
A slow moving front will produce a threat for heavy rainfall and severe weather from New Mexico into the western High Plains through the weekend. Heavy rainfall is also expected this weekend in South Florida. The Bering Sea storm continues to bring heavy precipitation, strong winds, and minor to major coastal flooding through the weekend across western Alaska. Read More >
Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20261024_0600
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sat 10/24 06Z 0.03 3204 23 2 6 0.00
Sat 10/24 07Z 0.07 3105 22 2 6 0.00
Sat 10/24 08Z 0.09 3106 21 1 6 0.00
Sat 10/24 09Z 0.11 3008 19 1 6 0.00
Sat 10/24 10Z 0.13 3109 18 1 6 0.00
Sat 10/24 11Z 0.13 3110 18 1 6 0.00
Sat 10/24 12Z 0.12 3110 19 1 5 0.00
Sat 10/24 13Z 0.13 3110 20 1 5 0.00
Sat 10/24 14Z 0.13 3110 21 1 5 0.00
Sat 10/24 15Z 0.13 3109 22 1 6 0.00
Sat 10/24 16Z 0.13 3009 23 1 6 0.00
Sat 10/24 17Z 0.14 3008 23 2 6 0.00
Sat 10/24 18Z 0.14 3008 23 3 6 0.00
Sat 10/24 19Z 0.13 3108 23 4 6 0.00
Sat 10/24 20Z 0.12 3109 23 7 6 0.00
Sat 10/24 21Z 0.10 3209 20 11 6 0.00
Sat 10/24 22Z 0.10 3208 17 16 6 0.00
Sat 10/24 23Z 0.09 3208 15 25 6 0.00
Sun 10/25 00Z 0.07 3208 15 34 7 0.00
Sun 10/25 01Z 0.06 3207 15 45 7 0.00
Sun 10/25 02Z 0.06 3105 15 51 7 0.00
Sun 10/25 03Z 0.10 2905 15 55 8 0.00
Sun 10/25 04Z 0.13 2806 17 58 8 0.00
Sun 10/25 05Z 0.13 2806 17 56 8 0.00
Sun 10/25 06Z 0.12 2906 15 49 8 0.00
Sun 10/25 07Z 0.12 2806 14 45 8 0.00
Sun 10/25 08Z 0.14 2706 14 46 8 0.00
Sun 10/25 09Z 0.16 2707 15 50 8 0.00
Sun 10/25 10Z 0.19 2809 14 51 8 0.00
Sun 10/25 11Z 0.17 2809 10 42 9 0.00
Sun 10/25 12Z 0.14 2907 7 34 9 0.00
Sun 10/25 13Z 0.13 2907 7 31 9 0.00
Sun 10/25 14Z 0.13 2806 6 27 9 0.00
Sun 10/25 15Z 0.14 2706 6 26 9 0.00
Sun 10/25 16Z 0.15 2606 8 30 9 0.00
Sun 10/25 17Z 0.16 2507 8 32 9 0.00
Sun 10/25 18Z 0.18 2508 8 36 10 0.00
Sun 10/25 19Z 0.20 2509 7 39 10 0.00
Sun 10/25 20Z 0.24 2510 7 36 10 0.00
Sun 10/25 21Z 0.28 2512 6 31 10 0.00
Sun 10/25 22Z 0.32 2514 5 27 10 0.00
Sun 10/25 23Z 0.32 2614 8 24 11 0.00
Mon 10/26 00Z 0.31 2614 10 21 11 0.00
Mon 10/26 01Z 0.30 2714 12 19 11 0.00
Mon 10/26 02Z 0.28 2713 11 18 11 0.00
Mon 10/26 03Z 0.28 2613 9 18 11 0.00
Mon 10/26 04Z 0.29 2613 7 17 11 0.00
Mon 10/26 05Z 0.30 2614 10 18 11 0.00
Mon 10/26 06Z 0.32 2615 11 20 11 0.00
Mon 10/26 07Z 0.34 2716 9 21 11 0.00
Mon 10/26 08Z 0.34 2716 8 21 11 0.00
Mon 10/26 09Z 0.34 2817 9 18 10 0.00
Mon 10/26 10Z 0.33 2917 13 19 10 0.00
Mon 10/26 11Z 0.33 2917 20 37 10 0.00
Mon 10/26 12Z 0.34 2917 23 36 9 0.00
Mon 10/26 13Z 0.34 2917 31 48 9 0.00
Mon 10/26 14Z 0.36 2917 43 67 9 0.00
Mon 10/26 15Z 0.39 2818 55 84 9 0.00
Mon 10/26 16Z 0.42 2920 84 93 8 0.00
Mon 10/26 17Z 0.39 2920 94 95 7 0.01
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 0.01 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1