Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260905_0000
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sat 09/05 00Z 0.32 3214 87 92 11 0.00
Sat 09/05 01Z 0.32 3315 88 88 10 0.00
Sat 09/05 02Z 0.38 3216 90 91 10 0.00
Sat 09/05 03Z 0.38 3217 91 89 10 0.00
Sat 09/05 04Z 0.33 3316 92 84 10 0.00
Sat 09/05 05Z 0.28 3316 92 82 10 0.00
Sat 09/05 06Z 0.21 3315 92 81 10 0.00
Sat 09/05 07Z 0.16 3415 90 81 10 0.00
Sat 09/05 08Z 0.13 3415 90 83 10 0.00
Sat 09/05 09Z 0.11 3515 91 85 10 0.00
Sat 09/05 10Z 0.10 3515 90 83 10 0.00
Sat 09/05 11Z 0.09 3514 90 81 10 0.00
Sat 09/05 12Z 0.08 3514 90 79 10 0.00
Sat 09/05 13Z 0.07 0013 91 77 9 0.00
Sat 09/05 14Z 0.07 0012 92 74 9 0.00
Sat 09/05 15Z 0.12 0111 93 70 9 0.00
Sat 09/05 16Z 0.18 0210 94 69 9 0.00
Sat 09/05 17Z 0.20 0309 95 68 9 0.00
Sat 09/05 18Z 0.18 0208 96 71 9 0.01
Sat 09/05 19Z 0.20 0209 96 75 9 0.02
Sat 09/05 20Z 0.25 0210 96 75 9 0.01
Sat 09/05 21Z 0.28 0311 94 80 9 0.01
Sat 09/05 22Z 0.33 0411 90 85 9 0.02
Sat 09/05 23Z 0.42 0512 80 87 9 0.01
Sun 09/06 00Z 0.43 0513 85 86 9 0.00
Sun 09/06 01Z 0.44 0513 84 87 9 0.00
Sun 09/06 02Z 0.44 0612 83 89 8 0.00
Sun 09/06 03Z 0.45 0712 84 91 8 0.00
Sun 09/06 04Z 0.48 0812 84 93 8 0.00
Sun 09/06 05Z 0.44 0810 83 94 8 0.00
Sun 09/06 06Z 0.33 0908 84 96 7 0.00
Sun 09/06 07Z 0.19 0805 83 96 7 0.00
Sun 09/06 08Z 0.08 0403 83 96 7 0.00
Sun 09/06 09Z 0.05 3504 84 94 7 0.00
Sun 09/06 10Z 0.09 3407 85 91 7 0.00
Sun 09/06 11Z 0.10 3409 86 87 7 0.00
Sun 09/06 12Z 0.07 3512 86 76 6 0.00
Sun 09/06 13Z 0.04 0014 84 62 7 0.00
Sun 09/06 14Z 0.07 0014 82 52 7 0.00
Sun 09/06 15Z 0.11 0012 84 46 7 0.00
Sun 09/06 16Z 0.15 3510 87 45 7 0.00
Sun 09/06 17Z 0.31 3510 89 40 7 0.00
Sun 09/06 18Z 0.46 3411 90 36 7 0.00
Sun 09/06 19Z 0.58 3412 89 30 7 0.00
Sun 09/06 20Z 0.51 3314 88 22 7 0.00
Sun 09/06 21Z 0.35 3316 84 16 7 0.00
Sun 09/06 22Z 0.24 3417 78 16 7 0.00
Sun 09/06 23Z 0.22 3419 77 12 7 0.00
Mon 09/07 00Z 0.20 3420 79 34 7 0.01
Mon 09/07 01Z 0.19 3422 82 40 7 0.01
Mon 09/07 02Z 0.23 3423 87 27 7 0.02
Mon 09/07 03Z 0.15 3522 89 21 7 0.02
Mon 09/07 04Z 0.11 3519 91 27 6 0.01
Mon 09/07 05Z 0.12 3518 91 29 6 0.01
Mon 09/07 06Z 0.11 3518 89 11 6 0.01
Mon 09/07 07Z 0.11 3418 86 6 6 0.00
Mon 09/07 08Z 0.17 3419 86 5 6 0.00
Mon 09/07 09Z 0.21 3419 87 7 6 0.00
Mon 09/07 10Z 0.25 3319 88 8 6 0.00
Mon 09/07 11Z 0.26 3319 88 7 6 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.17 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1