Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260710_0600
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Fri 07/10 06Z 0.47 2713 89 86 14 0.00
Fri 07/10 07Z 0.55 2815 94 84 14 0.01
Fri 07/10 08Z 0.57 2917 96 85 14 0.08
Fri 07/10 09Z 0.55 3019 96 87 13 0.12
Fri 07/10 10Z 0.37 3218 95 86 13 0.02
Fri 07/10 11Z 0.30 3219 93 81 13 0.02
Fri 07/10 12Z 0.24 3317 91 68 13 0.01
Fri 07/10 13Z 0.16 3416 88 63 12 0.01
Fri 07/10 14Z 0.11 3415 86 58 12 0.00
Fri 07/10 15Z 0.08 3514 83 50 12 0.00
Fri 07/10 16Z 0.12 3514 81 43 12 0.00
Fri 07/10 17Z 0.49 3413 79 39 12 0.00
Fri 07/10 18Z 0.76 3412 75 33 12 0.00
Fri 07/10 19Z 1.45 3412 72 26 12 0.00
Fri 07/10 20Z 1.86 3412 69 26 12 0.00
Fri 07/10 21Z 1.45 3412 67 24 12 0.00
Fri 07/10 22Z 0.75 3411 67 24 12 0.00
Fri 07/10 23Z 0.42 3411 68 31 12 0.00
Sat 07/11 00Z 0.42 3411 69 38 12 0.00
Sat 07/11 01Z 0.39 3412 69 30 11 0.00
Sat 07/11 02Z 0.29 3413 72 32 11 0.00
Sat 07/11 03Z 0.19 3413 73 33 11 0.00
Sat 07/11 04Z 0.15 3412 74 37 11 0.00
Sat 07/11 05Z 0.09 3512 74 22 10 0.00
Sat 07/11 06Z 0.09 0011 72 16 10 0.00
Sat 07/11 07Z 0.09 0010 71 29 10 0.00
Sat 07/11 08Z 0.08 0009 69 24 10 0.00
Sat 07/11 09Z 0.10 0008 66 21 9 0.00
Sat 07/11 10Z 0.11 0008 64 19 9 0.00
Sat 07/11 11Z 0.10 3508 63 18 9 0.00
Sat 07/11 12Z 0.12 3507 62 20 9 0.00
Sat 07/11 13Z 0.16 3507 62 22 9 0.00
Sat 07/11 14Z 0.34 3406 63 22 9 0.00
Sat 07/11 15Z 0.77 3406 64 20 9 0.00
Sat 07/11 16Z 1.01 3306 65 19 9 0.00
Sat 07/11 17Z 1.32 3307 66 20 10 0.00
Sat 07/11 18Z 1.51 3308 65 20 10 0.00
Sat 07/11 19Z 1.26 3409 66 20 10 0.00
Sat 07/11 20Z 0.99 3410 67 22 10 0.00
Sat 07/11 21Z 0.74 3410 70 24 10 0.00
Sat 07/11 22Z 0.44 3511 73 27 10 0.00
Sat 07/11 23Z 0.19 3511 75 29 10 0.00
Sun 07/12 00Z 0.11 0012 76 30 10 0.00
Sun 07/12 01Z 0.12 0014 76 31 9 0.00
Sun 07/12 02Z 0.15 0015 75 31 9 0.00
Sun 07/12 03Z 0.19 0116 75 30 9 0.00
Sun 07/12 04Z 0.32 0116 74 26 9 0.00
Sun 07/12 05Z 0.35 0216 76 23 9 0.00
Sun 07/12 06Z 0.34 0214 77 22 9 0.00
Sun 07/12 07Z 0.32 0213 76 21 9 0.00
Sun 07/12 08Z 0.25 0211 74 19 9 0.00
Sun 07/12 09Z 0.20 0209 74 17 9 0.00
Sun 07/12 10Z 0.12 0208 74 15 9 0.00
Sun 07/12 11Z 0.10 0107 73 12 9 0.00
Sun 07/12 12Z 0.09 0008 73 11 9 0.00
Sun 07/12 13Z 0.07 0007 76 11 9 0.00
Sun 07/12 14Z 0.13 3506 78 9 9 0.00
Sun 07/12 15Z 0.16 3505 79 8 9 0.00
Sun 07/12 16Z 0.30 3403 81 7 9 0.00
Sun 07/12 17Z 0.42 3203 81 6 10 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.27 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1