Here is the latest Area Forecast Discussion for Central PA
This text statement is the latest forecast reasoning from the NWS in State College, PA
See the links at the bottom of the page for previous issuances/versions of the statement as well as our other text statements.
|
616 FXUS61 KCTP 031859 AFDCTP Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service State College PA 259 PM EDT Sun May 3 2026 .WHAT HAS CHANGED... * Lowered dewpoints and raised wind gusts slightly for the rest of the afternoon. && .KEY MESSAGES... 1) Temperatures trend warmer today through the first few days of the upcoming week, ahead of a system that will bring widespread showers and thunderstorms for Wednesday and Thursday. && .DISCUSSION... KEY MESSAGE 1: Temperatures start to trend warmer today through the first few days of the upcoming week, ahead of a system that will bring widespread showers and thunderstorms for Wednesday and Thursday. After the nip in the air today with highs still 5-10 deg F below normal, expect to see high temperatures jump into the 60s and 70s on Monday and Tuesday as a moderately gusty southwesterly flow develops out ahead of the next, slow-moving cold front. A few locations across south-central PA may even push the 80 degree mark Tuesday afternoon. Scattered-numerous showers will impact the region (mainly the NW 1/2 of PA) on Tuesday, especially across northwest PA. The higher chance for showers and thunderstorms looks to be on Wednesday and Thursday ahead of a slow-moving cold front. Temperatures once again turn cooler behind this front for late in the upcoming week, with potential frost/freeze concerns developing. && .AVIATION /18Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... Very high (> 90%) confidence in widespread VFR conditions continuing through 12Z Monday. HREF model guidance outlines another day where a scattered-to-broken low-level cloud deck across much of the region. Winds will be the main aviation concern today with maximum wind gusts generally between 20-25 knots this afternoon before trending down late this evening (after 20Z Sunday) and throughout the rest of the TAF package. Precipitation chances increasing heading into Mon night, which could bring restrictions to central Pennsylvania`s terminals. Outlook... Mon...Scattered -SHRA develop across wrn PA, and some thunder is possible by Monday PM. Tue...SHRA/TSRA becomes more widespread from NW to SE; restrictions possible. Wed-Thu...SHRA/TSRA continue; restrictions likely. && .CTP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ WHAT HAS CHANGED...Bauco KEY MESSAGES...Lambert/Bauco DISCUSSION...Lambert/Bauco AVIATION...Beaty/RXR |
|
All NWS State College Text Statements/Forecasts:
|
|||