
A Nor'easter well off the East Coast will slowly track north this week and may gain some subtropical characteristics. Strong onshore winds will bring flooding, dangerous marine conditions, and beach erosion along the Mid-Atlantic coast. A Pacific storm will bring gusty winds, severe thunderstorms, and mountain snow to portions of California and the Southwest U.S. through Thursday. Read More >
Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20261020_1800
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Tue 10/20 18Z 0.17 0013 54 5 5 0.00
Tue 10/20 19Z 0.16 0015 55 5 5 0.00
Tue 10/20 20Z 0.17 0117 53 6 6 0.00
Tue 10/20 21Z 0.19 0119 49 6 6 0.00
Tue 10/20 22Z 0.24 0121 45 6 6 0.00
Tue 10/20 23Z 0.29 0221 41 6 6 0.00
Wed 10/21 00Z 0.30 0321 37 7 7 0.00
Wed 10/21 01Z 0.29 0319 34 7 7 0.00
Wed 10/21 02Z 0.29 0418 33 8 6 0.00
Wed 10/21 03Z 0.27 0415 34 8 6 0.00
Wed 10/21 04Z 0.24 0513 36 8 6 0.00
Wed 10/21 05Z 0.22 0611 37 8 6 0.00
Wed 10/21 06Z 0.20 0609 39 8 6 0.00
Wed 10/21 07Z 0.18 0608 40 8 6 0.00
Wed 10/21 08Z 0.16 0608 38 7 6 0.00
Wed 10/21 09Z 0.15 0608 38 7 6 0.00
Wed 10/21 10Z 0.14 0607 37 6 6 0.00
Wed 10/21 11Z 0.15 0608 35 5 6 0.00
Wed 10/21 12Z 0.14 0608 33 4 7 0.00
Wed 10/21 13Z 0.15 0508 32 4 7 0.00
Wed 10/21 14Z 0.14 0508 33 4 7 0.00
Wed 10/21 15Z 0.14 0608 34 4 7 0.00
Wed 10/21 16Z 0.12 0606 35 4 7 0.00
Wed 10/21 17Z 0.12 0506 33 3 8 0.00
Wed 10/21 18Z 0.11 0505 34 4 8 0.00
Wed 10/21 19Z 0.11 0505 33 3 8 0.00
Wed 10/21 20Z 0.12 0605 34 3 8 0.00
Wed 10/21 21Z 0.11 0605 33 3 8 0.00
Wed 10/21 22Z 0.10 0505 32 3 8 0.00
Wed 10/21 23Z 0.10 0406 32 3 8 0.00
Thu 10/22 00Z 0.10 0306 34 3 8 0.00
Thu 10/22 01Z 0.09 0208 33 3 8 0.00
Thu 10/22 02Z 0.10 0110 31 3 8 0.00
Thu 10/22 03Z 0.12 0212 29 3 8 0.00
Thu 10/22 04Z 0.13 0212 27 4 8 0.00
Thu 10/22 05Z 0.14 0115 24 6 8 0.00
Thu 10/22 06Z 0.15 0117 21 9 8 0.00
Thu 10/22 07Z 0.17 0119 19 11 8 0.00
Thu 10/22 08Z 0.19 0121 18 13 8 0.00
Thu 10/22 09Z 0.20 0122 17 15 7 0.00
Thu 10/22 10Z 0.20 0123 16 16 7 0.00
Thu 10/22 11Z 0.19 0124 20 17 7 0.00
Thu 10/22 12Z 0.20 0124 30 16 7 0.00
Thu 10/22 13Z 0.21 0124 49 17 6 0.00
Thu 10/22 14Z 0.20 0124 69 29 6 0.00
Thu 10/22 15Z 0.18 0024 78 44 5 0.00
Thu 10/22 16Z 0.13 0024 86 47 4 0.00
Thu 10/22 17Z 0.05 3524 90 33 3 0.00
Thu 10/22 18Z 0.04 3426 90 13 3 0.00
Thu 10/22 19Z 0.06 3527 77 15 3 0.00
Thu 10/22 20Z 0.07 3528 68 22 3 0.00
Thu 10/22 21Z 0.10 3530 70 20 2 0.00
Thu 10/22 22Z 0.14 3532 63 24 1 0.00
Thu 10/22 23Z 0.20 0033 54 33 0 0.00
Fri 10/23 00Z 0.23 0034 57 24 0 0.00
Fri 10/23 01Z 0.29 0035 58 6 -1 0.00
Fri 10/23 02Z 0.37 0135 54 2 -1 0.00
Fri 10/23 03Z 0.35 0034 53 4 -2 0.00
Fri 10/23 04Z 0.30 0033 58 5 -3 0.00
Fri 10/23 05Z 0.28 0032 62 7 -3 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 0.00 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1