Thunderstorms will multiply over New Mexico on Thursday, leading to increased chances for rainfall. Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms will then redevelop again each day Friday and Saturday. While the western and central mountains will have the highest chances for rain, many surrounding lower elevations will also have a moderate to high (40 to 70%) chance for measurable rainfall.
Rain chances will trend higher today and Thursday, increasing the risk of flash flooding. The highest chances of heavy rainfall will be in the northeast quadrant of the state and the flash flood risk may persist into the nighttime hours on Thursday night. Most locations will recieve less than 0.25" of rain, but locally heavier totals in excess of 2" can be expected.
The risk of flash flooding will increase on Thursday, particularly in northeastern New Mexico where 24-hour rainfall totals may exceed 2 inches. That being said, there is at least a low risk of flash flooding across almost all of central and northern New Mexico due to numerous showers and storms with heavy rainfall rates of 1 to 3 inches per hour.
Rain chances will trend higher today and tomorrow. Scattered to numerous storms may produce gusty outflow winds, small hail, and heavy rainfall rates. Storm chances will be highest in the afternoon from 2PM to 5PM.
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