Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260813_1800
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Thu 08/13 18Z 0.78 3209 89 77 11 0.00
Thu 08/13 19Z 0.96 3109 86 80 12 0.01
Thu 08/13 20Z 0.81 3009 83 81 12 0.01
Thu 08/13 21Z 0.72 3010 84 77 12 0.00
Thu 08/13 22Z 0.58 3110 82 69 12 0.05
Thu 08/13 23Z 0.55 3011 82 58 12 0.01
Fri 08/14 00Z 0.54 3013 84 55 11 0.06
Fri 08/14 01Z 0.59 2916 88 64 11 0.06
Fri 08/14 02Z 0.55 3118 87 70 11 0.04
Fri 08/14 03Z 0.42 3219 87 66 10 0.01
Fri 08/14 04Z 0.31 3319 82 57 10 0.00
Fri 08/14 05Z 0.32 3218 83 51 10 0.00
Fri 08/14 06Z 0.30 3218 83 48 10 0.01
Fri 08/14 07Z 0.31 3218 81 44 9 0.01
Fri 08/14 08Z 0.32 3218 81 37 9 0.00
Fri 08/14 09Z 0.33 3219 79 35 9 0.00
Fri 08/14 10Z 0.33 3220 78 33 9 0.00
Fri 08/14 11Z 0.33 3220 75 37 9 0.00
Fri 08/14 12Z 0.34 3220 74 36 9 0.00
Fri 08/14 13Z 0.29 3219 73 38 8 0.00
Fri 08/14 14Z 0.30 3218 73 43 8 0.00
Fri 08/14 15Z 0.33 3317 71 48 8 0.00
Fri 08/14 16Z 0.41 3216 71 56 8 0.00
Fri 08/14 17Z 0.96 3215 72 50 8 0.00
Fri 08/14 18Z 2.10 3214 72 47 8 0.00
Fri 08/14 19Z 3.49 3115 73 46 8 0.00
Fri 08/14 20Z 2.11 3016 78 45 8 0.00
Fri 08/14 21Z 1.51 3016 81 40 8 0.00
Fri 08/14 22Z 1.64 3117 78 32 8 0.00
Fri 08/14 23Z 1.26 3118 76 27 8 0.00
Sat 08/15 00Z 0.97 3219 75 19 8 0.00
Sat 08/15 01Z 0.81 3319 76 14 8 0.00
Sat 08/15 02Z 0.50 3319 75 11 8 0.00
Sat 08/15 03Z 0.64 3319 77 11 7 0.00
Sat 08/15 04Z 0.39 3418 74 10 7 0.00
Sat 08/15 05Z 0.21 3416 74 11 7 0.00
Sat 08/15 06Z 0.24 3414 74 12 7 0.00
Sat 08/15 07Z 0.31 3313 73 12 7 0.00
Sat 08/15 08Z 0.37 3214 73 12 7 0.00
Sat 08/15 09Z 0.39 3216 73 12 7 0.00
Sat 08/15 10Z 0.34 3318 76 12 7 0.00
Sat 08/15 11Z 0.28 3319 74 13 7 0.00
Sat 08/15 12Z 0.22 3419 73 14 7 0.00
Sat 08/15 13Z 0.18 3316 71 14 8 0.00
Sat 08/15 14Z 0.19 3312 76 14 7 0.00
Sat 08/15 15Z 0.33 3210 80 18 7 0.00
Sat 08/15 16Z 0.35 3210 77 17 7 0.00
Sat 08/15 17Z 0.64 3212 73 17 7 0.00
Sat 08/15 18Z 0.82 3313 69 15 8 0.00
Sat 08/15 19Z 0.77 3312 66 15 8 0.00
Sat 08/15 20Z 0.44 3411 63 16 8 0.00
Sat 08/15 21Z 0.28 3409 61 16 9 0.00
Sat 08/15 22Z 0.09 3408 57 15 9 0.00
Sat 08/15 23Z 0.04 3506 54 14 10 0.00
Sun 08/16 00Z 0.06 3405 53 14 10 0.00
Sun 08/16 01Z 0.11 3306 50 14 10 0.00
Sun 08/16 02Z 0.09 3306 47 13 10 0.00
Sun 08/16 03Z 0.12 3206 49 12 10 0.00
Sun 08/16 04Z 0.13 3206 53 13 10 0.00
Sun 08/16 05Z 0.12 3105 57 14 10 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.27 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1