National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Hazardous Travel for This Evening's Commute and Wednesday Morning's Commute in Locally Heavy Snow

Snow accumulations between 3 and 6 inches are expected across much of the area from 10 AM today to 7 AM Wednesday. Some locally higher amounts are expected in the northern Adirondacks. The heaviest snowfall rates are anticipated during this evening's commute. Plan on slippery road conditions. Roads, especially bridges and overpasses, will become slick. Read More >

Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens

Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260210_0600
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.

925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date   Time        Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Tue 02/10 06Z 0.06 3314  55  78  -7 0.00
Tue 02/10 07Z 0.07 3314  58  78  -7 0.00
Tue 02/10 08Z 0.10 3213  61  90  -7 0.00
Tue 02/10 09Z 0.13 3112  75  89  -7 0.00
Tue 02/10 10Z 0.13 3110  84  90  -7 0.00
Tue 02/10 11Z 0.12 3008  83  91  -6 0.00
Tue 02/10 12Z 0.15 2808  77  89  -6 0.00
Tue 02/10 13Z 0.17 2708  71  83  -6 0.00
Tue 02/10 14Z 0.18 2608  63  73  -6 0.00
Tue 02/10 15Z 0.22 2510  51  68  -6 0.00
Tue 02/10 16Z 0.24 2410  41  63  -6 0.00
Tue 02/10 17Z 0.20 2309  39  48  -6 0.00
Tue 02/10 18Z 0.20 2209  40  53  -5 0.00
Tue 02/10 19Z 0.16 2011  43  85  -4 0.00
Tue 02/10 20Z 0.22 2014  49  94  -6 0.00
Tue 02/10 21Z 0.10 1815  91  94  -4 0.00
Tue 02/10 22Z 0.08 1818  95  95  -3 0.05
Tue 02/10 23Z 0.13 1822  96  98  -3 0.06
Wed 02/11 00Z 0.22 1924  96  97  -3 0.07
Wed 02/11 01Z 0.33 2025  96  95  -4 0.06
Wed 02/11 02Z 0.41 2125  98  89  -4 0.05
Wed 02/11 03Z 0.42 2223  98  96  -4 0.04
Wed 02/11 04Z 0.48 2323  97  76  -4 0.05
Wed 02/11 05Z 0.54 2423  97  46  -5 0.03
Wed 02/11 06Z 0.58 2522  97  27  -6 0.02
Wed 02/11 07Z 0.59 2620  97  17  -6 0.02
Wed 02/11 08Z 0.58 2720  97  22  -7 0.01
Wed 02/11 09Z 0.60 2720  97  26  -7 0.01
Wed 02/11 10Z 0.58 2820  97  34  -8 0.01
Wed 02/11 11Z 0.57 2821  96  50  -8 0.01
Wed 02/11 12Z 0.54 2921  95  52  -9 0.01
Wed 02/11 13Z 0.58 2921  96  54  -9 0.00
Wed 02/11 14Z 0.63 2819  96  66 -10 0.01
Wed 02/11 15Z 0.81 2819  96  76 -10 0.01
Wed 02/11 16Z 1.08 2919  95  81 -10 0.01
Wed 02/11 17Z 2.17 2918  95  82 -10 0.01
Wed 02/11 18Z 2.08 2817  96  83 -10 0.01
Wed 02/11 19Z 1.79 2919  96  85 -10 0.02
Wed 02/11 20Z 1.66 2920  95  86 -10 0.02
Wed 02/11 21Z 1.16 3020  95  86 -11 0.02
Wed 02/11 22Z 0.81 3122  96  85 -11 0.02
Wed 02/11 23Z 0.70 3223  95  82 -12 0.01
Thu 02/12 00Z 0.53 3224  95  82 -12 0.01
Thu 02/12 01Z 0.45 3225  95  83 -12 0.01
Thu 02/12 02Z 0.40 3226  96  83 -12 0.01
Thu 02/12 03Z 0.35 3225  96  83 -12 0.01
Thu 02/12 04Z 0.26 3324  96  83 -12 0.01
Thu 02/12 05Z 0.20 3324  95  81 -12 0.01
Thu 02/12 06Z 0.16 3324  94  79 -12 0.00
Thu 02/12 07Z 0.14 3325  93  78 -12 0.00
Thu 02/12 08Z 0.14 3325  93  79 -12 0.00
Thu 02/12 09Z 0.12 3326  93  78 -12 0.00
Thu 02/12 10Z 0.13 3326  93  76 -12 0.00
Thu 02/12 11Z 0.14 3327  93  74 -13 0.00
Thu 02/12 12Z 0.17 3328  93  72 -13 0.00
Thu 02/12 13Z 0.15 3329  93  64 -13 0.00
Thu 02/12 14Z 0.14 3327  92  50 -13 0.00
Thu 02/12 15Z 0.12 3326  92  28 -13 0.00
Thu 02/12 16Z 0.13 3326  90  12 -13 0.00
Thu 02/12 17Z 0.15 3326  86   7 -12 0.00

Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 0.70 inches.

Froude Number (Frd#): 
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
         Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
         W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
         Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
         Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
         W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
         Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
         Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
         With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
         Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
         W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
         Air flows freely over terrain.
         Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.

Relative Humidity (RH): 
         925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
         with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
         with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.

850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
        T > -11       10-15:1
        T -11 to -15  25-35:1
        T < -15       15-20:1