Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260218_0000
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Wed 02/18 00Z 0.50 2715 97 29 -3 0.00
Wed 02/18 01Z 0.56 2718 93 48 -3 0.00
Wed 02/18 02Z 0.62 2720 89 62 -3 0.00
Wed 02/18 03Z 0.65 2822 88 68 -2 0.01
Wed 02/18 04Z 0.74 2824 86 64 -3 0.01
Wed 02/18 05Z 0.77 2824 80 47 -3 0.01
Wed 02/18 06Z 0.82 2925 82 33 -4 0.01
Wed 02/18 07Z 0.82 2925 86 30 -4 0.01
Wed 02/18 08Z 0.81 2925 86 30 -5 0.01
Wed 02/18 09Z 0.63 3025 83 30 -5 0.01
Wed 02/18 10Z 0.54 3025 79 31 -6 0.01
Wed 02/18 11Z 0.45 3124 71 29 -6 0.01
Wed 02/18 12Z 0.36 3123 62 18 -6 0.00
Wed 02/18 13Z 0.31 3122 53 15 -6 0.00
Wed 02/18 14Z 0.25 3221 44 9 -6 0.00
Wed 02/18 15Z 0.20 3218 37 7 -5 0.00
Wed 02/18 16Z 0.16 3316 34 6 -5 0.00
Wed 02/18 17Z 0.11 3414 34 6 -5 0.00
Wed 02/18 18Z 0.06 3512 37 6 -5 0.00
Wed 02/18 19Z 0.05 3510 41 7 -6 0.00
Wed 02/18 20Z 0.05 0010 41 8 -6 0.00
Wed 02/18 21Z 0.05 0009 42 9 -6 0.00
Wed 02/18 22Z 0.10 0211 38 12 -6 0.00
Wed 02/18 23Z 0.19 0314 35 16 -6 0.00
Thu 02/19 00Z 0.24 0316 33 20 -6 0.00
Thu 02/19 01Z 0.26 0416 33 21 -5 0.00
Thu 02/19 02Z 0.26 0415 33 20 -5 0.00
Thu 02/19 03Z 0.22 0414 34 19 -5 0.00
Thu 02/19 04Z 0.17 0411 35 15 -6 0.00
Thu 02/19 05Z 0.13 0408 34 12 -6 0.00
Thu 02/19 06Z 0.12 0407 32 12 -6 0.00
Thu 02/19 07Z 0.09 0306 31 8 -6 0.00
Thu 02/19 08Z 0.05 0204 30 12 -6 0.00
Thu 02/19 09Z 0.03 0104 29 16 -6 0.00
Thu 02/19 10Z 0.04 0104 27 19 -5 0.00
Thu 02/19 11Z 0.03 0103 27 18 -5 0.00
Thu 02/19 12Z 0.05 0304 25 17 -5 0.00
Thu 02/19 13Z 0.05 0403 25 17 -5 0.00
Thu 02/19 14Z 0.03 0501 26 16 -5 0.00
Thu 02/19 15Z 0.02 1500 28 18 -5 0.00
Thu 02/19 16Z 0.02 1701 31 32 -5 0.00
Thu 02/19 17Z 0.05 2003 35 38 -5 0.00
Thu 02/19 18Z 0.07 2104 39 35 -5 0.00
Thu 02/19 19Z 0.10 2204 42 26 -4 0.00
Thu 02/19 20Z 0.12 2304 47 25 -4 0.00
Thu 02/19 21Z 0.13 2305 56 24 -4 0.00
Thu 02/19 22Z 0.13 2305 61 28 -4 0.00
Thu 02/19 23Z 0.15 2306 67 28 -5 0.00
Fri 02/20 00Z 0.16 2406 73 27 -4 0.00
Fri 02/20 01Z 0.14 2505 76 29 -4 0.00
Fri 02/20 02Z 0.12 2505 78 25 -3 0.00
Fri 02/20 03Z 0.09 2604 79 17 -3 0.00
Fri 02/20 04Z 0.07 2603 78 19 -2 0.00
Fri 02/20 05Z 0.05 2402 78 21 -2 0.00
Fri 02/20 06Z 0.06 2203 79 15 -2 0.00
Fri 02/20 07Z 0.07 2105 80 18 -1 0.00
Fri 02/20 08Z 0.06 2105 77 24 -1 0.00
Fri 02/20 09Z 0.04 2004 75 30 0 0.00
Fri 02/20 10Z 0.02 1903 71 30 0 0.00
Fri 02/20 11Z 0.02 1705 70 27 0 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.09 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1