Aviation Forecasts and Information Page - NWS State College PA

.AVIATION /00Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
VFR conditions across the western terminals; however, expect 
some deterioration towards MVFR as a low-level cloud deck 
gradually shifts east-southeastward based on most recent ECONUS 
Nighttime Microphysics imagery. This transition to MVFR is well 
agreed upon in model guidance at BFD/JST; however, slightly more
uncertainty with regards to AOO/UNV given the inconsistencies 
in recent RAP/NBM/HREF model guidance. Have trended MVFR 
slightly quicker at UNV given the low-level cloud deck appears 
to be right on the doorstep while pushing mentions at AOO back 
considerably given the extent of low-level dry air. Light snow 
will be possible at BFD through 06Z Saturday; however, coverage 
remains the most uncertain aspect of the near-term. Further 
east, fog across the Lower Susquehanna Valley has promoted LIFR 
conditions at LNS/MDT, which look likely to continue through 
~03-05Z with high (~80-90%) confidence before VFR conditions 
prevail through the end of the TAF period.

Gusty winds currently are being observed at all airfields and
look likely to continue through ~12Z Saturday. All model
guidance points towards lower winds/gusts after 12Z Saturday 
and into the end of the TAF period.

Outlook...

Sun-Mon...Potential for restrictions in snow showers.

Tue...No significant weather expected.

Wed...Potential for restrictions in light rain/snow showers.

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