
A Nor'easter well off the East Coast will slowly track north this week and may gain some subtropical characteristics. Strong onshore winds will bring flooding, dangerous marine conditions, and beach erosion along the Mid-Atlantic coast. A Pacific storm is bringing gusty winds, severe thunderstorms, and mountain snow to portions of California and the Southwest U.S. through Thursday. Read More >
Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20261021_1200
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Wed 10/21 12Z 0.06 0603 47 2 5 0.00
Wed 10/21 13Z 0.06 0403 45 2 6 0.00
Wed 10/21 14Z 0.05 0304 43 2 6 0.00
Wed 10/21 15Z 0.06 0305 43 2 6 0.00
Wed 10/21 16Z 0.10 0406 44 2 6 0.00
Wed 10/21 17Z 0.11 0506 44 2 6 0.00
Wed 10/21 18Z 0.13 0805 45 2 6 0.00
Wed 10/21 19Z 0.12 0805 44 2 6 0.00
Wed 10/21 20Z 0.09 0803 43 2 7 0.00
Wed 10/21 21Z 0.07 0603 41 2 7 0.00
Wed 10/21 22Z 0.08 0703 37 2 7 0.00
Wed 10/21 23Z 0.07 0703 35 2 7 0.00
Thu 10/22 00Z 0.06 0503 35 2 7 0.00
Thu 10/22 01Z 0.04 0203 35 2 7 0.00
Thu 10/22 02Z 0.03 3505 34 2 7 0.00
Thu 10/22 03Z 0.02 3508 32 3 8 0.00
Thu 10/22 04Z 0.03 0010 29 3 8 0.00
Thu 10/22 05Z 0.05 0111 27 3 7 0.00
Thu 10/22 06Z 0.07 0112 25 5 7 0.00
Thu 10/22 07Z 0.08 0112 24 8 7 0.00
Thu 10/22 08Z 0.07 0114 24 10 7 0.00
Thu 10/22 09Z 0.07 0116 24 14 6 0.00
Thu 10/22 10Z 0.06 0019 23 16 6 0.00
Thu 10/22 11Z 0.07 0020 22 18 6 0.00
Thu 10/22 12Z 0.06 0021 24 20 7 0.00
Thu 10/22 13Z 0.06 0021 32 19 6 0.00
Thu 10/22 14Z 0.05 0021 43 18 6 0.00
Thu 10/22 15Z 0.03 0021 56 24 5 0.00
Thu 10/22 16Z 0.02 3522 69 24 4 0.00
Thu 10/22 17Z 0.05 3523 79 24 4 0.00
Thu 10/22 18Z 0.05 3523 85 29 3 0.00
Thu 10/22 19Z 0.05 3524 88 30 2 0.00
Thu 10/22 20Z 0.08 3525 87 29 2 0.00
Thu 10/22 21Z 0.06 3526 79 24 2 0.00
Thu 10/22 22Z 0.04 3527 68 21 2 0.00
Thu 10/22 23Z 0.05 0028 59 30 2 0.00
Fri 10/23 00Z 0.08 0028 57 34 1 0.00
Fri 10/23 01Z 0.16 0127 58 33 1 0.00
Fri 10/23 02Z 0.25 0227 57 22 0 0.00
Fri 10/23 03Z 0.30 0227 46 14 0 0.00
Fri 10/23 04Z 0.29 0227 46 6 0 0.00
Fri 10/23 05Z 0.24 0225 46 4 -1 0.00
Fri 10/23 06Z 0.21 0125 47 3 -1 0.00
Fri 10/23 07Z 0.20 0124 47 3 -1 0.00
Fri 10/23 08Z 0.17 0124 46 3 -1 0.00
Fri 10/23 09Z 0.18 0124 44 2 0 0.00
Fri 10/23 10Z 0.20 0225 42 2 0 0.00
Fri 10/23 11Z 0.22 0224 43 2 0 0.00
Fri 10/23 12Z 0.23 0223 40 3 0 0.00
Fri 10/23 13Z 0.24 0223 38 4 0 0.00
Fri 10/23 14Z 0.23 0322 37 4 0 0.00
Fri 10/23 15Z 0.22 0320 36 3 0 0.00
Fri 10/23 16Z 0.20 0318 35 2 0 0.00
Fri 10/23 17Z 0.18 0316 34 2 0 0.00
Fri 10/23 18Z 0.16 0214 31 2 1 0.00
Fri 10/23 19Z 0.13 0212 28 2 2 0.00
Fri 10/23 20Z 0.12 0212 25 2 3 0.00
Fri 10/23 21Z 0.11 0212 21 2 4 0.00
Fri 10/23 22Z 0.10 0211 19 2 4 0.00
Fri 10/23 23Z 0.10 0210 16 2 4 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.00 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1