Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260430_0000
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Thu 04/30 00Z 0.23 1520 70 87 6 0.00
Thu 04/30 01Z 0.13 1522 71 85 7 0.00
Thu 04/30 02Z 0.07 1623 72 81 7 0.00
Thu 04/30 03Z 0.05 1625 73 81 7 0.00
Thu 04/30 04Z 0.03 1626 68 78 8 0.00
Thu 04/30 05Z 0.13 1825 74 84 6 0.00
Thu 04/30 06Z 0.12 1824 76 83 5 0.00
Thu 04/30 07Z 0.13 1825 85 96 4 0.01
Thu 04/30 08Z 0.14 1823 96 98 5 0.07
Thu 04/30 09Z 0.17 1823 97 99 3 0.07
Thu 04/30 10Z 0.21 1921 96 98 3 0.02
Thu 04/30 11Z 0.20 2016 97 99 3 0.02
Thu 04/30 12Z 0.17 2012 97 94 3 0.01
Thu 04/30 13Z 0.17 2010 97 95 3 0.01
Thu 04/30 14Z 0.17 2110 98 96 3 0.02
Thu 04/30 15Z 0.18 2108 98 96 3 0.01
Thu 04/30 16Z 0.18 2107 99 97 2 0.02
Thu 04/30 17Z 0.20 2207 100 97 1 0.02
Thu 04/30 18Z 0.24 2306 100 93 1 0.03
Thu 04/30 19Z 0.28 2606 100 86 1 0.03
Thu 04/30 20Z 0.31 2908 100 90 1 0.03
Thu 04/30 21Z 0.28 3111 99 96 0 0.03
Thu 04/30 22Z 0.28 3114 98 93 0 0.01
Thu 04/30 23Z 0.34 3115 94 82 0 0.01
Fri 05/01 00Z 0.40 3117 91 65 0 0.00
Fri 05/01 01Z 0.47 3118 94 62 0 0.00
Fri 05/01 02Z 0.50 3017 95 64 -1 0.00
Fri 05/01 03Z 0.53 3017 95 53 -1 0.00
Fri 05/01 04Z 0.53 3018 96 47 -1 0.01
Fri 05/01 05Z 0.53 3118 96 46 -2 0.01
Fri 05/01 06Z 0.53 3118 95 40 -2 0.01
Fri 05/01 07Z 0.53 3018 94 40 -2 0.00
Fri 05/01 08Z 0.52 3018 93 42 -2 0.00
Fri 05/01 09Z 0.51 3017 92 47 -3 0.00
Fri 05/01 10Z 0.52 3017 92 48 -3 0.00
Fri 05/01 11Z 0.57 3017 92 48 -3 0.00
Fri 05/01 12Z 0.63 3016 91 45 -3 0.00
Fri 05/01 13Z 1.08 3015 89 50 -3 0.00
Fri 05/01 14Z 3.07 3013 86 49 -3 0.00
Fri 05/01 15Z 5.14 3010 83 56 -3 0.00
Fri 05/01 16Z 5.19 2809 82 68 -2 0.00
Fri 05/01 17Z 5.63 2709 82 53 -2 0.00
Fri 05/01 18Z 5.66 2708 75 40 -1 0.00
Fri 05/01 19Z 5.67 2709 73 45 -1 0.00
Fri 05/01 20Z 5.03 2609 74 42 -1 0.00
Fri 05/01 21Z 5.65 2609 71 47 0 0.00
Fri 05/01 22Z 5.14 2710 71 46 -1 0.00
Fri 05/01 23Z 2.70 2710 70 45 -1 0.00
Sat 05/02 00Z 1.47 2811 69 41 -1 0.00
Sat 05/02 01Z 1.05 2811 69 37 -1 0.00
Sat 05/02 02Z 1.07 2811 69 39 -2 0.00
Sat 05/02 03Z 0.86 2911 70 40 -2 0.00
Sat 05/02 04Z 0.63 2910 71 39 -2 0.00
Sat 05/02 05Z 0.44 3008 72 47 -2 0.00
Sat 05/02 06Z 0.32 3006 72 53 -2 0.00
Sat 05/02 07Z 0.32 2805 73 64 -2 0.00
Sat 05/02 08Z 0.27 2605 72 64 -3 0.00
Sat 05/02 09Z 0.27 2505 71 66 -3 0.00
Sat 05/02 10Z 0.23 2505 69 70 -3 0.00
Sat 05/02 11Z 0.23 2405 66 68 -3 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 0.45 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1