National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

	EXPERIMENTAL...FIRE WEATHER POINT FORECAST MATRICES
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE Wakefield VA
410 PM EST Thu Jan 15 2026

VAZ064-160900-
Ft AP Hill RAWS - Caroline VA
38.10N  77.27W Elev. 201 ft
410 PM EST Thu Jan 15 2026

Date           01/15/26      Fri 01/16/26            Sat 01/17/26            Sun
UTC 3hrly     21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12
EST 3hrly     16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07

MIN/MAX                      17          40          31          49          29
TEMP             27 24 22 19 18 30 38 40 34 33 33 34 34 40 46 47 40 36 35 32 30
DEWPT             6  6  7  6  7 10  9  9 11 12 14 17 20 29 32 32 31 29 28 27 26
MAX/MIN RH                   61          28          54          54          85
RH               40 45 52 57 62 43 30 28 38 41 44 49 56 64 58 56 70 75 75 81 85
WIND DIR         NW  W  W SW SW SW SW  S  S  S  S  S  S SW SW SW SW  W NW  N  N
WIND DIR DEG     29 29 27 24 22 22 21 20 19 20 20 20 19 21 22 23 24 27 30 34 35
WIND SPD          9  6  4  4  3  3  6  8  4  5  4  4  4  5  6  4  3  2  2  2  2
CLOUDS           FW FW CL CL CL SC SC SC FW B1 B2 B2 B2 B2 B1 SC SC SC B1 B2 OV
CLOUDS(%)         7 11  5  4  5 26 42 36 13 51 84 70 85 80 64 43 29 45 65 71 89
VSBY              7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7
POP 12HR                      0           5          20          40          20
QPF 12HR                      0           0           0           0           0
SNOW 12HR                 00-00       00-00       00-00                        
RAIN                                                  C  C              S      
SNOW                                            S  S  C                 S  S  C
MIX HGT              2700  1700  3100  3000   700   800  3400  3100   500   500
T WIND DIR             NW     W    SW     S     S    SW    SW    SW    SW    NW
T WIND SPD             23    14    12    14    14    10    11    14     3     2
SMOKE DISP             FR    PR    PR    FR    PR    PR    PR    FR    PR    PR
ADI                    17     9    41    60    12    10    46    61     2     1
MAX LVORI               2     3     2     2     2     2     2     3     4     6
STABILITY               E     F     C     C     F     E     D     C     F     F
CEILING             30000 30000 29600 15900  6300  6300  5500 20800 20800  9800
PRESSURE            29.64 29.76 29.88 29.86 29.86 29.88 29.95 29.95 30.05 30.09


Date           01/18Mon 01/19/26Tue 01/20/26Wed 01/21/26Thu 01/22/26
UTC 6hrly     18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00
EST 6hrly     13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19

MAX/MIN          34    18    38    13    27    14    38    26    44
TEMP          33 27 22 19 36 30 21 14 25 20 17 18 36 33 29 26 40 34
DEWPT         23 20 14 13 12 12  5 -1 -5 -1  1  5  8 12 15 17 20 19
MIN/MAX RH       58    82    34    52    24    58    28    69    38
RH            66 73 71 78 36 46 49 51 26 39 49 57 30 42 55 69 43 54
WIND DIR      NW NW  W SW SW  W NW NW  W  W SW  S SW  S SW SW  W  N
WIND SPD       4  2  2  3  9  4  3  3  5  2  2  3  8  4  4  4  5  3
AVG CLOUDS    B2 B1 FW FW FW FW FW FW FW CL CL FW SC SC SC B1 SC SC
POP 12HR         30    10     0     0     0     0     0    10    10
SNOW           C  C                                                

$$

VAZ081-160900-
EXPERIMENTAL ONLY...THIS PRODUCT IS FOR PLANNING AND REVIEW PURPOSES ONLY AND
IS NOT TO BE SUBSTITUTED FOR AN OFFICIAL FIRE WEATHER SPOT
FORECAST.
BELOW IS A WEATHER ELEMENT KEY FOR THIS PRODUCT.
(NOTE...WINDS DO NOT REFLECT LOCAL TERRAIN EFFECTS.)

DAY 1 THROUGH 3...
MAX/MIN TEMP or MIN/MAX TEMP(F).....MAXIMUM/MINIMUM AIR TEMPERATURE
TEMP(F).............................AIR TEMPERATURE
DEWPT(F)............................DEW POINT TEMPERATURE
MIN/MAX RH or MAX/MIN RH(%).........MAXIMUM/MINIMUM HUMIDITY
RH(%)...............................RELATIVE HUMIDITY
WIND DIR(8 POINT COMPASS)...........20 FT. WIND DIRECTION
WIND DIR DEG(DEGREES)...............20 FT. WIND DIRECTION IN TENS OF DEGREES
                                    RELATIVE TO DUE NORTH.
     EXAMPLE: 09 = 90 DEGREES = EAST; 18 = 180 DEGREES = SOUTH;
              27 = 270 DEGREES = WEST; 36 = 360 DEGREES = NORTH
WIND SPD(MPH).......................20 FT. WIND SPEED
WIND GUST(MPH)......................20 FT. WIND GUST
WIND CHILL..........................WIND CHILL TEMPERATURE
HEAT INDX...........................HEAT INDEX
CLOUDS(CAT).........................CLOUD COVER CATEGORY
     EXAMPLE: CL = CLEAR; FW = FEW; SC = SCATTERED;
              B1 = MOSTLY CLOUDY; B2 = CONSIDERABLE CLOUDS; OV = OVERCAST
CLOUDS(%)...........................CLOUD COVER AS A PERCENTAGE
VSBY................................VISIBILITY VALUE IN STATUTE MILES
POP 12HR(%).........................PROBABILITY FOR ACCUMULATING PRECIPITATION
QPF 12HR(IN)........................LIQUID EQUIVALENT PRECIPITATION AMOUNT
WEATHER...
     TYPE...
       RAIN...........RAIN
       RAIN SHWRS.....RAIN SHOWERS
       TSTMS..........THUNDERSTORMS
       DRIZZLE........DRIZZLE
       SNOW...........SNOW
       SNOWSHWRS......SNOW SHOWERS
       SLEET..........SLEET
       FLURRIES.......FLURRIES
       FRZG RAIN......FREEZING RAIN
       FRZG DRZL......FREEZING DRIZZLE
     COVERAGE...
       S..............SLIGHT CHANCE
       C..............CHANCE
       L..............LIKELY
       O..............OCCASIONAL
       D..............DEFINITE
       AR.............AREAS
       PA.............PATCHY
OBVIS...............................OBSTRUCTION TO VISIBILITY
     TYPE...
       F..............FOG
       PF.............PATCHY FOG
       F+.............DENSE FOG
       H..............HAZE
       BS.............BLOWING SNOW
       K..............SMOKE
       BD.............BLOWING DUST
       AF.............VOLCANIC ASHFALL
MIX HGT(FT AGL).....................MIXING HEIGHT
T WIND DIR(8 POINT COMPASS).........TRANSPORT WIND DIRECTION
T WIND SPD(MPH).....................TRANSPORT WIND SPEED
SMOKE DISPERSION....................SMOKE DISPERSION CATEGORY
     VALUES: VP = VERY POOR; PR = POOR; FR = FAIR; GD = GOOD
ADI (INDEX).........................ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX
CEILING (FT)........................CEILING
PRESSURE (INCHES MERCURY)...........STATION PRESSURE
MAX LVORI (INDEX)...................LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX
STABILITY (CAT).....................PASQUILL TURNER STABILITY
WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY...
     EXAMPLE: W = WARNING; Y = ADVISORY; A = WATCH
     IN EFFECT FOR THE INDICATED HOUR 

DAY 4 THROUGH 7...
MAX/MIN TEMP or MIN/MAX TEMP(F).....MAXIMUM/MINIMUM AIR TEMPERATURE
TEMP(F).............................AIR TEMPERATURE
DEWPT(F)............................DEW POINT TEMPERATURE
RH(%)...............................RELATIVE HUMIDITY
WIND DIR............................20 FT. WIND DIRECTION
WIND SPD(MPH).......................20 FT. WIND SPEED
AVG CLOUDS(CAT).....................AVERAGE CLOUD COVER CATEGORY
POP 12HR(%).........................PROBABILITY FOR ACCUMULATING PRECIPITATION
WEATHER...
     SEE DAY 1 THROUGH 3 WEATHER DESCRIPTIONS