Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260917_0000
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Thu 09/17 00Z 0.20 3006 92 18 13 0.00
Thu 09/17 01Z 0.20 3006 91 13 13 0.00
Thu 09/17 02Z 0.18 3107 90 12 13 0.00
Thu 09/17 03Z 0.14 3106 89 12 12 0.00
Thu 09/17 04Z 0.13 3105 90 13 12 0.00
Thu 09/17 05Z 0.11 2904 89 15 12 0.00
Thu 09/17 06Z 0.09 2802 89 19 12 0.00
Thu 09/17 07Z 0.07 2602 87 21 12 0.00
Thu 09/17 08Z 0.07 2203 86 28 12 0.00
Thu 09/17 09Z 0.09 2204 87 35 12 0.00
Thu 09/17 10Z 0.11 2205 90 36 12 0.00
Thu 09/17 11Z 0.14 2206 91 38 12 0.00
Thu 09/17 12Z 0.14 2206 92 37 12 0.00
Thu 09/17 13Z 0.16 2207 93 38 12 0.00
Thu 09/17 14Z 0.17 2208 94 41 12 0.00
Thu 09/17 15Z 0.20 2208 97 43 12 0.00
Thu 09/17 16Z 0.21 2308 98 51 12 0.00
Thu 09/17 17Z 0.20 2308 98 63 12 0.01
Thu 09/17 18Z 0.20 2308 97 73 12 0.01
Thu 09/17 19Z 0.20 2308 98 81 13 0.02
Thu 09/17 20Z 0.22 2408 99 87 13 0.03
Thu 09/17 21Z 0.22 2507 98 92 13 0.04
Thu 09/17 22Z 0.19 2706 95 93 13 0.04
Thu 09/17 23Z 0.18 2806 90 94 13 0.07
Fri 09/18 00Z 0.18 2806 89 94 13 0.05
Fri 09/18 01Z 0.17 2906 87 83 13 0.03
Fri 09/18 02Z 0.19 3007 89 77 13 0.01
Fri 09/18 03Z 0.21 3008 91 81 12 0.01
Fri 09/18 04Z 0.24 3010 91 79 12 0.01
Fri 09/18 05Z 0.27 3011 90 88 12 0.01
Fri 09/18 06Z 0.29 3013 87 81 11 0.01
Fri 09/18 07Z 0.37 3017 87 76 11 0.01
Fri 09/18 08Z 0.38 3119 82 68 10 0.01
Fri 09/18 09Z 0.38 3120 79 64 10 0.01
Fri 09/18 10Z 0.40 3222 78 40 9 0.01
Fri 09/18 11Z 0.48 3225 83 37 8 0.01
Fri 09/18 12Z 0.50 3225 85 21 7 0.01
Fri 09/18 13Z 0.48 3225 83 10 6 0.00
Fri 09/18 14Z 0.50 3324 83 13 6 0.00
Fri 09/18 15Z 0.86 3222 86 10 5 0.00
Fri 09/18 16Z 2.88 3221 83 5 5 0.00
Fri 09/18 17Z 4.70 3220 80 2 5 0.00
Fri 09/18 18Z 3.73 3221 76 2 5 0.00
Fri 09/18 19Z 2.51 3220 70 2 5 0.00
Fri 09/18 20Z 1.75 3220 65 2 4 0.00
Fri 09/18 21Z 0.83 3320 59 2 4 0.00
Fri 09/18 22Z 0.61 3321 54 2 5 0.00
Fri 09/18 23Z 0.37 3321 53 2 5 0.00
Sat 09/19 00Z 0.27 3422 54 3 4 0.00
Sat 09/19 01Z 0.20 3423 55 3 4 0.00
Sat 09/19 02Z 0.12 3423 55 4 4 0.00
Sat 09/19 03Z 0.08 3521 58 5 4 0.00
Sat 09/19 04Z 0.05 3521 57 6 4 0.00
Sat 09/19 05Z 0.04 3519 54 7 4 0.00
Sat 09/19 06Z 0.03 3518 50 7 4 0.00
Sat 09/19 07Z 0.03 3516 45 7 4 0.00
Sat 09/19 08Z 0.03 3515 41 7 4 0.00
Sat 09/19 09Z 0.03 3514 37 7 5 0.00
Sat 09/19 10Z 0.04 3513 35 6 5 0.00
Sat 09/19 11Z 0.03 3513 33 7 5 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.41 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1