
Cooler and less humid conditions for most of the eastern third of the nation as high pressure dominates the weather pattern. Otherwise, rather tranquil weather for most of the nation for the end of the weekend into the start of this week. We continue to monitor a developing coastal storm offshore of the Carolinas; Coastal flooding and beach erosion possible along portions of the Mid-Atlantic. Read More >
Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20261018_0600
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sun 10/18 06Z 0.29 3013 73 55 -3 0.00
Sun 10/18 07Z 0.41 2915 72 59 -3 0.00
Sun 10/18 08Z 0.48 2915 71 61 -3 0.00
Sun 10/18 09Z 0.48 2917 70 68 -2 0.00
Sun 10/18 10Z 0.41 3018 82 73 -2 0.00
Sun 10/18 11Z 0.39 3018 85 75 -1 0.00
Sun 10/18 12Z 0.37 3016 80 72 -1 0.00
Sun 10/18 13Z 0.37 3016 79 61 0 0.00
Sun 10/18 14Z 0.37 2914 82 49 0 0.00
Sun 10/18 15Z 0.37 2913 81 42 0 0.00
Sun 10/18 16Z 0.37 2811 77 41 0 0.00
Sun 10/18 17Z 0.39 2611 67 39 1 0.00
Sun 10/18 18Z 0.37 2611 54 38 2 0.00
Sun 10/18 19Z 0.34 2611 43 36 3 0.00
Sun 10/18 20Z 0.31 2512 40 31 4 0.00
Sun 10/18 21Z 0.30 2613 37 24 5 0.00
Sun 10/18 22Z 0.29 2613 36 15 6 0.00
Sun 10/18 23Z 0.27 2713 35 10 7 0.00
Mon 10/19 00Z 0.25 2712 33 10 8 0.00
Mon 10/19 01Z 0.22 2711 28 11 8 0.00
Mon 10/19 02Z 0.21 2710 21 12 8 0.00
Mon 10/19 03Z 0.21 2710 17 13 8 0.00
Mon 10/19 04Z 0.21 2610 18 14 9 0.00
Mon 10/19 05Z 0.20 2609 19 15 9 0.00
Mon 10/19 06Z 0.20 2609 20 16 9 0.00
Mon 10/19 07Z 0.21 2509 20 17 9 0.00
Mon 10/19 08Z 0.22 2610 20 17 9 0.00
Mon 10/19 09Z 0.22 2610 20 17 10 0.00
Mon 10/19 10Z 0.22 2610 19 17 10 0.00
Mon 10/19 11Z 0.23 2711 19 18 10 0.00
Mon 10/19 12Z 0.22 2711 17 17 10 0.00
Mon 10/19 13Z 0.20 2810 16 18 10 0.00
Mon 10/19 14Z 0.19 2709 15 18 10 0.00
Mon 10/19 15Z 0.19 2708 15 20 10 0.00
Mon 10/19 16Z 0.17 2607 15 20 10 0.00
Mon 10/19 17Z 0.17 2607 15 20 10 0.00
Mon 10/19 18Z 0.17 2707 14 20 11 0.00
Mon 10/19 19Z 0.17 2807 13 20 11 0.00
Mon 10/19 20Z 0.16 2908 13 20 11 0.00
Mon 10/19 21Z 0.17 3009 13 21 11 0.00
Mon 10/19 22Z 0.17 3111 14 21 11 0.00
Mon 10/19 23Z 0.14 3212 15 21 11 0.00
Tue 10/20 00Z 0.10 3312 19 21 11 0.00
Tue 10/20 01Z 0.07 3312 24 21 10 0.00
Tue 10/20 02Z 0.04 3412 29 18 10 0.00
Tue 10/20 03Z 0.03 3512 34 14 10 0.00
Tue 10/20 04Z 0.04 3513 37 10 10 0.00
Tue 10/20 05Z 0.04 3515 39 9 10 0.00
Tue 10/20 06Z 0.07 0017 43 10 9 0.00
Tue 10/20 07Z 0.11 0018 40 12 9 0.00
Tue 10/20 08Z 0.16 0119 40 18 9 0.00
Tue 10/20 09Z 0.18 0120 32 23 9 0.00
Tue 10/20 10Z 0.20 0122 21 19 9 0.00
Tue 10/20 11Z 0.24 0223 15 14 9 0.00
Tue 10/20 12Z 0.25 0223 15 7 9 0.00
Tue 10/20 13Z 0.25 0222 17 2 9 0.00
Tue 10/20 14Z 0.23 0222 19 2 8 0.00
Tue 10/20 15Z 0.23 0220 23 2 8 0.00
Tue 10/20 16Z 0.21 0218 30 2 7 0.00
Tue 10/20 17Z 0.20 0216 36 3 7 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 0.00 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1