National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Extreme Heat Warnings and Heat Advisories remain in effect through Friday

Dangerous heat will continue through Friday. Extreme Heat Warnings are in effect for the entire Champlain Valley & eastern Windsor County in Vermont. Heat Advisories in effect for the remainder of our region. Heat index values will peak around 105 degrees in warning areas with locally higher values possible. Advisory areas will see heat index values up to 100 degrees. Read More >

Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens

Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260703_0600
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.

925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date   Time        Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Fri 07/03 06Z 0.50 3122  87  56  18 0.00
Fri 07/03 07Z 0.57 3024  86  62  18 0.00
Fri 07/03 08Z 0.59 3023  85  63  17 0.00
Fri 07/03 09Z 0.60 3023  84  58  17 0.00
Fri 07/03 10Z 0.55 3023  77  48  17 0.00
Fri 07/03 11Z 0.53 3024  70  34  18 0.00
Fri 07/03 12Z 0.52 3023  67  29  18 0.00
Fri 07/03 13Z 0.57 2922  68  24  18 0.00
Fri 07/03 14Z 0.62 2921  70  22  17 0.00
Fri 07/03 15Z 0.67 2920  72  23  17 0.00
Fri 07/03 16Z 0.79 2917  75  29  17 0.00
Fri 07/03 17Z 2.04 2915  77  35  17 0.00
Fri 07/03 18Z 6.24 2714  78  45  17 0.00
Fri 07/03 19Z 8.86 2714  74  49  17 0.00
Fri 07/03 20Z 8.90 2716  69  62  18 0.00
Fri 07/03 21Z 5.55 2816  69  69  18 0.00
Fri 07/03 22Z 2.56 2716  71  73  18 0.00
Fri 07/03 23Z 1.21 2816  73  68  18 0.00
Sat 07/04 00Z 0.93 2915  70  66  18 0.00
Sat 07/04 01Z 0.85 2917  74  63  17 0.00
Sat 07/04 02Z 0.79 2917  74  66  17 0.00
Sat 07/04 03Z 0.66 2918  73  65  17 0.00
Sat 07/04 04Z 0.54 3020  74  68  17 0.00
Sat 07/04 05Z 0.47 3121  78  63  17 0.00
Sat 07/04 06Z 0.41 3121  79  63  17 0.00
Sat 07/04 07Z 0.40 3122  82  58  16 0.00
Sat 07/04 08Z 0.39 3121  88  59  16 0.00
Sat 07/04 09Z 0.42 3121  90  57  16 0.00
Sat 07/04 10Z 0.40 3121  89  60  16 0.00
Sat 07/04 11Z 0.42 3121  91  63  15 0.00
Sat 07/04 12Z 0.41 3120  95  63  15 0.00
Sat 07/04 13Z 0.39 3119  96  61  14 0.01
Sat 07/04 14Z 0.37 3119  96  57  14 0.00
Sat 07/04 15Z 0.39 3119  93  54  13 0.00
Sat 07/04 16Z 0.45 3119  88  65  13 0.02
Sat 07/04 17Z 0.64 3018  83  52  13 0.02
Sat 07/04 18Z 0.85 3117  79  44  13 0.00
Sat 07/04 19Z 0.92 3117  77  31  13 0.00
Sat 07/04 20Z 0.86 3116  72  23  13 0.00
Sat 07/04 21Z 0.82 3117  68  18  13 0.00
Sat 07/04 22Z 0.56 3116  64  14  13 0.00
Sat 07/04 23Z 0.35 3215  61   9  13 0.00
Sun 07/05 00Z 0.22 3316  60   7  12 0.00
Sun 07/05 01Z 0.17 3316  61   6  12 0.00
Sun 07/05 02Z 0.10 3415  60   7  12 0.00
Sun 07/05 03Z 0.05 3414  58   6  12 0.00
Sun 07/05 04Z 0.04 3510  57   6  12 0.00
Sun 07/05 05Z 0.04 3509  58   7  12 0.00
Sun 07/05 06Z 0.09 0008  58   7  12 0.00
Sun 07/05 07Z 0.11 0106  58   6  12 0.00
Sun 07/05 08Z 0.11 0203  59   7  12 0.00
Sun 07/05 09Z 0.09 0402  59   8  12 0.00
Sun 07/05 10Z 0.07 0901  59   7  12 0.00
Sun 07/05 11Z 0.06 1302  58   7  12 0.00
Sun 07/05 12Z 0.03 1603  57  10  12 0.00
Sun 07/05 13Z 0.03 1603  58  16  12 0.00
Sun 07/05 14Z 0.05 1402  62  15  12 0.00
Sun 07/05 15Z 0.12 1503  69   9  11 0.00
Sun 07/05 16Z 0.22 1502  74   7  11 0.00
Sun 07/05 17Z 0.27 1401  76   7  11 0.00

Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 0.05 inches.

Froude Number (Frd#): 
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
         Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
         W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
         Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
         Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
         W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
         Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
         Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
         With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
         Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
         W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
         Air flows freely over terrain.
         Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.

Relative Humidity (RH): 
         925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
         with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
         with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.

850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
        T > -11       10-15:1
        T -11 to -15  25-35:1
        T < -15       15-20:1