Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260510_1800
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sun 05/10 18Z 5.50 2411 85 22 3 0.00
Sun 05/10 19Z 5.92 2513 81 26 3 0.00
Sun 05/10 20Z 5.56 2514 77 43 3 0.00
Sun 05/10 21Z 5.05 2515 74 48 3 0.01
Sun 05/10 23Z 4.17 2719 63 40 3 0.00
Mon 05/11 00Z 2.22 2821 64 24 2 0.00
Mon 05/11 01Z 1.64 2823 63 24 1 0.00
Mon 05/11 02Z 1.54 2922 64 28 0 0.00
Mon 05/11 03Z 1.21 2922 71 28 -1 0.00
Mon 05/11 04Z 0.96 3021 75 23 -1 0.00
Mon 05/11 05Z 0.85 3019 77 24 -1 0.00
Mon 05/11 06Z 0.69 3117 80 25 -2 0.00
Mon 05/11 07Z 0.62 3115 79 25 -2 0.00
Mon 05/11 08Z 0.57 3115 80 24 -2 0.00
Mon 05/11 09Z 0.54 3115 80 22 -2 0.00
Mon 05/11 10Z 0.52 3115 79 18 -2 0.00
Mon 05/11 11Z 0.50 3114 76 22 -2 0.00
Mon 05/11 12Z 0.54 3014 77 29 -3 0.00
Mon 05/11 13Z 1.17 3012 77 37 -3 0.00
Mon 05/11 14Z 3.42 3011 75 41 -3 0.00
Mon 05/11 15Z 4.43 2909 71 44 -2 0.00
Mon 05/11 16Z 5.09 2909 70 40 -2 0.00
Mon 05/11 17Z 5.33 2909 69 42 -1 0.00
Mon 05/11 18Z 5.31 2808 67 58 -1 0.00
Mon 05/11 19Z 5.30 2809 67 69 0 0.00
Mon 05/11 20Z 4.91 2909 68 73 0 0.00
Mon 05/11 21Z 3.67 3010 70 78 0 0.00
Mon 05/11 22Z 2.24 3011 69 68 -1 0.00
Mon 05/11 23Z 1.14 3111 69 63 -1 0.00
Tue 05/12 00Z 0.65 3212 72 63 -1 0.00
Tue 05/12 01Z 0.51 3213 76 65 -1 0.00
Tue 05/12 02Z 0.35 3313 75 63 -2 0.00
Tue 05/12 03Z 0.40 3314 77 62 -2 0.00
Tue 05/12 04Z 0.42 3316 75 62 -2 0.00
Tue 05/12 05Z 0.36 3417 72 60 -2 0.00
Tue 05/12 06Z 0.23 3417 70 56 -2 0.00
Tue 05/12 07Z 0.17 3417 67 47 -3 0.00
Tue 05/12 08Z 0.17 3416 66 40 -3 0.00
Tue 05/12 09Z 0.20 3415 66 33 -3 0.00
Tue 05/12 10Z 0.22 3414 66 34 -3 0.00
Tue 05/12 11Z 0.22 3413 68 43 -4 0.00
Tue 05/12 12Z 0.40 3312 70 51 -4 0.00
Tue 05/12 13Z 1.42 3310 72 49 -4 0.00
Tue 05/12 14Z 2.53 3210 72 40 -4 0.00
Tue 05/12 15Z 3.67 3210 71 29 -4 0.00
Tue 05/12 16Z 4.50 3111 68 28 -3 0.00
Tue 05/12 17Z 4.81 3111 67 33 -3 0.00
Tue 05/12 18Z 5.24 3111 67 38 -3 0.00
Tue 05/12 19Z 4.45 3110 66 42 -2 0.00
Tue 05/12 20Z 4.59 3110 67 46 -2 0.00
Tue 05/12 21Z 4.27 3110 68 46 -1 0.00
Tue 05/12 22Z 3.03 3110 68 41 -1 0.00
Tue 05/12 23Z 0.83 3208 68 31 -1 0.00
Wed 05/13 00Z 0.36 3208 67 26 -1 0.00
Wed 05/13 01Z 0.39 3108 67 25 -1 0.00
Wed 05/13 02Z 0.23 3206 66 22 -1 0.00
Wed 05/13 03Z 0.16 3104 66 23 -1 0.00
Wed 05/13 04Z 0.15 2803 66 24 -1 0.00
Wed 05/13 05Z 0.17 2503 66 28 -1 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.01 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1