Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20250323_1200 Using the MB925 to MB850 layer. Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds. 925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens. Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in) === ===== === ==== ==== === === === ==== Sun 03/23 12Z 0.59 3125 76 8 -16 0.00 Sun 03/23 13Z 0.49 3226 70 8 -16 0.00 Sun 03/23 14Z 0.47 3224 65 9 -15 0.00 Sun 03/23 15Z 0.47 3122 58 9 -15 0.00 Sun 03/23 16Z 0.46 3120 50 9 -14 0.00 Sun 03/23 17Z 0.51 3119 45 10 -14 0.00 Sun 03/23 18Z 0.58 3118 42 11 -13 0.00 Sun 03/23 19Z 0.62 3017 41 10 -12 0.00 Sun 03/23 20Z 0.49 3015 39 9 -11 0.00 Sun 03/23 21Z 0.45 2914 38 8 -11 0.00 Sun 03/23 22Z 0.45 2915 37 8 -10 0.00 Sun 03/23 23Z 0.38 2915 34 8 -9 0.00 Mon 03/24 00Z 0.32 2913 32 7 -8 0.00 Mon 03/24 01Z 0.27 2812 30 8 -7 0.00 Mon 03/24 02Z 0.23 2710 29 8 -6 0.00 Mon 03/24 03Z 0.17 2608 27 10 -5 0.00 Mon 03/24 04Z 0.10 2306 25 13 -4 0.00 Mon 03/24 05Z 0.08 2008 25 17 -4 0.00 Mon 03/24 06Z 0.04 1911 24 18 -4 0.00 Mon 03/24 07Z 0.04 1816 24 19 -4 0.00 Mon 03/24 08Z 0.05 1822 30 20 -4 0.00 Mon 03/24 09Z 0.09 1827 35 39 -4 0.00 Mon 03/24 10Z 0.04 1829 43 81 -3 0.00 Mon 03/24 11Z 0.06 1731 63 97 -2 0.00 Mon 03/24 12Z 0.07 1734 88 98 -1 0.02 Mon 03/24 13Z 0.03 1737 94 97 -1 0.05 Mon 03/24 14Z 0.06 1837 95 87 -2 0.04 Mon 03/24 15Z 0.08 1835 96 62 -2 0.03 Mon 03/24 16Z 0.07 1831 97 34 -2 0.03 Mon 03/24 17Z 0.07 1830 97 20 -2 0.02 Mon 03/24 18Z 0.05 1827 97 8 -1 0.02 Mon 03/24 19Z 0.04 1824 97 7 -1 0.01 Mon 03/24 20Z 0.05 1820 96 7 -1 0.01 Mon 03/24 21Z 0.04 1818 94 9 -1 0.01 Mon 03/24 22Z 0.10 1916 91 8 -1 0.01 Mon 03/24 23Z 0.19 2116 88 15 -1 0.00 Tue 03/25 00Z 0.29 2217 91 62 -1 0.00 Tue 03/25 01Z 0.60 2422 97 73 -3 0.05 Tue 03/25 02Z 0.63 2619 89 74 -3 0.02 Tue 03/25 03Z 0.74 2519 92 86 -4 0.00 Tue 03/25 04Z 0.96 2522 94 83 -5 0.01 Tue 03/25 05Z 1.14 2423 94 75 -5 0.01 Tue 03/25 06Z 1.18 2524 94 68 -6 0.00 Tue 03/25 07Z 1.12 2526 91 68 -7 0.00 Tue 03/25 08Z 1.06 2526 90 72 -7 0.00 Tue 03/25 09Z 0.99 2525 91 77 -7 0.00 Tue 03/25 10Z 1.05 2526 93 77 -7 0.00 Tue 03/25 11Z 1.02 2525 93 76 -7 0.00 Tue 03/25 12Z 1.04 2524 94 75 -8 0.00 Tue 03/25 13Z 1.19 2522 95 75 -8 0.00 Tue 03/25 14Z 1.79 2520 95 76 -8 0.00 Tue 03/25 15Z 3.20 2518 94 79 -8 0.00 Tue 03/25 16Z 2.49 2418 94 84 -7 0.01 Tue 03/25 17Z 1.79 2419 95 87 -7 0.02 Tue 03/25 18Z 2.12 2419 96 86 -7 0.03 Tue 03/25 19Z 2.90 2520 95 84 -7 0.03 Tue 03/25 20Z 1.70 2520 95 84 -7 0.02 Tue 03/25 21Z 1.37 2521 96 83 -7 0.02 Tue 03/25 22Z 1.38 2621 96 83 -7 0.02 Tue 03/25 23Z 1.26 2621 93 82 -7 0.01 Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.50 inches. Froude Number (Frd#): Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked. Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest. W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes. Gap winds possible. Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked. Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest. W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including: Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln. Gap winds possible. Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical. With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible. Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side. W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom. Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow). Air flows freely over terrain. Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries. Relative Humidity (RH): 925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation. with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow. with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible. 850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1) T > -11 10-15:1 T -11 to -15 25-35:1 T < -15 15-20:1