Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260718_1800
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sat 07/18 18Z 0.36 2027 91 96 14 0.00
Sat 07/18 19Z 0.41 2028 96 93 14 0.05
Sat 07/18 20Z 0.49 2128 98 93 15 0.03
Sat 07/18 21Z 0.64 2229 98 91 15 0.05
Sat 07/18 22Z 0.71 2327 95 84 15 0.09
Sat 07/18 23Z 0.75 2427 96 84 15 0.07
Sun 07/19 00Z 0.74 2328 97 78 16 0.05
Sun 07/19 01Z 0.86 2428 97 80 15 0.05
Sun 07/19 02Z 0.94 2429 97 75 15 0.15
Sun 07/19 03Z 0.98 2529 97 62 15 0.06
Sun 07/19 04Z 1.03 2729 98 57 14 0.08
Sun 07/19 05Z 0.95 2930 98 62 13 0.08
Sun 07/19 06Z 0.77 3029 97 67 11 0.06
Sun 07/19 07Z 0.62 3128 96 38 9 0.03
Sun 07/19 08Z 0.56 3229 92 21 8 0.02
Sun 07/19 09Z 0.51 3231 92 19 8 0.02
Sun 07/19 10Z 0.47 3231 93 19 8 0.02
Sun 07/19 11Z 0.45 3230 93 17 8 0.01
Sun 07/19 12Z 0.46 3229 92 15 8 0.01
Sun 07/19 13Z 0.45 3227 92 10 7 0.01
Sun 07/19 14Z 0.45 3225 90 6 7 0.01
Sun 07/19 15Z 0.47 3223 87 4 7 0.01
Sun 07/19 16Z 0.63 3220 84 7 7 0.00
Sun 07/19 17Z 4.55 3118 81 9 7 0.00
Sun 07/19 18Z 6.81 3018 76 15 7 0.00
Sun 07/19 19Z 8.62 3018 74 17 7 0.00
Sun 07/19 20Z 10.82 3020 72 15 8 0.00
Sun 07/19 21Z 11.73 3021 68 11 8 0.00
Sun 07/19 22Z 10.71 3021 68 11 8 0.00
Sun 07/19 23Z 5.00 3023 67 11 8 0.00
Mon 07/20 00Z 2.13 3024 64 10 8 0.00
Mon 07/20 01Z 1.99 3126 64 9 8 0.00
Mon 07/20 02Z 1.99 3127 67 8 8 0.00
Mon 07/20 03Z 1.70 3127 71 8 7 0.00
Mon 07/20 04Z 1.28 3125 70 8 7 0.00
Mon 07/20 05Z 1.23 3124 73 8 7 0.00
Mon 07/20 06Z 1.07 3122 75 8 7 0.00
Mon 07/20 07Z 0.70 3220 75 9 7 0.00
Mon 07/20 08Z 0.67 3119 75 13 7 0.00
Mon 07/20 09Z 0.59 3117 74 19 7 0.00
Mon 07/20 10Z 0.53 3116 74 23 8 0.00
Mon 07/20 11Z 0.49 3015 72 31 8 0.00
Mon 07/20 12Z 0.50 3014 74 27 8 0.00
Mon 07/20 13Z 0.56 2914 76 32 8 0.00
Mon 07/20 14Z 0.60 2811 76 38 8 0.00
Mon 07/20 15Z 1.28 2710 76 39 8 0.00
Mon 07/20 16Z 2.49 2709 76 36 8 0.00
Mon 07/20 17Z 2.65 2507 74 31 9 0.00
Mon 07/20 18Z 2.60 2507 74 30 9 0.00
Mon 07/20 19Z 2.40 2408 73 26 10 0.00
Mon 07/20 20Z 2.03 2308 72 30 10 0.00
Mon 07/20 21Z 1.20 2108 70 29 11 0.00
Mon 07/20 22Z 0.58 2109 68 25 11 0.00
Mon 07/20 23Z 0.40 2111 66 22 11 0.00
Tue 07/21 00Z 0.34 2013 63 16 11 0.00
Tue 07/21 01Z 0.34 2016 62 13 11 0.00
Tue 07/21 02Z 0.45 2018 63 15 12 0.00
Tue 07/21 03Z 0.49 2119 61 17 12 0.00
Tue 07/21 04Z 0.51 2121 61 19 12 0.00
Tue 07/21 05Z 0.58 2122 66 21 12 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.96 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1