.AVIATION /18Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
VFR conditions will continue through the rest of the day with
scattered clouds between 5000 and 7000 feet. Southwesterly wind
gusts of 20 to 30 knots will continue into the early evening,
before tapering off after sunset.
A 40 to 50 knot low-level jet moving in tonight will bring LLWS
concerns to much of Central PA. For now, we have kept wind shear
out of the TAFs at IPT, MDT, and LNS, with the strongest part of
the jet expected to remain west of those sites. The LLJ will
also provide enough lift for scattered showers and thunderstorms
to develop over western PA after 00Z. All airfields except MDT
and LNS have at least a 30 percent chance of seeing rain from
these showers and storms tonight. Widespread restrictions appear
unlikely, though brief visibility drops will be possible in any
thunderstorms.
Showers decrease in coverage after sunrise on Tuesday, giving
way to mainly dry conditions for the rest of the morning. MVFR
ceilings may develop at BFD, though the rest of Central PA
should remain VFR. Expect southwesterly wind gusts increase to
20 to 25 knots by 15Z.
Outlook...
Tue PM...SHRA/TSRA becomes more widespread from NW to SE;
restrictions possible.
Wed-Thu...SHRA/TSRA continue; restrictions likely.
Fri-Sat...Scattered SHRA remains possible, restrictions
possible.
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