Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20261001_1800
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Thu 10/01 18Z 0.71 2420 99 96 10 0.00
Thu 10/01 19Z 0.78 2423 98 93 11 0.03
Thu 10/01 20Z 0.77 2524 94 89 12 0.01
Thu 10/01 21Z 0.79 2525 93 86 12 0.00
Thu 10/01 22Z 0.74 2426 96 90 13 0.01
Thu 10/01 23Z 0.70 2424 95 79 13 0.02
Fri 10/02 00Z 0.84 2430 98 85 14 0.03
Fri 10/02 01Z 0.88 2531 98 80 14 0.05
Fri 10/02 02Z 0.91 2531 97 73 14 0.04
Fri 10/02 03Z 0.88 2531 96 51 15 0.03
Fri 10/02 04Z 0.90 2532 95 56 15 0.02
Fri 10/02 05Z 0.93 2434 94 50 15 0.02
Fri 10/02 06Z 1.01 2437 94 64 15 0.02
Fri 10/02 07Z 1.02 2437 92 69 15 0.02
Fri 10/02 08Z 1.03 2438 91 75 15 0.01
Fri 10/02 09Z 1.06 2536 92 75 15 0.01
Fri 10/02 10Z 1.04 2535 92 78 15 0.01
Fri 10/02 11Z 1.01 2533 94 76 15 0.04
Fri 10/02 12Z 0.98 2531 96 72 14 0.07
Fri 10/02 13Z 0.92 2527 95 89 14 0.09
Fri 10/02 14Z 0.78 2621 96 90 13 0.07
Fri 10/02 15Z 0.69 2719 97 94 13 0.07
Fri 10/02 16Z 0.62 2819 97 96 12 0.05
Fri 10/02 17Z 0.52 2817 97 94 12 0.03
Fri 10/02 18Z 0.44 2915 97 92 12 0.04
Fri 10/02 19Z 0.46 2916 95 87 11 0.03
Fri 10/02 20Z 0.47 2918 95 74 11 0.02
Fri 10/02 21Z 0.38 3019 97 48 10 0.01
Fri 10/02 22Z 0.37 3122 91 20 10 0.01
Fri 10/02 23Z 0.37 3124 73 5 9 0.00
Sat 10/03 00Z 0.29 3226 57 2 8 0.00
Sat 10/03 01Z 0.17 3326 50 2 7 0.00
Sat 10/03 02Z 0.12 3424 55 2 6 0.00
Sat 10/03 03Z 0.17 3323 69 2 5 0.00
Sat 10/03 04Z 0.21 3324 79 3 5 0.00
Sat 10/03 05Z 0.25 3323 81 6 4 0.00
Sat 10/03 06Z 0.23 3323 83 5 4 0.00
Sat 10/03 07Z 0.18 3321 84 1 4 0.00
Sat 10/03 08Z 0.13 3320 83 3 4 0.00
Sat 10/03 09Z 0.08 3419 80 4 3 0.00
Sat 10/03 10Z 0.06 3417 80 4 3 0.00
Sat 10/03 11Z 0.05 3417 78 3 3 0.00
Sat 10/03 12Z 0.03 3417 75 2 3 0.00
Sat 10/03 13Z 0.02 3417 72 2 4 0.00
Sat 10/03 14Z 0.02 3416 70 2 4 0.00
Sat 10/03 15Z 0.03 3415 69 2 4 0.00
Sat 10/03 16Z 0.04 3414 67 2 4 0.00
Sat 10/03 17Z 0.04 3412 67 3 4 0.00
Sat 10/03 18Z 0.04 3410 70 4 3 0.00
Sat 10/03 19Z 0.06 3409 70 5 3 0.00
Sat 10/03 20Z 0.04 3408 70 6 3 0.00
Sat 10/03 21Z 0.03 3407 69 5 3 0.00
Sat 10/03 22Z 0.02 3506 63 5 4 0.00
Sat 10/03 23Z 0.05 0005 57 5 4 0.00
Sun 10/04 00Z 0.07 0204 51 4 4 0.00
Sun 10/04 01Z 0.07 0402 48 5 4 0.00
Sun 10/04 02Z 0.06 0902 46 5 5 0.00
Sun 10/04 03Z 0.05 1202 44 5 5 0.00
Sun 10/04 04Z 0.03 1503 46 4 5 0.00
Sun 10/04 05Z 0.02 1606 50 3 4 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 0.86 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1