Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260221_1200
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sat 02/21 12Z 0.17 2905 98 84 -7 0.00
Sat 02/21 13Z 0.16 3005 98 85 -8 0.00
Sat 02/21 14Z 0.10 3305 98 79 -8 0.00
Sat 02/21 15Z 0.05 0004 98 77 -8 0.00
Sat 02/21 16Z 0.08 0203 98 75 -8 0.00
Sat 02/21 17Z 0.08 0102 98 75 -8 0.00
Sat 02/21 18Z 0.07 0101 97 73 -8 0.00
Sat 02/21 19Z 0.07 0102 95 69 -8 0.00
Sat 02/21 20Z 0.06 0103 92 64 -8 0.00
Sat 02/21 21Z 0.10 0304 87 58 -8 0.00
Sat 02/21 22Z 0.16 0505 83 53 -8 0.00
Sat 02/21 23Z 0.21 0507 80 53 -8 0.00
Sun 02/22 00Z 0.23 0608 77 48 -8 0.00
Sun 02/22 01Z 0.26 0708 77 44 -8 0.00
Sun 02/22 04Z 0.21 1208 76 39 -8 0.00
Sun 02/22 05Z 0.21 1309 75 38 -8 0.00
Sun 02/22 06Z 0.22 1310 74 36 -8 0.00
Sun 02/22 07Z 0.20 1412 69 41 -8 0.00
Sun 02/22 09Z 0.16 1513 65 49 -8 0.00
Sun 02/22 10Z 0.16 1412 62 53 -8 0.00
Sun 02/22 11Z 0.17 1412 56 59 -7 0.00
Sun 02/22 12Z 0.20 1413 51 65 -8 0.00
Sun 02/22 13Z 0.21 1413 50 70 -8 0.00
Sun 02/22 14Z 0.23 1313 52 71 -8 0.00
Sun 02/22 15Z 0.26 1314 53 70 -8 0.00
Sun 02/22 16Z 0.31 1314 54 67 -8 0.00
Sun 02/22 17Z 0.37 1215 57 69 -8 0.00
Sun 02/22 18Z 0.41 1214 64 70 -8 0.00
Sun 02/22 19Z 0.48 1215 70 71 -8 0.00
Sun 02/22 20Z 0.57 1215 74 72 -8 0.00
Sun 02/22 21Z 0.69 1116 76 71 -8 0.00
Sun 02/22 22Z 0.66 1116 79 69 -9 0.00
Sun 02/22 23Z 0.62 1117 81 68 -8 0.00
Mon 02/23 00Z 0.61 1018 80 66 -8 0.00
Mon 02/23 01Z 0.59 0920 77 62 -8 0.00
Mon 02/23 03Z 0.61 0922 72 40 -8 0.00
Mon 02/23 04Z 0.64 0922 68 40 -8 0.00
Mon 02/23 05Z 0.64 0924 58 53 -8 0.00
Mon 02/23 06Z 0.65 0826 54 56 -7 0.00
Mon 02/23 07Z 0.66 0827 52 57 -7 0.00
Mon 02/23 08Z 0.66 0728 49 64 -7 0.00
Mon 02/23 09Z 0.67 0731 44 64 -7 0.00
Mon 02/23 10Z 0.69 0733 40 71 -7 0.00
Mon 02/23 11Z 0.69 0735 35 71 -6 0.00
Mon 02/23 12Z 0.68 0635 35 71 -7 0.00
Mon 02/23 13Z 0.64 0633 36 70 -7 0.00
Mon 02/23 14Z 0.62 0531 38 73 -7 0.00
Mon 02/23 15Z 0.65 0529 48 77 -9 0.00
Mon 02/23 16Z 0.69 0426 67 82 -11 0.00
Mon 02/23 17Z 0.52 0426 78 84 -11 0.00
Mon 02/23 18Z 0.44 0327 82 86 -11 0.00
Mon 02/23 19Z 0.38 0228 88 86 -11 0.00
Mon 02/23 20Z 0.25 0129 89 86 -10 0.02
Mon 02/23 21Z 0.15 0131 90 86 -10 0.04
Mon 02/23 22Z 0.10 0032 90 86 -9 0.05
Mon 02/23 23Z 0.08 0033 88 88 -9 0.04
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.15 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1