Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260501_0600
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Fri 05/01 06Z 0.29 3216 94 76 -2 0.00
Fri 05/01 07Z 0.30 3217 90 73 -2 0.00
Fri 05/01 08Z 0.31 3218 87 72 -2 0.00
Fri 05/01 09Z 0.33 3218 86 73 -3 0.00
Fri 05/01 10Z 0.37 3119 88 74 -3 0.00
Fri 05/01 11Z 0.41 3119 89 73 -3 0.00
Fri 05/01 12Z 0.41 3118 90 64 -3 0.00
Fri 05/01 13Z 0.51 3116 89 51 -4 0.00
Fri 05/01 14Z 1.66 3115 89 45 -4 0.00
Fri 05/01 15Z 2.95 3113 89 45 -4 0.00
Fri 05/01 16Z 3.05 3012 86 43 -3 0.00
Fri 05/01 17Z 3.40 2912 83 46 -3 0.00
Fri 05/01 18Z 4.11 2911 77 47 -2 0.00
Fri 05/01 19Z 4.79 2909 73 39 -1 0.00
Fri 05/01 20Z 4.74 2908 71 35 -1 0.00
Fri 05/01 21Z 3.66 2806 68 35 0 0.00
Fri 05/01 22Z 2.18 2804 65 33 0 0.00
Fri 05/01 23Z 0.59 2703 63 46 0 0.00
Sat 05/02 00Z 0.15 2201 61 57 0 0.00
Sat 05/02 01Z 0.14 2002 62 75 0 0.00
Sat 05/02 02Z 0.12 1903 63 82 0 0.00
Sat 05/02 03Z 0.08 1605 64 87 0 0.00
Sat 05/02 04Z 0.10 1507 66 95 0 0.00
Sat 05/02 05Z 0.17 1510 76 94 0 0.01
Sat 05/02 06Z 0.18 1413 93 96 -1 0.06
Sat 05/02 07Z 0.15 1514 98 95 -1 0.09
Sat 05/02 08Z 0.18 1712 99 89 -1 0.06
Sat 05/02 09Z 0.25 1911 99 83 -1 0.02
Sat 05/02 10Z 0.26 2109 99 80 -1 0.02
Sat 05/02 11Z 0.24 2207 99 76 -1 0.02
Sat 05/02 12Z 0.27 2307 100 77 -2 0.01
Sat 05/02 13Z 0.29 2508 99 67 -2 0.01
Sat 05/02 14Z 0.33 2609 99 62 -2 0.01
Sat 05/02 15Z 0.33 2810 98 56 -3 0.00
Sat 05/02 16Z 0.35 2911 96 51 -3 0.00
Sat 05/02 17Z 0.38 3012 94 43 -3 0.00
Sat 05/02 18Z 0.99 3111 92 38 -3 0.00
Sat 05/02 19Z 1.65 3109 89 32 -2 0.00
Sat 05/02 20Z 1.40 3108 88 33 -2 0.00
Sat 05/02 21Z 0.97 3106 86 27 -2 0.00
Sat 05/02 22Z 0.40 3205 83 36 -2 0.00
Sat 05/02 23Z 0.17 3304 84 54 -2 0.00
Sun 05/03 00Z 0.11 3205 89 65 -2 0.00
Sun 05/03 01Z 0.07 3306 93 61 -2 0.01
Sun 05/03 02Z 0.05 3408 94 55 -2 0.01
Sun 05/03 03Z 0.05 3409 90 62 -3 0.01
Sun 05/03 04Z 0.06 3411 89 70 -3 0.01
Sun 05/03 05Z 0.06 3413 89 64 -3 0.00
Sun 05/03 06Z 0.08 3415 86 54 -3 0.00
Sun 05/03 07Z 0.08 3417 89 42 -4 0.00
Sun 05/03 08Z 0.08 3419 89 38 -4 0.00
Sun 05/03 09Z 0.07 3419 91 36 -4 0.00
Sun 05/03 10Z 0.06 3419 88 43 -4 0.00
Sun 05/03 11Z 0.09 3420 83 45 -4 0.00
Sun 05/03 12Z 0.17 3320 82 45 -5 0.00
Sun 05/03 13Z 0.92 3319 79 45 -5 0.00
Sun 05/03 14Z 3.28 3218 73 47 -5 0.00
Sun 05/03 15Z 5.12 3218 65 44 -5 0.00
Sun 05/03 16Z 6.59 3118 62 43 -4 0.00
Sun 05/03 17Z 7.14 3118 61 49 -4 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 0.35 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1