National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

	EXPERIMENTAL...FIRE WEATHER POINT FORECAST MATRICES
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE Wakefield VA
410 PM EST Wed Jan 21 2026

VAZ064-220900-
Ft AP Hill RAWS - Caroline VA
38.10N  77.27W Elev. 201 ft
410 PM EST Wed Jan 21 2026

Date           01/21/26      Thu 01/22/26            Fri 01/23/26            Sat
UTC 3hrly     21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12
EST 3hrly     16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07

MIN/MAX                      36          53          27          44          13
TEMP             37 37 38 38 37 45 52 52 41 36 32 29 27 37 42 43 34 28 23 17 13
DEWPT            16 19 23 25 26 31 29 25 23 21 20 21 21 23 21 20 20 10  3 -2 -4
MAX/MIN RH                   63          35          78          38          56
RH               42 48 53 59 64 58 41 35 48 55 61 72 78 58 43 39 56 47 42 43 46
WIND DIR          S SW SW SW SW SW  W  W  W NW  N  N NE NE  W NW  N  N  N  N  N
WIND DIR DEG     19 20 21 21 22 24 26 25 26 31 00 02 04 04 26 31 34 35 35 00 00
WIND SPD          5  5  5  4  4  4  6  3  2  1  1  1  2  2  3  4  4  5  8  9  8
CLOUDS           FW B1 SC FW FW CL FW FW SC FW SC SC B2 B2 B2 B2 B2 B1 B1 B2 B2
CLOUDS(%)        19 53 49 21  7  5 15 11 28 17 27 47 76 73 80 78 74 63 66 77 85
VSBY              7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7
POP 12HR                     10           0           5          10          10
QPF 12HR                      0           0           0           0           0
SNOW 12HR                 00-00       00-00       00-00                        
SNOW                                                                          S
MIX HGT               600   500  4500  4100   400   400  3100  3900  2900  3400
T WIND DIR             SW    SW     W     W    NW    NE     S    NW     N     N
T WIND SPD             17    14    18    13     4     4     5    10    23    25
SMOKE DISP             PR    PR    GD    GD    PR    PR    PR    PR    GD    GD
ADI                    12    11    82    73     3     5    30    32    37    58
MAX LVORI               2     3     2     2     3     4     3     2     2     1
STABILITY               E     F     C     C     F     F     B     D     E     D
CEILING             12700  5500 30000 23500 23500 15500 17500  8900 15900 14800
PRESSURE            30.09  30.0 30.02 30.01 30.03 30.09 30.14 30.10 30.20 30.40


Date           01/24Sun 01/25/26Mon 01/26/26Tue 01/27/26Wed 01/28/26
UTC 6hrly     18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00
EST 6hrly     13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19

MAX/MIN          20    15    24    15    28     3    28     7    33
TEMP          20 17 17 17 22 22 19 16 27 18 12  4 25 19 11  9 30 25
DEWPT         -3  5 12 15 19 19 18 16 17 11  5  1  9  9  6  6 16 17
MIN/MAX RH       35    91    82   100    57    90    46    91    52
RH            35 58 81 94 88 86 95100 65 72 73 88 50 65 81 88 56 70
WIND DIR       N NE NE NE  N NW NW NW NW NW  W  W SW  S  E  S SW  S
WIND SPD       5  2  3  4  4  3  3  4  8  6  4  3  4  3  3  3  4  3
AVG CLOUDS    OV OV OV OV OV OV B2 B1 B1 SC FW FW FW FW SC SC B1 B1
POP 12HR         50   100   100    60    20     5     5     0    10
FRZG RAIN               S  S  D  S                                 
SLEET                            S                                 
SNOW           S  C  D  D  D  D  L  C  S                           

$$

EXPERIMENTAL ONLY...THIS PRODUCT IS FOR PLANNING AND REVIEW PURPOSES ONLY AND
IS NOT TO BE SUBSTITUTED FOR AN OFFICIAL FIRE WEATHER SPOT
FORECAST.
BELOW IS A WEATHER ELEMENT KEY FOR THIS PRODUCT.
(NOTE...WINDS DO NOT REFLECT LOCAL TERRAIN EFFECTS.)

DAY 1 THROUGH 3...
MAX/MIN TEMP or MIN/MAX TEMP(F).....MAXIMUM/MINIMUM AIR TEMPERATURE
TEMP(F).............................AIR TEMPERATURE
DEWPT(F)............................DEW POINT TEMPERATURE
MIN/MAX RH or MAX/MIN RH(%).........MAXIMUM/MINIMUM HUMIDITY
RH(%)...............................RELATIVE HUMIDITY
WIND DIR(8 POINT COMPASS)...........20 FT. WIND DIRECTION
WIND DIR DEG(DEGREES)...............20 FT. WIND DIRECTION IN TENS OF DEGREES
                                    RELATIVE TO DUE NORTH.
     EXAMPLE: 09 = 90 DEGREES = EAST; 18 = 180 DEGREES = SOUTH;
              27 = 270 DEGREES = WEST; 36 = 360 DEGREES = NORTH
WIND SPD(MPH).......................20 FT. WIND SPEED
WIND GUST(MPH)......................20 FT. WIND GUST
WIND CHILL..........................WIND CHILL TEMPERATURE
HEAT INDX...........................HEAT INDEX
CLOUDS(CAT).........................CLOUD COVER CATEGORY
     EXAMPLE: CL = CLEAR; FW = FEW; SC = SCATTERED;
              B1 = MOSTLY CLOUDY; B2 = CONSIDERABLE CLOUDS; OV = OVERCAST
CLOUDS(%)...........................CLOUD COVER AS A PERCENTAGE
VSBY................................VISIBILITY VALUE IN STATUTE MILES
POP 12HR(%).........................PROBABILITY FOR ACCUMULATING PRECIPITATION
QPF 12HR(IN)........................LIQUID EQUIVALENT PRECIPITATION AMOUNT
WEATHER...
     TYPE...
       RAIN...........RAIN
       RAIN SHWRS.....RAIN SHOWERS
       TSTMS..........THUNDERSTORMS
       DRIZZLE........DRIZZLE
       SNOW...........SNOW
       SNOWSHWRS......SNOW SHOWERS
       SLEET..........SLEET
       FLURRIES.......FLURRIES
       FRZG RAIN......FREEZING RAIN
       FRZG DRZL......FREEZING DRIZZLE
     COVERAGE...
       S..............SLIGHT CHANCE
       C..............CHANCE
       L..............LIKELY
       O..............OCCASIONAL
       D..............DEFINITE
       AR.............AREAS
       PA.............PATCHY
OBVIS...............................OBSTRUCTION TO VISIBILITY
     TYPE...
       F..............FOG
       PF.............PATCHY FOG
       F+.............DENSE FOG
       H..............HAZE
       BS.............BLOWING SNOW
       K..............SMOKE
       BD.............BLOWING DUST
       AF.............VOLCANIC ASHFALL
MIX HGT(FT AGL).....................MIXING HEIGHT
T WIND DIR(8 POINT COMPASS).........TRANSPORT WIND DIRECTION
T WIND SPD(MPH).....................TRANSPORT WIND SPEED
SMOKE DISPERSION....................SMOKE DISPERSION CATEGORY
     VALUES: VP = VERY POOR; PR = POOR; FR = FAIR; GD = GOOD
ADI (INDEX).........................ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX
CEILING (FT)........................CEILING
PRESSURE (INCHES MERCURY)...........STATION PRESSURE
MAX LVORI (INDEX)...................LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX
STABILITY (CAT).....................PASQUILL TURNER STABILITY
WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY...
     EXAMPLE: W = WARNING; Y = ADVISORY; A = WATCH
     IN EFFECT FOR THE INDICATED HOUR 

DAY 4 THROUGH 7...
MAX/MIN TEMP or MIN/MAX TEMP(F).....MAXIMUM/MINIMUM AIR TEMPERATURE
TEMP(F).............................AIR TEMPERATURE
DEWPT(F)............................DEW POINT TEMPERATURE
RH(%)...............................RELATIVE HUMIDITY
WIND DIR............................20 FT. WIND DIRECTION
WIND SPD(MPH).......................20 FT. WIND SPEED
AVG CLOUDS(CAT).....................AVERAGE CLOUD COVER CATEGORY
POP 12HR(%).........................PROBABILITY FOR ACCUMULATING PRECIPITATION
WEATHER...
     SEE DAY 1 THROUGH 3 WEATHER DESCRIPTIONS