Aviation Forecasts and Information Page - NWS State College PA

.AVIATION /06Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Working both shifts today, so 00Z TAF set done largely already
earlier this aft (18Z set), so main adjustment for the new set
is for timing of showers and storms as of early evening. 

Back edge to most everything is near the PA, OH border.

More information below.

Showers are pivoting east and will only impact MDT and LNS for
another hour or two as of 06Z. Some back end, scattered light 
showers have been noted too which may impact UNV and possibly 
IPT if they hold together. 

The main restrictions tonight look to be in the form of low 
ceilings as high clouds move out of the area. Forecaster 
confidence in exact impacts is on the lower side, particularly 
in relation to what degree low level moisture will affect 
visibility. Regardless, widespread MVFR ceilings leading into 
IFR ceilings overnight looks to be the most likely solution at 
this time. 

As the sun rises, current guidance favors MVFR ceilings 
lingering into mid-morning. Once daytime convection kicks in and
cloud ceilings raise, VFR will be favored through tomorrow. Lake
effect rain bands are possible in the northwest, which may
impact BFD, although exact timing is uncertain. Added PROB30 to
highlight best chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. 
Cooling temperatures aloft behind the front and a 20+kt 850mb 
jet should allow for gusty westerly winds tomorrow. 

Outlook... 

Mon-Wed...Patchy morning fog, otherwise mainly VFR conditions 
return early next week with lower statewide precipitation
chances.

Thu...Chance of showers and storms again.

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