Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260413_0000
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Mon 04/13 00Z 0.16 1823 76 98 0 0.00
Mon 04/13 01Z 0.14 1828 70 99 0 0.02
Mon 04/13 02Z 0.20 1930 71 94 1 0.03
Mon 04/13 03Z 0.28 2031 79 98 2 0.04
Mon 04/13 04Z 0.35 2034 83 97 4 0.04
Mon 04/13 05Z 0.42 2235 88 98 7 0.05
Mon 04/13 06Z 0.44 2236 86 96 9 0.06
Mon 04/13 07Z 0.47 2239 78 97 10 0.03
Mon 04/13 08Z 0.54 2341 78 91 11 0.01
Mon 04/13 09Z 0.59 2440 79 82 11 0.01
Mon 04/13 10Z 0.60 2438 78 81 11 0.02
Mon 04/13 11Z 0.63 2439 74 81 12 0.01
Mon 04/13 12Z 0.67 2539 73 80 12 0.00
Mon 04/13 13Z 0.72 2539 73 65 11 0.00
Mon 04/13 14Z 0.68 2535 73 54 11 0.00
Mon 04/13 15Z 0.80 2436 77 65 10 0.00
Mon 04/13 16Z 0.77 2434 74 44 11 0.00
Mon 04/13 17Z 0.97 2337 74 78 10 0.01
Mon 04/13 18Z 1.25 2238 89 98 8 0.05
Mon 04/13 19Z 1.06 2341 97 94 8 0.11
Mon 04/13 20Z 1.24 2542 98 97 8 0.09
Mon 04/13 21Z 1.19 2639 98 86 9 0.08
Mon 04/13 22Z 1.29 2739 98 81 9 0.04
Mon 04/13 23Z 1.27 2738 97 81 9 0.05
Tue 04/14 00Z 1.33 2738 98 76 9 0.04
Tue 04/14 01Z 1.35 2836 97 69 8 0.03
Tue 04/14 02Z 1.26 2834 97 58 8 0.03
Tue 04/14 03Z 1.16 2932 98 43 7 0.03
Tue 04/14 04Z 0.97 2928 98 38 7 0.03
Tue 04/14 05Z 0.75 3025 97 36 7 0.03
Tue 04/14 06Z 0.60 3024 94 41 7 0.02
Tue 04/14 07Z 0.51 3022 91 42 7 0.01
Tue 04/14 08Z 0.45 2922 87 42 7 0.01
Tue 04/14 09Z 0.37 3020 82 37 8 0.01
Tue 04/14 10Z 0.32 3018 78 32 9 0.01
Tue 04/14 11Z 0.30 2916 73 32 9 0.01
Tue 04/14 12Z 0.28 2815 68 33 10 0.00
Tue 04/14 13Z 0.25 2713 62 47 10 0.00
Tue 04/14 14Z 0.23 2612 61 56 11 0.00
Tue 04/14 15Z 0.22 2511 60 49 11 0.00
Tue 04/14 16Z 0.26 2413 62 36 11 0.00
Tue 04/14 17Z 0.34 2416 61 53 11 0.00
Tue 04/14 18Z 0.28 2217 66 45 12 0.00
Tue 04/14 19Z 0.42 2222 76 53 12 0.00
Tue 04/14 20Z 0.38 2026 70 49 13 0.00
Tue 04/14 21Z 0.43 2031 61 54 14 0.00
Tue 04/14 22Z 0.68 2133 69 59 13 0.00
Tue 04/14 23Z 0.98 2137 80 59 13 0.00
Wed 04/15 00Z 1.13 2237 87 66 12 0.12
Wed 04/15 01Z 1.20 2534 94 78 12 0.35
Wed 04/15 02Z 1.23 2633 96 78 11 0.12
Wed 04/15 03Z 1.25 2632 97 76 11 0.05
Wed 04/15 04Z 1.19 2729 98 59 10 0.03
Wed 04/15 05Z 1.15 2728 98 26 10 0.03
Wed 04/15 06Z 1.04 2726 98 14 10 0.03
Wed 04/15 07Z 0.91 2725 96 9 10 0.03
Wed 04/15 08Z 0.76 2724 92 19 10 0.02
Wed 04/15 09Z 0.58 2822 85 40 11 0.02
Wed 04/15 10Z 0.47 2720 78 45 12 0.01
Wed 04/15 11Z 0.46 2619 79 46 12 0.01
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 1.83 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1