Lubbock, TX

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NWS Lubbock

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Last Map Update: Mon, Sep 28, 2026 at 1:02:33 pm CDT

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National Weather Service Fort Worth/Dallas, TX

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Monday

Flood Watch

Tuesday Excessive Rainfall Outlook

Tuesday Severe Weather Outlook

Probability of Heavy Rain

Extended Forecast

Seasonably warm today, with highs in the 80s on the Caprock and low to mid 90s off the Caprock. Tonight, shower chances increase across the western South Plains.

A Flood Watch has been issued for portions of northwest Texas and the far southern Texas Panhandle, beginning Tuesday morning and continuing through midday on Wednesday. Total rainfall amounts of 2 to 3 inches are possible, and these areas already received several inches of rain over the last week. Flooding is possible. Check back for further updates, as forecast conditions may warrant expanding the Flood Watch further to the southeast.

Much of the far southern Texas Panhandle and South Plains are in a Moderate Risk (level 3 of 4) for excessive rainfall/flash flooding on Tuesday, September 29th. Much of the Rolling Plains and far southeast Texas Panhandle is in a Slight Risk (level 2 of 4). Swaths of 2 to 3 inches of rain are possible. Never drive across flooded roadways!

Along with the expected rainfall, severe weather is also possible Tuesday afternoon/evening. Storms may produce wind gusts to 70 mph and quarter sized hail. Tornadoes are unlikely, but cannot be completely ruled out.

A slow-moving system will interact with tropical moisture, resulting in numerous showers and scattered storms Tuesday-Wednesday. There is potential for heavy rainfall exceeding 2". The exact location of the heaviest rain may still shift, but the latest thinking is that the best chance for 2+ inches of rain is across portions of northwest Texas and the far southwestern Texas Panhandle. This heavy rainfall may lead to flooding. Remember: Turn Around, Don't Drown

Rainy and windy mid-week, with heavy rainfall/flooding possible. There may be swaths of rainfall exceeding 2-3 inches through Wednesday. Wind gusts of 25-40 mph are possible on Tuesday and Wednesday. Temperatures trend cooler over the course of the week.

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Local Weather History For September 28th...

No significant events reported.