Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260215_1800
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sun 02/15 18Z 0.24 0907 51 47 -8 0.00
Sun 02/15 19Z 0.22 1007 52 58 -8 0.00
Sun 02/15 20Z 0.14 1207 50 62 -7 0.00
Sun 02/15 21Z 0.10 1408 45 60 -6 0.00
Sun 02/15 22Z 0.07 1509 40 57 -6 0.00
Sun 02/15 23Z 0.08 1512 35 47 -6 0.00
Mon 02/16 00Z 0.08 1513 34 33 -5 0.00
Mon 02/16 01Z 0.09 1514 33 17 -5 0.00
Mon 02/16 04Z 0.03 1618 31 9 -6 0.00
Mon 02/16 05Z 0.06 1718 35 21 -6 0.00
Mon 02/16 06Z 0.07 1717 41 46 -7 0.00
Mon 02/16 07Z 0.06 1717 49 69 -7 0.00
Mon 02/16 08Z 0.04 1716 58 81 -6 0.00
Mon 02/16 09Z 0.04 1714 68 89 -6 0.00
Mon 02/16 10Z 0.04 1713 77 88 -6 0.00
Mon 02/16 11Z 0.03 1713 80 90 -6 0.00
Mon 02/16 12Z 0.04 1712 82 92 -5 0.00
Mon 02/16 13Z 0.05 1812 85 88 -5 0.00
Mon 02/16 14Z 0.06 1811 88 86 -5 0.00
Mon 02/16 15Z 0.07 1811 90 83 -5 0.00
Mon 02/16 16Z 0.07 1810 91 77 -5 0.00
Mon 02/16 17Z 0.06 1809 89 69 -4 0.00
Mon 02/16 18Z 0.08 1908 88 62 -4 0.00
Mon 02/16 19Z 0.07 1908 87 53 -4 0.00
Mon 02/16 20Z 0.13 1909 87 49 -5 0.00
Mon 02/16 21Z 0.14 2009 87 43 -5 0.00
Mon 02/16 22Z 0.08 1810 86 39 -4 0.00
Mon 02/16 23Z 0.17 1913 88 38 -5 0.00
Tue 02/17 00Z 0.20 2013 90 39 -5 0.00
Tue 02/17 01Z 0.24 2114 91 47 -5 0.00
Tue 02/17 02Z 0.24 2113 90 85 -4 0.00
Tue 02/17 03Z 0.27 2116 91 84 -4 0.00
Tue 02/17 04Z 0.24 2114 89 90 -3 0.00
Tue 02/17 05Z 0.27 2216 89 87 -3 0.00
Tue 02/17 06Z 0.28 2217 88 73 -3 0.00
Tue 02/17 07Z 0.31 2217 88 90 -2 0.00
Tue 02/17 08Z 0.27 2214 90 93 -2 0.00
Tue 02/17 09Z 0.27 2314 93 94 -3 0.00
Tue 02/17 10Z 0.30 2215 95 97 -3 0.00
Tue 02/17 11Z 0.31 2216 94 97 -3 0.00
Tue 02/17 12Z 0.30 2315 93 95 -3 0.01
Tue 02/17 13Z 0.30 2414 93 87 -3 0.01
Tue 02/17 14Z 0.30 2513 96 77 -3 0.01
Tue 02/17 15Z 0.30 2512 97 56 -3 0.00
Tue 02/17 16Z 0.28 2711 97 48 -3 0.01
Tue 02/17 17Z 0.28 2811 97 22 -3 0.01
Tue 02/17 18Z 0.32 2812 97 12 -3 0.01
Tue 02/17 19Z 0.31 2913 97 12 -3 0.00
Tue 02/17 20Z 0.34 2914 96 18 -3 0.00
Tue 02/17 21Z 0.42 2916 93 21 -3 0.00
Tue 02/17 22Z 0.44 2818 81 15 -3 0.00
Tue 02/17 23Z 0.40 2919 65 14 -2 0.00
Wed 02/18 00Z 0.39 2920 58 11 -2 0.01
Wed 02/18 01Z 0.40 2921 54 15 -2 0.01
Wed 02/18 02Z 0.39 3021 51 19 -3 0.00
Wed 02/18 03Z 0.42 2922 49 20 -3 0.00
Wed 02/18 04Z 0.43 2923 49 23 -3 0.00
Wed 02/18 05Z 0.41 3024 52 22 -4 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 0.08 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1