Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20261006_1200
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Tue 10/06 12Z 0.48 3025 97 21 -2 0.00
Tue 10/06 13Z 0.50 3027 95 15 -1 0.01
Tue 10/06 14Z 0.49 3026 95 12 -1 0.01
Tue 10/06 15Z 0.48 3024 90 8 -1 0.00
Tue 10/06 16Z 0.53 3022 87 6 0 0.00
Tue 10/06 17Z 0.65 2921 80 5 0 0.00
Tue 10/06 18Z 0.80 2919 73 4 0 0.00
Tue 10/06 19Z 0.94 2919 62 5 0 0.00
Tue 10/06 20Z 1.01 2919 56 8 0 0.00
Tue 10/06 21Z 1.01 2919 55 14 0 0.00
Tue 10/06 22Z 1.06 3020 53 23 0 0.00
Tue 10/06 23Z 0.92 3021 49 35 0 0.00
Wed 10/07 00Z 0.72 3021 50 45 0 0.00
Wed 10/07 01Z 0.52 3020 48 52 0 0.00
Wed 10/07 02Z 0.39 3019 44 51 1 0.00
Wed 10/07 03Z 0.33 3017 42 47 1 0.00
Wed 10/07 04Z 0.28 3014 41 49 2 0.00
Wed 10/07 05Z 0.26 2812 39 55 2 0.00
Wed 10/07 06Z 0.28 2712 35 56 3 0.00
Wed 10/07 07Z 0.33 2614 34 63 3 0.00
Wed 10/07 08Z 0.36 2616 29 79 4 0.00
Wed 10/07 09Z 0.43 2619 25 83 4 0.00
Wed 10/07 10Z 0.43 2619 21 88 5 0.00
Wed 10/07 11Z 0.41 2619 30 95 6 0.00
Wed 10/07 12Z 0.41 2519 41 93 6 0.00
Wed 10/07 13Z 0.42 2420 48 96 6 0.00
Wed 10/07 14Z 0.43 2322 51 93 7 0.00
Wed 10/07 15Z 0.41 2223 50 86 7 0.00
Wed 10/07 16Z 0.48 2225 52 84 7 0.00
Wed 10/07 17Z 0.54 2226 45 73 7 0.00
Wed 10/07 18Z 0.51 2125 39 63 8 0.00
Wed 10/07 19Z 0.54 2124 40 65 8 0.00
Wed 10/07 20Z 0.56 2123 48 44 8 0.00
Wed 10/07 21Z 0.65 2124 62 46 7 0.00
Wed 10/07 22Z 0.73 2126 76 90 7 0.00
Wed 10/07 23Z 0.66 2227 82 95 7 0.01
Thu 10/08 00Z 0.73 2229 85 93 7 0.01
Thu 10/08 01Z 0.80 2331 88 93 7 0.03
Thu 10/08 02Z 0.83 2332 95 92 7 0.02
Thu 10/08 03Z 0.85 2332 96 93 7 0.03
Thu 10/08 04Z 0.82 2332 96 87 8 0.03
Thu 10/08 05Z 0.75 2330 97 90 8 0.03
Thu 10/08 06Z 0.74 2429 97 93 8 0.04
Thu 10/08 07Z 0.80 2431 97 92 8 0.07
Thu 10/08 08Z 0.86 2431 97 90 8 0.12
Thu 10/08 09Z 0.83 2527 93 84 7 0.07
Thu 10/08 10Z 0.81 2526 92 75 7 0.02
Thu 10/08 11Z 0.76 2524 89 58 7 0.01
Thu 10/08 12Z 0.83 2624 88 49 6 0.01
Thu 10/08 13Z 0.77 2622 84 48 6 0.01
Thu 10/08 14Z 0.70 2720 76 44 6 0.01
Thu 10/08 15Z 0.77 2720 74 54 5 0.00
Thu 10/08 16Z 0.92 2719 78 58 5 0.00
Thu 10/08 17Z 2.19 2619 87 50 4 0.00
Thu 10/08 18Z 6.51 2618 86 32 5 0.00
Thu 10/08 19Z 7.96 2518 83 28 5 0.00
Thu 10/08 20Z 8.77 2520 82 42 5 0.00
Thu 10/08 21Z 3.15 2622 79 27 4 0.03
Thu 10/08 22Z 2.79 2625 80 25 4 0.00
Thu 10/08 23Z 2.56 2627 81 30 4 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 0.57 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1