
Significant heat is expected to build today and Friday. Hot temperatures and high humidity will allow heat index values to reach into the lower to mid 90s this afternoon and again Friday afternoon in the Champlain Valley and Connecticut River Valley. Heat index values elsewhere will be in the upper 80s to low 90s. Read More >
Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260612_1800
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Fri 06/12 18Z 2.67 2504 86 38 17 0.00
Fri 06/12 19Z 1.94 2507 80 29 18 0.00
Fri 06/12 20Z 0.99 2510 82 58 18 0.00
Fri 06/12 21Z 0.69 2512 83 70 18 0.01
Fri 06/12 22Z 0.58 2515 85 60 18 0.01
Fri 06/12 23Z 0.64 2616 86 49 18 0.02
Sat 06/13 00Z 0.73 2619 85 20 18 0.00
Sat 06/13 01Z 0.76 2721 90 17 17 0.01
Sat 06/13 02Z 0.76 2824 78 18 16 0.01
Sat 06/13 03Z 0.65 2825 69 17 16 0.00
Sat 06/13 04Z 0.61 2926 67 22 15 0.00
Sat 06/13 05Z 0.59 2926 72 26 14 0.00
Sat 06/13 06Z 0.53 3026 76 10 14 0.00
Sat 06/13 07Z 0.45 3025 79 8 13 0.00
Sat 06/13 08Z 0.37 3124 83 6 13 0.00
Sat 06/13 09Z 0.34 3122 86 8 12 0.00
Sat 06/13 10Z 0.34 3121 87 9 12 0.00
Sat 06/13 11Z 0.37 3120 85 10 11 0.00
Sat 06/13 12Z 0.34 3120 81 12 11 0.00
Sat 06/13 13Z 0.31 3117 77 13 11 0.00
Sat 06/13 14Z 0.32 3114 72 14 12 0.00
Sat 06/13 15Z 0.37 3012 66 17 12 0.00
Sat 06/13 16Z 0.51 2911 63 17 12 0.00
Sat 06/13 17Z 1.08 2810 63 15 12 0.00
Sat 06/13 18Z 3.82 2711 71 18 12 0.00
Sat 06/13 19Z 7.41 2612 79 16 12 0.00
Sat 06/13 20Z 6.18 2614 82 15 12 0.00
Sat 06/13 21Z 4.90 2615 79 15 12 0.00
Sat 06/13 22Z 3.64 2717 78 18 12 0.00
Sat 06/13 23Z 1.82 2718 76 35 12 0.00
Sun 06/14 00Z 1.01 2719 70 55 13 0.00
Sun 06/14 01Z 0.84 2621 62 42 14 0.00
Sun 06/14 02Z 0.89 2623 60 42 14 0.00
Sun 06/14 03Z 0.96 2725 64 48 13 0.00
Sun 06/14 04Z 0.94 2725 70 60 13 0.00
Sun 06/14 05Z 0.93 2626 74 74 13 0.00
Sun 06/14 06Z 0.94 2628 64 66 14 0.00
Sun 06/14 07Z 1.00 2527 64 71 14 0.00
Sun 06/14 08Z 1.09 2529 64 82 13 0.00
Sun 06/14 09Z 1.13 2529 65 61 14 0.00
Sun 06/14 10Z 1.12 2529 67 39 13 0.00
Sun 06/14 11Z 1.08 2529 74 32 13 0.00
Sun 06/14 12Z 0.99 2526 81 28 13 0.00
Sun 06/14 13Z 1.00 2524 82 29 13 0.00
Sun 06/14 14Z 0.92 2421 78 28 14 0.00
Sun 06/14 15Z 0.74 2320 70 28 15 0.00
Sun 06/14 16Z 0.80 2221 64 29 15 0.00
Sun 06/14 17Z 1.23 2121 61 28 15 0.00
Sun 06/14 18Z 2.09 2021 59 25 16 0.00
Sun 06/14 19Z 3.18 2021 58 25 16 0.00
Sun 06/14 20Z 5.20 2020 57 24 17 0.00
Sun 06/14 21Z 4.99 2022 60 38 16 0.00
Sun 06/14 22Z 1.60 2025 63 29 16 0.00
Sun 06/14 23Z 1.67 2127 71 83 16 0.00
Mon 06/15 00Z 0.88 2029 76 54 16 0.06
Mon 06/15 01Z 0.90 2033 78 42 15 0.00
Mon 06/15 02Z 0.89 2033 78 65 15 0.00
Mon 06/15 03Z 1.02 2134 79 62 15 0.00
Mon 06/15 04Z 0.81 2132 76 80 16 0.00
Mon 06/15 05Z 0.80 2134 82 75 15 0.02
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 0.14 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1