Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260901_1800
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Tue 09/01 18Z 0.07 1605 99 81 11 0.00
Tue 09/01 19Z 0.10 1405 97 79 11 0.01
Wed 09/02 00Z 0.24 1316 92 46 12 0.01
Wed 09/02 01Z 0.24 1417 91 57 11 0.01
Wed 09/02 02Z 0.25 1417 92 68 11 0.00
Wed 09/02 03Z 0.20 1417 91 75 11 0.00
Wed 09/02 04Z 0.16 1518 91 76 11 0.00
Wed 09/02 05Z 0.13 1517 91 77 11 0.00
Wed 09/02 06Z 0.10 1515 91 73 11 0.01
Wed 09/02 07Z 0.12 1515 89 63 11 0.00
Wed 09/02 08Z 0.10 1514 87 55 11 0.00
Wed 09/02 09Z 0.07 1615 85 56 11 0.00
Wed 09/02 10Z 0.06 1616 83 56 11 0.00
Wed 09/02 11Z 0.04 1616 83 57 11 0.00
Wed 09/02 12Z 0.04 1616 83 52 11 0.00
Wed 09/02 13Z 0.05 1615 83 40 11 0.00
Wed 09/02 14Z 0.04 1715 81 41 11 0.00
Wed 09/02 15Z 0.05 1616 80 45 11 0.00
Wed 09/02 16Z 0.07 1617 80 44 11 0.00
Wed 09/02 17Z 0.08 1617 77 36 11 0.00
Wed 09/02 18Z 0.09 1617 74 25 11 0.00
Wed 09/02 19Z 0.11 1618 74 23 12 0.00
Wed 09/02 20Z 0.11 1618 79 30 12 0.00
Wed 09/02 21Z 0.14 1618 84 43 11 0.00
Wed 09/02 22Z 0.11 1620 84 52 11 0.00
Wed 09/02 23Z 0.08 1722 80 66 11 0.00
Thu 09/03 00Z 0.06 1722 78 75 12 0.00
Thu 09/03 01Z 0.06 1723 81 83 13 0.00
Thu 09/03 02Z 0.11 1824 86 70 13 0.00
Thu 09/03 03Z 0.19 1825 91 61 13 0.00
Thu 09/03 04Z 0.26 1926 94 49 13 0.00
Thu 09/03 05Z 0.21 1924 95 62 14 0.00
Thu 09/03 06Z 0.29 1926 96 79 13 0.00
Thu 09/03 07Z 0.20 1924 95 80 14 0.00
Thu 09/03 08Z 0.34 1930 98 92 13 0.00
Thu 09/03 09Z 0.36 2030 97 96 13 0.01
Thu 09/03 10Z 0.32 1930 94 99 14 0.01
Thu 09/03 11Z 0.36 2030 97 94 14 0.04
Thu 09/03 12Z 0.43 2035 99 97 14 0.07
Thu 09/03 13Z 0.67 2235 99 91 14 0.17
Thu 09/03 14Z 0.77 2334 99 88 14 0.15
Thu 09/03 15Z 0.74 2428 99 86 14 0.23
Thu 09/03 16Z 0.68 2523 99 77 14 0.46
Thu 09/03 17Z 0.61 2618 98 72 14 0.22
Thu 09/03 18Z 0.59 2616 99 82 14 0.13
Thu 09/03 19Z 0.50 2713 99 79 14 0.10
Thu 09/03 20Z 0.48 2712 98 82 14 0.07
Thu 09/03 21Z 0.49 2916 97 69 14 0.03
Thu 09/03 22Z 0.38 3116 96 57 13 0.03
Thu 09/03 23Z 0.27 3215 95 39 13 0.03
Fri 09/04 00Z 0.20 3214 92 18 12 0.08
Fri 09/04 01Z 0.24 3215 88 18 12 0.13
Fri 09/04 02Z 0.30 3116 85 37 12 0.02
Fri 09/04 03Z 0.40 3017 88 44 12 0.01
Fri 09/04 04Z 0.38 3016 88 48 12 0.01
Fri 09/04 05Z 0.36 3017 92 27 12 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 2.04 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1