
Severe thunderstorms will remain possible in the Mid-Atlantic through Tuesday. Severe thunderstorms and heavy rain will also be possible in the central/southern Plains on Tuesday and Wednesday. Hazardous heat will linger across the southern U.S. and build across the West through mid-week. Hot and dry weather will create Elevated to Critical fire weather conditions in the Four Corners Region. Read More >
Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260622_1800
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Mon 06/22 18Z 0.43 2014 86 86 9 0.00
Mon 06/22 19Z 0.40 2016 88 97 8 0.04
Mon 06/22 20Z 0.28 2016 91 92 8 0.07
Mon 06/22 21Z 0.15 1915 89 91 9 0.04
Mon 06/22 22Z 0.13 1815 90 95 9 0.03
Mon 06/22 23Z 0.10 1614 87 97 9 0.04
Tue 06/23 00Z 0.17 1515 88 99 9 0.04
Tue 06/23 01Z 0.15 1517 93 98 10 0.05
Tue 06/23 02Z 0.10 1518 96 97 10 0.04
Tue 06/23 03Z 0.09 1518 98 96 11 0.05
Tue 06/23 04Z 0.09 1617 98 98 11 0.04
Tue 06/23 05Z 0.09 1615 98 99 11 0.05
Tue 06/23 06Z 0.11 1514 98 99 11 0.04
Tue 06/23 07Z 0.11 1511 98 96 11 0.03
Tue 06/23 08Z 0.09 1508 98 95 11 0.02
Tue 06/23 09Z 0.07 1705 99 94 11 0.01
Tue 06/23 10Z 0.07 2203 99 91 12 0.01
Tue 06/23 11Z 0.09 2704 99 81 12 0.01
Tue 06/23 12Z 0.08 3105 99 70 11 0.00
Tue 06/23 13Z 0.06 3307 98 54 11 0.01
Tue 06/23 14Z 0.07 3409 98 40 11 0.00
Tue 06/23 15Z 0.07 3510 96 25 10 0.00
Tue 06/23 16Z 0.07 3511 95 15 10 0.00
Tue 06/23 17Z 0.03 3511 93 12 10 0.00
Tue 06/23 18Z 0.03 3512 90 11 10 0.00
Tue 06/23 19Z 0.05 3512 87 8 11 0.00
Tue 06/23 20Z 0.07 3513 87 8 10 0.00
Tue 06/23 21Z 0.05 3412 84 7 10 0.00
Tue 06/23 22Z 0.10 3513 81 6 11 0.00
Tue 06/23 23Z 0.09 3513 81 6 10 0.00
Wed 06/24 00Z 0.08 3415 82 9 10 0.00
Wed 06/24 01Z 0.07 3417 84 11 10 0.00
Wed 06/24 02Z 0.15 3419 89 15 10 0.00
Wed 06/24 03Z 0.24 3320 87 18 9 0.00
Wed 06/24 04Z 0.19 3321 85 24 9 0.00
Wed 06/24 05Z 0.15 3321 87 31 9 0.00
Wed 06/24 06Z 0.07 3419 87 27 9 0.00
Wed 06/24 07Z 0.07 3418 87 20 9 0.00
Wed 06/24 08Z 0.07 3418 87 18 9 0.00
Wed 06/24 09Z 0.10 3315 86 18 9 0.00
Wed 06/24 10Z 0.17 3215 85 20 9 0.00
Wed 06/24 11Z 0.23 3216 83 19 9 0.00
Wed 06/24 12Z 0.35 3017 86 17 8 0.00
Wed 06/24 13Z 0.43 3019 88 20 8 0.00
Wed 06/24 14Z 0.47 3019 87 30 8 0.00
Wed 06/24 15Z 0.74 3017 86 34 8 0.00
Wed 06/24 16Z 2.06 3015 88 34 8 0.00
Wed 06/24 17Z 2.70 2915 91 36 8 0.00
Wed 06/24 18Z 2.43 2814 89 45 9 0.00
Wed 06/24 19Z 3.43 2814 87 45 9 0.00
Wed 06/24 20Z 3.79 2813 84 46 9 0.00
Wed 06/24 21Z 3.28 2814 81 41 10 0.00
Wed 06/24 22Z 2.62 2915 79 34 10 0.00
Wed 06/24 23Z 1.83 3016 78 31 10 0.00
Thu 06/25 00Z 1.44 3016 80 29 10 0.00
Thu 06/25 01Z 1.40 3016 82 28 10 0.00
Thu 06/25 02Z 1.14 3015 84 31 9 0.00
Thu 06/25 03Z 0.76 3015 84 31 9 0.00
Thu 06/25 04Z 0.63 3015 84 29 9 0.00
Thu 06/25 05Z 0.52 3014 84 26 9 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 0.62 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1