
A Wind Advisory is in effect from 7 AM this morning to 7 PM this evening for portions of northern New York and Vermont. South winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts to 45 mph expected. Strongest gusts will be along the northern slopes of the Adirondacks and along the shores of Lake Champlain. Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects and may make for difficult driving conditions, so use caution. Read More >
Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20251123_1800
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sun 11/23 18Z 0.23 2209 98 85 -6 0.00
Sun 11/23 19Z 0.23 2209 97 92 -5 0.00
Sun 11/23 20Z 0.23 2209 98 92 -5 0.01
Sun 11/23 21Z 0.26 2309 98 92 -5 0.01
Sun 11/23 22Z 0.26 2309 98 93 -5 0.01
Sun 11/23 23Z 0.25 2508 98 87 -5 0.01
Mon 11/24 00Z 0.26 2608 97 78 -4 0.01
Mon 11/24 01Z 0.25 2708 96 71 -4 0.00
Mon 11/24 02Z 0.27 2809 95 78 -5 0.00
Mon 11/24 03Z 0.32 2810 95 77 -5 0.00
Mon 11/24 04Z 0.34 2911 95 77 -4 0.00
Mon 11/24 05Z 0.36 2912 95 78 -5 0.00
Mon 11/24 06Z 0.42 2913 96 80 -5 0.01
Mon 11/24 07Z 0.50 3015 97 79 -5 0.01
Mon 11/24 08Z 0.53 3017 98 81 -5 0.02
Mon 11/24 09Z 0.54 3018 98 80 -5 0.02
Mon 11/24 10Z 0.56 3120 98 74 -5 0.02
Mon 11/24 11Z 0.61 3122 97 65 -6 0.02
Mon 11/24 12Z 0.64 3123 97 54 -6 0.02
Mon 11/24 13Z 0.66 3123 97 46 -6 0.02
Mon 11/24 14Z 0.66 3123 97 54 -7 0.02
Mon 11/24 15Z 0.55 3122 95 48 -6 0.01
Mon 11/24 16Z 0.54 3120 95 22 -6 0.01
Mon 11/24 17Z 0.53 3018 95 3 -6 0.01
Mon 11/24 18Z 0.48 2917 91 2 -6 0.00
Mon 11/24 19Z 0.41 2917 82 8 -4 0.00
Mon 11/24 20Z 0.39 2918 72 11 -3 0.00
Mon 11/24 21Z 0.32 3018 59 24 -2 0.00
Mon 11/24 22Z 0.31 2918 48 34 0 0.00
Mon 11/24 23Z 0.33 2918 42 62 0 0.00
Tue 11/25 00Z 0.34 2818 35 73 0 0.00
Tue 11/25 01Z 0.36 2817 25 88 0 0.00
Tue 11/25 02Z 0.41 2718 20 91 1 0.00
Tue 11/25 03Z 0.44 2617 20 91 1 0.00
Tue 11/25 04Z 0.43 2518 15 91 1 0.00
Tue 11/25 05Z 0.51 2423 14 92 1 0.00
Tue 11/25 06Z 0.60 2427 14 86 1 0.00
Tue 11/25 07Z 0.67 2529 15 83 2 0.00
Tue 11/25 08Z 0.68 2529 15 83 2 0.00
Tue 11/25 09Z 0.68 2529 16 82 2 0.00
Tue 11/25 10Z 0.66 2627 17 85 2 0.00
Tue 11/25 11Z 0.63 2626 19 83 2 0.00
Tue 11/25 12Z 0.59 2624 25 74 1 0.00
Tue 11/25 13Z 0.52 2622 29 78 2 0.00
Tue 11/25 14Z 0.44 2518 31 85 2 0.00
Tue 11/25 15Z 0.37 2517 35 80 3 0.00
Tue 11/25 16Z 0.34 2417 37 71 3 0.00
Tue 11/25 17Z 0.34 2317 40 67 3 0.00
Tue 11/25 18Z 0.35 2318 42 70 3 0.00
Tue 11/25 19Z 0.33 2318 42 63 3 0.00
Tue 11/25 20Z 0.29 2316 43 58 3 0.00
Tue 11/25 21Z 0.28 2317 47 67 3 0.00
Tue 11/25 22Z 0.30 2317 49 67 3 0.00
Tue 11/25 23Z 0.30 2317 53 70 3 0.00
Wed 11/26 00Z 0.30 2317 61 70 3 0.00
Wed 11/26 01Z 0.30 2317 67 75 3 0.00
Wed 11/26 02Z 0.30 2217 70 91 3 0.01
Wed 11/26 03Z 0.27 2217 75 96 3 0.01
Wed 11/26 04Z 0.23 2116 80 98 3 0.01
Wed 11/26 05Z 0.18 2016 83 98 3 0.01
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.28 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1