
Temperatures across northern New York and Grand Isle County in Vermont will drop below freezing today as rain moves into the region. A glaze up to a tenth of an inch of freezing rain will be possible through this afternoon; locally higher near Massena, New York. Flooding remains possible through Thursday due to snow melt, ice jams, and widespread rainfall today and Thursday. Read More >
Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260311_0600
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Wed 03/11 06Z 0.05 2302 81 98 8 0.00
Wed 03/11 07Z 0.03 1704 86 98 8 0.01
Wed 03/11 08Z 0.03 1609 83 95 9 0.01
Wed 03/11 09Z 0.04 1616 80 96 9 0.00
Wed 03/11 10Z 0.08 1523 84 88 9 0.01
Wed 03/11 11Z 0.07 1629 85 74 9 0.00
Wed 03/11 12Z 0.06 1631 87 73 9 0.00
Wed 03/11 14Z 0.04 1732 84 89 9 0.03
Wed 03/11 15Z 0.08 1735 85 90 9 0.01
Wed 03/11 16Z 0.17 1833 92 92 10 0.01
Wed 03/11 17Z 0.20 1932 91 77 11 0.01
Wed 03/11 18Z 0.24 1933 91 50 11 0.01
Wed 03/11 19Z 0.23 1934 87 52 12 0.00
Wed 03/11 20Z 0.25 1936 85 44 12 0.00
Wed 03/11 21Z 0.28 1940 86 23 12 0.00
Wed 03/11 22Z 0.34 1942 89 35 12 0.00
Wed 03/11 23Z 0.35 1942 91 81 11 0.00
Thu 03/12 00Z 0.40 2044 90 86 12 0.01
Thu 03/12 01Z 0.51 2044 89 93 13 0.00
Thu 03/12 02Z 0.59 2143 92 86 12 0.00
Thu 03/12 03Z 0.72 2142 96 77 11 0.00
Thu 03/12 04Z 0.78 2144 98 84 12 0.00
Thu 03/12 05Z 0.99 2144 96 81 11 0.01
Thu 03/12 06Z 0.90 2235 98 72 11 0.06
Thu 03/12 07Z 1.21 2333 98 64 9 0.05
Thu 03/12 08Z 1.24 2530 98 75 7 0.07
Thu 03/12 09Z 0.90 2530 95 83 5 0.06
Thu 03/12 10Z 0.80 2630 94 80 1 0.04
Thu 03/12 11Z 0.85 2629 95 95 -2 0.03
Thu 03/12 12Z 0.76 2729 92 94 -4 0.04
Thu 03/12 13Z 0.87 2728 90 69 -6 0.03
Thu 03/12 14Z 0.86 2827 89 30 -8 0.01
Thu 03/12 15Z 1.09 2825 89 16 -10 0.00
Thu 03/12 16Z 2.66 2826 88 7 -11 0.00
Thu 03/12 17Z 5.60 2925 86 2 -11 0.00
Thu 03/12 18Z 5.86 2924 84 5 -11 0.00
Thu 03/12 19Z 4.98 2924 81 9 -11 0.00
Thu 03/12 20Z 2.98 3023 80 10 -11 0.00
Thu 03/12 21Z 1.24 3022 80 15 -11 0.00
Thu 03/12 22Z 1.10 3021 80 22 -11 0.00
Thu 03/12 23Z 0.94 3020 81 30 -11 0.00
Fri 03/13 00Z 1.02 3021 83 38 -11 0.00
Fri 03/13 01Z 1.37 2921 85 47 -11 0.00
Fri 03/13 02Z 1.43 2923 88 52 -12 0.00
Fri 03/13 03Z 1.50 2923 91 53 -12 0.00
Fri 03/13 04Z 1.53 2923 92 56 -12 0.00
Fri 03/13 05Z 1.01 3023 92 59 -12 0.00
Fri 03/13 06Z 0.82 3021 92 57 -12 0.00
Fri 03/13 07Z 0.82 2920 94 56 -12 0.00
Fri 03/13 08Z 0.72 2917 93 45 -12 0.00
Fri 03/13 09Z 0.63 2816 92 30 -12 0.00
Fri 03/13 10Z 0.65 2716 92 20 -12 0.00
Fri 03/13 11Z 0.52 2714 91 10 -11 0.00
Fri 03/13 12Z 0.29 2509 84 5 -10 0.00
Fri 03/13 13Z 0.25 2309 78 6 -10 0.00
Fri 03/13 14Z 0.20 2109 69 6 -9 0.00
Fri 03/13 15Z 0.16 1911 59 8 -9 0.00
Fri 03/13 16Z 0.19 1814 55 24 -9 0.00
Fri 03/13 17Z 0.87 1816 57 54 -9 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 0.51 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1