Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260916_0000
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Wed 09/16 00Z 0.08 1914 73 71 12 0.00
Wed 09/16 01Z 0.10 1916 70 82 12 0.00
Wed 09/16 02Z 0.17 1919 66 86 12 0.00
Wed 09/16 03Z 0.26 2022 63 89 12 0.00
Wed 09/16 04Z 0.32 2123 62 84 13 0.00
Wed 09/16 05Z 0.36 2223 63 79 13 0.00
Wed 09/16 06Z 0.45 2324 66 87 13 0.00
Wed 09/16 07Z 0.60 2427 70 90 12 0.00
Wed 09/16 08Z 0.57 2525 61 94 13 0.00
Wed 09/16 09Z 0.54 2622 72 92 13 0.00
Wed 09/16 10Z 0.50 2720 85 90 13 0.00
Wed 09/16 11Z 0.45 2819 93 79 13 0.01
Wed 09/16 12Z 0.41 2818 95 45 13 0.01
Wed 09/16 13Z 0.38 2916 97 36 13 0.01
Wed 09/16 14Z 0.36 2815 97 48 13 0.01
Wed 09/16 15Z 0.35 2814 96 61 13 0.01
Wed 09/16 16Z 0.34 2812 96 65 13 0.00
Wed 09/16 17Z 0.35 2712 95 70 13 0.00
Wed 09/16 18Z 0.35 2811 94 70 13 0.00
Wed 09/16 19Z 0.36 2811 94 68 13 0.00
Wed 09/16 20Z 0.35 2810 94 66 13 0.00
Wed 09/16 21Z 0.31 2910 94 60 13 0.00
Wed 09/16 22Z 0.29 2909 96 52 12 0.00
Wed 09/16 23Z 0.28 2909 95 39 12 0.00
Thu 09/17 00Z 0.24 2908 91 23 13 0.00
Thu 09/17 01Z 0.24 2909 90 14 13 0.00
Thu 09/17 02Z 0.20 3008 91 12 12 0.00
Thu 09/17 03Z 0.16 3006 92 11 12 0.00
Thu 09/17 04Z 0.13 3005 91 11 12 0.00
Thu 09/17 05Z 0.10 2803 92 12 12 0.01
Thu 09/17 06Z 0.09 2503 93 13 12 0.01
Thu 09/17 07Z 0.10 2304 95 17 12 0.01
Thu 09/17 08Z 0.11 2305 95 21 12 0.01
Thu 09/17 09Z 0.13 2306 96 24 12 0.01
Thu 09/17 10Z 0.14 2207 96 29 12 0.01
Thu 09/17 11Z 0.16 2208 95 38 12 0.00
Thu 09/17 12Z 0.17 2209 95 46 12 0.00
Thu 09/17 13Z 0.17 2209 96 46 12 0.01
Thu 09/17 14Z 0.17 2208 96 50 12 0.01
Thu 09/17 15Z 0.17 2209 97 55 12 0.01
Thu 09/17 16Z 0.18 2209 96 50 12 0.01
Thu 09/17 17Z 0.21 2210 95 60 12 0.01
Thu 09/17 18Z 0.26 2410 96 59 12 0.01
Thu 09/17 19Z 0.27 2510 94 49 12 0.01
Thu 09/17 20Z 0.26 2609 91 43 13 0.01
Thu 09/17 21Z 0.25 2709 87 40 13 0.00
Thu 09/17 22Z 0.25 2709 82 37 13 0.00
Thu 09/17 23Z 0.23 2809 78 44 13 0.00
Fri 09/18 00Z 0.23 2810 75 44 13 0.00
Fri 09/18 01Z 0.26 2811 74 38 13 0.01
Fri 09/18 02Z 0.27 2812 72 43 12 0.01
Fri 09/18 03Z 0.28 2913 64 50 12 0.01
Fri 09/18 04Z 0.28 2913 55 47 12 0.01
Fri 09/18 05Z 0.29 2914 50 48 12 0.01
Fri 09/18 06Z 0.31 3016 45 50 11 0.01
Fri 09/18 07Z 0.32 3018 45 56 10 0.01
Fri 09/18 08Z 0.35 3120 47 74 9 0.01
Fri 09/18 09Z 0.36 3122 50 68 9 0.01
Fri 09/18 10Z 0.41 3124 55 61 8 0.00
Fri 09/18 11Z 0.47 3126 71 35 7 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.28 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1