National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Light freezing rain and freezing drizzle expected across portions of north central and northeastern Vermont tonight

Areas of light freezing rain and patchy freezing drizzle are expected tonight across portions of north central and northeastern Vermont. Up to a tenth of an inch of ice accumulation is possible which may lead to slick travel. Precipitation will change to areas of light rain or rain showers after 700 am Saturday as temperatures climb above freezing. Read More >

Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens

Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260307_0000
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.

925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date   Time        Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sat 03/07 00Z 0.12 1918  96  20   0 0.00
Sat 03/07 01Z 0.17 1920  96  18   0 0.00
Sat 03/07 02Z 0.20 1922  96  34   1 0.00
Sat 03/07 03Z 0.21 1924  96  45   1 0.01
Sat 03/07 04Z 0.23 1925  97  45   2 0.01
Sat 03/07 05Z 0.23 2025  96  29   3 0.01
Sat 03/07 06Z 0.29 2126  97  20   4 0.01
Sat 03/07 07Z 0.32 2126  96  23   5 0.01
Sat 03/07 08Z 0.30 2126  96  69   6 0.01
Sat 03/07 09Z 0.30 2128  96  94   7 0.01
Sat 03/07 10Z 0.32 2132  97  95   7 0.01
Sat 03/07 11Z 0.37 2132  97  85   8 0.04
Sat 03/07 12Z 0.39 2232  96  64   9 0.01
Sat 03/07 13Z 0.46 2235  95  78   9 0.03
Sat 03/07 14Z 0.53 2337  96  91   9 0.04
Sat 03/07 15Z 0.55 2436  95  90   9 0.07
Sat 03/07 16Z 0.54 2434  94  86  10 0.04
Sat 03/07 17Z 0.54 2434  93  86  10 0.01
Sat 03/07 18Z 0.64 2438  97  94  10 0.02
Sat 03/07 19Z 0.63 2436  90  87  11 0.07
Sat 03/07 20Z 0.61 2336  92  70  11 0.00
Sat 03/07 21Z 0.63 2337  90  70  11 0.00
Sat 03/07 22Z 0.64 2338  86  52  12 0.00
Sat 03/07 23Z 0.65 2338  85  36  12 0.00
Sun 03/08 00Z 0.66 2339  86  45  12 0.01
Sun 03/08 01Z 0.64 2338  87  60  12 0.01
Sun 03/08 02Z 0.66 2341  89  95  12 0.02
Sun 03/08 03Z 0.74 2345  95  95  11 0.12
Sun 03/08 04Z 0.74 2342  97  96  10 0.20
Sun 03/08 05Z 0.79 2540  97  94   9 0.26
Sun 03/08 06Z 0.72 2435  96  93   9 0.07
Sun 03/08 07Z 0.74 2535  95  86   9 0.03
Sun 03/08 08Z 0.75 2534  97  79   8 0.06
Sun 03/08 09Z 0.75 2533  96  60   8 0.05
Sun 03/08 10Z 0.79 2534  94  32   7 0.02
Sun 03/08 11Z 0.93 2536  96  16   6 0.02
Sun 03/08 12Z 1.11 2537  93  14   5 0.02
Sun 03/08 13Z 1.23 2538  92  13   3 0.02
Sun 03/08 15Z 1.23 2631  93   4   0 0.02
Sun 03/08 16Z 1.25 2730  91   4   0 0.01
Sun 03/08 17Z 1.22 2728  93   3  -1 0.01
Sun 03/08 18Z 1.29 2625  94   3  -2 0.01
Sun 03/08 19Z 1.08 2624  93   3  -2 0.00
Sun 03/08 20Z 0.99 2626  91   3  -2 0.00
Sun 03/08 21Z 0.88 2627  86   9  -2 0.01
Sun 03/08 22Z 0.73 2629  75  22  -1 0.01
Sun 03/08 23Z 0.69 2631  67  77   0 0.00
Mon 03/09 00Z 0.70 2633  59  50   0 0.00
Mon 03/09 01Z 0.77 2637  56  21   0 0.00
Mon 03/09 02Z 0.91 2640  59   9   0 0.00
Mon 03/09 03Z 1.06 2641  70  18   0 0.00
Mon 03/09 04Z 0.99 2639  72  26   0 0.00
Mon 03/09 05Z 0.88 2737  71  27   0 0.00
Mon 03/09 06Z 0.80 2635  67  32   1 0.00
Mon 03/09 07Z 0.76 2634  66  39   1 0.00
Mon 03/09 08Z 0.69 2632  64  46   2 0.00
Mon 03/09 09Z 0.73 2633  65  56   2 0.00
Mon 03/09 10Z 0.71 2534  60  68   3 0.00
Mon 03/09 11Z 0.69 2534  57  79   4 0.00

Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 1.39 inches.

Froude Number (Frd#): 
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
         Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
         W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
         Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
         Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
         W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
         Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
         Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
         With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
         Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
         W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
         Air flows freely over terrain.
         Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.

Relative Humidity (RH): 
         925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
         with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
         with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.

850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
        T > -11       10-15:1
        T -11 to -15  25-35:1
        T < -15       15-20:1