Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260930_1800
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Wed 09/30 18Z 0.14 2505 99 29 11 0.00
Wed 09/30 19Z 0.15 2706 99 23 11 0.01
Wed 09/30 20Z 0.13 2806 99 27 11 0.01
Wed 09/30 21Z 0.14 2806 98 43 11 0.01
Wed 09/30 22Z 0.14 2806 95 53 11 0.00
Wed 09/30 23Z 0.16 2707 91 49 12 0.00
Thu 10/01 00Z 0.21 2609 88 48 12 0.00
Thu 10/01 01Z 0.29 2611 86 39 12 0.00
Thu 10/01 02Z 0.34 2613 87 29 12 0.01
Thu 10/01 03Z 0.38 2614 89 28 11 0.01
Thu 10/01 04Z 0.40 2715 91 33 11 0.01
Thu 10/01 05Z 0.38 2814 92 35 11 0.00
Thu 10/01 06Z 0.42 2714 94 40 11 0.00
Thu 10/01 07Z 0.44 2614 94 37 11 0.01
Thu 10/01 08Z 0.43 2514 95 40 12 0.01
Thu 10/01 09Z 0.41 2514 93 43 12 0.01
Thu 10/01 10Z 0.48 2417 93 63 12 0.01
Thu 10/01 11Z 0.49 2418 93 75 12 0.01
Thu 10/01 12Z 0.55 2319 93 80 12 0.01
Thu 10/01 13Z 0.59 2320 93 80 12 0.01
Thu 10/01 14Z 0.62 2322 92 84 12 0.00
Thu 10/01 15Z 0.73 2324 97 95 12 0.02
Thu 10/01 16Z 0.74 2323 95 95 12 0.02
Thu 10/01 17Z 0.70 2324 93 85 12 0.02
Thu 10/01 18Z 0.70 2422 89 74 13 0.00
Thu 10/01 19Z 0.77 2423 93 83 13 0.00
Thu 10/01 20Z 0.85 2425 91 94 13 0.00
Thu 10/01 21Z 0.75 2425 90 96 14 0.01
Thu 10/01 22Z 0.85 2428 86 93 14 0.01
Thu 10/01 23Z 0.90 2428 90 91 14 0.00
Fri 10/02 00Z 0.82 2427 89 85 14 0.01
Fri 10/02 01Z 0.88 2429 90 68 14 0.01
Fri 10/02 02Z 0.90 2332 89 47 15 0.00
Fri 10/02 03Z 1.00 2335 91 64 15 0.01
Fri 10/02 04Z 1.05 2436 90 86 15 0.03
Fri 10/02 05Z 1.06 2436 92 77 15 0.01
Fri 10/02 06Z 1.00 2435 89 80 15 0.01
Fri 10/02 07Z 0.96 2435 91 86 15 0.01
Fri 10/02 08Z 1.06 2436 93 87 15 0.04
Fri 10/02 09Z 1.04 2436 94 89 15 0.05
Fri 10/02 10Z 1.01 2534 95 88 15 0.04
Fri 10/02 11Z 0.97 2532 95 90 14 0.04
Fri 10/02 12Z 0.97 2531 97 94 14 0.07
Fri 10/02 13Z 0.81 2625 97 96 13 0.14
Fri 10/02 14Z 0.64 2821 98 95 13 0.11
Fri 10/02 15Z 0.52 2818 97 91 12 0.08
Fri 10/02 16Z 0.48 2816 97 78 12 0.02
Fri 10/02 17Z 0.47 2815 98 86 11 0.01
Fri 10/02 18Z 0.38 2913 97 85 11 0.02
Fri 10/02 19Z 0.33 2913 96 86 11 0.01
Fri 10/02 20Z 0.33 3014 94 80 10 0.03
Fri 10/02 21Z 0.37 3017 89 60 10 0.01
Fri 10/02 22Z 0.37 3018 89 50 9 0.00
Fri 10/02 23Z 0.39 3122 81 29 8 0.00
Sat 10/03 00Z 0.32 3123 76 8 8 0.00
Sat 10/03 01Z 0.31 3224 74 3 7 0.00
Sat 10/03 02Z 0.30 3224 85 2 6 0.00
Sat 10/03 03Z 0.30 3224 85 2 5 0.01
Sat 10/03 04Z 0.30 3224 89 2 5 0.00
Sat 10/03 05Z 0.24 3324 91 0 4 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 0.98 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1