
Snow is expected late this morning through Monday night. Across south-central Vermont and portions of the Adirondacks in New York, snowfall rates of 1-2" per hour are likely this evening into tonight. Snow accumulations at least 8" regionwide, 13-19" in southern areas, and locally 2 feet are expected along the spine of the southern Greens. Travel impacts will begin tonight and continue Monday. Read More >
Subject: NAM3 EXPERIMENTAL Froude Number for the Central_Greens
Model run: BTV_GRID_D2D_NAM3_20260125_1200
Using the MB925 to MB850 layer.
Assumes Central_Greens are orthogonal to 260 degree winds.
925-850 mb Layer Average Wind/RH. Avg QPF over the Central_Greens.
Date Time Wind RH% 700 850T QPF
Day mm/dd hhZ Frd# DDFF (%) RH% (C) (in)
=== ===== === ==== ==== === === === ====
Sun 01/25 12Z 0.02 0800 50 28 -17 0.00
Sun 01/25 13Z 0.05 1204 45 53 -16 0.00
Sun 01/25 14Z 0.06 1305 44 80 -15 0.00
Sun 01/25 15Z 0.07 1408 52 85 -15 0.00
Sun 01/25 16Z 0.12 1312 75 87 -16 0.00
Sun 01/25 17Z 0.13 1415 85 87 -16 0.01
Sun 01/25 18Z 0.16 1418 85 87 -15 0.04
Sun 01/25 19Z 0.15 1420 85 87 -15 0.06
Sun 01/25 20Z 0.19 1424 85 88 -15 0.06
Sun 01/25 21Z 0.24 1427 86 89 -14 0.06
Sun 01/25 22Z 0.27 1327 86 89 -14 0.08
Sun 01/25 23Z 0.33 1330 86 90 -13 0.08
Mon 01/26 00Z 0.40 1233 86 91 -13 0.07
Mon 01/26 01Z 0.45 1235 86 92 -13 0.07
Mon 01/26 02Z 0.47 1133 85 92 -13 0.06
Mon 01/26 03Z 0.46 1130 85 90 -13 0.06
Mon 01/26 04Z 0.46 1029 85 91 -12 0.06
Mon 01/26 05Z 0.50 1031 84 92 -12 0.05
Mon 01/26 06Z 0.55 1030 86 91 -13 0.02
Mon 01/26 07Z 0.55 1029 86 95 -13 0.02
Mon 01/26 08Z 0.51 1026 87 95 -13 0.01
Mon 01/26 09Z 0.47 1025 87 93 -12 0.01
Mon 01/26 10Z 0.41 1022 87 92 -12 0.01
Mon 01/26 11Z 0.37 1121 87 91 -12 0.01
Mon 01/26 12Z 0.36 1121 87 89 -12 0.01
Mon 01/26 13Z 0.33 1119 89 89 -13 0.01
Mon 01/26 14Z 0.33 1118 89 88 -12 0.01
Mon 01/26 15Z 0.30 1216 89 90 -12 0.00
Mon 01/26 16Z 0.25 1314 89 87 -12 0.01
Mon 01/26 17Z 0.19 1312 90 86 -12 0.01
Mon 01/26 18Z 0.16 1411 91 89 -12 0.01
Mon 01/26 19Z 0.12 1509 92 95 -12 0.01
Mon 01/26 20Z 0.06 1607 92 93 -12 0.02
Mon 01/26 21Z 0.12 1906 92 94 -13 0.02
Mon 01/26 22Z 0.38 2409 90 89 -14 0.03
Mon 01/26 23Z 0.51 2513 88 81 -14 0.03
Tue 01/27 00Z 0.72 2815 89 81 -16 0.02
Tue 01/27 01Z 0.67 3020 90 84 -17 0.01
Tue 01/27 02Z 0.63 3021 90 81 -18 0.01
Tue 01/27 03Z 0.57 3022 92 78 -18 0.01
Tue 01/27 04Z 0.53 3123 91 79 -19 0.01
Tue 01/27 05Z 0.47 3126 90 74 -19 0.01
Tue 01/27 06Z 0.49 3128 91 66 -19 0.00
Tue 01/27 07Z 0.52 3129 89 57 -19 0.00
Tue 01/27 08Z 0.58 3029 88 51 -19 0.00
Tue 01/27 09Z 0.57 3029 85 44 -19 0.00
Tue 01/27 10Z 0.54 3028 74 28 -19 0.00
Tue 01/27 11Z 0.48 3026 63 25 -19 0.00
Tue 01/27 12Z 0.45 3026 65 41 -18 0.00
Tue 01/27 13Z 0.40 3022 72 46 -18 0.00
Tue 01/27 14Z 0.38 2817 79 60 -18 0.00
Tue 01/27 15Z 0.37 2613 83 77 -18 0.00
Tue 01/27 16Z 0.37 2412 80 81 -18 0.00
Tue 01/27 17Z 0.42 2313 70 82 -18 0.00
Tue 01/27 18Z 0.52 2315 57 79 -18 0.00
Tue 01/27 19Z 0.41 2315 58 81 -17 0.00
Tue 01/27 20Z 0.52 2315 52 82 -17 0.00
Tue 01/27 21Z 1.20 2319 74 83 -19 0.00
Tue 01/27 22Z 1.20 2322 86 80 -19 0.00
Tue 01/27 23Z 1.61 2423 93 77 -19 0.00
Run total areal avg QPF for the Central_Greens is: 1.08 inches.
Froude Number (Frd#):
Frd# < 0.5 Flow is subcritical and blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip backed farther upwind of and up to mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors eastern Champlain Valley, BTV, and Western slopes.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 0.5-1 Flow is subcritical/slow moving/blocked.
Upslope clouds/precip falls immediately upwind of mtn crest.
W Upslope snow favors western slopes to the Green Mt. spine including:
Montgomery,Underhill,Jericho,Bolton,Richmond,Huntington,Lincoln.
Gap winds possible.
Frd# 1-2 Flow is critical.
With strong winds, Mountain waves/downslope winds possible.
Precip falls close to mountain ridge crests and on lee side.
W Upslope snow favors Green Mt Spine,Jay,Stowe,Waterbury,NE Kingdom.
Froude > 2 Flow is supercritical/unblocked(rapid flow).
Air flows freely over terrain.
Persistent upslope snow not favored. Scattered snow showers and flurries.
Relative Humidity (RH):
925-850 mb RH > 90% needed for upslope precipitation.
with 700mb RH > 70% favors upslope snow.
with 700mb RH > 90% greater amounts of W upslope snow possible.
850mb Temperature (T degC) Westerly Upslope Snow Ratios: (Avg=28:1)
T > -11 10-15:1
T -11 to -15 25-35:1
T < -15 15-20:1