Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20261010_1800
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sat 10/10 18Z 0.29 3209 65 38 1 0.00
Sat 10/10 19Z 0.19 3209 60 38 1 0.00
Sat 10/10 20Z 0.16 3209 54 36 2 0.00
Sat 10/10 21Z 0.15 3108 53 35 3 0.00
Sat 10/10 22Z 0.15 3007 52 35 4 0.00
Sat 10/10 23Z 0.13 3007 49 37 5 0.00
Sun 10/11 00Z 0.08 3106 44 39 6 0.00
Sun 10/11 01Z 0.09 2804 41 42 7 0.00
Sun 10/11 02Z 0.08 2403 38 45 7 0.00
Sun 10/11 03Z 0.08 2105 34 47 8 0.00
Sun 10/11 04Z 0.08 2006 32 47 9 0.00
Sun 10/11 05Z 0.09 2008 31 45 9 0.00
Sun 10/11 06Z 0.14 2011 34 44 8 0.00
Sun 10/11 07Z 0.16 2012 33 43 9 0.00
Sun 10/11 08Z 0.21 2113 33 44 9 0.00
Sun 10/11 09Z 0.19 2113 32 43 10 0.00
Sun 10/11 10Z 0.22 2115 32 44 10 0.00
Sun 10/11 11Z 0.22 2115 33 43 10 0.00
Sun 10/11 12Z 0.22 2115 35 39 10 0.00
Sun 10/11 13Z 0.23 2115 32 38 10 0.00
Sun 10/11 14Z 0.26 2116 37 37 9 0.00
Sun 10/11 15Z 0.22 2116 36 32 10 0.00
Sun 10/11 16Z 0.22 2016 39 27 9 0.00
Sun 10/11 17Z 0.17 1916 36 25 9 0.00
Sun 10/11 18Z 0.19 1917 41 39 8 0.00
Sun 10/11 19Z 0.20 1918 57 73 7 0.00
Sun 10/11 20Z 0.19 1918 77 95 6 0.00
Sun 10/11 21Z 0.19 1920 84 94 5 0.02
Sun 10/11 22Z 0.15 1822 92 95 6 0.06
Sun 10/11 23Z 0.12 1823 96 95 7 0.09
Mon 10/12 00Z 0.14 1823 97 92 7 0.07
Mon 10/12 01Z 0.14 1920 97 95 8 0.08
Mon 10/12 02Z 0.14 1916 97 95 8 0.11
Mon 10/12 03Z 0.12 1913 96 96 8 0.10
Mon 10/12 04Z 0.11 1810 95 97 9 0.06
Mon 10/12 05Z 0.10 1806 95 98 9 0.05
Mon 10/12 06Z 0.09 1703 96 98 9 0.05
Mon 10/12 07Z 0.07 1701 95 96 9 0.03
Mon 10/12 08Z 0.07 2401 95 90 9 0.01
Mon 10/12 09Z 0.06 3103 96 85 9 0.01
Mon 10/12 10Z 0.03 3407 97 80 9 0.01
Mon 10/12 11Z 0.02 3510 98 80 8 0.01
Mon 10/12 12Z 0.03 3513 98 79 8 0.01
Mon 10/12 13Z 0.05 3515 97 70 8 0.00
Mon 10/12 14Z 0.06 3415 96 52 8 0.00
Mon 10/12 15Z 0.06 3415 93 29 9 0.00
Mon 10/12 16Z 0.12 3316 90 24 10 0.00
Mon 10/12 17Z 0.11 3317 83 40 11 0.00
Mon 10/12 18Z 0.23 3221 90 60 9 0.00
Mon 10/12 19Z 0.26 3220 90 64 9 0.01
Mon 10/12 20Z 0.25 3221 90 72 9 0.01
Mon 10/12 21Z 0.26 3221 94 80 8 0.01
Mon 10/12 22Z 0.25 3221 98 84 7 0.01
Mon 10/12 23Z 0.16 3320 98 81 7 0.01
Tue 10/13 00Z 0.10 3318 98 81 7 0.01
Tue 10/13 01Z 0.03 3515 97 86 6 0.00
Tue 10/13 02Z 0.04 3511 97 91 6 0.00
Tue 10/13 03Z 0.05 0008 97 96 6 0.00
Tue 10/13 04Z 0.02 3506 97 98 6 0.00
Tue 10/13 05Z 0.04 0103 97 96 6 0.01
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 0.84 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1