National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Heavy Snow in the Northern Plains and Upper Midwest; Severe Thunderstorms in the Southern U.S.

In the north-central U.S., a storm will bring heavy snow and gusty to high winds over parts of the northern Plains and Upper Midwest today before moving across the Great Lakes with heavy lake effect snow Wednesday into Thanksgiving Day. Isolated severe thunderstorms are likely across parts of the Southeast/Deep South, mainly from this morning into early evening. Read More >

Aviation Forecast Discussion

.AVIATION /12Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG, 
KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas.

Today...VFR through most of the day before rain moves in later 
this afternoon. Cloud bases gradually lower as the day goes on. 
Rain moves into the Lehigh Valley around 18z-19z, the I-95 
corridor and South Jersey terminals around 20z-21z. Lower CIGs 
and VSBYs will occur not much longer after light rain begins. 
Thinking MVFR restrictions begin around 20z-22z for KRDG/KABE, 
22z-01z for the I-95 corridor terminals, and 00z-03z for the 
South Jersey terminals. Winds pick up around 14z-15z, with a 
light south/southeasterly wind around 5-10 kt. High confidence 
in prevailing VFR through at least the early afternoon, with 
moderate confidence in timing and extent of restrictions.

Tonight...MVFR to start with IFR CIGs and possibly VSBYs moving in 
as rain continues through the night. Expecting IFR conditions to 
take over at the Lehigh Valley and I-95 terminals between 00z-03z. 
KACY/KMIV may stay MVFR longer, though should eventually drop
down to IFR early tomorrow morning. Winds start out of the 
south/southeast but will transition to the southwest between 
04z-07z, around 5-10 kt. A brisk low- level jet will result in a
period of low- level wind shear for part of the night. Cannot
rule out some LIFR conditions, with the probability around
25-35% of seeing LIFR CIGs at all terminals. Low confidence
overall. 

Wednesday... Widespread low clouds and frequent showers before a
cold front crosses the area during the late morning/early
afternoon. The IFR conditions will improve back to VFR late as 
showers diminish. Winds shift to West or Southwest and increase 
to 15 to 25 kts with gusts over 30 kts. 

Outlook...

Wed night... Isolated showers for the northern sites (TTN) for the 
evening, otherwise VFR expected with gusty West winds continuing.

Thu/Friday... VFR gusty West to Northwest winds. 

Saturday... VFR expected.

&&

Latest PHL Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF)

FTNA35 KPHL 251434 RRA
KPHL 251432Z 2515/2618 19008KT P6SM OVC080
     FM252000 13007KT 6SM -RA BR OVC050
     FM252300 16006KT 4SM -RA BR OVC015 WS020/20040KT
     FM260200 19007KT 3SM -RA BR OVC007 WS020/22040KT
     FM260600 20008KT 2SM BR OVC005
     FM261500 22007KT 5SM -RA BR OVC007

Latest Area Terminal Aerodrome Forecasts (TAFs)

FTUS51 KPNE 292321 RRB
KPNE 292320Z 3000/3024 VRB04KT P6SM SKC
     FM301000 34003KT P6SM SCT030
     FM301800 17004KT P6SM FEW040 BKN200

FTUS80 KTTN 292321 RRX
KTTN 292320Z 3000/3024 VRB04KT P6SM SKC
     FM300900 VRB03KT P6SM SCT030
     FM301800 17004KT P6SM SCT200

FTUS80 KILG 292321 RRN
KILG 292320Z 3000/3024 VRB05KT P6SM SKC
     FM300900 VRB03KT P6SM SCT030
     FM301500 VRB03KT P6SM SCT035 BKN200

FTUS51 KRDG 292321 RRB
KRDG 292320Z 3000/3024 VRB02KT P6SM SKC
     FM301600 16004KT P6SM SCT200

FTUS80 KABE 292321
KABE 292320Z 3000/3024 VRB03KT P6SM SKC
     FM301800 17003KT P6SM SCT200

FTNA35 KACY 292327 RRC
KACY 292320Z 3000/3024 VRB03KT P6SM SCT025
     TEMPO 3001/3005 BKN025
     FM300500 VRB03KT P6SM BKN025
     FM301500 03005KT P6SM BKN035

FTUS80 KMIV 292321 RRR
KMIV 292320Z 3000/3024 VRB02KT P6SM FEW025
      TEMPO 3003/3006 BKN025
     FM300600 VRB02KT P6SM BKN025
     FM301500 03005KT P6SM BKN035

FTUS80 KEWR 292321 RRI
KEWR 292320Z 3000/3106 VRB03KT P6SM SKC
     FM302000 16005KT P6SM FEW250
     FM310100 VRB03KT P6SM BKN250

FTUS41 KOKX 300102 AAA
TAFLGA
TAF AMD
KLGA 300102Z 3001/3106 VRB03KT P6SM SKC
     FM301300 05005KT P6SM SKC
     FM301900 15004KT P6SM FEW250
     FM310100 VRB03KT P6SM BKN250=

FTUS80 KJFK 300103 AAA
KJFK 300102Z 3001/3106 VRB02KT P6SM SKC
     FM301600 17006KT P6SM FEW250
     FM310000 VRB03KT P6SM FEW030 BKN250

FTUS80 KMDT 292324 RRB
KMDT 292321Z 3000/3024 00000KT P6SM SKC
     FM301200 VRB03KT P6SM BKN250

FTUS80 KBWI 292321 RRD
KBWI 292320Z 3000/3106 00000KT P6SM FEW060
     FM301500 15004KT P6SM SCT250
     FM310000 00000KT P6SM BKN080

FTUS80 KIAD 292321 RRM
KIAD 292320Z 3000/3106 VRB04KT P6SM FEW250
     FM300100 00000KT P6SM SKC
     FM301500 14004KT P6SM SCT250
     FM310300 00000KT P6SM BKN080

FTUS80 KDCA 292321 RRG
KDCA 292320Z 3000/3106 12004KT P6SM SKC
     FM300300 VRB03KT P6SM SKC
     FM301500 14005KT P6SM SCT250
     FM310400 15003KT P6SM BKN070

Raw METARs for WFO PHI CWA and Surrounding Areas

--TAFs--TimeTTdRHHIWCDirWindGPKVisWxPcpClouds
KRDG1615Z523962calm8BKN120
KABE1615Z483766calm10OVC110
KTTN1615Z524372190910SCT065
KPNE1554Z544367220131710FEW070
KPHL1615Z544572180810BKN065
KILG1615Z524372150810OVC070
KMIV1615Z554567150810CLR
KACY1615Z574563170132010
--PA--TimeTTdRHHIWCDirWindGPKVisWxPcpClouds
KMPO1615Z43306138170810OVC090
K22N1615Z463462calm10OVC110
KXLL1615Z48376646190510SCT100
KUKT1615Z50396748170510FEW060
KCKZ1615Z5039674819061210FEW055
KDYL1615Z543958170510CLR
KPTW1615Z523962190510OVC060
KLOM1615Z51416917091610BKN070
KOQN1615Z504171451801210SCT060
KMQS1615Z5046884718081510BKN060
--NJ--TimeTTdRHHIWCDirWindGPKVisWxPcpClouds
KFWN1615Z48366246240510BKN120
K12N1554Z483868462105
KMMU1545Z50417147220810BKN200
KSMQ1615Z503967calm10FEW120
KBLM1615Z5446771601210CLR
KMJX1615Z5546721901010FEW070
KWRI1555Z554465210910FEW065
SCT150
KVAY1615Z554363190710OVC065
KWWD1615Z5548771701410CLR
--DE--TimeTTdRHHIWCDirWindGPKVisWxPcpClouds
K33N1615Z554567170910FEW075
KDOV1555Z564566170910SCT080
SCT140
OVC170
KGED1615Z554672190610OVC110
--MD--TimeTTdRHHIWCDirWindGPKVisWxPcpClouds
KW291435Z534677160101810SCT075
SCT120
KESN1545Z5445721601410OVC075
KCGE1615Z5748721601010CLR
--OKXTAF--TimeTTdRHHIWCDirWindGPKVisWxPcpClouds
KTEB1615Z5439581801010CLR
KEWR1615Z5539551901410FEW070
KLGA1610Z5437542101310CLR
KJFK1615Z524372190910CLR
KISP1617Z554467200162410BKN025
BKN140
OVC250
KHPN1615Z523758200810CLR
KSWF1545Z463666calm10BKN120
KBDR1615Z524372250510CLR
KGON1615Z524372210810CLR
--LWXTAF--TimeTTdRHHIWCDirWindGPKVisWxPcpClouds
KMTN1454Z50468848190610SCT008
BKN075
OVC080
KBWI1615Z544163170710SCT065
OVC110
KDCA1615Z544163210810OVC100
KIAD1615Z523758180810SCT027
BKN070
OVC120
KMRB1615Z543754170710 -RAOVC075
KCHO1615Z48376646160510FEW021
BKN055
BKN100
-Misc-TimeTTdRHHIWCDirWindGPKVisWxPcpClouds
KCDW1615Z523962240610CLR
KLNS1615Z504171451801210OVC110
KHZL1615Z4532614116081710OVC100
KAVP1615Z46346241210910OVC100
KCXY1615Z52375890710FEW041
SCT075
OVC100
KMDT1615Z523654130710 -RAFEW049
BKN095
KUNV1553Z48325445180710BKN070
OVC085
KTHV1615Z523450190310FEW055
BKN070
OVC090
KSEG1615Z523758180810FEW070
OVC100
KMUI1555Z49427570310SCT120
OVC140
KAPG1555Z534576180510OVC070
KNHK1552Z5749741301010SCT100
BKN170
KOXB1615Z595277210710CLR
KSBY1615Z594868160710CLR
KWAL1615Z6354731801410CLR
KBGM1615Z45305740160910OVC085
KNYC1551Z533755
KMSV1615Z413476110310OVC100
KMGJ1615Z463257calm10OVC120
KPOU1615Z48345846130510SCT120

 

KDIX Radar Loop

KDIX Radar

KDOX Radar Loop

KDOX Radar

Visible Satellite

Visible ImageVisible Loop

Infrared Satellite

Infrared ImageInfrared Loop

ZNY Briefing

ZNY Briefing

ZNY SWAP Statement

ZNY SWAP Statement

KPHL Wind Speed Outlook

KPHL Wind Outlook

KPHL Icing Outlook

KPHL Icing  Outlook

KPHL Compression Outlook

KPHL Compression Outlook

ZNY Day 1 SWAP

KPHL Day 1 SWAP

ZNY Day 2 SWAP

KPHL Day 2 SWAP

Turbulence PIREPs

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Icing PIREPs

Icing PIREPs

Weather/Sky PIREPs

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