Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260529_1200
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Fri 05/29 12Z 0.62 3116 83 77 3 0.00
Fri 05/29 13Z 0.69 3016 83 78 3 0.00
Fri 05/29 14Z 1.18 3016 81 86 4 0.00
Fri 05/29 15Z 2.17 2915 77 89 4 0.00
Fri 05/29 16Z 3.97 2812 77 91 5 0.00
Fri 05/29 17Z 3.54 2613 76 97 6 0.00
Fri 05/29 18Z 4.58 2415 76 96 6 0.00
Fri 05/29 19Z 1.00 2522 85 95 6 0.06
Fri 05/29 20Z 1.08 2524 94 96 6 0.07
Fri 05/29 21Z 1.70 2628 87 92 5 0.07
Fri 05/29 22Z 1.48 2628 85 86 6 0.04
Fri 05/29 23Z 1.32 2625 81 82 6 0.03
Sat 05/30 00Z 0.84 2622 85 79 5 0.14
Sat 05/30 01Z 0.65 2920 89 62 4 0.16
Sat 05/30 02Z 0.55 3020 87 66 1 0.05
Sat 05/30 03Z 0.60 3120 94 43 0 0.02
Sat 05/30 04Z 0.50 3116 95 65 0 0.01
Sat 05/30 05Z 0.45 3112 96 80 0 0.01
Sat 05/30 06Z 0.46 3511 97 83 0 0.02
Sat 05/30 07Z 0.52 0317 97 79 -1 0.04
Sat 05/30 08Z 0.58 0424 98 83 -1 0.06
Sat 05/30 09Z 0.74 0531 98 91 -1 0.09
Sat 05/30 10Z 0.63 0431 96 92 -1 0.07
Sat 05/30 11Z 0.55 0430 90 87 0 0.08
Sat 05/30 12Z 0.50 0427 85 73 0 0.04
Sat 05/30 13Z 0.44 0424 81 60 0 0.03
Sat 05/30 14Z 0.43 0421 79 53 -1 0.01
Sat 05/30 15Z 0.56 0317 80 39 -1 0.00
Sat 05/30 16Z 0.94 0215 80 44 -1 0.00
Sat 05/30 17Z 0.75 0115 81 54 -1 0.00
Sat 05/30 18Z 1.66 0116 81 65 0 0.00
Sat 05/30 19Z 2.46 0117 78 72 0 0.00
Sat 05/30 20Z 2.16 0117 76 71 0 0.00
Sat 05/30 21Z 2.12 0116 76 72 0 0.00
Sat 05/30 22Z 1.67 0117 77 71 0 0.00
Sat 05/30 23Z 0.80 0118 73 77 0 0.00
Sun 05/31 00Z 0.34 0119 67 72 1 0.00
Sun 05/31 01Z 0.32 0121 64 69 1 0.00
Sun 05/31 02Z 0.30 0122 58 50 2 0.00
Sun 05/31 03Z 0.26 0122 52 35 2 0.00
Sun 05/31 04Z 0.22 0122 53 30 3 0.00
Sun 05/31 05Z 0.20 0121 61 23 3 0.00
Sun 05/31 06Z 0.14 0019 66 20 3 0.00
Sun 05/31 07Z 0.11 3517 66 21 3 0.00
Sun 05/31 08Z 0.11 3516 65 21 3 0.00
Sun 05/31 09Z 0.17 3416 63 20 4 0.00
Sun 05/31 10Z 0.31 3316 63 26 4 0.00
Sun 05/31 11Z 0.43 3217 63 36 4 0.00
Sun 05/31 12Z 0.46 3117 61 38 5 0.00
Sun 05/31 13Z 0.47 3118 56 43 5 0.00
Sun 05/31 14Z 0.55 3218 58 54 5 0.00
Sun 05/31 15Z 0.95 3217 61 67 5 0.00
Sun 05/31 16Z 1.46 3116 65 71 4 0.00
Sun 05/31 17Z 2.11 3116 72 70 4 0.01
Sun 05/31 18Z 3.09 3116 72 71 4 0.01
Sun 05/31 19Z 2.74 3116 72 78 4 0.00
Sun 05/31 20Z 1.80 3115 69 68 4 0.00
Sun 05/31 21Z 1.76 3015 71 60 4 0.00
Sun 05/31 22Z 0.81 3016 71 64 5 0.00
Sun 05/31 23Z 0.78 3016 72 70 5 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 1.12 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1