Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260328_1800
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sat 03/28 18Z 6.53 2610 69 70 -14 0.00
Sat 03/28 19Z 6.94 2613 75 78 -13 0.00
Sat 03/28 20Z 4.86 2616 80 77 -13 0.00
Sat 03/28 21Z 5.56 2718 76 70 -13 0.01
Sat 03/28 22Z 4.14 2717 78 65 -13 0.00
Sat 03/28 23Z 2.91 2718 83 64 -13 0.01
Sun 03/29 00Z 2.38 2722 83 60 -13 0.01
Sun 03/29 01Z 3.06 2724 83 41 -14 0.01
Sun 03/29 02Z 3.37 2827 82 27 -14 0.00
Sun 03/29 03Z 3.50 2827 78 23 -14 0.00
Sun 03/29 04Z 2.69 2828 75 35 -14 0.00
Sun 03/29 05Z 2.30 2927 79 46 -14 0.00
Sun 03/29 06Z 1.47 2924 83 60 -14 0.00
Sun 03/29 08Z 0.97 2820 88 69 -13 0.00
Sun 03/29 11Z 0.88 2622 93 82 -11 0.00
Sun 03/29 12Z 0.85 2623 92 78 -11 0.00
Sun 03/29 13Z 0.83 2523 90 78 -10 0.00
Sun 03/29 14Z 0.90 2523 87 82 -9 0.00
Sun 03/29 15Z 1.00 2521 83 88 -9 0.00
Sun 03/29 16Z 2.16 2421 83 87 -9 0.00
Sun 03/29 17Z 3.04 2321 79 88 -8 0.00
Sun 03/29 18Z 5.95 2322 73 81 -7 0.00
Sun 03/29 19Z 6.85 2322 68 68 -7 0.00
Sun 03/29 20Z 4.41 2323 68 66 -6 0.00
Sun 03/29 21Z 1.95 2424 72 77 -5 0.00
Sun 03/29 22Z 1.54 2426 74 74 -5 0.00
Sun 03/29 23Z 1.98 2527 72 60 -4 0.00
Mon 03/30 00Z 1.77 2528 69 49 -4 0.00
Mon 03/30 01Z 1.62 2528 67 24 -4 0.00
Mon 03/30 02Z 1.45 2528 66 12 -3 0.00
Mon 03/30 03Z 1.42 2528 64 7 -3 0.00
Mon 03/30 04Z 1.30 2528 63 6 -3 0.00
Mon 03/30 05Z 1.12 2526 61 12 -2 0.00
Mon 03/30 06Z 0.97 2524 64 28 -2 0.00
Mon 03/30 07Z 0.89 2524 68 45 -2 0.00
Mon 03/30 08Z 0.79 2423 69 59 -1 0.00
Mon 03/30 09Z 0.80 2422 71 67 -1 0.00
Mon 03/30 10Z 0.69 2323 77 58 -1 0.00
Mon 03/30 11Z 0.66 2425 76 48 -1 0.00
Mon 03/30 12Z 0.77 2428 79 65 -1 0.00
Mon 03/30 13Z 0.88 2529 82 66 0 0.00
Mon 03/30 14Z 0.94 2430 84 61 0 0.00
Mon 03/30 15Z 0.96 2530 80 55 0 0.00
Mon 03/30 16Z 0.98 2529 82 62 0 0.00
Mon 03/30 17Z 0.99 2528 80 58 0 0.00
Mon 03/30 18Z 1.13 2528 82 52 1 0.00
Mon 03/30 19Z 1.26 2526 82 57 1 0.00
Mon 03/30 20Z 1.39 2526 83 66 1 0.00
Mon 03/30 21Z 1.36 2525 85 72 1 0.00
Mon 03/30 22Z 1.66 2626 85 74 1 0.00
Mon 03/30 23Z 1.68 2627 87 77 1 0.00
Tue 03/31 00Z 1.32 2727 90 71 2 0.00
Tue 03/31 01Z 1.07 2726 94 69 2 0.01
Tue 03/31 02Z 0.91 2724 97 75 2 0.02
Tue 03/31 03Z 0.80 2722 95 76 2 0.02
Tue 03/31 04Z 0.74 2721 96 68 2 0.02
Tue 03/31 05Z 0.67 2719 96 68 1 0.02
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.13 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1