Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260515_0000
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Fri 05/15 00Z 0.12 0011 98 96 3 0.00
Fri 05/15 01Z 0.13 3512 98 97 3 0.07
Fri 05/15 02Z 0.14 0015 99 99 4 0.05
Fri 05/15 03Z 0.25 0117 99 99 4 0.06
Fri 05/15 04Z 0.33 0413 99 97 4 0.06
Fri 05/15 05Z 0.39 0612 99 97 4 0.05
Fri 05/15 06Z 0.38 0711 99 94 3 0.04
Fri 05/15 08Z 0.44 0712 99 92 3 0.05
Fri 05/15 09Z 0.42 0712 99 90 3 0.06
Fri 05/15 10Z 0.47 0613 99 87 3 0.04
Fri 05/15 11Z 0.49 0614 99 63 3 0.04
Fri 05/15 12Z 0.49 0615 99 63 3 0.03
Fri 05/15 13Z 0.55 0717 98 72 3 0.02
Fri 05/15 14Z 0.57 0817 98 74 3 0.02
Fri 05/15 15Z 0.63 0817 98 80 3 0.01
Fri 05/15 16Z 0.68 0815 98 88 3 0.01
Fri 05/15 17Z 0.67 0813 98 92 3 0.01
Fri 05/15 18Z 0.53 0910 98 93 3 0.01
Fri 05/15 19Z 0.49 0909 97 89 3 0.01
Fri 05/15 20Z 0.34 0907 97 85 3 0.00
Fri 05/15 21Z 0.17 1005 93 82 4 0.00
Fri 05/15 22Z 0.09 1102 90 84 5 0.00
Fri 05/15 23Z 0.07 1400 87 84 5 0.00
Sat 05/16 00Z 0.08 2702 84 80 5 0.00
Sat 05/16 01Z 0.10 2803 77 64 5 0.00
Sat 05/16 02Z 0.20 2706 76 49 5 0.00
Sat 05/16 03Z 0.30 2709 83 47 5 0.00
Sat 05/16 04Z 0.34 2811 88 43 5 0.00
Sat 05/16 05Z 0.38 2813 92 47 5 0.00
Sat 05/16 06Z 0.42 2713 93 49 5 0.00
Sat 05/16 07Z 0.48 2715 92 43 5 0.01
Sat 05/16 08Z 0.53 2717 87 17 6 0.01
Sat 05/16 09Z 0.61 2719 81 11 5 0.01
Sat 05/16 10Z 0.67 2820 70 9 5 0.00
Sat 05/16 11Z 0.71 2821 64 11 5 0.00
Sat 05/16 12Z 0.75 2721 65 21 5 0.00
Sat 05/16 13Z 0.83 2722 65 28 5 0.00
Sat 05/16 14Z 0.93 2621 61 48 5 0.00
Sat 05/16 15Z 0.73 2516 49 47 7 0.00
Sat 05/16 16Z 0.64 2513 43 38 8 0.00
Sat 05/16 17Z 0.73 2312 43 27 8 0.00
Sat 05/16 18Z 1.07 2315 45 26 9 0.00
Sat 05/16 19Z 1.39 2217 50 13 9 0.00
Sat 05/16 20Z 2.20 2220 59 14 9 0.00
Sat 05/16 21Z 1.15 2121 65 15 9 0.00
Sat 05/16 22Z 0.78 2123 65 19 10 0.00
Sat 05/16 23Z 0.81 2124 68 53 10 0.00
Sun 05/17 00Z 0.82 2127 78 92 10 0.00
Sun 05/17 01Z 0.95 2231 78 88 10 0.04
Sun 05/17 02Z 1.27 2335 75 94 10 0.03
Sun 05/17 03Z 1.28 2338 79 92 10 0.01
Sun 05/17 04Z 1.32 2438 87 91 10 0.03
Sun 05/17 05Z 0.98 2634 95 61 10 0.03
Sun 05/17 06Z 0.81 2730 90 30 10 0.03
Sun 05/17 07Z 0.68 2827 80 9 10 0.01
Sun 05/17 08Z 0.64 2827 70 6 10 0.01
Sun 05/17 09Z 0.71 2830 63 7 9 0.01
Sun 05/17 10Z 0.79 3036 55 9 8 0.01
Sun 05/17 11Z 0.83 3036 59 7 8 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 0.88 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1