
A Nor'easter will create hazardous marine and coastal conditions along the Mid-Atlantic coast through mid-week, with significant coastal flooding and beach erosion possible. Meanwhile, another strong storm system is forecast to bring high winds and heavy precipitation to portions of southern Alaska. Elsewhere, relatively benign weather is expected through the first half of the work week. Read More >
Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20261019_0000
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Mon 10/19 00Z 0.29 2411 57 23 5 0.00
Mon 10/19 01Z 0.27 2512 50 22 7 0.00
Mon 10/19 02Z 0.24 2611 42 21 8 0.00
Mon 10/19 03Z 0.21 2610 35 21 8 0.00
Mon 10/19 04Z 0.18 2608 30 21 9 0.00
Mon 10/19 05Z 0.17 2708 28 21 9 0.00
Mon 10/19 06Z 0.15 2707 27 21 9 0.00
Mon 10/19 07Z 0.15 2707 27 21 9 0.00
Mon 10/19 08Z 0.15 2807 28 20 9 0.00
Mon 10/19 09Z 0.14 2807 28 20 9 0.00
Mon 10/19 10Z 0.12 2906 26 20 9 0.00
Mon 10/19 11Z 0.10 2905 24 21 9 0.00
Mon 10/19 12Z 0.11 2906 24 21 9 0.00
Mon 10/19 13Z 0.11 2905 23 20 9 0.00
Mon 10/19 14Z 0.12 2805 22 21 9 0.00
Mon 10/19 15Z 0.12 2806 21 22 10 0.00
Mon 10/19 16Z 0.12 2705 20 21 10 0.00
Mon 10/19 17Z 0.13 2706 19 19 11 0.00
Mon 10/19 18Z 0.13 2806 19 18 11 0.00
Mon 10/19 19Z 0.12 2906 19 17 11 0.00
Mon 10/19 20Z 0.12 3007 18 16 11 0.00
Mon 10/19 21Z 0.14 3008 17 16 11 0.00
Mon 10/19 22Z 0.13 3109 17 18 10 0.00
Mon 10/19 23Z 0.11 3210 21 19 10 0.00
Tue 10/20 00Z 0.10 3311 26 18 9 0.00
Tue 10/20 01Z 0.07 3312 29 16 9 0.00
Tue 10/20 02Z 0.04 3412 31 13 9 0.00
Tue 10/20 03Z 0.03 3513 34 9 9 0.00
Tue 10/20 04Z 0.03 3515 37 6 9 0.00
Tue 10/20 05Z 0.05 3517 44 6 9 0.00
Tue 10/20 06Z 0.08 0018 52 7 9 0.00
Tue 10/20 07Z 0.11 0020 57 11 9 0.00
Tue 10/20 08Z 0.16 0122 56 13 8 0.00
Tue 10/20 09Z 0.22 0124 49 13 9 0.00
Tue 10/20 10Z 0.23 0124 39 10 9 0.00
Tue 10/20 11Z 0.25 0225 34 8 9 0.00
Tue 10/20 12Z 0.26 0225 32 4 9 0.00
Tue 10/20 13Z 0.27 0225 31 2 8 0.00
Tue 10/20 14Z 0.26 0224 32 2 8 0.00
Tue 10/20 15Z 0.25 0222 33 2 7 0.00
Tue 10/20 16Z 0.21 0120 37 3 7 0.00
Tue 10/20 17Z 0.19 0119 45 4 6 0.00
Tue 10/20 18Z 0.18 0119 51 5 6 0.00
Tue 10/20 19Z 0.20 0118 53 5 6 0.00
Tue 10/20 20Z 0.20 0118 52 6 6 0.00
Tue 10/20 21Z 0.21 0119 51 7 6 0.00
Tue 10/20 22Z 0.21 0120 48 8 7 0.00
Tue 10/20 23Z 0.22 0221 44 8 7 0.00
Wed 10/21 00Z 0.23 0221 41 9 7 0.00
Wed 10/21 01Z 0.24 0221 39 10 7 0.00
Wed 10/21 02Z 0.25 0320 36 11 7 0.00
Wed 10/21 03Z 0.25 0319 34 13 7 0.00
Wed 10/21 04Z 0.25 0418 34 14 7 0.00
Wed 10/21 05Z 0.23 0415 34 15 7 0.00
Wed 10/21 06Z 0.20 0413 35 15 7 0.00
Wed 10/21 07Z 0.17 0412 35 14 7 0.00
Wed 10/21 08Z 0.15 0311 34 13 7 0.00
Wed 10/21 09Z 0.15 0311 30 11 7 0.00
Wed 10/21 10Z 0.16 0312 28 9 7 0.00
Wed 10/21 11Z 0.16 0312 28 7 8 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 0.00 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1