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NWS Wilmington, NC

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Winter Weather - NWS Wilmington NC

Weather.gov > NWS Wilmington, NC > Winter Weather - NWS Wilmington NC

Snow Amount Potential
Experimental -
Expected Snowfall - Official NWS Forecast
 

What's this?		 High End Amount
1 in 10 Chance (10%) of Higher Snowfall

What's this?
Low End Amount
9 in 10 Chance (90%) of Higher Snowfall

What's this?

Low End Amount – 9 in 10 Chance (90%) of Higher Snowfall

 

This map depicts a reasonable lower-end snowfall amount for the time period shown on the graphic, based on many computer model simulations of possible snowfall totals. This lower amount is an unlikely scenario with a 9 in 10, or 90% chance that more snow will fall, and only a 1 in 10, or 10% chance that less snow will fall. This number can help serve as a lower-end scenario for planning purposes.

Expected Snowfall - Official NWS Forecast

 

This map is the official NWS snowfall forecast in inches during the time period shown on the graphic. This snowfall amount is determined by NWS forecasters to be the most likely outcome based on evaluation of data from computer models, satellite, radar, and other observations.

High End Amount – Only a 1 in 10 Chance (10%) of Higher Snowfall

 

This map depicts a reasonable upper-end snowfall amount for the time period shown on the graphic, based on many computer model simulations of possible snowfall totals. This higher amount is an unlikely scenario, with only a 1 in 10, or 10% chance that more snow will fall, and a 9 in 10, or 90% chance that less snow will fall. This number can help serve as an upper-end scenario for planning purposes.
 
The purpose of these experimental probabilistic snowfall products is to provide customers and partners a range of snowfall possibilities, in complement to existing NWS deterministic snowfall graphics, to better communicate forecast uncertainties during winter weather events. For more information visit this project's Product/Service Description Document, and please provide us your feedback here.
Percent Chance That Snow Amounts Will Be Greater Than...
Experimental -
What's this?

Percent Chance That Snow Amounts Will Be Greater Than

 

This series of maps shows the probability (that is, the likelihood) that snowfall will equal or exceed specific amounts during the time period shown on the graphic. These forecasts are based on many computer model simulations of possible snowfall totals.
Hover over thumbnails below to view larger image.
>=0.1"
>=1"
>=2"
>=4"
>=6"
>=8"
>=12"
>=18"

Snowfall Totals by Location
Experimental -
What's this?

Snowfall Totals by Location

 

These tables show the snowfall forecast for individual locations, and provide the same information as the graphics on this web page, just shown in a different way. All of these values are valid for the same time period as depicted on the graphics.

 

Location Low-End
Amount		 Expected
Amount		 High-End
Amount		 Chance of Seeing More Than
 
Ice Accumulation Potential
 

Expected Ice Accumulation - Official NWS Forecast

This is the elevated flat surface ice accumulation. It is not radial/line ice. Radial/line ice is typically 39% of the elevated flat surface ice. For more information on this, see this module.
Most Likely Ice Accumulation

What's this?

Most Likely Ice Accumulation

Represents our official ice forecast in inches within the next one to three days. The ice accumulation amounts are provided in ranges.
Winter Storm Severity Index (WSSI) Winter Storm Outlook (WSO)
Winter Storm Severity Index
Winter Storm Outlook
National Snow Reports National Snowfall Analysis
National Snow Reports
National Snowfall Analysis
 
Local Snow Reports
Latest snow report
Days 4-7 Winter Weather Outlook
 
Day 4 Winter Weather Outlook Day 5 Winter Weather Outlook
Day 4 Winter Weather Outlook Day 5 Winter Weather Outlook
 
Day 6 Winter Weather Outlook Day 7 Winter Weather Outlook
Day 6 Winter Weather Outlook Day 7 Winter Weather Outlook


Click here for an interactive map
 
CPC Week-2 Experimental Heavy Snow Risk
 
CPC Week-2 Experimental Heavy Snow Risk
 
CPC Temperature & Precipitation Maps
 

Days 6-10
Temperature  Precipitation
6-10 day temperature 6-10 day precipitation
 
 

Days 8-14
TEMPERATURE  PRECIPITATION
8-14 day temperature 8-14 day precipitation
 
 

Week 3-4

TEMPERATURE

PRECIPITATION
Week 3-4 Temperature Week 3-4 precipitation

Latest Weather Briefing

 

Latest Briefing from Wilmington, NC NWS

 

 

 

Weather Type Forecast: Days 1-5

 


 

 

Local Winter Weather Climatology

 

Snowfall and Ice Storm Databases

❄️ Wilmington Snowfall Database Since 1870

❄️ Wilmington Ice Storm Database Since 1947

❄️ Florence Snowfall Database Since 1948

❄️ Myrtle Beach Snowfall Database Since 1940

 

Freeze Climatology

❄️ Spring and Fall Freeze dates and statistics for locations around the Eastern Carolinas

        ❄️ Detailed Spring and Fall Freeze and Growing Season Statistics (using data 1950-2020) for:

                ❄️ Wilmington, NC

                ❄️ Lumberton, NC

                ❄️ Florence, SC

                ❄️ Georgetown, SC

 

Significant Winter Weather Events

❄️ 2025: January 21-22 Snow

❄️ 2018: January 2018 Exreme Cold and Snow

❄️ 2017: March 12th Snow

❄️ 2015: February 24 Winter Weather

❄️ 2015: February 17 Ice Storm

❄️ 2014: February 11-12 Winter Storm

❄️ 2014: January 28-29 Winter Storm

❄️ 2009: January 20 Snow Event

❄️ 2004: January 26 Ice Storm

❄️ 2003: January 23 Winter Storm

❄️ 2000: January 25 Snowstorm

❄️ 1993: March 12-14 Superstorm of 1993 (Storm of the Century)

❄️ 1989: December 22-24 Christmas Snowstorm

❄️ 1985: January 21 Record-Breaking Cold

❄️ 1973: February 9-11 Great Southeastern Snowstorm

❄️ 1912: Snowiest Winter on Record at Wilmington and Lumberton

❄️ 1896: February 17-18 "Snow Balling" Snowstorm

Winter Weather Safety

 

 

❄️ NWS Wilmington Winter Preparedness Webpage

❄️ NWS Winter Weather Safety Page

❄️ NWS Weather-Ready Nation - Winter Safety

❄️ NWS Cold Weather Safety Page

❄️ Ready.gov Winter Weather Safety Tips

 

 
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