Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260820_0000
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Thu 08/20 00Z 1.07 2613 87 69 12 0.00
Thu 08/20 01Z 1.17 2615 86 67 12 0.00
Thu 08/20 02Z 0.78 2714 90 62 12 0.00
Thu 08/20 03Z 0.65 2715 94 61 12 0.01
Thu 08/20 04Z 0.58 2815 93 59 12 0.01
Thu 08/20 05Z 0.51 2814 91 49 12 0.01
Thu 08/20 06Z 0.51 2815 89 40 12 0.01
Thu 08/20 07Z 0.49 2915 88 29 11 0.00
Thu 08/20 08Z 0.48 2914 88 19 11 0.01
Thu 08/20 09Z 0.42 2913 86 30 11 0.00
Thu 08/20 10Z 0.39 2912 80 42 11 0.01
Thu 08/20 11Z 0.38 2911 74 28 11 0.01
Thu 08/20 12Z 0.37 2911 71 38 11 0.00
Thu 08/20 13Z 0.39 2911 69 46 10 0.00
Thu 08/20 14Z 0.40 2809 69 30 10 0.00
Thu 08/20 15Z 0.48 2708 67 8 10 0.00
Thu 08/20 16Z 1.03 2708 67 6 10 0.00
Thu 08/20 17Z 1.18 2707 69 6 10 0.00
Thu 08/20 18Z 1.35 2706 71 8 10 0.00
Thu 08/20 19Z 0.83 2705 72 10 10 0.00
Thu 08/20 20Z 0.63 2706 72 8 10 0.00
Thu 08/20 21Z 0.61 2708 75 11 10 0.00
Thu 08/20 22Z 0.45 2707 75 25 10 0.00
Thu 08/20 23Z 0.36 2706 75 20 10 0.00
Fri 08/21 00Z 0.29 2905 75 17 10 0.00
Fri 08/21 01Z 0.20 3105 75 16 10 0.00
Fri 08/21 02Z 0.13 3305 75 16 10 0.00
Fri 08/21 03Z 0.11 3504 74 15 9 0.00
Fri 08/21 04Z 0.13 0105 73 16 9 0.00
Fri 08/21 05Z 0.17 0206 74 16 9 0.00
Fri 08/21 06Z 0.21 0406 74 17 9 0.00
Fri 08/21 07Z 0.19 0405 73 16 9 0.00
Fri 08/21 08Z 0.18 0405 72 16 9 0.00
Fri 08/21 09Z 0.17 0405 72 15 9 0.00
Fri 08/21 10Z 0.18 0405 71 13 9 0.00
Fri 08/21 11Z 0.22 0505 71 13 9 0.00
Fri 08/21 12Z 0.27 0606 71 13 9 0.00
Fri 08/21 13Z 0.30 0607 72 12 9 0.00
Fri 08/21 14Z 0.44 0606 73 11 8 0.00
Fri 08/21 15Z 1.20 0605 75 11 9 0.00
Fri 08/21 16Z 2.17 0605 76 9 9 0.00
Fri 08/21 17Z 1.84 0503 75 7 9 0.00
Fri 08/21 18Z 1.63 0603 75 7 10 0.00
Fri 08/21 19Z 1.38 0703 75 6 10 0.00
Fri 08/21 20Z 0.87 0803 77 6 10 0.00
Fri 08/21 21Z 0.43 0802 80 6 10 0.00
Fri 08/21 22Z 0.25 0702 82 6 10 0.00
Fri 08/21 23Z 0.27 0803 82 7 10 0.00
Sat 08/22 00Z 0.33 0904 82 9 10 0.00
Sat 08/22 01Z 0.37 0905 82 10 10 0.00
Sat 08/22 02Z 0.41 1107 82 14 10 0.00
Sat 08/22 03Z 0.37 1207 83 16 10 0.00
Sat 08/22 04Z 0.28 1307 83 16 10 0.00
Sat 08/22 05Z 0.24 1408 82 17 10 0.00
Sat 08/22 06Z 0.21 1408 81 17 10 0.00
Sat 08/22 07Z 0.22 1307 80 18 10 0.00
Sat 08/22 08Z 0.23 1408 80 18 10 0.00
Sat 08/22 09Z 0.25 1408 80 17 10 0.00
Sat 08/22 10Z 0.26 1409 79 16 9 0.00
Sat 08/22 11Z 0.29 1310 79 14 9 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.07 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1