Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260731_0000
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Fri 07/31 00Z 0.06 0012 88 87 12 0.00
Fri 07/31 01Z 0.07 0012 87 88 12 0.00
Fri 07/31 02Z 0.07 0013 86 91 12 0.00
Fri 07/31 03Z 0.05 0013 86 90 12 0.00
Fri 07/31 04Z 0.04 0013 86 87 12 0.00
Fri 07/31 05Z 0.02 3512 85 87 12 0.00
Fri 07/31 06Z 0.06 3512 84 86 12 0.00
Fri 07/31 07Z 0.10 3412 84 86 12 0.00
Fri 07/31 08Z 0.13 3412 85 87 11 0.00
Fri 07/31 09Z 0.11 3412 86 84 11 0.00
Fri 07/31 10Z 0.12 3412 88 84 11 0.00
Fri 07/31 11Z 0.08 3412 89 84 11 0.00
Fri 07/31 12Z 0.09 3411 91 82 11 0.00
Fri 07/31 13Z 0.11 3410 92 77 11 0.00
Fri 07/31 14Z 0.18 3310 94 74 11 0.00
Fri 07/31 15Z 0.20 3309 96 72 11 0.00
Fri 07/31 16Z 0.15 3308 96 65 11 0.00
Fri 07/31 17Z 0.17 3307 95 57 11 0.01
Fri 07/31 18Z 0.17 3305 92 52 12 0.01
Fri 07/31 19Z 0.37 3208 91 54 12 0.01
Fri 07/31 20Z 0.49 3209 88 50 12 0.01
Fri 07/31 21Z 0.39 3209 83 50 13 0.00
Fri 07/31 22Z 0.31 3311 78 56 13 0.00
Fri 07/31 23Z 0.24 3313 74 57 13 0.00
Sat 08/01 00Z 0.18 3412 72 56 13 0.00
Sat 08/01 01Z 0.25 3313 73 59 13 0.00
Sat 08/01 02Z 0.18 3311 74 56 13 0.00
Sat 08/01 03Z 0.10 3410 74 52 13 0.00
Sat 08/01 04Z 0.17 3309 78 52 13 0.00
Sat 08/01 05Z 0.20 3208 79 50 13 0.00
Sat 08/01 06Z 0.22 3108 79 49 13 0.00
Sat 08/01 07Z 0.19 3106 78 47 13 0.00
Sat 08/01 08Z 0.21 3006 78 48 13 0.00
Sat 08/01 09Z 0.21 2905 78 49 13 0.00
Sat 08/01 10Z 0.22 2805 77 48 13 0.00
Sat 08/01 11Z 0.24 2705 76 49 13 0.00
Sat 08/01 12Z 0.26 2606 76 53 13 0.00
Sat 08/01 13Z 0.23 2505 76 52 13 0.00
Sat 08/01 14Z 0.20 2304 77 48 13 0.00
Sat 08/01 15Z 0.53 2305 80 46 13 0.00
Sat 08/01 16Z 0.49 2104 80 41 13 0.00
Sat 08/01 17Z 0.41 2004 80 35 13 0.00
Sat 08/01 18Z 0.60 2004 80 35 14 0.00
Sat 08/01 19Z 0.65 2005 79 34 14 0.00
Sat 08/01 20Z 0.40 1905 77 29 14 0.00
Sat 08/01 21Z 0.18 1806 77 23 14 0.00
Sat 08/01 22Z 0.15 1907 77 19 14 0.00
Sat 08/01 23Z 0.12 1909 76 14 14 0.00
Sun 08/02 00Z 0.18 1911 75 11 14 0.00
Sun 08/02 01Z 0.22 1913 76 10 14 0.00
Sun 08/02 02Z 0.28 2014 76 11 14 0.00
Sun 08/02 03Z 0.30 2016 79 12 15 0.00
Sun 08/02 04Z 0.33 2117 83 15 15 0.00
Sun 08/02 05Z 0.34 2118 88 18 15 0.00
Sun 08/02 06Z 0.37 2119 91 26 14 0.01
Sun 08/02 07Z 0.41 2219 92 33 14 0.01
Sun 08/02 08Z 0.40 2217 92 31 14 0.01
Sun 08/02 09Z 0.37 2216 91 28 14 0.01
Sun 08/02 10Z 0.33 2214 91 23 14 0.00
Sun 08/02 11Z 0.35 2215 92 26 14 0.01
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.09 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1