Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20261002_0600
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Fri 10/02 06Z 0.87 2431 96 98 14 0.00
Fri 10/02 07Z 0.89 2434 93 92 15 0.02
Fri 10/02 08Z 0.93 2436 95 91 15 0.03
Fri 10/02 09Z 0.91 2535 94 80 15 0.01
Fri 10/02 10Z 0.93 2534 96 92 15 0.05
Fri 10/02 11Z 0.83 2530 95 88 14 0.03
Fri 10/02 12Z 0.92 2433 96 92 14 0.06
Fri 10/02 13Z 0.89 2531 95 91 14 0.12
Fri 10/02 14Z 0.80 2526 97 96 14 0.10
Fri 10/02 15Z 0.76 2523 98 97 13 0.09
Fri 10/02 16Z 0.68 2720 98 95 12 0.07
Fri 10/02 17Z 0.60 2919 98 95 12 0.09
Fri 10/02 18Z 0.47 3016 98 89 11 0.05
Fri 10/02 19Z 0.44 3018 98 87 11 0.04
Fri 10/02 20Z 0.44 3017 95 72 10 0.01
Fri 10/02 21Z 0.47 3017 88 62 10 0.01
Fri 10/02 22Z 0.59 3020 92 39 9 0.01
Fri 10/02 23Z 0.46 3121 93 17 8 0.02
Sat 10/03 00Z 0.35 3223 91 25 8 0.01
Sat 10/03 01Z 0.18 3323 81 7 7 0.01
Sat 10/03 02Z 0.18 3323 76 2 7 0.00
Sat 10/03 03Z 0.20 3324 76 1 6 0.00
Sat 10/03 04Z 0.25 3325 72 1 5 0.00
Sat 10/03 05Z 0.20 3324 74 1 5 0.00
Sat 10/03 06Z 0.19 3323 78 1 4 0.00
Sat 10/03 07Z 0.20 3322 76 2 4 0.00
Sat 10/03 08Z 0.17 3322 67 3 4 0.00
Sat 10/03 09Z 0.13 3321 60 2 4 0.00
Sat 10/03 10Z 0.09 3321 60 1 4 0.00
Sat 10/03 11Z 0.06 3421 62 0 4 0.00
Sat 10/03 12Z 0.02 3420 61 0 4 0.00
Sat 10/03 13Z 0.02 3419 58 0 4 0.00
Sat 10/03 14Z 0.02 3417 58 2 4 0.00
Sat 10/03 15Z 0.05 3415 59 2 4 0.00
Sat 10/03 16Z 0.05 3413 61 3 3 0.00
Sat 10/03 17Z 0.06 3411 63 3 3 0.00
Sat 10/03 18Z 0.10 3409 65 3 3 0.00
Sat 10/03 19Z 0.13 3408 66 4 3 0.00
Sat 10/03 20Z 0.13 3307 64 4 3 0.00
Sat 10/03 21Z 0.04 3408 60 5 3 0.00
Sat 10/03 22Z 0.03 3508 56 5 3 0.00
Sat 10/03 23Z 0.04 3508 51 5 4 0.00
Sun 10/04 00Z 0.06 0007 44 5 4 0.00
Sun 10/04 01Z 0.06 0104 40 4 4 0.00
Sun 10/04 02Z 0.08 0403 37 4 4 0.00
Sun 10/04 03Z 0.10 0903 35 3 5 0.00
Sun 10/04 04Z 0.09 1204 34 3 5 0.00
Sun 10/04 05Z 0.07 1406 35 4 5 0.00
Sun 10/04 06Z 0.04 1508 36 4 5 0.00
Sun 10/04 07Z 0.04 1610 41 4 5 0.00
Sun 10/04 08Z 0.04 1613 46 4 5 0.00
Sun 10/04 09Z 0.05 1715 53 4 4 0.00
Sun 10/04 10Z 0.13 1815 61 4 3 0.00
Sun 10/04 11Z 0.15 1815 68 3 3 0.00
Sun 10/04 12Z 0.11 1816 71 3 3 0.00
Sun 10/04 13Z 0.10 1817 71 3 3 0.00
Sun 10/04 14Z 0.11 1817 73 3 3 0.00
Sun 10/04 15Z 0.15 1816 77 3 3 0.00
Sun 10/04 16Z 0.14 1714 77 2 3 0.00
Sun 10/04 17Z 0.19 1715 77 0 3 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 0.83 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1