
A slow moving front will produce a threat for heavy rainfall and severe weather from New Mexico into the western High Plains through the weekend. Heavy rainfall is also expected this weekend in South Florida. The Bering Sea storm continues to bring heavy precipitation, strong winds, and minor to major coastal flooding through the weekend across western Alaska. Read More >
Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20261024_1800
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sat 10/24 18Z 0.10 3106 36 1 5 0.00
Sat 10/24 19Z 0.07 3206 39 1 5 0.00
Sat 10/24 20Z 0.07 3205 39 1 5 0.00
Sat 10/24 21Z 0.08 3105 38 2 6 0.00
Sat 10/24 22Z 0.11 3106 38 2 6 0.00
Sat 10/24 23Z 0.13 3007 36 3 6 0.00
Sun 10/25 00Z 0.15 3008 35 3 6 0.00
Sun 10/25 01Z 0.12 3107 36 3 6 0.00
Sun 10/25 02Z 0.10 3106 35 3 6 0.00
Sun 10/25 03Z 0.09 3106 33 3 7 0.00
Sun 10/25 04Z 0.09 3005 31 3 7 0.00
Sun 10/25 05Z 0.12 2805 27 3 7 0.00
Sun 10/25 06Z 0.13 2806 21 3 8 0.00
Sun 10/25 07Z 0.13 2806 18 2 8 0.00
Sun 10/25 08Z 0.13 2806 17 2 8 0.00
Sun 10/25 09Z 0.13 2706 16 2 8 0.00
Sun 10/25 10Z 0.14 2706 16 3 8 0.00
Sun 10/25 11Z 0.15 2707 17 5 8 0.00
Sun 10/25 12Z 0.18 2708 18 7 8 0.00
Sun 10/25 13Z 0.19 2709 17 8 8 0.00
Sun 10/25 14Z 0.18 2708 14 10 9 0.00
Sun 10/25 15Z 0.16 2607 12 11 9 0.00
Sun 10/25 16Z 0.18 2608 13 10 9 0.00
Sun 10/25 17Z 0.19 2608 14 9 9 0.00
Sun 10/25 18Z 0.20 2609 14 12 9 0.00
Sun 10/25 19Z 0.22 2610 14 13 9 0.00
Sun 10/25 20Z 0.22 2510 13 12 9 0.00
Sun 10/25 21Z 0.24 2611 13 13 10 0.00
Sun 10/25 22Z 0.27 2612 15 14 10 0.00
Sun 10/25 23Z 0.28 2613 16 16 10 0.00
Mon 10/26 00Z 0.29 2613 17 16 11 0.00
Mon 10/26 01Z 0.30 2614 17 15 11 0.00
Mon 10/26 02Z 0.31 2615 15 14 11 0.00
Mon 10/26 03Z 0.32 2616 11 14 11 0.00
Mon 10/26 04Z 0.32 2616 11 14 11 0.00
Mon 10/26 05Z 0.35 2618 15 14 11 0.00
Mon 10/26 06Z 0.36 2718 15 13 11 0.00
Mon 10/26 07Z 0.33 2717 15 11 11 0.00
Mon 10/26 08Z 0.33 2817 19 9 11 0.00
Mon 10/26 09Z 0.34 2818 22 10 10 0.00
Mon 10/26 10Z 0.36 2919 28 13 10 0.00
Mon 10/26 11Z 0.36 2919 29 14 10 0.00
Mon 10/26 12Z 0.38 2919 37 33 10 0.00
Mon 10/26 13Z 0.41 2920 47 39 9 0.00
Mon 10/26 14Z 0.45 2922 63 56 9 0.00
Mon 10/26 15Z 0.46 2922 84 68 8 0.00
Mon 10/26 16Z 0.45 2923 94 84 8 0.01
Mon 10/26 17Z 0.40 3022 96 90 7 0.01
Mon 10/26 18Z 0.39 3021 91 90 6 0.01
Mon 10/26 19Z 0.43 3021 87 89 5 0.00
Mon 10/26 20Z 0.42 3020 84 90 4 0.01
Mon 10/26 21Z 0.40 3120 84 63 3 0.01
Mon 10/26 22Z 0.39 3123 86 33 3 0.01
Mon 10/26 23Z 0.35 3224 89 25 1 0.01
Tue 10/27 00Z 0.26 3224 84 23 0 0.01
Tue 10/27 01Z 0.18 3323 83 19 0 0.00
Tue 10/27 02Z 0.11 3423 80 16 -1 0.00
Tue 10/27 03Z 0.06 3423 78 14 -2 0.00
Tue 10/27 04Z 0.04 3423 74 16 -2 0.00
Tue 10/27 05Z 0.05 3424 71 16 -2 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 0.08 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1