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Latest PA Weather Summary:

119
AWUS81 KCTP 071007
RWSCTP
PAZ004>006-010>012-017>019-024>028-033>037-041-042-045-046-
049>053-056>059-063>066-080015-

Regional Weather Summary
National Weather Service State College PA
507 AM EST Sat Nov 7 2026

A compact but relatively strong closed upper low over eastern
Lake Erie this morning will move across southern New York and lift
northeast away from the area by Sunday morning. This weather
feature, accompanied by cool air aloft and a west to northwest
flow, will bring scattered to numerous showers to start the first
full weekend of November.

Today will be noticeably cooler and feel rather chilly given
how warm it has been during the daylight hours over the past week
or so.

The other noticeable facet to the daytime weather will be a rather
gusty wind that will vary in direction from southwest to
northwest with the passage of several weak and moisture challenged
cold fronts this weekend and into the middle of next weak. Wind
gusts will top out in the mid 20s to low 30s (mph) and could even
peak around 40 mph from the northwest on Monday.

Highs will range from the 40s across the north and west, to the
upper 50s across the southeast. Highs will moderate by 4 or 5
degrees on Sunday. Lows tonight will vary from the 30s across the
higher terrain of the North and West to the low 40s throughout the
lower terrain and valleys of Central and Southern

Much of the period from Sunday through early next week looks
mainly dry across Pennsylvania.

$$

Lambert

Latest Forecaster's Discussion:

725
FXUS61 KCTP 071007
AFDCTP

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service State College PA
507 AM EST Sat Nov 7 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
* Increased wind gusts by several mph each late
morning/afternoon today through Wednesday

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Seasonably cooler this weekend into next week with bulk of
precipitation confined near and southeast of Lake Erie

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1: Seasonably cooler this weekend into next week
with bulk of precipitation confined near and southeast of Lake
Erie

Following one of the warmest starts to November on record in
central PA, (see climate section) we`ll make a trip on the
weather coaster back to seasonably cooler temps this weekend
through the upcoming work week (though a slight rebound in temps
will occur Sunday through Tuesday).

A compact and seasonably strong closed upper low over eastern
Lake Erie this morning will move across southern New York and
lift northeast away from the area by Sunday morning. This
feature accompanied by cool air aloft and mean west to NW flow
will bring scattered to numerous showers to start the first full
weekend of November.

With Wet Bulb 0C temps between 0.5-1 kft AGL this morning across
the NW MTNS of PA and sfc temps in the mid 30s, the showers will
be mixed with (or fall as) wet snow INVOF of KBFD and the ridge
tops of the Laurel Highlands. No accumulation is expected. Wet
bulb Ts will rise back above 2 KFT AGL and stay there through
the middle of next week.

Today will be noticeably cooler and feel rather chilly given
how warm it has been during the day over the past week or so.

The other noticeable facet to the daytime weather will be a rather
gusty wind that will vary from southwest to northwest with the
passage of several weak and moisture challenged cold fronts into
the middle of next weak. Wind gusts will top out in the mid 20s
to low 30s (mph) and could even peak around 40 mph from the
northwest on Monday.

A more substantial long wave trough may attempt to carve out
over the eastern U.S. by the end of the week.

Medium range guidance is coming into decent agreement for the
potential for the first accumulating snow of the season
Thursday night into Friday (across mainly the higher terrain of
Northern and Western PA) as a deep area of low pressure and
very cold air aloft moves over the region with a developing
surface low along the Mid Atlantic Coast.

&&

.AVIATION /10Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
An upper-level low will track along the PA/NY border through
Saturday night and bring lowering ceilings with scattered -SHRA,
particularly across northern/western PA. Moreover, west to
northwest winds will begin gusting around 15 to 25 kts
regionwide later this morning as the system passes by, with
gusty winds continuing overnight across much of the area.

Flight restrictions will be most likely downwind of Lake Erie
and across the windward slopes of the higher terrain
(KBFD/KJST). Chances for flight restrictions will decrease with
southeastward extent due to downslope flow and increasing
distance from the low pressure center. Primarily MVFR ceilings
are expected across the Ridge and Valley region
(KAOO/KUNV/KIPT), while VFR conditions are likely to hold
across the Lower Susquehanna Valley (KMDT/KLNS).

Outlook...

Mon...Breezy with sub-VFR ceilings possible over the NW 1/2 of
the airspace. Max gusts around 25kt.

Tue-Wed...Mainly VFR with SW to W winds gusting up to around
15-25 kts during the daytime.

&&

.CLIMATE...
The sun will set at 5PM today 11/7 in State College. This will
mark the beginning of a 2 month stretch during which sunsets
will occur before 5PM.

It has been one of the warmest starts to November on record in
central PA. Here are the average temperature rankings from Nov.
1-5th:


SITE AVG Temp Rank
Harrisburg 57.9F #13th warmest
Williamsport 55.8F #7th warmest
Altoona 57.9F #6th warmest
Bradford 54.6F #5th warmest
State College 57.1F #4th warmest
Johnstown 59.1F #2nd warmest *since 2000

&&

.CTP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

WHAT HAS CHANGED...Lambert/Steinbugl
KEY MESSAGES...Lambert/Steinbugl
DISCUSSION...Lambert/Steinbugl/Colbert
AVIATION...Teare
CLIMATE...Steinbugl

Latest Public Information Statement:

885
NOUS41 KCTP 042225
PNSCTP
PAZ005-051000-

Public Information Statement
National Weather Service State College PA
525 PM EST Wed Nov 4 2026

...RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE SET AT BRADFORD...

A record high temperature of 74 degrees was set at Bradford
Regional Airport today. This ties the old record high of 74
set in 2003.

The weather record at Bradford Regional Airport started in 1957.


$$