Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260913_1200
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sun 09/13 12Z 0.42 2320 99 95 14 0.00
Sun 09/13 13Z 0.43 2420 98 88 14 0.04
Sun 09/13 14Z 0.41 2418 98 79 14 0.05
Sun 09/13 15Z 0.39 2417 98 68 13 0.05
Sun 09/13 16Z 0.36 2315 98 60 13 0.02
Sun 09/13 17Z 0.33 2314 96 50 14 0.01
Sun 09/13 18Z 0.36 2413 94 50 14 0.00
Sun 09/13 19Z 0.39 2412 93 55 14 0.00
Sun 09/13 20Z 0.42 2511 93 52 14 0.00
Sun 09/13 21Z 0.38 2510 91 50 14 0.00
Sun 09/13 22Z 0.42 2511 89 39 14 0.00
Sun 09/13 23Z 0.54 2515 91 40 14 0.00
Mon 09/14 00Z 0.63 2518 93 48 14 0.01
Mon 09/14 01Z 0.70 2620 92 53 14 0.05
Mon 09/14 02Z 0.80 2622 91 59 14 0.03
Mon 09/14 03Z 0.78 2622 89 73 13 0.05
Mon 09/14 04Z 0.84 2723 89 76 13 0.06
Mon 09/14 05Z 0.95 2826 96 77 12 0.06
Mon 09/14 06Z 0.98 2928 92 83 10 0.06
Mon 09/14 07Z 0.74 3022 82 80 10 0.01
Mon 09/14 08Z 0.89 2924 90 73 9 0.01
Mon 09/14 09Z 0.83 2925 91 64 8 0.02
Mon 09/14 10Z 0.84 2926 90 39 7 0.02
Mon 09/14 11Z 0.68 3028 91 17 6 0.02
Mon 09/14 12Z 0.52 3228 90 11 5 0.02
Mon 09/14 13Z 0.43 3227 86 11 5 0.01
Mon 09/14 14Z 0.38 3224 85 11 4 0.01
Mon 09/14 15Z 0.32 3322 82 13 4 0.01
Mon 09/14 16Z 0.32 3321 79 11 4 0.00
Mon 09/14 17Z 0.36 3320 77 9 4 0.00
Mon 09/14 18Z 0.49 3319 74 7 4 0.00
Mon 09/14 19Z 0.56 3219 74 10 4 0.00
Mon 09/14 20Z 0.65 3219 78 14 3 0.00
Mon 09/14 21Z 0.68 3218 81 17 3 0.00
Mon 09/14 22Z 0.62 3220 85 20 3 0.00
Mon 09/14 23Z 0.60 3321 87 19 3 0.00
Tue 09/15 00Z 0.45 3322 85 19 3 0.00
Tue 09/15 01Z 0.18 3420 79 18 5 0.00
Tue 09/15 02Z 0.07 3519 70 16 6 0.00
Tue 09/15 03Z 0.05 3517 68 14 6 0.00
Tue 09/15 04Z 0.05 3515 66 12 7 0.00
Tue 09/15 05Z 0.05 0012 60 10 7 0.00
Tue 09/15 06Z 0.07 0009 55 8 8 0.00
Tue 09/15 07Z 0.05 0106 48 6 8 0.00
Tue 09/15 08Z 0.03 0006 48 5 8 0.00
Tue 09/15 09Z 0.05 0204 48 4 8 0.00
Tue 09/15 10Z 0.03 0101 44 4 8 0.00
Tue 09/15 11Z 0.04 1301 40 3 8 0.00
Tue 09/15 12Z 0.03 1803 39 3 8 0.00
Tue 09/15 13Z 0.05 1904 39 3 8 0.00
Tue 09/15 14Z 0.05 1905 40 2 9 0.00
Tue 09/15 15Z 0.07 2006 44 2 9 0.00
Tue 09/15 16Z 0.05 1907 45 2 9 0.00
Tue 09/15 17Z 0.07 1909 46 2 10 0.00
Tue 09/15 18Z 0.08 1910 47 3 10 0.00
Tue 09/15 19Z 0.14 2011 49 4 11 0.00
Tue 09/15 20Z 0.15 2012 49 5 11 0.00
Tue 09/15 21Z 0.18 2014 45 7 11 0.00
Tue 09/15 22Z 0.21 2116 40 54 12 0.00
Tue 09/15 23Z 0.25 2118 35 84 13 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.62 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1