Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260825_0600
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Tue 08/25 06Z 0.33 2212 89 97 9 0.00
Tue 08/25 07Z 0.37 2412 90 94 8 0.00
Tue 08/25 08Z 0.33 2410 92 89 9 0.00
Tue 08/25 09Z 0.29 2409 93 89 9 0.01
Tue 08/25 10Z 0.31 2310 94 92 9 0.01
Tue 08/25 11Z 0.32 2312 95 94 9 0.01
Tue 08/25 12Z 0.34 2512 96 86 9 0.02
Tue 08/25 13Z 0.31 2610 96 84 9 0.01
Tue 08/25 14Z 0.32 2810 95 77 9 0.01
Tue 08/25 15Z 0.35 2910 96 71 9 0.01
Tue 08/25 16Z 0.38 3011 97 67 8 0.01
Tue 08/25 17Z 0.40 3010 96 67 8 0.00
Tue 08/25 18Z 0.38 3009 96 71 8 0.02
Tue 08/25 19Z 0.36 3010 96 73 9 0.06
Tue 08/25 20Z 0.34 3111 93 62 9 0.03
Tue 08/25 21Z 0.33 3111 92 56 9 0.01
Tue 08/25 22Z 0.32 3111 91 60 9 0.02
Tue 08/25 23Z 0.29 3112 89 54 10 0.00
Wed 08/26 00Z 0.28 3113 88 58 10 0.01
Wed 08/26 01Z 0.30 3114 86 54 10 0.01
Wed 08/26 02Z 0.29 3114 87 57 9 0.01
Wed 08/26 03Z 0.28 3213 87 56 9 0.01
Wed 08/26 04Z 0.26 3213 86 53 9 0.01
Wed 08/26 05Z 0.23 3212 85 49 9 0.01
Wed 08/26 06Z 0.25 3112 87 46 9 0.01
Wed 08/26 07Z 0.24 3112 87 44 9 0.01
Wed 08/26 08Z 0.21 3212 85 40 10 0.01
Wed 08/26 09Z 0.18 3211 85 38 10 0.01
Wed 08/26 10Z 0.17 3210 86 36 10 0.01
Wed 08/26 11Z 0.17 3209 86 31 10 0.01
Wed 08/26 12Z 0.16 3108 87 27 10 0.01
Wed 08/26 13Z 0.11 3206 85 21 10 0.01
Wed 08/26 14Z 0.09 3105 84 18 10 0.00
Wed 08/26 15Z 0.10 2904 84 17 10 0.00
Wed 08/26 16Z 0.10 2903 83 15 10 0.00
Wed 08/26 17Z 0.11 2803 82 12 11 0.00
Wed 08/26 18Z 0.12 2704 81 9 11 0.00
Wed 08/26 19Z 0.09 2602 80 8 11 0.00
Wed 08/26 20Z 0.08 2402 79 7 11 0.00
Wed 08/26 21Z 0.09 2303 79 6 11 0.00
Wed 08/26 22Z 0.06 2103 77 5 11 0.00
Wed 08/26 23Z 0.03 1904 77 3 11 0.00
Thu 08/27 00Z 0.05 1905 77 2 12 0.00
Thu 08/27 01Z 0.05 1907 75 3 12 0.00
Thu 08/27 02Z 0.07 1908 71 8 12 0.00
Thu 08/27 03Z 0.08 1909 69 12 12 0.00
Thu 08/27 04Z 0.11 2010 67 17 12 0.00
Thu 08/27 05Z 0.18 2012 64 21 12 0.00
Thu 08/27 06Z 0.22 2113 63 22 12 0.00
Thu 08/27 07Z 0.29 2115 68 23 12 0.00
Thu 08/27 08Z 0.38 2217 73 19 12 0.00
Thu 08/27 09Z 0.44 2219 77 15 11 0.00
Thu 08/27 10Z 0.47 2120 84 15 11 0.00
Thu 08/27 11Z 0.42 2120 82 16 11 0.00
Thu 08/27 12Z 0.39 2121 83 18 12 0.00
Thu 08/27 13Z 0.35 2120 82 17 12 0.00
Thu 08/27 14Z 0.35 2120 88 15 12 0.00
Thu 08/27 15Z 0.35 2020 93 17 12 0.00
Thu 08/27 16Z 0.28 2019 94 24 12 0.00
Thu 08/27 17Z 0.30 1919 96 34 12 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.37 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1