National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce
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Last Map Update: Wed, Sep 10, 2025 at 9:32:53 pm MDT

Storms will favor western and northern NM on Thursday. A few storms across northwest NM will be capable of damaging wind gusts and hail mainly between 2pm and 8pm MDT.
A marginal risk for severe storms exists across northwest NM on Friday. The main concerns will be hail and damaging wind gusts between 1pm and 10pm.
Thunderstorms with heavy rainfall may lead to isolated areas of flash flooding across northwest and north central NM on Friday.
Storm chances peak on Friday as an upper level trough approaches the state. A line of showers and thunderstorms is expected, starting across northwest NM then progressing eastward throughout the day. A few strong to severe storms will be capable of damaging winds and hail. The greatest flash flood risk exists over burn scars, though a low threat for flash flooding exists across northwest and north central NM. Storm motions will be quick, so storms moving over the same areas repeatedly will be the main concern.
Total rainfall amounts of one quarter to one inch are expected across northwest and north central NM between Thursday and Friday. However, some thunderstorms will produce heavier rainfall, and between 1 and 3 inches of rainfall is a reasonable worst case scenario. Lesser amounts are expected elsewhere.
Portions of northwest NM have seen very little precipitation this monsoon, but that may change over the next few days. We're hopeful the rainfall will put a dent in the deficit!

 

 
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