Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260514_0600
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Thu 05/14 06Z 0.07 1823 89 87 6 0.00
Thu 05/14 07Z 0.06 1725 91 86 6 0.00
Thu 05/14 08Z 0.06 1727 92 82 6 0.01
Thu 05/14 09Z 0.03 1726 93 87 6 0.01
Thu 05/14 10Z 0.04 1824 96 86 5 0.01
Thu 05/14 11Z 0.04 1822 98 96 5 0.02
Thu 05/14 14Z 0.03 1814 99 98 4 0.05
Thu 05/14 15Z 0.07 1712 99 98 4 0.06
Thu 05/14 16Z 0.14 1512 99 98 5 0.06
Thu 05/14 17Z 0.21 1515 99 98 5 0.05
Thu 05/14 18Z 0.31 1417 98 98 5 0.05
Thu 05/14 19Z 0.34 1416 97 98 5 0.07
Thu 05/14 20Z 0.35 1313 96 98 5 0.10
Thu 05/14 21Z 0.44 1114 99 99 5 0.10
Thu 05/14 22Z 0.48 1114 97 98 5 0.08
Thu 05/14 23Z 0.62 0816 98 97 5 0.11
Fri 05/15 00Z 0.80 0819 98 97 4 0.15
Fri 05/15 01Z 0.86 0822 97 98 4 0.17
Fri 05/15 02Z 0.95 0825 96 98 3 0.18
Fri 05/15 03Z 0.95 0927 96 95 3 0.15
Fri 05/15 04Z 1.00 0930 95 93 3 0.12
Fri 05/15 05Z 0.99 0930 94 91 3 0.11
Fri 05/15 06Z 0.93 0929 94 87 3 0.08
Fri 05/15 07Z 0.86 1027 93 82 3 0.07
Fri 05/15 08Z 0.77 1026 95 83 4 0.07
Fri 05/15 09Z 0.74 1025 94 83 3 0.06
Fri 05/15 10Z 0.71 1023 95 78 3 0.05
Fri 05/15 11Z 0.66 1021 94 76 3 0.04
Fri 05/15 12Z 0.60 1019 95 78 3 0.03
Fri 05/15 13Z 0.55 1017 95 81 3 0.03
Fri 05/15 14Z 0.57 1017 95 93 3 0.03
Fri 05/15 15Z 0.61 1017 96 91 2 0.02
Fri 05/15 16Z 0.60 1116 96 89 2 0.02
Fri 05/15 17Z 0.58 1114 95 87 2 0.02
Fri 05/15 18Z 0.51 1110 95 86 2 0.01
Fri 05/15 19Z 0.38 1107 95 86 2 0.01
Fri 05/15 20Z 0.28 1205 94 88 3 0.00
Fri 05/15 21Z 0.19 1404 94 91 3 0.00
Fri 05/15 22Z 0.15 1603 94 88 3 0.00
Fri 05/15 23Z 0.10 1803 94 84 3 0.01
Sat 05/16 00Z 0.09 1903 93 76 4 0.01
Sat 05/16 01Z 0.14 2204 93 71 4 0.01
Sat 05/16 02Z 0.20 2406 90 66 4 0.00
Sat 05/16 03Z 0.26 2508 86 60 4 0.00
Sat 05/16 04Z 0.33 2510 83 63 4 0.00
Sat 05/16 05Z 0.31 2610 84 64 5 0.00
Sat 05/16 06Z 0.37 2612 86 60 5 0.00
Sat 05/16 07Z 0.46 2615 88 61 4 0.00
Sat 05/16 08Z 0.41 2614 87 57 5 0.00
Sat 05/16 09Z 0.45 2615 92 55 5 0.00
Sat 05/16 10Z 0.54 2717 94 56 5 0.00
Sat 05/16 11Z 0.57 2717 90 44 5 0.00
Sat 05/16 12Z 0.59 2717 87 24 4 0.01
Sat 05/16 13Z 0.66 2718 83 27 5 0.01
Sat 05/16 14Z 0.78 2718 81 33 5 0.00
Sat 05/16 15Z 1.07 2716 77 42 5 0.00
Sat 05/16 16Z 1.35 2614 71 48 6 0.00
Sat 05/16 17Z 1.95 2514 69 48 7 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 2.25 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1