Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260501_1800
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Fri 05/01 18Z 5.13 2908 66 58 0 0.00
Fri 05/01 19Z 4.99 2808 66 69 0 0.00
Fri 05/01 20Z 3.91 2807 67 73 0 0.00
Fri 05/01 21Z 3.66 2807 68 71 0 0.00
Fri 05/01 22Z 3.07 2706 69 71 0 0.00
Fri 05/01 23Z 0.92 2706 70 70 0 0.00
Sat 05/02 00Z 0.42 2705 68 64 0 0.00
Sat 05/02 01Z 0.29 2704 67 63 0 0.00
Sat 05/02 02Z 0.08 2901 65 67 0 0.00
Sat 05/02 03Z 0.08 1803 65 86 0 0.00
Sat 05/02 04Z 0.11 1704 69 90 0 0.00
Sat 05/02 05Z 0.18 1505 77 93 -1 0.00
Sat 05/02 06Z 0.09 1608 90 98 -1 0.02
Sat 05/02 07Z 0.08 1610 97 98 -1 0.03
Sat 05/02 08Z 0.10 1709 98 93 -1 0.04
Sat 05/02 09Z 0.15 1908 99 84 -1 0.03
Sat 05/02 10Z 0.25 2309 99 82 -1 0.01
Sat 05/02 11Z 0.31 2510 99 79 -1 0.02
Sat 05/02 12Z 0.32 2710 98 72 -2 0.01
Sat 05/02 13Z 0.33 2811 98 79 -2 0.01
Sat 05/02 14Z 0.32 2911 97 75 -2 0.01
Sat 05/02 15Z 0.28 3011 95 72 -2 0.00
Sat 05/02 16Z 0.33 3009 94 69 -3 0.00
Sat 05/02 17Z 0.85 3008 90 59 -3 0.00
Sat 05/02 18Z 1.86 3007 87 39 -2 0.00
Sat 05/02 19Z 2.55 2906 82 24 -2 0.00
Sat 05/02 20Z 2.94 2806 78 26 -1 0.00
Sat 05/02 21Z 1.92 2706 86 47 -1 0.00
Sat 05/02 22Z 0.53 2806 91 50 -1 0.01
Sat 05/02 23Z 0.31 2906 88 43 -1 0.01
Sun 05/03 00Z 0.32 3007 91 46 -2 0.01
Sun 05/03 01Z 0.27 3208 90 43 -2 0.00
Sun 05/03 02Z 0.14 3309 90 42 -2 0.00
Sun 05/03 03Z 0.13 3310 90 39 -3 0.01
Sun 05/03 04Z 0.19 3312 92 35 -3 0.00
Sun 05/03 05Z 0.21 3313 95 33 -3 0.00
Sun 05/03 06Z 0.19 3314 92 33 -3 0.00
Sun 05/03 07Z 0.17 3315 87 36 -4 0.00
Sun 05/03 08Z 0.14 3316 85 37 -4 0.00
Sun 05/03 09Z 0.12 3416 83 38 -4 0.00
Sun 05/03 10Z 0.11 3416 82 41 -4 0.00
Sun 05/03 11Z 0.12 3416 81 46 -5 0.00
Sun 05/03 12Z 0.18 3315 80 48 -5 0.00
Sun 05/03 13Z 1.07 3315 80 44 -5 0.00
Sun 05/03 14Z 2.98 3215 76 38 -4 0.00
Sun 05/03 15Z 4.66 3215 70 40 -4 0.00
Sun 05/03 16Z 5.38 3115 66 45 -4 0.00
Sun 05/03 17Z 6.38 3114 69 50 -3 0.00
Sun 05/03 18Z 6.69 3014 70 56 -3 0.00
Sun 05/03 19Z 6.66 2914 73 52 -3 0.00
Sun 05/03 20Z 6.91 3013 67 57 -2 0.00
Sun 05/03 21Z 6.54 2913 65 50 -2 0.00
Sun 05/03 22Z 5.58 2813 62 48 -1 0.00
Sun 05/03 23Z 3.20 2816 61 46 -1 0.00
Mon 05/04 00Z 1.81 2819 58 39 -1 0.00
Mon 05/04 01Z 1.71 2821 57 36 -1 0.00
Mon 05/04 02Z 1.40 2823 63 16 -1 0.00
Mon 05/04 03Z 1.07 2824 73 91 -1 0.00
Mon 05/04 04Z 1.02 2725 79 86 0 0.00
Mon 05/04 05Z 1.00 2627 83 90 0 0.01
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 0.23 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1