Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260411_0000
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sat 04/11 00Z 0.64 2620 78 97 6 0.00
Sat 04/11 01Z 0.56 2819 87 96 5 0.03
Sat 04/11 02Z 0.48 2818 95 96 4 0.04
Sat 04/11 03Z 0.42 2816 97 92 2 0.06
Sat 04/11 04Z 0.41 2916 98 86 1 0.05
Sat 04/11 05Z 0.39 3018 98 85 0 0.03
Sat 04/11 06Z 0.43 3020 97 92 -1 0.03
Sat 04/11 07Z 0.51 3123 97 93 -2 0.03
Sat 04/11 08Z 0.52 3124 96 60 -3 0.02
Sat 04/11 09Z 0.64 3126 96 38 -4 0.01
Sat 04/11 10Z 0.72 3127 96 10 -5 0.01
Sat 04/11 11Z 0.82 3128 95 7 -6 0.01
Sat 04/11 12Z 0.86 3128 93 8 -6 0.01
Sat 04/11 13Z 0.86 3128 93 9 -7 0.00
Sat 04/11 14Z 1.01 3126 94 9 -7 0.00
Sat 04/11 15Z 1.15 3124 94 11 -7 0.00
Sat 04/11 16Z 1.46 3124 93 12 -7 0.00
Sat 04/11 17Z 1.82 3122 92 13 -7 0.00
Sat 04/11 18Z 3.46 3020 90 13 -7 0.00
Sat 04/11 19Z 5.08 3019 88 13 -6 0.00
Sat 04/11 20Z 5.21 3019 86 13 -6 0.00
Sat 04/11 21Z 4.89 3019 85 13 -6 0.00
Sat 04/11 22Z 4.50 3020 82 13 -6 0.00
Sat 04/11 23Z 2.14 3121 80 12 -5 0.00
Sun 04/12 00Z 1.69 3124 80 12 -6 0.00
Sun 04/12 01Z 1.71 3125 79 12 -6 0.00
Sun 04/12 02Z 1.73 3127 78 12 -6 0.00
Sun 04/12 03Z 1.44 3227 77 11 -6 0.00
Sun 04/12 04Z 1.03 3227 73 10 -6 0.00
Sun 04/12 05Z 0.67 3326 71 9 -6 0.00
Sun 04/12 06Z 0.50 3324 71 10 -6 0.00
Sun 04/12 07Z 0.39 3323 71 12 -6 0.00
Sun 04/12 08Z 0.32 3320 71 11 -6 0.00
Sun 04/12 09Z 0.23 3317 68 12 -5 0.00
Sun 04/12 10Z 0.19 3315 64 12 -5 0.00
Sun 04/12 11Z 0.15 3313 58 14 -4 0.00
Sun 04/12 12Z 0.13 3210 53 15 -3 0.00
Sun 04/12 13Z 0.11 3207 48 16 -2 0.00
Sun 04/12 14Z 0.11 2904 46 17 -2 0.00
Sun 04/12 15Z 0.12 2604 46 19 -2 0.00
Sun 04/12 16Z 0.15 2405 44 23 -1 0.00
Sun 04/12 17Z 0.19 2205 42 28 -1 0.00
Sun 04/12 18Z 0.31 2108 41 38 -1 0.00
Sun 04/12 19Z 0.24 2010 40 83 0 0.00
Sun 04/12 20Z 0.19 2013 39 95 0 0.00
Sun 04/12 21Z 0.36 2016 43 96 0 0.00
Sun 04/12 22Z 2.26 2021 62 98 -2 0.00
Sun 04/12 23Z 0.43 2022 78 98 -1 0.00
Mon 04/13 00Z 0.46 2027 80 98 -1 0.00
Mon 04/13 01Z 0.39 2030 91 99 0 0.02
Mon 04/13 02Z 0.35 2032 88 99 1 0.05
Mon 04/13 03Z 0.36 2133 94 98 3 0.05
Mon 04/13 04Z 0.42 2136 97 98 5 0.10
Mon 04/13 05Z 0.42 2137 97 97 7 0.16
Mon 04/13 06Z 0.56 2245 96 95 7 0.14
Mon 04/13 07Z 0.67 2347 96 95 9 0.07
Mon 04/13 08Z 0.73 2448 96 94 9 0.10
Mon 04/13 09Z 0.79 2548 94 91 10 0.06
Mon 04/13 10Z 0.84 2548 94 93 10 0.05
Mon 04/13 11Z 0.86 2547 92 92 10 0.04
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 1.17 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1