There is a marginal risk for severe thunderstorms Tuesday afternoon and evening across portions of west central NM. This marginal risk may be expanded to include Albuquerque and portions of the Central Mountain Chain. Hail and damaging wind gusts are the main concerns.
A marginal risk for heavy rainfall and localized flash flooding exists across central and eastern NM on Tuesday for areas near and south of I-40. Another marginal risk for heavy rainfall and localized flash flooding exists on Wednesday for much of western and central NM. Low laying and poorly drained areas including metro arroyo systems are most at risk.
Showers and thunderstorms will favor all but northwest NM on Tuesday. Most areas will pick up between one quarter and 1 inch of rainfall, though some locations could see amounts as high as 2 inches, especially across east central NM as storms move across that area Tuesday night. There is good chance storms will impact the Albuquerque Metro area Tuesday afternoon and/or evening.
Showers and thunderstorms will favor central and western NM on Wednesday. Rainfall totals may not be as high as Tuesday due to abundant cloud cover and cooler temperatures. Most areas will pick up less than one quarter inch, but a few areas with stronger storms could see up to one inch of rain.
East canyon winds push into the Albuquerque metro tonight thru Tuesday morning. Some areas immediately west of the Sandia Crest could be protected with stronger winds relegated to below Tijeras Canyon or Bear Canyon.
Showers and thunderstorms will periodically redevelop across eastern NM through nighttime hours. A few storms will be capable of heavy rainfall, gusty winds and hail, especially in the evening. Low temperatures tonight will be near to above normal areawide.
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