Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260417_0600
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Fri 04/17 06Z 0.25 3112 89 88 10 0.00
Fri 04/17 07Z 0.20 3313 91 83 9 0.00
Fri 04/17 08Z 0.16 3313 92 85 9 0.00
Fri 04/17 09Z 0.08 3514 90 81 9 0.00
Fri 04/17 10Z 0.05 0016 88 76 8 0.00
Fri 04/17 11Z 0.08 0116 89 75 8 0.00
Fri 04/17 12Z 0.11 0115 88 71 7 0.00
Fri 04/17 13Z 0.13 0115 85 61 8 0.00
Fri 04/17 14Z 0.15 0213 82 50 8 0.00
Fri 04/17 15Z 0.15 0212 79 47 7 0.00
Fri 04/17 16Z 0.15 0211 76 46 7 0.00
Fri 04/17 17Z 0.16 0210 72 43 7 0.00
Fri 04/17 18Z 0.16 0210 66 36 7 0.00
Fri 04/17 19Z 0.21 0211 61 24 8 0.00
Fri 04/17 20Z 0.23 0211 56 14 8 0.00
Fri 04/17 21Z 0.21 0211 52 9 8 0.00
Fri 04/17 22Z 0.19 0311 47 7 9 0.00
Fri 04/17 23Z 0.21 0311 45 6 9 0.00
Sat 04/18 00Z 0.25 0511 43 4 9 0.00
Sat 04/18 01Z 0.28 0611 43 4 9 0.00
Sat 04/18 02Z 0.29 0811 44 5 9 0.00
Sat 04/18 03Z 0.25 1009 49 5 9 0.00
Sat 04/18 04Z 0.24 1210 62 5 8 0.00
Sat 04/18 05Z 0.21 1311 69 5 8 0.00
Sat 04/18 06Z 0.23 1413 70 5 8 0.00
Sat 04/18 07Z 0.27 1417 65 4 8 0.00
Sat 04/18 08Z 0.25 1417 62 3 8 0.00
Sat 04/18 09Z 0.21 1517 58 3 8 0.00
Sat 04/18 10Z 0.16 1517 58 3 8 0.00
Sat 04/18 11Z 0.22 1521 52 2 8 0.00
Sat 04/18 12Z 0.18 1521 54 2 8 0.00
Sat 04/18 13Z 0.16 1620 57 2 7 0.00
Sat 04/18 14Z 0.20 1521 57 1 8 0.00
Sat 04/18 15Z 0.23 1522 60 1 8 0.00
Sat 04/18 16Z 0.27 1524 64 1 8 0.00
Sat 04/18 17Z 0.26 1526 66 3 8 0.00
Sat 04/18 18Z 0.23 1526 67 3 8 0.00
Sat 04/18 19Z 0.22 1527 70 4 8 0.00
Sat 04/18 20Z 0.12 1626 67 3 9 0.00
Sat 04/18 21Z 0.06 1725 61 3 10 0.00
Sat 04/18 22Z 0.03 1726 58 9 10 0.00
Sat 04/18 23Z 0.04 1729 57 32 11 0.00
Sun 04/19 00Z 0.03 1830 60 51 11 0.01
Sun 04/19 01Z 0.04 1830 59 40 12 0.01
Sun 04/19 02Z 0.09 1831 60 50 13 0.01
Sun 04/19 03Z 0.19 1933 68 82 12 0.00
Sun 04/19 04Z 0.35 2135 81 93 10 0.01
Sun 04/19 05Z 0.40 2131 94 93 9 0.03
Sun 04/19 06Z 0.38 2228 95 92 9 0.04
Sun 04/19 07Z 0.38 2225 96 93 8 0.03
Sun 04/19 08Z 0.39 2224 98 92 7 0.02
Sun 04/19 09Z 0.44 2322 98 91 6 0.03
Sun 04/19 10Z 0.60 2322 99 96 4 0.06
Sun 04/19 11Z 0.56 2718 98 99 1 0.07
Sun 04/19 12Z 0.58 2923 98 99 0 0.10
Sun 04/19 13Z 0.68 2926 97 99 -2 0.12
Sun 04/19 14Z 0.52 2924 96 99 -2 0.07
Sun 04/19 15Z 0.62 2923 97 98 -4 0.05
Sun 04/19 16Z 0.65 2922 95 96 -6 0.05
Sun 04/19 17Z 0.65 2922 74 91 -5 0.01
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.72 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1