Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260515_1200
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Fri 05/15 12Z 0.37 0710 98 90 3 0.00
Fri 05/15 13Z 0.37 0710 96 88 3 0.01
Fri 05/15 14Z 0.41 0811 95 88 3 0.01
Fri 05/15 15Z 0.48 0812 96 91 3 0.00
Fri 05/15 16Z 0.49 0811 96 95 3 0.01
Fri 05/15 17Z 0.43 0809 96 93 3 0.01
Fri 05/15 18Z 0.33 0806 95 87 4 0.01
Fri 05/15 19Z 0.21 0603 94 81 4 0.00
Fri 05/15 20Z 0.17 0502 93 77 4 0.01
Fri 05/15 21Z 0.13 0402 94 77 5 0.01
Fri 05/15 22Z 0.10 0501 94 77 5 0.02
Fri 05/15 23Z 0.13 2702 95 81 5 0.02
Sat 05/16 00Z 0.18 2703 92 81 5 0.01
Sat 05/16 01Z 0.18 2705 89 76 5 0.00
Sat 05/16 02Z 0.18 2605 87 65 6 0.00
Sat 05/16 03Z 0.30 2608 89 62 5 0.01
Sat 05/16 04Z 0.35 2610 92 51 5 0.01
Sat 05/16 05Z 0.34 2511 91 53 6 0.02
Sat 05/16 06Z 0.35 2512 90 57 6 0.01
Sat 05/16 07Z 0.40 2614 90 57 6 0.00
Sat 05/16 08Z 0.40 2615 86 44 6 0.00
Sat 05/16 09Z 0.48 2816 84 33 6 0.00
Sat 05/16 10Z 0.57 2818 81 16 5 0.00
Sat 05/16 11Z 0.61 2818 77 9 5 0.00
Sat 05/16 12Z 0.67 2818 71 16 5 0.00
Sat 05/16 13Z 0.67 2718 65 35 5 0.00
Sat 05/16 14Z 0.70 2616 65 50 6 0.00
Sat 05/16 15Z 0.95 2616 62 61 6 0.00
Sat 05/16 16Z 1.11 2515 53 56 7 0.00
Sat 05/16 17Z 1.61 2413 50 39 7 0.00
Sat 05/16 18Z 1.92 2313 60 17 8 0.00
Sat 05/16 19Z 1.92 2315 65 11 8 0.00
Sat 05/16 20Z 1.60 2217 70 11 9 0.00
Sat 05/16 21Z 1.04 2219 72 11 9 0.00
Sat 05/16 22Z 0.69 2121 70 10 10 0.00
Sat 05/16 23Z 0.75 2125 72 37 10 0.00
Sun 05/17 00Z 0.86 2229 73 86 10 0.00
Sun 05/17 01Z 0.86 2232 74 87 10 0.00
Sun 05/17 02Z 1.01 2235 78 91 10 0.01
Sun 05/17 03Z 1.14 2337 83 87 10 0.01
Sun 05/17 04Z 1.12 2436 90 88 10 0.02
Sun 05/17 05Z 1.01 2533 95 78 10 0.04
Sun 05/17 06Z 0.98 2631 97 57 10 0.05
Sun 05/17 07Z 0.96 2730 96 22 9 0.04
Sun 05/17 08Z 0.90 2828 89 8 9 0.03
Sun 05/17 09Z 0.78 2929 68 6 9 0.02
Sun 05/17 10Z 0.81 2932 53 7 9 0.01
Sun 05/17 11Z 1.04 2936 51 15 8 0.00
Sun 05/17 12Z 1.12 2938 61 32 7 0.00
Sun 05/17 13Z 0.99 2935 72 33 7 0.00
Sun 05/17 14Z 0.92 2930 78 34 7 0.00
Sun 05/17 15Z 1.16 3026 82 34 6 0.00
Sun 05/17 16Z 3.93 3024 85 30 5 0.00
Sun 05/17 17Z 5.57 3022 86 24 5 0.01
Sun 05/17 18Z 5.68 3023 86 25 5 0.00
Sun 05/17 19Z 5.57 3022 87 22 5 0.00
Sun 05/17 20Z 3.25 3022 87 23 5 0.01
Sun 05/17 21Z 1.48 3022 86 19 5 0.01
Sun 05/17 22Z 0.96 3021 85 17 4 0.00
Sun 05/17 23Z 0.86 3120 83 13 5 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.43 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1