
A Nor'easter will create hazardous marine and coastal conditions along the Mid-Atlantic coast through mid-week, with significant coastal flooding and beach erosion possible. Meanwhile, another strong storm system is forecast to bring high winds and heavy precipitation to portions of southern Alaska. Elsewhere, relatively benign weather is expected through the first half of the work week. Read More >
Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20261019_0600
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Mon 10/19 06Z 0.19 2709 48 19 9 0.00
Mon 10/19 07Z 0.19 2810 50 19 9 0.00
Mon 10/19 08Z 0.17 2909 47 18 9 0.00
Mon 10/19 10Z 0.12 3007 37 16 9 0.00
Mon 10/19 12Z 0.11 2905 34 17 8 0.00
Mon 10/19 14Z 0.11 2604 34 18 8 0.00
Mon 10/19 15Z 0.13 2505 33 17 9 0.00
Mon 10/19 16Z 0.15 2606 31 15 9 0.00
Mon 10/19 17Z 0.17 2707 29 13 10 0.00
Mon 10/19 18Z 0.17 2808 28 13 10 0.00
Mon 10/19 19Z 0.18 2909 24 14 11 0.00
Mon 10/19 20Z 0.17 2909 23 15 11 0.00
Mon 10/19 21Z 0.16 3010 22 16 11 0.00
Mon 10/19 22Z 0.16 3111 25 15 11 0.00
Mon 10/19 23Z 0.15 3213 31 14 10 0.00
Tue 10/20 00Z 0.14 3214 37 15 9 0.00
Tue 10/20 01Z 0.08 3316 40 16 9 0.00
Tue 10/20 02Z 0.03 3516 39 14 9 0.00
Tue 10/20 03Z 0.05 3516 40 11 9 0.00
Tue 10/20 04Z 0.07 3517 45 10 9 0.00
Tue 10/20 05Z 0.09 0019 51 9 9 0.00
Tue 10/20 06Z 0.12 0019 54 12 9 0.00
Tue 10/20 07Z 0.14 0119 50 17 9 0.00
Tue 10/20 08Z 0.16 0121 40 18 9 0.00
Tue 10/20 09Z 0.19 0122 33 14 9 0.00
Tue 10/20 10Z 0.22 0123 30 10 9 0.00
Tue 10/20 11Z 0.22 0124 28 5 9 0.00
Tue 10/20 12Z 0.23 0124 27 2 9 0.00
Tue 10/20 13Z 0.24 0224 27 3 8 0.00
Tue 10/20 14Z 0.24 0223 29 4 8 0.00
Tue 10/20 15Z 0.22 0222 31 5 8 0.00
Tue 10/20 16Z 0.19 0120 34 6 7 0.00
Tue 10/20 17Z 0.18 0119 41 6 7 0.00
Tue 10/20 18Z 0.19 0119 48 6 7 0.00
Tue 10/20 19Z 0.21 0119 51 6 6 0.00
Tue 10/20 20Z 0.22 0119 51 7 6 0.00
Tue 10/20 21Z 0.22 0120 49 8 6 0.00
Tue 10/20 22Z 0.25 0222 47 8 6 0.00
Tue 10/20 23Z 0.27 0223 42 8 7 0.00
Wed 10/21 00Z 0.29 0323 38 8 7 0.00
Wed 10/21 01Z 0.29 0322 36 9 7 0.00
Wed 10/21 02Z 0.29 0321 35 9 7 0.00
Wed 10/21 03Z 0.27 0419 34 9 7 0.00
Wed 10/21 04Z 0.26 0416 34 9 7 0.00
Wed 10/21 05Z 0.23 0514 34 10 7 0.00
Wed 10/21 06Z 0.19 0511 32 9 7 0.00
Wed 10/21 07Z 0.16 0410 28 9 7 0.00
Wed 10/21 08Z 0.17 0410 28 9 7 0.00
Wed 10/21 09Z 0.17 0410 29 9 7 0.00
Wed 10/21 10Z 0.17 0411 28 8 8 0.00
Wed 10/21 11Z 0.17 0511 28 8 8 0.00
Wed 10/21 12Z 0.17 0511 27 8 8 0.00
Wed 10/21 13Z 0.17 0510 28 8 8 0.00
Wed 10/21 14Z 0.17 0510 29 8 8 0.00
Wed 10/21 15Z 0.16 0609 31 8 8 0.00
Wed 10/21 16Z 0.16 0608 32 8 8 0.00
Wed 10/21 17Z 0.15 0708 33 8 8 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 0.00 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1