Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260330_0000
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Mon 03/30 00Z 1.49 2519 58 19 -3 0.00
Mon 03/30 01Z 1.67 2620 58 9 -3 0.00
Mon 03/30 02Z 1.33 2519 58 13 -2 0.00
Mon 03/30 03Z 1.04 2420 54 43 -2 0.00
Mon 03/30 04Z 0.89 2421 48 81 -1 0.00
Mon 03/30 05Z 0.85 2324 45 87 0 0.00
Mon 03/30 06Z 1.47 2327 47 73 0 0.00
Mon 03/30 07Z 0.82 2232 52 75 0 0.00
Mon 03/30 08Z 0.80 2236 55 56 1 0.00
Mon 03/30 09Z 0.78 2336 56 29 2 0.00
Mon 03/30 10Z 0.75 2434 54 22 2 0.00
Mon 03/30 11Z 0.78 2432 54 49 2 0.00
Mon 03/30 12Z 0.79 2531 56 57 1 0.00
Mon 03/30 13Z 0.82 2531 56 63 1 0.00
Mon 03/30 14Z 0.85 2530 54 59 1 0.00
Mon 03/30 15Z 0.95 2530 55 60 1 0.00
Mon 03/30 16Z 1.05 2529 57 47 2 0.00
Mon 03/30 17Z 1.16 2529 59 52 2 0.00
Mon 03/30 18Z 1.29 2529 61 51 2 0.00
Mon 03/30 19Z 2.10 2530 64 60 3 0.00
Mon 03/30 20Z 2.21 2531 68 62 3 0.00
Mon 03/30 21Z 3.52 2530 65 63 3 0.00
Mon 03/30 22Z 3.72 2630 68 70 3 0.00
Mon 03/30 23Z 1.95 2629 78 82 3 0.01
Tue 03/31 00Z 1.24 2628 85 87 3 0.03
Tue 03/31 01Z 1.11 2728 91 82 3 0.03
Tue 03/31 02Z 1.02 2726 90 85 2 0.02
Tue 03/31 03Z 0.84 2823 91 86 2 0.02
Tue 03/31 04Z 0.70 2820 93 81 2 0.01
Tue 03/31 05Z 0.56 2816 95 81 2 0.01
Tue 03/31 06Z 0.46 2814 96 81 2 0.01
Tue 03/31 07Z 0.38 2713 96 78 3 0.01
Tue 03/31 08Z 0.28 2710 95 80 3 0.01
Tue 03/31 09Z 0.16 2506 95 76 3 0.00
Tue 03/31 10Z 0.09 2106 97 75 3 0.00
Tue 03/31 11Z 0.04 1808 98 70 4 0.01
Tue 03/31 12Z 0.03 1711 98 98 4 0.05
Tue 03/31 13Z 0.03 1813 99 98 4 0.15
Tue 03/31 14Z 0.10 1618 98 99 5 0.08
Tue 03/31 15Z 0.12 1720 99 99 5 0.11
Tue 03/31 16Z 0.16 1721 98 99 5 0.21
Tue 03/31 17Z 0.22 1920 98 97 5 0.11
Tue 03/31 18Z 0.24 2118 99 85 6 0.07
Tue 03/31 19Z 0.31 2319 99 67 7 0.05
Tue 03/31 20Z 0.36 2421 99 63 7 0.05
Tue 03/31 21Z 0.39 2322 99 61 8 0.06
Tue 03/31 22Z 0.42 2324 99 52 8 0.04
Tue 03/31 23Z 0.46 2326 99 87 9 0.06
Wed 04/01 00Z 0.48 2328 99 85 9 0.06
Wed 04/01 01Z 0.52 2331 99 86 9 0.09
Wed 04/01 02Z 0.55 2233 98 93 9 0.11
Wed 04/01 03Z 0.53 2234 98 87 10 0.10
Wed 04/01 04Z 0.62 2238 99 77 10 0.05
Wed 04/01 05Z 0.89 2340 99 43 9 0.08
Wed 04/01 06Z 1.00 2338 97 82 9 0.08
Wed 04/01 07Z 1.07 2439 98 94 9 0.14
Wed 04/01 08Z 0.98 2437 98 96 9 0.09
Wed 04/01 09Z 0.95 2537 99 93 9 0.15
Wed 04/01 10Z 0.97 2535 98 87 8 0.15
Wed 04/01 11Z 0.87 2731 98 76 7 0.10
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 2.41 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1