National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Winter Weather Advisory in Effect for Portions of Northern New York and Vermont Through Monday Morning

A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect until 8 AM Monday for the northern Adirondack region of NY and the spine of the Green Mountains eastward in Vermont. Most snow should taper off this afternoon changing to rain and freezing drizzle. Freezing drizzle is expected to form this evening into Monday morning with icing amounts ranging from a glaze up to 0.05". Read More >

Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens

Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260323_0000
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.

925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date   Time        Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Mon 03/23 00Z 0.11 3311  96  48  -2 0.00
Mon 03/23 01Z 0.05 3311  95  29  -2 0.00
Mon 03/23 02Z 0.06 3311  93  19  -2 0.00
Mon 03/23 03Z 0.03 3411  92  17  -3 0.00
Mon 03/23 04Z 0.06 0010  92  15  -3 0.00
Mon 03/23 05Z 0.12 0210  91  13  -3 0.00
Mon 03/23 06Z 0.14 0308  91  11  -4 0.00
Mon 03/23 07Z 0.18 0509  91  10  -4 0.00
Mon 03/23 08Z 0.23 0510  92  10  -4 0.00
Mon 03/23 09Z 0.21 0608  93  12  -5 0.00
Mon 03/23 10Z 0.25 0709  94  13  -6 0.00
Mon 03/23 11Z 0.30 0710  96  15  -7 0.00
Mon 03/23 12Z 0.34 0810  97  17  -7 0.01
Mon 03/23 13Z 0.33 0809  98  17  -8 0.01
Mon 03/23 14Z 0.35 0609  97  20  -8 0.00
Mon 03/23 15Z 0.39 0608  97  21  -8 0.00
Mon 03/23 16Z 0.35 0605  97  34  -8 0.00
Mon 03/23 17Z 0.15 0502  97  41  -8 0.00
Mon 03/23 18Z 0.09 0201  97  45  -8 0.00
Mon 03/23 19Z 0.07 3203  97  39  -8 0.01
Mon 03/23 20Z 0.12 3207  97  37  -8 0.01
Mon 03/23 21Z 0.15 3210  95  40  -8 0.01
Mon 03/23 22Z 0.15 3312  95  42  -8 0.01
Mon 03/23 23Z 0.12 3316  95  40  -8 0.01
Tue 03/24 00Z 0.09 3420  96  51  -9 0.01
Tue 03/24 01Z 0.08 3422  96  64  -9 0.01
Tue 03/24 02Z 0.10 3425  94  72  -9 0.01
Tue 03/24 03Z 0.11 3425  89  72 -10 0.01
Tue 03/24 04Z 0.09 3425  84  71 -10 0.00
Tue 03/24 05Z 0.07 3425  84  57 -11 0.00
Tue 03/24 06Z 0.08 3423  86  44 -11 0.00
Tue 03/24 07Z 0.13 3421  87  35 -11 0.00
Tue 03/24 08Z 0.17 3320  88  22 -11 0.00
Tue 03/24 09Z 0.13 3418  87   5 -11 0.00
Tue 03/24 10Z 0.19 3318  87   3 -12 0.00
Tue 03/24 11Z 0.19 3318  85   7 -12 0.00
Tue 03/24 12Z 0.18 3318  82   9 -12 0.00
Tue 03/24 13Z 0.19 3315  80  10 -12 0.00
Tue 03/24 14Z 0.18 3312  73   9 -12 0.00
Tue 03/24 15Z 0.87 3111  76   7 -12 0.00
Tue 03/24 16Z 0.82 2908  69   5 -11 0.00
Tue 03/24 17Z 0.93 2708  60   7 -10 0.00
Tue 03/24 18Z 0.81 2508  50   7  -9 0.00
Tue 03/24 19Z 0.51 2310  44   6  -8 0.00
Tue 03/24 20Z 0.89 2314  44   5  -8 0.00
Tue 03/24 21Z 1.01 2417  46   8  -8 0.00
Tue 03/24 22Z 0.97 2421  49  10  -7 0.00
Tue 03/24 23Z 1.08 2426  45  25  -7 0.00
Wed 03/25 00Z 1.54 2531  39  47  -7 0.00
Wed 03/25 01Z 2.45 2632  44  82  -8 0.00
Wed 03/25 02Z 5.54 2730  61  85  -9 0.00
Wed 03/25 03Z 1.77 2729  79  36 -10 0.00
Wed 03/25 04Z 1.13 2828  84   8  -9 0.00
Wed 03/25 05Z 0.95 2827  80   7  -9 0.00
Wed 03/25 06Z 0.73 2826  72   6  -8 0.00
Wed 03/25 07Z 0.54 2824  62   7  -7 0.00
Wed 03/25 08Z 0.51 2923  60   6  -7 0.00
Wed 03/25 09Z 0.46 2922  55   7  -6 0.00
Wed 03/25 10Z 0.42 2921  53  10  -6 0.00
Wed 03/25 11Z 0.35 2919  44   9  -5 0.00

Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 0.11 inches.

Froude Number (Frd#): 
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
         Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
         W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
         Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
         Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
         W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
         Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
         Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
         With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
         Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
         W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
         Air flows freely over terrain.
         Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.

Relative Humidity (RH): 
         925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
         with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
         with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.

850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
        T > -11       10-15:1
        T -11 to -15  25-35:1
        T < -15       15-20:1