Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260309_1800
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Mon 03/09 18Z 0.75 2228 38 40 6 0.00
Mon 03/09 19Z 0.80 2231 35 36 7 0.00
Mon 03/09 20Z 0.87 2232 32 37 7 0.00
Mon 03/09 21Z 0.94 2232 33 41 7 0.00
Mon 03/09 22Z 0.97 2334 36 46 7 0.00
Mon 03/09 23Z 0.95 2335 37 48 7 0.00
Tue 03/10 00Z 1.03 2337 38 50 7 0.00
Tue 03/10 01Z 1.10 2438 40 46 7 0.00
Tue 03/10 02Z 1.17 2438 41 46 7 0.00
Tue 03/10 03Z 1.21 2537 41 44 7 0.00
Tue 03/10 04Z 1.30 2637 42 40 7 0.00
Tue 03/10 05Z 1.41 2635 46 39 6 0.00
Tue 03/10 06Z 1.42 2732 53 40 6 0.00
Tue 03/10 07Z 1.22 2829 59 44 5 0.00
Tue 03/10 08Z 0.97 2825 63 46 5 0.00
Tue 03/10 09Z 0.72 2821 66 50 6 0.00
Tue 03/10 10Z 0.55 2718 67 54 7 0.00
Tue 03/10 11Z 0.44 2615 66 59 7 0.00
Tue 03/10 12Z 0.37 2514 65 62 7 0.00
Tue 03/10 13Z 0.35 2414 64 60 8 0.00
Tue 03/10 14Z 0.39 2317 64 50 7 0.00
Tue 03/10 15Z 0.43 2219 64 45 7 0.00
Tue 03/10 16Z 0.51 2222 65 42 7 0.00
Tue 03/10 17Z 0.63 2223 66 45 7 0.00
Tue 03/10 18Z 0.72 2223 68 45 7 0.00
Tue 03/10 19Z 0.75 2222 72 41 7 0.00
Tue 03/10 20Z 0.86 2321 78 39 7 0.00
Tue 03/10 21Z 0.74 2421 82 46 7 0.00
Tue 03/10 22Z 0.70 2423 87 42 8 0.00
Wed 03/11 00Z 0.62 2523 96 51 8 0.01
Wed 03/11 01Z 0.54 2521 98 63 8 0.02
Wed 03/11 02Z 0.45 2619 98 69 8 0.02
Wed 03/11 03Z 0.35 2716 98 73 7 0.03
Wed 03/11 04Z 0.25 2913 98 67 7 0.03
Wed 03/11 05Z 0.17 3010 98 74 7 0.02
Wed 03/11 06Z 0.11 3006 97 76 7 0.01
Wed 03/11 07Z 0.07 2903 97 74 7 0.01
Wed 03/11 08Z 0.06 2101 97 74 7 0.00
Wed 03/11 09Z 0.07 1705 98 75 7 0.01
Wed 03/11 10Z 0.06 1709 98 75 7 0.02
Wed 03/11 11Z 0.05 1714 98 87 8 0.01
Wed 03/11 12Z 0.03 1720 98 82 8 0.01
Wed 03/11 13Z 0.05 1726 97 75 9 0.02
Wed 03/11 14Z 0.02 1730 97 70 9 0.03
Wed 03/11 15Z 0.04 1833 97 69 9 0.03
Wed 03/11 16Z 0.10 1837 97 81 9 0.03
Wed 03/11 17Z 0.18 1939 97 59 9 0.03
Wed 03/11 18Z 0.21 1938 96 65 10 0.03
Wed 03/11 19Z 0.20 1940 96 61 10 0.02
Wed 03/11 20Z 0.24 2042 96 79 10 0.01
Wed 03/11 21Z 0.26 2043 97 88 10 0.02
Wed 03/11 22Z 0.24 2040 93 89 11 0.04
Wed 03/11 23Z 0.25 2041 95 91 11 0.03
Thu 03/12 00Z 0.27 2043 94 96 11 0.01
Thu 03/12 01Z 0.27 2045 95 97 11 0.03
Thu 03/12 02Z 0.40 2047 97 92 11 0.08
Thu 03/12 03Z 0.58 2148 98 86 11 0.12
Thu 03/12 04Z 0.73 2243 98 84 10 0.06
Thu 03/12 05Z 0.68 2239 96 91 11 0.05
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.84 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1