Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20261001_0600
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Thu 10/01 06Z 0.42 2813 90 76 10 0.00
Thu 10/01 07Z 0.46 2813 88 62 10 0.00
Thu 10/01 08Z 0.37 2711 90 54 10 0.00
Thu 10/01 09Z 0.40 2711 89 40 10 0.00
Thu 10/01 10Z 0.34 2509 89 47 10 0.00
Thu 10/01 11Z 0.30 2308 89 56 10 0.00
Thu 10/01 12Z 0.32 2211 90 75 10 0.00
Thu 10/01 13Z 0.38 2215 91 92 10 0.00
Thu 10/01 14Z 0.41 2117 93 93 11 0.00
Thu 10/01 15Z 0.50 2219 96 95 11 0.01
Thu 10/01 16Z 0.58 2222 96 94 11 0.01
Thu 10/01 17Z 0.65 2322 94 92 11 0.01
Thu 10/01 18Z 0.68 2323 90 83 12 0.00
Thu 10/01 19Z 0.72 2324 94 93 13 0.00
Thu 10/01 20Z 0.66 2324 96 94 13 0.01
Thu 10/01 21Z 0.71 2327 97 83 14 0.03
Thu 10/01 22Z 0.80 2528 96 63 14 0.02
Thu 10/01 23Z 0.82 2529 96 58 14 0.02
Fri 10/02 00Z 0.88 2630 95 80 14 0.02
Fri 10/02 01Z 0.80 2629 92 83 15 0.01
Fri 10/02 02Z 0.78 2628 91 85 15 0.01
Fri 10/02 03Z 0.82 2528 92 84 14 0.01
Fri 10/02 04Z 0.87 2430 92 72 14 0.01
Fri 10/02 05Z 0.84 2432 89 66 15 0.00
Fri 10/02 06Z 0.91 2336 88 62 15 0.00
Fri 10/02 07Z 0.97 2440 82 74 16 0.00
Fri 10/02 08Z 1.05 2442 77 82 16 0.01
Fri 10/02 09Z 1.07 2441 84 65 15 0.01
Fri 10/02 10Z 1.11 2440 93 76 15 0.01
Fri 10/02 11Z 1.14 2441 94 93 15 0.02
Fri 10/02 12Z 1.09 2537 96 94 14 0.04
Fri 10/02 13Z 1.13 2535 97 94 14 0.06
Fri 10/02 14Z 0.97 2729 97 92 13 0.09
Fri 10/02 15Z 0.61 2921 97 72 13 0.04
Fri 10/02 16Z 0.54 2920 96 54 12 0.02
Fri 10/02 17Z 0.44 2919 95 66 12 0.02
Fri 10/02 18Z 0.44 2922 94 54 11 0.01
Fri 10/02 19Z 0.42 2921 90 72 10 0.01
Fri 10/02 20Z 0.40 2921 84 56 10 0.00
Fri 10/02 21Z 0.40 3021 82 38 9 0.00
Fri 10/02 22Z 0.36 3021 76 15 8 0.00
Fri 10/02 23Z 0.32 3122 75 6 7 0.00
Sat 10/03 00Z 0.31 3222 75 5 6 0.00
Sat 10/03 01Z 0.37 3225 79 3 5 0.00
Sat 10/03 02Z 0.39 3225 80 1 5 0.00
Sat 10/03 03Z 0.42 3226 78 2 4 0.00
Sat 10/03 04Z 0.36 3225 78 6 4 0.00
Sat 10/03 05Z 0.40 3225 79 11 4 0.00
Sat 10/03 06Z 0.34 3324 81 9 3 0.00
Sat 10/03 07Z 0.28 3322 78 5 3 0.00
Sat 10/03 08Z 0.23 3320 78 4 3 0.00
Sat 10/03 09Z 0.28 3220 81 4 2 0.00
Sat 10/03 10Z 0.28 3220 82 3 2 0.00
Sat 10/03 11Z 0.18 3319 76 2 3 0.00
Sat 10/03 12Z 0.18 3318 74 2 3 0.00
Sat 10/03 13Z 0.18 3217 72 2 3 0.00
Sat 10/03 14Z 0.17 3216 66 2 3 0.00
Sat 10/03 15Z 0.18 3216 63 2 3 0.00
Sat 10/03 16Z 0.16 3215 58 2 3 0.00
Sat 10/03 17Z 0.15 3313 57 3 3 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 0.51 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1