National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Heat Advisories in Effect for Today and Friday

Significant heat is expected to build today and Friday. Hot temperatures and high humidity will allow heat index values to reach into the lower to mid 90s this afternoon and again Friday afternoon in the Champlain Valley and Connecticut River Valley. Heat index values elsewhere will be in the upper 80s to low 90s. Read More >

Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens

Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260611_1800
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.

925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date   Time        Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Thu 06/11 18Z 1.00 2905  87  55  17 0.00
Thu 06/11 19Z 1.38 2806  86  54  17 0.00
Thu 06/11 20Z 1.36 2608  86  57  17 0.00
Thu 06/11 21Z 0.71 2508  89  62  17 0.00
Thu 06/11 22Z 0.53 2609  91  66  17 0.08
Thu 06/11 23Z 0.47 2610  91  70  17 0.01
Fri 06/12 00Z 0.29 2709  78  77  18 0.03
Fri 06/12 01Z 0.25 2707  71  71  19 0.00
Fri 06/12 02Z 0.39 2610  74  73  18 0.00
Fri 06/12 03Z 0.51 2512  83  74  18 0.00
Fri 06/12 04Z 0.54 2414  88  69  18 0.00
Fri 06/12 05Z 0.38 2412  85  61  18 0.00
Fri 06/12 06Z 0.30 2410  79  58  19 0.00
Fri 06/12 07Z 0.25 2408  78  56  19 0.00
Fri 06/12 08Z 0.23 2507  81  66  18 0.00
Fri 06/12 09Z 0.19 2706  87  67  17 0.00
Fri 06/12 10Z 0.10 3004  88  76  17 0.00
Fri 06/12 11Z 0.05 0102  88  68  17 0.00
Fri 06/12 12Z 0.03 3401  92  72  17 0.00
Fri 06/12 13Z 0.04 2801  94  75  16 0.00
Fri 06/12 14Z 0.10 2602  95  75  16 0.00
Fri 06/12 15Z 0.12 2203  92  65  17 0.00
Fri 06/12 16Z 0.14 2103  88  55  17 0.01
Fri 06/12 17Z 0.51 2204  85  50  17 0.00
Fri 06/12 18Z 1.51 2306  81  53  18 0.00
Fri 06/12 19Z 2.18 2306  77  42  18 0.00
Fri 06/12 20Z 3.47 2409  79  35  18 0.00
Fri 06/12 21Z 2.02 2410  83  23  18 0.00
Fri 06/12 22Z 0.88 2313  85  44  18 0.00
Fri 06/12 23Z 0.76 2317  91  78  18 0.02
Sat 06/13 00Z 0.84 2520  89  60  17 0.02
Sat 06/13 01Z 0.73 2722  82  61  16 0.03
Sat 06/13 02Z 0.60 2824  56  50  17 0.01
Sat 06/13 03Z 0.52 2923  63  13  16 0.00
Sat 06/13 04Z 0.43 3023  61  10  15 0.00
Sat 06/13 05Z 0.39 3024  54  10  15 0.00
Sat 06/13 06Z 0.40 3025  53  10  14 0.00
Sat 06/13 07Z 0.39 3126  52   9  14 0.00
Sat 06/13 08Z 0.38 3126  53  11  13 0.00
Sat 06/13 09Z 0.36 3126  53  11  13 0.00
Sat 06/13 10Z 0.31 3126  56  12  13 0.00
Sat 06/13 11Z 0.27 3225  55  12  13 0.00
Sat 06/13 12Z 0.32 3224  60  16  12 0.00
Sat 06/13 13Z 0.36 3122  65  14  12 0.00
Sat 06/13 14Z 0.42 3118  64  13  12 0.00
Sat 06/13 15Z 0.49 3016  61  13  12 0.00
Sat 06/13 16Z 1.04 2913  66   9  12 0.00
Sat 06/13 17Z 3.99 2812  76   5  12 0.00
Sat 06/13 18Z 6.14 2713  79   6  12 0.00
Sat 06/13 19Z 7.17 2712  76  10  13 0.00
Sat 06/13 20Z 7.90 2713  73  13  13 0.00
Sat 06/13 21Z 6.39 2711  68  17  13 0.00
Sat 06/13 22Z 3.95 2611  66  14  14 0.00
Sat 06/13 23Z 1.47 2511  65  17  14 0.00
Sun 06/14 00Z 1.38 2515  64  38  14 0.00
Sun 06/14 01Z 1.05 2518  63  50  14 0.00
Sun 06/14 02Z 0.89 2519  63  43  14 0.00
Sun 06/14 03Z 0.69 2518  60  43  15 0.00
Sun 06/14 04Z 0.54 2517  53  42  15 0.00
Sun 06/14 05Z 0.60 2519  44  37  15 0.00

Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 0.21 inches.

Froude Number (Frd#): 
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
         Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
         W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
         Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
         Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
         W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
         Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
         Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
         With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
         Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
         W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
         Air flows freely over terrain.
         Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.

Relative Humidity (RH): 
         925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
         with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
         with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.

850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
        T > -11       10-15:1
        T -11 to -15  25-35:1
        T < -15       15-20:1