
Cooler and less humid conditions for most of the eastern third of the nation as high pressure dominates the weather pattern. Otherwise, rather tranquil weather for most of the nation for the end of the weekend into the start of this week. We continue to monitor a developing coastal storm offshore of the Carolinas; Coastal flooding and beach erosion possible along portions of the Mid-Atlantic. Read More >
Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20261018_1200
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sun 10/18 12Z 0.36 3016 73 62 -2 0.00
Sun 10/18 13Z 0.36 3016 78 56 -1 0.00
Sun 10/18 14Z 0.34 3014 80 46 -1 0.00
Sun 10/18 15Z 0.35 2912 81 42 0 0.00
Sun 10/18 16Z 0.37 2911 77 40 0 0.00
Sun 10/18 17Z 0.36 2810 71 38 0 0.00
Sun 10/18 18Z 0.34 2609 63 37 1 0.00
Sun 10/18 19Z 0.35 2510 56 35 1 0.00
Sun 10/18 20Z 0.33 2511 50 31 2 0.00
Sun 10/18 21Z 0.32 2512 44 22 4 0.00
Sun 10/18 22Z 0.32 2513 39 14 5 0.00
Sun 10/18 23Z 0.30 2613 38 13 6 0.00
Mon 10/19 00Z 0.26 2713 36 15 7 0.00
Mon 10/19 01Z 0.22 2711 29 18 8 0.00
Mon 10/19 02Z 0.19 2709 24 20 9 0.00
Mon 10/19 03Z 0.18 2709 21 21 9 0.00
Mon 10/19 04Z 0.18 2608 20 22 9 0.00
Mon 10/19 05Z 0.18 2608 20 22 9 0.00
Mon 10/19 06Z 0.18 2508 21 22 9 0.00
Mon 10/19 07Z 0.20 2509 21 21 9 0.00
Mon 10/19 08Z 0.22 2610 21 21 9 0.00
Mon 10/19 09Z 0.23 2611 19 21 10 0.00
Mon 10/19 10Z 0.22 2611 19 21 10 0.00
Mon 10/19 11Z 0.22 2710 18 22 10 0.00
Mon 10/19 12Z 0.21 2710 17 23 10 0.00
Mon 10/19 13Z 0.20 2709 16 24 9 0.00
Mon 10/19 14Z 0.20 2709 13 25 9 0.00
Mon 10/19 15Z 0.20 2709 11 26 9 0.00
Mon 10/19 16Z 0.20 2809 10 27 10 0.00
Mon 10/19 17Z 0.19 2708 10 28 10 0.00
Mon 10/19 18Z 0.19 2808 9 28 10 0.00
Mon 10/19 19Z 0.19 2909 9 29 10 0.00
Mon 10/19 20Z 0.20 3010 8 30 10 0.00
Mon 10/19 21Z 0.19 3011 9 30 10 0.00
Mon 10/19 22Z 0.18 3111 10 29 10 0.00
Mon 10/19 23Z 0.15 3211 12 29 10 0.00
Tue 10/20 00Z 0.12 3210 15 26 10 0.00
Tue 10/20 01Z 0.10 3210 19 25 10 0.00
Tue 10/20 02Z 0.08 3311 22 22 10 0.00
Tue 10/20 03Z 0.05 3310 25 22 10 0.00
Tue 10/20 04Z 0.03 3411 27 17 10 0.00
Tue 10/20 05Z 0.03 3411 30 11 10 0.00
Tue 10/20 06Z 0.02 3412 35 9 10 0.00
Tue 10/20 07Z 0.02 3514 42 8 10 0.00
Tue 10/20 08Z 0.04 3516 47 9 9 0.00
Tue 10/20 09Z 0.08 0016 48 10 9 0.00
Tue 10/20 10Z 0.11 0117 46 16 9 0.00
Tue 10/20 11Z 0.14 0118 40 21 9 0.00
Tue 10/20 12Z 0.18 0120 31 22 9 0.00
Tue 10/20 13Z 0.22 0222 25 20 9 0.00
Tue 10/20 14Z 0.25 0222 23 14 8 0.00
Tue 10/20 15Z 0.25 0221 25 10 8 0.00
Tue 10/20 16Z 0.24 0219 30 6 7 0.00
Tue 10/20 17Z 0.21 0218 30 2 7 0.00
Tue 10/20 18Z 0.18 0217 28 2 7 0.00
Tue 10/20 19Z 0.17 0117 29 2 7 0.00
Tue 10/20 20Z 0.18 0217 30 3 7 0.00
Tue 10/20 21Z 0.21 0218 36 4 7 0.00
Tue 10/20 22Z 0.25 0219 42 5 6 0.00
Tue 10/20 23Z 0.27 0319 46 5 6 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 0.00 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1