Aviation Forecasts and Information Page - NWS State College PA

.AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Cold front is making its way into PA with some gusty showers in
N PA at the moment. However, this activity isn't expected to 
become much more widespread as subsidence behind the main 
forcing area and dry air mixing are hurting precipitation
chances. Spotty showers remain a small possibility at BFD in the
next hour or so, but nothing appears to be prevailing at this
time. Ceilings look to be mostly VFR, say for BFD past 06Z where
guidance is indicating some upper bound MVFR as a postfrontal cloud
deck builds in. Any restrictions should leave by daybreak. 

The main threat this afternoon into the evening is the
anomalously strong flow in the low levels mixing down to yield
gusty conditions. We have seen consistent gusts >35kts with 
some non-TAF sites gusting past 40kts, which is possible this 
afternoon. Prevailing gusts should lower after 22Z, however they
will still be high enough (15kts-25kts) to warrant mentions in 
FM groups after sunset. The flow should mostly be out of the 
west with a slight northerly component. 

Outlook...

Fri-Sat...VFR with no significant weather.

Sun...Showers and thunderstorms developing in the
afternoon/evening across the far west.

Mon...Restrictions possible with widespread showers and 
thunderstorms.

Tue...Lower chances of showers, mainly VFR.

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