Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260718_0600
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sat 07/18 06Z 0.30 2308 57 18 12 0.00
Sat 07/18 07Z 0.45 2311 59 46 12 0.00
Sat 07/18 08Z 0.41 2311 61 81 12 0.00
Sat 07/18 09Z 0.40 2213 61 96 12 0.00
Sat 07/18 10Z 0.43 2215 66 93 11 0.01
Sat 07/18 11Z 0.43 2317 68 96 12 0.00
Sat 07/18 12Z 0.42 2220 73 93 12 0.01
Sat 07/18 13Z 0.45 2123 78 76 13 0.02
Sat 07/18 14Z 0.42 2124 75 64 14 0.01
Sat 07/18 15Z 0.46 2128 79 57 15 0.00
Sat 07/18 16Z 0.62 2130 86 86 15 0.00
Sat 07/18 17Z 0.57 2230 93 78 15 0.27
Sat 07/18 18Z 0.61 2232 93 78 15 0.07
Sat 07/18 19Z 0.70 2232 94 75 16 0.01
Sat 07/18 20Z 0.83 2230 94 77 16 0.01
Sat 07/18 21Z 0.87 2328 93 71 16 0.04
Sat 07/18 22Z 0.83 2327 93 74 15 0.01
Sat 07/18 23Z 0.80 2327 94 79 15 0.04
Sun 07/19 00Z 0.83 2429 95 81 15 0.07
Sun 07/19 01Z 0.84 2529 96 67 15 0.04
Sun 07/19 02Z 0.86 2528 96 59 15 0.03
Sun 07/19 03Z 0.91 2529 96 64 14 0.06
Sun 07/19 04Z 0.99 2729 97 67 14 0.11
Sun 07/19 05Z 0.92 2929 98 62 11 0.06
Sun 07/19 06Z 0.71 3129 96 37 10 0.04
Sun 07/19 07Z 0.55 3229 94 29 9 0.02
Sun 07/19 08Z 0.49 3228 91 28 8 0.01
Sun 07/19 09Z 0.48 3229 89 25 8 0.01
Sun 07/19 10Z 0.45 3229 90 20 8 0.01
Sun 07/19 11Z 0.47 3228 91 14 7 0.01
Sun 07/19 12Z 0.45 3227 91 12 7 0.01
Sun 07/19 13Z 0.42 3225 90 9 7 0.01
Sun 07/19 14Z 0.40 3222 87 7 7 0.01
Sun 07/19 15Z 0.42 3221 84 8 7 0.01
Sun 07/19 16Z 0.53 3119 80 9 7 0.00
Sun 07/19 17Z 2.68 3118 77 12 7 0.00
Sun 07/19 18Z 7.64 3018 74 10 7 0.00
Sun 07/19 19Z 10.45 3018 72 10 8 0.00
Sun 07/19 20Z 11.01 3018 69 13 8 0.00
Sun 07/19 21Z 10.94 3019 66 13 8 0.00
Sun 07/19 22Z 9.21 2920 66 10 8 0.00
Sun 07/19 23Z 4.92 3022 66 8 8 0.00
Mon 07/20 00Z 2.81 3024 65 9 8 0.00
Mon 07/20 01Z 2.25 3125 67 10 8 0.00
Mon 07/20 02Z 2.36 3125 71 11 7 0.00
Mon 07/20 03Z 1.74 3125 73 11 7 0.00
Mon 07/20 04Z 1.26 3224 74 9 7 0.00
Mon 07/20 05Z 1.13 3223 75 9 7 0.00
Mon 07/20 06Z 0.86 3221 77 10 7 0.00
Mon 07/20 07Z 0.69 3219 76 11 7 0.00
Mon 07/20 08Z 0.55 3217 77 13 7 0.00
Mon 07/20 09Z 0.46 3216 77 15 7 0.00
Mon 07/20 10Z 0.38 3214 76 18 7 0.00
Mon 07/20 11Z 0.38 3112 76 26 7 0.00
Mon 07/20 12Z 0.40 3011 76 26 7 0.00
Mon 07/20 13Z 0.42 2910 77 32 7 0.00
Mon 07/20 14Z 0.46 2708 76 42 8 0.00
Mon 07/20 15Z 0.91 2607 75 53 8 0.00
Mon 07/20 16Z 1.77 2607 73 55 8 0.00
Mon 07/20 17Z 2.05 2607 70 65 9 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 1.01 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1