Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260215_0600
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sun 02/15 06Z 0.58 2923 81 21 -9 0.00
Sun 02/15 07Z 0.57 3025 85 24 -9 0.00
Sun 02/15 08Z 0.48 3024 89 25 -9 0.00
Sun 02/15 09Z 0.37 3123 93 26 -9 0.00
Sun 02/15 10Z 0.24 3121 91 27 -9 0.00
Sun 02/15 11Z 0.16 3219 85 27 -9 0.00
Sun 02/15 12Z 0.11 3317 72 24 -8 0.00
Sun 02/15 13Z 0.07 3316 58 22 -8 0.00
Sun 02/15 14Z 0.03 3413 46 22 -8 0.00
Sun 02/15 15Z 0.03 3510 38 24 -7 0.00
Sun 02/15 16Z 0.06 0107 35 29 -7 0.00
Sun 02/15 17Z 0.07 0304 33 33 -7 0.00
Sun 02/15 19Z 0.06 1203 35 47 -7 0.00
Sun 02/15 20Z 0.02 1604 36 51 -7 0.00
Sun 02/15 21Z 0.01 1704 33 49 -5 0.00
Sun 02/15 22Z 0.02 1605 29 37 -4 0.00
Sun 02/15 23Z 0.02 1708 31 25 -5 0.00
Mon 02/16 00Z 0.02 1710 33 20 -4 0.00
Mon 02/16 01Z 0.03 1710 37 24 -4 0.00
Mon 02/16 02Z 0.04 1711 45 38 -4 0.00
Mon 02/16 03Z 0.06 1812 53 47 -5 0.00
Mon 02/16 04Z 0.10 1913 64 48 -5 0.00
Mon 02/16 05Z 0.12 1913 77 47 -6 0.00
Mon 02/16 06Z 0.13 1914 87 50 -6 0.00
Mon 02/16 07Z 0.11 1913 91 58 -5 0.00
Mon 02/16 08Z 0.10 1912 90 74 -5 0.00
Mon 02/16 09Z 0.09 1911 91 88 -4 0.00
Mon 02/16 10Z 0.10 1911 92 94 -5 0.00
Mon 02/16 11Z 0.10 1911 92 97 -5 0.00
Mon 02/16 12Z 0.08 1911 92 89 -5 0.01
Mon 02/16 13Z 0.10 1912 93 82 -5 0.01
Mon 02/16 14Z 0.11 2011 94 72 -4 0.00
Mon 02/16 15Z 0.14 2011 94 65 -4 0.00
Mon 02/16 16Z 0.15 2110 95 55 -4 0.00
Mon 02/16 17Z 0.16 2110 95 44 -4 0.00
Mon 02/16 18Z 0.14 2009 95 32 -4 0.00
Mon 02/16 19Z 0.16 2110 95 25 -4 0.00
Mon 02/16 20Z 0.19 2111 95 25 -4 0.00
Mon 02/16 21Z 0.25 2212 94 33 -4 0.00
Mon 02/16 22Z 0.23 2212 93 50 -3 0.00
Mon 02/16 23Z 0.29 2214 94 57 -4 0.00
Tue 02/17 00Z 0.34 2216 94 89 -4 0.00
Tue 02/17 01Z 0.36 2317 92 90 -3 0.00
Tue 02/17 02Z 0.40 2317 90 92 -3 0.00
Tue 02/17 03Z 0.44 2418 95 93 -4 0.01
Tue 02/17 04Z 0.46 2420 97 91 -3 0.02
Tue 02/17 05Z 0.44 2418 96 91 -3 0.03
Tue 02/17 06Z 0.46 2419 97 91 -3 0.03
Tue 02/17 07Z 0.45 2419 94 89 -2 0.03
Tue 02/17 08Z 0.43 2418 95 86 -2 0.02
Tue 02/17 09Z 0.39 2516 94 75 -2 0.02
Tue 02/17 10Z 0.34 2514 95 65 -2 0.01
Tue 02/17 11Z 0.31 2613 96 47 -2 0.01
Tue 02/17 12Z 0.28 2712 97 35 -2 0.01
Tue 02/17 13Z 0.28 2812 97 27 -3 0.01
Tue 02/17 14Z 0.25 2911 97 21 -3 0.01
Tue 02/17 15Z 0.21 3010 96 14 -3 0.01
Tue 02/17 16Z 0.21 3009 96 7 -3 0.01
Tue 02/17 17Z 0.22 3009 95 9 -3 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 0.25 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1