Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260823_0000
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sun 08/23 00Z 0.37 1415 90 52 11 0.00
Sun 08/23 01Z 0.37 1417 89 41 11 0.00
Sun 08/23 02Z 0.29 1417 87 31 12 0.00
Sun 08/23 03Z 0.23 1417 83 25 12 0.00
Sun 08/23 04Z 0.17 1517 82 28 12 0.00
Sun 08/23 05Z 0.14 1617 84 33 12 0.00
Sun 08/23 06Z 0.15 1618 86 40 12 0.01
Sun 08/23 07Z 0.16 1620 88 48 11 0.01
Sun 08/23 08Z 0.13 1620 91 54 11 0.01
Sun 08/23 09Z 0.13 1619 92 55 11 0.01
Sun 08/23 10Z 0.14 1618 93 55 11 0.01
Sun 08/23 11Z 0.12 1617 92 56 11 0.01
Sun 08/23 12Z 0.12 1617 91 59 11 0.01
Sun 08/23 13Z 0.12 1616 90 62 12 0.01
Sun 08/23 14Z 0.11 1616 90 65 12 0.00
Sun 08/23 15Z 0.13 1616 91 66 12 0.00
Sun 08/23 16Z 0.13 1616 93 74 12 0.00
Sun 08/23 17Z 0.08 1714 94 74 12 0.00
Sun 08/23 18Z 0.08 1713 95 74 12 0.00
Sun 08/23 19Z 0.12 1613 95 72 13 0.00
Sun 08/23 20Z 0.11 1714 94 73 13 0.00
Sun 08/23 21Z 0.17 1616 94 67 13 0.00
Sun 08/23 22Z 0.17 1618 94 64 13 0.01
Sun 08/23 23Z 0.08 1721 94 76 13 0.01
Mon 08/24 00Z 0.05 1823 94 59 13 0.01
Mon 08/24 01Z 0.17 1924 94 43 13 0.01
Mon 08/24 02Z 0.44 2220 90 79 12 0.17
Mon 08/24 03Z 0.52 2318 83 48 12 0.07
Mon 08/24 04Z 0.44 2416 84 40 11 0.00
Mon 08/24 05Z 0.44 2416 84 35 11 0.00
Mon 08/24 06Z 0.37 2414 85 31 11 0.00
Mon 08/24 07Z 0.35 2414 86 40 11 0.00
Mon 08/24 08Z 0.31 2312 87 38 11 0.00
Mon 08/24 09Z 0.26 2311 85 42 11 0.00
Mon 08/24 10Z 0.26 2311 85 44 10 0.00
Mon 08/24 11Z 0.24 2311 85 45 10 0.00
Mon 08/24 12Z 0.20 2210 84 48 10 0.00
Mon 08/24 13Z 0.19 2209 86 53 10 0.00
Mon 08/24 14Z 0.14 2108 87 53 9 0.00
Mon 08/24 15Z 0.12 2008 88 53 9 0.00
Mon 08/24 16Z 0.26 2109 90 58 9 0.00
Mon 08/24 17Z 0.45 2109 90 66 9 0.00
Mon 08/24 18Z 0.65 2110 86 64 9 0.00
Mon 08/24 19Z 1.10 2210 83 63 9 0.03
Mon 08/24 20Z 1.59 2211 81 55 9 0.01
Mon 08/24 21Z 1.09 2211 82 59 9 0.00
Mon 08/24 22Z 0.68 2312 85 50 9 0.00
Mon 08/24 23Z 0.50 2413 83 41 9 0.02
Tue 08/25 00Z 0.54 2413 80 31 9 0.02
Tue 08/25 01Z 0.58 2514 80 33 9 0.00
Tue 08/25 02Z 0.61 2614 84 33 9 0.00
Tue 08/25 03Z 0.55 2613 85 44 8 0.00
Tue 08/25 04Z 0.53 2613 84 45 8 0.00
Tue 08/25 05Z 0.49 2513 82 44 8 0.00
Tue 08/25 06Z 0.42 2512 82 51 8 0.00
Tue 08/25 07Z 0.38 2511 83 60 8 0.00
Tue 08/25 08Z 0.33 2510 82 62 8 0.00
Tue 08/25 09Z 0.29 2410 84 66 8 0.00
Tue 08/25 10Z 0.30 2411 88 76 8 0.00
Tue 08/25 11Z 0.31 2411 89 83 8 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.44 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1