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Latest PA Weather Summary:

520
AWUS81 KCTP 072305
RWSCTP
PAZ004>006-010>012-017>019-024>028-033>037-041-042-045-046-
049>053-056>059-063>066-081315-

Regional Weather Summary
National Weather Service State College PA
705 PM EDT Tue Jul 7 2026

Spotty, locally heavy rain showers will gradually taper off
through this evening, with partly to mostly cloudy skies
overnight. While most areas will remain dry, these locally heavy
showers may cause ponding of water on roadways and in low-lying
areas, with the risk of flash flooding diminishing after sunset.
Otherwise, low temperatures for tonight will range from the upper
50s across portions of the Poconos to the mid-to-upper 60s across
southern Pennsylvania.

There will be a relative minimum in shower activity on Wednesday
with rain chances largely confined to the southwestern part of the
Keystone State. The remainder of the week will feature more
unsettled conditions with rounds of showers and thunderstorms
likely from Thursday into the upcoming weekend.

$$

Latest Forecaster's Discussion:

468
FXUS61 KCTP 080243
AFDCTP

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service State College PA
1043 PM EDT Tue Jul 7 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
* Flood Watch issued for the southern Alleghenies & Laurel
Highlands until 12AM Wednesday

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Isolated to scattered areas of flash flooding possible in
south central PA this afternoon into tonight

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1: Isolated to scattered areas of flash flooding
possible in south central PA this afternoon into tonight

Considerable breaks in the clouds has allowed for convective
development over southwest PA late this morning into the early
afternoon. High moisture content environment remains in place
with slow moving showers/storms capable of producing intense
rain rates. Cumulative rainfall over the past few days has lead
to increased soil sensitivity and significantly reduced FFG.
Hires ensemble guidance (HREF/REFS) shows the southern
Alleghenies and Laurels Highlands with the highest odds for
localized 2-3" rainfall amounts. WPC has maintained a level 2/4
excessive rain risk for this area and we issued a flood watch
until 12AM Wed to highlight the short-term flooding threat.

Daily chances for showers and thunderstorms will continue
through the end of the week, especially Thursday and Friday.
Temperatures will be seasonable with highs generally in the low
to mid 80s.

&&

.AVIATION /02Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Plenty of low level moisture still in place across the region.
Areas east of a KBFD-KDUJ-KAOO line will keep the MVFR ceilings
through the first half of the night. Brought these locations
down to IFR or LIFR in BR/FG. Confidence is high (>70%) for
LIFR in FG at KUNV as it has for the past several mornings.

The remainder of sites will hold at VFR throuigh most of the
night with an occasional dip to MVFR. Winds will remain less
than 5 kts overnight.

Model guidance does indicate a slow improvement trend after 12Z
Wednesday, thus have continued the trend of increasing
visibilities and ceilings during the mid and late day. Winds
will shift to a general southerly direction but will remain less
than 8kts.

Outlook...

Thu-Fri...Mainly dry early. Numerous to many SHRA/TSRA during
the afternoon. Intermittent impacts likely.

Sat-Sun...Chance of showers and a few storms.

&&

.CTP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

WHAT HAS CHANGED...Steinbugl/Bauco
KEY MESSAGES...Steinbugl/Bauco
DISCUSSION...Steinbugl/Bauco
AVIATION...Tyburski

Latest Public Information Statement:

652
NOUS41 KCTP 080011
PNSCTP
PAZ056-063-080415-

Public Information Statement
National Weather Service State College PA
811 PM EDT Tue Jul 7 2026

...NWS Damage Survey for July 5th 2026 Tornado...

.Overview...

A survey was conducted of storm damage from the evening of
the 5th of July by the National Weather Service. The survey
found damage consistent with an EF1 tornado. The tornado
affected mainly wooded areas along Lamb`s Gap Road in southern
Perry County, PA. Details of the survey results follow.


.Lamb`s Gap Tornado...

Rating: EF1
Estimated Peak Wind: 100 mph
Path Length /statute/: 0.55 miles
Path Width /maximum/: 300 yards
Fatalities: 0
Injuries: 0

Start Date: 07/05/2026
Start Time: 07:14 PM EDT
Start Location: 4 WSW Marysville / Perry County / PA
Start Lat/Lon: 40.3205 / -77.0008

End Date: 07/05/2026
End Time: 07:17 PM EDT
End Location: 3 N Wertzville / Perry County / PA
End Lat/Lon: 40.3138 / -77.0062

Survey Summary:
The tornado path started just north of Evergreen Dr, and traveled
SSW breaking off and uprooting numerous trees. The most concentrated
damage was along Lamb`s Gap Rd near the edge of the State Game Lands.
The damage seemed to end less than 50 yards to the SW of Lamb`s Gap
Rd. The tornado was on the ground for approximately 4 minutes.
Maximum wind speed was 100 MPH.

&&

EF Scale: The Enhanced Fujita Scale classifies tornadoes into the
following categories:

EF0.....65 to 85 mph
EF1.....86 to 110 mph
EF2.....111 to 135 mph
EF3.....136 to 165 mph
EF4.....166 to 200 mph
EF5.....>200 mph

NOTE:
The information in this statement is preliminary and subject to
change pending final review of the event and publication in
NWS Storm Data.


$$