
Extreme Cold Warnings and Cold Weather Advisories are in effect across the region for this weekend. Wind chills of 20 to 40 below zero are possible, especially Saturday afternoon through Sunday morning. The risk of frostbite and hypothermia will be elevated, especially for vulnerable populations. Prepare now for the extreme cold, especially if you plan to be outdoors. Read More >
Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260207_0000
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sat 02/07 00Z 0.10 1810 82 77 -11 0.00
Sat 02/07 01Z 0.21 1912 85 79 -11 0.00
Sat 02/07 02Z 0.30 2013 88 85 -12 0.00
Sat 02/07 03Z 0.32 2112 89 87 -12 0.00
Sat 02/07 04Z 0.36 2112 88 86 -12 0.00
Sat 02/07 05Z 0.31 2111 89 85 -12 0.01
Sat 02/07 08Z 0.14 2205 91 84 -12 0.01
Sat 02/07 09Z 0.09 2103 91 83 -12 0.01
Sat 02/07 10Z 0.07 2302 92 84 -12 0.01
Sat 02/07 11Z 0.07 2802 92 84 -12 0.01
Sat 02/07 12Z 0.07 3306 91 81 -13 0.01
Sat 02/07 13Z 0.14 3410 90 81 -14 0.02
Sat 02/07 14Z 0.07 3414 89 81 -15 0.03
Sat 02/07 15Z 0.07 3315 86 82 -16 0.02
Sat 02/07 16Z 0.09 3317 84 82 -17 0.01
Sat 02/07 17Z 0.11 3319 83 82 -18 0.01
Sat 02/07 18Z 0.12 3320 82 82 -18 0.01
Sat 02/07 19Z 0.12 3320 83 82 -19 0.01
Sat 02/07 20Z 0.13 3322 83 82 -19 0.01
Sat 02/07 21Z 0.14 3323 83 80 -20 0.01
Sat 02/07 22Z 0.13 3324 83 80 -20 0.00
Sat 02/07 23Z 0.13 3325 83 80 -21 0.00
Sun 02/08 00Z 0.13 3325 83 80 -21 0.00
Sun 02/08 01Z 0.11 3325 83 79 -20 0.00
Sun 02/08 02Z 0.09 3325 85 77 -20 0.00
Sun 02/08 03Z 0.09 3324 85 75 -20 0.00
Sun 02/08 04Z 0.08 3324 84 74 -20 0.00
Sun 02/08 05Z 0.07 3323 83 74 -19 0.00
Sun 02/08 06Z 0.07 3323 83 76 -19 0.00
Sun 02/08 07Z 0.08 3323 83 79 -19 0.00
Sun 02/08 08Z 0.07 3324 81 81 -19 0.00
Sun 02/08 09Z 0.05 3424 79 82 -18 0.00
Sun 02/08 10Z 0.03 3425 80 80 -18 0.00
Sun 02/08 11Z 0.02 3426 81 79 -17 0.00
Sun 02/08 12Z 0.03 3526 81 80 -17 0.00
Sun 02/08 13Z 0.02 3527 76 67 -16 0.00
Sun 02/08 14Z 0.03 3527 68 44 -16 0.00
Sun 02/08 15Z 0.02 3526 64 29 -15 0.00
Sun 02/08 16Z 0.02 3426 64 42 -15 0.00
Sun 02/08 17Z 0.02 3426 62 38 -14 0.00
Sun 02/08 18Z 0.03 3426 60 46 -13 0.00
Sun 02/08 19Z 0.04 3426 59 39 -13 0.00
Sun 02/08 20Z 0.05 3428 57 31 -12 0.00
Sun 02/08 21Z 0.06 3430 53 31 -12 0.00
Sun 02/08 22Z 0.05 3431 50 35 -11 0.00
Sun 02/08 23Z 0.03 3431 47 31 -11 0.00
Mon 02/09 00Z 0.03 3431 44 30 -11 0.00
Mon 02/09 01Z 0.03 3431 44 22 -11 0.00
Mon 02/09 02Z 0.05 3430 49 32 -12 0.00
Mon 02/09 03Z 0.07 3429 56 36 -12 0.00
Mon 02/09 04Z 0.09 3329 65 33 -12 0.00
Mon 02/09 05Z 0.11 3330 68 29 -12 0.00
Mon 02/09 06Z 0.12 3330 67 29 -12 0.00
Mon 02/09 07Z 0.11 3330 64 26 -12 0.00
Mon 02/09 08Z 0.10 3331 63 19 -12 0.00
Mon 02/09 09Z 0.09 3330 58 9 -12 0.00
Mon 02/09 10Z 0.08 3329 56 4 -12 0.00
Mon 02/09 11Z 0.10 3329 53 8 -12 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 0.19 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1