Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260720_0000
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Mon 07/20 00Z 0.94 3019 71 39 9 0.00
Mon 07/20 01Z 1.17 3022 71 37 9 0.00
Mon 07/20 02Z 1.29 2924 70 44 9 0.00
Mon 07/20 03Z 1.21 3025 70 46 9 0.00
Mon 07/20 04Z 1.08 3025 70 39 9 0.00
Mon 07/20 05Z 0.86 3023 73 31 9 0.00
Mon 07/20 06Z 0.66 3122 75 25 9 0.00
Mon 07/20 07Z 0.59 3121 76 21 8 0.00
Mon 07/20 08Z 0.51 3120 76 21 8 0.00
Mon 07/20 09Z 0.49 3118 76 23 8 0.00
Mon 07/20 10Z 0.48 3117 74 28 8 0.00
Mon 07/20 11Z 0.49 3117 73 40 8 0.00
Mon 07/20 12Z 0.50 3016 72 45 8 0.00
Mon 07/20 13Z 0.53 3014 70 47 9 0.00
Mon 07/20 14Z 0.79 3014 69 43 9 0.00
Mon 07/20 15Z 2.12 2911 68 40 9 0.00
Mon 07/20 16Z 3.30 2808 68 39 9 0.00
Mon 07/20 17Z 3.59 2706 67 38 10 0.00
Mon 07/20 18Z 3.29 2506 66 38 10 0.00
Mon 07/20 19Z 2.90 2306 66 38 11 0.00
Mon 07/20 20Z 3.05 2208 69 40 11 0.00
Mon 07/20 21Z 3.18 2210 71 42 11 0.00
Mon 07/20 22Z 1.81 2211 72 43 11 0.00
Mon 07/20 23Z 0.60 2113 69 35 12 0.00
Tue 07/21 00Z 0.57 2115 68 27 12 0.00
Tue 07/21 01Z 0.59 2216 69 17 12 0.00
Tue 07/21 02Z 0.46 2115 68 13 12 0.00
Tue 07/21 03Z 0.48 2117 68 14 12 0.00
Tue 07/21 04Z 0.40 2019 66 17 12 0.00
Tue 07/21 05Z 0.53 2022 68 18 12 0.00
Tue 07/21 06Z 0.60 2025 69 17 11 0.00
Tue 07/21 07Z 0.62 2127 71 13 11 0.00
Tue 07/21 08Z 0.61 2128 73 12 11 0.00
Tue 07/21 09Z 0.56 2127 78 9 11 0.00
Tue 07/21 10Z 0.48 2126 81 9 11 0.00
Tue 07/21 11Z 0.45 2027 85 9 12 0.00
Tue 07/21 12Z 0.42 2028 87 6 12 0.00
Tue 07/21 13Z 0.39 2027 89 14 12 0.00
Tue 07/21 14Z 0.28 1927 92 38 12 0.00
Tue 07/21 15Z 0.17 1927 95 65 12 0.01
Tue 07/21 16Z 0.11 1827 96 77 13 0.03
Tue 07/21 17Z 0.05 1829 97 71 13 0.03
Tue 07/21 18Z 0.07 1730 95 59 13 0.02
Tue 07/21 19Z 0.14 1732 92 50 13 0.01
Tue 07/21 20Z 0.17 1731 91 37 14 0.00
Tue 07/21 21Z 0.15 1732 94 30 14 0.01
Tue 07/21 22Z 0.12 1732 95 56 15 0.01
Tue 07/21 23Z 0.10 1732 94 56 15 0.01
Wed 07/22 00Z 0.04 1829 94 82 16 0.01
Wed 07/22 01Z 0.08 1829 95 83 16 0.04
Wed 07/22 02Z 0.29 2027 94 76 14 0.35
Wed 07/22 03Z 0.31 2123 87 64 14 0.08
Wed 07/22 04Z 0.47 2325 79 55 15 0.00
Wed 07/22 05Z 0.46 2225 83 53 15 0.00
Wed 07/22 06Z 0.46 2224 89 56 15 0.00
Wed 07/22 07Z 0.51 2225 93 64 15 0.01
Wed 07/22 08Z 0.55 2325 95 64 15 0.02
Wed 07/22 09Z 0.59 2323 96 64 14 0.05
Wed 07/22 10Z 0.55 2322 96 62 14 0.02
Wed 07/22 11Z 0.54 2322 97 76 14 0.01
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.72 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1