Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260407_0000
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Tue 04/07 00Z 1.25 2917 76 60 -8 0.00
Tue 04/07 01Z 1.58 2918 73 59 -8 0.00
Tue 04/07 02Z 1.34 2917 73 60 -8 0.00
Tue 04/07 03Z 1.03 2914 74 57 -8 0.00
Tue 04/07 04Z 0.80 2812 74 55 -8 0.00
Tue 04/07 05Z 0.64 2809 73 54 -8 0.00
Tue 04/07 06Z 0.56 2609 73 55 -8 0.00
Tue 04/07 07Z 0.53 2409 71 70 -8 0.00
Tue 04/07 08Z 0.46 2310 67 81 -7 0.00
Tue 04/07 09Z 0.46 2209 68 88 -7 0.00
Tue 04/07 10Z 0.35 2109 78 89 -7 0.00
Tue 04/07 11Z 0.22 2011 88 90 -7 0.00
Tue 04/07 12Z 0.21 1912 94 89 -7 0.01
Tue 04/07 13Z 0.21 2012 97 87 -6 0.02
Tue 04/07 14Z 0.22 2011 98 88 -6 0.02
Tue 04/07 15Z 0.28 2109 98 89 -6 0.02
Tue 04/07 16Z 0.32 2308 98 88 -6 0.03
Tue 04/07 17Z 0.42 2610 97 86 -6 0.04
Tue 04/07 18Z 0.36 2812 95 85 -7 0.02
Tue 04/07 19Z 0.26 3119 94 61 -8 0.02
Tue 04/07 20Z 0.21 3325 92 66 -9 0.01
Tue 04/07 21Z 0.30 3329 84 75 -10 0.01
Tue 04/07 22Z 0.47 3227 81 62 -11 0.00
Tue 04/07 23Z 0.69 3227 85 29 -12 0.00
Wed 04/08 00Z 0.87 3127 84 15 -13 0.00
Wed 04/08 01Z 1.40 3227 70 20 -13 0.00
Wed 04/08 02Z 0.78 3227 55 23 -13 0.00
Wed 04/08 03Z 0.59 3227 50 22 -13 0.00
Wed 04/08 04Z 0.44 3225 47 21 -13 0.00
Wed 04/08 05Z 0.34 3223 44 20 -13 0.00
Wed 04/08 06Z 0.27 3221 45 21 -13 0.00
Wed 04/08 07Z 0.25 3220 45 19 -12 0.00
Wed 04/08 08Z 0.26 3220 45 18 -12 0.00
Wed 04/08 09Z 0.24 3219 45 17 -12 0.00
Wed 04/08 10Z 0.22 3117 43 17 -11 0.00
Wed 04/08 11Z 0.22 3116 41 16 -10 0.00
Wed 04/08 12Z 0.20 3114 38 14 -10 0.00
Wed 04/08 13Z 0.19 3013 36 11 -9 0.00
Wed 04/08 14Z 0.18 3010 33 8 -8 0.00
Wed 04/08 15Z 0.18 2908 31 6 -7 0.00
Wed 04/08 16Z 0.19 2908 27 4 -7 0.00
Wed 04/08 17Z 0.20 2806 24 3 -6 0.00
Wed 04/08 18Z 0.25 2606 22 3 -5 0.00
Wed 04/08 19Z 0.33 2405 21 4 -5 0.00
Wed 04/08 20Z 0.43 2306 21 6 -4 0.00
Wed 04/08 21Z 0.36 2207 21 8 -4 0.00
Wed 04/08 22Z 0.32 2110 21 11 -3 0.00
Wed 04/08 23Z 0.38 2213 21 12 -3 0.00
Thu 04/09 00Z 0.43 2216 19 12 -2 0.00
Thu 04/09 01Z 0.43 2218 19 12 -1 0.00
Thu 04/09 02Z 0.41 2220 22 10 0 0.00
Thu 04/09 03Z 0.40 2222 23 10 0 0.00
Thu 04/09 04Z 0.40 2223 27 10 1 0.00
Thu 04/09 05Z 0.40 2224 22 8 2 0.00
Thu 04/09 06Z 0.40 2225 17 8 2 0.00
Thu 04/09 07Z 0.42 2226 15 8 2 0.00
Thu 04/09 08Z 0.45 2227 12 8 2 0.00
Thu 04/09 09Z 0.48 2229 10 9 2 0.00
Thu 04/09 10Z 0.50 2231 9 11 2 0.00
Thu 04/09 11Z 0.52 2233 8 17 3 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 0.20 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1