Surf Matrix areas beaches NWS Wakefield

* EXPERIMENTAL - NOT FOR OPERATIONAL USE *

Experimental Surf Forecast Matrix

In the tabs below you can view Surf Forecast Matrices for various beaches over the Wakefield, VA forecast area. This product is experimental and not intended to be substituted for the official Surf Zone Forecast, which can be viewed HERE. Additional information on this project and variable definitions can be found HERE. We are seeking feedback on this over the next several months, so please send us your input via an online survey.

The Rip Probabilities included in the matrices below are from a rip current forecast model tied to NOAA's Nearshore Wave Prediction System. This model predicts the probabilities of hazardous rip currents occurring using output from the nearshore wave model and predicted tide levels. Values are calculated from 0-100%, hourly through 144 hours.

Maryland Beaches
Accomack-Northampton Beaches
Virginia Beach
Currituck Beaches

Maryland Beaches

Date               Mon 10/12                     Tue 10/13
EDT 3hrly          08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20

Rip Current Risk High High High High                                             
Rip Probability    75   69   75   67   57   56   62   54   30   22   29   29   20
Surf Height (ft)    3    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    1    1    1    1
Dom Period (s)      9    9    8    8    8    8    7    7    7    7    7    7    6
Chance Precip      40    5    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover       Cld Mcld Pcld Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr  Clr  Clr Mclr
Temperature        65   64   67   69   67   64   62   61   62   68   70   70   68
Heat Index                                                                       
Wind (mph)       NW14  N18  N18  N14  NW7  NW6  NW6  NW5  NW3  SW3  S10  S12  S12
Wind Gust          20   24   25                                                  


Date               Wed 10/14           Thu 10/15           Fri 10/16           Sat 10/17
EDT 6hrly          02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14

Rip Probability    52   30   26   19   24   19   17   20   22   35   53   59   40   23   MM
Surf Height (ft)    2    1    1    1    1    1    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2
Dom Period (s)      6    6    7    7    7    8    8    8    9    4    5    5    7    9    9
Chance Precip       0    0    0   20   20   10   10   10   20   20   40   30   10   10    5
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Mclr  Clr  Clr Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld
Temperature        68   67   76   72   70   65   67   65   66   65   72   68   59   52   55
Heat Index                                                                                 
Wind (mph)       SW14 SW10 SW12  SW6  NW8  N12 NE13   E9  SE9  S15 SW18  W26 NW29 NW29 NW26
Wind Gust                                                       20   26   33        36   37

Accomack-Northampton Beaches

Date               Mon 10/12                     Tue 10/13
EDT 3hrly          08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20

Rip Current Risk High High High High                                             
Rip Probability    74   72   81   68   38   44   59   45   17   14   25   26   15
Surf Height (ft)    4    3    3    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2
Dom Period (s)      8    8    8    8    8    8    7    7    7    7    7    7    6
Chance Precip      20    5    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover       Cld Mcld Pcld Pcld Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr  Clr  Clr Mclr
Temperature        65   65   68   69   67   65   63   63   63   68   70   70   68
Heat Index                                                                       
Wind (mph)        W15 NW18  N18  N14  NW7  NW6  NW6  NW5  NW3   W3   S9  S12  S13
Wind Gust          20   25   25   20                                             


Date               Wed 10/14           Thu 10/15           Fri 10/16           Sat 10/17
EDT 6hrly          02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14

Rip Probability    63   31   36   20   28   16   15   15   16   26   54   71   44   22   MM
Surf Height (ft)    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    3    3    3    3    3
Dom Period (s)      6    6    7    7    7    7    8    8    8    9    4    5    9    9    8
Chance Precip       0    0    0   10   10   10   10   10   10   10   40   30   10   10    5
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Mclr  Clr  Clr Mclr Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld
Temperature        68   68   76   72   70   66   68   66   66   66   73   68   60   53   56
Heat Index                                                                                 
Wind (mph)       SW14 SW10 SW10  SW7   W8  N12 NE14 NE10 SE10  S14 SW20 NW31 NW31 NW31 NW30
Wind Gust                                                            26   36             36

Virginia Beach

Date               Mon 10/12                     Tue 10/13
EDT 3hrly          08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20

Rip Current Risk  Mod  Mod  Mod  Mod                                             
Rip Probability    18   15   25   32   19   16   21   17    7    8   16   19   12
Surf Height (ft)    4    3    4    3    3    3    2    2    2    2    2    2    2
Dom Period (s)      8    8    8    8    8    8    7    7    7    7    7    7    7
Chance Precip       5    5    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Mcld  Cld Pcld Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr  Clr  Clr Mclr
Temperature        67   68   70   70   70   66   65   64   66   70   73   73   72
Heat Index                                                                       
Wind (mph)        W20 NW21 NW24  N21  N10   N3  NW3  NW5  NW5  NW3  SE6  SE9  S10
Wind Gust          25   28   31   26                                             


Date               Wed 10/14           Thu 10/15           Fri 10/16           Sat 10/17
EDT 6hrly          02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14

Rip Probability    15   10    7    5    5    4   12   17   16   16   14   16   13   12   MM
Surf Height (ft)    2    2    2    2    2    2    3    3    2    2    3    3    4    5    5
Dom Period (s)      6    6    6    7    7    7    8    8    8    8    8    9    5    5    6
Chance Precip       0    0    0    0    0    5    5   10    5    5   20   30   20   10    5
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover       Clr  Clr  Clr Mclr Mclr Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld
Temperature        69   68   79   75   72   70   73   71   69   69   78   73   64   58   60
Heat Index                                                                                 
Wind (mph)       SW12 SW12  SW7  SW8 SW10  N12 NE14 NE12  SE9 SW12 SW17 NW26 NW33 NW32  N30
Wind Gust                                                            24   35   40   37   39

Currituck Beaches

Date               Mon 10/12                     Tue 10/13
EDT 3hrly          08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20

Rip Current Risk  Mod  Mod  Mod  Mod                                             
Rip Probability    22   19   31   33   21   17   20   14    6    6   15   19   13
Surf Height (ft)    3    3    3    3    3    3    2    2    2    2    2    2    2
Dom Period (s)      8    8    8    8    8    8    7    7    7    7    7    7    7
Chance Precip       5    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Pcld Mcld Pcld Pcld Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr  Clr  Clr  Clr  Clr
Temperature        68   70   71   71   70   67   66   65   67   70   72   73   72
Heat Index                                                                       
Wind (mph)        W21  W21 NW22  N20   N9   N3   N3  NW3  NW5  NW3   S5   S7   S8
Wind Gust          26   26   29   26                                             


Date               Wed 10/14           Thu 10/15           Fri 10/16           Sat 10/17
EDT 6hrly          02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14

Rip Probability    19   13   14   11    9    7   13   19   18   19   21   26   18   14   MM
Surf Height (ft)    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    3    3    3    3    3    4    4    5
Dom Period (s)      7    6    6    7    7    7    8    9    9    9    9    9    6    6    7
Chance Precip       0    0    0    0    0    0    5    5    5    0   20   30   20   10   10
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover       Clr  Clr  Clr  Clr Mclr Mclr Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mclr
Temperature        69   69   78   75   72   70   74   71   70   71   78   73   65   59   61
Heat Index                                                                                 
Wind (mph)        SW9 SW10  SW8  SW7  SW8 NW10 NE12  NE9  SE7 SW10 SW15  W21 NW31  N30  N29
Wind Gust                                   16   18   15        16   24   31   40   38   40

Surf Matrix areas beaches NWS Wakefield

*** EXPERIMENTAL - NOT FOR OPERATIONAL USE ***

* EXPERIMENTAL - NOT FOR OPERATIONAL USE *