Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20261103_0600
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Tue 11/03 06Z 0.46 2814 59 86 9 0.00
Tue 11/03 07Z 0.45 2814 58 86 9 0.00
Tue 11/03 08Z 0.41 2812 56 87 9 0.00
Tue 11/03 09Z 0.34 2710 56 83 10 0.00
Tue 11/03 10Z 0.33 2610 58 90 9 0.00
Tue 11/03 11Z 0.36 2610 61 92 9 0.00
Tue 11/03 12Z 0.36 2510 63 94 9 0.00
Tue 11/03 13Z 0.37 2411 63 91 9 0.00
Tue 11/03 14Z 0.36 2311 61 94 9 0.00
Tue 11/03 15Z 0.35 2212 61 94 9 0.00
Tue 11/03 16Z 0.40 2215 63 90 9 0.00
Tue 11/03 17Z 0.46 2217 66 90 8 0.00
Tue 11/03 18Z 0.48 2217 69 96 8 0.00
Tue 11/03 19Z 0.48 2218 75 98 8 0.00
Tue 11/03 20Z 0.51 2221 81 96 8 0.01
Tue 11/03 21Z 0.62 2224 85 93 8 0.00
Tue 11/03 22Z 0.62 2325 91 87 9 0.01
Tue 11/03 23Z 0.65 2425 92 80 9 0.02
Wed 11/04 00Z 0.65 2525 94 76 10 0.01
Wed 11/04 01Z 0.68 2625 93 64 10 0.01
Wed 11/04 02Z 0.69 2624 91 60 10 0.01
Wed 11/04 03Z 0.73 2725 89 57 10 0.01
Wed 11/04 04Z 0.75 2625 87 55 10 0.01
Wed 11/04 05Z 0.78 2625 83 51 10 0.00
Wed 11/04 06Z 0.82 2526 83 48 10 0.00
Wed 11/04 07Z 0.78 2526 79 44 10 0.00
Wed 11/04 08Z 0.76 2526 72 43 11 0.00
Wed 11/04 09Z 0.81 2527 70 62 11 0.00
Wed 11/04 10Z 0.81 2627 70 72 11 0.00
Wed 11/04 11Z 0.82 2627 70 66 11 0.00
Wed 11/04 12Z 0.83 2528 70 67 11 0.00
Wed 11/04 13Z 0.79 2527 69 74 11 0.00
Wed 11/04 14Z 0.72 2626 66 74 12 0.00
Wed 11/04 15Z 0.64 2624 64 68 12 0.00
Wed 11/04 16Z 0.57 2521 61 65 12 0.00
Wed 11/04 17Z 0.51 2519 58 64 13 0.00
Wed 11/04 18Z 0.48 2518 55 54 13 0.00
Wed 11/04 19Z 0.44 2417 54 44 13 0.00
Wed 11/04 20Z 0.43 2416 57 44 13 0.00
Wed 11/04 21Z 0.44 2417 59 46 13 0.00
Wed 11/04 22Z 0.45 2418 61 47 13 0.00
Wed 11/04 23Z 0.46 2418 63 42 13 0.00
Thu 11/05 00Z 0.45 2419 63 44 13 0.00
Thu 11/05 01Z 0.41 2418 61 46 13 0.00
Thu 11/05 02Z 0.39 2418 57 51 14 0.00
Thu 11/05 03Z 0.38 2319 52 60 14 0.00
Thu 11/05 04Z 0.40 2320 48 64 14 0.00
Thu 11/05 05Z 0.42 2322 41 65 14 0.00
Thu 11/05 06Z 0.43 2224 37 50 14 0.00
Thu 11/05 07Z 0.48 2227 37 41 14 0.00
Thu 11/05 08Z 0.50 2328 39 36 14 0.00
Thu 11/05 09Z 0.48 2228 41 37 14 0.00
Thu 11/05 10Z 0.46 2228 43 40 14 0.00
Thu 11/05 11Z 0.47 2230 44 42 14 0.00
Thu 11/05 12Z 0.52 2232 48 55 14 0.00
Thu 11/05 13Z 0.56 2233 53 65 14 0.00
Thu 11/05 14Z 0.52 2232 65 68 14 0.00
Thu 11/05 15Z 0.49 2230 72 76 13 0.00
Thu 11/05 16Z 0.50 2229 84 90 12 0.00
Thu 11/05 17Z 0.55 2229 96 92 11 0.01
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.10 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1