Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20261003_1800
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sat 10/03 18Z 0.12 3308 91 8 4 0.00
Sat 10/03 19Z 0.06 3409 89 8 4 0.00
Sat 10/03 20Z 0.05 3507 86 8 4 0.00
Sat 10/03 21Z 0.07 0007 85 8 4 0.00
Sat 10/03 22Z 0.09 0106 84 8 4 0.00
Sat 10/03 23Z 0.11 0206 81 8 5 0.00
Sun 10/04 00Z 0.14 0306 77 8 5 0.00
Sun 10/04 01Z 0.15 0505 75 9 5 0.00
Sun 10/04 02Z 0.19 0806 74 9 5 0.00
Sun 10/04 03Z 0.18 1107 75 8 4 0.00
Sun 10/04 04Z 0.14 1307 76 8 4 0.00
Sun 10/04 05Z 0.11 1408 79 8 4 0.00
Sun 10/04 06Z 0.08 1510 84 7 4 0.00
Sun 10/04 07Z 0.06 1614 90 7 4 0.00
Sun 10/04 08Z 0.04 1715 92 8 4 0.00
Sun 10/04 09Z 0.05 1715 94 8 4 0.00
Sun 10/04 10Z 0.07 1715 96 8 4 0.00
Sun 10/04 11Z 0.08 1615 96 8 4 0.01
Sun 10/04 12Z 0.09 1618 95 6 4 0.01
Sun 10/04 13Z 0.10 1619 94 5 4 0.00
Sun 10/04 14Z 0.11 1619 93 5 4 0.00
Sun 10/04 15Z 0.12 1520 92 10 4 0.00
Sun 10/04 16Z 0.14 1520 91 28 4 0.00
Sun 10/04 17Z 0.16 1520 89 39 4 0.00
Sun 10/04 18Z 0.13 1520 83 64 5 0.00
Sun 10/04 19Z 0.09 1620 72 66 5 0.00
Sun 10/04 20Z 0.05 1619 67 82 6 0.00
Sun 10/04 21Z 0.04 1719 64 81 6 0.00
Sun 10/04 22Z 0.07 1721 65 54 6 0.00
Sun 10/04 23Z 0.10 1720 71 40 6 0.00
Mon 10/05 00Z 0.11 1818 79 23 6 0.00
Mon 10/05 01Z 0.18 1915 85 27 6 0.00
Mon 10/05 02Z 0.21 2013 90 48 7 0.00
Mon 10/05 03Z 0.25 2113 94 72 7 0.00
Mon 10/05 04Z 0.30 2313 95 72 7 0.00
Mon 10/05 05Z 0.36 2414 94 74 6 0.00
Mon 10/05 06Z 0.39 2515 91 81 7 0.01
Mon 10/05 07Z 0.43 2617 91 78 7 0.01
Mon 10/05 08Z 0.49 2618 93 65 6 0.01
Mon 10/05 09Z 0.56 2620 96 30 6 0.02
Mon 10/05 10Z 0.71 2724 96 43 5 0.03
Mon 10/05 11Z 0.74 2724 83 80 5 0.01
Mon 10/05 12Z 0.81 2725 74 55 4 0.01
Mon 10/05 13Z 0.88 2725 72 19 3 0.01
Mon 10/05 14Z 0.86 2825 67 24 2 0.01
Mon 10/05 15Z 1.20 2825 72 23 1 0.01
Mon 10/05 16Z 6.58 2825 66 25 1 0.00
Mon 10/05 17Z 15.18 2825 66 21 0 0.00
Mon 10/05 18Z 13.32 2827 75 52 0 0.00
Mon 10/05 19Z 9.45 2826 83 52 0 0.01
Mon 10/05 20Z 9.40 2926 82 51 -1 0.01
Mon 10/05 21Z 3.89 2924 86 46 -1 0.00
Mon 10/05 22Z 2.09 2926 90 44 -2 0.00
Mon 10/05 23Z 1.40 2927 91 47 -3 0.00
Tue 10/06 00Z 1.34 2928 93 51 -3 0.00
Tue 10/06 01Z 1.31 2929 93 58 -4 0.00
Tue 10/06 02Z 1.23 3030 93 56 -4 0.00
Tue 10/06 03Z 1.11 3033 92 36 -5 0.00
Tue 10/06 04Z 0.99 3034 88 24 -4 0.00
Tue 10/06 05Z 0.94 3034 79 15 -4 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 0.17 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1