Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260727_1800
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Mon 07/27 18Z 1.25 2403 83 61 14 0.00
Mon 07/27 19Z 0.97 2403 83 60 14 0.06
Mon 07/27 20Z 0.50 2204 83 65 14 0.08
Mon 07/27 21Z 0.26 2103 82 70 15 0.04
Mon 07/27 22Z 0.06 1704 81 69 15 0.04
Mon 07/27 23Z 0.05 1607 81 65 15 0.02
Tue 07/28 00Z 0.14 1808 83 66 14 0.00
Tue 07/28 01Z 0.22 1910 82 63 14 0.00
Tue 07/28 02Z 0.33 2012 83 59 14 0.00
Tue 07/28 03Z 0.20 1912 84 56 14 0.00
Tue 07/28 04Z 0.27 2013 86 62 14 0.00
Tue 07/28 05Z 0.24 2013 91 64 14 0.00
Tue 07/28 06Z 0.20 1912 91 63 14 0.00
Tue 07/28 07Z 0.13 1911 87 62 14 0.00
Tue 07/28 08Z 0.16 1912 87 73 14 0.00
Tue 07/28 09Z 0.07 1811 85 73 14 0.00
Tue 07/28 10Z 0.07 1812 85 68 14 0.00
Tue 07/28 11Z 0.13 1912 89 68 14 0.00
Tue 07/28 12Z 0.10 1811 90 70 14 0.00
Tue 07/28 13Z 0.06 1811 90 72 14 0.00
Tue 07/28 14Z 0.03 1712 90 70 14 0.00
Tue 07/28 15Z 0.03 1713 93 70 14 0.01
Tue 07/28 16Z 0.06 1614 96 71 14 0.01
Tue 07/28 17Z 0.12 1515 97 68 14 0.01
Tue 07/28 18Z 0.28 1417 98 66 14 0.01
Tue 07/28 19Z 0.23 1518 98 74 14 0.04
Tue 07/28 20Z 0.20 1518 98 80 14 0.08
Tue 07/28 21Z 0.10 1620 98 85 14 0.12
Tue 07/28 22Z 0.14 1621 97 88 14 0.21
Tue 07/28 23Z 0.18 1523 98 85 14 0.14
Wed 07/29 00Z 0.21 1524 98 85 14 0.06
Wed 07/29 01Z 0.14 1624 99 84 14 0.11
Wed 07/29 02Z 0.12 1624 95 82 13 0.11
Wed 07/29 03Z 0.15 1626 91 82 13 0.10
Wed 07/29 04Z 0.25 1525 89 84 13 0.01
Wed 07/29 05Z 0.34 1427 89 87 13 0.01
Wed 07/29 06Z 0.40 1429 87 88 12 0.01
Wed 07/29 07Z 0.45 1328 86 87 12 0.01
Wed 07/29 08Z 0.53 1330 85 87 12 0.01
Wed 07/29 09Z 0.56 1331 83 83 12 0.01
Wed 07/29 10Z 0.59 1233 82 80 12 0.01
Wed 07/29 11Z 0.60 1234 76 78 13 0.01
Wed 07/29 12Z 0.59 1235 72 79 13 0.00
Wed 07/29 13Z 0.60 1134 70 85 13 0.00
Wed 07/29 14Z 0.61 1133 69 87 13 0.00
Wed 07/29 15Z 0.66 1133 73 83 13 0.01
Wed 07/29 16Z 0.79 1133 79 79 12 0.01
Wed 07/29 17Z 0.81 1132 79 84 12 0.01
Wed 07/29 18Z 0.90 1032 85 89 11 0.02
Wed 07/29 19Z 0.98 1032 89 85 11 0.01
Wed 07/29 20Z 1.06 0932 92 86 11 0.01
Wed 07/29 21Z 1.02 0933 90 80 11 0.02
Wed 07/29 22Z 1.02 0934 91 85 11 0.03
Wed 07/29 23Z 1.07 0935 94 86 11 0.04
Thu 07/30 00Z 0.99 0935 95 85 11 0.05
Thu 07/30 01Z 0.98 0936 96 85 11 0.08
Thu 07/30 02Z 0.93 0937 95 73 12 0.11
Thu 07/30 03Z 0.81 1035 95 70 12 0.04
Thu 07/30 04Z 0.74 1033 96 76 12 0.04
Thu 07/30 05Z 0.70 1032 94 79 12 0.04
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 1.85 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1