The Storm Prediction Center has expanded the Marginal Risk for severe thunderstorms westward slightly for today. It continues to include much of eastern NM. The main threats will be large hail and damaging winds this afternoon and evening.
Isolated dry thunderstorms will develop over western New Mexico this afternoon & evening. Most of the rain that falls out of dry thunderstorms evaporates before reaching the ground, leading to very gusty winds along with a risk of new wildfires from lightning.
Higher moisture across the eastern half of New Mexico today will lead to scattered thunderstorms along and east of the central mountain chain. Storms will favor the south central mountains & northeast highlands with a few strong to severe storms in the eastern plains. Virga and some isolated dry thunderstorms across the southwest mountains. Temperatures will be a few degrees cooler, but still very warm to hot.
Remaining hot with a better coverage of showers and storms early this week. Highest storm coverage will be along and east of the central mountain chain today and higher terrain areas Monday and Tuesday. Even hotter with a lower coverage of showers and thunderstorms mid to late next week.
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