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Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20261015_1800
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Thu 10/15 18Z 0.07 3403 77 6 1 0.00
Thu 10/15 19Z 0.12 3203 77 5 2 0.00
Thu 10/15 20Z 0.13 3003 77 3 2 0.00
Thu 10/15 21Z 0.09 2903 70 3 3 0.00
Thu 10/15 22Z 0.05 2802 59 3 4 0.00
Thu 10/15 23Z 0.04 2801 47 3 5 0.00
Fri 10/16 00Z 0.02 1902 42 3 6 0.00
Fri 10/16 01Z 0.04 1805 45 3 6 0.00
Fri 10/16 02Z 0.06 1809 49 4 6 0.00
Fri 10/16 03Z 0.07 1812 52 5 6 0.00
Fri 10/16 04Z 0.10 1815 57 13 6 0.00
Fri 10/16 05Z 0.12 1819 62 38 6 0.00
Fri 10/16 06Z 0.15 1822 68 60 5 0.00
Fri 10/16 07Z 0.14 1825 65 93 5 0.00
Fri 10/16 08Z 0.19 1827 67 98 4 0.00
Fri 10/16 09Z 0.21 1829 77 98 5 0.01
Fri 10/16 10Z 0.19 1830 89 98 6 0.02
Fri 10/16 11Z 0.21 1834 97 98 6 0.10
Fri 10/16 12Z 0.21 1838 98 99 6 0.18
Fri 10/16 13Z 0.34 1941 98 97 6 0.16
Fri 10/16 14Z 0.43 2040 98 97 8 0.17
Fri 10/16 15Z 0.53 2040 99 88 9 0.08
Fri 10/16 16Z 0.54 2138 98 93 11 0.07
Fri 10/16 17Z 0.55 2135 99 94 12 0.05
Fri 10/16 18Z 0.58 2231 99 97 13 0.05
Fri 10/16 19Z 0.67 2330 98 97 13 0.08
Fri 10/16 20Z 0.65 2328 94 94 13 0.04
Fri 10/16 21Z 0.76 2331 94 92 12 0.03
Fri 10/16 22Z 0.89 2330 91 84 11 0.04
Fri 10/16 23Z 1.10 2335 97 77 11 0.05
Sat 10/17 00Z 1.28 2432 97 75 10 0.06
Sat 10/17 01Z 1.28 2534 95 70 9 0.06
Sat 10/17 02Z 1.08 2729 95 58 7 0.04
Sat 10/17 03Z 0.78 2827 97 58 4 0.03
Sat 10/17 04Z 0.71 2928 96 62 1 0.02
Sat 10/17 05Z 0.78 3027 96 56 0 0.01
Sat 10/17 06Z 0.55 3127 96 53 -2 0.01
Sat 10/17 07Z 0.42 3228 96 52 -2 0.01
Sat 10/17 08Z 0.32 3328 97 49 -3 0.01
Sat 10/17 09Z 0.29 3328 97 50 -4 0.01
Sat 10/17 10Z 0.27 3329 97 54 -4 0.01
Sat 10/17 11Z 0.40 3329 97 64 -5 0.01
Sat 10/17 12Z 0.43 3330 97 66 -6 0.01
Sat 10/17 13Z 0.45 3328 97 67 -6 0.01
Sat 10/17 14Z 0.48 3227 97 67 -7 0.01
Sat 10/17 15Z 0.43 3225 97 58 -7 0.01
Sat 10/17 16Z 0.46 3225 95 34 -8 0.00
Sat 10/17 17Z 0.77 3225 90 8 -8 0.00
Sat 10/17 18Z 4.00 3226 79 1 -9 0.00
Sat 10/17 19Z 8.25 3227 71 3 -9 0.00
Sat 10/17 20Z 8.36 3227 72 3 -9 0.00
Sat 10/17 21Z 7.20 3127 74 3 -9 0.00
Sat 10/17 22Z 5.40 3127 79 3 -9 0.00
Sat 10/17 23Z 1.64 3129 78 5 -9 0.00
Sun 10/18 00Z 1.82 3130 79 4 -9 0.00
Sun 10/18 01Z 1.44 3129 73 5 -10 0.00
Sun 10/18 02Z 0.74 3128 60 5 -9 0.00
Sun 10/18 03Z 0.57 3228 50 10 -9 0.00
Sun 10/18 04Z 0.51 3228 42 13 -8 0.00
Sun 10/18 05Z 0.52 3227 49 10 -8 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 1.45 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1