Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20261028_1200
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Wed 10/28 12Z 0.19 2310 32 63 3 0.00
Wed 10/28 13Z 0.24 2411 34 85 3 0.00
Wed 10/28 14Z 0.24 2411 32 86 4 0.00
Wed 10/28 15Z 0.23 2411 30 86 4 0.00
Wed 10/28 16Z 0.23 2511 29 76 5 0.00
Wed 10/28 17Z 0.24 2512 30 78 6 0.00
Wed 10/28 18Z 0.23 2611 32 80 7 0.00
Wed 10/28 19Z 0.23 2611 35 84 7 0.00
Wed 10/28 20Z 0.23 2511 36 90 8 0.00
Wed 10/28 21Z 0.25 2512 39 91 8 0.00
Wed 10/28 22Z 0.27 2513 42 91 8 0.00
Wed 10/28 23Z 0.29 2514 42 89 8 0.00
Thu 10/29 00Z 0.31 2514 45 83 9 0.00
Thu 10/29 01Z 0.33 2415 49 85 9 0.00
Thu 10/29 02Z 0.34 2416 52 73 9 0.00
Thu 10/29 03Z 0.37 2417 56 68 9 0.00
Thu 10/29 04Z 0.37 2417 59 64 9 0.00
Thu 10/29 05Z 0.39 2418 63 58 9 0.00
Thu 10/29 06Z 0.41 2419 67 49 9 0.00
Thu 10/29 07Z 0.43 2420 73 35 9 0.00
Thu 10/29 08Z 0.45 2422 77 23 9 0.00
Thu 10/29 09Z 0.46 2422 81 23 9 0.00
Thu 10/29 10Z 0.47 2422 82 33 8 0.00
Thu 10/29 11Z 0.49 2422 82 39 8 0.00
Thu 10/29 12Z 0.50 2522 83 53 8 0.00
Thu 10/29 13Z 0.53 2523 84 51 8 0.00
Thu 10/29 14Z 0.54 2424 85 51 8 0.00
Thu 10/29 15Z 0.57 2424 87 51 8 0.00
Thu 10/29 16Z 0.58 2425 86 54 8 0.00
Thu 10/29 17Z 0.57 2424 82 55 8 0.00
Thu 10/29 18Z 0.57 2523 80 60 8 0.00
Thu 10/29 19Z 0.60 2524 78 55 8 0.00
Thu 10/29 20Z 0.63 2525 77 56 8 0.00
Thu 10/29 21Z 0.67 2527 75 50 9 0.00
Thu 10/29 22Z 0.71 2529 72 57 10 0.00
Thu 10/29 23Z 0.74 2531 73 83 10 0.00
Fri 10/30 00Z 0.77 2533 77 83 10 0.00
Fri 10/30 01Z 0.85 2535 78 86 10 0.00
Fri 10/30 02Z 0.97 2537 85 92 9 0.01
Fri 10/30 03Z 0.98 2637 91 87 8 0.02
Fri 10/30 04Z 0.93 2636 95 67 8 0.01
Fri 10/30 05Z 0.93 2733 97 26 7 0.02
Fri 10/30 06Z 0.95 2731 91 10 6 0.02
Fri 10/30 07Z 0.84 2729 78 8 6 0.01
Fri 10/30 08Z 0.80 2829 69 6 6 0.01
Fri 10/30 09Z 0.76 2829 63 7 5 0.00
Fri 10/30 10Z 0.73 2830 63 7 5 0.00
Fri 10/30 11Z 0.68 2829 68 5 4 0.00
Fri 10/30 12Z 0.64 2828 71 4 3 0.01
Fri 10/30 13Z 0.60 2927 75 3 2 0.01
Fri 10/30 14Z 0.59 2926 77 3 1 0.01
Fri 10/30 15Z 0.59 2924 80 2 1 0.00
Fri 10/30 16Z 0.65 2922 85 6 0 0.00
Fri 10/30 17Z 0.77 2821 87 9 0 0.00
Fri 10/30 18Z 0.96 2821 88 10 0 0.00
Fri 10/30 19Z 1.65 2923 89 9 -1 0.00
Fri 10/30 20Z 1.39 2925 90 6 -1 0.00
Fri 10/30 21Z 0.91 3026 91 12 -2 0.00
Fri 10/30 22Z 0.93 3027 93 9 -3 0.00
Fri 10/30 23Z 0.89 3028 95 11 -3 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 0.13 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1