Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260216_1800
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Mon 02/16 18Z 0.08 2005 84 55 -5 0.00
Mon 02/16 19Z 0.08 2005 84 52 -5 0.00
Mon 02/16 20Z 0.12 2105 85 50 -4 0.00
Mon 02/16 21Z 0.14 2206 86 46 -4 0.00
Mon 02/16 22Z 0.14 2206 85 41 -3 0.00
Mon 02/16 23Z 0.12 2107 86 33 -3 0.00
Tue 02/17 00Z 0.14 2108 87 38 -3 0.00
Tue 02/17 02Z 0.22 2112 91 49 -4 0.00
Tue 02/17 03Z 0.29 2213 93 57 -4 0.00
Tue 02/17 04Z 0.36 2315 94 63 -4 0.00
Tue 02/17 05Z 0.34 2414 94 83 -3 0.00
Tue 02/17 06Z 0.36 2415 95 88 -3 0.00
Tue 02/17 07Z 0.32 2314 94 91 -3 0.01
Tue 02/17 08Z 0.30 2214 95 94 -2 0.01
Tue 02/17 09Z 0.29 2214 96 96 -2 0.01
Tue 02/17 10Z 0.28 2214 95 97 -2 0.01
Tue 02/17 11Z 0.30 2216 96 95 -2 0.01
Tue 02/17 12Z 0.36 2218 97 90 -2 0.01
Tue 02/17 13Z 0.39 2217 97 88 -3 0.02
Tue 02/17 14Z 0.36 2415 98 78 -3 0.03
Tue 02/17 15Z 0.37 2514 98 62 -3 0.02
Tue 02/17 18Z 0.28 2912 98 33 -3 0.02
Tue 02/17 19Z 0.29 2912 98 33 -3 0.01
Tue 02/17 22Z 0.32 2914 95 13 -3 0.01
Tue 02/17 23Z 0.38 2915 91 18 -3 0.01
Wed 02/18 00Z 0.41 2817 83 31 -2 0.00
Wed 02/18 01Z 0.40 2818 75 22 -2 0.00
Wed 02/18 02Z 0.47 2821 72 30 -2 0.00
Wed 02/18 03Z 0.45 2922 65 19 -2 0.00
Wed 02/18 04Z 0.43 2923 58 15 -3 0.00
Wed 02/18 05Z 0.45 2924 57 13 -3 0.00
Wed 02/18 06Z 0.44 2924 53 10 -3 0.01
Wed 02/18 07Z 0.43 3025 55 7 -3 0.01
Wed 02/18 08Z 0.39 3025 56 6 -4 0.01
Wed 02/18 09Z 0.33 3024 57 6 -4 0.00
Wed 02/18 10Z 0.31 3023 54 7 -4 0.00
Wed 02/18 11Z 0.24 3122 47 8 -3 0.00
Wed 02/18 12Z 0.22 3120 43 10 -3 0.00
Wed 02/18 13Z 0.17 3117 39 15 -3 0.00
Wed 02/18 14Z 0.16 3114 39 28 -3 0.00
Wed 02/18 15Z 0.14 3112 39 43 -3 0.00
Wed 02/18 16Z 0.16 3010 41 63 -3 0.00
Wed 02/18 17Z 0.14 3009 42 65 -4 0.00
Wed 02/18 18Z 0.11 2906 51 75 -4 0.00
Wed 02/18 19Z 0.07 3004 62 87 -4 0.00
Wed 02/18 21Z 0.03 0004 77 94 -4 0.00
Wed 02/18 22Z 0.04 0103 78 94 -4 0.00
Wed 02/18 23Z 0.06 0204 79 94 -4 0.00
Thu 02/19 00Z 0.08 0305 76 95 -4 0.00
Thu 02/19 01Z 0.04 0203 78 95 -5 0.00
Thu 02/19 03Z 0.04 3506 74 87 -6 0.01
Thu 02/19 05Z 0.03 3508 56 73 -6 0.01
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 0.23 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1