
A winter weather advisory is in effect from 1 pm Monday to 1 pm Tuesday for lake effect snow in southern St Lawrence County in northern New York. Total snow accumulations between 3 and 6 inches, especially south and east of Route 11. There may be isolated higher amounts. Read More >
Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260118_1800
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sun 01/18 18Z 0.51 2308 88 74 -10 0.00
Sun 01/18 19Z 0.42 2307 85 83 -10 0.00
Sun 01/18 20Z 0.27 2304 81 84 -10 0.00
Sun 01/18 21Z 0.13 2102 79 85 -10 0.00
Sun 01/18 22Z 0.06 1801 79 88 -10 0.00
Sun 01/18 23Z 0.07 2100 80 87 -10 0.00
Mon 01/19 01Z 0.06 3300 83 92 -10 0.00
Mon 01/19 02Z 0.08 3102 82 88 -10 0.00
Mon 01/19 03Z 0.08 3203 83 82 -10 0.00
Mon 01/19 04Z 0.08 3304 86 82 -10 0.00
Mon 01/19 05Z 0.10 3403 88 80 -11 0.00
Mon 01/19 06Z 0.11 3403 90 71 -11 0.00
Mon 01/19 07Z 0.09 3404 92 43 -12 0.00
Mon 01/19 08Z 0.09 3103 93 43 -12 0.00
Mon 01/19 09Z 0.11 2803 94 38 -12 0.00
Mon 01/19 10Z 0.14 2603 95 34 -12 0.00
Mon 01/19 11Z 0.25 2606 96 32 -13 0.00
Mon 01/19 12Z 0.41 2509 95 35 -13 0.00
Mon 01/19 13Z 0.37 2509 91 39 -13 0.00
Mon 01/19 14Z 0.39 2310 91 53 -13 0.00
Mon 01/19 15Z 0.59 2212 94 76 -13 0.00
Mon 01/19 16Z 0.90 2215 93 84 -13 0.00
Mon 01/19 17Z 1.78 2216 85 75 -14 0.00
Mon 01/19 18Z 3.40 2216 73 73 -14 0.00
Mon 01/19 19Z 4.20 2317 77 77 -14 0.00
Mon 01/19 20Z 3.40 2318 85 84 -14 0.00
Mon 01/19 21Z 1.19 2320 91 85 -13 0.00
Mon 01/19 22Z 3.62 2325 93 78 -14 0.00
Mon 01/19 23Z 1.75 2426 91 72 -14 0.02
Tue 01/20 00Z 1.63 2428 92 65 -14 0.01
Tue 01/20 01Z 2.15 2429 90 65 -14 0.01
Tue 01/20 02Z 3.51 2431 87 58 -15 0.00
Tue 01/20 03Z 7.51 2531 77 63 -16 0.00
Tue 01/20 04Z 5.32 2532 70 54 -17 0.00
Tue 01/20 05Z 2.45 2534 80 62 -17 0.00
Tue 01/20 06Z 1.50 2632 79 59 -17 0.00
Tue 01/20 07Z 1.50 2529 86 50 -17 0.00
Tue 01/20 08Z 1.51 2530 91 56 -18 0.00
Tue 01/20 09Z 1.81 2530 89 47 -18 0.00
Tue 01/20 10Z 3.14 2628 86 37 -19 0.00
Tue 01/20 11Z 2.43 2625 82 35 -19 0.00
Tue 01/20 12Z 1.83 2624 79 35 -20 0.00
Tue 01/20 13Z 1.57 2624 77 40 -20 0.00
Tue 01/20 14Z 2.70 2622 78 44 -21 0.00
Tue 01/20 15Z 8.10 2619 79 53 -21 0.00
Tue 01/20 16Z 10.42 2517 78 72 -21 0.00
Tue 01/20 17Z 9.75 2517 82 72 -21 0.00
Tue 01/20 18Z 10.11 2519 84 69 -21 0.00
Tue 01/20 19Z 11.41 2521 78 68 -20 0.00
Tue 01/20 20Z 14.31 2524 73 71 -20 0.00
Tue 01/20 21Z 11.81 2625 76 68 -21 0.00
Tue 01/20 22Z 6.11 2626 80 53 -21 0.00
Tue 01/20 23Z 3.20 2626 77 34 -21 0.00
Wed 01/21 00Z 3.50 2627 80 37 -21 0.00
Wed 01/21 01Z 2.30 2727 77 42 -21 0.00
Wed 01/21 02Z 1.47 2727 76 47 -21 0.00
Wed 01/21 03Z 1.29 2627 76 44 -21 0.00
Wed 01/21 04Z 1.09 2726 75 47 -21 0.00
Wed 01/21 05Z 0.96 2625 76 44 -21 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 0.04 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1