Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20261007_0600
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Wed 10/07 06Z 0.20 2808 50 43 3 0.00
Wed 10/07 07Z 0.22 2708 51 45 3 0.00
Wed 10/07 08Z 0.23 2509 51 54 4 0.00
Wed 10/07 09Z 0.26 2411 46 65 4 0.00
Wed 10/07 10Z 0.29 2413 38 76 5 0.00
Wed 10/07 11Z 0.30 2414 34 85 6 0.00
Wed 10/07 12Z 0.33 2416 30 79 7 0.00
Wed 10/07 13Z 0.33 2317 25 84 8 0.00
Wed 10/07 14Z 0.33 2218 24 79 8 0.00
Wed 10/07 15Z 0.37 2221 31 82 8 0.00
Wed 10/07 16Z 0.44 2223 40 90 8 0.00
Wed 10/07 17Z 0.56 2124 45 96 7 0.00
Wed 10/07 18Z 0.63 2125 45 92 7 0.00
Wed 10/07 19Z 0.63 2124 47 84 8 0.00
Wed 10/07 20Z 0.66 2124 51 83 8 0.00
Wed 10/07 21Z 0.73 2124 56 76 7 0.00
Wed 10/07 22Z 0.79 2125 64 43 7 0.00
Wed 10/07 23Z 0.78 2226 70 72 7 0.00
Thu 10/08 00Z 0.77 2227 74 79 7 0.00
Thu 10/08 01Z 0.78 2328 77 74 7 0.00
Thu 10/08 02Z 0.71 2327 77 52 7 0.00
Thu 10/08 03Z 0.65 2327 76 60 8 0.00
Thu 10/08 04Z 0.69 2329 80 59 8 0.00
Thu 10/08 05Z 0.72 2329 87 69 8 0.00
Thu 10/08 06Z 0.69 2328 89 64 7 0.01
Thu 10/08 07Z 0.65 2326 90 51 7 0.01
Thu 10/08 08Z 0.68 2328 92 65 7 0.01
Thu 10/08 09Z 0.65 2329 94 87 8 0.06
Thu 10/08 10Z 0.68 2330 92 80 8 0.01
Thu 10/08 11Z 0.76 2431 93 56 8 0.01
Thu 10/08 12Z 0.87 2433 90 36 7 0.01
Thu 10/08 13Z 1.08 2533 88 22 6 0.02
Thu 10/08 14Z 1.26 2630 90 21 4 0.02
Thu 10/08 15Z 2.00 2629 93 22 3 0.01
Thu 10/08 16Z 2.22 2630 93 35 3 0.01
Thu 10/08 17Z 5.38 2730 90 32 3 0.02
Thu 10/08 18Z 9.50 2728 85 30 3 0.00
Thu 10/08 19Z 7.07 2726 86 39 3 0.00
Thu 10/08 20Z 5.00 2626 86 39 3 0.01
Thu 10/08 21Z 3.36 2626 87 35 3 0.00
Thu 10/08 22Z 1.86 2726 86 40 2 0.00
Thu 10/08 23Z 1.67 2726 90 54 2 0.01
Fri 10/09 00Z 1.25 2725 90 59 2 0.01
Fri 10/09 01Z 1.07 2725 91 56 2 0.01
Fri 10/09 02Z 0.99 2825 89 44 2 0.01
Fri 10/09 03Z 0.91 2726 88 53 2 0.00
Fri 10/09 04Z 0.90 2727 90 44 2 0.00
Fri 10/09 05Z 1.01 2731 92 47 1 0.00
Fri 10/09 06Z 1.08 2731 91 32 1 0.00
Fri 10/09 07Z 1.21 2732 90 33 1 0.00
Fri 10/09 08Z 1.22 2732 91 30 1 0.00
Fri 10/09 09Z 1.13 2831 91 22 1 0.00
Fri 10/09 10Z 1.13 2831 88 20 0 0.00
Fri 10/09 11Z 1.08 2831 87 29 0 0.00
Fri 10/09 12Z 1.07 2829 89 37 0 0.00
Fri 10/09 13Z 1.08 2827 92 40 0 0.00
Fri 10/09 14Z 1.19 2725 94 36 0 0.00
Fri 10/09 15Z 1.25 2722 96 34 0 0.00
Fri 10/09 16Z 1.34 2722 96 34 0 0.01
Fri 10/09 17Z 1.49 2722 96 32 0 0.01
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 0.27 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1