
Significant heat is expected to build today and Friday. Hot temperatures and high humidity will allow heat index values to reach into the lower to mid 90s this afternoon and again Friday afternoon in the Champlain Valley and Connecticut River Valley. Heat index values elsewhere will be in the upper 80s to low 90s. Read More >
Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260611_1800
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Thu 06/11 18Z 0.94 2805 90 55 16 0.00
Thu 06/11 19Z 1.18 2707 88 56 16 0.00
Thu 06/11 20Z 1.10 2708 88 60 17 0.00
Thu 06/11 21Z 0.64 2609 91 64 17 0.00
Thu 06/11 22Z 0.50 2609 92 66 17 0.05
Thu 06/11 23Z 0.42 2709 91 70 17 0.00
Fri 06/12 00Z 0.31 2709 82 76 18 0.02
Fri 06/12 01Z 0.25 2807 76 73 18 0.00
Fri 06/12 02Z 0.33 2609 75 75 18 0.00
Fri 06/12 03Z 0.40 2510 81 75 18 0.00
Fri 06/12 04Z 0.45 2412 86 74 18 0.00
Fri 06/12 05Z 0.36 2311 86 67 18 0.00
Fri 06/12 06Z 0.34 2410 83 63 18 0.00
Fri 06/12 07Z 0.31 2409 82 64 18 0.00
Fri 06/12 08Z 0.31 2509 85 71 17 0.00
Fri 06/12 09Z 0.27 2708 89 71 17 0.00
Fri 06/12 10Z 0.18 2806 91 76 17 0.00
Fri 06/12 11Z 0.10 3002 91 71 17 0.00
Fri 06/12 12Z 0.08 2501 93 75 17 0.00
Fri 06/12 13Z 0.08 2302 95 75 16 0.00
Fri 06/12 14Z 0.13 2304 95 74 16 0.00
Fri 06/12 15Z 0.14 2204 92 58 17 0.00
Fri 06/12 16Z 0.15 2104 89 56 17 0.00
Fri 06/12 17Z 0.41 2205 87 49 17 0.00
Fri 06/12 18Z 1.11 2306 83 46 18 0.00
Fri 06/12 19Z 1.66 2306 79 39 18 0.00
Fri 06/12 20Z 2.62 2308 80 34 18 0.00
Fri 06/12 21Z 1.71 2310 82 19 18 0.00
Fri 06/12 22Z 0.77 2212 84 46 18 0.00
Fri 06/12 23Z 0.65 2316 92 79 18 0.01
Sat 06/13 00Z 0.81 2620 87 65 17 0.14
Sat 06/13 01Z 0.73 2722 76 62 17 0.02
Sat 06/13 02Z 0.65 2824 65 46 16 0.01
Sat 06/13 03Z 0.60 2823 71 24 15 0.01
Sat 06/13 04Z 0.55 2924 66 11 15 0.00
Sat 06/13 05Z 0.54 3025 60 11 14 0.00
Sat 06/13 06Z 0.51 3025 59 10 14 0.00
Sat 06/13 07Z 0.49 3026 58 10 14 0.00
Sat 06/13 08Z 0.48 3025 60 13 13 0.00
Sat 06/13 09Z 0.45 3025 60 14 13 0.00
Sat 06/13 10Z 0.41 3125 61 13 13 0.00
Sat 06/13 11Z 0.40 3124 62 14 13 0.00
Sat 06/13 12Z 0.47 3124 64 17 12 0.00
Sat 06/13 13Z 0.50 3121 65 14 12 0.00
Sat 06/13 14Z 0.55 3018 66 13 12 0.00
Sat 06/13 15Z 0.63 3015 65 11 12 0.00
Sat 06/13 16Z 1.71 2913 70 7 11 0.00
Sat 06/13 17Z 4.61 2713 77 7 11 0.00
Sat 06/13 18Z 6.56 2713 79 11 12 0.00
Sat 06/13 19Z 7.21 2713 75 15 12 0.00
Sat 06/13 20Z 7.86 2713 71 15 13 0.00
Sat 06/13 21Z 5.98 2712 66 18 13 0.00
Sat 06/13 22Z 3.33 2611 64 19 13 0.00
Sat 06/13 23Z 1.26 2512 62 27 14 0.00
Sun 06/14 00Z 1.18 2515 61 46 14 0.00
Sun 06/14 01Z 1.08 2518 61 54 14 0.00
Sun 06/14 02Z 0.94 2519 61 45 14 0.00
Sun 06/14 03Z 0.73 2518 57 43 14 0.00
Sun 06/14 04Z 0.58 2517 51 43 15 0.00
Sun 06/14 05Z 0.62 2519 44 41 15 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.26 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1