National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Heat Advisories in Effect for Today and Friday

Significant heat is expected to build today and Friday. Hot temperatures and high humidity will allow heat index values to reach into the lower to mid 90s this afternoon and again Friday afternoon in the Champlain Valley and Connecticut River Valley. Heat index values elsewhere will be in the upper 80s to low 90s. Read More >

Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens

Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260612_1800
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.

925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date   Time        Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Fri 06/12 18Z 2.67 2504  86  38  17 0.00
Fri 06/12 19Z 1.94 2507  80  29  18 0.00
Fri 06/12 20Z 0.99 2510  82  58  18 0.00
Fri 06/12 21Z 0.69 2512  83  70  18 0.01
Fri 06/12 22Z 0.58 2515  85  60  18 0.01
Fri 06/12 23Z 0.64 2616  86  49  18 0.02
Sat 06/13 00Z 0.73 2619  85  20  18 0.00
Sat 06/13 01Z 0.76 2721  90  17  17 0.01
Sat 06/13 02Z 0.76 2824  78  18  16 0.01
Sat 06/13 03Z 0.65 2825  69  17  16 0.00
Sat 06/13 04Z 0.61 2926  67  22  15 0.00
Sat 06/13 05Z 0.59 2926  72  26  14 0.00
Sat 06/13 06Z 0.53 3026  76  10  14 0.00
Sat 06/13 07Z 0.45 3025  79   8  13 0.00
Sat 06/13 08Z 0.37 3124  83   6  13 0.00
Sat 06/13 09Z 0.34 3122  86   8  12 0.00
Sat 06/13 10Z 0.34 3121  87   9  12 0.00
Sat 06/13 11Z 0.37 3120  85  10  11 0.00
Sat 06/13 12Z 0.34 3120  81  12  11 0.00
Sat 06/13 13Z 0.31 3117  77  13  11 0.00
Sat 06/13 14Z 0.32 3114  72  14  12 0.00
Sat 06/13 15Z 0.37 3012  66  17  12 0.00
Sat 06/13 16Z 0.51 2911  63  17  12 0.00
Sat 06/13 17Z 1.08 2810  63  15  12 0.00
Sat 06/13 18Z 3.82 2711  71  18  12 0.00
Sat 06/13 19Z 7.41 2612  79  16  12 0.00
Sat 06/13 20Z 6.18 2614  82  15  12 0.00
Sat 06/13 21Z 4.90 2615  79  15  12 0.00
Sat 06/13 22Z 3.64 2717  78  18  12 0.00
Sat 06/13 23Z 1.82 2718  76  35  12 0.00
Sun 06/14 00Z 1.01 2719  70  55  13 0.00
Sun 06/14 01Z 0.84 2621  62  42  14 0.00
Sun 06/14 02Z 0.89 2623  60  42  14 0.00
Sun 06/14 03Z 0.96 2725  64  48  13 0.00
Sun 06/14 04Z 0.94 2725  70  60  13 0.00
Sun 06/14 05Z 0.93 2626  74  74  13 0.00
Sun 06/14 06Z 0.94 2628  64  66  14 0.00
Sun 06/14 07Z 1.00 2527  64  71  14 0.00
Sun 06/14 08Z 1.09 2529  64  82  13 0.00
Sun 06/14 09Z 1.13 2529  65  61  14 0.00
Sun 06/14 10Z 1.12 2529  67  39  13 0.00
Sun 06/14 11Z 1.08 2529  74  32  13 0.00
Sun 06/14 12Z 0.99 2526  81  28  13 0.00
Sun 06/14 13Z 1.00 2524  82  29  13 0.00
Sun 06/14 14Z 0.92 2421  78  28  14 0.00
Sun 06/14 15Z 0.74 2320  70  28  15 0.00
Sun 06/14 16Z 0.80 2221  64  29  15 0.00
Sun 06/14 17Z 1.23 2121  61  28  15 0.00
Sun 06/14 18Z 2.09 2021  59  25  16 0.00
Sun 06/14 19Z 3.18 2021  58  25  16 0.00
Sun 06/14 20Z 5.20 2020  57  24  17 0.00
Sun 06/14 21Z 4.99 2022  60  38  16 0.00
Sun 06/14 22Z 1.60 2025  63  29  16 0.00
Sun 06/14 23Z 1.67 2127  71  83  16 0.00
Mon 06/15 00Z 0.88 2029  76  54  16 0.06
Mon 06/15 01Z 0.90 2033  78  42  15 0.00
Mon 06/15 02Z 0.89 2033  78  65  15 0.00
Mon 06/15 03Z 1.02 2134  79  62  15 0.00
Mon 06/15 04Z 0.81 2132  76  80  16 0.00
Mon 06/15 05Z 0.80 2134  82  75  15 0.02

Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 0.14 inches.

Froude Number (Frd#): 
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
         Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
         W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
         Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
         Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
         W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
         Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
         Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
         With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
         Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
         W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
         Air flows freely over terrain.
         Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.

Relative Humidity (RH): 
         925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
         with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
         with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.

850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
        T > -11       10-15:1
        T -11 to -15  25-35:1
        T < -15       15-20:1