
Areas of light freezing rain and patchy freezing drizzle are expected tonight across portions of north central and northeastern Vermont. Up to a tenth of an inch of ice accumulation is possible which may lead to slick travel. Precipitation will change to areas of light rain or rain showers after 700 am Saturday as temperatures climb above freezing. Read More >
Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260306_1800
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Fri 03/06 18Z 0.05 1511 93 63 -1 0.00
Fri 03/06 19Z 0.05 1512 92 61 -1 0.00
Fri 03/06 20Z 0.03 1613 90 58 0 0.00
Fri 03/06 21Z 0.02 1714 90 49 0 0.00
Fri 03/06 22Z 0.03 1716 90 28 0 0.00
Fri 03/06 23Z 0.08 1819 93 11 0 0.00
Sat 03/07 00Z 0.13 1821 94 11 0 0.00
Sat 03/07 01Z 0.19 1923 96 17 0 0.00
Sat 03/07 02Z 0.23 1926 97 38 0 0.01
Sat 03/07 03Z 0.24 1928 96 53 1 0.01
Sat 03/07 04Z 0.25 1927 96 59 2 0.01
Sat 03/07 05Z 0.25 2027 97 31 3 0.01
Sat 03/07 06Z 0.28 2027 97 23 3 0.01
Sat 03/07 07Z 0.28 2027 96 23 4 0.01
Sat 03/07 08Z 0.28 2028 95 62 5 0.00
Sat 03/07 09Z 0.31 2030 96 93 5 0.01
Sat 03/07 10Z 0.36 2133 96 90 7 0.01
Sat 03/07 11Z 0.39 2134 97 83 8 0.02
Sat 03/07 12Z 0.45 2236 97 68 9 0.02
Sat 03/07 13Z 0.52 2337 97 79 9 0.04
Sat 03/07 14Z 0.57 2338 98 67 10 0.03
Sat 03/07 15Z 0.56 2436 97 71 10 0.03
Sat 03/07 16Z 0.53 2333 96 61 10 0.03
Sat 03/07 17Z 0.56 2434 97 69 10 0.03
Sat 03/07 18Z 0.60 2435 95 79 10 0.04
Sat 03/07 19Z 0.59 2334 93 66 11 0.02
Sat 03/07 20Z 0.62 2335 96 62 11 0.01
Sat 03/07 21Z 0.63 2337 95 67 11 0.01
Sat 03/07 22Z 0.63 2338 95 66 12 0.01
Sat 03/07 23Z 0.66 2340 91 56 12 0.01
Sun 03/08 00Z 0.71 2342 94 45 12 0.01
Sun 03/08 01Z 0.75 2443 91 59 12 0.01
Sun 03/08 02Z 0.78 2445 90 80 12 0.01
Sun 03/08 03Z 0.84 2446 93 75 11 0.01
Sun 03/08 04Z 0.87 2444 96 88 10 0.03
Sun 03/08 05Z 0.89 2443 96 93 10 0.08
Sun 03/08 06Z 0.88 2542 95 83 10 0.04
Sun 03/08 07Z 0.86 2539 96 54 9 0.02
Sun 03/08 08Z 0.82 2537 94 52 9 0.02
Sun 03/08 09Z 0.82 2536 95 43 8 0.02
Sun 03/08 11Z 0.82 2533 93 14 7 0.02
Sun 03/08 12Z 0.97 2534 95 8 5 0.02
Sun 03/08 13Z 1.10 2534 94 10 4 0.02
Sun 03/08 14Z 1.24 2536 95 15 3 0.01
Sun 03/08 15Z 1.39 2636 95 45 1 0.02
Sun 03/08 16Z 1.24 2730 94 43 0 0.02
Sun 03/08 17Z 1.08 2730 93 4 0 0.02
Sun 03/08 18Z 1.20 2730 95 1 -1 0.01
Sun 03/08 19Z 1.31 2726 95 3 -1 0.00
Sun 03/08 20Z 1.27 2726 93 2 -2 0.00
Sun 03/08 21Z 0.98 2628 85 6 -1 0.00
Sun 03/08 22Z 0.76 2629 72 13 0 0.00
Sun 03/08 23Z 0.72 2632 62 45 0 0.00
Mon 03/09 00Z 0.73 2635 56 63 1 0.00
Mon 03/09 01Z 0.78 2637 54 63 1 0.00
Mon 03/09 02Z 0.82 2639 54 58 2 0.00
Mon 03/09 03Z 0.87 2640 59 45 2 0.00
Mon 03/09 04Z 0.91 2640 58 34 2 0.00
Mon 03/09 05Z 0.87 2739 58 29 2 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 0.77 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1