Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260710_1200
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Fri 07/10 12Z 0.13 3415 96 83 12 0.00
Fri 07/10 13Z 0.08 3514 94 79 12 0.00
Fri 07/10 14Z 0.07 3513 91 76 12 0.00
Fri 07/10 15Z 0.08 3512 88 68 12 0.00
Fri 07/10 16Z 0.11 3511 85 59 12 0.00
Fri 07/10 17Z 0.32 3510 82 54 12 0.00
Fri 07/10 18Z 0.51 3410 79 45 12 0.00
Fri 07/10 19Z 0.61 3410 75 37 13 0.00
Fri 07/10 20Z 0.60 3410 71 34 13 0.00
Fri 07/10 21Z 0.47 3410 68 30 13 0.00
Fri 07/10 22Z 0.29 3509 67 24 13 0.00
Fri 07/10 23Z 0.28 3509 67 22 12 0.00
Sat 07/11 00Z 0.19 3410 66 23 12 0.00
Sat 07/11 01Z 0.13 3510 65 25 12 0.00
Sat 07/11 02Z 0.15 3410 65 26 12 0.00
Sat 07/11 03Z 0.21 3411 67 25 12 0.00
Sat 07/11 04Z 0.16 3510 69 20 11 0.00
Sat 07/11 05Z 0.11 3510 69 17 11 0.00
Sat 07/11 06Z 0.07 0009 68 25 11 0.00
Sat 07/11 07Z 0.06 3508 66 28 11 0.00
Sat 07/11 08Z 0.04 3507 65 42 11 0.00
Sat 07/11 09Z 0.05 0007 64 54 11 0.00
Sat 07/11 10Z 0.09 0107 65 65 10 0.00
Sat 07/11 11Z 0.09 0006 65 70 10 0.00
Sat 07/11 12Z 0.08 0005 64 62 10 0.00
Sat 07/11 13Z 0.12 3505 65 54 10 0.00
Sat 07/11 14Z 0.34 3404 67 57 10 0.00
Sat 07/11 15Z 0.70 3305 68 46 10 0.00
Sat 07/11 16Z 1.08 3306 69 41 10 0.00
Sat 07/11 17Z 0.90 3407 70 27 10 0.00
Sat 07/11 18Z 0.48 3507 70 27 10 0.00
Sat 07/11 19Z 0.34 3508 70 22 10 0.00
Sat 07/11 20Z 0.29 3508 71 15 11 0.00
Sat 07/11 21Z 0.25 3508 72 14 11 0.00
Sat 07/11 22Z 0.21 0009 72 12 11 0.00
Sat 07/11 23Z 0.20 0010 71 10 10 0.00
Sun 07/12 00Z 0.18 0112 71 12 10 0.00
Sun 07/12 01Z 0.28 0114 70 14 10 0.00
Sun 07/12 02Z 0.42 0215 70 16 10 0.00
Sun 07/12 03Z 0.54 0216 70 18 10 0.00
Sun 07/12 04Z 0.62 0316 71 18 9 0.00
Sun 07/12 05Z 0.57 0315 72 17 9 0.00
Sun 07/12 06Z 0.52 0314 73 17 9 0.00
Sun 07/12 07Z 0.47 0312 74 17 9 0.00
Sun 07/12 08Z 0.37 0311 74 14 9 0.00
Sun 07/12 09Z 0.28 0309 74 11 9 0.00
Sun 07/12 10Z 0.18 0208 74 10 9 0.00
Sun 07/12 11Z 0.14 0108 74 9 9 0.00
Sun 07/12 12Z 0.13 3508 75 9 9 0.00
Sun 07/12 13Z 0.13 3508 75 7 9 0.00
Sun 07/12 14Z 0.14 3507 76 7 9 0.00
Sun 07/12 15Z 0.16 3505 76 7 9 0.00
Sun 07/12 16Z 0.32 3404 76 7 10 0.00
Sun 07/12 17Z 0.57 3304 77 7 10 0.00
Sun 07/12 18Z 0.65 3204 77 7 10 0.00
Sun 07/12 19Z 0.76 3104 75 8 11 0.00
Sun 07/12 20Z 0.71 2903 71 8 11 0.00
Sun 07/12 21Z 0.63 2904 64 7 12 0.00
Sun 07/12 22Z 0.41 2905 56 7 12 0.00
Sun 07/12 23Z 0.32 2906 54 5 12 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.00 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1