Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260422_1800
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Wed 04/22 18Z 0.33 1805 87 77 0 0.00
Wed 04/22 19Z 0.21 1807 88 76 0 0.00
Wed 04/22 20Z 0.23 1910 91 64 0 0.00
Wed 04/22 21Z 0.17 2011 94 56 0 0.00
Wed 04/22 22Z 0.23 2111 97 77 0 0.00
Wed 04/22 23Z 0.22 2211 97 49 1 0.01
Thu 04/23 00Z 0.24 2310 95 44 1 0.00
Thu 04/23 01Z 0.26 2510 94 24 2 0.00
Thu 04/23 02Z 0.30 2611 93 23 2 0.00
Thu 04/23 03Z 0.34 2813 93 30 1 0.00
Thu 04/23 04Z 0.34 2913 90 52 1 0.00
Thu 04/23 05Z 0.37 2914 88 65 1 0.00
Thu 04/23 06Z 0.44 2915 88 76 1 0.00
Thu 04/23 07Z 0.51 3016 86 84 1 0.00
Thu 04/23 08Z 0.57 3019 88 85 0 0.00
Thu 04/23 09Z 0.52 3120 88 84 0 0.00
Thu 04/23 10Z 0.47 3222 87 80 0 0.01
Thu 04/23 11Z 0.42 3223 86 63 -1 0.00
Thu 04/23 12Z 0.41 3323 87 30 -2 0.00
Thu 04/23 13Z 0.51 3323 88 17 -3 0.00
Thu 04/23 14Z 1.50 3322 88 19 -3 0.00
Thu 04/23 15Z 4.56 3222 84 16 -3 0.00
Thu 04/23 16Z 6.53 3222 85 14 -3 0.00
Thu 04/23 17Z 7.73 3222 80 14 -3 0.00
Thu 04/23 18Z 7.93 3222 73 9 -2 0.00
Thu 04/23 19Z 7.87 3221 68 7 -2 0.00
Thu 04/23 20Z 7.12 3220 64 5 -1 0.00
Thu 04/23 21Z 6.38 3220 59 5 -1 0.00
Thu 04/23 22Z 4.98 3321 57 4 -1 0.00
Thu 04/23 23Z 2.20 3321 57 3 -2 0.00
Fri 04/24 00Z 0.83 3421 58 2 -2 0.00
Fri 04/24 01Z 0.50 3421 59 2 -3 0.00
Fri 04/24 02Z 0.35 3519 61 2 -3 0.00
Fri 04/24 03Z 0.24 3517 65 3 -4 0.00
Fri 04/24 04Z 0.13 3514 69 5 -4 0.00
Fri 04/24 05Z 0.08 3512 73 7 -4 0.00
Fri 04/24 06Z 0.11 3411 76 10 -5 0.00
Fri 04/24 07Z 0.17 3411 78 12 -5 0.00
Fri 04/24 08Z 0.16 3412 79 14 -5 0.00
Fri 04/24 09Z 0.13 3413 80 14 -6 0.00
Fri 04/24 10Z 0.13 3415 80 11 -6 0.00
Fri 04/24 11Z 0.12 3416 78 12 -6 0.00
Fri 04/24 12Z 0.13 3415 80 15 -6 0.00
Fri 04/24 13Z 0.12 3413 81 24 -6 0.00
Fri 04/24 14Z 0.20 3412 79 38 -5 0.00
Fri 04/24 15Z 0.64 3310 77 47 -5 0.00
Fri 04/24 16Z 0.94 3310 74 49 -5 0.00
Fri 04/24 17Z 1.63 3310 71 42 -4 0.00
Fri 04/24 18Z 2.22 3310 67 34 -4 0.00
Fri 04/24 19Z 2.43 3310 63 27 -3 0.00
Fri 04/24 20Z 2.43 3311 57 24 -3 0.00
Fri 04/24 21Z 1.69 3312 51 22 -2 0.00
Fri 04/24 22Z 0.76 3413 50 19 -2 0.00
Fri 04/24 23Z 0.13 0012 54 12 -2 0.00
Sat 04/25 00Z 0.20 0112 60 10 -3 0.00
Sat 04/25 01Z 0.34 0213 66 13 -3 0.00
Sat 04/25 02Z 0.44 0414 69 17 -3 0.00
Sat 04/25 03Z 0.47 0513 71 20 -4 0.00
Sat 04/25 04Z 0.39 0611 73 27 -4 0.00
Sat 04/25 05Z 0.38 0611 71 32 -4 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.02 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1