Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20261029_0600
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Thu 10/29 06Z 0.40 2516 64 40 8 0.00
Thu 10/29 07Z 0.42 2417 67 29 8 0.00
Thu 10/29 08Z 0.43 2418 71 22 8 0.00
Thu 10/29 09Z 0.45 2418 74 19 8 0.00
Thu 10/29 10Z 0.47 2419 76 18 8 0.00
Thu 10/29 11Z 0.51 2420 78 18 8 0.00
Thu 10/29 12Z 0.57 2522 80 19 7 0.00
Thu 10/29 13Z 0.62 2524 80 23 7 0.00
Thu 10/29 14Z 0.65 2524 80 33 7 0.00
Thu 10/29 15Z 0.68 2424 80 43 7 0.00
Thu 10/29 16Z 0.71 2424 81 55 7 0.00
Thu 10/29 17Z 0.74 2424 81 57 8 0.00
Thu 10/29 18Z 0.75 2423 76 43 8 0.00
Thu 10/29 19Z 0.74 2423 71 47 9 0.00
Thu 10/29 20Z 0.80 2425 75 41 9 0.00
Thu 10/29 21Z 0.82 2427 72 37 9 0.00
Thu 10/29 22Z 0.87 2429 72 46 9 0.00
Thu 10/29 23Z 0.82 2430 73 55 10 0.00
Fri 10/30 00Z 0.83 2432 76 64 10 0.00
Fri 10/30 01Z 0.88 2533 78 86 10 0.00
Fri 10/30 02Z 0.94 2534 82 87 9 0.00
Fri 10/30 03Z 0.98 2536 86 90 9 0.00
Fri 10/30 04Z 1.02 2537 91 93 9 0.02
Fri 10/30 05Z 0.93 2634 96 95 8 0.05
Fri 10/30 06Z 0.81 2729 97 82 8 0.04
Fri 10/30 07Z 0.79 2727 91 61 7 0.02
Fri 10/30 08Z 0.76 2727 82 25 7 0.01
Fri 10/30 09Z 0.69 2826 71 12 7 0.01
Fri 10/30 10Z 0.68 2826 70 7 6 0.00
Fri 10/30 11Z 0.66 2826 72 8 5 0.00
Fri 10/30 12Z 0.64 2826 71 7 4 0.00
Fri 10/30 13Z 0.63 2826 72 4 4 0.01
Fri 10/30 14Z 0.66 2926 74 2 3 0.01
Fri 10/30 15Z 0.70 2926 79 4 1 0.01
Fri 10/30 16Z 0.71 2924 84 10 0 0.00
Fri 10/30 17Z 0.91 2924 90 13 0 0.00
Fri 10/30 18Z 1.19 2923 91 13 0 0.00
Fri 10/30 19Z 1.27 2924 92 15 -1 0.00
Fri 10/30 20Z 1.23 3026 93 17 -1 0.00
Fri 10/30 21Z 1.03 3028 92 15 -2 0.00
Fri 10/30 22Z 0.91 3028 94 17 -2 0.00
Fri 10/30 23Z 0.82 3128 95 20 -2 0.00
Sat 10/31 00Z 0.80 3129 96 22 -3 0.01
Sat 10/31 01Z 0.79 3130 97 25 -3 0.01
Sat 10/31 02Z 0.69 3131 98 29 -3 0.01
Sat 10/31 03Z 0.63 3229 99 33 -3 0.02
Sat 10/31 04Z 0.52 3228 97 31 -4 0.02
Sat 10/31 05Z 0.47 3230 92 29 -5 0.01
Sat 10/31 06Z 0.40 3329 90 19 -5 0.00
Sat 10/31 07Z 0.38 3328 94 9 -6 0.00
Sat 10/31 08Z 0.33 3326 93 8 -6 0.00
Sat 10/31 09Z 0.33 3324 94 8 -6 0.00
Sat 10/31 10Z 0.28 3322 92 13 -6 0.00
Sat 10/31 11Z 0.24 3221 88 22 -5 0.00
Sat 10/31 12Z 0.24 3221 84 17 -5 0.00
Sat 10/31 13Z 0.21 3221 79 19 -4 0.00
Sat 10/31 14Z 0.20 3220 71 22 -4 0.00
Sat 10/31 15Z 0.18 3219 61 25 -3 0.00
Sat 10/31 16Z 0.16 3218 52 21 -2 0.00
Sat 10/31 17Z 0.18 3217 50 21 -2 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 0.26 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1