Surf Matrix areas beaches NWS Wakefield

* EXPERIMENTAL - NOT FOR OPERATIONAL USE *

Experimental Surf Forecast Matrix

In the tabs below you can view Surf Forecast Matrices for various beaches over the Wakefield, VA forecast area. This product is experimental and not intended to be substituted for the official Surf Zone Forecast, which can be viewed HERE. Additional information on this project and variable definitions can be found HERE. We are seeking feedback on this over the next several months, so please send us your input via an online survey.

The Rip Probabilities included in the matrices below are from a rip current forecast model tied to NOAA's Nearshore Wave Prediction System. This model predicts the probabilities of hazardous rip currents occurring using output from the nearshore wave model and predicted tide levels. Values are calculated from 0-100%, hourly through 144 hours.

Maryland Beaches
Accomack-Northampton Beaches
Virginia Beach
Currituck Beaches

Maryland Beaches

Date               Mon 08/17      Tue 08/18                               Wed 08/19
EDT 3hrly          17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14

Rip Current Risk                           Low  Low  Low  Low                      Low  Low  Low
Rip Probability    21   17   11   12   18   13    8   10   19   20   14   12   18   18   13   11
Surf Height (ft)    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1
Dom Period (s)      6    5    5    9    9    9    9    9    9    9    9   10   10   10   10    9
Chance Precip       5    5   10   20   10   10   20   30   30    5    0    0    0    0    0    5
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Mclr Mclr Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mclr Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mclr Mclr
Temperature        81   80   78   77   76   77   79   79   79   78   76   75   73   74   78   80
Heat Index         87   84   82   81   80   81   83        83   82   80   79             82   84
Wind (mph)         N8   S5  SW5   W6   W6  NW6   N7  NE8   E7  SE3  SW3   W5  NW5  NW5   W3   S6
Wind Gust                                                                                       


Date                         Thu 08/20           Fri 08/21           Sat 08/22
EDT 6hrly          17   23   05   11   17   23   05   11   17   23   05   11   17

Rip Probability    15   16   16   13   12   14   16   19   18   26   24   39   31
Surf Height (ft)    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1
Dom Period (s)      9    9    9    8    8    8    9    9    9    9    9    8    8
Chance Precip       5    0   20   30   60   80   50   40   50   70   70   50   60
TSTM Potential   None None  Low  Mod  Mod  Mod  Low None  Low  Mod  Low None  Low
Cloud Cover      Mclr Mclr Pcld Pcld Mcld Mcld Pcld Mcld Pcld Mcld Mcld Mcld Mcld
Temperature        82   77   76   79   79   76   74   76   78   75   74   76   79
Heat Index         86             83   83                                        
Wind (mph)         S9   S7  SW6   S7   S9  SW5  NW6  NE9  NE9   E6   S7  SW8  S10
Wind Gust                                                                      15

Accomack-Northampton Beaches

Date               Mon 08/17      Tue 08/18                               Wed 08/19
EDT 3hrly          17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14

Rip Current Risk                           Low  Low  Low  Low                      Low  Low  Low
Rip Probability    34   19   11   18   30   17    9   11   24   25   16   15   25   24   12   10
Surf Height (ft)    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2
Dom Period (s)      5    5    5    9    9    9    9    9    9    9    9   10   10   10   10    9
Chance Precip       0    5   20   40   20   10   10   30   20    5    0    0    0    0    0    5
TSTM Potential   None None  Low None None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Mclr Mclr Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mclr Pcld Pcld Mclr Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mclr Mclr
Temperature        84   81   79   78   77   79   81   81   81   79   77   76   75   76   80   82
Heat Index         91   87   84   82   82   83   87   87   87   83   81   80   79        85   86
Wind (mph)         W8  SW6  SW6   W8   W5  NW5   N6   E6   E6   E5  SE5  NW5  NW5   N5   N2   S5
Wind Gust                                                                                       


Date                         Thu 08/20           Fri 08/21           Sat 08/22
EDT 6hrly          17   23   05   11   17   23   05   11   17   23   05   11   17

Rip Probability    17   16   18   12   13   18   18   18   15   25   25   32   19
Surf Height (ft)    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2
Dom Period (s)      9    9    9    8    8    8    9    9    9    9    9    9    8
Chance Precip       5    0   10   20   50   80   50   40   50   70   70   50   60
TSTM Potential   None None None  Low  Mod  Mod  Low None  Low  Mod  Low None  Low
Cloud Cover      Mclr Mclr Pcld Pcld Mcld Mcld Pcld Mcld Pcld Mcld Mcld Mcld Mcld
Temperature        83   78   77   81   82   77   75   78   80   76   74   78   80
Heat Index         88        81   86   88                                      85
Wind (mph)         S7   S7  SW6   S7   S8  SW7  NW7  NE8   E9   E7  SE8  SW9  S10
Wind Gust

Virginia Beach

Date               Mon 08/17      Tue 08/18                               Wed 08/19
EDT 3hrly          17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14

Rip Current Risk                           Low  Low  Low  Low                      Low  Low  Low
Rip Probability     3    2    1    2    3    2    1    1    3    3    2    2    2    2    1    2
Surf Height (ft)    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2
Dom Period (s)      8    8    8    8    8    8    8    8    8    9    9   10   10   10   10    9
Chance Precip       5   10   10   30   20   10    5   20   20   10    5    0    0    5    5   10
TSTM Potential   None None  Low  Low None None None  Low  Low None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Mclr Mclr Mclr Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mclr Mclr Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mclr
Temperature        83   81   80   80   78   79   80   81   82   82   80   79   78   79   80   82
Heat Index         90   87   86   85        83   85   88   89   88   85   83   82   83   85   87
Wind (mph)         E8  SE8   S8   W8   W7  NW7   N7  NE8   E7   E5   E5  NE6   N6  NE7  NE6  NE8
Wind Gust                                                                                       


Date                         Thu 08/20           Fri 08/21           Sat 08/22
EDT 6hrly          17   23   05   11   17   23   05   11   17   23   05   11   17

Rip Probability     3    2    2    1    3    3    2    2    2    4    2    3    2
Surf Height (ft)    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2
Dom Period (s)      9    9    8    8    8    8    8    8    8    8    9    8    8
Chance Precip      10    0    0   10   50   60   50   40   60   70   50   50   70
TSTM Potential   None None None None  Mod  Mod  Low None  Mod  Mod None None  Mod
Cloud Cover      Mclr Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mcld Pcld Pcld Mcld Mcld Pcld Pcld Mcld
Temperature        83   80   79   82   84   80   77   79   82   78   76   79   82
Heat Index         89   85   83   89   92   84             89                  90
Wind (mph)         E8  SE7   S6   S7 SE13   S7  SW7  SW7 SE10   S8  SW9  SW8   S9
Wind Gust                                                  15             13   14

Currituck Beaches

Date               Mon 08/17      Tue 08/18                               Wed 08/19
EDT 3hrly          17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14

Rip Current Risk                           Low  Low  Low  Low                      Low  Low  Low
Rip Probability     3    3    2    2    4    3    2    2    4    4    3    2    3    3    2    2
Surf Height (ft)    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2
Dom Period (s)      8    9    9    9    9    9    9    9    9    9    9   10   10   10   10    9
Chance Precip      10    5    5   20   20   10    5   20   20   20    5    0    0    5    5   10
TSTM Potential   None None None  Low None None None  Low  Low  Low None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Mclr Mclr Mclr Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mclr Mclr Mclr
Temperature        83   82   81   80   79   79   80   82   82   81   80   80   79   80   81   82
Heat Index         91   89   88   87        83   86   89   89   88   86   86   83   85   87   88
Wind (mph)         E8  SE8   S7   W9   W9   W8   N5  NE8  NE8   E6   E6  NE6  NE6   N8  NE7   E6
Wind Gust                                                                                       


Date                         Thu 08/20           Fri 08/21           Sat 08/22
EDT 6hrly          17   23   05   11   17   23   05   11   17   23   05   11   17

Rip Probability     3    3    2    2    3    3    2    3    2    4    3    4    3
Surf Height (ft)    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2
Dom Period (s)      9    9    9    8    8    8    8    8    8    9    9    9    9
Chance Precip      10    0    0    5   30   60   50   30   60   70   40   40   60
TSTM Potential   None None None None  Mod  Mod  Mod  Low  Mod  Mod  Low None  Mod
Cloud Cover      Mclr Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mcld Pcld Pcld Mcld Mcld Pcld Pcld Mcld
Temperature        83   81   80   82   84   80   78   80   83   79   77   79   82
Heat Index         90   87   85   89   95   86        86   92             83   91
Wind (mph)         E7  SE6   S5   S7  S10   S7  SW6  SW7  SE9   S7  SW8  SW9   S9
Wind Gust                                   12        12   15   12   13   15   16

Surf Matrix areas beaches NWS Wakefield

*** EXPERIMENTAL - NOT FOR OPERATIONAL USE ***

* EXPERIMENTAL - NOT FOR OPERATIONAL USE *