Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20261001_1200
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Thu 10/01 12Z 0.53 2415 92 62 10 0.00
Thu 10/01 13Z 0.64 2418 88 72 10 0.00
Thu 10/01 14Z 0.64 2320 90 84 11 0.00
Thu 10/01 15Z 0.66 2321 91 90 10 0.01
Thu 10/01 16Z 0.86 2320 86 93 10 0.00
Thu 10/01 17Z 0.80 2319 93 87 10 0.00
Thu 10/01 18Z 0.65 2317 86 79 11 0.00
Thu 10/01 19Z 0.65 2318 84 91 12 0.00
Thu 10/01 20Z 0.78 2320 91 99 12 0.00
Thu 10/01 21Z 0.80 2325 95 98 12 0.03
Thu 10/01 22Z 0.83 2330 96 94 13 0.04
Thu 10/01 23Z 0.84 2430 95 92 14 0.03
Fri 10/02 00Z 0.95 2333 94 92 14 0.02
Fri 10/02 01Z 0.96 2433 92 88 14 0.02
Fri 10/02 02Z 0.89 2433 89 69 15 0.01
Fri 10/02 03Z 0.87 2434 87 57 15 0.00
Fri 10/02 04Z 0.90 2436 86 47 16 0.00
Fri 10/02 05Z 1.01 2538 88 52 15 0.01
Fri 10/02 06Z 0.94 2436 88 54 15 0.01
Fri 10/02 07Z 0.95 2438 85 64 16 0.00
Fri 10/02 08Z 0.97 2438 83 62 16 0.00
Fri 10/02 09Z 1.04 2538 87 54 15 0.01
Fri 10/02 10Z 1.06 2537 91 53 15 0.00
Fri 10/02 11Z 1.02 2535 93 62 15 0.01
Fri 10/02 12Z 1.02 2535 94 73 14 0.01
Fri 10/02 13Z 1.02 2533 97 95 14 0.07
Fri 10/02 14Z 1.01 2433 97 98 14 0.23
Fri 10/02 15Z 0.97 2530 98 95 13 0.15
Fri 10/02 16Z 0.75 2723 98 91 13 0.09
Fri 10/02 17Z 0.66 2821 98 92 12 0.05
Fri 10/02 18Z 0.55 2920 97 86 12 0.04
Fri 10/02 19Z 0.48 2919 97 80 11 0.02
Fri 10/02 20Z 0.40 2919 96 76 11 0.01
Fri 10/02 21Z 0.38 3022 96 60 10 0.01
Fri 10/02 22Z 0.35 3022 84 50 9 0.01
Fri 10/02 23Z 0.29 3123 69 19 9 0.00
Sat 10/03 00Z 0.21 3223 53 4 8 0.00
Sat 10/03 01Z 0.17 3324 46 2 7 0.00
Sat 10/03 02Z 0.11 3323 49 2 6 0.00
Sat 10/03 03Z 0.12 3422 57 1 5 0.00
Sat 10/03 04Z 0.19 3323 69 0 4 0.00
Sat 10/03 05Z 0.18 3323 77 0 4 0.00
Sat 10/03 06Z 0.15 3422 79 0 4 0.00
Sat 10/03 07Z 0.11 3421 79 0 3 0.00
Sat 10/03 08Z 0.12 3420 81 1 3 0.00
Sat 10/03 09Z 0.15 3319 81 3 2 0.00
Sat 10/03 10Z 0.13 3318 81 3 2 0.00
Sat 10/03 11Z 0.09 3318 78 3 2 0.00
Sat 10/03 12Z 0.04 3417 75 2 3 0.00
Sat 10/03 13Z 0.03 3416 72 2 3 0.00
Sat 10/03 14Z 0.03 3416 67 2 3 0.00
Sat 10/03 15Z 0.05 3414 62 2 3 0.00
Sat 10/03 16Z 0.07 3313 60 2 3 0.00
Sat 10/03 17Z 0.06 3411 58 2 4 0.00
Sat 10/03 18Z 0.05 3410 57 3 4 0.00
Sat 10/03 19Z 0.03 3408 57 4 4 0.00
Sat 10/03 20Z 0.03 3508 56 4 4 0.00
Sat 10/03 21Z 0.03 3507 55 4 4 0.00
Sat 10/03 22Z 0.05 0006 51 5 4 0.00
Sat 10/03 23Z 0.07 0105 45 5 4 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 0.89 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1