Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260816_1200
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sun 08/16 12Z 0.04 1803 73 9 10 0.00
Sun 08/16 13Z 0.05 1805 72 9 10 0.00
Sun 08/16 14Z 0.09 1908 72 10 10 0.00
Sun 08/16 15Z 0.22 2010 75 10 10 0.00
Sun 08/16 16Z 0.41 2010 79 10 10 0.00
Sun 08/16 17Z 0.37 1910 81 9 10 0.00
Sun 08/16 18Z 0.26 1911 84 9 11 0.00
Sun 08/16 19Z 0.15 1912 87 14 12 0.00
Sun 08/16 20Z 0.15 1914 90 26 12 0.00
Sun 08/16 21Z 0.16 1916 92 41 12 0.01
Sun 08/16 22Z 0.23 2018 93 65 13 0.01
Sun 08/16 23Z 0.29 2021 94 77 13 0.01
Mon 08/17 00Z 0.30 2023 96 90 13 0.01
Mon 08/17 01Z 0.36 2025 97 91 13 0.02
Mon 08/17 02Z 0.44 2127 97 94 13 0.02
Mon 08/17 03Z 0.46 2128 97 92 14 0.02
Mon 08/17 04Z 0.47 2130 96 96 14 0.01
Mon 08/17 05Z 0.46 2132 96 96 13 0.01
Mon 08/17 06Z 0.47 2133 96 94 13 0.02
Mon 08/17 07Z 0.42 2130 96 94 13 0.02
Mon 08/17 08Z 0.44 2130 97 96 13 0.02
Mon 08/17 09Z 0.44 2227 98 96 13 0.03
Mon 08/17 10Z 0.42 2224 97 95 14 0.03
Mon 08/17 11Z 0.35 2319 97 92 14 0.02
Mon 08/17 12Z 0.29 2315 97 92 14 0.01
Mon 08/17 13Z 0.24 2313 96 91 15 0.01
Mon 08/17 14Z 0.20 2211 96 93 15 0.01
Mon 08/17 15Z 0.17 2210 96 93 15 0.01
Mon 08/17 16Z 0.16 2109 96 95 15 0.01
Mon 08/17 17Z 0.15 2208 96 93 15 0.01
Mon 08/17 18Z 0.16 2208 97 93 15 0.00
Mon 08/17 19Z 0.16 2207 98 87 15 0.00
Mon 08/17 20Z 0.17 2307 99 84 15 0.01
Mon 08/17 21Z 0.19 2407 99 69 15 0.02
Mon 08/17 22Z 0.20 2606 99 57 14 0.01
Mon 08/17 23Z 0.18 2806 99 61 14 0.02
Tue 08/18 00Z 0.20 3007 99 53 14 0.01
Tue 08/18 01Z 0.14 3208 98 33 14 0.00
Tue 08/18 02Z 0.13 3308 97 33 14 0.01
Tue 08/18 03Z 0.07 3407 96 35 14 0.00
Tue 08/18 04Z 0.05 3408 96 39 13 0.01
Tue 08/18 05Z 0.05 3508 95 23 13 0.01
Tue 08/18 06Z 0.06 3507 95 11 13 0.01
Tue 08/18 07Z 0.06 3506 94 6 13 0.00
Tue 08/18 08Z 0.06 3406 94 3 13 0.00
Tue 08/18 09Z 0.04 3505 94 2 12 0.00
Tue 08/18 10Z 0.06 3406 95 3 12 0.00
Tue 08/18 11Z 0.07 3407 95 3 12 0.00
Tue 08/18 12Z 0.07 3407 95 2 11 0.00
Tue 08/18 13Z 0.09 3307 96 2 11 0.01
Tue 08/18 14Z 0.09 3307 95 2 11 0.01
Tue 08/18 15Z 0.09 3305 94 2 11 0.01
Tue 08/18 16Z 0.14 3206 93 3 11 0.01
Tue 08/18 17Z 0.13 3206 91 3 12 0.01
Tue 08/18 18Z 0.15 3207 89 3 12 0.01
Tue 08/18 19Z 0.18 3208 88 3 12 0.00
Tue 08/18 20Z 0.16 3207 85 4 12 0.00
Tue 08/18 21Z 0.18 3207 84 4 12 0.00
Tue 08/18 22Z 0.17 3107 83 3 12 0.00
Tue 08/18 23Z 0.17 3107 83 3 12 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.49 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1