Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20261001_0000
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Thu 10/01 00Z 0.26 2609 91 43 11 0.00
Thu 10/01 01Z 0.28 2710 87 38 11 0.00
Thu 10/01 02Z 0.30 2610 87 39 11 0.00
Thu 10/01 03Z 0.34 2611 92 50 11 0.00
Thu 10/01 04Z 0.37 2612 91 53 11 0.00
Thu 10/01 05Z 0.40 2713 88 42 11 0.00
Thu 10/01 06Z 0.37 2712 84 36 11 0.00
Thu 10/01 07Z 0.36 2611 87 40 11 0.00
Thu 10/01 08Z 0.38 2512 90 43 11 0.00
Thu 10/01 09Z 0.43 2513 93 56 11 0.00
Thu 10/01 10Z 0.45 2414 95 32 11 0.01
Thu 10/01 11Z 0.45 2315 95 28 11 0.01
Thu 10/01 12Z 0.47 2316 94 45 11 0.01
Thu 10/01 13Z 0.51 2318 94 71 11 0.01
Thu 10/01 14Z 0.54 2319 93 88 12 0.01
Thu 10/01 15Z 0.59 2320 93 92 12 0.01
Thu 10/01 16Z 0.64 2322 94 91 12 0.01
Thu 10/01 17Z 0.74 2323 91 84 12 0.00
Thu 10/01 18Z 0.79 2323 85 89 12 0.00
Thu 10/01 19Z 0.79 2424 94 96 13 0.01
Thu 10/01 20Z 0.75 2426 97 98 13 0.06
Thu 10/01 21Z 0.76 2527 95 96 14 0.06
Thu 10/01 22Z 0.78 2529 91 89 14 0.04
Thu 10/01 23Z 0.79 2529 91 90 15 0.02
Fri 10/02 00Z 0.82 2429 89 70 14 0.02
Fri 10/02 01Z 0.84 2430 90 59 15 0.01
Fri 10/02 02Z 0.88 2332 91 33 15 0.01
Fri 10/02 03Z 0.98 2337 95 43 15 0.02
Fri 10/02 04Z 1.05 2337 94 34 15 0.03
Fri 10/02 05Z 1.06 2338 93 59 15 0.01
Fri 10/02 06Z 1.10 2439 94 73 15 0.01
Fri 10/02 07Z 1.14 2439 93 73 15 0.01
Fri 10/02 08Z 1.12 2440 89 73 15 0.01
Fri 10/02 09Z 1.10 2439 91 73 15 0.01
Fri 10/02 10Z 1.11 2439 92 78 15 0.01
Fri 10/02 11Z 1.09 2437 94 75 15 0.03
Fri 10/02 12Z 1.05 2535 95 93 14 0.15
Fri 10/02 13Z 0.82 2726 98 95 13 0.14
Fri 10/02 14Z 0.68 2923 98 98 12 0.11
Fri 10/02 15Z 0.64 2921 97 95 11 0.07
Fri 10/02 16Z 0.62 2919 91 90 11 0.02
Fri 10/02 17Z 0.70 2819 88 87 11 0.00
Fri 10/02 18Z 0.75 2719 92 74 11 0.01
Fri 10/02 19Z 0.60 2819 94 68 11 0.03
Fri 10/02 20Z 0.51 2920 94 49 10 0.03
Fri 10/02 21Z 0.39 3021 91 40 10 0.02
Fri 10/02 22Z 0.35 3122 80 6 9 0.01
Fri 10/02 23Z 0.29 3122 71 2 8 0.00
Sat 10/03 00Z 0.29 3222 68 1 7 0.00
Sat 10/03 01Z 0.24 3323 62 1 6 0.00
Sat 10/03 02Z 0.20 3323 62 1 5 0.00
Sat 10/03 03Z 0.19 3322 74 1 5 0.00
Sat 10/03 04Z 0.22 3322 79 1 4 0.00
Sat 10/03 05Z 0.17 3321 78 1 4 0.00
Sat 10/03 06Z 0.08 3419 78 0 4 0.00
Sat 10/03 07Z 0.12 3419 77 1 3 0.00
Sat 10/03 08Z 0.16 3318 76 2 3 0.00
Sat 10/03 09Z 0.14 3318 72 1 3 0.00
Sat 10/03 10Z 0.12 3418 71 1 3 0.00
Sat 10/03 11Z 0.10 3417 72 1 3 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 1.03 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1