Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260419_0600
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sun 04/19 06Z 0.29 1927 92 96 9 0.00
Sun 04/19 07Z 0.40 2027 98 98 7 0.11
Sun 04/19 08Z 0.43 2124 98 96 8 0.12
Sun 04/19 09Z 0.45 2221 98 92 7 0.04
Sun 04/19 10Z 0.49 2319 99 97 6 0.04
Sun 04/19 11Z 0.29 2510 99 98 5 0.03
Sun 04/19 12Z 0.36 2711 99 99 4 0.04
Sun 04/19 13Z 0.38 3116 98 99 1 0.12
Sun 04/19 14Z 0.16 3324 96 99 0 0.15
Sun 04/19 15Z 0.23 3223 97 99 -1 0.11
Sun 04/19 16Z 0.26 3224 96 99 -3 0.12
Sun 04/19 17Z 0.22 3324 95 99 -4 0.10
Sun 04/19 18Z 0.25 3223 95 98 -5 0.08
Sun 04/19 19Z 0.34 3223 94 96 -6 0.02
Sun 04/19 20Z 0.36 3223 92 87 -6 0.02
Sun 04/19 21Z 0.42 3121 88 83 -6 0.01
Sun 04/19 22Z 0.62 3021 81 37 -6 0.00
Sun 04/19 23Z 0.66 3023 75 19 -6 0.00
Mon 04/20 00Z 0.74 2923 87 22 -6 0.00
Mon 04/20 01Z 0.90 2822 89 29 -6 0.00
Mon 04/20 02Z 1.30 2826 95 61 -6 0.02
Mon 04/20 03Z 1.01 2926 80 35 -6 0.01
Mon 04/20 04Z 0.95 2825 73 35 -6 0.00
Mon 04/20 05Z 0.86 2824 65 36 -6 0.00
Mon 04/20 06Z 0.89 2824 62 44 -7 0.00
Mon 04/20 07Z 0.80 2721 67 54 -7 0.00
Mon 04/20 08Z 0.78 2721 79 63 -7 0.00
Mon 04/20 09Z 0.79 2821 92 63 -8 0.00
Mon 04/20 10Z 0.86 2821 89 55 -8 0.00
Mon 04/20 11Z 0.87 2821 87 46 -9 0.00
Mon 04/20 12Z 0.67 2918 86 31 -9 0.01
Mon 04/20 13Z 0.89 3114 90 35 -10 0.01
Mon 04/20 14Z 1.18 3113 92 35 -10 0.00
Mon 04/20 15Z 0.35 3111 89 36 -10 0.00
Mon 04/20 16Z 1.11 3110 84 41 -10 0.00
Mon 04/20 17Z 2.56 3009 82 47 -10 0.00
Mon 04/20 18Z 3.35 3010 81 47 -10 0.00
Mon 04/20 19Z 4.34 3010 79 44 -10 0.00
Mon 04/20 20Z 3.79 3011 79 36 -10 0.00
Mon 04/20 21Z 3.57 3111 75 22 -10 0.00
Mon 04/20 22Z 2.36 3112 71 13 -10 0.00
Mon 04/20 23Z 0.94 3212 67 5 -10 0.00
Tue 04/21 00Z 0.48 3213 62 7 -10 0.00
Tue 04/21 01Z 0.55 3213 59 10 -10 0.00
Tue 04/21 02Z 0.85 3214 58 11 -11 0.00
Tue 04/21 03Z 0.95 3214 58 9 -11 0.00
Tue 04/21 04Z 0.72 3213 56 7 -11 0.00
Tue 04/21 05Z 0.61 3213 53 9 -11 0.00
Tue 04/21 06Z 0.60 3113 53 11 -11 0.00
Tue 04/21 07Z 0.55 3112 52 12 -11 0.00
Tue 04/21 08Z 0.52 3011 52 12 -11 0.00
Tue 04/21 09Z 0.39 3009 51 13 -11 0.00
Tue 04/21 10Z 0.39 2908 50 13 -11 0.00
Tue 04/21 11Z 0.38 2807 50 13 -11 0.00
Tue 04/21 12Z 0.43 2507 52 12 -11 0.00
Tue 04/21 13Z 1.48 2307 55 11 -11 0.00
Tue 04/21 14Z 3.28 2208 55 10 -10 0.00
Tue 04/21 15Z 3.72 2109 51 8 -9 0.00
Tue 04/21 16Z 4.09 2109 47 18 -8 0.00
Tue 04/21 17Z 4.97 2210 43 51 -8 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 1.16 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1