Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260513_0000
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Wed 05/13 00Z 0.18 3003 58 24 0 0.00
Wed 05/13 01Z 0.16 2903 57 23 0 0.00
Wed 05/13 02Z 0.14 2603 58 22 0 0.00
Wed 05/13 03Z 0.13 2303 59 19 0 0.00
Wed 05/13 04Z 0.13 2304 58 17 1 0.00
Wed 05/13 05Z 0.08 2005 57 15 1 0.00
Wed 05/13 06Z 0.09 1907 56 15 1 0.00
Wed 05/13 07Z 0.12 2009 55 22 1 0.00
Wed 05/13 08Z 0.15 2010 55 62 1 0.00
Wed 05/13 09Z 0.12 1910 58 78 1 0.00
Wed 05/13 10Z 0.05 1813 62 96 1 0.00
Wed 05/13 11Z 0.04 1717 70 99 1 0.00
Wed 05/13 12Z 0.06 1819 83 99 1 0.01
Wed 05/13 13Z 0.10 1820 90 98 2 0.02
Wed 05/13 14Z 0.14 1819 93 95 2 0.04
Wed 05/13 15Z 0.07 1818 94 97 3 0.05
Wed 05/13 16Z 0.06 1721 92 97 4 0.05
Wed 05/13 17Z 0.06 1723 88 93 5 0.04
Wed 05/13 18Z 0.05 1825 89 97 5 0.02
Wed 05/13 19Z 0.04 1827 89 96 5 0.03
Wed 05/13 20Z 0.08 1827 92 94 5 0.02
Wed 05/13 21Z 0.11 1828 95 95 5 0.03
Wed 05/13 22Z 0.13 1829 95 95 5 0.05
Wed 05/13 23Z 0.19 1931 96 92 6 0.06
Thu 05/14 00Z 0.23 1930 95 93 6 0.05
Thu 05/14 01Z 0.26 1930 94 88 6 0.04
Thu 05/14 02Z 0.30 1933 92 81 6 0.01
Thu 05/14 03Z 0.35 2034 88 73 6 0.01
Thu 05/14 04Z 0.37 2034 85 78 6 0.00
Thu 05/14 05Z 0.34 2031 90 87 6 0.02
Thu 05/14 06Z 0.29 2029 91 88 6 0.03
Thu 05/14 07Z 0.27 2028 95 86 5 0.02
Thu 05/14 08Z 0.29 2028 97 84 5 0.02
Thu 05/14 09Z 0.25 2024 97 75 5 0.01
Thu 05/14 10Z 0.19 1921 98 82 5 0.01
Thu 05/14 11Z 0.13 1918 98 85 5 0.02
Thu 05/14 12Z 0.09 1816 98 92 5 0.03
Thu 05/14 13Z 0.13 1617 98 93 5 0.06
Thu 05/14 14Z 0.21 1518 97 96 5 0.08
Thu 05/14 15Z 0.31 1419 97 98 5 0.10
Thu 05/14 16Z 0.42 1420 96 98 5 0.12
Thu 05/14 17Z 0.51 1320 94 98 5 0.10
Thu 05/14 18Z 0.59 1221 96 96 5 0.11
Thu 05/14 19Z 0.60 1220 97 97 5 0.07
Thu 05/14 20Z 0.65 1119 96 97 6 0.07
Thu 05/14 21Z 0.60 0917 97 99 6 0.07
Thu 05/14 22Z 0.64 0819 98 99 6 0.16
Thu 05/14 23Z 0.67 0921 98 96 6 0.14
Fri 05/15 00Z 0.74 0923 98 90 6 0.09
Fri 05/15 01Z 0.68 0923 96 84 6 0.06
Fri 05/15 02Z 0.62 1023 96 78 7 0.03
Fri 05/15 03Z 0.63 1025 95 79 7 0.03
Fri 05/15 04Z 0.63 1026 95 88 7 0.04
Fri 05/15 05Z 0.59 1124 94 94 7 0.08
Fri 05/15 06Z 0.57 1024 95 96 7 0.09
Fri 05/15 07Z 0.59 1024 94 96 6 0.09
Fri 05/15 08Z 0.68 0927 94 95 6 0.09
Fri 05/15 09Z 0.80 0930 92 91 5 0.06
Fri 05/15 10Z 0.75 0928 86 95 5 0.03
Fri 05/15 11Z 0.71 0926 90 97 5 0.01
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 2.47 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1