Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260517_0600
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sun 05/17 06Z 1.06 2830 87 41 10 0.00
Sun 05/17 07Z 1.02 2831 85 36 9 0.00
Sun 05/17 08Z 0.90 2930 84 26 9 0.00
Sun 05/17 09Z 0.77 2929 75 18 10 0.00
Sun 05/17 10Z 0.67 2926 61 36 10 0.00
Sun 05/17 11Z 0.64 2925 52 49 10 0.00
Sun 05/17 12Z 0.64 2823 53 53 10 0.00
Sun 05/17 13Z 0.65 2822 59 50 10 0.00
Sun 05/17 14Z 0.72 2722 66 47 10 0.00
Sun 05/17 15Z 0.83 2719 82 42 9 0.00
Sun 05/17 16Z 1.19 2819 88 46 9 0.02
Sun 05/17 17Z 1.02 2819 86 46 9 0.03
Sun 05/17 18Z 1.20 2918 81 32 9 0.04
Sun 05/17 19Z 1.63 2917 81 33 9 0.02
Sun 05/17 20Z 1.60 3016 82 23 9 0.01
Sun 05/17 21Z 2.59 3017 77 25 9 0.00
Sun 05/17 22Z 1.88 3016 75 24 8 0.00
Sun 05/17 23Z 0.95 3015 72 21 8 0.00
Mon 05/18 00Z 0.68 3116 73 17 8 0.00
Mon 05/18 01Z 0.57 3115 73 15 8 0.00
Mon 05/18 02Z 0.47 3115 68 12 8 0.00
Mon 05/18 03Z 0.41 3115 61 10 8 0.00
Mon 05/18 04Z 0.35 3114 58 11 8 0.00
Mon 05/18 05Z 0.28 3012 55 21 9 0.00
Mon 05/18 06Z 0.25 3011 52 39 10 0.00
Mon 05/18 07Z 0.23 2910 49 60 11 0.00
Mon 05/18 08Z 0.21 2909 48 31 11 0.00
Mon 05/18 09Z 0.17 2807 47 26 11 0.00
Mon 05/18 10Z 0.20 2608 48 28 11 0.00
Mon 05/18 11Z 0.20 2409 49 40 11 0.00
Mon 05/18 12Z 0.19 2210 52 76 12 0.00
Mon 05/18 13Z 0.19 2113 60 80 12 0.00
Mon 05/18 14Z 0.21 2017 70 83 12 0.00
Mon 05/18 15Z 0.25 2020 78 59 12 0.00
Mon 05/18 16Z 0.28 2024 88 32 12 0.00
Mon 05/18 17Z 0.37 2026 89 54 12 0.00
Mon 05/18 18Z 0.52 2125 89 27 13 0.01
Mon 05/18 19Z 0.69 2224 85 25 13 0.00
Mon 05/18 20Z 0.97 2223 85 24 14 0.00
Mon 05/18 21Z 0.98 2224 88 21 14 0.01
Mon 05/18 22Z 0.82 2226 89 19 15 0.00
Mon 05/18 23Z 0.69 2228 89 20 15 0.00
Tue 05/19 00Z 0.68 2230 89 26 16 0.00
Tue 05/19 01Z 0.71 2331 90 30 16 0.01
Tue 05/19 02Z 0.80 2334 88 27 17 0.00
Tue 05/19 03Z 0.94 2437 87 21 17 0.01
Tue 05/19 04Z 1.08 2439 90 30 16 0.01
Tue 05/19 05Z 1.20 2538 92 29 16 0.02
Tue 05/19 06Z 1.37 2537 90 32 14 0.02
Tue 05/19 07Z 1.29 2635 88 41 14 0.01
Tue 05/19 08Z 1.16 2634 86 51 14 0.00
Tue 05/19 09Z 1.10 2633 85 37 14 0.00
Tue 05/19 10Z 0.88 2728 83 36 15 0.01
Tue 05/19 11Z 0.86 2628 85 41 14 0.00
Tue 05/19 12Z 0.77 2626 89 53 15 0.00
Tue 05/19 13Z 0.70 2624 84 76 15 0.01
Tue 05/19 14Z 0.75 2624 86 78 15 0.00
Tue 05/19 15Z 0.79 2621 87 79 14 0.00
Tue 05/19 16Z 0.91 2618 96 88 14 0.03
Tue 05/19 17Z 0.81 2720 92 80 13 0.15
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.42 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1