
A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect from 8 PM Tuesday to 9 AM Wednesday for portions of northern New York. A cold rain today will likely change to a period freezing rain tonight. Slick travel conditions are possible, so be sure to slow down and use caution if traveling later today and especially overnight into Wednesday morning as temperatures further cool. Read More >
Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260331_0000
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Tue 03/31 00Z 1.21 2523 60 93 6 0.00
Tue 03/31 01Z 1.60 2626 67 80 6 0.00
Tue 03/31 02Z 1.47 2729 72 63 6 0.00
Tue 03/31 03Z 1.46 2729 73 51 6 0.00
Tue 03/31 04Z 1.22 2727 80 52 5 0.00
Tue 03/31 05Z 0.91 2723 84 77 5 0.00
Tue 03/31 06Z 0.68 2719 88 89 5 0.03
Tue 03/31 07Z 0.54 2516 90 93 5 0.02
Tue 03/31 08Z 0.43 2415 95 88 6 0.03
Tue 03/31 09Z 0.44 2416 97 84 6 0.03
Tue 03/31 10Z 0.43 2316 97 86 6 0.02
Tue 03/31 11Z 0.44 2319 98 96 6 0.02
Tue 03/31 12Z 0.53 2224 98 93 7 0.09
Tue 03/31 13Z 0.64 2226 98 99 7 0.12
Tue 03/31 14Z 0.82 2332 98 95 7 0.06
Tue 03/31 15Z 0.91 2434 98 88 8 0.07
Tue 03/31 16Z 0.83 2530 97 84 8 0.06
Tue 03/31 17Z 0.83 2529 98 67 8 0.02
Tue 03/31 20Z 0.77 2426 99 85 9 0.02
Tue 03/31 21Z 0.80 2427 99 75 9 0.03
Tue 03/31 22Z 0.75 2327 99 73 9 0.04
Tue 03/31 23Z 0.70 2227 98 71 10 0.03
Wed 04/01 02Z 0.87 2236 98 94 10 0.03
Wed 04/01 03Z 1.03 2240 98 94 10 0.02
Wed 04/01 04Z 1.23 2341 98 91 10 0.06
Wed 04/01 05Z 1.38 2337 96 98 9 0.10
Wed 04/01 06Z 1.39 2439 99 80 9 0.08
Wed 04/01 07Z 1.28 2537 98 76 9 0.18
Wed 04/01 08Z 1.11 2537 98 78 9 0.15
Wed 04/01 09Z 0.89 2634 98 68 8 0.23
Wed 04/01 10Z 0.64 2730 98 81 8 0.10
Wed 04/01 11Z 0.43 2826 98 70 7 0.04
Wed 04/01 12Z 0.32 2923 95 55 6 0.03
Wed 04/01 13Z 0.27 3023 91 37 5 0.03
Wed 04/01 14Z 0.24 3123 86 13 3 0.03
Wed 04/01 15Z 0.21 3124 77 6 2 0.03
Wed 04/01 17Z 0.20 3223 72 12 0 0.02
Wed 04/01 18Z 0.16 3221 72 14 0 0.01
Wed 04/01 19Z 0.11 3319 71 16 -1 0.00
Wed 04/01 20Z 0.06 3417 70 17 -2 0.00
Wed 04/01 21Z 0.04 3513 67 21 -1 0.00
Wed 04/01 22Z 0.05 0011 66 22 -1 0.00
Wed 04/01 23Z 0.08 0108 64 24 -1 0.00
Thu 04/02 00Z 0.10 0307 62 26 -1 0.00
Thu 04/02 01Z 0.13 0507 53 30 0 0.00
Thu 04/02 02Z 0.11 0805 46 34 0 0.00
Thu 04/02 03Z 0.11 1107 44 36 0 0.00
Thu 04/02 04Z 0.11 1309 49 38 0 0.00
Thu 04/02 05Z 0.08 1512 55 40 0 0.00
Thu 04/02 06Z 0.07 1514 61 42 0 0.00
Thu 04/02 07Z 0.06 1516 65 60 0 0.00
Thu 04/02 08Z 0.05 1617 66 75 0 0.00
Thu 04/02 09Z 0.04 1616 68 78 1 0.00
Thu 04/02 10Z 0.04 1616 72 96 1 0.00
Thu 04/02 11Z 0.04 1615 79 98 1 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 1.83 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1