The threat of burn scar falsh flooding for the Ruidoso area is slightly less for tomorrow afternoon, with 0.01 to 0.25 inches of rainfall the most likely amounts. Heavier amounts of 0.50 inches are an unlikely worst case scenario. Storms should end by mid afternoon, but more widespread light showers are expected late on Sunday night. However, flash flood threat is expected to be low during the overnight hours.
More storms are expected to develop tomorrow afternoon over the HPCC burn scar area. Since half an inch of rainfall already fell over parts of the burn scar on Saturday, there is a moderate risk of flash flooding for Sunday. Generally, less than 0.20 inches are expected to fall, but locally heavier amounts of 0.75 inches are possible.
It will be a stormy start to the week around the Land of Enchantment, particularly late Sunday when precipitation chances are expected to increase. Storms may produce gusty outflow winds and dangerous lightning that could impact outdoor activities. There will be a moderate risk of burn scar flash flooding over the Ruidoso and HPCC burn scar areas on Sunday afternoon. Flash flood risk should diminish as storm motions become faster on Monday morning.
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