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Autumn Temperatures for Eastern Third of the Country; Super Typhoon Approaching Guam

Cooler and less humid conditions for the eastern third of the nation as a cold slides off the east coast. Combination of dry and breezy conditions may result in spread of wildfires across the lower Mississippi Valley. In addition, fire weather conditions linger into portions of Southern California. For Guam, a super typhoon is approaching. Read More >

Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens

Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20261018_0000
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.

925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date   Time        Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sun 10/18 00Z 0.23 3216  70  40  -6 0.00
Sun 10/18 01Z 0.17 3318  64  43  -5 0.00
Sun 10/18 02Z 0.14 3317  62  57  -4 0.00
Sun 10/18 03Z 0.13 3317  61  58  -4 0.00
Sun 10/18 04Z 0.17 3217  62  59  -3 0.00
Sun 10/18 05Z 0.21 3216  61  61  -4 0.00
Sun 10/18 06Z 0.26 3115  58  60  -4 0.00
Sun 10/18 07Z 0.32 3115  54  57  -3 0.00
Sun 10/18 08Z 0.35 3014  49  57  -3 0.00
Sun 10/18 09Z 0.34 3014  47  58  -3 0.00
Sun 10/18 10Z 0.30 3013  51  59  -2 0.00
Sun 10/18 11Z 0.27 3013  59  62  -2 0.00
Sun 10/18 12Z 0.26 3012  69  64  -1 0.00
Sun 10/18 13Z 0.25 3011  74  64  -1 0.00
Sun 10/18 14Z 0.25 2910  75  57   0 0.00
Sun 10/18 15Z 0.25 2809  73  44   0 0.00
Sun 10/18 16Z 0.26 2809  73  42   0 0.00
Sun 10/18 17Z 0.30 2709  70  39   1 0.00
Sun 10/18 18Z 0.32 2610  62  37   2 0.00
Sun 10/18 19Z 0.31 2610  54  36   3 0.00
Sun 10/18 20Z 0.30 2611  47  32   4 0.00
Sun 10/18 21Z 0.29 2611  42  29   5 0.00
Sun 10/18 22Z 0.28 2612  37  23   6 0.00
Sun 10/18 23Z 0.25 2611  32  18   7 0.00
Mon 10/19 00Z 0.23 2611  29  14   7 0.00
Mon 10/19 01Z 0.22 2611  25  13   8 0.00
Mon 10/19 02Z 0.21 2610  21  16   8 0.00
Mon 10/19 03Z 0.20 2610  18  18   9 0.00
Mon 10/19 04Z 0.19 2609  17  19   9 0.00
Mon 10/19 05Z 0.17 2607  17  20   9 0.00
Mon 10/19 06Z 0.16 2607  17  20   9 0.00
Mon 10/19 07Z 0.15 2607  18  18   9 0.00
Mon 10/19 08Z 0.16 2707  18  17   9 0.00
Mon 10/19 09Z 0.15 2807  17  16   9 0.00
Mon 10/19 10Z 0.15 2807  17  17   9 0.00
Mon 10/19 11Z 0.14 2807  16  17   9 0.00
Mon 10/19 12Z 0.12 2906  15  18   9 0.00
Mon 10/19 13Z 0.11 2805  14  19   9 0.00
Mon 10/19 14Z 0.11 2704  13  19   9 0.00
Mon 10/19 15Z 0.12 2605  12  18   9 0.00
Mon 10/19 16Z 0.12 2705  12  18  10 0.00
Mon 10/19 17Z 0.12 2705  12  19  10 0.00
Mon 10/19 18Z 0.13 2906  12  18  10 0.00
Mon 10/19 19Z 0.11 3006  13  18  10 0.00
Mon 10/19 20Z 0.09 3105  13  18  10 0.00
Mon 10/19 21Z 0.08 3105  14  18  10 0.00
Mon 10/19 22Z 0.08 3205  15  19  10 0.00
Mon 10/19 23Z 0.06 3306  14  20  10 0.00
Tue 10/20 00Z 0.06 3307  13  23  10 0.00
Tue 10/20 01Z 0.07 3408  14  25  10 0.00
Tue 10/20 02Z 0.07 3409  15  26  10 0.00
Tue 10/20 03Z 0.05 3510  18  26  10 0.00
Tue 10/20 04Z 0.05 3511  20  25  10 0.00
Tue 10/20 05Z 0.06 0011  23  23  11 0.00
Tue 10/20 06Z 0.06 0011  26  19  11 0.00
Tue 10/20 07Z 0.07 0012  28  14  11 0.00
Tue 10/20 08Z 0.09 0014  31  11  10 0.00
Tue 10/20 09Z 0.12 0115  34  11  10 0.00
Tue 10/20 10Z 0.16 0216  40  10  10 0.00
Tue 10/20 11Z 0.21 0218  43  17   9 0.00

Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 0.00 inches.

Froude Number (Frd#): 
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
         Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
         W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
         Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
         Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
         W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
         Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
         Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
         With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
         Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
         W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
         Air flows freely over terrain.
         Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.

Relative Humidity (RH): 
         925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
         with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
         with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.

850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
        T > -11       10-15:1
        T -11 to -15  25-35:1
        T < -15       15-20:1