Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260412_0000
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sun 04/12 00Z 0.81 3118 74 8 -5 0.00
Sun 04/12 01Z 0.79 3121 76 9 -5 0.00
Sun 04/12 02Z 0.78 3223 78 12 -6 0.00
Sun 04/12 03Z 0.58 3223 73 13 -6 0.00
Sun 04/12 04Z 0.43 3223 67 12 -5 0.00
Sun 04/12 05Z 0.31 3322 63 11 -5 0.00
Sun 04/12 06Z 0.23 3321 60 11 -5 0.00
Sun 04/12 07Z 0.18 3320 58 11 -5 0.00
Sun 04/12 08Z 0.15 3318 56 13 -5 0.00
Sun 04/12 09Z 0.11 3315 54 17 -4 0.00
Sun 04/12 10Z 0.06 3414 50 22 -4 0.00
Sun 04/12 11Z 0.04 3411 48 23 -3 0.00
Sun 04/12 12Z 0.05 3308 46 20 -2 0.00
Sun 04/12 13Z 0.06 3204 47 23 -2 0.00
Sun 04/12 14Z 0.11 2703 48 27 -2 0.00
Sun 04/12 15Z 0.14 2304 47 24 -2 0.00
Sun 04/12 16Z 0.27 2106 45 36 -2 0.00
Sun 04/12 17Z 0.51 2007 43 71 -1 0.00
Sun 04/12 18Z 0.85 2009 42 95 -1 0.00
Sun 04/12 19Z 0.51 2011 39 92 0 0.00
Sun 04/12 20Z 0.29 1913 36 96 0 0.00
Sun 04/12 21Z 1.41 2016 50 96 -1 0.00
Sun 04/12 22Z 0.22 2015 95 99 -1 0.04
Sun 04/12 23Z 0.24 1919 97 99 0 0.04
Mon 04/13 00Z 0.33 2025 97 99 0 0.08
Mon 04/13 01Z 0.36 2025 97 99 0 0.05
Mon 04/13 02Z 0.40 2026 97 99 1 0.07
Mon 04/13 03Z 0.42 2127 97 99 1 0.08
Mon 04/13 04Z 0.43 2228 98 99 3 0.09
Mon 04/13 05Z 0.43 2228 98 99 5 0.09
Mon 04/13 06Z 0.45 2230 96 98 7 0.12
Mon 04/13 07Z 0.45 2331 89 95 9 0.04
Mon 04/13 08Z 0.48 2332 90 97 9 0.03
Mon 04/13 09Z 0.56 2336 90 96 9 0.04
Mon 04/13 10Z 0.64 2438 85 57 10 0.03
Mon 04/13 11Z 0.68 2438 84 62 10 0.00
Mon 04/13 12Z 0.69 2438 83 43 10 0.00
Mon 04/13 13Z 0.77 2540 89 61 9 0.00
Mon 04/13 14Z 0.85 2539 93 54 8 0.00
Mon 04/13 15Z 0.84 2537 84 64 8 0.00
Mon 04/13 16Z 0.92 2439 88 95 8 0.01
Mon 04/13 17Z 1.02 2441 95 97 8 0.02
Mon 04/13 18Z 1.13 2343 95 96 8 0.04
Mon 04/13 19Z 1.22 2343 97 96 8 0.07
Mon 04/13 20Z 1.20 2442 98 95 8 0.09
Mon 04/13 21Z 1.14 2540 98 93 8 0.07
Mon 04/13 22Z 1.06 2638 98 84 9 0.04
Mon 04/13 23Z 1.03 2637 98 56 9 0.04
Tue 04/14 00Z 1.00 2636 97 49 9 0.05
Tue 04/14 01Z 1.02 2735 97 69 9 0.04
Tue 04/14 02Z 1.03 2734 98 56 9 0.03
Tue 04/14 03Z 1.06 2734 98 49 8 0.03
Tue 04/14 04Z 1.00 2832 98 33 8 0.03
Tue 04/14 05Z 0.84 2929 98 23 7 0.02
Tue 04/14 06Z 0.71 3027 98 14 7 0.02
Tue 04/14 07Z 0.62 3125 99 14 6 0.02
Tue 04/14 08Z 0.48 3122 97 14 6 0.02
Tue 04/14 09Z 0.34 3120 91 13 7 0.01
Tue 04/14 10Z 0.25 3117 83 8 8 0.01
Tue 04/14 11Z 0.21 3014 75 9 9 0.01
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 1.47 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1