
Significant heat is expected to build today and Friday. Hot temperatures and high humidity will allow heat index values to reach into the lower to mid 90s this afternoon and again Friday afternoon in the Champlain Valley and Connecticut River Valley. Heat index values elsewhere will be in the upper 80s to low 90s. Read More >
Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260611_1200
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Thu 06/11 12Z 0.31 2709 93 61 15 0.00
Thu 06/11 13Z 0.44 2713 92 42 15 0.00
Thu 06/11 14Z 0.61 2817 93 42 15 0.00
Thu 06/11 15Z 0.48 2915 95 47 15 0.01
Thu 06/11 16Z 0.34 3012 93 63 16 0.00
Thu 06/11 17Z 0.30 3008 92 68 16 0.00
Thu 06/11 18Z 0.48 2809 94 69 16 0.00
Thu 06/11 19Z 0.50 2710 95 71 17 0.01
Thu 06/11 20Z 0.58 2813 95 72 17 0.01
Thu 06/11 21Z 0.51 2813 91 72 18 0.00
Thu 06/11 22Z 0.49 2814 87 78 18 0.00
Thu 06/11 23Z 0.45 2812 87 76 18 0.00
Fri 06/12 00Z 0.44 2811 88 68 18 0.00
Fri 06/12 01Z 0.42 2812 84 60 18 0.00
Fri 06/12 02Z 0.44 2711 84 57 18 0.00
Fri 06/12 03Z 0.47 2613 80 66 18 0.00
Fri 06/12 04Z 0.55 2615 76 71 18 0.00
Fri 06/12 05Z 0.57 2614 73 62 18 0.00
Fri 06/12 06Z 0.59 2514 70 59 18 0.00
Fri 06/12 07Z 0.53 2512 75 52 18 0.00
Fri 06/12 08Z 0.41 2411 79 60 18 0.00
Fri 06/12 09Z 0.31 2310 86 71 18 0.00
Fri 06/12 10Z 0.21 2208 90 81 18 0.00
Fri 06/12 11Z 0.19 2307 93 88 18 0.01
Fri 06/12 12Z 0.12 2304 94 89 17 0.00
Fri 06/12 13Z 0.15 2504 95 90 17 0.00
Fri 06/12 14Z 0.18 2505 93 89 17 0.01
Fri 06/12 15Z 0.20 2405 88 89 17 0.00
Fri 06/12 16Z 0.22 2305 83 46 18 0.00
Fri 06/12 17Z 1.34 2507 84 19 17 0.00
Fri 06/12 18Z 2.47 2709 82 17 18 0.00
Fri 06/12 19Z 1.50 2707 80 15 18 0.00
Fri 06/12 20Z 1.13 2407 81 32 19 0.00
Fri 06/12 21Z 0.92 2310 87 77 18 0.02
Fri 06/12 22Z 0.65 2415 88 68 18 0.13
Fri 06/12 23Z 0.83 2619 93 57 18 0.02
Sat 06/13 00Z 0.74 2721 94 60 16 0.07
Sat 06/13 01Z 0.66 2822 74 53 16 0.01
Sat 06/13 02Z 0.57 2922 59 21 16 0.00
Sat 06/13 03Z 0.49 2922 65 10 15 0.00
Sat 06/13 04Z 0.44 3023 71 5 14 0.00
Sat 06/13 05Z 0.39 3023 72 5 14 0.00
Sat 06/13 06Z 0.38 3123 72 9 13 0.00
Sat 06/13 07Z 0.34 3124 65 10 13 0.00
Sat 06/13 08Z 0.34 3125 60 10 13 0.00
Sat 06/13 09Z 0.32 3125 56 14 13 0.00
Sat 06/13 10Z 0.30 3226 51 13 12 0.00
Sat 06/13 11Z 0.26 3225 49 13 12 0.00
Sat 06/13 12Z 0.21 3222 51 13 13 0.00
Sat 06/13 13Z 0.22 3221 57 11 12 0.00
Sat 06/13 14Z 0.25 3217 62 12 12 0.00
Sat 06/13 15Z 0.32 3113 62 9 12 0.00
Sat 06/13 16Z 0.89 3011 63 8 12 0.00
Sat 06/13 17Z 1.66 3010 67 6 12 0.00
Sat 06/13 18Z 2.38 2809 71 5 12 0.00
Sat 06/13 19Z 2.36 2708 73 6 13 0.00
Sat 06/13 20Z 2.23 2709 76 11 13 0.00
Sat 06/13 21Z 1.97 2709 77 14 13 0.00
Sat 06/13 22Z 1.32 2608 76 14 13 0.00
Sat 06/13 23Z 0.77 2509 75 18 13 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 0.30 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1