Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260930_0000
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Wed 09/30 00Z 0.05 0008 96 76 9 0.00
Wed 09/30 01Z 0.05 0008 95 75 10 0.00
Wed 09/30 02Z 0.05 0007 95 70 10 0.00
Wed 09/30 03Z 0.06 0106 95 67 10 0.00
Wed 09/30 04Z 0.03 0005 95 64 10 0.00
Wed 09/30 05Z 0.01 3504 94 60 10 0.00
Wed 09/30 06Z 0.02 3403 93 55 10 0.00
Wed 09/30 07Z 0.04 3102 93 51 10 0.00
Wed 09/30 08Z 0.07 2903 93 45 10 0.00
Wed 09/30 09Z 0.09 3005 94 40 9 0.00
Wed 09/30 10Z 0.08 3005 92 37 9 0.00
Wed 09/30 11Z 0.07 3105 91 34 10 0.00
Wed 09/30 12Z 0.07 3104 91 32 10 0.00
Wed 09/30 13Z 0.07 3004 90 32 10 0.00
Wed 09/30 14Z 0.04 2702 87 31 11 0.00
Wed 09/30 15Z 0.06 2402 87 30 11 0.00
Wed 09/30 16Z 0.08 2304 86 32 11 0.00
Wed 09/30 17Z 0.11 2305 87 32 11 0.00
Wed 09/30 18Z 0.12 2405 86 25 11 0.00
Wed 09/30 19Z 0.14 2406 83 19 12 0.00
Wed 09/30 20Z 0.16 2507 78 19 12 0.00
Wed 09/30 21Z 0.16 2607 70 18 12 0.00
Wed 09/30 22Z 0.18 2607 66 16 12 0.00
Wed 09/30 23Z 0.25 2711 66 17 12 0.00
Thu 10/01 00Z 0.26 2811 74 17 12 0.00
Thu 10/01 01Z 0.29 2712 81 22 12 0.00
Thu 10/01 02Z 0.31 2713 77 28 12 0.00
Thu 10/01 03Z 0.35 2714 69 28 12 0.00
Thu 10/01 04Z 0.35 2714 68 19 12 0.00
Thu 10/01 05Z 0.34 2713 72 21 12 0.00
Thu 10/01 06Z 0.39 2714 75 39 12 0.00
Thu 10/01 07Z 0.41 2714 77 46 12 0.00
Thu 10/01 08Z 0.40 2614 79 62 12 0.00
Thu 10/01 09Z 0.54 2616 90 57 11 0.00
Thu 10/01 10Z 0.47 2515 83 56 11 0.00
Thu 10/01 11Z 0.46 2415 82 40 11 0.00
Thu 10/01 12Z 0.47 2416 81 54 11 0.00
Thu 10/01 13Z 0.52 2417 87 47 11 0.00
Thu 10/01 14Z 0.50 2317 85 59 11 0.00
Thu 10/01 15Z 0.59 2319 93 81 10 0.01
Thu 10/01 16Z 0.60 2319 92 89 10 0.01
Thu 10/01 17Z 0.66 2321 87 91 10 0.00
Thu 10/01 18Z 0.72 2323 90 97 11 0.00
Thu 10/01 19Z 0.67 2425 96 97 12 0.02
Thu 10/01 20Z 0.76 2429 96 96 12 0.07
Thu 10/01 21Z 0.78 2533 95 85 14 0.03
Thu 10/01 22Z 0.80 2533 93 87 14 0.01
Thu 10/01 23Z 0.79 2532 92 83 14 0.01
Fri 10/02 00Z 0.87 2434 92 62 14 0.01
Fri 10/02 01Z 0.97 2436 91 57 14 0.01
Fri 10/02 02Z 1.05 2438 86 71 14 0.02
Fri 10/02 03Z 1.09 2440 85 84 15 0.01
Fri 10/02 04Z 1.17 2441 85 91 14 0.01
Fri 10/02 05Z 1.30 2440 89 93 13 0.02
Fri 10/02 06Z 1.22 2537 92 93 13 0.02
Fri 10/02 07Z 1.11 2534 94 91 13 0.04
Fri 10/02 08Z 0.98 2531 96 96 13 0.07
Fri 10/02 09Z 0.83 2627 97 98 13 0.11
Fri 10/02 10Z 0.69 2622 98 97 13 0.13
Fri 10/02 11Z 0.52 2717 98 95 12 0.11
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 0.72 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1