Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260214_1200
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sat 02/14 12Z 0.45 2715 90 80 -10 0.00
Sat 02/14 13Z 0.50 2817 94 81 -10 0.00
Sat 02/14 14Z 0.52 2818 95 76 -10 0.00
Sat 02/14 15Z 0.52 2817 96 70 -10 0.00
Sat 02/14 16Z 0.50 2915 96 55 -10 0.00
Sat 02/14 17Z 0.54 2915 95 43 -10 0.00
Sat 02/14 18Z 0.66 2816 94 31 -10 0.00
Sat 02/14 19Z 0.78 2816 95 25 -10 0.00
Sat 02/14 20Z 0.88 2717 96 21 -10 0.00
Sat 02/14 21Z 0.97 2719 96 18 -10 0.00
Sat 02/14 22Z 1.00 2821 93 18 -10 0.01
Sat 02/14 23Z 0.94 2822 87 19 -10 0.01
Sun 02/15 00Z 0.85 2924 82 21 -10 0.01
Sun 02/15 01Z 0.87 2926 79 21 -10 0.00
Sun 02/15 02Z 0.94 3027 80 17 -11 0.00
Sun 02/15 03Z 0.96 3027 82 16 -11 0.01
Sun 02/15 04Z 0.98 3027 81 16 -12 0.00
Sun 02/15 05Z 0.76 3027 83 15 -12 0.00
Sun 02/15 06Z 0.59 3126 77 15 -12 0.00
Sun 02/15 07Z 0.48 3127 69 15 -12 0.00
Sun 02/15 08Z 0.38 3127 58 15 -11 0.00
Sun 02/15 09Z 0.27 3227 45 15 -11 0.00
Sun 02/15 10Z 0.18 3325 35 15 -10 0.00
Sun 02/15 11Z 0.13 3422 27 14 -10 0.00
Sun 02/15 12Z 0.08 3519 22 13 -9 0.00
Sun 02/15 13Z 0.06 0015 18 13 -9 0.00
Sun 02/15 14Z 0.07 0111 17 13 -8 0.00
Sun 02/15 15Z 0.09 0308 19 14 -8 0.00
Sun 02/15 16Z 0.11 0507 20 15 -7 0.00
Sun 02/15 17Z 0.08 0604 21 20 -7 0.00
Sun 02/15 18Z 0.08 0803 22 32 -6 0.00
Sun 02/15 19Z 0.09 1004 22 38 -6 0.00
Sun 02/15 20Z 0.07 1304 24 37 -6 0.00
Sun 02/15 21Z 0.03 1606 22 37 -6 0.00
Sun 02/15 22Z 0.03 1708 19 31 -5 0.00
Sun 02/15 23Z 0.02 1810 17 36 -4 0.00
Mon 02/16 00Z 0.03 1811 15 45 -4 0.00
Mon 02/16 01Z 0.02 1811 16 47 -4 0.00
Mon 02/16 02Z 0.03 1811 19 45 -4 0.00
Mon 02/16 03Z 0.03 1812 23 51 -4 0.00
Mon 02/16 04Z 0.05 1814 27 59 -4 0.00
Mon 02/16 05Z 0.07 1915 31 66 -5 0.00
Mon 02/16 06Z 0.08 1916 38 76 -5 0.00
Mon 02/16 07Z 0.06 1816 45 81 -5 0.00
Mon 02/16 08Z 0.04 1814 50 71 -4 0.00
Mon 02/16 09Z 0.04 1814 53 64 -4 0.00
Mon 02/16 10Z 0.04 1812 58 60 -4 0.00
Mon 02/16 11Z 0.04 1812 63 59 -4 0.00
Mon 02/16 12Z 0.04 1813 66 68 -4 0.00
Mon 02/16 13Z 0.05 1813 69 89 -4 0.00
Mon 02/16 14Z 0.04 1812 72 90 -4 0.00
Mon 02/16 15Z 0.05 1911 74 87 -3 0.00
Mon 02/16 16Z 0.06 1911 76 83 -4 0.00
Mon 02/16 17Z 0.06 1811 77 73 -4 0.00
Mon 02/16 18Z 0.07 1910 78 60 -4 0.00
Mon 02/16 19Z 0.08 2009 79 48 -4 0.00
Mon 02/16 20Z 0.08 2008 80 35 -4 0.00
Mon 02/16 21Z 0.08 2007 81 34 -4 0.00
Mon 02/16 22Z 0.08 2007 83 30 -4 0.00
Mon 02/16 23Z 0.11 2107 84 26 -4 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.04 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1