Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260510_0600
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sun 05/10 06Z 0.32 2024 90 47 4 0.00
Sun 05/10 07Z 0.35 2124 91 60 5 0.00
Sun 05/10 08Z 0.49 2128 98 69 4 0.04
Sun 05/10 09Z 0.59 2325 97 92 4 0.03
Sun 05/10 10Z 0.62 2323 95 67 4 0.01
Sun 05/10 11Z 0.58 2420 94 51 4 0.01
Sun 05/10 12Z 0.48 2417 92 49 4 0.01
Sun 05/10 13Z 0.44 2316 93 63 4 0.00
Sun 05/10 14Z 0.48 2316 94 75 4 0.00
Sun 05/10 15Z 0.46 2315 93 81 4 0.01
Sun 05/10 16Z 0.50 2313 96 89 4 0.02
Sun 05/10 17Z 0.68 2514 91 91 3 0.04
Sun 05/10 18Z 0.53 2717 89 86 3 0.05
Sun 05/10 19Z 0.63 2720 77 88 3 0.03
Sun 05/10 20Z 0.87 2719 66 47 3 0.00
Sun 05/10 21Z 1.58 2818 67 41 2 0.00
Sun 05/10 22Z 1.35 2816 73 45 2 0.00
Sun 05/10 23Z 0.96 2817 76 39 1 0.00
Mon 05/11 00Z 1.09 2919 76 22 1 0.00
Mon 05/11 01Z 1.27 3021 71 25 0 0.00
Mon 05/11 02Z 1.38 3021 73 30 0 0.00
Mon 05/11 03Z 1.15 3020 77 30 -1 0.00
Mon 05/11 04Z 1.01 3019 76 27 -1 0.00
Mon 05/11 05Z 0.74 3118 79 24 -2 0.00
Mon 05/11 06Z 0.64 3117 81 22 -2 0.00
Mon 05/11 07Z 0.60 3116 80 22 -2 0.00
Mon 05/11 08Z 0.54 3115 82 22 -3 0.00
Mon 05/11 09Z 0.47 3113 82 19 -3 0.00
Mon 05/11 10Z 0.44 3111 83 20 -3 0.00
Mon 05/11 11Z 0.40 3010 85 27 -3 0.00
Mon 05/11 12Z 0.45 2909 85 30 -3 0.00
Mon 05/11 13Z 0.99 2808 87 33 -4 0.00
Mon 05/11 14Z 2.03 2708 86 37 -3 0.00
Mon 05/11 15Z 3.29 2708 78 39 -3 0.00
Mon 05/11 16Z 4.85 2709 77 43 -2 0.00
Mon 05/11 17Z 4.68 2710 79 49 -2 0.00
Mon 05/11 18Z 5.32 2711 75 63 -2 0.00
Mon 05/11 19Z 5.14 2811 72 71 -2 0.00
Mon 05/11 20Z 5.48 2811 71 72 -2 0.00
Mon 05/11 21Z 5.40 2911 69 73 -2 0.00
Mon 05/11 22Z 4.68 2911 69 69 -2 0.00
Mon 05/11 23Z 2.70 3012 71 66 -2 0.00
Tue 05/12 00Z 1.06 3013 76 67 -2 0.00
Tue 05/12 01Z 0.65 3113 80 66 -3 0.00
Tue 05/12 02Z 0.50 3115 83 65 -3 0.00
Tue 05/12 03Z 0.54 3217 84 68 -3 0.00
Tue 05/12 04Z 0.47 3218 81 61 -3 0.00
Tue 05/12 05Z 0.41 3319 80 59 -3 0.00
Tue 05/12 06Z 0.32 3319 73 52 -3 0.00
Tue 05/12 07Z 0.28 3418 70 41 -4 0.00
Tue 05/12 08Z 0.25 3417 68 24 -4 0.00
Tue 05/12 09Z 0.24 3416 67 21 -4 0.00
Tue 05/12 10Z 0.29 3315 67 29 -4 0.00
Tue 05/12 11Z 0.35 3315 68 40 -5 0.00
Tue 05/12 12Z 0.50 3214 70 43 -5 0.00
Tue 05/12 13Z 2.49 3113 73 47 -5 0.00
Tue 05/12 14Z 5.31 3112 74 44 -5 0.00
Tue 05/12 15Z 6.21 3012 72 37 -5 0.00
Tue 05/12 16Z 6.63 3011 72 36 -4 0.00
Tue 05/12 17Z 7.02 2911 72 42 -4 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.25 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1