
A High Wind Watch has been issued for portions of northern New York for Sunday night through Monday. South winds of 20 to 30 mph are expected with gusts up to 60 mph in the Watch area. Elsewhere, gusts up to 40 mph are possible. The strongest winds will occur between 2 AM Monday and 5 PM Monday. Read More >
Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260315_0000
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sun 03/15 00Z 1.79 2923 89 64 -10 0.00
Sun 03/15 01Z 1.35 2823 91 51 -10 0.00
Sun 03/15 02Z 1.28 2826 95 41 -10 0.02
Sun 03/15 03Z 1.14 2926 95 14 -11 0.02
Sun 03/15 04Z 0.77 3024 94 10 -11 0.01
Sun 03/15 05Z 0.72 3024 91 9 -11 0.01
Sun 03/15 06Z 0.59 3123 86 9 -11 0.00
Sun 03/15 07Z 0.42 3122 75 10 -11 0.00
Sun 03/15 08Z 0.29 3120 62 9 -10 0.00
Sun 03/15 09Z 0.23 3118 50 8 -9 0.00
Sun 03/15 10Z 0.16 3218 38 10 -8 0.00
Sun 03/15 11Z 0.11 3315 31 11 -7 0.00
Sun 03/15 12Z 0.05 3311 26 12 -7 0.00
Sun 03/15 13Z 0.02 3406 25 37 -7 0.00
Sun 03/15 14Z 0.02 3301 26 86 -7 0.00
Sun 03/15 15Z 0.02 1402 26 97 -7 0.00
Sun 03/15 18Z 0.05 1613 39 98 -6 0.00
Sun 03/15 19Z 0.03 1615 75 98 -7 0.00
Sun 03/15 20Z 0.02 1722 77 96 -5 0.00
Sun 03/15 21Z 0.05 1628 59 91 -5 0.00
Sun 03/15 22Z 0.05 1632 52 89 -4 0.01
Sun 03/15 23Z 0.05 1734 47 88 -2 0.01
Mon 03/16 00Z 0.10 1736 42 89 -1 0.00
Mon 03/16 01Z 0.13 1739 37 77 0 0.00
Mon 03/16 02Z 0.16 1840 36 79 0 0.00
Mon 03/16 03Z 0.18 1842 39 95 1 0.00
Mon 03/16 04Z 0.15 1845 42 91 2 0.00
Mon 03/16 05Z 0.13 1747 44 74 3 0.00
Mon 03/16 06Z 0.10 1749 51 50 3 0.00
Mon 03/16 07Z 0.06 1750 68 33 3 0.00
Mon 03/16 08Z 0.06 1650 79 48 4 0.01
Mon 03/16 09Z 0.07 1650 88 62 5 0.01
Mon 03/16 10Z 0.09 1647 93 95 6 0.01
Mon 03/16 11Z 0.16 1552 94 98 7 0.01
Mon 03/16 12Z 0.15 1552 94 98 8 0.05
Mon 03/16 13Z 0.05 1651 96 57 8 0.09
Mon 03/16 14Z 0.07 1745 96 55 8 0.06
Mon 03/16 15Z 0.19 1842 97 42 8 0.07
Mon 03/16 16Z 0.29 1942 96 21 9 0.02
Mon 03/16 17Z 0.38 1943 95 12 9 0.01
Mon 03/16 18Z 0.42 1943 92 9 10 0.01
Mon 03/16 19Z 0.40 1942 95 31 10 0.01
Mon 03/16 20Z 0.37 1844 96 53 10 0.00
Mon 03/16 21Z 0.29 1845 96 71 10 0.00
Mon 03/16 22Z 0.24 1846 96 79 10 0.00
Mon 03/16 23Z 0.24 1848 96 77 10 0.01
Tue 03/17 00Z 0.24 1846 96 73 10 0.01
Tue 03/17 01Z 0.20 1747 95 72 10 0.01
Tue 03/17 02Z 0.15 1747 95 70 10 0.01
Tue 03/17 03Z 0.18 1745 96 92 9 0.01
Tue 03/17 04Z 0.14 1744 96 91 9 0.01
Tue 03/17 05Z 0.56 1931 99 98 7 0.05
Tue 03/17 06Z 0.81 2430 95 95 -1 0.07
Tue 03/17 07Z 0.90 2430 95 95 -3 0.14
Tue 03/17 08Z 1.22 2426 96 83 -6 0.09
Tue 03/17 09Z 3.70 2626 95 2 -9 0.02
Tue 03/17 10Z 5.41 2527 91 3 -11 0.02
Tue 03/17 11Z 3.57 2430 89 11 -12 0.02
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 0.91 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1