National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Heat Wave Expands to the East Coast; Flash Flooding Likely in the Central Plains into the Midwest; Severe Thunderstorms in the Northeast

Dangerous, prolonged heat is ongoing in the Mid-South to Mid-Mississippi Valley and heat expands into the Northeast for a brief period today. Widely scattered instances of flash flooding due to heavy rains are forecast from northeast Kansas to much of Indiana. Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms are possible across parts of New England, northern Mid-Atlantic, and North Dakota. Read More >

Overview

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Tropical Storm Nestor had its origins from an broad area of low pressure over the Bay of Campeche on October 17th, 2019. The system was classified a potential tropical cyclone on the 17th due to a high chance of development and short duration of time till impacts would be felt along the northern Gulf coast. The low pressure became Tropical Storm Nestor on Friday October 18th. Nestor was not a typical tropical cyclone, as after forming, the storm quickly began to interact with another upper level disturbance moving off the Texas coast. The two systems came together to produce a storm that was more a hybrid between a tropical cyclone and an ordinary extra-tropical cyclone.  During the day on Friday into Friday evening, a large area of rain/thunderstorms associated with Nestor overspread the region, persisting into Saturday morning. Many locations saw 1-4" of rainfall by the time all was said and done. Nestor also resulted in minor coastal flooding along the northeast Gulf of America coast, with many locations seeing tides of 2-4 feet above normal. However, Nestor will likely be most know in west-central and southwest Florida for a tornado outbreak. At least three tornadoes were confirmed, including a long-track EF-2 tornado that did considerable damage to parts of western Polk county.  

TS Nestor Advisory Summary

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Radar Loop 10/18/19 - 10/19/19

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Nestor Full Track