Technical Papers, Articles, and Presentations by Our Staff

2024

• Radar Signatures and Surface Observations of Elevated Convection Associated with Damaging Surface Winds. 
  B. S. Borchardt, K. D. Sherburn, and R. S. Schumacher, 2024. Weather and Forecasting. Early Online Release. 

2022

• A Temporal Gauge Quality Control Algorithm as a Method for Identifying Potential Instrumentation Malfunctions
  Martinaitis, S.M., S. Lincoln, D. Schlotzhauer, S.B. Cocks, and J. Zhang, 2022. Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology.
   
• Determining the Location of the 22 May 1855 Chicago Area Tornado
  W. S. Lincoln, R. Ogorek, B. Borchardt, and S. Heraty, 2022. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society.
   
• Satellite-Based Characterization of Convection and Impacts from the Catastrophic 10 August 2020 Midwest U.S. Derecho
  J. R. Bell, K. M. Bedka, C. J. Schultz, A. L. Molthan, Sarah D. Bang, J. Glisan, T. Ford, W. S. Lincoln, L. A. Schultz, A. M. Melancon, E. F. Wisinski, K. Itterly, C. R. Homeyer, D. J. Cecil, C. Cogil, R. Donavon, E. Lenning, and R. Wolf, 2022. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, E1172–E1196.

2021

• A Revised Bourgouin Precipitation-Type Algorithm​
  Kevin Birk, Eric Lenning, Kevin Donofrio, and Matthew T. Friedlein. Mar 2021. Weather and Forecasting, Vol 36, No 2 (2021).

2020

• Simulated evolution and severe wind production by the 25–26 June 2015 nocturnal MCS from PECAN
  Parker, M., B. Borchardt, R. Miller, and C. Ziegler, 2020. Monthly Weather Review, 148, 183-209.

2019

• A Multi-Platform Reanalysis of the Kankakee Valley Tornado Cluster on 30 June 14
  Anthony Lyza, Richard L. Castro, Eric Lenning, Matthew T. Friedlein, Brett Borchardt, Adam W. Clayton, and Kevin R. Knupp. Aug 2019. Electronic Journal of Severe Storms Meteorology, Vol 14, No 3 (2019).

2017

• Analysis of Mesovortex Characteristics, Behavior, and Interactions during the Second 30 June-1 July 2014 Midwestern Derecho Event
  Anthony Lyza, Adam W. Clayton, Kevin R. Knupp, Eric Lenning, Matthew T. Friedlein, Richard L. Castro, and Evan S. Bentley, Summer 2017. Electronic Journal of Severe Storms Meteorology, Vol 12, No 2 (2017).  Click here for article.

2015

• Evolution of the 30 June 2014 Double Derecho Event in Northern Illinois (Preprint)
  Matthew T. Friedlein, Richard Castro, and Eric Lenning, Summer 2015.   AMS Weather and Forecasting (WAF) Preprint. Click here for AMS WAF 2015 oral presentation.
   
• Storm Scale Meteorological Processes in the 30 June 2014 Double Derecho Event in Northern Illinois (Preprint)
  Anthony Lyza, Eric Lenning, Kevin R. Knupp, Richard Castro, and Matthew T. Friedlein, Summer 2015.  AMS Weather and Forecasting (WAF) Preprint.  Click here for AMS WAF 2015 oral presentation.

• The 30 June 2014 Midwestern Double Derecho Event, Part 1: Environmental Overview and Radar Analysis of the Second Derecho
  Eric Lenning, Anthony W. Lyza, Matthew T. Friedlein, Richard Castro, and Kevin R. Knupp. Poster for 2019 NWA Annual Meeting.
   
• The 30 June 2014 Midwestern Double Derecho Event, Part 2: Analysis of a Complex Tornado Cluster
  during the Second Derecho 
  Anthony W. Lyza, Eric Lenning, Matthew T. Friedlein, Richard Castro, Brett S. Borchardt, and Kevin R. Knupp. Poster for 2019 NWA Annual Meeting.
   
• The Role of Polarimetric, Doppler Velocity, and Spectrum Width Signatures in the Reanalysis of a QLCS Tornado Cluster 
  Richard Castro, Eric Lenning, Anthony Lyza, Matthew Friedlein, Adam W. Clayton, and Kevin R. Knupp, Summer 2017.  AMS Radar Conference 2017 poster.
   
• Utilizing Environmental and Radar Predictors to Anticipate Tornado Intensity
  Adam W. Clayton, Matthew T. Friedlein, Eric Lenning, and Anthony Lyza, Summer 2017.  AMS Radar Conference 2017 poster.  See here for AMS Radar Conference 2017 Applications poster.
   
• Operational Use of Spectrum Width to Improve Warnings for Quasi-Linear Convection in the Western Great Lakes
  Brett Borchardt, Eric Lenning, and Matthew T. Friedlein. Hollings Scholarship Research, Summer 2015.

2026

• Two 100 mph Thunderstorm Wind Events in Three Weeks: The meteorology behind two back-to-back extreme wind events in the NWS Chicago service area
  Brett Borchardt, September 2026

2025

• The Summer 2025 Flash Flood Events in Northern Illinois and Northwestern Indiana
  W. Scott Lincoln, GISP, December 2025


• The Midwest Dust Storm of 16 May 2025
  W. Scott Lincoln, GISP, May 2025

2024

• An Analysis of Extreme Rainfall Events in Chicago and Vicinity Since 1950
  W. Scott Lincoln, GISP, & Dr. Trent Ford, June 2024
  NWS Central Region Technical Service Publication TSP-21
   
• A Comparison of Spotter-Estimated Winds to Observed Winds in the Midwest
  W. Scott Lincoln, GISP, March 2024
  NWS Central Region Technical Attachment 24-01

2023

• MRMS and FLASH Thresholds for Assessing Flash Flood Potential in Realtime for the Western Great Lakes Part 2: Land Cover and Soil Moisture Considerations
  W. Scott Lincoln, GISP, December 2023
  NWS Central Region Technical Attachment 23-03
   
• The July 2 and September 17, 2023, Flash Flood Events in the Chicago Metro Area
  W. Scott Lincoln, GISP, November 2023
  NWS Technical Report
   
• Creating an Operational Forecasting System for the Chicago River
  W. Scott Lincoln, GISP, September 2023
  NWS Central Region Technical Attachment 23-02
   
• MRMS and FLASH Thresholds for Assessing Flash Flood Potential in Realtime for the Western Great Lakes
  W. Scott Lincoln, GISP, April 2023
  NWS Central Region Technical Attachment 23-01

​2021

• Analysis of the August 12, 2021, Flash Flood in and near Gibson City, IL
  W. Scott Lincoln, GISP, September 2021
  NWS Technical Report
   
• Analysis of the July 12-13, 2021, Flash Flood near Seneca, IL
  W. Scott Lincoln, GISP, July 2021
  NWS Technical Report
   
• Determining the Location of the May 22, 1855, Chicago Area Tornado
  W. Scott Lincoln, GISP, May 2021
  NWS Technical Report

2020

• Rainfall Analysis of the June 27, 2020, Flash Flood in the Vicinity of Kentland, IN
  W. Scott Lincoln, GISP, July 2020
  NWS Technical Report

• An Analysis of Extreme Rainfall Events in Chicago and Vicinity Since 1950
  W. Scott Lincoln, GISP, & Dr. Trent Ford, June 2024
  NWS Central Region Technical Service Publication TSP-21
   
• Tropical Storm Remnants Climatology for Northern Illinois and Northwest Indiana
  Matthew T. Friedlein, updated Autumn 2021
   
• Snow Climatology for Northern Illinois and Northwest Indiana
  Matthew T. Friedlein and Amy Seeley, updated Spring 2019
   
• Tornado and Severe Weather Climatology for Northern Illinois and Northwest Indiana
  Matthew Cello, Stephen Strader, Matthew T. Friedlein, and Gino Izzi, updated Spring 2018
   
• Chicago's Top Four Snowstorms: Which was the Worst?
  Jim Allsopp and Richard Castro, Winter 2011-2012
   
• Climatology of Strong to Violent Tornadoes in the NWS Chicago County Warning Area
  Anthony Lyza, Summer 2010
   
• A Study of Chicago's Significant Tornadoes
  Jim Allsopp, Summer 2008

• Forecasting Lake Effect Snow off of Southern Lake Michigan
  Anthony Acciaioli, Summer 2009