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Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20261015_0000
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Thu 10/15 00Z 0.67 3024 98 43 4 0.00
Thu 10/15 01Z 0.70 3128 98 29 3 0.01
Thu 10/15 02Z 0.54 3129 97 22 3 0.01
Thu 10/15 03Z 0.44 3229 96 7 3 0.01
Thu 10/15 04Z 0.45 3230 96 3 3 0.01
Thu 10/15 05Z 0.48 3232 97 1 2 0.01
Thu 10/15 06Z 0.42 3232 96 1 2 0.01
Thu 10/15 07Z 0.36 3232 94 2 1 0.01
Thu 10/15 08Z 0.24 3332 86 2 2 0.01
Thu 10/15 09Z 0.18 3330 77 2 2 0.01
Thu 10/15 10Z 0.11 3328 67 3 2 0.01
Thu 10/15 11Z 0.03 3427 61 3 3 0.01
Thu 10/15 12Z 0.02 3525 59 3 2 0.00
Thu 10/15 13Z 0.02 3523 58 3 2 0.00
Thu 10/15 14Z 0.03 3520 56 3 2 0.00
Thu 10/15 15Z 0.04 3517 53 3 2 0.00
Thu 10/15 16Z 0.06 0014 50 3 3 0.00
Thu 10/15 17Z 0.04 3511 47 3 4 0.00
Thu 10/15 18Z 0.02 3509 45 3 4 0.00
Thu 10/15 19Z 0.01 3507 46 4 4 0.00
Thu 10/15 20Z 0.02 3405 45 4 4 0.00
Thu 10/15 21Z 0.04 3204 44 4 4 0.00
Thu 10/15 22Z 0.04 3003 38 5 5 0.00
Thu 10/15 23Z 0.04 2802 34 5 5 0.00
Fri 10/16 00Z 0.03 2201 33 4 6 0.00
Fri 10/16 01Z 0.02 1804 35 4 6 0.00
Fri 10/16 02Z 0.02 1706 36 3 6 0.00
Fri 10/16 03Z 0.05 1810 38 4 6 0.00
Fri 10/16 04Z 0.09 1813 42 11 6 0.00
Fri 10/16 05Z 0.10 1817 46 17 6 0.00
Fri 10/16 06Z 0.16 1920 50 38 5 0.00
Fri 10/16 07Z 0.18 1924 47 78 5 0.00
Fri 10/16 08Z 0.21 1826 55 90 4 0.00
Fri 10/16 09Z 0.20 1827 69 96 4 0.00
Fri 10/16 10Z 0.15 1830 77 98 4 0.01
Fri 10/16 11Z 0.17 1835 80 99 3 0.03
Fri 10/16 12Z 0.19 1838 97 97 5 0.14
Fri 10/16 13Z 0.29 1841 98 94 6 0.12
Fri 10/16 14Z 0.39 1942 98 87 7 0.07
Fri 10/16 15Z 0.45 2040 98 91 9 0.08
Fri 10/16 16Z 0.52 2139 99 86 10 0.05
Fri 10/16 17Z 0.54 2236 99 81 12 0.04
Fri 10/16 18Z 0.57 2235 99 82 13 0.04
Fri 10/16 19Z 0.62 2233 98 89 13 0.03
Fri 10/16 20Z 0.71 2332 98 88 12 0.03
Fri 10/16 21Z 0.79 2334 98 82 12 0.02
Fri 10/16 22Z 1.05 2435 96 88 11 0.04
Fri 10/16 23Z 1.24 2434 95 91 10 0.05
Sat 10/17 00Z 1.43 2534 97 82 9 0.08
Sat 10/17 01Z 1.24 2729 96 66 6 0.05
Sat 10/17 02Z 0.78 2826 95 60 5 0.02
Sat 10/17 03Z 0.58 2927 96 47 2 0.02
Sat 10/17 04Z 0.54 3027 96 56 0 0.01
Sat 10/17 05Z 0.47 3125 95 42 -1 0.01
Sat 10/17 06Z 0.40 3226 95 42 -2 0.01
Sat 10/17 07Z 0.33 3226 95 41 -4 0.00
Sat 10/17 09Z 0.22 3328 93 41 -5 0.00
Sat 10/17 10Z 0.16 3428 91 40 -5 0.00
Sat 10/17 11Z 0.19 3428 92 38 -6 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 1.06 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1