Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260328_0600
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sat 03/28 06Z 0.32 3213 81 15 -15 0.00
Sat 03/28 07Z 0.44 3214 81 26 -16 0.00
Sat 03/28 08Z 0.48 3214 80 26 -16 0.00
Sat 03/28 09Z 0.56 3213 81 45 -17 0.00
Sat 03/28 10Z 0.65 3114 83 53 -17 0.00
Sat 03/28 11Z 0.59 3114 84 59 -17 0.00
Sat 03/28 12Z 0.60 3112 84 63 -17 0.00
Sat 03/28 13Z 1.28 3110 82 61 -17 0.00
Sat 03/28 14Z 2.12 3009 77 63 -17 0.00
Sat 03/28 15Z 2.82 2909 71 63 -16 0.00
Sat 03/28 16Z 4.16 2809 67 61 -16 0.00
Sat 03/28 17Z 6.64 2710 68 66 -15 0.00
Sat 03/28 18Z 8.48 2612 70 70 -14 0.00
Sat 03/28 19Z 8.56 2615 74 74 -14 0.00
Sat 03/28 20Z 6.20 2717 80 69 -14 0.00
Sat 03/28 21Z 8.68 2718 74 59 -14 0.00
Sat 03/28 22Z 6.86 2819 76 57 -14 0.01
Sat 03/28 23Z 3.39 2820 81 59 -14 0.00
Sun 03/29 00Z 4.21 2824 83 57 -14 0.01
Sun 03/29 01Z 3.92 2825 80 44 -15 0.00
Sun 03/29 02Z 2.04 2823 74 27 -14 0.00
Sun 03/29 03Z 1.97 2823 71 14 -14 0.00
Sun 03/29 04Z 2.01 2824 75 20 -14 0.00
Sun 03/29 05Z 2.02 2825 81 48 -14 0.00
Sun 03/29 06Z 1.79 2823 85 67 -14 0.00
Sun 03/29 07Z 1.67 2823 89 71 -14 0.00
Sun 03/29 08Z 1.33 2822 90 77 -14 0.00
Sun 03/29 09Z 1.18 2822 91 76 -14 0.00
Sun 03/29 10Z 1.02 2722 93 76 -13 0.00
Sun 03/29 11Z 0.87 2720 93 73 -13 0.00
Sun 03/29 12Z 0.82 2621 92 77 -12 0.00
Sun 03/29 13Z 0.77 2521 89 80 -11 0.00
Sun 03/29 14Z 0.80 2521 87 79 -10 0.00
Sun 03/29 15Z 0.94 2519 81 81 -10 0.00
Sun 03/29 16Z 1.03 2418 68 86 -9 0.00
Sun 03/29 17Z 2.15 2319 62 89 -8 0.00
Sun 03/29 18Z 2.65 2220 60 80 -8 0.00
Sun 03/29 19Z 2.80 2222 58 78 -7 0.00
Sun 03/29 20Z 2.90 2323 58 64 -6 0.00
Sun 03/29 21Z 1.56 2325 59 73 -5 0.00
Sun 03/29 22Z 1.34 2427 60 45 -5 0.00
Sun 03/29 23Z 1.48 2429 60 31 -4 0.00
Mon 03/30 00Z 1.55 2430 58 12 -4 0.00
Mon 03/30 01Z 1.45 2531 57 7 -3 0.00
Mon 03/30 02Z 1.55 2532 56 9 -3 0.00
Mon 03/30 03Z 1.58 2532 59 14 -3 0.00
Mon 03/30 04Z 1.29 2530 57 38 -2 0.00
Mon 03/30 05Z 1.17 2529 59 69 -2 0.00
Mon 03/30 06Z 1.26 2527 68 81 -2 0.00
Mon 03/30 07Z 0.96 2525 72 85 -2 0.00
Mon 03/30 08Z 0.78 2424 74 71 -2 0.01
Mon 03/30 09Z 0.85 2424 76 68 -2 0.00
Mon 03/30 10Z 0.90 2525 81 77 -2 0.00
Mon 03/30 11Z 0.88 2524 80 88 -2 0.00
Mon 03/30 12Z 0.90 2524 76 92 -2 0.00
Mon 03/30 13Z 0.91 2524 80 89 -2 0.00
Mon 03/30 14Z 0.87 2524 78 77 -2 0.00
Mon 03/30 15Z 0.86 2523 67 81 0 0.00
Mon 03/30 16Z 0.94 2524 67 86 0 0.00
Mon 03/30 17Z 1.08 2424 68 81 0 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.03 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1