Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260810_1800
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Mon 08/10 18Z 0.59 1907 79 66 14 0.00
Mon 08/10 19Z 1.22 2008 76 70 15 0.00
Mon 08/10 20Z 1.04 2111 72 72 15 0.00
Mon 08/10 21Z 0.50 2111 66 80 16 0.00
Mon 08/10 22Z 0.37 2112 61 78 16 0.00
Mon 08/10 23Z 0.45 2114 66 63 16 0.00
Tue 08/11 00Z 0.59 2117 72 62 16 0.00
Tue 08/11 01Z 0.82 2221 82 64 15 0.00
Tue 08/11 02Z 0.84 2324 92 65 15 0.00
Tue 08/11 03Z 0.90 2524 91 66 15 0.01
Tue 08/11 04Z 0.80 2624 89 53 15 0.01
Tue 08/11 05Z 0.70 2823 86 50 15 0.01
Tue 08/11 06Z 0.69 2823 85 51 15 0.01
Tue 08/11 07Z 0.67 2823 85 50 14 0.01
Tue 08/11 08Z 0.68 2924 88 50 14 0.01
Tue 08/11 09Z 0.64 2922 90 48 13 0.01
Tue 08/11 10Z 0.62 2922 91 41 13 0.01
Tue 08/11 11Z 0.61 3022 91 40 12 0.01
Tue 08/11 12Z 0.58 3021 92 36 12 0.01
Tue 08/11 13Z 0.55 3020 92 33 11 0.01
Tue 08/11 14Z 0.55 3019 91 30 11 0.01
Tue 08/11 15Z 0.57 3017 90 29 11 0.01
Tue 08/11 16Z 0.66 3017 88 31 11 0.01
Tue 08/11 17Z 1.68 3016 88 30 11 0.00
Tue 08/11 18Z 4.11 3016 86 25 11 0.00
Tue 08/11 19Z 4.55 3015 84 23 11 0.00
Tue 08/11 20Z 5.33 3016 82 24 12 0.00
Tue 08/11 21Z 4.12 3016 81 23 12 0.00
Tue 08/11 22Z 2.74 3017 79 25 12 0.00
Tue 08/11 23Z 1.99 3018 77 23 11 0.00
Wed 08/12 00Z 1.56 3019 77 20 11 0.00
Wed 08/12 01Z 1.25 3021 78 22 11 0.00
Wed 08/12 02Z 1.11 3122 76 21 11 0.00
Wed 08/12 03Z 0.90 3221 77 20 11 0.00
Wed 08/12 04Z 0.73 3220 74 25 11 0.00
Wed 08/12 05Z 0.71 3119 76 29 11 0.00
Wed 08/12 06Z 0.71 3118 78 25 10 0.00
Wed 08/12 07Z 0.64 3117 79 24 10 0.00
Wed 08/12 08Z 0.59 3117 79 21 10 0.00
Wed 08/12 09Z 0.53 3117 79 20 10 0.00
Wed 08/12 10Z 0.49 3117 78 21 10 0.00
Wed 08/12 11Z 0.47 3116 78 22 10 0.00
Wed 08/12 12Z 0.42 3115 79 22 10 0.00
Wed 08/12 13Z 0.36 3212 79 23 10 0.00
Wed 08/12 14Z 0.56 3109 80 24 10 0.00
Wed 08/12 15Z 1.53 3007 79 25 10 0.00
Wed 08/12 16Z 3.06 2908 79 29 10 0.00
Wed 08/12 17Z 3.44 2907 76 35 11 0.00
Wed 08/12 18Z 3.21 2907 73 48 11 0.00
Wed 08/12 19Z 2.90 2807 74 55 11 0.00
Wed 08/12 20Z 2.00 2807 78 51 11 0.00
Wed 08/12 21Z 1.08 2708 80 49 11 0.00
Wed 08/12 22Z 0.61 2708 82 47 11 0.00
Wed 08/12 23Z 0.54 2709 81 52 11 0.00
Thu 08/13 00Z 0.56 2710 82 57 11 0.00
Thu 08/13 01Z 0.53 2710 83 62 11 0.00
Thu 08/13 02Z 0.51 2709 85 74 11 0.00
Thu 08/13 03Z 0.52 2810 88 80 11 0.04
Thu 08/13 04Z 0.42 2909 92 86 11 0.08
Thu 08/13 05Z 0.33 3109 90 86 11 0.27
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.53 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1