National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Hot and Humid Conditions Today and Severe Thunderstorms This Evening

Hot and Humid conditions will occur today. Heat Advisories are in effect for much of the region from 11 AM to 8 PM for heat index values between 95 and 105 degrees. Take extra precautions when outside. Severe Thunderstorms are expected this evening after sunset, especially near the International Border. Damaging winds will be the main threat, with large hail and a tornado possible. Read More >

Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens

Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260714_0600
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.

925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date   Time        Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Tue 07/14 06Z 0.85 2823  64  76  16 0.00
Tue 07/14 07Z 0.99 2929  68  60  16 0.00
Tue 07/14 08Z 0.88 2929  71  37  16 0.00
Tue 07/14 09Z 0.75 2927  71  31  17 0.00
Tue 07/14 10Z 0.69 2826  69  38  17 0.00
Tue 07/14 11Z 0.66 2826  69  38  18 0.00
Tue 07/14 12Z 0.66 2826  70  32  18 0.00
Tue 07/14 13Z 0.65 2826  68  31  19 0.00
Tue 07/14 14Z 0.66 2826  68  41  19 0.00
Tue 07/14 15Z 0.69 2726  71  41  19 0.00
Tue 07/14 16Z 0.72 2725  75  30  20 0.00
Tue 07/14 17Z 0.76 2725  81  23  20 0.00
Tue 07/14 18Z 0.74 2624  78  21  21 0.00
Tue 07/14 19Z 1.31 2525  80  19  21 0.00
Tue 07/14 20Z 2.96 2526  79  21  21 0.00
Tue 07/14 21Z 4.22 2626  78  18  21 0.00
Tue 07/14 22Z 4.45 2628  80  15  21 0.00
Tue 07/14 23Z 1.76 2628  82  18  20 0.00
Wed 07/15 00Z 1.70 2731  82  32  20 0.00
Wed 07/15 01Z 1.49 2733  84  40  20 0.00
Wed 07/15 02Z 1.26 2834  85  56  19 0.00
Wed 07/15 03Z 1.10 2833  86  58  19 0.00
Wed 07/15 04Z 0.98 2932  89  57  19 0.01
Wed 07/15 05Z 0.90 2932  91  72  18 0.02
Wed 07/15 06Z 0.68 3030  91  76  18 0.02
Wed 07/15 07Z 0.53 3126  96  75  17 0.04
Wed 07/15 08Z 0.45 3224  93  53  16 0.05
Wed 07/15 09Z 0.36 3223  89  49  16 0.02
Wed 07/15 10Z 0.29 3221  89  61  15 0.01
Wed 07/15 11Z 0.34 3218  89  54  15 0.01
Wed 07/15 12Z 0.31 3216  87  49  14 0.01
Wed 07/15 13Z 0.36 3217  83  52  14 0.02
Wed 07/15 14Z 0.52 3117  73  20  14 0.02
Wed 07/15 15Z 1.23 3118  67  17  14 0.00
Wed 07/15 16Z 6.44 3017  76  23  13 0.00
Wed 07/15 17Z 8.18 3021  73  44  13 0.03
Wed 07/15 18Z 7.29 3023  63  44  13 0.04
Wed 07/15 19Z 10.72 3023  58  49  14 0.00
Wed 07/15 20Z 10.45 3024  59  42  14 0.00
Wed 07/15 21Z 11.04 3025  57  43  14 0.00
Wed 07/15 22Z 5.81 3024  56  34  14 0.00
Wed 07/15 23Z 1.96 3024  56  36  14 0.00
Thu 07/16 00Z 1.61 3025  58  42  14 0.00
Thu 07/16 01Z 1.53 3026  60  37  13 0.00
Thu 07/16 02Z 1.17 3027  62  38  13 0.00
Thu 07/16 03Z 0.87 3126  65  50  13 0.00
Thu 07/16 04Z 0.65 3124  68  48  13 0.00
Thu 07/16 05Z 0.55 3123  70  45  13 0.00
Thu 07/16 06Z 0.57 3123  70  46  12 0.00
Thu 07/16 07Z 0.53 3224  72  40  12 0.00
Thu 07/16 08Z 0.38 3223  71  33  11 0.00
Thu 07/16 09Z 0.39 3223  69  33  11 0.00
Thu 07/16 10Z 0.44 3124  65  32  11 0.00
Thu 07/16 11Z 0.44 3123  64  32  11 0.00
Thu 07/16 12Z 0.44 3121  62  33  11 0.00
Thu 07/16 13Z 0.49 3019  61  32  11 0.00
Thu 07/16 14Z 0.63 2918  62  32  11 0.00
Thu 07/16 15Z 0.87 2916  64  30  11 0.00
Thu 07/16 16Z 2.48 2714  68  29  12 0.00
Thu 07/16 17Z 7.58 2615  75  23  12 0.00

Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 0.30 inches.

Froude Number (Frd#): 
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
         Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
         W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
         Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
         Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
         W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
         Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
         Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
         With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
         Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
         W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
         Air flows freely over terrain.
         Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.

Relative Humidity (RH): 
         925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
         with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
         with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.

850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
        T > -11       10-15:1
        T -11 to -15  25-35:1
        T < -15       15-20:1