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Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260628_0000
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sun 06/28 00Z 0.07 3405 82 59 12 0.00
Sun 06/28 01Z 0.06 3406 80 58 12 0.00
Sun 06/28 02Z 0.03 0006 77 59 12 0.00
Sun 06/28 03Z 0.06 0106 74 59 12 0.00
Sun 06/28 04Z 0.09 0106 73 62 12 0.00
Sun 06/28 05Z 0.08 0106 73 66 11 0.00
Sun 06/28 06Z 0.04 0006 72 68 11 0.00
Sun 06/28 07Z 0.06 0006 71 56 12 0.00
Sun 06/28 08Z 0.06 0007 69 44 12 0.00
Sun 06/28 09Z 0.06 0008 68 38 11 0.00
Sun 06/28 10Z 0.06 0009 69 33 11 0.00
Sun 06/28 11Z 0.08 0010 70 29 11 0.00
Sun 06/28 12Z 0.11 0010 72 27 11 0.00
Sun 06/28 13Z 0.15 0109 76 28 11 0.00
Sun 06/28 14Z 0.20 0007 80 30 11 0.00
Sun 06/28 15Z 0.45 0005 82 31 11 0.00
Sun 06/28 16Z 0.65 3505 81 36 11 0.01
Sun 06/28 17Z 0.44 3504 78 41 12 0.03
Sun 06/28 18Z 0.38 3404 75 37 12 0.02
Sun 06/28 19Z 0.67 3304 74 32 12 0.01
Sun 06/28 20Z 0.94 3205 73 26 12 0.01
Sun 06/28 21Z 0.75 3307 72 21 12 0.00
Sun 06/28 22Z 0.44 3308 68 25 13 0.00
Sun 06/28 23Z 0.20 3308 61 22 13 0.00
Mon 06/29 00Z 0.11 3409 56 22 13 0.00
Mon 06/29 01Z 0.05 3509 56 21 13 0.00
Mon 06/29 02Z 0.06 0008 58 21 13 0.00
Mon 06/29 03Z 0.09 0008 59 22 12 0.00
Mon 06/29 04Z 0.11 3508 59 25 12 0.00
Mon 06/29 05Z 0.12 3507 60 25 12 0.00
Mon 06/29 06Z 0.17 0007 62 21 12 0.00
Mon 06/29 07Z 0.19 3507 63 19 12 0.00
Mon 06/29 08Z 0.18 3507 64 16 12 0.00
Mon 06/29 09Z 0.16 3407 65 13 12 0.00
Mon 06/29 10Z 0.16 3408 67 13 11 0.00
Mon 06/29 11Z 0.13 3508 68 10 11 0.00
Mon 06/29 12Z 0.14 3408 68 12 11 0.00
Mon 06/29 13Z 0.17 3406 70 12 11 0.00
Mon 06/29 14Z 0.28 3405 71 11 11 0.00
Mon 06/29 15Z 0.42 3304 71 10 12 0.00
Mon 06/29 16Z 0.76 3204 72 14 12 0.00
Mon 06/29 17Z 1.21 3104 71 16 12 0.00
Mon 06/29 18Z 1.37 3104 69 13 12 0.00
Mon 06/29 19Z 1.31 3004 65 10 13 0.00
Mon 06/29 20Z 1.36 3004 62 9 13 0.00
Mon 06/29 21Z 1.09 3005 59 8 13 0.00
Mon 06/29 22Z 0.53 2905 58 8 13 0.00
Mon 06/29 23Z 0.30 2904 61 9 13 0.00
Tue 06/30 00Z 0.29 2804 63 9 13 0.00
Tue 06/30 01Z 0.33 2704 66 12 13 0.00
Tue 06/30 02Z 0.39 2605 68 17 13 0.00
Tue 06/30 03Z 0.49 2607 70 20 13 0.00
Tue 06/30 04Z 0.58 2608 72 22 13 0.00
Tue 06/30 05Z 0.64 2609 74 22 13 0.00
Tue 06/30 06Z 0.66 2609 74 21 13 0.00
Tue 06/30 07Z 0.69 2610 76 17 13 0.00
Tue 06/30 08Z 0.69 2611 75 19 12 0.00
Tue 06/30 09Z 0.60 2610 74 25 12 0.00
Tue 06/30 10Z 0.54 2609 73 29 13 0.00
Tue 06/30 11Z 0.58 2610 74 33 13 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.08 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1