Latest PA Weather Summary:
436
AWUS81 KCTP 030002
RWSCTP
PAZ004>006-010>012-017>019-024>028-033>037-041-042-045-046-
049>053-056>059-063>066-031415-
Regional Weather Summary
National Weather Service State College PA
802 PM EDT Wed Jul 2 2025
Clear skies and comfortable temperatures in the upper 50s to mid
60s are on tap for tonight. A relatively strong cold front will
move southward from the upper Great Lakes on Thursday. Widely
scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible near and
along the front (mainly across the Eastern half of the state), but
most of the day should be dry.
High temperatures on Thursday will be once again in the upper 70s
to mid 80s. Skies will clear Thursday night, with lows well down
into the 50s across much of the state.
A nice sunny day is in store for the 4th of July, with low
humidity levels. Highs will be mainly in the upper 70s to lower
80s. Dry weather will prevail into the weekend. There could be an
isolated shower or storm across the far northwest corner of
Pennsylvania late Sunday.
$$
Latest Forecaster's Discussion:
320
FXUS61 KCTP 022333
AFDCTP
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service State College PA
733 PM EDT Wed Jul 2 2025
.SYNOPSIS...
* Drier/less humid/more comfortable conditions are likely for
today through Friday, with a high confidence of dry weather
and seasonable temperatures on Independence Day
* Trending warmer and more humid this weekend; unsettled pattern
returns by Sunday
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/...
Near to slightly below normal PWAT air with abundant sunshine
will continue over the bulk of the CWA for the rest of today,
giving us a welcome break from the humid and rainy conditions
of the past several days.
Temps will rise another deg F or so late this afternoon with
maxes varying from the upper 70s across the higher terrain of
the north and west, to the mid and upper 80s respectively in the
central and southern valleys, which are very near seasonal
normals.
Mainly clear sky conditions are expected for most of the night,
until the approach of a weak cold front from the N with some
high based strato cu and alto cu spilling SE into the CWA
toward daybreak.
Weak ridging over the area should allow for light wind and some
valley fog. The fog should not be as widespread as this (Wed)
AM. The clouds coming in with the front will try to make a
shower around or just before sunrise over the NW.
&&
.SHORT TERM /6 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
Short wave trough aloft and a 300 mb speed max of 70+KTs will
help support some taller showers and support a MRGL risk of
severe wx (with the western edge of SPC`s SLGT Risk of SVR
brushing our far eastern counties).
Deep layer shear will be 40-60KTs, with the higher values
across the NE. The cells should be moving along and PWATs much
nearer to normal than of late (1-1.25").
So, we`re not expecting any flooding issues, but some localized
strong wind gusts from healthy DCAPE and marginally severe hail
from a lowering freezing level are possible.
Did add in a 20 PoP to the SE after 00Z, but those SHRA/TSRA
should dwindle quickly after sunset and the passage of the best
meso-B forcing in the early evening. One more chance for fog
(only in the valleys of the nrn mtns) Fri AM.
We continue to have high confidence/conviction in a really nice
Independence Day with a near zero chance for rain and great
viewing for fireworks. The wind will be pretty light, if not
calm, at 8-9PM, and may keep the smoke around with little
evacuation. Min temps Friday night will be quite comfortable in
the low 50s to low 60s.
Humidity levels start to creep upward to start the first
weekend of July; however it will remain dry with unsettled
weather expected to return Sunday into early next week.
&&
.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Compared to previous guidance, today`s model runs have slowed
down with the arrival of precip associated with a shortwave
trough late Sunday. Most of the day looks hot and mostly sunny
with highs in the upper 80s. PoPs increase into Monday as the
trough arrives. Forecast uncertainty increases Tuesday and
Wednesday, as several ensemble members show showers/storms
lingering as the front slows down, while much of the
deterministic guidance has drier air pushing in.
&&
.AVIATION /00Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
Skies are mainly clear this evening over Central PA and VFR
conditions are expected through the night. Patchy valley fog
will likely form overnight, but model soundings suggest that
impacts at any TAF sites are unlikely.
The main focus for the 00Z TAF period is a couple of shortwaves
that will traverse the region and bring isolated showers and
thunderstorms to portions of the area. The first shortwave will
move through overnight and may bring a few weakening showers
into BFD after 06Z. A PROB30 has been included to highlight this
threat. Most guidance suggests that these showers will struggle
to make it any farther to the east. The second shortwave and its
associated surface cold front will move in during the afternoon
and will trigger a few thunderstorms over eastern PA. These
thunderstorms will have the best chance of impacting IPT, MDT,
and LNS, while areas farther to the west likely remain dry.
Outlook...
Fri-Sun...AM fog possible; otherwise VFR.
Mon...Thunderstorms developing in the afternoon.
&&
.CTP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...Lambert/Dangelo
NEAR TERM...Lambert/Dangelo
SHORT TERM...Lambert/Dangelo
LONG TERM...Colbert
AVIATION...Bauco
Latest Public Information Statement:
986
NOUS41 KCTP 011657
PNSCTP
PAZ004>006-010>012-017>019-024>028-033>037-041-042-045-046-049>053-056>059-
063>066-020457-
Public Information Statement
National Weather Service State College PA
1257 PM EDT Tue Jul 1 2025
...PRECIPITATION REPORTS...
Location Amount Time/Date Provider
...Pennsylvania...
...Adams County...
Abbottstown 2.4 N 1.13 in 0700 AM 07/01 COCORAHS
New Oxford 0.8 SE 1.05 in 0700 AM 07/01 COCORAHS
...Cumberland County...
Carlisle 7.2 SSW 2.40 in 0800 AM 07/01 COCORAHS
Enola 3.1 W 1.02 in 0700 AM 07/01 COCORAHS
Carlisle 3.3 WSW 1.00 in 0700 AM 07/01 COCORAHS
...Dauphin County...
Hershey 2.1 NW 3.89 in 0745 AM 07/01 COCORAHS
Linglestown 3.45 in 0600 AM 07/01 Public
Hummelstown 0.6 WNW 2.64 in 0700 AM 07/01 COCORAHS
Middletown 2.9 NW 2.04 in 0800 AM 07/01 COCORAHS
1 SSE Linglestown 1.84 in 0600 AM 07/01 Public
Paxtonia 1.7 E 1.68 in 0700 AM 07/01 COCORAHS
Harrisburg 3.8 NNE 1.42 in 0700 AM 07/01 COCORAHS
1 WNW Skyline View 1.35 in 0700 AM 07/01 COCORAHS
...Lancaster County...
Brickerville 2.5 WNW 4.92 in 0700 AM 07/01 COCORAHS
Lancaster 5.8 WNW 4.24 in 0700 AM 07/01 COCORAHS
Landisville 4.19 in 0700 AM 07/01 Trained Spotter
Salunga-Landisville 1.1 SSE 4.19 in 0900 AM 07/01 COCORAHS
Lancaster Airport 3.68 in 1153 AM 07/01 ASOS
Mountville 0.5 NW 3.60 in 0700 AM 07/01 COCORAHS
Lititz 0.3 WNW 3.57 in 0800 AM 07/01 COCORAHS
Landisville 0.8 WSW 3.42 in 0700 AM 07/01 COCORAHS
Marietta 2.5 N 3.14 in 0600 AM 07/01 COCORAHS
Ephrata 0.6 NW 2.66 in 0700 AM 07/01 COCORAHS
Ephrata 0.6 WSW 2.60 in 0700 AM 07/01 COCORAHS
Ephrata 0.9 E 2.55 in 0650 AM 07/01 COCORAHS
New Holland 0.4 WNW 2.46 in 0816 AM 07/01 COCORAHS
1 E Lancaster 2.30 in 0836 AM 07/01
Lancaster 2.04 in 0800 AM 07/01 COOP
Holtwood 2.00 in 0800 AM 07/01 COOP
Safe Harbor 1.97 in 0800 AM 07/01 COOP
Millersville 1 S 1.79 in 0800 AM 07/01 COOP
2 SW Manheim 1.73 in 0923 PM 06/30
Gap 0.3 NW 1.60 in 0700 AM 07/01 COCORAHS
2 SW Manheim 1.50 in 0818 AM 07/01
2 NW Gap 1.20 in 1135 AM 07/01 AWS
...Lebanon County...
Palmyra 1.4 SE 5.04 in 0800 AM 07/01 COCORAHS
1 WSW Lebanon 4.70 in 0815 PM 06/30 Trained Spotter
Lebanon 1.3 SW 4.63 in 0700 AM 07/01 COCORAHS
3 S Annville 4.51 in 0600 AM 07/01 Public
Palmyra 2.1 S 4.35 in 0700 AM 07/01 COCORAHS
Lebanon 3.1 SSE 4.05 in 0615 AM 07/01 COCORAHS
Palmyra 0.9 SW 3.91 in 0700 AM 07/01 COCORAHS
Myerstown 3.50 in 0600 AM 07/01 Public
Lebanon 4.8 N 2.57 in 0500 AM 07/01 COCORAHS
2 E Sand Hill 2.52 in 1140 AM 07/01 AWS
...Northumberland County...
Muncy 4.7 SSE 1.11 in 0700 AM 07/01 COCORAHS
...Schuylkill County...
Pottsville 0.6 NNE 1.83 in 0700 AM 07/01 COCORAHS
Schuylkill Haven 3.6 SSW 1.75 in 0700 AM 07/01 COCORAHS
2 SW Auburn 1.57 in 0700 AM 07/01 COCORAHS
Bears Head 1.23 in 1008 AM 07/01 RAWS
...Somerset County...
Rockwood 1.50 in 0500 AM 07/01 Public
Hidden Valley 0.3 ENE 1.15 in 0500 AM 07/01 COCORAHS
Hidden Valley 1.15 in 0500 AM 07/01 COOP
...Sullivan County...
Laporte 1.08 in 0611 AM 07/01 COOP
...York County...
Wrightsville 2.79 in 0800 AM 07/01 Public
Manchester 0.7 NNW 2.51 in 0611 AM 07/01 COCORAHS
York Haven 2.3 WNW 2.20 in 0800 AM 07/01 COCORAHS
Mount Wolf 1.0 SE 2.11 in 0800 AM 07/01 COCORAHS
Dover 2.2 E 1.99 in 0500 AM 07/01 COCORAHS
York 2.5 NNW 1.62 in 0500 AM 07/01 COCORAHS
1 SE New Salem 1.60 in 0714 AM 07/01 Trained Spotter
Yorkana 1.4 SE 1.55 in 0800 AM 07/01 COCORAHS
Hanover 1.3 SSE 1.45 in 0411 AM 07/01 COCORAHS
Shiloh 1.2 W 1.35 in 0700 AM 07/01 COCORAHS
Valley Green 0.8 ENE 1.23 in 0600 AM 07/01 COCORAHS
Dover 4.2 WSW 1.15 in 0600 AM 07/01 COCORAHS
York Airport 1.05 in 1153 AM 07/01 ASOS
Spring Grove 2.5 W 1.00 in 0700 AM 07/01 COCORAHS
&&
**METADATA**
:7/01/2025,0700 AM, PA, Adams, New Oxford 0.8 SE, , , 39.854, -77.046, RAIN_24, 1.05, Inch, COCORAHS, 24 hour rainfall,
:7/01/2025,0700 AM, PA, Adams, Abbottstown 2.4 N, , , 39.9192, -76.9894, RAIN_24, 1.13, Inch, COCORAHS, 24 hour rainfall,
:7/01/2025,0700 AM, PA, Cumberland, Carlisle 3.3 WSW, , , 40.1821, -77.2622, RAIN_24, 1, Inch, COCORAHS, 24 hour rainfall,
:7/01/2025,0700 AM, PA, Cumberland, Enola 3.1 W, , , 40.2875, -76.9944, RAIN_24, 1.02, Inch, COCORAHS, 24 hour rainfall,
:7/01/2025,0800 AM, PA, Cumberland, Carlisle 7.2 SSW, , , 40.1125, -77.2774, RAIN_24, 2.4, Inch, COCORAHS, 24 hour rainfall,
:7/01/2025,0700 AM, PA, Dauphin, 1 WNW Skyline View, , , 40.3468, -76.7435, RAIN_24, 1.35, Inch, COCORAHS, 24 hour rainfall,
:7/01/2025,0700 AM, PA, Dauphin, Harrisburg 3.8 NNE, , , 40.3277, -76.8605, RAIN_24, 1.42, Inch, COCORAHS, 24 hour rainfall,
:7/01/2025,0700 AM, PA, Dauphin, Paxtonia 1.7 E, , , 40.3134, -76.7578, RAIN_24, 1.68, Inch, COCORAHS, 24 hour rainfall,
:7/01/2025,0600 AM, PA, Dauphin, 1 SSE Linglestown, , , 40.335, -76.7913, RAIN_24, 1.84, Inch, Public, 24 hour rainfall,
:7/01/2025,0800 AM, PA, Dauphin, Middletown 2.9 NW, , , 40.2349, -76.7617, RAIN_24, 2.04, Inch, COCORAHS, 24 hour rainfall,
:7/01/2025,0700 AM, PA, Dauphin, Hummelstown 0.6 WNW, , , 40.2711, -76.7233, RAIN_24, 2.64, Inch, COCORAHS, 24 hour rainfall,
:7/01/2025,0600 AM, PA, Dauphin, Linglestown, , , 40.3432, -76.794, RAIN_24, 3.45, Inch, Public, 24 hour rainfall,
:7/01/2025,0745 AM, PA, Dauphin, Hershey 2.1 NW, , , 40.3022, -76.6745, RAIN_24, 3.89, Inch, COCORAHS, 24 hour rainfall,
:7/01/2025,1135 AM, PA, Lancaster, 2 NW Gap, , , 40.0227, -76.0597, RAIN_24, 1.2, Inch, AWS, 24 hour rainfall,
:7/01/2025,0818 AM, PA, Lancaster, 2 SW Manheim, , , 40.1473, -76.4226, RAIN, 1.50, Inch, null, Storm total rainfall,
:7/01/2025,0700 AM, PA, Lancaster, Gap 0.3 NW, , , 39.9913, -76.0281, RAIN_24, 1.6, Inch, COCORAHS, 24 hour rainfall,
:6/30/2025,0923 PM, PA, Lancaster, 2 SW Manheim, , , 40.1473, -76.4226, RAIN, 1.73, Inch, null, Storm total rainfall,
:7/01/2025,0800 AM, PA, Lancaster, Millersville 1 S, , , 39.996, -76.3511, RAIN_24, 1.79, Inch, COOP, 24 hour rainfall,
:7/01/2025,0800 AM, PA, Lancaster, Safe Harbor, , , 39.9244, -76.3911, RAIN_24, 1.97, Inch, COOP, 24 hour rainfall,
:7/01/2025,0800 AM, PA, Lancaster, Holtwood, , , 39.8333, -76.3333, RAIN_24, 2, Inch, COOP, 24 hour rainfall,
:7/01/2025,0800 AM, PA, Lancaster, Lancaster, , , 40.05, -76.2833, RAIN_24, 2.04, Inch, COOP, 24 hour rainfall,
:7/01/2025,0836 AM, PA, Lancaster, 1 E Lancaster, , , 40.0422, -76.2817, RAIN, 2.30, Inch, null, Storm total rainfall,
:7/01/2025,0816 AM, PA, Lancaster, New Holland 0.4 WNW, , , 40.1026, -76.0982, RAIN_24, 2.46, Inch, COCORAHS, 24 hour rainfall,
:7/01/2025,0650 AM, PA, Lancaster, Ephrata 0.9 E, , , 40.1829, -76.167, RAIN_24, 2.55, Inch, COCORAHS, 24 hour rainfall,
:7/01/2025,0700 AM, PA, Lancaster, Ephrata 0.6 WSW, , , 40.1783, -76.1945, RAIN_24, 2.6, Inch, COCORAHS, 24 hour rainfall,
:7/01/2025,0700 AM, PA, Lancaster, Ephrata 0.6 NW, , , 40.1868, -76.1907, RAIN_24, 2.66, Inch, COCORAHS, 24 hour rainfall,
:7/01/2025,0600 AM, PA, Lancaster, Marietta 2.5 N, , , 40.0927, -76.5586, RAIN_24, 3.14, Inch, COCORAHS, 24 hour rainfall,
:7/01/2025,0700 AM, PA, Lancaster, Landisville 0.8 WSW, , , 40.0913, -76.4254, RAIN_24, 3.42, Inch, COCORAHS, 24 hour rainfall,
:7/01/2025,0800 AM, PA, Lancaster, Lititz 0.3 WNW, , , 40.1556, -76.3095, RAIN_24, 3.57, Inch, COCORAHS, 24 hour rainfall,
:7/01/2025,0700 AM, PA, Lancaster, Mountville 0.5 NW, , , 40.0462, -76.4408, RAIN_24, 3.6, Inch, COCORAHS, 24 hour rainfall,
:7/01/2025,1153 AM, PA, Lancaster, Lancaster Airport, , , 40.1167, -76.3, RAIN_24, 3.68, Inch, ASOS, 24 hour rainfall,
:7/01/2025,0700 AM, PA, Lancaster, Landisville, , , 40.0915, -76.4186, RAIN_24, 4.19, Inch, Trained Spotter, 24 hour rainfall,
:7/01/2025,0900 AM, PA, Lancaster, Salunga-Landisville 1.1 SSE, , , 40.077, -76.4117, RAIN_24, 4.19, Inch, COCORAHS, 24 hour rainfall,
:7/01/2025,0700 AM, PA, Lancaster, Lancaster 5.8 WNW, , , 40.0634, -76.4072, RAIN_24, 4.24, Inch, COCORAHS, 24 hour rainfall,
:7/01/2025,0700 AM, PA, Lancaster, Brickerville 2.5 WNW, , , 40.2363, -76.3323, RAIN_24, 4.92, Inch, COCORAHS, 24 hour rainfall,
:7/01/2025,1140 AM, PA, Lebanon, 2 E Sand Hill, , , 40.3608, -76.3777, RAIN_24, 2.52, Inch, AWS, 24 hour rainfall,
:7/01/2025,0500 AM, PA, Lebanon, Lebanon 4.8 N, , , 40.4099, -76.4158, RAIN_24, 2.57, Inch, COCORAHS, 24 hour rainfall,
:7/01/2025,0600 AM, PA, Lebanon, Myerstown, , , 40.3717, -76.3054, RAIN_24, 3.50, Inch, Public, 24 hour rainfall,
:7/01/2025,0700 AM, PA, Lebanon, Palmyra 0.9 SW, , , 40.2996, -76.607, RAIN_24, 3.91, Inch, COCORAHS, 24 hour rainfall,
:7/01/2025,0615 AM, PA, Lebanon, Lebanon 3.1 SSE, , , 40.3022, -76.3934, RAIN_24, 4.05, Inch, COCORAHS, 24 hour rainfall,
:7/01/2025,0700 AM, PA, Lebanon, Palmyra 2.1 S, , , 40.2798, -76.5992, RAIN_24, 4.35, Inch, COCORAHS, 24 hour rainfall,
:7/01/2025,0600 AM, PA, Lebanon, 3 S Annville, , , 40.289641026000865, -76.51554986371092, RAIN_24, 4.51, Inch, Public, 24 hour rainfall,
:7/01/2025,0700 AM, PA, Lebanon, Lebanon 1.3 SW, , , 40.3297, -76.4416, RAIN_24, 4.63, Inch, COCORAHS, 24 hour rainfall,
:6/30/2025,0815 PM, PA, Lebanon, 1 WSW Lebanon, , , 40.330266, -76.446348, RAIN_24, 4.70, Inch, Trained Spotter, 24 hour rainfall,
:7/01/2025,0800 AM, PA, Lebanon, Palmyra 1.4 SE, , , 40.2979, -76.5735, RAIN_24, 5.04, Inch, COCORAHS, 24 hour rainfall,
:7/01/2025,0700 AM, PA, Northumberland, Muncy 4.7 SSE, , , 41.1361, -76.7651, RAIN_24, 1.11, Inch, COCORAHS, 24 hour rainfall,
:7/01/2025,1008 AM, PA, Schuylkill, Bears Head, , , 40.8094, -76.011, RAIN_24, 1.23, Inch, RAWS, 24 hour rainfall,
:7/01/2025,0700 AM, PA, Schuylkill, 2 SW Auburn, , , 40.573, -76.119, RAIN_24, 1.57, Inch, COCORAHS, 24 hour rainfall,
:7/01/2025,0700 AM, PA, Schuylkill, Schuylkill Haven 3.6 SSW, , , 40.58, -76.201, RAIN_24, 1.75, Inch, COCORAHS, 24 hour rainfall,
:7/01/2025,0700 AM, PA, Schuylkill, Pottsville 0.6 NNE, , , 40.6882, -76.207, RAIN_24, 1.83, Inch, COCORAHS, 24 hour rainfall,
:7/01/2025,0500 AM, PA, Somerset, Hidden Valley 0.3 ENE, , , 40.0584, -79.2616, RAIN_24, 1.15, Inch, COCORAHS, 24 hour rainfall,
:7/01/2025,0500 AM, PA, Somerset, Hidden Valley, , , 40.042, -79.2566, RAIN_24, 1.15, Inch, COOP, 24 hour rainfall,
:7/01/2025,0500 AM, PA, Somerset, Rockwood, , , 39.9167, -79.1571, RAIN_24, 1.50, Inch, Public, 24 hour rainfall,
:7/01/2025,0611 AM, PA, Sullivan, Laporte, , , 41.4247, -76.4925, RAIN_24, 1.08, Inch, COOP, 24 hour rainfall,
:7/01/2025,0700 AM, PA, York, Spring Grove 2.5 W, , , 39.8775, -76.9121, RAIN_24, 1, Inch, COCORAHS, 24 hour rainfall,
:7/01/2025,1153 AM, PA, York, York Airport, , , 39.9167, -76.8833, RAIN_24, 1.05, Inch, ASOS, 24 hour rainfall,
:7/01/2025,0600 AM, PA, York, Dover 4.2 WSW, , , 39.9734, -76.9178, RAIN_24, 1.15, Inch, COCORAHS, 24 hour rainfall,
:7/01/2025,0600 AM, PA, York, Valley Green 0.8 ENE, , , 40.1612, -76.7791, RAIN_24, 1.23, Inch, COCORAHS, 24 hour rainfall,
:7/01/2025,0700 AM, PA, York, Shiloh 1.2 W, , , 39.9722, -76.8148, RAIN_24, 1.35, Inch, COCORAHS, 24 hour rainfall,
:7/01/2025,0411 AM, PA, York, Hanover 1.3 SSE, , , 39.7954, -76.9713, RAIN_24, 1.45, Inch, COCORAHS, 24 hour rainfall,
:7/01/2025,0800 AM, PA, York, Yorkana 1.4 SE, , , 39.958, -76.57, RAIN_24, 1.55, Inch, COCORAHS, 24 hour rainfall,
:7/01/2025,0714 AM, PA, York, 1 SE New Salem, , , 39.8906991, -76.7823188, RAIN_24, 1.60, Inch, Trained Spotter, 24 hour rainfall,
:7/01/2025,0500 AM, PA, York, York 2.5 NNW, , , 39.9965, -76.7533, RAIN_24, 1.62, Inch, COCORAHS, 24 hour rainfall,
:7/01/2025,0500 AM, PA, York, Dover 2.2 E, , , 40.002, -76.808, RAIN_24, 1.99, Inch, COCORAHS, 24 hour rainfall,
:7/01/2025,0800 AM, PA, York, Mount Wolf 1.0 SE, , , 40.0488, -76.6948, RAIN_24, 2.11, Inch, COCORAHS, 24 hour rainfall,
:7/01/2025,0800 AM, PA, York, York Haven 2.3 WNW, , , 40.1184, -76.7581, RAIN_24, 2.2, Inch, COCORAHS, 24 hour rainfall,
:7/01/2025,0611 AM, PA, York, Manchester 0.7 NNW, , , 40.0713, -76.7231, RAIN_24, 2.51, Inch, COCORAHS, 24 hour rainfall,
:7/01/2025,0800 AM, PA, York, Wrightsville, , , 40.0244, -76.5315, RAIN_24, 2.79, Inch, Public, 24 hour rainfall,
Observations are collected from a variety of sources with varying
equipment and exposures. We thank all volunteer weather observers
for their dedication. Not all data listed are considered official.
$$
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