Aviation Forecasts and Information Page - NWS State College PA

.AVIATION /18Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Current forecast package will deal primarily with -SHRA and 
TSRA moving across the forecast area through late evening. Very 
moist atmosphere is currently producing MVFR to IFR conditions 
in heavy rain and embedded TSRA. There is plenty of instabiity 
but cloud cover from earlier has kept any of the storms from 
becoming severe so far. This instability should be realized 
into stronger storms over southern PA and would affect KMDT and 
KLNS. Skies have cleared in this area and sun will help kick 
start convection which will likely be severe by late afternoon.

Convection will wane later this evening as a cold front pushes
through the region. A result of the heavy rain will be a
lowering of conditions to MVFR and possible IFR in BR or FG.
Confidence is low to medium (20-40%) of any one location 
dropping to LIFR at this time, so made a mention of a drop to 
MVFR with VCFG wording overnight.

Behind the front on Wednesday, a BKN stratus layer will slowly
dissipate through the day on a breezy to gusty northwest wind.
Gusts will approach 20-25KTS during the afternoon.

Outlook...

Thu...Improving conditions with lingering -SHRA. Patchy AM fog.

Fri...Mainly VFR.

Sat and Sun...Patchy AM fog. Restrictions possible in isolated 
showers/storms mainly in the south.

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