
Severe thunderstorms and flash flooding risks increase across the center of the nation today. Meanwhile, ongoing thunderstorms and flash flooding will linger along the Gulf Coast states through the evening. The Great Basin and Intermountain West, warm temperatures and dry fuels with dry lightning may enhance fire weather potential. In addition, across interior Alaska, Red Flag Warning are posted. Read More >
Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260620_1200
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sat 06/20 12Z 0.95 2924 96 90 7 0.00
Sat 06/20 13Z 0.90 3026 98 90 7 0.02
Sat 06/20 14Z 0.90 3026 98 93 7 0.04
Sat 06/20 15Z 0.83 2925 97 92 8 0.03
Sat 06/20 16Z 0.81 3024 97 92 8 0.03
Sat 06/20 17Z 0.66 3021 97 90 9 0.04
Sat 06/20 18Z 0.69 3021 96 90 9 0.07
Sat 06/20 19Z 0.74 3021 96 84 9 0.10
Sat 06/20 20Z 0.93 3020 95 77 9 0.07
Sat 06/20 21Z 0.94 3019 94 79 9 0.12
Sat 06/20 22Z 0.82 2920 94 76 9 0.07
Sat 06/20 23Z 0.73 2921 92 68 9 0.07
Sun 06/21 00Z 0.76 2921 93 65 9 0.01
Sun 06/21 01Z 0.76 2921 92 65 9 0.00
Sun 06/21 02Z 0.62 2920 92 64 9 0.00
Sun 06/21 03Z 0.49 3018 92 65 9 0.00
Sun 06/21 04Z 0.47 2917 95 67 8 0.01
Sun 06/21 05Z 0.40 3015 94 72 8 0.01
Sun 06/21 06Z 0.34 3014 94 78 8 0.01
Sun 06/21 07Z 0.32 3013 95 76 8 0.01
Sun 06/21 08Z 0.33 3013 96 72 8 0.01
Sun 06/21 09Z 0.33 3013 95 61 8 0.01
Sun 06/21 10Z 0.30 3012 93 51 8 0.01
Sun 06/21 11Z 0.30 2912 92 52 8 0.00
Sun 06/21 12Z 0.29 2911 92 61 8 0.00
Sun 06/21 13Z 0.31 2911 92 73 8 0.00
Sun 06/21 14Z 0.30 2910 91 75 8 0.00
Sun 06/21 15Z 0.34 2909 91 73 8 0.00
Sun 06/21 16Z 0.74 2909 92 74 8 0.00
Sun 06/21 17Z 0.77 3009 92 71 8 0.00
Sun 06/21 18Z 0.67 3009 92 68 8 0.00
Sun 06/21 19Z 0.48 3009 92 67 9 0.00
Sun 06/21 20Z 0.40 3009 92 71 9 0.04
Sun 06/21 21Z 0.27 3110 87 65 9 0.02
Sun 06/21 22Z 0.22 3210 85 55 10 0.01
Sun 06/21 23Z 0.25 3110 86 55 10 0.00
Mon 06/22 00Z 0.29 3011 87 58 9 0.00
Mon 06/22 01Z 0.27 3112 86 57 9 0.00
Mon 06/22 02Z 0.28 3112 85 58 9 0.00
Mon 06/22 03Z 0.24 3111 87 50 9 0.00
Mon 06/22 04Z 0.15 3210 84 40 10 0.00
Mon 06/22 05Z 0.04 3408 77 31 10 0.00
Mon 06/22 06Z 0.04 3306 76 31 10 0.00
Mon 06/22 07Z 0.09 3105 80 38 10 0.00
Mon 06/22 08Z 0.12 2804 83 41 9 0.00
Mon 06/22 09Z 0.13 2503 85 38 9 0.00
Mon 06/22 10Z 0.11 2403 83 26 9 0.00
Mon 06/22 11Z 0.05 2002 79 22 9 0.00
Mon 06/22 12Z 0.02 1703 77 22 10 0.00
Mon 06/22 13Z 0.04 1706 78 22 10 0.00
Mon 06/22 14Z 0.10 1810 79 30 10 0.00
Mon 06/22 15Z 0.07 1712 79 89 9 0.00
Mon 06/22 16Z 0.09 1712 86 94 8 0.02
Mon 06/22 17Z 0.07 1611 88 81 8 0.04
Mon 06/22 18Z 0.13 1515 87 76 8 0.03
Mon 06/22 19Z 0.39 1420 88 98 8 0.03
Mon 06/22 20Z 0.79 1221 96 99 8 0.11
Mon 06/22 21Z 0.71 1225 98 99 9 0.28
Mon 06/22 22Z 0.56 1226 98 99 9 0.25
Mon 06/22 23Z 0.41 1325 98 98 10 0.20
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 1.77 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1