
A Wind Advisory is in effect for majority of the region from 8AM to 8PM today for southerly winds gusts between 45 and 55 MPH. The strongest winds will be between 9AM and 1PM in the northern Champlain Valley and northern slopes of the Adirondacks, with another round of strong winds in northern New York between 3PM and 8PM. Read More >
Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260618_1200
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Thu 06/18 12Z 0.09 1732 90 99 13 0.00
Thu 06/18 13Z 0.14 1835 97 96 13 0.09
Thu 06/18 14Z 0.13 1837 97 97 13 0.19
Thu 06/18 15Z 0.21 1939 94 90 14 0.10
Thu 06/18 16Z 0.20 1936 93 91 14 0.05
Thu 06/18 17Z 0.11 1830 93 89 15 0.05
Thu 06/18 18Z 0.23 1826 96 84 14 0.15
Thu 06/18 19Z 0.92 2224 94 85 14 0.26
Thu 06/18 20Z 0.77 2529 79 65 13 0.36
Thu 06/18 21Z 0.97 2528 84 57 12 0.01
Thu 06/18 22Z 1.15 2528 92 47 12 0.01
Thu 06/18 23Z 1.24 2529 92 58 11 0.01
Fri 06/19 00Z 1.46 2431 93 55 11 0.01
Fri 06/19 01Z 1.45 2431 92 65 10 0.01
Fri 06/19 02Z 1.51 2434 93 75 10 0.02
Fri 06/19 03Z 1.38 2536 95 83 9 0.03
Fri 06/19 04Z 1.27 2636 96 74 9 0.05
Fri 06/19 05Z 1.24 2635 96 71 9 0.04
Fri 06/19 06Z 1.22 2634 97 74 8 0.03
Fri 06/19 07Z 1.19 2634 97 68 8 0.03
Fri 06/19 08Z 1.13 2633 97 65 8 0.03
Fri 06/19 09Z 1.08 2632 96 65 8 0.03
Fri 06/19 10Z 1.06 2632 96 60 8 0.02
Fri 06/19 11Z 1.02 2732 95 60 8 0.02
Fri 06/19 12Z 0.99 2731 96 63 8 0.02
Fri 06/19 13Z 1.00 2730 96 60 8 0.02
Fri 06/19 14Z 1.09 2631 94 61 8 0.02
Fri 06/19 15Z 1.18 2629 95 63 8 0.02
Fri 06/19 16Z 1.58 2628 94 61 8 0.01
Fri 06/19 17Z 3.93 2627 93 56 9 0.01
Fri 06/19 18Z 5.81 2626 91 53 9 0.01
Fri 06/19 19Z 5.90 2625 91 50 9 0.01
Fri 06/19 20Z 4.27 2627 88 54 10 0.01
Fri 06/19 21Z 7.49 2626 79 47 10 0.01
Fri 06/19 22Z 10.99 2627 76 45 10 0.01
Fri 06/19 23Z 5.16 2730 76 53 9 0.06
Sat 06/20 00Z 2.15 2730 78 58 9 0.04
Sat 06/20 01Z 1.81 2729 84 65 8 0.03
Sat 06/20 02Z 1.46 2729 90 76 8 0.04
Sat 06/20 03Z 1.30 2830 93 81 8 0.04
Sat 06/20 04Z 1.08 2829 94 83 7 0.03
Sat 06/20 05Z 0.99 2828 96 88 7 0.05
Sat 06/20 06Z 0.97 2828 96 91 7 0.07
Sat 06/20 07Z 0.95 2928 97 91 7 0.05
Sat 06/20 08Z 0.89 2827 97 92 7 0.04
Sat 06/20 09Z 0.90 2929 98 91 7 0.06
Sat 06/20 10Z 0.95 2930 98 90 7 0.07
Sat 06/20 11Z 0.95 2930 98 92 7 0.09
Sat 06/20 12Z 1.02 3029 98 84 6 0.07
Sat 06/20 13Z 0.95 3127 98 89 5 0.06
Sat 06/20 14Z 1.02 3128 97 89 5 0.05
Sat 06/20 15Z 0.93 3226 96 88 5 0.03
Sat 06/20 16Z 1.07 3224 95 87 5 0.03
Sat 06/20 17Z 0.78 3223 93 90 5 0.02
Sat 06/20 18Z 1.55 3223 94 88 6 0.01
Sat 06/20 19Z 1.24 3221 92 86 6 0.01
Sat 06/20 20Z 1.72 3120 87 81 7 0.00
Sat 06/20 21Z 2.16 3120 83 72 7 0.00
Sat 06/20 22Z 1.45 3019 88 67 8 0.01
Sat 06/20 23Z 0.95 3020 88 57 8 0.01
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 2.72 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1