
A Nor'easter well off the East Coast will slowly track north this week and may gain some subtropical characteristics. Strong onshore winds will bring flooding, dangerous marine conditions, and beach erosion along the Mid-Atlantic coast. A Pacific storm will bring gusty winds, severe thunderstorms, and mountain snow to portions of California and the Southwest U.S. through Thursday. Read More >
Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20261021_0000
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Wed 10/21 00Z 0.22 0217 51 7 6 0.00
Wed 10/21 01Z 0.24 0219 46 7 6 0.00
Wed 10/21 02Z 0.26 0319 43 8 7 0.00
Wed 10/21 03Z 0.30 0320 41 8 7 0.00
Wed 10/21 04Z 0.31 0418 41 8 7 0.00
Wed 10/21 05Z 0.30 0516 44 8 6 0.00
Wed 10/21 06Z 0.30 0714 47 8 6 0.00
Wed 10/21 07Z 0.26 0712 49 7 6 0.00
Wed 10/21 08Z 0.22 0810 50 6 5 0.00
Wed 10/21 09Z 0.17 0708 48 5 6 0.00
Wed 10/21 10Z 0.15 0608 43 4 6 0.00
Wed 10/21 11Z 0.15 0409 38 3 7 0.00
Wed 10/21 12Z 0.15 0409 37 2 7 0.00
Wed 10/21 13Z 0.16 0508 39 2 7 0.00
Wed 10/21 14Z 0.15 0508 40 2 7 0.00
Wed 10/21 15Z 0.12 0407 39 2 7 0.00
Wed 10/21 16Z 0.11 0307 38 2 8 0.00
Wed 10/21 17Z 0.12 0407 40 2 7 0.00
Wed 10/21 18Z 0.13 0606 42 2 7 0.00
Wed 10/21 19Z 0.10 0604 42 2 7 0.00
Wed 10/21 20Z 0.09 0404 41 2 7 0.00
Wed 10/21 21Z 0.08 0404 38 2 8 0.00
Wed 10/21 22Z 0.08 0504 36 3 8 0.00
Wed 10/21 23Z 0.07 0403 36 3 7 0.00
Thu 10/22 00Z 0.06 0204 33 3 8 0.00
Thu 10/22 01Z 0.05 0105 32 3 8 0.00
Thu 10/22 02Z 0.06 0106 31 4 8 0.00
Thu 10/22 03Z 0.05 0108 30 4 8 0.00
Thu 10/22 04Z 0.05 0010 29 5 8 0.00
Thu 10/22 05Z 0.08 0012 26 7 8 0.00
Thu 10/22 06Z 0.10 0113 23 10 8 0.00
Thu 10/22 07Z 0.10 0015 21 12 8 0.00
Thu 10/22 08Z 0.11 0017 19 14 8 0.00
Thu 10/22 09Z 0.11 0019 18 16 7 0.00
Thu 10/22 10Z 0.11 0021 16 17 7 0.00
Thu 10/22 11Z 0.12 0022 18 18 8 0.00
Thu 10/22 12Z 0.12 0022 29 17 7 0.00
Thu 10/22 13Z 0.11 0023 44 19 7 0.00
Thu 10/22 14Z 0.10 0022 61 25 6 0.00
Thu 10/22 15Z 0.09 0022 72 40 5 0.00
Thu 10/22 16Z 0.09 3522 82 51 4 0.00
Thu 10/22 17Z 0.11 3523 88 32 4 0.00
Thu 10/22 18Z 0.13 3524 90 12 2 0.00
Thu 10/22 19Z 0.14 3523 89 15 2 0.00
Thu 10/22 20Z 0.17 0026 73 24 2 0.00
Thu 10/22 21Z 0.16 0028 61 25 2 0.00
Thu 10/22 22Z 0.16 0030 55 17 2 0.00
Thu 10/22 23Z 0.19 0032 47 20 1 0.00
Fri 10/23 00Z 0.23 0033 47 28 1 0.00
Fri 10/23 01Z 0.29 0134 50 15 0 0.00
Fri 10/23 02Z 0.35 0134 53 4 0 0.00
Fri 10/23 03Z 0.42 0133 49 1 -1 0.00
Fri 10/23 04Z 0.43 0131 51 1 -2 0.00
Fri 10/23 05Z 0.35 0129 52 3 -2 0.00
Fri 10/23 06Z 0.31 0128 56 3 -2 0.00
Fri 10/23 07Z 0.31 0129 52 3 -1 0.00
Fri 10/23 08Z 0.30 0130 46 1 0 0.00
Fri 10/23 09Z 0.31 0230 38 2 0 0.00
Fri 10/23 10Z 0.30 0229 38 2 0 0.00
Fri 10/23 11Z 0.28 0128 43 2 0 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 0.00 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1