Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260215_0600
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sun 02/15 06Z 0.55 3020 85 18 -10 0.00
Sun 02/15 07Z 0.50 3020 87 21 -10 0.00
Sun 02/15 08Z 0.43 3019 88 21 -11 0.00
Sun 02/15 09Z 0.36 3119 90 21 -11 0.00
Sun 02/15 10Z 0.27 3219 86 20 -11 0.00
Sun 02/15 11Z 0.19 3318 76 20 -10 0.00
Sun 02/15 12Z 0.13 3316 62 18 -10 0.00
Sun 02/15 13Z 0.09 3414 49 17 -9 0.00
Sun 02/15 14Z 0.06 3511 40 17 -9 0.00
Sun 02/15 15Z 0.06 0008 34 19 -8 0.00
Sun 02/15 16Z 0.07 0206 32 22 -8 0.00
Sun 02/15 17Z 0.09 0505 31 25 -7 0.00
Sun 02/15 19Z 0.09 1104 32 35 -7 0.00
Sun 02/15 20Z 0.06 1504 33 38 -7 0.00
Sun 02/15 21Z 0.04 1605 31 38 -6 0.00
Sun 02/15 22Z 0.04 1606 28 34 -5 0.00
Sun 02/15 23Z 0.04 1608 28 31 -5 0.00
Mon 02/16 00Z 0.04 1710 30 30 -5 0.00
Mon 02/16 01Z 0.02 1711 31 33 -5 0.00
Mon 02/16 02Z 0.02 1712 36 40 -4 0.00
Mon 02/16 03Z 0.03 1812 43 47 -5 0.00
Mon 02/16 04Z 0.05 1813 52 47 -5 0.00
Mon 02/16 05Z 0.07 1914 65 51 -5 0.00
Mon 02/16 06Z 0.08 1915 76 58 -5 0.00
Mon 02/16 07Z 0.09 1915 84 67 -5 0.00
Mon 02/16 08Z 0.09 1914 87 77 -5 0.00
Mon 02/16 09Z 0.08 1912 87 87 -4 0.00
Mon 02/16 10Z 0.08 1912 88 93 -4 0.00
Mon 02/16 11Z 0.08 1912 89 96 -5 0.00
Mon 02/16 12Z 0.05 1912 90 89 -5 0.00
Mon 02/16 13Z 0.06 1912 91 84 -5 0.00
Mon 02/16 14Z 0.07 1912 92 74 -4 0.00
Mon 02/16 15Z 0.11 2012 92 69 -4 0.00
Mon 02/16 16Z 0.12 2012 93 59 -4 0.00
Mon 02/16 17Z 0.14 2111 93 48 -4 0.00
Mon 02/16 18Z 0.11 2011 93 36 -4 0.00
Mon 02/16 19Z 0.13 2011 93 29 -4 0.00
Mon 02/16 20Z 0.16 2112 93 26 -4 0.00
Mon 02/16 21Z 0.22 2114 93 35 -4 0.00
Mon 02/16 22Z 0.22 2214 93 55 -3 0.00
Mon 02/16 23Z 0.27 2216 94 64 -4 0.00
Tue 02/17 00Z 0.31 2218 94 90 -4 0.00
Tue 02/17 01Z 0.35 2318 92 90 -3 0.00
Tue 02/17 02Z 0.39 2318 91 92 -4 0.00
Tue 02/17 03Z 0.44 2319 95 92 -4 0.01
Tue 02/17 04Z 0.46 2420 97 91 -3 0.02
Tue 02/17 05Z 0.44 2419 97 91 -3 0.03
Tue 02/17 06Z 0.46 2519 97 91 -3 0.04
Tue 02/17 07Z 0.46 2518 96 88 -3 0.03
Tue 02/17 08Z 0.44 2517 96 86 -3 0.02
Tue 02/17 09Z 0.41 2516 95 71 -3 0.02
Tue 02/17 10Z 0.38 2614 96 60 -3 0.01
Tue 02/17 11Z 0.37 2613 97 47 -3 0.01
Tue 02/17 12Z 0.35 2713 97 39 -3 0.01
Tue 02/17 13Z 0.35 2812 97 34 -3 0.02
Tue 02/17 14Z 0.32 2912 97 27 -3 0.01
Tue 02/17 15Z 0.30 2911 97 15 -3 0.01
Tue 02/17 16Z 0.30 2911 96 10 -3 0.01
Tue 02/17 17Z 0.31 2911 96 14 -3 0.01
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.26 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1