National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Extreme Heat Warnings and Heat Advisories remain in effect through Friday

Dangerous heat will continue through Friday. Extreme Heat Warnings are in effect for the entire Champlain Valley & eastern Windsor County in Vermont. Heat Advisories in effect for the remainder of our region. Heat index values will peak around 105 degrees in warning areas with locally higher values possible. Advisory areas will see heat index values up to 100 degrees. Read More >

Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens

Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260702_0000
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.

925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date   Time        Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Thu 07/02 00Z 0.57 2618  66  58  22 0.00
Thu 07/02 01Z 0.75 2620  74  72  21 0.00
Thu 07/02 02Z 0.83 2623  90  60  20 0.03
Thu 07/02 03Z 0.65 2719  89  59  20 0.07
Thu 07/02 04Z 0.75 2722  92  62  19 0.02
Thu 07/02 05Z 0.67 2822  85  65  19 0.14
Thu 07/02 06Z 0.42 2717  65  54  20 0.01
Thu 07/02 07Z 0.45 2519  70  57  20 0.00
Thu 07/02 08Z 0.58 2725  68  52  20 0.00
Thu 07/02 09Z 0.56 2926  79  54  19 0.00
Thu 07/02 10Z 0.47 3025  75  53  20 0.00
Thu 07/02 11Z 0.46 3026  70  50  20 0.00
Thu 07/02 12Z 0.43 3025  63  47  20 0.00
Thu 07/02 13Z 0.42 3025  64  38  20 0.00
Thu 07/02 14Z 0.38 3022  68  49  20 0.00
Thu 07/02 15Z 0.41 3021  71  42  20 0.00
Thu 07/02 16Z 0.55 2920  80  49  19 0.00
Thu 07/02 17Z 0.59 2817  83  52  19 0.00
Thu 07/02 18Z 0.62 2814  85  58  19 0.00
Thu 07/02 19Z 1.09 2713  90  52  19 0.00
Thu 07/02 20Z 1.74 2614  89  53  19 0.00
Thu 07/02 21Z 2.85 2616  85  60  19 0.01
Thu 07/02 22Z 2.12 2617  83  52  19 0.01
Thu 07/02 23Z 1.75 2619  85  53  19 0.00
Fri 07/03 00Z 1.17 2722  84  54  19 0.00
Fri 07/03 01Z 0.95 2723  88  49  19 0.00
Fri 07/03 02Z 0.94 2725  87  45  19 0.00
Fri 07/03 03Z 0.83 2727  82  46  20 0.00
Fri 07/03 04Z 0.76 2828  81  45  20 0.00
Fri 07/03 05Z 0.75 2829  76  38  20 0.00
Fri 07/03 06Z 0.78 2930  78  45  19 0.00
Fri 07/03 07Z 0.77 2930  77  46  18 0.00
Fri 07/03 08Z 0.77 2930  83  49  18 0.00
Fri 07/03 09Z 0.74 2929  87  49  18 0.00
Fri 07/03 10Z 0.62 2926  85  52  18 0.00
Fri 07/03 11Z 0.58 2925  83  62  18 0.00
Fri 07/03 12Z 0.56 2923  89  53  18 0.00
Fri 07/03 13Z 0.53 2920  88  52  18 0.00
Fri 07/03 14Z 0.57 2819  88  61  18 0.00
Fri 07/03 15Z 0.66 2719  91  63  18 0.00
Fri 07/03 16Z 0.74 2718  93  73  18 0.00
Fri 07/03 17Z 0.88 2719  95  75  17 0.01
Fri 07/03 18Z 0.83 2718  95  74  18 0.01
Fri 07/03 19Z 0.97 2820  93  68  18 0.12
Fri 07/03 20Z 1.04 2820  89  60  18 0.04
Fri 07/03 21Z 1.11 2821  85  34  18 0.01
Fri 07/03 22Z 1.13 2820  76  19  18 0.00
Fri 07/03 23Z 1.60 2823  75  16  17 0.00
Sat 07/04 00Z 1.67 2824  76  15  16 0.00
Sat 07/04 01Z 1.23 2824  79  18  16 0.00
Sat 07/04 02Z 1.01 2925  84  27  16 0.00
Sat 07/04 03Z 0.95 2927  89  23  15 0.00
Sat 07/04 04Z 0.78 3027  88  27  15 0.00
Sat 07/04 05Z 0.68 3127  84  33  15 0.00
Sat 07/04 06Z 0.67 3127  82  27  15 0.00
Sat 07/04 07Z 0.59 3126  83  31  15 0.00
Sat 07/04 08Z 0.53 3125  83  30  15 0.00
Sat 07/04 09Z 0.48 3123  85  36  14 0.00
Sat 07/04 10Z 0.48 3122  84  50  15 0.00
Sat 07/04 11Z 0.45 3022  81  38  15 0.00

Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 0.48 inches.

Froude Number (Frd#): 
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
         Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
         W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
         Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
         Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
         W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
         Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
         Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
         With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
         Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
         W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
         Air flows freely over terrain.
         Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.

Relative Humidity (RH): 
         925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
         with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
         with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.

850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
        T > -11       10-15:1
        T -11 to -15  25-35:1
        T < -15       15-20:1