
Extreme Cold Warnings and Cold Weather Advisories are in effect across the region for this weekend. Wind chills of 20 to 40 below zero are possible, especially Saturday afternoon through Sunday morning. The risk of frostbite and hypothermia will be elevated, especially for vulnerable populations. Prepare now for the extreme cold, especially if you plan to be outdoors. Read More >
Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260206_1200
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Fri 02/06 12Z 0.04 1710 63 56 -11 0.00
Fri 02/06 13Z 0.10 1912 65 64 -11 0.00
Fri 02/06 14Z 0.17 2012 66 68 -11 0.00
Fri 02/06 15Z 0.15 2010 65 76 -11 0.00
Fri 02/06 16Z 0.12 1909 67 82 -11 0.00
Fri 02/06 17Z 0.15 1907 68 82 -11 0.00
Fri 02/06 18Z 0.22 2007 68 84 -11 0.00
Fri 02/06 19Z 0.25 2006 70 84 -11 0.00
Fri 02/06 20Z 0.22 2006 72 78 -11 0.00
Fri 02/06 21Z 0.13 1906 75 74 -11 0.00
Fri 02/06 22Z 0.05 1708 79 74 -11 0.00
Fri 02/06 23Z 0.05 1711 85 67 -11 0.00
Sat 02/07 01Z 0.19 1912 91 79 -12 0.00
Sat 02/07 04Z 0.44 2213 93 69 -12 0.00
Sat 02/07 05Z 0.38 2212 92 80 -12 0.00
Sat 02/07 06Z 0.25 2109 93 89 -12 0.00
Sat 02/07 07Z 0.14 2006 92 87 -12 0.00
Sat 02/07 08Z 0.07 1905 92 86 -12 0.00
Sat 02/07 09Z 0.04 1705 92 86 -12 0.00
Sat 02/07 10Z 0.04 1705 92 86 -12 0.01
Sat 02/07 11Z 0.03 1704 93 85 -12 0.02
Sat 02/07 12Z 0.03 1901 93 86 -12 0.02
Sat 02/07 13Z 0.06 3304 92 83 -13 0.01
Sat 02/07 14Z 0.16 3409 90 80 -13 0.01
Sat 02/07 15Z 0.11 3414 88 80 -14 0.01
Sat 02/07 16Z 0.05 3416 86 80 -15 0.02
Sat 02/07 17Z 0.06 3417 84 81 -15 0.03
Sat 02/07 18Z 0.07 3318 84 82 -16 0.02
Sat 02/07 19Z 0.10 3320 84 83 -17 0.01
Sat 02/07 20Z 0.11 3321 84 83 -17 0.01
Sat 02/07 21Z 0.11 3323 84 83 -18 0.01
Sat 02/07 22Z 0.11 3324 84 81 -19 0.01
Sat 02/07 23Z 0.12 3325 85 78 -19 0.01
Sun 02/08 00Z 0.12 3326 84 78 -20 0.01
Sun 02/08 01Z 0.11 3326 84 77 -20 0.00
Sun 02/08 02Z 0.11 3326 84 76 -20 0.00
Sun 02/08 03Z 0.10 3325 84 75 -20 0.00
Sun 02/08 04Z 0.10 3324 83 77 -20 0.00
Sun 02/08 05Z 0.09 3323 82 78 -19 0.00
Sun 02/08 06Z 0.07 3323 82 79 -19 0.00
Sun 02/08 07Z 0.08 3323 81 77 -19 0.00
Sun 02/08 08Z 0.09 3324 81 76 -20 0.00
Sun 02/08 09Z 0.09 3325 81 75 -20 0.00
Sun 02/08 10Z 0.08 3324 80 75 -20 0.00
Sun 02/08 11Z 0.06 3424 80 75 -19 0.00
Sun 02/08 12Z 0.03 3423 80 76 -19 0.00
Sun 02/08 13Z 0.02 3523 79 76 -18 0.00
Sun 02/08 14Z 0.02 3522 79 75 -17 0.00
Sun 02/08 15Z 0.02 3422 78 72 -17 0.00
Sun 02/08 16Z 0.02 3423 76 69 -17 0.00
Sun 02/08 17Z 0.02 3423 75 65 -16 0.00
Sun 02/08 18Z 0.03 3424 72 61 -16 0.00
Sun 02/08 19Z 0.04 3424 68 55 -15 0.00
Sun 02/08 20Z 0.05 3425 64 41 -15 0.00
Sun 02/08 21Z 0.07 3326 59 24 -15 0.00
Sun 02/08 22Z 0.07 3427 55 20 -14 0.00
Sun 02/08 23Z 0.06 3427 51 19 -13 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 0.21 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1