Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260217_1200
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Tue 02/17 12Z 0.20 2210 90 89 -2 0.00
Tue 02/17 13Z 0.22 2310 91 95 -3 0.00
Tue 02/17 14Z 0.24 2311 94 96 -3 0.01
Tue 02/17 15Z 0.24 2311 95 93 -3 0.01
Tue 02/17 16Z 0.24 2310 95 80 -3 0.00
Tue 02/17 17Z 0.26 2410 96 61 -2 0.01
Tue 02/17 18Z 0.31 2512 97 46 -2 0.01
Tue 02/17 19Z 0.34 2513 98 42 -2 0.01
Tue 02/17 20Z 0.37 2613 97 26 -2 0.01
Tue 02/17 21Z 0.43 2614 97 24 -2 0.01
Tue 02/17 22Z 0.49 2616 97 35 -3 0.01
Tue 02/17 23Z 0.56 2718 96 30 -3 0.01
Wed 02/18 00Z 0.53 2717 91 49 -2 0.01
Wed 02/18 01Z 0.57 2819 86 49 -2 0.01
Wed 02/18 02Z 0.66 2822 85 54 -3 0.01
Wed 02/18 04Z 0.71 2824 79 42 -3 0.01
Wed 02/18 05Z 0.71 2925 77 34 -3 0.01
Wed 02/18 06Z 0.61 2925 74 40 -3 0.01
Wed 02/18 08Z 0.50 2924 64 44 -3 0.01
Wed 02/18 09Z 0.43 3023 61 50 -4 0.01
Wed 02/18 11Z 0.34 3021 58 56 -4 0.01
Wed 02/18 12Z 0.30 3119 54 56 -4 0.01
Wed 02/18 13Z 0.26 3118 48 57 -4 0.01
Wed 02/18 14Z 0.22 3116 46 60 -4 0.01
Wed 02/18 15Z 0.19 3114 43 62 -4 0.01
Wed 02/18 16Z 0.15 3212 41 61 -4 0.01
Wed 02/18 17Z 0.12 3210 40 60 -4 0.00
Wed 02/18 18Z 0.08 3309 40 60 -4 0.00
Wed 02/18 19Z 0.06 3407 46 59 -5 0.00
Wed 02/18 20Z 0.04 3506 50 57 -5 0.00
Wed 02/18 21Z 0.05 0105 54 52 -5 0.00
Wed 02/18 22Z 0.08 0307 57 48 -5 0.00
Wed 02/18 23Z 0.11 0309 52 48 -5 0.00
Thu 02/19 00Z 0.15 0311 46 48 -6 0.00
Thu 02/19 01Z 0.16 0313 45 49 -6 0.00
Thu 02/19 02Z 0.16 0213 48 48 -7 0.01
Thu 02/19 03Z 0.12 0212 50 44 -7 0.00
Thu 02/19 04Z 0.09 0111 48 34 -7 0.00
Thu 02/19 05Z 0.06 0111 45 27 -7 0.00
Thu 02/19 06Z 0.04 0110 45 17 -7 0.00
Thu 02/19 07Z 0.03 0010 45 7 -7 0.00
Thu 02/19 08Z 0.03 0011 45 2 -7 0.00
Thu 02/19 09Z 0.02 0011 44 3 -7 0.00
Thu 02/19 10Z 0.03 0012 42 2 -7 0.00
Thu 02/19 11Z 0.03 0012 39 3 -7 0.00
Thu 02/19 12Z 0.04 0010 37 4 -7 0.00
Thu 02/19 13Z 0.05 0108 35 5 -7 0.00
Thu 02/19 14Z 0.04 0105 34 7 -6 0.00
Thu 02/19 15Z 0.03 3503 34 10 -6 0.00
Thu 02/19 17Z 0.07 2902 33 13 -5 0.00
Thu 02/19 18Z 0.07 2702 33 12 -5 0.00
Thu 02/19 19Z 0.08 2602 37 12 -4 0.00
Thu 02/19 20Z 0.10 2503 41 17 -4 0.00
Thu 02/19 21Z 0.13 2504 40 30 -4 0.00
Thu 02/19 22Z 0.16 2506 36 30 -4 0.00
Thu 02/19 23Z 0.19 2507 28 31 -4 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.24 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1