Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260501_1800
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Fri 05/01 18Z 6.23 2909 68 58 -1 0.00
Fri 05/01 19Z 6.15 2909 67 66 -1 0.00
Fri 05/01 20Z 4.95 2908 66 70 0 0.00
Fri 05/01 21Z 4.58 2808 66 72 0 0.00
Fri 05/01 22Z 3.59 2807 67 74 0 0.00
Fri 05/01 23Z 1.41 2806 68 74 0 0.00
Sat 05/02 00Z 0.71 2806 68 70 0 0.00
Sat 05/02 01Z 0.37 2804 67 69 0 0.00
Sat 05/02 02Z 0.17 2902 67 66 0 0.00
Sat 05/02 03Z 0.08 2001 67 75 0 0.00
Sat 05/02 04Z 0.09 1903 69 84 0 0.00
Sat 05/02 05Z 0.17 1704 75 91 -1 0.00
Sat 05/02 06Z 0.10 1606 85 95 -1 0.01
Sat 05/02 07Z 0.08 1607 93 96 -1 0.02
Sat 05/02 08Z 0.07 1607 97 93 -1 0.04
Sat 05/02 09Z 0.11 1806 99 88 -1 0.04
Sat 05/02 10Z 0.18 2105 99 87 -1 0.03
Sat 05/02 11Z 0.23 2406 99 84 -2 0.03
Sat 05/02 12Z 0.25 2707 99 79 -2 0.02
Sat 05/02 13Z 0.26 2808 98 82 -2 0.01
Sat 05/02 14Z 0.29 3010 98 79 -3 0.01
Sat 05/02 15Z 0.30 3110 97 76 -3 0.01
Sat 05/02 16Z 0.35 3009 96 74 -3 0.00
Sat 05/02 17Z 0.78 3009 92 64 -3 0.00
Sat 05/02 18Z 1.52 3007 89 43 -2 0.00
Sat 05/02 19Z 2.14 2906 86 30 -2 0.00
Sat 05/02 20Z 2.36 2906 82 37 -2 0.00
Sat 05/02 21Z 1.63 2806 85 53 -1 0.00
Sat 05/02 22Z 0.66 2907 90 58 -2 0.01
Sat 05/02 23Z 0.41 2907 87 51 -2 0.01
Sun 05/03 00Z 0.41 3008 89 53 -2 0.00
Sun 05/03 01Z 0.42 3109 89 50 -2 0.00
Sun 05/03 02Z 0.36 3209 89 44 -3 0.00
Sun 05/03 03Z 0.37 3211 89 40 -3 0.01
Sun 05/03 04Z 0.44 3213 91 36 -3 0.00
Sun 05/03 05Z 0.45 3214 92 34 -3 0.00
Sun 05/03 06Z 0.39 3214 90 37 -4 0.00
Sun 05/03 07Z 0.36 3215 87 43 -4 0.00
Sun 05/03 08Z 0.32 3316 86 46 -4 0.00
Sun 05/03 09Z 0.29 3316 84 48 -4 0.00
Sun 05/03 10Z 0.29 3316 83 48 -5 0.00
Sun 05/03 11Z 0.29 3315 81 52 -5 0.00
Sun 05/03 12Z 0.34 3314 79 53 -5 0.00
Sun 05/03 13Z 1.30 3314 77 44 -5 0.00
Sun 05/03 14Z 3.88 3214 73 40 -5 0.00
Sun 05/03 15Z 5.98 3214 69 43 -4 0.00
Sun 05/03 16Z 6.92 3114 66 47 -4 0.00
Sun 05/03 17Z 7.77 3014 68 53 -3 0.00
Sun 05/03 18Z 8.17 3014 70 54 -3 0.00
Sun 05/03 19Z 8.04 2914 70 51 -3 0.00
Sun 05/03 20Z 8.22 2914 66 54 -2 0.00
Sun 05/03 21Z 7.80 2913 64 49 -2 0.00
Sun 05/03 22Z 6.82 2914 62 47 -2 0.00
Sun 05/03 23Z 3.50 2816 60 44 -1 0.00
Mon 05/04 00Z 1.95 2819 59 39 -1 0.00
Mon 05/04 01Z 1.99 2820 59 38 -1 0.00
Mon 05/04 02Z 1.57 2722 63 22 -1 0.00
Mon 05/04 03Z 1.15 2724 72 85 -1 0.00
Mon 05/04 04Z 1.14 2725 77 87 -1 0.00
Mon 05/04 05Z 0.94 2626 87 91 0 0.01
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.26 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1