Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260302_1800
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Mon 03/02 18Z 0.71 2610 58 20 -18 0.00
Mon 03/02 19Z 0.67 2712 54 19 -17 0.00
Mon 03/02 20Z 0.53 2611 53 25 -16 0.00
Mon 03/02 21Z 0.49 2611 56 32 -16 0.00
Mon 03/02 22Z 0.45 2612 58 42 -15 0.00
Mon 03/02 23Z 0.46 2513 58 47 -15 0.00
Tue 03/03 00Z 0.45 2614 56 41 -14 0.00
Tue 03/03 01Z 0.43 2615 52 35 -13 0.00
Tue 03/03 02Z 0.40 2615 48 31 -12 0.00
Tue 03/03 03Z 0.39 2516 42 34 -11 0.00
Tue 03/03 04Z 0.38 2517 36 44 -10 0.00
Tue 03/03 05Z 0.38 2518 32 50 -9 0.00
Tue 03/03 06Z 0.37 2418 30 47 -8 0.00
Tue 03/03 07Z 0.40 2420 30 45 -7 0.00
Tue 03/03 08Z 0.43 2422 31 47 -7 0.00
Tue 03/03 09Z 0.43 2421 31 47 -6 0.00
Tue 03/03 10Z 0.40 2420 31 49 -6 0.00
Tue 03/03 11Z 0.37 2419 29 50 -5 0.00
Tue 03/03 12Z 0.35 2318 28 50 -5 0.00
Tue 03/03 13Z 0.32 2318 29 47 -4 0.00
Tue 03/03 14Z 0.31 2219 33 43 -4 0.00
Tue 03/03 15Z 0.29 2220 51 39 -4 0.00
Tue 03/03 16Z 0.29 2220 66 37 -4 0.00
Tue 03/03 17Z 0.31 2221 76 32 -4 0.00
Tue 03/03 18Z 0.35 2222 85 37 -4 0.00
Tue 03/03 19Z 0.33 2221 89 52 -4 0.01
Tue 03/03 20Z 0.33 2221 90 66 -4 0.01
Tue 03/03 21Z 0.33 2222 96 76 -3 0.02
Tue 03/03 22Z 0.33 2125 97 81 -3 0.02
Tue 03/03 23Z 0.33 2126 98 90 -3 0.02
Wed 03/04 00Z 0.36 2127 98 93 -3 0.04
Wed 03/04 01Z 0.41 2127 98 95 -3 0.06
Wed 03/04 02Z 0.47 2226 98 94 -3 0.06
Wed 03/04 03Z 0.50 2324 98 90 -3 0.04
Wed 03/04 04Z 0.53 2522 98 85 -3 0.03
Wed 03/04 05Z 0.53 2720 98 86 -3 0.04
Wed 03/04 06Z 0.47 2920 97 71 -3 0.02
Wed 03/04 07Z 0.41 3020 94 55 -3 0.02
Wed 03/04 08Z 0.31 3119 79 55 -1 0.01
Wed 03/04 09Z 0.26 3118 63 50 0 0.01
Wed 03/04 10Z 0.27 3017 57 24 0 0.00
Wed 03/04 11Z 0.29 3017 55 15 0 0.00
Wed 03/04 12Z 0.35 2919 56 10 0 0.00
Wed 03/04 13Z 0.40 2921 58 5 0 0.00
Wed 03/04 14Z 0.43 2922 55 3 -1 0.00
Wed 03/04 16Z 0.35 2917 49 5 0 0.00
Wed 03/04 17Z 0.32 2815 50 5 0 0.00
Wed 03/04 18Z 0.33 2714 50 6 0 0.00
Wed 03/04 19Z 0.35 2614 50 8 0 0.00
Wed 03/04 20Z 0.41 2616 47 10 0 0.00
Wed 03/04 21Z 0.45 2617 46 12 0 0.00
Wed 03/04 22Z 0.44 2617 43 14 1 0.00
Wed 03/04 23Z 0.42 2617 39 16 1 0.00
Thu 03/05 00Z 0.42 2618 38 18 2 0.00
Thu 03/05 01Z 0.43 2618 36 22 2 0.00
Thu 03/05 02Z 0.43 2618 34 23 2 0.00
Thu 03/05 03Z 0.46 2519 32 25 2 0.00
Thu 03/05 04Z 0.50 2620 31 24 2 0.00
Thu 03/05 05Z 0.54 2621 30 25 2 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.41 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1