 03/25 22Z 1.37 2224 63 92 -4 0.00
Wed 03/25 23Z 5.15 2227 68 89 -5 0.00
Thu 03/26 00Z 1.86 2229 82 89 -5 0.00
Thu 03/26 01Z 0.77 2228 92 84 -4 0.01
Thu 03/26 02Z 0.68 2229 88 86 -3 0.01
Thu 03/26 03Z 0.77 2235 93 74 -3 0.01
Thu 03/26 04Z 0.70 2234 90 93 -2 0.01
Thu 03/26 05Z 0.75 2334 89 92 -1 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.08 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1