Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20251009_0600 Using the MB925 to MB850 layer. Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds. 925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens. Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in) === ===== === ==== ==== === === === ==== Thu 10/09 06Z 0.23 0028 82 6 -3 0.00 Thu 10/09 07Z 0.14 0027 77 7 -4 0.00 Thu 10/09 08Z 0.13 3525 78 7 -4 0.00 Thu 10/09 09Z 0.16 3524 78 6 -5 0.00 Thu 10/09 10Z 0.26 3424 80 6 -5 0.00 Thu 10/09 11Z 0.30 3424 82 7 -6 0.00 Thu 10/09 12Z 0.32 3424 81 7 -6 0.00 Thu 10/09 13Z 0.31 3422 79 8 -6 0.00 Thu 10/09 14Z 0.42 3320 77 7 -5 0.00 Thu 10/09 15Z 0.49 3318 76 5 -5 0.00 Thu 10/09 16Z 0.45 3315 74 5 -5 0.00 Thu 10/09 17Z 0.48 3314 71 5 -4 0.00 Thu 10/09 18Z 0.49 3313 67 4 -4 0.00 Thu 10/09 19Z 0.45 3313 63 3 -3 0.00 Thu 10/09 20Z 0.33 3414 59 3 -3 0.00 Thu 10/09 21Z 0.22 3414 55 4 -2 0.00 Thu 10/09 22Z 0.18 3414 49 5 -2 0.00 Thu 10/09 23Z 0.15 3414 45 5 -2 0.00 Fri 10/10 00Z 0.12 3413 43 5 -1 0.00 Fri 10/10 01Z 0.12 3412 40 6 -1 0.00 Fri 10/10 02Z 0.12 3312 39 6 0 0.00 Fri 10/10 03Z 0.11 3311 39 7 0 0.00 Fri 10/10 04Z 0.09 3309 36 7 0 0.00 Fri 10/10 05Z 0.08 3307 33 7 0 0.00 Fri 10/10 06Z 0.09 3206 30 7 1 0.00 Fri 10/10 07Z 0.10 3005 27 7 1 0.00 Fri 10/10 08Z 0.12 2905 25 8 1 0.00 Fri 10/10 09Z 0.15 2806 23 8 2 0.00 Fri 10/10 10Z 0.16 2807 22 9 2 0.00 Fri 10/10 11Z 0.18 2708 22 9 2 0.00 Fri 10/10 12Z 0.17 2707 23 12 2 0.00 Fri 10/10 13Z 0.16 2607 24 14 2 0.00 Fri 10/10 14Z 0.16 2507 25 16 2 0.00 Fri 10/10 15Z 0.16 2407 26 14 2 0.00 Fri 10/10 16Z 0.16 2308 27 11 3 0.00 Fri 10/10 17Z 0.16 2208 28 10 3 0.00 Fri 10/10 18Z 0.18 2209 28 8 3 0.00 Fri 10/10 19Z 0.20 2111 26 7 4 0.00 Fri 10/10 20Z 0.22 2112 24 7 4 0.00 Fri 10/10 21Z 0.25 2114 22 7 4 0.00 Fri 10/10 22Z 0.31 2218 20 6 5 0.00 Fri 10/10 23Z 0.36 2221 19 6 5 0.00 Sat 10/11 00Z 0.38 2321 22 5 6 0.00 Sat 10/11 01Z 0.40 2321 24 5 6 0.00 Sat 10/11 02Z 0.41 2421 28 6 6 0.00 Sat 10/11 03Z 0.41 2421 32 9 6 0.00 Sat 10/11 04Z 0.43 2421 35 9 6 0.00 Sat 10/11 05Z 0.42 2421 38 9 6 0.00 Sat 10/11 06Z 0.42 2520 43 10 6 0.00 Sat 10/11 07Z 0.40 2519 47 12 5 0.00 Sat 10/11 08Z 0.37 2517 50 12 5 0.00 Sat 10/11 09Z 0.31 2515 47 10 6 0.00 Sat 10/11 10Z 0.26 2513 45 11 6 0.00 Sat 10/11 11Z 0.20 2610 43 11 6 0.00 Sat 10/11 12Z 0.15 2507 44 11 6 0.00 Sat 10/11 13Z 0.11 2405 43 10 6 0.00 Sat 10/11 14Z 0.09 2305 41 10 6 0.00 Sat 10/11 15Z 0.08 2205 39 11 6 0.00 Sat 10/11 16Z 0.09 2205 39 11 7 0.00 Sat 10/11 17Z 0.10 2205 42 11 7 0.00 Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.00 inches. Froude Number (Frd#): Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked. Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest. W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes. Gap winds possible. Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked. Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest. W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including: Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln. Gap winds possible. Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical. With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible. Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side. W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom. Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow). Air flows freely over terrain. Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries. Relative Humidity (RH): 925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation. with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow. with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible. 850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1) T > -11 10-15:1 T -11 to -15 25-35:1 T < -15 15-20:1