
A Nor'easter well off the East Coast will slowly track north this week and may gain some subtropical characteristics. Strong onshore winds will bring flooding, dangerous marine conditions, and beach erosion along the Mid-Atlantic coast. A Pacific storm is bringing gusty winds, severe thunderstorms, and mountain snow to portions of California and the Southwest U.S. through Thursday. Read More >
Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20261021_1200
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Wed 10/21 12Z 0.06 0603 51 2 5 0.00
Wed 10/21 13Z 0.07 0404 48 2 6 0.00
Wed 10/21 14Z 0.07 0305 46 2 6 0.00
Wed 10/21 15Z 0.09 0306 46 2 7 0.00
Wed 10/21 16Z 0.12 0406 48 2 6 0.00
Wed 10/21 17Z 0.14 0506 48 2 6 0.00
Wed 10/21 18Z 0.16 0806 49 2 6 0.00
Wed 10/21 19Z 0.14 0805 46 2 7 0.00
Wed 10/21 20Z 0.11 0704 45 2 7 0.00
Wed 10/21 21Z 0.10 0604 43 2 7 0.00
Wed 10/21 22Z 0.10 0604 38 2 7 0.00
Wed 10/21 23Z 0.10 0704 35 2 7 0.00
Thu 10/22 00Z 0.09 0604 35 2 7 0.00
Thu 10/22 01Z 0.06 0303 35 2 7 0.00
Thu 10/22 02Z 0.04 0006 34 2 8 0.00
Thu 10/22 03Z 0.03 3509 34 2 8 0.00
Thu 10/22 04Z 0.07 0011 33 2 8 0.00
Thu 10/22 05Z 0.10 0112 31 2 8 0.00
Thu 10/22 06Z 0.13 0213 30 3 8 0.00
Thu 10/22 07Z 0.15 0214 28 3 7 0.00
Thu 10/22 08Z 0.14 0115 26 5 7 0.00
Thu 10/22 09Z 0.14 0117 23 10 7 0.00
Thu 10/22 10Z 0.14 0020 23 14 7 0.00
Thu 10/22 11Z 0.16 0122 22 17 7 0.00
Thu 10/22 12Z 0.16 0123 19 19 7 0.00
Thu 10/22 13Z 0.16 0023 21 21 7 0.00
Thu 10/22 14Z 0.14 0022 30 19 7 0.00
Thu 10/22 15Z 0.12 0021 44 17 6 0.00
Thu 10/22 16Z 0.10 0022 60 16 5 0.00
Thu 10/22 17Z 0.09 3522 73 15 4 0.00
Thu 10/22 18Z 0.11 3523 81 23 4 0.00
Thu 10/22 19Z 0.11 3524 86 34 3 0.00
Thu 10/22 20Z 0.08 3526 89 34 2 0.00
Thu 10/22 21Z 0.07 3527 85 26 2 0.00
Thu 10/22 22Z 0.11 3528 71 20 2 0.00
Thu 10/22 23Z 0.14 0030 60 26 2 0.00
Fri 10/23 00Z 0.16 0029 56 34 2 0.00
Fri 10/23 01Z 0.20 0028 55 38 1 0.00
Fri 10/23 02Z 0.27 0127 58 23 0 0.00
Fri 10/23 03Z 0.33 0128 48 14 0 0.00
Fri 10/23 04Z 0.39 0228 45 7 0 0.00
Fri 10/23 05Z 0.37 0227 44 3 0 0.00
Fri 10/23 06Z 0.33 0126 46 1 -1 0.00
Fri 10/23 07Z 0.30 0125 48 3 -1 0.00
Fri 10/23 08Z 0.26 0125 48 2 -1 0.00
Fri 10/23 09Z 0.26 0126 41 2 0 0.00
Fri 10/23 10Z 0.29 0226 37 2 0 0.00
Fri 10/23 11Z 0.30 0226 42 1 0 0.00
Fri 10/23 12Z 0.31 0225 39 2 0 0.00
Fri 10/23 13Z 0.32 0224 37 4 0 0.00
Fri 10/23 14Z 0.30 0322 36 4 0 0.00
Fri 10/23 15Z 0.28 0320 35 3 0 0.00
Fri 10/23 16Z 0.26 0318 34 2 0 0.00
Fri 10/23 17Z 0.24 0316 33 2 0 0.00
Fri 10/23 18Z 0.21 0214 31 1 1 0.00
Fri 10/23 19Z 0.18 0213 26 2 2 0.00
Fri 10/23 20Z 0.17 0213 22 2 3 0.00
Fri 10/23 21Z 0.16 0213 18 2 4 0.00
Fri 10/23 22Z 0.15 0212 16 2 4 0.00
Fri 10/23 23Z 0.14 0311 15 2 4 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 0.00 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1