Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20261030_1200
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Fri 10/30 12Z 0.90 2824 84 1 4 0.00
Fri 10/30 13Z 1.06 2826 87 0 4 0.00
Fri 10/30 14Z 0.99 2826 92 4 3 0.01
Fri 10/30 15Z 1.10 2925 94 10 1 0.01
Fri 10/30 16Z 1.44 2925 95 16 0 0.01
Fri 10/30 17Z 1.63 2926 94 20 0 0.01
Fri 10/30 18Z 2.04 2926 94 19 -1 0.00
Fri 10/30 19Z 2.33 2927 92 17 -1 0.00
Fri 10/30 20Z 2.16 3028 91 15 -2 0.00
Fri 10/30 21Z 1.85 3029 92 11 -2 0.00
Fri 10/30 22Z 1.52 3030 93 12 -2 0.00
Fri 10/30 23Z 1.33 3031 95 13 -2 0.00
Sat 10/31 00Z 1.16 3131 96 20 -2 0.00
Sat 10/31 01Z 0.96 3131 96 18 -3 0.01
Sat 10/31 02Z 0.90 3130 96 20 -3 0.01
Sat 10/31 03Z 0.73 3230 96 24 -4 0.01
Sat 10/31 04Z 0.60 3229 94 28 -4 0.01
Sat 10/31 05Z 0.53 3228 95 32 -5 0.00
Sat 10/31 06Z 0.40 3227 90 28 -5 0.00
Sat 10/31 07Z 0.37 3227 90 17 -5 0.00
Sat 10/31 08Z 0.33 3226 88 11 -5 0.00
Sat 10/31 09Z 0.30 3225 87 8 -6 0.00
Sat 10/31 10Z 0.23 3224 85 8 -6 0.00
Sat 10/31 11Z 0.16 3323 81 13 -6 0.00
Sat 10/31 12Z 0.15 3322 77 16 -6 0.00
Sat 10/31 13Z 0.14 3320 74 21 -5 0.00
Sat 10/31 14Z 0.15 3319 69 20 -4 0.00
Sat 10/31 15Z 0.14 3319 64 17 -4 0.00
Sat 10/31 16Z 0.14 3319 60 16 -3 0.00
Sat 10/31 17Z 0.19 3217 60 19 -3 0.00
Sat 10/31 18Z 0.25 3117 60 28 -3 0.00
Sat 10/31 19Z 0.32 3116 62 28 -4 0.00
Sat 10/31 20Z 0.36 3016 67 17 -3 0.00
Sat 10/31 21Z 0.41 3017 70 18 -3 0.00
Sat 10/31 22Z 0.46 3018 69 39 -3 0.00
Sat 10/31 23Z 0.49 3019 67 31 -3 0.00
Sun 11/01 00Z 0.46 3020 65 20 -3 0.00
Sun 11/01 01Z 0.37 3020 61 17 -2 0.00
Sun 11/01 02Z 0.33 3119 60 18 -2 0.00
Sun 11/01 03Z 0.33 3019 60 10 -1 0.00
Sun 11/01 04Z 0.27 3119 56 5 -1 0.00
Sun 11/01 05Z 0.23 3117 54 7 0 0.00
Sun 11/01 06Z 0.23 3117 52 12 0 0.00
Sun 11/01 07Z 0.25 3017 50 14 0 0.00
Sun 11/01 08Z 0.26 3017 48 15 0 0.00
Sun 11/01 09Z 0.27 3017 44 12 0 0.00
Sun 11/01 10Z 0.27 3018 40 13 1 0.00
Sun 11/01 11Z 0.26 3019 36 15 1 0.00
Sun 11/01 12Z 0.27 3019 34 17 1 0.00
Sun 11/01 13Z 0.29 3020 30 19 2 0.00
Sun 11/01 14Z 0.32 3121 27 12 2 0.00
Sun 11/01 15Z 0.34 3123 26 5 2 0.00
Sun 11/01 16Z 0.33 3123 24 7 2 0.00
Sun 11/01 17Z 0.32 3124 29 6 2 0.00
Sun 11/01 18Z 0.32 3225 56 3 2 0.00
Sun 11/01 19Z 0.35 3124 65 32 2 0.00
Sun 11/01 20Z 0.40 3024 56 37 3 0.00
Sun 11/01 21Z 0.50 3025 59 29 3 0.00
Sun 11/01 22Z 0.57 3027 58 26 3 0.00
Sun 11/01 23Z 0.59 3028 57 21 3 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 0.08 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1