Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260530_1800
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sat 05/30 18Z 0.89 0014 87 40 0 0.00
Sat 05/30 19Z 1.07 0015 85 37 0 0.00
Sat 05/30 20Z 1.73 0116 84 36 1 0.00
Sat 05/30 21Z 1.59 0116 82 40 1 0.00
Sat 05/30 22Z 1.02 0016 80 49 1 0.00
Sat 05/30 23Z 0.77 0117 77 54 1 0.00
Sun 05/31 00Z 0.68 0219 72 56 2 0.00
Sun 05/31 01Z 0.56 0220 68 46 2 0.00
Sun 05/31 02Z 0.42 0219 62 24 3 0.00
Sun 05/31 03Z 0.31 0218 58 9 3 0.00
Sun 05/31 04Z 0.22 0116 57 8 3 0.00
Sun 05/31 05Z 0.14 0114 57 10 4 0.00
Sun 05/31 06Z 0.12 0014 58 12 4 0.00
Sun 05/31 07Z 0.12 3514 61 21 4 0.00
Sun 05/31 08Z 0.16 3414 64 32 4 0.00
Sun 05/31 09Z 0.28 3214 66 47 4 0.00
Sun 05/31 10Z 0.35 3214 68 64 4 0.00
Sun 05/31 11Z 0.42 3115 69 73 4 0.00
Sun 05/31 12Z 0.47 3116 69 79 4 0.00
Sun 05/31 13Z 0.52 3118 68 89 4 0.00
Sun 05/31 14Z 0.58 3119 67 80 4 0.00
Sun 05/31 15Z 1.28 3219 68 80 4 0.00
Sun 05/31 16Z 3.05 3220 69 85 4 0.00
Sun 05/31 17Z 2.26 3217 81 91 3 0.01
Sun 05/31 18Z 0.59 3115 88 89 3 0.02
Sun 05/31 19Z 0.58 3014 87 89 3 0.01
Sun 05/31 20Z 0.72 3014 86 89 4 0.01
Sun 05/31 21Z 0.64 3013 85 90 4 0.01
Sun 05/31 22Z 0.63 2916 86 92 4 0.02
Sun 05/31 23Z 0.69 2918 87 88 4 0.06
Mon 06/01 00Z 0.73 3121 86 85 3 0.04
Mon 06/01 01Z 0.63 3223 86 81 3 0.03
Mon 06/01 02Z 0.54 3222 82 80 3 0.01
Mon 06/01 03Z 0.43 3321 83 73 3 0.00
Mon 06/01 04Z 0.32 3318 84 65 3 0.00
Mon 06/01 05Z 0.25 3315 83 55 3 0.00
Mon 06/01 06Z 0.22 3313 82 60 3 0.00
Mon 06/01 07Z 0.19 3312 82 62 3 0.00
Mon 06/01 08Z 0.18 3411 85 68 2 0.00
Mon 06/01 09Z 0.18 3410 87 69 2 0.00
Mon 06/01 10Z 0.19 0009 91 68 1 0.00
Mon 06/01 11Z 0.19 0108 92 67 1 0.00
Mon 06/01 12Z 0.21 0408 94 68 1 0.00
Mon 06/01 13Z 0.29 0509 94 68 1 0.00
Mon 06/01 14Z 0.39 0709 94 69 1 0.00
Mon 06/01 15Z 0.47 0908 94 68 1 0.01
Mon 06/01 16Z 0.54 0908 91 62 1 0.01
Mon 06/01 17Z 0.65 0807 87 55 2 0.00
Mon 06/01 18Z 0.71 0606 83 48 2 0.00
Mon 06/01 19Z 0.72 0505 80 46 3 0.00
Mon 06/01 20Z 0.90 0405 78 43 3 0.00
Mon 06/01 21Z 0.78 0304 78 42 3 0.00
Mon 06/01 22Z 0.53 0304 76 43 3 0.00
Mon 06/01 23Z 0.18 0203 76 48 4 0.00
Tue 06/02 00Z 0.10 0104 76 49 4 0.00
Tue 06/02 01Z 0.09 0106 76 47 4 0.00
Tue 06/02 02Z 0.12 0106 74 47 4 0.00
Tue 06/02 03Z 0.12 0106 72 48 4 0.00
Tue 06/02 04Z 0.12 0107 71 50 4 0.00
Tue 06/02 05Z 0.11 0107 69 54 4 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.24 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1