Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260904_0000
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Fri 09/04 00Z 0.77 3018 82 51 13 0.00
Fri 09/04 01Z 0.89 3018 86 45 13 0.00
Fri 09/04 02Z 0.92 3019 86 47 12 0.00
Fri 09/04 03Z 0.67 3017 82 46 12 0.01
Fri 09/04 04Z 0.63 3016 80 45 12 0.01
Fri 09/04 05Z 0.58 3016 82 43 12 0.01
Fri 09/04 06Z 0.47 3014 83 45 12 0.00
Fri 09/04 07Z 0.41 3012 85 42 12 0.01
Fri 09/04 08Z 0.41 3013 89 44 12 0.01
Fri 09/04 09Z 0.35 3112 90 39 12 0.01
Fri 09/04 10Z 0.30 3112 88 38 11 0.01
Fri 09/04 11Z 0.25 3211 86 41 11 0.00
Fri 09/04 12Z 0.30 3212 85 43 11 0.00
Fri 09/04 13Z 0.33 3213 82 34 10 0.01
Fri 09/04 14Z 0.37 3112 81 25 10 0.00
Fri 09/04 15Z 0.73 3112 84 26 10 0.00
Fri 09/04 16Z 1.84 3112 85 31 10 0.00
Fri 09/04 17Z 2.21 3112 87 40 10 0.00
Fri 09/04 18Z 1.40 3013 89 49 10 0.01
Fri 09/04 19Z 1.11 3014 89 45 10 0.01
Fri 09/04 20Z 1.05 3014 88 47 10 0.00
Fri 09/04 21Z 0.87 3115 89 44 10 0.00
Fri 09/04 22Z 0.59 3116 90 40 10 0.00
Fri 09/04 23Z 0.48 3216 91 44 10 0.00
Sat 09/05 00Z 0.36 3216 92 47 10 0.01
Sat 09/05 01Z 0.25 3316 93 55 10 0.02
Sat 09/05 02Z 0.22 3316 93 58 10 0.01
Sat 09/05 03Z 0.18 3416 93 56 10 0.01
Sat 09/05 04Z 0.13 3416 93 56 10 0.01
Sat 09/05 05Z 0.10 3416 93 57 10 0.01
Sat 09/05 06Z 0.08 3514 93 55 10 0.01
Sat 09/05 07Z 0.08 0013 93 59 10 0.01
Sat 09/05 08Z 0.10 0014 93 64 9 0.01
Sat 09/05 09Z 0.09 0014 93 65 9 0.01
Sat 09/05 10Z 0.10 0015 94 66 9 0.01
Sat 09/05 11Z 0.12 0116 95 71 9 0.01
Sat 09/05 12Z 0.15 0116 94 72 9 0.00
Sat 09/05 13Z 0.15 0116 93 70 9 0.00
Sat 09/05 14Z 0.15 0115 94 68 9 0.00
Sat 09/05 15Z 0.17 0114 95 67 9 0.00
Sat 09/05 16Z 0.18 0113 96 66 8 0.00
Sat 09/05 17Z 0.16 0112 96 66 8 0.00
Sat 09/05 18Z 0.21 0211 97 65 8 0.01
Sat 09/05 19Z 0.20 0211 97 65 8 0.01
Sat 09/05 20Z 0.22 0211 97 66 8 0.01
Sat 09/05 21Z 0.29 0311 96 68 8 0.01
Sat 09/05 22Z 0.33 0311 96 71 8 0.00
Sat 09/05 23Z 0.33 0412 96 75 8 0.01
Sun 09/06 00Z 0.39 0513 97 79 8 0.02
Sun 09/06 01Z 0.52 0714 95 80 8 0.03
Sun 09/06 02Z 0.59 0716 91 79 7 0.02
Sun 09/06 03Z 0.55 0716 89 77 7 0.00
Sun 09/06 04Z 0.51 0715 88 75 7 0.00
Sun 09/06 05Z 0.51 0715 84 71 7 0.00
Sun 09/06 06Z 0.44 0714 84 67 6 0.00
Sun 09/06 07Z 0.37 0712 84 61 7 0.00
Sun 09/06 08Z 0.29 0511 85 58 6 0.00
Sun 09/06 09Z 0.26 0411 84 54 6 0.00
Sun 09/06 10Z 0.24 0411 84 50 6 0.00
Sun 09/06 11Z 0.23 0312 83 52 6 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.35 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1