Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20261007_0000
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Wed 10/07 00Z 0.68 2917 58 30 0 0.00
Wed 10/07 01Z 0.69 3017 61 43 0 0.00
Wed 10/07 02Z 0.55 3017 60 54 0 0.00
Wed 10/07 03Z 0.41 3017 54 61 1 0.00
Wed 10/07 04Z 0.33 3015 48 66 2 0.00
Wed 10/07 05Z 0.29 2913 42 61 3 0.00
Wed 10/07 06Z 0.28 2812 38 53 3 0.00
Wed 10/07 07Z 0.29 2712 35 66 4 0.00
Wed 10/07 08Z 0.30 2713 34 67 4 0.00
Wed 10/07 09Z 0.31 2613 31 69 5 0.00
Wed 10/07 10Z 0.30 2613 25 81 5 0.00
Wed 10/07 11Z 0.29 2513 19 84 6 0.00
Wed 10/07 12Z 0.28 2413 17 83 7 0.00
Wed 10/07 13Z 0.29 2315 20 80 7 0.00
Wed 10/07 14Z 0.30 2217 28 86 7 0.00
Wed 10/07 15Z 0.32 2119 34 89 7 0.00
Wed 10/07 16Z 0.38 2121 39 87 7 0.00
Wed 10/07 17Z 0.41 2122 41 89 8 0.00
Wed 10/07 18Z 0.46 2122 42 91 8 0.00
Wed 10/07 19Z 0.52 2124 42 89 8 0.00
Wed 10/07 20Z 0.52 2124 44 84 8 0.00
Wed 10/07 21Z 0.59 2124 53 66 8 0.00
Wed 10/07 22Z 0.68 2125 63 32 7 0.00
Wed 10/07 23Z 0.73 2227 74 53 7 0.00
Thu 10/08 00Z 0.71 2228 80 82 7 0.00
Thu 10/08 01Z 0.72 2329 80 83 7 0.00
Thu 10/08 02Z 0.75 2330 83 67 7 0.00
Thu 10/08 03Z 0.83 2432 90 64 7 0.00
Thu 10/08 04Z 0.80 2431 92 75 7 0.00
Thu 10/08 05Z 0.75 2430 94 68 7 0.01
Thu 10/08 06Z 0.70 2428 95 67 8 0.01
Thu 10/08 07Z 0.66 2426 95 69 8 0.01
Thu 10/08 08Z 0.63 2325 96 73 8 0.01
Thu 10/08 09Z 0.56 2322 96 76 7 0.02
Thu 10/08 10Z 0.50 2321 97 83 8 0.02
Thu 10/08 11Z 0.55 2225 96 73 8 0.04
Thu 10/08 12Z 0.79 2332 97 70 7 0.05
Thu 10/08 13Z 0.97 2432 97 75 6 0.05
Thu 10/08 14Z 1.03 2529 94 88 6 0.02
Thu 10/08 15Z 1.18 2529 89 38 5 0.02
Thu 10/08 16Z 2.93 2529 92 23 5 0.02
Thu 10/08 17Z 7.04 2628 88 37 4 0.01
Thu 10/08 18Z 9.05 2728 86 36 4 0.01
Thu 10/08 19Z 9.28 2626 84 38 3 0.00
Thu 10/08 20Z 9.58 2626 83 31 3 0.00
Thu 10/08 21Z 4.40 2627 85 42 3 0.00
Thu 10/08 22Z 2.08 2728 84 43 3 0.01
Thu 10/08 23Z 1.64 2727 90 34 2 0.01
Fri 10/09 00Z 1.53 2726 92 36 2 0.01
Fri 10/09 01Z 1.16 2826 90 39 1 0.00
Fri 10/09 02Z 1.03 2826 86 33 1 0.00
Fri 10/09 03Z 0.91 2825 84 35 1 0.00
Fri 10/09 04Z 0.95 2825 89 39 1 0.00
Fri 10/09 05Z 0.91 2825 89 35 1 0.00
Fri 10/09 06Z 0.81 2825 86 36 1 0.00
Fri 10/09 07Z 0.89 2727 91 47 1 0.00
Fri 10/09 08Z 0.93 2727 92 61 1 0.00
Fri 10/09 09Z 0.90 2726 93 38 1 0.00
Fri 10/09 10Z 0.98 2727 91 49 1 0.00
Fri 10/09 11Z 0.96 2727 89 37 1 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 0.33 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1