
A High Wind Watch has been issued for portions of northern New York for Sunday night through Monday. South winds of 20 to 30 mph are expected with gusts up to 60 mph in the Watch area. Elsewhere, gusts up to 40 mph are possible. The strongest winds will occur between 2 AM Monday and 5 PM Monday. Read More >
Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260314_1800
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sat 03/14 18Z 2.92 2524 96 83 -7 0.00
Sat 03/14 19Z 5.66 2729 91 80 -7 0.03
Sat 03/14 20Z 10.29 2831 83 76 -8 0.01
Sat 03/14 21Z 5.54 2834 87 74 -9 0.01
Sat 03/14 22Z 3.76 2835 89 73 -10 0.01
Sat 03/14 23Z 1.67 2933 92 69 -10 0.01
Sun 03/15 00Z 1.50 2931 95 54 -10 0.01
Sun 03/15 01Z 1.47 2930 95 43 -11 0.01
Sun 03/15 02Z 1.22 3027 94 20 -11 0.01
Sun 03/15 03Z 1.20 3026 93 9 -11 0.01
Sun 03/15 04Z 0.86 3024 88 10 -12 0.00
Sun 03/15 05Z 0.56 3124 77 7 -11 0.00
Sun 03/15 06Z 0.43 3123 66 9 -10 0.00
Sun 03/15 07Z 0.34 3121 55 14 -9 0.00
Sun 03/15 08Z 0.28 3119 47 11 -8 0.00
Sun 03/15 09Z 0.23 3117 41 14 -8 0.00
Sun 03/15 10Z 0.16 3216 30 18 -7 0.00
Sun 03/15 11Z 0.11 3213 23 21 -7 0.00
Sun 03/15 12Z 0.06 3310 20 32 -7 0.00
Sun 03/15 13Z 0.06 3105 22 71 -7 0.00
Sun 03/15 14Z 0.05 2402 24 91 -7 0.00
Sun 03/15 15Z 0.02 1703 25 94 -7 0.00
Sun 03/15 16Z 0.04 1508 28 98 -7 0.00
Sun 03/15 17Z 0.07 1613 38 98 -7 0.00
Sun 03/15 18Z 0.07 1618 55 98 -7 0.00
Sun 03/15 19Z 0.03 1621 61 98 -6 0.00
Sun 03/15 20Z 0.05 1625 61 98 -5 0.00
Sun 03/15 21Z 0.06 1630 51 98 -4 0.00
Sun 03/15 22Z 0.04 1733 37 94 -2 0.00
Sun 03/15 23Z 0.10 1736 34 71 -1 0.00
Mon 03/16 00Z 0.15 1839 34 48 0 0.00
Mon 03/16 01Z 0.19 1842 29 53 0 0.00
Mon 03/16 02Z 0.20 1844 25 64 1 0.00
Mon 03/16 03Z 0.20 1846 25 72 2 0.00
Mon 03/16 04Z 0.19 1848 28 72 2 0.00
Mon 03/16 05Z 0.17 1848 55 51 3 0.00
Mon 03/16 06Z 0.13 1748 72 49 3 0.00
Mon 03/16 07Z 0.09 1748 87 56 3 0.01
Mon 03/16 08Z 0.05 1748 90 73 4 0.01
Mon 03/16 09Z 0.06 1649 94 71 6 0.02
Mon 03/16 10Z 0.11 1650 95 92 7 0.04
Mon 03/16 11Z 0.10 1651 95 98 7 0.14
Mon 03/16 12Z 0.03 1649 96 91 7 0.11
Mon 03/16 13Z 0.13 1746 97 46 8 0.03
Mon 03/16 14Z 0.22 1846 98 31 9 0.02
Mon 03/16 15Z 0.33 1945 98 19 9 0.02
Mon 03/16 16Z 0.37 1945 97 24 9 0.01
Mon 03/16 17Z 0.43 1944 95 23 9 0.01
Mon 03/16 18Z 0.46 1943 94 22 10 0.00
Mon 03/16 19Z 0.40 1942 95 31 10 0.00
Mon 03/16 20Z 0.34 1844 95 39 10 0.00
Mon 03/16 21Z 0.33 1846 95 68 10 0.00
Mon 03/16 22Z 0.29 1846 96 58 10 0.01
Mon 03/16 23Z 0.28 1847 96 48 10 0.01
Tue 03/17 00Z 0.33 1847 96 59 9 0.01
Tue 03/17 01Z 0.26 1842 96 84 9 0.01
Tue 03/17 02Z 0.27 1827 99 96 8 0.10
Tue 03/17 03Z 0.13 1730 97 92 8 0.12
Tue 03/17 04Z 0.21 1828 99 95 7 0.05
Tue 03/17 05Z 0.53 2621 97 96 0 0.10
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 0.94 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1