
A weather system in the Pacific Northwest will produce rain throughout the day, before a potent atmospheric river produces a prolonged round of heavy rainfall, widespread urban and river flooding, and high elevation snow to the region Monday through Wednesday. Showers and thunderstorms may produce isolated damaging winds, a brief tornado, and locally heavy rainfall across parts of Florida today. Read More >
Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20251208_0000
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Mon 12/08 00Z 0.76 2224 93 83 -8 0.00
Mon 12/08 01Z 1.02 2327 94 88 -9 0.01
Mon 12/08 02Z 1.07 2427 95 86 -9 0.02
Mon 12/08 03Z 0.93 2625 95 89 -9 0.03
Mon 12/08 04Z 0.67 2924 94 76 -11 0.02
Mon 12/08 05Z 0.50 3025 92 56 -13 0.01
Mon 12/08 06Z 0.48 3127 93 31 -15 0.00
Mon 12/08 07Z 0.55 3127 93 23 -16 0.00
Mon 12/08 08Z 0.65 3127 93 11 -17 0.00
Mon 12/08 09Z 0.76 3127 92 5 -18 0.00
Mon 12/08 10Z 1.16 3128 90 7 -19 0.00
Mon 12/08 11Z 1.74 3129 90 7 -20 0.01
Mon 12/08 12Z 1.99 3129 85 6 -21 0.00
Mon 12/08 13Z 0.49 3230 71 6 -20 0.00
Mon 12/08 14Z 0.20 3329 59 6 -18 0.00
Mon 12/08 15Z 0.11 3427 54 5 -18 0.00
Mon 12/08 16Z 0.13 3323 49 5 -18 0.00
Mon 12/08 17Z 0.18 3321 45 6 -18 0.00
Mon 12/08 18Z 0.23 3220 43 6 -18 0.00
Mon 12/08 19Z 0.26 3220 41 6 -17 0.00
Mon 12/08 20Z 0.31 3119 40 7 -17 0.00
Mon 12/08 21Z 0.34 3118 38 9 -17 0.00
Mon 12/08 22Z 0.39 3017 35 11 -17 0.00
Mon 12/08 23Z 0.40 3017 33 15 -17 0.00
Tue 12/09 00Z 0.39 3016 30 18 -16 0.00
Tue 12/09 01Z 0.36 3016 28 22 -16 0.00
Tue 12/09 02Z 0.34 2915 28 24 -16 0.00
Tue 12/09 03Z 0.33 2915 27 29 -15 0.00
Tue 12/09 04Z 0.32 2814 26 34 -15 0.00
Tue 12/09 05Z 0.32 2814 24 39 -15 0.00
Tue 12/09 06Z 0.31 2814 22 46 -14 0.00
Tue 12/09 07Z 0.30 2814 22 49 -14 0.00
Tue 12/09 08Z 0.30 2814 24 48 -14 0.00
Tue 12/09 09Z 0.30 2814 24 48 -13 0.00
Tue 12/09 10Z 0.29 2814 23 44 -13 0.00
Tue 12/09 11Z 0.26 2813 23 40 -13 0.00
Tue 12/09 12Z 0.25 2711 24 36 -13 0.00
Tue 12/09 13Z 0.24 2510 24 20 -13 0.00
Tue 12/09 14Z 0.24 2311 23 14 -12 0.00
Tue 12/09 15Z 0.27 2214 24 13 -12 0.00
Tue 12/09 16Z 0.31 2117 26 12 -12 0.00
Tue 12/09 17Z 0.37 2219 30 13 -12 0.00
Tue 12/09 18Z 0.40 2120 28 11 -12 0.00
Tue 12/09 19Z 0.42 2121 24 13 -12 0.00
Tue 12/09 20Z 0.41 2021 21 53 -11 0.00
Tue 12/09 21Z 0.39 2023 20 77 -11 0.00
Tue 12/09 22Z 0.46 2025 24 84 -11 0.00
Tue 12/09 23Z 0.49 2026 34 85 -11 0.00
Wed 12/10 00Z 0.56 2128 54 89 -11 0.00
Wed 12/10 01Z 0.59 2130 85 90 -11 0.00
Wed 12/10 02Z 0.68 2232 94 94 -11 0.01
Wed 12/10 03Z 0.72 2232 95 91 -11 0.01
Wed 12/10 04Z 0.71 2231 95 81 -10 0.01
Wed 12/10 05Z 0.66 2228 96 71 -9 0.01
Wed 12/10 06Z 0.65 2227 96 83 -9 0.01
Wed 12/10 07Z 0.57 2225 95 78 -8 0.02
Wed 12/10 08Z 0.49 2222 96 71 -7 0.01
Wed 12/10 09Z 0.40 2120 96 85 -7 0.01
Wed 12/10 10Z 0.38 2120 95 89 -7 0.01
Wed 12/10 11Z 0.31 2019 95 90 -6 0.02
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 0.22 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1