Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260127_0600
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Tue 01/27 06Z 0.66 3023 86 70 -21 0.00
Tue 01/27 07Z 0.69 3026 89 60 -21 0.00
Tue 01/27 08Z 0.71 3027 87 54 -21 0.00
Tue 01/27 09Z 0.68 3028 85 46 -21 0.00
Tue 01/27 10Z 0.58 3026 81 32 -20 0.00
Tue 01/27 11Z 0.56 3027 80 30 -20 0.00
Tue 01/27 12Z 0.52 3027 75 40 -20 0.00
Tue 01/27 13Z 0.49 2924 72 45 -19 0.00
Tue 01/27 14Z 0.46 2820 72 52 -19 0.00
Tue 01/27 15Z 0.49 2718 79 71 -19 0.00
Tue 01/27 16Z 0.52 2616 84 79 -19 0.00
Tue 01/27 17Z 0.50 2514 84 80 -19 0.01
Tue 01/27 18Z 0.45 2412 82 80 -18 0.01
Tue 01/27 19Z 0.46 2310 85 81 -18 0.01
Tue 01/27 20Z 1.42 2311 85 81 -19 0.01
Tue 01/27 21Z 0.87 2213 86 80 -19 0.01
Tue 01/27 22Z 1.15 2315 88 79 -19 0.01
Tue 01/27 23Z 1.63 2418 90 77 -19 0.01
Wed 01/28 00Z 1.34 2620 85 74 -20 0.01
Wed 01/28 01Z 1.29 2720 79 72 -20 0.01
Wed 01/28 02Z 1.03 2720 79 73 -20 0.00
Wed 01/28 03Z 0.79 2719 84 72 -20 0.00
Wed 01/28 04Z 0.78 2719 87 71 -20 0.00
Wed 01/28 05Z 0.78 2819 89 71 -20 0.01
Wed 01/28 06Z 0.75 2819 89 68 -20 0.01
Wed 01/28 07Z 0.70 2919 90 64 -20 0.00
Wed 01/28 08Z 0.69 2920 90 61 -20 0.00
Wed 01/28 09Z 0.65 2920 90 57 -20 0.00
Wed 01/28 10Z 0.59 3020 90 54 -20 0.00
Wed 01/28 11Z 0.50 3019 90 46 -20 0.00
Wed 01/28 12Z 0.49 3019 91 39 -20 0.00
Wed 01/28 13Z 0.44 3017 89 32 -20 0.00
Wed 01/28 14Z 0.39 3015 86 30 -20 0.00
Wed 01/28 15Z 0.39 2912 85 32 -20 0.00
Wed 01/28 16Z 0.43 2810 84 33 -20 0.00
Wed 01/28 17Z 0.73 2708 82 35 -19 0.00
Wed 01/28 18Z 1.75 2707 81 37 -19 0.00
Wed 01/28 19Z 3.13 2707 81 39 -19 0.00
Wed 01/28 20Z 2.30 2707 80 41 -19 0.00
Wed 01/28 21Z 0.81 2807 80 42 -19 0.00
Wed 01/28 22Z 0.53 2808 84 45 -19 0.00
Wed 01/28 23Z 0.52 2709 88 47 -19 0.00
Thu 01/29 00Z 0.51 2709 91 53 -19 0.00
Thu 01/29 01Z 0.50 2909 91 64 -19 0.00
Thu 01/29 02Z 0.45 3010 87 76 -19 0.00
Thu 01/29 03Z 0.42 3010 86 80 -19 0.00
Thu 01/29 04Z 0.42 3111 85 79 -19 0.01
Thu 01/29 05Z 0.47 3012 86 79 -20 0.01
Thu 01/29 06Z 0.54 3013 88 78 -20 0.01
Thu 01/29 07Z 0.56 3114 89 77 -20 0.01
Thu 01/29 08Z 0.55 3115 91 76 -20 0.00
Thu 01/29 09Z 0.53 3117 92 75 -20 0.00
Thu 01/29 10Z 0.54 3117 92 72 -20 0.00
Thu 01/29 11Z 0.50 3117 91 70 -20 0.00
Thu 01/29 12Z 0.47 3117 91 69 -20 0.00
Thu 01/29 13Z 0.46 3116 91 71 -19 0.00
Thu 01/29 14Z 0.47 3015 91 71 -20 0.00
Thu 01/29 15Z 0.51 3015 91 69 -20 0.00
Thu 01/29 16Z 0.64 3014 90 67 -19 0.00
Thu 01/29 17Z 1.41 2915 90 64 -19 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.15 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1