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Overview

A dampening shortwave tracked from the Ohio Valley to the northern Mid-Atlantic on Monday, May 3. Meanwhile, at the surface, a fairly strong area of low pressure tracked NE across the Midwest. Its associated warm front extended ESE into the Mid-Atlantic, and this front quickly surged northward during the day on Tuesday. By early afternoon, the warm front was to the north of the AKQ CWA. Scattered convection moved across a good portion of the area during the morning (except for SE VA/NE NC), and this did not allow temperatures to rise higher than the 70s, despite warm/moist advection and low-level SSW flow. Another round of scattered convection moved across the area during the afternoon and evening. All of this was sub-severe, except for one lone rotating cell that produced an EF-2 tornado in Northumberland County. This was quite an unusual setup for a strong tornado, with only modest instability present where the tornado occurred, the warm front being well to our north, and no discernable boundaries nearby. There was some 0-1 km speed and directional shear across the southern Mid-Atlantic, but a lot less than is typically observed when we have EF-2+ tornadoes in the AKQ CWA. But even then, this will go down as one of the most unusual EF-2+ tornado setups in the AKQ CWA.

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