Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260224_0000
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Tue 02/24 00Z 0.14 3528 77 51 -11 0.00
Tue 02/24 01Z 0.22 3433 83 42 -12 0.00
Tue 02/24 02Z 0.35 3433 89 36 -12 0.00
Tue 02/24 03Z 0.37 3431 91 33 -13 0.00
Tue 02/24 04Z 0.37 3429 87 31 -13 0.00
Tue 02/24 05Z 0.33 3428 86 30 -13 0.00
Tue 02/24 06Z 0.29 3429 86 26 -14 0.00
Tue 02/24 07Z 0.36 3329 88 25 -14 0.00
Tue 02/24 08Z 0.43 3327 92 25 -15 0.00
Tue 02/24 09Z 0.45 3225 92 27 -15 0.00
Tue 02/24 10Z 0.41 3224 93 34 -15 0.01
Tue 02/24 11Z 0.36 3124 91 42 -15 0.00
Tue 02/24 12Z 0.35 3124 92 50 -15 0.00
Tue 02/24 13Z 0.33 3123 92 53 -15 0.00
Tue 02/24 14Z 0.32 3121 91 52 -16 0.00
Tue 02/24 15Z 0.32 3119 90 52 -16 0.00
Tue 02/24 16Z 0.32 3118 89 52 -16 0.00
Tue 02/24 17Z 0.32 3117 87 53 -15 0.00
Tue 02/24 18Z 0.34 3016 86 54 -15 0.00
Tue 02/24 19Z 0.38 3015 86 55 -15 0.00
Tue 02/24 20Z 0.42 3015 86 53 -15 0.00
Tue 02/24 21Z 0.43 2914 85 45 -15 0.00
Tue 02/24 22Z 0.49 2816 85 33 -15 0.00
Tue 02/24 23Z 0.51 2816 85 15 -15 0.00
Wed 02/25 00Z 0.51 2817 87 4 -15 0.00
Wed 02/25 01Z 0.42 2716 85 1 -14 0.00
Wed 02/25 02Z 0.31 2613 78 3 -13 0.00
Wed 02/25 03Z 0.27 2513 72 7 -13 0.00
Wed 02/25 04Z 0.18 2410 61 25 -12 0.00
Wed 02/25 05Z 0.18 2211 51 59 -11 0.00
Wed 02/25 06Z 0.20 2214 43 76 -11 0.00
Wed 02/25 07Z 0.23 2217 36 92 -11 0.00
Wed 02/25 08Z 0.21 2118 39 81 -10 0.00
Wed 02/25 09Z 0.19 2021 46 62 -10 0.00
Wed 02/25 10Z 0.20 2024 59 72 -10 0.00
Wed 02/25 11Z 0.17 1927 79 86 -9 0.00
Wed 02/25 12Z 0.17 1929 88 86 -9 0.02
Wed 02/25 13Z 0.24 2028 93 90 -9 0.02
Wed 02/25 14Z 0.31 2025 94 87 -9 0.01
Wed 02/25 15Z 0.36 2121 95 82 -9 0.01
Wed 02/25 16Z 0.41 2119 95 65 -9 0.01
Wed 02/25 17Z 0.44 2116 94 55 -9 0.00
Wed 02/25 18Z 0.58 2115 91 62 -8 0.00
Wed 02/25 19Z 1.34 2115 89 77 -8 0.00
Wed 02/25 20Z 1.58 2116 89 88 -8 0.00
Wed 02/25 21Z 0.89 2117 91 85 -7 0.00
Wed 02/25 22Z 0.59 2121 93 77 -7 0.00
Wed 02/25 23Z 0.73 2223 96 71 -7 0.02
Thu 02/26 00Z 1.20 2324 97 53 -7 0.03
Thu 02/26 01Z 1.91 2524 92 47 -9 0.02
Thu 02/26 02Z 1.67 2525 83 51 -10 0.00
Thu 02/26 03Z 1.52 2626 83 51 -10 0.00
Thu 02/26 04Z 1.24 2625 84 52 -11 0.00
Thu 02/26 06Z 1.20 2624 84 47 -12 0.00
Thu 02/26 07Z 1.40 2624 86 38 -12 0.00
Thu 02/26 08Z 1.52 2624 85 27 -13 0.00
Thu 02/26 09Z 1.41 2725 82 19 -14 0.00
Thu 02/26 10Z 1.61 2726 79 12 -14 0.00
Thu 02/26 11Z 1.25 2727 76 10 -14 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.15 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1