Heavy Rain in the Mid-Atlantic; Severe Thunderstorms in the Northern Plains; Critical Fire in the West

Locally heavy rain and flash flooding will be possible today into tonight near the Mid-Atlantic/Carolina coast. Storms with large hail and severe wind gusts are expected across parts of the central and northern Plains into the upper Mississippi Valley. Dry thunderstorms, and warm, dry, and windy conditions will produce fire weather conditions in parts of the Great Basin and northern Rockies. Read More >

The lake temperature page is currently unavailable and we are working on a solution.

Here are two sources for Lake Temperatures in the meantime:

1) For Lake Erie, use this link for current water temperature at the Coast Guard Station in Downtown Buffalo

2) Both Lake Erie and Ontario are available in the Near Shore Marine Forecast

Near Shore Marine Forecast

790
FZUS51 KBUF 142004
NSHBUF

Nearshore Marine Forecast
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
404 PM EDT Thu Aug 14 2025

For waters within five nautical miles of shore

Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest
1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of
the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum.

LEZ020-150300-
Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-
404 PM EDT Thu Aug 14 2025

.TONIGHT...Northeast winds less than 10 knots. Mainly clear.
.FRIDAY...Light and variable winds becoming southeast 5 to
10 knots. Sunny.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Northeast winds less than 10 knots. Mainly clear.
.SATURDAY...Light and variable winds becoming southwest around
10 knots. Sunny.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Southwest winds 10 knots or less. A chance of
showers and thunderstorms overnight.
.SUNDAY...West winds 5 to 10 knots becoming northeast. A chance
of showers and thunderstorms during the day, then a chance of
showers Sunday night.
.MONDAY...Northeast winds 10 knots or less becoming east. Partly
cloudy.
.TUESDAY...East winds 5 to 10 knots. A chance of showers.

Winds and waves higher in and near thunderstorms.

The water temperature off Buffalo is 78 degrees.

$$

LOZ030-150300-
Lower Niagara River-
404 PM EDT Thu Aug 14 2025

.TONIGHT...Northeast winds 10 knots or less becoming east. Mainly
clear.
.FRIDAY...East winds less than 10 knots becoming northeast 10 to
15 knots. Sunny.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...East winds 10 to 15 knots becoming light and
variable. Mainly clear.
.SATURDAY...Light and variable winds becoming southwest 5 to
10 knots. Sunny.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. A chance of
showers and thunderstorms overnight.
.SUNDAY...West winds 5 to 10 knots becoming northeast. A chance
of showers and thunderstorms during the day, then a chance of
showers Sunday night.
.MONDAY...Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots becoming east. Partly
cloudy.
.TUESDAY...East winds 5 to 10 knots. A chance of showers.

Winds and waves higher in and near thunderstorms.

$$

LEZ041-150300-
Dunkirk to Buffalo along Lake Erie-
404 PM EDT Thu Aug 14 2025

.TONIGHT...North winds less than 10 knots becoming east. Mainly
clear. Waves 1 foot or less.
.FRIDAY...East winds less than 10 knots becoming west. Sunny.
Waves 1 foot or less.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Northwest winds less than 10 knots. Mainly clear.
Waves 1 foot or less.
.SATURDAY...South winds 10 knots or less becoming southwest.
Sunny. Waves 1 foot or less.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Southwest winds 10 knots or less. A chance of
showers and thunderstorms overnight. Waves 1 foot or less.
.SUNDAY...West winds 5 to 15 knots becoming northeast. A chance
of showers and thunderstorms. Waves 2 feet or less.
.MONDAY...Northeast winds 5 to 15 knots becoming east. Partly
cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less.
.TUESDAY...East winds 5 to 10 knots. A chance of showers. Waves
1 foot or less.

Winds and waves higher in and near thunderstorms.

$$

LEZ040-150300-
Ripley to Dunkirk along Lake Erie-
404 PM EDT Thu Aug 14 2025

.TONIGHT...North winds less than 10 knots becoming southeast.
Mainly clear. Waves 1 foot or less.
.FRIDAY...Southeast winds 10 knots or less becoming north. Sunny.
Waves 1 foot or less.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...North winds less than 10 knots. Mainly clear.
Waves 1 foot or less.
.SATURDAY...South winds 10 knots or less becoming west. Sunny.
Waves 1 foot or less.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Southwest winds 10 knots or less. A chance of
showers and thunderstorms overnight. Waves 1 foot or less.
.SUNDAY...West winds 5 to 15 knots becoming northeast. Showers
likely with a chance of thunderstorms during the day, then a
chance of showers and thunderstorms Sunday night. Waves 2 feet or
less.
.MONDAY...East winds 5 to 15 knots. Partly cloudy. Waves 2 feet
or less.
.TUESDAY...East winds 10 to 15 knots. A chance of showers. Waves
2 feet or less.

Winds and waves higher in and near thunderstorms.

$$

LOZ042-150300-
Niagara River to Hamlin Beach along Lake Ontario-
404 PM EDT Thu Aug 14 2025

.TONIGHT...Northeast winds 10 knots or less becoming east 10 to
15 knots. Mainly clear. Waves 1 foot or less.
.FRIDAY...East winds 10 to 15 knots. Sunny. Waves 2 feet or less.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...East winds 10 to 15 knots becoming light and
variable. Mainly clear. Waves 1 foot or less.
.SATURDAY...Southwest winds 10 knots or less becoming west.
Sunny. Waves 1 foot or less.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...South winds 5 to 15 knots becoming west. A
chance of showers and thunderstorms overnight. Waves 1 foot or
less.
.SUNDAY...West winds 5 to 15 knots becoming northeast 15 to
20 knots. A chance of showers and thunderstorms during the day,
then a chance of showers Sunday night. Waves 1 to 2 feet building
to 2 to 4 feet.
.MONDAY...Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots becoming east 10 to
15 knots. Partly cloudy. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 to
2 feet.
.TUESDAY...East winds 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to
20 knots. A chance of showers. Waves 1 to 3 feet.

Winds and waves higher in and near thunderstorms.

$$

LOZ043-044-150300-
Hamlin Beach to Mexico Bay along Lake Ontario
including Irondequoit Bay-
404 PM EDT Thu Aug 14 2025

.TONIGHT...North winds 5 to 15 knots becoming east. Mainly clear.
Waves 2 feet or less.
.FRIDAY...East winds 5 to 15 knots becoming northeast. Sunny.
Waves 2 feet or less.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Northeast winds 5 to 15 knots becoming south.
Mainly clear. Waves 1 foot or less.
.SATURDAY...South winds 10 knots or less becoming north. Sunny.
Waves 1 foot or less.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Southeast winds 10 knots or less becoming
southwest 5 to 15 knots. A chance of showers and thunderstorms
overnight. Waves 1 foot or less.
.SUNDAY...West winds 5 to 10 knots becoming northeast and
increasing to 15 to 20 knots. Showers likely with a chance of
thunderstorms during the day, then a chance of showers Sunday
night. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 3 to 5 feet. Waves
occasionally around 6 feet.
.MONDAY...Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots becoming east 5 to
15 knots. Partly cloudy. Waves 3 to 5 feet subsiding to 2 feet or
less. Waves occasionally around 6 feet.
.TUESDAY...East winds 10 to 15 knots. A chance of showers. Waves
1 to 3 feet.

Winds and waves higher in and near thunderstorms.

The water temperature off Rochester is 77 degrees.

$$

LOZ045-150300-
Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River along Lake Ontario-
404 PM EDT Thu Aug 14 2025

.TONIGHT...North winds 5 to 15 knots becoming northeast. Mainly
clear. Waves 1 foot or less.
.FRIDAY...Northeast winds 10 knots or less becoming northwest.
Sunny. Waves 1 foot or less.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...North winds 10 knots or less becoming southeast.
Mainly clear. Waves 1 foot or less.
.SATURDAY...Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southwest.
Sunny. Waves 1 foot or less.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. A chance of
showers and thunderstorms overnight. Waves 1 foot or less.
.SUNDAY...West winds 5 to 10 knots becoming northeast and
increasing to 15 to 20 knots. Showers likely with a chance of
thunderstorms during the day, then a chance of showers Sunday
night. Waves 2 feet or less.
.MONDAY...Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots becoming east 10 to
15 knots. Partly cloudy. Waves 2 feet or less.
.TUESDAY...East winds 5 to 15 knots. A chance of showers Tuesday
night. Waves 1 foot or less.

Winds and waves higher in and near thunderstorms.

$$

Radar