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Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260130_1200
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Fri 01/30 12Z 0.42 3022 77 78 -25 0.00
Fri 01/30 13Z 0.42 3026 80 81 -23 0.00
Fri 01/30 14Z 0.37 3025 78 83 -22 0.00
Fri 01/30 15Z 0.32 3024 75 81 -20 0.00
Fri 01/30 16Z 0.29 3022 75 78 -19 0.00
Fri 01/30 17Z 0.29 3021 76 75 -19 0.00
Fri 01/30 18Z 0.30 3020 77 72 -18 0.00
Fri 01/30 19Z 0.33 3020 78 69 -18 0.00
Fri 01/30 20Z 0.35 3021 79 67 -19 0.00
Fri 01/30 21Z 0.36 3022 80 65 -18 0.00
Fri 01/30 22Z 0.35 3023 80 63 -18 0.00
Fri 01/30 23Z 0.32 3123 80 61 -17 0.00
Sat 01/31 00Z 0.28 3123 81 61 -16 0.00
Sat 01/31 01Z 0.24 3223 82 59 -16 0.00
Sat 01/31 02Z 0.21 3222 83 53 -15 0.00
Sat 01/31 03Z 0.18 3220 84 51 -15 0.00
Sat 01/31 04Z 0.16 3219 84 48 -14 0.00
Sat 01/31 05Z 0.16 3218 84 46 -14 0.00
Sat 01/31 06Z 0.16 3217 84 44 -14 0.00
Sat 01/31 07Z 0.16 3216 83 42 -14 0.00
Sat 01/31 08Z 0.16 3116 82 41 -14 0.00
Sat 01/31 09Z 0.16 3115 82 39 -14 0.00
Sat 01/31 10Z 0.16 3216 82 37 -14 0.00
Sat 01/31 11Z 0.15 3215 82 35 -14 0.00
Sat 01/31 12Z 0.14 3215 81 34 -14 0.00
Sat 01/31 13Z 0.13 3214 81 34 -14 0.00
Sat 01/31 14Z 0.12 3213 81 34 -14 0.00
Sat 01/31 15Z 0.11 3212 80 34 -14 0.00
Sat 01/31 16Z 0.10 3210 81 34 -14 0.00
Sat 01/31 17Z 0.11 3109 81 34 -14 0.00
Sat 01/31 18Z 0.12 3110 80 33 -14 0.00
Sat 01/31 19Z 0.12 3210 80 32 -14 0.00
Sat 01/31 20Z 0.12 3210 81 32 -14 0.00
Sat 01/31 21Z 0.11 3210 81 31 -14 0.00
Sat 01/31 22Z 0.10 3311 81 30 -14 0.00
Sat 01/31 23Z 0.08 3312 81 29 -13 0.00
Sun 02/01 00Z 0.06 3414 80 27 -12 0.00
Sun 02/01 01Z 0.04 3514 79 25 -12 0.00
Sun 02/01 02Z 0.02 0013 80 24 -12 0.00
Sun 02/01 03Z 0.03 0111 80 26 -12 0.00
Sun 02/01 04Z 0.06 0112 78 22 -11 0.00
Sun 02/01 05Z 0.07 0212 76 22 -10 0.00
Sun 02/01 06Z 0.08 0212 75 21 -10 0.00
Sun 02/01 07Z 0.10 0213 73 19 -10 0.00
Sun 02/01 08Z 0.08 0214 72 18 -9 0.00
Sun 02/01 09Z 0.08 0215 69 16 -9 0.00
Sun 02/01 10Z 0.11 0217 69 14 -9 0.00
Sun 02/01 11Z 0.12 0218 75 15 -10 0.00
Sun 02/01 12Z 0.14 0219 74 17 -10 0.00
Sun 02/01 13Z 0.13 0220 68 15 -8 0.00
Sun 02/01 14Z 0.12 0221 66 11 -8 0.00
Sun 02/01 15Z 0.15 0224 65 9 -7 0.00
Sun 02/01 16Z 0.18 0323 65 9 -8 0.00
Sun 02/01 17Z 0.19 0321 62 10 -8 0.00
Sun 02/01 18Z 0.18 0321 53 11 -8 0.00
Sun 02/01 19Z 0.13 0220 49 12 -7 0.00
Sun 02/01 20Z 0.13 0222 47 13 -7 0.00
Sun 02/01 21Z 0.12 0122 49 14 -7 0.00
Sun 02/01 22Z 0.11 0124 49 15 -7 0.00
Sun 02/01 23Z 0.10 0125 50 14 -7 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.00 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1