Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260915_1800
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Tue 09/15 18Z 0.10 1905 77 11 9 0.00
Tue 09/15 19Z 0.11 1906 76 11 9 0.00
Tue 09/15 20Z 0.13 1908 77 11 9 0.00
Tue 09/15 21Z 0.13 1811 75 10 9 0.00
Tue 09/15 22Z 0.15 1913 66 17 11 0.00
Tue 09/15 23Z 0.21 2015 59 41 12 0.00
Wed 09/16 00Z 0.21 2016 51 84 13 0.00
Wed 09/16 01Z 0.25 2018 49 86 13 0.00
Wed 09/16 02Z 0.27 2118 48 83 14 0.00
Wed 09/16 03Z 0.30 2119 48 78 14 0.00
Wed 09/16 04Z 0.31 2219 50 85 14 0.00
Wed 09/16 05Z 0.37 2320 57 94 14 0.00
Wed 09/16 06Z 0.44 2421 60 95 13 0.00
Wed 09/16 07Z 0.51 2423 57 94 13 0.00
Wed 09/16 08Z 0.55 2424 69 95 12 0.00
Wed 09/16 09Z 0.53 2522 70 94 12 0.00
Wed 09/16 10Z 0.46 2619 83 88 13 0.00
Wed 09/16 11Z 0.39 2718 90 83 13 0.02
Wed 09/16 12Z 0.38 2818 95 67 13 0.02
Wed 09/16 13Z 0.37 2818 96 55 14 0.01
Wed 09/16 14Z 0.36 2816 95 47 14 0.01
Wed 09/16 15Z 0.34 2814 93 40 14 0.00
Wed 09/16 16Z 0.33 2813 92 38 14 0.00
Wed 09/16 17Z 0.36 2812 94 32 14 0.00
Wed 09/16 18Z 0.34 2810 96 23 13 0.00
Wed 09/16 19Z 0.33 2811 97 17 13 0.00
Wed 09/16 20Z 0.29 2810 96 16 13 0.00
Wed 09/16 21Z 0.25 2808 95 19 14 0.00
Wed 09/16 22Z 0.21 2907 92 24 14 0.00
Wed 09/16 23Z 0.19 2908 91 22 13 0.00
Thu 09/17 00Z 0.16 2907 89 16 13 0.00
Thu 09/17 01Z 0.17 3007 90 11 13 0.00
Thu 09/17 02Z 0.14 3006 91 10 13 0.01
Thu 09/17 03Z 0.11 3005 91 9 12 0.01
Thu 09/17 04Z 0.08 3205 92 9 12 0.00
Thu 09/17 05Z 0.05 3204 91 9 12 0.00
Thu 09/17 06Z 0.06 3104 91 10 12 0.00
Thu 09/17 07Z 0.08 2903 90 13 12 0.00
Thu 09/17 08Z 0.07 2802 87 21 12 0.00
Thu 09/17 09Z 0.07 2602 86 24 12 0.00
Thu 09/17 10Z 0.07 2303 85 33 13 0.00
Thu 09/17 11Z 0.07 2004 85 38 13 0.00
Thu 09/17 12Z 0.08 1907 85 41 12 0.00
Thu 09/17 13Z 0.12 2008 85 41 12 0.00
Thu 09/17 14Z 0.16 2109 85 45 12 0.00
Thu 09/17 15Z 0.17 2109 85 41 12 0.00
Thu 09/17 16Z 0.20 2110 84 46 13 0.00
Thu 09/17 17Z 0.23 2211 84 50 13 0.00
Thu 09/17 18Z 0.25 2211 81 49 13 0.00
Thu 09/17 19Z 0.29 2312 81 71 13 0.00
Thu 09/17 20Z 0.27 2311 78 83 14 0.00
Thu 09/17 21Z 0.29 2211 83 94 13 0.01
Thu 09/17 22Z 0.28 2211 84 96 13 0.01
Thu 09/17 23Z 0.29 2211 87 97 13 0.01
Fri 09/18 00Z 0.27 2309 90 97 12 0.11
Fri 09/18 01Z 0.25 2308 91 99 13 0.11
Fri 09/18 02Z 0.24 2508 93 93 13 0.06
Fri 09/18 03Z 0.20 2607 95 97 13 0.06
Fri 09/18 04Z 0.21 2707 93 93 13 0.03
Fri 09/18 05Z 0.24 2810 90 90 13 0.02
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 0.50 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1