Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260225_0000
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Wed 02/25 00Z 0.53 2814 79 18 -15 0.00
Wed 02/25 01Z 0.46 2714 78 10 -15 0.00
Wed 02/25 02Z 0.49 2716 77 6 -14 0.00
Wed 02/25 03Z 0.41 2615 72 8 -14 0.00
Wed 02/25 04Z 0.26 2411 66 24 -13 0.00
Wed 02/25 05Z 0.29 2315 67 40 -13 0.00
Wed 02/25 06Z 0.26 2216 62 52 -12 0.00
Wed 02/25 08Z 0.36 2220 58 85 -12 0.00
Wed 02/25 09Z 0.27 2119 61 67 -11 0.00
Wed 02/25 10Z 0.19 2021 66 71 -10 0.00
Wed 02/25 11Z 0.19 1926 74 90 -10 0.00
Wed 02/25 12Z 0.17 1929 88 87 -9 0.00
Wed 02/25 13Z 0.18 1930 91 86 -9 0.01
Wed 02/25 14Z 0.25 2029 92 86 -9 0.03
Wed 02/25 16Z 0.34 2120 94 87 -9 0.03
Wed 02/25 17Z 0.37 2116 94 57 -8 0.03
Wed 02/25 18Z 0.45 2115 93 43 -8 0.02
Wed 02/25 19Z 0.70 2115 93 54 -8 0.01
Wed 02/25 20Z 0.82 2116 93 75 -8 0.00
Wed 02/25 21Z 0.63 2117 94 83 -7 0.00
Wed 02/25 22Z 0.69 2219 95 86 -7 0.00
Thu 02/26 00Z 0.58 2222 94 82 -6 0.00
Thu 02/26 01Z 0.66 2226 97 87 -6 0.01
Thu 02/26 02Z 0.93 2326 96 90 -6 0.00
Thu 02/26 03Z 1.35 2424 93 73 -7 0.00
Thu 02/26 04Z 1.59 2524 91 73 -8 0.02
Thu 02/26 05Z 1.37 2524 91 56 -9 0.03
Thu 02/26 06Z 1.06 2523 90 68 -9 0.02
Thu 02/26 07Z 1.10 2524 94 37 -10 0.01
Thu 02/26 08Z 1.46 2625 95 34 -11 0.00
Thu 02/26 09Z 1.86 2726 93 37 -12 0.00
Thu 02/26 10Z 2.08 2726 87 38 -14 0.00
Thu 02/26 11Z 1.33 2727 77 35 -14 0.01
Thu 02/26 12Z 1.21 2727 73 23 -14 0.01
Thu 02/26 13Z 1.32 2727 75 12 -15 0.00
Thu 02/26 14Z 1.52 2726 76 6 -15 0.00
Thu 02/26 15Z 3.88 2724 77 4 -15 0.00
Thu 02/26 16Z 7.82 2721 79 4 -15 0.00
Thu 02/26 17Z 8.60 2718 80 5 -15 0.00
Thu 02/26 18Z 8.37 2617 80 6 -15 0.00
Thu 02/26 19Z 8.23 2617 81 7 -15 0.00
Thu 02/26 20Z 7.88 2618 81 10 -14 0.00
Thu 02/26 21Z 5.98 2618 79 13 -14 0.00
Thu 02/26 23Z 1.68 2721 77 19 -14 0.00
Fri 02/27 01Z 0.88 2821 74 27 -14 0.00
Fri 02/27 03Z 0.61 2821 68 37 -13 0.00
Fri 02/27 07Z 0.33 2816 54 50 -10 0.00
Fri 02/27 09Z 0.28 2714 47 62 -9 0.00
Fri 02/27 11Z 0.32 2616 47 78 -8 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.24 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1