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Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260616_0000
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Tue 06/16 00Z 0.47 3114 86 20 6 0.00
Tue 06/16 01Z 0.66 3118 86 23 6 0.00
Tue 06/16 02Z 0.77 3021 89 22 5 0.00
Tue 06/16 03Z 0.64 3021 95 17 5 0.00
Tue 06/16 04Z 0.48 3121 95 12 5 0.01
Tue 06/16 05Z 0.45 3122 96 12 5 0.00
Tue 06/16 06Z 0.44 3121 97 14 4 0.01
Tue 06/16 07Z 0.48 3121 97 13 4 0.01
Tue 06/16 08Z 0.45 3121 97 15 4 0.01
Tue 06/16 09Z 0.41 3221 93 13 4 0.00
Tue 06/16 10Z 0.32 3219 86 9 4 0.00
Tue 06/16 11Z 0.24 3217 80 7 5 0.00
Tue 06/16 12Z 0.17 3215 75 7 5 0.00
Tue 06/16 13Z 0.18 3212 74 14 6 0.00
Tue 06/16 14Z 0.33 3109 72 26 6 0.00
Tue 06/16 15Z 1.23 2908 69 35 6 0.00
Tue 06/16 16Z 3.13 2808 68 38 7 0.00
Tue 06/16 17Z 4.34 2808 66 44 7 0.00
Tue 06/16 18Z 5.00 2708 65 48 8 0.00
Tue 06/16 19Z 5.66 2508 71 59 8 0.00
Tue 06/16 20Z 4.98 2508 74 62 8 0.00
Tue 06/16 21Z 4.02 2409 75 54 9 0.00
Tue 06/16 22Z 3.16 2410 75 54 9 0.00
Tue 06/16 23Z 1.18 2412 76 46 9 0.00
Wed 06/17 00Z 0.79 2413 77 47 9 0.00
Wed 06/17 01Z 0.68 2513 75 45 9 0.00
Wed 06/17 02Z 0.80 2514 74 37 9 0.00
Wed 06/17 03Z 0.88 2416 80 30 8 0.00
Wed 06/17 04Z 0.87 2416 81 27 8 0.00
Wed 06/17 05Z 0.81 2515 79 37 8 0.00
Wed 06/17 06Z 0.64 2513 75 43 8 0.00
Wed 06/17 07Z 0.59 2512 75 36 8 0.00
Wed 06/17 08Z 0.60 2412 77 35 8 0.00
Wed 06/17 09Z 0.56 2411 78 39 8 0.00
Wed 06/17 10Z 0.46 2309 78 35 8 0.00
Wed 06/17 11Z 0.40 2209 79 33 8 0.00
Wed 06/17 12Z 0.40 2108 81 30 8 0.00
Wed 06/17 13Z 1.33 2008 82 24 8 0.00
Wed 06/17 14Z 1.81 1907 81 19 8 0.00
Wed 06/17 15Z 2.05 1908 81 23 8 0.01
Wed 06/17 16Z 1.47 1908 81 17 9 0.01
Wed 06/17 17Z 0.93 1808 80 14 9 0.00
Wed 06/17 18Z 0.69 1708 79 18 9 0.00
Wed 06/17 19Z 0.72 1809 77 20 10 0.00
Wed 06/17 20Z 1.11 1809 74 28 10 0.00
Wed 06/17 21Z 0.92 1809 73 48 10 0.00
Wed 06/17 22Z 0.28 1811 74 43 10 0.00
Wed 06/17 23Z 0.20 1812 75 36 10 0.00
Thu 06/18 00Z 0.39 1914 74 42 10 0.00
Thu 06/18 01Z 0.55 2016 73 50 10 0.00
Thu 06/18 02Z 0.52 1917 76 51 10 0.00
Thu 06/18 03Z 0.64 2018 84 44 10 0.00
Thu 06/18 04Z 0.51 2021 84 50 10 0.00
Thu 06/18 05Z 0.41 2021 79 58 11 0.00
Thu 06/18 06Z 0.38 2022 80 61 11 0.00
Thu 06/18 07Z 0.36 1923 83 56 11 0.00
Thu 06/18 08Z 0.33 1923 84 65 11 0.00
Thu 06/18 09Z 0.27 1921 85 90 11 0.01
Thu 06/18 10Z 0.15 1823 90 96 10 0.02
Thu 06/18 11Z 0.07 1726 94 96 10 0.11
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 0.20 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1