National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Extreme Heat Warnings and Heat Advisories remain in effect through Friday

Dangerous heat will continue through Friday. Extreme Heat Warnings are in effect for the entire Champlain Valley & eastern Windsor County in Vermont. Heat Advisories in effect for the remainder of our region. Heat index values will peak around 105 degrees in warning areas with locally higher values possible. Advisory areas will see heat index values up to 100 degrees. Read More >

Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens

Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260703_0000
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.

925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date   Time        Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Fri 07/03 00Z 1.02 2621  76  63  20 0.00
Fri 07/03 01Z 1.17 2725  75  64  20 0.00
Fri 07/03 02Z 1.23 2827  82  70  19 0.00
Fri 07/03 03Z 1.03 2826  86  65  19 0.00
Fri 07/03 04Z 0.84 2925  86  72  19 0.01
Fri 07/03 05Z 0.84 2926  88  57  18 0.02
Fri 07/03 06Z 0.86 3025  89  45  18 0.00
Fri 07/03 07Z 0.81 3024  88  37  17 0.00
Fri 07/03 08Z 0.82 3023  87  24  17 0.00
Fri 07/03 09Z 0.79 3023  86  17  17 0.00
Fri 07/03 10Z 0.67 3023  82  13  17 0.00
Fri 07/03 11Z 0.54 3022  75  11  17 0.00
Fri 07/03 12Z 0.46 3120  73  16  17 0.00
Fri 07/03 13Z 0.43 3018  70  19  18 0.00
Fri 07/03 14Z 0.45 3016  68  19  17 0.00
Fri 07/03 15Z 0.55 2915  69  34  17 0.00
Fri 07/03 16Z 0.72 2816  69  54  18 0.00
Fri 07/03 17Z 1.47 2817  74  47  17 0.00
Fri 07/03 18Z 7.55 2718  74  52  17 0.00
Fri 07/03 19Z 8.27 2818  67  55  18 0.00
Fri 07/03 20Z 8.14 2817  64  62  18 0.00
Fri 07/03 21Z 6.62 2817  65  68  18 0.00
Fri 07/03 22Z 2.44 2716  68  74  18 0.00
Fri 07/03 23Z 1.77 2718  71  83  18 0.00
Sat 07/04 00Z 1.22 2720  79  79  18 0.04
Sat 07/04 01Z 1.04 2618  82  85  17 0.00
Sat 07/04 02Z 0.85 2720  87  90  17 0.05
Sat 07/04 03Z 0.81 2721  92  84  16 0.01
Sat 07/04 04Z 0.61 2820  93  74  17 0.02
Sat 07/04 05Z 0.54 2920  88  74  17 0.01
Sat 07/04 06Z 0.53 3022  87  69  16 0.01
Sat 07/04 07Z 0.51 3122  87  55  16 0.01
Sat 07/04 08Z 0.54 3022  89  47  15 0.01
Sat 07/04 09Z 0.55 3123  89  47  15 0.01
Sat 07/04 10Z 0.52 3124  89  44  15 0.01
Sat 07/04 11Z 0.54 3125  90  53  14 0.01
Sat 07/04 12Z 0.53 3125  89  47  14 0.01
Sat 07/04 13Z 0.53 3123  85  40  13 0.01
Sat 07/04 14Z 0.57 3123  84  36  13 0.00
Sat 07/04 15Z 0.53 3220  82  26  12 0.00
Sat 07/04 16Z 0.60 3220  81  27  12 0.00
Sat 07/04 17Z 0.88 3217  75  24  12 0.00
Sat 07/04 18Z 2.24 3217  71  18  12 0.00
Sat 07/04 19Z 2.60 3116  73  16  12 0.00
Sat 07/04 20Z 2.96 3115  74  13  12 0.00
Sat 07/04 21Z 2.22 3114  75  13  12 0.00
Sat 07/04 22Z 2.04 3115  73  11  12 0.00
Sat 07/04 23Z 1.25 3116  69  12  12 0.00
Sun 07/05 00Z 1.13 3117  66  13  12 0.00
Sun 07/05 01Z 1.07 3118  65  13  12 0.00
Sun 07/05 02Z 1.09 3218  64  10  12 0.00
Sun 07/05 03Z 0.96 3217  65   9  12 0.00
Sun 07/05 04Z 0.61 3216  64   8  11 0.00
Sun 07/05 05Z 0.39 3315  59   6  12 0.00
Sun 07/05 06Z 0.27 3313  54   5  12 0.00
Sun 07/05 07Z 0.22 3311  52   5  12 0.00
Sun 07/05 08Z 0.14 3309  50   4  12 0.00
Sun 07/05 09Z 0.14 3307  47   3  12 0.00
Sun 07/05 10Z 0.20 3207  47   3  12 0.00
Sun 07/05 11Z 0.23 3207  47   4  11 0.00

Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.24 inches.

Froude Number (Frd#): 
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
         Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
         W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
         Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
         Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
         W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
         Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
         Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
         With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
         Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
         W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
         Air flows freely over terrain.
         Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.

Relative Humidity (RH): 
         925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
         with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
         with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.

850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
        T > -11       10-15:1
        T -11 to -15  25-35:1
        T < -15       15-20:1