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Nor'easter Bringing Dangerous Coastal Conditions to the Mid-Atlantic; Pacific Storm Impacting the Southwest U.S.

A Nor'easter well off the East Coast will slowly track north this week and may gain some subtropical characteristics. Strong onshore winds will bring flooding, dangerous marine conditions, and beach erosion along the Mid-Atlantic coast. A Pacific storm is bringing gusty winds, severe thunderstorms, and mountain snow to portions of California and the Southwest U.S. through Thursday. Read More >

Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens

Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20261021_1200
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.

925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date   Time        Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Wed 10/21 12Z 0.06 0603  51   2   5 0.00
Wed 10/21 13Z 0.07 0404  48   2   6 0.00
Wed 10/21 14Z 0.07 0305  46   2   6 0.00
Wed 10/21 15Z 0.09 0306  46   2   7 0.00
Wed 10/21 16Z 0.12 0406  48   2   6 0.00
Wed 10/21 17Z 0.14 0506  48   2   6 0.00
Wed 10/21 18Z 0.16 0806  49   2   6 0.00
Wed 10/21 19Z 0.14 0805  46   2   7 0.00
Wed 10/21 20Z 0.11 0704  45   2   7 0.00
Wed 10/21 21Z 0.10 0604  43   2   7 0.00
Wed 10/21 22Z 0.10 0604  38   2   7 0.00
Wed 10/21 23Z 0.10 0704  35   2   7 0.00
Thu 10/22 00Z 0.09 0604  35   2   7 0.00
Thu 10/22 01Z 0.06 0303  35   2   7 0.00
Thu 10/22 02Z 0.04 0006  34   2   8 0.00
Thu 10/22 03Z 0.03 3509  34   2   8 0.00
Thu 10/22 04Z 0.07 0011  33   2   8 0.00
Thu 10/22 05Z 0.10 0112  31   2   8 0.00
Thu 10/22 06Z 0.13 0213  30   3   8 0.00
Thu 10/22 07Z 0.15 0214  28   3   7 0.00
Thu 10/22 08Z 0.14 0115  26   5   7 0.00
Thu 10/22 09Z 0.14 0117  23  10   7 0.00
Thu 10/22 10Z 0.14 0020  23  14   7 0.00
Thu 10/22 11Z 0.16 0122  22  17   7 0.00
Thu 10/22 12Z 0.16 0123  19  19   7 0.00
Thu 10/22 13Z 0.16 0023  21  21   7 0.00
Thu 10/22 14Z 0.14 0022  30  19   7 0.00
Thu 10/22 15Z 0.12 0021  44  17   6 0.00
Thu 10/22 16Z 0.10 0022  60  16   5 0.00
Thu 10/22 17Z 0.09 3522  73  15   4 0.00
Thu 10/22 18Z 0.11 3523  81  23   4 0.00
Thu 10/22 19Z 0.11 3524  86  34   3 0.00
Thu 10/22 20Z 0.08 3526  89  34   2 0.00
Thu 10/22 21Z 0.07 3527  85  26   2 0.00
Thu 10/22 22Z 0.11 3528  71  20   2 0.00
Thu 10/22 23Z 0.14 0030  60  26   2 0.00
Fri 10/23 00Z 0.16 0029  56  34   2 0.00
Fri 10/23 01Z 0.20 0028  55  38   1 0.00
Fri 10/23 02Z 0.27 0127  58  23   0 0.00
Fri 10/23 03Z 0.33 0128  48  14   0 0.00
Fri 10/23 04Z 0.39 0228  45   7   0 0.00
Fri 10/23 05Z 0.37 0227  44   3   0 0.00
Fri 10/23 06Z 0.33 0126  46   1  -1 0.00
Fri 10/23 07Z 0.30 0125  48   3  -1 0.00
Fri 10/23 08Z 0.26 0125  48   2  -1 0.00
Fri 10/23 09Z 0.26 0126  41   2   0 0.00
Fri 10/23 10Z 0.29 0226  37   2   0 0.00
Fri 10/23 11Z 0.30 0226  42   1   0 0.00
Fri 10/23 12Z 0.31 0225  39   2   0 0.00
Fri 10/23 13Z 0.32 0224  37   4   0 0.00
Fri 10/23 14Z 0.30 0322  36   4   0 0.00
Fri 10/23 15Z 0.28 0320  35   3   0 0.00
Fri 10/23 16Z 0.26 0318  34   2   0 0.00
Fri 10/23 17Z 0.24 0316  33   2   0 0.00
Fri 10/23 18Z 0.21 0214  31   1   1 0.00
Fri 10/23 19Z 0.18 0213  26   2   2 0.00
Fri 10/23 20Z 0.17 0213  22   2   3 0.00
Fri 10/23 21Z 0.16 0213  18   2   4 0.00
Fri 10/23 22Z 0.15 0212  16   2   4 0.00
Fri 10/23 23Z 0.14 0311  15   2   4 0.00

Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 0.00 inches.

Froude Number (Frd#): 
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
         Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
         W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
         Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
         Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
         W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
         Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
         Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
         With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
         Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
         W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
         Air flows freely over terrain.
         Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.

Relative Humidity (RH): 
         925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
         with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
         with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.

850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
        T > -11       10-15:1
        T -11 to -15  25-35:1
        T < -15       15-20:1