Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260511_0600
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Mon 05/11 06Z 0.55 3015 74 69 0 0.00
Mon 05/11 07Z 0.56 2916 76 64 -1 0.00
Mon 05/11 08Z 0.52 3016 80 31 -1 0.00
Mon 05/11 09Z 0.41 3116 79 25 -1 0.00
Mon 05/11 10Z 0.39 3117 73 28 -1 0.00
Mon 05/11 11Z 0.43 3117 71 31 -2 0.00
Mon 05/11 12Z 0.48 3016 67 36 -2 0.00
Mon 05/11 13Z 0.62 3013 62 40 -2 0.00
Mon 05/11 14Z 3.04 3012 60 58 -2 0.00
Mon 05/11 15Z 4.43 3011 59 65 -1 0.00
Mon 05/11 16Z 5.55 3010 63 80 -1 0.00
Mon 05/11 17Z 5.82 2810 75 85 -1 0.00
Mon 05/11 18Z 5.26 2811 76 77 -1 0.00
Mon 05/11 19Z 5.91 2811 72 70 0 0.00
Mon 05/11 20Z 4.66 2910 74 70 -1 0.00
Mon 05/11 21Z 2.33 3010 73 60 -1 0.01
Mon 05/11 22Z 1.87 3109 71 60 -1 0.00
Mon 05/11 23Z 0.75 3210 70 70 -1 0.00
Tue 05/12 00Z 0.23 3312 69 66 -1 0.00
Tue 05/12 01Z 0.19 3415 68 73 -2 0.00
Tue 05/12 02Z 0.17 3417 69 73 -2 0.00
Tue 05/12 03Z 0.25 3418 72 66 -2 0.00
Tue 05/12 04Z 0.24 3418 76 60 -3 0.00
Tue 05/12 05Z 0.24 3419 75 57 -3 0.00
Tue 05/12 06Z 0.18 3419 71 38 -3 0.00
Tue 05/12 07Z 0.08 3419 69 22 -3 0.00
Tue 05/12 08Z 0.05 3417 67 21 -3 0.00
Tue 05/12 09Z 0.04 3515 65 24 -4 0.00
Tue 05/12 10Z 0.08 3414 65 29 -4 0.00
Tue 05/12 11Z 0.16 3414 65 36 -4 0.00
Tue 05/12 12Z 0.90 3313 66 39 -4 0.00
Tue 05/12 13Z 2.24 3212 67 37 -4 0.00
Tue 05/12 14Z 3.20 3212 67 27 -4 0.00
Tue 05/12 15Z 3.63 3112 63 25 -4 0.00
Tue 05/12 16Z 4.71 3112 62 30 -3 0.00
Tue 05/12 17Z 6.33 3012 66 36 -3 0.00
Tue 05/12 18Z 5.82 3011 67 41 -2 0.00
Tue 05/12 19Z 5.70 2910 65 39 -1 0.00
Tue 05/12 20Z 4.51 3009 64 36 -1 0.00
Tue 05/12 21Z 3.86 3008 62 35 0 0.00
Tue 05/12 22Z 2.50 3007 61 33 0 0.00
Tue 05/12 23Z 0.89 2907 61 32 0 0.00
Wed 05/13 00Z 0.47 2806 60 31 0 0.00
Wed 05/13 01Z 0.40 2606 59 30 0 0.00
Wed 05/13 02Z 0.35 2305 59 28 0 0.00
Wed 05/13 03Z 0.37 2207 61 20 0 0.00
Wed 05/13 04Z 0.45 2209 63 12 0 0.00
Wed 05/13 05Z 0.51 2310 64 9 0 0.00
Wed 05/13 06Z 0.54 2211 65 9 0 0.00
Wed 05/13 07Z 0.52 2211 66 34 0 0.00
Wed 05/13 08Z 0.47 2112 69 71 0 0.00
Wed 05/13 09Z 0.42 2111 72 88 0 0.00
Wed 05/13 10Z 0.37 2012 75 96 0 0.00
Wed 05/13 11Z 0.20 1812 81 98 0 0.01
Wed 05/13 12Z 0.06 1715 86 98 0 0.01
Wed 05/13 13Z 0.05 1619 89 98 1 0.01
Wed 05/13 14Z 0.05 1722 92 97 1 0.01
Wed 05/13 15Z 0.07 1725 96 97 2 0.02
Wed 05/13 16Z 0.11 1724 96 98 3 0.04
Wed 05/13 17Z 0.05 1724 96 97 4 0.04
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 0.15 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1