National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Wind Advisory in Effect Today

A Wind Advisory is in effect from 7 AM this morning to 7 PM this evening for portions of northern New York and Vermont. South winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts to 45 mph expected. Strongest gusts will be along the northern slopes of the Adirondacks and along the shores of Lake Champlain. Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects and may make for difficult driving conditions, so use caution. Read More >

Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens

Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20251123_1800
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.

925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date   Time        Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sun 11/23 18Z 0.23 2209  98  85  -6 0.00
Sun 11/23 19Z 0.23 2209  97  92  -5 0.00
Sun 11/23 20Z 0.23 2209  98  92  -5 0.01
Sun 11/23 21Z 0.26 2309  98  92  -5 0.01
Sun 11/23 22Z 0.26 2309  98  93  -5 0.01
Sun 11/23 23Z 0.25 2508  98  87  -5 0.01
Mon 11/24 00Z 0.26 2608  97  78  -4 0.01
Mon 11/24 01Z 0.25 2708  96  71  -4 0.00
Mon 11/24 02Z 0.27 2809  95  78  -5 0.00
Mon 11/24 03Z 0.32 2810  95  77  -5 0.00
Mon 11/24 04Z 0.34 2911  95  77  -4 0.00
Mon 11/24 05Z 0.36 2912  95  78  -5 0.00
Mon 11/24 06Z 0.42 2913  96  80  -5 0.01
Mon 11/24 07Z 0.50 3015  97  79  -5 0.01
Mon 11/24 08Z 0.53 3017  98  81  -5 0.02
Mon 11/24 09Z 0.54 3018  98  80  -5 0.02
Mon 11/24 10Z 0.56 3120  98  74  -5 0.02
Mon 11/24 11Z 0.61 3122  97  65  -6 0.02
Mon 11/24 12Z 0.64 3123  97  54  -6 0.02
Mon 11/24 13Z 0.66 3123  97  46  -6 0.02
Mon 11/24 14Z 0.66 3123  97  54  -7 0.02
Mon 11/24 15Z 0.55 3122  95  48  -6 0.01
Mon 11/24 16Z 0.54 3120  95  22  -6 0.01
Mon 11/24 17Z 0.53 3018  95   3  -6 0.01
Mon 11/24 18Z 0.48 2917  91   2  -6 0.00
Mon 11/24 19Z 0.41 2917  82   8  -4 0.00
Mon 11/24 20Z 0.39 2918  72  11  -3 0.00
Mon 11/24 21Z 0.32 3018  59  24  -2 0.00
Mon 11/24 22Z 0.31 2918  48  34   0 0.00
Mon 11/24 23Z 0.33 2918  42  62   0 0.00
Tue 11/25 00Z 0.34 2818  35  73   0 0.00
Tue 11/25 01Z 0.36 2817  25  88   0 0.00
Tue 11/25 02Z 0.41 2718  20  91   1 0.00
Tue 11/25 03Z 0.44 2617  20  91   1 0.00
Tue 11/25 04Z 0.43 2518  15  91   1 0.00
Tue 11/25 05Z 0.51 2423  14  92   1 0.00
Tue 11/25 06Z 0.60 2427  14  86   1 0.00
Tue 11/25 07Z 0.67 2529  15  83   2 0.00
Tue 11/25 08Z 0.68 2529  15  83   2 0.00
Tue 11/25 09Z 0.68 2529  16  82   2 0.00
Tue 11/25 10Z 0.66 2627  17  85   2 0.00
Tue 11/25 11Z 0.63 2626  19  83   2 0.00
Tue 11/25 12Z 0.59 2624  25  74   1 0.00
Tue 11/25 13Z 0.52 2622  29  78   2 0.00
Tue 11/25 14Z 0.44 2518  31  85   2 0.00
Tue 11/25 15Z 0.37 2517  35  80   3 0.00
Tue 11/25 16Z 0.34 2417  37  71   3 0.00
Tue 11/25 17Z 0.34 2317  40  67   3 0.00
Tue 11/25 18Z 0.35 2318  42  70   3 0.00
Tue 11/25 19Z 0.33 2318  42  63   3 0.00
Tue 11/25 20Z 0.29 2316  43  58   3 0.00
Tue 11/25 21Z 0.28 2317  47  67   3 0.00
Tue 11/25 22Z 0.30 2317  49  67   3 0.00
Tue 11/25 23Z 0.30 2317  53  70   3 0.00
Wed 11/26 00Z 0.30 2317  61  70   3 0.00
Wed 11/26 01Z 0.30 2317  67  75   3 0.00
Wed 11/26 02Z 0.30 2217  70  91   3 0.01
Wed 11/26 03Z 0.27 2217  75  96   3 0.01
Wed 11/26 04Z 0.23 2116  80  98   3 0.01
Wed 11/26 05Z 0.18 2016  83  98   3 0.01

Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.28 inches.

Froude Number (Frd#): 
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
         Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
         W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
         Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
         Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
         W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
         Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
         Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
         With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
         Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
         W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
         Air flows freely over terrain.
         Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.

Relative Humidity (RH): 
         925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
         with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
         with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.

850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
        T > -11       10-15:1
        T -11 to -15  25-35:1
        T < -15       15-20:1