Aviation Forecasts and Information Page - NWS State College PA

.AVIATION /00Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...

Trends tonight depict remaining storms moving into a weaker
environment with only UNV, JST, and AOO at any chance of -TSRA 
the remainder of the night remain.Even then, confidence is only
high enough (20-30%) to warrant PROB30 categories in the near
future. Spotty showery activity remains more likely the
remainder of the night with chances lowest at MDT and LNS. 

The rain will lead to plenty of moisture to allow for fog to
develop across the northern tier of the state with the highest
confidence in IFR conditions after midnight at BFD. IPT may need
to be watched for visibility restrictions in future TAF with
some guidance having high probabilities of fog not too far north
of IPT in the 07Z-12Z timeframe. 

Lower cloud ceilings in the MVFR category are also likely 
Friday morning across TAF sites, in the wake of the rainy 
conditions, with highest confidence currently at BFD, JST, UNV, 
and IPT. Each sites most confident timing in arrival and 
departure of MVFR ceilings has been reflected in their 00Z TAF. 
After those conditions clear up by mid-morning, things are 
trending to VFR in the afternoon before rain showers begin to 
overspread the Commonwealth, leading to possible restrictions. 
This activity is expected to start Friday evening and night, 
lasting into Saturday, so be on the lookout for updated timing 
in future TAFs. 


Outlook...

Sat...Restrictions likely in periods of stratiform rain and a 
few thunderstorms.

Sun...Mainly VFR with restrictions unlikely in any afternoon
-SHRA.

Mon...Mainly VFR, dry conditions prevail.

Tue...Mainly VFR, dry conditions prevail.

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