
A coastal low will bring strong winds and snow to southern Vermont tonight into Monday. For Rutland and Windsor Counties, snowfall amounts of 3 to 5 inches are expected, along with wind gusts to 35 mph, which could result in poor visibility and blowing snow. Very difficult travel is expected across southern Vermont due to the combination of wind and snow, especially between mountain passes. Read More >
Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260222_0600
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sun 02/22 06Z 0.11 1510 95 45 -8 0.00
Sun 02/22 07Z 0.13 1512 93 49 -8 0.00
Sun 02/22 08Z 0.10 1513 90 54 -8 0.00
Sun 02/22 09Z 0.08 1513 87 62 -8 0.00
Sun 02/22 10Z 0.07 1513 86 68 -8 0.00
Sun 02/22 11Z 0.06 1513 86 79 -8 0.00
Sun 02/22 12Z 0.06 1513 86 89 -8 0.00
Sun 02/22 13Z 0.09 1512 86 91 -8 0.00
Sun 02/22 14Z 0.12 1412 85 94 -8 0.00
Sun 02/22 15Z 0.15 1412 84 94 -8 0.00
Sun 02/22 16Z 0.21 1313 83 91 -8 0.00
Sun 02/22 17Z 0.25 1313 83 93 -8 0.00
Sun 02/22 18Z 0.29 1314 79 95 -8 0.00
Sun 02/22 19Z 0.33 1314 71 90 -8 0.00
Sun 02/22 20Z 0.34 1214 69 89 -8 0.00
Sun 02/22 21Z 0.40 1114 71 86 -8 0.00
Sun 02/22 22Z 0.46 1016 71 86 -8 0.00
Sun 02/22 23Z 0.56 1019 72 87 -8 0.00
Mon 02/23 00Z 0.61 1022 72 87 -8 0.00
Mon 02/23 01Z 0.61 0922 71 81 -8 0.00
Mon 02/23 02Z 0.64 1023 74 73 -8 0.00
Mon 02/23 03Z 0.70 0925 77 83 -8 0.00
Mon 02/23 04Z 0.78 0826 79 75 -8 0.00
Mon 02/23 05Z 0.81 0826 81 77 -9 0.00
Mon 02/23 06Z 0.82 0825 82 85 -9 0.01
Mon 02/23 07Z 0.84 0726 87 85 -9 0.03
Mon 02/23 08Z 0.80 0627 86 85 -9 0.05
Mon 02/23 09Z 0.88 0630 88 86 -10 0.05
Mon 02/23 10Z 0.92 0531 89 85 -10 0.05
Mon 02/23 11Z 0.91 0534 90 86 -10 0.03
Mon 02/23 12Z 0.89 0434 74 85 -10 0.02
Mon 02/23 13Z 0.98 0435 72 85 -11 0.01
Mon 02/23 14Z 0.82 0433 83 86 -11 0.01
Mon 02/23 15Z 0.75 0332 90 85 -11 0.07
Mon 02/23 16Z 0.72 0332 90 85 -11 0.09
Mon 02/23 17Z 0.59 0232 91 85 -11 0.07
Mon 02/23 18Z 0.48 0133 91 86 -11 0.05
Mon 02/23 19Z 0.37 0134 91 86 -11 0.04
Mon 02/23 20Z 0.28 0035 92 85 -10 0.03
Mon 02/23 21Z 0.18 0035 92 85 -10 0.02
Mon 02/23 22Z 0.13 3535 91 86 -10 0.02
Mon 02/23 23Z 0.10 3536 92 85 -11 0.02
Tue 02/24 00Z 0.09 3536 92 86 -12 0.01
Tue 02/24 01Z 0.13 3537 91 86 -12 0.01
Tue 02/24 02Z 0.11 3536 90 85 -13 0.01
Tue 02/24 03Z 0.09 3534 90 85 -13 0.01
Tue 02/24 04Z 0.13 3432 92 81 -13 0.00
Tue 02/24 05Z 0.25 3330 91 76 -13 0.00
Tue 02/24 06Z 0.25 3330 90 75 -14 0.01
Tue 02/24 07Z 0.20 3330 91 73 -14 0.01
Tue 02/24 08Z 0.41 3329 96 80 -15 0.01
Tue 02/24 09Z 0.44 3227 95 82 -15 0.01
Tue 02/24 10Z 0.28 3226 90 74 -15 0.01
Tue 02/24 11Z 0.27 3224 90 71 -15 0.00
Tue 02/24 12Z 0.28 3124 89 76 -15 0.00
Tue 02/24 13Z 0.27 3124 88 54 -15 0.00
Tue 02/24 14Z 0.27 3123 86 34 -15 0.00
Tue 02/24 15Z 0.26 3122 85 34 -15 0.00
Tue 02/24 16Z 0.31 3121 86 52 -15 0.00
Tue 02/24 17Z 0.33 3019 86 70 -15 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 0.76 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1