
Heat and humidity will build over the next few days, with the hottest conditions expected Friday. A Heat Advisory has been issued for Friday for the Champlain Valley from 12-8 PM, when heat indices will climb into the low to mid 90s. Drink plenty of fluids, and take extra precautions if you have outdoor plans for Friday. Read More >
Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260610_0600
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Wed 06/10 06Z 0.30 2708 71 1 16 0.00
Wed 06/10 07Z 0.35 2708 74 4 15 0.00
Wed 06/10 08Z 0.35 2708 77 18 15 0.00
Wed 06/10 09Z 0.31 2607 77 37 15 0.00
Wed 06/10 10Z 0.24 2506 78 59 15 0.00
Wed 06/10 11Z 0.24 2307 79 76 15 0.00
Wed 06/10 12Z 0.25 2208 82 81 15 0.00
Wed 06/10 13Z 0.25 2209 85 80 15 0.00
Wed 06/10 14Z 0.24 2110 88 81 15 0.00
Wed 06/10 15Z 0.28 2110 89 87 15 0.00
Wed 06/10 16Z 0.26 2010 90 83 15 0.00
Wed 06/10 17Z 0.28 1910 90 86 16 0.00
Wed 06/10 18Z 0.48 2011 91 90 16 0.01
Wed 06/10 19Z 0.61 2113 90 93 16 0.02
Wed 06/10 20Z 0.40 2115 89 91 16 0.03
Wed 06/10 21Z 0.47 2116 88 86 16 0.02
Wed 06/10 22Z 0.43 2113 90 87 16 0.00
Wed 06/10 23Z 0.38 2113 92 88 16 0.03
Thu 06/11 00Z 0.32 2114 94 87 16 0.05
Thu 06/11 01Z 0.36 2116 96 90 16 0.07
Thu 06/11 02Z 0.36 2116 96 86 16 0.11
Thu 06/11 03Z 0.45 2318 97 90 16 0.07
Thu 06/11 04Z 0.41 2415 95 80 16 0.13
Thu 06/11 05Z 0.45 2416 94 83 16 0.05
Thu 06/11 06Z 0.51 2517 96 83 16 0.02
Thu 06/11 07Z 0.58 2618 96 81 16 0.03
Thu 06/11 08Z 0.55 2718 93 75 16 0.02
Thu 06/11 09Z 0.55 2718 94 69 16 0.01
Thu 06/11 10Z 0.60 2719 95 74 15 0.01
Thu 06/11 11Z 0.61 2819 96 68 15 0.01
Thu 06/11 12Z 0.53 2817 95 68 15 0.01
Thu 06/11 13Z 0.53 2816 96 69 15 0.01
Thu 06/11 14Z 0.43 2814 93 48 16 0.01
Thu 06/11 15Z 0.31 2910 88 30 17 0.00
Thu 06/11 16Z 0.32 2809 87 43 17 0.00
Thu 06/11 17Z 0.51 2711 89 51 17 0.00
Thu 06/11 18Z 0.55 2712 91 53 17 0.00
Thu 06/11 19Z 0.55 2613 95 64 17 0.02
Thu 06/11 20Z 0.57 2714 95 67 17 0.02
Thu 06/11 21Z 0.58 2615 96 71 17 0.01
Thu 06/11 22Z 0.59 2716 90 71 18 0.01
Thu 06/11 23Z 0.71 2817 92 73 17 0.02
Fri 06/12 00Z 0.66 2916 92 66 17 0.00
Fri 06/12 01Z 0.54 2815 93 65 16 0.04
Fri 06/12 02Z 0.44 2814 94 56 16 0.08
Fri 06/12 03Z 0.35 2812 90 50 16 0.01
Fri 06/12 04Z 0.34 2813 90 51 16 0.00
Fri 06/12 05Z 0.31 2912 92 61 16 0.00
Fri 06/12 06Z 0.33 2912 92 69 16 0.01
Fri 06/12 07Z 0.40 2914 94 69 16 0.01
Fri 06/12 08Z 0.47 2917 97 74 15 0.02
Fri 06/12 09Z 0.48 2918 97 74 15 0.04
Fri 06/12 10Z 0.42 2915 95 74 15 0.02
Fri 06/12 11Z 0.37 2913 91 74 15 0.01
Fri 06/12 12Z 0.31 2911 90 67 15 0.01
Fri 06/12 13Z 0.27 2809 87 54 16 0.00
Fri 06/12 14Z 0.14 2805 77 38 17 0.00
Fri 06/12 15Z 0.15 2705 71 26 18 0.00
Fri 06/12 16Z 0.29 2708 72 27 18 0.00
Fri 06/12 17Z 0.32 2809 66 32 18 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 1.05 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1