Overview
Strong low pressure deepened off the coast of northeast South Carolina/southeast North Carolina on 10/11, before tracking just off the NC/VA coast on 10/12. Meanwhile, ~1034mb high pressure was building from Quebec to New Brunswick. The resulting pressure gradient resulted in a period of strong NE winds (25-35 kt with gusts to 45 kt) over the AKQ marine area on 10/12. While these winds were ~5 knots lower than much of the guidance had been depicting, dangerous marine conditions quickly developed with seas of 12-18 ft (occasionally to ~25 ft). This, combined with the prolonged NE winds, allowed tidal anomalies to rise to 2-3 feet above astronomical tides by the high tide cycle during the afternoon of 10/12, before rising further to 2.5-3.5 feet by low tide during the late evening hours. Anomalies gradually fell during the morning of the 13th as winds diminished and became N then NNW. Peak water levels occurred during the afternoon/evening of 10/12 since that was the higher of the two astronomical tides (even though anomalies were slightly higher the night of the 12th). Water levels crested at values not seen since 1/3/2022 in many spots in the lower Chesapeake Bay and on the VA/NC Atlantic coast. At Jamestown, the unofficial crest of 5.51 feet was 0.01 feet higher than what occurred during Ian (10/2022). It could be the highest crest there in nearly a decade once the data becomes official! In addition to the tidal flooding, wind gusts of 45-55 mph were observed at land sites near the coast, with the highest values observed at Elizabeth City, NC and Ocean City, MD. Rainfall from this storm was generally 1" or less and not impactful.
Tidal Flooding
Hydrographs - Norfolk/VA Beach
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| Lynnhaven Inlet | Little Creek at East Beach | Sewell's Point | Money Point |
Hydrographs - Tidal James River
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| Fort Monroe | Leeward Marina (Newport News) | Smithfield | Jamestown |
Hydrographs - Atlantic Coast
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| Duck, NC | Wachapreague, VA | Chincoteague, VA | Ocean City Inlet, MD |
Hydrographs - York River/Middle Peninsula
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| Yorktown | Ware River near Schley | West Point | Gwynn's Island |
Hydrographs - Bay side of the Virginia Eastern Shore
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| Kiptopeke | Harborton | Saxis |
Hydrographs - Middle/Upper Bay
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| Windmill Point, VA | Lewisetta, VA | Crisfield, MD | Cambridge, MD |
Photos
Selected Flooding Photos
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| Hampton (source: WAVY-TV) |
Hampton (source: WAVY-TV) |
Chesapeake (source: WAVY-TV) |
Bay Street in Norfolk (source:WAVY-TV) |
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| Smithfield (source: WAVY-TV) |
Smithfield (source: WAVY-TV) |
Portsmouth (source: Portsmouth EM) |
Portsmouth (source: Portsmouth EM) |
| Caption (source) |
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Wind Reports
Public Information Statement National Weather Service Wakefield VA 506 PM EDT Mon Oct 13 2025 ...HIGHEST WIND REPORTS... Location Speed Time/Date Lat/Lon ...Maryland... ...Wicomico County... Salisbury Wicomico Airport 41 MPH 0329 PM 10/12 38.33N/75.50W ...Worcester County... Ocean City 54 MPH 0921 PM 10/12 38.32N/75.12W Us 50 Eb On Oc Drawbridge Wi 52 MPH 0144 AM 10/13 38.33N/75.09W Assateague Island 50 MPH 0931 PM 10/12 38.08N/75.20W Berlin 2ene 44 MPH 1135 PM 10/12 38.34N/75.19W ...North Carolina... ...Currituck County... 3.0 E Knotts Island (WEATHER 51 MPH 0530 AM 10/12 36.52N/75.87W 0.5 E Jarvisburg (WEATHERSTE 40 MPH 0530 AM 10/12 36.20N/75.86W Currituck 40 MPH 0250 PM 10/12 36.40N/76.02W ...Pasquotank County... Elizabeth City Airport 55 MPH 0305 PM 10/12 36.27N/76.18W ...Perquimans County... Chapanoke 45 MPH 0125 PM 10/12 36.24N/76.36W ...Virginia... ...Accomack County... Wachapreague, VA 53 MPH 0348 PM 10/12 37.61N/75.69W Wachapreague 49 MPH 0357 PM 10/12 37.60N/75.69W Wallops Island 48 MPH 0315 PM 10/12 37.93N/75.47W Tangier Sound Light 43 MPH 0331 PM 10/12 37.79N/75.97W ...City of Chesapeake County... Fentress Naval 43 MPH 1041 AM 10/12 36.70N/76.13W ...City of Hampton County... Langley AFB Hamp 41 MPH 0847 PM 10/12 37.08N/76.33W ...City of Norfolk County... Norfolk NAS Cham 51 MPH 1025 AM 10/12 36.92N/76.27W Norfolk Intl Airport 47 MPH 0117 PM 10/12 36.90N/76.20W Lafayette River 42 MPH 1153 AM 10/12 36.89N/76.32W ...City of Poquoson County... Poquoson 47 MPH 0832 PM 10/12 37.11N/76.32W ...City of Portsmouth County... South Norfolk Jordan Bridge 49 MPH 1108 AM 10/12 36.81N/76.29W South Craney Island 46 MPH 0106 PM 10/12 36.89N/76.34W ...City of Virginia Beach County... Cape Henry 51 MPH 1141 AM 10/12 36.93N/76.01W Oceana NAS Souce 51 MPH 0239 PM 10/12 36.82N/76.02W Creeds 42 MPH 1131 AM 10/12 36.59N/76.02W Back Bay 41 MPH 1154 AM 10/12 36.67N/75.92W ...Mathews County... New Point Comfort 49 MPH 0825 PM 10/12 37.33N/76.27W Gwynns Island 42 MPH 0705 PM 10/12 37.49N/76.27W ...Maritime Stations... Ocean City 59 MPH 1057 PM 10/12 38.33N/75.08W Ocean City Inlet 44 MPH 0142 AM 10/13 38.33N/75.09W Assateague South Point 41 MPH 1125 PM 10/12 38.21N/75.20W Thimble Shoals 54 MPH 0940 PM 10/12 37.05N/76.26W Chesapeake Light Tower 54 MPH 0130 PM 10/12 36.90N/75.71W Third Island 53 MPH 0933 PM 10/12 37.04N/76.08W 5 NE Plum Tree Island Refuge 51 MPH 1018 PM 10/12 37.20N/76.27W Cape Henry, VA 51 MPH 1142 AM 10/12 36.93N/76.01W 2 E Stingray Point 49 MPH 0848 PM 10/12 37.57N/76.26W Middle Ground Lighthouse 48 MPH 1206 PM 10/12 36.95N/76.39W Lynnhaven Inlet Light 2 47 MPH 1229 PM 10/12 36.92N/76.09W , VA 46 MPH 0837 PM 10/12 37.01N/76.31W Rappahannock Light 45 MPH 0448 PM 10/12 37.54N/76.02W 8 NW Cape Henry 45 MPH 0300 PM 10/12 37.03N/76.08W Poquoson River Light 45 MPH 0920 PM 10/12 37.16N/76.38W Rudee Inlet 45 MPH 0128 PM 10/12 36.83N/75.97W Willoughby Deguassing Statio 44 MPH 1248 PM 10/12 36.98N/76.32W Plantation Flats 43 MPH 0339 PM 10/12 37.26N/76.03W Silver Beach 42 MPH 0205 PM 10/12 37.49N/75.97W Sandbridge 42 MPH 0100 PM 10/12 36.70N/75.93W Hampton Flats 41 MPH 0847 PM 10/12 36.98N/76.36W &&
Environment
Selected Environmental Data
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| Loop of WPC Surface Analysis from 10/11 at 12z/8 AM to 10/13 at 12z/8 AM in 3 hour increments | Chesapeake Bay Currents Data From Cape Henry. Note the large flood tide on 10/12 followed by strong ebb tides on 10/13. |
Wind Observations from Selected Marine Sites (credit: WeatherFlow)
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| Cape Henry | Duck Pier |
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| Buoy 44009 (Offshore of the MD/DE Coast) | Ocean City WeatherFlow (XOCN) |
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