National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

	EXPERIMENTAL...FIRE WEATHER POINT FORECAST MATRICES
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE Wakefield VA
410 PM EST Wed Feb 4 2026

VAZ064-050900-
Ft AP Hill RAWS - Caroline VA
38.10N  77.27W Elev. 201 ft
410 PM EST Wed Feb 4 2026

Date           02/04/26      Thu 02/05/26            Fri 02/06/26            Sat
UTC 3hrly     21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12
EST 3hrly     16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07

MIN/MAX                      20          34          17          39          18
TEMP             31 29 26 23 21 27 31 32 26 23 20 19 18 28 37 38 33 31 27 25 19
DEWPT            22 21 19 17 16 17 16 17 17 16 16 16 14 16 16 19 25 26 23 18 10
MAX/MIN RH                   81          50          88          43          85
RH               70 72 76 77 80 65 53 53 67 75 85 87 84 60 43 46 73 82 85 74 68
WIND DIR          N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N NW NW  W SW SW SW SW  W NW NW NW
WIND DIR DEG     02 02 01 00 00 01 00 00 00 35 33 31 28 22 21 21 21 27 30 31 32
WIND SPD          2  2  2  2  3  3  4  3  2  1  2  1  1  2  3  3  2  2  3  9 13
CLOUDS           B2 B2 B1 SC SC FW FW FW FW SC B1 SC FW FW B1 OV OV B2 B1 SC SC
CLOUDS(%)        87 81 67 36 45 18 22 15 16 29 51 42 23 16 57 90 95 74 52 46 36
VSBY              7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7
POP 12HR                      5           0           0          30          30
QPF 12HR                      0           0           0        0.01        0.02
SNOW 12HR                 00-00       00-00       00-00                        
SNOW                                                        S  C  C  C         
MIX HGT              1200  1100  2500  2400   800   700  2900  3100   500  4400
T WIND DIR              N     N     N     N     N    NW    SW    SW     W    NW
T WIND SPD             12    10    11     9     6     2     4    13     6    35
SMOKE DISP             PR    PR    PR    PR    PR    PR    PR    FR    PR    VG
ADI                     6    12    29    27     4     4    26    52     4   108
MAX LVORI               4     4     4     3     6     6     4     4     5     4
STABILITY               F     F     B     B     F     F     B     C     F     D
CEILING             15900  8500  8900 30000 23500 13800  9100  3200  1000  6300
PRESSURE            30.07 30.01 30.01 29.87 29.84 29.77 29.73 29.59 29.57 29.59


Date           02/07Sun 02/08/26Mon 02/09/26Tue 02/10/26Wed 02/11/26
UTC 6hrly     18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00
EST 6hrly     13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19

MAX/MIN          28    13    29    16    41    23    47    28    48
TEMP          26 21 16 14 25 25 19 18 36 32 26 24 45 38 31 29 45 41
DEWPT         -1 -2 -1 -1  1  6  9 11 15 19 20 21 24 27 26 26 30 28
MIN/MAX RH       28    51    31    73    37    86    42    92    48
RH            30 36 46 50 34 44 63 73 42 58 77 86 44 63 81 88 55 59
WIND DIR      NW NW NW  N NW  N  N  N  W  E NW  W  W SE SW NW NW  N
WIND SPD      17 12  8  6  4  2  2  2  3  1  1  2  3  2  2  2  3  2
AVG CLOUDS    FW FW FW FW FW SC SC SC SC B1 B1 SC FW FW SC SC B1 SC
POP 12HR          0     0    10     5     5     5     5    10    20
RAIN                                                           S   
SNOW                                                           S   

$$

VAZ081-050900-
EXPERIMENTAL ONLY...THIS PRODUCT IS FOR PLANNING AND REVIEW PURPOSES ONLY AND
IS NOT TO BE SUBSTITUTED FOR AN OFFICIAL FIRE WEATHER SPOT
FORECAST.
BELOW IS A WEATHER ELEMENT KEY FOR THIS PRODUCT.
(NOTE...WINDS DO NOT REFLECT LOCAL TERRAIN EFFECTS.)

DAY 1 THROUGH 3...
MAX/MIN TEMP or MIN/MAX TEMP(F).....MAXIMUM/MINIMUM AIR TEMPERATURE
TEMP(F).............................AIR TEMPERATURE
DEWPT(F)............................DEW POINT TEMPERATURE
MIN/MAX RH or MAX/MIN RH(%).........MAXIMUM/MINIMUM HUMIDITY
RH(%)...............................RELATIVE HUMIDITY
WIND DIR(8 POINT COMPASS)...........20 FT. WIND DIRECTION
WIND DIR DEG(DEGREES)...............20 FT. WIND DIRECTION IN TENS OF DEGREES
                                    RELATIVE TO DUE NORTH.
     EXAMPLE: 09 = 90 DEGREES = EAST; 18 = 180 DEGREES = SOUTH;
              27 = 270 DEGREES = WEST; 36 = 360 DEGREES = NORTH
WIND SPD(MPH).......................20 FT. WIND SPEED
WIND GUST(MPH)......................20 FT. WIND GUST
WIND CHILL..........................WIND CHILL TEMPERATURE
HEAT INDX...........................HEAT INDEX
CLOUDS(CAT).........................CLOUD COVER CATEGORY
     EXAMPLE: CL = CLEAR; FW = FEW; SC = SCATTERED;
              B1 = MOSTLY CLOUDY; B2 = CONSIDERABLE CLOUDS; OV = OVERCAST
CLOUDS(%)...........................CLOUD COVER AS A PERCENTAGE
VSBY................................VISIBILITY VALUE IN STATUTE MILES
POP 12HR(%).........................PROBABILITY FOR ACCUMULATING PRECIPITATION
QPF 12HR(IN)........................LIQUID EQUIVALENT PRECIPITATION AMOUNT
WEATHER...
     TYPE...
       RAIN...........RAIN
       RAIN SHWRS.....RAIN SHOWERS
       TSTMS..........THUNDERSTORMS
       DRIZZLE........DRIZZLE
       SNOW...........SNOW
       SNOWSHWRS......SNOW SHOWERS
       SLEET..........SLEET
       FLURRIES.......FLURRIES
       FRZG RAIN......FREEZING RAIN
       FRZG DRZL......FREEZING DRIZZLE
     COVERAGE...
       S..............SLIGHT CHANCE
       C..............CHANCE
       L..............LIKELY
       O..............OCCASIONAL
       D..............DEFINITE
       AR.............AREAS
       PA.............PATCHY
OBVIS...............................OBSTRUCTION TO VISIBILITY
     TYPE...
       F..............FOG
       PF.............PATCHY FOG
       F+.............DENSE FOG
       H..............HAZE
       BS.............BLOWING SNOW
       K..............SMOKE
       BD.............BLOWING DUST
       AF.............VOLCANIC ASHFALL
MIX HGT(FT AGL).....................MIXING HEIGHT
T WIND DIR(8 POINT COMPASS).........TRANSPORT WIND DIRECTION
T WIND SPD(MPH).....................TRANSPORT WIND SPEED
SMOKE DISPERSION....................SMOKE DISPERSION CATEGORY
     VALUES: VP = VERY POOR; PR = POOR; FR = FAIR; GD = GOOD
ADI (INDEX).........................ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX
CEILING (FT)........................CEILING
PRESSURE (INCHES MERCURY)...........STATION PRESSURE
MAX LVORI (INDEX)...................LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX
STABILITY (CAT).....................PASQUILL TURNER STABILITY
WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY...
     EXAMPLE: W = WARNING; Y = ADVISORY; A = WATCH
     IN EFFECT FOR THE INDICATED HOUR 

DAY 4 THROUGH 7...
MAX/MIN TEMP or MIN/MAX TEMP(F).....MAXIMUM/MINIMUM AIR TEMPERATURE
TEMP(F).............................AIR TEMPERATURE
DEWPT(F)............................DEW POINT TEMPERATURE
RH(%)...............................RELATIVE HUMIDITY
WIND DIR............................20 FT. WIND DIRECTION
WIND SPD(MPH).......................20 FT. WIND SPEED
AVG CLOUDS(CAT).....................AVERAGE CLOUD COVER CATEGORY
POP 12HR(%).........................PROBABILITY FOR ACCUMULATING PRECIPITATION
WEATHER...
     SEE DAY 1 THROUGH 3 WEATHER DESCRIPTIONS