Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20261004_1200
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sun 10/04 12Z 0.05 1717 90 5 4 0.00
Sun 10/04 13Z 0.06 1719 91 3 4 0.00
Sun 10/04 14Z 0.08 1620 91 4 4 0.00
Sun 10/04 15Z 0.08 1620 90 12 4 0.00
Sun 10/04 16Z 0.07 1619 89 23 4 0.00
Sun 10/04 17Z 0.08 1618 88 48 4 0.00
Sun 10/04 18Z 0.07 1717 88 88 4 0.00
Sun 10/04 19Z 0.08 1718 84 80 4 0.00
Sun 10/04 20Z 0.11 1717 79 91 4 0.00
Sun 10/04 21Z 0.13 1818 72 77 4 0.00
Sun 10/04 22Z 0.16 1819 66 53 5 0.00
Sun 10/04 23Z 0.16 1819 72 57 5 0.00
Mon 10/05 00Z 0.22 1919 81 53 6 0.00
Mon 10/05 01Z 0.27 2017 87 61 6 0.00
Mon 10/05 02Z 0.34 2117 93 39 6 0.00
Mon 10/05 03Z 0.41 2218 95 32 6 0.00
Mon 10/05 04Z 0.44 2318 95 31 6 0.00
Mon 10/05 05Z 0.44 2318 94 41 6 0.00
Mon 10/05 06Z 0.43 2418 91 48 7 0.01
Mon 10/05 07Z 0.45 2419 88 52 7 0.01
Mon 10/05 08Z 0.48 2420 86 41 8 0.01
Mon 10/05 09Z 0.62 2424 87 34 7 0.01
Mon 10/05 10Z 0.76 2427 91 41 7 0.01
Mon 10/05 11Z 0.95 2530 97 80 6 0.03
Mon 10/05 12Z 1.09 2629 91 72 4 0.07
Mon 10/05 13Z 1.01 2727 78 53 4 0.02
Mon 10/05 14Z 1.21 2728 80 38 3 0.01
Mon 10/05 15Z 1.71 2827 86 30 2 0.02
Mon 10/05 16Z 7.36 2827 84 26 1 0.01
Mon 10/05 17Z 8.74 2825 80 16 1 0.00
Mon 10/05 18Z 13.50 2826 74 13 0 0.00
Mon 10/05 19Z 12.15 2828 74 47 0 0.00
Mon 10/05 20Z 7.15 2828 81 52 0 0.00
Mon 10/05 21Z 3.16 2828 87 51 -1 0.00
Mon 10/05 22Z 1.65 2930 88 52 -1 0.00
Mon 10/05 23Z 1.41 2930 91 53 -2 0.00
Tue 10/06 00Z 1.25 2931 91 55 -2 0.00
Tue 10/06 01Z 1.16 2931 92 57 -3 0.00
Tue 10/06 02Z 1.12 2931 93 57 -3 0.00
Tue 10/06 03Z 1.03 3031 94 56 -3 0.00
Tue 10/06 04Z 1.04 2931 93 55 -4 0.00
Tue 10/06 05Z 0.97 2932 93 46 -4 0.00
Tue 10/06 06Z 0.86 3032 93 43 -4 0.00
Tue 10/06 07Z 0.73 3031 91 39 -4 0.00
Tue 10/06 08Z 0.66 3031 91 34 -3 0.00
Tue 10/06 09Z 0.62 3030 91 31 -3 0.00
Tue 10/06 10Z 0.54 3030 87 26 -3 0.00
Tue 10/06 11Z 0.50 3031 79 16 -2 0.00
Tue 10/06 12Z 0.44 3032 69 12 -1 0.00
Tue 10/06 13Z 0.37 3132 56 8 0 0.00
Tue 10/06 14Z 0.36 3130 51 5 0 0.00
Tue 10/06 15Z 0.41 3028 49 5 0 0.00
Tue 10/06 16Z 0.48 3026 47 1 0 0.00
Tue 10/06 17Z 0.62 3024 46 2 -1 0.00
Tue 10/06 18Z 1.08 2923 47 3 -1 0.00
Tue 10/06 19Z 7.33 2822 50 6 -1 0.00
Tue 10/06 20Z 10.33 2823 47 11 -1 0.00
Tue 10/06 21Z 4.12 2924 43 24 -1 0.00
Tue 10/06 22Z 1.66 2824 43 54 0 0.00
Tue 10/06 23Z 1.33 2925 42 59 0 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 0.21 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1