
Rounds of lake effect snow are expected today into tomorrow in southeastern St. Lawrence County with periods of localized heavy snow. Snowfall rates may exceed 1"/hour at times, and gusty winds 35 mph during falling snow will result in low visibility. Then, cold temperatures and gusty winds will occur Friday night and Saturday across northern New York and Vermont. Read More >
Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260122_0000
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Thu 01/22 00Z 0.44 2033 82 87 -11 0.00
Thu 01/22 01Z 0.63 2038 77 80 -11 0.00
Thu 01/22 02Z 0.72 2139 80 90 -10 0.00
Thu 01/22 03Z 0.75 2139 86 93 -9 0.00
Thu 01/22 04Z 0.72 2237 91 95 -8 0.01
Thu 01/22 05Z 0.72 2236 94 96 -8 0.02
Thu 01/22 06Z 0.72 2236 94 95 -7 0.02
Thu 01/22 07Z 0.75 2236 93 94 -7 0.02
Thu 01/22 08Z 0.77 2236 93 80 -6 0.02
Thu 01/22 09Z 0.80 2335 94 48 -6 0.02
Thu 01/22 10Z 0.86 2335 93 78 -6 0.01
Thu 01/22 11Z 0.95 2432 91 91 -7 0.01
Thu 01/22 12Z 1.10 2431 92 88 -9 0.01
Thu 01/22 13Z 1.24 2432 91 73 -9 0.00
Thu 01/22 14Z 1.27 2531 86 60 -9 0.00
Thu 01/22 15Z 1.41 2530 87 71 -10 0.00
Thu 01/22 16Z 1.67 2528 91 85 -10 0.00
Thu 01/22 17Z 3.40 2525 87 68 -11 0.00
Thu 01/22 18Z 4.32 2526 86 53 -11 0.00
Thu 01/22 19Z 7.66 2527 89 25 -11 0.00
Thu 01/22 20Z 10.35 2529 87 13 -11 0.00
Thu 01/22 21Z 9.26 2531 86 24 -12 0.00
Thu 01/22 22Z 5.32 2632 80 26 -13 0.00
Thu 01/22 23Z 4.34 2530 84 29 -13 0.00
Fri 01/23 00Z 6.02 2530 87 30 -14 0.00
Fri 01/23 01Z 2.74 2530 83 32 -14 0.00
Fri 01/23 02Z 1.76 2529 83 28 -14 0.00
Fri 01/23 03Z 1.56 2529 80 28 -14 0.00
Fri 01/23 04Z 1.46 2532 81 26 -14 0.00
Fri 01/23 05Z 1.41 2532 83 25 -15 0.00
Fri 01/23 06Z 1.43 2533 82 25 -15 0.00
Fri 01/23 07Z 1.56 2531 84 27 -16 0.00
Fri 01/23 08Z 1.47 2530 87 23 -17 0.00
Fri 01/23 09Z 1.29 2627 87 25 -17 0.00
Fri 01/23 10Z 1.11 2526 85 28 -17 0.00
Fri 01/23 11Z 1.02 2427 86 28 -16 0.00
Fri 01/23 12Z 1.20 2432 87 38 -16 0.00
Fri 01/23 13Z 1.40 2432 88 31 -17 0.00
Fri 01/23 14Z 1.87 2430 89 34 -17 0.00
Fri 01/23 15Z 6.02 2426 90 26 -17 0.00
Fri 01/23 16Z 6.83 2523 90 22 -17 0.00
Fri 01/23 17Z 12.71 2624 81 26 -18 0.01
Fri 01/23 18Z 14.25 2624 72 31 -18 0.01
Fri 01/23 19Z 13.93 2622 71 43 -19 0.00
Fri 01/23 20Z 13.56 2624 72 59 -19 0.00
Fri 01/23 21Z 13.08 2626 69 66 -20 0.00
Fri 01/23 22Z 6.73 2628 68 68 -20 0.00
Fri 01/23 23Z 3.47 2729 75 69 -21 0.00
Sat 01/24 00Z 3.04 2826 84 69 -21 0.01
Sat 01/24 01Z 2.49 2926 83 63 -22 0.01
Sat 01/24 02Z 4.27 2925 81 55 -23 0.01
Sat 01/24 03Z 3.18 2924 80 40 -24 0.00
Sat 01/24 04Z 3.34 3025 83 31 -25 0.01
Sat 01/24 05Z 2.29 3028 77 23 -26 0.01
Sat 01/24 06Z 3.86 3030 69 23 -27 0.00
Sat 01/24 07Z 1.27 3032 57 26 -28 0.00
Sat 01/24 08Z 1.03 3032 64 27 -28 0.00
Sat 01/24 09Z 0.65 3032 68 26 -28 0.00
Sat 01/24 10Z 0.48 3132 67 22 -27 0.00
Sat 01/24 11Z 0.37 3131 64 18 -26 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 0.21 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1