
A Cold Weather Advisory is in effect from 1 AM to 8 AM Monday for portions of northern New York. Very cold temperatures temperatures and/or wind chills as low as 15 to 25 below zero are expected. The dangerously cold wind chills as low as 15 to 25 below zero could cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 30 minutes. Wear appropriate clothing, a hat, and gloves. Read More >
Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260302_0000
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Mon 03/02 00Z 0.41 3016 66 35 -17 0.00
Mon 03/02 01Z 0.42 3120 63 32 -18 0.00
Mon 03/02 02Z 0.37 3121 57 24 -18 0.00
Mon 03/02 03Z 0.30 3120 51 15 -18 0.00
Mon 03/02 04Z 0.25 3220 48 10 -19 0.00
Mon 03/02 05Z 0.22 3220 47 8 -19 0.00
Mon 03/02 06Z 0.19 3218 46 6 -19 0.00
Mon 03/02 07Z 0.19 3217 44 4 -19 0.00
Mon 03/02 08Z 0.18 3115 44 5 -19 0.00
Mon 03/02 09Z 0.19 3115 43 7 -19 0.00
Mon 03/02 10Z 0.21 3115 41 10 -19 0.00
Mon 03/02 11Z 0.23 3015 40 12 -19 0.00
Mon 03/02 12Z 0.25 3014 40 16 -19 0.00
Mon 03/02 13Z 0.27 2914 42 19 -19 0.00
Mon 03/02 14Z 0.27 2913 43 24 -19 0.00
Mon 03/02 15Z 0.29 2913 44 23 -18 0.00
Mon 03/02 16Z 0.30 2913 42 19 -18 0.00
Mon 03/02 17Z 0.31 2912 38 15 -17 0.00
Mon 03/02 18Z 0.32 2912 37 16 -17 0.00
Mon 03/02 19Z 0.33 2911 39 24 -16 0.00
Mon 03/02 20Z 0.33 2810 43 33 -16 0.00
Mon 03/02 21Z 0.32 2710 46 38 -15 0.00
Mon 03/02 22Z 0.31 2610 47 33 -14 0.00
Mon 03/02 23Z 0.33 2612 46 31 -13 0.00
Tue 03/03 00Z 0.31 2513 44 36 -12 0.00
Tue 03/03 01Z 0.34 2514 43 41 -11 0.00
Tue 03/03 02Z 0.35 2516 38 51 -10 0.00
Tue 03/03 03Z 0.41 2520 33 60 -9 0.00
Tue 03/03 04Z 0.45 2522 30 67 -8 0.00
Tue 03/03 05Z 0.47 2523 34 75 -8 0.00
Tue 03/03 06Z 0.47 2523 31 69 -7 0.00
Tue 03/03 07Z 0.46 2523 33 60 -6 0.00
Tue 03/03 08Z 0.43 2522 34 53 -5 0.00
Tue 03/03 09Z 0.41 2421 34 51 -5 0.00
Tue 03/03 10Z 0.40 2421 31 52 -4 0.00
Tue 03/03 11Z 0.39 2321 28 49 -4 0.00
Tue 03/03 12Z 0.38 2320 27 45 -3 0.00
Tue 03/03 13Z 0.38 2321 30 43 -3 0.00
Tue 03/03 14Z 0.39 2323 38 38 -2 0.00
Tue 03/03 15Z 0.38 2324 48 35 -2 0.00
Tue 03/03 16Z 0.41 2324 58 34 -2 0.00
Tue 03/03 17Z 0.43 2325 68 30 -2 0.01
Tue 03/03 18Z 0.45 2324 78 26 -2 0.01
Tue 03/03 19Z 0.48 2324 89 23 -3 0.01
Tue 03/03 20Z 0.50 2324 96 30 -3 0.01
Tue 03/03 21Z 0.48 2323 97 58 -3 0.02
Tue 03/03 22Z 0.47 2323 97 81 -3 0.03
Tue 03/03 23Z 0.41 2221 97 88 -2 0.03
Wed 03/04 00Z 0.43 2221 97 87 -2 0.03
Wed 03/04 01Z 0.47 2222 98 89 -3 0.03
Wed 03/04 02Z 0.51 2321 98 96 -3 0.04
Wed 03/04 03Z 0.51 2419 98 97 -3 0.03
Wed 03/04 04Z 0.45 2517 98 95 -3 0.02
Wed 03/04 05Z 0.43 2616 98 85 -3 0.02
Wed 03/04 06Z 0.32 2814 96 84 -2 0.01
Wed 03/04 07Z 0.20 3012 92 58 -1 0.00
Wed 03/04 08Z 0.13 3111 84 33 0 0.00
Wed 03/04 09Z 0.12 3111 72 24 0 0.00
Wed 03/04 10Z 0.16 3113 64 26 0 0.00
Wed 03/04 11Z 0.15 3113 60 21 0 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 0.30 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1