Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260403_1200
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Fri 04/03 12Z 0.39 2237 88 93 10 0.00
Fri 04/03 13Z 0.45 2238 88 97 10 0.02
Fri 04/03 14Z 0.47 2336 88 95 11 0.02
Fri 04/03 15Z 0.51 2336 90 82 11 0.00
Fri 04/03 16Z 0.55 2435 92 76 11 0.00
Fri 04/03 17Z 0.63 2436 92 84 11 0.00
Fri 04/03 18Z 0.70 2537 92 66 11 0.00
Fri 04/03 19Z 0.76 2536 91 56 11 0.00
Fri 04/03 20Z 0.85 2536 89 56 11 0.01
Fri 04/03 21Z 0.93 2536 88 45 11 0.00
Fri 04/03 22Z 1.08 2537 89 29 10 0.00
Fri 04/03 23Z 1.14 2539 92 26 10 0.00
Sat 04/04 00Z 1.18 2541 95 24 9 0.01
Sat 04/04 01Z 1.32 2542 97 23 9 0.02
Sat 04/04 02Z 1.37 2641 98 17 8 0.03
Sat 04/04 03Z 1.51 2740 98 13 7 0.03
Sat 04/04 04Z 1.47 2738 97 17 5 0.03
Sat 04/04 05Z 1.24 2836 96 18 3 0.03
Sat 04/04 07Z 0.62 3029 94 18 0 0.02
Sat 04/04 09Z 0.26 3325 89 16 0 0.01
Sat 04/04 10Z 0.13 3422 83 13 1 0.01
Sat 04/04 14Z 0.20 0514 56 12 4 0.01
Sat 04/04 15Z 0.21 0712 54 12 3 0.00
Sat 04/04 16Z 0.22 1012 55 14 3 0.00
Sat 04/04 17Z 0.21 1213 58 17 3 0.00
Sat 04/04 18Z 0.22 1314 61 26 2 0.00
Sat 04/04 19Z 0.25 1416 64 47 2 0.00
Sat 04/04 20Z 0.42 1418 66 59 1 0.00
Sat 04/04 21Z 0.71 1420 69 61 1 0.00
Sat 04/04 22Z 0.43 1524 72 46 2 0.00
Sat 04/04 23Z 0.27 1528 72 80 4 0.00
Sun 04/05 00Z 0.17 1630 65 91 5 0.00
Sun 04/05 01Z 0.12 1633 63 85 5 0.00
Sun 04/05 02Z 0.11 1634 70 80 6 0.00
Sun 04/05 03Z 0.10 1635 77 89 7 0.00
Sun 04/05 04Z 0.07 1737 85 93 7 0.00
Sun 04/05 05Z 0.06 1740 92 95 8 0.00
Sun 04/05 06Z 0.05 1743 96 90 7 0.00
Sun 04/05 07Z 0.05 1844 95 68 8 0.00
Sun 04/05 08Z 0.06 1845 95 76 8 0.00
Sun 04/05 09Z 0.08 1844 95 80 9 0.00
Sun 04/05 10Z 0.12 1943 96 84 9 0.02
Sun 04/05 11Z 0.18 1941 97 70 8 0.07
Sun 04/05 12Z 0.28 2038 98 92 7 0.02
Sun 04/05 13Z 0.38 2135 98 97 6 0.01
Sun 04/05 14Z 0.50 2332 97 95 5 0.01
Sun 04/05 15Z 0.54 2429 92 87 4 0.03
Sun 04/05 17Z 0.89 2526 96 20 0 0.05
Sun 04/05 18Z 1.40 2527 95 22 -1 0.07
Sun 04/05 19Z 3.08 2526 94 21 -2 0.09
Sun 04/05 21Z 8.69 2627 87 13 -3 0.08
Sun 04/05 22Z 6.76 2628 87 16 -4 0.03
Sun 04/05 23Z 3.49 2629 87 17 -4 0.01
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.74 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1