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Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20261022_1200
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Thu 10/22 12Z 0.06 0018 38 18 6 0.00
Thu 10/22 13Z 0.05 0021 43 18 6 0.00
Thu 10/22 14Z 0.05 0021 51 26 5 0.00
Thu 10/22 15Z 0.05 0020 60 33 5 0.00
Thu 10/22 16Z 0.04 0021 69 45 4 0.00
Thu 10/22 17Z 0.05 3522 77 51 4 0.00
Thu 10/22 18Z 0.08 3523 82 48 3 0.00
Thu 10/22 19Z 0.09 3522 85 34 3 0.00
Thu 10/22 20Z 0.10 3523 88 20 2 0.00
Thu 10/22 21Z 0.08 3526 86 15 1 0.00
Thu 10/22 22Z 0.05 3528 80 12 1 0.00
Thu 10/22 23Z 0.05 0028 73 12 1 0.01
Fri 10/23 00Z 0.07 0028 70 14 1 0.00
Fri 10/23 01Z 0.10 0027 68 19 1 0.00
Fri 10/23 02Z 0.15 0126 65 20 1 0.00
Fri 10/23 03Z 0.18 0126 64 12 0 0.00
Fri 10/23 04Z 0.22 0225 61 2 0 0.00
Fri 10/23 05Z 0.27 0226 54 1 0 0.00
Fri 10/23 06Z 0.28 0225 48 2 -1 0.00
Fri 10/23 07Z 0.27 0224 48 2 -1 0.00
Fri 10/23 08Z 0.23 0223 50 3 -1 0.00
Fri 10/23 09Z 0.21 0224 48 2 -1 0.00
Fri 10/23 10Z 0.21 0224 45 1 0 0.00
Fri 10/23 11Z 0.23 0224 38 1 0 0.00
Fri 10/23 12Z 0.23 0222 33 2 0 0.00
Fri 10/23 13Z 0.21 0221 31 3 0 0.00
Fri 10/23 14Z 0.18 0219 33 4 0 0.00
Fri 10/23 15Z 0.17 0217 36 3 0 0.00
Fri 10/23 16Z 0.16 0215 39 2 0 0.00
Fri 10/23 17Z 0.14 0214 41 1 0 0.00
Fri 10/23 18Z 0.12 0212 40 2 1 0.00
Fri 10/23 19Z 0.11 0211 35 2 2 0.00
Fri 10/23 20Z 0.09 0211 31 2 4 0.00
Fri 10/23 21Z 0.08 0211 28 2 4 0.00
Fri 10/23 22Z 0.08 0210 23 2 4 0.00
Fri 10/23 23Z 0.08 0210 20 1 5 0.00
Sat 10/24 00Z 0.08 0209 17 1 5 0.00
Sat 10/24 01Z 0.05 0207 15 2 5 0.00
Sat 10/24 02Z 0.03 0105 14 2 5 0.00
Sat 10/24 03Z 0.03 0004 12 2 5 0.00
Sat 10/24 04Z 0.02 3504 12 2 5 0.00
Sat 10/24 05Z 0.02 3404 11 2 5 0.00
Sat 10/24 06Z 0.05 3304 10 2 4 0.00
Sat 10/24 07Z 0.07 3105 9 2 4 0.00
Sat 10/24 08Z 0.10 3107 8 2 4 0.00
Sat 10/24 09Z 0.12 3108 8 2 4 0.00
Sat 10/24 10Z 0.14 3210 8 1 4 0.00
Sat 10/24 11Z 0.15 3211 8 1 4 0.00
Sat 10/24 12Z 0.14 3211 9 1 4 0.00
Sat 10/24 13Z 0.12 3311 10 1 4 0.00
Sat 10/24 14Z 0.11 3310 10 1 4 0.00
Sat 10/24 15Z 0.11 3209 11 2 4 0.00
Sat 10/24 16Z 0.10 3208 12 3 4 0.00
Sat 10/24 17Z 0.10 3207 13 5 4 0.00
Sat 10/24 18Z 0.12 3106 14 10 4 0.00
Sat 10/24 19Z 0.15 3008 13 14 4 0.00
Sat 10/24 20Z 0.17 3109 12 16 4 0.00
Sat 10/24 21Z 0.16 3109 9 18 5 0.00
Sat 10/24 22Z 0.16 3109 8 22 5 0.00
Sat 10/24 23Z 0.15 3109 8 29 5 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.01 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1