
Extreme heat continues across the Southwest as temperatures may top 120 degrees. The heat may expand across the West and south-central U.S. into the middle of the month. Severe thunderstorms capable of severe wind gusts and large hail will be the primary hazards today across the northern Plains into the upper Midwest. Rainfall could be locally heavy across the Eastern U.S. today. Read More >
Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260803_0600
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Mon 08/03 06Z 0.20 1823 91 99 15 0.00
Mon 08/03 07Z 0.16 1825 95 97 15 0.01
Mon 08/03 08Z 0.18 1826 97 91 16 0.02
Mon 08/03 09Z 0.17 1825 98 86 16 0.12
Mon 08/03 10Z 0.31 1926 98 86 16 0.08
Mon 08/03 11Z 0.42 2026 96 73 16 0.02
Mon 08/03 12Z 0.53 2128 97 75 17 0.01
Mon 08/03 13Z 0.64 2126 99 80 16 0.09
Mon 08/03 14Z 0.66 2224 99 72 16 0.04
Mon 08/03 15Z 0.69 2221 99 65 16 0.03
Mon 08/03 16Z 0.76 2221 98 70 16 0.02
Mon 08/03 17Z 0.83 2121 95 61 16 0.01
Mon 08/03 18Z 1.02 2123 96 77 16 0.05
Mon 08/03 19Z 1.03 2330 90 59 15 0.12
Mon 08/03 20Z 1.49 2429 90 38 14 0.00
Mon 08/03 21Z 1.44 2529 93 51 12 0.00
Mon 08/03 22Z 1.24 2729 97 68 12 0.02
Mon 08/03 23Z 1.19 2830 96 78 10 0.02
Tue 08/04 00Z 0.96 2931 96 75 10 0.02
Tue 08/04 01Z 0.71 3029 97 54 10 0.03
Tue 08/04 02Z 0.49 3129 97 15 10 0.02
Tue 08/04 03Z 0.41 3231 84 3 10 0.00
Tue 08/04 04Z 0.46 3230 75 17 10 0.00
Tue 08/04 05Z 0.63 3026 87 14 10 0.00
Tue 08/04 06Z 0.66 3028 84 2 11 0.00
Tue 08/04 07Z 0.67 3027 80 3 11 0.00
Tue 08/04 08Z 0.69 3026 75 4 11 0.00
Tue 08/04 09Z 0.70 3025 71 3 11 0.00
Tue 08/04 10Z 0.61 3124 67 3 11 0.00
Tue 08/04 11Z 0.50 3022 61 2 12 0.00
Tue 08/04 12Z 0.40 3122 57 2 13 0.00
Tue 08/04 13Z 0.33 3119 55 2 13 0.00
Tue 08/04 14Z 0.31 3117 54 2 13 0.00
Tue 08/04 15Z 0.33 3114 55 2 13 0.00
Tue 08/04 16Z 0.33 3112 55 2 12 0.00
Tue 08/04 17Z 0.37 3009 56 2 13 0.00
Tue 08/04 18Z 0.57 2907 60 2 13 0.00
Tue 08/04 19Z 0.88 2706 64 1 13 0.00
Tue 08/04 20Z 0.58 2506 63 1 14 0.00
Tue 08/04 21Z 0.34 2506 58 1 14 0.00
Tue 08/04 22Z 0.28 2406 56 1 15 0.00
Tue 08/04 23Z 0.25 2407 53 1 15 0.00
Wed 08/05 00Z 0.31 2409 53 2 15 0.00
Wed 08/05 01Z 0.32 2410 56 2 16 0.00
Wed 08/05 02Z 0.36 2411 55 2 16 0.00
Wed 08/05 03Z 0.40 2413 52 2 16 0.00
Wed 08/05 04Z 0.38 2412 51 2 16 0.00
Wed 08/05 05Z 0.36 2512 48 2 16 0.00
Wed 08/05 06Z 0.36 2513 48 2 16 0.00
Wed 08/05 07Z 0.37 2613 52 2 16 0.00
Wed 08/05 08Z 0.35 2612 50 2 15 0.00
Wed 08/05 09Z 0.35 2711 57 3 15 0.00
Wed 08/05 10Z 0.33 2610 63 3 14 0.00
Wed 08/05 11Z 0.28 2609 63 2 14 0.00
Wed 08/05 12Z 0.26 2508 62 1 14 0.00
Wed 08/05 13Z 0.31 2508 68 2 14 0.00
Wed 08/05 14Z 0.32 2408 71 2 13 0.00
Wed 08/05 15Z 0.39 2407 74 2 13 0.00
Wed 08/05 16Z 0.55 2306 71 3 14 0.00
Wed 08/05 17Z 1.05 2207 68 5 14 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 0.73 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1