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Winter Weather Advisory in Effect for Eastern Vermont 7 PM Tonight Through 10 AM Friday

A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect from 7 PM tonight to 10 AM Friday for portions of eastern Vermont. Freezing rain is expected in these areas, especially above 1000 feet elevation. Slick travel conditions are possible, so be sure to slow down and use caution if traveling this evening into Friday morning. Read More >

Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens

Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260402_1800
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.

925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date   Time        Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Thu 04/02 18Z 0.08 1409  99  84   0 0.00
Thu 04/02 19Z 0.10 1412  97  91   0 0.00
Thu 04/02 20Z 0.11 1414  96  90   1 0.00
Thu 04/02 21Z 0.10 1416  95  86   1 0.00
Thu 04/02 22Z 0.08 1517  95  97   1 0.00
Thu 04/02 23Z 0.08 1520  95  99   1 0.01
Fri 04/03 00Z 0.05 1623  96  97   2 0.02
Fri 04/03 02Z 0.03 1725  97  88   3 0.02
Fri 04/03 03Z 0.07 1727  97  87   4 0.02
Fri 04/03 04Z 0.10 1828  98  86   4 0.02
Fri 04/03 05Z 0.15 1830  98  88   5 0.03
Fri 04/03 06Z 0.18 1930  97  79   7 0.03
Fri 04/03 07Z 0.24 1932  98  69   7 0.04
Fri 04/03 08Z 0.25 2032  97  73   9 0.03
Fri 04/03 09Z 0.29 2033  98  89   9 0.02
Fri 04/03 10Z 0.36 2136  98  87  10 0.04
Fri 04/03 11Z 0.40 2137  98  90  10 0.04
Fri 04/03 12Z 0.45 2239  98  90  11 0.04
Fri 04/03 13Z 0.47 2237  97  88  11 0.07
Fri 04/03 14Z 0.51 2338  98  88  11 0.05
Fri 04/03 15Z 0.58 2338  98  94  11 0.05
Fri 04/03 16Z 0.64 2438  96  75  11 0.03
Fri 04/03 17Z 0.66 2437  94  76  11 0.02
Fri 04/03 18Z 0.72 2537  95  85  11 0.01
Fri 04/03 19Z 0.76 2537  95  84  11 0.01
Fri 04/03 20Z 0.83 2537  95  51  11 0.02
Fri 04/03 21Z 0.93 2537  94  43  11 0.00
Fri 04/03 22Z 1.05 2538  93  57  10 0.00
Fri 04/03 23Z 1.13 2540  95  34  10 0.00
Sat 04/04 00Z 1.23 2541  96  24  10 0.01
Sat 04/04 01Z 1.30 2544  95  15   9 0.01
Sat 04/04 02Z 1.27 2642  93  12   9 0.01
Sat 04/04 03Z 1.32 2641  92  11   8 0.02
Sat 04/04 04Z 1.23 2739  88  13   7 0.02
Sat 04/04 05Z 0.99 2736  84  25   6 0.02
Sat 04/04 06Z 0.75 2834  81  41   6 0.02
Sat 04/04 07Z 0.56 2830  81  32   5 0.00
Sat 04/04 08Z 0.42 2926  83  18   3 0.00
Sat 04/04 09Z 0.30 3023  86  20   2 0.00
Sat 04/04 10Z 0.19 3120  86  15   2 0.00
Sat 04/04 11Z 0.11 3217  86  20   2 0.00
Sat 04/04 12Z 0.05 3414  86  21   2 0.00
Sat 04/04 13Z 0.05 3510  86  28   2 0.00
Sat 04/04 14Z 0.07 0206  86  33   3 0.00
Sat 04/04 15Z 0.09 0704  87  54   3 0.00
Sat 04/04 16Z 0.10 1106  89  45   2 0.00
Sat 04/04 17Z 0.10 1308  86  46   3 0.00
Sat 04/04 18Z 0.11 1410  85  62   3 0.00
Sat 04/04 19Z 0.13 1513  84  49   3 0.00
Sat 04/04 20Z 0.15 1517  84  31   3 0.00
Sat 04/04 21Z 0.12 1520  84  40   4 0.00
Sat 04/04 22Z 0.05 1621  82  97   5 0.00
Sat 04/04 23Z 0.04 1623  82  97   5 0.00
Sun 04/05 00Z 0.05 1624  85  93   5 0.01
Sun 04/05 01Z 0.05 1626  86  93   6 0.01
Sun 04/05 02Z 0.04 1728  90  94   6 0.00
Sun 04/05 03Z 0.04 1730  93  79   7 0.00
Sun 04/05 04Z 0.07 1732  95  87   7 0.00
Sun 04/05 05Z 0.08 1734  96  94   8 0.01

Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 0.76 inches.

Froude Number (Frd#): 
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
         Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
         W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
         Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
         Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
         W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
         Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
         Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
         With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
         Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
         W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
         Air flows freely over terrain.
         Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.

Relative Humidity (RH): 
         925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
         with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
         with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.

850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
        T > -11       10-15:1
        T -11 to -15  25-35:1
        T < -15       15-20:1