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Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260505_1800
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Tue 05/05 18Z 10.91 2124 57 72 12 0.00
Tue 05/05 19Z 13.08 2127 56 78 12 0.00
Tue 05/05 20Z 12.65 2127 58 94 12 0.00
Tue 05/05 21Z 4.79 2129 70 95 12 0.01
Tue 05/05 22Z 2.68 2225 73 97 11 0.06
Tue 05/05 23Z 0.90 2533 88 88 9 0.34
Wed 05/06 00Z 0.74 2427 85 71 9 0.01
Wed 05/06 01Z 0.65 2423 89 90 9 0.01
Wed 05/06 02Z 0.63 2421 96 95 8 0.09
Wed 05/06 03Z 0.63 2518 97 99 7 0.08
Wed 05/06 04Z 0.56 2716 95 98 6 0.07
Wed 05/06 05Z 0.46 2714 96 93 5 0.08
Wed 05/06 06Z 0.46 2714 96 91 5 0.05
Wed 05/06 07Z 0.38 2614 93 67 5 0.01
Wed 05/06 08Z 0.34 2513 94 76 5 0.01
Wed 05/06 09Z 0.27 2411 95 67 6 0.01
Wed 05/06 10Z 0.20 2111 93 77 6 0.01
Wed 05/06 11Z 0.15 1913 96 82 7 0.00
Wed 05/06 12Z 0.14 1914 98 80 7 0.01
Wed 05/06 13Z 0.12 1816 98 83 7 0.04
Wed 05/06 14Z 0.24 1920 98 93 7 0.07
Wed 05/06 15Z 0.26 1921 99 96 7 0.07
Wed 05/06 16Z 0.25 1921 98 98 8 0.10
Wed 05/06 17Z 0.29 1925 99 97 8 0.09
Wed 05/06 18Z 0.43 2026 99 98 8 0.19
Wed 05/06 19Z 0.50 2124 99 98 8 0.21
Wed 05/06 20Z 0.45 2123 99 98 8 0.11
Wed 05/06 21Z 0.33 2018 100 99 8 0.07
Wed 05/06 22Z 0.21 2310 99 98 7 0.08
Wed 05/06 23Z 0.15 2808 98 99 6 0.10
Thu 05/07 00Z 0.12 3008 96 97 5 0.05
Thu 05/07 01Z 0.09 3209 94 98 4 0.02
Thu 05/07 02Z 0.12 3212 92 97 3 0.02
Thu 05/07 03Z 0.11 3211 90 95 3 0.01
Thu 05/07 04Z 0.17 3113 90 96 2 0.00
Thu 05/07 05Z 0.23 3014 92 87 1 0.01
Thu 05/07 06Z 0.27 3014 93 78 1 0.00
Thu 05/07 07Z 0.30 3016 93 42 0 0.00
Thu 05/07 08Z 0.31 3016 91 30 0 0.01
Thu 05/07 09Z 0.42 3017 91 35 0 0.01
Thu 05/07 10Z 0.48 2918 88 12 -1 0.00
Thu 05/07 11Z 0.55 2820 80 13 -1 0.00
Thu 05/07 12Z 0.52 2818 67 11 -2 0.00
Thu 05/07 13Z 0.53 2816 59 13 -2 0.00
Thu 05/07 14Z 0.57 2915 62 13 -2 0.00
Thu 05/07 15Z 2.37 2814 72 15 -2 0.00
Thu 05/07 16Z 7.92 2813 75 15 -2 0.00
Thu 05/07 17Z 9.16 2813 71 17 -1 0.00
Thu 05/07 18Z 8.84 2813 67 19 0 0.00
Thu 05/07 19Z 9.14 2814 65 19 0 0.00
Thu 05/07 20Z 8.63 2813 64 18 0 0.00
Thu 05/07 21Z 7.62 2812 61 18 0 0.00
Thu 05/07 22Z 7.04 2912 59 19 0 0.00
Thu 05/07 23Z 4.32 2912 59 22 0 0.00
Fri 05/08 00Z 1.33 2914 62 21 0 0.00
Fri 05/08 01Z 1.07 3015 69 19 -1 0.00
Fri 05/08 02Z 1.05 3016 76 16 -2 0.00
Fri 05/08 03Z 0.96 2916 77 17 -2 0.00
Fri 05/08 04Z 0.80 2916 77 18 -2 0.00
Fri 05/08 05Z 0.70 2917 76 20 -2 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 2.11 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1