National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Autumn Temperatures for Eastern Third of the Country; Developing Offshore Coastal Storm

Cooler and less humid conditions for most of the eastern third of the nation as high pressure dominates the weather pattern. Otherwise, rather tranquil weather for most of the nation for the end of the weekend into the start of this week. We continue to monitor a developing coastal storm offshore of the Carolinas; Coastal flooding and beach erosion possible along portions of the Mid-Atlantic. Read More >

Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens

Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20261018_1200
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.

925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date   Time        Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sun 10/18 12Z 0.36 3016  73  62  -2 0.00
Sun 10/18 13Z 0.36 3016  78  56  -1 0.00
Sun 10/18 14Z 0.34 3014  80  46  -1 0.00
Sun 10/18 15Z 0.35 2912  81  42   0 0.00
Sun 10/18 16Z 0.37 2911  77  40   0 0.00
Sun 10/18 17Z 0.36 2810  71  38   0 0.00
Sun 10/18 18Z 0.34 2609  63  37   1 0.00
Sun 10/18 19Z 0.35 2510  56  35   1 0.00
Sun 10/18 20Z 0.33 2511  50  31   2 0.00
Sun 10/18 21Z 0.32 2512  44  22   4 0.00
Sun 10/18 22Z 0.32 2513  39  14   5 0.00
Sun 10/18 23Z 0.30 2613  38  13   6 0.00
Mon 10/19 00Z 0.26 2713  36  15   7 0.00
Mon 10/19 01Z 0.22 2711  29  18   8 0.00
Mon 10/19 02Z 0.19 2709  24  20   9 0.00
Mon 10/19 03Z 0.18 2709  21  21   9 0.00
Mon 10/19 04Z 0.18 2608  20  22   9 0.00
Mon 10/19 05Z 0.18 2608  20  22   9 0.00
Mon 10/19 06Z 0.18 2508  21  22   9 0.00
Mon 10/19 07Z 0.20 2509  21  21   9 0.00
Mon 10/19 08Z 0.22 2610  21  21   9 0.00
Mon 10/19 09Z 0.23 2611  19  21  10 0.00
Mon 10/19 10Z 0.22 2611  19  21  10 0.00
Mon 10/19 11Z 0.22 2710  18  22  10 0.00
Mon 10/19 12Z 0.21 2710  17  23  10 0.00
Mon 10/19 13Z 0.20 2709  16  24   9 0.00
Mon 10/19 14Z 0.20 2709  13  25   9 0.00
Mon 10/19 15Z 0.20 2709  11  26   9 0.00
Mon 10/19 16Z 0.20 2809  10  27  10 0.00
Mon 10/19 17Z 0.19 2708  10  28  10 0.00
Mon 10/19 18Z 0.19 2808   9  28  10 0.00
Mon 10/19 19Z 0.19 2909   9  29  10 0.00
Mon 10/19 20Z 0.20 3010   8  30  10 0.00
Mon 10/19 21Z 0.19 3011   9  30  10 0.00
Mon 10/19 22Z 0.18 3111  10  29  10 0.00
Mon 10/19 23Z 0.15 3211  12  29  10 0.00
Tue 10/20 00Z 0.12 3210  15  26  10 0.00
Tue 10/20 01Z 0.10 3210  19  25  10 0.00
Tue 10/20 02Z 0.08 3311  22  22  10 0.00
Tue 10/20 03Z 0.05 3310  25  22  10 0.00
Tue 10/20 04Z 0.03 3411  27  17  10 0.00
Tue 10/20 05Z 0.03 3411  30  11  10 0.00
Tue 10/20 06Z 0.02 3412  35   9  10 0.00
Tue 10/20 07Z 0.02 3514  42   8  10 0.00
Tue 10/20 08Z 0.04 3516  47   9   9 0.00
Tue 10/20 09Z 0.08 0016  48  10   9 0.00
Tue 10/20 10Z 0.11 0117  46  16   9 0.00
Tue 10/20 11Z 0.14 0118  40  21   9 0.00
Tue 10/20 12Z 0.18 0120  31  22   9 0.00
Tue 10/20 13Z 0.22 0222  25  20   9 0.00
Tue 10/20 14Z 0.25 0222  23  14   8 0.00
Tue 10/20 15Z 0.25 0221  25  10   8 0.00
Tue 10/20 16Z 0.24 0219  30   6   7 0.00
Tue 10/20 17Z 0.21 0218  30   2   7 0.00
Tue 10/20 18Z 0.18 0217  28   2   7 0.00
Tue 10/20 19Z 0.17 0117  29   2   7 0.00
Tue 10/20 20Z 0.18 0217  30   3   7 0.00
Tue 10/20 21Z 0.21 0218  36   4   7 0.00
Tue 10/20 22Z 0.25 0219  42   5   6 0.00
Tue 10/20 23Z 0.27 0319  46   5   6 0.00

Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 0.00 inches.

Froude Number (Frd#): 
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
         Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
         W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
         Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
         Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
         W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
         Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
         Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
         With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
         Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
         W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
         Air flows freely over terrain.
         Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.

Relative Humidity (RH): 
         925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
         with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
         with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.

850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
        T > -11       10-15:1
        T -11 to -15  25-35:1
        T < -15       15-20:1