National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Significant Heat on Sunday Afternoon

Heat and humidity will gradually build over the weekend and peak on Sunday. The warmest temperatures and highest heat index values of 95-98 F will occur on Sunday between 1 PM and 5 PM across the Champlain Valley and eastern Windsor County in Vermont. Stay hydrated, take breaks in air-conditioned rooms if possible, seek shade often, and check up on relatives and neighbors. Read More >

Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens

Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20250602_0600
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.

925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date   Time        Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Mon 06/02 06Z 0.72 2617  95  45   0 0.00
Mon 06/02 07Z 0.70 2619  94  59   1 0.01
Mon 06/02 08Z 0.69 2720  96  71   1 0.02
Mon 06/02 09Z 0.65 2820  96  88   0 0.02
Mon 06/02 10Z 0.58 2918  94  92   0 0.01
Mon 06/02 11Z 0.50 2917  91  91   1 0.00
Mon 06/02 12Z 0.55 2918  91  77   1 0.00
Mon 06/02 13Z 0.62 2818  90  46   2 0.00
Mon 06/02 14Z 0.66 2818  83  18   2 0.00
Mon 06/02 15Z 1.07 2717  85   5   3 0.00
Mon 06/02 16Z 8.01 2616  84   1   3 0.00
Mon 06/02 17Z 9.94 2716  77   5   3 0.00
Mon 06/02 18Z 8.33 2715  74  10   4 0.00
Mon 06/02 19Z 8.36 2714  71  11   4 0.00
Mon 06/02 20Z 7.35 2713  71  10   4 0.00
Mon 06/02 21Z 5.62 2612  72  11   5 0.00
Mon 06/02 22Z 2.13 2611  72  16   5 0.00
Mon 06/02 23Z 0.94 2612  71  27   5 0.00
Tue 06/03 00Z 0.78 2713  68  22   5 0.00
Tue 06/03 01Z 0.82 2915  62  24   5 0.00
Tue 06/03 02Z 0.94 3015  62  24   5 0.00
Tue 06/03 03Z 0.87 3014  61  21   5 0.00
Tue 06/03 04Z 0.73 3013  60  18   5 0.00
Tue 06/03 05Z 0.54 3011  55  16   5 0.00
Tue 06/03 06Z 0.54 2910  53  13   5 0.00
Tue 06/03 07Z 0.52 2909  53  12   5 0.00
Tue 06/03 08Z 0.38 3008  52  10   6 0.00
Tue 06/03 09Z 0.27 3007  51   9   6 0.00
Tue 06/03 10Z 0.25 3007  49   9   6 0.00
Tue 06/03 11Z 0.16 3105  46  10   6 0.00
Tue 06/03 12Z 0.16 3104  45  11   6 0.00
Tue 06/03 13Z 0.30 2704  47   8   6 0.00
Tue 06/03 14Z 0.72 2605  51   4   7 0.00
Tue 06/03 15Z 1.44 2505  51   4   7 0.00
Tue 06/03 16Z 2.87 2506  50   6   7 0.00
Tue 06/03 17Z 3.36 2606  48  20   8 0.00
Tue 06/03 18Z 2.72 2606  45  46   9 0.00
Tue 06/03 19Z 1.93 2507  47  72   9 0.00
Tue 06/03 20Z 1.11 2607  52  88   9 0.00
Tue 06/03 21Z 0.46 2606  55  83  10 0.00
Tue 06/03 22Z 0.36 2506  59  71  10 0.00
Tue 06/03 23Z 0.30 2407  62  57  11 0.00
Wed 06/04 00Z 0.24 2307  64  44  12 0.00
Wed 06/04 01Z 0.25 2307  64  39  12 0.00
Wed 06/04 02Z 0.29 2309  63  37  12 0.00
Wed 06/04 03Z 0.30 2310  63  31  13 0.00
Wed 06/04 04Z 0.29 2310  62  30  13 0.00
Wed 06/04 05Z 0.26 2310  60  28  13 0.00
Wed 06/04 06Z 0.28 2310  59  24  13 0.00
Wed 06/04 07Z 0.31 2311  58  18  14 0.00
Wed 06/04 08Z 0.35 2312  58  17  14 0.00
Wed 06/04 09Z 0.42 2414  60  15  13 0.00
Wed 06/04 10Z 0.47 2415  58  17  13 0.00
Wed 06/04 11Z 0.53 2416  59  17  13 0.00
Wed 06/04 12Z 0.54 2416  60  17  13 0.00
Wed 06/04 13Z 0.47 2414  58  16  13 0.00
Wed 06/04 14Z 0.42 2312  56  15  14 0.00
Wed 06/04 15Z 0.38 2111  56  12  14 0.00
Wed 06/04 16Z 0.50 1910  58  14  14 0.00
Wed 06/04 17Z 0.73 1811  59  14  14 0.00

Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 0.06 inches.

Froude Number (Frd#): 
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
         Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
         W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
         Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
         Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
         W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
         Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
         Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
         With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
         Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
         W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
         Air flows freely over terrain.
         Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.

Relative Humidity (RH): 
         925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
         with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
         with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.

850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
        T > -11       10-15:1
        T -11 to -15  25-35:1
        T < -15       15-20:1