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Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260626_0000
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Fri 06/26 00Z 0.53 2213 77 91 10 0.00
Fri 06/26 01Z 0.42 2212 75 93 10 0.00
Fri 06/26 02Z 0.27 2012 75 97 10 0.01
Fri 06/26 03Z 0.11 1813 81 99 10 0.01
Fri 06/26 04Z 0.12 1716 84 99 10 0.02
Fri 06/26 05Z 0.11 1718 89 97 10 0.05
Fri 06/26 06Z 0.09 1721 93 96 10 0.11
Fri 06/26 07Z 0.08 1723 94 97 10 0.11
Fri 06/26 08Z 0.08 1723 90 94 10 0.06
Fri 06/26 09Z 0.09 1825 92 92 10 0.05
Fri 06/26 10Z 0.06 1822 92 86 10 0.01
Fri 06/26 11Z 0.16 1919 94 85 10 0.00
Fri 06/26 12Z 0.22 2018 95 75 10 0.00
Fri 06/26 13Z 0.24 2016 96 75 10 0.01
Fri 06/26 14Z 0.26 2115 97 68 10 0.01
Fri 06/26 15Z 0.31 2213 98 70 10 0.01
Fri 06/26 16Z 0.34 2212 98 67 10 0.01
Fri 06/26 17Z 0.38 2312 96 60 11 0.05
Fri 06/26 18Z 0.40 2309 95 58 11 0.07
Fri 06/26 19Z 0.47 2308 93 67 11 0.07
Fri 06/26 20Z 0.83 2309 93 84 11 0.16
Fri 06/26 21Z 0.65 2611 90 83 11 0.19
Fri 06/26 22Z 0.43 3014 87 81 11 0.11
Fri 06/26 23Z 0.32 3113 86 67 11 0.03
Sat 06/27 00Z 0.36 3011 89 64 11 0.00
Sat 06/27 01Z 0.40 2912 92 52 11 0.00
Sat 06/27 02Z 0.40 2913 93 49 11 0.01
Sat 06/27 03Z 0.36 3012 93 48 10 0.01
Sat 06/27 04Z 0.30 3011 93 44 10 0.01
Sat 06/27 05Z 0.29 3112 92 44 10 0.01
Sat 06/27 06Z 0.24 3211 91 48 10 0.01
Sat 06/27 07Z 0.19 3211 89 55 10 0.01
Sat 06/27 08Z 0.16 3210 87 53 10 0.01
Sat 06/27 09Z 0.16 3210 86 57 10 0.00
Sat 06/27 10Z 0.18 3210 85 55 10 0.00
Sat 06/27 11Z 0.18 3210 85 52 10 0.00
Sat 06/27 12Z 0.17 3210 85 49 10 0.00
Sat 06/27 13Z 0.18 3211 86 47 10 0.00
Sat 06/27 14Z 0.18 3209 88 43 10 0.00
Sat 06/27 15Z 0.18 3207 90 43 10 0.00
Sat 06/27 16Z 0.19 3206 88 42 10 0.00
Sat 06/27 17Z 0.32 3105 87 42 10 0.00
Sat 06/27 18Z 0.33 3104 86 45 11 0.01
Sat 06/27 19Z 0.35 3104 84 46 11 0.01
Sat 06/27 20Z 0.33 3204 82 45 11 0.01
Sat 06/27 21Z 0.12 3302 80 44 11 0.00
Sat 06/27 22Z 0.08 3202 81 48 11 0.01
Sat 06/27 23Z 0.09 3203 80 55 11 0.01
Sun 06/28 00Z 0.04 3403 79 57 12 0.01
Sun 06/28 01Z 0.04 3503 78 58 11 0.01
Sun 06/28 02Z 0.04 3403 77 57 12 0.00
Sun 06/28 03Z 0.04 3403 77 56 11 0.00
Sun 06/28 04Z 0.04 3503 79 54 11 0.00
Sun 06/28 05Z 0.05 3403 79 52 11 0.00
Sun 06/28 06Z 0.04 3403 79 50 11 0.00
Sun 06/28 07Z 0.04 3303 78 49 11 0.00
Sun 06/28 08Z 0.07 3203 78 49 11 0.00
Sun 06/28 09Z 0.06 3305 77 47 11 0.00
Sun 06/28 10Z 0.04 3406 76 44 11 0.00
Sun 06/28 11Z 0.04 3406 75 43 11 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 1.29 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1