Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20250322_1800 Using the MB925 to MB850 layer. Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds. 925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens. Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in) === ===== === ==== ==== === === === ==== Sat 03/22 18Z 7.42 2214 59 72 0 0.00 Sat 03/22 19Z 7.67 2115 59 79 0 0.00 Sat 03/22 20Z 9.97 2218 61 94 0 0.00 Sat 03/22 21Z 2.78 2219 78 75 0 0.00 Sat 03/22 22Z 1.54 2320 77 86 0 0.00 Sat 03/22 23Z 1.39 2726 95 90 -1 0.08 Sun 03/23 00Z 1.73 2729 95 82 -3 0.04 Sun 03/23 01Z 1.60 2930 94 36 -6 0.02 Sun 03/23 02Z 1.61 3030 93 3 -9 0.02 Sun 03/23 03Z 3.07 3031 91 2 -12 0.00 Sun 03/23 04Z 3.26 3130 90 9 -13 0.00 Sun 03/23 05Z 3.20 3129 89 5 -14 0.00 Sun 03/23 06Z 2.37 3029 85 4 -15 0.00 Sun 03/23 07Z 1.27 3029 79 4 -15 0.00 Sun 03/23 08Z 0.91 3030 74 5 -16 0.00 Sun 03/23 09Z 0.77 3130 69 6 -16 0.00 Sun 03/23 10Z 0.61 3130 67 6 -16 0.00 Sun 03/23 11Z 0.50 3131 64 7 -15 0.00 Sun 03/23 12Z 0.45 3230 61 7 -15 0.00 Sun 03/23 13Z 0.42 3229 57 8 -15 0.00 Sun 03/23 14Z 0.38 3227 52 8 -14 0.00 Sun 03/23 15Z 0.40 3225 49 9 -14 0.00 Sun 03/23 16Z 0.53 3223 47 10 -14 0.00 Sun 03/23 17Z 0.75 3121 44 11 -14 0.00 Sun 03/23 18Z 0.69 3119 41 11 -13 0.00 Sun 03/23 19Z 0.67 3016 40 11 -12 0.00 Sun 03/23 20Z 0.46 3014 38 11 -11 0.00 Sun 03/23 21Z 0.35 3013 36 10 -10 0.00 Sun 03/23 22Z 0.36 2913 36 9 -9 0.00 Sun 03/23 23Z 0.31 2812 34 8 -8 0.00 Mon 03/24 00Z 0.29 2812 32 9 -7 0.00 Mon 03/24 01Z 0.19 2809 29 13 -5 0.00 Mon 03/24 02Z 0.19 2608 29 14 -5 0.00 Mon 03/24 03Z 0.14 2307 27 17 -4 0.00 Mon 03/24 04Z 0.08 2008 26 19 -3 0.00 Mon 03/24 05Z 0.08 1812 25 20 -3 0.00 Mon 03/24 06Z 0.12 1817 24 15 -3 0.00 Mon 03/24 07Z 0.18 1923 26 27 -3 0.00 Mon 03/24 08Z 0.30 1929 38 90 -4 0.00 Mon 03/24 09Z 0.20 1830 49 98 -4 0.00 Mon 03/24 10Z 0.12 1830 75 97 -2 0.00 Mon 03/24 11Z 0.10 1733 94 97 -1 0.03 Mon 03/24 12Z 0.13 1835 97 97 -1 0.05 Mon 03/24 13Z 0.19 1835 97 86 -1 0.05 Mon 03/24 14Z 0.23 1834 97 61 -2 0.04 Mon 03/24 15Z 0.25 1832 98 33 -2 0.03 Mon 03/24 16Z 0.26 1930 98 10 -2 0.03 Mon 03/24 17Z 0.23 1926 98 5 -1 0.02 Mon 03/24 18Z 0.20 1922 97 6 -1 0.01 Mon 03/24 19Z 0.19 1918 97 5 -1 0.01 Mon 03/24 20Z 0.18 1915 94 9 0 0.01 Mon 03/24 21Z 0.21 2014 87 9 0 0.00 Mon 03/24 22Z 0.21 2113 79 13 0 0.00 Mon 03/24 23Z 0.27 2213 80 38 0 0.00 Tue 03/25 00Z 0.35 2314 92 74 -1 0.01 Tue 03/25 01Z 0.51 2516 97 83 -2 0.06 Tue 03/25 02Z 0.94 2621 96 41 -4 0.02 Tue 03/25 03Z 1.24 2624 94 48 -5 0.01 Tue 03/25 04Z 1.75 2526 91 43 -7 0.01 Tue 03/25 05Z 1.78 2526 87 64 -8 0.00 Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 0.55 inches. Froude Number (Frd#): Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked. Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest. W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes. Gap winds possible. Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked. Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest. W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including: Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln. Gap winds possible. Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical. With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible. Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side. W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom. Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow). Air flows freely over terrain. Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries. Relative Humidity (RH): 925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation. with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow. with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible. 850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1) T > -11 10-15:1 T -11 to -15 25-35:1 T < -15 15-20:1