Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260709_0600
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Thu 07/09 06Z 0.63 2716 81 12 16 0.00
Thu 07/09 07Z 0.65 2817 79 8 16 0.00
Thu 07/09 08Z 0.61 2816 79 12 16 0.00
Thu 07/09 09Z 0.55 2816 78 22 15 0.00
Thu 07/09 10Z 0.53 2815 79 25 15 0.00
Thu 07/09 11Z 0.44 2912 85 30 15 0.00
Thu 07/09 12Z 0.35 2909 89 40 14 0.00
Thu 07/09 13Z 0.28 2807 89 41 14 0.00
Thu 07/09 14Z 0.26 2507 90 51 15 0.00
Thu 07/09 15Z 0.30 2407 89 46 15 0.00
Thu 07/09 16Z 0.43 2508 86 41 15 0.00
Thu 07/09 17Z 0.80 2407 84 53 15 0.00
Thu 07/09 18Z 1.26 2407 83 60 15 0.00
Thu 07/09 19Z 1.33 2307 82 69 16 0.01
Thu 07/09 20Z 1.35 2309 83 77 16 0.05
Thu 07/09 21Z 1.17 2310 84 77 16 0.02
Thu 07/09 22Z 0.61 2310 89 80 16 0.04
Thu 07/09 23Z 0.56 2613 91 79 16 0.26
Fri 07/10 00Z 0.46 2710 92 80 16 0.06
Fri 07/10 01Z 0.34 2609 91 74 16 0.05
Fri 07/10 02Z 0.30 2507 93 69 16 0.01
Fri 07/10 03Z 0.29 2507 96 76 15 0.03
Fri 07/10 04Z 0.30 2508 97 82 15 0.05
Fri 07/10 05Z 0.34 2610 98 79 15 0.05
Fri 07/10 06Z 0.36 2812 97 76 15 0.07
Fri 07/10 07Z 0.33 3014 96 72 14 0.03
Fri 07/10 08Z 0.25 3214 94 67 14 0.01
Fri 07/10 09Z 0.20 3315 91 66 14 0.01
Fri 07/10 10Z 0.21 3316 88 73 13 0.01
Fri 07/10 11Z 0.16 3316 87 70 13 0.01
Fri 07/10 12Z 0.12 3416 87 65 13 0.01
Fri 07/10 13Z 0.09 3415 85 56 12 0.00
Fri 07/10 14Z 0.07 3514 83 55 12 0.00
Fri 07/10 15Z 0.07 3512 82 60 12 0.00
Fri 07/10 16Z 0.14 3511 82 53 12 0.00
Fri 07/10 17Z 0.42 3411 82 47 12 0.00
Fri 07/10 18Z 0.80 3411 83 38 12 0.00
Fri 07/10 19Z 1.27 3310 79 26 12 0.00
Fri 07/10 20Z 1.17 3309 76 20 12 0.00
Fri 07/10 21Z 1.01 3309 74 21 12 0.00
Fri 07/10 22Z 0.58 3310 77 40 12 0.00
Fri 07/10 23Z 0.25 3310 79 30 12 0.00
Sat 07/11 00Z 0.29 3311 79 33 12 0.00
Sat 07/11 01Z 0.28 3312 81 25 11 0.00
Sat 07/11 02Z 0.25 3312 82 25 11 0.00
Sat 07/11 03Z 0.25 3414 82 27 11 0.00
Sat 07/11 04Z 0.14 3413 81 25 10 0.00
Sat 07/11 05Z 0.12 3512 79 24 10 0.00
Sat 07/11 06Z 0.10 0011 78 27 10 0.00
Sat 07/11 07Z 0.12 0109 78 18 10 0.00
Sat 07/11 08Z 0.12 0108 79 19 9 0.00
Sat 07/11 09Z 0.14 0108 80 22 9 0.00
Sat 07/11 10Z 0.13 0108 80 17 9 0.00
Sat 07/11 11Z 0.11 0107 79 12 9 0.00
Sat 07/11 12Z 0.10 0107 77 14 8 0.00
Sat 07/11 13Z 0.14 0007 77 17 8 0.00
Sat 07/11 14Z 0.23 3506 79 21 8 0.00
Sat 07/11 15Z 0.43 3506 80 25 9 0.00
Sat 07/11 16Z 0.48 3508 80 27 9 0.00
Sat 07/11 17Z 0.76 3409 79 31 9 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.78 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1