Aviation Forecasts and Information Page - NWS State College PA

.AVIATION /00Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
00z update... A band of showers and embedded thunderstorms is 
crossing northern and western PA early this evening, and it is
still expected to begin losing steam with southeastward extent 
by 02-03z. Near-term TSRA in the vicinity at KBFD necessitates
some early mention of them at that site. Otherwise, confidence 
remains on the low side (20-40%) that they will impact other 
terminals. Thus, we'll continue to employ the strategy that 
amendments will be issued as necessary.

Overnight into early Thursday, there is a high probability 
(70-80%) of low cloud development across the central and western
portions of the Commonwealth. We have high enough confidence to
go with IFR restrictions at KBFD and KJST, with MVFR-fuel 
alternate restrictions anticipated at KAOO, KUNV, and KIPT. At 
this juncture, we expect KMDT and KLNS to stay VFR.

By late morning-midday Thursday, cloud bases should be in the 
process of lifting, with improving categories across the board
by/during the afternoon.

Outlook...

Fri...VFR conditions expected.

Sat-Mon...Primarily VFR conditions, with some potential for 
afternoon SHRA/TSRA on at least a hit and miss basis.

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