Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260515_1200
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Fri 05/15 12Z 0.31 0508 99 86 3 0.00
Fri 05/15 13Z 0.35 0509 99 82 3 0.01
Fri 05/15 14Z 0.42 0610 98 82 3 0.01
Fri 05/15 15Z 0.53 0712 98 90 3 0.00
Fri 05/15 16Z 0.56 0712 97 95 3 0.01
Fri 05/15 17Z 0.50 0611 97 93 3 0.01
Fri 05/15 18Z 0.42 0708 96 84 3 0.01
Fri 05/15 19Z 0.28 0605 95 77 3 0.00
Fri 05/15 20Z 0.25 0604 94 73 4 0.00
Fri 05/15 21Z 0.18 0603 94 74 4 0.00
Fri 05/15 22Z 0.11 0802 93 74 5 0.00
Fri 05/15 23Z 0.10 2101 93 79 5 0.01
Sat 05/16 00Z 0.12 2402 91 80 5 0.01
Sat 05/16 01Z 0.14 2603 87 74 5 0.00
Sat 05/16 02Z 0.12 2603 83 62 6 0.00
Sat 05/16 03Z 0.23 2607 85 59 5 0.00
Sat 05/16 04Z 0.30 2609 89 54 5 0.00
Sat 05/16 05Z 0.31 2510 89 55 6 0.00
Sat 05/16 06Z 0.33 2611 88 56 6 0.00
Sat 05/16 07Z 0.39 2614 88 53 6 0.00
Sat 05/16 08Z 0.38 2614 85 44 6 0.00
Sat 05/16 09Z 0.40 2816 82 37 6 0.00
Sat 05/16 10Z 0.43 2917 82 19 6 0.00
Sat 05/16 11Z 0.47 2817 78 9 5 0.00
Sat 05/16 12Z 0.54 2818 73 10 5 0.00
Sat 05/16 13Z 0.59 2717 66 28 5 0.00
Sat 05/16 14Z 0.65 2615 64 42 6 0.00
Sat 05/16 15Z 0.87 2616 61 57 6 0.00
Sat 05/16 16Z 1.09 2515 53 56 7 0.00
Sat 05/16 17Z 1.51 2413 51 34 7 0.00
Sat 05/16 18Z 2.28 2314 62 18 8 0.00
Sat 05/16 19Z 1.72 2316 67 12 8 0.00
Sat 05/16 20Z 1.53 2219 73 10 8 0.00
Sat 05/16 21Z 0.92 2219 74 10 9 0.00
Sat 05/16 22Z 0.80 2221 70 8 10 0.00
Sat 05/16 23Z 0.91 2125 71 28 10 0.00
Sun 05/17 00Z 0.99 2229 72 84 10 0.00
Sun 05/17 01Z 0.99 2232 74 83 10 0.00
Sun 05/17 02Z 1.14 2235 77 91 10 0.00
Sun 05/17 03Z 1.29 2336 82 87 10 0.01
Sun 05/17 04Z 1.23 2436 89 90 10 0.02
Sun 05/17 05Z 1.00 2534 94 87 11 0.05
Sun 05/17 06Z 0.90 2631 96 70 11 0.06
Sun 05/17 07Z 0.91 2731 96 30 10 0.04
Sun 05/17 08Z 0.84 2827 91 9 9 0.04
Sun 05/17 09Z 0.71 2928 68 4 9 0.03
Sun 05/17 10Z 0.67 3031 55 4 9 0.01
Sun 05/17 11Z 0.84 2936 47 15 9 0.00
Sun 05/17 12Z 0.91 2940 51 29 9 0.00
Sun 05/17 13Z 0.90 2937 62 34 8 0.00
Sun 05/17 14Z 0.92 2932 70 35 7 0.00
Sun 05/17 15Z 1.21 2928 75 35 7 0.00
Sun 05/17 16Z 4.87 3024 79 29 6 0.00
Sun 05/17 17Z 7.05 3022 81 25 6 0.00
Sun 05/17 18Z 7.08 3022 82 25 6 0.00
Sun 05/17 19Z 6.79 3021 83 23 6 0.00
Sun 05/17 20Z 3.85 3021 83 25 5 0.00
Sun 05/17 21Z 1.49 3021 82 24 5 0.00
Sun 05/17 22Z 0.76 3020 82 23 5 0.00
Sun 05/17 23Z 0.51 3120 81 19 6 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 0.33 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1