Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260708_0000
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Wed 07/08 00Z 0.21 1206 77 58 13 0.00
Wed 07/08 01Z 0.20 1206 78 51 13 0.00
Wed 07/08 02Z 0.15 1204 77 45 13 0.00
Wed 07/08 03Z 0.10 1102 75 43 13 0.00
Wed 07/08 04Z 0.10 0901 73 39 13 0.00
Wed 07/08 05Z 0.09 0702 71 34 13 0.00
Wed 07/08 06Z 0.09 0101 71 30 13 0.00
Wed 07/08 07Z 0.08 3202 72 25 13 0.00
Wed 07/08 08Z 0.10 3103 74 21 13 0.00
Wed 07/08 09Z 0.13 3205 76 15 13 0.00
Wed 07/08 10Z 0.14 3205 80 15 12 0.00
Wed 07/08 11Z 0.11 3305 81 20 12 0.00
Wed 07/08 12Z 0.08 3305 82 21 12 0.00
Wed 07/08 13Z 0.09 3304 84 12 12 0.00
Wed 07/08 14Z 0.17 3206 87 7 12 0.00
Wed 07/08 15Z 0.16 3105 88 5 13 0.00
Wed 07/08 16Z 0.16 3003 87 6 13 0.00
Wed 07/08 17Z 0.36 2803 87 9 13 0.00
Wed 07/08 18Z 0.55 2704 84 10 13 0.00
Wed 07/08 19Z 0.86 2604 81 13 14 0.00
Wed 07/08 20Z 1.04 2506 81 16 14 0.00
Wed 07/08 21Z 0.93 2508 82 13 14 0.00
Wed 07/08 22Z 0.74 2510 85 11 14 0.00
Wed 07/08 23Z 0.56 2511 86 11 14 0.00
Thu 07/09 00Z 0.53 2513 82 13 15 0.00
Thu 07/09 01Z 0.54 2614 81 12 15 0.00
Thu 07/09 02Z 0.58 2616 80 11 15 0.00
Thu 07/09 03Z 0.66 2619 77 9 15 0.00
Thu 07/09 04Z 0.77 2621 83 12 15 0.00
Thu 07/09 05Z 0.81 2621 83 13 15 0.00
Thu 07/09 06Z 0.85 2722 85 19 14 0.00
Thu 07/09 07Z 0.87 2722 87 24 14 0.00
Thu 07/09 08Z 0.83 2722 91 36 14 0.00
Thu 07/09 09Z 0.74 2721 90 32 14 0.01
Thu 07/09 10Z 0.66 2819 90 35 14 0.01
Thu 07/09 11Z 0.54 2817 89 36 14 0.02
Thu 07/09 12Z 0.44 2815 87 31 15 0.01
Thu 07/09 13Z 0.35 2811 85 27 15 0.01
Thu 07/09 14Z 0.32 2609 84 28 15 0.01
Thu 07/09 15Z 0.31 2509 83 43 15 0.00
Thu 07/09 16Z 0.36 2410 83 38 15 0.00
Thu 07/09 17Z 0.53 2411 83 51 15 0.00
Thu 07/09 18Z 0.67 2411 82 62 16 0.00
Thu 07/09 19Z 0.92 2312 85 66 16 0.00
Thu 07/09 20Z 0.68 2311 88 60 16 0.00
Thu 07/09 21Z 0.49 2312 87 58 16 0.01
Thu 07/09 22Z 0.62 2414 87 56 16 0.03
Thu 07/09 23Z 0.68 2516 87 51 16 0.01
Fri 07/10 00Z 0.67 2616 90 48 16 0.01
Fri 07/10 01Z 0.70 2617 90 41 16 0.02
Fri 07/10 02Z 0.69 2717 91 39 15 0.02
Fri 07/10 03Z 0.66 2718 93 47 15 0.04
Fri 07/10 04Z 0.59 2818 93 50 15 0.03
Fri 07/10 05Z 0.56 2817 95 62 14 0.06
Fri 07/10 06Z 0.52 2817 94 83 14 0.05
Fri 07/10 07Z 0.44 2815 94 83 14 0.01
Fri 07/10 08Z 0.42 2814 96 85 14 0.01
Fri 07/10 09Z 0.41 2913 98 84 14 0.02
Fri 07/10 10Z 0.33 2911 97 85 13 0.02
Fri 07/10 11Z 0.31 3010 96 83 13 0.03
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.44 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1