Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260906_0000
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sun 09/06 00Z 0.28 0312 93 85 8 0.00
Sun 09/06 01Z 0.39 0413 94 82 8 0.01
Sun 09/06 02Z 0.44 0613 94 83 8 0.01
Sun 09/06 03Z 0.43 0712 95 87 8 0.01
Sun 09/06 04Z 0.40 0911 93 93 7 0.01
Sun 09/06 05Z 0.32 1008 93 90 7 0.01
Sun 09/06 06Z 0.22 1006 92 83 7 0.01
Sun 09/06 07Z 0.18 0904 94 84 7 0.01
Sun 09/06 08Z 0.14 0704 95 91 7 0.01
Sun 09/06 09Z 0.13 0504 95 90 7 0.02
Sun 09/06 10Z 0.15 0405 95 90 6 0.02
Sun 09/06 11Z 0.16 0406 94 88 6 0.05
Sun 09/06 12Z 0.13 0207 93 84 6 0.05
Sun 09/06 13Z 0.12 0209 92 77 6 0.02
Sun 09/06 14Z 0.12 0110 91 71 6 0.01
Sun 09/06 15Z 0.10 0110 91 60 6 0.00
Sun 09/06 16Z 0.08 0010 91 56 6 0.00
Sun 09/06 17Z 0.10 0010 90 47 6 0.00
Sun 09/06 18Z 0.13 3511 90 34 6 0.00
Sun 09/06 19Z 0.29 3512 89 24 7 0.00
Sun 09/06 20Z 0.43 3412 90 17 7 0.00
Sun 09/06 21Z 0.25 3413 91 16 7 0.01
Sun 09/06 22Z 0.21 3415 89 26 7 0.01
Sun 09/06 23Z 0.23 3417 86 26 7 0.00
Mon 09/07 00Z 0.21 3420 81 21 7 0.00
Mon 09/07 01Z 0.28 3421 84 22 7 0.00
Mon 09/07 02Z 0.30 3422 89 23 7 0.01
Mon 09/07 03Z 0.28 3423 89 16 7 0.01
Mon 09/07 04Z 0.19 3423 88 15 7 0.00
Mon 09/07 05Z 0.17 3422 89 15 6 0.00
Mon 09/07 06Z 0.26 3421 87 14 6 0.00
Mon 09/07 07Z 0.19 3421 85 14 6 0.00
Mon 09/07 08Z 0.17 3420 82 15 6 0.00
Mon 09/07 09Z 0.14 3419 76 15 7 0.00
Mon 09/07 10Z 0.23 3419 77 14 7 0.00
Mon 09/07 11Z 0.32 3320 76 15 7 0.00
Mon 09/07 12Z 0.34 3320 74 15 7 0.00
Mon 09/07 13Z 0.33 3319 74 13 7 0.00
Mon 09/07 14Z 0.37 3319 74 11 7 0.00
Mon 09/07 15Z 0.49 3320 76 11 7 0.00
Mon 09/07 16Z 1.27 3319 78 10 7 0.00
Mon 09/07 17Z 4.51 3217 82 9 7 0.00
Mon 09/07 18Z 3.64 3115 84 8 7 0.00
Mon 09/07 19Z 3.57 3115 84 7 7 0.00
Mon 09/07 20Z 2.52 3015 81 7 8 0.00
Mon 09/07 21Z 1.65 3016 80 13 8 0.00
Mon 09/07 22Z 1.17 3017 80 29 8 0.00
Mon 09/07 23Z 0.92 3019 79 47 9 0.00
Tue 09/08 00Z 0.72 3020 77 57 9 0.00
Tue 09/08 01Z 0.69 3021 77 61 9 0.00
Tue 09/08 02Z 0.60 3021 78 64 9 0.00
Tue 09/08 03Z 0.57 3021 80 65 10 0.00
Tue 09/08 04Z 0.58 3022 82 72 10 0.00
Tue 09/08 05Z 0.56 3022 85 81 9 0.01
Tue 09/08 06Z 0.52 3021 87 82 10 0.03
Tue 09/08 07Z 0.44 3120 90 82 10 0.06
Tue 09/08 08Z 0.38 3120 93 77 10 0.04
Tue 09/08 09Z 0.35 3220 95 74 9 0.03
Tue 09/08 10Z 0.30 3220 92 66 9 0.02
Tue 09/08 11Z 0.21 3320 84 48 9 0.01
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.49 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1