
Wildfires and poor air quality continue for the Pacific Northwest, Rockies and extended into the Plains. Severe thunderstorms possible for the northern Plains and upper Midwest on Monday along a frontal boundary. Another boundary will focus showers and thunderstorms for the eastern seaboard with localized heavy rainfall possible. For Alaska, a strong Bering Sea storm will bring winds and rainfall. Read More >
Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260802_1800
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sun 08/02 18Z 0.30 1913 92 65 15 0.00
Sun 08/02 19Z 0.47 1914 91 57 15 0.04
Sun 08/02 20Z 0.49 1916 89 38 15 0.04
Sun 08/02 21Z 0.42 1819 88 35 15 0.01
Sun 08/02 22Z 0.33 1820 91 49 15 0.01
Sun 08/02 23Z 0.41 1921 89 49 15 0.01
Mon 08/03 00Z 0.31 1823 86 59 15 0.00
Mon 08/03 01Z 0.29 1824 84 72 16 0.00
Mon 08/03 02Z 0.28 1924 80 80 16 0.00
Mon 08/03 03Z 0.31 1924 84 84 15 0.01
Mon 08/03 04Z 0.31 1922 86 92 15 0.01
Mon 08/03 05Z 0.27 1921 86 90 16 0.01
Mon 08/03 06Z 0.24 1921 84 89 16 0.01
Mon 08/03 07Z 0.27 1922 88 76 16 0.01
Mon 08/03 08Z 0.28 1923 91 91 16 0.01
Mon 08/03 09Z 0.25 1922 90 84 17 0.01
Mon 08/03 10Z 0.20 1823 94 90 16 0.02
Mon 08/03 11Z 0.20 1825 95 85 16 0.09
Mon 08/03 12Z 0.35 1925 92 88 16 0.03
Mon 08/03 13Z 0.33 1923 94 86 16 0.01
Mon 08/03 14Z 0.38 1922 97 79 16 0.01
Mon 08/03 15Z 0.43 2022 98 82 16 0.01
Mon 08/03 16Z 0.56 2123 98 81 16 0.02
Mon 08/03 17Z 0.71 2123 98 74 16 0.02
Mon 08/03 18Z 0.77 2123 98 72 16 0.02
Mon 08/03 19Z 0.72 2122 96 80 16 0.08
Mon 08/03 20Z 0.70 2227 88 50 16 0.30
Mon 08/03 21Z 1.14 2329 97 52 14 0.02
Mon 08/03 22Z 1.20 2530 96 70 13 0.03
Mon 08/03 23Z 1.18 2731 97 76 12 0.05
Tue 08/04 00Z 0.96 2931 97 71 11 0.06
Tue 08/04 01Z 0.73 3029 97 80 11 0.04
Tue 08/04 02Z 0.58 3129 97 58 11 0.02
Tue 08/04 03Z 0.48 3128 93 30 10 0.00
Tue 08/04 04Z 0.38 3227 87 17 10 0.00
Tue 08/04 05Z 0.49 3126 83 5 10 0.00
Tue 08/04 06Z 0.62 3128 80 7 11 0.00
Tue 08/04 07Z 0.64 3129 77 4 11 0.00
Tue 08/04 08Z 0.63 3128 75 4 11 0.00
Tue 08/04 09Z 0.53 3126 70 3 12 0.00
Tue 08/04 10Z 0.49 3124 66 3 12 0.00
Tue 08/04 11Z 0.43 3022 63 3 12 0.00
Tue 08/04 12Z 0.35 3020 55 3 13 0.00
Tue 08/04 13Z 0.32 3019 51 2 14 0.00
Tue 08/04 14Z 0.31 3117 50 2 13 0.00
Tue 08/04 15Z 0.31 3015 49 2 14 0.00
Tue 08/04 16Z 0.26 3012 46 1 14 0.00
Tue 08/04 17Z 0.27 3010 47 1 14 0.00
Tue 08/04 18Z 0.23 2908 46 1 15 0.00
Tue 08/04 19Z 0.20 2906 44 1 16 0.00
Tue 08/04 20Z 0.18 2805 41 2 16 0.00
Tue 08/04 21Z 0.19 2705 40 2 16 0.00
Tue 08/04 22Z 0.19 2605 40 1 16 0.00
Tue 08/04 23Z 0.18 2405 42 1 16 0.00
Wed 08/05 00Z 0.22 2406 45 1 16 0.00
Wed 08/05 01Z 0.19 2406 43 1 16 0.00
Wed 08/05 02Z 0.18 2405 44 1 16 0.00
Wed 08/05 03Z 0.16 2305 43 1 16 0.00
Wed 08/05 04Z 0.10 2105 37 1 17 0.00
Wed 08/05 05Z 0.10 2006 33 1 17 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 1.01 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1