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Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260428_1200
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Tue 04/28 12Z 0.07 1713 55 9 6 0.00
Tue 04/28 13Z 0.11 1615 56 9 6 0.00
Tue 04/28 14Z 0.12 1616 55 8 6 0.00
Tue 04/28 15Z 0.28 1617 56 7 6 0.00
Tue 04/28 16Z 0.72 1617 57 7 6 0.00
Tue 04/28 17Z 1.65 1616 58 7 6 0.00
Tue 04/28 18Z 3.34 1617 59 7 6 0.00
Tue 04/28 19Z 3.65 1617 61 7 6 0.00
Tue 04/28 20Z 3.08 1617 62 9 6 0.00
Tue 04/28 21Z 1.84 1617 64 8 6 0.00
Tue 04/28 22Z 0.87 1618 67 7 5 0.00
Tue 04/28 23Z 0.35 1620 70 7 5 0.00
Wed 04/29 00Z 0.18 1621 70 9 5 0.00
Wed 04/29 01Z 0.09 1721 70 15 5 0.00
Wed 04/29 02Z 0.06 1720 69 23 5 0.00
Wed 04/29 03Z 0.07 1820 70 33 5 0.00
Wed 04/29 04Z 0.11 1919 73 45 4 0.00
Wed 04/29 05Z 0.19 1919 76 61 4 0.00
Wed 04/29 06Z 0.25 2019 75 67 3 0.00
Wed 04/29 07Z 0.28 2020 71 75 4 0.00
Wed 04/29 08Z 0.29 2119 72 74 4 0.00
Wed 04/29 09Z 0.27 2117 74 66 4 0.00
Wed 04/29 10Z 0.19 2113 75 51 5 0.00
Wed 04/29 11Z 0.15 2110 79 37 6 0.00
Wed 04/29 12Z 0.11 2107 82 30 6 0.00
Wed 04/29 13Z 0.11 2108 83 30 6 0.00
Wed 04/29 14Z 0.09 2006 83 31 6 0.00
Wed 04/29 15Z 0.02 1806 81 31 6 0.00
Wed 04/29 16Z 0.08 1707 78 27 6 0.00
Wed 04/29 17Z 0.19 1807 76 34 6 0.00
Wed 04/29 18Z 0.47 1607 74 36 6 0.00
Wed 04/29 19Z 0.82 1608 73 42 6 0.00
Wed 04/29 20Z 0.73 1709 74 53 7 0.00
Wed 04/29 21Z 0.56 1709 77 69 6 0.00
Wed 04/29 22Z 0.30 1710 80 68 6 0.00
Wed 04/29 23Z 0.22 1611 81 61 6 0.00
Thu 04/30 00Z 0.30 1513 81 54 6 0.00
Thu 04/30 01Z 0.26 1516 82 53 6 0.00
Thu 04/30 02Z 0.25 1518 84 49 6 0.00
Thu 04/30 03Z 0.22 1520 85 45 6 0.00
Thu 04/30 04Z 0.15 1621 88 53 6 0.00
Thu 04/30 05Z 0.15 1623 90 53 6 0.00
Thu 04/30 06Z 0.16 1624 90 55 5 0.00
Thu 04/30 07Z 0.14 1625 90 55 5 0.00
Thu 04/30 08Z 0.13 1623 90 51 5 0.00
Thu 04/30 09Z 0.11 1622 90 55 5 0.00
Thu 04/30 10Z 0.12 1622 89 71 5 0.00
Thu 04/30 11Z 0.13 1622 88 77 5 0.00
Thu 04/30 12Z 0.15 1621 88 80 5 0.01
Thu 04/30 13Z 0.20 1519 87 92 4 0.01
Thu 04/30 14Z 0.26 1419 89 97 4 0.03
Thu 04/30 15Z 0.30 1418 92 98 2 0.05
Thu 04/30 16Z 0.30 1416 94 99 1 0.04
Thu 04/30 17Z 0.24 1412 98 99 1 0.05
Thu 04/30 18Z 0.12 1609 99 99 0 0.04
Thu 04/30 19Z 0.07 1808 100 99 0 0.06
Thu 04/30 20Z 0.18 2107 99 98 0 0.05
Thu 04/30 21Z 0.32 2408 99 96 0 0.03
Thu 04/30 22Z 0.45 2610 98 92 0 0.02
Thu 04/30 23Z 0.59 2814 98 87 0 0.02
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.41 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1