Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260530_0000
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sat 05/30 00Z 0.73 2518 77 96 6 0.00
Sat 05/30 01Z 0.65 2614 83 95 6 0.16
Sat 05/30 02Z 0.39 2911 93 98 4 0.18
Sat 05/30 03Z 0.18 3319 90 91 3 0.16
Sat 05/30 04Z 0.26 3217 96 65 2 0.01
Sat 05/30 05Z 0.26 3219 96 64 2 0.01
Sat 05/30 06Z 0.19 3220 96 73 1 0.01
Sat 05/30 07Z 0.17 3518 97 90 0 0.04
Sat 05/30 08Z 0.51 0320 97 94 0 0.07
Sat 05/30 09Z 0.77 0428 98 94 -1 0.08
Sat 05/30 10Z 0.95 0433 98 92 -1 0.10
Sat 05/30 11Z 0.93 0436 98 89 -1 0.11
Sat 05/30 12Z 0.89 0436 98 90 -1 0.09
Sat 05/30 13Z 0.70 0332 97 91 -2 0.07
Sat 05/30 14Z 0.56 0329 97 91 -1 0.08
Sat 05/30 15Z 0.50 0325 92 86 0 0.06
Sat 05/30 16Z 0.56 0322 90 70 0 0.03
Sat 05/30 17Z 1.14 0119 86 62 0 0.01
Sat 05/30 18Z 1.56 0118 82 49 0 0.00
Sat 05/30 19Z 2.63 0118 78 30 0 0.00
Sat 05/30 20Z 4.12 0117 75 30 1 0.00
Sat 05/30 21Z 4.02 0116 73 37 1 0.00
Sat 05/30 22Z 2.93 0116 72 52 1 0.00
Sat 05/30 23Z 1.36 0017 70 66 1 0.00
Sun 05/31 00Z 0.64 0118 71 71 1 0.00
Sun 05/31 01Z 0.69 0120 69 58 1 0.00
Sun 05/31 02Z 0.70 0221 63 45 2 0.00
Sun 05/31 03Z 0.64 0221 59 25 2 0.00
Sun 05/31 04Z 0.58 0220 58 17 2 0.00
Sun 05/31 05Z 0.44 0218 53 15 2 0.00
Sun 05/31 06Z 0.31 0117 53 14 2 0.00
Sun 05/31 07Z 0.28 0117 54 11 3 0.00
Sun 05/31 08Z 0.18 0016 56 10 3 0.00
Sun 05/31 09Z 0.08 3515 62 16 3 0.00
Sun 05/31 10Z 0.10 3414 67 26 3 0.00
Sun 05/31 11Z 0.14 3314 67 30 3 0.00
Sun 05/31 12Z 0.17 3315 65 31 4 0.00
Sun 05/31 13Z 0.27 3213 65 37 4 0.00
Sun 05/31 14Z 0.48 3114 63 41 4 0.00
Sun 05/31 15Z 1.12 3114 61 58 5 0.00
Sun 05/31 16Z 1.70 3114 61 70 5 0.00
Sun 05/31 17Z 2.72 3114 61 74 5 0.00
Sun 05/31 18Z 3.45 3114 64 61 5 0.00
Sun 05/31 19Z 1.84 2913 75 56 5 0.01
Sun 05/31 20Z 0.97 2915 83 86 4 0.02
Sun 05/31 21Z 0.63 3017 75 83 5 0.01
Sun 05/31 22Z 0.82 3018 70 85 5 0.00
Sun 05/31 23Z 0.75 2814 77 91 4 0.01
Mon 06/01 00Z 0.60 2917 73 90 5 0.03
Mon 06/01 01Z 0.54 2916 75 76 5 0.01
Mon 06/01 02Z 0.53 2815 87 63 4 0.01
Mon 06/01 03Z 0.36 3013 85 54 5 0.01
Mon 06/01 04Z 0.23 3110 80 56 5 0.00
Mon 06/01 05Z 0.27 2807 85 51 4 0.00
Mon 06/01 06Z 0.29 2608 87 71 4 0.01
Mon 06/01 07Z 0.23 2606 87 92 4 0.03
Mon 06/01 08Z 0.17 2804 89 94 4 0.04
Mon 06/01 09Z 0.10 3104 92 95 4 0.04
Mon 06/01 10Z 0.11 3504 94 90 3 0.05
Mon 06/01 11Z 0.12 0106 95 86 3 0.06
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 1.61 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1