Surf Matrix areas beaches NWS Wakefield

* EXPERIMENTAL - NOT FOR OPERATIONAL USE *

Experimental Surf Forecast Matrix

In the tabs below you can view Surf Forecast Matrices for various beaches over the Wakefield, VA forecast area. This product is experimental and not intended to be substituted for the official Surf Zone Forecast, which can be viewed HERE. Additional information on this project and variable definitions can be found HERE. We are seeking feedback on this over the next several months, so please send us your input via an online survey.

The Rip Probabilities included in the matrices below are from a rip current forecast model tied to NOAA's Nearshore Wave Prediction System. This model predicts the probabilities of hazardous rip currents occurring using output from the nearshore wave model and predicted tide levels. Values are calculated from 0-100%, hourly through 144 hours.

Maryland Beaches
Accomack-Northampton Beaches
Virginia Beach
Currituck Beaches

Maryland Beaches

Date               Sat 09/12                          Sun 09/13
EDT 3hrly          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20

Rip Current Risk       Mod  Mod  Mod  Mod                      Low  Low  Low  Low     
Rip Probability    MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM
Surf Height (ft)    1    1    1    2    2    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1
Dom Period (s)      9    9    9    5    5    5    5    9    9    9    9   10   10    9
Chance Precip       5    5    5    5   10   30   30   70   70   60   40   10   10    5
TSTM Potential   None None None None None  Mod  Mod  Mod  Low  Low  Low  Low None None
Cloud Cover      Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mcld  Cld  Cld Mcld Mcld Mcld Mcld Pcld Pcld Pcld
Temperature        74   75   76   77   77   76   76   76   75   75   78   80   79   78
Heat Index                                                                     83     
Wind (mph)        E10  E13  E14 SE14 SE13 SE13 SE12  S12  S12 SW10  SW9   W9  SW8  SW6
Wind Gust                    20                                                       


Date               Mon 09/14           Tue 09/15           Wed 09/16           Thu 09/17
EDT 6hrly          02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14

Rip Probability    MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM
Surf Height (ft)    1    1    1    1    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2
Dom Period (s)      9    9    9    9    9    6    6    7    8    8    9    9   10    9    9
Chance Precip       0   10   10    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Mclr Pcld Pcld Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr
Temperature        75   73   77   73   70   70   74   72   69   69   75   73   72   71   77
Heat Index                                                                                 
Wind (mph)         W5 NW10  N16  N14  N16 NE13 NE12   E8   E5  NE3   E8  SE7   S5   S3  S10
Wind Gust               15   22        22                                                15

Accomack-Northampton Beaches

Date               Sat 09/12                          Sun 09/13
EDT 3hrly          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20

Rip Current Risk       Mod  Mod  Mod  Mod                      Low  Low  Low  Low     
Rip Probability    MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM
Surf Height (ft)    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2
Dom Period (s)      9    9    9    6    6    6    6    9    9    9    9   10   10    9
Chance Precip       5   10    5   10   10   30   40   70   70   60   30   20   10    5
TSTM Potential   None None None None None  Mod  Mod  Low  Low  Low  Low  Low None None
Cloud Cover      Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mcld Mcld Mcld Mcld Mcld Mcld Mcld Pcld Pcld Mclr
Temperature        74   76   77   78   78   77   76   76   76   76   79   81   80   78
Heat Index                                                                85   84     
Wind (mph)        E12  E14  E15 SE14  E13 SE12 SE12  S12  S12 SW10 SW10  SW9  SW7  SW6
Wind Gust                    20                                                       


Date               Mon 09/14           Tue 09/15           Wed 09/16           Thu 09/17
EDT 6hrly          02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14

Rip Probability    MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM
Surf Height (ft)    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2
Dom Period (s)      9    9    9    9    9    7    8    8    8    9   10    9    9    9    9
Chance Precip       0   10   10    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Mclr Pcld Pcld Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr
Temperature        75   74   79   74   70   70   76   72   70   70   76   74   73   72   78
Heat Index         79                                                                      
Wind (mph)         W5 NW10  N16  N15  N16 NE14 NE12  E10   E5  NE5   E7  SE7  SE5   S3   S9
Wind Gust                    22   21   22

Virginia Beach

Date               Sat 09/12                          Sun 09/13
EDT 3hrly          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20

Rip Current Risk       Low  Low  Low  Low                      Low  Low  Low  Low     
Rip Probability    MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM
Surf Height (ft)    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2
Dom Period (s)      9    9    9    8    8    8    8    9    9    9    9    9    9    9
Chance Precip      20   10   10   30   30   40   30   40   40   30   30   50   30   20
TSTM Potential    Low None None  Low  Low  Mod  Low  Low  Low None  Low  Mod  Mod  Low
Cloud Cover      Mcld Mcld Mcld Pcld Pcld Mcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mcld Pcld Mcld Pcld Pcld
Temperature        78   78   79   80   80   79   79   78   77   77   80   82   82   80
Heat Index                   83   87   86                            85   89   88   84
Wind (mph)        E10  E12 SE12 SE13 SE13 SE12  S10  S12 SW13 SW12 SW12  SW9  SW7   S6
Wind Gust                                                                             


Date               Mon 09/14           Tue 09/15           Wed 09/16           Thu 09/17
EDT 6hrly          02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14

Rip Probability    MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM
Surf Height (ft)    2    2    3    3    3    3    3    3    3    3    4    3    4    4    4
Dom Period (s)      9    9    9    4    5    5    6    6    8    8    9    9    9    9    9
Chance Precip       0   10   20    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0
TSTM Potential   None None  Low None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Mclr Pcld Pcld Pcld Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr
Temperature        77   77   80   77   75   73   77   75   73   74   77   75   74   73   79
Heat Index         81                                                                      
Wind (mph)         W6  NW8  N17  N18 NE20 NE16 NE14 NE12  NE7  NE8 NE10   E7   E5  NE5   E8
Wind Gust                    23   24   25   21

Currituck Beaches

Date               Sat 09/12                          Sun 09/13
EDT 3hrly          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20

Rip Current Risk       Low  Low  Low  Low                      Low  Low  Low  Low     
Rip Probability    MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM
Surf Height (ft)    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2
Dom Period (s)      9    9    9    9    9    8    8    9    9    9    9    9    9    9
Chance Precip      10   10   10   20   20   30   20   30   30   20   30   60   40   20
TSTM Potential   None None None  Low  Low  Mod  Low  Low  Low None  Low  Mod  Mod  Low
Cloud Cover      Mcld Mcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mcld Pcld Pcld
Temperature        78   79   80   81   80   79   79   79   78   78   80   83   83   80
Heat Index         82   83   85   87   86                            86   91   90   85
Wind (mph)         E8   E8  SE8  SE9 SE12   S9   S9  S10 SW12 SW10 SW10  SW9  SW7  SW7
Wind Gust                                                                             


Date               Mon 09/14           Tue 09/15           Wed 09/16           Thu 09/17
EDT 6hrly          02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14

Rip Probability    MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM
Surf Height (ft)    2    2    3    3    4    4    3    3    4    4    4    4    4    4    4
Dom Period (s)      9    9    9    9    5    5    6    6    8    8    9    9    9    9    9
Chance Precip       0   10   20    5    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0
TSTM Potential   None None  Low None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Pcld Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr
Temperature        78   78   81   77   75   75   77   76   74   75   77   76   75   75   78
Heat Index         82   82   85                                                            
Wind (mph)         W6  NW7  N16 NE16 NE18 NE16 NE14 NE12  NE7  NE8  NE9   E6   E3  NE3   E6
Wind Gust                    22   22   25   22        17   12   13   15                  12

Surf Matrix areas beaches NWS Wakefield

*** EXPERIMENTAL - NOT FOR OPERATIONAL USE ***

* EXPERIMENTAL - NOT FOR OPERATIONAL USE *