Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20251010_0000 Using the MB925 to MB850 layer. Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds. 925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens. Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in) === ===== === ==== ==== === === === ==== Fri 10/10 00Z 0.13 3411 62 6 -1 0.00 Fri 10/10 01Z 0.12 3411 59 7 -1 0.00 Fri 10/10 02Z 0.10 3510 55 8 0 0.00 Fri 10/10 03Z 0.09 3507 49 8 0 0.00 Fri 10/10 04Z 0.08 3405 45 8 0 0.00 Fri 10/10 05Z 0.06 3203 41 9 0 0.00 Fri 10/10 06Z 0.07 2902 38 9 1 0.00 Fri 10/10 07Z 0.08 2703 36 9 1 0.00 Fri 10/10 08Z 0.08 2403 34 9 1 0.00 Fri 10/10 09Z 0.10 2305 32 8 1 0.00 Fri 10/10 10Z 0.13 2306 32 8 2 0.00 Fri 10/10 11Z 0.16 2407 36 7 2 0.00 Fri 10/10 12Z 0.18 2408 38 7 2 0.00 Fri 10/10 13Z 0.18 2309 39 7 2 0.00 Fri 10/10 14Z 0.16 2209 40 7 2 0.00 Fri 10/10 15Z 0.15 2209 42 6 2 0.00 Fri 10/10 16Z 0.15 2109 44 6 2 0.00 Fri 10/10 17Z 0.16 2010 45 5 2 0.00 Fri 10/10 18Z 0.19 2010 45 5 2 0.00 Fri 10/10 19Z 0.20 2011 44 5 2 0.00 Fri 10/10 20Z 0.23 2013 42 5 3 0.00 Fri 10/10 21Z 0.24 2016 39 6 3 0.00 Fri 10/10 22Z 0.31 2119 35 6 4 0.00 Fri 10/10 23Z 0.36 2221 35 6 4 0.00 Sat 10/11 00Z 0.40 2221 39 7 5 0.00 Sat 10/11 01Z 0.44 2322 41 6 5 0.00 Sat 10/11 02Z 0.45 2322 45 8 5 0.00 Sat 10/11 03Z 0.46 2422 47 7 5 0.00 Sat 10/11 04Z 0.48 2422 53 8 5 0.00 Sat 10/11 05Z 0.47 2421 57 8 4 0.00 Sat 10/11 06Z 0.44 2420 60 9 4 0.00 Sat 10/11 07Z 0.41 2419 61 9 4 0.00 Sat 10/11 08Z 0.37 2417 62 9 4 0.00 Sat 10/11 09Z 0.31 2414 62 9 4 0.00 Sat 10/11 10Z 0.25 2412 62 8 4 0.00 Sat 10/11 11Z 0.20 2310 60 8 4 0.00 Sat 10/11 12Z 0.15 2308 58 8 4 0.00 Sat 10/11 13Z 0.12 2307 57 8 4 0.00 Sat 10/11 14Z 0.09 2205 55 8 4 0.00 Sat 10/11 15Z 0.06 2105 53 9 5 0.00 Sat 10/11 16Z 0.06 2104 52 8 6 0.00 Sat 10/11 17Z 0.06 2004 52 8 6 0.00 Sat 10/11 18Z 0.05 2004 52 7 6 0.00 Sat 10/11 19Z 0.06 2003 54 7 6 0.00 Sat 10/11 20Z 0.05 2002 57 6 6 0.00 Sat 10/11 21Z 0.05 1802 59 5 6 0.00 Sat 10/11 22Z 0.06 1603 59 5 6 0.00 Sat 10/11 23Z 0.07 1503 60 5 6 0.00 Sun 10/12 00Z 0.06 1603 57 5 7 0.00 Sun 10/12 01Z 0.06 1604 53 6 7 0.00 Sun 10/12 02Z 0.06 1703 52 7 7 0.00 Sun 10/12 03Z 0.06 1803 51 7 7 0.00 Sun 10/12 04Z 0.05 1802 50 7 7 0.00 Sun 10/12 05Z 0.04 1601 50 8 7 0.00 Sun 10/12 06Z 0.04 1402 51 9 7 0.00 Sun 10/12 07Z 0.05 1303 51 10 7 0.00 Sun 10/12 08Z 0.07 1304 51 12 7 0.00 Sun 10/12 09Z 0.10 1305 51 15 7 0.00 Sun 10/12 10Z 0.12 1307 51 27 8 0.00 Sun 10/12 11Z 0.12 1308 50 39 8 0.00 Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.00 inches. Froude Number (Frd#): Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked. Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest. W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes. Gap winds possible. Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked. Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest. W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including: Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln. Gap winds possible. Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical. With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible. Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side. W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom. Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow). Air flows freely over terrain. Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries. Relative Humidity (RH): 925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation. with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow. with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible. 850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1) T > -11 10-15:1 T -11 to -15 25-35:1 T < -15 15-20:1