
A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect until 8 AM Monday for the northern Adirondack region of NY and the spine of the Green Mountains eastward in Vermont. Most snow should taper off this afternoon changing to rain and freezing drizzle. Freezing drizzle is expected to form this evening into Monday morning with icing amounts ranging from a glaze up to 0.05". Read More >
Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260322_1800
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sun 03/22 18Z 0.32 2119 99 98 0 0.00
Sun 03/22 19Z 0.41 2219 99 94 0 0.07
Sun 03/22 20Z 0.46 2419 99 87 0 0.06
Sun 03/22 21Z 0.55 2619 99 69 0 0.06
Sun 03/22 22Z 0.52 2917 99 52 -1 0.03
Sun 03/22 23Z 0.41 3018 98 35 -2 0.01
Mon 03/23 00Z 0.19 3219 94 32 -2 0.01
Mon 03/23 01Z 0.11 3318 89 25 -3 0.00
Mon 03/23 02Z 0.04 3415 85 21 -3 0.00
Mon 03/23 03Z 0.06 3513 86 16 -4 0.00
Mon 03/23 04Z 0.09 0012 86 14 -4 0.00
Mon 03/23 05Z 0.15 0112 88 10 -5 0.00
Mon 03/23 06Z 0.15 0112 87 7 -5 0.00
Mon 03/23 07Z 0.14 0211 87 7 -5 0.00
Mon 03/23 08Z 0.17 0211 86 7 -5 0.00
Mon 03/23 09Z 0.22 0312 89 8 -6 0.00
Mon 03/23 10Z 0.23 0311 92 8 -7 0.00
Mon 03/23 11Z 0.25 0410 93 10 -7 0.00
Mon 03/23 12Z 0.27 0509 95 11 -8 0.00
Mon 03/23 13Z 0.28 0509 96 15 -8 0.01
Mon 03/23 14Z 0.25 0407 96 11 -9 0.00
Mon 03/23 15Z 0.19 0405 96 10 -9 0.00
Mon 03/23 16Z 0.19 0304 95 14 -9 0.00
Mon 03/23 17Z 0.15 0203 96 10 -9 0.00
Mon 03/23 18Z 0.07 3503 97 10 -9 0.00
Mon 03/23 19Z 0.07 3306 97 11 -8 0.00
Mon 03/23 20Z 0.09 3309 96 14 -9 0.00
Mon 03/23 21Z 0.12 3313 96 21 -9 0.01
Mon 03/23 22Z 0.12 3416 96 31 -9 0.01
Mon 03/23 23Z 0.10 3419 95 37 -9 0.01
Tue 03/24 00Z 0.08 3421 94 48 -9 0.01
Tue 03/24 01Z 0.10 3423 92 55 -10 0.01
Tue 03/24 02Z 0.10 3425 85 59 -10 0.00
Tue 03/24 03Z 0.08 3428 76 65 -10 0.00
Tue 03/24 04Z 0.07 3428 72 66 -11 0.00
Tue 03/24 05Z 0.08 3427 76 55 -11 0.00
Tue 03/24 06Z 0.08 3425 80 38 -11 0.00
Tue 03/24 07Z 0.10 3423 82 23 -11 0.00
Tue 03/24 08Z 0.11 3421 81 10 -12 0.00
Tue 03/24 09Z 0.08 3419 79 3 -12 0.00
Tue 03/24 10Z 0.11 3417 78 5 -12 0.00
Tue 03/24 11Z 0.10 3416 75 9 -12 0.00
Tue 03/24 12Z 0.14 3315 74 9 -12 0.00
Tue 03/24 13Z 0.20 3314 73 11 -12 0.00
Tue 03/24 14Z 0.22 3211 67 10 -11 0.00
Tue 03/24 15Z 0.28 3009 62 7 -11 0.00
Tue 03/24 16Z 0.38 2809 54 5 -10 0.00
Tue 03/24 17Z 0.47 2609 50 4 -9 0.00
Tue 03/24 18Z 0.43 2409 42 11 -8 0.00
Tue 03/24 19Z 0.45 2411 36 15 -7 0.00
Tue 03/24 20Z 0.53 2314 33 12 -6 0.00
Tue 03/24 21Z 0.83 2418 40 9 -7 0.00
Tue 03/24 22Z 0.96 2422 42 8 -7 0.00
Tue 03/24 23Z 1.08 2426 43 12 -6 0.00
Wed 03/25 00Z 1.22 2531 36 18 -6 0.00
Wed 03/25 01Z 1.32 2534 32 15 -6 0.00
Wed 03/25 02Z 1.68 2635 47 88 -7 0.00
Wed 03/25 03Z 1.90 2633 66 85 -8 0.00
Wed 03/25 04Z 1.46 2731 73 77 -8 0.00
Wed 03/25 05Z 1.04 2828 85 38 -8 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 0.30 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1