Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260818_1800
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Tue 08/18 18Z 0.77 3004 88 16 12 0.00
Tue 08/18 19Z 1.06 3005 87 26 12 0.02
Tue 08/18 20Z 0.96 3008 87 34 12 0.02
Tue 08/18 21Z 0.44 3109 84 42 12 0.00
Tue 08/18 22Z 0.27 3308 85 45 12 0.00
Tue 08/18 23Z 0.08 3406 86 43 12 0.00
Wed 08/19 00Z 0.06 3405 84 33 12 0.00
Wed 08/19 01Z 0.10 3304 83 27 12 0.00
Wed 08/19 02Z 0.15 3105 82 17 12 0.00
Wed 08/19 03Z 0.16 3104 82 12 12 0.00
Wed 08/19 04Z 0.14 3104 81 11 12 0.00
Wed 08/19 05Z 0.16 3004 81 21 11 0.00
Wed 08/19 06Z 0.20 2804 82 23 11 0.00
Wed 08/19 07Z 0.24 2704 83 25 11 0.00
Wed 08/19 08Z 0.28 2606 85 16 11 0.00
Wed 08/19 09Z 0.31 2507 85 17 11 0.00
Wed 08/19 10Z 0.34 2508 84 16 11 0.00
Wed 08/19 11Z 0.44 2511 85 21 11 0.00
Wed 08/19 12Z 0.39 2412 83 21 11 0.00
Wed 08/19 13Z 0.43 2413 80 28 11 0.00
Wed 08/19 14Z 0.40 2412 74 49 12 0.00
Wed 08/19 15Z 0.46 2412 78 65 12 0.00
Wed 08/19 16Z 0.47 2411 76 71 13 0.00
Wed 08/19 17Z 0.68 2312 78 77 13 0.00
Wed 08/19 18Z 0.62 2313 79 76 13 0.00
Wed 08/19 19Z 0.85 2415 88 76 13 0.01
Wed 08/19 20Z 1.11 2416 89 75 13 0.01
Wed 08/19 21Z 1.07 2416 91 76 13 0.00
Wed 08/19 22Z 0.77 2415 90 79 13 0.04
Wed 08/19 23Z 0.83 2416 90 79 13 0.04
Thu 08/20 00Z 0.75 2416 88 78 13 0.00
Thu 08/20 01Z 0.72 2417 90 64 13 0.01
Thu 08/20 02Z 0.62 2516 93 54 13 0.03
Thu 08/20 03Z 0.59 2717 93 46 12 0.05
Thu 08/20 04Z 0.49 2815 93 45 12 0.01
Thu 08/20 05Z 0.45 2915 91 33 12 0.01
Thu 08/20 06Z 0.39 2914 90 30 11 0.01
Thu 08/20 07Z 0.32 3012 86 28 11 0.01
Thu 08/20 08Z 0.29 3012 83 21 11 0.01
Thu 08/20 09Z 0.29 3012 81 11 11 0.00
Thu 08/20 10Z 0.29 3012 80 6 10 0.00
Thu 08/20 11Z 0.25 3112 78 7 10 0.00
Thu 08/20 12Z 0.23 3111 75 7 10 0.00
Thu 08/20 13Z 0.24 3111 77 5 10 0.00
Thu 08/20 14Z 0.19 3208 78 6 10 0.00
Thu 08/20 15Z 0.22 3107 79 6 9 0.00
Thu 08/20 16Z 0.25 3105 79 6 9 0.00
Thu 08/20 17Z 0.39 3104 78 7 9 0.00
Thu 08/20 18Z 0.47 3104 75 7 10 0.00
Thu 08/20 19Z 0.48 3004 74 7 10 0.00
Thu 08/20 20Z 0.35 3005 72 7 10 0.00
Thu 08/20 21Z 0.22 3005 72 13 10 0.00
Thu 08/20 22Z 0.18 3005 71 12 10 0.00
Thu 08/20 23Z 0.14 3105 71 12 10 0.00
Fri 08/21 00Z 0.10 3305 72 11 10 0.00
Fri 08/21 01Z 0.09 3405 74 12 9 0.00
Fri 08/21 02Z 0.09 3406 75 13 9 0.00
Fri 08/21 03Z 0.08 3406 77 14 9 0.00
Fri 08/21 04Z 0.08 3507 79 15 9 0.00
Fri 08/21 05Z 0.09 3508 80 13 8 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.28 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1