
Snow accumulations between 3 and 6 inches are expected across much of the area through 7 AM Wednesday. Some locally higher amounts are expected in the northern Adirondacks. The heaviest snowfall rates are anticipated during this evening's commute. Plan on slippery road conditions. Roads, especially bridges and overpasses, will become slick. Read More >
Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260210_1800
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Tue 02/10 18Z 0.17 2109 43 70 -5 0.00
Tue 02/10 19Z 0.14 2010 35 90 -4 0.00
Tue 02/10 20Z 0.12 1813 38 98 -5 0.00
Tue 02/10 21Z 0.11 1817 68 95 -6 0.00
Tue 02/10 23Z 0.13 1824 96 98 -3 0.06
Wed 02/11 00Z 0.27 2025 96 98 -4 0.07
Wed 02/11 01Z 0.37 2124 95 98 -5 0.07
Wed 02/11 02Z 0.39 2124 96 95 -4 0.08
Wed 02/11 03Z 0.43 2223 97 94 -4 0.08
Wed 02/11 04Z 0.46 2422 97 93 -4 0.05
Wed 02/11 05Z 0.48 2521 97 57 -5 0.05
Wed 02/11 06Z 0.49 2621 97 16 -5 0.03
Wed 02/11 07Z 0.45 2719 96 3 -5 0.02
Wed 02/11 08Z 0.44 2719 95 3 -6 0.01
Wed 02/11 09Z 0.46 2819 96 5 -6 0.01
Wed 02/11 11Z 0.44 2919 96 39 -7 0.01
Wed 02/11 12Z 0.44 2919 96 50 -7 0.01
Wed 02/11 13Z 0.46 2918 96 63 -8 0.01
Wed 02/11 14Z 0.54 2818 97 75 -8 0.01
Wed 02/11 15Z 0.63 2817 96 82 -9 0.00
Wed 02/11 16Z 0.78 2817 96 85 -9 0.01
Wed 02/11 17Z 1.03 2816 96 85 -9 0.01
Wed 02/11 18Z 1.34 2816 96 85 -9 0.01
Wed 02/11 19Z 1.30 2918 96 86 -9 0.01
Wed 02/11 20Z 1.12 2919 96 86 -9 0.02
Wed 02/11 21Z 0.90 2919 96 83 -10 0.02
Wed 02/11 22Z 0.93 3020 95 82 -10 0.02
Wed 02/11 23Z 0.80 3122 95 81 -11 0.02
Thu 02/12 00Z 0.67 3122 96 81 -12 0.02
Thu 02/12 01Z 0.41 3222 95 83 -12 0.01
Thu 02/12 02Z 0.29 3324 95 83 -12 0.01
Thu 02/12 03Z 0.26 3324 95 84 -12 0.01
Thu 02/12 04Z 0.27 3325 95 83 -12 0.00
Thu 02/12 05Z 0.23 3324 94 82 -11 0.01
Thu 02/12 06Z 0.21 3325 94 79 -11 0.01
Thu 02/12 07Z 0.14 3325 94 76 -11 0.01
Thu 02/12 09Z 0.08 3424 93 78 -11 0.01
Thu 02/12 10Z 0.09 3425 93 77 -11 0.01
Thu 02/12 11Z 0.07 3426 93 75 -11 0.00
Thu 02/12 12Z 0.08 3426 94 74 -12 0.00
Thu 02/12 13Z 0.09 3425 94 69 -12 0.00
Thu 02/12 14Z 0.08 3424 92 67 -12 0.00
Thu 02/12 15Z 0.09 3424 92 68 -12 0.00
Thu 02/12 16Z 0.10 3423 92 68 -11 0.00
Thu 02/12 17Z 0.10 3424 92 64 -11 0.00
Thu 02/12 18Z 0.11 3424 91 62 -11 0.00
Thu 02/12 19Z 0.11 3424 90 58 -11 0.00
Thu 02/12 20Z 0.12 3324 89 48 -11 0.00
Thu 02/12 21Z 0.14 3325 88 31 -11 0.00
Thu 02/12 22Z 0.13 3325 81 16 -11 0.00
Thu 02/12 23Z 0.07 3425 66 8 -10 0.00
Fri 02/13 00Z 0.04 3425 58 11 -9 0.00
Fri 02/13 01Z 0.03 3425 60 13 -9 0.00
Fri 02/13 02Z 0.03 3426 64 14 -10 0.00
Fri 02/13 04Z 0.03 3424 65 14 -9 0.00
Fri 02/13 05Z 0.03 3423 64 14 -9 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 0.79 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1