Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20261102_1200
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Mon 11/02 12Z 0.62 2822 56 87 7 0.00
Mon 11/02 13Z 0.63 2822 59 85 8 0.00
Mon 11/02 14Z 0.63 2821 57 80 8 0.00
Mon 11/02 15Z 0.61 2820 55 77 8 0.00
Mon 11/02 16Z 0.62 2721 53 79 8 0.00
Mon 11/02 17Z 0.62 2720 53 78 8 0.00
Mon 11/02 18Z 0.62 2720 52 75 8 0.00
Mon 11/02 19Z 0.63 2620 47 74 8 0.00
Mon 11/02 20Z 0.64 2620 46 76 9 0.00
Mon 11/02 21Z 0.70 2721 47 82 9 0.00
Mon 11/02 22Z 0.71 2721 47 81 9 0.00
Mon 11/02 23Z 0.70 2721 48 80 9 0.00
Tue 11/03 00Z 0.66 2720 49 75 9 0.00
Tue 11/03 01Z 0.63 2720 51 77 9 0.00
Tue 11/03 02Z 0.60 2719 52 81 9 0.00
Tue 11/03 03Z 0.56 2718 53 84 9 0.00
Tue 11/03 04Z 0.54 2718 54 87 9 0.00
Tue 11/03 05Z 0.51 2717 57 92 9 0.00
Tue 11/03 06Z 0.48 2816 58 91 9 0.00
Tue 11/03 07Z 0.46 2715 60 90 9 0.00
Tue 11/03 08Z 0.42 2714 61 90 9 0.00
Tue 11/03 09Z 0.40 2713 61 89 9 0.00
Tue 11/03 10Z 0.40 2712 62 91 9 0.00
Tue 11/03 11Z 0.37 2711 63 94 9 0.00
Tue 11/03 12Z 0.37 2611 64 96 9 0.00
Tue 11/03 13Z 0.34 2510 62 97 9 0.00
Tue 11/03 14Z 0.36 2511 62 97 8 0.00
Tue 11/03 15Z 0.38 2412 62 97 8 0.00
Tue 11/03 16Z 0.40 2314 65 96 8 0.00
Tue 11/03 17Z 0.43 2216 66 95 8 0.00
Tue 11/03 18Z 0.49 2219 68 96 8 0.00
Tue 11/03 19Z 0.50 2220 75 98 8 0.00
Tue 11/03 20Z 0.51 2322 86 97 9 0.01
Tue 11/03 21Z 0.58 2324 88 96 9 0.03
Tue 11/03 22Z 0.61 2425 91 94 10 0.05
Tue 11/03 23Z 0.66 2526 92 87 10 0.05
Wed 11/04 00Z 0.66 2525 93 78 10 0.03
Wed 11/04 01Z 0.69 2625 93 66 10 0.02
Wed 11/04 02Z 0.68 2624 89 59 11 0.01
Wed 11/04 03Z 0.68 2524 86 57 11 0.00
Wed 11/04 04Z 0.71 2526 82 53 11 0.00
Wed 11/04 05Z 0.76 2428 80 56 11 0.00
Wed 11/04 06Z 0.80 2429 79 53 11 0.00
Wed 11/04 07Z 0.85 2529 77 55 11 0.00
Wed 11/04 08Z 0.86 2529 73 53 11 0.00
Wed 11/04 09Z 0.84 2529 71 52 12 0.00
Wed 11/04 10Z 0.85 2529 69 54 12 0.00
Wed 11/04 11Z 0.84 2628 69 51 12 0.00
Wed 11/04 12Z 0.80 2627 67 52 12 0.00
Wed 11/04 13Z 0.74 2627 67 54 12 0.00
Wed 11/04 14Z 0.68 2626 68 53 12 0.00
Wed 11/04 15Z 0.61 2624 70 51 12 0.00
Wed 11/04 16Z 0.58 2721 73 52 12 0.00
Wed 11/04 17Z 0.55 2719 75 52 12 0.00
Wed 11/04 18Z 0.52 2718 76 57 12 0.00
Wed 11/04 19Z 0.52 2718 76 56 12 0.00
Wed 11/04 20Z 0.52 2717 76 53 13 0.00
Wed 11/04 21Z 0.52 2717 74 48 13 0.00
Wed 11/04 22Z 0.53 2718 74 50 13 0.00
Wed 11/04 23Z 0.54 2718 74 54 13 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.20 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1