Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20261004_1800
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sun 10/04 18Z 0.07 1613 94 47 4 0.00
Sun 10/04 19Z 0.09 1615 95 73 4 0.00
Sun 10/04 20Z 0.06 1618 95 89 4 0.00
Sun 10/04 21Z 0.05 1718 93 82 5 0.00
Sun 10/04 22Z 0.12 1719 94 36 5 0.00
Sun 10/04 23Z 0.21 1820 93 53 5 0.00
Mon 10/05 00Z 0.26 1920 92 48 6 0.00
Mon 10/05 01Z 0.31 1920 94 60 6 0.00
Mon 10/05 02Z 0.35 2020 97 60 6 0.01
Mon 10/05 03Z 0.40 2120 98 63 6 0.01
Mon 10/05 04Z 0.45 2220 97 70 7 0.01
Mon 10/05 05Z 0.46 2219 96 70 7 0.01
Mon 10/05 06Z 0.48 2320 94 52 7 0.01
Mon 10/05 07Z 0.49 2420 91 75 8 0.01
Mon 10/05 08Z 0.52 2421 91 78 8 0.01
Mon 10/05 09Z 0.58 2324 91 91 8 0.02
Mon 10/05 10Z 0.73 2428 96 88 7 0.11
Mon 10/05 11Z 0.84 2627 97 95 6 0.11
Mon 10/05 12Z 0.92 2726 95 91 5 0.08
Mon 10/05 13Z 0.94 2826 77 60 5 0.02
Mon 10/05 14Z 0.85 2825 76 43 4 0.01
Mon 10/05 15Z 1.09 2824 86 65 3 0.02
Mon 10/05 16Z 7.29 2826 76 70 2 0.02
Mon 10/05 17Z 14.02 2824 71 38 2 0.00
Mon 10/05 18Z 14.37 2824 66 22 2 0.00
Mon 10/05 19Z 13.83 2825 68 61 1 0.00
Mon 10/05 20Z 4.29 2925 80 49 0 0.01
Mon 10/05 21Z 2.48 2925 88 54 0 0.01
Mon 10/05 22Z 1.46 2928 90 44 0 0.01
Mon 10/05 23Z 1.49 2930 93 49 -1 0.01
Tue 10/06 00Z 1.08 3030 90 52 -1 0.00
Tue 10/06 01Z 0.82 3029 91 51 -2 0.00
Tue 10/06 02Z 0.73 3030 87 54 -1 0.00
Tue 10/06 03Z 0.71 3030 84 58 -2 0.00
Tue 10/06 04Z 0.78 3030 86 36 -2 0.00
Tue 10/06 05Z 0.79 3030 86 23 -3 0.00
Tue 10/06 06Z 0.68 3029 84 21 -3 0.00
Tue 10/06 07Z 0.60 3029 82 19 -2 0.00
Tue 10/06 08Z 0.53 3029 79 18 -2 0.00
Tue 10/06 09Z 0.52 3030 80 18 -2 0.00
Tue 10/06 10Z 0.47 3029 79 16 -2 0.00
Tue 10/06 11Z 0.45 3028 77 17 -2 0.00
Tue 10/06 12Z 0.42 3028 69 17 -2 0.00
Tue 10/06 13Z 0.37 3027 62 15 -1 0.00
Tue 10/06 14Z 0.35 3127 58 13 0 0.00
Tue 10/06 15Z 0.37 3026 55 8 0 0.00
Tue 10/06 16Z 0.41 3025 48 5 0 0.00
Tue 10/06 17Z 0.49 3025 48 3 0 0.00
Tue 10/06 18Z 0.66 3025 47 3 0 0.00
Tue 10/06 19Z 1.02 2924 49 5 0 0.00
Tue 10/06 20Z 2.87 2922 49 8 -1 0.00
Tue 10/06 21Z 2.75 2922 47 16 -1 0.00
Tue 10/06 22Z 1.23 2922 41 36 0 0.00
Tue 10/06 23Z 0.86 2924 36 49 0 0.00
Wed 10/07 00Z 0.76 2923 39 37 0 0.00
Wed 10/07 01Z 0.66 3022 40 57 0 0.00
Wed 10/07 02Z 0.55 2920 41 67 0 0.00
Wed 10/07 03Z 0.48 2918 39 56 1 0.00
Wed 10/07 04Z 0.42 2816 37 84 1 0.00
Wed 10/07 05Z 0.43 2817 41 90 2 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 0.50 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1