Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260915_0600
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Tue 09/15 06Z 0.17 0214 84 8 7 0.00
Tue 09/15 07Z 0.17 0311 78 7 7 0.00
Tue 09/15 08Z 0.21 0411 74 6 7 0.00
Tue 09/15 09Z 0.23 0610 74 6 7 0.00
Tue 09/15 10Z 0.17 0807 73 6 7 0.00
Tue 09/15 11Z 0.07 1204 75 6 6 0.00
Tue 09/15 12Z 0.05 1505 72 6 7 0.00
Tue 09/15 13Z 0.02 1607 70 7 8 0.00
Tue 09/15 14Z 0.02 1708 69 7 8 0.00
Tue 09/15 15Z 0.07 1907 71 8 8 0.00
Tue 09/15 16Z 0.07 1908 70 8 9 0.00
Tue 09/15 17Z 0.08 1908 70 9 9 0.00
Tue 09/15 18Z 0.10 1909 70 9 9 0.00
Tue 09/15 19Z 0.09 1810 68 10 10 0.00
Tue 09/15 20Z 0.14 1911 67 12 10 0.00
Tue 09/15 21Z 0.21 2013 63 13 11 0.00
Tue 09/15 22Z 0.21 2014 56 15 13 0.00
Tue 09/15 23Z 0.24 2016 53 34 13 0.00
Wed 09/16 00Z 0.23 2018 48 80 14 0.00
Wed 09/16 01Z 0.23 2020 41 89 15 0.00
Wed 09/16 02Z 0.24 2020 40 86 16 0.00
Wed 09/16 03Z 0.27 2120 45 82 15 0.00
Wed 09/16 04Z 0.37 2222 58 87 13 0.00
Wed 09/16 05Z 0.46 2324 63 87 13 0.00
Wed 09/16 06Z 0.51 2425 62 89 12 0.00
Wed 09/16 07Z 0.53 2424 66 97 12 0.00
Wed 09/16 08Z 0.51 2423 67 93 12 0.01
Wed 09/16 09Z 0.49 2521 76 86 12 0.00
Wed 09/16 10Z 0.48 2621 80 86 12 0.00
Wed 09/16 11Z 0.42 2718 85 89 13 0.00
Wed 09/16 12Z 0.38 2717 92 89 14 0.01
Wed 09/16 13Z 0.38 2717 91 80 14 0.01
Wed 09/16 14Z 0.37 2716 92 64 14 0.00
Wed 09/16 15Z 0.35 2715 92 51 14 0.00
Wed 09/16 16Z 0.35 2714 94 47 14 0.00
Wed 09/16 17Z 0.32 2713 97 44 14 0.00
Wed 09/16 18Z 0.28 2710 98 38 14 0.00
Wed 09/16 19Z 0.26 2809 99 42 13 0.00
Wed 09/16 20Z 0.21 2909 98 31 13 0.00
Wed 09/16 21Z 0.16 3008 98 20 13 0.00
Wed 09/16 22Z 0.17 3009 97 17 13 0.00
Wed 09/16 23Z 0.15 3008 93 11 13 0.00
Thu 09/17 00Z 0.14 3107 93 12 12 0.00
Thu 09/17 01Z 0.12 3107 91 12 12 0.00
Thu 09/17 02Z 0.09 3206 89 11 12 0.00
Thu 09/17 03Z 0.09 3106 90 11 12 0.01
Thu 09/17 04Z 0.05 3204 90 10 12 0.01
Thu 09/17 05Z 0.07 3104 91 10 12 0.01
Thu 09/17 06Z 0.09 2803 90 10 12 0.00
Thu 09/17 07Z 0.10 2703 90 10 12 0.00
Thu 09/17 08Z 0.12 2504 92 10 12 0.00
Thu 09/17 09Z 0.13 2505 92 10 11 0.00
Thu 09/17 10Z 0.13 2405 92 10 11 0.00
Thu 09/17 11Z 0.13 2305 92 12 11 0.01
Thu 09/17 12Z 0.13 2305 92 13 11 0.00
Thu 09/17 13Z 0.14 2306 92 14 11 0.01
Thu 09/17 14Z 0.15 2206 91 19 11 0.01
Thu 09/17 15Z 0.18 2208 87 26 11 0.01
Thu 09/17 16Z 0.21 2309 84 37 12 0.00
Thu 09/17 17Z 0.23 2211 76 32 13 0.01
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 0.11 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1