Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260111_1200
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sun 01/11 12Z 0.38 2411 99 25 -4 0.00
Sun 01/11 13Z 0.47 2513 98 19 -4 0.01
Sun 01/11 14Z 0.70 2618 96 29 -5 0.01
Sun 01/11 15Z 0.70 2719 96 26 -5 0.01
Sun 01/11 16Z 0.57 2717 91 51 -5 0.00
Sun 01/11 17Z 0.52 2716 84 61 -5 0.00
Sun 01/11 18Z 0.69 2717 88 60 -7 0.00
Sun 01/11 19Z 0.78 2716 91 66 -7 0.00
Sun 01/11 20Z 0.88 2715 90 75 -8 0.00
Sun 01/11 21Z 1.06 2717 90 79 -8 0.00
Sun 01/11 22Z 1.38 2620 90 64 -9 0.00
Sun 01/11 23Z 2.03 2723 88 52 -9 0.00
Mon 01/12 00Z 1.42 2722 86 77 -9 0.00
Mon 01/12 01Z 1.28 2622 93 84 -9 0.00
Mon 01/12 02Z 1.28 2724 94 80 -10 0.02
Mon 01/12 03Z 1.51 2827 95 81 -11 0.03
Mon 01/12 04Z 2.42 2930 91 80 -13 0.03
Mon 01/12 05Z 2.76 2931 88 80 -15 0.01
Mon 01/12 06Z 2.47 2932 90 69 -16 0.01
Mon 01/12 07Z 1.70 2932 92 45 -16 0.00
Mon 01/12 08Z 1.06 2933 91 42 -15 0.00
Mon 01/12 09Z 0.67 3034 88 53 -13 0.00
Mon 01/12 10Z 0.57 3035 87 11 -11 0.00
Mon 01/12 11Z 0.56 3035 78 9 -11 0.00
Mon 01/12 12Z 0.51 3034 62 9 -10 0.00
Mon 01/12 13Z 0.56 2933 69 20 -10 0.00
Mon 01/12 14Z 0.60 2935 65 27 -10 0.00
Mon 01/12 15Z 0.60 2933 68 44 -10 0.00
Mon 01/12 16Z 0.65 2831 76 71 -10 0.00
Mon 01/12 17Z 0.74 2830 80 75 -10 0.00
Mon 01/12 18Z 0.75 2727 84 77 -9 0.00
Mon 01/12 19Z 0.76 2626 88 74 -9 0.00
Mon 01/12 20Z 0.80 2628 91 76 -9 0.00
Mon 01/12 21Z 0.95 2628 94 83 -9 0.00
Mon 01/12 22Z 1.12 2529 95 85 -10 0.00
Mon 01/12 23Z 1.29 2630 94 86 -10 0.01
Tue 01/13 00Z 1.43 2528 94 81 -10 0.00
Tue 01/13 01Z 1.54 2628 95 79 -10 0.00
Tue 01/13 02Z 1.46 2629 95 75 -10 0.00
Tue 01/13 03Z 1.30 2629 96 66 -10 0.00
Tue 01/13 04Z 1.07 2628 95 54 -9 0.00
Tue 01/13 05Z 0.91 2626 95 70 -9 0.00
Tue 01/13 06Z 0.87 2626 95 64 -9 0.00
Tue 01/13 07Z 0.88 2726 95 50 -9 0.01
Tue 01/13 08Z 0.87 2725 95 46 -9 0.01
Tue 01/13 09Z 0.84 2725 95 49 -9 0.01
Tue 01/13 10Z 0.77 2724 95 48 -8 0.01
Tue 01/13 11Z 0.73 2725 94 39 -8 0.01
Tue 01/13 12Z 0.63 2723 92 27 -6 0.01
Tue 01/13 13Z 0.55 2623 90 19 -5 0.01
Tue 01/13 14Z 0.47 2621 84 12 -4 0.01
Tue 01/13 15Z 0.40 2520 79 12 -3 0.00
Tue 01/13 16Z 0.37 2519 76 15 -2 0.00
Tue 01/13 17Z 0.35 2419 71 16 -1 0.00
Tue 01/13 18Z 0.36 2420 67 17 0 0.00
Tue 01/13 19Z 0.37 2421 65 29 0 0.00
Tue 01/13 20Z 0.38 2422 71 67 0 0.00
Tue 01/13 21Z 0.42 2423 73 66 0 0.00
Tue 01/13 22Z 0.43 2324 71 82 0 0.00
Tue 01/13 23Z 0.43 2225 64 75 0 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 0.22 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1