Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260512_1200
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Tue 05/12 12Z 0.40 3210 82 46 -3 0.00
Tue 05/12 13Z 1.56 3111 81 37 -3 0.00
Tue 05/12 14Z 3.73 3112 78 34 -3 0.00
Tue 05/12 15Z 5.07 3112 73 35 -3 0.00
Tue 05/12 16Z 5.12 3011 72 38 -2 0.00
Tue 05/12 17Z 5.53 2911 77 37 -2 0.00
Tue 05/12 18Z 5.26 2911 76 34 -1 0.00
Tue 05/12 19Z 5.44 2910 74 31 -1 0.00
Tue 05/12 20Z 4.60 2909 71 29 0 0.00
Tue 05/12 21Z 3.50 3008 69 26 0 0.00
Tue 05/12 22Z 2.40 2907 67 25 0 0.00
Tue 05/12 23Z 0.99 2807 67 25 0 0.00
Wed 05/13 00Z 0.58 2808 67 23 0 0.00
Wed 05/13 01Z 0.52 2707 68 22 0 0.00
Wed 05/13 02Z 0.49 2607 67 18 0 0.00
Wed 05/13 03Z 0.47 2407 67 15 0 0.00
Wed 05/13 04Z 0.50 2308 66 13 0 0.00
Wed 05/13 05Z 0.46 2209 65 12 0 0.00
Wed 05/13 06Z 0.41 2209 61 9 0 0.00
Wed 05/13 07Z 0.50 2212 59 22 1 0.00
Wed 05/13 08Z 0.51 2213 60 55 1 0.00
Wed 05/13 09Z 0.57 2213 67 89 1 0.00
Wed 05/13 10Z 0.37 2013 77 98 1 0.00
Wed 05/13 11Z 0.25 1915 82 99 1 0.00
Wed 05/13 12Z 0.20 1916 87 98 2 0.01
Wed 05/13 13Z 0.20 1919 92 96 3 0.02
Wed 05/13 14Z 0.23 1920 98 95 4 0.05
Wed 05/13 15Z 0.26 1921 94 97 3 0.08
Wed 05/13 16Z 0.18 1826 92 98 5 0.04
Wed 05/13 17Z 0.29 1931 93 97 5 0.02
Wed 05/13 18Z 0.42 2030 95 96 5 0.03
Wed 05/13 19Z 0.43 2027 93 97 5 0.05
Wed 05/13 20Z 0.33 1924 89 90 6 0.01
Wed 05/13 21Z 0.28 1927 91 94 6 0.00
Wed 05/13 22Z 0.31 1929 94 98 6 0.03
Wed 05/13 23Z 0.37 1930 93 94 6 0.03
Thu 05/14 00Z 0.43 1932 90 86 6 0.01
Thu 05/14 01Z 0.50 1933 88 77 6 0.00
Thu 05/14 02Z 0.54 2034 89 84 6 0.00
Thu 05/14 03Z 0.56 2034 88 77 6 0.01
Thu 05/14 04Z 0.54 2033 85 72 6 0.01
Thu 05/14 05Z 0.48 2031 81 77 6 0.00
Thu 05/14 06Z 0.45 2029 75 82 6 0.00
Thu 05/14 07Z 0.37 1927 83 90 5 0.01
Thu 05/14 08Z 0.26 1925 93 94 5 0.01
Thu 05/14 09Z 0.21 1822 95 98 5 0.07
Thu 05/14 10Z 0.15 1822 97 98 5 0.08
Thu 05/14 11Z 0.11 1720 97 92 5 0.04
Thu 05/14 12Z 0.05 1719 98 93 5 0.03
Thu 05/14 13Z 0.07 1618 98 94 5 0.04
Thu 05/14 14Z 0.21 1418 98 97 5 0.03
Thu 05/14 15Z 0.31 1420 98 93 5 0.03
Thu 05/14 16Z 0.31 1418 98 77 5 0.06
Thu 05/14 17Z 0.44 1215 99 69 5 0.04
Thu 05/14 18Z 0.64 1117 99 70 5 0.04
Thu 05/14 19Z 0.76 1018 98 80 5 0.03
Thu 05/14 20Z 0.90 0819 97 89 5 0.02
Thu 05/14 21Z 1.03 0720 94 91 5 0.06
Thu 05/14 22Z 0.89 0722 92 94 5 0.06
Thu 05/14 23Z 0.70 0621 96 94 5 0.06
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 1.11 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1