National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

NWS Wilmington, NC

Weather Forecast Office

Winter Weather - NWS Wilmington NC

Weather.gov > NWS Wilmington, NC > Winter Weather - NWS Wilmington NC

Snow Amount Potential
Experimental -
 
Expected Snowfall - Official NWS Forecast
Point Range
Expected Snowfall - Official NWS Forecast
What's this?		 High End Amount
1 in 10 Chance (10%) of Higher Snowfall
Maximum Potential Snow Accumulation
What's this?
Low End Amount
9 in 10 Chance (90%) of Higher Snowfall
Minimum Potential Snow Accumulation
What's this?

Low End Amount – 9 in 10 Chance (90%) of Higher Snowfall

 

This map depicts a reasonable lower-end snowfall amount for the time period shown on the graphic, based on many computer model simulations of possible snowfall totals. This lower amount is an unlikely scenario with a 9 in 10, or 90% chance that more snow will fall, and only a 1 in 10, or 10% chance that less snow will fall. This number can help serve as a lower-end scenario for planning purposes.

Expected Snowfall - Official NWS Forecast

 

This map is the official NWS snowfall forecast in inches during the time period shown on the graphic. This snowfall amount is determined by NWS forecasters to be the most likely outcome based on evaluation of data from computer models, satellite, radar, and other observations.

High End Amount – Only a 1 in 10 Chance (10%) of Higher Snowfall

 

This map depicts a reasonable upper-end snowfall amount for the time period shown on the graphic, based on many computer model simulations of possible snowfall totals. This higher amount is an unlikely scenario, with only a 1 in 10, or 10% chance that more snow will fall, and a 9 in 10, or 90% chance that less snow will fall. This number can help serve as an upper-end scenario for planning purposes.
 
The purpose of these experimental probabilistic snowfall products is to provide customers and partners a range of snowfall possibilities, in complement to existing NWS deterministic snowfall graphics, to better communicate forecast uncertainties during winter weather events. For more information visit this project's Product/Service Description Document, and please provide us your feedback here.
Percent Chance That Snow Amounts Will Be Greater Than...
Experimental -
 
What's this?

Percent Chance That Snow Amounts Will Be Greater Than

 

This series of maps shows the probability (that is, the likelihood) that snowfall will equal or exceed specific amounts during the time period shown on the graphic. These forecasts are based on many computer model simulations of possible snowfall totals.
Hover over thumbnails below to view larger image.
>=0.1"
>=0.1"		 >=1"
>=1"		 >=2"
>=2"		 >=4"
>=4"		 >=6"
>=6"		 >=8"
>=8"		 >=12"
>=12"		 >=18"
>=18"

Snowfall Totals by Location
Experimental -
 
What's this?

Snowfall Totals by Location

 

These tables show the snowfall forecast for individual locations, and provide the same information as the graphics on this web page, just shown in a different way. All of these values are valid for the same time period as depicted on the graphics.
County:
 
Ice Accumulation Potential
 
Expected Ice Accumulation - Official NWS Forecast
Most Likely Ice Accumulation

What's this?

Most Likely Ice Accumulation

Represents our official ice forecast in inches within the next one to three days. The ice accumulation amounts are provided in ranges.
Other Snow/Ice Information
Onset of Wintry Precipitation End Timing of Wintry Precipitation
Winter Precipitation Onset
Winter Precipitation End Time
What's this? What's this?
Winter Storm Severity Index
*** Experimental ***		 NDFD Graphic Forecast Displays
Winter Storm Severity Index
NDFD Graphical Forecast Viewer
What's this? What's this?
Storm Track Reported Snow/Ice Totals
Storm Total Ice Graphic
Latest snow report
What's this? What's this?

Precipitation Onset

Most likely time of winter precipitation onset (snow, sleet, freezing rain). Rain is not included here. This information is provided when we issue a Warning or Advisory for expected snow or ice accumulation; typically six to 24 hours in advance. Times are only given for places that are under a Warning or Advisory. They will be blank in areas outside Warnings or Advisories.

Precipitation End Time

Most likely time of winter precipitation ending (snow, sleet, freezing rain). Rain is not included here. This information is provided when we issue a Warning or Advisory for expected snow or ice accumulation; typically six to 24 hours in advance. Times are only given for places that are under a Warning or Advisory. They will be blank in areas outside Warnings or Advisories.

Winter Storm Severity

The purpose of the Winter Storm Severity Index (WSSI) is to provide NWS partners and the general public with an indication of the level of winter precipitation (snow and ice) severity and its potential related societal impacts. The WSSI does not depict official warnings, and should always be used in context with official NWS forecasts and warnings. Because this is a prototype, it may not update in a timely fashion. Always check the creation and valid times.

NDFD Graphic Forecast Displays

The NWS’s NDFD graphic products are derived from a prescribed set of data contained within the NDFD. These graphics are representations of the official NWS digital forecast. The graphics are created on national and regional scales and will follow a standardized format prescribed by the NWS to best meet the needs of its users

Low Tracks Graphic

The graphic depicts the forecast location of significant surface lows impacting the 48 contiguous United States in 12 hour increments out to 72 hours into the future.

The low position and track forecast by NCEP WPC meteorologist is in white. Each low position is accompanied by a lead time (Eastern Time). The circles around each low represents a 75% probability the observed low will be located with the circle. Note: The probability is derived using previous season's verification data. For reference, existing surface lows are depicted with a red marker without yellow circles.

Reported

As snow and/or ice reports come into the NWS (you can email reports to ilm.webmaster@noaa.gov or Tweet to @NWSWilmingtonNC), we will pass them on here. With the map linked here, and the supporting reports below it, you can keep tabs on how much has fallen.

 

Wilmington, NC Products
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FORECAST DISCUSSION SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
Long-Range Forecast
 

Days 4-7
Day 4 Winter Weather Outlook Day 5 Winter Weather Outlook
Day 4 Winter Weather Outlook Day 5 Winter Weather Outlook
 
Day 6 Winter Weather Outlook Day 7 Winter Weather Outlook
Day 6 Winter Weather Outlook Day 7 Winter Weather Outlook
 
Days 4-5 Forecast Precipitation Days 6-7 Forecast Precipitation
Days 4-5 Precip Days 6-7 Precip
 
 

Days 6-10
Temperature  Precipitation
6-10 day temperature 6-10 day precipitation
 
 

Days 8-14
TEMPERATURE  PRECIPITATION
8-14 day temperature 8-14 day precipitation
 
 

Week 3-4

TEMPERATURE

PRECIPITATION
Week 3-4 Temperature Week 3-4 precipitation

Weather Type Forecast: Days 1-5

 


 

 

Latest Weather Briefing

 

Latest Briefing from Wilmington, NC NWS

 

 

 

 

Follow us on Twitter  Follow us on Twitter
Follow us on Facebook  Follow us on Facebook
ILM RSS Feed  ILM RSS Feed

Forecasts
Local Forecasts
Marine
Tropical
Graphical
Aviation
Rain and Rivers
Fire Weather
Discussion
Rip Current Risk
Surf Forecast
Weather Activity Planner
Beach, Rip Current and Surf
Forecast Graph/Tab/Text
Model Guidance

Hazards
Mobile Weather
Briefing Page
Local Hazards
Hazardous Weather Outlook
Latest Briefing
Social Media Feeds
EM Briefing
NOAA Weather Radio
Submit Storm Report

Current Conditions
Observations Map
Local Observations (List)
Observations across the Carolinas
Marine Obs (Map)
Marine Obs (List)
Satellite
Regional Temps and Precipitation
Daily Temp and Precip Summary
Daily Co-op Maps

Radar
NWS Wilmington Radar
Southeast Regional Radar
Enhanced National Radar
National Radar

Past Weather and Hydrology
Rainfall and Rivers
Local Climate Records
Climate Plots
Local Hydro Information

Additional Information
Office Newsletter
Office History Timeline
Education and Outreach
NWS Product Guide
Weather Safety
Mobile Weather
Past Significant Events
Weather History Calendar
NOAA in the Carolinas
Science and Technology

Office Programs
CoCoRaHS
Storm Ready
NOAA Weather Radio
Skywarn