
Subtropical Storm Josephine will continue to bring significant coastal flooding impacts, dangerous marine conditions, and beach erosion along portions of the Eastern Seaboard. A Pacific storm will interact with tropical moisture and bring excessive rainfall, severe thunderstorms, and high elevation snow to California, the Southwest, and Four Corners region. Read More >
Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20261022_0600
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Thu 10/22 06Z 0.08 0110 38 7 7 0.00
Thu 10/22 07Z 0.07 0013 35 8 7 0.00
Thu 10/22 08Z 0.08 0016 31 10 7 0.00
Thu 10/22 09Z 0.10 0019 30 11 7 0.00
Thu 10/22 10Z 0.15 0021 28 14 6 0.00
Thu 10/22 11Z 0.18 0123 28 18 6 0.00
Thu 10/22 12Z 0.22 0122 30 21 6 0.00
Thu 10/22 13Z 0.20 0122 34 21 6 0.00
Thu 10/22 14Z 0.17 0122 37 19 6 0.00
Thu 10/22 15Z 0.15 0021 42 16 6 0.00
Thu 10/22 16Z 0.13 0022 51 22 5 0.00
Thu 10/22 17Z 0.11 3522 63 35 4 0.00
Thu 10/22 18Z 0.08 3523 75 45 4 0.00
Thu 10/22 19Z 0.05 3524 83 37 4 0.00
Thu 10/22 20Z 0.04 3525 85 21 3 0.00
Thu 10/22 21Z 0.06 3528 83 16 2 0.00
Thu 10/22 22Z 0.10 3530 74 22 3 0.00
Thu 10/22 23Z 0.14 0031 68 16 3 0.00
Fri 10/23 00Z 0.17 0031 65 14 3 0.00
Fri 10/23 01Z 0.20 0030 61 16 2 0.00
Fri 10/23 02Z 0.25 0129 58 14 1 0.00
Fri 10/23 03Z 0.30 0129 57 5 0 0.00
Fri 10/23 04Z 0.35 0230 49 1 0 0.00
Fri 10/23 05Z 0.41 0229 40 1 0 0.00
Fri 10/23 06Z 0.44 0227 35 1 0 0.00
Fri 10/23 07Z 0.42 0326 38 2 -1 0.00
Fri 10/23 08Z 0.39 0226 39 3 -1 0.00
Fri 10/23 09Z 0.39 0226 37 3 -1 0.00
Fri 10/23 10Z 0.37 0227 37 2 0 0.00
Fri 10/23 11Z 0.36 0227 33 1 0 0.00
Fri 10/23 12Z 0.36 0226 29 1 0 0.00
Fri 10/23 13Z 0.36 0324 29 2 0 0.00
Fri 10/23 14Z 0.33 0322 37 3 0 0.00
Fri 10/23 15Z 0.29 0220 40 4 0 0.00
Fri 10/23 16Z 0.27 0218 38 3 0 0.00
Fri 10/23 17Z 0.23 0217 40 2 0 0.00
Fri 10/23 18Z 0.20 0116 39 2 0 0.00
Fri 10/23 19Z 0.21 0217 35 2 1 0.00
Fri 10/23 20Z 0.20 0217 33 2 2 0.00
Fri 10/23 21Z 0.20 0217 29 2 3 0.00
Fri 10/23 22Z 0.21 0218 24 2 3 0.00
Fri 10/23 23Z 0.21 0217 20 2 4 0.00
Sat 10/24 00Z 0.20 0316 18 2 4 0.00
Sat 10/24 01Z 0.19 0315 15 2 4 0.00
Sat 10/24 02Z 0.19 0314 13 3 5 0.00
Sat 10/24 03Z 0.17 0312 11 2 5 0.00
Sat 10/24 04Z 0.13 0309 9 2 5 0.00
Sat 10/24 05Z 0.09 0208 8 2 5 0.00
Sat 10/24 06Z 0.06 0107 8 2 5 0.00
Sat 10/24 07Z 0.02 3507 7 2 5 0.00
Sat 10/24 08Z 0.02 3408 6 1 5 0.00
Sat 10/24 09Z 0.03 3408 6 1 5 0.00
Sat 10/24 10Z 0.05 3309 6 1 5 0.00
Sat 10/24 11Z 0.07 3311 6 1 5 0.00
Sat 10/24 12Z 0.07 3312 5 1 5 0.00
Sat 10/24 13Z 0.06 3313 5 1 5 0.00
Sat 10/24 14Z 0.04 3414 6 2 5 0.00
Sat 10/24 15Z 0.04 3413 8 2 5 0.00
Sat 10/24 16Z 0.05 3311 10 2 5 0.00
Sat 10/24 17Z 0.06 3311 12 2 5 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 0.00 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1