
A Wind Advisory is in effect for majority of the region from 8AM to 8PM Tomorrow for southerly winds gusts between 45 and 55 MPH. There will be two rounds of gusty winds with the first tomorrow morning for most of the area and the second mainly over northern New York. The strongest winds will be between 9AM and 1PM in the CPV, western facing slopes of the higher terrain and the St. Lawrence Valley Read More >
Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260617_1800
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Wed 06/17 18Z 1.77 1909 67 86 10 0.00
Wed 06/17 19Z 1.69 1909 65 82 10 0.01
Wed 06/17 20Z 1.88 1910 64 75 11 0.00
Wed 06/17 21Z 0.42 1709 63 60 11 0.00
Wed 06/17 22Z 0.46 1710 63 68 11 0.00
Wed 06/17 23Z 0.34 1812 63 89 11 0.00
Thu 06/18 00Z 0.34 1813 65 88 11 0.00
Thu 06/18 01Z 0.30 1814 67 79 11 0.00
Thu 06/18 02Z 0.37 1818 70 78 11 0.00
Thu 06/18 03Z 0.39 1820 78 84 11 0.00
Thu 06/18 04Z 0.34 1923 90 93 11 0.05
Thu 06/18 05Z 0.42 2023 93 63 11 0.07
Thu 06/18 06Z 0.42 2119 94 53 11 0.00
Thu 06/18 07Z 0.44 2120 96 63 11 0.01
Thu 06/18 08Z 0.45 2121 93 56 11 0.01
Thu 06/18 09Z 0.45 2122 92 83 11 0.01
Thu 06/18 10Z 0.44 2023 92 90 11 0.04
Thu 06/18 11Z 0.23 1922 89 90 12 0.02
Thu 06/18 12Z 0.10 1728 92 88 12 0.02
Thu 06/18 13Z 0.15 1734 92 98 13 0.04
Thu 06/18 14Z 0.25 1839 88 89 14 0.10
Thu 06/18 15Z 0.33 1842 88 88 14 0.02
Thu 06/18 16Z 0.35 1840 95 94 13 0.16
Thu 06/18 17Z 0.42 1936 97 71 13 0.13
Thu 06/18 18Z 0.46 1932 97 72 14 0.04
Thu 06/18 19Z 0.45 1929 96 55 15 0.03
Thu 06/18 20Z 1.11 2026 93 69 15 0.08
Thu 06/18 21Z 1.25 2533 91 73 14 0.53
Thu 06/18 22Z 1.61 2433 89 50 13 0.04
Thu 06/18 23Z 2.33 2433 87 57 12 0.01
Fri 06/19 00Z 2.82 2533 86 62 11 0.01
Fri 06/19 01Z 1.84 2532 89 69 10 0.00
Fri 06/19 02Z 1.73 2532 92 69 10 0.01
Fri 06/19 03Z 1.38 2532 93 65 10 0.01
Fri 06/19 04Z 1.22 2531 96 70 9 0.01
Fri 06/19 05Z 1.16 2630 96 74 9 0.01
Fri 06/19 06Z 1.15 2531 96 71 8 0.01
Fri 06/19 07Z 1.16 2632 97 73 8 0.01
Fri 06/19 08Z 1.12 2632 96 68 8 0.01
Fri 06/19 09Z 1.01 2732 94 61 8 0.01
Fri 06/19 10Z 0.90 2733 89 56 9 0.00
Fri 06/19 11Z 0.87 2633 91 51 9 0.00
Fri 06/19 12Z 0.86 2631 89 42 9 0.01
Fri 06/19 13Z 0.95 2630 91 48 9 0.01
Fri 06/19 14Z 0.98 2628 94 46 9 0.01
Fri 06/19 15Z 1.07 2628 95 45 9 0.01
Fri 06/19 16Z 1.26 2626 95 43 9 0.01
Fri 06/19 17Z 1.50 2625 94 48 9 0.01
Fri 06/19 18Z 2.98 2624 93 44 9 0.01
Fri 06/19 19Z 4.76 2624 91 49 10 0.01
Fri 06/19 20Z 6.18 2624 89 42 10 0.01
Fri 06/19 21Z 7.98 2525 86 41 10 0.00
Fri 06/19 22Z 7.91 2527 81 37 10 0.00
Fri 06/19 23Z 4.60 2529 76 34 10 0.00
Sat 06/20 00Z 3.16 2632 79 38 9 0.00
Sat 06/20 01Z 2.19 2731 85 43 8 0.03
Sat 06/20 02Z 1.76 2731 84 56 8 0.04
Sat 06/20 03Z 1.45 2730 84 64 8 0.01
Sat 06/20 04Z 1.33 2730 90 71 7 0.01
Sat 06/20 05Z 1.18 2629 93 67 7 0.01
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 1.70 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1