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Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20261015_0600
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Thu 10/15 06Z 0.22 3326 99 2 2 0.00
Thu 10/15 07Z 0.30 3329 98 3 1 0.01
Thu 10/15 08Z 0.28 3329 96 2 1 0.01
Thu 10/15 09Z 0.24 3329 94 1 1 0.01
Thu 10/15 10Z 0.13 3328 83 1 2 0.01
Thu 10/15 11Z 0.05 3427 65 2 3 0.01
Thu 10/15 12Z 0.02 3525 55 2 3 0.00
Thu 10/15 13Z 0.03 3523 51 2 3 0.00
Thu 10/15 14Z 0.02 3521 48 2 3 0.00
Thu 10/15 15Z 0.02 3517 47 2 4 0.00
Thu 10/15 16Z 0.02 3514 46 2 4 0.00
Thu 10/15 17Z 0.04 3511 46 3 4 0.00
Thu 10/15 18Z 0.04 0008 46 4 4 0.00
Thu 10/15 19Z 0.03 0006 46 4 4 0.00
Thu 10/15 20Z 0.02 3504 47 5 4 0.00
Thu 10/15 21Z 0.02 3303 47 5 4 0.00
Thu 10/15 22Z 0.01 3402 43 5 5 0.00
Thu 10/15 23Z 0.01 1200 40 7 5 0.00
Fri 10/16 00Z 0.02 1702 38 4 5 0.00
Fri 10/16 01Z 0.03 1707 40 7 5 0.00
Fri 10/16 02Z 0.06 1811 42 5 5 0.00
Fri 10/16 03Z 0.11 1914 46 5 5 0.00
Fri 10/16 04Z 0.14 1917 53 6 5 0.00
Fri 10/16 05Z 0.13 1819 54 11 5 0.00
Fri 10/16 06Z 0.14 1822 56 30 5 0.00
Fri 10/16 07Z 0.16 1823 62 56 5 0.00
Fri 10/16 08Z 0.14 1825 66 79 5 0.00
Fri 10/16 09Z 0.14 1830 70 93 4 0.01
Fri 10/16 10Z 0.16 1834 85 99 4 0.02
Fri 10/16 11Z 0.17 1836 96 99 6 0.12
Fri 10/16 12Z 0.24 1839 97 98 7 0.06
Fri 10/16 13Z 0.32 1941 98 98 7 0.18
Fri 10/16 14Z 0.41 1943 98 98 8 0.30
Fri 10/16 15Z 0.49 2043 99 95 10 0.10
Fri 10/16 16Z 0.53 2140 99 69 11 0.05
Fri 10/16 17Z 0.54 2135 99 82 12 0.04
Fri 10/16 18Z 0.59 2233 98 82 13 0.03
Fri 10/16 19Z 0.65 2231 98 74 13 0.02
Fri 10/16 20Z 0.81 2333 98 55 12 0.01
Fri 10/16 21Z 1.05 2334 97 41 11 0.02
Fri 10/16 22Z 1.23 2435 97 36 11 0.02
Fri 10/16 23Z 1.57 2535 96 44 9 0.05
Sat 10/17 00Z 1.73 2733 94 31 6 0.04
Sat 10/17 01Z 1.31 2729 91 45 4 0.01
Sat 10/17 02Z 1.04 2928 93 42 2 0.01
Sat 10/17 03Z 0.76 3028 96 34 0 0.01
Sat 10/17 04Z 0.72 3028 95 18 -2 0.01
Sat 10/17 05Z 0.64 3127 94 34 -3 0.01
Sat 10/17 06Z 0.64 3228 96 38 -4 0.00
Sat 10/17 07Z 0.70 3228 97 44 -5 0.01
Sat 10/17 08Z 0.61 3229 96 44 -6 0.01
Sat 10/17 09Z 0.42 3330 94 42 -6 0.00
Sat 10/17 10Z 0.43 3330 95 41 -6 0.01
Sat 10/17 11Z 0.43 3329 96 40 -6 0.01
Sat 10/17 12Z 0.42 3328 97 38 -7 0.01
Sat 10/17 13Z 0.43 3327 97 28 -7 0.01
Sat 10/17 14Z 0.42 3326 97 17 -8 0.01
Sat 10/17 15Z 0.35 3324 96 11 -8 0.00
Sat 10/17 16Z 0.34 3223 95 7 -8 0.00
Sat 10/17 17Z 0.42 3224 94 3 -9 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 1.24 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1