National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce
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Last Map Update: Thu, Jul 3, 2025 at 3:50:08 am MDT

Good chances for showers and storms persist Thursday, then turn down significantly Friday and Saturday as drier air moves in from the west. Chances will be back on the uptrend Sunday into early next week. Except for Friday and Saturday, flash flooding on the HPCC and Ruidoso area burn scars will continue to be a potential threat.
Temperatures increase to the upper 90s to low 100 Saturday and into next week.
There is a marginal to slight risk of excessive rainfall from thunderstorms producing locally heavy rainfall Thursday afternoon, mainly over recent burn scars and portions of central and southeastern NM that have already rain soaked ground. Low-lying and poorly drained areas will be the most susceptible. This includes the HPCC and Ruidoso burn scars, and Roswell.
The thunderstorm threat matrix indicates the probability of thunderstorms over wildfire burn areas.
The 4th of July will be mostly sunny, dry and hot with highs near average.

 

 
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