Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260726_1800
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sun 07/26 18Z 0.35 1600 81 51 13 0.00
Sun 07/26 19Z 0.51 1202 80 54 13 0.05
Sun 07/26 20Z 0.38 1303 80 54 13 0.06
Sun 07/26 21Z 0.24 1302 79 49 14 0.02
Sun 07/26 22Z 0.24 1403 80 47 14 0.01
Sun 07/26 23Z 0.15 1504 83 48 13 0.00
Mon 07/27 00Z 0.12 1606 86 50 13 0.01
Mon 07/27 01Z 0.07 1707 87 51 13 0.02
Mon 07/27 02Z 0.05 1708 87 46 13 0.00
Mon 07/27 03Z 0.05 1809 87 40 13 0.00
Mon 07/27 04Z 0.10 1908 85 38 13 0.00
Mon 07/27 05Z 0.15 2007 84 39 13 0.00
Mon 07/27 06Z 0.20 2206 82 37 13 0.00
Mon 07/27 07Z 0.22 2306 82 39 13 0.00
Mon 07/27 08Z 0.25 2506 84 43 13 0.00
Mon 07/27 09Z 0.24 2406 87 48 12 0.00
Mon 07/27 10Z 0.19 2305 90 53 12 0.00
Mon 07/27 11Z 0.16 2205 91 59 12 0.00
Mon 07/27 12Z 0.15 2205 93 69 12 0.00
Mon 07/27 13Z 0.14 2105 94 73 12 0.01
Mon 07/27 14Z 0.13 2205 94 76 12 0.01
Mon 07/27 15Z 0.18 2305 94 76 12 0.01
Mon 07/27 16Z 0.09 2003 92 73 12 0.00
Mon 07/27 17Z 0.13 1903 90 71 12 0.00
Mon 07/27 18Z 0.30 2004 89 70 13 0.00
Mon 07/27 19Z 0.37 2005 87 62 13 0.01
Mon 07/27 20Z 0.50 2105 87 62 13 0.00
Mon 07/27 21Z 0.42 2105 87 65 14 0.00
Mon 07/27 22Z 0.21 2005 87 66 14 0.00
Mon 07/27 23Z 0.16 2006 88 63 14 0.00
Tue 07/28 00Z 0.27 2108 88 63 14 0.00
Tue 07/28 01Z 0.33 2109 89 63 13 0.00
Tue 07/28 02Z 0.33 2111 90 69 13 0.00
Tue 07/28 03Z 0.28 2012 89 67 13 0.00
Tue 07/28 04Z 0.29 2013 89 60 13 0.00
Tue 07/28 05Z 0.29 2014 90 57 13 0.00
Tue 07/28 06Z 0.24 2014 91 58 13 0.00
Tue 07/28 07Z 0.31 2116 91 67 13 0.00
Tue 07/28 08Z 0.29 2115 88 71 13 0.00
Tue 07/28 09Z 0.10 1912 84 63 14 0.00
Tue 07/28 10Z 0.03 1713 82 59 14 0.00
Tue 07/28 11Z 0.07 1815 88 67 13 0.00
Tue 07/28 12Z 0.05 1814 90 69 13 0.00
Tue 07/28 13Z 0.03 1714 91 69 13 0.00
Tue 07/28 14Z 0.08 1715 92 73 13 0.00
Tue 07/28 15Z 0.13 1615 93 75 13 0.01
Tue 07/28 16Z 0.27 1616 94 75 13 0.00
Tue 07/28 17Z 0.30 1716 94 74 13 0.00
Tue 07/28 18Z 0.34 1616 94 67 14 0.00
Tue 07/28 19Z 0.22 1617 94 67 14 0.01
Tue 07/28 20Z 0.19 1618 95 71 14 0.02
Tue 07/28 21Z 0.14 1617 94 72 14 0.07
Tue 07/28 22Z 0.20 1619 94 69 14 0.04
Tue 07/28 23Z 0.22 1620 96 71 14 0.02
Wed 07/29 00Z 0.26 1521 95 69 14 0.01
Wed 07/29 01Z 0.20 1622 96 70 14 0.01
Wed 07/29 02Z 0.16 1623 96 69 13 0.01
Wed 07/29 03Z 0.13 1621 95 63 13 0.01
Wed 07/29 04Z 0.15 1621 92 57 13 0.01
Wed 07/29 05Z 0.13 1619 88 56 13 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.43 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1