National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

	EXPERIMENTAL...FIRE WEATHER POINT FORECAST MATRICES
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE Wakefield VA
410 PM EST Thu Feb 5 2026

VAZ064-060900-
Ft AP Hill RAWS - Caroline VA
38.10N  77.27W Elev. 201 ft
410 PM EST Thu Feb 5 2026

Date           02/05/26      Fri 02/06/26            Sat 02/07/26            Sun
UTC 3hrly     21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12
EST 3hrly     16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07

MIN/MAX                      17          38          16          25          10
TEMP             26 23 21 19 19 30 36 38 33 30 28 24 18 20 23 22 17 14 12 11 10
DEWPT            16 16 16 16 16 18 18 22 28 27 25 20  9  1 -2 -3 -3 -3 -2 -2 -2
MAX/MIN RH                   89          47          93          32          57
RH               67 76 82 89 88 60 47 52 81 89 89 83 68 43 33 32 41 46 51 56 57
WIND DIR          N  N  N NW  W  S  S  S  S  W  W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
WIND DIR DEG     01 00 34 33 25 19 20 20 16 26 29 30 32 32 32 32 32 33 32 32 32
WIND SPD          2  1  1  1  1  2  3  3  2  2  3  8 16 19 19 19 14 11 10  8  5
CLOUDS           FW SC B2 B1 SC SC B2 OV OV B1 SC SC FW FW FW FW CL CL CL CL FW
CLOUDS(%)         7 45 71 64 35 41 87 92 93 55 46 44 16 10 15 16  3  4  3  5  9
VSBY              7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7
POP 12HR                      0          40          20           0           0
QPF 12HR                      0        0.02        0.01           0           0
SNOW 12HR                 00-00           T       00-00                        
RAIN                                      S                                    
SNOW                                S  C  S  S                                 
MIX HGT               500   500  2500  2500   500  4300  5300  5200  3900  3000
T WIND DIR             NW     N     S    SW     W    NW    NW    NW    NW    NW
T WIND SPD              2     1     4     9     5    17    42    40    31    20
SMOKE DISP             PR    PR    PR    PR    PR    VG    EX    EX    VG    GD
ADI                     2     1    19    24     5   113   120   120    50    56
MAX LVORI               6     7     6     5     8     6     1     1     2     2
STABILITY               F     F     B     C     F     E     D     D     D     E
CEILING             23500 18200 10800  6300  1000  7200 30000 30000 30000 23500
PRESSURE            29.82 29.73 29.67 29.51 29.46 29.51 29.76 29.88 30.07 30.17


Date           02/08Mon 02/09/26Tue 02/10/26Wed 02/11/26Thu 02/12/26
UTC 6hrly     18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00
EST 6hrly     13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19

MAX/MIN          27    14    36    18    45    29    51    35    52
TEMP          24 22 18 15 33 29 21 20 43 37 31 31 48 43 41 36 50 43
DEWPT         -1  5  7  7  9 13 13 14 21 25 28 29 33 32 34 33 32 29
MIN/MAX RH       32    72    33    81    41    94    50    90    46
RH            34 47 61 69 36 52 71 78 41 61 85 94 56 66 76 89 52 58
WIND DIR      NW NW  N  N  N NE SW SE SW SE SW SW  W  E SW  W  W NW
WIND SPD       8  2  2  1  3  1  1  1  3  3  2  3  4  3  3  3  5  3
AVG CLOUDS    FW SC FW SC B1 SC B1 SC SC FW SC B1 B2 B2 B2 OV B2 B2
POP 12HR          5     5     0     0     0    10    30    20    30
RAIN                                               C  S  S  S  C  S

$$

VAZ081-060900-
EXPERIMENTAL ONLY...THIS PRODUCT IS FOR PLANNING AND REVIEW PURPOSES ONLY AND
IS NOT TO BE SUBSTITUTED FOR AN OFFICIAL FIRE WEATHER SPOT
FORECAST.
BELOW IS A WEATHER ELEMENT KEY FOR THIS PRODUCT.
(NOTE...WINDS DO NOT REFLECT LOCAL TERRAIN EFFECTS.)

DAY 1 THROUGH 3...
MAX/MIN TEMP or MIN/MAX TEMP(F).....MAXIMUM/MINIMUM AIR TEMPERATURE
TEMP(F).............................AIR TEMPERATURE
DEWPT(F)............................DEW POINT TEMPERATURE
MIN/MAX RH or MAX/MIN RH(%).........MAXIMUM/MINIMUM HUMIDITY
RH(%)...............................RELATIVE HUMIDITY
WIND DIR(8 POINT COMPASS)...........20 FT. WIND DIRECTION
WIND DIR DEG(DEGREES)...............20 FT. WIND DIRECTION IN TENS OF DEGREES
                                    RELATIVE TO DUE NORTH.
     EXAMPLE: 09 = 90 DEGREES = EAST; 18 = 180 DEGREES = SOUTH;
              27 = 270 DEGREES = WEST; 36 = 360 DEGREES = NORTH
WIND SPD(MPH).......................20 FT. WIND SPEED
WIND GUST(MPH)......................20 FT. WIND GUST
WIND CHILL..........................WIND CHILL TEMPERATURE
HEAT INDX...........................HEAT INDEX
CLOUDS(CAT).........................CLOUD COVER CATEGORY
     EXAMPLE: CL = CLEAR; FW = FEW; SC = SCATTERED;
              B1 = MOSTLY CLOUDY; B2 = CONSIDERABLE CLOUDS; OV = OVERCAST
CLOUDS(%)...........................CLOUD COVER AS A PERCENTAGE
VSBY................................VISIBILITY VALUE IN STATUTE MILES
POP 12HR(%).........................PROBABILITY FOR ACCUMULATING PRECIPITATION
QPF 12HR(IN)........................LIQUID EQUIVALENT PRECIPITATION AMOUNT
WEATHER...
     TYPE...
       RAIN...........RAIN
       RAIN SHWRS.....RAIN SHOWERS
       TSTMS..........THUNDERSTORMS
       DRIZZLE........DRIZZLE
       SNOW...........SNOW
       SNOWSHWRS......SNOW SHOWERS
       SLEET..........SLEET
       FLURRIES.......FLURRIES
       FRZG RAIN......FREEZING RAIN
       FRZG DRZL......FREEZING DRIZZLE
     COVERAGE...
       S..............SLIGHT CHANCE
       C..............CHANCE
       L..............LIKELY
       O..............OCCASIONAL
       D..............DEFINITE
       AR.............AREAS
       PA.............PATCHY
OBVIS...............................OBSTRUCTION TO VISIBILITY
     TYPE...
       F..............FOG
       PF.............PATCHY FOG
       F+.............DENSE FOG
       H..............HAZE
       BS.............BLOWING SNOW
       K..............SMOKE
       BD.............BLOWING DUST
       AF.............VOLCANIC ASHFALL
MIX HGT(FT AGL).....................MIXING HEIGHT
T WIND DIR(8 POINT COMPASS).........TRANSPORT WIND DIRECTION
T WIND SPD(MPH).....................TRANSPORT WIND SPEED
SMOKE DISPERSION....................SMOKE DISPERSION CATEGORY
     VALUES: VP = VERY POOR; PR = POOR; FR = FAIR; GD = GOOD
ADI (INDEX).........................ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX
CEILING (FT)........................CEILING
PRESSURE (INCHES MERCURY)...........STATION PRESSURE
MAX LVORI (INDEX)...................LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX
STABILITY (CAT).....................PASQUILL TURNER STABILITY
WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY...
     EXAMPLE: W = WARNING; Y = ADVISORY; A = WATCH
     IN EFFECT FOR THE INDICATED HOUR 

DAY 4 THROUGH 7...
MAX/MIN TEMP or MIN/MAX TEMP(F).....MAXIMUM/MINIMUM AIR TEMPERATURE
TEMP(F).............................AIR TEMPERATURE
DEWPT(F)............................DEW POINT TEMPERATURE
RH(%)...............................RELATIVE HUMIDITY
WIND DIR............................20 FT. WIND DIRECTION
WIND SPD(MPH).......................20 FT. WIND SPEED
AVG CLOUDS(CAT).....................AVERAGE CLOUD COVER CATEGORY
POP 12HR(%).........................PROBABILITY FOR ACCUMULATING PRECIPITATION
WEATHER...
     SEE DAY 1 THROUGH 3 WEATHER DESCRIPTIONS