
Areas of light freezing rain and patchy freezing drizzle are expected tonight across portions of north central and northeastern Vermont. Up to a tenth of an inch of ice accumulation is possible which may lead to slick travel. Precipitation will change to areas of light rain or rain showers after 700 am Saturday as temperatures climb above freezing. Read More >
Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260307_0000
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sat 03/07 00Z 0.12 1918 96 20 0 0.00
Sat 03/07 01Z 0.17 1920 96 18 0 0.00
Sat 03/07 02Z 0.20 1922 96 34 1 0.00
Sat 03/07 03Z 0.21 1924 96 45 1 0.01
Sat 03/07 04Z 0.23 1925 97 45 2 0.01
Sat 03/07 05Z 0.23 2025 96 29 3 0.01
Sat 03/07 06Z 0.29 2126 97 20 4 0.01
Sat 03/07 07Z 0.32 2126 96 23 5 0.01
Sat 03/07 08Z 0.30 2126 96 69 6 0.01
Sat 03/07 09Z 0.30 2128 96 94 7 0.01
Sat 03/07 10Z 0.32 2132 97 95 7 0.01
Sat 03/07 11Z 0.37 2132 97 85 8 0.04
Sat 03/07 12Z 0.39 2232 96 64 9 0.01
Sat 03/07 13Z 0.46 2235 95 78 9 0.03
Sat 03/07 14Z 0.53 2337 96 91 9 0.04
Sat 03/07 15Z 0.55 2436 95 90 9 0.07
Sat 03/07 16Z 0.54 2434 94 86 10 0.04
Sat 03/07 17Z 0.54 2434 93 86 10 0.01
Sat 03/07 18Z 0.64 2438 97 94 10 0.02
Sat 03/07 19Z 0.63 2436 90 87 11 0.07
Sat 03/07 20Z 0.61 2336 92 70 11 0.00
Sat 03/07 21Z 0.63 2337 90 70 11 0.00
Sat 03/07 22Z 0.64 2338 86 52 12 0.00
Sat 03/07 23Z 0.65 2338 85 36 12 0.00
Sun 03/08 00Z 0.66 2339 86 45 12 0.01
Sun 03/08 01Z 0.64 2338 87 60 12 0.01
Sun 03/08 02Z 0.66 2341 89 95 12 0.02
Sun 03/08 03Z 0.74 2345 95 95 11 0.12
Sun 03/08 04Z 0.74 2342 97 96 10 0.20
Sun 03/08 05Z 0.79 2540 97 94 9 0.26
Sun 03/08 06Z 0.72 2435 96 93 9 0.07
Sun 03/08 07Z 0.74 2535 95 86 9 0.03
Sun 03/08 08Z 0.75 2534 97 79 8 0.06
Sun 03/08 09Z 0.75 2533 96 60 8 0.05
Sun 03/08 10Z 0.79 2534 94 32 7 0.02
Sun 03/08 11Z 0.93 2536 96 16 6 0.02
Sun 03/08 12Z 1.11 2537 93 14 5 0.02
Sun 03/08 13Z 1.23 2538 92 13 3 0.02
Sun 03/08 15Z 1.23 2631 93 4 0 0.02
Sun 03/08 16Z 1.25 2730 91 4 0 0.01
Sun 03/08 17Z 1.22 2728 93 3 -1 0.01
Sun 03/08 18Z 1.29 2625 94 3 -2 0.01
Sun 03/08 19Z 1.08 2624 93 3 -2 0.00
Sun 03/08 20Z 0.99 2626 91 3 -2 0.00
Sun 03/08 21Z 0.88 2627 86 9 -2 0.01
Sun 03/08 22Z 0.73 2629 75 22 -1 0.01
Sun 03/08 23Z 0.69 2631 67 77 0 0.00
Mon 03/09 00Z 0.70 2633 59 50 0 0.00
Mon 03/09 01Z 0.77 2637 56 21 0 0.00
Mon 03/09 02Z 0.91 2640 59 9 0 0.00
Mon 03/09 03Z 1.06 2641 70 18 0 0.00
Mon 03/09 04Z 0.99 2639 72 26 0 0.00
Mon 03/09 05Z 0.88 2737 71 27 0 0.00
Mon 03/09 06Z 0.80 2635 67 32 1 0.00
Mon 03/09 07Z 0.76 2634 66 39 1 0.00
Mon 03/09 08Z 0.69 2632 64 46 2 0.00
Mon 03/09 09Z 0.73 2633 65 56 2 0.00
Mon 03/09 10Z 0.71 2534 60 68 3 0.00
Mon 03/09 11Z 0.69 2534 57 79 4 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 1.39 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1