Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260812_1800
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Wed 08/12 18Z 1.55 2805 80 88 12 0.00
Wed 08/12 19Z 0.68 2707 77 90 12 0.04
Wed 08/12 20Z 0.61 2706 73 85 12 0.02
Wed 08/12 21Z 0.29 2506 79 91 12 0.03
Wed 08/12 22Z 0.29 2406 80 82 12 0.04
Wed 08/12 23Z 0.34 2408 80 81 12 0.03
Thu 08/13 00Z 0.45 2510 79 73 12 0.02
Thu 08/13 01Z 0.51 2512 82 79 12 0.00
Thu 08/13 02Z 0.49 2512 83 83 12 0.02
Thu 08/13 03Z 0.57 2513 84 82 12 0.00
Thu 08/13 04Z 0.63 2614 86 76 12 0.00
Thu 08/13 05Z 0.54 2613 84 79 12 0.00
Thu 08/13 06Z 0.49 2713 85 75 12 0.00
Thu 08/13 07Z 0.48 2713 87 74 12 0.00
Thu 08/13 08Z 0.44 2713 89 74 11 0.00
Thu 08/13 09Z 0.43 2813 88 78 11 0.00
Thu 08/13 10Z 0.39 2812 89 81 11 0.00
Thu 08/13 11Z 0.41 2913 94 83 11 0.04
Thu 08/13 12Z 0.33 3011 92 79 11 0.02
Thu 08/13 13Z 0.29 3010 91 76 11 0.01
Thu 08/13 14Z 0.28 3110 91 75 11 0.01
Thu 08/13 15Z 0.33 3110 93 59 11 0.00
Thu 08/13 16Z 0.41 3111 92 57 11 0.00
Thu 08/13 17Z 0.57 3110 89 55 11 0.00
Thu 08/13 18Z 1.24 3110 87 65 11 0.00
Thu 08/13 19Z 0.59 3011 88 56 11 0.01
Thu 08/13 20Z 0.59 3012 89 56 11 0.00
Thu 08/13 21Z 0.62 3013 88 48 11 0.01
Thu 08/13 22Z 0.76 3016 85 45 11 0.00
Thu 08/13 23Z 0.92 3018 87 46 11 0.01
Fri 08/14 00Z 0.90 3021 89 46 11 0.03
Fri 08/14 01Z 0.86 3124 87 50 10 0.04
Fri 08/14 02Z 0.74 3124 84 47 10 0.01
Fri 08/14 03Z 0.51 3224 82 43 9 0.01
Fri 08/14 04Z 0.41 3324 83 39 9 0.00
Fri 08/14 05Z 0.41 3323 85 33 9 0.00
Fri 08/14 06Z 0.42 3221 88 28 8 0.00
Fri 08/14 07Z 0.40 3221 88 25 8 0.00
Fri 08/14 08Z 0.45 3221 85 26 8 0.00
Fri 08/14 09Z 0.40 3221 82 24 8 0.00
Fri 08/14 10Z 0.38 3221 77 22 7 0.00
Fri 08/14 11Z 0.39 3222 76 21 7 0.00
Fri 08/14 12Z 0.42 3223 77 25 7 0.00
Fri 08/14 13Z 0.43 3222 79 18 7 0.00
Fri 08/14 14Z 0.45 3221 79 17 7 0.00
Fri 08/14 15Z 0.51 3120 77 15 7 0.00
Fri 08/14 16Z 0.57 3120 75 14 8 0.00
Fri 08/14 17Z 0.60 3119 76 13 8 0.00
Fri 08/14 18Z 0.82 3117 79 14 8 0.00
Fri 08/14 19Z 1.69 3016 80 16 8 0.00
Fri 08/14 20Z 1.91 3016 79 17 8 0.00
Fri 08/14 21Z 1.62 3016 77 17 8 0.00
Fri 08/14 22Z 1.12 3016 79 17 8 0.00
Fri 08/14 23Z 0.80 3017 80 18 8 0.00
Sat 08/15 00Z 0.76 3118 81 17 8 0.00
Sat 08/15 01Z 0.70 3119 84 18 7 0.00
Sat 08/15 02Z 0.62 3119 86 18 7 0.00
Sat 08/15 03Z 0.49 3220 88 19 7 0.00
Sat 08/15 04Z 0.42 3221 89 26 7 0.00
Sat 08/15 05Z 0.37 3222 85 47 7 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.40 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1