Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260910_1200
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Thu 09/10 12Z 1.18 2828 93 45 12 0.00
Thu 09/10 13Z 1.17 2829 91 38 12 0.00
Thu 09/10 14Z 1.17 2728 89 27 12 0.00
Thu 09/10 15Z 1.36 2727 88 16 12 0.00
Thu 09/10 16Z 3.94 2725 88 12 11 0.00
Thu 09/10 17Z 13.15 2725 86 7 11 0.00
Thu 09/10 18Z 16.01 2726 79 7 11 0.00
Thu 09/10 19Z 18.30 2727 72 8 11 0.00
Thu 09/10 20Z 16.53 2827 67 8 11 0.00
Thu 09/10 21Z 11.13 2826 69 10 10 0.00
Thu 09/10 22Z 3.59 2926 72 9 10 0.00
Thu 09/10 23Z 2.29 2925 80 14 9 0.01
Fri 09/11 00Z 1.73 2926 87 11 8 0.01
Fri 09/11 01Z 1.13 3025 90 7 7 0.01
Fri 09/11 02Z 0.82 3024 91 6 7 0.01
Fri 09/11 03Z 0.77 3024 91 6 6 0.00
Fri 09/11 04Z 0.67 3024 91 5 5 0.00
Fri 09/11 05Z 0.66 3025 89 4 5 0.00
Fri 09/11 06Z 0.61 3025 86 4 5 0.00
Fri 09/11 07Z 0.54 3024 82 4 5 0.00
Fri 09/11 08Z 0.51 3024 81 4 5 0.00
Fri 09/11 09Z 0.43 3022 77 4 5 0.00
Fri 09/11 10Z 0.41 3122 74 3 5 0.00
Fri 09/11 11Z 0.39 3122 72 3 6 0.00
Fri 09/11 12Z 0.37 3122 69 3 6 0.00
Fri 09/11 13Z 0.34 3121 63 3 6 0.00
Fri 09/11 14Z 0.35 3121 58 4 7 0.00
Fri 09/11 15Z 0.35 3119 53 5 7 0.00
Fri 09/11 16Z 0.36 3118 51 6 7 0.00
Fri 09/11 17Z 0.40 3117 51 7 6 0.00
Fri 09/11 18Z 0.47 3017 53 8 6 0.00
Fri 09/11 19Z 0.53 3017 56 10 6 0.00
Fri 09/11 20Z 0.54 3016 59 12 7 0.00
Fri 09/11 21Z 0.53 3015 59 14 7 0.00
Fri 09/11 22Z 0.48 3016 56 18 7 0.00
Fri 09/11 23Z 0.42 3116 51 24 8 0.00
Sat 09/12 00Z 0.36 3116 46 27 8 0.00
Sat 09/12 01Z 0.29 3216 44 31 9 0.00
Sat 09/12 02Z 0.23 3215 41 30 9 0.00
Sat 09/12 03Z 0.18 3213 40 29 10 0.00
Sat 09/12 04Z 0.13 3311 38 30 10 0.00
Sat 09/12 05Z 0.10 3309 36 30 11 0.00
Sat 09/12 06Z 0.09 3207 34 31 11 0.00
Sat 09/12 07Z 0.08 3205 33 33 11 0.00
Sat 09/12 08Z 0.07 3104 31 35 11 0.00
Sat 09/12 09Z 0.04 3102 30 34 11 0.00
Sat 09/12 10Z 0.02 2500 30 36 12 0.00
Sat 09/12 11Z 0.04 2102 29 37 11 0.00
Sat 09/12 12Z 0.03 2003 29 36 11 0.00
Sat 09/12 13Z 0.03 1905 29 36 11 0.00
Sat 09/12 14Z 0.04 1908 32 33 11 0.00
Sat 09/12 15Z 0.08 1909 36 28 11 0.00
Sat 09/12 16Z 0.11 2010 41 24 11 0.00
Sat 09/12 17Z 0.13 2011 46 19 11 0.00
Sat 09/12 18Z 0.15 2011 49 15 11 0.00
Sat 09/12 19Z 0.17 1912 52 9 12 0.00
Sat 09/12 20Z 0.18 1913 54 7 12 0.00
Sat 09/12 21Z 0.20 2015 54 9 12 0.00
Sat 09/12 22Z 0.27 2017 53 11 12 0.00
Sat 09/12 23Z 0.33 2119 51 14 12 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.04 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1