Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260430_1800
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Thu 04/30 18Z 0.24 2705 99 96 1 0.00
Thu 04/30 19Z 0.29 2706 99 96 2 0.01
Thu 04/30 20Z 0.32 2808 99 93 2 0.02
Thu 04/30 21Z 0.36 3011 98 92 2 0.04
Thu 04/30 22Z 0.41 3116 98 90 0 0.04
Thu 04/30 23Z 0.31 3217 96 87 0 0.01
Fri 05/01 00Z 0.33 3217 95 81 0 0.00
Fri 05/01 01Z 0.34 3218 94 74 0 0.00
Fri 05/01 02Z 0.33 3218 93 68 -1 0.00
Fri 05/01 03Z 0.30 3218 93 70 -1 0.00
Fri 05/01 04Z 0.33 3218 94 69 -1 0.01
Fri 05/01 05Z 0.33 3218 95 70 -1 0.01
Fri 05/01 06Z 0.34 3219 95 74 -2 0.01
Fri 05/01 07Z 0.35 3219 95 77 -2 0.00
Fri 05/01 08Z 0.35 3219 94 80 -2 0.00
Fri 05/01 09Z 0.34 3219 94 79 -3 0.00
Fri 05/01 10Z 0.32 3218 93 71 -3 0.00
Fri 05/01 11Z 0.30 3217 90 61 -3 0.00
Fri 05/01 12Z 0.32 3216 89 53 -3 0.00
Fri 05/01 13Z 0.50 3215 88 46 -3 0.00
Fri 05/01 14Z 2.03 3213 86 37 -3 0.00
Fri 05/01 15Z 3.19 3112 82 37 -3 0.00
Fri 05/01 16Z 3.85 3111 80 31 -2 0.00
Fri 05/01 17Z 4.21 3010 77 31 -2 0.00
Fri 05/01 18Z 4.81 3010 75 28 -1 0.00
Fri 05/01 19Z 3.85 3009 70 32 0 0.00
Fri 05/01 20Z 3.22 3008 64 35 0 0.00
Fri 05/01 21Z 2.24 3006 60 32 0 0.00
Fri 05/01 22Z 1.51 3105 60 35 0 0.00
Fri 05/01 23Z 0.47 3004 62 36 0 0.00
Sat 05/02 00Z 0.22 2803 63 45 0 0.00
Sat 05/02 01Z 0.18 2502 64 55 0 0.00
Sat 05/02 02Z 0.07 1701 65 56 0 0.00
Sat 05/02 03Z 0.08 1703 66 72 0 0.00
Sat 05/02 04Z 0.06 1705 66 84 0 0.00
Sat 05/02 05Z 0.09 1506 65 86 0 0.00
Sat 05/02 06Z 0.12 1508 63 90 0 0.00
Sat 05/02 07Z 0.17 1610 72 94 0 0.01
Sat 05/02 08Z 0.11 1712 85 92 -1 0.01
Sat 05/02 09Z 0.07 1712 92 81 -1 0.01
Sat 05/02 10Z 0.13 1812 97 69 -1 0.01
Sat 05/02 11Z 0.24 2012 99 63 -1 0.01
Sat 05/02 12Z 0.33 2310 99 57 -2 0.01
Sat 05/02 13Z 0.36 2509 98 49 -2 0.00
Sat 05/02 14Z 0.34 2609 96 47 -2 0.00
Sat 05/02 15Z 0.33 2608 95 57 -2 0.00
Sat 05/02 16Z 0.37 2708 95 49 -2 0.00
Sat 05/02 17Z 0.44 2706 93 47 -2 0.00
Sat 05/02 18Z 0.63 2805 89 57 -2 0.00
Sat 05/02 19Z 1.17 2904 85 46 -1 0.00
Sat 05/02 20Z 0.98 3003 79 36 -1 0.00
Sat 05/02 21Z 0.68 3002 77 40 0 0.00
Sat 05/02 22Z 0.47 3103 79 58 0 0.00
Sat 05/02 23Z 0.16 3204 84 61 -1 0.00
Sun 05/03 00Z 0.10 3305 87 62 -1 0.00
Sun 05/03 01Z 0.07 3406 88 68 -1 0.00
Sun 05/03 02Z 0.05 3507 90 76 -1 0.00
Sun 05/03 03Z 0.05 3509 93 78 -2 0.00
Sun 05/03 04Z 0.09 0011 95 68 -2 0.00
Sun 05/03 05Z 0.13 0011 95 72 -2 0.01
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 0.22 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1