Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20261030_0600
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Fri 10/30 06Z 0.90 2629 89 94 8 0.00
Fri 10/30 07Z 0.90 2729 93 78 7 0.02
Fri 10/30 08Z 0.80 2825 90 58 7 0.01
Fri 10/30 09Z 0.81 2825 91 25 6 0.01
Fri 10/30 10Z 0.92 2828 88 3 6 0.01
Fri 10/30 11Z 1.02 2830 74 2 5 0.01
Fri 10/30 12Z 1.02 2830 72 5 4 0.00
Fri 10/30 13Z 0.81 2927 79 4 3 0.01
Fri 10/30 14Z 0.67 2925 89 5 2 0.01
Fri 10/30 15Z 0.72 3025 95 8 1 0.01
Fri 10/30 16Z 0.87 2924 97 11 0 0.01
Fri 10/30 17Z 1.23 2925 96 14 0 0.01
Fri 10/30 18Z 1.27 2926 93 15 -1 0.01
Fri 10/30 19Z 1.67 3026 92 15 -1 0.00
Fri 10/30 20Z 1.76 3028 91 11 -2 0.00
Fri 10/30 21Z 1.46 3029 92 10 -2 0.00
Fri 10/30 22Z 1.23 3030 94 13 -3 0.00
Fri 10/30 23Z 1.03 3029 96 17 -3 0.00
Sat 10/31 00Z 0.94 3129 97 22 -3 0.01
Sat 10/31 01Z 0.81 3130 97 28 -3 0.00
Sat 10/31 02Z 0.79 3129 98 25 -4 0.00
Sat 10/31 03Z 0.72 3130 97 26 -4 0.01
Sat 10/31 04Z 0.62 3229 95 28 -4 0.01
Sat 10/31 05Z 0.51 3229 93 26 -5 0.01
Sat 10/31 06Z 0.40 3228 92 14 -5 0.00
Sat 10/31 07Z 0.34 3227 91 9 -5 0.00
Sat 10/31 08Z 0.32 3226 91 9 -5 0.00
Sat 10/31 09Z 0.27 3225 90 14 -5 0.00
Sat 10/31 10Z 0.25 3224 88 16 -6 0.00
Sat 10/31 11Z 0.21 3323 86 22 -5 0.00
Sat 10/31 12Z 0.18 3321 81 25 -5 0.00
Sat 10/31 13Z 0.20 3220 79 27 -5 0.00
Sat 10/31 14Z 0.21 3219 76 29 -5 0.00
Sat 10/31 15Z 0.20 3219 68 23 -4 0.00
Sat 10/31 16Z 0.17 3218 60 18 -3 0.00
Sat 10/31 17Z 0.24 3218 61 25 -4 0.00
Sat 10/31 18Z 0.25 3117 60 29 -3 0.00
Sat 10/31 19Z 0.30 3116 59 26 -3 0.00
Sat 10/31 20Z 0.32 3116 62 15 -3 0.00
Sat 10/31 21Z 0.33 3016 65 34 -3 0.00
Sat 10/31 22Z 0.42 2919 67 30 -2 0.00
Sat 10/31 23Z 0.46 3020 66 23 -2 0.00
Sun 11/01 00Z 0.45 3021 64 22 -2 0.00
Sun 11/01 01Z 0.41 3021 62 18 -2 0.00
Sun 11/01 02Z 0.35 3020 58 10 -1 0.00
Sun 11/01 03Z 0.31 3119 55 5 -1 0.00
Sun 11/01 04Z 0.26 3118 53 5 0 0.00
Sun 11/01 05Z 0.25 3117 50 8 0 0.00
Sun 11/01 06Z 0.25 3016 47 11 0 0.00
Sun 11/01 07Z 0.27 3016 46 14 0 0.00
Sun 11/01 08Z 0.27 3016 45 13 0 0.00
Sun 11/01 09Z 0.29 3017 42 13 0 0.00
Sun 11/01 10Z 0.31 3018 37 12 1 0.00
Sun 11/01 11Z 0.33 3020 33 7 1 0.00
Sun 11/01 12Z 0.35 3021 31 6 1 0.00
Sun 11/01 13Z 0.35 3022 29 8 2 0.00
Sun 11/01 14Z 0.36 3123 28 6 2 0.00
Sun 11/01 15Z 0.33 3124 33 5 2 0.00
Sun 11/01 16Z 0.30 3123 42 22 3 0.00
Sun 11/01 17Z 0.30 3123 55 33 2 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 0.16 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1