Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260511_1800
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Mon 05/11 18Z 4.96 2809 63 80 0 0.00
Mon 05/11 19Z 6.15 2809 62 78 0 0.00
Mon 05/11 20Z 5.63 2809 64 90 0 0.00
Mon 05/11 21Z 2.83 2809 68 79 0 0.00
Mon 05/11 22Z 2.26 2909 70 77 0 0.00
Mon 05/11 23Z 0.66 2911 78 81 0 0.00
Tue 05/12 00Z 0.38 3213 78 69 0 0.00
Tue 05/12 01Z 0.20 3315 82 73 -1 0.00
Tue 05/12 02Z 0.17 3316 81 79 -1 0.00
Tue 05/12 03Z 0.11 3416 82 76 -2 0.00
Tue 05/12 04Z 0.05 3416 81 76 -2 0.00
Tue 05/12 05Z 0.07 3416 81 67 -2 0.00
Tue 05/12 06Z 0.08 3417 79 50 -2 0.00
Tue 05/12 07Z 0.05 3417 77 45 -2 0.00
Tue 05/12 08Z 0.03 3417 73 44 -2 0.00
Tue 05/12 09Z 0.04 3518 70 33 -3 0.00
Tue 05/12 10Z 0.04 3418 66 27 -3 0.00
Tue 05/12 11Z 0.07 3416 65 31 -3 0.00
Tue 05/12 12Z 0.14 3415 66 36 -3 0.00
Tue 05/12 13Z 1.19 3313 69 36 -4 0.00
Tue 05/12 14Z 1.95 3311 69 33 -3 0.00
Tue 05/12 15Z 3.28 3211 67 37 -3 0.00
Tue 05/12 16Z 3.99 3111 63 40 -2 0.00
Tue 05/12 17Z 6.00 3012 66 39 -2 0.00
Tue 05/12 18Z 6.53 2912 70 36 -2 0.00
Tue 05/12 19Z 6.22 2912 70 35 -1 0.00
Tue 05/12 20Z 4.53 3110 67 31 -1 0.00
Tue 05/12 21Z 3.36 3110 64 28 0 0.00
Tue 05/12 22Z 1.69 3207 63 27 0 0.00
Tue 05/12 23Z 0.90 3007 62 28 0 0.00
Wed 05/13 00Z 0.39 3007 62 28 0 0.00
Wed 05/13 01Z 0.32 2905 62 25 0 0.00
Wed 05/13 02Z 0.34 2505 62 24 0 0.00
Wed 05/13 03Z 0.36 2306 61 23 0 0.00
Wed 05/13 04Z 0.37 2207 62 20 0 0.00
Wed 05/13 05Z 0.41 2209 61 14 0 0.00
Wed 05/13 06Z 0.47 2211 60 11 0 0.00
Wed 05/13 07Z 0.50 2112 60 8 0 0.00
Wed 05/13 08Z 0.55 2214 62 34 1 0.00
Wed 05/13 09Z 0.54 2215 65 82 1 0.00
Wed 05/13 10Z 0.53 2214 65 96 1 0.00
Wed 05/13 11Z 0.37 2012 67 97 1 0.00
Wed 05/13 12Z 0.24 1914 77 99 1 0.00
Wed 05/13 13Z 0.10 1718 86 99 2 0.01
Wed 05/13 14Z 0.09 1725 91 98 2 0.01
Wed 05/13 15Z 0.21 1829 97 97 4 0.05
Wed 05/13 16Z 0.24 1928 97 97 4 0.06
Wed 05/13 17Z 0.27 1928 97 96 5 0.05
Wed 05/13 18Z 0.27 1929 93 86 5 0.04
Wed 05/13 19Z 0.32 1929 94 95 4 0.02
Wed 05/13 20Z 0.31 1928 96 98 4 0.03
Wed 05/13 21Z 0.37 1929 97 95 4 0.04
Wed 05/13 22Z 0.41 1929 96 96 5 0.06
Wed 05/13 23Z 0.42 2030 96 93 5 0.04
Thu 05/14 00Z 0.43 2030 96 90 5 0.02
Thu 05/14 01Z 0.40 1931 95 88 5 0.05
Thu 05/14 02Z 0.42 2032 93 87 5 0.01
Thu 05/14 03Z 0.44 2033 86 83 5 0.02
Thu 05/14 04Z 0.42 2032 81 86 5 0.01
Thu 05/14 05Z 0.37 1931 82 83 6 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 0.52 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1