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Coastal Threats for the East and Gulf; Record Warmth for the Central U.S.

Persistent onshore flow across the Southeast and portions of the mid-Atlantic will keep the risk of rip currents through the weekend. Rainfall could be locally heavy across Florida, especially along the eastern shoreline. Meanwhile, record warmth for portions of the Plains and Midwest with elevated fire concerns. For the west, a trough will keep the pattern unsettled with wet conditions. Read More >

Welcome to the Experimental NWS State College Fire Weather Threshholds Probabilities page - providing Decision Support Services for Fire Weather Operations in Central Pennsylvania.

Forecasts on this page are generally updated twice per day at 4:00 AM and 4:00 PM.
 
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Minimum Relative Humidity Forecast Day1 Day2 Day3 Day4 Day5        
Probability MinRH <= 40% Day1 Day2 Day3 Day4 Day5        
Probability MinRH <= 30% Day1 Day2 Day3 Day4 Day5        
Probability MinRH <= 25% Day1 Day2 Day3 Day4 Day5        
Probability MinRH <= 20% Day1 Day2 Day3 Day4 Day5        
Probability MinRH <= 15% Day1 Day2 Day3 Day4 Day5        
 
10-meter Maximum Wind Gust Forecast* Day1 Day2 Day3 Day4 Day5        
Probability 20-ft WindGust > 16 mph Day1 Day2 Day3 Day4 Day5        
Probability 20-ft WindGust > 20 mph Day1 Day2 Day3 Day4 Day5        
Probability 20-ft WindGust > 24 mph Day1 Day2 Day3 Day4 Day5        
Probability 20-ft WindGust > 32 mph Day1 Day2 Day3 Day4 Day5        
 
*10-meter wind gust forecast should be multiplied by 0.8 to get an approximation for the 20-foot wind gust used in prescribed burning.
 
Probability Graphic