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Francine Expected to Produce Multiple Hazards Along the Gulf Coast

Tropical storm Francine in the western Gulf of Mexico continues to strengthen and track northward. Heavy to excessive rainfall and flooding, life-threatening storm surge and strong winds are expected along the Texas and Louisiana coasts Tuesday through the middle of the week with landfall likely along the Louisiana coast on Wednesday. Continue to follow the Hurricane Center for more updates. Read More >

Wakefield, VA

Weather Forecast Office

Surf Matrix areas beaches NWS Wakefield

Weather.gov > Wakefield, VA > Surf Matrix areas beaches NWS Wakefield

 

***  EXPERIMENTAL - NOT FOR OPERATIONAL USE   ***

 

Experimental Surf Forecast Matrix
Experimental - Leave Feedback
What's This?
Product Description Document

 

In the tabs below you can view Surf Forecast Matrices for various beaches over the Wakefield, VA forecast area.  This product is experimental and not intended to be substituted for the official Surf Zone Forecast, which can be viewed HERE.  Additional information on this project and variable definitions can be found HERE. We are seeking feedback on this over the next several months, so please send us your input via an online survey.

The Rip Probabilities included in the matrices below are from a rip current forecast model tied to NOAA's Nearshore Wave Prediction System. This model predicts the probabilities of hazardous rip currents occurring using output from the nearshore wave model and predicted tide levels. Values are calculated from 0-100%, hourly through 144 hours.

 

 

Maryland  Beaches 

Date                         Tue 09/10                               Wed 09/11
EDT 3hrly          20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14

Rip Current Risk                      Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low
Rip Probability    40   33   33   42   38   26   22   31   37   32   29   34   36   25   17
Surf Height (ft)    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1
Dom Period (s)      8    8    8    8    8    8    9    9   11   11   10   10   10   10    9
Chance Precip       0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover       Clr  Clr  Clr  Clr  Clr  Clr  Clr Mclr Mclr  Clr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr
Temperature        69   67   65   63   64   72   74   74   72   70   68   65   66   71   72
Heat Index                                                                                 
Wind (mph)        SW9  SW8  SW9   W8   W8  NW7  SE8   S9   S8  SW7  SW5   W5   N5   E6   E8
Wind Gust                                                                                  


Date                    Thu 09/12           Fri 09/13           Sat 09/14
EDT 6hrly          20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14

Rip Probability    27   18   29   18   34   31   44   37   48   49   50   49
Surf Height (ft)    1    1    1    1    1    1    2    2    2    2    2    2
Dom Period (s)      9    9    9    8    8    8    8    8    7    7    7    7
Chance Precip       0    0    0    0    0    0    5    5   10   10   10   10
TSTM Potential   None None None None None   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM
Cloud Cover      Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld
Temperature        69   67   67   72   69   68   68   72   70   69   68   73
Heat Index                                                                  
Wind (mph)        SE7   E5  NE7  E12   E9   E7  NE9  E12  E10   E6  NE8   E7
Wind Gust

 
Accomack-Northampton  Beaches 

Date                         Tue 09/10                               Wed 09/11
EDT 3hrly          20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14

Rip Current Risk                      Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low
Rip Probability    28   20   24   36   30   17   14   25   32   22   20   29   31   17   10
Surf Height (ft)    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2
Dom Period (s)      9    9    9    9    9    9    9    9   11   11   10   10   10   10    9
Chance Precip       0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover       Clr  Clr  Clr  Clr  Clr  Clr  Clr  Clr Mclr  Clr  Clr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr
Temperature        69   67   66   65   66   73   75   75   71   69   68   66   67   72   73
Heat Index                                                                                 
Wind (mph)        SW9 SW10  SW9   W9   W9  NW7   S8  S10   S8  SW7  SW6   W5   N6   E6   E8
Wind Gust                                                                                  


Date                    Thu 09/12           Fri 09/13           Sat 09/14
EDT 6hrly          20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14

Rip Probability    24   13   28   12   34   26   44   27   44   39   44   36
Surf Height (ft)    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2
Dom Period (s)      9    9    9    8    8    8    8    8    7    7    7    7
Chance Precip       0    0    0    0    0    0    5    5   10   10   10   10
TSTM Potential   None None None None None   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM
Cloud Cover      Mclr Mclr Mclr Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld
Temperature        69   67   68   73   69   68   69   74   70   69   69   74
Heat Index                                                                  
Wind (mph)        SE8   E6  NE9  E12  E12   E8 NE10  E12  E13   E7  NE9   E9
Wind Gust

 
Virginia  Beach 

Date                         Tue 09/10                               Wed 09/11
EDT 3hrly          20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14

Rip Current Risk                      Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low
Rip Probability    19   13   13   16   14    7    6    9   11    8    8    9   11    6    5
Surf Height (ft)    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2
Dom Period (s)      9    9    9    9    8    8    8    8    8    8   11   11   10   10   10
Chance Precip       0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover       Clr  Clr  Clr  Clr  Clr  Clr  Clr  Clr  Clr  Clr  Clr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr
Temperature        70   68   66   63   63   70   73   74   72   70   68   67   68   72   73
Heat Index                                                                                 
Wind (mph)        SE8   S8  SW7   W7   W8  NW6   E6  SE7  SE7   S6  SW5   W3   N3  NE6   E9
Wind Gust                                                                                  


Date                    Thu 09/12           Fri 09/13           Sat 09/14
EDT 6hrly          20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14

Rip Probability    10    5    9    9   17   13   19   17   21   18   21   20
Surf Height (ft)    2    2    2    3    3    3    3    3    3    3    3    3
Dom Period (s)      9    9    9    9    8    8    7    7    7    7    7    7
Chance Precip       0    0    0    0    5    5   10   10   10   10   10   20
TSTM Potential   None None None None None   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM
Cloud Cover      Mclr Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mcld Mcld Mcld Pcld Pcld Pcld
Temperature        71   69   70   73   71   72   72   74   72   72   73   75
Heat Index                                                                  
Wind (mph)         E8   E9 NE12 NE15 NE14  E12  E13 NE15  E13  E10  E12  E13
Wind Gust                                             20

 
Currituck  Beaches 

Date                         Tue 09/10                               Wed 09/11
EDT 3hrly          20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14

Rip Current Risk                      Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low
Rip Probability    31   22   22   26   22   14   12   16   19   15   14   17   18   13   10
Surf Height (ft)    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2
Dom Period (s)      9    9    9    9    9    9    9    9    8    8   11   11   11   11   10
Chance Precip       0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Mclr  Clr  Clr  Clr  Clr  Clr  Clr  Clr Mclr  Clr  Clr  Clr Mclr Mclr Mclr
Temperature        70   69   67   65   65   69   72   73   72   71   70   69   69   72   73
Heat Index                                                                                 
Wind (mph)        SE6   S6  SW5   W5   W6  NW5   E6  SE7  SE7  SE5   S3   N3   N5  NE7  NE8
Wind Gust                                                                                  


Date                    Thu 09/12           Fri 09/13           Sat 09/14
EDT 6hrly          20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14

Rip Probability    17   11   17   16   25   21   28   25   29   27   31   30
Surf Height (ft)    2    2    2    3    3    3    3    4    3    3    3    4
Dom Period (s)     10    9    9    9    8    8    7    7    7    7    7    7
Chance Precip       0    0    0    0    5    5   10   10   20   20   20   20
TSTM Potential   None None None None None   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM
Cloud Cover      Mclr Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mcld Mcld Mcld Mcld Mcld Pcld Pcld
Temperature        72   71   72   74   72   72   72   74   73   73   73   74
Heat Index                                                                  
Wind (mph)        NE9  E10 NE14 NE15 NE14  E12 NE13  E15  E13  E10  E12 NE14
Wind Gust                         20                  20

 
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