Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260327_0600
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Fri 03/27 06Z 0.40 3117 98 71 -1 0.00
Fri 03/27 07Z 0.35 3220 97 63 -3 0.01
Fri 03/27 08Z 0.29 3323 95 57 -5 0.01
Fri 03/27 09Z 0.29 3325 93 53 -6 0.01
Fri 03/27 10Z 0.31 3326 91 44 -8 0.00
Fri 03/27 11Z 0.32 3327 90 23 -10 0.00
Fri 03/27 12Z 0.32 3327 88 13 -11 0.00
Fri 03/27 13Z 0.31 3326 79 8 -12 0.00
Fri 03/27 14Z 0.27 3326 67 6 -12 0.00
Fri 03/27 15Z 0.24 3324 56 4 -12 0.00
Fri 03/27 16Z 0.28 3321 52 2 -13 0.00
Fri 03/27 17Z 0.55 3318 52 2 -13 0.00
Fri 03/27 18Z 0.80 3415 52 3 -13 0.00
Fri 03/27 19Z 0.85 3313 50 3 -13 0.00
Fri 03/27 20Z 0.94 3311 48 4 -13 0.00
Fri 03/27 21Z 0.58 3212 44 6 -13 0.00
Fri 03/27 22Z 0.28 3212 41 7 -13 0.00
Fri 03/27 23Z 0.27 3212 44 7 -12 0.00
Sat 03/28 00Z 0.24 3212 47 8 -12 0.00
Sat 03/28 01Z 0.25 3112 52 10 -12 0.00
Sat 03/28 02Z 0.29 3113 58 13 -13 0.00
Sat 03/28 03Z 0.28 3214 60 12 -13 0.00
Sat 03/28 04Z 0.26 3214 59 12 -14 0.00
Sat 03/28 05Z 0.27 3215 58 18 -14 0.00
Sat 03/28 06Z 0.29 3215 61 20 -15 0.00
Sat 03/28 07Z 0.31 3215 65 32 -15 0.00
Sat 03/28 08Z 0.33 3216 69 52 -16 0.00
Sat 03/28 09Z 0.35 3216 72 68 -17 0.00
Sat 03/28 10Z 0.34 3315 76 80 -18 0.00
Sat 03/28 11Z 0.33 3314 78 79 -18 0.00
Sat 03/28 12Z 0.38 3214 80 75 -19 0.00
Sat 03/28 13Z 0.59 3213 80 68 -19 0.00
Sat 03/28 14Z 0.84 3212 76 65 -19 0.00
Sat 03/28 15Z 0.86 3111 66 67 -18 0.00
Sat 03/28 16Z 0.69 3210 56 74 -16 0.00
Sat 03/28 17Z 1.52 3110 52 74 -16 0.00
Sat 03/28 18Z 3.77 3010 53 69 -16 0.00
Sat 03/28 19Z 4.97 2910 54 62 -15 0.00
Sat 03/28 20Z 5.45 2710 57 61 -15 0.00
Sat 03/28 21Z 4.98 2611 67 48 -15 0.00
Sat 03/28 22Z 2.99 2713 73 41 -14 0.00
Sat 03/28 23Z 4.62 2817 71 40 -14 0.00
Sun 03/29 00Z 3.94 2820 72 36 -15 0.00
Sun 03/29 01Z 3.58 2821 77 28 -15 0.00
Sun 03/29 02Z 1.91 2820 79 23 -15 0.00
Sun 03/29 03Z 2.45 2722 80 21 -15 0.00
Sun 03/29 04Z 1.39 2721 68 30 -14 0.00
Sun 03/29 05Z 1.21 2822 64 60 -14 0.00
Sun 03/29 06Z 1.14 2824 63 70 -14 0.00
Sun 03/29 07Z 1.05 2724 69 68 -13 0.00
Sun 03/29 08Z 0.94 2723 79 81 -13 0.00
Sun 03/29 09Z 0.81 2621 87 86 -12 0.00
Sun 03/29 10Z 0.73 2621 91 89 -12 0.00
Sun 03/29 11Z 0.60 2620 82 85 -10 0.01
Sun 03/29 12Z 0.59 2522 60 78 -10 0.00
Sun 03/29 13Z 0.59 2423 68 67 -9 0.00
Sun 03/29 14Z 0.58 2422 67 43 -8 0.00
Sun 03/29 15Z 0.60 2323 52 16 -8 0.00
Sun 03/29 16Z 0.87 2224 49 35 -8 0.00
Sun 03/29 17Z 3.46 2222 50 68 -7 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.04 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1