
Temperatures across northern New York and Grand Isle County in Vermont will drop below freezing today as rain moves into the region. A glaze up to a tenth of an inch of freezing rain will be possible through this afternoon; locally higher near Massena, New York. Flooding remains possible through Thursday due to snow melt, ice jams, and widespread rainfall today and Thursday. Read More >
Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260310_1800
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Tue 03/10 18Z 2.71 2316 53 40 8 0.00
Tue 03/10 19Z 1.92 2318 52 38 8 0.00
Tue 03/10 20Z 1.86 2420 55 37 8 0.00
Tue 03/10 21Z 1.68 2521 63 42 8 0.00
Tue 03/10 22Z 1.51 2622 75 39 8 0.00
Tue 03/10 23Z 0.98 2720 85 50 7 0.01
Wed 03/11 00Z 0.63 2718 91 37 7 0.01
Wed 03/11 01Z 0.55 2817 88 30 7 0.00
Wed 03/11 02Z 0.46 2817 86 32 7 0.00
Wed 03/11 03Z 0.34 2814 88 34 7 0.00
Wed 03/11 04Z 0.24 2811 90 33 7 0.00
Wed 03/11 05Z 0.18 2708 92 33 7 0.00
Wed 03/11 06Z 0.14 2506 93 71 8 0.00
Wed 03/11 07Z 0.10 2206 95 57 8 0.00
Wed 03/11 08Z 0.04 1808 96 68 8 0.00
Wed 03/11 09Z 0.02 1615 98 69 8 0.01
Wed 03/11 10Z 0.06 1622 98 57 8 0.02
Wed 03/11 11Z 0.06 1628 97 38 8 0.03
Wed 03/11 12Z 0.04 1731 97 44 9 0.03
Wed 03/11 13Z 0.06 1731 97 57 9 0.04
Wed 03/11 14Z 0.09 1732 97 68 9 0.02
Wed 03/11 15Z 0.11 1834 97 92 10 0.02
Wed 03/11 16Z 0.13 1835 95 91 10 0.03
Wed 03/11 17Z 0.24 1939 96 89 9 0.05
Wed 03/11 18Z 0.31 1940 94 44 10 0.03
Wed 03/11 19Z 0.33 2040 94 42 11 0.00
Wed 03/11 20Z 0.34 2037 90 51 12 0.00
Wed 03/11 21Z 0.33 2036 95 94 10 0.02
Wed 03/11 22Z 0.36 2039 97 94 10 0.05
Wed 03/11 23Z 0.46 2039 96 92 10 0.02
Thu 03/12 01Z 0.69 2144 98 95 11 0.04
Thu 03/12 02Z 0.87 2143 97 90 11 0.08
Thu 03/12 03Z 0.76 2138 97 86 12 0.05
Thu 03/12 04Z 0.84 2236 98 73 12 0.04
Thu 03/12 05Z 0.79 2331 98 78 11 0.18
Thu 03/12 06Z 0.85 2330 97 72 10 0.08
Thu 03/12 07Z 1.09 2430 98 73 8 0.07
Thu 03/12 08Z 1.38 2531 98 88 6 0.06
Thu 03/12 09Z 1.07 2631 96 88 2 0.06
Thu 03/12 10Z 1.06 2630 96 76 -2 0.09
Thu 03/12 11Z 1.24 2729 95 39 -5 0.05
Thu 03/12 12Z 1.18 2730 94 42 -7 0.01
Thu 03/12 13Z 1.37 2828 95 26 -9 0.00
Thu 03/12 14Z 1.70 2829 95 15 -10 0.00
Thu 03/12 15Z 2.03 2827 92 5 -11 0.00
Thu 03/12 16Z 3.82 2925 91 3 -13 0.01
Thu 03/12 17Z 4.72 2924 89 6 -13 0.00
Thu 03/12 18Z 6.45 2923 88 14 -13 0.00
Thu 03/12 19Z 7.66 2922 88 20 -13 0.00
Thu 03/12 20Z 6.75 3023 87 24 -12 0.00
Thu 03/12 21Z 4.58 3022 86 32 -12 0.00
Thu 03/12 22Z 2.28 3020 87 38 -12 0.00
Thu 03/12 23Z 1.28 3021 88 41 -13 0.00
Fri 03/13 01Z 0.93 3023 89 45 -13 0.00
Fri 03/13 02Z 0.88 3124 91 42 -13 0.00
Fri 03/13 03Z 0.83 3123 93 42 -13 0.00
Fri 03/13 04Z 0.79 3123 94 43 -13 0.00
Fri 03/13 05Z 0.73 3122 94 43 -13 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 1.21 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1