Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260326_1200
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Thu 03/26 12Z 0.58 2324 77 92 0 0.00
Thu 03/26 13Z 0.57 2325 74 91 1 0.00
Thu 03/26 14Z 0.59 2326 76 96 2 0.00
Thu 03/26 15Z 0.63 2327 76 87 3 0.00
Thu 03/26 16Z 0.65 2424 73 64 3 0.00
Thu 03/26 17Z 0.75 2423 71 70 4 0.00
Thu 03/26 20Z 1.34 2524 89 98 3 0.00
Thu 03/26 21Z 0.85 2621 93 98 2 0.01
Thu 03/26 22Z 0.62 2717 95 97 2 0.05
Thu 03/26 23Z 0.47 2516 94 97 3 0.07
Fri 03/27 00Z 0.45 2515 98 98 3 0.08
Fri 03/27 01Z 0.30 2411 98 97 3 0.04
Fri 03/27 02Z 0.19 2406 98 98 3 0.09
Fri 03/27 03Z 0.26 2909 99 98 2 0.10
Fri 03/27 06Z 0.20 3316 98 96 0 0.05
Fri 03/27 07Z 0.26 3320 98 96 -1 0.18
Fri 03/27 08Z 0.27 3323 97 95 -3 0.10
Fri 03/27 09Z 0.24 3324 96 88 -4 0.07
Fri 03/27 10Z 0.23 3427 95 74 -6 0.04
Fri 03/27 12Z 0.22 3426 91 37 -10 0.04
Fri 03/27 13Z 0.24 3325 85 17 -11 0.04
Fri 03/27 14Z 0.25 3324 74 10 -11 0.02
Fri 03/27 15Z 0.28 3323 67 6 -12 0.01
Fri 03/27 16Z 0.28 3322 63 5 -13 0.01
Fri 03/27 17Z 0.39 3321 65 4 -14 0.01
Fri 03/27 18Z 0.76 3321 66 4 -14 0.00
Fri 03/27 19Z 1.14 3320 63 5 -14 0.00
Fri 03/27 20Z 1.27 3220 62 5 -14 0.00
Fri 03/27 21Z 0.95 3219 60 5 -14 0.00
Fri 03/27 22Z 0.47 3217 57 5 -14 0.00
Fri 03/27 23Z 0.37 3215 57 6 -14 0.00
Sat 03/28 00Z 0.34 3215 56 7 -14 0.00
Sat 03/28 01Z 0.34 3115 58 8 -14 0.00
Sat 03/28 02Z 0.31 3115 60 9 -14 0.00
Sat 03/28 03Z 0.39 3116 65 12 -15 0.00
Sat 03/28 04Z 0.42 3117 64 17 -15 0.00
Sat 03/28 05Z 0.44 3118 64 23 -16 0.00
Sat 03/28 06Z 0.45 3118 62 32 -16 0.00
Sat 03/28 07Z 0.41 3218 64 41 -17 0.00
Sat 03/28 08Z 0.33 3217 65 51 -17 0.00
Sat 03/28 09Z 0.28 3215 67 67 -17 0.00
Sat 03/28 10Z 0.24 3313 70 76 -18 0.00
Sat 03/28 11Z 0.23 3313 72 78 -18 0.00
Sat 03/28 12Z 0.26 3212 72 76 -19 0.00
Sat 03/28 13Z 0.41 3211 72 75 -19 0.00
Sat 03/28 14Z 0.92 3110 71 73 -19 0.00
Sat 03/28 15Z 2.02 3111 69 69 -19 0.00
Sat 03/28 16Z 3.75 3011 67 63 -19 0.00
Sat 03/28 17Z 5.05 3012 67 59 -18 0.00
Sat 03/28 18Z 6.07 2912 66 51 -17 0.00
Sat 03/28 19Z 6.37 2911 63 47 -17 0.00
Sat 03/28 20Z 6.39 2911 61 47 -16 0.00
Sat 03/28 21Z 5.53 2811 60 54 -16 0.00
Sat 03/28 22Z 3.61 2811 62 62 -15 0.00
Sat 03/28 23Z 2.30 2712 65 60 -15 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 1.01 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1