Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260510_0600
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sun 05/10 06Z 0.41 2021 90 39 4 0.00
Sun 05/10 07Z 0.43 2122 94 50 4 0.00
Sun 05/10 08Z 0.59 2227 98 55 5 0.04
Sun 05/10 09Z 0.69 2324 98 91 4 0.03
Sun 05/10 10Z 0.71 2423 95 64 4 0.02
Sun 05/10 11Z 0.63 2420 95 49 4 0.01
Sun 05/10 12Z 0.51 2418 93 47 4 0.01
Sun 05/10 13Z 0.48 2317 92 58 5 0.00
Sun 05/10 14Z 0.52 2318 92 67 5 0.00
Sun 05/10 15Z 0.50 2316 91 79 5 0.00
Sun 05/10 16Z 0.57 2215 95 85 5 0.01
Sun 05/10 17Z 0.75 2412 98 88 4 0.02
Sun 05/10 18Z 0.48 2714 95 86 4 0.07
Sun 05/10 19Z 0.49 2820 84 89 4 0.04
Sun 05/10 20Z 0.61 2719 67 38 3 0.00
Sun 05/10 21Z 0.95 2819 69 44 2 0.00
Sun 05/10 22Z 0.94 2717 71 33 2 0.00
Sun 05/10 23Z 0.92 2717 73 47 2 0.00
Mon 05/11 00Z 1.11 2918 69 18 1 0.00
Mon 05/11 01Z 1.00 3020 64 22 0 0.00
Mon 05/11 02Z 0.93 3021 71 24 0 0.00
Mon 05/11 03Z 0.90 3020 79 22 -1 0.00
Mon 05/11 04Z 0.86 3019 80 21 -1 0.00
Mon 05/11 05Z 0.59 3118 84 19 -2 0.00
Mon 05/11 06Z 0.51 3116 85 17 -2 0.00
Mon 05/11 07Z 0.50 3115 84 17 -2 0.00
Mon 05/11 08Z 0.43 3114 86 14 -2 0.00
Mon 05/11 09Z 0.36 3112 86 17 -3 0.00
Mon 05/11 10Z 0.33 3110 85 18 -3 0.00
Mon 05/11 11Z 0.30 3009 84 24 -3 0.00
Mon 05/11 12Z 0.36 3008 84 23 -3 0.00
Mon 05/11 13Z 1.01 2808 84 29 -3 0.00
Mon 05/11 14Z 2.38 2808 82 31 -3 0.00
Mon 05/11 15Z 4.20 2708 73 31 -3 0.00
Mon 05/11 16Z 5.93 2709 72 35 -2 0.00
Mon 05/11 17Z 6.14 2610 74 47 -2 0.00
Mon 05/11 18Z 6.73 2711 68 62 -1 0.00
Mon 05/11 19Z 6.75 2711 64 69 -1 0.00
Mon 05/11 20Z 6.66 2811 63 74 -1 0.00
Mon 05/11 21Z 6.17 2811 62 71 -1 0.00
Mon 05/11 22Z 4.88 2911 64 69 -1 0.00
Mon 05/11 23Z 2.27 3011 67 69 -2 0.00
Tue 05/12 00Z 0.85 3112 73 69 -2 0.00
Tue 05/12 01Z 0.35 3213 80 67 -2 0.00
Tue 05/12 02Z 0.29 3214 78 68 -3 0.00
Tue 05/12 03Z 0.36 3217 81 73 -3 0.00
Tue 05/12 04Z 0.28 3318 82 66 -3 0.00
Tue 05/12 05Z 0.25 3319 82 61 -3 0.00
Tue 05/12 06Z 0.17 3320 75 53 -3 0.00
Tue 05/12 07Z 0.14 3420 71 42 -4 0.00
Tue 05/12 08Z 0.11 3419 68 22 -4 0.00
Tue 05/12 09Z 0.10 3418 67 18 -4 0.00
Tue 05/12 10Z 0.15 3317 66 23 -4 0.00
Tue 05/12 11Z 0.21 3316 67 34 -4 0.00
Tue 05/12 12Z 0.35 3215 68 41 -5 0.00
Tue 05/12 13Z 2.17 3214 71 46 -5 0.00
Tue 05/12 14Z 3.73 3113 71 45 -5 0.00
Tue 05/12 15Z 4.70 3112 69 38 -5 0.00
Tue 05/12 16Z 5.52 3011 69 27 -4 0.00
Tue 05/12 17Z 6.07 2911 70 32 -3 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 0.25 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1