NWS All NOAA
State College, PA
Weather Forecast Office
.AVIATION /12Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/... A few areas of low ceilings this morning with some showers already developing over the Allegheny front. Clouds and precipitation activity will only increase throughout the day ahead of an approaching cold front. Conditions will waffle between MVFR and VFR through the morning as -SHRA pop up ahead of the main area of precipitation. The area has been placed in an enhanced risk for severe storms through the afternoon hours. However, confidence on the exact time of any storm passing over an individual airport is only about 20% at this time. Hence VCTS was added for the afternoon time frame with the expectation that timing will be narrowed down as we move closer to the event. In any case, plan for +TSRA to dot the state through the afternoon into evening with the usual suspects of wind shear, turbulence, heavy rain, and the potential for hail (especially aloft where it hasn't had time to melt on its way down). In the wake of the storms this afternoon expect low ceilings to stick around for MVFR to IFR across the entire area leading into Wednesday. Outlook... Wed...Periods of lingering showers possible Wednesday morning as the frontal boundary exits the state. Wed afternoon-Sat...Good VFR conditions expected. &&
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