Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260317_0600
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Tue 03/17 06Z 0.34 2021 98 98 5 0.00
Tue 03/17 07Z 1.80 2631 97 92 -3 0.11
Tue 03/17 08Z 1.37 2633 95 95 -6 0.05
Tue 03/17 09Z 1.09 2530 92 88 -7 0.02
Tue 03/17 10Z 2.24 2432 92 36 -9 0.00
Tue 03/17 11Z 7.01 2533 86 27 -11 0.00
Tue 03/17 12Z 10.22 2433 78 28 -12 0.00
Tue 03/17 13Z 14.36 2535 74 23 -13 0.00
Tue 03/17 14Z 20.03 2533 75 19 -15 0.00
Tue 03/17 15Z 19.92 2531 76 17 -15 0.00
Tue 03/17 16Z 18.49 2529 78 18 -15 0.00
Tue 03/17 17Z 17.15 2428 77 23 -15 0.00
Tue 03/17 18Z 17.88 2528 73 25 -15 0.00
Tue 03/17 19Z 18.95 2528 70 31 -15 0.00
Tue 03/17 20Z 18.90 2628 72 35 -15 0.00
Tue 03/17 21Z 16.79 2627 75 39 -15 0.00
Tue 03/17 22Z 13.33 2626 77 46 -16 0.00
Tue 03/17 23Z 12.63 2727 78 52 -17 0.00
Wed 03/18 00Z 10.07 2726 82 48 -18 0.00
Wed 03/18 01Z 7.32 2824 88 42 -18 0.00
Wed 03/18 02Z 5.18 2823 85 46 -19 0.00
Wed 03/18 03Z 3.10 2822 85 54 -19 0.00
Wed 03/18 04Z 2.49 2823 86 54 -19 0.00
Wed 03/18 05Z 2.67 2823 84 41 -19 0.00
Wed 03/18 06Z 2.21 2823 83 26 -19 0.00
Wed 03/18 07Z 1.75 2823 82 16 -19 0.00
Wed 03/18 08Z 1.42 2823 79 10 -19 0.00
Wed 03/18 09Z 1.16 2823 73 7 -19 0.00
Wed 03/18 10Z 0.99 2822 71 6 -19 0.00
Wed 03/18 11Z 0.78 2920 69 5 -20 0.00
Wed 03/18 12Z 0.59 2917 65 5 -19 0.00
Wed 03/18 13Z 0.53 2916 63 6 -19 0.00
Wed 03/18 14Z 0.46 2914 56 7 -18 0.00
Wed 03/18 15Z 0.41 2811 49 8 -18 0.00
Wed 03/18 16Z 0.42 2809 44 8 -17 0.00
Wed 03/18 17Z 0.72 2707 40 9 -16 0.00
Wed 03/18 18Z 0.84 2606 37 9 -16 0.00
Wed 03/18 19Z 0.82 2505 35 9 -15 0.00
Wed 03/18 20Z 0.74 2404 36 9 -14 0.00
Wed 03/18 21Z 0.34 2104 36 8 -13 0.00
Wed 03/18 22Z 0.15 1906 37 8 -13 0.00
Wed 03/18 23Z 0.09 1810 38 7 -13 0.00
Thu 03/19 00Z 0.10 1813 39 9 -12 0.00
Thu 03/19 01Z 0.18 1916 38 12 -12 0.00
Thu 03/19 02Z 0.28 2017 38 23 -12 0.00
Thu 03/19 03Z 0.34 2019 42 39 -12 0.00
Thu 03/19 04Z 0.45 2020 48 71 -11 0.00
Thu 03/19 05Z 0.49 2121 53 88 -11 0.00
Thu 03/19 06Z 0.49 2121 58 87 -11 0.00
Thu 03/19 09Z 0.52 2121 66 87 -10 0.00
Thu 03/19 10Z 0.48 2121 73 86 -11 0.00
Thu 03/19 11Z 0.41 2121 79 89 -10 0.00
Thu 03/19 12Z 0.34 2022 83 88 -10 0.00
Thu 03/19 13Z 0.32 2022 86 90 -9 0.00
Thu 03/19 14Z 0.32 2021 88 89 -9 0.00
Thu 03/19 15Z 0.34 2020 87 81 -9 0.00
Thu 03/19 16Z 0.58 2018 84 69 -8 0.00
Thu 03/19 17Z 0.91 2018 80 47 -8 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.18 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1