
A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect from 8 PM this evening through 8 AM Monday for the northern Adirondack region of NY and the spine of the Green Mountains eastward in Vermont. Widespread 3-6 inches of snowfall is expected with the heaviest snow likely to fall between 1 AM and 10 AM Sunday. Elsewhere, snowfall amounts will range from 2-4 inches with rain mixing with snow Sunday afternoom. Read More >
Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260321_1800
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sat 03/21 18Z 1.13 3312 90 23 -8 0.00
Sat 03/21 19Z 1.00 3215 84 12 -8 0.00
Sat 03/21 20Z 0.66 3316 79 10 -7 0.00
Sat 03/21 21Z 0.41 3314 74 16 -7 0.00
Sat 03/21 22Z 0.21 3211 73 17 -7 0.00
Sat 03/21 23Z 0.17 3210 71 22 -6 0.00
Sun 03/22 00Z 0.15 3208 68 31 -6 0.00
Sun 03/22 01Z 0.12 3209 64 55 -5 0.00
Sun 03/22 02Z 0.05 3505 54 91 -5 0.00
Sun 03/22 03Z 0.07 0403 53 93 -4 0.00
Sun 03/22 04Z 0.04 1302 58 92 -6 0.00
Sun 03/22 05Z 0.05 1803 69 93 -6 0.00
Sun 03/22 06Z 0.05 1607 73 93 -6 0.01
Sun 03/22 07Z 0.06 1712 69 96 -5 0.01
Sun 03/22 08Z 0.10 1718 77 96 -7 0.00
Sun 03/22 09Z 0.14 1823 91 96 -6 0.02
Sun 03/22 10Z 0.08 1726 95 96 -5 0.03
Sun 03/22 11Z 0.08 1730 96 98 -4 0.07
Sun 03/22 12Z 0.10 1729 97 99 -3 0.05
Sun 03/22 13Z 0.08 1728 97 98 -2 0.08
Sun 03/22 14Z 0.13 1828 98 91 -2 0.07
Sun 03/22 15Z 0.16 1827 98 91 -1 0.09
Sun 03/22 16Z 0.23 1925 98 73 0 0.05
Sun 03/22 17Z 0.29 2022 98 92 0 0.04
Sun 03/22 18Z 0.24 2018 99 95 1 0.05
Sun 03/22 19Z 0.24 2116 99 98 1 0.07
Sun 03/22 20Z 0.24 2114 99 95 1 0.08
Sun 03/22 21Z 0.20 2210 99 93 1 0.07
Sun 03/22 22Z 0.16 2307 99 79 1 0.08
Sun 03/22 23Z 0.14 2406 99 89 0 0.03
Mon 03/23 00Z 0.06 2702 99 84 0 0.04
Mon 03/23 01Z 0.03 3002 100 74 0 0.03
Mon 03/23 02Z 0.04 0202 99 65 -1 0.02
Mon 03/23 03Z 0.08 0404 99 47 -2 0.01
Mon 03/23 04Z 0.13 0406 99 28 -2 0.00
Mon 03/23 05Z 0.14 0407 99 29 -3 0.01
Mon 03/23 06Z 0.15 0407 99 32 -4 0.01
Mon 03/23 07Z 0.18 0408 98 31 -5 0.01
Mon 03/23 08Z 0.18 0308 98 29 -5 0.01
Mon 03/23 09Z 0.20 0308 98 31 -6 0.01
Mon 03/23 10Z 0.20 0309 98 30 -7 0.01
Mon 03/23 11Z 0.19 0308 98 29 -7 0.01
Mon 03/23 12Z 0.19 0307 98 28 -8 0.01
Mon 03/23 13Z 0.17 0306 98 28 -8 0.01
Mon 03/23 14Z 0.13 0206 98 30 -8 0.01
Mon 03/23 15Z 0.08 0105 98 29 -8 0.00
Mon 03/23 16Z 0.03 3405 98 32 -9 0.00
Mon 03/23 17Z 0.08 3308 97 31 -9 0.00
Mon 03/23 18Z 0.12 3310 97 39 -9 0.00
Mon 03/23 19Z 0.14 3312 95 45 -9 0.00
Mon 03/23 20Z 0.20 3315 94 36 -9 0.00
Mon 03/23 21Z 0.25 3318 94 32 -10 0.00
Mon 03/23 22Z 0.27 3321 93 26 -10 0.00
Mon 03/23 23Z 0.23 3323 94 20 -10 0.00
Tue 03/24 00Z 0.18 3324 94 18 -11 0.00
Tue 03/24 01Z 0.16 3425 91 18 -11 0.00
Tue 03/24 02Z 0.17 3425 87 18 -11 0.00
Tue 03/24 03Z 0.28 3323 93 22 -11 0.01
Tue 03/24 04Z 0.37 3322 94 20 -11 0.02
Tue 03/24 05Z 0.24 3320 95 14 -11 0.01
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 1.14 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1