Aviation Forecasts and Information Page - NWS State College PA

.AVIATION /12Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
A few areas of low ceilings this morning with some showers
already developing over the Allegheny front. Clouds and
precipitation activity will only increase throughout the day
ahead of an approaching cold front. 

Conditions will waffle between MVFR and VFR through the morning
as -SHRA pop up ahead of the main area of precipitation. The 
area has been placed in an enhanced risk for severe storms 
through the afternoon hours. However, confidence on the exact
time of any storm passing over an individual airport is only 
about 20% at this time. Hence VCTS was added for the afternoon 
time frame with the expectation that timing will be narrowed 
down as we move closer to the event. In any case, plan for +TSRA
to dot the state through the afternoon into evening with the 
usual suspects of wind shear, turbulence, heavy rain, and the 
potential for hail (especially aloft where it hasn't had time to
melt on its way down). 

In the wake of the storms this afternoon expect low ceilings to
stick around for MVFR to IFR across the entire area leading into
Wednesday. 


Outlook...

Wed...Periods of lingering showers possible Wednesday morning as
the frontal boundary exits the state.

Wed afternoon-Sat...Good VFR conditions expected.

&&