
Heat and humidity will build over the next few days, with the hottest conditions expected Friday. A Heat Advisory has been issued for Friday for the Champlain Valley from 12-8 PM, when heat indices will climb into the low to mid 90s. Drink plenty of fluids, and take extra precautions if you have outdoor plans for Friday. Read More >
Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260610_1200
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Wed 06/10 12Z 0.38 2312 82 84 15 0.00
Wed 06/10 13Z 0.41 2313 80 76 16 0.00
Wed 06/10 14Z 0.41 2212 78 75 16 0.00
Wed 06/10 15Z 0.46 2110 78 86 16 0.00
Wed 06/10 16Z 0.95 2008 79 88 16 0.00
Wed 06/10 17Z 1.76 2009 80 84 16 0.00
Wed 06/10 18Z 1.81 2010 81 84 16 0.00
Wed 06/10 19Z 1.87 1909 80 81 17 0.00
Wed 06/10 20Z 1.85 1910 80 83 17 0.00
Wed 06/10 21Z 1.18 1910 82 87 17 0.00
Wed 06/10 22Z 0.87 2012 84 85 17 0.01
Wed 06/10 23Z 0.63 2216 93 87 17 0.05
Thu 06/11 00Z 0.57 2223 90 77 16 0.19
Thu 06/11 01Z 0.59 2223 96 86 16 0.02
Thu 06/11 02Z 0.57 2320 95 85 15 0.09
Thu 06/11 03Z 0.43 2415 90 79 16 0.02
Thu 06/11 04Z 0.48 2416 92 88 15 0.00
Thu 06/11 05Z 0.54 2417 95 90 15 0.01
Thu 06/11 06Z 0.54 2617 97 83 15 0.03
Thu 06/11 07Z 0.49 2616 96 69 15 0.01
Thu 06/11 08Z 0.50 2716 96 79 15 0.02
Thu 06/11 09Z 0.46 2715 95 60 15 0.02
Thu 06/11 10Z 0.50 2717 94 49 15 0.01
Thu 06/11 11Z 0.49 2716 95 49 15 0.01
Thu 06/11 12Z 0.53 2717 96 65 15 0.01
Thu 06/11 13Z 0.58 2718 96 74 15 0.01
Thu 06/11 14Z 0.49 2917 94 62 15 0.00
Thu 06/11 15Z 0.26 3114 90 52 16 0.00
Thu 06/11 16Z 0.28 3012 89 30 16 0.00
Thu 06/11 17Z 0.39 2911 90 46 16 0.00
Thu 06/11 18Z 0.36 2810 90 56 17 0.00
Thu 06/11 19Z 0.45 2712 89 58 17 0.00
Thu 06/11 20Z 0.42 2712 89 58 18 0.00
Thu 06/11 21Z 0.47 2712 91 56 17 0.00
Thu 06/11 22Z 0.44 2710 93 70 17 0.00
Thu 06/11 23Z 0.52 2712 94 86 17 0.00
Fri 06/12 00Z 0.58 2714 93 82 17 0.01
Fri 06/12 01Z 0.59 2715 94 78 16 0.08
Fri 06/12 02Z 0.44 2713 92 78 16 0.16
Fri 06/12 03Z 0.29 2810 96 71 16 0.02
Fri 06/12 04Z 0.18 3009 97 68 16 0.01
Fri 06/12 05Z 0.10 3206 98 67 16 0.01
Fri 06/12 06Z 0.09 3206 98 70 15 0.01
Fri 06/12 07Z 0.06 3205 98 69 15 0.01
Fri 06/12 08Z 0.13 3006 98 73 15 0.01
Fri 06/12 09Z 0.30 2811 98 85 15 0.03
Fri 06/12 10Z 0.33 2912 98 84 15 0.03
Fri 06/12 11Z 0.23 2909 92 76 15 0.01
Fri 06/12 12Z 0.13 2906 88 71 16 0.00
Fri 06/12 13Z 0.07 2902 85 62 16 0.00
Fri 06/12 14Z 0.10 2603 85 57 16 0.00
Fri 06/12 15Z 0.13 2503 83 49 17 0.00
Fri 06/12 16Z 0.13 2503 77 49 17 0.00
Fri 06/12 17Z 0.31 2504 76 49 17 0.00
Fri 06/12 18Z 0.64 2505 67 39 18 0.00
Fri 06/12 19Z 0.68 2506 56 22 19 0.00
Fri 06/12 20Z 1.19 2509 64 43 18 0.00
Fri 06/12 21Z 0.37 2408 77 49 18 0.00
Fri 06/12 22Z 0.38 2409 82 48 18 0.00
Fri 06/12 23Z 0.37 2509 84 47 18 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 0.90 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1