
A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect for portions of northern NY and southern VT. A wintry mix of snow, sleet, and freezing rain tonight will trend toward snow by daybreak Sunday. Snow and sleet accumulations up to 3 inches along with up to one tenth of an inch of ice are expected in the Advisory area. In these areas, a period of freezing rain will occur and lead to difficult travel. Read More >
Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260111_0000
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sun 01/11 00Z 0.08 1626 60 93 3 0.00
Sun 01/11 01Z 0.13 1532 85 99 2 0.01
Sun 01/11 02Z 0.17 1535 96 99 1 0.06
Sun 01/11 03Z 0.16 1534 96 99 2 0.11
Sun 01/11 04Z 0.14 1533 96 99 2 0.10
Sun 01/11 05Z 0.13 1532 96 99 2 0.09
Sun 01/11 06Z 0.11 1526 97 99 0 0.11
Sun 01/11 07Z 0.05 1622 97 97 0 0.06
Sun 01/11 08Z 0.05 1720 97 96 0 0.04
Sun 01/11 09Z 0.07 1815 97 85 0 0.02
Sun 01/11 10Z 0.23 2014 99 61 -1 0.02
Sun 01/11 11Z 0.40 2413 99 56 -3 0.03
Sun 01/11 12Z 0.48 2614 98 56 -4 0.02
Sun 01/11 13Z 0.51 2615 90 35 -4 0.01
Sun 01/11 14Z 0.45 2716 77 19 -4 0.00
Sun 01/11 15Z 0.44 2616 72 35 -4 0.00
Sun 01/11 16Z 0.47 2616 72 42 -4 0.00
Sun 01/11 17Z 0.72 2618 79 50 -6 0.00
Sun 01/11 18Z 1.05 2619 86 46 -7 0.01
Sun 01/11 19Z 0.94 2618 84 57 -8 0.01
Sun 01/11 20Z 1.05 2618 88 51 -9 0.00
Sun 01/11 21Z 1.42 2619 91 36 -9 0.00
Sun 01/11 22Z 1.87 2521 90 33 -10 0.00
Sun 01/11 23Z 1.41 2622 89 66 -10 0.00
Mon 01/12 00Z 1.17 2624 93 82 -10 0.01
Mon 01/12 01Z 1.10 2624 94 81 -9 0.01
Mon 01/12 02Z 1.38 2627 95 75 -10 0.02
Mon 01/12 03Z 1.66 2729 95 75 -11 0.02
Mon 01/12 04Z 1.87 2830 91 77 -12 0.02
Mon 01/12 05Z 1.65 2830 91 78 -13 0.01
Mon 01/12 06Z 2.37 2831 89 78 -15 0.01
Mon 01/12 07Z 1.49 2932 90 74 -15 0.01
Mon 01/12 08Z 0.98 2932 92 66 -14 0.00
Mon 01/12 09Z 0.76 2934 91 24 -13 0.00
Mon 01/12 10Z 0.64 3036 89 16 -12 0.00
Mon 01/12 11Z 0.61 3036 79 11 -11 0.00
Mon 01/12 12Z 0.61 3036 68 24 -10 0.00
Mon 01/12 13Z 0.62 3036 67 44 -10 0.00
Mon 01/12 14Z 0.61 3035 68 48 -10 0.00
Mon 01/12 15Z 0.67 2933 67 71 -10 0.00
Mon 01/12 16Z 0.75 2832 68 72 -10 0.00
Mon 01/12 17Z 0.79 2830 74 76 -9 0.00
Mon 01/12 18Z 0.78 2726 81 81 -9 0.00
Mon 01/12 19Z 0.81 2625 85 85 -9 0.00
Mon 01/12 20Z 0.92 2525 90 78 -9 0.00
Mon 01/12 21Z 1.14 2527 94 79 -10 0.00
Mon 01/12 22Z 1.44 2528 95 81 -10 0.00
Mon 01/12 23Z 1.65 2628 94 87 -10 0.00
Tue 01/13 00Z 1.49 2629 92 84 -10 0.00
Tue 01/13 01Z 1.32 2630 94 75 -10 0.00
Tue 01/13 02Z 1.20 2729 95 67 -10 0.00
Tue 01/13 03Z 1.12 2729 96 67 -10 0.00
Tue 01/13 04Z 0.95 2726 96 50 -9 0.00
Tue 01/13 05Z 0.84 2725 95 20 -9 0.01
Tue 01/13 06Z 0.75 2724 94 51 -8 0.01
Tue 01/13 07Z 0.73 2724 95 61 -8 0.01
Tue 01/13 08Z 0.70 2724 95 69 -7 0.01
Tue 01/13 09Z 0.72 2725 95 70 -7 0.00
Tue 01/13 10Z 0.67 2724 95 62 -7 0.00
Tue 01/13 11Z 0.70 2725 95 61 -7 0.01
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 0.86 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1