Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260131_0600
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sat 01/31 06Z 0.15 3214 79 37 -16 0.00
Sat 01/31 07Z 0.18 3117 79 38 -15 0.00
Sat 01/31 08Z 0.17 3116 79 38 -15 0.00
Sat 01/31 09Z 0.16 3216 78 38 -15 0.00
Sat 01/31 11Z 0.15 3215 78 36 -15 0.00
Sat 01/31 12Z 0.15 3215 78 34 -15 0.00
Sat 01/31 13Z 0.13 3215 79 32 -15 0.00
Sat 01/31 14Z 0.11 3314 79 30 -15 0.00
Sat 01/31 15Z 0.09 3312 79 28 -15 0.00
Sat 01/31 16Z 0.09 3210 79 27 -14 0.00
Sat 01/31 18Z 0.11 3209 77 25 -14 0.00
Sat 01/31 19Z 0.10 3208 76 25 -14 0.00
Sat 01/31 20Z 0.11 3209 74 25 -14 0.00
Sat 01/31 21Z 0.10 3210 73 25 -14 0.00
Sat 01/31 22Z 0.09 3310 73 25 -14 0.00
Sat 01/31 23Z 0.09 3312 73 26 -14 0.00
Sun 02/01 00Z 0.08 3414 73 26 -13 0.00
Sun 02/01 01Z 0.05 3415 73 27 -12 0.00
Sun 02/01 02Z 0.02 3514 74 26 -12 0.00
Sun 02/01 03Z 0.03 0014 74 26 -12 0.00
Sun 02/01 04Z 0.04 0113 74 27 -12 0.00
Sun 02/01 05Z 0.06 0112 73 26 -11 0.00
Sun 02/01 06Z 0.08 0212 70 25 -11 0.00
Sun 02/01 07Z 0.08 0212 66 24 -10 0.00
Sun 02/01 08Z 0.07 0211 64 24 -10 0.00
Sun 02/01 09Z 0.08 0212 64 23 -10 0.00
Sun 02/01 10Z 0.09 0213 64 23 -10 0.00
Sun 02/01 11Z 0.10 0216 62 22 -9 0.00
Sun 02/01 12Z 0.12 0217 63 23 -10 0.00
Sun 02/01 13Z 0.09 0216 65 25 -10 0.00
Sun 02/01 14Z 0.13 0317 66 24 -10 0.00
Sun 02/01 15Z 0.12 0217 64 22 -10 0.00
Sun 02/01 16Z 0.13 0217 63 19 -9 0.00
Sun 02/01 17Z 0.12 0217 65 19 -9 0.00
Sun 02/01 18Z 0.12 0217 66 18 -9 0.00
Sun 02/01 19Z 0.13 0219 64 17 -8 0.00
Sun 02/01 20Z 0.10 0120 66 16 -8 0.00
Sun 02/01 21Z 0.08 0122 68 16 -8 0.00
Sun 02/01 22Z 0.07 0125 67 16 -8 0.00
Sun 02/01 23Z 0.10 0126 67 16 -8 0.00
Mon 02/02 00Z 0.11 0127 70 16 -9 0.00
Mon 02/02 01Z 0.11 0127 71 15 -9 0.00
Mon 02/02 02Z 0.10 0127 72 13 -8 0.00
Mon 02/02 03Z 0.07 0027 74 14 -9 0.00
Mon 02/02 04Z 0.08 0028 77 14 -9 0.00
Mon 02/02 05Z 0.04 0027 76 15 -9 0.00
Mon 02/02 06Z 0.04 0026 74 15 -9 0.00
Mon 02/02 07Z 0.04 0025 75 16 -9 0.00
Mon 02/02 08Z 0.03 0024 73 17 -9 0.00
Mon 02/02 09Z 0.03 3523 73 17 -9 0.00
Mon 02/02 10Z 0.03 3522 73 17 -8 0.00
Mon 02/02 11Z 0.03 3522 73 17 -8 0.00
Mon 02/02 12Z 0.03 3522 74 18 -8 0.00
Mon 02/02 13Z 0.03 3521 74 19 -8 0.00
Mon 02/02 14Z 0.04 3519 72 19 -8 0.00
Mon 02/02 15Z 0.05 3418 72 19 -8 0.00
Mon 02/02 16Z 0.06 3417 71 21 -8 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.00 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1