Tropical Storm and Storm Surge Warnings for the North Carolina Outer Banks; Heat Building in the West

Storm surge flooding and tropical storm conditions are expected in the Outer Banks beginning late Wednesday. Tropical Storm and Storm Surge Warnings are in effect. Tropical storm conditions are possible along the eastern shore of Virginia Thursday. Hurricane Erin will continue to produce life-threatening surf and rip currents along much of the east coast of the U.S. this week. Read More >

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Last Map Update: Tue, Aug 19, 2025 at 11:04:21 pm MDT

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Weekend Weather

There is a marginal risk of excessive rainfall for southwestern and southeastern New Mexico. There is between a 5 and 15 percent chance of isolated flash flooding. Locally heavy rainfall rates of 1 to 2 inches per hour may create fast rises in streams and arroyos.

A broad high pressure system will build over the Four Corners region over the next few days, causing minor to moderate Heat Risk for lower elevation areas west of the central mountain chain. Locally major heat risk is possible Thursday and Friday in the San Juan River Valley near Farmington and in the middle Rio Grande Valley near Albuqeurque.

As the monsoon high pushes west, increased moisture will begin to suge into northern New Mexico, increasing storm coverage along western and northern areas. Heavy rainfall may create flash flooding concerns, perticularly in NE New Mexico on Sunday where storms could be invigorated by a backdoor coldfront. Drier air in southern New Mexico will keep rain chances low there.

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