Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20251229_1800
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Mon 12/29 18Z 0.33 2119 97 28 1 0.00
Mon 12/29 19Z 0.52 2221 96 20 0 0.01
Mon 12/29 20Z 0.60 2320 97 39 0 0.02
Mon 12/29 21Z 1.63 2625 96 88 -4 0.07
Mon 12/29 22Z 1.99 2725 93 93 -6 0.04
Mon 12/29 23Z 3.63 2627 86 66 -8 0.03
Tue 12/30 00Z 3.30 2627 82 68 -10 0.00
Tue 12/30 01Z 2.99 2526 85 60 -11 0.00
Tue 12/30 02Z 1.84 2525 82 49 -12 0.00
Tue 12/30 03Z 1.96 2527 88 67 -12 0.00
Tue 12/30 04Z 1.75 2526 90 63 -13 0.00
Tue 12/30 05Z 1.79 2527 92 70 -13 0.01
Tue 12/30 06Z 3.72 2627 86 77 -14 0.01
Tue 12/30 07Z 6.86 2629 83 79 -15 0.00
Tue 12/30 08Z 8.30 2729 79 76 -17 0.00
Tue 12/30 09Z 10.47 2829 78 79 -19 0.00
Tue 12/30 10Z 7.49 2828 78 78 -19 0.00
Tue 12/30 11Z 7.40 2828 78 76 -20 0.00
Tue 12/30 12Z 10.42 2829 77 72 -21 0.00
Tue 12/30 13Z 10.95 2827 77 75 -22 0.00
Tue 12/30 14Z 11.69 2827 78 76 -22 0.00
Tue 12/30 15Z 15.39 2828 78 67 -22 0.00
Tue 12/30 16Z 16.26 2727 78 68 -22 0.00
Tue 12/30 17Z 16.36 2727 77 71 -22 0.00
Tue 12/30 18Z 16.08 2727 77 73 -22 0.00
Tue 12/30 19Z 14.56 2727 78 76 -21 0.00
Tue 12/30 20Z 11.17 2727 80 77 -21 0.00
Tue 12/30 21Z 4.79 2728 81 78 -20 0.00
Tue 12/30 22Z 2.71 2730 82 77 -20 0.00
Tue 12/30 23Z 2.44 2731 83 75 -20 0.00
Wed 12/31 00Z 2.35 2732 84 73 -20 0.00
Wed 12/31 01Z 2.17 2732 85 72 -20 0.00
Wed 12/31 02Z 1.96 2732 87 69 -19 0.00
Wed 12/31 03Z 1.70 2732 88 61 -19 0.00
Wed 12/31 04Z 1.65 2732 89 52 -19 0.00
Wed 12/31 05Z 1.52 2733 88 39 -18 0.00
Wed 12/31 06Z 1.29 2733 83 19 -18 0.00
Wed 12/31 07Z 1.18 2732 79 10 -17 0.00
Wed 12/31 08Z 1.15 2732 74 16 -17 0.00
Wed 12/31 09Z 1.10 2732 68 25 -16 0.00
Wed 12/31 10Z 1.08 2732 67 40 -16 0.00
Wed 12/31 11Z 1.10 2631 74 55 -16 0.00
Wed 12/31 12Z 1.17 2629 80 65 -16 0.00
Wed 12/31 13Z 1.28 2628 85 70 -16 0.00
Wed 12/31 14Z 1.60 2526 89 70 -16 0.00
Wed 12/31 15Z 2.23 2523 91 72 -15 0.00
Wed 12/31 16Z 3.12 2421 92 74 -15 0.00
Wed 12/31 17Z 3.21 2419 93 75 -15 0.00
Wed 12/31 18Z 2.58 2319 92 77 -14 0.00
Wed 12/31 19Z 2.48 2319 92 80 -14 0.00
Wed 12/31 20Z 1.51 2218 93 81 -13 0.01
Wed 12/31 21Z 0.98 2118 93 82 -13 0.01
Wed 12/31 22Z 0.79 2120 92 80 -13 0.01
Wed 12/31 23Z 0.71 2121 92 78 -12 0.01
Thu 01/01 00Z 0.67 2122 93 81 -12 0.01
Thu 01/01 01Z 0.65 2122 93 87 -12 0.01
Thu 01/01 02Z 0.66 2123 93 85 -12 0.01
Thu 01/01 03Z 0.80 2123 95 85 -12 0.01
Thu 01/01 04Z 1.03 2324 96 78 -12 0.01
Thu 01/01 05Z 1.18 2720 95 75 -14 0.03
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 0.31 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1