
A Flood Watch is in effect for south-central Vermont and eastern slopes of the Adirondacks due to the potential for heavy rain. Widespread totals of 1-3 inches with localized amounts of 3-5 inches in the area could produce excessive runoff and cause flooding in low-lying or flood prone areas. Read More >
Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260728_1800
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Tue 07/28 18Z 0.08 1610 91 78 14 0.00
Tue 07/28 19Z 0.14 1612 90 83 15 0.08
Tue 07/28 20Z 0.10 1713 89 84 15 0.16
Tue 07/28 21Z 0.11 1615 90 86 15 0.13
Tue 07/28 22Z 0.17 1718 93 88 14 0.17
Tue 07/28 23Z 0.13 1721 95 88 14 0.15
Wed 07/29 00Z 0.17 1823 94 86 14 0.13
Wed 07/29 01Z 0.14 1819 92 81 14 0.01
Wed 07/29 02Z 0.07 1621 95 81 14 0.01
Wed 07/29 03Z 0.11 1627 96 82 14 0.02
Wed 07/29 04Z 0.06 1629 97 87 14 0.04
Wed 07/29 05Z 0.04 1728 96 89 14 0.03
Wed 07/29 06Z 0.04 1727 96 92 14 0.03
Wed 07/29 07Z 0.08 1627 95 87 14 0.02
Wed 07/29 08Z 0.13 1628 94 91 14 0.01
Wed 07/29 09Z 0.20 1530 94 91 14 0.02
Wed 07/29 10Z 0.22 1529 96 89 14 0.03
Wed 07/29 11Z 0.33 1430 97 89 14 0.06
Wed 07/29 12Z 0.43 1431 96 91 13 0.09
Wed 07/29 13Z 0.60 1331 97 94 13 0.17
Wed 07/29 14Z 0.75 1336 98 97 13 0.25
Wed 07/29 15Z 0.69 1335 98 97 13 0.19
Wed 07/29 16Z 0.50 1432 99 92 14 0.17
Wed 07/29 17Z 0.40 1430 99 92 14 0.16
Wed 07/29 18Z 0.31 1529 99 95 14 0.20
Wed 07/29 19Z 0.26 1531 98 89 14 0.25
Wed 07/29 20Z 0.32 1426 98 92 14 0.15
Wed 07/29 21Z 0.30 1421 98 95 14 0.12
Wed 07/29 22Z 0.41 1323 97 95 14 0.07
Wed 07/29 23Z 0.49 1224 96 95 14 0.06
Thu 07/30 00Z 0.54 1226 95 94 14 0.15
Thu 07/30 01Z 0.48 1225 96 89 13 0.15
Thu 07/30 02Z 0.45 1226 96 86 14 0.06
Thu 07/30 03Z 0.43 1327 97 92 13 0.07
Thu 07/30 04Z 0.40 1328 97 93 14 0.10
Thu 07/30 05Z 0.39 1327 97 91 13 0.11
Thu 07/30 06Z 0.37 1325 96 85 14 0.04
Thu 07/30 07Z 0.34 1324 96 90 14 0.03
Thu 07/30 08Z 0.34 1324 95 92 14 0.04
Thu 07/30 09Z 0.37 1226 96 92 13 0.11
Thu 07/30 10Z 0.40 1225 95 92 13 0.05
Thu 07/30 11Z 0.46 1226 96 93 13 0.02
Thu 07/30 12Z 0.50 1127 96 93 13 0.02
Thu 07/30 13Z 0.49 1126 96 94 13 0.02
Thu 07/30 14Z 0.49 1124 97 95 13 0.02
Thu 07/30 15Z 0.51 1124 97 96 12 0.03
Thu 07/30 16Z 0.54 1023 97 95 12 0.02
Thu 07/30 17Z 0.54 1022 94 96 12 0.02
Thu 07/30 18Z 0.60 0920 91 90 12 0.01
Thu 07/30 19Z 0.61 0819 92 92 12 0.02
Thu 07/30 20Z 0.60 0818 92 94 12 0.03
Thu 07/30 21Z 0.66 0718 94 95 11 0.04
Thu 07/30 22Z 0.61 0817 91 95 11 0.04
Thu 07/30 23Z 0.58 0716 90 94 11 0.01
Fri 07/31 00Z 0.53 0715 91 96 12 0.01
Fri 07/31 01Z 0.44 0713 91 94 12 0.00
Fri 07/31 02Z 0.41 0712 91 91 12 0.00
Fri 07/31 03Z 0.38 0712 91 91 12 0.00
Fri 07/31 04Z 0.33 0611 92 91 12 0.00
Fri 07/31 05Z 0.30 0610 92 87 12 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 4.20 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1