Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260721_1200
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Tue 07/21 12Z 0.46 2022 69 2 13 0.00
Tue 07/21 13Z 0.46 2023 65 4 13 0.00
Tue 07/21 14Z 0.34 1921 70 6 14 0.00
Tue 07/21 15Z 0.33 1821 79 30 14 0.00
Tue 07/21 16Z 0.33 1825 90 70 13 0.01
Tue 07/21 17Z 0.21 1831 92 75 14 0.07
Tue 07/21 18Z 0.19 1832 92 44 14 0.00
Tue 07/21 19Z 0.12 1731 93 43 14 0.01
Tue 07/21 20Z 0.07 1733 97 46 14 0.04
Tue 07/21 21Z 0.11 1736 96 26 15 0.01
Tue 07/21 22Z 0.07 1733 96 40 16 0.02
Tue 07/21 23Z 0.08 1731 96 49 16 0.02
Wed 07/22 00Z 0.13 1730 95 76 16 0.02
Wed 07/22 01Z 0.24 1829 96 79 16 0.01
Wed 07/22 02Z 0.52 2030 93 86 15 0.10
Wed 07/22 03Z 0.45 2121 86 82 15 0.15
Wed 07/22 04Z 0.36 2021 95 89 15 0.02
Wed 07/22 05Z 0.47 2024 98 87 15 0.06
Wed 07/22 06Z 0.70 2226 99 55 15 0.03
Wed 07/22 07Z 0.73 2225 97 54 15 0.02
Wed 07/22 08Z 0.83 2326 96 67 14 0.02
Wed 07/22 09Z 0.85 2425 97 64 14 0.02
Wed 07/22 10Z 0.88 2424 98 65 14 0.02
Wed 07/22 11Z 0.86 2524 97 61 13 0.02
Wed 07/22 12Z 0.85 2523 95 59 13 0.01
Wed 07/22 13Z 0.83 2622 93 62 13 0.01
Wed 07/22 14Z 0.80 2521 91 58 13 0.01
Wed 07/22 15Z 0.92 2521 92 56 13 0.01
Wed 07/22 16Z 1.02 2420 93 55 13 0.01
Wed 07/22 17Z 1.22 2421 93 29 13 0.01
Wed 07/22 18Z 1.65 2420 92 10 12 0.01
Wed 07/22 19Z 1.82 2420 87 7 11 0.01
Wed 07/22 20Z 1.48 2522 85 17 11 0.01
Wed 07/22 21Z 1.68 2623 88 17 10 0.01
Wed 07/22 22Z 1.26 2622 87 17 9 0.00
Wed 07/22 23Z 1.15 2722 89 18 8 0.00
Thu 07/23 00Z 1.07 2722 90 17 8 0.00
Thu 07/23 01Z 0.97 2823 90 16 7 0.00
Thu 07/23 02Z 0.85 2823 91 18 7 0.00
Thu 07/23 03Z 0.74 2922 94 19 6 0.00
Thu 07/23 04Z 0.57 3022 90 21 6 0.00
Thu 07/23 05Z 0.44 3121 87 18 6 0.00
Thu 07/23 06Z 0.37 3122 83 14 6 0.00
Thu 07/23 07Z 0.34 3222 83 12 6 0.00
Thu 07/23 08Z 0.26 3220 82 14 6 0.00
Thu 07/23 09Z 0.21 3216 77 18 6 0.00
Thu 07/23 10Z 0.25 3113 74 29 6 0.00
Thu 07/23 11Z 0.32 3011 73 38 6 0.00
Thu 07/23 12Z 0.36 2811 73 39 6 0.00
Thu 07/23 13Z 0.38 2812 72 36 7 0.00
Thu 07/23 14Z 0.45 2812 71 30 7 0.00
Thu 07/23 15Z 0.54 2812 69 23 7 0.00
Thu 07/23 16Z 0.72 2811 63 23 8 0.00
Thu 07/23 17Z 1.09 2809 62 23 8 0.00
Thu 07/23 18Z 1.78 2808 67 22 8 0.00
Thu 07/23 19Z 3.22 2708 72 20 9 0.00
Thu 07/23 20Z 4.04 2708 75 18 9 0.00
Thu 07/23 21Z 3.56 2707 77 18 9 0.00
Thu 07/23 22Z 2.63 2706 78 18 9 0.00
Thu 07/23 23Z 1.18 2806 78 18 9 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 0.77 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1