Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260409_1200
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Thu 04/09 12Z 0.22 2021 31 56 2 0.00
Thu 04/09 13Z 0.23 2025 26 57 2 0.00
Thu 04/09 14Z 0.24 2026 24 55 2 0.00
Thu 04/09 15Z 0.23 2026 24 53 3 0.00
Thu 04/09 16Z 0.22 2026 25 48 3 0.00
Thu 04/09 17Z 0.24 2027 24 27 4 0.00
Thu 04/09 18Z 0.29 2028 24 8 4 0.00
Thu 04/09 19Z 0.34 2030 23 20 4 0.00
Thu 04/09 20Z 0.34 2029 23 32 5 0.00
Thu 04/09 21Z 0.33 2028 25 43 6 0.00
Thu 04/09 22Z 0.32 2028 28 53 7 0.00
Thu 04/09 23Z 0.33 2129 35 56 7 0.00
Fri 04/10 00Z 0.39 2130 39 56 7 0.00
Fri 04/10 01Z 0.45 2230 45 51 7 0.00
Fri 04/10 02Z 0.49 2330 52 56 6 0.00
Fri 04/10 03Z 0.53 2330 59 68 6 0.00
Fri 04/10 04Z 0.60 2431 63 64 6 0.00
Fri 04/10 05Z 0.65 2431 68 60 6 0.00
Fri 04/10 06Z 0.66 2530 73 37 6 0.00
Fri 04/10 08Z 0.65 2527 75 56 6 0.00
Fri 04/10 09Z 0.58 2525 83 52 5 0.00
Fri 04/10 10Z 0.56 2524 84 84 6 0.00
Fri 04/10 11Z 0.54 2523 91 77 5 0.00
Fri 04/10 12Z 0.50 2422 91 48 5 0.01
Fri 04/10 13Z 0.48 2422 87 51 6 0.00
Fri 04/10 14Z 0.48 2423 88 85 6 0.00
Fri 04/10 15Z 0.50 2423 89 97 6 0.00
Fri 04/10 16Z 0.53 2325 88 78 7 0.00
Fri 04/10 17Z 0.66 2326 86 64 7 0.00
Fri 04/10 18Z 0.83 2426 82 43 7 0.00
Fri 04/10 19Z 0.85 2327 71 44 8 0.00
Fri 04/10 20Z 0.89 2227 69 48 7 0.00
Fri 04/10 21Z 0.93 2128 70 48 7 0.00
Fri 04/10 22Z 0.93 2131 70 63 7 0.00
Fri 04/10 23Z 1.02 2234 74 93 7 0.00
Sat 04/11 00Z 0.96 2335 87 95 6 0.01
Sat 04/11 01Z 0.76 2332 93 96 6 0.04
Sat 04/11 02Z 0.62 2526 95 96 5 0.09
Sat 04/11 03Z 0.59 2725 98 96 3 0.14
Sat 04/11 04Z 0.53 2925 98 94 1 0.12
Sat 04/11 05Z 0.55 3026 97 65 0 0.09
Sat 04/11 06Z 0.67 3127 97 31 -2 0.04
Sat 04/11 07Z 0.74 3027 94 10 -4 0.03
Sat 04/11 08Z 0.78 3028 92 7 -5 0.02
Sat 04/11 09Z 0.74 3028 91 5 -5 0.01
Sat 04/11 10Z 0.67 3128 89 5 -6 0.01
Sat 04/11 11Z 0.63 3128 88 7 -6 0.01
Sat 04/11 12Z 0.61 3128 87 10 -7 0.01
Sat 04/11 13Z 0.65 3128 86 14 -7 0.01
Sat 04/11 14Z 0.75 3128 87 14 -8 0.01
Sat 04/11 15Z 0.75 3127 87 16 -8 0.01
Sat 04/11 16Z 0.81 3126 85 15 -8 0.00
Sat 04/11 17Z 1.07 3125 84 16 -8 0.00
Sat 04/11 18Z 1.66 3124 81 14 -7 0.00
Sat 04/11 19Z 3.59 3123 79 11 -7 0.00
Sat 04/11 20Z 5.66 3121 80 11 -7 0.00
Sat 04/11 21Z 5.18 3121 80 11 -7 0.00
Sat 04/11 22Z 2.91 3121 78 10 -7 0.00
Sat 04/11 23Z 1.31 3121 78 9 -6 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.66 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1