
Life-threatening, potentially catastrophic flash flooding expected along the central Gulf Coast as the remnants of Arthur track across the area. Isolated brief tornadoes and damaging gusts remain possible overnight in the Southeast. Isolated to scattered dry thunderstorms may cause lightning-ignited fires and erratic behavior due to gusty winds across parts of the West Friday. Read More >
Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260619_0000
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Fri 06/19 00Z 1.11 2523 82 80 12 0.00
Fri 06/19 01Z 1.53 2527 79 77 11 0.00
Fri 06/19 02Z 2.66 2532 76 81 10 0.00
Fri 06/19 03Z 2.84 2535 82 66 9 0.00
Fri 06/19 04Z 2.21 2537 87 74 9 0.01
Fri 06/19 05Z 1.74 2537 92 75 8 0.02
Fri 06/19 06Z 1.35 2636 94 77 8 0.04
Fri 06/19 07Z 1.17 2635 95 75 8 0.04
Fri 06/19 08Z 1.10 2635 95 71 8 0.02
Fri 06/19 09Z 1.05 2734 96 68 8 0.03
Fri 06/19 10Z 1.05 2734 93 60 8 0.02
Fri 06/19 11Z 0.99 2734 90 59 8 0.01
Fri 06/19 12Z 0.99 2734 89 61 8 0.00
Fri 06/19 13Z 1.02 2733 90 61 8 0.00
Fri 06/19 14Z 1.05 2729 92 58 8 0.01
Fri 06/19 15Z 1.19 2727 94 57 8 0.01
Fri 06/19 16Z 1.49 2626 94 70 8 0.01
Fri 06/19 17Z 2.69 2626 94 70 8 0.01
Fri 06/19 18Z 6.93 2625 92 75 9 0.01
Fri 06/19 19Z 9.59 2724 89 75 9 0.00
Fri 06/19 20Z 6.64 2624 89 61 10 0.00
Fri 06/19 21Z 10.05 2625 82 52 10 0.00
Fri 06/19 22Z 14.33 2627 75 49 10 0.00
Fri 06/19 23Z 6.70 2629 79 47 9 0.00
Sat 06/20 00Z 2.55 2630 84 50 9 0.00
Sat 06/20 01Z 1.51 2732 92 66 8 0.02
Sat 06/20 02Z 1.04 2829 93 77 8 0.06
Sat 06/20 03Z 0.98 2828 97 83 8 0.05
Sat 06/20 04Z 0.92 2827 97 79 8 0.09
Sat 06/20 05Z 0.89 2827 97 81 7 0.07
Sat 06/20 06Z 0.87 2727 97 80 7 0.06
Sat 06/20 07Z 0.81 2828 96 89 8 0.05
Sat 06/20 08Z 0.76 2828 97 88 8 0.05
Sat 06/20 09Z 0.62 3028 97 87 7 0.05
Sat 06/20 10Z 0.56 3026 98 86 7 0.05
Sat 06/20 11Z 0.47 3125 97 82 6 0.02
Sat 06/20 12Z 0.40 3224 98 89 6 0.03
Sat 06/20 13Z 0.45 3224 98 90 6 0.03
Sat 06/20 14Z 0.50 3124 97 79 6 0.03
Sat 06/20 15Z 0.58 3122 95 64 6 0.01
Sat 06/20 16Z 1.17 3119 95 66 6 0.00
Sat 06/20 17Z 1.75 3118 93 70 7 0.01
Sat 06/20 18Z 1.92 3117 92 70 7 0.01
Sat 06/20 19Z 1.46 3017 93 68 8 0.01
Sat 06/20 20Z 0.92 3017 91 57 8 0.01
Sat 06/20 21Z 0.65 3017 90 44 8 0.00
Sat 06/20 22Z 0.58 3017 88 41 9 0.00
Sat 06/20 23Z 0.49 3117 75 45 10 0.00
Sun 06/21 00Z 0.52 3018 76 48 10 0.00
Sun 06/21 01Z 0.55 2918 88 49 10 0.00
Sun 06/21 02Z 0.55 2820 90 51 10 0.00
Sun 06/21 03Z 0.51 2920 89 52 10 0.01
Sun 06/21 04Z 0.46 2919 87 55 10 0.00
Sun 06/21 05Z 0.43 2918 86 58 10 0.00
Sun 06/21 06Z 0.40 2918 85 63 10 0.00
Sun 06/21 07Z 0.36 3017 85 62 10 0.00
Sun 06/21 08Z 0.31 3016 85 64 10 0.00
Sun 06/21 09Z 0.31 3016 88 67 9 0.00
Sun 06/21 10Z 0.34 3017 90 71 9 0.00
Sun 06/21 11Z 0.32 3016 88 70 9 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 0.96 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1