Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260303_0600
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Tue 03/03 06Z 0.37 2319 44 57 -9 0.00
Tue 03/03 07Z 0.42 2321 41 55 -8 0.00
Tue 03/03 08Z 0.44 2422 38 51 -7 0.00
Tue 03/03 09Z 0.46 2422 33 50 -6 0.00
Tue 03/03 10Z 0.46 2521 33 50 -6 0.00
Tue 03/03 11Z 0.44 2421 33 51 -5 0.00
Tue 03/03 12Z 0.40 2419 34 49 -5 0.00
Tue 03/03 13Z 0.35 2418 36 46 -4 0.00
Tue 03/03 14Z 0.33 2318 41 42 -4 0.00
Tue 03/03 15Z 0.31 2219 48 40 -3 0.00
Tue 03/03 16Z 0.32 2220 59 35 -3 0.00
Tue 03/03 17Z 0.34 2222 70 34 -3 0.00
Tue 03/03 18Z 0.38 2224 80 34 -4 0.00
Tue 03/03 19Z 0.42 2225 89 36 -4 0.00
Tue 03/03 20Z 0.45 2127 95 43 -4 0.01
Tue 03/03 21Z 0.47 2129 97 57 -4 0.01
Tue 03/03 22Z 0.45 2130 98 71 -3 0.02
Tue 03/03 23Z 0.46 2131 98 83 -3 0.03
Wed 03/04 00Z 0.47 2130 98 95 -3 0.05
Wed 03/04 01Z 0.47 2228 98 95 -2 0.06
Wed 03/04 03Z 0.54 2327 98 95 -2 0.06
Wed 03/04 04Z 0.59 2525 98 94 -2 0.09
Wed 03/04 05Z 0.57 2623 98 83 -2 0.10
Wed 03/04 06Z 0.50 2823 94 61 -2 0.05
Wed 03/04 07Z 0.41 2921 84 53 -1 0.03
Wed 03/04 08Z 0.37 3021 68 45 0 0.01
Wed 03/04 09Z 0.36 3020 58 29 0 0.01
Wed 03/04 10Z 0.40 3022 53 22 0 0.01
Wed 03/04 11Z 0.45 3024 51 15 0 0.01
Wed 03/04 12Z 0.49 3026 52 8 -1 0.00
Wed 03/04 13Z 0.49 3026 56 3 -1 0.00
Wed 03/04 14Z 0.48 3026 59 4 -1 0.00
Wed 03/04 15Z 0.46 3025 62 7 0 0.00
Wed 03/04 16Z 0.42 3023 63 13 0 0.00
Wed 03/04 17Z 0.38 2921 63 18 0 0.00
Wed 03/04 18Z 0.35 2918 63 21 0 0.00
Wed 03/04 19Z 0.34 2916 63 24 0 0.00
Wed 03/04 20Z 0.34 2815 63 28 0 0.00
Wed 03/04 21Z 0.36 2716 62 35 0 0.00
Wed 03/04 22Z 0.36 2716 58 39 0 0.00
Wed 03/04 23Z 0.36 2716 55 38 0 0.00
Thu 03/05 00Z 0.33 2715 50 39 1 0.00
Thu 03/05 01Z 0.31 2614 45 41 2 0.00
Thu 03/05 02Z 0.31 2614 42 39 2 0.00
Thu 03/05 03Z 0.31 2514 39 36 2 0.00
Thu 03/05 04Z 0.33 2516 39 36 3 0.00
Thu 03/05 05Z 0.34 2516 37 31 3 0.00
Thu 03/05 06Z 0.38 2518 35 29 3 0.00
Thu 03/05 07Z 0.40 2518 35 26 3 0.00
Thu 03/05 08Z 0.40 2518 35 20 3 0.00
Thu 03/05 09Z 0.38 2617 36 14 2 0.00
Thu 03/05 10Z 0.37 2516 37 12 2 0.00
Thu 03/05 11Z 0.33 2514 36 10 2 0.00
Thu 03/05 12Z 0.28 2512 35 11 2 0.00
Thu 03/05 13Z 0.24 2411 36 12 2 0.00
Thu 03/05 14Z 0.23 2410 36 14 2 0.00
Thu 03/05 15Z 0.21 2409 37 16 2 0.00
Thu 03/05 16Z 0.16 2407 39 20 3 0.00
Thu 03/05 17Z 0.13 2306 43 33 3 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.55 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1