Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260120_1800
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Tue 01/20 18Z 7.98 2515 82 64 -20 0.00
Tue 01/20 19Z 8.61 2519 83 62 -20 0.01
Tue 01/20 20Z 9.09 2621 81 61 -20 0.01
Tue 01/20 21Z 6.36 2621 78 61 -20 0.01
Tue 01/20 22Z 4.83 2723 77 51 -20 0.01
Tue 01/20 23Z 2.32 2624 80 40 -20 0.00
Wed 01/21 00Z 1.95 2626 82 35 -20 0.00
Wed 01/21 01Z 1.35 2627 77 34 -20 0.00
Wed 01/21 02Z 1.21 2628 79 36 -20 0.00
Wed 01/21 03Z 1.06 2628 80 39 -20 0.00
Wed 01/21 04Z 1.02 2629 80 36 -20 0.00
Wed 01/21 05Z 0.97 2629 82 36 -19 0.00
Wed 01/21 06Z 0.82 2628 80 35 -19 0.00
Wed 01/21 07Z 0.80 2529 79 30 -18 0.00
Wed 01/21 08Z 0.76 2629 73 20 -18 0.00
Wed 01/21 09Z 0.73 2630 72 12 -17 0.00
Wed 01/21 10Z 0.65 2628 70 8 -17 0.00
Wed 01/21 11Z 0.66 2528 69 9 -16 0.00
Wed 01/21 12Z 0.60 2527 65 10 -16 0.00
Wed 01/21 13Z 0.56 2526 58 9 -15 0.00
Wed 01/21 14Z 0.56 2526 53 13 -15 0.00
Wed 01/21 15Z 0.55 2425 50 40 -15 0.00
Wed 01/21 16Z 0.53 2423 49 75 -14 0.00
Wed 01/21 17Z 0.48 2321 47 91 -14 0.00
Wed 01/21 18Z 0.48 2222 43 95 -13 0.00
Wed 01/21 19Z 0.48 2223 37 88 -13 0.00
Wed 01/21 20Z 0.45 2123 51 84 -13 0.00
Wed 01/21 21Z 0.38 2026 64 90 -11 0.00
Wed 01/21 22Z 0.33 1928 76 88 -11 0.00
Wed 01/21 23Z 0.35 1933 88 89 -10 0.02
Thu 01/22 00Z 0.56 2038 90 90 -12 0.04
Thu 01/22 01Z 0.71 2042 92 89 -11 0.03
Thu 01/22 02Z 0.74 2143 93 86 -10 0.01
Thu 01/22 03Z 0.78 2240 95 88 -9 0.01
Thu 01/22 04Z 0.80 2237 95 91 -9 0.01
Thu 01/22 05Z 0.78 2335 96 77 -8 0.01
Thu 01/22 06Z 0.76 2333 95 54 -8 0.01
Thu 01/22 07Z 0.77 2332 94 36 -8 0.00
Thu 01/22 08Z 0.76 2331 94 30 -8 0.00
Thu 01/22 09Z 0.76 2429 94 34 -8 0.00
Thu 01/22 10Z 0.78 2329 94 45 -8 0.00
Thu 01/22 11Z 0.81 2329 95 52 -9 0.00
Thu 01/22 12Z 0.87 2329 95 67 -9 0.00
Thu 01/22 13Z 0.92 2330 95 77 -9 0.01
Thu 01/22 14Z 0.97 2331 94 68 -8 0.01
Thu 01/22 15Z 1.18 2433 95 62 -9 0.01
Thu 01/22 16Z 1.55 2432 91 48 -10 0.01
Thu 01/22 17Z 1.65 2428 88 38 -10 0.00
Thu 01/22 18Z 3.38 2426 92 45 -9 0.00
Thu 01/22 19Z 6.50 2429 93 21 -10 0.01
Thu 01/22 20Z 5.93 2430 90 30 -10 0.01
Thu 01/22 21Z 8.22 2532 82 22 -11 0.01
Thu 01/22 22Z 5.12 2433 83 27 -12 0.00
Thu 01/22 23Z 5.69 2436 85 26 -12 0.00
Fri 01/23 00Z 4.21 2535 87 27 -13 0.00
Fri 01/23 01Z 3.09 2534 85 23 -14 0.00
Fri 01/23 02Z 1.87 2534 77 23 -15 0.00
Fri 01/23 03Z 1.48 2534 78 24 -15 0.00
Fri 01/23 04Z 1.58 2632 80 25 -16 0.00
Fri 01/23 05Z 1.63 2630 84 24 -16 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 0.25 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1