Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20251012_1200 Using the MB925 to MB850 layer. Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds. 925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens. Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in) === ===== === ==== ==== === === === ==== Sun 10/12 12Z 0.64 1019 71 5 4 0.00 Sun 10/12 13Z 0.67 0923 68 6 5 0.00 Sun 10/12 14Z 0.67 0924 67 6 5 0.00 Sun 10/12 15Z 0.66 1024 64 6 5 0.00 Sun 10/12 16Z 0.64 1023 62 7 5 0.00 Sun 10/12 17Z 0.68 0921 66 7 5 0.00 Sun 10/12 18Z 0.88 1020 69 6 4 0.00 Sun 10/12 19Z 1.05 1019 73 6 3 0.00 Sun 10/12 20Z 1.34 1019 76 6 3 0.00 Sun 10/12 21Z 0.90 1020 80 6 4 0.00 Sun 10/12 22Z 0.75 1023 84 5 4 0.00 Sun 10/12 23Z 0.69 1025 85 4 4 0.01 Mon 10/13 00Z 0.62 1025 82 4 5 0.01 Mon 10/13 01Z 0.64 1027 78 4 5 0.00 Mon 10/13 02Z 0.59 1128 76 5 6 0.00 Mon 10/13 03Z 0.55 1127 74 13 7 0.00 Mon 10/13 04Z 0.52 1126 73 15 7 0.00 Mon 10/13 05Z 0.48 1125 69 25 7 0.01 Mon 10/13 06Z 0.48 1025 65 32 8 0.01 Mon 10/13 07Z 0.46 1025 60 31 8 0.01 Mon 10/13 08Z 0.44 1023 53 29 8 0.00 Mon 10/13 09Z 0.45 1023 49 29 8 0.00 Mon 10/13 10Z 0.46 1023 49 58 7 0.00 Mon 10/13 11Z 0.47 0922 44 65 7 0.00 Mon 10/13 12Z 0.46 0921 42 72 7 0.00 Mon 10/13 13Z 0.46 0921 43 83 7 0.00 Mon 10/13 14Z 0.50 0922 45 93 6 0.00 Mon 10/13 15Z 0.50 0923 52 92 6 0.00 Mon 10/13 16Z 0.52 0924 56 92 6 0.00 Mon 10/13 17Z 0.52 0924 61 93 6 0.00 Mon 10/13 18Z 0.50 1024 70 95 6 0.00 Mon 10/13 19Z 0.49 1024 74 95 7 0.01 Mon 10/13 20Z 0.50 1025 79 95 7 0.02 Mon 10/13 21Z 0.46 1023 88 95 7 0.03 Mon 10/13 22Z 0.44 1023 95 96 8 0.05 Mon 10/13 23Z 0.43 1023 96 95 8 0.06 Tue 10/14 00Z 0.42 1023 95 96 8 0.05 Tue 10/14 01Z 0.42 1124 95 96 8 0.04 Tue 10/14 02Z 0.41 1124 94 96 9 0.03 Tue 10/14 03Z 0.39 1124 94 95 9 0.02 Tue 10/14 04Z 0.37 1223 94 95 9 0.02 Tue 10/14 05Z 0.36 1222 92 94 9 0.02 Tue 10/14 06Z 0.32 1120 90 95 9 0.01 Tue 10/14 07Z 0.30 1118 91 95 9 0.01 Tue 10/14 08Z 0.28 1116 90 94 9 0.01 Tue 10/14 09Z 0.29 1115 88 89 9 0.00 Tue 10/14 10Z 0.27 1114 88 87 9 0.00 Tue 10/14 11Z 0.23 1112 91 88 9 0.00 Tue 10/14 12Z 0.18 1009 92 93 9 0.00 Tue 10/14 13Z 0.14 1006 91 90 9 0.00 Tue 10/14 14Z 0.13 1106 91 84 9 0.00 Tue 10/14 15Z 0.13 1204 91 79 9 0.00 Tue 10/14 16Z 0.10 1101 90 76 9 0.00 Tue 10/14 17Z 0.09 3102 91 76 9 0.00 Tue 10/14 18Z 0.10 3104 93 77 9 0.00 Tue 10/14 19Z 0.11 3106 95 80 9 0.00 Tue 10/14 20Z 0.12 3208 97 83 9 0.00 Tue 10/14 21Z 0.14 3210 98 85 8 0.01 Tue 10/14 22Z 0.14 3311 97 81 8 0.01 Tue 10/14 23Z 0.16 3313 85 68 8 0.00 Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.45 inches. Froude Number (Frd#): Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked. Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest. W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes. Gap winds possible. Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked. Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest. W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including: Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln. Gap winds possible. Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical. With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible. Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side. W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom. Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow). Air flows freely over terrain. Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries. Relative Humidity (RH): 925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation. with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow. with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible. 850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1) T > -11 10-15:1 T -11 to -15 25-35:1 T < -15 15-20:1