NWS Lubbock

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Last Map Update: Mon, Oct 12, 2026 at 5:06:28 am CDT

Watches, Warnings & Advisories

National Weather Service Albuquerque, NM

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National Weather Service Fort Worth/Dallas, TX

Hazardous Weather Outlook

Tonight & Monday

Tuesday's Severe Storm Outlook

Tuesday Precip Chances

Wednesday Flooding Outlook

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Breezy southerly winds continue. Skies will vary between mostly clear and partly cloudy, and a few isolated storms are possible on the Caprock both tonight and Monday evening.

Scattered storms developing on Tuesday afternoon may be capable of becoming severe with large hail, damaging wind gusts, isolated tornadoes, and heavy rainfall. Monitor forecast updates and stay weather aware on Tuesday.

Scattered storms are expected to develop beginning Tuesday afternoon, some of which could be strong to severe. Storm chances increase into the evening and overnight, and locally heavy rainfall is a concern.

Additional thunderstorms are likely on Wednesday, and an unseasonably moist airmass will result in high rainfall rates. This may lead to swaths of rainfall over 2", capable of producing flooding. Check back for updates as the forecast becomes clearer.

Storms are likely mid-week, with some severe storms or flooding rains possible on Tuesday and Wednesday. Precipitation chances gradually diminish into the weekend. Temperatures will be seasonably warm at the start of the week but trend much cooler by Friday, accompanied by breezy northerly winds late in the week.

Are you interested in weather? We are looking for volunteers who live in Brownfield and Tahoka to report daily weather data via the NWS Cooperative Observer Program. For more details, message us or email sr-lub.webmaster@noaa.gov.

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Local Weather History For October 12th...

2012: Unusually moist air for mid-October was carried into the Texas South Plains on the 11th ahead of a vigorous upper
low in the Four Corners region. By the afternoon of the 12th, this upper low tracked into Colorado accompanied by a strong
subtropical jet that overspread the South Plains. With surface dewpoints in the mid to upper 60s and diminishing
stratocumulus clouds, strong instability developed by late afternoon over the central South Plains. Very strong wind shear
already in place was made even stronger near a warm front that began lifting slowly north between Lubbock and Plainview.
By 5 PM, a pair of strong and severe storms erupted near Shallowater and began moving north-northeast. One of these storms
developed strong low-level rotation as it crossed the warm front near Hale Center and assumed an easterly motion. This
rotation culminated in two tornadoes over open land in eastern Hale County. Earlier, this same storm produced very large
hail up to baseball size that damaged several vehicle windows at a rest stop on I-27. Also, large hail up to golf ball
size accompanied a left-moving supercell that raced northward near I-27. Both of these supercells decayed around 7 PM
before a third supercell late this evening entered Yoakum County from neighboring Lea County, NM. Although NWS-Lubbock
Doppler Radar indicated the likelihood of large hail west and northwest of Plains, this final supercell did not produce
any known severe weather before it evolved into a line of strong thunderstorms while overspreading much of the South
Plains before midnight.