National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Snow and Wind Return Today

A combination of snowfall associated with a passing cold front and lake effect snow showers behind the front will bring accumulating snowfall downwind of Lake Superior and Lake Michigan today through tonight.  Gusty winds will also result in blowing and drifting snow, which may significantly reduce visibilities at times. Read More >

Snow Amount Potential
Experimental -
 
Expected Snowfall - Official NWS Forecast
Expected Snowfall - Official NWS Forecast
What's this?
High End Amount
1 in 10 Chance (10%) of Higher Snowfall

Maximum Potential Snow Accumulation
What's this?
Low End Amount
9 in 10 Chance (90%) of Higher Snowfall

Minimum Potential Snow Accumulation
What's this?

Low End Amount – 9 in 10 Chance (90%) of Higher Snowfall

 

This map depicts a reasonable lower-end snowfall amount for the time period shown on the graphic, based on many computer model simulations of possible snowfall totals. This lower amount is an unlikely scenario with a 9 in 10, or 90% chance that more snow will fall, and only a 1 in 10, or 10% chance that less snow will fall. This number can help serve as a lower-end scenario for planning purposes.

Expected Snowfall - Official NWS Forecast

 

This map is the official NWS snowfall forecast in inches during the time period shown on the graphic. This snowfall amount is determined by NWS forecasters to be the most likely outcome based on evaluation of data from computer models, satellite, radar, and other observations.

High End Amount – Only a 1 in 10 Chance (10%) of Higher Snowfall

 

This map depicts a reasonable upper-end snowfall amount for the time period shown on the graphic, based on many computer model simulations of possible snowfall totals. This higher amount is an unlikely scenario, with only a 1 in 10, or 10% chance that more snow will fall, and a 9 in 10, or 90% chance that less snow will fall. This number can help serve as an upper-end scenario for planning purposes.

 
The purpose of these experimental probabilistic snowfall products is to provide customers and partners a range of snowfall possibilities, in complement to existing NWS deterministic snowfall graphics, to better communicate forecast uncertainties during winter weather events. For more information visit this project's Product/Service Description Document, and please provide us your feedback here.
Percent Chance That Snow Amounts Will Be Greater Than...
Experimental -
 
What's this?

Percent Chance That Snow Amounts Will Be Greater Than

 

This series of maps shows the probability (that is, the likelihood) that snowfall will equal or exceed specific amounts during the time period shown on the graphic. These forecasts are based on many computer model simulations of possible snowfall totals.

Hover over thumbnails below to view larger image.
>=0.1"
>=0.1"
>=1"
>=1"
>=2"
>=2"
>=4"
>=4"
>=6"
>=6"
>=8"
>=8"
>=12"
>=12"
>=18"
>=18"

Snowfall Totals by Location
Experimental -
 
What's this?

Snowfall Totals by Location

 

These tables show the snowfall forecast for individual locations, and provide the same information as the graphics on this web page, just shown in a different way. All of these values are valid for the same time period as depicted on the graphics.

County:

Box Plots   Bar Plots

 
Ice Accumulation Potential
 
Expected Ice Accumulation - Official NWS Forecast
Most Likely Ice Accumulation

What's this?

Most Likely Ice Accumulation

Represents our official ice forecast in inches within the next one to three days. The ice accumulation amounts are provided in ranges.

 
Other Snow/Ice Information
Winter Storm Severity Index
*** Experimental ***
NDFD Graphic Forecast Displays
Winter Storm Severity Index
NDFD Graphical Forecast Viewer
What's this? What's this?
Storm Track Reported Snow/Ice Totals
Storm Total Ice Graphic
 

000
ASUS63 KAPX 270058
RTPAPX


Eastern Upper/Northern Lower Michigan Temperature and Precip Summary
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
758 PM EST Wed Jan 26 2022

18 hour High/Low Temperature ending 7 pm EST
24 hour Precipitation/Snowfall ending 7 pm EST
Snow Depth Observed at 7 pm EST

.BR APX 0126 ES DH19/TAIRZS/TAIRZI/PPDRZZ/SFDRZZ/SDIRZZ
:..................................................................
: MAX MIN 24 HR SNOW SNOW
:ID LOCATION TEMP TEMP PRECIP FALL DEPTH
:..................................................................
ANJ : Sault Ste Marie : 15 / -3 / 0.01 / T / 25
APN : Alpena : 17 / -10 / T / 0.1 / 6
HTL : Houghton Lake : 14 / -15 / 0.00 / 0.0 / 6
PLN : Pellston : 15 / -17 / M / /
TVC : Traverse City : 17 / -2 / M / /
GLR : Gaylord : 13 / -10 / M / /
.END

Cooperative Observations
Temperature/Precipitation/Snowfall values are for 24 hour period
ending 7 pm EST. Snow Depth is observed at 7 pm EST.
...................................................................
OBS MAX MIN SNOW SNOW
ID LOCATION TIME TEMP TEMP PCPN FALL DEPTH
...................................................................
MAPM4: Maple City 1E :DH1815/ 15 / 4 / 0.07 / 1.4 /14.0
ONAM4: Onaway 4N :DH1800/ 16 / -14 / T / T / 6.0

These data are preliminary and have not undergone final quality
control by the National Centers for Environmental Information.
Therefore...these data are subject to revision. Final
and certified climate data can be accessed at www.ncdc.noaa.gov.

&&

The following are supplemental temperature and precipitation data.
This includes data which are received from non-National Weather
Service maintained observing systems...as well as reports from
public weather spotters. Data is only partially quality controlled
and is not suitable for official climatological records.

.BR APX 0126 ES DH19/TAIRZS/TAIRZI
:
:Automated Temperature Data--18 hr High/Low ending 7 pm EST
:..................................................................
: MAX MIN
:ID LOCATION TEMP TEMP
:..................................................................
:
ERY : Newberry : 18 / -5
CIU : Kinross : 13 / -13
MCD : Mackinac Island : 14 / -6
DRM : Drummond Island : 14 / -15
SJX : Beaver Island : 21 / 7
SLH : Cheboygan : 14 / -17
PZQ : Rogers City : 16 / 0
CVX : Charlevoix : 17 / 12
MGN : Harbor Springs : 15 / -5
ACB : Bellaire : 16 / 9
FKS : Frankfort : 19 / 10
MBL : Manistee : 16 / 10
CAD : Cadillac : 14 / -7
Y31 : West Branch : 16 / -10
OSC : Oscoda : 17 / -7
LDM : Ludington : 19 / 11
RQB : Big Rapids : 16 / -7
MOP : Mount Pleasant : 18 / -5
IKW : Midland : 18 / -8
.END

U.S. Forest Service Remote Automated Weather Stations (RAWS)
Data is only partially quality controlled
18 hour High/Low Temperature ending 7 pm EST
Minimum Relative Humidity over past 18 hours
12/24 hour Precipitation ending 7 pm EST
...................................................................
MAX MIN MIN 12 HR 24 HR
ID LOCATION TEMP TEMP RH PRECIP PRECIP
...................................................................
AGRM4: Alger RAWS : 21 / -16 / 40 / 0.00 / 0.00
ATAM4: Atlanta RAWS : 17 / -24 / 44 / M / M
BCYM4: Barton City RAWS : 18 / -11 / 43 / 0.00 / 0.00
GYGM4: Grayling RAWS : 16 / -6 / 51 / 0.00 / 0.00
INDM4: Indian River RAWS : 17 / -16 / 46 / 0.00 / 0.00
MMOM4: Mio RAWS : 17 / -17 / 45 / 0.00 / 0.00
NMIM4: N Manitou Island : 19 / 8 / 65 / 0.00 / 0.00
RACM4: Raco RAWS : 14 / -15 / 70 / 0.00 / 0.00
REXM4: Rexton RAWS : 17 / -14 / 70 / 0.00 / 0.00
RSCM4: Roscommon RAWS : 17 / -23 / M / 0.00 / 0.00
RYDM4: Rudyard RAWS : 13 / -10 / 69 / 0.00 / 0.00
SBDM4: The Bear RAWS : 15 / 9 / 67 / 0.00 / 0.00
SCKM4: Silver Creek RAWS : 19 / -10 / 41 / 0.05 / 0.05
WLLM4: Wellston RAWS : 16 / -1 / 59 / 0.00 / 0.00


$$


What's this? What's this?

Precipitation Onset

Most likely time of winter precipitation onset (snow, sleet, freezing rain). Rain is not included here. This information is provided when we issue a Warning or Advisory for expected snow or ice accumulation; typically six to 24 hours in advance. Times are only given for places that are under a Warning or Advisory. They will be blank in areas outside Warnings or Advisories.

Precipitation End Time

Most likely time of winter precipitation ending (snow, sleet, freezing rain). Rain is not included here. This information is provided when we issue a Warning or Advisory for expected snow or ice accumulation; typically six to 24 hours in advance. Times are only given for places that are under a Warning or Advisory. They will be blank in areas outside Warnings or Advisories.

Winter Storm Severity

The purpose of the Winter Storm Severity Index (WSSI) is to provide NWS partners and the general public with an indication of the level of winter precipitation (snow and ice) severity and its potential related societal impacts. The WSSI does not depict official warnings, and should always be used in context with official NWS forecasts and warnings. Because this is a prototype, it may not update in a timely fashion. Always check the creation and valid times.

NDFD Graphic Forecast Displays

The NWS’s NDFD graphic products are derived from a prescribed set of data contained within the NDFD. These graphics are representations of the official NWS digital forecast. The graphics are created on national and regional scales and will follow a standardized format prescribed by the NWS to best meet the needs of its users

Low Tracks Graphic

The graphic depicts the forecast location of significant surface lows impacting the 48 contiguous United States in 12 hour increments out to 72 hours into the future.

The low position and track forecast by NCEP WPC meteorologist is in white. Each low position is accompanied by a lead time (Eastern Time). The circles around each low represents a 75% probability the observed low will be located with the circle. Note: The probability is derived using previous season's verification data. For reference, existing surface lows are depicted with a red marker without yellow circles.

Reported

As snow and/or ice reports come into the NWS (you can email reports to w-apx.webmaster@noaa.gov or Tweet to @NWSGaylord), we will pass them on here. With the map linked here, and the supporting reports below it, you can keep tabs on how much has fallen.

 

Gaylord, MI Products
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FORECAST DISCUSSION SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
Long-Range Forecast
 

Days 4-7

Day 4 Winter Weather Outlook Day 5 Winter Weather Outlook
Day 4 Winter Weather Outlook Day 5 Winter Weather Outlook
 
Day 6 Winter Weather Outlook Day 7 Winter Weather Outlook
Day 6 Winter Weather Outlook Day 7 Winter Weather Outlook
 
Days 4-5 Forecast Precipitation Days 6-7 Forecast Precipitation
Days 4-5 Precip Days 6-7 Precip
 
 

Days 6-10

Temperature  Precipitation
6-10 day temperature 6-10 day precipitation
 
 

Days 8-14

TEMPERATURE  PRECIPITATION
8-14 day temperature 8-14 day precipitation
 
 

Week 3-4

TEMPERATURE

PRECIPITATION

Week 3-4 Temperature Week 3-4 precipitation