
Cold temperatures and gusty winds will occur Friday night and Saturday. Temperatures between -10 and -20 with sustained winds between 5 and 15 mph will cause wind chills between -20 and -40 for most areas Friday night and Saturday morning. Stronger gusts will cause it to feel colder at times. Winds decrease on Saturday and temperatures rise modestly, raising wind chills into the -10 to -20 range. Read More >
Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260121_1800
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Wed 01/21 18Z 0.41 2218 76 72 -14 0.00
Wed 01/21 19Z 0.41 2120 68 84 -14 0.00
Wed 01/21 20Z 0.37 2022 77 88 -13 0.00
Wed 01/21 21Z 0.35 1926 79 87 -12 0.00
Wed 01/21 22Z 0.30 1928 88 89 -10 0.01
Wed 01/21 23Z 0.43 2033 91 94 -10 0.03
Thu 01/22 00Z 0.59 2038 85 91 -11 0.01
Thu 01/22 01Z 0.64 2139 81 91 -10 0.00
Thu 01/22 02Z 0.69 2140 89 94 -9 0.00
Thu 01/22 03Z 0.73 2140 92 93 -9 0.01
Thu 01/22 04Z 0.74 2138 88 93 -8 0.00
Thu 01/22 05Z 0.69 2136 87 89 -7 0.00
Thu 01/22 06Z 0.65 2234 90 84 -6 0.01
Thu 01/22 07Z 0.65 2233 95 82 -6 0.01
Thu 01/22 08Z 0.68 2232 96 72 -6 0.01
Thu 01/22 09Z 0.69 2231 96 59 -6 0.01
Thu 01/22 10Z 0.79 2332 96 72 -7 0.01
Thu 01/22 11Z 0.95 2433 95 88 -7 0.01
Thu 01/22 12Z 1.33 2432 93 90 -9 0.02
Thu 01/22 13Z 1.52 2433 93 79 -10 0.01
Thu 01/22 14Z 1.85 2532 94 51 -11 0.01
Thu 01/22 15Z 1.88 2530 93 72 -11 0.00
Thu 01/22 16Z 2.90 2528 92 69 -12 0.00
Thu 01/22 17Z 4.02 2527 90 61 -12 0.00
Thu 01/22 18Z 6.21 2525 84 62 -11 0.00
Thu 01/22 19Z 8.22 2524 83 56 -11 0.00
Thu 01/22 20Z 6.14 2525 85 51 -11 0.00
Thu 01/22 21Z 2.55 2526 86 39 -11 0.00
Thu 01/22 22Z 4.14 2529 86 53 -12 0.01
Thu 01/22 23Z 2.24 2528 83 42 -12 0.01
Fri 01/23 00Z 2.00 2527 87 50 -13 0.00
Fri 01/23 01Z 2.40 2529 82 52 -14 0.01
Fri 01/23 02Z 2.35 2630 80 44 -14 0.01
Fri 01/23 03Z 1.45 2529 82 43 -14 0.00
Fri 01/23 04Z 1.27 2530 82 47 -15 0.01
Fri 01/23 05Z 1.31 2630 79 45 -15 0.01
Fri 01/23 06Z 1.34 2629 81 40 -16 0.01
Fri 01/23 07Z 1.33 2628 86 37 -16 0.00
Fri 01/23 08Z 1.43 2627 85 36 -17 0.00
Fri 01/23 09Z 1.38 2625 86 31 -17 0.00
Fri 01/23 10Z 1.28 2524 89 28 -17 0.00
Fri 01/23 11Z 1.24 2525 92 47 -17 0.00
Fri 01/23 12Z 0.93 2426 83 55 -16 0.00
Fri 01/23 13Z 1.06 2429 86 42 -16 0.00
Fri 01/23 14Z 1.26 2333 91 14 -16 0.00
Fri 01/23 15Z 2.11 2431 89 22 -16 0.00
Fri 01/23 16Z 8.24 2428 91 28 -16 0.00
Fri 01/23 17Z 5.61 2525 89 43 -16 0.01
Fri 01/23 18Z 14.50 2625 79 45 -17 0.01
Fri 01/23 19Z 13.90 2626 74 49 -18 0.01
Fri 01/23 20Z 14.30 2726 72 53 -18 0.01
Fri 01/23 21Z 12.68 2626 72 54 -19 0.00
Fri 01/23 22Z 5.11 2723 77 68 -20 0.01
Fri 01/23 23Z 2.13 2922 82 70 -20 0.01
Sat 01/24 00Z 2.53 2921 77 65 -21 0.01
Sat 01/24 01Z 2.22 3022 72 65 -22 0.01
Sat 01/24 02Z 1.49 3124 62 65 -23 0.01
Sat 01/24 03Z 1.11 3025 60 57 -23 0.00
Sat 01/24 04Z 1.23 3025 73 57 -24 0.00
Sat 01/24 05Z 3.21 3026 82 40 -25 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 0.32 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1