Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20251008_1800 Using the MB925 to MB850 layer. Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds. 925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens. Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in) === ===== === ==== ==== === === === ==== Wed 10/08 18Z 0.14 3417 86 40 3 0.00 Wed 10/08 19Z 0.50 3518 81 18 3 0.00 Wed 10/08 20Z 0.47 3515 76 37 2 0.00 Wed 10/08 21Z 0.42 3414 77 47 2 0.00 Wed 10/08 22Z 0.30 3319 83 59 2 0.01 Wed 10/08 23Z 0.14 3422 85 63 1 0.00 Thu 10/09 00Z 0.10 3521 87 43 1 0.00 Thu 10/09 01Z 0.12 3521 90 25 0 0.00 Thu 10/09 02Z 0.17 3521 91 10 0 0.00 Thu 10/09 03Z 0.08 3521 90 2 -1 0.00 Thu 10/09 04Z 0.04 3521 83 2 -2 0.00 Thu 10/09 05Z 0.05 3421 82 6 -2 0.00 Thu 10/09 06Z 0.06 3422 82 11 -3 0.00 Thu 10/09 07Z 0.08 3423 78 8 -3 0.00 Thu 10/09 08Z 0.07 3425 75 5 -4 0.00 Thu 10/09 09Z 0.05 3425 76 5 -4 0.00 Thu 10/09 10Z 0.06 3425 79 6 -5 0.00 Thu 10/09 11Z 0.10 3424 79 7 -5 0.00 Thu 10/09 12Z 0.10 3423 78 7 -5 0.00 Thu 10/09 13Z 0.07 3421 77 7 -5 0.00 Thu 10/09 14Z 0.06 3419 76 7 -5 0.00 Thu 10/09 15Z 0.10 3417 75 6 -5 0.00 Thu 10/09 16Z 0.13 3416 71 5 -4 0.00 Thu 10/09 17Z 0.12 3415 66 4 -4 0.00 Thu 10/09 18Z 0.11 3415 62 3 -3 0.00 Thu 10/09 19Z 0.09 3414 58 3 -3 0.00 Thu 10/09 20Z 0.04 3514 53 4 -2 0.00 Thu 10/09 21Z 0.02 3414 47 4 -2 0.00 Thu 10/09 22Z 0.03 3514 39 4 -1 0.00 Thu 10/09 23Z 0.03 3515 33 4 0 0.00 Fri 10/10 00Z 0.03 3514 30 6 0 0.00 Fri 10/10 01Z 0.04 3513 28 7 0 0.00 Fri 10/10 02Z 0.05 0010 27 7 0 0.00 Fri 10/10 03Z 0.04 0007 26 7 0 0.00 Fri 10/10 04Z 0.03 3505 24 8 1 0.00 Fri 10/10 05Z 0.02 3404 23 9 1 0.00 Fri 10/10 06Z 0.03 3303 22 9 1 0.00 Fri 10/10 07Z 0.06 2903 21 8 2 0.00 Fri 10/10 08Z 0.10 2704 20 8 2 0.00 Fri 10/10 09Z 0.13 2605 19 8 2 0.00 Fri 10/10 10Z 0.14 2606 18 8 2 0.00 Fri 10/10 11Z 0.16 2507 19 8 3 0.00 Fri 10/10 12Z 0.17 2508 21 7 3 0.00 Fri 10/10 13Z 0.18 2508 22 7 3 0.00 Fri 10/10 14Z 0.17 2408 22 7 3 0.00 Fri 10/10 15Z 0.18 2309 23 7 4 0.00 Fri 10/10 16Z 0.19 2209 23 6 4 0.00 Fri 10/10 17Z 0.22 2210 22 5 4 0.00 Fri 10/10 18Z 0.24 2211 21 5 4 0.00 Fri 10/10 19Z 0.28 2113 20 5 4 0.00 Fri 10/10 20Z 0.31 2114 18 5 5 0.00 Fri 10/10 21Z 0.32 2115 16 5 5 0.00 Fri 10/10 22Z 0.35 2218 15 6 6 0.00 Fri 10/10 23Z 0.39 2220 15 6 6 0.00 Sat 10/11 00Z 0.42 2321 18 6 6 0.00 Sat 10/11 01Z 0.42 2322 21 6 7 0.00 Sat 10/11 02Z 0.45 2323 25 5 7 0.00 Sat 10/11 03Z 0.47 2424 30 5 7 0.00 Sat 10/11 04Z 0.44 2423 30 6 7 0.00 Sat 10/11 05Z 0.43 2422 35 6 7 0.00 Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 0.01 inches. Froude Number (Frd#): Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked. Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest. W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes. Gap winds possible. Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked. Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest. W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including: Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln. Gap winds possible. Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical. With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible. Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side. W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom. Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow). Air flows freely over terrain. Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries. Relative Humidity (RH): 925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation. with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow. with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible. 850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1) T > -11 10-15:1 T -11 to -15 25-35:1 T < -15 15-20:1