Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260716_1200
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Thu 07/16 12Z 0.59 2920 80 71 13 0.00
Thu 07/16 13Z 0.74 2824 82 81 13 0.00
Thu 07/16 14Z 0.91 2825 80 87 13 0.00
Thu 07/16 15Z 1.21 2824 77 87 13 0.00
Thu 07/16 16Z 9.02 2722 80 88 13 0.00
Thu 07/16 17Z 9.42 2726 81 87 13 0.04
Thu 07/16 18Z 9.32 2725 71 82 13 0.01
Thu 07/16 19Z 6.26 2827 72 78 13 0.03
Thu 07/16 20Z 2.01 3032 73 77 12 0.07
Thu 07/16 21Z 0.51 3236 68 58 10 0.09
Thu 07/16 22Z 0.63 3230 73 20 10 0.01
Thu 07/16 23Z 0.75 3229 78 9 9 0.00
Fri 07/17 00Z 1.04 3129 78 5 9 0.00
Fri 07/17 01Z 0.89 3130 69 12 8 0.00
Fri 07/17 02Z 0.67 3230 65 24 8 0.00
Fri 07/17 03Z 0.79 3230 65 32 7 0.00
Fri 07/17 04Z 0.68 3230 62 32 7 0.00
Fri 07/17 05Z 0.67 3229 61 30 7 0.00
Fri 07/17 06Z 0.59 3228 61 26 7 0.00
Fri 07/17 07Z 0.55 3227 62 25 7 0.00
Fri 07/17 08Z 0.46 3227 62 23 7 0.00
Fri 07/17 09Z 0.41 3226 61 21 8 0.00
Fri 07/17 10Z 0.39 3126 59 20 8 0.00
Fri 07/17 11Z 0.35 3127 54 17 9 0.00
Fri 07/17 12Z 0.33 3126 50 16 9 0.00
Fri 07/17 13Z 0.33 3126 47 16 9 0.00
Fri 07/17 14Z 0.31 3223 47 17 9 0.00
Fri 07/17 15Z 0.31 3221 48 19 9 0.00
Fri 07/17 16Z 0.35 3119 49 20 9 0.00
Fri 07/17 17Z 0.42 3117 48 20 9 0.00
Fri 07/17 18Z 0.63 3015 52 20 9 0.00
Fri 07/17 19Z 1.08 2914 56 19 9 0.00
Fri 07/17 20Z 1.86 2913 58 18 9 0.00
Fri 07/17 21Z 2.50 2812 59 16 10 0.00
Fri 07/17 22Z 1.33 2811 56 14 10 0.00
Fri 07/17 23Z 0.73 2811 51 10 10 0.00
Sat 07/18 00Z 0.68 2811 48 9 10 0.00
Sat 07/18 01Z 0.54 2810 46 8 11 0.00
Sat 07/18 02Z 0.50 2810 44 9 11 0.00
Sat 07/18 03Z 0.47 2710 45 11 11 0.00
Sat 07/18 04Z 0.44 2710 46 13 11 0.00
Sat 07/18 05Z 0.38 2608 47 11 11 0.00
Sat 07/18 06Z 0.29 2506 47 9 11 0.00
Sat 07/18 07Z 0.35 2408 50 13 10 0.00
Sat 07/18 08Z 0.32 2209 52 13 10 0.00
Sat 07/18 09Z 0.32 2210 51 21 11 0.00
Sat 07/18 10Z 0.34 2211 45 37 11 0.00
Sat 07/18 11Z 0.35 2311 42 79 12 0.00
Sat 07/18 12Z 0.36 2311 52 81 12 0.00
Sat 07/18 13Z 0.37 2212 63 74 12 0.00
Sat 07/18 14Z 0.46 2016 71 78 12 0.00
Sat 07/18 15Z 0.68 2019 72 74 12 0.00
Sat 07/18 16Z 1.27 2020 75 79 13 0.00
Sat 07/18 17Z 1.21 2023 73 72 14 0.00
Sat 07/18 18Z 1.70 2028 76 83 14 0.01
Sat 07/18 19Z 0.95 2035 93 77 13 0.02
Sat 07/18 20Z 0.70 2035 95 96 13 0.07
Sat 07/18 21Z 0.62 2038 97 94 14 0.07
Sat 07/18 22Z 0.70 2041 98 80 14 0.07
Sat 07/18 23Z 0.72 2140 97 70 15 0.04
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 0.53 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1