Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260814_0600
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Fri 08/14 06Z 0.37 3217 84 53 9 0.00
Fri 08/14 07Z 0.43 3218 87 47 9 0.00
Fri 08/14 08Z 0.43 3218 85 49 9 0.00
Fri 08/14 09Z 0.44 3119 82 49 9 0.00
Fri 08/14 10Z 0.43 3219 81 61 9 0.00
Fri 08/14 11Z 0.42 3219 79 66 9 0.00
Fri 08/14 12Z 0.41 3220 75 65 9 0.00
Fri 08/14 13Z 0.40 3219 73 68 9 0.00
Fri 08/14 14Z 0.36 3218 71 74 8 0.00
Fri 08/14 15Z 0.42 3216 70 78 8 0.00
Fri 08/14 16Z 0.90 3214 72 77 8 0.00
Fri 08/14 17Z 1.46 3212 73 75 8 0.00
Fri 08/14 18Z 1.94 3211 73 77 9 0.00
Fri 08/14 19Z 1.88 3211 74 77 9 0.00
Fri 08/14 20Z 1.45 3211 76 75 9 0.00
Fri 08/14 21Z 0.67 3210 80 64 9 0.01
Fri 08/14 22Z 0.62 3109 79 53 9 0.01
Fri 08/14 23Z 0.33 3209 79 48 9 0.00
Sat 08/15 00Z 0.29 3310 81 50 9 0.00
Sat 08/15 01Z 0.26 3312 81 44 9 0.00
Sat 08/15 02Z 0.32 3313 81 39 8 0.00
Sat 08/15 03Z 0.28 3313 82 34 8 0.00
Sat 08/15 04Z 0.21 3413 81 30 8 0.00
Sat 08/15 05Z 0.11 3412 78 22 8 0.00
Sat 08/15 06Z 0.16 3412 81 19 8 0.00
Sat 08/15 07Z 0.17 3310 80 14 8 0.00
Sat 08/15 08Z 0.16 3310 78 10 8 0.00
Sat 08/15 09Z 0.19 3310 79 10 8 0.00
Sat 08/15 10Z 0.27 3211 81 9 7 0.00
Sat 08/15 11Z 0.27 3213 81 9 7 0.00
Sat 08/15 12Z 0.26 3213 80 9 7 0.00
Sat 08/15 13Z 0.25 3313 81 9 7 0.00
Sat 08/15 14Z 0.24 3211 83 9 7 0.00
Sat 08/15 15Z 0.31 3211 83 11 7 0.00
Sat 08/15 16Z 0.30 3210 82 14 7 0.00
Sat 08/15 17Z 0.33 3211 80 18 7 0.00
Sat 08/15 18Z 0.56 3212 79 21 7 0.00
Sat 08/15 19Z 1.00 3213 79 23 7 0.00
Sat 08/15 20Z 1.26 3213 82 24 7 0.00
Sat 08/15 21Z 0.97 3213 85 22 7 0.00
Sat 08/15 22Z 0.47 3314 87 21 7 0.00
Sat 08/15 23Z 0.24 3313 86 18 7 0.00
Sun 08/16 00Z 0.14 3412 84 16 7 0.00
Sun 08/16 01Z 0.13 3412 83 16 7 0.00
Sun 08/16 02Z 0.09 3411 81 16 8 0.00
Sun 08/16 03Z 0.07 3511 81 16 8 0.00
Sun 08/16 04Z 0.04 0009 78 14 9 0.00
Sun 08/16 05Z 0.02 0008 77 15 9 0.00
Sun 08/16 06Z 0.03 0005 73 16 9 0.00
Sun 08/16 07Z 0.03 0003 64 15 10 0.00
Sun 08/16 08Z 0.01 0002 60 14 11 0.00
Sun 08/16 09Z 0.01 0000 59 14 11 0.00
Sun 08/16 10Z 0.02 1500 58 12 11 0.00
Sun 08/16 11Z 0.02 2002 57 11 10 0.00
Sun 08/16 12Z 0.04 2003 57 10 10 0.00
Sun 08/16 13Z 0.06 2104 55 9 10 0.00
Sun 08/16 14Z 0.06 2005 54 7 11 0.00
Sun 08/16 15Z 0.08 2106 58 7 11 0.00
Sun 08/16 16Z 0.11 2106 64 6 10 0.00
Sun 08/16 17Z 0.12 2006 67 5 10 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.02 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1