Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20261007_1800
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Wed 10/07 18Z 0.68 2117 52 81 7 0.00
Wed 10/07 19Z 0.56 2019 48 80 7 0.00
Wed 10/07 20Z 0.51 2020 47 85 8 0.00
Wed 10/07 21Z 0.55 2021 51 82 8 0.00
Wed 10/07 22Z 0.66 2124 57 70 7 0.00
Wed 10/07 23Z 0.65 2126 65 89 8 0.00
Thu 10/08 00Z 0.67 2227 70 86 8 0.00
Thu 10/08 01Z 0.68 2228 73 86 8 0.00
Thu 10/08 02Z 0.70 2229 75 82 8 0.00
Thu 10/08 03Z 0.71 2330 76 76 8 0.00
Thu 10/08 04Z 0.69 2329 80 60 9 0.00
Thu 10/08 05Z 0.64 2327 84 51 9 0.00
Thu 10/08 06Z 0.66 2328 89 67 8 0.01
Thu 10/08 07Z 0.76 2328 95 94 7 0.18
Thu 10/08 08Z 0.69 2327 95 79 7 0.04
Thu 10/08 09Z 0.72 2427 92 78 8 0.02
Thu 10/08 10Z 0.66 2424 91 75 8 0.02
Thu 10/08 11Z 0.72 2425 96 75 7 0.03
Thu 10/08 12Z 0.77 2525 96 67 7 0.05
Thu 10/08 13Z 0.81 2624 93 75 6 0.03
Thu 10/08 14Z 0.80 2722 87 81 6 0.01
Thu 10/08 15Z 0.83 2722 81 70 6 0.01
Thu 10/08 16Z 0.98 2721 84 57 5 0.00
Thu 10/08 17Z 2.56 2621 90 41 5 0.00
Thu 10/08 18Z 6.41 2722 84 41 5 0.02
Thu 10/08 19Z 5.16 2723 81 42 4 0.05
Thu 10/08 20Z 6.13 2622 81 32 4 0.00
Thu 10/08 21Z 4.04 2624 82 29 4 0.00
Thu 10/08 22Z 2.87 2626 83 27 4 0.00
Thu 10/08 23Z 1.57 2628 88 38 4 0.00
Fri 10/09 00Z 1.26 2728 86 31 3 0.00
Fri 10/09 01Z 1.05 2727 90 30 3 0.01
Fri 10/09 02Z 0.88 2826 88 32 3 0.00
Fri 10/09 03Z 0.81 2826 84 34 3 0.00
Fri 10/09 04Z 0.84 2826 81 33 2 0.00
Fri 10/09 06Z 0.82 2824 91 28 2 0.00
Fri 10/09 08Z 0.85 2725 90 52 2 0.00
Fri 10/09 09Z 0.90 2725 90 45 2 0.00
Fri 10/09 10Z 0.84 2725 86 38 2 0.00
Fri 10/09 11Z 0.96 2727 88 39 2 0.00
Fri 10/09 12Z 1.03 2728 89 42 1 0.00
Fri 10/09 13Z 1.09 2729 86 48 1 0.00
Fri 10/09 14Z 1.39 2729 91 30 0 0.00
Fri 10/09 15Z 1.70 2727 94 30 0 0.00
Fri 10/09 16Z 1.90 2826 93 32 0 0.00
Fri 10/09 17Z 4.13 2824 89 31 0 0.01
Fri 10/09 18Z 8.31 2923 88 34 0 0.01
Fri 10/09 19Z 8.25 2823 87 37 -1 0.01
Fri 10/09 20Z 3.02 2822 90 45 0 0.00
Fri 10/09 21Z 2.24 2823 91 42 -1 0.00
Fri 10/09 22Z 1.50 2925 91 45 -1 0.01
Fri 10/09 23Z 1.51 2927 91 39 -1 0.01
Sat 10/10 00Z 1.20 3028 89 31 -1 0.01
Sat 10/10 01Z 1.41 3030 90 28 -2 0.01
Sat 10/10 02Z 1.17 3032 84 19 -2 0.00
Sat 10/10 03Z 0.96 3130 89 17 -2 0.00
Sat 10/10 04Z 0.89 3129 91 13 -2 0.00
Sat 10/10 05Z 0.80 3128 93 8 -2 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 0.55 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1