
A slow moving front will produce a threat for heavy rainfall and severe weather from New Mexico into the western High Plains through the weekend. Heavy rainfall is also expected this weekend in South Florida. The Bering Sea storm continues to bring heavy precipitation, strong winds, and minor to major coastal flooding through the weekend across western Alaska. Read More >
Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20261024_1200
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sat 10/24 12Z 0.14 3008 22 1 5 0.00
Sat 10/24 13Z 0.17 3010 20 1 5 0.00
Sat 10/24 14Z 0.15 3111 22 1 5 0.00
Sat 10/24 15Z 0.12 3110 24 1 5 0.00
Sat 10/24 16Z 0.11 3108 26 1 5 0.00
Sat 10/24 17Z 0.10 3107 28 1 5 0.00
Sat 10/24 18Z 0.11 3006 30 1 5 0.00
Sat 10/24 19Z 0.11 3006 30 2 6 0.00
Sat 10/24 20Z 0.13 2906 28 2 6 0.00
Sat 10/24 21Z 0.15 2907 25 3 6 0.00
Sat 10/24 22Z 0.16 3008 22 4 6 0.00
Sat 10/24 23Z 0.14 3008 22 7 6 0.00
Sun 10/25 00Z 0.13 3109 26 9 6 0.00
Sun 10/25 01Z 0.10 3108 27 12 7 0.00
Sun 10/25 02Z 0.10 3107 27 12 7 0.00
Sun 10/25 03Z 0.10 3106 25 13 7 0.00
Sun 10/25 04Z 0.09 3106 20 14 7 0.00
Sun 10/25 05Z 0.09 3005 17 16 8 0.00
Sun 10/25 06Z 0.08 2904 14 19 8 0.00
Sun 10/25 07Z 0.09 2704 13 24 8 0.00
Sun 10/25 08Z 0.13 2706 14 28 8 0.00
Sun 10/25 09Z 0.16 2607 14 32 8 0.00
Sun 10/25 10Z 0.19 2609 15 34 8 0.00
Sun 10/25 11Z 0.20 2709 14 34 8 0.00
Sun 10/25 12Z 0.19 2709 13 33 8 0.00
Sun 10/25 13Z 0.18 2809 10 32 8 0.00
Sun 10/25 14Z 0.18 2708 7 29 9 0.00
Sun 10/25 15Z 0.18 2708 7 26 9 0.00
Sun 10/25 16Z 0.19 2609 8 24 9 0.00
Sun 10/25 17Z 0.21 2609 10 24 9 0.00
Sun 10/25 18Z 0.21 2609 9 25 10 0.00
Sun 10/25 19Z 0.23 2510 9 25 10 0.00
Sun 10/25 20Z 0.25 2511 9 27 10 0.00
Sun 10/25 21Z 0.27 2612 9 25 9 0.00
Sun 10/25 22Z 0.28 2612 10 25 10 0.00
Sun 10/25 23Z 0.28 2612 10 24 10 0.00
Mon 10/26 00Z 0.29 2613 11 21 11 0.00
Mon 10/26 01Z 0.30 2614 12 19 11 0.00
Mon 10/26 02Z 0.32 2616 13 17 11 0.00
Mon 10/26 03Z 0.33 2616 9 16 11 0.00
Mon 10/26 04Z 0.33 2616 8 15 11 0.00
Mon 10/26 05Z 0.35 2617 10 14 11 0.00
Mon 10/26 06Z 0.35 2718 9 12 11 0.00
Mon 10/26 07Z 0.34 2717 9 12 11 0.00
Mon 10/26 08Z 0.35 2817 10 13 10 0.00
Mon 10/26 09Z 0.35 2918 13 12 10 0.00
Mon 10/26 10Z 0.34 2918 20 39 10 0.00
Mon 10/26 11Z 0.36 2918 28 22 9 0.00
Mon 10/26 12Z 0.38 2919 34 36 9 0.00
Mon 10/26 13Z 0.41 2921 46 48 9 0.00
Mon 10/26 14Z 0.44 2922 55 55 9 0.00
Mon 10/26 15Z 0.47 2923 71 75 8 0.00
Mon 10/26 16Z 0.46 2923 89 84 8 0.00
Mon 10/26 17Z 0.46 2923 94 92 7 0.01
Mon 10/26 18Z 0.44 3023 95 91 7 0.01
Mon 10/26 19Z 0.43 3022 89 92 6 0.00
Mon 10/26 20Z 0.44 3022 88 87 5 0.00
Mon 10/26 21Z 0.44 3021 86 70 4 0.01
Mon 10/26 22Z 0.40 3122 81 60 4 0.01
Mon 10/26 23Z 0.33 3224 81 65 3 0.01
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 0.05 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1