Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260829_0600
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes greens are orthogonal to 270 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sat 08/29 06Z 0.29 3314 83 8 6 0.00
Sat 08/29 07Z 0.26 3314 79 8 6 0.00
Sat 08/29 08Z 0.26 3313 78 6 6 0.00
Sat 08/29 09Z 0.29 3312 77 6 6 0.00
Sat 08/29 10Z 0.33 3211 75 5 6 0.00
Sat 08/29 11Z 0.41 3112 74 4 6 0.00
Sat 08/29 12Z 0.47 3112 76 5 6 0.00
Sat 08/29 13Z 0.47 3011 79 5 6 0.00
Sat 08/29 14Z 0.48 2909 80 5 6 0.00
Sat 08/29 15Z 0.83 2808 80 6 6 0.00
Sat 08/29 16Z 1.15 2706 79 6 7 0.00
Sat 08/29 17Z 1.43 2606 75 6 7 0.00
Sat 08/29 18Z 1.54 2506 72 5 8 0.00
Sat 08/29 19Z 1.84 2407 70 4 8 0.00
Sat 08/29 20Z 2.14 2409 74 3 8 0.00
Sat 08/29 21Z 1.45 2411 81 5 9 0.00
Sat 08/29 22Z 0.61 2313 77 4 9 0.00
Sat 08/29 23Z 0.58 2415 72 12 10 0.00
Sun 08/30 00Z 0.73 2419 73 37 10 0.00
Sun 08/30 01Z 0.89 2523 71 37 10 0.00
Sun 08/30 02Z 1.01 2525 68 46 10 0.00
Sun 08/30 03Z 1.18 2627 74 52 10 0.00
Sun 08/30 04Z 1.22 2630 77 49 11 0.00
Sun 08/30 05Z 1.24 2632 76 55 11 0.00
Sun 08/30 06Z 1.36 2733 77 52 11 0.00
Sun 08/30 07Z 1.31 2731 80 56 11 0.00
Sun 08/30 08Z 1.14 2829 81 53 11 0.01
Sun 08/30 09Z 1.03 2828 81 54 11 0.02
Sun 08/30 10Z 0.95 2826 83 50 11 0.01
Sun 08/30 11Z 0.92 2825 79 43 11 0.01
Sun 08/30 12Z 0.95 2824 81 38 11 0.00
Sun 08/30 13Z 0.97 2724 80 54 11 0.01
Sun 08/30 14Z 0.91 2622 80 52 11 0.00
Sun 08/30 15Z 0.89 2621 77 70 11 0.00
Sun 08/30 16Z 0.97 2523 76 68 12 0.00
Sun 08/30 17Z 1.09 2523 75 67 12 0.00
Sun 08/30 18Z 1.24 2523 77 62 12 0.02
Sun 08/30 19Z 1.38 2522 80 59 12 0.01
Sun 08/30 20Z 1.96 2521 87 62 12 0.00
Sun 08/30 21Z 1.46 2622 87 77 12 0.05
Sun 08/30 22Z 1.07 2621 87 84 12 0.01
Sun 08/30 23Z 0.87 2622 89 88 12 0.06
Mon 08/31 00Z 0.90 2823 92 93 11 0.05
Mon 08/31 01Z 0.80 2921 93 92 11 0.04
Mon 08/31 02Z 0.63 3018 95 97 10 0.03
Mon 08/31 03Z 0.51 3015 91 97 10 0.06
Mon 08/31 04Z 0.34 3114 88 87 10 0.03
Mon 08/31 05Z 0.28 3214 88 73 10 0.01
Mon 08/31 06Z 0.20 3313 87 60 10 0.01
Mon 08/31 07Z 0.12 3413 82 37 10 0.00
Mon 08/31 08Z 0.09 3411 77 14 10 0.00
Mon 08/31 09Z 0.09 3410 73 5 10 0.00
Mon 08/31 10Z 0.11 3310 70 3 10 0.00
Mon 08/31 11Z 0.12 3310 67 3 10 0.00
Mon 08/31 12Z 0.12 3311 65 4 10 0.00
Mon 08/31 13Z 0.11 3310 63 5 10 0.00
Mon 08/31 14Z 0.12 3309 63 7 10 0.00
Mon 08/31 15Z 0.12 3207 64 8 10 0.00
Mon 08/31 16Z 0.10 3206 64 10 11 0.00
Mon 08/31 17Z 0.11 3205 66 11 10 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the greens is: 0.44 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1