National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Stormy Weather in the Northwest; Fire Weather Threat Redeveloping in Southern California this Weekend

An active fall storm pattern in the Pacific Northwest is bringing heavy rain and high elevation snow to the region which will persist through this weekend. Strong winds associated with this system will bring a renewed period of critical fire weather to southern California later this weekend into next week. Read More >

Partly cloudy and a little warmer tonight. A few showers or storms will be possible across the southern half of the forecast area as abundant Gulf moisture moves in. Severe weather is not expected. Otherwise, winds should be out of the south to southeast at 5 to 10 MPH.
It will be mostly cloudy Friday with scattered showers and thunderstorms. Highs will be in the upper 70s to lower 80s. Winds will be southerly at 10 to 20 mph.
Expect mostly cloudy skies Friday night with isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms. Cloud to ground lightning and brief heavy rain will be main threats from any thunderstorms. Most of this activity is expected to dissipate by midnight. Lows will be in the mid to upper 60s with southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Thunderstorm chances will increase on Saturday as an upper level trough and a cold front approach. The best storm chances will begin Saturday afternoon mainly east of I-35, but will increase area-wide Saturday evening and overnight as the front moves in. The best potential for severe weather will be Saturday afternoon and evening, for areas mainly north of the I-20 corridor. Large hail and damaging wind would be the primary severe threats, though an isolated tornado cannot be ruled out.
With the strong possibility of severe weather across the area late Saturday through early Sunday, this is a good time to review your severe weather terminology.
There will be chances of showers and thunderstorms during the day Saturday. A few storms Saturday afternoon may become strong to marginally severe. The better threat for organized severe weather will be Saturday evening through early Sunday morning ahead of a strong cold front. Some of the storms may be severe producing damaging downburst winds and large hail. A brief tornado or two cannot be ruled out with storms that develop ahead of the front. Cloud to ground lightning will accompany any of the storms and locally heavy rain could result in some flooding. Expect gusty northerly winds behind the front that will sweep through the Bowie to Breckenridge areas by midnight Saturday night and through the Palestine to Cameron areas by late Sunday morning.
Looking ahead into early next week, nice Fall weather across the area. Another cold front will arrive, but this time it will bring dry and seasonably conditions. In general, high temperatures will stay in the low to mid 70s and the overnight lows will drop into the 40s by Wednesday morning.

 
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Dallas/Fort Worth - Earliest and Latest Freezes        Click Here for Waco

 

Average Date of...
  • First Freeze - November 22
  • Last Freeze - March 12

 

Earliest First Freeze
Rank Date Temperature
1 Oct 22, 1898 31
2 Oct 27, 1957 29
3 Oct 28, 1925 30
4
(tie)
Oct 29, 1910 31
Oct 29, 1913 32
6
(tie)
Oct 30, 1917 24
Oct 30, 1980 29
Oct 30, 1993 32
9 Nov 1, 1906 31
10
(tie)
Nov 2, 1991 28
Nov 2, 1951 29
Nov 2, 1912 29
Nov 2, 1966 30
Latest Last Freeze
Rank Date Temperature
1
(tie)
Apr 13, 1957 30
Apr 13, 1997 32
3 Apr 12, 1940 31
4 Apr 11, 1989 29
5 Apr 10, 1973 30
6 Apr 9, 1914 30
7 Apr 8, 1938 32
8 Apr 7, 1971 31
9 Apr 5, 1920 32
10
(tie)
Apr 3, 1987 30
Apr 3, 1975 31
Apr 3, 1915 31
 
Latest First Freeze
Rank Date Temperature
1 Jan 4, 1972 21
2 Dec 26, 1933 27
3 Dec 25, 1965 31
4 Dec 21, 1998 22
5
(tie)
Dec 17, 1930 32
Dec 17, 1921 32
7 Dec 16, 2007 28
8
(tie)
Dec 15, 1981 32
Dec 15, 1931 32
10 Dec 14, 1923 30
Earliest Last Freeze
Rank Date Temperature
1 Jan 8, 2017 20
2 Feb 5, 2000 30
3
(tie)
Feb 8, 1907 26
Feb 8, 1976 30
5 Feb 12, 2012 25
6
(tie)
Feb 14, 1981 27
Feb 14, 1946 29
8 Feb 15, 1985 30
9 Feb 16, 2004 30
10 Feb 17, 1990 31