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Extreme Heat Watch in Effect from Wednesday through Friday for the Champlain valley and eastern Windsor county in Vermont

Significant heat is expected to build from Wednesday through Friday. Hot temperatures and high humidity will allow heat index values to reach into at least the mid 90s each afternoon from Wednesday through Friday in the Champlain Valley and eastern Windsor county in Vermont. Read More >

Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens

Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260630_1200
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.

925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date   Time        Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Tue 06/30 12Z 0.37 2311  56  52  15 0.00
Tue 06/30 13Z 0.42 2311  54  48  15 0.00
Tue 06/30 14Z 0.42 2211  54  47  15 0.00
Tue 06/30 15Z 0.47 2210  55  41  16 0.00
Tue 06/30 16Z 1.08 2208  55  42  16 0.00
Tue 06/30 17Z 1.91 2209  56  53  16 0.00
Tue 06/30 18Z 1.74 2109  58  59  16 0.00
Tue 06/30 19Z 1.87 2110  62  64  17 0.00
Tue 06/30 20Z 2.27 2214  79  81  16 0.00
Tue 06/30 21Z 0.42 2313  86  82  16 0.01
Tue 06/30 22Z 0.46 2515  78  85  17 0.00
Tue 06/30 23Z 0.60 2618  83  83  16 0.00
Wed 07/01 00Z 0.61 2718  84  80  16 0.00
Wed 07/01 01Z 0.70 2620  83  78  17 0.00
Wed 07/01 02Z 0.66 2620  86  67  17 0.00
Wed 07/01 03Z 0.65 2519  90  62  17 0.00
Wed 07/01 04Z 0.56 2418  95  63  17 0.01
Wed 07/01 05Z 0.58 2418  96  52  17 0.01
Wed 07/01 08Z 0.64 2620  96  40  17 0.02
Wed 07/01 10Z 0.67 2622  97  29  18 0.02
Wed 07/01 11Z 0.69 2623  95  32  18 0.02
Wed 07/01 12Z 0.66 2623  94  42  19 0.02
Wed 07/01 13Z 0.58 2620  95  51  18 0.04
Wed 07/01 14Z 0.48 2716  94  65  19 0.05
Wed 07/01 15Z 0.36 2712  93  71  19 0.06
Wed 07/01 16Z 0.42 2613  95  68  19 0.06
Wed 07/01 17Z 0.37 2612  87  70  19 0.09
Wed 07/01 18Z 0.40 2612  88  71  20 0.14
Wed 07/01 19Z 0.41 2512  87  72  19 0.05
Wed 07/01 20Z 0.33 2710  79  66  20 0.13
Wed 07/01 21Z 0.51 2615  74  68  20 0.08
Wed 07/01 22Z 0.53 2618  75  52  21 0.24
Wed 07/01 23Z 0.59 2620  74  44  21 0.40
Thu 07/02 00Z 0.61 2823  73  46  21 0.02
Thu 07/02 01Z 0.66 2626  84  51  20 0.08
Thu 07/02 02Z 0.68 2625  70  57  21 0.01
Thu 07/02 03Z 0.60 2724  77  58  21 0.00
Thu 07/02 04Z 0.57 2824  81  42  20 0.01
Thu 07/02 05Z 0.56 2822  85  28  19 0.00
Thu 07/02 06Z 0.49 2821  86  28  19 0.00
Thu 07/02 07Z 0.45 2920  88  36  19 0.00
Thu 07/02 08Z 0.38 3019  85  27  19 0.00
Thu 07/02 09Z 0.35 3019  81   6  20 0.00
Thu 07/02 10Z 0.31 3019  73   3  20 0.00
Thu 07/02 11Z 0.30 3018  63   8  20 0.00
Thu 07/02 12Z 0.33 2918  46   7  21 0.00
Thu 07/02 13Z 0.29 3016  37  18  21 0.01
Thu 07/02 14Z 0.31 2915  36  27  22 0.01
Thu 07/02 15Z 0.31 2813  37  33  22 0.00
Thu 07/02 16Z 0.34 2813  52  28  22 0.00
Thu 07/02 17Z 0.38 2713  67  25  21 0.00
Thu 07/02 18Z 0.47 2713  67  27  21 0.00
Thu 07/02 19Z 0.77 2416  85  33  20 0.00
Thu 07/02 20Z 0.89 2518  88  44  20 0.00
Thu 07/02 21Z 1.04 2521  86  50  20 0.00
Thu 07/02 22Z 1.08 2523  81  48  20 0.00
Thu 07/02 23Z 1.27 2524  80  60  20 0.09

Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 1.68 inches.

Froude Number (Frd#): 
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
         Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
         W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
         Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
         Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
         W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
         Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
         Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
         With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
         Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
         W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
         Air flows freely over terrain.
         Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.

Relative Humidity (RH): 
         925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
         with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
         with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.

850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
        T > -11       10-15:1
        T -11 to -15  25-35:1
        T < -15       15-20:1