Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20261003_1200
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sat 10/03 12Z 0.06 3310 94 5 4 0.00
Sat 10/03 13Z 0.07 3310 89 4 4 0.00
Sat 10/03 14Z 0.07 3308 87 4 4 0.00
Sat 10/03 15Z 0.09 3207 87 4 4 0.00
Sat 10/03 16Z 0.10 3208 84 4 4 0.00
Sat 10/03 17Z 0.11 3207 83 4 4 0.00
Sat 10/03 18Z 0.09 3306 83 4 4 0.00
Sat 10/03 19Z 0.08 3306 83 4 4 0.00
Sat 10/03 20Z 0.09 3306 83 4 4 0.00
Sat 10/03 21Z 0.07 3305 81 4 4 0.00
Sat 10/03 22Z 0.04 3304 79 4 4 0.00
Sat 10/03 23Z 0.03 3402 76 5 4 0.00
Sun 10/04 00Z 0.03 3402 74 4 4 0.00
Sun 10/04 01Z 0.04 0300 74 4 4 0.00
Sun 10/04 02Z 0.04 1501 73 4 4 0.00
Sun 10/04 03Z 0.03 1603 74 4 4 0.00
Sun 10/04 04Z 0.03 1705 77 4 4 0.00
Sun 10/04 05Z 0.04 1707 79 4 4 0.00
Sun 10/04 06Z 0.05 1708 83 5 4 0.00
Sun 10/04 07Z 0.07 1809 86 4 4 0.00
Sun 10/04 08Z 0.10 1810 90 4 3 0.00
Sun 10/04 09Z 0.09 1811 94 5 3 0.00
Sun 10/04 10Z 0.07 1712 95 4 3 0.00
Sun 10/04 11Z 0.06 1713 94 3 3 0.00
Sun 10/04 12Z 0.07 1614 94 2 4 0.00
Sun 10/04 13Z 0.11 1616 94 3 4 0.00
Sun 10/04 14Z 0.10 1618 93 7 4 0.00
Sun 10/04 15Z 0.07 1620 91 10 4 0.00
Sun 10/04 16Z 0.07 1620 89 13 4 0.00
Sun 10/04 17Z 0.06 1620 88 24 5 0.00
Sun 10/04 18Z 0.07 1619 84 47 5 0.00
Sun 10/04 19Z 0.08 1618 81 84 5 0.00
Sun 10/04 20Z 0.06 1619 81 95 4 0.01
Sun 10/04 21Z 0.08 1721 85 94 4 0.01
Sun 10/04 22Z 0.12 1721 87 82 3 0.01
Sun 10/04 23Z 0.18 1820 88 67 4 0.00
Mon 10/05 00Z 0.19 1820 89 33 5 0.00
Mon 10/05 01Z 0.23 1918 90 40 6 0.00
Mon 10/05 02Z 0.23 2016 94 45 6 0.00
Mon 10/05 03Z 0.25 2016 96 59 6 0.00
Mon 10/05 04Z 0.32 2116 98 65 6 0.01
Mon 10/05 05Z 0.38 2216 99 71 6 0.02
Mon 10/05 06Z 0.44 2316 98 64 6 0.01
Mon 10/05 07Z 0.55 2418 97 57 5 0.01
Mon 10/05 08Z 0.61 2420 96 66 5 0.01
Mon 10/05 09Z 0.56 2520 88 33 6 0.01
Mon 10/05 10Z 0.59 2622 89 42 6 0.00
Mon 10/05 11Z 0.76 2626 96 68 5 0.03
Mon 10/05 12Z 0.96 2728 90 61 3 0.06
Mon 10/05 13Z 0.91 2827 81 40 3 0.01
Mon 10/05 14Z 1.09 2827 79 20 2 0.01
Mon 10/05 15Z 2.54 2826 69 6 1 0.00
Mon 10/05 16Z 11.81 2825 70 11 0 0.00
Mon 10/05 17Z 13.67 2725 80 33 0 0.00
Mon 10/05 18Z 13.38 2725 81 41 0 0.00
Mon 10/05 19Z 11.72 2724 82 54 0 0.00
Mon 10/05 20Z 3.94 2723 87 66 0 0.01
Mon 10/05 21Z 1.64 2825 92 70 0 0.04
Mon 10/05 22Z 1.76 2928 92 66 0 0.03
Mon 10/05 23Z 1.70 2928 92 66 -2 0.02
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 0.31 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1