Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260524_0600
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sun 05/24 06Z 0.34 1527 77 96 4 0.00
Sun 05/24 07Z 0.41 1530 76 97 4 0.00
Sun 05/24 08Z 0.48 1431 74 98 4 0.01
Sun 05/24 09Z 0.57 1432 76 98 3 0.02
Sun 05/24 10Z 0.61 1435 82 98 3 0.05
Sun 05/24 11Z 0.64 1436 87 99 3 0.05
Sun 05/24 12Z 0.65 1437 89 99 2 0.05
Sun 05/24 13Z 0.60 1437 90 98 3 0.07
Sun 05/24 14Z 0.51 1537 91 98 3 0.07
Sun 05/24 15Z 0.43 1537 92 98 4 0.08
Sun 05/24 16Z 0.34 1535 93 98 4 0.08
Sun 05/24 17Z 0.28 1533 93 98 5 0.05
Sun 05/24 18Z 0.24 1533 94 98 6 0.04
Sun 05/24 19Z 0.22 1635 94 98 5 0.04
Sun 05/24 20Z 0.21 1635 95 97 6 0.05
Sun 05/24 21Z 0.21 1636 94 97 6 0.04
Sun 05/24 22Z 0.21 1637 94 98 6 0.02
Sun 05/24 23Z 0.19 1636 94 87 7 0.02
Mon 05/25 00Z 0.16 1635 94 80 7 0.01
Mon 05/25 01Z 0.14 1633 95 79 8 0.01
Mon 05/25 02Z 0.12 1630 95 76 8 0.01
Mon 05/25 03Z 0.08 1728 95 77 8 0.01
Mon 05/25 04Z 0.05 1725 96 80 9 0.01
Mon 05/25 05Z 0.04 1723 96 78 10 0.01
Mon 05/25 06Z 0.04 1820 96 81 10 0.01
Mon 05/25 07Z 0.05 1818 97 89 10 0.02
Mon 05/25 08Z 0.07 1917 98 93 10 0.06
Mon 05/25 09Z 0.13 2017 99 98 9 0.08
Mon 05/25 10Z 0.21 2116 99 96 9 0.13
Mon 05/25 11Z 0.29 2316 99 98 8 0.10
Mon 05/25 12Z 0.29 2513 99 95 8 0.07
Mon 05/25 13Z 0.27 2712 97 90 8 0.02
Mon 05/25 14Z 0.23 3012 96 89 9 0.01
Mon 05/25 15Z 0.21 3113 93 84 9 0.00
Mon 05/25 16Z 0.22 3113 92 78 9 0.00
Mon 05/25 17Z 0.29 3014 92 69 9 0.00
Mon 05/25 18Z 0.37 3016 92 60 9 0.00
Mon 05/25 19Z 0.46 2916 92 34 9 0.00
Mon 05/25 20Z 0.55 2917 94 28 8 0.00
Mon 05/25 21Z 0.63 2918 96 22 8 0.01
Mon 05/25 22Z 0.62 2918 94 13 8 0.01
Mon 05/25 23Z 0.53 2918 85 7 8 0.01
Tue 05/26 00Z 0.45 3018 81 8 9 0.00
Tue 05/26 01Z 0.38 3117 73 8 9 0.00
Tue 05/26 02Z 0.32 3117 66 8 9 0.00
Tue 05/26 03Z 0.33 3117 64 10 9 0.00
Tue 05/26 04Z 0.32 3116 64 14 9 0.00
Tue 05/26 05Z 0.35 3116 65 15 9 0.00
Tue 05/26 06Z 0.37 3116 70 13 8 0.00
Tue 05/26 07Z 0.38 3115 71 12 8 0.00
Tue 05/26 08Z 0.45 3116 75 14 8 0.00
Tue 05/26 09Z 0.42 3015 74 15 8 0.00
Tue 05/26 10Z 0.40 3013 70 21 9 0.00
Tue 05/26 11Z 0.38 2912 65 25 9 0.00
Tue 05/26 12Z 0.38 2811 62 26 10 0.00
Tue 05/26 13Z 0.40 2710 61 29 10 0.00
Tue 05/26 14Z 0.39 2609 60 41 10 0.00
Tue 05/26 15Z 0.45 2409 60 52 10 0.00
Tue 05/26 16Z 0.88 2410 60 55 10 0.00
Tue 05/26 17Z 1.11 2411 58 62 11 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 1.33 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1