Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260712_1200
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sun 07/12 12Z 0.25 0105 76 18 10 0.00
Sun 07/12 13Z 0.25 0105 77 15 10 0.00
Sun 07/12 14Z 0.45 0004 79 13 10 0.00
Sun 07/12 15Z 0.65 0003 81 11 10 0.00
Sun 07/12 16Z 0.50 0003 81 10 10 0.00
Sun 07/12 17Z 0.49 3401 81 10 11 0.00
Sun 07/12 18Z 0.55 3102 81 11 11 0.00
Sun 07/12 19Z 0.68 2903 80 16 11 0.00
Sun 07/12 20Z 0.76 2903 76 16 12 0.00
Sun 07/12 21Z 0.76 3003 72 15 12 0.00
Sun 07/12 22Z 0.39 2903 68 20 12 0.00
Sun 07/12 23Z 0.15 2902 66 27 12 0.00
Mon 07/13 00Z 0.17 2302 65 15 12 0.00
Mon 07/13 01Z 0.24 2304 64 12 12 0.00
Mon 07/13 02Z 0.32 2305 65 18 12 0.00
Mon 07/13 03Z 0.46 2307 69 12 12 0.00
Mon 07/13 04Z 0.59 2309 73 14 12 0.00
Mon 07/13 05Z 0.77 2412 76 14 11 0.00
Mon 07/13 06Z 0.87 2414 79 20 11 0.00
Mon 07/13 07Z 0.87 2515 80 21 11 0.00
Mon 07/13 08Z 0.89 2616 77 23 11 0.00
Mon 07/13 09Z 0.89 2716 74 28 11 0.00
Mon 07/13 10Z 0.77 2615 71 30 12 0.00
Mon 07/13 11Z 0.67 2614 70 40 12 0.00
Mon 07/13 12Z 0.56 2613 67 50 12 0.00
Mon 07/13 13Z 0.49 2512 66 63 13 0.00
Mon 07/13 14Z 0.47 2511 64 73 13 0.00
Mon 07/13 15Z 0.52 2412 62 83 13 0.00
Mon 07/13 16Z 0.71 2412 61 87 13 0.00
Mon 07/13 17Z 1.20 2412 60 88 14 0.00
Mon 07/13 18Z 1.35 2412 58 87 14 0.00
Mon 07/13 19Z 1.11 2312 61 85 15 0.00
Mon 07/13 20Z 1.00 2314 67 82 15 0.00
Mon 07/13 21Z 1.00 2417 72 85 15 0.00
Mon 07/13 22Z 0.88 2419 77 87 15 0.00
Mon 07/13 23Z 0.79 2520 80 84 15 0.01
Tue 07/14 00Z 0.86 2523 81 78 15 0.01
Tue 07/14 01Z 0.99 2624 79 69 15 0.00
Tue 07/14 02Z 1.05 2624 76 59 15 0.00
Tue 07/14 03Z 0.98 2725 70 52 16 0.00
Tue 07/14 04Z 0.94 2725 69 43 15 0.00
Tue 07/14 05Z 0.79 2825 77 42 16 0.00
Tue 07/14 06Z 0.72 2824 83 32 16 0.01
Tue 07/14 07Z 0.70 2824 83 24 16 0.01
Tue 07/14 08Z 0.64 2824 87 20 16 0.01
Tue 07/14 09Z 0.63 2825 88 23 17 0.01
Tue 07/14 10Z 0.62 2826 87 27 17 0.01
Tue 07/14 11Z 0.64 2827 84 37 18 0.01
Tue 07/14 12Z 0.68 2729 83 38 19 0.00
Tue 07/14 13Z 0.71 2730 78 36 19 0.00
Tue 07/14 14Z 0.74 2729 78 33 19 0.00
Tue 07/14 15Z 0.80 2729 82 27 19 0.00
Tue 07/14 16Z 0.83 2728 83 23 19 0.00
Tue 07/14 17Z 0.92 2627 86 18 19 0.00
Tue 07/14 18Z 1.28 2627 87 15 19 0.00
Tue 07/14 19Z 2.58 2626 85 19 19 0.00
Tue 07/14 20Z 2.47 2626 85 22 19 0.00
Tue 07/14 21Z 2.28 2627 84 24 20 0.00
Tue 07/14 22Z 1.56 2628 85 27 20 0.00
Tue 07/14 23Z 1.48 2630 88 34 20 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.08 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1