Surf Matrix areas beaches NWS Wakefield

* EXPERIMENTAL - NOT FOR OPERATIONAL USE *

Experimental Surf Forecast Matrix

In the tabs below you can view Surf Forecast Matrices for various beaches over the Wakefield, VA forecast area. This product is experimental and not intended to be substituted for the official Surf Zone Forecast, which can be viewed HERE. Additional information on this project and variable definitions can be found HERE. We are seeking feedback on this over the next several months, so please send us your input via an online survey.

The Rip Probabilities included in the matrices below are from a rip current forecast model tied to NOAA's Nearshore Wave Prediction System. This model predicts the probabilities of hazardous rip currents occurring using output from the nearshore wave model and predicted tide levels. Values are calculated from 0-100%, hourly through 144 hours.

Maryland Beaches
Accomack-Northampton Beaches
Virginia Beach
Currituck Beaches

Maryland Beaches

Date               Sun 06/21      Mon 06/22                               Tue 06/23
EDT 3hrly          17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14

Rip Current Risk                          High High High High                      Mod  Mod  Mod
Rip Probability     9   13    8    6    9   19   21   27   52   72   73   47   37   37   26   16
Surf Height (ft)    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    2    2    3    2    2    2    1    1    1
Dom Period (s)      6    6    6    6    6    6    6    4    4    5    5    6    6    6    6    5
Chance Precip       0    0    0    0    0    5    0    0    5   50   60   40   30   30   30   50
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None  Mod  Mod  Low None None None  Mod
Cloud Cover      Pcld Mclr Pcld Pcld Pcld Mcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mcld  Cld Mcld Mcld Pcld Pcld Pcld
Temperature        78   75   71   71   70   72   74   75   76   74   74   74   73   73   75   75
Heat Index                                                                                      
Wind (mph)         S9   S9   S8   S7   S9  S13  S16  S21  S23  S23  S20  S14  SW9   W8  NW7  NW8
Wind Gust                                        23   28   31   31   25                         


Date                         Wed 06/24           Thu 06/25           Fri 06/26
EDT 6hrly          17   23   05   11   17   23   05   11   17   23   05   11   17

Rip Probability    17   30   18   30   15   25   12   20   11   21   12   17    8
Surf Height (ft)    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1
Dom Period (s)      5    6    6    6    6    6    6    6    6    6    4    6    6
Chance Precip      50    5    0    0    0    0    0    0    0   10   20   40   40
TSTM Potential    Low None None None None None None None None None  Low None  Low
Cloud Cover      Mcld Pcld Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld
Temperature        75   73   69   74   76   71   70   75   77   74   73   77   80
Heat Index                                                                       
Wind (mph)         N8  NW7   N8   N7  SE8   S6  SW3   S7 SE13  S12   S7   S8  S12
Wind Gust

Accomack-Northampton Beaches

Date               Sun 06/21      Mon 06/22                               Tue 06/23
EDT 3hrly          17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14

Rip Current Risk                          High High High High                      Mod  Mod  Mod
Rip Probability    13   21   12    8   16   33   29   31   67   86   82   57   47   51   34   16
Surf Height (ft)    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    3    4    4    3    2    2    2    2
Dom Period (s)      8    6    6    6    6    6    6    4    4    6    6    6    6    6    6    5
Chance Precip       0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    5   30   60   40   20   20   20   40
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None  Mod  Mod  Low None None None  Mod
Cloud Cover      Mclr Mclr Mcld Pcld Mcld Mcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mcld  Cld Mcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld
Temperature        79   74   72   71   71   73   76   77   78   75   75   75   74   74   77   77
Heat Index                                                                                      
Wind (mph)         S7  S10  S10   S9  S10  S13  S16  S21  S25  S25  S21 SW13 SW10   W9   W8   W8
Wind Gust                                        22   28   35   33   28                         


Date                         Wed 06/24           Thu 06/25           Fri 06/26
EDT 6hrly          17   23   05   11   17   23   05   11   17   23   05   11   17

Rip Probability    17   36   21   38   14   35   15   31   11   37   16   28    8
Surf Height (ft)    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2
Dom Period (s)      5    6    6    6    6    6    6    6    6    6    4    6    6
Chance Precip      40   10    0    0    0    0    0    0    0   10   20   40   40
TSTM Potential    Low None None None None None None None None None  Low None  Low
Cloud Cover      Mcld Pcld Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld
Temperature        76   73   69   76   77   72   72   76   78   74   74   78   80
Heat Index                                                                       
Wind (mph)        NW7   N7   N8   N5  SE7   S6   S3  SE6 SE12 SE13   S8   S8  S10
Wind Gust

Virginia Beach

Date               Sun 06/21      Mon 06/22                               Tue 06/23
EDT 3hrly          17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14

Rip Current Risk                           Mod  Mod  Mod  Mod                      Low  Low  Low
Rip Probability     1    3    2    1    1    3    2    3    8   16   10    3    2    3    2    1
Surf Height (ft)    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    3    3    3    3    2    2    2    2    2
Dom Period (s)      6    6    6    6    6    6    6    4    4    5    5    5    5    5    5    6
Chance Precip       0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    5   10   40   20    5   20   20   60
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None  Mod None None None None  Mod
Cloud Cover      Pcld Pcld Pcld Mclr Pcld Pcld Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mcld
Temperature        81   78   77   76   75   76   81   83   82   80   79   78   77   77   81   80
Heat Index                                       86   89   88                            86   85
Wind (mph)       SE10 SE10  S10  S10  S12  S13  S15  S22  S23  S21  S17 SW14 SW12  W12  NW9   N9
Wind Gust                                        21   28   30   28   22                  14   14


Date                         Wed 06/24           Thu 06/25           Fri 06/26
EDT 6hrly          17   23   05   11   17   23   05   11   17   23   05   11   17

Rip Probability     1    3    2   10    4    4    2    3    3    6    2    4    2
Surf Height (ft)    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2
Dom Period (s)      6    6    6    6    6    7    7    7    7    7    7    7    7
Chance Precip      60   20    0    0    0    0    0    0    5    5   20   20   50
TSTM Potential    Mod None None None None None None None None None None None  Mod
Cloud Cover      Mcld Pcld Pcld Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld
Temperature        78   76   74   77   77   73   73   77   77   75   75   79   82
Heat Index                                                                83   87
Wind (mph)         N9   N9  N12  N12   E9  SE7   S6  SE8 SE15 SE12   S8   S8  S13
Wind Gust          14                                      21             13   18

Currituck Beaches

Date               Sun 06/21      Mon 06/22                               Tue 06/23
EDT 3hrly          17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14

Rip Current Risk                           Mod  Mod  Mod  Mod                      Low  Low  Low
Rip Probability     2    3    2    1    2    2    2    4    8   11    6    3    2    3    2    1
Surf Height (ft)    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    3    3    2    2    2    2    2    2
Dom Period (s)     12   12   12   12   12   12   12    4    4    4    4    4    4    5    5    6
Chance Precip       0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    5   20   10    5   20   20   60
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None  Low None None None None  Mod
Cloud Cover      Pcld Pcld Pcld Mclr Pcld Mclr Mclr Pcld Pcld Mclr Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mcld
Temperature        82   79   77   76   75   75   79   82   82   80   79   79   78   78   81   81
Heat Index                                            88   88   84                       85   87
Wind (mph)       SE12  S10  S10  S10  S10  S10  S13  S20  S20  S18  S17 SW14 SW13  W12   W9  NW9
Wind Gust                                   15        25   26   24   22                  15   16


Date                         Wed 06/24           Thu 06/25           Fri 06/26
EDT 6hrly          17   23   05   11   17   23   05   11   17   23   05   11   17

Rip Probability     1    3    2    9    4    5    2    4    2    5    3    5    2
Surf Height (ft)    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2
Dom Period (s)      6    7    7    7    7    7    7    7    7    7    7    7    7
Chance Precip      60   30    5    0    0    0    0    5    5    5   20   20   40
TSTM Potential    Mod None None None None None None None None None  Low None  Mod
Cloud Cover      Mcld Pcld Pcld Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld
Temperature        79   77   75   77   77   74   75   76   78   76   76   79   82
Heat Index                                                                     88
Wind (mph)         N9   N7   N9  N12  NE8   E6  SE5   E7 SE12  SE9   S7   S8  S12
Wind Gust          16   12   14        14             12   18   15   12   14   18

Surf Matrix areas beaches NWS Wakefield

*** EXPERIMENTAL - NOT FOR OPERATIONAL USE ***

* EXPERIMENTAL - NOT FOR OPERATIONAL USE *