Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260811_1200
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Tue 08/11 12Z 0.67 3020 90 50 11 0.00
Tue 08/11 13Z 0.64 3020 87 45 11 0.00
Tue 08/11 14Z 0.57 3020 81 43 12 0.01
Tue 08/11 15Z 0.62 3018 82 40 11 0.00
Tue 08/11 16Z 0.91 3017 81 33 11 0.00
Tue 08/11 17Z 3.52 3015 80 30 11 0.00
Tue 08/11 18Z 6.58 3014 77 33 12 0.00
Tue 08/11 19Z 6.65 3014 74 34 12 0.00
Tue 08/11 20Z 4.63 3013 72 36 12 0.00
Tue 08/11 21Z 2.83 3012 71 32 12 0.00
Tue 08/11 22Z 1.71 3012 71 35 12 0.00
Tue 08/11 23Z 1.07 2913 71 49 12 0.00
Wed 08/12 00Z 1.01 2914 72 61 12 0.00
Wed 08/12 01Z 0.88 2914 73 71 12 0.00
Wed 08/12 02Z 0.75 3014 74 67 12 0.00
Wed 08/12 03Z 0.62 3114 74 65 12 0.00
Wed 08/12 04Z 0.48 3113 76 57 12 0.00
Wed 08/12 05Z 0.43 3113 77 59 11 0.00
Wed 08/12 06Z 0.38 3111 78 60 11 0.00
Wed 08/12 07Z 0.36 3010 79 56 11 0.00
Wed 08/12 08Z 0.36 3010 79 45 11 0.00
Wed 08/12 09Z 0.37 3011 77 37 11 0.00
Wed 08/12 10Z 0.40 3012 78 34 11 0.00
Wed 08/12 11Z 0.40 3013 77 33 11 0.00
Wed 08/12 12Z 0.40 3113 76 39 11 0.00
Wed 08/12 13Z 0.32 3110 73 39 11 0.00
Wed 08/12 14Z 0.48 3009 74 47 11 0.00
Wed 08/12 15Z 1.24 3008 75 52 11 0.00
Wed 08/12 16Z 2.16 2907 73 55 11 0.00
Wed 08/12 17Z 3.50 2907 70 64 11 0.00
Wed 08/12 18Z 3.40 2807 70 70 12 0.01
Wed 08/12 19Z 2.52 2810 73 68 12 0.02
Wed 08/12 20Z 2.16 2710 77 67 12 0.00
Wed 08/12 21Z 2.17 2711 82 83 12 0.01
Wed 08/12 22Z 0.76 2812 82 64 12 0.03
Wed 08/12 23Z 0.66 2813 80 60 12 0.00
Thu 08/13 00Z 0.66 2913 84 64 11 0.00
Thu 08/13 01Z 0.62 2812 87 67 11 0.00
Thu 08/13 02Z 0.59 2811 87 68 11 0.00
Thu 08/13 03Z 0.51 2810 85 60 11 0.00
Thu 08/13 04Z 0.43 2809 84 67 11 0.00
Thu 08/13 05Z 0.36 2808 84 71 11 0.00
Thu 08/13 06Z 0.31 2808 82 71 11 0.00
Thu 08/13 07Z 0.28 2807 81 67 11 0.00
Thu 08/13 08Z 0.26 2807 79 67 11 0.00
Thu 08/13 09Z 0.30 2807 81 64 11 0.00
Thu 08/13 10Z 0.30 2708 86 73 10 0.01
Thu 08/13 11Z 0.24 2706 89 73 10 0.02
Thu 08/13 12Z 0.16 2704 89 71 10 0.01
Thu 08/13 13Z 0.15 2704 91 74 10 0.01
Thu 08/13 14Z 0.15 2903 92 72 10 0.01
Thu 08/13 15Z 0.19 2903 93 73 10 0.04
Thu 08/13 16Z 0.30 3005 92 67 10 0.05
Thu 08/13 17Z 0.38 3106 89 61 11 0.01
Thu 08/13 18Z 0.44 3106 84 63 11 0.00
Thu 08/13 19Z 1.01 3007 81 71 11 0.00
Thu 08/13 20Z 0.89 3108 79 71 11 0.00
Thu 08/13 21Z 0.60 3108 77 70 11 0.01
Thu 08/13 22Z 0.41 3111 81 81 11 0.04
Thu 08/13 23Z 0.46 3012 81 66 11 0.03
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.32 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1