Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260429_1200
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Wed 04/29 12Z 0.09 1911 69 72 6 0.00
Wed 04/29 13Z 0.07 1910 69 63 6 0.00
Wed 04/29 14Z 0.03 1809 70 49 6 0.00
Wed 04/29 15Z 0.04 1708 71 46 6 0.00
Wed 04/29 16Z 0.12 1609 71 41 6 0.00
Wed 04/29 17Z 0.27 1610 72 50 6 0.00
Wed 04/29 18Z 0.72 1612 73 57 5 0.00
Wed 04/29 19Z 1.04 1613 74 66 5 0.00
Wed 04/29 20Z 1.29 1613 75 59 6 0.00
Wed 04/29 21Z 1.26 1514 76 45 6 0.00
Wed 04/29 22Z 0.67 1616 78 47 5 0.00
Wed 04/29 23Z 0.29 1618 79 60 5 0.00
Thu 04/30 00Z 0.19 1619 80 68 6 0.00
Thu 04/30 01Z 0.15 1620 82 74 6 0.00
Thu 04/30 02Z 0.14 1621 83 83 7 0.00
Thu 04/30 03Z 0.13 1622 84 90 7 0.00
Thu 04/30 04Z 0.12 1624 85 95 7 0.00
Thu 04/30 05Z 0.10 1626 90 96 6 0.01
Thu 04/30 06Z 0.08 1727 92 94 5 0.03
Thu 04/30 07Z 0.06 1728 94 99 5 0.07
Thu 04/30 08Z 0.05 1729 95 97 5 0.10
Thu 04/30 09Z 0.05 1727 97 98 4 0.10
Thu 04/30 10Z 0.04 1825 97 99 3 0.09
Thu 04/30 11Z 0.07 1823 97 99 2 0.07
Thu 04/30 12Z 0.08 1821 98 95 1 0.04
Thu 04/30 13Z 0.15 1919 98 92 0 0.02
Thu 04/30 14Z 0.22 1917 99 86 0 0.02
Thu 04/30 15Z 0.25 2014 99 87 0 0.01
Thu 04/30 16Z 0.28 2111 99 81 0 0.01
Thu 04/30 17Z 0.33 2309 99 81 0 0.01
Thu 04/30 18Z 0.44 2509 98 81 0 0.01
Thu 04/30 19Z 0.54 2610 98 77 0 0.01
Thu 04/30 20Z 0.64 2711 97 76 0 0.01
Thu 04/30 21Z 0.67 2811 96 73 0 0.01
Thu 04/30 22Z 0.64 2912 97 70 0 0.02
Thu 04/30 23Z 0.66 3015 96 65 0 0.02
Fri 05/01 00Z 0.60 3016 93 61 0 0.00
Fri 05/01 01Z 0.53 3117 90 64 0 0.00
Fri 05/01 02Z 0.52 3017 92 65 -1 0.00
Fri 05/01 03Z 0.53 3017 93 72 -1 0.01
Fri 05/01 04Z 0.49 3117 95 76 -1 0.01
Fri 05/01 05Z 0.44 3117 95 72 -2 0.01
Fri 05/01 06Z 0.40 3117 93 67 -2 0.00
Fri 05/01 07Z 0.37 3117 91 64 -2 0.00
Fri 05/01 08Z 0.37 3117 89 61 -2 0.00
Fri 05/01 09Z 0.38 3118 85 62 -2 0.00
Fri 05/01 10Z 0.38 3118 78 61 -3 0.00
Fri 05/01 11Z 0.37 3118 76 62 -3 0.00
Fri 05/01 12Z 0.38 3116 78 61 -4 0.00
Fri 05/01 13Z 0.45 3115 82 48 -4 0.00
Fri 05/01 14Z 0.69 3014 82 54 -4 0.00
Fri 05/01 15Z 2.34 3012 78 55 -4 0.00
Fri 05/01 16Z 4.37 3010 76 56 -3 0.00
Fri 05/01 17Z 5.44 2909 76 54 -3 0.00
Fri 05/01 18Z 5.71 2808 76 44 -2 0.00
Fri 05/01 19Z 5.39 2708 77 45 -2 0.00
Fri 05/01 20Z 4.89 2708 78 60 -1 0.00
Fri 05/01 21Z 3.40 2809 82 74 -1 0.02
Fri 05/01 22Z 2.43 2809 79 62 -2 0.01
Fri 05/01 23Z 1.29 2908 79 61 -2 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.72 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1