Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260817_1200
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Mon 08/17 12Z 0.31 2313 99 94 14 0.00
Mon 08/17 13Z 0.33 2413 99 90 14 0.06
Mon 08/17 14Z 0.32 2412 99 88 14 0.04
Mon 08/17 15Z 0.29 2411 98 86 14 0.03
Mon 08/17 16Z 0.32 2512 98 88 14 0.06
Mon 08/17 17Z 0.32 2711 98 87 14 0.03
Mon 08/17 18Z 0.29 2809 98 89 14 0.03
Mon 08/17 19Z 0.25 2908 97 84 14 0.02
Mon 08/17 20Z 0.20 3006 95 80 14 0.00
Mon 08/17 21Z 0.15 3005 94 71 14 0.01
Mon 08/17 22Z 0.12 3003 93 64 14 0.03
Mon 08/17 23Z 0.12 3103 93 56 14 0.03
Tue 08/18 00Z 0.12 3104 93 57 14 0.05
Tue 08/18 01Z 0.12 3203 93 63 14 0.05
Tue 08/18 02Z 0.09 3303 92 80 14 0.03
Tue 08/18 03Z 0.08 3302 91 80 14 0.02
Tue 08/18 04Z 0.06 3101 92 71 14 0.01
Tue 08/18 05Z 0.06 3101 93 65 13 0.00
Tue 08/18 06Z 0.05 3201 93 47 13 0.01
Tue 08/18 07Z 0.03 3301 93 44 13 0.00
Tue 08/18 08Z 0.04 3202 93 37 13 0.00
Tue 08/18 09Z 0.06 3102 93 28 13 0.00
Tue 08/18 10Z 0.08 3103 93 15 13 0.00
Tue 08/18 11Z 0.08 3104 92 8 12 0.00
Tue 08/18 12Z 0.08 3204 92 5 12 0.00
Tue 08/18 13Z 0.08 3204 92 4 12 0.00
Tue 08/18 14Z 0.06 3303 92 4 12 0.00
Tue 08/18 15Z 0.04 3201 92 4 12 0.00
Tue 08/18 16Z 0.09 2702 94 4 12 0.00
Tue 08/18 17Z 0.12 2903 93 4 12 0.01
Tue 08/18 18Z 0.19 3006 93 4 12 0.01
Tue 08/18 19Z 0.18 2905 89 4 12 0.00
Tue 08/18 20Z 0.16 2704 82 4 13 0.00
Tue 08/18 21Z 0.15 2604 79 4 13 0.00
Tue 08/18 22Z 0.24 2806 81 5 12 0.00
Tue 08/18 23Z 0.22 2907 83 5 12 0.00
Wed 08/19 00Z 0.16 3006 82 5 12 0.00
Wed 08/19 01Z 0.14 3005 81 7 12 0.00
Wed 08/19 02Z 0.12 3004 80 8 12 0.00
Wed 08/19 03Z 0.13 2904 80 7 12 0.00
Wed 08/19 04Z 0.16 2805 81 6 11 0.00
Wed 08/19 05Z 0.17 2705 77 7 12 0.00
Wed 08/19 06Z 0.19 2806 75 7 12 0.00
Wed 08/19 07Z 0.18 2806 73 8 12 0.00
Wed 08/19 08Z 0.16 2806 71 10 11 0.00
Wed 08/19 09Z 0.14 2705 67 13 12 0.00
Wed 08/19 10Z 0.13 2705 65 17 11 0.00
Wed 08/19 11Z 0.15 2705 64 20 11 0.00
Wed 08/19 12Z 0.15 2605 61 25 12 0.00
Wed 08/19 13Z 0.11 2504 57 34 12 0.00
Wed 08/19 14Z 0.15 2406 58 42 12 0.00
Wed 08/19 15Z 0.20 2407 59 40 12 0.00
Wed 08/19 16Z 0.25 2408 58 51 12 0.00
Wed 08/19 17Z 0.32 2509 58 59 12 0.00
Wed 08/19 18Z 0.37 2509 58 64 12 0.00
Wed 08/19 19Z 0.40 2608 61 71 13 0.00
Wed 08/19 20Z 0.53 2509 68 78 13 0.00
Wed 08/19 21Z 0.48 2509 74 79 13 0.00
Wed 08/19 22Z 0.53 2410 82 79 13 0.00
Wed 08/19 23Z 0.54 2513 89 78 12 0.02
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.55 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1