National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Several Rounds of Strong Winds Expected Into Tuesday

A High Wind Warning remains in effect for the Adirondacks and their northern slopes, with Wind Advisories for the rest of the area through 11 AM Tue. The strongest wind gusts up to 60 mph will be along the Route 11 corridor in northern NY until Noon today. Isolated to scattered power outages and difficult travel are possible. Light freezing drizzle also possible tonight in cool pockets of east VT. Read More >

Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens

Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260316_1200
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.

925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date   Time        Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Mon 03/16 12Z 0.04 1642  94  98   5 0.00
Mon 03/16 13Z 0.03 1643  96  93   7 0.03
Mon 03/16 14Z 0.08 1742  96  80   8 0.02
Mon 03/16 15Z 0.11 1741  97  62   8 0.02
Mon 03/16 16Z 0.12 1840  96  64   9 0.01
Mon 03/16 18Z 0.28 1941  94  92   9 0.01
Mon 03/16 19Z 0.30 1939  92  77  10 0.01
Mon 03/16 21Z 0.36 1942  97  74  10 0.02
Mon 03/16 22Z 0.33 1844  95  72  11 0.00
Mon 03/16 23Z 0.32 1845  95  77  11 0.01
Tue 03/17 00Z 0.23 1844  95  69  11 0.01
Tue 03/17 01Z 0.15 1743  96  92  10 0.01
Tue 03/17 02Z 0.25 1843  96  92   9 0.01
Tue 03/17 03Z 0.17 1743  97  85   9 0.02
Tue 03/17 04Z 0.16 1745  96  73  10 0.07
Tue 03/17 05Z 0.24 1746  95  88  10 0.04
Tue 03/17 06Z 0.51 1934  98  88   7 0.01
Tue 03/17 07Z 1.67 2534  95  91  -4 0.01
Tue 03/17 08Z 1.23 2534  94  93  -6 0.03
Tue 03/17 09Z 1.85 2530  95   2  -8 0.10
Tue 03/17 10Z 5.85 2531  91   4 -10 0.03
Tue 03/17 11Z 8.34 2433  86  11 -12 0.02
Tue 03/17 12Z 15.35 2438  82  19 -15 0.01
Tue 03/17 13Z 20.62 2436  77  15 -17 0.01
Tue 03/17 14Z 20.16 2433  67  16 -17 0.01
Tue 03/17 15Z 21.33 2531  68  14 -17 0.00
Tue 03/17 16Z 21.03 2530  72   8 -17 0.00
Tue 03/17 17Z 19.41 2528  72   8 -16 0.00
Tue 03/17 18Z 19.05 2527  72  13 -16 0.00
Tue 03/17 19Z 18.57 2526  74  26 -16 0.00
Tue 03/17 20Z 18.43 2627  75  40 -16 0.00
Tue 03/17 21Z 16.45 2627  78  45 -16 0.00
Tue 03/17 22Z 14.41 2626  79  48 -17 0.00
Tue 03/17 23Z 12.56 2726  82  46 -18 0.00
Wed 03/18 00Z 8.14 2726  85  53 -18 0.00
Wed 03/18 01Z 2.90 2725  85  51 -18 0.00
Wed 03/18 02Z 1.57 2724  83  52 -17 0.00
Wed 03/18 03Z 1.02 2724  79  55 -17 0.00
Wed 03/18 04Z 1.36 2724  82  55 -17 0.00
Wed 03/18 05Z 1.28 2724  80  55 -17 0.00
Wed 03/18 06Z 1.48 2725  80  31 -18 0.00
Wed 03/18 07Z 1.77 2725  73  22 -18 0.00
Wed 03/18 08Z 1.38 2725  73  12 -18 0.00
Wed 03/18 09Z 1.26 2825  72   6 -19 0.00
Wed 03/18 10Z 0.99 2823  68   5 -19 0.00
Wed 03/18 11Z 0.67 2920  64   4 -19 0.00
Wed 03/18 12Z 0.49 2917  63   4 -18 0.00
Wed 03/18 13Z 0.37 2913  59   5 -18 0.00
Wed 03/18 14Z 0.36 2811  55   5 -18 0.00
Wed 03/18 15Z 0.31 2708  45   6 -17 0.00
Wed 03/18 16Z 0.50 2607  41   7 -16 0.00
Wed 03/18 17Z 0.86 2505  38   7 -16 0.00
Wed 03/18 18Z 0.80 2304  35   7 -15 0.00
Wed 03/18 19Z 0.92 2303  33   7 -14 0.00
Wed 03/18 20Z 0.73 2203  32   8 -13 0.00
Wed 03/18 21Z 0.58 2005  31   7 -13 0.00
Wed 03/18 22Z 0.28 1907  32   9 -12 0.00
Wed 03/18 23Z 0.17 1809  33   9 -12 0.00

Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 0.52 inches.

Froude Number (Frd#): 
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
         Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
         W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
         Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
         Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
         W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
         Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
         Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
         With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
         Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
         W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
         Air flows freely over terrain.
         Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.

Relative Humidity (RH): 
         925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
         with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
         with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.

850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
        T > -11       10-15:1
        T -11 to -15  25-35:1
        T < -15       15-20:1