Severe Thunderstorm and Tropical Storm Bertha Impacts

Numerous severe thunderstorms are expected across a broad region from the Ohio Valley to the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast States today into tonight. Swaths of damaging wind gusts are expected and some tornadoes are possible. Bertha is expected to bring tropical storm conditions to portions of the Gulf Coast from the Florida Panhandle westward to southeastern Louisiana later today and Wednesday. Read More >

West Texas Electronic Fire Weather Page ***** Red Flag Warning (RFW) and Fire Danger Statement (RFD) Criteria Page *** NEW** Modified Red Flag Threat Index (RFTI Mod) Page NEW
	The potential for extreme fire behavior is governed by three factors:
	1) climatic and short-term weather -------------> 2) topography 3) state of vegetative fuels	relative humidity wind speed temperature precipitation instability changes in the wind

Graph of wildfire start time after red flag criteria was met

Fire start occurence relative to overnight humidity recovery.

Graph displaying departure of maximum temperature given a fire start.

Statistical analyses of wind-driven wildfire starts relative to proximity weather conditions within the West Texas Mesonet domain. Click each graphic to view a full-resolution image. CLICK HERE to be directed to the E-Journal of Severe Storms Meteorology article entitled, "Proximity Meteorological Observations for Wind-driven Grassfire Starts on the Southern High Plains", on which the above information is based.

Composite weather pattern associated with extreme fire weather events in the Southern Plains.

Fuels and Fire Danger Resources:

SPC Fire Weather Outlooks

Today’s Forecast Fire Danger Rating

Texas Fuel Dryness Map

One Hour Fuel Moisture Map

Forecast Texas Fire Danger (100hr & ERC)

Texas Energy Release Component (Percentile)

Vegetation Drought Response Index (CONUS)

Drought Monitor for Texas (CONUS view)

TTU West Texas Mesonet Red Flag Page

Fuels/Fire Danger from the TX Interagency Coordination Center

Hot-Dry-Windy Index (HDWI)

SOOConWest 2018 Fire Headlines Experiment

Composite weather pattern associated with extreme fire weather events in the Southern Plains. Click the graphic to view a full-resolution image and explanation. To view specific statistics about each fire weather case included in the study CLICK HERE. To view the full articles that further explain the wildfire outbreak pattern CLICK HERE.

Energy Release Component (ERC) data for western Texas displayed from 1 January 2005 through 1 November 2011. Displayed is the average ERC value ("Average ERC" in black), comprised of the mean ERC calculated from Lubbock, Amarillo, Midland, San Angelo and Wichita Falls combined. Also displayed is the historical maximum ("Max ERC" in red), minimum ("Min ERC" in green) and median ("Avg DP_50" in purple) ERC value for each date. Click on the above graph for a larger image. To view a comparable graph going back to 1 January 2000 CLICK HERE. ERC graphs for all the regions of Texas can also be found FOUND HERE.



	National Weather Service Lubbock, Texas

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Severe Thunderstorm and Tropical Storm Bertha Impacts

NWS Lubbock, TX, West Texas Electronic Fire Weather Page