Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260501_0600
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Fri 05/01 06Z 0.48 3216 95 76 -3 0.00
Fri 05/01 07Z 0.47 3218 90 74 -2 0.00
Fri 05/01 08Z 0.48 3219 87 72 -3 0.00
Fri 05/01 09Z 0.49 3119 86 72 -3 0.00
Fri 05/01 10Z 0.52 3120 86 75 -3 0.00
Fri 05/01 11Z 0.55 3120 88 73 -3 0.00
Fri 05/01 12Z 0.57 3119 89 61 -4 0.00
Fri 05/01 13Z 0.75 3118 91 46 -4 0.00
Fri 05/01 14Z 2.27 3116 90 44 -4 0.00
Fri 05/01 15Z 4.01 3014 88 47 -4 0.00
Fri 05/01 16Z 3.87 3013 85 46 -4 0.00
Fri 05/01 17Z 4.83 2912 82 46 -3 0.00
Fri 05/01 18Z 5.86 2912 76 46 -2 0.00
Fri 05/01 19Z 6.46 2911 72 41 -2 0.00
Fri 05/01 20Z 6.24 2910 69 38 -1 0.00
Fri 05/01 21Z 4.92 2908 65 38 -1 0.00
Fri 05/01 22Z 2.92 2906 62 35 -1 0.00
Fri 05/01 23Z 0.79 2904 60 42 0 0.00
Sat 05/02 00Z 0.26 2702 60 47 0 0.00
Sat 05/02 01Z 0.21 2602 60 59 0 0.00
Sat 05/02 02Z 0.18 2302 61 66 0 0.00
Sat 05/02 03Z 0.14 1802 62 76 0 0.00
Sat 05/02 04Z 0.16 1604 63 84 0 0.00
Sat 05/02 05Z 0.19 1506 70 93 -1 0.01
Sat 05/02 06Z 0.26 1409 83 94 -1 0.04
Sat 05/02 07Z 0.24 1410 92 94 -1 0.06
Sat 05/02 08Z 0.22 1509 96 91 -1 0.05
Sat 05/02 09Z 0.23 1707 98 87 -1 0.03
Sat 05/02 10Z 0.24 1806 99 86 -2 0.03
Sat 05/02 11Z 0.23 1805 99 84 -2 0.02
Sat 05/02 12Z 0.24 1905 99 84 -2 0.02
Sat 05/02 13Z 0.23 2205 99 75 -2 0.01
Sat 05/02 14Z 0.24 2506 99 71 -3 0.01
Sat 05/02 15Z 0.26 2807 98 66 -3 0.01
Sat 05/02 16Z 0.31 2909 97 60 -3 0.00
Sat 05/02 17Z 0.41 3010 96 52 -3 0.00
Sat 05/02 18Z 0.94 3010 94 44 -3 0.00
Sat 05/02 19Z 1.54 3109 92 38 -3 0.00
Sat 05/02 20Z 1.34 3108 89 41 -2 0.00
Sat 05/02 21Z 0.96 3007 86 36 -2 0.00
Sat 05/02 22Z 0.48 3106 80 39 -2 0.00
Sat 05/02 23Z 0.25 3206 79 48 -2 0.00
Sun 05/03 00Z 0.23 3106 85 65 -2 0.00
Sun 05/03 01Z 0.20 3207 89 65 -2 0.01
Sun 05/03 02Z 0.19 3309 90 64 -3 0.01
Sun 05/03 03Z 0.20 3310 89 67 -3 0.01
Sun 05/03 04Z 0.27 3312 90 70 -3 0.00
Sun 05/03 05Z 0.32 3314 88 66 -3 0.00
Sun 05/03 06Z 0.31 3315 87 60 -4 0.00
Sun 05/03 07Z 0.28 3317 90 49 -4 0.00
Sun 05/03 08Z 0.26 3418 89 44 -4 0.00
Sun 05/03 09Z 0.25 3418 89 44 -4 0.00
Sun 05/03 10Z 0.26 3419 85 48 -4 0.00
Sun 05/03 11Z 0.30 3319 81 52 -5 0.00
Sun 05/03 12Z 0.39 3319 79 49 -5 0.00
Sun 05/03 13Z 1.19 3218 75 47 -5 0.00
Sun 05/03 14Z 4.44 3217 74 45 -5 0.00
Sun 05/03 15Z 7.05 3217 70 46 -5 0.00
Sun 05/03 16Z 8.15 3117 67 48 -5 0.00
Sun 05/03 17Z 9.21 3118 62 51 -4 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.32 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1