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Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260617_0000
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Wed 06/17 00Z 0.50 2409 76 73 9 0.00
Wed 06/17 01Z 0.57 2410 73 68 9 0.00
Wed 06/17 02Z 0.62 2411 73 61 9 0.00
Wed 06/17 03Z 0.64 2411 76 48 9 0.00
Wed 06/17 04Z 0.56 2310 76 47 9 0.00
Wed 06/17 05Z 0.54 2311 76 50 9 0.00
Wed 06/17 06Z 0.54 2311 77 56 9 0.00
Wed 06/17 07Z 0.52 2311 76 58 9 0.00
Wed 06/17 08Z 0.48 2211 76 60 9 0.00
Wed 06/17 09Z 0.46 2212 76 62 9 0.00
Wed 06/17 10Z 0.41 2212 74 61 9 0.00
Wed 06/17 11Z 0.37 2112 74 58 9 0.00
Wed 06/17 12Z 0.35 2111 75 58 9 0.00
Wed 06/17 13Z 0.44 2110 74 60 9 0.00
Wed 06/17 14Z 1.39 2008 74 60 9 0.00
Wed 06/17 15Z 3.22 2108 73 64 9 0.00
Wed 06/17 16Z 3.75 2110 74 57 9 0.01
Wed 06/17 17Z 3.68 2110 70 53 10 0.01
Wed 06/17 18Z 1.64 1809 68 63 10 0.00
Wed 06/17 19Z 1.51 1809 70 74 11 0.00
Wed 06/17 20Z 1.98 2010 69 86 11 0.00
Wed 06/17 21Z 0.45 1808 71 76 11 0.01
Wed 06/17 22Z 0.14 1810 70 71 11 0.00
Wed 06/17 23Z 0.16 1811 72 68 11 0.00
Thu 06/18 00Z 0.27 1814 74 62 11 0.00
Thu 06/18 01Z 0.26 1815 75 52 11 0.00
Thu 06/18 02Z 0.39 1918 75 53 11 0.00
Thu 06/18 03Z 0.54 1921 76 55 11 0.00
Thu 06/18 04Z 0.56 1924 82 63 11 0.00
Thu 06/18 05Z 0.45 1925 81 72 11 0.00
Thu 06/18 06Z 0.49 2025 86 56 11 0.00
Thu 06/18 07Z 0.59 2027 89 56 11 0.00
Thu 06/18 08Z 0.51 2027 90 56 11 0.01
Thu 06/18 09Z 0.46 2027 94 92 11 0.05
Thu 06/18 10Z 0.37 1926 91 89 12 0.05
Thu 06/18 11Z 0.25 1832 90 69 12 0.00
Thu 06/18 12Z 0.19 1836 90 95 13 0.01
Thu 06/18 13Z 0.32 1840 89 98 13 0.01
Thu 06/18 14Z 0.31 1841 85 96 13 0.07
Thu 06/18 15Z 0.29 1842 96 96 13 0.07
Thu 06/18 16Z 0.30 1842 98 94 13 0.15
Thu 06/18 17Z 0.45 1937 98 93 13 0.17
Thu 06/18 18Z 0.48 1933 98 85 14 0.06
Thu 06/18 19Z 0.56 2031 98 79 14 0.04
Thu 06/18 20Z 0.61 2028 97 58 14 0.04
Thu 06/18 21Z 0.91 2224 95 84 14 0.16
Thu 06/18 22Z 0.82 2526 85 77 12 0.18
Thu 06/18 23Z 0.76 2624 88 78 12 0.01
Fri 06/19 00Z 0.80 2524 87 50 12 0.00
Fri 06/19 01Z 0.96 2526 91 50 11 0.00
Fri 06/19 02Z 1.06 2427 95 58 11 0.01
Fri 06/19 03Z 1.20 2528 96 62 10 0.01
Fri 06/19 04Z 1.23 2529 96 83 9 0.03
Fri 06/19 05Z 1.21 2530 97 92 9 0.05
Fri 06/19 06Z 1.41 2630 96 74 8 0.05
Fri 06/19 07Z 1.19 2631 94 65 7 0.01
Fri 06/19 08Z 0.97 2632 91 67 8 0.00
Fri 06/19 09Z 0.90 2732 91 61 9 0.01
Fri 06/19 10Z 0.86 2732 93 56 9 0.01
Fri 06/19 11Z 0.85 2731 92 56 9 0.01
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 1.30 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1