
A slow moving front will produce a threat for heavy rainfall and severe weather from New Mexico into the western High Plains through the weekend. Heavy rainfall is also expected this weekend in South Florida. The Bering Sea storm continues to bring heavy precipitation, strong winds, and minor to major coastal flooding through the weekend across western Alaska. Read More >
Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20261025_1800
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sun 10/25 18Z 0.15 2705 31 8 8 0.00
Sun 10/25 19Z 0.16 2706 31 9 9 0.00
Sun 10/25 20Z 0.17 2606 28 11 9 0.00
Sun 10/25 21Z 0.17 2507 24 13 10 0.00
Sun 10/25 22Z 0.20 2508 20 14 10 0.00
Sun 10/25 23Z 0.23 2510 19 13 10 0.00
Mon 10/26 00Z 0.27 2512 17 12 10 0.00
Mon 10/26 01Z 0.30 2613 19 14 11 0.00
Mon 10/26 02Z 0.33 2615 18 18 10 0.00
Mon 10/26 03Z 0.36 2717 15 17 10 0.00
Mon 10/26 04Z 0.34 2717 16 15 11 0.00
Mon 10/26 05Z 0.31 2716 15 15 11 0.00
Mon 10/26 06Z 0.28 2714 13 15 11 0.00
Mon 10/26 07Z 0.29 2714 13 14 11 0.00
Mon 10/26 08Z 0.30 2815 13 14 11 0.00
Mon 10/26 09Z 0.30 2814 13 15 11 0.00
Mon 10/26 10Z 0.31 2915 14 15 10 0.00
Mon 10/26 11Z 0.32 2915 17 17 10 0.00
Mon 10/26 12Z 0.35 2816 23 28 10 0.00
Mon 10/26 13Z 0.40 2819 34 56 9 0.00
Mon 10/26 14Z 0.45 2921 45 67 9 0.00
Mon 10/26 15Z 0.47 2922 59 76 9 0.00
Mon 10/26 16Z 0.48 2922 73 81 8 0.00
Mon 10/26 17Z 0.47 2921 87 88 8 0.00
Mon 10/26 18Z 0.45 2921 94 89 7 0.01
Mon 10/26 19Z 0.42 2920 95 89 6 0.01
Mon 10/26 20Z 0.41 3019 94 90 5 0.02
Mon 10/26 21Z 0.39 3019 95 92 4 0.02
Mon 10/26 22Z 0.40 3021 93 88 4 0.02
Mon 10/26 23Z 0.43 3124 93 86 3 0.01
Tue 10/27 00Z 0.39 3225 89 77 2 0.01
Tue 10/27 01Z 0.34 3227 88 78 0 0.00
Tue 10/27 02Z 0.23 3324 86 62 0 0.01
Tue 10/27 03Z 0.15 3322 83 47 -1 0.00
Tue 10/27 04Z 0.12 3321 83 27 -2 0.00
Tue 10/27 05Z 0.11 3322 80 13 -2 0.00
Tue 10/27 06Z 0.07 3422 76 8 -2 0.00
Tue 10/27 07Z 0.05 3422 72 4 -2 0.00
Tue 10/27 08Z 0.05 3422 65 1 -1 0.00
Tue 10/27 09Z 0.05 3422 60 1 -1 0.00
Tue 10/27 10Z 0.03 3422 54 3 -1 0.00
Tue 10/27 11Z 0.02 3423 47 5 0 0.00
Tue 10/27 12Z 0.02 3422 42 6 0 0.00
Tue 10/27 13Z 0.02 3520 42 7 0 0.00
Tue 10/27 14Z 0.01 3418 44 7 0 0.00
Tue 10/27 15Z 0.02 3416 44 7 0 0.00
Tue 10/27 16Z 0.03 3414 43 8 0 0.00
Tue 10/27 17Z 0.04 3412 42 9 0 0.00
Tue 10/27 18Z 0.04 3412 41 9 0 0.00
Tue 10/27 19Z 0.05 3312 39 8 0 0.00
Tue 10/27 20Z 0.06 3312 35 8 0 0.00
Tue 10/27 21Z 0.04 3412 29 8 0 0.00
Tue 10/27 22Z 0.05 3313 24 9 0 0.00
Tue 10/27 23Z 0.04 3413 19 10 0 0.00
Wed 10/28 00Z 0.02 3413 17 11 0 0.00
Wed 10/28 01Z 0.02 3411 17 14 1 0.00
Wed 10/28 02Z 0.02 3410 17 17 1 0.00
Wed 10/28 03Z 0.01 3409 16 20 1 0.00
Wed 10/28 04Z 0.01 3407 15 21 1 0.00
Wed 10/28 05Z 0.01 3406 15 20 2 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 0.11 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1