National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Hazardous Travel for This Evening's Commute and Wednesday Morning's Commute in Locally Heavy Snow

Snow accumulations between 3 and 6 inches are expected across much of the area through 7 AM Wednesday. Some locally higher amounts are expected in the northern Adirondacks. The heaviest snowfall rates are anticipated during this evening's commute. Plan on slippery road conditions. Roads, especially bridges and overpasses, will become slick. Read More >

Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens

Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260210_1800
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.

925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date   Time        Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Tue 02/10 18Z 0.17 2109  43  70  -5 0.00
Tue 02/10 19Z 0.14 2010  35  90  -4 0.00
Tue 02/10 20Z 0.12 1813  38  98  -5 0.00
Tue 02/10 21Z 0.11 1817  68  95  -6 0.00
Tue 02/10 23Z 0.13 1824  96  98  -3 0.06
Wed 02/11 00Z 0.27 2025  96  98  -4 0.07
Wed 02/11 01Z 0.37 2124  95  98  -5 0.07
Wed 02/11 02Z 0.39 2124  96  95  -4 0.08
Wed 02/11 03Z 0.43 2223  97  94  -4 0.08
Wed 02/11 04Z 0.46 2422  97  93  -4 0.05
Wed 02/11 05Z 0.48 2521  97  57  -5 0.05
Wed 02/11 06Z 0.49 2621  97  16  -5 0.03
Wed 02/11 07Z 0.45 2719  96   3  -5 0.02
Wed 02/11 08Z 0.44 2719  95   3  -6 0.01
Wed 02/11 09Z 0.46 2819  96   5  -6 0.01
Wed 02/11 11Z 0.44 2919  96  39  -7 0.01
Wed 02/11 12Z 0.44 2919  96  50  -7 0.01
Wed 02/11 13Z 0.46 2918  96  63  -8 0.01
Wed 02/11 14Z 0.54 2818  97  75  -8 0.01
Wed 02/11 15Z 0.63 2817  96  82  -9 0.00
Wed 02/11 16Z 0.78 2817  96  85  -9 0.01
Wed 02/11 17Z 1.03 2816  96  85  -9 0.01
Wed 02/11 18Z 1.34 2816  96  85  -9 0.01
Wed 02/11 19Z 1.30 2918  96  86  -9 0.01
Wed 02/11 20Z 1.12 2919  96  86  -9 0.02
Wed 02/11 21Z 0.90 2919  96  83 -10 0.02
Wed 02/11 22Z 0.93 3020  95  82 -10 0.02
Wed 02/11 23Z 0.80 3122  95  81 -11 0.02
Thu 02/12 00Z 0.67 3122  96  81 -12 0.02
Thu 02/12 01Z 0.41 3222  95  83 -12 0.01
Thu 02/12 02Z 0.29 3324  95  83 -12 0.01
Thu 02/12 03Z 0.26 3324  95  84 -12 0.01
Thu 02/12 04Z 0.27 3325  95  83 -12 0.00
Thu 02/12 05Z 0.23 3324  94  82 -11 0.01
Thu 02/12 06Z 0.21 3325  94  79 -11 0.01
Thu 02/12 07Z 0.14 3325  94  76 -11 0.01
Thu 02/12 09Z 0.08 3424  93  78 -11 0.01
Thu 02/12 10Z 0.09 3425  93  77 -11 0.01
Thu 02/12 11Z 0.07 3426  93  75 -11 0.00
Thu 02/12 12Z 0.08 3426  94  74 -12 0.00
Thu 02/12 13Z 0.09 3425  94  69 -12 0.00
Thu 02/12 14Z 0.08 3424  92  67 -12 0.00
Thu 02/12 15Z 0.09 3424  92  68 -12 0.00
Thu 02/12 16Z 0.10 3423  92  68 -11 0.00
Thu 02/12 17Z 0.10 3424  92  64 -11 0.00
Thu 02/12 18Z 0.11 3424  91  62 -11 0.00
Thu 02/12 19Z 0.11 3424  90  58 -11 0.00
Thu 02/12 20Z 0.12 3324  89  48 -11 0.00
Thu 02/12 21Z 0.14 3325  88  31 -11 0.00
Thu 02/12 22Z 0.13 3325  81  16 -11 0.00
Thu 02/12 23Z 0.07 3425  66   8 -10 0.00
Fri 02/13 00Z 0.04 3425  58  11  -9 0.00
Fri 02/13 01Z 0.03 3425  60  13  -9 0.00
Fri 02/13 02Z 0.03 3426  64  14 -10 0.00
Fri 02/13 04Z 0.03 3424  65  14  -9 0.00
Fri 02/13 05Z 0.03 3423  64  14  -9 0.00

Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 0.79 inches.

Froude Number (Frd#): 
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
         Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
         W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
         Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
         Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
         W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
         Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
         Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
         With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
         Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
         W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
         Air flows freely over terrain.
         Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.

Relative Humidity (RH): 
         925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
         with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
         with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.

850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
        T > -11       10-15:1
        T -11 to -15  25-35:1
        T < -15       15-20:1