.AVIATION /06Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Not much change from when I did the 00Z TAF package.
Lower CIGS now into far northern PA, as I expected earlier.
Minor adjustments made for the 06Z TAF set.
Earlier discussion below.
A weak cold front over NY state will slowly drop southward
overnight. Not expecting any showers with the front this
far south.
A rather dry airmass, so low CIGS will be limited. Went with
the fcst the 18Z TAF package had for the most part. The main
chance of lower CIGS is BFD, and even there I slowed down the
lower CIGS by a few hours. With the front moving across the
area, cooling and fog formation less likely than a few nights
ago. Another good night for a bright moon as well.
More information below.
Again, a cold front will pass through PA tonight where winds
will take on a more northerly tilt behind it into tomorrow. Some
lower clouds trail behind this front, however with the lack of
moisture to work with, widespread restrictions don't look
likely. The main areas to watch for MVFR restrictions at this
time are the western terminals BFD, JST, and AOO where some of
the guidance has the highest probabilities for sub 2kft
ceilings.
Outlook...
Wed-Thu...VFR likely.
Fri...MVFR cigs possible mainly in the north and west due to a
cold front.
Sat...Mainly VFR conditions.
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