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***  EXPERIMENTAL - NOT FOR OPERATIONAL USE   ***

 

Experimental Surf Forecast Matrix
Experimental - Leave Feedback
What's This?
Product Description Document

 

In the tabs below you can view Surf Forecast Matrices for various beaches over southeast North Carolina and northeast South Carolina.  This product is experimental and not intended to be substituted for the official Surf Zone Forecast, which can be viewed HERE.  Additional information on this project and variable definitions can be found HERE. We are seeking feedback on this over the next several months, so please send us your input via an online survey.

The Rip Probabilities included in the matrices below are from a rip current forecast model tied to NOAA's Nearshore Wave Prediction System. This model predicts the probabilities of hazardous rip currents occurring using output from the nearshore wave model and predicted tide levels. Values are calculated from 0-100%, hourly through 144 hours. (Please note, the model is known to have a high bias, especially for beaches south of Cape Fear.)

To retrieve links to the individual surf matrix for each beach, click the beach name in the blue banner above the matrix (after clicking the tab for the beach).

 

 

Surf  City,  NC

Date               Thu 10/15                Fri 10/16
EDT 3hrly          11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20

Rip Current Risk  Low  Low  Low                      Low  Low  Low  Low     
Rip Probability     8   12   24   17   13   20   31   18   10   19   46   46
Surf Height (ft)    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    2    2    3
Dom Period (s)      7    7    8    8    9   10   10    9    9    9    7    4
Chance Precip       0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover       Clr  Clr  Clr  Clr  Clr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr  Clr  Clr Mclr
Temperature        78   81   80   77   74   72   70   71   77   80   79   76
Heat Index              85   84                                             
Wind (mph)         W7  SW7   S9  SW9  SW8  SW8  SW8  SW9 SW12 SW15  S17 SW16
Wind Gust                    14                                 23   25   23
Longshore        Weak Weak Weak Weak Weak Weak Weak Weak  Mod  ModStrngStrng
Waterspout Risk  None None  Low None None None None None None None None None


Date               Sat 10/17           Sun 10/18           Mon 10/19           Tue 10/20
EDT 6hrly          02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14

Rip Probability    40   48   11    8    6   16   10   55   45   68   36   71   48   73   48
Surf Height (ft)    3    2    1    1    1    1    1    2    2    3    3    3    3    2    4
Dom Period (s)      5    5    8    7    5    5    5    6    7    7    7    8    9   10   11
Chance Precip       5   40   50   30   20   20   20   20   20   20   20   10   10   10   10
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld
Temperature        74   67   64   58   55   53   63   62   58   57   69   66   60   59   72
Heat Index                                                                                 
Wind (mph)       SW15 NW20  N22  N25  N24  N23 NE23  N22  N16  N16 NE20  N16  N13  N15  N15
Wind Gust          21   26   31   35   32   30   33   33   26   25   31   26   22   23   23
Longshore       Strng None NoneStrng None NoneStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrng
Waterspout Risk   Low  Low None None None None None None None None None None None None None

 
Topsail  Beach,  NC

Date               Thu 10/15                Fri 10/16
EDT 3hrly          11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20

Rip Current Risk  Low  Low  Low                      Low  Low  Low  Low     
Rip Probability     8   12   21   16   12   17   26   18   10   16   39   40
Surf Height (ft)    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    2    2    2
Dom Period (s)      7    7    7    8    8    9    9    9    9    9    5    4
Chance Precip       0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover       Clr  Clr  Clr  Clr  Clr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr  Clr  Clr Mclr
Temperature        78   81   80   77   74   72   70   70   77   79   79   77
Heat Index              85                                      83          
Wind (mph)         W7  SW7   S9  SW8  SW8  SW8  SW8  SW8 SW10 SW15  S17 SW16
Wind Gust                    15   14   13             13   16   23   26   23
Longshore        Weak Weak Weak Weak Weak Weak Weak Weak  Mod  ModStrngStrng
Waterspout Risk  None None None None None None None None None None None None


Date               Sat 10/17           Sun 10/18           Mon 10/19           Tue 10/20
EDT 6hrly          02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14

Rip Probability    35   43    8    7    8   21   14   57   51   71   43   71   56   74   55
Surf Height (ft)    3    2    1    1    1    1    2    3    3    3    3    4    4    4    5
Dom Period (s)      4    5    6    5    5    5    5    6    7    7    7    8    9   10   10
Chance Precip       5   40   50   30   20   20   20   20   10   20   20   10   10   10   10
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld
Temperature        74   67   64   58   55   53   62   63   59   57   69   66   61   59   71
Heat Index                                                                                 
Wind (mph)       SW15 NW21  N23  N26  N24  N23 NE24  N24  N18  N20 NE21  N18  N15  N16  N16
Wind Gust          21   26   32   36   32   31   33   35   26   26   31   26   22   23   24
Longshore         Mod None NoneStrng None NoneStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrng
Waterspout Risk   Low  Low None None None None None None None None None None None None None

 
Wrightsville  Beach,  NC

Date               Thu 10/15                Fri 10/16
EDT 3hrly          11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20

Rip Current Risk  Low  Low  Low                      Low  Low  Low  Low     
Rip Probability     6   10   20   14   10   15   24   15    8   12   30   31
Surf Height (ft)    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1
Dom Period (s)      7    7    7    8    8    9    9    9    9    9    4    4
Chance Precip       0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover       Clr  Clr  Clr  Clr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr  Clr  Clr Mclr
Temperature        78   80   80   77   74   73   72   71   77   79   79   77
Heat Index              84                                                  
Wind (mph)         W8  SW8  S10  SW9  SW9  SW9  SW9  SW9 SW12 SW16  S17 SW16
Wind Gust                    15                                 21   24   22
Longshore        None Weak  Mod  Mod Weak Weak Weak  Mod  Mod  ModStrngStrng
Waterspout Risk  None None None None None None None None None None None None


Date               Sat 10/17           Sun 10/18           Mon 10/19           Tue 10/20
EDT 6hrly          02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14

Rip Probability    26   31    3   22   19   43   30   75   63   78   49   79   63   82   61
Surf Height (ft)    1    1    1    1    2    2    3    4    4    4    4    4    4    5    6
Dom Period (s)      4    5    4    4    5    6    6    7    8    8    8    8    9   10   10
Chance Precip       5   40   50   30   20   20   20   20   20   20   20   10   10   10   10
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld
Temperature        75   68   64   59   56   55   61   63   61   59   69   67   62   60   71
Heat Index                                                                                 
Wind (mph)       SW16 NW22  N24  N28  N26  N25  N25  N25  N21  N21 NE23  N20  N16  N17  N18
Wind Gust          21        31   35   33   32   33   32   26        30   25   21   22   23
Longshore       Strng NoneStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrng
Waterspout Risk   Low  Low None None None None None None None None None None None None None

 
Masonboro  Island,  NC

Date               Thu 10/15                Fri 10/16
EDT 3hrly          11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20

Rip Current Risk  Low  Low  Low                      Low  Low  Low  Low     
Rip Probability     4    8   16   10    7   11   18   11    5    9   22   23
Surf Height (ft)    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    2
Dom Period (s)      7    7    7    8    8    9    9    9    9    9    6    6
Chance Precip       0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover       Clr  Clr  Clr  Clr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr  Clr  Clr Mclr
Temperature        78   81   80   77   75   73   72   72   77   80   79   77
Heat Index                   84                                             
Wind (mph)         W8  SW8  S10  SW9  SW9  SW9  SW8  SW9 SW12 SW15  S16 SW16
Wind Gust                    15                                 21   22   21
Longshore        None Weak  Mod  Mod Weak Weak Weak  Mod  Mod  ModStrngStrng
Waterspout Risk  None None None None None None None None None None None None


Date               Sat 10/17           Sun 10/18           Mon 10/19           Tue 10/20
EDT 6hrly          02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14

Rip Probability    20   25    3   23   29   59   40   83   77   92   71   92   81   92   79
Surf Height (ft)    2    1    1    2    3    4    4    5    5    5    5    5    6    5    7
Dom Period (s)      5    7    6    4    5    6    6    7    8    8    8    8    9   10   10
Chance Precip       5   40   50   30   20   20   20   20   20   20   20   10   10   10   10
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld
Temperature        75   68   64   60   57   55   62   64   62   60   68   68   63   61   71
Heat Index                                                                                 
Wind (mph)       SW16 NW22  N24  N28  N26  N26  N26  N28  N23  N23 NE24 NE21  N17  N18 NE18
Wind Gust          21        30   35   33   32   33                  30                  23
Longshore       Strng NoneStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrng
Waterspout Risk   Low  Low None None None None None None None None None None None None None

 
Carolina  Beach,  NC

Date               Thu 10/15                Fri 10/16
EDT 3hrly          11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20

Rip Current Risk  Low  Low  Low                      Low  Low  Low  Low     
Rip Probability     4    8   16   10    7   11   17   10    5    9   21   22
Surf Height (ft)    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    2    2
Dom Period (s)      7    7    7    8    8    8    9    9    9    9    9    5
Chance Precip       0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover       Clr  Clr  Clr  Clr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr  Clr Mclr Mclr
Temperature        78   80   79   77   75   74   72   72   77   78   78   77
Heat Index                                                                  
Wind (mph)         W8  SW8 SW10  SW8  SW9  SW9  SW9  SW9 SW12 SW15 SW16 SW16
Wind Gust                                                       20   22   21
Longshore        None Weak  Mod Weak Weak Weak Weak Weak  Mod  ModStrngStrng
Waterspout Risk  None None None None None None None None None None None None


Date               Sat 10/17           Sun 10/18           Mon 10/19           Tue 10/20
EDT 6hrly          02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14

Rip Probability    19   28    4   33   39   70   52   86   82   94   78   93   86   94   84
Surf Height (ft)    2    1    1    3    3    4    5    5    5    6    6    6    6    6    7
Dom Period (s)      5    6    4    4    5    6    6    6    7    8    8    8    8    9   10
Chance Precip       5   40   50   30   20   20   20   20   20   20   20   10   10   10   10
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld
Temperature        75   68   64   60   57   55   61   64   62   61   68   68   64   62   70
Heat Index                                                                                 
Wind (mph)       SW16 NW23  N24  N28  N28  N28  N26 NE29  N25  N25 NE25 NE22  N18  N21 NE20
Wind Gust          21   28   30   35   35   33   35                                        
Longshore       Strng NoneStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrng
Waterspout Risk   Low  Low None None None None None None None None None None None None None

 
Kure  Beach,  NC

Date               Thu 10/15                Fri 10/16
EDT 3hrly          11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20

Rip Current Risk  Low  Low  Low                      Low  Low  Low  Low     
Rip Probability     4    8   16   12    6   10   17   12    5    8   19   23
Surf Height (ft)    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    2    2    2
Dom Period (s)      7    7    7    8    8    8    9    9    9    9    9    7
Chance Precip       0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover       Clr  Clr  Clr  Clr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr  Clr Mclr Mclr
Temperature        78   80   79   77   75   74   73   73   77   78   78   77
Heat Index                                                                  
Wind (mph)         W8  SW9 SW10  SW8  SW9  SW9  SW9  SW9 SW13 SW15 SW16 SW16
Wind Gust                    15   13        14   14   14        21   22   22
Longshore        None Weak  Mod  Mod Weak Weak Weak  Mod  Mod  ModStrngStrng
Waterspout Risk  None None None None None None None None None None None None


Date               Sat 10/17           Sun 10/18           Mon 10/19           Tue 10/20
EDT 6hrly          02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14

Rip Probability    16   26    6   44   46   79   61   91   87   96   85   95   90   95   87
Surf Height (ft)    2    1    1    2    3    3    4    5    5    5    5    5    5    5    7
Dom Period (s)      7    8    6    5    5    6    7    7    8    8    8    8    9    9   10
Chance Precip       5   30   50   30   20   20   20   20   20   20   20   10   10   10   10
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld
Temperature        75   68   65   60   58   56   62   65   63   61   68   68   65   63   71
Heat Index                                                                                 
Wind (mph)       SW17 NW23  N24  N29  N29  N28  N28 NE30  N25  N26 NE25 NE23  N21  N22 NE21
Wind Gust          22   29   31   36   36   35   36   35             30                    
Longshore       Strng NoneStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrng
Waterspout Risk   Low  Low None None None None None None None None None None None None None

 
Bald  Head  Island,  NC

Date               Thu 10/15                Fri 10/16
EDT 3hrly          11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20

Rip Current Risk  Low  Low  Low                      Low  Low  Low  Low     
Rip Probability     4    8   14    8    5    9   15    9    4    8   18   22
Surf Height (ft)    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    2
Dom Period (s)      7    7    7    8    8    8    7    7    9    7    3    4
Chance Precip       0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover       Clr  Clr  Clr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr
Temperature        77   77   77   77   75   74   73   73   75   76   77   77
Heat Index                                                                  
Wind (mph)        W10  SW9 SW10  SW8  SW9 SW10 SW10  W10 SW13 SW14 SW16 SW18
Wind Gust                                                            21     
Longshore         Mod  Mod None None None None  Mod  Mod  Mod  Mod None None
Waterspout Risk  None None None None None None None None None None None None


Date               Sat 10/17           Sun 10/18           Mon 10/19           Tue 10/20
EDT 6hrly          02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14

Rip Probability    20   34    9   39   43   70   60   78   76   82   74   81   77   81   75
Surf Height (ft)    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1
Dom Period (s)      4    5    5    4    5    7    8    8    8    9    8    8    9   10   10
Chance Precip       5   30   50   30   20   20   20   20   20   30   20   10   10   10   20
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld
Temperature        76   67   64   60   58   56   62   65   64   63   68   68   66   64   70
Heat Index                                                                                 
Wind (mph)       SW20 NW24  N25  N31  N32  N30  N29 NE35 NE32  N30 NE28 NE28  N24  N24 NE22
Wind Gust               30   30   37   38   36   36                                        
Longshore        None None None None None None None None None None None None None None None
Waterspout Risk   Low  Low None None None None None None None None None None None None None

 
Oak  Island,  NC

Date               Thu 10/15                Fri 10/16
EDT 3hrly          11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20

Rip Current Risk  Low  Low  Low                      Low  Low  Low  Low     
Rip Probability     2    5    9    6    4    7   10    7    3    7   25   39
Surf Height (ft)    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2
Dom Period (s)      4    4    4    4    4    4    3    3    3    3    3    4
Chance Precip       0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover       Clr  Clr  Clr  Clr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr
Temperature        77   79   78   76   74   72   72   71   75   77   77   76
Heat Index                                                                  
Wind (mph)         W8  SW8  SW9  SW7  SW8  SW8  SW8  SW8 SW12 SW13 SW14 SW15
Wind Gust                                        13             18   21   22
Longshore        Weak Weak None None None None Weak Weak  Mod None None None
Waterspout Risk  None None None None None None None None None None None None


Date               Sat 10/17           Sun 10/18           Mon 10/19           Tue 10/20
EDT 6hrly          02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14

Rip Probability    43   47    3    4    2    3    1    4    1    3    1    2    1    2    0
Surf Height (ft)    3    2    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1
Dom Period (s)      4    5    5    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    3
Chance Precip       5   30   50   30   20   20   20   20   20   20   20   10   10   10   10
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld
Temperature        74   66   64   59   55   53   61   64   60   58   68   68   62   60   70
Heat Index                                                                                 
Wind (mph)       SW17 NW21  N21  N25  N25  N24  N23 NE28  N25  N24 NE23 NE22  N18  N21 NE18
Wind Gust          22   28   28   33   32   31   31                                        
Longshore        None None None None None None None None None None None None None None None
Waterspout Risk   Low  Low None None None None None None None None None None None None None

 
Holden  Beach,  NC

Date               Thu 10/15                Fri 10/16
EDT 3hrly          11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20

Rip Current Risk  Low  Low  Low                      Low  Low  Low  Low     
Rip Probability     3    6   11    7    4   10   15    9    3    8   22   33
Surf Height (ft)    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2
Dom Period (s)      7    7    7    6    3    3    3    3    3    3    3    4
Chance Precip       0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover       Clr  Clr  Clr  Clr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr
Temperature        77   79   78   76   74   72   71   71   76   77   77   76
Heat Index                                                                  
Wind (mph)         W7  SW7   S9  SW7  SW8  SW8  SW8  SW8 SW10 SW13  S14 SW16
Wind Gust                                                            20   21
Longshore        Weak Weak None None None None Weak Weak  Mod None None None
Waterspout Risk  None None None None None None None None None None None None


Date               Sat 10/17           Sun 10/18           Mon 10/19           Tue 10/20
EDT 6hrly          02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14

Rip Probability    33   43    4    2    1    1    0    2    1    3    1    4    1    4    1
Surf Height (ft)    3    2    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1
Dom Period (s)      4    5    5    2    3    2    2    3    4   10    9    8    8    9   10
Chance Precip       5   30   50   30   20   20   20   10   10   20   10    5    5    5   10
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld
Temperature        73   66   64   58   54   51   60   62   58   56   68   66   61   59   71
Heat Index                                                                                 
Wind (mph)       SW17 NW22  N22  N25  N26  N24  N23  N24  N23  N23  N21  N18  N17  N18 NE16
Wind Gust          22             32   32   30   29   30   29                  22          
Longshore        None None None None None None None None None None None None None None None
Waterspout Risk   Low  Low None None None None None None None None None None None None None

 
Ocean  Isle  Beach,  NC

Date               Thu 10/15                Fri 10/16
EDT 3hrly          11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20

Rip Current Risk  Low  Low  Low                      Low  Low  Low  Low     
Rip Probability     3    7   14   10    6   13   20   12    4    9   24   34
Surf Height (ft)    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    3    3
Dom Period (s)      7    7    7    7    7    6    6    6    6    6    3    4
Chance Precip       0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover       Clr  Clr  Clr  Clr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr  Clr Mclr
Temperature        77   78   78   76   74   72   71   71   76   78   77   76
Heat Index                                                                  
Wind (mph)         W7  SW7   S9   S8  SW8  SW8  SW8  SW7 SW10 SW13  S14 SW16
Wind Gust                                                            21   21
Longshore        Weak Weak None None Weak Weak Weak Weak  Mod  Mod None None
Waterspout Risk  None None None None None None None None None None None None


Date               Sat 10/17           Sun 10/18           Mon 10/19           Tue 10/20
EDT 6hrly          02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14

Rip Probability    30   38    6    2    1    2    1    3    3   10    3   12    6   13    5
Surf Height (ft)    3    3    2    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1
Dom Period (s)      4    5    5    6    3    3    3    4    5    9   10    9    9    9   10
Chance Precip       5   30   50   30   20   10   20   10   10   10   10    5    5    5    5
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld
Temperature        74   66   64   58   55   52   60   62   57   56   69   66   61   59   71
Heat Index                                                                                 
Wind (mph)       SW16  N21  N21  N24  N25  N23 NE22  N22  N22  N21 NE17  N16  N15  N17 NE14
Wind Gust          21   26        30   31   29        28   28        22        20          
Longshore       Strng None None None None None NoneStrng None None None None None None None
Waterspout Risk   Low  Low None None None None None None None None None None None None None

 
Sunset  Beach,  NC

Date               Thu 10/15                Fri 10/16
EDT 3hrly          11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20

Rip Current Risk  Low  Low  Low                      Low  Low  Low  Low     
Rip Probability     3    8   16   12    7   15   22   13    4    9   24   35
Surf Height (ft)    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    2    3    3
Dom Period (s)      7    7    7    7    7    7    7    7    8    5    3    4
Chance Precip       0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover       Clr  Clr  Clr  Clr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr  Clr Mclr
Temperature        77   79   78   76   74   72   71   71   76   78   78   76
Heat Index                                                                  
Wind (mph)         W7  SW7   S9   S8  SW8  SW7  SW7  SW7 SW10 SW13  S15 SW15
Wind Gust                                                            21   21
Longshore        Weak Weak None None Weak Weak Weak Weak  Mod  Mod None None
Waterspout Risk  None None None None None None None None None None None None


Date               Sat 10/17           Sun 10/18           Mon 10/19           Tue 10/20
EDT 6hrly          02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14

Rip Probability    28   37    3    3    1    4    1    5    5   16    5   16    9   20    8
Surf Height (ft)    3    2    2    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    2
Dom Period (s)      4    5    5    3    3    4    3    4    5    5   10    9    9    9    9
Chance Precip       5   30   40   30   10   10   20   10   10   10   10    5    5    5    5
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld
Temperature        74   66   64   59   55   52   61   62   58   56   68   67   62   59   71
Heat Index                                                                                 
Wind (mph)       SW15  N20  N20  N23  N25  N22  N21 NE23  N23  N22 NE17 NE16  N16  N17 NE14
Wind Gust          21   25   25   31   31   29   26                  22                    
Longshore       Strng None None None None None None None None None None None None None None
Waterspout Risk   Low  Low None None None None None None None None None None None None None

 
Cherry  Grove,  SC

Date               Thu 10/15                Fri 10/16
EDT 3hrly          11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20

Rip Current Risk  Low  Low  Low                      Low  Low  Low  Low     
Rip Probability     2    5   11    9    5   11   16    9    3    9   27   37
Surf Height (ft)    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1
Dom Period (s)      7    7    7    7    7    7    8    8    9    3    3    4
Chance Precip       0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover       Clr  Clr  Clr  Clr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr  Clr  Clr Mclr
Temperature        77   79   79   76   74   72   70   70   76   78   78   76
Heat Index                                                                  
Wind (mph)         W6   S7   S9   S8  SW8  SW7  SW7  SW7  SW9  S12  S14 SW15
Wind Gust                                                            21   21
Longshore        Weak Weak None None None Weak Weak Weak Weak  Mod None None
Waterspout Risk  None None None None None None None None None None None None


Date               Sat 10/17           Sun 10/18           Mon 10/19           Tue 10/20
EDT 6hrly          02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14

Rip Probability    29   38    6    2    1    3    1    6    5   17    5   16    8   20    8
Surf Height (ft)    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1
Dom Period (s)      4    5    5    6    4    4    4    4    5    5    9    9    9    9    9
Chance Precip       5   30   40   20   10   10   20   10    5   10   10    5    5    5    5
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld
Temperature        74   66   64   59   55   52   61   62   57   56   68   66   61   58   70
Heat Index                                                                                 
Wind (mph)       SW15  N20  N20  N23  N24  N22  N20 NE23  N23  N20 NE17 NE16  N16  N16 NE14
Wind Gust          20   25   25   31   31   28   25                  22                    
Longshore         Mod None None None None None None None None None None None None None None
Waterspout Risk   Low  Low None None None None None None None None None None None None None

 
North  Myrtle  Beach,  SC

Date               Thu 10/15                Fri 10/16
EDT 3hrly          11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20

Rip Current Risk  Low  Low  Low                      Low  Low  Low  Low     
Rip Probability     3    6   14   12    7   13   19   11    4    9   25   36
Surf Height (ft)    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1
Dom Period (s)      7    7    7    7    7    8    8    9    9    8    3    4
Chance Precip       0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover       Clr  Clr  Clr  Clr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr  Clr  Clr Mclr
Temperature        77   80   79   76   74   72   70   69   76   78   78   77
Heat Index                                                                  
Wind (mph)         W6   S7   S9   S8  SW8  SW7  SW7  SW7  SW9  S12  S14 SW15
Wind Gust                    14   13                       14   17   22   22
Longshore        Weak Weak None None None Weak Weak Weak Weak None None None
Waterspout Risk  None None None None None None None None None None None None


Date               Sat 10/17           Sun 10/18           Mon 10/19           Tue 10/20
EDT 6hrly          02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14

Rip Probability    25   27    5    2    1    5    2   11    9   28    8   24   12   30   11
Surf Height (ft)    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1
Dom Period (s)      4    5    6    8    4    4    4    4    5    6    9    9    9    9    9
Chance Precip       5   30   40   20   10   10   20   20    5   10   10    5    5    5    5
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld
Temperature        74   66   63   59   55   51   60   61   57   56   69   67   61   59   70
Heat Index                                                                                 
Wind (mph)       SW15 NW21  N20  N23  N24  N22  N20  N23  N22  N20 NE17 NE15  N15  N16 NE14
Wind Gust          21   26   26   32   32   29   26   28             23   21               
Longshore         Mod None None None None None None None None None None None None None None
Waterspout Risk   Low  Low None None None None None None None None None None None None None

 
Myrtle  Beach,  SC

Date               Thu 10/15                Fri 10/16
EDT 3hrly          11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20

Rip Current Risk  Low  Low  Low                      Low  Low  Low  Low     
Rip Probability     3    7   19   13    6   12   18   10    3    6   19   24
Surf Height (ft)    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    2    2
Dom Period (s)      7    7    7    7    7    7    7    8    8    8    3    4
Chance Precip       0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover       Clr  Clr  Clr  Clr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr  Clr  Clr Mclr
Temperature        78   79   79   76   74   72   70   70   76   79   79   77
Heat Index                                                                  
Wind (mph)         W7   S7  S10   S9  SW8  SW7  SW7  SW7  SW9  S13  S15 SW15
Wind Gust                    15                                      22   22
Longshore        Weak Weak  Mod  Mod Weak Weak Weak Weak  Mod  ModStrngStrng
Waterspout Risk  None None None None None None None None None None None None


Date               Sat 10/17           Sun 10/18           Mon 10/19           Tue 10/20
EDT 6hrly          02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14

Rip Probability    14   18    3    4    4   16    6   22   20   58   30   60   37   66   35
Surf Height (ft)    2    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    2    3    3    3    3    3    4
Dom Period (s)      4    5    3    4    4    5    5    5    5    7    8    9    9    9    9
Chance Precip       0   30   40   20   10   10   20   10   20   10   10    5    5    5    5
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mclr
Temperature        75   67   64   60   56   53   60   62   58   57   68   67   62   59   70
Heat Index                                                                                 
Wind (mph)       SW15  N21  N22  N25  N25  N24  N22  N25  N24  N22 NE20 NE18  N17  N17 NE16
Wind Gust          21   28   29   33   33   30   30   32             25   23             21
Longshore       Strng None NoneStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrng
Waterspout Risk   Low None None None None None None None None None None None None None None

 
Surfside  Beach,  SC

Date               Thu 10/15                Fri 10/16
EDT 3hrly          11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20

Rip Current Risk  Low  Low  Low                      Low  Low  Low  Low     
Rip Probability     3    7   19   13    6   11   17   10    3    6   19   22
Surf Height (ft)    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1
Dom Period (s)      7    7    7    7    7    7    7    8    8    8    3    4
Chance Precip       0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover       Clr  Clr  Clr  Clr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr  Clr  Clr Mclr
Temperature        78   80   79   76   74   72   70   70   77   79   79   77
Heat Index                                                                  
Wind (mph)         W6   S7  S10   S9  SW7  SW7  SW7  SW6  SW9  S13  S15 SW14
Wind Gust                    16   14   12                  14   18   23   21
Longshore        Weak Weak Weak  Mod Weak Weak Weak Weak Weak  Mod  ModStrng
Waterspout Risk  None None None None None None None None None None None None


Date               Sat 10/17           Sun 10/18           Mon 10/19           Tue 10/20
EDT 6hrly          02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14

Rip Probability    12   15    1    7    8   33   13   41   37   71   46   73   53   77   51
Surf Height (ft)    1    1    1    1    1    1    2    2    3    4    4    3    3    3    4
Dom Period (s)      4    5    7    4    4    5    5    5    6    7    8    9    9    9   10
Chance Precip       0   20   40   20   10   10   20   10   20   10   10    5    5    5    5
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mclr
Temperature        75   67   65   60   56   53   61   62   58   57   69   67   61   59   70
Heat Index                                                                                 
Wind (mph)       SW13  N21  N22  N24  N25  N23 NE23 NE24  N24  N22 NE22 NE18 NE16  N17 NE17
Wind Gust          20   28   30   32   33   31   31   32                  24             22
Longshore         Mod None NoneStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrng
Waterspout Risk   Low None None None None None None None None None None None None None None

 
Murrells  Inlet,  SC

Date               Thu 10/15                Fri 10/16
EDT 3hrly          11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20

Rip Current Risk  Low  Low  Low                      Low  Low  Low  Low     
Rip Probability     3    6   10    8    4    7    9    6    2    4   12   13
Surf Height (ft)    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1
Dom Period (s)      7    7    7    7    7    7    7    8    8    9    3    4
Chance Precip       0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover       Clr  Clr  Clr  Clr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr  Clr  Clr Mclr
Temperature        77   79   78   76   74   72   70   70   76   79   79   76
Heat Index                                                                  
Wind (mph)         W7   S7  S10   S9  SW8  SW7  SW7  SW7  SW9  S13  S15 SW15
Wind Gust                    16   14                       14        22   21
Longshore        Weak Weak  Mod  Mod Weak Weak Weak Weak Weak  ModStrngStrng
Waterspout Risk  None None None None None None None None None None None None


Date               Sat 10/17           Sun 10/18           Mon 10/19           Tue 10/20
EDT 6hrly          02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14

Rip Probability     8    8    2   10   15   40   22   47   50   81   58   75   62   78   61
Surf Height (ft)    1    1    1    1    2    3    2    2    3    4    4    3    3    4    4
Dom Period (s)      4    6    4    4    4    5    5    5    6    8    8    9    9    9   10
Chance Precip       0   20   40   20   10   10   20   10   20   10   10    5    5    5    5
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mclr
Temperature        74   67   65   60   56   53   61   62   59   57   69   67   61   59   70
Heat Index                                                                                 
Wind (mph)       SW14  N23  N24  N26  N26  N25 NE24  N24  N23  N22 NE21 NE18  N16  N18 NE17
Wind Gust          20   29   30   33   35   32   31   32   29        28   24   21        23
Longshore         Mod  Mod  ModStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrng
Waterspout Risk   Low None None None None None None None None None None None None None None

 
Litchfield  Beach,  SC

Date               Thu 10/15                Fri 10/16
EDT 3hrly          11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20

Rip Current Risk  Low  Low  Low                      Low  Low  Low  Low     
Rip Probability     3    6   16   14    7   11   15    9    3    7   21   25
Surf Height (ft)    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1
Dom Period (s)      7    7    7    7    7    7    7    7    8    9    3    4
Chance Precip       0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover       Clr  Clr  Clr  Clr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr  Clr  Clr Mclr
Temperature        77   78   78   77   74   72   71   71   76   78   79   77
Heat Index                                                                  
Wind (mph)         W7   S7  S10   S9  SW8  SW8  SW7  SW7  SW9  S13  S16 SW15
Wind Gust                    16   14                       14   18   23   21
Longshore        None Weak  Mod  Mod Weak Weak Weak Weak  Mod  ModStrngStrng
Waterspout Risk  None None None None None None None None None None None None


Date               Sat 10/17           Sun 10/18           Mon 10/19           Tue 10/20
EDT 6hrly          02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14

Rip Probability    14   19    2    9   11   35   17   43   40   74   48   72   52   75   51
Surf Height (ft)    1    1    1    1    2    3    2    3    3    5    5    4    4    4    5
Dom Period (s)      4    4    4    4    5    5    5    5    6    7    8    9    9    9   10
Chance Precip       0   20   40   20    5   10   20   10   20   10   10    5    5    5    5
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mclr
Temperature        75   68   64   61   57   54   60   63   60   58   68   68   64   61   70
Heat Index                                                                                 
Wind (mph)       SW15  N23  N24  N26  N28  N26 NE25 NE29  N28  N26 NE25 NE22 NE21  N21 NE20
Wind Gust          20   30   31   36   36   33   33   35                                   
Longshore         ModStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrng
Waterspout Risk   Low None None None None None None None None None None None None None None

 
Pawleys  Island,  SC

Date               Thu 10/15                Fri 10/16
EDT 3hrly          11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20

Rip Current Risk  Low  Low  Low                      Low  Low  Low  Low     
Rip Probability     4    7   15   12    7   10   14    9    3    5   16   17
Surf Height (ft)    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1
Dom Period (s)      7    7    7    7    7    7    7    7    8    9    3    4
Chance Precip       0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover       Clr  Clr  Clr  Clr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr  Clr  Clr Mclr
Temperature        77   79   78   77   74   72   71   70   76   79   79   76
Heat Index                                                                  
Wind (mph)         W7   S7  S10   S8  SW7  SW6  SW6  SW6  SW9  S12  S15 SW13
Wind Gust                    15   13                            17   22   20
Longshore        None Weak Weak Weak Weak Weak Weak Weak Weak  Mod  Mod  Mod
Waterspout Risk  None None None None None None None None None None None None


Date               Sat 10/17           Sun 10/18           Mon 10/19           Tue 10/20
EDT 6hrly          02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14

Rip Probability    10   15    2   16   19   49   28   60   57   83   59   80   67   82   66
Surf Height (ft)    1    1    1    2    3    3    3    3    4    5    5    4    4    4    4
Dom Period (s)      4    6    3    4    5    5    5    5    6    7    8    9    9    9   10
Chance Precip       0   20   40   20    5   10   20   10   10   10   10    5    5    5   10
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Mclr
Temperature        75   67   64   60   57   54   60   63   60   59   68   68   64   61   69
Heat Index                                                                                 
Wind (mph)       SW13  N21  N23  N25  N25  N24  N24 NE29  N26  N24 NE25 NE22 NE20  N21 NE20
Wind Gust          20   28   30   35   35   33   32                                        
Longshore         ModStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrng
Waterspout Risk   Low None None None None None None None None None None None None None None

 
Debordieu  Beach,  SC

Date               Thu 10/15                Fri 10/16
EDT 3hrly          11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20

Rip Current Risk  Low  Low  Low                      Low  Low  Low  Low     
Rip Probability     3    6   12    9    5    8   10    7    3    4   12   12
Surf Height (ft)    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1    1
Dom Period (s)      7    7    7    7    7    7    7    8    8    9    6    6
Chance Precip       0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover       Clr  Clr  Clr  Clr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr Mclr  Clr  Clr Mclr
Temperature        77   80   79   76   74   73   71   71   76   79   79   77
Heat Index                                                                  
Wind (mph)         W6   S7  S10   S8  SW7  SW6  SW6  SW6  SW9  S10  S15 SW13
Wind Gust                    16   13                       14   17   22   20
Longshore        None Weak Weak Weak Weak Weak Weak None Weak  Mod  Mod  Mod
Waterspout Risk  None None None None None None None None None None None None


Date               Sat 10/17           Sun 10/18           Mon 10/19           Tue 10/20
EDT 6hrly          02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14

Rip Probability     8   14    3   20   25   53   34   67   64   89   70   84   72   85   71
Surf Height (ft)    1    1    1    2    2    2    2    3    3    3    4    4    4    4    4
Dom Period (s)      7    8    6    4    5    6    6    6    7    8    8    9    9    9   10
Chance Precip       0   20   40   20    5    5   20   10   10   10   10    5    5    5   10
TSTM Potential   None None None None None None None None None None None None None None None
Cloud Cover      Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld Pcld
Temperature        75   67   64   61   57   54   61   62   59   58   68   67   62   60   70
Heat Index                                                                                 
Wind (mph)       SW13  N21  N23  N24  N25  N24  N24  N23  N21  N21 NE21 NE17  N16  N17 NE17
Wind Gust          20   29   30   33   35   33   32   33   29   28   28   24   22   23   23
Longshore         ModStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrngStrng
Waterspout Risk   Low None None None None None None None None None None None None None None