Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260218_1200
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Wed 02/18 12Z 0.25 3015 81 53 -3 0.00
Wed 02/18 13Z 0.25 3118 71 60 -4 0.00
Wed 02/18 14Z 0.22 3117 64 64 -3 0.00
Wed 02/18 15Z 0.19 3115 57 59 -3 0.00
Wed 02/18 16Z 0.18 3114 50 52 -3 0.00
Wed 02/18 17Z 0.16 3213 44 51 -3 0.00
Wed 02/18 18Z 0.08 3311 39 48 -3 0.00
Wed 02/18 19Z 0.09 3209 37 45 -3 0.00
Wed 02/18 20Z 0.05 3308 36 39 -4 0.00
Wed 02/18 21Z 0.04 3408 39 36 -4 0.00
Wed 02/18 22Z 0.04 0008 38 21 -4 0.00
Wed 02/18 23Z 0.09 0109 33 13 -4 0.00
Thu 02/19 00Z 0.14 0211 29 12 -4 0.00
Thu 02/19 01Z 0.17 0311 28 16 -4 0.00
Thu 02/19 02Z 0.17 0312 28 20 -4 0.00
Thu 02/19 03Z 0.16 0311 29 21 -5 0.00
Thu 02/19 04Z 0.14 0211 28 27 -5 0.00
Thu 02/19 05Z 0.14 0212 27 32 -4 0.00
Thu 02/19 06Z 0.15 0211 26 35 -4 0.00
Thu 02/19 07Z 0.16 0311 26 40 -5 0.00
Thu 02/19 08Z 0.10 0207 25 52 -5 0.00
Thu 02/19 09Z 0.12 0306 21 58 -5 0.00
Thu 02/19 10Z 0.10 0405 20 57 -5 0.00
Thu 02/19 11Z 0.11 0405 19 60 -4 0.00
Thu 02/19 12Z 0.10 0405 19 53 -4 0.00
Thu 02/19 13Z 0.07 0503 19 43 -4 0.00
Thu 02/19 14Z 0.04 0601 19 40 -4 0.00
Thu 02/19 15Z 0.02 1100 21 38 -4 0.00
Thu 02/19 16Z 0.01 1700 25 44 -4 0.00
Thu 02/19 17Z 0.02 2001 29 49 -4 0.00
Thu 02/19 18Z 0.05 2102 34 55 -4 0.00
Thu 02/19 19Z 0.07 2103 38 55 -4 0.00
Thu 02/19 20Z 0.08 2104 40 49 -3 0.00
Thu 02/19 21Z 0.08 2104 44 47 -3 0.00
Thu 02/19 22Z 0.05 2003 50 50 -3 0.00
Thu 02/19 23Z 0.05 2004 59 47 -3 0.00
Fri 02/20 00Z 0.06 2004 68 41 -3 0.00
Fri 02/20 01Z 0.05 2003 75 42 -3 0.00
Fri 02/20 02Z 0.05 1905 80 49 -3 0.00
Fri 02/20 03Z 0.10 1908 85 47 -4 0.00
Fri 02/20 04Z 0.08 1907 90 37 -4 0.00
Fri 02/20 05Z 0.12 2009 93 34 -4 0.00
Fri 02/20 06Z 0.13 2009 93 27 -4 0.00
Fri 02/20 07Z 0.16 2011 92 23 -3 0.00
Fri 02/20 08Z 0.14 2010 88 21 -3 0.00
Fri 02/20 09Z 0.12 2010 83 23 -2 0.00
Fri 02/20 10Z 0.11 2009 82 24 -1 0.00
Fri 02/20 11Z 0.09 2007 84 27 0 0.00
Fri 02/20 12Z 0.06 1907 84 31 0 0.00
Fri 02/20 13Z 0.03 1807 83 35 0 0.00
Fri 02/20 14Z 0.02 1608 82 36 0 0.00
Fri 02/20 15Z 0.03 1610 81 46 0 0.00
Fri 02/20 16Z 0.05 1513 81 73 0 0.00
Fri 02/20 17Z 0.09 1515 86 92 0 0.00
Fri 02/20 18Z 0.13 1418 92 96 0 0.01
Fri 02/20 19Z 0.21 1322 95 95 0 0.04
Fri 02/20 20Z 0.25 1324 96 98 0 0.06
Fri 02/20 21Z 0.32 1326 95 99 -1 0.15
Fri 02/20 22Z 0.37 1226 95 99 -2 0.16
Fri 02/20 23Z 0.42 1225 95 99 -3 0.11
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 0.53 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1