
Remnant moisture from Tropical Storm Rachel will persist over portions of the Great Basin and Southwest on Monday, bringing a potential heavy to excessive rainfall risk. Well above average and potentially record breaking temperatures will develop across the Plains and Midwest early this week, spreading into the Lower Mississippi Valley and Southeast midweek. Read More >
Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20261012_0000
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Mon 10/12 00Z 0.11 1819 97 99 7 0.00
Mon 10/12 01Z 0.13 1820 97 99 7 0.07
Mon 10/12 02Z 0.15 1920 98 99 8 0.11
Mon 10/12 03Z 0.17 2014 96 95 9 0.08
Mon 10/12 04Z 0.20 2311 95 94 10 0.03
Mon 10/12 05Z 0.22 2510 94 97 10 0.03
Mon 10/12 06Z 0.21 2710 95 94 10 0.04
Mon 10/12 07Z 0.17 2909 96 91 10 0.02
Mon 10/12 08Z 0.09 3209 97 84 10 0.01
Mon 10/12 09Z 0.06 3311 97 76 9 0.01
Mon 10/12 10Z 0.09 3315 98 64 8 0.01
Mon 10/12 11Z 0.11 3316 98 52 8 0.01
Mon 10/12 12Z 0.09 3314 96 31 9 0.01
Mon 10/12 13Z 0.09 3313 90 27 10 0.00
Mon 10/12 14Z 0.09 3315 85 27 11 0.00
Mon 10/12 15Z 0.09 3316 77 23 12 0.00
Mon 10/12 16Z 0.12 3216 72 21 12 0.00
Mon 10/12 17Z 0.16 3216 70 37 12 0.00
Mon 10/12 18Z 0.22 3116 72 66 12 0.00
Mon 10/12 19Z 0.29 3017 74 68 12 0.00
Mon 10/12 20Z 0.37 2919 83 65 11 0.00
Mon 10/12 21Z 0.41 3020 91 62 11 0.01
Mon 10/12 22Z 0.41 3021 93 68 10 0.01
Mon 10/12 23Z 0.36 3020 95 71 10 0.01
Tue 10/13 00Z 0.32 3119 97 82 9 0.01
Tue 10/13 01Z 0.26 3116 97 84 9 0.01
Tue 10/13 02Z 0.15 3213 97 85 8 0.00
Tue 10/13 03Z 0.10 3311 98 86 8 0.00
Tue 10/13 04Z 0.07 3308 97 93 8 0.00
Tue 10/13 05Z 0.04 3305 97 97 8 0.00
Tue 10/13 06Z 0.02 3201 98 99 8 0.00
Tue 10/13 07Z 0.05 1503 99 96 7 0.01
Tue 10/13 08Z 0.07 1507 99 92 7 0.03
Tue 10/13 09Z 0.05 1612 99 93 7 0.03
Tue 10/13 10Z 0.04 1617 98 88 7 0.04
Tue 10/13 11Z 0.03 1619 98 94 7 0.03
Tue 10/13 12Z 0.03 1622 97 98 8 0.05
Tue 10/13 13Z 0.04 1724 97 93 8 0.05
Tue 10/13 14Z 0.08 1827 98 96 9 0.04
Tue 10/13 15Z 0.11 1828 98 92 9 0.07
Tue 10/13 16Z 0.13 1831 98 91 9 0.06
Tue 10/13 17Z 0.19 1832 98 97 9 0.07
Tue 10/13 18Z 0.24 1931 98 92 11 0.12
Tue 10/13 19Z 0.23 1930 98 95 12 0.16
Tue 10/13 20Z 0.27 2029 97 94 13 0.03
Tue 10/13 21Z 0.31 2030 96 96 13 0.02
Tue 10/13 22Z 0.36 2130 96 89 14 0.01
Tue 10/13 23Z 0.42 2230 96 84 14 0.01
Wed 10/14 00Z 0.49 2331 98 72 14 0.03
Wed 10/14 01Z 0.52 2329 97 74 13 0.04
Wed 10/14 02Z 0.54 2329 99 65 13 0.03
Wed 10/14 03Z 0.59 2429 99 71 13 0.05
Wed 10/14 04Z 0.66 2530 99 67 14 0.07
Wed 10/14 05Z 0.71 2630 98 63 13 0.05
Wed 10/14 06Z 0.71 2627 97 73 13 0.03
Wed 10/14 07Z 0.76 2528 98 80 13 0.04
Wed 10/14 08Z 0.76 2627 98 51 13 0.07
Wed 10/14 09Z 0.80 2626 98 24 12 0.04
Wed 10/14 10Z 0.88 2627 98 16 11 0.04
Wed 10/14 11Z 0.82 2726 97 18 10 0.04
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 1.84 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1