Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260505_0000
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Tue 05/05 00Z 1.05 2320 55 68 8 0.00
Tue 05/05 01Z 0.99 2321 53 60 8 0.00
Tue 05/05 02Z 0.91 2322 51 45 9 0.00
Tue 05/05 03Z 0.88 2225 51 47 9 0.00
Tue 05/05 04Z 0.95 2130 50 62 8 0.00
Tue 05/05 05Z 1.03 2234 57 77 8 0.00
Tue 05/05 06Z 0.98 2236 63 76 9 0.00
Tue 05/05 07Z 0.93 2235 63 70 9 0.00
Tue 05/05 08Z 0.88 2234 64 25 9 0.00
Tue 05/05 09Z 0.84 2331 66 36 8 0.00
Tue 05/05 10Z 0.81 2329 71 74 8 0.01
Tue 05/05 11Z 0.69 2326 73 81 9 0.00
Tue 05/05 12Z 0.94 2332 87 90 7 0.01
Tue 05/05 13Z 0.79 2430 88 88 8 0.04
Tue 05/05 14Z 0.99 2330 86 87 8 0.01
Tue 05/05 15Z 0.95 2329 80 73 9 0.01
Tue 05/05 16Z 1.50 2326 73 55 10 0.00
Tue 05/05 17Z 7.21 2225 67 60 10 0.00
Tue 05/05 18Z 11.37 2125 64 57 11 0.00
Tue 05/05 19Z 13.16 2128 61 52 12 0.00
Tue 05/05 20Z 9.02 2130 69 69 12 0.02
Tue 05/05 21Z 6.66 2133 70 83 12 0.04
Tue 05/05 22Z 3.05 2130 67 88 12 0.08
Tue 05/05 23Z 1.54 2133 67 85 12 0.00
Wed 05/06 00Z 1.74 2435 85 97 9 0.23
Wed 05/06 01Z 0.96 2530 92 94 9 0.13
Wed 05/06 02Z 0.82 2528 94 96 9 0.09
Wed 05/06 03Z 0.71 2524 94 96 9 0.03
Wed 05/06 04Z 0.74 2523 98 95 7 0.04
Wed 05/06 05Z 0.54 2420 96 93 8 0.04
Wed 05/06 06Z 0.45 2418 97 88 7 0.04
Wed 05/06 07Z 0.36 2315 97 71 8 0.03
Wed 05/06 08Z 0.29 2215 96 63 8 0.01
Wed 05/06 09Z 0.27 2117 96 76 8 0.01
Wed 05/06 10Z 0.25 2018 92 66 9 0.00
Wed 05/06 11Z 0.29 2023 91 76 9 0.01
Wed 05/06 12Z 0.41 2026 94 76 8 0.01
Wed 05/06 13Z 0.51 2127 95 88 8 0.02
Wed 05/06 14Z 0.57 2128 96 82 8 0.06
Wed 05/06 15Z 0.55 2026 96 80 8 0.06
Wed 05/06 16Z 0.52 2024 97 84 8 0.04
Wed 05/06 17Z 0.43 2022 98 93 8 0.05
Wed 05/06 18Z 0.42 2023 98 98 8 0.12
Wed 05/06 19Z 0.43 2025 97 99 7 0.18
Wed 05/06 20Z 0.33 1924 99 98 7 0.07
Wed 05/06 21Z 0.40 2121 99 97 7 0.13
Wed 05/06 22Z 0.28 2117 99 98 7 0.08
Wed 05/06 23Z 0.20 2211 99 98 7 0.07
Thu 05/07 00Z 0.19 2509 99 98 6 0.06
Thu 05/07 01Z 0.18 2910 98 99 5 0.05
Thu 05/07 02Z 0.18 3114 96 99 3 0.04
Thu 05/07 03Z 0.22 3117 92 99 2 0.06
Thu 05/07 04Z 0.24 3119 82 98 1 0.02
Thu 05/07 05Z 0.22 3220 62 95 1 0.00
Thu 05/07 06Z 0.25 3220 59 66 0 0.00
Thu 05/07 07Z 0.31 3119 67 49 0 0.00
Thu 05/07 08Z 0.33 3018 80 20 0 0.00
Thu 05/07 09Z 0.37 3018 88 9 0 0.00
Thu 05/07 10Z 0.39 2918 85 7 0 0.00
Thu 05/07 11Z 0.54 2820 76 10 -1 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 2.00 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1