Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260914_1800
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Mon 09/14 18Z 4.49 3215 86 18 3 0.00
Mon 09/14 19Z 3.98 3217 85 21 4 0.00
Mon 09/14 20Z 2.58 3217 83 22 4 0.00
Mon 09/14 21Z 2.02 3218 85 22 4 0.00
Mon 09/14 22Z 1.36 3219 83 21 4 0.00
Mon 09/14 23Z 1.28 3221 82 19 4 0.00
Tue 09/15 00Z 1.11 3220 82 17 3 0.00
Tue 09/15 01Z 0.90 3220 83 16 3 0.00
Tue 09/15 02Z 0.70 3320 83 12 3 0.00
Tue 09/15 03Z 0.31 3318 80 10 4 0.00
Tue 09/15 04Z 0.17 3416 75 9 5 0.00
Tue 09/15 05Z 0.05 3512 66 7 6 0.00
Tue 09/15 06Z 0.04 3509 65 7 6 0.00
Tue 09/15 07Z 0.03 3507 61 7 7 0.00
Tue 09/15 08Z 0.11 3208 64 7 6 0.00
Tue 09/15 09Z 0.06 3407 62 8 6 0.00
Tue 09/15 10Z 0.02 0004 58 10 6 0.00
Tue 09/15 11Z 0.04 0701 54 13 7 0.00
Tue 09/15 12Z 0.05 1503 51 15 7 0.00
Tue 09/15 13Z 0.05 1904 52 16 7 0.00
Tue 09/15 14Z 0.05 2005 54 17 7 0.00
Tue 09/15 15Z 0.06 2005 55 17 8 0.00
Tue 09/15 16Z 0.06 1907 56 17 8 0.00
Tue 09/15 17Z 0.09 2008 57 16 9 0.00
Tue 09/15 18Z 0.12 2010 57 15 9 0.00
Tue 09/15 19Z 0.13 2011 59 13 9 0.00
Tue 09/15 20Z 0.20 2012 59 13 9 0.00
Tue 09/15 21Z 0.12 1914 48 32 12 0.00
Tue 09/15 22Z 0.12 1917 43 48 13 0.00
Tue 09/15 23Z 0.18 2019 41 80 13 0.00
Wed 09/16 00Z 0.22 2020 36 91 14 0.00
Wed 09/16 01Z 0.23 2122 33 90 14 0.00
Wed 09/16 02Z 0.23 2122 31 87 15 0.00
Wed 09/16 03Z 0.30 2222 36 89 15 0.00
Wed 09/16 04Z 0.35 2222 42 93 14 0.00
Wed 09/16 05Z 0.38 2322 45 90 14 0.00
Wed 09/16 06Z 0.39 2322 43 91 14 0.00
Wed 09/16 07Z 0.43 2423 45 91 14 0.00
Wed 09/16 08Z 0.47 2424 48 91 14 0.00
Wed 09/16 09Z 0.47 2422 54 87 14 0.00
Wed 09/16 10Z 0.49 2522 63 87 14 0.00
Wed 09/16 11Z 0.47 2521 71 89 14 0.00
Wed 09/16 12Z 0.46 2520 78 84 15 0.00
Wed 09/16 13Z 0.49 2522 82 80 14 0.01
Wed 09/16 14Z 0.50 2521 88 78 15 0.01
Wed 09/16 15Z 0.49 2620 94 74 14 0.01
Wed 09/16 16Z 0.47 2719 96 75 14 0.02
Wed 09/16 17Z 0.43 2818 98 79 14 0.02
Wed 09/16 18Z 0.36 2815 98 73 14 0.02
Wed 09/16 19Z 0.32 2913 98 76 14 0.01
Wed 09/16 20Z 0.28 2912 98 64 13 0.01
Wed 09/16 21Z 0.24 3010 97 74 13 0.01
Wed 09/16 22Z 0.21 3009 94 61 13 0.00
Wed 09/16 23Z 0.21 3009 93 35 13 0.00
Thu 09/17 00Z 0.16 3108 91 17 13 0.00
Thu 09/17 01Z 0.15 3107 88 15 12 0.00
Thu 09/17 02Z 0.12 3106 87 11 12 0.00
Thu 09/17 03Z 0.10 3104 90 10 12 0.00
Thu 09/17 04Z 0.10 3004 92 11 12 0.01
Thu 09/17 05Z 0.09 2803 92 9 12 0.01
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.14 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1