Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260531_0000
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sun 05/31 00Z 0.05 0013 77 39 2 0.00
Sun 05/31 01Z 0.10 0015 68 32 2 0.00
Sun 05/31 02Z 0.13 0117 59 24 3 0.00
Sun 05/31 03Z 0.16 0117 54 19 4 0.00
Sun 05/31 04Z 0.15 0116 53 21 5 0.00
Sun 05/31 05Z 0.14 0014 54 32 5 0.00
Sun 05/31 06Z 0.13 3512 58 48 5 0.00
Sun 05/31 07Z 0.16 3312 61 70 5 0.00
Sun 05/31 08Z 0.26 3211 63 84 5 0.00
Sun 05/31 09Z 0.36 3012 70 87 5 0.00
Sun 05/31 10Z 0.44 2914 69 89 5 0.00
Sun 05/31 11Z 0.48 2916 70 82 6 0.00
Sun 05/31 12Z 0.52 3018 69 87 5 0.00
Sun 05/31 13Z 0.44 3118 67 85 5 0.00
Sun 05/31 14Z 0.48 3118 68 88 5 0.00
Sun 05/31 15Z 0.83 3118 74 85 5 0.00
Sun 05/31 16Z 1.95 3218 78 88 4 0.01
Sun 05/31 17Z 1.76 3217 80 91 4 0.00
Sun 05/31 18Z 1.08 3117 83 91 4 0.01
Sun 05/31 19Z 0.95 3118 82 91 3 0.01
Sun 05/31 20Z 1.22 3018 81 90 4 0.02
Sun 05/31 21Z 1.20 3017 86 93 3 0.01
Sun 05/31 22Z 0.99 3023 84 85 3 0.03
Sun 05/31 23Z 1.12 3022 87 73 3 0.01
Mon 06/01 00Z 1.17 3021 87 64 3 0.01
Mon 06/01 01Z 1.08 3121 86 59 3 0.00
Mon 06/01 02Z 0.74 3220 83 55 3 0.00
Mon 06/01 03Z 0.52 3218 82 58 3 0.00
Mon 06/01 04Z 0.42 3217 81 64 3 0.00
Mon 06/01 05Z 0.33 3216 83 70 3 0.00
Mon 06/01 06Z 0.25 3315 85 71 3 0.00
Mon 06/01 07Z 0.20 3313 87 69 2 0.00
Mon 06/01 08Z 0.17 3413 89 71 2 0.00
Mon 06/01 09Z 0.14 0012 91 75 2 0.00
Mon 06/01 10Z 0.15 0110 93 76 2 0.00
Mon 06/01 11Z 0.17 0309 94 77 1 0.00
Mon 06/01 12Z 0.25 0410 94 75 1 0.00
Mon 06/01 13Z 0.33 0510 95 69 1 0.00
Mon 06/01 14Z 0.43 0609 96 65 1 0.00
Mon 06/01 15Z 0.60 0708 96 61 1 0.01
Mon 06/01 16Z 0.75 0707 94 55 1 0.01
Mon 06/01 17Z 0.70 0606 90 50 1 0.00
Mon 06/01 18Z 0.62 0406 83 46 2 0.00
Mon 06/01 19Z 0.52 0205 78 39 2 0.00
Mon 06/01 20Z 0.45 0005 75 34 3 0.00
Mon 06/01 21Z 0.33 0006 76 30 3 0.00
Mon 06/01 22Z 0.22 3506 77 33 3 0.00
Mon 06/01 23Z 0.12 0008 77 39 3 0.00
Tue 06/02 00Z 0.11 0008 74 40 3 0.00
Tue 06/02 01Z 0.12 0109 70 48 4 0.00
Tue 06/02 02Z 0.12 0109 67 56 4 0.00
Tue 06/02 03Z 0.13 0009 64 58 4 0.00
Tue 06/02 04Z 0.16 3509 63 54 4 0.00
Tue 06/02 05Z 0.17 3409 63 55 4 0.00
Tue 06/02 06Z 0.22 3310 63 56 4 0.00
Tue 06/02 07Z 0.29 3311 65 56 4 0.00
Tue 06/02 08Z 0.30 3211 65 56 4 0.00
Tue 06/02 09Z 0.30 3211 65 54 4 0.00
Tue 06/02 10Z 0.30 3211 65 49 4 0.00
Tue 06/02 11Z 0.31 3212 66 45 4 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.13 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1