Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260308_0000
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sun 03/08 00Z 0.61 2339 76 90 12 0.00
Sun 03/08 01Z 0.70 2344 80 82 12 0.02
Sun 03/08 02Z 0.73 2344 88 89 11 0.01
Sun 03/08 03Z 0.74 2442 95 90 10 0.09
Sun 03/08 04Z 0.76 2441 95 92 9 0.14
Sun 03/08 05Z 0.75 2538 94 86 9 0.05
Sun 03/08 06Z 0.78 2539 94 86 9 0.01
Sun 03/08 07Z 0.76 2438 96 92 9 0.02
Sun 03/08 08Z 0.84 2539 94 89 8 0.04
Sun 03/08 09Z 0.93 2540 96 72 7 0.03
Sun 03/08 10Z 0.93 2638 94 47 7 0.02
Sun 03/08 11Z 1.03 2636 92 44 5 0.01
Sun 03/08 12Z 1.22 2636 94 28 4 0.01
Sun 03/08 13Z 1.21 2635 93 9 3 0.01
Sun 03/08 14Z 1.12 2632 93 9 1 0.01
Sun 03/08 15Z 0.98 2629 91 10 1 0.01
Sun 03/08 16Z 0.93 2727 91 11 0 0.01
Sun 03/08 17Z 0.90 2625 91 12 0 0.01
Sun 03/08 18Z 0.89 2625 90 11 0 0.01
Sun 03/08 19Z 1.00 2625 90 7 0 0.00
Sun 03/08 20Z 1.00 2525 88 8 0 0.00
Sun 03/08 21Z 1.04 2527 88 12 -1 0.00
Sun 03/08 22Z 0.87 2529 83 17 0 0.00
Sun 03/08 23Z 0.86 2532 74 35 0 0.00
Mon 03/09 00Z 0.76 2535 65 71 1 0.00
Mon 03/09 01Z 0.91 2638 70 39 0 0.00
Mon 03/09 02Z 1.21 2640 84 21 -2 0.00
Mon 03/09 03Z 1.36 2641 91 15 -2 0.00
Mon 03/09 04Z 1.34 2639 91 10 -2 0.00
Mon 03/09 05Z 1.17 2739 84 8 -1 0.01
Mon 03/09 06Z 1.01 2737 76 10 0 0.00
Mon 03/09 07Z 0.96 2736 69 22 0 0.00
Mon 03/09 08Z 0.89 2735 63 43 0 0.00
Mon 03/09 09Z 0.78 2733 55 68 1 0.00
Mon 03/09 10Z 0.67 2630 49 77 3 0.00
Mon 03/09 11Z 0.68 2531 52 76 3 0.00
Mon 03/09 12Z 0.76 2533 54 74 3 0.00
Mon 03/09 13Z 0.75 2436 49 71 4 0.00
Mon 03/09 14Z 0.78 2440 50 67 6 0.00
Mon 03/09 15Z 0.87 2442 37 72 7 0.00
Mon 03/09 16Z 0.96 2443 34 65 7 0.00
Mon 03/09 17Z 0.99 2443 34 59 7 0.00
Mon 03/09 18Z 1.02 2442 35 55 7 0.00
Mon 03/09 19Z 1.02 2441 37 55 7 0.00
Mon 03/09 20Z 1.01 2439 39 53 7 0.00
Mon 03/09 21Z 1.00 2438 41 50 7 0.00
Mon 03/09 22Z 0.94 2437 43 50 7 0.00
Mon 03/09 23Z 0.91 2437 42 49 7 0.00
Tue 03/10 00Z 0.92 2437 41 45 7 0.00
Tue 03/10 01Z 0.98 2438 42 44 7 0.00
Tue 03/10 02Z 1.01 2438 43 45 7 0.00
Tue 03/10 03Z 0.93 2537 41 42 8 0.00
Tue 03/10 04Z 0.99 2537 40 45 7 0.00
Tue 03/10 05Z 1.04 2635 42 45 6 0.00
Tue 03/10 06Z 1.07 2634 45 43 6 0.00
Tue 03/10 07Z 1.08 2631 49 45 5 0.00
Tue 03/10 09Z 0.91 2727 53 47 5 0.00
Tue 03/10 10Z 0.73 2624 53 45 5 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.52 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1