Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260513_0000
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Wed 05/13 00Z 0.09 2902 55 17 1 0.00
Wed 05/13 01Z 0.08 2702 55 20 1 0.00
Wed 05/13 02Z 0.08 2202 57 20 1 0.00
Wed 05/13 03Z 0.10 2004 59 15 1 0.00
Wed 05/13 04Z 0.11 2104 58 13 1 0.00
Wed 05/13 05Z 0.08 1906 57 12 2 0.00
Wed 05/13 06Z 0.12 1909 57 12 2 0.00
Wed 05/13 07Z 0.16 1911 56 24 2 0.00
Wed 05/13 08Z 0.21 2011 57 86 2 0.00
Wed 05/13 09Z 0.17 1910 59 93 1 0.00
Wed 05/13 10Z 0.09 1714 63 99 1 0.00
Wed 05/13 11Z 0.10 1719 74 99 1 0.00
Wed 05/13 12Z 0.15 1820 90 99 2 0.02
Wed 05/13 13Z 0.18 1920 96 98 3 0.03
Wed 05/13 14Z 0.22 2018 96 96 3 0.05
Wed 05/13 15Z 0.13 1817 94 97 3 0.06
Wed 05/13 16Z 0.08 1720 92 97 4 0.05
Wed 05/13 17Z 0.05 1722 85 90 5 0.03
Wed 05/13 18Z 0.13 1824 88 97 5 0.01
Wed 05/13 19Z 0.12 1825 89 96 5 0.02
Wed 05/13 20Z 0.19 1825 93 94 5 0.02
Wed 05/13 21Z 0.21 1825 96 96 5 0.04
Wed 05/13 22Z 0.22 1828 97 97 5 0.07
Wed 05/13 23Z 0.32 1930 97 93 6 0.06
Thu 05/14 00Z 0.35 1928 96 96 6 0.07
Thu 05/14 01Z 0.40 1931 94 86 6 0.06
Thu 05/14 02Z 0.49 2033 91 81 6 0.01
Thu 05/14 03Z 0.50 1934 84 72 6 0.01
Thu 05/14 04Z 0.51 2033 81 82 6 0.00
Thu 05/14 05Z 0.47 2030 88 92 6 0.03
Thu 05/14 06Z 0.42 1930 91 87 6 0.03
Thu 05/14 07Z 0.43 2029 96 85 5 0.02
Thu 05/14 08Z 0.42 2027 96 83 5 0.03
Thu 05/14 09Z 0.32 1922 97 73 5 0.02
Thu 05/14 10Z 0.25 1921 98 87 5 0.01
Thu 05/14 11Z 0.16 1818 98 88 5 0.02
Thu 05/14 12Z 0.07 1717 98 94 5 0.04
Thu 05/14 13Z 0.08 1619 98 98 5 0.09
Thu 05/14 14Z 0.16 1519 97 98 5 0.12
Thu 05/14 15Z 0.24 1419 97 98 5 0.12
Thu 05/14 16Z 0.35 1320 97 99 5 0.13
Thu 05/14 17Z 0.46 1220 97 98 5 0.13
Thu 05/14 18Z 0.54 1221 97 96 6 0.13
Thu 05/14 19Z 0.54 1121 98 97 6 0.08
Thu 05/14 20Z 0.59 1120 97 97 6 0.08
Thu 05/14 21Z 0.51 1117 97 98 6 0.06
Thu 05/14 22Z 0.55 0918 98 99 6 0.18
Thu 05/14 23Z 0.61 0921 99 95 6 0.14
Fri 05/15 00Z 0.62 0921 99 86 6 0.07
Fri 05/15 01Z 0.52 1019 98 78 6 0.06
Fri 05/15 02Z 0.39 1018 98 76 7 0.03
Fri 05/15 03Z 0.44 1020 97 78 7 0.02
Fri 05/15 04Z 0.44 1021 96 89 7 0.04
Fri 05/15 05Z 0.47 1022 94 93 7 0.07
Fri 05/15 06Z 0.52 1023 95 97 7 0.07
Fri 05/15 07Z 0.56 0924 95 98 6 0.11
Fri 05/15 08Z 0.66 0927 96 97 6 0.12
Fri 05/15 09Z 0.80 0931 96 94 5 0.09
Fri 05/15 10Z 0.77 0929 93 95 5 0.04
Fri 05/15 11Z 0.73 0826 93 96 4 0.02
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 2.81 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1