National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

	EXPERIMENTAL...FIRE WEATHER POINT FORECAST MATRICES
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE Wakefield VA
510 AM EDT Sun May 17 2026

VAZ064-172000-
Ft AP Hill RAWS - Caroline VA
38.10N  77.27W Elev. 201 ft
510 AM EDT Sun May 17 2026

Date             Sun 05/17/26            Mon 05/18/26            Tue 05/19/26
UTC 3hrly     09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00
EDT 3hrly     05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20

MAX/MIN                      91          66          95          70          96
TEMP             67 81 88 90 83 73 69 67 72 86 93 93 85 79 74 71 73 87 94 95 87
DEWPT            61 61 60 61 63 63 63 62 64 65 63 61 65 64 64 63 65 64 61 59 61
MIN/MAX RH                   38          88          34          77          30
RH               80 51 39 38 52 72 80 84 78 50 37 35 51 61 71 76 75 46 35 30 42
WIND DIR         SW NW  W SW  E SE  S SW SW SW SW  S  S  S  S  S SW SW SW SW  S
WIND DIR DEG     24 30 24 23 09 12 17 21 22 21 20 20 18 19 19 20 21 21 21 21 19
WIND SPD          2  2  3  3  3  3  3  3  3  4  6  6  4  4  4  5  5  4  6  6  5
CLOUDS           FW B1 SC SC SC SC SC FW FW CL FW FW FW CL CL FW FW FW FW FW FW
CLOUDS(%)        22 51 34 29 38 39 30 19 17  2  7  7  8  3  3 15  7 20 24 17 14
VSBY              7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7
POP 12HR                     20          20           0           0           0
QPF 12HR                      0           0           0           0           0
SNOW 12HR                 00-00       00-00       00-00                        
RAIN SHWRS                    S                                                
MIX HGT              6000  6500   400   800  6900  8100   500  1200  7300  8900
T WIND DIR             NW     S    SE     S    SW    SW    SW    SW     W    SW
T WIND SPD              2     4     3     5    10    11     5     8     4     6
SMOKE DISP             PR    PR    PR    PR    GD    GD    PR    PR    PR    GD
ADI                    33    45     2    12    86   111     3    18    20    86
MAX LVORI               4     2     5     7     3     2     3     4     3     2
STABILITY               A     A     F     F     A     B     F     F     B     B
CEILING              7200  6800  8000 15900 27500 20500 30000 30000 30000 30000
PRESSURE            29.94 29.89 29.93 29.97 30.01 29.94 29.97 30.01 30.01 29.92


Date          Wed 05/20/26Thu 05/21/26Fri 05/22/26Sat 05/23/26
UTC 6hrly     06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00
EDT 6hrly     02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20

MIN/MAX          71    94    62    72    54    67    54    72
TEMP          76 73 93 85 71 64 70 67 59 57 65 64 59 58 70 68
DEWPT         61 64 61 65 64 58 54 54 54 54 55 55 56 58 61 61
MAX/MIN RH       71    35    83    55    93    65   100    72
RH            60 73 35 59 79 84 56 68 86 91 69 75 95100 75 81
WIND DIR      SW SW SW NW  N  N  N NE NE NE NE  E NE  E  E  E
WIND SPD       6  5  6  3  3  6  5  2  1  3  5  3  1  2  4  3
AVG CLOUDS    FW FW FW B1 B2 B1 B1 B2 B1 B2 B2 B2 B2 B2 B2 B2
POP 12HR          0    40    70    50    60    60    40    40
RAIN SHWRS              C  L  C  C  C  C  L  L  C  C  C  C  C
TSTMS                   C  C        C  S        S           S

$$

VAZ081-172000-
EXPERIMENTAL ONLY...THIS PRODUCT IS FOR PLANNING AND REVIEW PURPOSES ONLY AND
IS NOT TO BE SUBSTITUTED FOR AN OFFICIAL FIRE WEATHER SPOT
FORECAST.
BELOW IS A WEATHER ELEMENT KEY FOR THIS PRODUCT.
(NOTE...WINDS DO NOT REFLECT LOCAL TERRAIN EFFECTS.)

DAY 1 THROUGH 3...
MAX/MIN TEMP or MIN/MAX TEMP(F).....MAXIMUM/MINIMUM AIR TEMPERATURE
TEMP(F).............................AIR TEMPERATURE
DEWPT(F)............................DEW POINT TEMPERATURE
MIN/MAX RH or MAX/MIN RH(%).........MAXIMUM/MINIMUM HUMIDITY
RH(%)...............................RELATIVE HUMIDITY
WIND DIR(8 POINT COMPASS)...........20 FT. WIND DIRECTION
WIND DIR DEG(DEGREES)...............20 FT. WIND DIRECTION IN TENS OF DEGREES
                                    RELATIVE TO DUE NORTH.
     EXAMPLE: 09 = 90 DEGREES = EAST; 18 = 180 DEGREES = SOUTH;
              27 = 270 DEGREES = WEST; 36 = 360 DEGREES = NORTH
WIND SPD(MPH).......................20 FT. WIND SPEED
WIND GUST(MPH)......................20 FT. WIND GUST
WIND CHILL..........................WIND CHILL TEMPERATURE
HEAT INDX...........................HEAT INDEX
CLOUDS(CAT).........................CLOUD COVER CATEGORY
     EXAMPLE: CL = CLEAR; FW = FEW; SC = SCATTERED;
              B1 = MOSTLY CLOUDY; B2 = CONSIDERABLE CLOUDS; OV = OVERCAST
CLOUDS(%)...........................CLOUD COVER AS A PERCENTAGE
VSBY................................VISIBILITY VALUE IN STATUTE MILES
POP 12HR(%).........................PROBABILITY FOR ACCUMULATING PRECIPITATION
QPF 12HR(IN)........................LIQUID EQUIVALENT PRECIPITATION AMOUNT
WEATHER...
     TYPE...
       RAIN...........RAIN
       RAIN SHWRS.....RAIN SHOWERS
       TSTMS..........THUNDERSTORMS
       DRIZZLE........DRIZZLE
       SNOW...........SNOW
       SNOWSHWRS......SNOW SHOWERS
       SLEET..........SLEET
       FLURRIES.......FLURRIES
       FRZG RAIN......FREEZING RAIN
       FRZG DRZL......FREEZING DRIZZLE
     COVERAGE...
       S..............SLIGHT CHANCE
       C..............CHANCE
       L..............LIKELY
       O..............OCCASIONAL
       D..............DEFINITE
       AR.............AREAS
       PA.............PATCHY
OBVIS...............................OBSTRUCTION TO VISIBILITY
     TYPE...
       F..............FOG
       PF.............PATCHY FOG
       F+.............DENSE FOG
       H..............HAZE
       BS.............BLOWING SNOW
       K..............SMOKE
       BD.............BLOWING DUST
       AF.............VOLCANIC ASHFALL
MIX HGT(FT AGL).....................MIXING HEIGHT
T WIND DIR(8 POINT COMPASS).........TRANSPORT WIND DIRECTION
T WIND SPD(MPH).....................TRANSPORT WIND SPEED
SMOKE DISPERSION....................SMOKE DISPERSION CATEGORY
     VALUES: VP = VERY POOR; PR = POOR; FR = FAIR; GD = GOOD
ADI (INDEX).........................ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX
CEILING (FT)........................CEILING
PRESSURE (INCHES MERCURY)...........STATION PRESSURE
MAX LVORI (INDEX)...................LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX
STABILITY (CAT).....................PASQUILL TURNER STABILITY
WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY...
     EXAMPLE: W = WARNING; Y = ADVISORY; A = WATCH
     IN EFFECT FOR THE INDICATED HOUR 

DAY 4 THROUGH 7...
MAX/MIN TEMP or MIN/MAX TEMP(F).....MAXIMUM/MINIMUM AIR TEMPERATURE
TEMP(F).............................AIR TEMPERATURE
DEWPT(F)............................DEW POINT TEMPERATURE
RH(%)...............................RELATIVE HUMIDITY
WIND DIR............................20 FT. WIND DIRECTION
WIND SPD(MPH).......................20 FT. WIND SPEED
AVG CLOUDS(CAT).....................AVERAGE CLOUD COVER CATEGORY
POP 12HR(%).........................PROBABILITY FOR ACCUMULATING PRECIPITATION
WEATHER...
     SEE DAY 1 THROUGH 3 WEATHER DESCRIPTIONS