Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260927_1800
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sun 09/27 18Z 0.61 0825 99 81 9 0.00
Sun 09/27 19Z 0.70 0828 98 72 9 0.03
Sun 09/27 20Z 0.76 0828 98 60 9 0.03
Sun 09/27 21Z 0.73 0828 98 50 10 0.03
Sun 09/27 22Z 0.71 0829 98 56 10 0.03
Sun 09/27 23Z 0.72 0830 97 63 10 0.03
Mon 09/28 00Z 0.68 0831 97 61 10 0.02
Mon 09/28 01Z 0.62 0931 97 70 11 0.02
Mon 09/28 02Z 0.59 0932 96 67 11 0.02
Mon 09/28 03Z 0.59 0932 96 60 11 0.01
Mon 09/28 04Z 0.58 0931 95 72 11 0.02
Mon 09/28 05Z 0.58 0931 96 86 11 0.02
Mon 09/28 06Z 0.56 0931 96 87 11 0.04
Mon 09/28 07Z 0.55 0930 96 81 11 0.02
Mon 09/28 08Z 0.50 0928 95 87 12 0.02
Mon 09/28 09Z 0.46 0926 94 78 12 0.01
Mon 09/28 10Z 0.43 0924 94 77 12 0.01
Mon 09/28 11Z 0.40 0922 95 79 12 0.01
Mon 09/28 12Z 0.38 0921 95 84 12 0.01
Mon 09/28 13Z 0.36 0920 96 84 12 0.01
Mon 09/28 14Z 0.35 0819 96 87 11 0.01
Mon 09/28 15Z 0.35 0818 97 91 11 0.01
Mon 09/28 16Z 0.35 0818 97 91 10 0.07
Mon 09/28 17Z 0.34 0717 98 90 10 0.05
Mon 09/28 18Z 0.33 0716 98 91 9 0.05
Mon 09/28 19Z 0.32 0714 98 92 8 0.03
Mon 09/28 20Z 0.30 0713 98 92 8 0.05
Mon 09/28 21Z 0.30 0713 98 85 8 0.05
Mon 09/28 22Z 0.30 0713 98 88 8 0.04
Mon 09/28 23Z 0.29 0713 97 95 9 0.03
Tue 09/29 00Z 0.29 0713 97 92 8 0.02
Tue 09/29 01Z 0.28 0713 97 92 8 0.01
Tue 09/29 02Z 0.25 0711 97 92 8 0.01
Tue 09/29 03Z 0.20 0709 97 92 8 0.00
Tue 09/29 04Z 0.15 0606 98 88 8 0.00
Tue 09/29 05Z 0.09 0404 98 91 7 0.00
Tue 09/29 06Z 0.08 0205 98 92 8 0.00
Tue 09/29 07Z 0.06 0107 98 93 8 0.00
Tue 09/29 08Z 0.06 0008 98 91 8 0.00
Tue 09/29 09Z 0.07 0009 97 86 8 0.00
Tue 09/29 10Z 0.11 0110 96 81 8 0.00
Tue 09/29 11Z 0.11 0110 95 80 8 0.00
Tue 09/29 12Z 0.11 0111 94 81 8 0.00
Tue 09/29 13Z 0.09 0110 95 84 8 0.00
Tue 09/29 14Z 0.06 0010 96 84 8 0.00
Tue 09/29 15Z 0.05 0010 97 87 8 0.00
Tue 09/29 16Z 0.05 3510 97 89 8 0.00
Tue 09/29 17Z 0.06 3511 97 85 8 0.00
Tue 09/29 18Z 0.08 0012 96 81 8 0.00
Tue 09/29 19Z 0.11 0013 95 77 8 0.00
Tue 09/29 20Z 0.13 0112 93 76 8 0.00
Tue 09/29 21Z 0.13 0111 93 75 8 0.00
Tue 09/29 22Z 0.10 0012 93 73 8 0.00
Tue 09/29 23Z 0.09 0013 89 73 9 0.00
Wed 09/30 00Z 0.09 0013 81 74 9 0.00
Wed 09/30 01Z 0.09 0012 72 73 9 0.00
Wed 09/30 02Z 0.11 0112 66 64 9 0.00
Wed 09/30 03Z 0.08 0010 61 49 9 0.00
Wed 09/30 04Z 0.06 0009 56 35 10 0.00
Wed 09/30 05Z 0.06 0007 47 22 10 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 0.82 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1