
Extreme Cold Warnings and Cold Weather Advisories remain in effect across the region through 1 pm Sunday. Wind chills of 20 to 35 below zero are expected, especially this morning. The risk of frostbite and hypothermia will be elevated, especially for vulnerable populations. Use extra caution and dress appropriately if you plan to be outdoors. Read More >
Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260208_0000
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sun 02/08 00Z 0.17 3321 80 59 -23 0.00
Sun 02/08 01Z 0.22 3225 81 57 -22 0.00
Sun 02/08 02Z 0.22 3226 80 55 -22 0.00
Sun 02/08 03Z 0.17 3326 77 55 -22 0.00
Sun 02/08 04Z 0.13 3326 78 55 -21 0.00
Sun 02/08 05Z 0.12 3325 80 55 -21 0.00
Sun 02/08 06Z 0.11 3324 79 58 -21 0.00
Sun 02/08 07Z 0.10 3323 77 61 -20 0.00
Sun 02/08 08Z 0.08 3323 76 64 -20 0.00
Sun 02/08 09Z 0.07 3323 76 66 -20 0.00
Sun 02/08 10Z 0.07 3323 77 67 -20 0.00
Sun 02/08 11Z 0.07 3324 78 66 -19 0.00
Sun 02/08 12Z 0.05 3425 78 65 -19 0.00
Sun 02/08 13Z 0.03 3425 78 69 -19 0.00
Sun 02/08 14Z 0.03 3425 76 68 -18 0.00
Sun 02/08 15Z 0.02 3425 76 52 -18 0.00
Sun 02/08 16Z 0.03 3425 75 49 -17 0.00
Sun 02/08 17Z 0.03 3425 74 52 -17 0.00
Sun 02/08 18Z 0.03 3424 71 36 -16 0.00
Sun 02/08 19Z 0.03 3425 65 35 -14 0.00
Sun 02/08 20Z 0.03 3425 64 42 -14 0.00
Sun 02/08 21Z 0.03 3426 64 46 -13 0.00
Sun 02/08 22Z 0.03 3427 64 44 -12 0.00
Sun 02/08 23Z 0.03 3528 65 47 -12 0.00
Mon 02/09 00Z 0.03 3429 69 44 -12 0.00
Mon 02/09 01Z 0.02 3429 68 33 -12 0.00
Mon 02/09 02Z 0.03 3429 66 26 -12 0.00
Mon 02/09 03Z 0.05 3429 63 27 -11 0.00
Mon 02/09 04Z 0.07 3430 63 33 -11 0.00
Mon 02/09 05Z 0.08 3331 61 38 -11 0.00
Mon 02/09 06Z 0.10 3332 59 36 -12 0.00
Mon 02/09 07Z 0.11 3333 63 32 -12 0.00
Mon 02/09 08Z 0.11 3333 66 29 -12 0.00
Mon 02/09 09Z 0.11 3333 65 25 -12 0.00
Mon 02/09 10Z 0.11 3334 65 23 -12 0.00
Mon 02/09 11Z 0.10 3334 64 21 -12 0.00
Mon 02/09 12Z 0.07 3434 59 17 -12 0.00
Mon 02/09 13Z 0.06 3435 57 13 -12 0.00
Mon 02/09 14Z 0.05 3434 55 10 -11 0.00
Mon 02/09 15Z 0.04 3432 53 8 -11 0.00
Mon 02/09 16Z 0.06 3431 52 11 -11 0.00
Mon 02/09 17Z 0.07 3429 49 22 -11 0.00
Mon 02/09 18Z 0.11 3328 49 38 -12 0.00
Mon 02/09 19Z 0.11 3328 47 52 -11 0.00
Mon 02/09 20Z 0.12 3326 44 55 -11 0.00
Mon 02/09 21Z 0.11 3325 41 49 -10 0.00
Mon 02/09 22Z 0.12 3326 40 48 -9 0.00
Mon 02/09 23Z 0.13 3326 37 52 -9 0.00
Tue 02/10 00Z 0.10 3325 34 54 -8 0.00
Tue 02/10 01Z 0.08 3325 30 56 -8 0.00
Tue 02/10 02Z 0.07 3424 24 57 -8 0.00
Tue 02/10 03Z 0.06 3423 21 64 -8 0.00
Tue 02/10 04Z 0.05 3420 19 61 -8 0.00
Tue 02/10 05Z 0.04 3418 17 61 -7 0.00
Tue 02/10 06Z 0.08 3318 17 70 -7 0.00
Tue 02/10 07Z 0.09 3317 17 67 -7 0.00
Tue 02/10 08Z 0.12 3216 18 68 -7 0.00
Tue 02/10 09Z 0.11 3214 18 70 -7 0.00
Tue 02/10 10Z 0.12 3112 19 75 -7 0.00
Tue 02/10 11Z 0.10 3110 20 72 -7 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 0.00 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1