National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

	EXPERIMENTAL...FIRE WEATHER POINT FORECAST MATRICES
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE Wakefield VA
510 AM EDT Thu Oct 1 2026

VAZ064-012000-
Ft AP Hill RAWS - Caroline VA
38.10N  77.27W Elev. 201 ft
510 AM EDT Thu Oct 1 2026

Date             Thu 10/01/26            Fri 10/02/26            Sat 10/03/26
UTC 3hrly     09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00
EDT 3hrly     05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20

MAX/MIN                      87          65          89          61          67
TEMP             63 77 85 85 75 70 68 66 65 78 87 88 78 71 68 63 61 63 66 65 60
DEWPT            62 64 63 64 61 60 59 59 59 64 65 68 67 67 64 60 57 57 57 56 56
MIN/MAX RH                   46          81          48          90          70
RH               96 64 48 50 62 71 73 79 80 62 48 52 69 86 87 90 88 81 73 73 88
WIND DIR         SW SW SW SW  S  S SW SW SW SW SW SW  W  N  N  N  N  N  N NE NE
WIND DIR DEG     20 22 22 21 19 20 21 21 21 23 23 22 26 34 35 00 00 01 01 03 04
WIND SPD          3  5  6  4  4  4  5  5  5  6  6  4  4  4  6  8  8  6  5  3  2
CLOUDS           FW FW SC FW SC FW SC SC FW SC SC SC B1 B2 B2 B2 B2 B2 B2 OV OV
CLOUDS(%)        21 22 33 22 32 25 26 35 22 29 30 45 68 72 81 85 84 83 86 89 90
VSBY              7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  6  6  7  7  7  7  7
POP 12HR                      0           0          20          60          50
QPF 12HR                      0           0           0        0.17        0.05
SNOW 12HR                 00-00       00-00       00-00                        
RAIN SHWRS                                            C  C  L  L  C  C  C  C  C
TSTMS                                                 S                        
MIX HGT              3900  4100   400   400  4000  4600  1000  1300  2600  2700
T WIND DIR             SW    SW     S    SW    SW     W    NW     N     N    NE
T WIND SPD             11    12     8     8    12    16    11    13     9     5
SMOKE DISP             FR    GD    PR    PR    FR    GD    PR    PR    PR    PR
ADI                    81    86     4     7    71    97    11    19    20    19
MAX LVORI               5     3     4     5     4     3     5     5     4     7
STABILITY               B     B     F     F     B     B     E     D     D     D
CEILING             15900 17100 18200 20800 30000 24500  7200  5500  4000   300
PRESSURE            29.92 29.84 29.84 29.84 29.84 29.77 29.84 29.94 30.04 30.06


Date          Sun 10/04/26Mon 10/05/26Tue 10/06/26Wed 10/07/26
UTC 6hrly     06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00
EDT 6hrly     02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20

MIN/MAX          57    63    57    72    48    62    43    65
TEMP          59 58 62 61 60 59 70 63 53 49 60 54 46 45 64 57
DEWPT         58 58 62 61 60 59 59 54 46 42 43 43 43 43 47 49
MAX/MIN RH       99    99   100    61    80    50    95    54
RH            95 99100100100100 68 72 78 78 52 68 87 91 55 75
WIND DIR      NE NE NE  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  W  S  S
WIND SPD       2  3  3  1  1  3  8  4  5  5  4  0  0  1  3  2
AVG CLOUDS    OV OV OV OV OV B2 B1 SC FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW
POP 12HR         60    70    30    10     0     0     0     0
RAIN SHWRS     C  L  L  L  C                                 

$$

VAZ081-012000-
EXPERIMENTAL ONLY...THIS PRODUCT IS FOR PLANNING AND REVIEW PURPOSES ONLY AND
IS NOT TO BE SUBSTITUTED FOR AN OFFICIAL FIRE WEATHER SPOT
FORECAST.
BELOW IS A WEATHER ELEMENT KEY FOR THIS PRODUCT.
(NOTE...WINDS DO NOT REFLECT LOCAL TERRAIN EFFECTS.)

DAY 1 THROUGH 3...
MAX/MIN TEMP or MIN/MAX TEMP(F).....MAXIMUM/MINIMUM AIR TEMPERATURE
TEMP(F).............................AIR TEMPERATURE
DEWPT(F)............................DEW POINT TEMPERATURE
MIN/MAX RH or MAX/MIN RH(%).........MAXIMUM/MINIMUM HUMIDITY
RH(%)...............................RELATIVE HUMIDITY
WIND DIR(8 POINT COMPASS)...........20 FT. WIND DIRECTION
WIND DIR DEG(DEGREES)...............20 FT. WIND DIRECTION IN TENS OF DEGREES
                                    RELATIVE TO DUE NORTH.
     EXAMPLE: 09 = 90 DEGREES = EAST; 18 = 180 DEGREES = SOUTH;
              27 = 270 DEGREES = WEST; 36 = 360 DEGREES = NORTH
WIND SPD(MPH).......................20 FT. WIND SPEED
WIND GUST(MPH)......................20 FT. WIND GUST
WIND CHILL..........................WIND CHILL TEMPERATURE
HEAT INDX...........................HEAT INDEX
CLOUDS(CAT).........................CLOUD COVER CATEGORY
     EXAMPLE: CL = CLEAR; FW = FEW; SC = SCATTERED;
              B1 = MOSTLY CLOUDY; B2 = CONSIDERABLE CLOUDS; OV = OVERCAST
CLOUDS(%)...........................CLOUD COVER AS A PERCENTAGE
VSBY................................VISIBILITY VALUE IN STATUTE MILES
POP 12HR(%).........................PROBABILITY FOR ACCUMULATING PRECIPITATION
QPF 12HR(IN)........................LIQUID EQUIVALENT PRECIPITATION AMOUNT
WEATHER...
     TYPE...
       RAIN...........RAIN
       RAIN SHWRS.....RAIN SHOWERS
       TSTMS..........THUNDERSTORMS
       DRIZZLE........DRIZZLE
       SNOW...........SNOW
       SNOWSHWRS......SNOW SHOWERS
       SLEET..........SLEET
       FLURRIES.......FLURRIES
       FRZG RAIN......FREEZING RAIN
       FRZG DRZL......FREEZING DRIZZLE
     COVERAGE...
       S..............SLIGHT CHANCE
       C..............CHANCE
       L..............LIKELY
       O..............OCCASIONAL
       D..............DEFINITE
       AR.............AREAS
       PA.............PATCHY
OBVIS...............................OBSTRUCTION TO VISIBILITY
     TYPE...
       F..............FOG
       PF.............PATCHY FOG
       F+.............DENSE FOG
       H..............HAZE
       BS.............BLOWING SNOW
       K..............SMOKE
       BD.............BLOWING DUST
       AF.............VOLCANIC ASHFALL
MIX HGT(FT AGL).....................MIXING HEIGHT
T WIND DIR(8 POINT COMPASS).........TRANSPORT WIND DIRECTION
T WIND SPD(MPH).....................TRANSPORT WIND SPEED
SMOKE DISPERSION....................SMOKE DISPERSION CATEGORY
     VALUES: VP = VERY POOR; PR = POOR; FR = FAIR; GD = GOOD
ADI (INDEX).........................ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX
CEILING (FT)........................CEILING
PRESSURE (INCHES MERCURY)...........STATION PRESSURE
MAX LVORI (INDEX)...................LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX
STABILITY (CAT).....................PASQUILL TURNER STABILITY
WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY...
     EXAMPLE: W = WARNING; Y = ADVISORY; A = WATCH
     IN EFFECT FOR THE INDICATED HOUR 

DAY 4 THROUGH 7...
MAX/MIN TEMP or MIN/MAX TEMP(F).....MAXIMUM/MINIMUM AIR TEMPERATURE
TEMP(F).............................AIR TEMPERATURE
DEWPT(F)............................DEW POINT TEMPERATURE
RH(%)...............................RELATIVE HUMIDITY
WIND DIR............................20 FT. WIND DIRECTION
WIND SPD(MPH).......................20 FT. WIND SPEED
AVG CLOUDS(CAT).....................AVERAGE CLOUD COVER CATEGORY
POP 12HR(%).........................PROBABILITY FOR ACCUMULATING PRECIPITATION
WEATHER...
     SEE DAY 1 THROUGH 3 WEATHER DESCRIPTIONS