
A Cold Weather Advisory has been issued for Vermont and northern New York outside the Champlain Valley from 7 PM today through 10 AM Friday. Cold temperatures and breezy winds will cause wind chills to fall into the -20F to -30F range. The risk of frostbite and hypothermia will be elevated, especially for vulnerable populations. Wear appropriate clothing, a hat, and gloves. Read More >
Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260129_0600
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Thu 01/29 06Z 0.31 3012 83 75 -18 0.00
Thu 01/29 07Z 0.37 3115 84 75 -18 0.00
Thu 01/29 08Z 0.33 3115 83 72 -19 0.00
Thu 01/29 09Z 0.33 3115 79 68 -19 0.00
Thu 01/29 10Z 0.32 3015 76 63 -19 0.00
Thu 01/29 11Z 0.32 3015 75 60 -19 0.00
Thu 01/29 12Z 0.34 3015 75 58 -19 0.00
Thu 01/29 13Z 0.37 3016 79 55 -19 0.00
Thu 01/29 14Z 0.35 3016 79 54 -19 0.00
Thu 01/29 15Z 0.32 3015 79 54 -19 0.00
Thu 01/29 16Z 0.32 3115 81 54 -19 0.00
Thu 01/29 17Z 0.43 3115 82 54 -19 0.00
Thu 01/29 18Z 0.75 3016 81 56 -19 0.00
Thu 01/29 19Z 1.31 3017 85 58 -19 0.00
Thu 01/29 20Z 2.23 2916 91 56 -19 0.00
Thu 01/29 21Z 1.51 2918 93 53 -19 0.00
Thu 01/29 22Z 1.29 2919 92 48 -19 0.00
Thu 01/29 23Z 1.25 2922 91 44 -20 0.00
Fri 01/30 00Z 1.00 3023 90 43 -20 0.00
Fri 01/30 01Z 0.85 3025 88 41 -21 0.00
Fri 01/30 02Z 1.16 3027 85 38 -22 0.00
Fri 01/30 03Z 0.85 3028 82 35 -23 0.00
Fri 01/30 04Z 0.71 3029 82 30 -23 0.00
Fri 01/30 05Z 0.59 3029 78 28 -23 0.00
Fri 01/30 06Z 0.54 3029 72 28 -22 0.00
Fri 01/30 07Z 0.51 3029 69 28 -22 0.00
Fri 01/30 08Z 0.48 3029 66 27 -22 0.00
Fri 01/30 09Z 0.42 3028 63 30 -22 0.00
Fri 01/30 10Z 0.38 3028 61 37 -22 0.00
Fri 01/30 11Z 0.36 3028 62 47 -21 0.00
Fri 01/30 12Z 0.33 3028 64 58 -21 0.00
Fri 01/30 13Z 0.30 3028 68 69 -20 0.00
Fri 01/30 14Z 0.28 3126 73 76 -20 0.00
Fri 01/30 15Z 0.27 3124 76 78 -20 0.00
Fri 01/30 16Z 0.27 3022 78 79 -19 0.00
Fri 01/30 17Z 0.28 3020 78 78 -19 0.00
Fri 01/30 18Z 0.30 3020 78 74 -18 0.00
Fri 01/30 19Z 0.32 2920 78 68 -18 0.00
Fri 01/30 20Z 0.35 2920 79 61 -18 0.00
Fri 01/30 21Z 0.37 2921 81 53 -18 0.00
Fri 01/30 22Z 0.35 3021 82 49 -18 0.00
Fri 01/30 23Z 0.30 3021 83 47 -17 0.00
Sat 01/31 00Z 0.24 3120 84 46 -17 0.00
Sat 01/31 01Z 0.18 3120 83 46 -16 0.00
Sat 01/31 02Z 0.13 3219 83 45 -15 0.00
Sat 01/31 03Z 0.11 3219 83 46 -15 0.00
Sat 01/31 04Z 0.10 3219 83 46 -15 0.00
Sat 01/31 05Z 0.10 3218 82 47 -14 0.00
Sat 01/31 06Z 0.10 3217 81 48 -14 0.00
Sat 01/31 07Z 0.12 3216 81 51 -14 0.00
Sat 01/31 08Z 0.12 3216 81 52 -14 0.00
Sat 01/31 09Z 0.12 3216 81 52 -14 0.00
Sat 01/31 10Z 0.12 3216 80 51 -14 0.00
Sat 01/31 11Z 0.11 3216 80 50 -14 0.00
Sat 01/31 12Z 0.10 3216 80 49 -13 0.00
Sat 01/31 13Z 0.08 3215 79 46 -13 0.00
Sat 01/31 14Z 0.07 3314 78 42 -13 0.00
Sat 01/31 15Z 0.06 3312 78 40 -13 0.00
Sat 01/31 16Z 0.07 3211 78 40 -13 0.00
Sat 01/31 17Z 0.08 3211 77 37 -12 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 0.00 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1