National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Extreme Heat Warnings and Heat Advisories remain in effect through Friday

Dangerous heat will build today and continue through Friday. Extreme Heat Warnings are in effect for the entire Champlain Valley & eastern Windsor County in Vermont. Heat Advisories in effect for the remainder of our region. Heat index values will peak around 105 degrees in warning areas with locally higher values possible. Advisory areas will see heat index values up to 100 degrees. Read More >

Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens

Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260701_1800
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.

925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date   Time        Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Wed 07/01 18Z 0.91 2706  82  44  19 0.00
Wed 07/01 19Z 0.62 2507  81  34  20 0.00
Wed 07/01 20Z 0.52 2407  80  26  20 0.00
Wed 07/01 21Z 0.53 2408  81  20  20 0.00
Wed 07/01 22Z 0.72 2413  87  24  20 0.00
Wed 07/01 23Z 0.69 2418  87  36  20 0.01
Thu 07/02 00Z 0.76 2522  82  51  20 0.01
Thu 07/02 01Z 0.85 2623  86  50  20 0.00
Thu 07/02 02Z 0.85 2625  90  56  20 0.01
Thu 07/02 03Z 0.75 2625  83  48  21 0.00
Thu 07/02 04Z 0.53 2720  68  48  22 0.00
Thu 07/02 05Z 0.60 2623  64  54  21 0.00
Thu 07/02 06Z 0.65 2726  68  53  21 0.00
Thu 07/02 07Z 0.63 2827  67  48  21 0.00
Thu 07/02 08Z 0.53 2925  63  48  21 0.00
Thu 07/02 09Z 0.48 2924  58  47  21 0.00
Thu 07/02 10Z 0.45 2924  55  28  21 0.00
Thu 07/02 11Z 0.46 3025  55  37  20 0.00
Thu 07/02 12Z 0.48 2925  62  53  19 0.00
Thu 07/02 13Z 0.51 2924  75  55  19 0.00
Thu 07/02 14Z 0.53 2924  82  51  19 0.00
Thu 07/02 15Z 0.48 3021  82  52  19 0.00
Thu 07/02 16Z 0.48 2918  80  54  19 0.00
Thu 07/02 17Z 0.51 2816  80  60  20 0.00
Thu 07/02 18Z 0.61 2715  82  69  20 0.00
Thu 07/02 19Z 0.70 2616  83  65  20 0.00
Thu 07/02 20Z 0.84 2517  87  44  20 0.00
Thu 07/02 21Z 1.08 2519  89  32  20 0.00
Thu 07/02 22Z 1.25 2620  86  40  20 0.01
Thu 07/02 23Z 1.70 2625  82  51  20 0.02
Fri 07/03 00Z 1.29 2626  89  62  19 0.01
Fri 07/03 01Z 1.08 2627  82  49  20 0.01
Fri 07/03 02Z 1.08 2729  87  64  20 0.01
Fri 07/03 03Z 0.93 2729  84  62  20 0.00
Fri 07/03 04Z 0.85 2828  86  64  19 0.00
Fri 07/03 05Z 0.71 2927  77  60  19 0.00
Fri 07/03 06Z 0.64 2927  73  52  19 0.00
Fri 07/03 07Z 0.59 2926  74  51  19 0.00
Fri 07/03 08Z 0.53 3026  76  44  18 0.00
Fri 07/03 09Z 0.48 3025  74  43  18 0.00
Fri 07/03 10Z 0.45 3024  77  33  18 0.00
Fri 07/03 11Z 0.40 3021  74  27  18 0.00
Fri 07/03 12Z 0.36 3018  72  23  18 0.00
Fri 07/03 13Z 0.35 2917  69  16  18 0.00
Fri 07/03 14Z 0.41 2918  68  17  18 0.00
Fri 07/03 15Z 0.47 2919  69  15  18 0.00
Fri 07/03 16Z 0.57 2919  68  15  18 0.00
Fri 07/03 17Z 0.74 2819  71  13  18 0.00
Fri 07/03 18Z 2.53 2820  76  17  17 0.00
Fri 07/03 19Z 9.35 2820  74  22  17 0.00
Fri 07/03 20Z 10.80 2821  64  18  18 0.00
Fri 07/03 21Z 8.33 2822  59  21  18 0.00
Fri 07/03 22Z 3.46 2821  59  24  18 0.00
Fri 07/03 23Z 1.95 2822  60  24  18 0.00
Sat 07/04 00Z 1.72 2823  58  27  18 0.00
Sat 07/04 01Z 2.07 2825  66  24  17 0.00
Sat 07/04 02Z 1.23 2925  79  23  16 0.00
Sat 07/04 03Z 0.92 2925  82  25  16 0.00
Sat 07/04 04Z 0.82 3025  81  24  16 0.00
Sat 07/04 05Z 0.68 3024  79  23  16 0.00

Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 0.09 inches.

Froude Number (Frd#): 
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
         Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
         W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
         Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
         Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
         W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
         Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
         Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
         With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
         Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
         W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
         Air flows freely over terrain.
         Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.

Relative Humidity (RH): 
         925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
         with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
         with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.

850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
        T > -11       10-15:1
        T -11 to -15  25-35:1
        T < -15       15-20:1