Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20261005_1200
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Mon 10/05 12Z 0.61 2521 98 95 6 0.00
Mon 10/05 13Z 0.77 2625 95 81 5 0.08
Mon 10/05 14Z 0.81 2825 93 59 4 0.05
Mon 10/05 15Z 0.93 2824 92 70 3 0.03
Mon 10/05 16Z 2.28 2824 91 56 3 0.01
Mon 10/05 17Z 10.32 2824 85 73 2 0.01
Mon 10/05 18Z 10.38 2823 83 55 2 0.00
Mon 10/05 19Z 15.34 2723 77 33 1 0.00
Mon 10/05 20Z 9.89 2826 82 64 1 0.02
Mon 10/05 21Z 5.58 2930 86 53 0 0.03
Mon 10/05 22Z 2.08 2929 88 39 0 0.01
Mon 10/05 23Z 1.70 2930 90 43 -1 0.00
Tue 10/06 00Z 1.34 3031 89 45 -2 0.00
Tue 10/06 01Z 1.05 3032 90 42 -2 0.00
Tue 10/06 02Z 0.86 3032 89 39 -2 0.00
Tue 10/06 03Z 0.80 3031 90 34 -2 0.00
Tue 10/06 04Z 0.76 3030 91 29 -2 0.00
Tue 10/06 05Z 0.69 3029 90 24 -2 0.00
Tue 10/06 06Z 0.61 3029 87 22 -2 0.00
Tue 10/06 07Z 0.56 3029 84 20 -2 0.00
Tue 10/06 08Z 0.52 3030 82 18 -2 0.00
Tue 10/06 09Z 0.47 3029 80 17 -2 0.00
Tue 10/06 10Z 0.45 3030 78 15 -2 0.00
Tue 10/06 11Z 0.42 3030 76 14 -1 0.00
Tue 10/06 12Z 0.40 3029 75 15 -1 0.00
Tue 10/06 13Z 0.38 3129 74 13 -1 0.00
Tue 10/06 14Z 0.37 3127 74 12 -1 0.00
Tue 10/06 15Z 0.40 3026 70 11 0 0.00
Tue 10/06 16Z 0.44 3025 61 10 0 0.00
Tue 10/06 17Z 0.49 3024 52 6 0 0.00
Tue 10/06 18Z 0.55 3023 46 5 0 0.00
Tue 10/06 19Z 0.66 3023 43 3 0 0.00
Tue 10/06 20Z 0.94 3023 47 2 0 0.00
Tue 10/06 21Z 1.32 2922 46 3 0 0.00
Tue 10/06 22Z 1.33 2924 43 8 0 0.00
Tue 10/06 23Z 1.00 3024 39 20 0 0.00
Wed 10/07 00Z 0.78 3024 36 33 0 0.00
Wed 10/07 01Z 0.58 3023 32 45 0 0.00
Wed 10/07 02Z 0.47 3020 31 49 0 0.00
Wed 10/07 03Z 0.48 2918 32 73 0 0.00
Wed 10/07 04Z 0.45 2817 30 82 1 0.00
Wed 10/07 05Z 0.42 2716 29 83 2 0.00
Wed 10/07 06Z 0.42 2716 28 78 2 0.00
Wed 10/07 07Z 0.42 2617 26 83 3 0.00
Wed 10/07 08Z 0.41 2718 31 90 4 0.00
Wed 10/07 09Z 0.41 2618 32 88 4 0.00
Wed 10/07 10Z 0.45 2619 34 88 4 0.00
Wed 10/07 11Z 0.51 2522 38 91 5 0.00
Wed 10/07 12Z 0.55 2523 46 94 5 0.00
Wed 10/07 13Z 0.52 2522 58 95 6 0.00
Wed 10/07 14Z 0.52 2423 49 89 6 0.00
Wed 10/07 15Z 0.52 2324 51 92 6 0.00
Wed 10/07 16Z 0.53 2226 49 84 7 0.00
Wed 10/07 17Z 0.54 2226 40 79 7 0.00
Wed 10/07 18Z 0.58 2126 40 85 7 0.00
Wed 10/07 19Z 0.61 2125 44 75 7 0.00
Wed 10/07 20Z 0.72 2126 54 69 7 0.00
Wed 10/07 21Z 0.81 2128 64 89 7 0.00
Wed 10/07 22Z 0.87 2230 71 89 7 0.00
Wed 10/07 23Z 0.92 2232 75 88 6 0.01
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 0.25 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1