Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260830_1800
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sun 08/30 18Z 1.00 2720 89 84 11 0.00
Sun 08/30 19Z 1.12 2718 86 86 11 0.00
Sun 08/30 20Z 0.92 2617 87 86 11 0.01
Sun 08/30 21Z 0.79 2618 86 82 11 0.05
Sun 08/30 22Z 0.84 2721 82 76 11 0.06
Sun 08/30 23Z 0.97 2823 83 73 11 0.03
Mon 08/31 00Z 1.04 2925 83 59 11 0.00
Mon 08/31 01Z 0.97 3025 84 43 11 0.00
Mon 08/31 02Z 0.71 3124 87 44 10 0.03
Mon 08/31 03Z 0.47 3222 86 51 10 0.02
Mon 08/31 04Z 0.27 3419 81 45 10 0.02
Mon 08/31 05Z 0.13 3516 75 21 10 0.00
Mon 08/31 06Z 0.06 3514 68 6 10 0.00
Mon 08/31 07Z 0.03 3512 61 4 10 0.00
Mon 08/31 08Z 0.06 3410 56 3 10 0.00
Mon 08/31 09Z 0.07 3409 52 4 10 0.00
Mon 08/31 10Z 0.10 3309 47 3 10 0.00
Mon 08/31 11Z 0.12 3309 44 3 11 0.00
Mon 08/31 12Z 0.12 3209 41 3 11 0.00
Mon 08/31 13Z 0.12 3209 40 3 11 0.00
Mon 08/31 14Z 0.10 3207 43 3 11 0.00
Mon 08/31 15Z 0.08 3204 47 3 11 0.00
Mon 08/31 16Z 0.09 3003 54 3 11 0.00
Mon 08/31 17Z 0.18 2804 59 6 10 0.00
Mon 08/31 18Z 0.23 2704 59 10 10 0.00
Mon 08/31 19Z 0.24 2603 56 16 11 0.00
Mon 08/31 20Z 0.20 2503 56 20 11 0.00
Mon 08/31 21Z 0.27 2604 56 26 11 0.00
Mon 08/31 22Z 0.17 2504 55 29 11 0.00
Mon 08/31 23Z 0.16 2404 57 31 11 0.00
Tue 09/01 00Z 0.19 2405 59 36 11 0.00
Tue 09/01 01Z 0.20 2405 61 40 11 0.00
Tue 09/01 02Z 0.19 2405 63 42 11 0.00
Tue 09/01 03Z 0.17 2405 67 42 11 0.00
Tue 09/01 04Z 0.12 2304 70 40 11 0.00
Tue 09/01 05Z 0.11 2204 74 44 11 0.00
Tue 09/01 06Z 0.09 2204 76 52 11 0.00
Tue 09/01 07Z 0.05 2004 77 63 11 0.00
Tue 09/01 08Z 0.05 1703 77 73 12 0.00
Tue 09/01 09Z 0.07 1504 78 76 12 0.00
Tue 09/01 10Z 0.10 1406 82 77 12 0.03
Tue 09/01 11Z 0.11 1507 87 82 11 0.08
Tue 09/01 12Z 0.19 1409 89 87 11 0.05
Tue 09/01 13Z 0.26 1313 91 83 11 0.11
Tue 09/01 14Z 0.27 1415 92 80 11 0.14
Tue 09/01 15Z 0.28 1418 92 83 12 0.07
Tue 09/01 16Z 0.32 1419 93 81 12 0.01
Tue 09/01 17Z 0.32 1419 94 79 12 0.01
Tue 09/01 18Z 0.28 1419 95 77 12 0.01
Tue 09/01 19Z 0.30 1418 96 77 12 0.01
Tue 09/01 20Z 0.31 1417 96 78 11 0.02
Tue 09/01 21Z 0.31 1420 96 79 11 0.01
Tue 09/01 22Z 0.28 1522 96 79 11 0.01
Tue 09/01 23Z 0.30 1424 95 72 12 0.01
Wed 09/02 00Z 0.29 1525 95 76 12 0.01
Wed 09/02 01Z 0.28 1526 94 83 11 0.01
Wed 09/02 02Z 0.29 1526 94 88 12 0.01
Wed 09/02 03Z 0.28 1525 94 88 12 0.01
Wed 09/02 04Z 0.24 1524 93 88 12 0.01
Wed 09/02 05Z 0.24 1524 91 88 12 0.02
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.86 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1