Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260831_1200
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Mon 08/31 12Z 0.12 3206 81 5 9 0.00
Mon 08/31 13Z 0.12 3105 80 6 9 0.00
Mon 08/31 14Z 0.11 3104 79 5 10 0.00
Mon 08/31 15Z 0.11 3003 78 3 10 0.00
Mon 08/31 16Z 0.13 2803 78 1 10 0.00
Mon 08/31 17Z 0.20 2703 76 0 10 0.00
Mon 08/31 18Z 0.29 2604 73 0 10 0.00
Mon 08/31 19Z 0.46 2604 70 8 10 0.00
Mon 08/31 20Z 0.38 2603 66 22 11 0.00
Mon 08/31 21Z 0.31 2504 65 32 11 0.00
Mon 08/31 22Z 0.25 2504 64 46 11 0.00
Mon 08/31 23Z 0.18 2404 65 67 11 0.00
Tue 09/01 00Z 0.13 2403 64 79 12 0.00
Tue 09/01 01Z 0.11 2303 66 83 11 0.00
Tue 09/01 02Z 0.08 2103 68 85 11 0.00
Tue 09/01 03Z 0.05 1903 71 85 12 0.00
Tue 09/01 04Z 0.05 1903 74 85 12 0.00
Tue 09/01 05Z 0.02 1803 75 83 12 0.00
Tue 09/01 06Z 0.03 1703 77 83 12 0.00
Tue 09/01 07Z 0.08 1504 80 86 12 0.00
Tue 09/01 08Z 0.12 1405 83 89 12 0.01
Tue 09/01 09Z 0.18 1308 86 88 12 0.01
Tue 09/01 10Z 0.20 1410 89 89 12 0.01
Tue 09/01 11Z 0.20 1411 88 81 12 0.01
Tue 09/01 12Z 0.22 1413 88 84 12 0.01
Tue 09/01 13Z 0.25 1416 88 90 12 0.01
Tue 09/01 14Z 0.25 1418 90 94 12 0.04
Tue 09/01 15Z 0.25 1518 93 94 12 0.13
Tue 09/01 16Z 0.29 1318 95 91 12 0.09
Tue 09/01 17Z 0.35 1319 95 97 12 0.14
Tue 09/01 18Z 0.47 1222 93 97 12 0.22
Tue 09/01 19Z 0.56 1124 93 96 11 0.21
Tue 09/01 20Z 0.58 1124 93 97 10 0.26
Tue 09/01 21Z 0.55 1124 92 95 11 0.09
Tue 09/01 22Z 0.53 1225 91 92 11 0.03
Tue 09/01 23Z 0.52 1328 92 91 11 0.01
Wed 09/02 00Z 0.51 1329 92 86 11 0.01
Wed 09/02 01Z 0.52 1329 92 80 10 0.01
Wed 09/02 02Z 0.50 1329 91 78 10 0.01
Wed 09/02 03Z 0.47 1327 89 75 10 0.01
Wed 09/02 04Z 0.45 1327 88 72 10 0.01
Wed 09/02 05Z 0.40 1325 87 71 10 0.01
Wed 09/02 06Z 0.34 1423 86 68 11 0.01
Wed 09/02 07Z 0.33 1322 82 64 11 0.01
Wed 09/02 08Z 0.32 1321 78 61 10 0.00
Wed 09/02 09Z 0.29 1420 75 60 10 0.00
Wed 09/02 10Z 0.26 1418 73 58 10 0.00
Wed 09/02 11Z 0.27 1318 71 55 11 0.00
Wed 09/02 12Z 0.26 1418 71 53 10 0.00
Wed 09/02 13Z 0.21 1417 72 54 10 0.00
Wed 09/02 14Z 0.17 1518 74 52 10 0.00
Wed 09/02 15Z 0.14 1617 75 48 10 0.00
Wed 09/02 16Z 0.09 1616 77 43 10 0.00
Wed 09/02 17Z 0.08 1614 79 36 10 0.00
Wed 09/02 18Z 0.09 1613 81 31 10 0.00
Wed 09/02 19Z 0.07 1712 84 43 10 0.00
Wed 09/02 20Z 0.05 1712 88 43 9 0.00
Wed 09/02 21Z 0.09 1712 89 51 10 0.00
Wed 09/02 22Z 0.09 1615 89 57 11 0.00
Wed 09/02 23Z 0.06 1717 90 77 12 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 1.36 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1