Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260211_1200
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Wed 02/11 12Z 0.59 2919 95 77 -10 0.00
Wed 02/11 13Z 0.69 2921 96 83 -10 0.00
Wed 02/11 14Z 0.77 2920 96 81 -10 0.01
Wed 02/11 15Z 0.90 2919 95 78 -10 0.01
Wed 02/11 16Z 1.04 2918 96 80 -10 0.01
Wed 02/11 17Z 1.18 2817 96 85 -10 0.01
Wed 02/11 18Z 1.00 2816 97 87 -10 0.01
Wed 02/11 19Z 1.15 2817 96 87 -10 0.01
Wed 02/11 20Z 1.23 2818 95 85 -10 0.02
Wed 02/11 21Z 1.42 2920 94 84 -11 0.02
Wed 02/11 22Z 1.06 3021 94 83 -11 0.02
Wed 02/11 23Z 0.91 3123 95 85 -12 0.02
Thu 02/12 00Z 0.85 3224 95 85 -13 0.02
Thu 02/12 02Z 0.48 3324 95 84 -13 0.01
Thu 02/12 03Z 0.40 3324 95 83 -12 0.01
Thu 02/12 04Z 0.40 3324 95 82 -13 0.01
Thu 02/12 05Z 0.40 3323 94 81 -13 0.01
Thu 02/12 06Z 0.39 3324 94 79 -13 0.01
Thu 02/12 07Z 0.32 3324 94 79 -13 0.01
Thu 02/12 08Z 0.23 3425 94 79 -13 0.01
Thu 02/12 09Z 0.20 3424 94 78 -12 0.01
Thu 02/12 10Z 0.21 3424 94 75 -12 0.01
Thu 02/12 11Z 0.22 3423 94 75 -12 0.01
Thu 02/12 12Z 0.22 3323 94 72 -12 0.01
Thu 02/12 13Z 0.21 3323 93 68 -12 0.01
Thu 02/12 14Z 0.22 3323 93 65 -12 0.01
Thu 02/12 15Z 0.22 3323 92 63 -12 0.00
Thu 02/12 16Z 0.24 3322 92 57 -12 0.00
Thu 02/12 17Z 0.27 3322 92 42 -12 0.00
Thu 02/12 18Z 0.32 3222 92 27 -12 0.00
Thu 02/12 19Z 0.34 3222 89 16 -12 0.00
Thu 02/12 20Z 0.33 3222 82 8 -12 0.00
Thu 02/12 21Z 0.29 3322 75 8 -11 0.00
Thu 02/12 22Z 0.22 3323 69 12 -11 0.00
Thu 02/12 23Z 0.16 3424 63 12 -10 0.00
Fri 02/13 00Z 0.11 3424 63 14 -10 0.00
Fri 02/13 01Z 0.09 3424 64 16 -10 0.00
Fri 02/13 02Z 0.08 3423 64 17 -9 0.00
Fri 02/13 03Z 0.08 3522 66 19 -9 0.00
Fri 02/13 04Z 0.08 3422 67 21 -9 0.00
Fri 02/13 05Z 0.09 3420 67 23 -9 0.00
Fri 02/13 06Z 0.11 3419 66 25 -9 0.00
Fri 02/13 07Z 0.14 3319 66 27 -9 0.00
Fri 02/13 08Z 0.17 3319 67 26 -10 0.00
Fri 02/13 09Z 0.19 3219 66 22 -10 0.00
Fri 02/13 10Z 0.22 3220 67 22 -10 0.00
Fri 02/13 11Z 0.26 3121 66 19 -10 0.00
Fri 02/13 12Z 0.28 3121 66 19 -10 0.00
Fri 02/13 13Z 0.31 3122 67 20 -10 0.00
Fri 02/13 14Z 0.32 3121 65 21 -10 0.00
Fri 02/13 15Z 0.33 3021 62 21 -10 0.00
Fri 02/13 16Z 0.36 3020 60 26 -11 0.00
Fri 02/13 17Z 0.39 3018 60 37 -11 0.00
Fri 02/13 18Z 0.43 2918 60 47 -11 0.00
Fri 02/13 19Z 0.47 2918 63 56 -11 0.00
Fri 02/13 20Z 0.54 2818 69 61 -11 0.00
Fri 02/13 21Z 0.57 2818 69 47 -11 0.00
Fri 02/13 22Z 0.59 2720 67 45 -10 0.00
Fri 02/13 23Z 0.56 2721 66 49 -10 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.29 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1