Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260920_0600
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sun 09/20 06Z 0.20 2015 78 16 6 0.00
Sun 09/20 07Z 0.21 2015 81 21 6 0.00
Sun 09/20 08Z 0.18 2015 85 34 6 0.00
Sun 09/20 09Z 0.14 1915 86 62 7 0.00
Sun 09/20 10Z 0.13 1917 89 76 6 0.00
Sun 09/20 11Z 0.14 1918 91 85 6 0.00
Sun 09/20 12Z 0.11 1919 93 92 6 0.01
Sun 09/20 13Z 0.10 1819 94 98 6 0.02
Sun 09/20 14Z 0.09 1818 94 99 6 0.05
Sun 09/20 15Z 0.06 1817 95 99 6 0.06
Sun 09/20 16Z 0.06 1816 97 99 7 0.06
Sun 09/20 17Z 0.08 1916 97 99 7 0.06
Sun 09/20 18Z 0.11 1916 98 99 7 0.05
Sun 09/20 19Z 0.12 1916 98 99 7 0.05
Sun 09/20 20Z 0.12 1916 98 99 8 0.05
Sun 09/20 21Z 0.12 1914 98 92 8 0.05
Sun 09/20 22Z 0.10 1913 98 68 8 0.04
Sun 09/20 23Z 0.11 2011 99 62 7 0.03
Mon 09/21 00Z 0.09 1907 99 58 7 0.02
Mon 09/21 01Z 0.08 2104 99 49 7 0.01
Mon 09/21 02Z 0.06 2801 99 42 6 0.01
Mon 09/21 03Z 0.04 0102 96 43 6 0.00
Mon 09/21 04Z 0.03 0005 95 41 6 0.00
Mon 09/21 05Z 0.04 0008 93 32 6 0.00
Mon 09/21 06Z 0.04 0010 90 18 6 0.00
Mon 09/21 07Z 0.06 0012 89 8 6 0.00
Mon 09/21 08Z 0.06 0013 89 3 5 0.01
Mon 09/21 09Z 0.07 0015 90 2 5 0.01
Mon 09/21 10Z 0.07 0017 90 2 4 0.01
Mon 09/21 11Z 0.09 0018 90 2 4 0.01
Mon 09/21 12Z 0.10 0017 89 2 3 0.00
Mon 09/21 13Z 0.07 0017 86 2 3 0.00
Mon 09/21 14Z 0.04 0016 82 3 3 0.00
Mon 09/21 15Z 0.04 0013 79 2 3 0.00
Mon 09/21 16Z 0.05 0012 72 2 4 0.00
Mon 09/21 17Z 0.06 0112 67 2 4 0.00
Mon 09/21 18Z 0.07 0112 62 1 4 0.00
Mon 09/21 19Z 0.09 0112 56 2 4 0.00
Mon 09/21 20Z 0.10 0212 52 2 5 0.00
Mon 09/21 21Z 0.08 0111 52 2 5 0.00
Mon 09/21 22Z 0.09 0211 51 2 5 0.00
Mon 09/21 23Z 0.13 0311 48 2 5 0.00
Tue 09/22 00Z 0.15 0312 46 2 5 0.00
Tue 09/22 01Z 0.18 0412 43 2 6 0.00
Tue 09/22 02Z 0.20 0412 43 2 5 0.00
Tue 09/22 03Z 0.21 0512 42 2 5 0.00
Tue 09/22 04Z 0.20 0610 44 2 5 0.00
Tue 09/22 05Z 0.18 0708 47 2 4 0.00
Tue 09/22 06Z 0.16 0807 50 2 4 0.00
Tue 09/22 07Z 0.15 0906 52 2 4 0.00
Tue 09/22 08Z 0.13 1105 57 2 3 0.00
Tue 09/22 09Z 0.15 1106 60 3 3 0.00
Tue 09/22 10Z 0.15 1106 63 3 3 0.00
Tue 09/22 11Z 0.13 1105 65 3 2 0.00
Tue 09/22 12Z 0.14 1005 66 3 2 0.00
Tue 09/22 13Z 0.14 0905 66 3 3 0.00
Tue 09/22 14Z 0.17 0806 65 3 3 0.00
Tue 09/22 15Z 0.16 0606 67 3 3 0.00
Tue 09/22 16Z 0.19 0606 70 3 2 0.00
Tue 09/22 17Z 0.25 0506 71 3 2 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.61 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1