
An Extreme Cold Warning is in effect for northern New York and Vermont this morning and remaining cold into the day. Dangerously cold wind chills of -20F to -40F are expected. A Winter Storm Warning is in effect across Vermont and northern New York starting 1 PM Sunday through 1 AM Tuesday. Total snow accumulations between 8 and 17 inches will create very hazardous conditions for travel. Read More >
Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260123_1800
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Fri 01/23 18Z 7.20 2618 82 57 -17 0.00
Fri 01/23 19Z 12.08 2621 80 65 -18 0.00
Fri 01/23 20Z 10.20 2823 75 76 -18 0.01
Fri 01/23 21Z 7.99 2923 75 78 -19 0.02
Fri 01/23 22Z 5.58 2924 77 79 -20 0.01
Fri 01/23 23Z 8.38 2924 71 77 -21 0.00
Sat 01/24 00Z 4.27 2825 72 68 -22 0.00
Sat 01/24 01Z 8.95 2931 69 62 -23 0.01
Sat 01/24 02Z 3.77 2832 57 33 -24 0.00
Sat 01/24 03Z 12.41 2831 66 31 -25 0.00
Sat 01/24 04Z 8.94 2930 73 29 -26 0.00
Sat 01/24 05Z 5.74 3029 79 23 -27 0.00
Sat 01/24 06Z 3.98 3029 72 19 -28 0.00
Sat 01/24 07Z 0.84 3129 57 20 -29 0.00
Sat 01/24 08Z 0.58 3129 56 18 -28 0.00
Sat 01/24 09Z 0.46 3128 58 18 -27 0.00
Sat 01/24 10Z 0.40 3128 59 16 -27 0.00
Sat 01/24 11Z 0.36 3128 58 16 -26 0.00
Sat 01/24 12Z 0.33 3128 55 15 -25 0.00
Sat 01/24 13Z 0.31 3127 52 15 -24 0.00
Sat 01/24 14Z 0.29 3126 50 16 -24 0.00
Sat 01/24 15Z 0.29 3124 47 15 -24 0.00
Sat 01/24 16Z 0.30 3123 43 16 -23 0.00
Sat 01/24 17Z 0.32 3123 43 16 -23 0.00
Sat 01/24 18Z 0.33 3123 46 16 -23 0.00
Sat 01/24 19Z 0.35 3021 51 14 -23 0.00
Sat 01/24 21Z 0.43 2919 56 10 -24 0.00
Sat 01/24 22Z 0.42 2920 53 10 -23 0.00
Sat 01/24 23Z 0.38 3021 50 10 -22 0.00
Sun 01/25 00Z 0.35 3021 48 11 -21 0.00
Sun 01/25 01Z 0.31 3022 45 10 -21 0.00
Sun 01/25 02Z 0.28 3021 43 11 -20 0.00
Sun 01/25 03Z 0.24 3120 39 8 -20 0.00
Sun 01/25 04Z 0.21 3118 36 7 -19 0.00
Sun 01/25 05Z 0.19 3117 33 6 -18 0.00
Sun 01/25 06Z 0.17 3115 30 6 -18 0.00
Sun 01/25 07Z 0.15 3114 30 6 -18 0.00
Sun 01/25 08Z 0.14 3112 31 9 -18 0.00
Sun 01/25 09Z 0.13 3010 32 11 -18 0.00
Sun 01/25 10Z 0.13 3009 31 17 -17 0.00
Sun 01/25 11Z 0.11 2907 29 28 -17 0.00
Sun 01/25 12Z 0.10 2806 27 41 -16 0.00
Sun 01/25 13Z 0.08 2604 25 57 -16 0.00
Sun 01/25 14Z 0.04 2102 24 75 -15 0.00
Sun 01/25 15Z 0.03 1904 26 86 -15 0.00
Sun 01/25 16Z 0.02 1706 30 88 -16 0.00
Sun 01/25 17Z 0.02 1707 45 87 -17 0.00
Sun 01/25 18Z 0.03 1608 73 88 -17 0.00
Sun 01/25 19Z 0.07 1409 84 88 -15 0.00
Sun 01/25 20Z 0.10 1411 85 87 -15 0.01
Sun 01/25 21Z 0.15 1416 85 89 -15 0.02
Sun 01/25 22Z 0.19 1319 85 91 -14 0.03
Sun 01/25 23Z 0.18 1422 85 94 -14 0.03
Mon 01/26 00Z 0.19 1425 85 94 -14 0.04
Mon 01/26 01Z 0.31 1329 86 95 -14 0.03
Mon 01/26 02Z 0.39 1332 86 94 -14 0.03
Mon 01/26 03Z 0.42 1233 86 92 -13 0.04
Mon 01/26 04Z 0.38 1231 86 92 -11 0.04
Mon 01/26 05Z 0.40 1231 86 92 -11 0.04
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 0.36 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1