
A wintry mix of snow, sleet, and freezing rain will spread northward late Thursday through Friday Morning, mainly in southern Vermont and portions of northern New York. Precipitation will likely start as snow for most before transiting to a wintry mix Thursday night. Total snow and sleet accumulations up to one inch and ice accumulations up to two tenths of an inch are expected. Read More >
Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260305_0600
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Thu 03/05 06Z 0.24 2710 52 20 2 0.00
Thu 03/05 07Z 0.26 2711 49 16 1 0.00
Thu 03/05 08Z 0.24 2710 49 14 1 0.00
Thu 03/05 09Z 0.23 2710 47 13 1 0.00
Thu 03/05 10Z 0.17 2808 48 14 1 0.00
Thu 03/05 11Z 0.09 3005 50 15 1 0.00
Thu 03/05 12Z 0.03 3203 51 17 1 0.00
Thu 03/05 13Z 0.03 0000 54 19 2 0.00
Thu 03/05 14Z 0.05 1203 56 21 1 0.00
Thu 03/05 15Z 0.09 1207 64 23 1 0.00
Thu 03/05 16Z 0.10 1309 69 22 1 0.00
Thu 03/05 17Z 0.08 1410 75 22 0 0.00
Thu 03/05 18Z 0.11 1412 80 21 0 0.00
Thu 03/05 19Z 0.11 1412 85 20 0 0.00
Thu 03/05 20Z 0.10 1412 84 19 0 0.01
Thu 03/05 21Z 0.09 1412 82 20 0 0.01
Thu 03/05 22Z 0.10 1413 79 21 0 0.00
Thu 03/05 23Z 0.10 1414 80 25 0 0.00
Fri 03/06 00Z 0.13 1316 79 35 0 0.00
Fri 03/06 01Z 0.14 1317 82 43 0 0.00
Fri 03/06 02Z 0.14 1418 85 56 0 0.00
Fri 03/06 03Z 0.15 1318 86 65 0 0.01
Fri 03/06 04Z 0.15 1419 90 72 0 0.01
Fri 03/06 05Z 0.16 1421 92 75 0 0.01
Fri 03/06 06Z 0.17 1422 94 77 0 0.02
Fri 03/06 07Z 0.18 1323 95 79 0 0.02
Fri 03/06 08Z 0.17 1422 95 80 0 0.04
Fri 03/06 09Z 0.16 1422 95 81 0 0.04
Fri 03/06 10Z 0.14 1421 95 82 0 0.04
Fri 03/06 11Z 0.13 1420 95 81 0 0.04
Fri 03/06 12Z 0.15 1419 95 72 0 0.02
Fri 03/06 13Z 0.12 1418 95 63 -1 0.00
Fri 03/06 14Z 0.12 1419 94 53 -1 0.00
Fri 03/06 15Z 0.10 1518 94 45 -1 0.00
Fri 03/06 16Z 0.07 1518 94 41 -1 0.00
Fri 03/06 17Z 0.06 1617 95 35 -1 0.00
Fri 03/06 18Z 0.05 1616 95 34 -1 0.00
Fri 03/06 19Z 0.04 1618 94 33 -1 0.00
Fri 03/06 20Z 0.04 1619 92 43 0 0.00
Fri 03/06 21Z 0.04 1620 92 47 0 0.00
Fri 03/06 22Z 0.07 1721 94 51 0 0.00
Fri 03/06 23Z 0.10 1822 93 54 0 0.00
Sat 03/07 00Z 0.10 1823 91 55 0 0.00
Sat 03/07 01Z 0.12 1825 91 52 1 0.00
Sat 03/07 02Z 0.16 1826 93 44 1 0.00
Sat 03/07 03Z 0.18 1926 93 41 2 0.00
Sat 03/07 04Z 0.20 1924 94 45 3 0.00
Sat 03/07 05Z 0.19 1922 95 29 4 0.01
Sat 03/07 07Z 0.24 2023 96 76 4 0.01
Sat 03/07 08Z 0.26 2123 95 95 5 0.01
Sat 03/07 09Z 0.29 2124 96 71 5 0.01
Sat 03/07 10Z 0.29 2125 96 92 6 0.01
Sat 03/07 11Z 0.35 2128 97 95 7 0.01
Sat 03/07 12Z 0.39 2229 97 96 8 0.01
Sat 03/07 13Z 0.43 2229 97 85 8 0.02
Sat 03/07 14Z 0.45 2330 94 46 9 0.02
Sat 03/07 15Z 0.49 2332 96 33 10 0.01
Sat 03/07 16Z 0.54 2334 96 35 10 0.01
Sat 03/07 17Z 0.54 2334 93 37 10 0.02
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 0.42 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1