Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260228_0000
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sat 02/28 00Z 1.04 2418 69 46 -6 0.00
Sat 02/28 01Z 0.89 2421 69 36 -5 0.00
Sat 02/28 02Z 0.78 2422 70 36 -4 0.00
Sat 02/28 03Z 0.76 2324 67 38 -4 0.00
Sat 02/28 04Z 0.76 2327 65 38 -3 0.00
Sat 02/28 05Z 0.71 2228 64 35 -2 0.00
Sat 02/28 06Z 0.65 2229 63 31 -2 0.00
Sat 02/28 07Z 0.64 2232 65 28 -2 0.00
Sat 02/28 08Z 0.66 2134 65 28 -2 0.00
Sat 02/28 09Z 0.66 2135 60 28 -1 0.00
Sat 02/28 10Z 0.61 2135 57 13 -1 0.00
Sat 02/28 11Z 0.58 2137 65 25 -1 0.00
Sat 02/28 12Z 0.54 2139 72 55 -1 0.00
Sat 02/28 13Z 0.55 2140 77 61 0 0.00
Sat 02/28 14Z 0.57 2142 76 73 0 0.00
Sat 02/28 15Z 0.69 2143 79 92 0 0.00
Sat 02/28 16Z 0.73 2142 84 95 0 0.00
Sat 02/28 17Z 0.80 2240 93 91 -1 0.03
Sat 02/28 18Z 0.80 2236 95 55 -1 0.01
Sat 02/28 19Z 0.95 2333 96 22 -2 0.01
Sat 02/28 20Z 1.21 2531 97 13 -3 0.01
Sat 02/28 21Z 1.26 2628 93 9 -4 0.01
Sat 02/28 22Z 1.05 2625 81 6 -4 0.01
Sat 02/28 23Z 0.81 2723 74 6 -5 0.01
Sun 03/01 00Z 0.62 2821 66 9 -6 0.01
Sun 03/01 01Z 0.50 2920 64 13 -6 0.00
Sun 03/01 02Z 0.43 2919 64 15 -7 0.01
Sun 03/01 03Z 0.38 3020 65 18 -7 0.01
Sun 03/01 04Z 0.29 3017 62 39 -7 0.00
Sun 03/01 05Z 0.23 3115 57 68 -7 0.00
Sun 03/01 06Z 0.20 3114 56 77 -8 0.00
Sun 03/01 07Z 0.19 3113 57 87 -9 0.00
Sun 03/01 08Z 0.19 3112 55 90 -10 0.00
Sun 03/01 09Z 0.20 3114 58 88 -11 0.00
Sun 03/01 10Z 0.18 3112 59 87 -11 0.00
Sun 03/01 11Z 0.16 3111 63 89 -12 0.00
Sun 03/01 12Z 0.15 3111 68 89 -13 0.00
Sun 03/01 13Z 0.17 3111 73 88 -13 0.00
Sun 03/01 14Z 0.15 3110 74 86 -14 0.00
Sun 03/01 15Z 0.16 3209 75 84 -14 0.00
Sun 03/01 16Z 0.24 3110 75 87 -15 0.00
Sun 03/01 17Z 0.30 3212 77 87 -16 0.00
Sun 03/01 18Z 0.36 3213 79 87 -17 0.00
Sun 03/01 19Z 0.35 3214 75 85 -17 0.00
Sun 03/01 20Z 0.43 3215 68 84 -17 0.00
Sun 03/01 21Z 0.45 3215 61 78 -17 0.00
Sun 03/01 22Z 0.34 3216 61 57 -17 0.00
Sun 03/01 23Z 0.34 3218 61 38 -18 0.00
Mon 03/02 00Z 0.38 3219 68 31 -18 0.00
Mon 03/02 01Z 0.43 3220 75 28 -19 0.00
Mon 03/02 02Z 0.51 3220 79 26 -20 0.00
Mon 03/02 03Z 0.55 3119 78 21 -20 0.00
Mon 03/02 04Z 0.52 3119 74 22 -21 0.00
Mon 03/02 05Z 0.46 3120 68 19 -21 0.00
Mon 03/02 06Z 0.42 3120 67 20 -21 0.00
Mon 03/02 07Z 0.38 3220 64 23 -21 0.00
Mon 03/02 08Z 0.36 3220 60 24 -21 0.00
Mon 03/02 09Z 0.33 3220 56 25 -21 0.00
Mon 03/02 10Z 0.32 3220 53 25 -21 0.00
Mon 03/02 11Z 0.31 3119 52 27 -21 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.12 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1