National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Weekend Nor'easter

Coastal flooding, strong winds, dangerous rip currents, high surf, and hazardous marine conditions are expected from a nor'easter impacting the region through this weekend. View this briefing for more details. Read More >

Aviation Forecast Discussion

.AVIATION /15Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, 
KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas.

Rest of tonight (through 12Z)...MVFR gradually overspreading
further north and west this morning, likely covering all
terminals by 12Z. That said, VFR will try to hold on north and
west. Otherwise, gusty wind and periods of rain. Prevailing vis
conditions should remain VFR with periods of MVFR in more 
moderate showers, so included a TEMPO group covering that. N 
winds 15 to 20 kt with 30 to 35 kt gusts inland and gusts as 
high as 40 kt from time to time at KACY. Winds will trend 
towards N/NW by dawn. Medium confidence.

Sunday...Widespread MVFR cigs in the morning with continued 
waves of showers and gusty wind. Periods of reduced vis in 
heavier showers is likely. By early afternoon, ensemble 
soundings suggest a push of low-level moisture increasing 
probability to 50-60% for IFR cigs from northeast to southwest 
with most likely arrival to PHL and surrounding terminals around
15z, though the pessimistic end of the goal posts could sit as 
early as ~13z. RDG and ABE lag a bit behind farther inland. A 
period of low level wind shear is possible in the mid to late 
morning hours as a belt of stronger 925 mb flow spreads inland 
on the west side of the low, but forecast soundings all suggest 
some depth of a mixed layer at the surface and thus gusts 
continuing to 25-30 knots. For that reason, held off on the LLWS
mention for now, but if it appears that we won't mix quite as 
efficiently and surface gusts will be less, LLWS mention may be 
needed. W to N winds 15 to 20 kt with 30 to 35 kt gusts. 
Low/medium confidence.

Outlook...

Sunday night...Continued MVFR/IFR conditions in lingering SHRA. 
Diminishing winds.

Monday through Monday night...Conditions improve to MVFR, then 
to VFR late Monday and Monday night.

Tuesday through Thursday...VFR conditions expected.

&&

Latest PHL Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF)

FTUS80 KPHL 271454 AAA
KPHL 271451Z 2715/2818 34015G30KT 5SM -SHRA BR OVC015
      TEMPO 2715/2717 OVC008
     FM272100 01010G28KT 5SM -SHRA BR OVC007
     FM280200 01010G18KT 3SM -SHRA BR OVC007
     FM280800 35008G15KT 6SM -SHRA BR OVC005

Latest Area Terminal Aerodrome Forecasts (TAFs)

FTUS51 KPNE 292321 RRB
KPNE 292320Z 3000/3024 VRB04KT P6SM SKC
     FM301000 34003KT P6SM SCT030
     FM301800 17004KT P6SM FEW040 BKN200

FTUS80 KTTN 292321 RRX
KTTN 292320Z 3000/3024 VRB04KT P6SM SKC
     FM300900 VRB03KT P6SM SCT030
     FM301800 17004KT P6SM SCT200

FTUS80 KILG 292321 RRN
KILG 292320Z 3000/3024 VRB05KT P6SM SKC
     FM300900 VRB03KT P6SM SCT030
     FM301500 VRB03KT P6SM SCT035 BKN200

FTUS51 KRDG 292321 RRB
KRDG 292320Z 3000/3024 VRB02KT P6SM SKC
     FM301600 16004KT P6SM SCT200

FTUS80 KABE 292321
KABE 292320Z 3000/3024 VRB03KT P6SM SKC
     FM301800 17003KT P6SM SCT200

FTNA35 KACY 292327 RRC
KACY 292320Z 3000/3024 VRB03KT P6SM SCT025
     TEMPO 3001/3005 BKN025
     FM300500 VRB03KT P6SM BKN025
     FM301500 03005KT P6SM BKN035

FTUS80 KMIV 292321 RRR
KMIV 292320Z 3000/3024 VRB02KT P6SM FEW025
      TEMPO 3003/3006 BKN025
     FM300600 VRB02KT P6SM BKN025
     FM301500 03005KT P6SM BKN035

FTUS80 KEWR 292321 RRI
KEWR 292320Z 3000/3106 VRB03KT P6SM SKC
     FM302000 16005KT P6SM FEW250
     FM310100 VRB03KT P6SM BKN250

FTUS41 KOKX 300102 AAA
TAFLGA
TAF AMD
KLGA 300102Z 3001/3106 VRB03KT P6SM SKC
     FM301300 05005KT P6SM SKC
     FM301900 15004KT P6SM FEW250
     FM310100 VRB03KT P6SM BKN250=

FTUS80 KJFK 300103 AAA
KJFK 300102Z 3001/3106 VRB02KT P6SM SKC
     FM301600 17006KT P6SM FEW250
     FM310000 VRB03KT P6SM FEW030 BKN250

FTUS80 KMDT 292324 RRB
KMDT 292321Z 3000/3024 00000KT P6SM SKC
     FM301200 VRB03KT P6SM BKN250

FTUS80 KBWI 292321 RRD
KBWI 292320Z 3000/3106 00000KT P6SM FEW060
     FM301500 15004KT P6SM SCT250
     FM310000 00000KT P6SM BKN080

FTUS80 KIAD 292321 RRM
KIAD 292320Z 3000/3106 VRB04KT P6SM FEW250
     FM300100 00000KT P6SM SKC
     FM301500 14004KT P6SM SCT250
     FM310300 00000KT P6SM BKN080

FTUS80 KDCA 292321 RRG
KDCA 292320Z 3000/3106 12004KT P6SM SKC
     FM300300 VRB03KT P6SM SKC
     FM301500 14005KT P6SM SCT250
     FM310400 15003KT P6SM BKN070

Raw METARs for WFO PHI CWA and Surrounding Areas

--TAFs--TimeTTdRHHIWCDirWindGPKVisWxPcpClouds
KRDG1420Z341648233101810SCT042
BKN060
KABE1420Z30185922310910BKN038
KTTN1420Z341851253101310SCT043
KPNE1354Z33185424320132410OVC044
KPHL1420Z341851253101310BKN048
KILG1420Z341851233001710SCT055
KMIV1420Z341851253001410OVC048
KACY1420Z341851233001810OVC046
--PA--TimeTTdRHHIWCDirWindGPKVisWxPcpClouds
KMPO1420Z2312638310212810OVC020
K22N1415Z32165127290510SCT036
KXLL1415Z3219602530081610OVC038
KUKT1415Z321855
KCKZ1415Z301655203001310BKN035
OVC041
KDYL1420Z341851253101410BKN041
KPTW1420Z32165124300101610SCT041
KLOM1415Z31175425300610OVC042
KOQN1415Z32185522300152310SCT041
KMQS1415Z30165618310172410SCT040
OVC050
--NJ--TimeTTdRHHIWCDirWindGPKVisWxPcpClouds
KFWN1415Z281251183201210OVC036
K12N1354Z301451213501021
KMMU1350Z32196022340152510SCT040
KSMQ1420Z34164825320132110FEW047
KBLM1420Z341956243001510OVC041
KNEL0241Z2523921831064 BROVC009
KMJX1420Z34185123300182610FEW046
KWRI1355Z33195526290810SCT040
BKN049
KVAY1420Z34185127300810OVC045
--DE--TimeTTdRHHIWCDirWindGPKVisWxPcpClouds
K33N1415Z3418512730091510OVC050
KDOV1355Z341648252901310OVC049
KGED1420Z341444253201210OVC050
--MD--TimeTTdRHHIWCDirWindGPKVisWxPcpClouds
KW291415Z33175123320152210OVC047
KESN1345Z32165122320142210OVC045
KCGE1415Z341648233201710OVC050
--OKXTAF--TimeTTdRHHIWCDirWindGPKVisWxPcpClouds
KTEB1420Z301655183201710SCT043
KEWR1351Z3315472233018313110BKN042
BKN140
BKN200
KLGA1420Z30165517310233010SCT040
KJFK1420Z30165517320212810FEW044
KISP1420Z301451193201610FEW037
KHPN1420Z301655183201810CLR
KSWF1345Z28165917320141810SCT040
KBDR1420Z30145117310222910CLR
KGON1420Z281455173201410CLR
--LWXTAF--TimeTTdRHHIWCDirWindGPKVisWxPcpClouds
KMTN1345Z34164823330172510OVC048
KBWI1420Z341444243101510FEW049
KDCA1420Z341851233201710OVC050
KIAD1420Z341956253301210OVC047
KMRB1420Z321855243101010FEW039
OVC050
KCHO1420Z37194833300510CLR
-Misc-TimeTTdRHHIWCDirWindGPKVisWxPcpClouds
KCDW1420Z32165122340132210OVC041
KLNS1420Z301655202901210SCT055
KHZL1415Z2816591930092310BKN027
BKN032
OVC049
KAVP1420Z251669133201410 UP0.01FEW031
SCT035
OVC060
KCXY1420Z301451192901510OVC049
KMDT1420Z30185917310222810OVC050
KUNV1353Z2518741630095 -SNBKN027
OVC031
KTHV1420Z301451203201310OVC048
KSEG1420Z28165920300810BKN050
KMUI1355Z311652202801610BKN037
BKN160
KAPG1355Z341647263001010BKN045
KNHK1352Z352054273101210OVC047
KOXB1420Z341444253001310OVC046
KSBY1420Z34164825310121810OVC047
KWAL1420Z361644273401510OVC049
KBGM1420Z191893933081 -SN BRBKN010
OVC016
KNYC1351Z31144920300152310BKN042
KMSV1420Z2516691330014216 -SNBKN023
OVC028
KMGJ1420Z301247183201710OVC039
KPOU1420Z28145519101010OVC044

 

KDIX Radar Loop

KDIX Radar

KDOX Radar Loop

KDOX Radar

Visible Satellite

Visible ImageVisible Loop

Infrared Satellite

Infrared ImageInfrared Loop

ZNY Briefing

ZNY Briefing

ZNY SWAP Statement

ZNY SWAP Statement

KPHL Wind Speed Outlook

KPHL Wind Outlook

KPHL Icing Outlook

KPHL Icing  Outlook

KPHL Compression Outlook

KPHL Compression Outlook

ZNY Day 1 SWAP

KPHL Day 1 SWAP

ZNY Day 2 SWAP

KPHL Day 2 SWAP

Turbulence PIREPs

Turbulence PIREPs

Icing PIREPs

Icing PIREPs

Weather/Sky PIREPs

Weather/Sky PIREPs

Current AIRMETs/SIGMETs

Current AIRMETs/SIGMETs

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9-hr Forecast 12-hr Forecast

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Tango (Turbulence/LLWS) AIRMETs

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9-hr Forecast 12-hr Forecast

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Icing AIRMETs

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9-hr Forecast 12-hr Forecast

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Freezing Level AIRMETs

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