Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260514_1200
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Thu 05/14 12Z 0.07 1811 98 100 4 0.00
Thu 05/14 13Z 0.10 1809 100 99 3 0.02
Thu 05/14 14Z 0.09 1906 100 95 3 0.02
Thu 05/14 15Z 0.03 1603 100 79 3 0.02
Thu 05/14 16Z 0.05 1403 100 63 4 0.01
Thu 05/14 17Z 0.08 1304 100 69 4 0.02
Thu 05/14 18Z 0.07 1302 100 85 4 0.03
Thu 05/14 19Z 0.08 0300 100 95 4 0.04
Thu 05/14 20Z 0.07 3504 99 98 4 0.06
Thu 05/14 21Z 0.08 0105 98 97 4 0.09
Thu 05/14 22Z 0.08 3506 96 94 4 0.10
Thu 05/14 23Z 0.07 0007 94 94 4 0.05
Fri 05/15 00Z 0.14 0208 94 94 4 0.04
Fri 05/15 01Z 0.24 0410 94 92 4 0.07
Fri 05/15 02Z 0.36 0611 92 92 4 0.09
Fri 05/15 03Z 0.47 0614 95 91 3 0.04
Fri 05/15 04Z 0.60 0718 98 93 3 0.05
Fri 05/15 05Z 0.67 0718 99 90 3 0.06
Fri 05/15 06Z 0.61 0917 99 85 3 0.05
Fri 05/15 07Z 0.65 0920 98 89 3 0.07
Fri 05/15 08Z 0.59 0919 96 95 3 0.04
Fri 05/15 09Z 0.60 0920 96 95 3 0.04
Fri 05/15 10Z 0.59 0919 97 96 3 0.03
Fri 05/15 11Z 0.60 0919 97 97 3 0.04
Fri 05/15 12Z 0.61 0818 97 93 3 0.03
Fri 05/15 13Z 0.58 0817 96 78 3 0.01
Fri 05/15 14Z 0.49 0813 95 76 3 0.00
Fri 05/15 15Z 0.46 0810 95 74 3 0.00
Fri 05/15 16Z 0.43 0707 96 66 3 0.00
Fri 05/15 17Z 0.26 0704 96 57 3 0.00
Fri 05/15 18Z 0.15 0401 95 53 4 0.01
Fri 05/15 19Z 0.11 3501 93 46 4 0.01
Fri 05/15 20Z 0.16 3002 92 40 4 0.01
Fri 05/15 21Z 0.24 2904 89 41 4 0.01
Fri 05/15 22Z 0.27 2904 85 42 5 0.00
Fri 05/15 23Z 0.27 2905 85 30 5 0.00
Sat 05/16 00Z 0.29 2806 87 26 5 0.00
Sat 05/16 01Z 0.43 2609 93 31 5 0.00
Sat 05/16 02Z 0.50 2511 96 33 5 0.00
Sat 05/16 03Z 0.54 2513 96 32 5 0.01
Sat 05/16 04Z 0.53 2513 94 33 5 0.01
Sat 05/16 05Z 0.54 2515 94 41 5 0.01
Sat 05/16 06Z 0.61 2616 93 54 5 0.01
Sat 05/16 07Z 0.62 2618 90 54 5 0.00
Sat 05/16 08Z 0.57 2618 84 46 5 0.00
Sat 05/16 09Z 0.55 2718 81 21 5 0.00
Sat 05/16 10Z 0.61 2819 80 23 4 0.00
Sat 05/16 11Z 0.67 2720 78 17 4 0.00
Sat 05/16 12Z 0.73 2721 79 22 4 0.00
Sat 05/16 13Z 0.73 2620 77 17 4 0.00
Sat 05/16 14Z 0.73 2618 72 11 5 0.00
Sat 05/16 15Z 0.76 2616 63 21 6 0.00
Sat 05/16 16Z 0.89 2513 55 18 6 0.00
Sat 05/16 17Z 1.16 2513 63 37 7 0.00
Sat 05/16 18Z 1.94 2415 74 40 7 0.00
Sat 05/16 19Z 4.90 2316 76 13 7 0.00
Sat 05/16 20Z 8.22 2318 77 22 7 0.00
Sat 05/16 21Z 5.79 2420 79 19 8 0.00
Sat 05/16 22Z 1.72 2422 78 38 9 0.00
Sat 05/16 23Z 1.07 2423 76 35 9 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 1.20 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1