
An Extreme Cold Warning is in effect for northern New York and Vermont from Friday evening through Saturday morning. Dangerously cold wind chills of -20F to -40F are expected. In addition, a Winter Weather Advisory remains in effect for southern St Lawrence County through Friday. A lake effect band will produce 3 to 9 inches of snow in the Advisory area, mainly along and south of Route 3. Read More >
Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260122_1800
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Thu 01/22 18Z 2.22 2421 91 79 -9 0.00
Thu 01/22 19Z 4.57 2527 94 71 -9 0.00
Thu 01/22 20Z 15.42 2531 86 62 -10 0.00
Thu 01/22 21Z 13.48 2634 74 66 -11 0.01
Thu 01/22 22Z 4.33 2729 73 46 -12 0.00
Thu 01/22 23Z 3.45 2627 76 55 -13 0.00
Fri 01/23 00Z 2.03 2623 79 70 -13 0.00
Fri 01/23 01Z 1.71 2622 88 71 -13 0.01
Fri 01/23 02Z 1.26 2623 89 44 -13 0.01
Fri 01/23 03Z 1.74 2525 92 37 -14 0.01
Fri 01/23 04Z 1.97 2527 91 26 -14 0.01
Fri 01/23 05Z 2.51 2627 88 24 -15 0.01
Fri 01/23 06Z 3.05 2726 86 20 -16 0.00
Fri 01/23 07Z 2.00 2725 82 21 -17 0.01
Fri 01/23 08Z 1.51 2624 84 22 -18 0.01
Fri 01/23 09Z 1.68 2624 87 19 -18 0.01
Fri 01/23 10Z 1.50 2622 87 22 -18 0.01
Fri 01/23 11Z 1.36 2621 87 26 -18 0.00
Fri 01/23 12Z 1.20 2522 86 24 -18 0.00
Fri 01/23 13Z 1.14 2524 89 40 -18 0.00
Fri 01/23 14Z 1.47 2426 92 33 -18 0.00
Fri 01/23 15Z 6.38 2525 93 46 -18 0.01
Fri 01/23 16Z 12.69 2625 85 55 -19 0.01
Fri 01/23 17Z 13.09 2724 75 58 -19 0.01
Fri 01/23 18Z 12.05 2721 73 59 -19 0.01
Fri 01/23 19Z 10.34 2721 73 64 -19 0.01
Fri 01/23 20Z 10.23 2721 74 69 -20 0.01
Fri 01/23 21Z 9.56 2723 74 68 -20 0.01
Fri 01/23 22Z 6.80 2823 76 71 -21 0.01
Fri 01/23 23Z 4.37 2823 76 68 -21 0.01
Sat 01/24 00Z 5.88 2827 70 59 -22 0.01
Sat 01/24 01Z 8.87 2834 68 54 -24 0.00
Sat 01/24 02Z 9.52 2834 59 35 -25 0.00
Sat 01/24 03Z 7.72 2832 56 31 -26 0.00
Sat 01/24 04Z 3.99 2930 71 29 -26 0.00
Sat 01/24 05Z 2.00 3028 75 28 -27 0.00
Sat 01/24 06Z 2.45 3029 74 26 -27 0.00
Sat 01/24 07Z 1.22 3029 67 25 -28 0.00
Sat 01/24 08Z 0.94 3030 65 28 -28 0.00
Sat 01/24 09Z 0.56 3130 64 28 -27 0.00
Sat 01/24 10Z 0.42 3130 65 27 -26 0.00
Sat 01/24 11Z 0.36 3130 62 24 -25 0.00
Sat 01/24 12Z 0.32 3130 60 20 -25 0.00
Sat 01/24 13Z 0.30 3130 57 17 -24 0.00
Sat 01/24 14Z 0.28 3128 53 15 -23 0.00
Sat 01/24 15Z 0.28 3126 51 13 -23 0.00
Sat 01/24 16Z 0.29 3124 50 12 -23 0.00
Sat 01/24 17Z 0.31 3123 50 14 -24 0.00
Sat 01/24 18Z 0.34 3021 51 16 -24 0.00
Sat 01/24 19Z 0.39 3021 55 14 -24 0.00
Sat 01/24 20Z 0.45 2920 59 10 -24 0.00
Sat 01/24 21Z 0.46 2919 58 11 -24 0.00
Sat 01/24 22Z 0.44 3020 54 11 -23 0.00
Sat 01/24 23Z 0.37 3021 50 9 -22 0.00
Sun 01/25 00Z 0.29 3121 47 9 -21 0.00
Sun 01/25 01Z 0.23 3121 44 9 -20 0.00
Sun 01/25 02Z 0.21 3120 42 9 -20 0.00
Sun 01/25 04Z 0.20 3119 35 10 -19 0.00
Sun 01/25 05Z 0.18 3118 32 10 -18 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 0.20 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1