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Latest PA Weather Story:


000
AWUS81 KCTP 301546
RWSCTP

Regional Weather Summary
National Weather Service State College PA
1144 AM EDT MON MAY 30 2016

A cold front arrives from the west this afternoon. Scattered showers
and thunderstorms will form on this boundary as it moves into the
Central Mountains early this afternoon, then shift to the eastern
part of the state by evening. Some of these storms could contain
strong gusty winds and heavy downpours. Highs this Memorial Day will
range from the upper 70s to low 80s.

High pressure will build over the region tonight and Tuesday,
bringing fair and warm weather to Pennsylvania. Lows tonight are
expected to range from the 50s over the western half of the state,
to the low and mid 60s in the east. Under mostly sunny skies,
highs Tuesday will range from the upper 70s across the north, to
the mid 80s over the southeast piedmont.

$$

Latest Forecaster's Discussion:


000
FXUS61 KCTP 301939
AFDCTP

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service State College PA
339 PM EDT MON MAY 30 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
A weak cold front will push east of Pennsylvania tonight. A ridge
of high pressure will build east into the region for midweek. A
slow moving cold front will likely push into the region from the
Great Lakes by late in the week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM TUESDAY MORNING/...
Weak cold front pushing into central PA at mid
afternoon...providing sufficient moisture convergence and llvl
lift to overcome weak CIN and maintain a line of isolated to
scattered convection. mid level lapse rates are lacking for super
strong updrafts...but a few cells could build to produce gusty
winds and perhaps small hail...and cooling heavy downpours. Latest
hi res cams track broken line of convection out of the Central
Mountains and Laurel Highlands by 21z...and the Lower Susq River
Valley by 04z late this evening.

Skies will clear behind the front with sfc dewpoints falling into
the 50s. Light wind and areas of wet ground will lead to some patchy
fog late tonight. Lows will range from near 50F northwest to the
lower 60s southeast.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH 6 PM TUESDAY/...
Slowly rising heights aloft and sfc ridging will provide a mostly
sunny and warm day to PA on Tuesday. Superlend accepted for temps
with highs ranging from the u70s ovr the Allegheny Plateau, to the
m80s ovr the Susq Valley...although a few spots could crack 87F
far southeast.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
Not a lot of change from the last 2 days.

Made minor adjustments to the fcst package.

Still looks dry and warm for Wed.

Models show cold front moving into the area late Thursday into
Friday. 12Z NAM is showing large scale flow to be less amplified
and more zonal in a sense...so front not likely to slow down
quite as much for late Friday into Sat.

For Sunday into Monday...another weak system swings across the
area. Adjusted parameters to fit in with others. A slow cool
down as one heads into next weekand. At this time range...too
far out for not having some spread in model solutions from day
to day.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
A weak cold front will push across Pennsylvania this afternoon and
evening. A ridge of high pressure will build in for midweek.

VFR conds will give way to a line of isold to sct shra/tsra and
mvfr cigs tracks across central PA. This will provide the
potential for brief local reductions, followed by high pressure
and more settled weather building into the region through midweek
/with early morning patchy fog/.


OUTLOOK...

Tue-Wed...No sig wx. Local fog reductions poss around dawn.

Thu...Chance of showers/tstms west. A.M. cig reductions poss
west.

Fri...Cold front. Scattered showers/thunderstorms with
restrictions poss.

Sat...Mainly fair/VFR. Local fog reductions poss around dawn.

&&

.CTP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...DeVoir
NEAR TERM...DeVoir
SHORT TERM...DeVoir
LONG TERM...Martin
AVIATION...DeVoir/RXR