
A Wind Advisory is in effect for most of northern New York and the northern Champlain Valley of Vermont from 8PM Saturday to 8AM Sunday. South to southwest wind gusts of 40 to 50 mph are expected. Strong winds may break limbs or down trees, resulting in isolated power outages. Travel may be difficult for high profile vehicles. Read More >
Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260403_1200
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Fri 04/03 12Z 0.42 2234 85 90 10 0.00
Fri 04/03 13Z 0.49 2236 91 97 11 0.01
Fri 04/03 14Z 0.49 2335 91 95 11 0.01
Fri 04/03 15Z 0.52 2434 90 81 11 0.00
Fri 04/03 16Z 0.55 2433 92 74 11 0.00
Fri 04/03 17Z 0.62 2434 92 85 11 0.00
Fri 04/03 18Z 0.69 2535 93 75 11 0.00
Fri 04/03 19Z 0.72 2534 91 44 11 0.00
Fri 04/03 20Z 0.79 2534 89 49 11 0.00
Fri 04/03 21Z 0.84 2535 87 48 11 0.00
Fri 04/03 22Z 0.98 2537 88 24 11 0.00
Fri 04/03 23Z 1.12 2539 91 21 10 0.00
Sat 04/04 00Z 1.09 2540 95 21 10 0.01
Sat 04/04 01Z 1.26 2542 97 26 9 0.02
Sat 04/04 02Z 1.35 2642 97 19 8 0.03
Sat 04/04 03Z 1.49 2641 97 12 8 0.03
Sat 04/04 04Z 1.52 2739 96 18 6 0.02
Sat 04/04 05Z 1.26 2835 96 17 5 0.02
Sat 04/04 07Z 0.60 3030 92 12 2 0.01
Sat 04/04 09Z 0.25 3227 89 15 1 0.01
Sat 04/04 10Z 0.09 3323 83 16 2 0.01
Sat 04/04 14Z 0.18 0512 59 19 4 0.01
Sat 04/04 15Z 0.19 0711 58 19 4 0.00
Sat 04/04 16Z 0.18 1111 61 21 4 0.00
Sat 04/04 17Z 0.16 1313 64 26 3 0.00
Sat 04/04 18Z 0.18 1314 63 36 3 0.00
Sat 04/04 19Z 0.20 1416 65 60 2 0.00
Sat 04/04 20Z 0.34 1417 69 66 2 0.00
Sat 04/04 21Z 0.57 1420 72 52 2 0.00
Sat 04/04 22Z 0.27 1423 77 35 2 0.00
Sat 04/04 23Z 0.16 1526 75 88 4 0.00
Sun 04/05 00Z 0.10 1528 64 91 6 0.00
Sun 04/05 01Z 0.08 1629 65 81 5 0.00
Sun 04/05 02Z 0.07 1630 72 81 5 0.00
Sun 04/05 03Z 0.05 1631 81 89 6 0.00
Sun 04/05 04Z 0.04 1733 91 94 7 0.00
Sun 04/05 05Z 0.04 1736 96 95 7 0.00
Sun 04/05 06Z 0.07 1739 97 91 7 0.00
Sun 04/05 07Z 0.09 1740 96 63 7 0.00
Sun 04/05 08Z 0.12 1840 97 74 8 0.00
Sun 04/05 09Z 0.15 1841 97 76 8 0.00
Sun 04/05 10Z 0.19 1840 97 88 9 0.03
Sun 04/05 11Z 0.25 1938 98 61 8 0.08
Sun 04/05 12Z 0.34 2036 98 90 7 0.02
Sun 04/05 13Z 0.47 2234 98 97 6 0.02
Sun 04/05 14Z 0.56 2332 96 94 5 0.02
Sun 04/05 15Z 0.58 2430 90 92 5 0.03
Sun 04/05 17Z 0.81 2526 95 17 1 0.05
Sun 04/05 18Z 1.20 2626 97 20 0 0.07
Sun 04/05 19Z 1.71 2626 94 19 -2 0.08
Sun 04/05 21Z 6.94 2627 87 10 -3 0.06
Sun 04/05 22Z 6.86 2627 88 9 -4 0.02
Sun 04/05 23Z 3.57 2629 89 9 -4 0.01
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 0.68 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1