
Wildfires and poor air quality continue for the Pacific Northwest, Rockies and extended into the Plains. Severe thunderstorms possible for the northern Plains and upper Midwest on Monday along a frontal boundary. Another boundary will focus showers and thunderstorms for the eastern seaboard with localized heavy rainfall possible. For Alaska, a strong Bering Sea storm will bring winds and rainfall. Read More >
Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260802_1200
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sun 08/02 12Z 0.28 2013 83 65 15 0.00
Sun 08/02 13Z 0.30 2014 82 59 15 0.00
Sun 08/02 14Z 0.33 1913 86 54 15 0.00
Sun 08/02 15Z 0.56 1913 92 62 15 0.00
Sun 08/02 16Z 0.31 1814 94 72 15 0.01
Sun 08/02 17Z 0.52 1917 94 79 15 0.03
Sun 08/02 18Z 0.60 1918 93 77 15 0.04
Sun 08/02 19Z 0.68 1819 89 44 15 0.00
Sun 08/02 20Z 0.75 1820 86 23 15 0.00
Sun 08/02 21Z 0.50 1822 87 16 15 0.01
Sun 08/02 22Z 0.29 1823 83 14 16 0.00
Sun 08/02 23Z 0.23 1824 82 9 16 0.00
Mon 08/03 00Z 0.21 1824 81 13 16 0.00
Mon 08/03 01Z 0.22 1824 80 52 16 0.00
Mon 08/03 02Z 0.27 1924 76 79 16 0.00
Mon 08/03 03Z 0.30 1924 75 92 15 0.00
Mon 08/03 04Z 0.25 1922 78 92 16 0.00
Mon 08/03 05Z 0.31 1924 81 91 16 0.00
Mon 08/03 06Z 0.44 1926 90 92 15 0.02
Mon 08/03 07Z 0.32 1925 88 79 15 0.08
Mon 08/03 08Z 0.33 1925 81 82 16 0.01
Mon 08/03 09Z 0.20 1825 84 90 16 0.01
Mon 08/03 10Z 0.24 1828 93 96 16 0.03
Mon 08/03 11Z 0.30 1831 98 94 16 0.10
Mon 08/03 12Z 0.51 2031 96 83 16 0.13
Mon 08/03 13Z 0.66 2030 94 73 16 0.05
Mon 08/03 14Z 0.64 2028 98 74 16 0.02
Mon 08/03 15Z 0.78 2225 99 78 16 0.03
Mon 08/03 16Z 0.74 2223 99 78 16 0.04
Mon 08/03 17Z 0.80 2222 97 78 16 0.11
Mon 08/03 18Z 0.65 2317 95 86 16 0.16
Mon 08/03 19Z 0.57 2417 92 81 15 0.28
Mon 08/03 20Z 0.63 2319 94 69 15 0.02
Mon 08/03 21Z 0.93 2524 97 72 14 0.08
Mon 08/03 22Z 0.92 2827 97 67 12 0.08
Mon 08/03 23Z 0.69 3027 94 36 11 0.01
Tue 08/04 00Z 0.45 3129 92 25 12 0.01
Tue 08/04 01Z 0.33 3228 92 19 11 0.01
Tue 08/04 02Z 0.27 3226 88 18 11 0.00
Tue 08/04 03Z 0.31 3224 82 9 11 0.00
Tue 08/04 04Z 0.38 3124 81 4 11 0.00
Tue 08/04 05Z 0.44 3122 82 2 11 0.00
Tue 08/04 06Z 0.46 3022 82 3 11 0.00
Tue 08/04 07Z 0.47 3022 79 2 11 0.00
Tue 08/04 08Z 0.45 3022 76 2 11 0.00
Tue 08/04 09Z 0.41 3021 71 1 12 0.00
Tue 08/04 10Z 0.36 3020 64 2 13 0.00
Tue 08/04 11Z 0.33 3018 58 2 13 0.00
Tue 08/04 12Z 0.31 3018 56 2 13 0.00
Tue 08/04 13Z 0.29 3016 55 1 13 0.00
Tue 08/04 14Z 0.25 3115 52 1 13 0.00
Tue 08/04 15Z 0.23 3112 51 1 13 0.00
Tue 08/04 16Z 0.20 3109 47 1 14 0.00
Tue 08/04 17Z 0.20 3008 44 1 14 0.00
Tue 08/04 18Z 0.16 3006 42 2 15 0.00
Tue 08/04 19Z 0.15 2905 41 3 15 0.00
Tue 08/04 20Z 0.17 2804 39 5 16 0.00
Tue 08/04 21Z 0.15 2603 37 7 16 0.00
Tue 08/04 22Z 0.12 2503 35 10 17 0.00
Tue 08/04 23Z 0.13 2404 35 13 17 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 1.37 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1