Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20261029_1800
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Thu 10/29 18Z 0.62 2417 79 54 8 0.00
Thu 10/29 19Z 0.62 2518 77 55 9 0.00
Thu 10/29 20Z 0.67 2421 75 57 9 0.00
Thu 10/29 21Z 0.75 2424 76 49 9 0.00
Thu 10/29 22Z 0.81 2427 76 42 9 0.00
Thu 10/29 23Z 0.86 2430 77 64 9 0.00
Fri 10/30 00Z 0.93 2432 82 86 9 0.00
Fri 10/30 01Z 1.00 2435 86 87 9 0.00
Fri 10/30 02Z 0.98 2435 84 90 10 0.00
Fri 10/30 03Z 1.05 2538 88 89 10 0.00
Fri 10/30 04Z 1.08 2538 96 95 9 0.07
Fri 10/30 05Z 0.94 2633 96 82 9 0.04
Fri 10/30 06Z 0.83 2728 95 69 8 0.03
Fri 10/30 07Z 0.70 2824 90 62 8 0.02
Fri 10/30 08Z 0.74 2724 87 63 7 0.01
Fri 10/30 09Z 0.75 2725 78 62 7 0.00
Fri 10/30 10Z 0.82 2728 72 37 7 0.00
Fri 10/30 11Z 0.86 2829 71 10 6 0.00
Fri 10/30 12Z 0.70 2826 77 9 5 0.01
Fri 10/30 13Z 0.64 2924 83 7 4 0.01
Fri 10/30 14Z 0.64 2923 89 2 2 0.01
Fri 10/30 15Z 0.66 2921 95 3 2 0.01
Fri 10/30 16Z 0.72 2921 97 10 1 0.01
Fri 10/30 17Z 0.87 2922 97 18 0 0.01
Fri 10/30 18Z 1.13 2923 96 18 0 0.01
Fri 10/30 19Z 1.38 2925 96 15 0 0.01
Fri 10/30 20Z 1.49 3028 94 15 -1 0.01
Fri 10/30 21Z 1.16 3029 94 13 -1 0.00
Fri 10/30 22Z 1.07 3030 97 13 -1 0.01
Fri 10/30 23Z 0.94 3030 97 17 -2 0.01
Sat 10/31 00Z 0.79 3129 98 20 -2 0.01
Sat 10/31 01Z 0.90 3131 98 22 -3 0.01
Sat 10/31 02Z 0.90 3131 98 25 -3 0.01
Sat 10/31 03Z 0.79 3231 97 25 -4 0.01
Sat 10/31 04Z 0.60 3230 96 26 -4 0.01
Sat 10/31 05Z 0.42 3230 92 22 -5 0.01
Sat 10/31 06Z 0.31 3330 87 14 -5 0.00
Sat 10/31 07Z 0.26 3330 87 8 -6 0.00
Sat 10/31 08Z 0.25 3328 89 8 -6 0.00
Sat 10/31 09Z 0.23 3325 88 15 -6 0.00
Sat 10/31 10Z 0.18 3324 82 19 -5 0.00
Sat 10/31 11Z 0.17 3322 74 22 -5 0.00
Sat 10/31 12Z 0.18 3222 66 24 -4 0.00
Sat 10/31 13Z 0.17 3221 61 25 -4 0.00
Sat 10/31 14Z 0.17 3220 59 21 -4 0.00
Sat 10/31 15Z 0.18 3218 59 20 -3 0.00
Sat 10/31 16Z 0.18 3217 58 22 -3 0.00
Sat 10/31 17Z 0.24 3116 60 28 -3 0.00
Sat 10/31 18Z 0.27 3116 59 30 -2 0.00
Sat 10/31 19Z 0.23 3115 56 23 -2 0.00
Sat 10/31 20Z 0.27 3115 57 8 -2 0.00
Sat 10/31 21Z 0.33 3016 61 14 -2 0.00
Sat 10/31 22Z 0.40 2917 61 27 -2 0.00
Sat 10/31 23Z 0.44 2919 62 18 -2 0.00
Sun 11/01 00Z 0.42 2919 61 13 -1 0.00
Sun 11/01 01Z 0.38 3019 60 9 -1 0.00
Sun 11/01 02Z 0.36 3019 61 7 -1 0.00
Sun 11/01 03Z 0.34 3017 62 5 -1 0.00
Sun 11/01 04Z 0.29 3016 59 5 0 0.00
Sun 11/01 05Z 0.29 3015 57 4 0 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 0.34 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1