Aviation Forecasts and Information Page - NWS State College PA

.AVIATION /01Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
VFR conditions will continue through the 00Z TAF period with 
scattered clouds around 5000 feet likely sticking around through
the rest of the afternoon and early evening. Winds will be 
light out of the south- southwest into the evening, before 
becoming variable at less than 5 knots for tonight. Mid and high
clouds increase from west to east overnight ahead of a low 
pressure system that will track well to our north. This system 
will bring a few showers and possibly even a thunderstorm to 
northern PA into the morning along a shallow warm front. The 
best chance for rain will be at BFD and IPT, though a few 
showers may make it as far south as JST, AOO, and UNV. Prob30s 
have been mentioned at sites with the highest confidence. Some 
guidance shows additional showers developing around MDT and LNS,
though confidence is very low on this outcome.

Scattered to broken clouds between 5000 and 10000 feet will 
stick around through Wednesday morning, though rain becomes less
likely after 14Z. Winds will be out of the southwest around 10 
knots with gusts of 15 to 20 knots possible by late morning. 
Additional widely scattered showers may develop during the 
afternoon, but most TAF sites are expected to remain dry at this
point.

Outlook...

Wed...Higher chances for -SHRA/-TSRA, restrictions more likely
late. High probability (90+ percent) for LLWS Wed night into 
Thursday morning as the axis of an anomalously strong 
south/southwesterly LLJ slides east across the Commonwealth. 

Thu...Restrictions possible in -SHRA/-TSRA.

Fri...Showers ending.

Sat-Sun...Chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms over the
north and west.

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