Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260516_1800
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sat 05/16 18Z 2.23 2110 58 41 9 0.00
Sat 05/16 19Z 1.92 2113 57 34 10 0.00
Sat 05/16 20Z 2.62 2115 62 30 10 0.00
Sat 05/16 21Z 3.77 2219 69 43 10 0.00
Sat 05/16 22Z 2.97 2223 72 34 10 0.00
Sat 05/16 23Z 1.04 2223 73 36 10 0.00
Sun 05/17 00Z 0.87 2223 70 49 11 0.00
Sun 05/17 01Z 0.97 2326 73 89 11 0.01
Sun 05/17 02Z 0.84 2228 82 94 10 0.05
Sun 05/17 03Z 1.17 2334 88 93 10 0.09
Sun 05/17 04Z 1.24 2535 93 55 10 0.05
Sun 05/17 05Z 1.17 2633 97 29 10 0.03
Sun 05/17 06Z 1.07 2732 97 14 10 0.03
Sun 05/17 07Z 0.93 2832 91 12 10 0.02
Sun 05/17 08Z 0.81 2931 83 16 10 0.01
Sun 05/17 09Z 0.66 3028 71 29 10 0.01
Sun 05/17 10Z 0.59 3026 63 21 10 0.01
Sun 05/17 11Z 0.59 2926 55 36 10 0.00
Sun 05/17 12Z 0.63 2926 50 33 10 0.00
Sun 05/17 13Z 0.71 2927 50 37 9 0.00
Sun 05/17 14Z 0.82 2827 56 53 9 0.00
Sun 05/17 15Z 0.97 2925 62 50 8 0.01
Sun 05/17 16Z 3.29 2923 66 48 8 0.00
Sun 05/17 17Z 5.76 2921 69 36 8 0.00
Sun 05/17 18Z 5.92 2917 74 29 8 0.00
Sun 05/17 19Z 5.78 2916 74 29 8 0.00
Sun 05/17 20Z 4.37 3014 71 24 8 0.00
Sun 05/17 21Z 2.81 3013 70 24 8 0.00
Sun 05/17 22Z 1.00 3012 71 21 8 0.00
Sun 05/17 23Z 0.68 3113 72 20 8 0.00
Mon 05/18 00Z 0.53 3112 71 17 8 0.00
Mon 05/18 01Z 0.54 3013 72 18 8 0.00
Mon 05/18 02Z 0.43 3012 69 15 8 0.00
Mon 05/18 03Z 0.38 3012 67 13 8 0.00
Mon 05/18 04Z 0.34 2911 65 11 9 0.00
Mon 05/18 05Z 0.30 2911 62 13 9 0.00
Mon 05/18 06Z 0.26 2910 61 16 10 0.00
Mon 05/18 07Z 0.23 2909 58 17 10 0.00
Mon 05/18 08Z 0.22 2809 54 23 11 0.00
Mon 05/18 09Z 0.17 2707 53 40 11 0.00
Mon 05/18 10Z 0.16 2406 56 46 11 0.00
Mon 05/18 11Z 0.16 2208 60 43 11 0.00
Mon 05/18 12Z 0.16 2110 67 66 11 0.00
Mon 05/18 13Z 0.15 2111 73 88 11 0.00
Mon 05/18 14Z 0.15 2112 78 94 11 0.00
Mon 05/18 15Z 0.18 2014 84 76 12 0.00
Mon 05/18 16Z 0.18 2016 87 55 12 0.00
Mon 05/18 17Z 0.21 2019 91 47 12 0.00
Mon 05/18 18Z 0.28 2119 92 34 12 0.00
Mon 05/18 19Z 0.34 2120 90 23 13 0.00
Mon 05/18 20Z 0.36 2219 86 17 14 0.00
Mon 05/18 21Z 0.40 2218 87 10 14 0.00
Mon 05/18 22Z 0.42 2219 91 14 14 0.00
Mon 05/18 23Z 0.49 2222 92 16 15 0.01
Tue 05/19 00Z 0.50 2323 91 20 15 0.01
Tue 05/19 01Z 0.59 2426 90 22 16 0.01
Tue 05/19 02Z 0.67 2429 90 26 16 0.02
Tue 05/19 03Z 0.72 2431 87 29 17 0.02
Tue 05/19 04Z 0.82 2533 89 30 17 0.02
Tue 05/19 05Z 0.91 2534 89 29 16 0.02
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.43 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1