National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Extreme Heat Warnings and Heat Advisories remain in effect through Friday

Dangerous heat will build today and continue through Friday. Extreme Heat Warnings are in effect for the entire Champlain Valley & eastern Windsor County in Vermont. Heat Advisories in effect for the remainder of our region. Heat index values will peak around 105 degrees in warning areas with locally higher values possible. Advisory areas will see heat index values up to 100 degrees. Read More >

Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens

Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260701_0600
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.

925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date   Time        Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Wed 07/01 06Z 0.70 2524  83  89  17 0.00
Wed 07/01 07Z 0.68 2623  91  91  17 0.03
Wed 07/01 08Z 0.68 2623  94  89  17 0.04
Wed 07/01 09Z 0.74 2725  96  73  17 0.03
Wed 07/01 10Z 0.67 2925  95  64  17 0.13
Wed 07/01 11Z 0.58 3023  94  64  17 0.05
Wed 07/01 12Z 0.46 3018  93  66  18 0.01
Wed 07/01 13Z 0.44 2916  93  65  18 0.01
Wed 07/01 14Z 0.41 2915  91  67  18 0.01
Wed 07/01 15Z 0.42 2913  89  59  18 0.00
Wed 07/01 17Z 0.53 2710  89  65  18 0.00
Wed 07/01 18Z 0.69 2711  90  69  18 0.00
Wed 07/01 19Z 0.55 2611  93  70  18 0.00
Wed 07/01 20Z 0.70 2615  93  72  19 0.00
Wed 07/01 21Z 0.47 2414  87  63  19 0.01
Wed 07/01 22Z 0.55 2518  83  61  20 0.00
Wed 07/01 23Z 0.64 2619  81  56  20 0.00
Thu 07/02 00Z 0.64 2521  90  50  20 0.00
Thu 07/02 01Z 0.67 2622  89  43  20 0.00
Thu 07/02 02Z 0.65 2722  88  46  20 0.00
Thu 07/02 03Z 0.59 2721  87  46  20 0.00
Thu 07/02 04Z 0.62 2722  87  45  20 0.00
Thu 07/02 05Z 0.60 2823  82  47  20 0.00
Thu 07/02 06Z 0.58 2923  78  51  20 0.00
Thu 07/02 07Z 0.55 2923  82  51  20 0.00
Thu 07/02 08Z 0.52 2922  86  55  19 0.00
Thu 07/02 09Z 0.49 2922  87  54  19 0.00
Thu 07/02 10Z 0.44 2920  83  44  19 0.01
Thu 07/02 11Z 0.43 2920  73  28  20 0.01
Thu 07/02 12Z 0.43 2820  62  34  20 0.01
Thu 07/02 13Z 0.46 2820  65  41  20 0.00
Thu 07/02 14Z 0.51 2820  72  51  19 0.00
Thu 07/02 15Z 0.54 2820  72  56  20 0.00
Thu 07/02 16Z 0.54 2818  72  55  20 0.00
Thu 07/02 17Z 0.55 2818  71  48  20 0.00
Thu 07/02 18Z 0.57 2716  73  35  20 0.00
Thu 07/02 19Z 0.66 2616  78  37  20 0.00
Thu 07/02 20Z 0.84 2517  84  47  20 0.00
Thu 07/02 21Z 1.11 2420  86  51  20 0.00
Thu 07/02 22Z 1.35 2424  87  58  20 0.00
Thu 07/02 23Z 2.10 2528  86  57  20 0.00
Fri 07/03 00Z 1.55 2631  88  62  19 0.03
Fri 07/03 01Z 1.30 2732  79  51  20 0.07
Fri 07/03 02Z 1.10 2732  77  51  19 0.01
Fri 07/03 03Z 1.04 2832  82  52  19 0.00
Fri 07/03 04Z 0.98 2831  86  37  19 0.03
Fri 07/03 05Z 0.97 2831  88  36  18 0.02
Fri 07/03 06Z 0.92 2930  88  46  18 0.00
Fri 07/03 07Z 0.84 2829  87  46  18 0.00
Fri 07/03 08Z 0.74 2928  82  48  18 0.00
Fri 07/03 09Z 0.65 2925  76  41  18 0.01
Fri 07/03 10Z 0.51 2922  63  36  19 0.01
Fri 07/03 11Z 0.47 2921  58  37  19 0.01
Fri 07/03 12Z 0.48 2920  60  25  18 0.01
Fri 07/03 13Z 0.52 2821  63  16  18 0.01
Fri 07/03 14Z 0.58 2822  64  17  18 0.01
Fri 07/03 15Z 0.64 2822  65  19  18 0.01
Fri 07/03 16Z 0.83 2823  70  15  17 0.00
Fri 07/03 17Z 1.66 2822  77  17  16 0.00

Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.58 inches.

Froude Number (Frd#): 
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
         Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
         W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
         Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
         Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
         W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
         Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
         Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
         With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
         Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
         W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
         Air flows freely over terrain.
         Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.

Relative Humidity (RH): 
         925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
         with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
         with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.

850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
        T > -11       10-15:1
        T -11 to -15  25-35:1
        T < -15       15-20:1