A wet remainder of the holiday weekend is in store, which should provide at least some limited drought relief for western portions of New Mexico. Localized flash flooding and rises on normally dry arroyos, streams and creeks may still occur with the heavier rainfall.
Recent and expected rainfall will push the Animas and San Juan Rivers in northwest New Mexico toward bankfull status (Action Stage). River flooding is not expected at this time, but banks can become unstable and erode rapidly. Please avoid recreational activties in the river during these high flows!
The potential for heavy rainfall will be greatest across southwest and south central NM on Sunday. A broader risk will return to western and central NM on Monday as another surge of tropical moisture moves back into the state. Remember: Turn Around, Don't Drown!
Near to below normal precipitation is favored for the 8-14 Day Outlook (Oct. 19-25) as the primary storm track shifts north of New Mexico. A few disturbances will still track through the region, but tropical moisture currently over the state will no longer be present.
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