
Snow is expected late this morning through Monday night. Across south-central Vermont and portions of the Adirondacks in New York, snowfall rates of 1-2" per hour are likely this evening into tonight. Snow accumulations at least 8" regionwide, 13-19" in southern areas, and locally 2 feet are expected along the spine of the southern Greens. Travel impacts will begin tonight and continue Monday. Read More >
Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260125_0600
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sun 01/25 06Z 0.14 3113 50 13 -18 0.00
Sun 01/25 07Z 0.13 3113 49 11 -17 0.00
Sun 01/25 08Z 0.13 3111 48 11 -17 0.00
Sun 01/25 09Z 0.13 3010 48 10 -16 0.00
Sun 01/25 10Z 0.10 3109 47 13 -16 0.00
Sun 01/25 11Z 0.06 3106 45 16 -16 0.00
Sun 01/25 12Z 0.04 2802 43 32 -15 0.00
Sun 01/25 14Z 0.01 1704 39 80 -15 0.00
Sun 01/25 15Z 0.01 1707 48 87 -16 0.00
Sun 01/25 16Z 0.06 1407 68 87 -16 0.00
Sun 01/25 17Z 0.08 1308 83 87 -16 0.00
Sun 01/25 18Z 0.13 1312 85 87 -15 0.01
Sun 01/25 19Z 0.16 1317 85 88 -15 0.03
Sun 01/25 20Z 0.16 1420 85 89 -15 0.04
Sun 01/25 21Z 0.18 1421 86 90 -14 0.06
Sun 01/25 22Z 0.21 1424 86 91 -14 0.07
Sun 01/25 23Z 0.28 1328 86 91 -14 0.08
Mon 01/26 00Z 0.33 1331 86 91 -13 0.09
Mon 01/26 01Z 0.37 1231 85 94 -13 0.06
Mon 01/26 02Z 0.40 1130 86 96 -12 0.05
Mon 01/26 03Z 0.41 1129 86 91 -12 0.04
Mon 01/26 04Z 0.41 1026 86 91 -12 0.05
Mon 01/26 05Z 0.47 1026 86 91 -13 0.05
Mon 01/26 06Z 0.54 1028 86 90 -13 0.06
Mon 01/26 07Z 0.54 1027 86 91 -13 0.04
Mon 01/26 08Z 0.53 0927 87 93 -13 0.02
Mon 01/26 09Z 0.50 1025 87 92 -13 0.01
Mon 01/26 10Z 0.46 1023 87 91 -13 0.01
Mon 01/26 11Z 0.42 1022 87 88 -13 0.01
Mon 01/26 12Z 0.39 1021 87 90 -13 0.01
Mon 01/26 13Z 0.34 1118 86 89 -12 0.00
Mon 01/26 14Z 0.30 1116 87 91 -12 0.00
Mon 01/26 15Z 0.27 1115 88 91 -12 0.00
Mon 01/26 16Z 0.25 1213 89 92 -12 0.00
Mon 01/26 17Z 0.23 1311 89 89 -12 0.00
Mon 01/26 18Z 0.20 1310 90 85 -12 0.01
Mon 01/26 19Z 0.19 1309 91 87 -12 0.01
Mon 01/26 20Z 0.14 1408 92 90 -13 0.02
Mon 01/26 21Z 0.07 1806 92 92 -13 0.01
Mon 01/26 22Z 0.29 2309 90 90 -13 0.02
Mon 01/26 23Z 0.45 2513 89 82 -14 0.03
Tue 01/27 00Z 0.61 2615 89 82 -15 0.03
Tue 01/27 01Z 0.84 2919 90 84 -17 0.02
Tue 01/27 02Z 0.61 3021 90 82 -17 0.01
Tue 01/27 03Z 0.49 3121 90 78 -18 0.01
Tue 01/27 04Z 0.51 3122 91 76 -19 0.01
Tue 01/27 05Z 0.48 3124 91 72 -19 0.01
Tue 01/27 06Z 0.50 3126 90 65 -19 0.00
Tue 01/27 07Z 0.50 3128 90 58 -19 0.00
Tue 01/27 08Z 0.53 3028 88 53 -19 0.00
Tue 01/27 09Z 0.53 3028 86 47 -19 0.00
Tue 01/27 10Z 0.53 3028 79 43 -19 0.00
Tue 01/27 11Z 0.50 3027 68 32 -19 0.00
Tue 01/27 12Z 0.47 3027 66 20 -19 0.00
Tue 01/27 13Z 0.46 3026 72 30 -18 0.00
Tue 01/27 14Z 0.42 3022 75 30 -18 0.00
Tue 01/27 15Z 0.41 2917 81 28 -18 0.00
Tue 01/27 16Z 0.41 2712 83 68 -18 0.00
Tue 01/27 17Z 0.39 2509 81 83 -18 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 0.98 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1