Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20250523_1800 Using the MB925 to MB850 layer. Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds. 925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens. Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in) === ===== === ==== ==== === === === ==== Fri 05/23 18Z 0.32 2406 98 86 0 0.00 Fri 05/23 19Z 0.42 2507 98 86 0 0.01 Fri 05/23 20Z 0.40 2607 98 89 0 0.01 Fri 05/23 21Z 0.35 2607 98 91 1 0.02 Fri 05/23 22Z 0.32 2607 98 93 1 0.02 Fri 05/23 23Z 0.29 2607 97 95 1 0.01 Sat 05/24 00Z 0.28 2607 97 96 1 0.01 Sat 05/24 01Z 0.28 2607 97 97 1 0.01 Sat 05/24 02Z 0.28 2507 97 96 1 0.01 Sat 05/24 03Z 0.26 2507 98 94 1 0.02 Sat 05/24 04Z 0.26 2607 98 95 1 0.02 Sat 05/24 05Z 0.26 2707 98 95 1 0.03 Sat 05/24 06Z 0.27 2808 98 95 1 0.03 Sat 05/24 07Z 0.27 2909 98 96 0 0.02 Sat 05/24 08Z 0.26 3009 98 96 0 0.02 Sat 05/24 09Z 0.24 3110 98 95 0 0.02 Sat 05/24 10Z 0.24 3212 97 94 0 0.01 Sat 05/24 11Z 0.23 3213 97 93 0 0.01 Sat 05/24 12Z 0.25 3213 97 93 0 0.01 Sat 05/24 13Z 0.31 3214 97 94 -1 0.01 Sat 05/24 14Z 0.35 3214 97 94 -1 0.01 Sat 05/24 15Z 0.42 3214 96 94 -1 0.01 Sat 05/24 16Z 0.88 3215 95 97 -1 0.01 Sat 05/24 17Z 1.09 3215 95 97 -1 0.01 Sat 05/24 18Z 0.63 3215 95 95 -1 0.01 Sat 05/24 19Z 0.52 3215 93 94 -1 0.00 Sat 05/24 20Z 0.66 3214 93 95 0 0.00 Sat 05/24 21Z 0.73 3114 94 95 0 0.01 Sat 05/24 22Z 0.51 3115 94 94 0 0.01 Sat 05/24 23Z 0.47 3115 93 93 0 0.01 Sun 05/25 00Z 0.45 3116 95 95 0 0.01 Sun 05/25 01Z 0.41 3217 95 94 0 0.01 Sun 05/25 02Z 0.38 3216 95 91 0 0.01 Sun 05/25 03Z 0.37 3216 95 89 0 0.01 Sun 05/25 04Z 0.37 3217 97 90 0 0.01 Sun 05/25 05Z 0.37 3217 97 92 -1 0.02 Sun 05/25 06Z 0.39 3218 98 92 -1 0.02 Sun 05/25 07Z 0.33 3319 96 89 -1 0.02 Sun 05/25 08Z 0.34 3319 96 86 -1 0.01 Sun 05/25 09Z 0.37 3219 96 86 -1 0.01 Sun 05/25 10Z 0.41 3220 97 83 -1 0.02 Sun 05/25 11Z 0.39 3220 97 79 -1 0.01 Sun 05/25 12Z 0.37 3219 96 76 -1 0.01 Sun 05/25 13Z 0.38 3219 96 74 0 0.01 Sun 05/25 14Z 0.37 3317 97 71 -1 0.01 Sun 05/25 15Z 0.48 3316 97 71 -1 0.01 Sun 05/25 16Z 0.75 3215 97 70 -1 0.01 Sun 05/25 17Z 0.93 3315 96 67 0 0.01 Sun 05/25 18Z 0.81 3315 95 66 0 0.01 Sun 05/25 19Z 0.78 3314 93 68 0 0.00 Sun 05/25 20Z 0.77 3414 90 69 0 0.00 Sun 05/25 21Z 0.51 3414 86 71 1 0.00 Sun 05/25 22Z 0.31 3513 85 75 1 0.00 Sun 05/25 23Z 0.12 3513 86 80 1 0.00 Mon 05/26 00Z 0.07 3514 86 79 1 0.00 Mon 05/26 01Z 0.04 3513 87 77 2 0.00 Mon 05/26 02Z 0.06 3512 89 80 1 0.00 Mon 05/26 03Z 0.09 3511 91 79 1 0.00 Mon 05/26 04Z 0.10 3511 92 77 1 0.00 Mon 05/26 05Z 0.08 3511 92 75 1 0.00 Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.61 inches. Froude Number (Frd#): Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked. Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest. W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes. Gap winds possible. Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked. Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest. W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including: Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln. Gap winds possible. Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical. With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible. Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side. W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom. Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow). Air flows freely over terrain. Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries. Relative Humidity (RH): 925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation. with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow. with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible. 850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1) T > -11 10-15:1 T -11 to -15 25-35:1 T < -15 15-20:1