Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260717_0000
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Fri 07/17 00Z 0.51 3221 76 8 10 0.00
Fri 07/17 01Z 0.72 3226 66 15 10 0.00
Fri 07/17 02Z 0.91 3128 60 24 10 0.00
Fri 07/17 03Z 0.90 3130 56 30 9 0.00
Fri 07/17 04Z 0.90 3231 54 34 9 0.00
Fri 07/17 05Z 0.88 3231 54 33 9 0.00
Fri 07/17 06Z 0.87 3229 55 29 9 0.00
Fri 07/17 07Z 0.87 3228 59 28 8 0.00
Fri 07/17 08Z 0.68 3226 64 24 8 0.00
Fri 07/17 09Z 0.55 3225 67 18 8 0.00
Fri 07/17 10Z 0.49 3224 68 17 8 0.00
Fri 07/17 11Z 0.42 3224 67 15 8 0.00
Fri 07/17 12Z 0.39 3223 66 15 8 0.00
Fri 07/17 13Z 0.37 3221 66 16 8 0.00
Fri 07/17 14Z 0.38 3218 64 17 8 0.00
Fri 07/17 15Z 0.42 3216 62 18 8 0.00
Fri 07/17 16Z 0.44 3214 58 19 9 0.00
Fri 07/17 17Z 0.69 3113 55 20 9 0.00
Fri 07/17 18Z 0.97 3113 54 20 9 0.00
Fri 07/17 19Z 1.20 3011 56 20 9 0.00
Fri 07/17 20Z 1.48 2911 58 21 10 0.00
Fri 07/17 21Z 1.47 2810 58 21 10 0.00
Fri 07/17 22Z 0.81 2810 57 19 10 0.00
Fri 07/17 23Z 0.58 2810 53 16 11 0.00
Sat 07/18 00Z 0.56 2810 51 15 11 0.00
Sat 07/18 01Z 0.52 2710 49 14 11 0.00
Sat 07/18 02Z 0.51 2710 48 13 11 0.00
Sat 07/18 03Z 0.47 2609 48 12 11 0.00
Sat 07/18 04Z 0.47 2509 49 12 11 0.00
Sat 07/18 05Z 0.43 2509 49 12 11 0.00
Sat 07/18 06Z 0.44 2409 48 14 11 0.00
Sat 07/18 07Z 0.41 2409 49 17 11 0.00
Sat 07/18 08Z 0.38 2309 50 15 11 0.00
Sat 07/18 09Z 0.35 2211 49 15 11 0.00
Sat 07/18 10Z 0.38 2213 48 24 11 0.00
Sat 07/18 11Z 0.46 2216 50 59 12 0.00
Sat 07/18 12Z 0.47 2218 53 73 12 0.00
Sat 07/18 13Z 0.50 2220 57 64 13 0.00
Sat 07/18 14Z 0.58 2221 67 60 13 0.00
Sat 07/18 15Z 0.64 2122 71 65 14 0.00
Sat 07/18 16Z 1.24 2123 71 75 14 0.00
Sat 07/18 17Z 1.84 2024 69 80 15 0.00
Sat 07/18 18Z 2.80 2025 68 80 16 0.00
Sat 07/18 19Z 2.04 2025 74 76 16 0.00
Sat 07/18 20Z 0.89 2029 86 87 16 0.05
Sat 07/18 21Z 0.55 2032 90 78 15 0.04
Sat 07/18 22Z 0.56 2033 96 78 15 0.01
Sat 07/18 23Z 0.51 2033 98 63 15 0.02
Sun 07/19 00Z 0.57 2133 98 66 16 0.04
Sun 07/19 01Z 0.61 2232 90 71 16 0.19
Sun 07/19 02Z 0.60 2228 81 55 16 0.44
Sun 07/19 03Z 0.73 2330 91 32 15 0.04
Sun 07/19 04Z 0.75 2430 94 27 15 0.02
Sun 07/19 05Z 0.78 2628 94 39 14 0.03
Sun 07/19 07Z 0.93 2728 98 50 12 0.04
Sun 07/19 08Z 0.93 2928 98 27 10 0.07
Sun 07/19 09Z 0.71 3028 96 15 9 0.06
Sun 07/19 10Z 0.64 3129 94 21 8 0.04
Sun 07/19 11Z 0.57 3129 93 26 8 0.03
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 1.12 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1