National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Autumn Temperatures for Eastern Third of the Country; Developing Offshore Coastal Storm

Cooler and less humid conditions for most of the eastern third of the nation as high pressure dominates the weather pattern. Otherwise, rather tranquil weather for most of the nation for the end of the weekend into the start of this week. We continue to monitor a developing coastal storm offshore of the Carolinas; Coastal flooding and beach erosion possible along portions of the Mid-Atlantic. Read More >

Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens

Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20261018_0600
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.

925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date   Time        Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sun 10/18 06Z 0.29 3013  73  55  -3 0.00
Sun 10/18 07Z 0.41 2915  72  59  -3 0.00
Sun 10/18 08Z 0.48 2915  71  61  -3 0.00
Sun 10/18 09Z 0.48 2917  70  68  -2 0.00
Sun 10/18 10Z 0.41 3018  82  73  -2 0.00
Sun 10/18 11Z 0.39 3018  85  75  -1 0.00
Sun 10/18 12Z 0.37 3016  80  72  -1 0.00
Sun 10/18 13Z 0.37 3016  79  61   0 0.00
Sun 10/18 14Z 0.37 2914  82  49   0 0.00
Sun 10/18 15Z 0.37 2913  81  42   0 0.00
Sun 10/18 16Z 0.37 2811  77  41   0 0.00
Sun 10/18 17Z 0.39 2611  67  39   1 0.00
Sun 10/18 18Z 0.37 2611  54  38   2 0.00
Sun 10/18 19Z 0.34 2611  43  36   3 0.00
Sun 10/18 20Z 0.31 2512  40  31   4 0.00
Sun 10/18 21Z 0.30 2613  37  24   5 0.00
Sun 10/18 22Z 0.29 2613  36  15   6 0.00
Sun 10/18 23Z 0.27 2713  35  10   7 0.00
Mon 10/19 00Z 0.25 2712  33  10   8 0.00
Mon 10/19 01Z 0.22 2711  28  11   8 0.00
Mon 10/19 02Z 0.21 2710  21  12   8 0.00
Mon 10/19 03Z 0.21 2710  17  13   8 0.00
Mon 10/19 04Z 0.21 2610  18  14   9 0.00
Mon 10/19 05Z 0.20 2609  19  15   9 0.00
Mon 10/19 06Z 0.20 2609  20  16   9 0.00
Mon 10/19 07Z 0.21 2509  20  17   9 0.00
Mon 10/19 08Z 0.22 2610  20  17   9 0.00
Mon 10/19 09Z 0.22 2610  20  17  10 0.00
Mon 10/19 10Z 0.22 2610  19  17  10 0.00
Mon 10/19 11Z 0.23 2711  19  18  10 0.00
Mon 10/19 12Z 0.22 2711  17  17  10 0.00
Mon 10/19 13Z 0.20 2810  16  18  10 0.00
Mon 10/19 14Z 0.19 2709  15  18  10 0.00
Mon 10/19 15Z 0.19 2708  15  20  10 0.00
Mon 10/19 16Z 0.17 2607  15  20  10 0.00
Mon 10/19 17Z 0.17 2607  15  20  10 0.00
Mon 10/19 18Z 0.17 2707  14  20  11 0.00
Mon 10/19 19Z 0.17 2807  13  20  11 0.00
Mon 10/19 20Z 0.16 2908  13  20  11 0.00
Mon 10/19 21Z 0.17 3009  13  21  11 0.00
Mon 10/19 22Z 0.17 3111  14  21  11 0.00
Mon 10/19 23Z 0.14 3212  15  21  11 0.00
Tue 10/20 00Z 0.10 3312  19  21  11 0.00
Tue 10/20 01Z 0.07 3312  24  21  10 0.00
Tue 10/20 02Z 0.04 3412  29  18  10 0.00
Tue 10/20 03Z 0.03 3512  34  14  10 0.00
Tue 10/20 04Z 0.04 3513  37  10  10 0.00
Tue 10/20 05Z 0.04 3515  39   9  10 0.00
Tue 10/20 06Z 0.07 0017  43  10   9 0.00
Tue 10/20 07Z 0.11 0018  40  12   9 0.00
Tue 10/20 08Z 0.16 0119  40  18   9 0.00
Tue 10/20 09Z 0.18 0120  32  23   9 0.00
Tue 10/20 10Z 0.20 0122  21  19   9 0.00
Tue 10/20 11Z 0.24 0223  15  14   9 0.00
Tue 10/20 12Z 0.25 0223  15   7   9 0.00
Tue 10/20 13Z 0.25 0222  17   2   9 0.00
Tue 10/20 14Z 0.23 0222  19   2   8 0.00
Tue 10/20 15Z 0.23 0220  23   2   8 0.00
Tue 10/20 16Z 0.21 0218  30   2   7 0.00
Tue 10/20 17Z 0.20 0216  36   3   7 0.00

Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 0.00 inches.

Froude Number (Frd#): 
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
         Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
         W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
         Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
         Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
         W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
         Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
         Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
         With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
         Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
         W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
         Air flows freely over terrain.
         Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.

Relative Humidity (RH): 
         925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
         with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
         with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.

850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
        T > -11       10-15:1
        T -11 to -15  25-35:1
        T < -15       15-20:1