
Lake effect snow showers will prevail through tonight, with total snow accumulations between 4 and 11 inches possible in the most persistent lake snow bands across portions of northern New York. Holiday travel be very hazardous at times, with poor visibilities in snow and blowing snow. Read More >
Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20251123_1800
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sun 11/23 18Z 0.27 2209 97 87 -5 0.00
Sun 11/23 19Z 0.25 2209 97 93 -5 0.01
Sun 11/23 20Z 0.26 2209 98 93 -5 0.02
Sun 11/23 21Z 0.32 2210 99 93 -5 0.02
Sun 11/23 22Z 0.33 2310 99 94 -5 0.02
Sun 11/23 23Z 0.31 2510 98 87 -4 0.02
Mon 11/24 00Z 0.30 2710 98 74 -4 0.01
Mon 11/24 01Z 0.27 2810 96 62 -4 0.01
Mon 11/24 02Z 0.27 2910 95 72 -4 0.00
Mon 11/24 03Z 0.31 2912 95 72 -4 0.00
Mon 11/24 04Z 0.33 2913 96 72 -4 0.00
Mon 11/24 05Z 0.35 2913 97 74 -5 0.01
Mon 11/24 06Z 0.39 3015 96 76 -5 0.01
Mon 11/24 07Z 0.44 3016 96 76 -5 0.01
Mon 11/24 08Z 0.46 3018 97 81 -5 0.01
Mon 11/24 09Z 0.45 3119 98 81 -5 0.02
Mon 11/24 10Z 0.46 3121 97 76 -5 0.01
Mon 11/24 11Z 0.52 3123 97 66 -6 0.01
Mon 11/24 12Z 0.53 3123 97 52 -6 0.01
Mon 11/24 13Z 0.52 3123 97 46 -6 0.01
Mon 11/24 14Z 0.50 3123 96 50 -6 0.01
Mon 11/24 15Z 0.38 3121 94 47 -6 0.00
Mon 11/24 16Z 0.42 3120 94 18 -6 0.00
Mon 11/24 17Z 0.44 3017 94 2 -6 0.00
Mon 11/24 18Z 0.45 2916 90 2 -5 0.00
Mon 11/24 19Z 0.33 2916 78 8 -4 0.00
Mon 11/24 20Z 0.31 3017 67 11 -2 0.00
Mon 11/24 21Z 0.25 3017 56 22 -1 0.00
Mon 11/24 22Z 0.25 3017 44 32 0 0.00
Mon 11/24 23Z 0.27 2917 39 56 0 0.00
Tue 11/25 00Z 0.28 2916 33 70 0 0.00
Tue 11/25 01Z 0.30 2816 23 85 1 0.00
Tue 11/25 02Z 0.35 2817 18 91 1 0.00
Tue 11/25 03Z 0.36 2715 15 91 1 0.00
Tue 11/25 04Z 0.39 2517 14 93 2 0.00
Tue 11/25 05Z 0.48 2421 13 92 2 0.00
Tue 11/25 06Z 0.56 2426 15 91 2 0.00
Tue 11/25 07Z 0.62 2429 16 88 2 0.00
Tue 11/25 08Z 0.64 2529 15 86 2 0.00
Tue 11/25 09Z 0.65 2529 15 85 2 0.00
Tue 11/25 10Z 0.63 2528 16 90 2 0.00
Tue 11/25 11Z 0.60 2526 18 82 2 0.00
Tue 11/25 12Z 0.56 2524 23 64 2 0.00
Tue 11/25 13Z 0.52 2522 28 69 2 0.00
Tue 11/25 14Z 0.43 2518 29 82 2 0.00
Tue 11/25 15Z 0.39 2417 35 75 3 0.00
Tue 11/25 16Z 0.39 2419 38 65 3 0.00
Tue 11/25 17Z 0.41 2320 45 64 3 0.00
Tue 11/25 18Z 0.44 2321 47 71 3 0.00
Tue 11/25 19Z 0.42 2320 46 64 3 0.00
Tue 11/25 20Z 0.38 2319 48 60 4 0.00
Tue 11/25 21Z 0.36 2319 54 65 4 0.00
Tue 11/25 22Z 0.38 2319 54 61 4 0.00
Tue 11/25 23Z 0.38 2319 62 63 4 0.00
Wed 11/26 00Z 0.39 2319 73 65 3 0.00
Wed 11/26 01Z 0.39 2319 81 77 3 0.01
Wed 11/26 02Z 0.41 2320 85 94 3 0.01
Wed 11/26 03Z 0.38 2219 90 98 3 0.02
Wed 11/26 04Z 0.31 2117 94 98 3 0.01
Wed 11/26 05Z 0.24 2017 94 98 3 0.01
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 0.28 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1