
Severe thunderstorms and flash flooding risks increase across the center of the nation today. Meanwhile, ongoing thunderstorms and flash flooding will linger along the Gulf Coast states through the evening. The Great Basin and Intermountain West, warm temperatures and dry fuels with dry lightning may enhance fire weather potential. In addition, across interior Alaska, Red Flag Warning are posted. Read More >
Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260620_0600
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sat 06/20 06Z 1.07 2727 93 91 7 0.00
Sat 06/20 07Z 1.15 2731 95 92 7 0.05
Sat 06/20 08Z 1.10 2831 96 93 7 0.09
Sat 06/20 09Z 0.92 2831 97 90 7 0.09
Sat 06/20 10Z 0.82 2931 97 86 7 0.06
Sat 06/20 11Z 0.72 3031 97 84 7 0.04
Sat 06/20 12Z 0.64 3130 97 83 7 0.03
Sat 06/20 13Z 0.62 3128 97 84 7 0.03
Sat 06/20 14Z 0.71 3126 96 80 7 0.01
Sat 06/20 15Z 0.87 3022 97 76 8 0.01
Sat 06/20 16Z 1.38 2921 96 82 8 0.04
Sat 06/20 17Z 1.28 2923 96 81 8 0.06
Sat 06/20 18Z 1.83 2922 96 74 9 0.03
Sat 06/20 19Z 2.58 2922 95 72 9 0.02
Sat 06/20 20Z 3.20 2921 92 67 9 0.01
Sat 06/20 21Z 3.13 2922 90 69 9 0.01
Sat 06/20 22Z 1.95 2922 90 64 9 0.00
Sat 06/20 23Z 1.09 2922 92 65 9 0.00
Sun 06/21 00Z 0.91 2922 94 64 9 0.00
Sun 06/21 01Z 0.73 2921 94 62 9 0.01
Sun 06/21 02Z 0.64 2920 95 62 9 0.00
Sun 06/21 03Z 0.54 3018 96 63 9 0.01
Sun 06/21 04Z 0.47 3016 96 68 9 0.01
Sun 06/21 05Z 0.42 3015 96 73 9 0.01
Sun 06/21 06Z 0.35 3014 94 75 9 0.00
Sun 06/21 07Z 0.36 3014 94 79 8 0.00
Sun 06/21 08Z 0.34 2913 94 84 9 0.01
Sun 06/21 09Z 0.32 3013 94 79 8 0.01
Sun 06/21 10Z 0.30 3012 93 74 8 0.00
Sun 06/21 11Z 0.31 2911 93 68 8 0.00
Sun 06/21 12Z 0.28 2910 92 63 8 0.00
Sun 06/21 13Z 0.28 2909 91 62 9 0.00
Sun 06/21 14Z 0.33 2810 89 55 9 0.00
Sun 06/21 15Z 0.41 2809 89 44 9 0.00
Sun 06/21 16Z 1.10 2809 89 43 8 0.00
Sun 06/21 17Z 1.59 2808 89 34 9 0.00
Sun 06/21 18Z 1.48 2909 89 40 9 0.01
Sun 06/21 19Z 0.71 3009 88 47 9 0.06
Sun 06/21 20Z 0.47 3011 82 41 9 0.08
Sun 06/21 21Z 0.74 3010 83 38 9 0.01
Sun 06/21 22Z 0.48 3010 85 39 9 0.01
Sun 06/21 23Z 0.40 3011 81 32 9 0.05
Mon 06/22 00Z 0.36 3011 82 34 9 0.00
Mon 06/22 01Z 0.46 2913 89 41 9 0.00
Mon 06/22 02Z 0.31 3012 84 51 9 0.00
Mon 06/22 03Z 0.32 3014 82 57 9 0.00
Mon 06/22 04Z 0.24 3215 83 45 9 0.00
Mon 06/22 05Z 0.25 3114 82 46 9 0.00
Mon 06/22 06Z 0.19 3212 82 37 9 0.00
Mon 06/22 07Z 0.24 3111 83 31 9 0.00
Mon 06/22 08Z 0.16 3208 79 27 9 0.00
Mon 06/22 09Z 0.13 3106 76 26 10 0.00
Mon 06/22 10Z 0.19 2806 76 28 9 0.00
Mon 06/22 11Z 0.23 2606 77 29 9 0.00
Mon 06/22 12Z 0.25 2507 76 29 9 0.00
Mon 06/22 13Z 0.28 2407 78 31 9 0.00
Mon 06/22 14Z 0.21 2306 74 30 9 0.00
Mon 06/22 15Z 0.21 2205 71 29 10 0.00
Mon 06/22 16Z 0.14 1906 70 26 10 0.00
Mon 06/22 17Z 0.20 1908 74 39 10 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 0.86 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1