Aviation Forecasts and Information Page - NWS State College PA

.AVIATION /12Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
12z update... An expansive cloud shield (on the leading edge of
the strongest moisture advection aloft) has made it about as far
east as the Alleghenies this morning, but is having trouble 
pushing downstream of the higher ridges. Thus, we have the
highest confidence (60-80%) in persistent MVFR/fuel alternate 
restrictions at KBFD. 

Elsewhere through the daylight hours today and right into this
evening, unrestricted/VFR conditions are anticipated.

One potential fly in the ointment could be the development of
widely separated showers late in the day into the early evening.
If such showers move over an airfield, brief restrictions
(most likely MVFR/fuel alternate) could occur. However, due to
the hit and miss nature and probable brief duration,
restrictions will not be mentioned at this juncture. 

A more cohesive area of showers and lower conditions should
overspread western and central PA during the pre-dawn hours.
Confidence in IFR restrictions is fairly high (60-80%) at KBFD,
less at KJST (20-30%), and quite low elsewhere. 

Outlook...

Wed-Wed night...Restrictions likely in more numerous showers 
and some thunder.

Thu-Fri...Windy and colder. Scattered rain and snow showers, 
with restrictions possible.

Sat...Remaining brisk, with restrictions in rain and snow
showers most likely at KBFD and KJST.

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