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Severe Thunderstorms from the Midwest to Mid-Atlantic Tonight; The Heat Continues in the Southern and Eastern U.S.

Strong to severe thunderstorms capable of producing large to very large hail, damaging wind gusts and a few strong tornadoes are likely from the Midwest to the Mid-Atlantic tonight. Moderate Risk (level 4 of 5) of severe thunderstorms is outlooked for the Midwest. A widespread heat wave will peak in the South and East on Friday, with many temperature records expected to be broken. Read More >

NWS State College Aviation Weather Discussion
.AVIATION /09Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As we near the first day of Summer, fcst in line with the
obs. Some spots across the north and west have low CIGS
and fog. Still expect conditions to improve.

Activity over Ohio earlier has weaken as of 6 AM. 

More information below.

Not a lot of change from when I did the 00Z TAF package
earlier.

For the 06Z TAFS, the main issue early on was to add some 
showers to BFD and adjust showers in JST for weakening line of 
showers and storms over central Ohio at 130 AM. 

The other change was to add a line after sunset today, for 
clearing and weakening winds.

Showers and storms largely east of the area. A few light
showers near IPT, but that is about it as of 130 AM.

Fog and low clouds have been in and out of the area since
last evening, but just enough wind to keep much of the area
with limited fog so far. 

Looked over the potential for LLWS, held off for now, as
a bit borderline.

More information below.

Lower clouds and fog will likely form overnight, mainly
in areas that had rain today.

Expect winds to pick up Friday morning, with conditions
expected to become VFR again by late morning or early aft. 

Have some VCSH in most of the TAFS later Friday, NAM model
not showing much potential with showers and storms. Did not 
have VCSH in BFD, as even less chc there. Later shifts can 
adjust more on Friday as needed. 

A break on Saturday, but a stronger cold front on Sunday
will bring the potential for more strong storms on Sunday.

Outlook...

Saturday...Mainly VFR.

Sunday...VFR favored early, with restrictions possible as FROPA
brings chance of -SHRA/-TSRA later in the day.

Monday...Additional scattered -SHRA and associated restrictions
possible.

Tuesday...Still a slight chance of showers and storms.

&&
METARS & TAFs
BFD METAR TAF
JST METAR TAF
AOO METAR TAF
UNV METAR TAF
IPT METAR TAF
MDT METAR TAF
LNS METAR TAF

 

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