National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Wind Advisory in effect for most of the region from 8 AM to 8 PM Tomorrow for strong Gusty Winds

A Wind Advisory is in effect for majority of the region from 8AM to 8PM Tomorrow for southerly winds gusts between 45 and 55 MPH. There will be two rounds of gusty winds with the first tomorrow morning for most of the area and the second mainly over northern New York. The strongest winds will be between 9AM and 1PM in the CPV, western facing slopes of the higher terrain and the St. Lawrence Valley Read More >

Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens

Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260618_0000
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.

925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date   Time        Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Thu 06/18 00Z 0.46 2012  68  93  11 0.00
Thu 06/18 01Z 0.53 1914  71  97  11 0.00
Thu 06/18 02Z 0.54 2017  83  93  11 0.04
Thu 06/18 03Z 0.63 2120  80  89  11 0.05
Thu 06/18 04Z 0.65 2122  82  92  11 0.00
Thu 06/18 05Z 0.52 2021  85  89  11 0.00
Thu 06/18 06Z 0.40 2020  89  82  11 0.02
Thu 06/18 07Z 0.33 2020  89  76  12 0.00
Thu 06/18 08Z 0.44 2023  92  95  11 0.03
Thu 06/18 09Z 0.41 2021  95  96  11 0.19
Thu 06/18 10Z 0.39 2022  96  93  11 0.19
Thu 06/18 11Z 0.26 1923  92  86  12 0.05
Thu 06/18 12Z 0.33 1928  90  95  12 0.02
Thu 06/18 13Z 0.33 1935  92  97  12 0.05
Thu 06/18 14Z 0.41 1937  92  91  12 0.04
Thu 06/18 15Z 0.41 1937  92  83  12 0.02
Thu 06/18 16Z 0.47 1939  97  84  12 0.08
Thu 06/18 17Z 0.22 1833  94  54  14 0.06
Thu 06/18 18Z 0.40 1931  94  55  14 0.01
Thu 06/18 19Z 0.62 1928  95  75  13 0.01
Thu 06/18 20Z 0.82 2026  94  46  14 0.01
Thu 06/18 21Z 0.90 2324  95  76  13 0.13
Thu 06/18 22Z 1.00 2525  87  49  13 0.15
Thu 06/18 23Z 1.21 2524  94  62  12 0.00
Fri 06/19 00Z 1.51 2427  90  46  12 0.01
Fri 06/19 01Z 2.06 2531  87  69  11 0.01
Fri 06/19 02Z 1.66 2532  93  47  10 0.02
Fri 06/19 03Z 1.45 2531  93  56   9 0.01
Fri 06/19 04Z 1.20 2531  94  72   9 0.01
Fri 06/19 05Z 1.12 2630  96  75   9 0.03
Fri 06/19 06Z 1.09 2631  96  67   8 0.01
Fri 06/19 07Z 0.99 2631  95  70   8 0.01
Fri 06/19 08Z 0.91 2630  96  72   9 0.01
Fri 06/19 09Z 0.89 2730  96  71   8 0.01
Fri 06/19 10Z 0.84 2729  96  69   8 0.01
Fri 06/19 11Z 0.80 2728  96  70   8 0.01
Fri 06/19 12Z 0.80 2728  96  68   8 0.01
Fri 06/19 13Z 0.81 2727  92  65   8 0.01
Fri 06/19 14Z 0.87 2726  89  61   9 0.00
Fri 06/19 15Z 1.21 2625  91  63   9 0.00
Fri 06/19 16Z 4.59 2623  91  61   9 0.00
Fri 06/19 17Z 11.03 2621  87  61   9 0.00
Fri 06/19 18Z 10.22 2521  87  59  10 0.00
Fri 06/19 19Z 11.62 2621  83  55  10 0.00
Fri 06/19 20Z 12.77 2621  83  57  10 0.00
Fri 06/19 21Z 11.63 2521  81  43  10 0.00
Fri 06/19 22Z 8.76 2523  79  35  10 0.00
Fri 06/19 23Z 4.32 2525  73  41  10 0.00
Sat 06/20 00Z 2.45 2528  73  36  10 0.00
Sat 06/20 01Z 2.24 2531  80  41   9 0.00
Sat 06/20 02Z 1.74 2632  87  49   9 0.01
Sat 06/20 03Z 1.28 2831  90  58   8 0.04
Sat 06/20 04Z 1.01 2829  90  63   8 0.03
Sat 06/20 05Z 0.95 2828  93  71   7 0.02
Sat 06/20 06Z 0.96 2728  95  84   7 0.02
Sat 06/20 07Z 0.95 2728  95  85   7 0.03
Sat 06/20 08Z 0.94 2729  95  84   7 0.01
Sat 06/20 09Z 0.97 2731  95  86   7 0.02
Sat 06/20 10Z 1.01 2733  97  91   7 0.05
Sat 06/20 11Z 1.04 2832  97  90   6 0.04

Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 1.59 inches.

Froude Number (Frd#): 
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
         Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
         W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
         Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
         Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
         W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
         Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
         Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
         With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
         Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
         W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
         Air flows freely over terrain.
         Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.

Relative Humidity (RH): 
         925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
         with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
         with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.

850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
        T > -11       10-15:1
        T -11 to -15  25-35:1
        T < -15       15-20:1