Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20261005_1800
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Mon 10/05 18Z 1.03 2721 88 85 3 0.00
Mon 10/05 19Z 1.69 2823 91 78 2 0.02
Mon 10/05 20Z 4.58 2826 89 69 2 0.03
Mon 10/05 21Z 2.99 2932 91 70 1 0.10
Mon 10/05 22Z 1.88 3031 91 34 0 0.03
Mon 10/05 23Z 1.84 3031 92 38 0 0.01
Tue 10/06 00Z 1.57 3032 92 36 -1 0.01
Tue 10/06 01Z 1.37 3033 91 40 -2 0.00
Tue 10/06 02Z 1.30 3033 92 39 -2 0.00
Tue 10/06 03Z 1.17 3032 94 33 -3 0.00
Tue 10/06 04Z 1.11 3031 93 24 -3 0.00
Tue 10/06 05Z 1.05 3031 93 20 -3 0.00
Tue 10/06 06Z 0.89 3030 91 17 -3 0.00
Tue 10/06 07Z 0.78 3030 90 16 -3 0.00
Tue 10/06 08Z 0.72 3030 90 17 -3 0.00
Tue 10/06 09Z 0.65 3030 90 18 -3 0.00
Tue 10/06 10Z 0.54 3029 90 16 -2 0.00
Tue 10/06 11Z 0.49 3130 88 14 -2 0.00
Tue 10/06 12Z 0.48 3030 86 13 -2 0.00
Tue 10/06 13Z 0.45 3029 82 10 -2 0.00
Tue 10/06 14Z 0.43 3027 75 8 -1 0.00
Tue 10/06 15Z 0.45 3026 70 7 -1 0.00
Tue 10/06 16Z 0.48 3025 61 6 0 0.00
Tue 10/06 17Z 0.55 3024 53 6 0 0.00
Tue 10/06 18Z 0.64 3023 48 5 0 0.00
Tue 10/06 19Z 1.03 3022 51 3 0 0.00
Tue 10/06 20Z 2.94 2921 50 3 0 0.00
Tue 10/06 21Z 2.26 2921 47 4 0 0.00
Tue 10/06 22Z 1.47 2920 46 7 0 0.00
Tue 10/06 23Z 1.31 2921 45 14 0 0.00
Wed 10/07 00Z 0.93 2920 43 23 0 0.00
Wed 10/07 01Z 0.66 2919 41 40 0 0.00
Wed 10/07 02Z 0.49 2917 38 54 0 0.00
Wed 10/07 03Z 0.42 2916 34 67 1 0.00
Wed 10/07 04Z 0.38 2814 31 72 1 0.00
Wed 10/07 05Z 0.39 2714 28 74 2 0.00
Wed 10/07 06Z 0.42 2615 23 52 2 0.00
Wed 10/07 07Z 0.44 2617 28 53 3 0.00
Wed 10/07 08Z 0.43 2619 37 74 4 0.00
Wed 10/07 09Z 0.44 2620 40 84 5 0.00
Wed 10/07 10Z 0.50 2622 52 87 5 0.00
Wed 10/07 11Z 0.53 2523 58 91 5 0.00
Wed 10/07 12Z 0.54 2523 60 96 6 0.00
Wed 10/07 13Z 0.54 2423 66 94 6 0.00
Wed 10/07 14Z 0.56 2423 66 95 6 0.00
Wed 10/07 15Z 0.54 2323 66 94 6 0.01
Wed 10/07 16Z 0.53 2224 63 96 7 0.00
Wed 10/07 17Z 0.58 2225 56 93 7 0.00
Wed 10/07 18Z 0.61 2224 48 88 7 0.00
Wed 10/07 19Z 0.60 2223 45 80 7 0.00
Wed 10/07 20Z 0.62 2223 48 79 7 0.00
Wed 10/07 21Z 0.75 2224 58 79 7 0.00
Wed 10/07 22Z 0.79 2225 67 91 6 0.00
Wed 10/07 23Z 0.79 2226 72 91 6 0.00
Thu 10/08 00Z 0.79 2228 75 88 6 0.00
Thu 10/08 01Z 0.86 2330 77 85 6 0.00
Thu 10/08 02Z 0.90 2331 82 86 6 0.00
Thu 10/08 03Z 0.89 2431 87 84 7 0.01
Thu 10/08 04Z 0.84 2430 90 82 7 0.01
Thu 10/08 05Z 0.79 2429 92 82 8 0.01
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 0.24 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1