Heavy Rain and Thunderstorms in the Plains; Tropical Moisture Brings Heavy Rain to Southern California and Southwest

Heavy rain showers and thunderstorms, some severe, will persist across the Plains and Mississippi Valley through Friday. Increasing tropical moisture from the remnants of Mario will bring showers, thunderstorms, and a flash flooding threat across much of southern California into the Desert Southwest through Friday. Read More >

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Last Map Update: Wed, Sep 17, 2025 at 10:57:08 pm CDT

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National Weather Service Wichita, Kansas

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National Weather Service Fort Worth/Dallas, TX

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Hazardous Weather Outlook

Thursday Severe Risk

Thursday Rain/Storm Chances

Heaviest Rainfall Probabilities

Rain Chances Through the Weekend

The Week Ahead

The risk for a few strong-to-severe thunderstorms will continue on Thursday afternoon and evening. Damaging wind gusts and large hail will again be possible.

Showers and thunderstorm chances early Thursday increase across northern and western Oklahoma through noontime. These storms should be more elevated and below severe. A cold front starts pushing through on Thursday afternoon with storm activity becoming more widespread and surface-based which increases the severe risk into the evening.

Northwest Oklahoma has the highest probabilities for heaviest rainfall by Thursday evening of 1 inch or greater accumulations.

Daily shower and storm chances are expected through the weekend with a low-to-medium chance (20-50%) for greater than 1 inch of rainfall by the end of the weekend. A few storms could become strong with the primary hazard being gusty to damaging winds. Additionally, localized flooding may be of concern with any brief heavy rainfall and/or continuous storms over the same area.

7-Day Forecast for Oklahoma and western north Texas.

Local Weather History For September 17th...

Scattered thunderstorms developed over western and northern Oklahoma
on this date in 2011. Many of the storms interacted with each other
and moved northeast into southern Kansas as a complex producing large
hail and very heavy rain. One storm, a supercell, remained discrete
and moved east and slightly southeast over far northern Oklahoma.
This maximized low-level wind shear to produce three brief tornadoes
over open country near Wakita, in Grant county.

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Heavy Rain and Thunderstorms in the Plains; Tropical Moisture Brings Heavy Rain to Southern California and Southwest

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