National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce
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Last Map Update: Wed, Jul 16, 2025 at 3:04:28 am MDT

Thunderstorms will multiply over New Mexico on Thursday, leading to increased chances for rainfall. Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms will then redevelop again each day Friday and Saturday. While the western and central mountains will have the highest chances for rain, many surrounding lower elevations will also have a moderate to high (40 to 70%) chance for measurable rainfall.
Showers and thunderstorms will increase on Wednesday and more-so into Thursday as rich monsoon moisture arrives. Storms will be capable of producing heavy downpours.
The thunderstorm threat matrix indicates the probability of thunderstorms over wildfire burn areas.
Seasonable temperatures are forecast tonight with any showers and thunderstorms being focused in west central to southwestern New Mexico during the evening.
Higher rain chances arrive on Thursday with scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms redeveloping on Friday and Saturday. Temperatures will remain within a few degrees of normal.

 

 
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