
Dangerous heat will build today and continue through Friday. Extreme Heat Warnings are in effect for the entire Champlain Valley & eastern Windsor County in Vermont. Heat Advisories in effect for the remainder of our region. Heat index values will peak around 105 degrees in warning areas with locally higher values possible. Advisory areas will see heat index values up to 100 degrees. Read More >
Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260701_1800
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Wed 07/01 18Z 0.77 2606 85 44 19 0.00
Wed 07/01 19Z 0.55 2507 83 38 20 0.00
Wed 07/01 20Z 0.40 2307 80 34 20 0.00
Wed 07/01 21Z 0.47 2309 81 32 20 0.00
Wed 07/01 22Z 0.62 2313 87 42 20 0.00
Wed 07/01 23Z 0.65 2418 89 51 20 0.00
Thu 07/02 00Z 0.73 2522 81 55 20 0.09
Thu 07/02 01Z 0.81 2523 86 56 20 0.02
Thu 07/02 02Z 0.80 2623 90 61 20 0.05
Thu 07/02 03Z 0.69 2623 82 49 20 0.05
Thu 07/02 04Z 0.56 2720 68 49 22 0.00
Thu 07/02 05Z 0.67 2625 61 56 21 0.00
Thu 07/02 06Z 0.72 2727 66 57 21 0.00
Thu 07/02 07Z 0.69 2827 70 52 20 0.00
Thu 07/02 08Z 0.59 2925 69 49 20 0.00
Thu 07/02 09Z 0.52 2923 66 49 20 0.00
Thu 07/02 10Z 0.51 2923 66 37 20 0.00
Thu 07/02 11Z 0.51 2924 61 44 20 0.00
Thu 07/02 12Z 0.52 2923 63 55 19 0.00
Thu 07/02 13Z 0.54 2923 79 57 19 0.00
Thu 07/02 14Z 0.55 2922 84 56 18 0.01
Thu 07/02 15Z 0.50 2920 83 57 19 0.01
Thu 07/02 16Z 0.48 2917 80 59 19 0.00
Thu 07/02 17Z 0.51 2815 79 64 20 0.00
Thu 07/02 18Z 0.58 2715 80 67 20 0.00
Thu 07/02 19Z 0.66 2616 81 66 20 0.00
Thu 07/02 20Z 0.83 2517 88 52 20 0.00
Thu 07/02 21Z 1.04 2519 90 40 19 0.00
Thu 07/02 22Z 1.20 2520 87 40 19 0.01
Thu 07/02 23Z 1.46 2625 83 51 20 0.02
Fri 07/03 00Z 1.18 2626 87 64 19 0.01
Fri 07/03 01Z 1.08 2627 84 56 20 0.01
Fri 07/03 02Z 1.07 2729 86 64 19 0.01
Fri 07/03 03Z 1.00 2729 85 61 19 0.00
Fri 07/03 04Z 0.95 2828 87 56 19 0.00
Fri 07/03 05Z 0.87 2928 81 54 19 0.01
Fri 07/03 06Z 0.78 2927 79 42 18 0.01
Fri 07/03 07Z 0.71 2927 81 43 18 0.01
Fri 07/03 08Z 0.60 3025 81 38 18 0.02
Fri 07/03 09Z 0.54 3024 79 36 18 0.02
Fri 07/03 10Z 0.49 3022 80 27 18 0.01
Fri 07/03 11Z 0.45 3020 77 23 18 0.01
Fri 07/03 12Z 0.41 2918 76 21 18 0.01
Fri 07/03 13Z 0.42 2917 74 17 18 0.01
Fri 07/03 14Z 0.48 2918 73 17 18 0.01
Fri 07/03 15Z 0.58 2819 75 15 18 0.00
Fri 07/03 16Z 0.69 2820 74 14 17 0.00
Fri 07/03 17Z 0.88 2821 75 14 17 0.00
Fri 07/03 18Z 2.24 2821 78 17 17 0.00
Fri 07/03 19Z 7.93 2821 75 21 17 0.00
Fri 07/03 20Z 9.79 2822 64 18 17 0.00
Fri 07/03 21Z 8.55 2822 62 22 17 0.00
Fri 07/03 22Z 4.09 2823 64 24 17 0.00
Fri 07/03 23Z 2.36 2823 66 25 17 0.00
Sat 07/04 00Z 1.77 2824 67 26 17 0.00
Sat 07/04 01Z 2.06 2926 71 22 16 0.01
Sat 07/04 02Z 1.45 2926 81 24 16 0.00
Sat 07/04 03Z 1.19 2925 83 24 16 0.01
Sat 07/04 04Z 1.04 3025 83 24 15 0.00
Sat 07/04 05Z 0.91 3023 81 23 15 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.43 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1