Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260304_0600
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Wed 03/04 06Z 0.37 2817 97 57 -3 0.00
Wed 03/04 07Z 0.32 3018 90 38 -2 0.00
Wed 03/04 08Z 0.30 3019 76 48 -1 0.01
Wed 03/04 09Z 0.28 3019 60 37 0 0.01
Wed 03/04 10Z 0.29 3018 50 22 0 0.01
Wed 03/04 11Z 0.32 3018 47 15 0 0.01
Wed 03/04 12Z 0.38 2920 47 12 0 0.00
Wed 03/04 13Z 0.45 2922 49 11 0 0.00
Wed 03/04 14Z 0.49 2924 44 10 0 0.00
Wed 03/04 15Z 0.48 3024 46 9 0 0.00
Wed 03/04 16Z 0.39 3021 50 7 0 0.00
Wed 03/04 17Z 0.34 2917 57 7 0 0.00
Wed 03/04 18Z 0.35 2815 61 9 0 0.00
Wed 03/04 19Z 0.38 2815 61 10 0 0.00
Wed 03/04 21Z 0.45 2717 58 15 0 0.00
Wed 03/04 22Z 0.47 2618 57 17 0 0.00
Wed 03/04 23Z 0.47 2719 55 21 1 0.00
Thu 03/05 01Z 0.48 2720 54 26 1 0.00
Thu 03/05 02Z 0.45 2719 54 27 1 0.00
Thu 03/05 03Z 0.40 2718 51 26 2 0.00
Thu 03/05 04Z 0.42 2718 53 28 1 0.00
Thu 03/05 06Z 0.40 2817 59 24 0 0.00
Thu 03/05 07Z 0.38 2916 64 23 0 0.00
Thu 03/05 08Z 0.37 2916 67 21 0 0.00
Thu 03/05 09Z 0.35 2915 70 19 0 0.00
Thu 03/05 10Z 0.33 2815 72 19 0 0.00
Thu 03/05 11Z 0.26 2912 73 19 0 0.00
Thu 03/05 12Z 0.22 2911 73 20 0 0.00
Thu 03/05 13Z 0.17 3009 74 21 0 0.00
Thu 03/05 14Z 0.12 3007 76 23 0 0.00
Thu 03/05 15Z 0.08 3004 78 25 0 0.00
Thu 03/05 16Z 0.06 2903 79 26 0 0.00
Thu 03/05 17Z 0.04 2801 80 25 0 0.00
Thu 03/05 18Z 0.04 1800 82 26 0 0.00
Thu 03/05 19Z 0.05 1401 83 25 0 0.00
Thu 03/05 20Z 0.08 1303 86 26 0 0.00
Thu 03/05 21Z 0.13 1205 89 26 -1 0.00
Thu 03/05 22Z 0.16 1207 91 26 -1 0.00
Thu 03/05 23Z 0.14 1309 90 26 -1 0.00
Fri 03/06 00Z 0.13 1310 86 26 0 0.00
Fri 03/06 01Z 0.12 1311 82 28 0 0.00
Fri 03/06 02Z 0.13 1312 81 29 0 0.01
Fri 03/06 03Z 0.14 1313 81 30 0 0.01
Fri 03/06 04Z 0.15 1415 81 32 0 0.01
Fri 03/06 05Z 0.15 1415 79 33 0 0.01
Fri 03/06 06Z 0.16 1417 78 34 0 0.01
Fri 03/06 07Z 0.16 1417 79 35 0 0.01
Fri 03/06 08Z 0.13 1416 83 39 0 0.01
Fri 03/06 09Z 0.13 1516 85 41 0 0.01
Fri 03/06 10Z 0.11 1515 86 42 0 0.01
Fri 03/06 11Z 0.10 1515 88 41 -1 0.00
Fri 03/06 12Z 0.11 1515 88 40 0 0.00
Fri 03/06 13Z 0.11 1515 89 35 0 0.00
Fri 03/06 14Z 0.09 1515 91 35 0 0.00
Fri 03/06 15Z 0.10 1516 92 33 0 0.00
Fri 03/06 16Z 0.10 1516 92 30 0 0.00
Fri 03/06 17Z 0.09 1616 93 29 0 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.13 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1