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Severe Thunderstorms and Critical Fire Weather Wednesday

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible across portions of the northern High Plains Wednesday afternoon and evening. Severe wind gusts are the primary hazard. Gusty winds and low relative humidity will contribute to critical fire weather conditions across parts of the northern Great Plains and Great Basin Wednesday. Read More >

Welcome to the Experimental NWS State College Fire Weather Threshholds Probabilities page - providing Decision Support Services for Fire Weather Operations in Central Pennsylvania.

Forecasts on this page are generally updated twice per day at 4:00 AM and 4:00 PM.
 
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Minimum Relative Humidity Forecast Day1 Day2 Day3 Day4 Day5        
Probability MinRH <= 40% Day1 Day2 Day3 Day4 Day5        
Probability MinRH <= 30% Day1 Day2 Day3 Day4 Day5        
Probability MinRH <= 25% Day1 Day2 Day3 Day4 Day5        
Probability MinRH <= 20% Day1 Day2 Day3 Day4 Day5        
Probability MinRH <= 15% Day1 Day2 Day3 Day4 Day5        
 
10-meter Maximum Wind Gust Forecast* Day1 Day2 Day3 Day4 Day5        
Probability 20-ft WindGust > 16 mph Day1 Day2 Day3 Day4 Day5        
Probability 20-ft WindGust > 20 mph Day1 Day2 Day3 Day4 Day5        
Probability 20-ft WindGust > 24 mph Day1 Day2 Day3 Day4 Day5        
Probability 20-ft WindGust > 32 mph Day1 Day2 Day3 Day4 Day5        
 
*10-meter wind gust forecast should be multiplied by 0.8 to get an approximation for the 20-foot wind gust used in prescribed burning.
 
Probability Graphic