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Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20261027_1800
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Tue 10/27 18Z 0.13 3209 67 5 -1 0.00
Tue 10/27 19Z 0.12 3211 62 4 0 0.00
Tue 10/27 20Z 0.09 3310 56 3 0 0.00
Tue 10/27 21Z 0.12 3211 50 4 0 0.00
Tue 10/27 22Z 0.14 3213 50 4 0 0.00
Tue 10/27 23Z 0.12 3214 52 5 0 0.00
Wed 10/28 00Z 0.12 3212 53 5 0 0.00
Wed 10/28 01Z 0.11 3211 52 5 0 0.00
Wed 10/28 02Z 0.09 3211 48 5 1 0.00
Wed 10/28 03Z 0.08 3210 43 4 1 0.00
Wed 10/28 04Z 0.08 3209 38 4 1 0.00
Wed 10/28 05Z 0.07 3207 32 4 1 0.00
Wed 10/28 06Z 0.07 3106 28 5 2 0.00
Wed 10/28 07Z 0.08 3005 25 7 2 0.00
Wed 10/28 08Z 0.10 2805 24 13 2 0.00
Wed 10/28 09Z 0.11 2605 24 28 2 0.00
Wed 10/28 10Z 0.12 2506 24 60 2 0.00
Wed 10/28 11Z 0.15 2507 25 78 2 0.00
Wed 10/28 12Z 0.18 2508 27 74 3 0.00
Wed 10/28 13Z 0.24 2511 33 70 2 0.00
Wed 10/28 14Z 0.25 2512 36 84 3 0.00
Wed 10/28 15Z 0.26 2613 37 85 3 0.00
Wed 10/28 16Z 0.26 2613 37 82 4 0.00
Wed 10/28 17Z 0.25 2612 37 77 4 0.00
Wed 10/28 18Z 0.24 2711 36 74 5 0.00
Wed 10/28 19Z 0.23 2610 36 71 5 0.00
Wed 10/28 20Z 0.24 2611 37 75 6 0.00
Wed 10/28 21Z 0.25 2611 39 75 6 0.00
Wed 10/28 22Z 0.27 2612 38 68 7 0.00
Wed 10/28 23Z 0.30 2614 45 71 7 0.00
Thu 10/29 00Z 0.31 2614 55 76 8 0.00
Thu 10/29 01Z 0.33 2515 57 71 8 0.00
Thu 10/29 02Z 0.35 2516 63 56 8 0.00
Thu 10/29 03Z 0.37 2516 67 49 8 0.00
Thu 10/29 04Z 0.36 2516 73 38 8 0.00
Thu 10/29 05Z 0.38 2417 74 31 8 0.00
Thu 10/29 06Z 0.41 2419 76 32 8 0.00
Thu 10/29 07Z 0.44 2420 79 31 8 0.00
Thu 10/29 08Z 0.46 2420 83 30 7 0.01
Thu 10/29 09Z 0.49 2521 91 29 7 0.01
Thu 10/29 10Z 0.52 2521 93 28 7 0.02
Thu 10/29 11Z 0.55 2522 93 33 6 0.02
Thu 10/29 12Z 0.56 2621 93 38 6 0.01
Thu 10/29 13Z 0.57 2621 93 49 6 0.01
Thu 10/29 14Z 0.60 2522 93 44 6 0.01
Thu 10/29 15Z 0.62 2523 91 44 6 0.01
Thu 10/29 16Z 0.64 2523 90 38 6 0.00
Thu 10/29 17Z 0.66 2424 88 41 7 0.00
Thu 10/29 18Z 0.66 2424 90 56 7 0.00
Thu 10/29 19Z 0.67 2425 89 47 7 0.00
Thu 10/29 20Z 0.65 2525 86 26 8 0.00
Thu 10/29 21Z 0.72 2528 88 30 8 0.01
Thu 10/29 22Z 0.71 2528 86 28 9 0.01
Thu 10/29 23Z 0.69 2529 84 41 9 0.01
Fri 10/30 00Z 0.67 2530 81 72 10 0.01
Fri 10/30 01Z 0.74 2533 83 87 10 0.01
Fri 10/30 02Z 0.83 2536 86 93 9 0.01
Fri 10/30 03Z 0.90 2537 92 87 9 0.02
Fri 10/30 04Z 0.91 2637 96 80 8 0.02
Fri 10/30 05Z 0.87 2635 97 70 8 0.03
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 0.23 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1