Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260101_1200
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Thu 01/01 12Z 1.06 2720 89 70 -16 0.00
Thu 01/01 13Z 2.82 2821 90 61 -17 0.00
Thu 01/01 14Z 4.48 2923 87 54 -18 0.01
Thu 01/01 15Z 4.04 2921 87 55 -19 0.01
Thu 01/01 16Z 3.70 2921 88 61 -19 0.00
Thu 01/01 17Z 3.73 2920 86 57 -20 0.00
Thu 01/01 18Z 5.86 2820 84 51 -20 0.00
Thu 01/01 19Z 5.92 2821 81 39 -20 0.00
Thu 01/01 20Z 4.26 2820 78 39 -20 0.00
Thu 01/01 21Z 2.89 2821 78 47 -20 0.00
Thu 01/01 22Z 1.79 2823 72 34 -21 0.00
Thu 01/01 23Z 1.26 2825 62 13 -21 0.00
Fri 01/02 00Z 0.93 2927 50 9 -20 0.00
Fri 01/02 01Z 0.86 2927 53 8 -20 0.00
Fri 01/02 02Z 0.73 2925 58 12 -20 0.00
Fri 01/02 03Z 0.67 2922 65 23 -19 0.00
Fri 01/02 04Z 0.65 2821 71 43 -19 0.00
Fri 01/02 05Z 0.70 2720 78 62 -19 0.00
Fri 01/02 06Z 0.79 2621 85 67 -19 0.00
Fri 01/02 07Z 0.75 2620 86 66 -19 0.00
Fri 01/02 08Z 0.80 2620 89 67 -19 0.00
Fri 01/02 09Z 0.81 2620 91 69 -19 0.00
Fri 01/02 10Z 0.76 2619 91 65 -19 0.00
Fri 01/02 11Z 0.72 2718 89 61 -19 0.00
Fri 01/02 12Z 0.73 2718 86 60 -19 0.00
Fri 01/02 13Z 0.75 2718 85 49 -19 0.00
Fri 01/02 14Z 0.81 2618 84 44 -19 0.00
Fri 01/02 15Z 1.13 2618 84 39 -19 0.00
Fri 01/02 16Z 4.02 2618 79 39 -19 0.00
Fri 01/02 17Z 7.85 2617 79 38 -19 0.00
Fri 01/02 18Z 9.43 2716 81 31 -18 0.00
Fri 01/02 19Z 9.11 2716 79 25 -18 0.00
Fri 01/02 20Z 5.66 2716 79 21 -18 0.00
Fri 01/02 21Z 1.71 2617 80 21 -17 0.00
Fri 01/02 22Z 1.77 2620 81 20 -17 0.00
Fri 01/02 23Z 2.26 2722 78 22 -17 0.00
Sat 01/03 00Z 1.89 2723 79 40 -18 0.00
Sat 01/03 01Z 1.73 2725 82 62 -18 0.00
Sat 01/03 02Z 1.54 2827 82 75 -17 0.00
Sat 01/03 03Z 1.40 2828 85 73 -17 0.00
Sat 01/03 04Z 1.57 2829 88 69 -18 0.00
Sat 01/03 05Z 2.10 2829 87 68 -18 0.00
Sat 01/03 06Z 2.04 2829 86 71 -19 0.00
Sat 01/03 07Z 1.66 2828 85 71 -19 0.00
Sat 01/03 08Z 1.90 2928 87 62 -20 0.00
Sat 01/03 09Z 1.70 2928 87 50 -20 0.00
Sat 01/03 10Z 1.03 2927 86 47 -20 0.00
Sat 01/03 11Z 0.86 2926 88 42 -19 0.00
Sat 01/03 12Z 0.79 2825 91 36 -19 0.00
Sat 01/03 13Z 0.88 2824 93 34 -19 0.00
Sat 01/03 14Z 1.20 2823 94 41 -20 0.01
Sat 01/03 15Z 1.53 2822 93 52 -20 0.00
Sat 01/03 16Z 1.51 2822 92 58 -19 0.00
Sat 01/03 17Z 1.21 2722 92 61 -19 0.00
Sat 01/03 18Z 0.96 2723 91 66 -18 0.00
Sat 01/03 19Z 0.83 2723 90 65 -17 0.00
Sat 01/03 20Z 0.78 2723 89 55 -16 0.00
Sat 01/03 21Z 0.78 2723 89 43 -16 0.00
Sat 01/03 22Z 0.83 2723 88 33 -16 0.00
Sat 01/03 23Z 0.79 2824 85 25 -16 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.03 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1