Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20261011_1800
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sun 10/11 18Z 0.17 2013 69 92 9 0.00
Sun 10/11 19Z 0.17 2014 67 95 9 0.00
Sun 10/11 20Z 0.13 1917 58 96 9 0.00
Sun 10/11 21Z 0.13 1818 62 90 8 0.00
Sun 10/11 22Z 0.13 1818 76 92 8 0.00
Sun 10/11 23Z 0.16 1919 87 97 8 0.00
Mon 10/12 00Z 0.17 1821 94 96 7 0.01
Mon 10/12 01Z 0.17 1918 96 94 8 0.02
Mon 10/12 02Z 0.16 2013 97 96 9 0.04
Mon 10/12 03Z 0.14 2108 98 98 9 0.06
Mon 10/12 04Z 0.14 2606 97 93 9 0.06
Mon 10/12 05Z 0.11 2705 97 87 9 0.04
Mon 10/12 06Z 0.08 2804 97 86 9 0.03
Mon 10/12 07Z 0.08 3105 98 85 9 0.04
Mon 10/12 08Z 0.06 3308 97 81 9 0.03
Mon 10/12 09Z 0.04 3410 96 81 9 0.01
Mon 10/12 10Z 0.06 3312 98 82 9 0.00
Mon 10/12 11Z 0.06 3314 97 76 9 0.00
Mon 10/12 12Z 0.05 3415 93 56 10 0.00
Mon 10/12 13Z 0.05 3416 85 35 11 0.00
Mon 10/12 14Z 0.05 3416 75 25 12 0.00
Mon 10/12 15Z 0.06 3316 66 24 12 0.00
Mon 10/12 16Z 0.09 3315 64 32 13 0.00
Mon 10/12 17Z 0.14 3215 68 56 13 0.00
Mon 10/12 18Z 0.18 3115 71 65 13 0.00
Mon 10/12 19Z 0.24 3117 75 64 12 0.00
Mon 10/12 20Z 0.30 3017 82 66 11 0.00
Mon 10/12 21Z 0.33 3018 88 67 10 0.00
Mon 10/12 22Z 0.29 3117 89 69 10 0.00
Mon 10/12 23Z 0.27 3117 94 81 9 0.00
Tue 10/13 00Z 0.24 3116 95 84 9 0.01
Tue 10/13 01Z 0.17 3112 95 82 9 0.00
Tue 10/13 02Z 0.12 3210 97 92 8 0.01
Tue 10/13 03Z 0.09 3207 98 96 8 0.01
Tue 10/13 04Z 0.08 3205 98 98 7 0.01
Tue 10/13 05Z 0.04 3102 98 92 8 0.01
Tue 10/13 06Z 0.03 1602 98 99 7 0.00
Tue 10/13 07Z 0.08 1507 99 98 7 0.06
Tue 10/13 08Z 0.06 1611 99 96 7 0.05
Tue 10/13 09Z 0.07 1615 99 96 6 0.04
Tue 10/13 10Z 0.06 1618 97 98 7 0.03
Tue 10/13 11Z 0.04 1718 96 98 7 0.02
Tue 10/13 12Z 0.06 1719 97 95 8 0.04
Tue 10/13 13Z 0.09 1821 97 95 8 0.04
Tue 10/13 14Z 0.12 1822 97 91 8 0.03
Tue 10/13 15Z 0.15 1826 98 93 9 0.02
Tue 10/13 16Z 0.18 1927 98 87 10 0.02
Tue 10/13 17Z 0.21 1928 98 76 11 0.02
Tue 10/13 18Z 0.24 1929 97 42 12 0.02
Tue 10/13 19Z 0.27 2030 96 92 12 0.02
Tue 10/13 20Z 0.33 2032 88 75 13 0.01
Tue 10/13 21Z 0.43 2134 90 73 13 0.00
Tue 10/13 22Z 0.51 2235 91 84 14 0.00
Tue 10/13 23Z 0.58 2236 94 67 14 0.00
Wed 10/14 00Z 0.68 2337 96 58 13 0.02
Wed 10/14 01Z 0.75 2436 98 58 13 0.04
Wed 10/14 02Z 0.80 2436 98 45 13 0.04
Wed 10/14 03Z 0.83 2435 97 52 13 0.03
Wed 10/14 04Z 0.89 2536 97 51 13 0.04
Wed 10/14 05Z 0.95 2537 97 51 13 0.03
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 1.01 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1