Surf Forecast Matrices

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* EXPERIMENTAL - NOT FOR OPERATIONAL USE *

Experimental Surf Forecast Matrix

In the tabs below you can view Surf Forecast Matrices for various beaches over southeast North Carolina and northeast South Carolina. This product is experimental and not intended to be substituted for the official Surf Zone Forecast, which can be viewed HERE. Additional information on this project and variable definitions can be found HERE. We are seeking feedback on this over the next several months, so please send us your input via an online survey.

The Rip Probabilities included in the matrices below are from a rip current forecast model tied to NOAA's Nearshore Wave Prediction System. This model predicts the probabilities of hazardous rip currents occurring using output from the nearshore wave model and predicted tide levels. Values are calculated from 0-100%, hourly through 144 hours. (Please note, the model is known to have a high bias, especially for beaches south of Cape Fear.)

To retrieve links to the individual surf matrix for each beach, click the beach name in the blue banner above the matrix (after clicking the tab for the beach).

Surf City
Topsail Beach
Wrightsville Beach
Masonboro Island
Carolina Beach
Kure Beach
Bald Head Island
Oak Island
Holden Beach
Ocean Isle Beach
Sunset Beach
Cherry Grove
North Myrtle Beach
Myrtle Beach
Surfside Beach
Murrells Inlet
Litchfield Beach
Pawleys Island
Debordieu Beach

Surf City, NC

Date                         Wed 10/01                               Thu 10/02
EDT 3hrly          20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14

Rip Current Risk                     High High High High                     High High High
Rip Probability    97   96   96   96   97   93   78   75   88   90   80   78   89   89   73
Surf Height (ft)    7    8    8    6    6    5    5    5    4    4    4    4    4    4    5
Dom Period (s)     15   15   15   14   13   12   11   11   11   11   11   11   11   11   12
Chance Precip      10   10   10    5    5    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Mcld Pcld Mcld Mcld Pcld Pcld Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Pcld Pcld Mclr Mclr Pcld
Temperature        74   72   70   69   69   73   75   73   70   67   64   63   63   69   72
Heat Index                                                                                 
Wind (mph)        N20  N20  N18  N17  N18 NE18 NE20 NE20 NE20 NE17 NE16  N16  N17 NE17 NE18
Wind Gust          29   28   25   25   25   25   26   28   28   25   23   23   23   24   25
Longshore       StrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrng
Waterspout Risk  None None None None None None None None None None None None None None None


Date                    Fri 10/03           Sat 10/04           Sun 10/05
EDT 6hrly          20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14

Rip Probability    85   80   82   71   66   57   52   67   46   73   49   84
Surf Height (ft)    4    3    4    3    3    2    4    3    3    2    3    3
Dom Period (s)     12   12   12   11   11   11   11    8   11    8   10    7
Chance Precip       5    5    5   10    5    5    5   10   10   10   10   20
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Mclr Pcld Mclr Pcld Pcld Pcld Mclr Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld
Temperature        69   64   64   74   72   68   66   75   74   70   71   77
Heat Index                                                                  
Wind (mph)       NE20 NE16 NE16 NE16 NE16 NE13 NE13  E14  E14  E12  E13  E15
Wind Gust          26   23   22   22   21                                 20
Longshore       StrngStrngStrngStrngStrng  Mod  ModStrng  Mod  Mod  Mod None
Waterspout Risk  None None None None None None None None None None None None

Topsail Beach, NC

Date                         Wed 10/01                               Thu 10/02
EDT 3hrly          20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14

Rip Current Risk                     High High High High                     High High High
Rip Probability    97   97   96   96   97   93   79   76   87   90   83   81   89   90   79
Surf Height (ft)    7    7    7    7    6    5    6    6    5    5    4    5    5    5    5
Dom Period (s)     15   15   15   14   13   12   11   11   11   11   11   11   11   11   12
Chance Precip      10    5   10    5    5    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    5
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Mcld Pcld Mcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Pcld Pcld Mclr Mclr Pcld
Temperature        74   72   70   69   68   73   74   73   70   67   64   63   63   69   71
Heat Index                                                                                 
Wind (mph)        N21  N21  N20  N20  N20 NE18 NE20 NE20 NE21 NE18 NE17  N17  N18 NE18 NE20
Wind Gust          30   29   26   26   25   26   26   28   28   26   23   23   23   24   26
Longshore       StrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrng
Waterspout Risk  None None None None None None None None None None None None None None None


Date                    Fri 10/03           Sat 10/04           Sun 10/05
EDT 6hrly          20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14

Rip Probability    86   84   83   77   69   64   57   72   50   75   53   85
Surf Height (ft)    4    4    4    4    3    3    5    4    4    3    4    4
Dom Period (s)     12   12   11   11   11   11   10    8    8    8    8    7
Chance Precip       5    5    5   20    5    5    5   10   10   10   10   20
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Mclr Pcld Mclr Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld
Temperature        69   64   64   74   72   68   66   75   74   71   71   77
Heat Index                                                                  
Wind (mph)       NE21 NE18 NE16 NE17 NE16 NE14 NE14  E15  E15  E13  E14  E15
Wind Gust          26   23   22   23   22             20                  21
Longshore       StrngStrngStrngStrngStrng  Mod  ModStrng  Mod  Mod  Mod None
Waterspout Risk  None None None None None None None None None None None  Low

Wrightsville Beach, NC

Date                         Wed 10/01                               Thu 10/02
EDT 3hrly          20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14

Rip Current Risk                     High High High High                     High High High
Rip Probability    99   98   97   96   97   93   81   80   92   94   87   86   93   94   83
Surf Height (ft)    9    9    8    8    6    6    6    7    6    7    7    6    6    6    6
Dom Period (s)     15   15   14   13   12   11   11   11   11   11   11   11   11   11   12
Chance Precip      10    5   10    5    5    5    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    5
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Mcld Mcld Mcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Pcld Pcld Mclr Mclr Pcld
Temperature        75   73   71   70   70   73   74   74   71   68   66   64   64   68   71
Heat Index                                                                                 
Wind (mph)        N22  N22  N21  N21  N20 NE21 NE20 NE21 NE22 NE21 NE20  N20 NE20 NE21 NE22
Wind Gust          28   28   26   26             25   26   28   26                         
Longshore       StrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrng
Waterspout Risk  None None None None None None None None None None None None None None None


Date                    Fri 10/03           Sat 10/04           Sun 10/05
EDT 6hrly          20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14

Rip Probability    89   87   87   78   60   71   62   79   55   84   59   91
Surf Height (ft)    5    4    5    4    3    3    4    4    4    3    4    4
Dom Period (s)     12   12   11   11   11   11    7    7    7    6    6    7
Chance Precip       5   10   10   20   10    5    5   10   10   10   20   20
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Mclr Pcld Mclr Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld
Temperature        70   66   65   73   73   70   68   74   74   72   72   76
Heat Index                                                                  
Wind (mph)       NE22 NE20 NE18 NE18 NE17 NE15 NE15  E16  E16  E14  E14  E16
Wind Gust                    23   23   22                                 21
Longshore       StrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrng  Mod None None None None None
Waterspout Risk  None None None None None None None None None None None  Low

Masonboro Island, NC

Date                         Wed 10/01                               Thu 10/02
EDT 3hrly          20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14

Rip Current Risk                     High High High High                     High High High
Rip Probability    99   99   98   98   98   96   87   87   95   97   92   92   96   97   89
Surf Height (ft)    9    9    9    8    7    6    7    7    6    7    6    7    7    7    7
Dom Period (s)     15   15   15   14   13   12   11   11   11   11   11   11   11   11   12
Chance Precip      10   10   10    5    5    5    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    5
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Mcld Mcld Mcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Pcld Pcld Pcld Mclr Pcld
Temperature        75   73   71   70   70   73   75   74   72   69   66   65   64   68   71
Heat Index                                                                                 
Wind (mph)        N22  N22  N21  N22  N20 NE21 NE20 NE21 NE23 NE22 NE21 NE20 NE20 NE21 NE21
Wind Gust          28   28   26        25   26   25   26   28                            26
Longshore       StrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrng
Waterspout Risk  None None None None None None None None None None None None None None None


Date                    Fri 10/03           Sat 10/04           Sun 10/05
EDT 6hrly          20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14

Rip Probability    94   92   93   89   81   81   75   85   68   89   71   94
Surf Height (ft)    7    6    6    5    4    3    4    4    4    4    4    4
Dom Period (s)     12   12   12   11   11   11   10    9    9    9    8    7
Chance Precip       5   10   10   20   10   10   10   10   10   10   20   30
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Pcld Pcld Mclr Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld
Temperature        71   66   66   73   73   70   69   74   75   72   72   76
Heat Index                                                                  
Wind (mph)       NE22 NE20 NE18 NE18 NE17 NE15 NE15  E17  E15  E14  E14  E16
Wind Gust                    23   23                                      21
Longshore       StrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrng None None None None None
Waterspout Risk  None None None None None None None None None None  Low  Low

Carolina Beach, NC

Date                         Wed 10/01                               Thu 10/02
EDT 3hrly          20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14

Rip Current Risk                     High High High High                     High High High
Rip Probability    99   99   98   98   98   96   89   89   96   97   93   93   97   97   91
Surf Height (ft)    9    8    8    8    7    6    7    7    7    7    6    7    6    6    7
Dom Period (s)     15   15   15   14   13   12   11   11   11   10   11   11   11   11   11
Chance Precip      10   10   10    5    5    5    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    5
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Mcld Mcld Mcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Pcld Pcld Pcld Mclr Pcld
Temperature        75   74   72   70   70   73   74   74   72   70   67   66   65   68   71
Heat Index                                                                                 
Wind (mph)        N22  N23  N22  N22  N21 NE22 NE20 NE21 NE23 NE22 NE22 NE21 NE22 NE22 NE22
Wind Gust          28   28                       25   26   28   28                         
Longshore       StrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrng
Waterspout Risk   Low None None None None None None None None None None None None None None


Date                    Fri 10/03           Sat 10/04           Sun 10/05
EDT 6hrly          20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14

Rip Probability    95   94   94   91   82   84   79   88   73   90   75   95
Surf Height (ft)    7    7    7    6    5    4    4    4    5    4    5    4
Dom Period (s)     12   12   12   11   11   11   10    8    8    7    7    7
Chance Precip      10   10   10   20   10   10   10   10   10   20   20   30
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Mclr Pcld Mclr Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld
Temperature        71   67   66   72   73   71   70   74   75   73   73   75
Heat Index                                                                  
Wind (mph)       NE22 NE21 NE20 NE20 NE17 NE16 NE15  E16  E15  E14  E14  E16
Wind Gust          28                  22             21                  21
Longshore       StrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrng None None None None None
Waterspout Risk  None None None None None None None None None None  Low  Low

Kure Beach, NC

Date                         Wed 10/01                               Thu 10/02
EDT 3hrly          20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14

Rip Current Risk                     High High High High                     High High High
Rip Probability    99   99   99   98   99   97   90   88   96   97   94   93   97   97   93
Surf Height (ft)    9    8    8    7    6    5    5    6    5    5    5    5    5    6    6
Dom Period (s)     15   15   15   14   13   12   11   11   11   11   11   11   11   11   12
Chance Precip      10   10   10    5    5    5    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    5
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Mcld Mcld Mcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mclr  Clr Mclr Mclr Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld
Temperature        75   74   72   71   70   73   75   75   72   70   68   66   66   69   71
Heat Index                                                                                 
Wind (mph)        N22  N23  N21  N22  N21 NE22 NE21 NE22 NE24 NE23 NE22 NE21 NE22 NE22 NE22
Wind Gust          30   30   28   29   28   28   26        29   29   28   26        28   28
Longshore       StrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrng
Waterspout Risk   Low None None None None None None None None None None None None None None


Date                    Fri 10/03           Sat 10/04           Sun 10/05
EDT 6hrly          20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14

Rip Probability    95   95   94   93   81   88   78   91   71   93   75   96
Surf Height (ft)    6    6    6    5    5    3    5    4    4    4    4    4
Dom Period (s)     12   12   12   12   11   11   11    9    9    9    7    7
Chance Precip      10   10   10   20   10   10   10   10   10   20   20   30
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Pcld Pcld Mclr Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld
Temperature        71   68   67   73   73   71   70   74   75   73   73   76
Heat Index                                                                  
Wind (mph)       NE23 NE21 NE20 NE20 NE18 NE16 NE15  E16  E16  E15  E15  E16
Wind Gust          29        25   25   23        20   22                  22
Longshore       StrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrng None None None None None
Waterspout Risk  None None None None  Low None None None None  Low  Low  Low

Bald Head Island, NC

Date                         Wed 10/01                               Thu 10/02
EDT 3hrly          20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14

Rip Current Risk                     High High High High                      Low  Low  Low
Rip Probability    86   85   84   84   86   83   77   75   79   80   78   79   82   82   77
Surf Height (ft)    4    4    4    4    3    3    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2
Dom Period (s)     16   15   15   15   14   12   12   11   11   11   11   11   11   11   12
Chance Precip      20   10   10    5    5    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    5
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Mcld Mcld Mcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mclr  Clr Mclr Mclr Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld
Temperature        75   74   72   71   70   72   74   74   73   71   68   66   66   69   71
Heat Index                                                                                 
Wind (mph)        N23  N24  N23  N23  N22 NE22 NE21 NE22 NE25 NE24 NE22 NE22 NE23 NE23 NE23
Wind Gust          30   31   29   29   28   29   26   28   30   30   28   28   28   29   29
Longshore        None None None None None None None None None None None None None None None
Waterspout Risk   Low None None None None None None None None None None None None None None


Date                    Fri 10/03           Sat 10/04           Sun 10/05
EDT 6hrly          20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14

Rip Probability    79   80   80   78   73   70   68   76   62   74   65   77
Surf Height (ft)    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    3    2
Dom Period (s)     12   12   12   12   11   10   10    9   10   10    7    7
Chance Precip      20   20   20   20   20   10   10   10   20   20   30   30
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld
Temperature        71   69   68   73   73   72   71   74   75   74   73   76
Heat Index                                                                  
Wind (mph)       NE25 NE23 NE21 NE21 NE20 NE17 NE16  E17  E17  E16  E15  E17
Wind Gust          30   28        26             21   22             20   22
Longshore         Mod None None NoneStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrng
Waterspout Risk  None None None  Low  Low None None None None  Low  Low  Low

Oak Island, NC

Date                         Wed 10/01                               Thu 10/02
EDT 3hrly          20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14

Rip Current Risk                     High High High High                      Low  Low  Low
Rip Probability    24   16    9   11   14    5    1    2    4    4    1    1    3    3    1
Surf Height (ft)    3    4    4    4    3    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2
Dom Period (s)     15   14   15   14   11   10   10   10   10    9    9    9    7    4    2
Chance Precip      10   10   10    5    5    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    5
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Mcld Mcld Mcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mclr Mclr  Clr Mclr Pcld Pcld Pcld Mclr Pcld
Temperature        74   72   70   68   67   72   75   75   71   68   64   63   63   68   72
Heat Index                                                                                 
Wind (mph)        N17  N18  N17  N17  N17 NE17 NE16 NE16 NE17 NE17 NE16  N15 NE17 NE18 NE20
Wind Gust          26   26   25   25   24   25   24   24   25   25   24   23   24   25   26
Longshore        None None None None None None None None None None None None None None None
Waterspout Risk   Low None None None None None None None None None None None None None None


Date                    Fri 10/03           Sat 10/04           Sun 10/05
EDT 6hrly          20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14

Rip Probability     3    1    2    1    1    1    1    3    2    9    5   26
Surf Height (ft)    2    1    1    2    2    1    1    2    2    2    3    2
Dom Period (s)      3    2    3    2    3    5    6    6    6    6    7    7
Chance Precip      10   10   10   20   10   10   10   10   10   20   20   30
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Mclr Pcld Mclr Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld
Temperature        70   65   64   74   72   69   68   75   74   71   71   77
Heat Index                                                                  
Wind (mph)       NE20 NE18 NE16 NE18 NE16 NE14 NE13  E15  E14  E13  E13  E16
Wind Gust          26   24   23   24   23   20   20   22   20   18   18   22
Longshore         Mod None NoneStrngStrng  Mod NoneStrng  Mod  Mod  ModStrng
Waterspout Risk  None None None None None None None None None None  Low  Low

Holden Beach, NC

Date                         Wed 10/01                               Thu 10/02
EDT 3hrly          20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14

Rip Current Risk                     High High High High                      Low  Low  Low
Rip Probability    79   68   47   53   61   32    8    9   19   19    5    4    9    8    2
Surf Height (ft)    3    3    3    4    2    2    2    2    2    2    1    1    1    1    1
Dom Period (s)     15   15   15   15   14   13   12   11   11   10   10   10    9    9    4
Chance Precip      10   10   10    5    5    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    5
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover       Cld Mcld Mcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mclr Mclr  Clr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Pcld
Temperature        74   72   70   68   67   72   75   75   71   68   64   62   61   68   72
Heat Index                                                                                 
Wind (mph)        N18  N20  N18  N18  N18 NE17 NE16 NE16 NE18 NE18 NE18 NE18  N20 NE20 NE20
Wind Gust          25   26   24   24   23   23   22   23   24   24   23   23               
Longshore        None None None None None None None None None None None None None None None
Waterspout Risk   Low None None None None None None None None None None None None None None


Date                    Fri 10/03           Sat 10/04           Sun 10/05
EDT 6hrly          20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14

Rip Probability     9    6    8    5    6    8    7   21   10   34   16   61
Surf Height (ft)    2    1    1    1    2    2    2    2    2    2    3    2
Dom Period (s)      4    4    8    4    7    6    6    7    7    6    7    7
Chance Precip      10   10    5   20   10    5   10   10   10   20   20   30
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Mclr Mclr Mclr Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld
Temperature        70   64   63   74   72   68   67   75   74   71   71   77
Heat Index                                                                  
Wind (mph)       NE20 NE20 NE18 NE18 NE17 NE15 NE15  E16  E15  E15  E15  E16
Wind Gust          25             23   22             21                  21
Longshore         Mod None NoneStrngStrngStrng NoneStrngStrng  Mod  ModStrng
Waterspout Risk  None None None None None None None None None None None  Low

Ocean Isle Beach, NC

Date                         Wed 10/01                               Thu 10/02
EDT 3hrly          20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14

Rip Current Risk                     High High High High                      Mod  Mod  Mod
Rip Probability    91   89   77   79   87   73   29   24   44   48   20   16   28   28    9
Surf Height (ft)    4    5    5    5    4    4    3    3    3    2    3    3    3    3    3
Dom Period (s)     15   15   15   15   15   14   14   12   12   11   10   10   10    9    8
Chance Precip      10   10   10    5    5    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover       Cld Mcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mclr Mclr  Clr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Pcld
Temperature        75   73   71   69   67   73   76   76   72   69   64   62   62   68   72
Heat Index                                                                                 
Wind (mph)        N18  N20  N18  N18  N17 NE17 NE16 NE16 NE17 NE18 NE17 NE16 NE18 NE18 NE18
Wind Gust          25   26   24   24   23   23   22   22   23   24   23   23   23   23   23
Longshore        None None None None None NoneStrngStrngStrngStrngStrng None NoneStrngStrng
Waterspout Risk   Low None None None None None None None None None None None None None None


Date                    Fri 10/03           Sat 10/04           Sun 10/05
EDT 6hrly          20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14

Rip Probability    21   22   22   13   13   20   13   31   16   47   22   71
Surf Height (ft)    3    2    2    3    3    3    2    3    3    3    3    3
Dom Period (s)      4    5    6    7    6    6    6    7    7    7    7    7
Chance Precip       5    5    5   20   10    5    5   10   10   10   20   30
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Mclr Mclr Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld
Temperature        71   64   63   74   73   69   67   75   74   71   71   77
Heat Index                                                                  
Wind (mph)       NE20 NE18 NE17 NE17 NE16 NE15 NE15  E16  E15  E14  E14  E16
Wind Gust               23   22   22   21        20   21   20             22
Longshore       StrngStrng  ModStrngStrngStrng  ModStrngStrng  Mod  ModStrng
Waterspout Risk  None None None None None None None None None None None  Low

Sunset Beach, NC

Date                         Wed 10/01                               Thu 10/02
EDT 3hrly          20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14

Rip Current Risk                     High High High High                      Mod  Mod  Mod
Rip Probability    92   91   81   84   90   78   38   32   52   57   26   21   37   37   13
Surf Height (ft)    5    5    5    5    5    4    4    3    3    2    2    2    2    2    2
Dom Period (s)     15   15   15   15   15   14   14   13   12   11   11   10   10   10    9
Chance Precip      10   10    5    5    5    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Mcld Mcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mclr  Clr  Clr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr
Temperature        75   73   71   69   68   73   76   76   73   69   64   62   62   68   72
Heat Index                                                                                 
Wind (mph)        N17  N18  N17  N17  N16 NE16 NE15 NE15 NE17 NE17 NE16 NE16 NE17 NE17 NE17
Wind Gust          25   25   24   24   22   23   22   22   23   24   23   23   23   23   23
Longshore        None None None None None NoneStrngStrngStrngStrngStrng None NoneStrngStrng
Waterspout Risk   Low None None None None None None None None None None None None None None


Date                    Fri 10/03           Sat 10/04           Sun 10/05
EDT 6hrly          20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14

Rip Probability    27   27   28   18   16   25   16   37   19   53   26   75
Surf Height (ft)    2    2    2    3    4    4    3    3    3    3    3    3
Dom Period (s)      5    5    5    7    5    6    6    7    7    7    7    7
Chance Precip       5    5    5   10   10    5    5   10   10   10   20   30
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Mclr Mclr Pcld Mclr Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld
Temperature        71   64   63   75   73   68   67   76   75   71   71   78
Heat Index                                                                  
Wind (mph)       NE18 NE18 NE16 NE16 NE15 NE14 NE14  E16  E15  E13  E14  E16
Wind Gust          24   24   22   22   21   20   20   21   20             21
Longshore       StrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrng  Mod  ModStrng
Waterspout Risk  None None None None None None None None None None None  Low

Cherry Grove, SC

Date                         Wed 10/01                               Thu 10/02
EDT 3hrly          20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14

Rip Current Risk                     High High High High                      Mod  Mod  Mod
Rip Probability    92   90   80   81   86   73   32   29   48   55   26   21   36   39   14
Surf Height (ft)    4    5    4    4    4    2    2    2    1    1    1    2    1    1    1
Dom Period (s)     15   15   15   15   14   13   13   12   12   11   10   10   10    9    6
Chance Precip      10   10    5    5    5    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Mcld Mcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mclr Mclr  Clr  Clr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr
Temperature        75   72   70   68   67   73   77   77   73   69   65   62   61   69   73
Heat Index                                                                                 
Wind (mph)        N16  N17  N16  N17  N16 NE15 NE15 NE15 NE16 NE17 NE16 NE16 NE17 NE17 NE17
Wind Gust          25   25   23   23   22   22   22   22   23   24   23   22   22   23   23
Longshore        None None None None None None NoneStrngStrngStrngStrng  Mod NoneStrngStrng
Waterspout Risk   Low None None None None None None None None None None None None None None


Date                    Fri 10/03           Sat 10/04           Sun 10/05
EDT 6hrly          20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14

Rip Probability    28   28   29   19   16   24   16   37   17   51   23   72
Surf Height (ft)    1    1    1    1    2    2    2    2    2    1    1    1
Dom Period (s)      5    5    5    6    5    6    6    6    7    6    7    7
Chance Precip       5    5    5   10   10    5    5   10   10   10   20   30
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Mclr Mclr Pcld Mclr Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld
Temperature        70   64   62   75   73   68   66   76   74   70   71   77
Heat Index                                                                  
Wind (mph)       NE18 NE17 NE16 NE16 NE15 NE14 NE14  E15  E15  E13  E13  E16
Wind Gust          24   23   22   22   21             21   20        18   21
Longshore       StrngStrngStrngStrngStrng  Mod  ModStrngStrng  Mod  ModStrng
Waterspout Risk  None None None None None None None None None None None  Low

North Myrtle Beach, SC

Date                         Wed 10/01                               Thu 10/02
EDT 3hrly          20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14

Rip Current Risk                     High High High High                      Mod  Mod  Mod
Rip Probability    95   93   86   87   91   80   40   36   56   65   35   29   49   51   21
Surf Height (ft)    4    5    5    5    4    3    3    2    2    1    1    1    1    1    1
Dom Period (s)     15   15   15   15   14   13   13   12   12   11   10   10   10    9    8
Chance Precip      10    5    5    5    5    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Mcld Mcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mclr Mclr  Clr  Clr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr
Temperature        74   73   71   69   67   73   76   76   73   69   65   62   61   68   72
Heat Index                                                                                 
Wind (mph)        N16  N17  N16  N17  N15 NE15 NE15 NE15 NE16 NE17 NE16 NE15 NE16 NE16 NE16
Wind Gust          25   25   24   24   22   23   22   23   24   24   23   23   23   23   23
Longshore        None None None None None None  ModStrngStrngStrngStrngStrng NoneStrngStrng
Waterspout Risk   Low None None None None None None None None None None None None None None


Date                    Fri 10/03           Sat 10/04           Sun 10/05
EDT 6hrly          20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14

Rip Probability    40   39   40   27   23   32   22   46   23   60   29   79
Surf Height (ft)    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    2    2    2    3
Dom Period (s)      5    6    6    6    6    6    6    7    7    7    7    7
Chance Precip       5    5    5   10    5    5    5   10   10   10   20   30
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Mclr Mclr Pcld Mclr Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld
Temperature        71   64   63   75   73   68   67   76   75   71   71   77
Heat Index                                                                  
Wind (mph)       NE18 NE17 NE16 NE16 NE16 NE13 NE14  E15  E15  E13  E14  E16
Wind Gust          25   23   22   22   22   20   20   21   21   18        22
Longshore       StrngStrngStrngStrngStrng  Mod  Mod  Mod  Mod  Mod  ModStrng
Waterspout Risk  None None None None None None None None None None None  Low

Myrtle Beach, SC

Date                         Wed 10/01                               Thu 10/02
EDT 3hrly          20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14

Rip Current Risk                     High High High High                     High High High
Rip Probability    97   96   93   94   96   92   66   61   77   80   57   53   75   76   42
Surf Height (ft)    6    6    6    7    6    5    5    4    4    3    2    2    2    3    2
Dom Period (s)     15   15   15   15   15   14   13   12   11   11   11   10   10    6    6
Chance Precip      10    5    5    5    5    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Mcld Mcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mclr Mclr  Clr  Clr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr
Temperature        74   73   71   69   68   73   76   77   74   70   66   63   63   68   72
Heat Index                                                                                 
Wind (mph)        N17  N18  N17  N17  N17 NE17 NE15 NE16 NE18 NE20 NE18 NE17 NE18 NE18 NE18
Wind Gust          25   25   24   23   22   23   22   23   24   25   24   23   23   24   24
Longshore       StrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrng
Waterspout Risk   Low None None None None None None None None None None None None None None


Date                    Fri 10/03           Sat 10/04           Sun 10/05
EDT 6hrly          20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14

Rip Probability    62   62   67   48   42   55   39   63   36   74   41   86
Surf Height (ft)    3    3    3    3    3    3    3    3    2    4    4    4
Dom Period (s)      6    6    6    6    6    6    6    6    6    6    7    7
Chance Precip       5    5    5   10   10    5    5   10   10   10   20   30
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Mclr Mclr Pcld Mclr Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld
Temperature        72   65   63   74   73   69   68   76   75   72   72   77
Heat Index                                                                  
Wind (mph)       NE20 NE17 NE17 NE17 NE17 NE14 NE15  E16  E16  E14  E15  E16
Wind Gust          25   24   23   23   23   20   21   22   22        20   22
Longshore       StrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrng None
Waterspout Risk  None None None None None  Low None None None None None  Low

Surfside Beach, SC

Date                         Wed 10/01                               Thu 10/02
EDT 3hrly          20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14

Rip Current Risk                     High High High High                     High High High
Rip Probability    97   96   93   94   96   92   70   66   80   84   66   62   81   82   55
Surf Height (ft)    6    6    7    6    7    5    5    4    3    3    2    2    2    2    3
Dom Period (s)     15   15   15   15   15   14   13   12   11   11   10    9    6    6    6
Chance Precip      10    5    5    5    5    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Mcld Mcld Pcld Pcld Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr
Temperature        73   72   70   68   67   73   76   76   74   70   66   63   63   69   72
Heat Index                                                                                 
Wind (mph)        N16  N16  N16  N16  N16 NE16 NE15 NE15 NE17 NE18 NE17 NE16 NE17 NE17 NE18
Wind Gust          25   24   23   23   22   23   22   23   24   25   24   24   23   24   24
Longshore         ModStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrng
Waterspout Risk   Low None None None None None None None None None None None None None None


Date                    Fri 10/03           Sat 10/04           Sun 10/05
EDT 6hrly          20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14

Rip Probability    72   73   75   59   52   63   47   71   43   78   47   87
Surf Height (ft)    3    3    3    3    3    3    3    4    4    4    4    4
Dom Period (s)      6    6    7    6    6    6    6    6    6    6    7    7
Chance Precip       5    5    5   10   10    5   10   10   10   20   20   30
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Mclr Mclr Mclr Pcld Mclr Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld
Temperature        72   65   63   75   74   69   68   76   76   72   72   77
Heat Index                                                                  
Wind (mph)       NE20 NE17 NE16 NE17 NE17 NE14 NE15  E17  E16  E14  E14  E17
Wind Gust          26   24   23   24   24   20   21   23   23   20   20   23
Longshore       StrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrng None
Waterspout Risk  None None None None None  Low None None None  Low  Low  Low

Murrells Inlet, SC

Date                         Wed 10/01                               Thu 10/02
EDT 3hrly          20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14

Rip Current Risk                     High High High High                     High High High
Rip Probability    97   97   95   95   96   94   79   73   81   83   72   69   81   82   64
Surf Height (ft)    6    6    6    7    6    5    6    5    3    4    3    3    3    3    3
Dom Period (s)     16   15   15   15   15   14   13   12   12   11   11   10    7    7    6
Chance Precip      10    5    5    5    5    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Mcld Mcld Pcld Pcld Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr
Temperature        74   73   71   69   68   72   75   76   74   71   67   64   63   68   72
Heat Index                                                                                 
Wind (mph)        N18  N18  N17  N17  N17 NE17 NE16 NE16 NE18 NE21 NE20 NE18 NE18 NE18 NE18
Wind Gust          25   24   23   23   22   23   22   22   24        25   24   24   24   24
Longshore       StrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrng
Waterspout Risk   Low None None None None None None None None None None None None None None


Date                    Fri 10/03           Sat 10/04           Sun 10/05
EDT 6hrly          20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14

Rip Probability    76   77   77   63   56   65   51   70   49   75   53   85
Surf Height (ft)    4    3    3    3    3    3    3    4    5    4    3    3
Dom Period (s)      6    6    7    7    6    6    6    6    6    6    7    7
Chance Precip       5    5    5   20   10   10   10   10   10   20   20   30
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None  Low
Cloud Cover      Mclr Mclr Mclr Pcld Mclr Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld
Temperature        72   65   64   73   74   70   69   75   76   73   72   76
Heat Index                                                                  
Wind (mph)       NE21 NE20 NE18 NE18 NE18 NE16 NE16  E18  E17  E15  E15  E17
Wind Gust          26        23   24   24   21   21   23   23   20   20   23
Longshore       StrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrng  Mod  Mod  Mod  Mod None
Waterspout Risk  None None None None None  Low None None  Low  Low  Low  Low

Litchfield Beach, SC

Date                         Wed 10/01                               Thu 10/02
EDT 3hrly          20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14

Rip Current Risk                     High High High High                     High High High
Rip Probability    96   96   92   94   96   93   73   67   78   82   65   60   78   80   53
Surf Height (ft)    6    7    7    7    8    6    6    5    4    4    4    3    4    3    3
Dom Period (s)     16   15   15   15   15   14   13   12   12   11   11    8    6    6    6
Chance Precip      10    5    5    5    5    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    5
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Mcld Mcld Pcld Pcld Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Pcld
Temperature        74   74   72   69   69   72   74   76   75   72   69   65   64   68   71
Heat Index                                                                                 
Wind (mph)        N20  N20  N20  N20  N18 NE18 NE17 NE17 NE20 NE22 NE21 NE20 NE21 NE20 NE20
Wind Gust          26   25             23   23   22   23   25   28   26   26        25   25
Longshore       StrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrng
Waterspout Risk   Low None None None None None None None None None None None None None None


Date                    Fri 10/03           Sat 10/04           Sun 10/05
EDT 6hrly          20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14

Rip Probability    69   71   72   56   47   61   42   66   40   75   43   85
Surf Height (ft)    4    4    4    3    3    3    3    4    4    4    4    4
Dom Period (s)      6    6    7    6    6    6    6    6    6    6    7    7
Chance Precip       5    5    5   20   10   10   10   20   10   20   20   30
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None  Low
Cloud Cover      Pcld Mclr Mclr Pcld Mclr Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mcld Pcld
Temperature        73   67   65   73   75   71   70   75   76   73   73   76
Heat Index                                                                  
Wind (mph)       NE22 NE21 NE20 NE20 NE20 NE16 NE17  E18  E18  E16  E16  E18
Wind Gust          28   26        25   25   21   22   23   23        21   23
Longshore       StrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrng None None None None None
Waterspout Risk  None None None None None  Low None None  Low  Low  Low  Low

Pawleys Island, SC

Date                         Wed 10/01                               Thu 10/02
EDT 3hrly          20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14

Rip Current Risk                     High High High High                     High High High
Rip Probability    96   96   93   94   96   93   80   74   82   86   75   71   83   85   67
Surf Height (ft)    6    6    6    7    6    6    6    5    4    4    4    3    3    3    3
Dom Period (s)     15   15   15   15   15   14   13   12   12   11   11    6    6    6    6
Chance Precip      10    5    5    5    5    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    5
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Mcld Mcld Pcld Pcld Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Pcld
Temperature        74   73   71   68   68   72   75   76   74   72   68   64   64   68   71
Heat Index                                                                                 
Wind (mph)        N17  N17  N17  N17  N17 NE17 NE16 NE16 NE17 NE20 NE18 NE17 NE18 NE20 NE20
Wind Gust          25   25   24   24   23   23   22   22   24   26   25   25   24   25   25
Longshore       StrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrng
Waterspout Risk   Low None None None None None None None None None None None None None None


Date                    Fri 10/03           Sat 10/04           Sun 10/05
EDT 6hrly          20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14

Rip Probability    77   79   78   68   58   70   54   75   52   80   55   88
Surf Height (ft)    4    4    4    3    4    3    3    3    3    4    3    3
Dom Period (s)      6    6    7    6    6    6    6    6    6    6    7    7
Chance Precip       5    5    5   20   10   10   10   20   10   20   30   40
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None  Low
Cloud Cover      Pcld Pcld Mclr Pcld Mclr Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mcld Pcld
Temperature        72   66   64   73   74   70   69   75   76   73   72   76
Heat Index                                                                  
Wind (mph)       NE21 NE18 NE18 NE18 NE17 NE15 NE16  E17  E16  E14  E15  E17
Wind Gust          26   25   24   24   24   21   21   23   22   20   20   23
Longshore       StrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrng None None None None None
Waterspout Risk  None None None None None  Low None None  Low  Low  Low  Low

Debordieu Beach, SC

Date                         Wed 10/01                               Thu 10/02
EDT 3hrly          20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14

Rip Current Risk                     High High High High                     High High High
Rip Probability    97   97   95   95   97   94   82   77   85   88   79   75   85   87   70
Surf Height (ft)    6    6    6    6    6    6    5    4    4    4    4    3    3    3    3
Dom Period (s)     15   15   15   15   15   14   13   12   12   11   11    8    8    7    7
Chance Precip      10    5    5    5    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    5
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Mcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Pcld
Temperature        74   73   71   68   68   72   75   76   75   72   68   65   64   68   72
Heat Index                                                                                 
Wind (mph)        N16  N16  N16  N16  N16 NE17 NE16 NE16 NE17 NE20 NE20 NE18 NE18 NE18 NE20
Wind Gust          25   24   24   24   23   24   22   22   24   26   25   25   24   25   25
Longshore       StrngStrngStrngStrng  ModStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrng
Waterspout Risk   Low None None None None None None None None None None None None None None


Date                    Fri 10/03           Sat 10/04           Sun 10/05
EDT 6hrly          20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14

Rip Probability    81   82   81   70   63   71   57   77   55   81   58   89
Surf Height (ft)    4    4    3    3    3    2    3    2    3    3    3    3
Dom Period (s)      6    7    7    7    6    6    6    6    6    6    7    7
Chance Precip       5   10    5   20   10   10   10   20   10   20   30   40
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None  Low
Cloud Cover      Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mcld Pcld
Temperature        72   66   64   73   74   70   70   75   75   73   72   76
Heat Index                                                                  
Wind (mph)       NE21 NE18 NE17 NE18 NE17 NE15 NE15  E17  E16  E14  E14  E17
Wind Gust          26   25   24   24   23   21   21   23   22   20   20   23
Longshore       StrngStrngStrngStrngStrng WeakStrng None None None None None
Waterspout Risk  None None None None None  Low None None None None  Low  Low