Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260928_1200
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Mon 09/28 12Z 0.45 0817 95 97 8 0.00
Mon 09/28 13Z 0.45 0818 95 98 8 0.01
Mon 09/28 14Z 0.42 0916 97 97 7 0.01
Mon 09/28 15Z 0.35 0914 97 88 8 0.01
Mon 09/28 16Z 0.31 0912 96 84 8 0.01
Mon 09/28 17Z 0.25 0910 97 83 8 0.01
Mon 09/28 18Z 0.19 0907 97 87 8 0.01
Mon 09/28 19Z 0.16 0806 98 85 8 0.01
Mon 09/28 20Z 0.15 0706 98 85 8 0.01
Mon 09/28 21Z 0.16 0607 97 86 9 0.01
Mon 09/28 22Z 0.16 0607 98 86 9 0.01
Mon 09/28 23Z 0.17 0508 98 87 9 0.01
Tue 09/29 00Z 0.15 0507 97 85 9 0.01
Tue 09/29 01Z 0.11 0406 97 83 9 0.01
Tue 09/29 02Z 0.05 0106 98 85 9 0.00
Tue 09/29 03Z 0.03 0006 98 87 9 0.00
Tue 09/29 04Z 0.02 0007 98 88 9 0.00
Tue 09/29 05Z 0.03 3509 98 90 9 0.00
Tue 09/29 06Z 0.03 3510 97 91 9 0.00
Tue 09/29 07Z 0.04 3511 96 92 9 0.00
Tue 09/29 08Z 0.04 3511 96 90 10 0.00
Tue 09/29 09Z 0.04 0011 94 85 10 0.00
Tue 09/29 10Z 0.04 3512 94 83 10 0.00
Tue 09/29 11Z 0.05 3513 95 83 10 0.00
Tue 09/29 12Z 0.05 3513 96 84 9 0.01
Tue 09/29 13Z 0.06 0013 96 84 9 0.01
Tue 09/29 14Z 0.06 0012 96 83 9 0.01
Tue 09/29 15Z 0.06 0012 95 81 9 0.00
Tue 09/29 16Z 0.05 3513 95 80 9 0.00
Tue 09/29 17Z 0.04 3514 95 78 9 0.01
Tue 09/29 18Z 0.04 3514 95 77 9 0.01
Tue 09/29 19Z 0.04 0013 94 72 9 0.00
Tue 09/29 20Z 0.06 0112 91 63 10 0.00
Tue 09/29 21Z 0.06 0113 90 57 10 0.00
Tue 09/29 22Z 0.03 0014 91 59 9 0.00
Tue 09/29 23Z 0.03 0014 89 60 9 0.01
Wed 09/30 00Z 0.04 0013 87 53 10 0.00
Wed 09/30 01Z 0.04 0011 87 47 10 0.00
Wed 09/30 02Z 0.07 0110 86 42 10 0.00
Wed 09/30 03Z 0.04 0108 87 38 9 0.00
Wed 09/30 04Z 0.03 0006 85 33 10 0.00
Wed 09/30 05Z 0.02 0005 84 29 10 0.00
Wed 09/30 06Z 0.02 3505 84 23 10 0.00
Wed 09/30 07Z 0.06 3306 84 21 10 0.00
Wed 09/30 08Z 0.08 3206 81 20 10 0.00
Wed 09/30 09Z 0.07 3307 78 18 10 0.00
Wed 09/30 10Z 0.06 3307 74 15 11 0.00
Wed 09/30 11Z 0.07 3307 70 15 11 0.00
Wed 09/30 12Z 0.06 3305 66 16 11 0.00
Wed 09/30 13Z 0.07 3206 64 21 11 0.00
Wed 09/30 14Z 0.06 3205 61 26 12 0.00
Wed 09/30 15Z 0.07 3104 61 33 11 0.00
Wed 09/30 16Z 0.11 2905 62 38 11 0.00
Wed 09/30 17Z 0.13 2805 63 35 11 0.00
Wed 09/30 18Z 0.14 2806 61 28 11 0.00
Wed 09/30 19Z 0.14 2705 59 23 11 0.00
Wed 09/30 20Z 0.18 2606 58 21 11 0.00
Wed 09/30 21Z 0.21 2707 53 26 11 0.00
Wed 09/30 22Z 0.28 2710 57 38 11 0.00
Wed 09/30 23Z 0.29 2711 67 36 11 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.19 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1