
Heavy to excessive rainfall will continue through tonight from the Texas Big Bend region into southern Oklahoma. Scattered damaging wind gusts and a few tornadoes may accompany a line of severe thunderstorms that is expected across the Mid-Atlantic into New England Friday. A Typhoon Watch continues for Guam and CNMI as Tropical Storm Champi will strengthen and approach the islands this weekend. Read More >
Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20261016_0000
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Fri 10/16 00Z 0.05 1904 52 4 5 0.00
Fri 10/16 01Z 0.07 1906 50 5 5 0.00
Fri 10/16 02Z 0.08 1909 50 6 5 0.00
Fri 10/16 03Z 0.10 1812 49 5 6 0.00
Fri 10/16 04Z 0.16 1918 54 7 6 0.00
Fri 10/16 05Z 0.21 1922 66 17 5 0.00
Fri 10/16 06Z 0.23 1926 75 37 5 0.00
Fri 10/16 07Z 0.26 1928 79 60 6 0.00
Fri 10/16 08Z 0.24 1831 76 96 6 0.00
Fri 10/16 09Z 0.25 1834 76 99 6 0.00
Fri 10/16 10Z 0.27 1936 93 97 7 0.04
Fri 10/16 11Z 0.35 1939 97 97 7 0.07
Fri 10/16 12Z 0.40 1940 98 98 8 0.10
Fri 10/16 13Z 0.57 2042 98 91 8 0.19
Fri 10/16 14Z 0.62 2142 98 82 10 0.05
Fri 10/16 15Z 0.62 2139 98 88 11 0.04
Fri 10/16 16Z 0.61 2236 98 96 12 0.05
Fri 10/16 17Z 0.61 2333 98 96 13 0.04
Fri 10/16 18Z 0.64 2431 98 89 13 0.05
Fri 10/16 19Z 0.78 2431 97 95 12 0.05
Fri 10/16 20Z 0.80 2529 95 96 12 0.03
Fri 10/16 21Z 0.94 2430 95 93 11 0.07
Fri 10/16 22Z 1.11 2532 96 90 10 0.12
Fri 10/16 23Z 1.16 2630 94 82 9 0.07
Sat 10/17 00Z 0.94 2726 96 76 8 0.08
Sat 10/17 01Z 0.86 2828 97 57 6 0.04
Sat 10/17 02Z 0.57 3029 94 52 3 0.03
Sat 10/17 03Z 0.64 3129 95 40 0 0.01
Sat 10/17 04Z 0.64 3129 96 49 -1 0.01
Sat 10/17 05Z 0.48 3229 95 49 -2 0.01
Sat 10/17 06Z 0.53 3230 96 45 -3 0.01
Sat 10/17 07Z 0.56 3231 97 40 -4 0.01
Sat 10/17 08Z 0.48 3230 97 38 -4 0.01
Sat 10/17 09Z 0.40 3330 96 40 -5 0.01
Sat 10/17 10Z 0.38 3329 94 29 -5 0.01
Sat 10/17 11Z 0.39 3329 94 6 -6 0.01
Sat 10/17 12Z 0.39 3229 93 0 -7 0.00
Sat 10/17 13Z 0.35 3228 92 0 -7 0.00
Sat 10/17 14Z 0.30 3226 88 2 -8 0.00
Sat 10/17 15Z 0.25 3326 77 3 -8 0.00
Sat 10/17 16Z 0.23 3325 69 2 -8 0.00
Sat 10/17 17Z 0.45 3322 67 1 -9 0.00
Sat 10/17 18Z 1.03 3320 67 2 -9 0.00
Sat 10/17 19Z 1.12 3320 64 3 -8 0.00
Sat 10/17 20Z 1.76 3220 61 1 -8 0.00
Sat 10/17 21Z 2.40 3221 64 5 -8 0.00
Sat 10/17 22Z 1.36 3122 62 14 -8 0.00
Sat 10/17 23Z 0.98 3123 58 22 -8 0.00
Sun 10/18 00Z 0.62 3124 53 26 -8 0.00
Sun 10/18 01Z 0.38 3224 43 33 -7 0.00
Sun 10/18 02Z 0.32 3225 38 40 -7 0.00
Sun 10/18 03Z 0.29 3325 37 30 -6 0.00
Sun 10/18 04Z 0.31 3224 41 19 -6 0.00
Sun 10/18 05Z 0.35 3223 50 17 -7 0.00
Sun 10/18 06Z 0.33 3221 56 15 -7 0.00
Sun 10/18 07Z 0.34 3220 59 6 -6 0.00
Sun 10/18 08Z 0.34 3220 59 6 -6 0.00
Sun 10/18 09Z 0.33 3218 56 3 -5 0.00
Sun 10/18 10Z 0.34 3118 53 3 -4 0.00
Sun 10/18 11Z 0.34 3016 49 2 -4 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 1.21 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1